Exploring heterogeneity in reported venous thromboembolism risk in COVID-19 and comparison to other viral pneumonias: a systematic review and meta-regression.
Res Pract Thromb Haemost 2023;
7:102146. [PMID:
37663366 PMCID:
PMC10470259 DOI:
10.1016/j.rpth.2023.102146]
[Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/08/2023] [Revised: 06/18/2023] [Accepted: 06/24/2023] [Indexed: 09/05/2023] Open
Abstract
Background
Sources of heterogeneity in venous thromboembolism (VTE) risk in COVID-19 are unclear and comparisons to other viruses are lacking.
Objectives
To describe VTE risk in patients with COVID-19, explore sources of heterogeneity, and make comparisons with other viral pneumonia.
Methods
PubMed and Embase data were searched on March 14, 2021, for studies on VTE in adults hospitalized with viral pneumonia. VTE risk estimates were pooled in a random effects meta-analysis stratified by virus type. Heterogeneity in COVID-19 was explored in multivariable meta-regression.
Results
Seventy studies in COVID-19 (intensive care [ICU] [47] vs ward [23]), 4 studies in seasonal influenza (ICU [3] vs ward [1]), 2 ICU studies in H1N1 and 1 ICU study in SARS-CoV-1 were included. For COVID-19 ICU, pooled VTE risk was 19.6% (95% confidence interval [CI], 16.2%-23.5; I2 = 92.8%) for nonscreening studies and 30.0% (95% CI, 17.9%-45.7%; I2 = 81.9%) for screening studies. For COVID-19 ward, pooled VTE risk was 3.4% (95% CI, 2.4%-4.7%; I2 = 91.3%) and 22.5% (95% CI, 10.2%-42.7%; I2 = 91.6%) for nonscreening and screening studies, respectively. Higher sample size was associated with lower VTE risk. Pooled VTE risk in seasonal influenza and H1N1 at ICU were 9.0% (95% CI, 5.6%-14.2%; I2 = 39.7%) and 29.2% (95% CI, 8.7%-64.2%; I2 = 77.9%), respectively. At ward, VTE risk of seasonal influenza was 2.4% (95% CI, 2.1%-2.7%). In SARS-CoV-1, VTE risk was 47.8% (95% CI, 34.0-62.0).
Conclusion
Pooled risk estimates in COVID-19 should be interpreted cautiously as a high degree of heterogeneity is present, which hinders comparison to other viral pneumonia. The association of VTE risk in COVID-19 to sample size suggests publication bias.
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