Effectiveness of bariatric metabolic surgery versus glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists for prevention of congestive heart failure

Comparative evidence for the effects of bariatric metabolic surgery (BMS) and glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RA) on cardiovascular outcomes is limited. Here, in an observational, retrospective cohort study, we compared the incidence of congestive heart failure (CHF) in adults living with obesity and diabetes without history of CHF (primary CHF) treated with BMS versus GLP-1RA. The population cohort comprised members of Clalit Health Services with no prior history of ischemic heart disease, ischemic stroke or CHF. During the time period of 2008-2021, patients who underwent their first BMS were matched 1:1 with patients who initiated treatment with GLP-1RA, based on clinical characteristics. The study included 2,205 matched pairs of patients (64.5% female), followed for a median of 6.6 years and up to 12 years. Primary incidence of CHF occurred in 26 (1.2%) patients treated with BMS and in 90 patients treated with GLP-1RA (4.1%) (adjusted hazard ratio 0.43, 95% confidence interval 0.27-0.68). Further adjustment for weight reduction did not significantly diminish this association (hazard ratio adjusted for weight reduction 0.48, 95% confidence interval 0.28-0.82), indicating that the differential effect was not mediated through the relative advantage of BMS in maximal weight reduction. In this study, BMS was associated with a stronger reduction in primary incidence of CHF compared with treatment with GLP-1RA. With the increasing use of highly potent next-generation GLP-1RAs, further comparative long-term studies are warranted.

The association between BNT162b2 vaccinations and incidence of immune-mediated comorbidities

BACKGROUND

A large vaccination campaign was initiated worldwide in December 2020 in order to prevent infection with SARS-CoV-2 and severe Covid-19 disease. However, long-term adverse effects of vaccination remain unclear. Therefore, our objective was to examine the association between vaccination and the incidence of autoimmune diagnoses in the first year after vaccine uptake.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study based on Clalit Health Services (CHS) comprehensive database compared the rates of immune-mediated diagnoses among BNT162b2 vaccinated versus unvaccinated individuals. As a reference, a secondary cohort compared individuals infected with Sars-CoV-2 versus uninfected individuals. The minimum follow-up period was 4 months. The cohorts were divided into 4 age groups (12-17, 18-44, 45-64, 65 years or older). Multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression models were applied, followed by a correction for multiple comparisons using the False Discovery Rate (FDR) method, hence accounting for the investigation of multiple clinical outcomes.

RESULTS

Increased risk for immune-mediated diagnoses following vaccination with BNT162b2 was observed for psoriasis in all age groups (HR 1.41-1.69), colitis among patients younger than 65 years (HR 1.38-1.93), vitiligo in patients aged 45-64 (HR 2.82, 95 %CI: 1.57-5.08) and for polymyalgia-rheumatica in patients aged 65 years or older (HR 2.12, 95 % CI: 1.3-3.47). In the reference cohort, patients who were infected by Covid-19 were at increased risk for fibromyalgia (HR 1.72, 95 % CI: 1.36-2.19 in individuals aged 18-44; HR 1.71, 95 % CI: 1.31-2.22 in individuals aged 45-64), and hypothyroidism (HR 1.54, 95 % CI: 1.15-2.07 in individuals aged 65 years or older).

CONCLUSIONS

The BNT162b2 vaccine was associated with increased risk (though rare) for psoriasis, colitis and polymyalgia rheumatica. These findings should be considered as a part of the risk-benefit assessment when planning future vaccination programs for various population groups.

Trends in the Incidence of Cardiovascular Diagnoses and Procedures over the Years 2012-2021 in Israel: The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic

Prior studies found reduced incidences of cardiovascular diagnoses and treatments in the initial phase of the COVID-19 pandemic. However, these studies included a limited number of outcomes and did not consider pre-pandemic trends. This study aimed to describe trends in the incidence of cardiovascular diagnoses and treatments over the years 2012-2021 in Israel and to compare the two years of the COVID-19 period with the preceding 8 years. In this retrospective, population-based study, carried out within Clalit Health Services, the incidence rates of cardiovascular outcomes were calculated for individuals aged ≥ 25 (~2.7 million adults per year) during the first (Y1, 3/2020-2/2021) and second (Y2, 3/2021-2/2022) years of COVID-19 and the 8 years prior (3/2012-2/2020). Declines were observed in Y1 compared to 2019 in all diagnoses and treatments: STEMI (-16.3%; 95% CI: -16.6, -16.1), non-STEMI (-16.4%; -16.6, -16.2), AF (-14.1%; -14.2, -14.0), CHF (-7.8%; -7.9, -7.7), CVA (-5.0%; -5.0, -4.9), catheterization (-64.7%; -65.2, -64.2), CABG (-77.7%; -79.2, -76.2), ablation (-21.2%; -22.0, -20.4), pacemaker implantation (-39.3%; -40.7, -37.9), and defibrillator insertion (-12.5%; -13.1, -12.0). Compared with expected rates based on pre-pandemic trends, observed rates were within expected ranges (CHF, CVA, and ablation), less than expected (STEMI, non-STEMI, AF, catheterization, CABG, and pacemaker insertion), or more than expected (defibrillator insertion). In Y2, STEMI, catheterization, and CABG returned to expected rates; non-STEMI and AF were lower than expected; and CHF, CVA, ablation, and pacemaker and defibrillator implantations were higher than expected. Several cardiovascular diagnoses and treatment trends were interrupted by COVID-19. The long-term consequences of these changes should be considered by health policymakers.

Estimating the economic burden of long-Covid: the additive cost of healthcare utilisation among COVID-19 recoverees in Israel

INTRODUCTION

Postacute sequelae resulting from SARS-CoV-2 infections (LONG-COVID) have been reported. The resulting added economic burden from the perspective of healthcare organisations is not clear. Therefore, this study aims to evaluate the additive healthcare costs among COVID-19 recoverees, in a large community-dwelling general population, as incurred by an insurer-provider organisation over time.

METHODS

In this historical cohort study, cost data from Clalit Health Services (CHS) were analysed. The primary endpoint was the direct cost incurred by CHS per month per person. Costs were measured for COVID-19 recoverees and matched controls, from January 2019 to January 2022. Difference in differences (DiDs) were calculated as the difference in mean monthly costs in cases and controls in the post-COVID-19 individual period, deducing their cost difference in a prepandemic 12 months baseline period.

RESULTS

Among N=642 868 community-dwelling COVID-19 recoverees, 268 948 (40.8%) were 0-19 years old and 63 051 (9.6%) were 60 years or older. A total of 16 017 (2.5%) of recoverees had been hospitalised during the acute phase of the COVID-19 disease. Costs in cases and controls converged after 16 months from recovery. The mean monthly cost incurred by CHS per COVID-19 recoverees over up to 15 months (mean: 8.25) of post-COVID-19 follow-up was higher by 8.2% (US$8.2) compared with matched controls. The excess cost attributable to post-COVID-19 effects (DID) was 7.6% of the cost in controls (US$7.7 per patient per month). Both net and relative DIDs were substantially higher in patients who required hospitalisation during the acute phase of COVID-19 and in older adults. Excess in hospitalisations, primary care physicians and medical specialists' visits-related costs were observed.

CONCLUSIONS

Long-term effects of SARS-CoV-2 infections translate into excess healthcare costs, months after recovery, hence requiring adjustments of funds allocation. These excess costs gradually diminish after recoveree, returning to baseline differences 16 months after recoveree.

Risk assessment of human mpox infections: Retrospective cohort study

OBJECTIVES

The global supply of vaccines against mpox (previously called monkeypox virus infection) was significantly lower than the demand. Therefore, evidence-based vaccine prioritization criteria, based on risk assessment were needed. Our objective was therefore to identify the characteristics of individuals at the highest risk for mpox.

METHODS

This population-based cohort study included all Clalit Health Services (CHS) subjects assumed to be at risk for mpox. The eligibility criteria for inclusion were determined based on known characteristics of people with infection worldwide and insights of LGBTQ+ -specialized CHS clinicians. Cox hazards models were used to identify risk factors for mpox within the study cohort. The study commenced on June 6, 2022, the date of the first known mpox in CHS members, until July 31, 2022, when the mpox vaccination campaign started.

RESULTS

8,088 individuals of 4.7 Million CHS members (0.18%) were identified according to the study inclusion criteria. Of those, 69 (0.85%) developed infection during the study period. Risk factors for mpox were birth in 1980 or later (HR 5.04 95%CI: 2.11-12.02), history of syphilis (2.62, 1.58-4.35), registeration to primary healthcare clinics in the Tel-Aviv district (2.82, 1.44-5.54), HIV-PrEP use (3.96, 2.14-7.31), PDE5 inhibitors use (2.92, 1.77-4.84), and recent STIs within the last 18 months (2.27, 1.35-3.82). No infections were observed in individuals with none of the factors. Individuals with 3+ risk factors had a 20.30-fold (10.39-39.69) higher risk for mpox compared to those with 0-2, with 85.5% (75.0% -92.8%) sensitivity and 77.8% (76.9%-78.7%) specificity.

CONCLUSION

Weighting individuals' risk levels based on validated risk factors against vaccine availability can assist health systems in the equitable prioritization of vaccine allocation in various future outbreaks, given supply-demand gaps.

Real-world effectiveness of a single dose of mpox vaccine in males

The recent global outbreak of the monkeypox (mpox) virus in humans was declared a public health emergency by the World Health Organization in July 2022. The smallpox and mpox vaccine (JYNNEOS; Modified Vaccinia Ankara-Bavarian Nordic; MVA-BN), provided as a two-dose regimen, is currently the primary vaccine utilized against mpox. However, the efficacy of MVA-BN against mpox has never been demonstrated in clinical trials to date. Due to the limited supply of vaccines, the World Health Organization has recommended prioritizing the vaccination of high-risk groups. We evaluated the real-world effectiveness of a single, subcutaneous dose of MVA-BN in this observational, retrospective cohort study, which included the analysis of electronic health records of all members of Clalit Health Services eligible for the vaccine on 31 July 2022. We used a Cox proportional hazards regression model with time-dependent covariates to estimate the association between vaccination and mpox while adjusting for sociodemographic and clinical risk factors. In an analysis of 2,054 male individuals who met vaccine eligibility criteria, 1,037 (50%) were vaccinated during the study recruitment period and completed at least 90 d of follow-up. During the study period, 5 and 16 infections were confirmed in vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals, respectively. The adjusted vaccine effectiveness was estimated at 86% (95% confidence interval, 59-95%). Our results suggest that a single dose of subcutaneous MVA-BN in this high-risk cohort is associated with a significantly lower risk of MPXV infection.

Factors Associated with Using Telemedicine in the Primary Care Clinics during the COVID-19 Pandemic in Israel

BACKGROUND

The COVID-19 pandemic generated an extraordinary need for telemedicine.

OBJECTIVE

To identify the factors and multi-way interactions associated with telemedicine use in primary healthcare during the COVID-19 pandemic.

METHODS

This population-based study included all members (2,722,773) aged ≥18 years of the largest healthcare organization in Israel who used primary care clinic services between 1 March 2020 and 31 December 2021. Individuals were classified as telemedicine users (≥1 phone/video visits or asynchronous encounters) or non-telemedicine users (only in-person encounter/s).

RESULTS

Ethnicity was the most discriminative variable associated with telemedicine use, with 85% and 52% users among Jews and Arabs, respectively. Higher odds for telemedicine utilization were observed among women, residents of urban areas, those confined to home, individuals with high level of technology literacy, residents of the central area (in Jews only), young Jews, and older Arabs. Based on decision tree analysis, the segments of the population with the lowest telemedicine use were characterized by lower primary care needs and comorbidities, as well as low technology literacy. The proportion of telemedicine use in these groups was 56% and 27% in Jews and in Arabs, respectively.

CONCLUSION

A proactive intervention program should be applied among populations who are less likely to use telemedicine in the primary care clinics, including Arabs, Jews who live in the distant periphery, and individuals with low technology literacy.

The impact of COVID-19 pandemic on emergency department visits and associated mortality during 14 months of the pandemic in Israel

BACKGROUND

A substantial drop in emergency department (ED) visit volume was previously demonstrated at the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic.

OBJECTIVE

To examine changes in the number of non-COVID adult ED visits and their associated 30-day mortality during 14 months of the pandemic in Israel.

METHODS

This is a retrospective cohort study including 1,285,270 adult ED visits between 1st March, 2018 and 30th April, 2021 to the internal and surgical EDS in eight general hospitals of the largest healthcare organization in Israel. The 14 months of the pandemic period (March 2020-April 2021) were divided into seven periods according to dates of the three lockdowns. Exposure to each of these periods was compared to the parallel period during the two previous years. March 2020-April 2021 was compared to the parallel periods in 2018 and 2019.

RESULTS

During the pandemic period, the largest decline in ED visits (44.6% and 50.9% for internal and surgical EDs, respectively) and the highest excess 30-day mortality following an ED visit (internal EDs Adjusted OR (ORadj), 1.49; 95% CI, 1.34-1.66 and surgical EDs: ORadj 1.50; CI, 1.16-1.94) were 95%, observed during the first lockdown. Both gradually levelled-off subsequently until near-normalization was reached in March-April 2021 for both parameters.

CONCLUSIONS

A substantial decline in non-COVID ED visits and excess mortality at the beginning of the pandemic, are probably the results of social distancing restrictions alongside patients' fear of exposure to COVID-19, which gradually moderated thereafter, until near normalization was reached after 14 months. Gradual return to pre-pandemic ED utilization patterns were noticed as the population and the healthcare system acclimatize to life alongside COVID.

Nirmatrelvir Use and Severe Covid-19 Outcomes during the Omicron Surge

BACKGROUND

The oral protease inhibitor nirmatrelvir has shown substantial efficacy in high-risk, unvaccinated patients infected with the B.1.617.2 (delta) variant of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). Data regarding the effectiveness of nirmatrelvir in preventing severe coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) outcomes from the B.1.1.529 (omicron) variant are limited.

METHODS

We obtained data for all members of Clalit Health Services who were 40 years of age or older at the start of the study period and were assessed as being eligible to receive nirmatrelvir therapy during the omicron surge. A Cox proportional-hazards regression model with time-dependent covariates was used to estimate the association of nirmatrelvir treatment with hospitalization and death due to Covid-19, with adjustment for sociodemographic factors, coexisting conditions, and previous SARS-CoV-2 immunity status.

RESULTS

A total of 109,254 patients met the eligibility criteria, of whom 3902 (4%) received nirmatrelvir during the study period. Among patients 65 years of age or older, the rate of hospitalization due to Covid-19 was 14.7 cases per 100,000 person-days among treated patients as compared with 58.9 cases per 100,000 person-days among untreated patients (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.27; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.15 to 0.49). The adjusted hazard ratio for death due to Covid-19 was 0.21 (95% CI, 0.05 to 0.82). Among patients 40 to 64 years of age, the rate of hospitalization due to Covid-19 was 15.2 cases per 100,000 person-days among treated patients and 15.8 cases per 100,000 person-days among untreated patients (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.35 to 1.58). The adjusted hazard ratio for death due to Covid-19 was 1.32 (95% CI, 0.16 to 10.75).

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients 65 years of age or older, the rates of hospitalization and death due to Covid-19 were significantly lower among those who received nirmatrelvir than among those who did not. No evidence of benefit was found in younger adults.

Trends in the Volume and Types of Primary Care Visits during the Two Years of the COVID-19 Pandemic in Israel

BACKGROUND

The outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic led to a decrease in primary health care in-person visits and a simultaneous increase in virtual encounters.

OBJECTIVE

To quantify the change in the total volume of primary care visits and mix of visit types during the two years of the pandemic in Israel.

DESIGN

Cross-sectional study.

PARTICIPANTS

All primary care visits by members of the largest healthcare organization in Israel, during three one-year periods: the pre-COVID-19 year (March 2019-February 2020), the first year of COVID-19 (March 2020-February 2021), and the second year of COVID-19 (March 2021-February 2022).

MAIN MEASURES

Total volume of primary care visits and mix of visit types.

RESULTS

More than 112 million primary care visits were included in the study. The total visit rate per 1000 members did not change significantly between the pre-COVID year (19) and the first COVID year (19.8), but was 21% higher in the second COVID-19 year (23). The rate of in-person visits per 1000 members decreased from 12.0 in the pre-COVID year to 7.7 in the first COVID year and then increased to 9.6 in the second. The rate of phone visits and asynchronous communication increased from 0.7 and 6.3, respectively, in the pre-COVID year, to 4.1 and 8, respectively, in the first COVID year, and remained unchanged in the second. There was substantial variation across age groups and sectors in the adoption of virtual platforms.

CONCLUSIONS

The rapid introduction of virtual encounters in primary care tended to displace in-person visits in the first year of the pandemic, but they appear to have been additive in the second. This transition should be monitored, with the goal of ensuring appropriate planning efforts and resource allocation to deal with the potential added burden on medical staff. Efforts should be invested in encouraging the use of virtual platforms in patient groups that currently underutilize it, such as minorities.

Continuous Decline in Myocardial Infarction and Heart Failure Hospitalizations during the First 12 Months of the COVID-19 Pandemic in Israel

Background: A decline in cardiovascular hospitalizations was observed during the initial phases of the COVID-19 pandemic. We examine the continuous effect of the COVID-19 pandemic in reducing cardiovascular hospitalization and associated mortality rates during the first year of the pandemic in Israel. Methods: We conduct a retrospective cohort study using the data of Clalit Health Services, the largest healthcare organization in Israel. We divide the Corona year into six periods (three lockdowns and three post-lockdowns) and compare the incidence rates of cardiovascular hospitalizations and 30-day all-cause mortality during each period to the previous three years. Results: The number of non-STEMI hospitalizations during the first year of the pandemic was 13.7% lower than the average of the previous three years (95% CI 11–17%); STEMI hospitalizations were 15.7% lower (95% CI 13–19%); CHF (Congestive heart failure) hospitalizations were 23.9% lower (95%, CI 21–27%). No significant differences in 30-day all-cause mortality rates were observed among AMI (acute myocardial infarction) patients during most of the periods, whereas the annual 30-day all-cause mortality rate among CHF patients was 23% higher. Conclusions: AMI and CHF hospitalizations were significantly lower during the first year of the pandemic relative to 2017–9. Mortality rates were higher in the case of CHF patients but not in the case of AMI patients, possibly due to a change in the clinical acuity of patients arriving at the hospitals. We conclude that targeted public health messaging should be implemented together with proactive monitoring, in order to identify residual disability in patients who may have received non-optimal treatment during the pandemic.

Socioeconomic Disparity Trends in Cancer Screening Among Women After Introduction of National Quality Indicators

PURPOSE

Primary care physicians have an important role in encouraging adequate cancer screening. Disparities in cancer screening by socioeconomic status (SES) may affect presentation stage and cancer survival. This study aimed to examine whether breast, colorectal, and cervical cancer screening rates in women differed by SES and age, and whether screening rates and SES disparities changed after introduction of a primary care-based national quality indicator program.

METHODS

This repeated cross-sectional study spanning 2002-2017 included all female Israeli residents in age ranges appropriate for each cancer screening assessed. SES was measured both as an individual-level variable based on exemption from copayments and as an area-level variable using census data.

RESULTS

In 2017, the most recent year in the study period, screening rates among 1,529,233 women were highest for breast cancer (70.5%), followed by colorectal cancer (64.3%) and cervical cancer (49.6%). Women in the highest area-level SES were more likely to undergo cervical cancer screening compared with those in the lowest (odds ratio = 3.56; 99.9% CI, 3.47-3.65). Temporal trends showed that after introduction of quality indicators for breast and colorectal cancer screening in 2004 and 2005, respectively, rates of screening for these cancers increased, with greater reductions in disparities for the former. The quality indicator for cervical cancer screening was introduced in 2015, and no substantial changes have occurred yet for this screening.

CONCLUSIONS

We found increased uptake and reduced socioeconomic disparities after introduction of cancer screening indicators. Recent introduction of a cervical cancer screening indicator may increase participation and reduce disparities, as has occurred for breast and colorectal cancer screening. These findings related to Israel's quality indicators program highlight the importance of primary care clinicians in increasing cancer screening rates to improve outcomes and reduce disparities.

Correction to: The quality of primary care provided to the elderly in Israel

An amendment to this paper has been published and can be accessed via the original article.

Area-level socioeconomic disparity trends in nutritional status among 5-6-year-old children in Israel

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to assess area-level socioeconomic position (SEP) disparities in nutritional status, to determine whether disparities differed by sex and to assess whether nutritional status and disparities changed over time.

DESIGN

We used repeated cross-sectional data from a national programme that evaluates the quality of healthcare in Israel to assess children's nutritional status.

SETTING

The study included all Israeli residents aged 7 years during 2014-2018 (n=699 255).

METHODS

SEP was measured based on the Central Bureau of Statistics' statistical areas, and grouped into categories, ranging from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest). We used multivariable multinomial regression to assess the association between SEP and nutritional status and between year and nutritional status. We included interactions between year and SEP to assess whether disparities changed over time.

RESULTS

Children in SEP 1, comprised entirely of children from the Bedouin population from Southern Israel, had drastically higher odds of thinness compared with those in the highest SEP (Girls: OR 5.02, 99% CI 2.23 to 11.30; Boys: OR 2.03, 99% CI 1.19 to 3.48). Odds of obesity were highest in lower-middle SEPs (OR_{SEP 5 vs 10} 1.84, 99% CI 1.34 to 2.54). Prevalence of overweight and obesity decreased between 2014 and 2018, normal weight increased and thinness did not change. SEP disparities in thinness decreased over time in boys but showed a reverse trend for girls. No substantial improvement was seen in SEP disparities for other weight categories.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study demonstrates the need to consider initiatives to combat the considerable SEP disparities in both thinness and obesity.

The quality of primary care provided to the elderly in Israel

BACKGROUND

In view of increasing global and local trends in population ageing and the high healthcare utilization rates among the elderly, this study assesses the quality of primary care provided to the elderly population in Israel. It examines changes in quality over time, how quality varies across sub-groups of the elderly, and how quality in Israel compares with other countries. Data originate from the National Program for Quality Indicators in Community Healthcare (QICH), which operates in full collaboration with Israel's four HMOs.

METHODS

The study population included all elderly Israeli residents aged 65 years or older during 2002-2015 (N = 879,671 residents in 2015). Seven elderly-specific quality indicators from within the QICH framework were included: influenza and pneumococcal vaccinations, benzodiazepine overuse, long-acting benzodiazepine use, body weight documentation, weight loss and underweight. In addition, two non-age specific quality indicators relating to diabetes mellitus were included: the rate of HbA1C documentation and uncontrolled diabetes. Data were collected from patient electronic medical records (EMR) in accordance with each HMO, and aggregated by three variables: gender, age, and socio-economic position (SEP).

RESULTS

During the measurement period, vaccination rates significantly increased (Influenza: from 42.0% in 2002 to 63.2% in 2015; and pneumococcal vaccination: from 25.8% in 2005 to 77.0% in 2015). Body weight documentation (in 65-74 year old persons) increased from only 16.3% in 2003 to 80.9% in 2015. The rate of underweight (BMI < 23 kg/m2) and significant weight-loss (10% or more of their body weight) was only measured in 2015. The overall rate of benzodiazepine overuse remained steady from 2011 to 2015 at around 5%, while the rate of long-acting benzodiazepine use decreased from 3.8% in 2011 to 2.4% in 2015. The rate of HbA1c documentation for elderly diabetics was higher than for non-elderly diabetics in 2015 (92.2% vs 87.9%). The rate of uncontrolled diabetes was lower for the elderly than the non-elderly population in 2015 (6.9% vs. 15.7%). Gender disparities were observed across all measures, after age stratification, with worse indicator rates among females compared to males. SEP-disparities were not consistent across measures. In all indicators except benzodiazepine overuse, Israel showed a higher quality of care for the elderly in comparison with the international healthcare community.

CONCLUSIONS

Overall, the quality of care received by elderly Israelis has improved substantially since measurements first began; yet, females receive lower quality care than males. Monitoring results of primary care quality indicators can contribute to population's successful aging; both chronic conditions at earlier ages (e.g. diabetes), and short-term hazardous conditions such as the use of potentially harmful medications and weight loss should be evaluated.