CHESS-ALARM score to stratify decompensation risk in compensated advanced chronic liver disease patients: An international multicenter study

BACKGROUND AND AIM

A combination of platelet and elastography (PE criteria) was proposed to identify compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) patients at risk of liver decompensation. We aim to validate and refine PE criteria by developing a new predictive score to predict decompensation in Asian cACLD patients.

METHODS

An international cohort of 633 cACLD patients with liver stiffness measurement (LSM) and esophagogastroduodenoscopy performed were included. We validated PE criteria to predict first liver decompensation using competing risk analysis, with death and hepatocellular carcinoma as competing events. We developed a predictive model using proportional subdistribution hazard regression. Prognostic accuracy was compared with the model of end-stage liver disease (MELD), albumin-bilirubin (ALBI), and ALBI-FIB-4 score using time-dependent area under operative characteristic curve (tAUC).

RESULTS

Sixty patients developed decompensation over the median follow-up of 39 months. Favorable Baveno VI status ruled out cACLD patients at risk of liver decompensation. LSM > 25 kPa was suboptimal to predict cACLD patients who will develop liver decompensation. We developed CHESS-ALARM score by incorporating age, platelet, and gender into LSM. CHESS-ALARM score (tAUC = 0.86, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.79-0.94) has significantly higher accuracy than MELD (tAUC: 0.61), ALBI (tAUC: 0.62), ALBI-FIB-4 (tAUC: 0.70), and LSM > 25 kPa (tAUC: 0.54) to predict liver decompensation at 5 years (P < 0.05 for all). Patients with CHESS-ALARM score ≥ -0.37 had an 11-fold higher risk of decompensation (subdistribution hazard ratio = 11.2, 95% CI: 5.1-24.5).

CONCLUSION

CHESS-ALARM score can be readily incorporated into clinical practice of cACLD patients to estimate individual risk of liver decompensation; however, more data are required in morbidly obese cACLD patients of nonviral etiology.

Comparison of the Efficacy and Safety of Direct Oral Anticoagulants and Vitamin K Antagonists in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation and Concomitant Liver Cirrhosis: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) have a higher risk of developing thromboembolic events. Current guidelines recommend the use of oral anticoagulants for stroke prevention in these patients. Several clinical trials demonstrated that direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) have similar efficacy and are safer alternatives to traditional oral anticoagulants. However, patients with concomitant liver cirrhosis were excluded from these trials.

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to systematically identify and review published clinical studies on the use of DOACs in patients with AF and liver cirrhosis and assess the efficacy and safety of DOACs in these patients.

METHODS

A systematic review of clinical trials and retrospective studies was conducted by searching the PubMed, Cochrane Library, Embase, SCOPUS, and Web of Science databases up to September 2020.

RESULTS

Three retrospective studies were included, involving 4011 patients with AF and liver cirrhosis. The use of DOACs was associated with a significant reduction in ischemic stroke (hazard ratio [HR] 0.62; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.42-0.90; p = 0.01), major bleeding events (HR 0.64; 95% CI 0.57-0.72; p < 0.001), and intracranial hemorrhage (HR 0.49; 95% CI 0.40-0.59; p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with warfarin in patients with AF and liver cirrhosis, DOACs appear to be associated with improved efficacy and safety outcomes. Randomized controlled trials are warranted to confirm these findings.

Does preemptive transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt improve survival after acute variceal bleeding? Systematic review, meta-analysis, and trial sequential analysis of randomized trials

BACKGROUND AND AIM

A preemptive transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (p-TIPSS) after acute variceal bleeding (AVB) is advocated. However, when compared with the current standard of care, the survival benefit of p-TIPSS is questionable. We performed a systematic review, meta-analysis, and trial sequential analysis of randomized control trials (RCTs) to assess the survival benefit of p-TIPSS in patients with cirrhosis and AVB.

METHODS

Comprehensive literature search of three bibliographic databases (MEDLINE, Embase, and Cochrane) was conducted from inception till May 2021. All study types evaluating the survival benefit of p-TIPSS in AVB were considered for inclusion. The relative risk (RR) of mortality and rebleeding at 6 weeks and mortality at 1 year with a random-effects model was computed. Trial sequential analysis was performed for the primary outcome of 6-week mortality.

RESULTS

A total of nine studies (four RCTs and five cohort studies) comprising 2861 patients with AVB were included. The overall pooled risks of mortality at 6 weeks and 1 year were 17.9% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 16.5-19.3%) and 26.7% (95% CI: 25.0-28.3%), respectively. Although p-TIPSS was associated with lower 6-week rebleeding risk (RR = 0.20; 95% CI = 0.13-0.29, I²  = 0%), data from pooled RCTs showed no significant difference in mortality at 6 weeks (RR = 0.33; 95% CI = 0.08-1.36, I²  = 63%) or at 1 year (RR = 0.76; 95% CI = 0.51-1.14, I²  = 30%). Using trial sequential analysis, required sample size to detect a 20% relative risk reduction in mortality at 6 weeks with p-TIPSS was estimated to be 6317, which is beyond the total number of patients available for analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

This meta-analysis found that the available data from RCTs are insufficient to confer 6-week mortality benefit with p-TIPSS compared with standard of care; thus, adequately powered RCTs are required.

Efficacy and safety of direct oral anticoagulants versus vitamin K antagonist for portal vein thrombosis in cirrhosis: A systematic review and meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION AND AIM

Portal vein thrombosis (PVT) is associated with a higher risk of liver-related complications. Recent guidelines recommend direct-acting anticoagulants (DOAC) in patients with cirrhosis and non-tumoral PVT. However, data on the efficacy and safety of DOAC in these patients remain limited. We aim to investigate the efficacy and safety of DOAC compared to vitamin K antagonists (VKA) to treat non-tumoral PVT in patients with cirrhosis.

METHODS

We performed a systematic search of six electronic databases using MeSH term and free text. We selected all studies comparing the use of DOACs with vitamin K antagonist to treat PVT in cirrhosis. The primary outcome was PVT recanalization. Secondary outcomes were and PVT progression, major bleeding, variceal bleeding and death.

RESULTS

From 944 citations, we included 552 subjects from a total of 11 studies (10 observational and 1 randomized trial) that fulfilled the inclusion criteria. We found that DOAC were associated with a higher pooled rate of PVT recanalization (RR = 1.67, 95%CI: 1.02, 2.74, I² = 79%) and lower pooled risk of PVT progression (RR = 0.14, 95%CI: 0.03-0.57, I² = 0%). The pooled risk of major bleeding (RR = 0.29, 95%CI: 0.08-1.01, I² = 0%), variceal bleeding (RR = 1.29, 95%CI: 0.64-2.59, I² = 0%) and death (RR = 0.31, 95%CI: 0.01-9.578, I² = 80%) was similar between DOAC and VKA.

CONCLUSION

For the treatment of PVT in patients with cirrhosis, the bleeding risk was comparable between DOAC and VKA. However, DOAC were associated with a higher pooled rate of PVT recanalization. Dedicated randomized studies are needed to confirm these findings.

Artificial intelligence and polyp detection in colonoscopy: Use of a single neural network to achieve rapid polyp localization for clinical use

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Artificial intelligence has been extensively studied to assist clinicians in polyp detection, but such systems usually require expansive processing power, making them prohibitively expensive and hindering wide adaption. The current study used a fast object detection algorithm, known as the YOLOv3 algorithm, to achieve real-time polyp detection on a laptop. In addition, we evaluated and classified the causes of false detections to further improve accuracy.

METHODS

The YOLOv3 algorithm was trained and validated with 6038 and 2571 polyp images, respectively. Videos from live colonoscopies in a tertiary center and those obtained from public databases were used for the training and validation sets. The algorithm was tested on 10 unseen videos from the CVC-Video ClinicDB dataset. Only bounding boxes with an intersection over union area of > 0.3 were considered positive predictions.

RESULTS

Polyp detection rate in our study was 100%, with the algorithm able to detect every polyp in each video. Sensitivity, specificity, and F1 score were 74.1%, 85.1%, and 83.3, respectively. The algorithm achieved a speed of 61.2 frames per second (fps) on a desktop RTX2070 GPU and 27.2 fps on a laptop GTX2060 GPU. Nearly a quarter of false negatives happened when the polyps were at the corner of an image. Image blurriness accounted for approximately 3% and 9% of false positive and false negative detections, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The YOLOv3 algorithm can achieve real-time poly detection with high accuracy and speed on a desktop GPU, making it low cost and accessible to most endoscopy centers worldwide.

Novel albumin, bilirubin and platelet criteria for the exclusion of high-risk varices in compensated advanced chronic liver disease: A validation study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Availability of transient elastography (TE) limits the application of Baveno-VI criteria. In a derivation study, the ABP criteria (Albumin >40 g/l, Bilirubin <22 μmol/l and Platelet >114,000/μl) had been shown to perform well in identifying compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) patients without high-risk varices (HRV). We aim to externally validate this novel ABP criteria for the exclusion of HRVs among cACLD patients.

METHODS

Data was retrospectively collected from consecutive cACLD patients with paired TE and esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) performed between 2011 and 2017 in Changi General Hospital, Singapore. We estimate the discriminative ability of ABP criteria in validation cohort using AUROC and calibration-in-the-large. We subsequently compare the performance between ABP and Baveno-VI criteria in the validation cohort.

RESULTS

Among 314 patients included in our validation cohort, 32 (10.2%) had HRV on screening EGD. Application of ABP criteria within this validation cohort has increased discriminative ability than the derivation cohort. The AUROC of validation and derivation cohort were 0.68 (0.60-0.76) and 0.66 (0.60-0.76), respectively. The mean and standard error for calibration-in-the-large and calibration slope were -0.08 (0.22) and 0.93 (0.26) respectively. The ABP criteria had excellent performance in excluding HRV and will spare more screening EGDs than the Baveno-VI criteria (39.2% vs 27.4%, p < 0.001), without missing more HRVs.

CONCLUSION

We validated the performance of ABP criteria for the exclusion of HRVs in cACLD patients. ABP criteria is superior to Baveno-VI criteria by sparing more screening EGD without the need of TE.

Clinical audit of current Helicobacter pylori treatment outcomes in Singapore

INTRODUCTION

H. pylori eradication reduces the risk of gastric malignancies and peptic ulcer disease. First-line therapies include 14-day PAC (proton pump inhibitor [PPI], amoxicillin, clarithromycin) and PBMT (PPI, bismuth, metronidazole, tetracycline). Second-line therapies include 14-day PBMT and PAL (PPI, amoxicillin, levofloxacin). This clinical audit examined current treatment outcomes in Singapore.

METHODS

Clinical data of H. pylori-positive patients who underwent empirical first- and second-line eradication therapies from 1 January 2017 to 31 December 2018 were reviewed. Treatment success was determined by 13C urea breath test performed at least 4 weeks after treatment and 2 weeks off PPI.

RESULTS

A total of 963 patients (862 PAC, 36 PMC [PPI, metronidazole, clarithromycin], 18 PBMT, 13 PBAC [PAC with bismuth], 34 others) and 98 patients (62 PMBT, 15 PAL, 21 others) received first- and second-line therapies respectively. A 14-day treatment duration was appropriately prescribed for first- and second-line therapies in 65.2% and 82.7% of patients, respectively. First-line treatment success rates were noted for PAC (seven-day: 76.9%, ten-day: 88.3%, 14-day: 92.0%), PMC (seven-day: 0, ten-day: 75.0%, 14-day: 69.8%), PBMT (ten-day: 100%, 14-day: 87.5%) and PBAC (14-day: 100%). 14-day treatment was superior to seven-day treatment (90.8% vs. 71.4%; p = 0.028). PAC was superior to PMC (p < 0.001) but similar to PBMT (p = 0.518) and PBAC (p = 0.288) in 14-day therapies. 14-day second-line PAL and PBMT had similar efficacy (90.9% vs. 82.4%; p = 0.674).

CONCLUSION

First-line empirical treatment using PAC, PBMT and PBAC for 14 days had similar efficacy. Success rates for second-line PBMT and PAL were similar.

Efficacy and Safety of Statin for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Prevention Among Chronic Liver Disease Patients: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION AND AIM

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a deadly complication among patients with chronic liver disease (CLD). Controversies on the efficacy and safety of statin to prevent HCC among patients with CLD remain despite the growing evidences. We aim to investigate the efficacy and safety of using statin for HCC prevention among adult with CLD.

METHODS

We performed a systematic search of 4 electronic databases (PubMed/MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane library, and ClinicalTrial.gov) up to April 15, 2020. We selected all types of studies evaluating the statin use and the risk of HCC among CLD patients, regardless of language, region, publication date, or status. The primary endpoint was the pooled risk of HCC. The secondary endpoint was the risk of statin-associated myopathy.

RESULT

From 583 citations, we included a total of 13 studies (1,742,260 subjects, 7 types of statins), fulfilling the inclusion criteria, evaluating efficacy and safety of statin in CLD patients for HCC prevention. All studies were observational (2 nested case-control studies, 11 cohort studies), and no randomised trial was identified. We found that statin user has a lower pooled risk of HCC development (hazard ratio=0.57, 95% confidence interval: 0.52-0.62, I2=42%). HCC reduction was consistent among statin users in cirrhosis, hepatitis B virus, and hepatitis C virus infections. The risk of statin-associated myopathy was similar between statin user and nonuser (hazard ratio=1.07, 95% confidence interval=0.91-1.27).

CONCLUSION

Statin use was safe and associated with a lower pooled risk of HCC development among adults with CLD. Given the bias with observation studies, prospective randomised trial is needed to confirm this finding.

Efficacy and safety of albumin infusion for overt hepatic encephalopathy: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The efficacy and safety of albumin infusion for treatment and prevention of overt hepatic encephalopathy (OHE) among cirrhosis patients remained controversial. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to evaluate the benefit of albumin infusion for the treatment and prevention of OHE.

METHODS

We performed a systematic search of 4 electronic databases up to 31st January 2021. The primary outcome was the resolution of OHE. Secondary outcomes were inpatient mortality and albumin-associated adverse events. We assessed the pooled odds' risk, pooled mean differences, 95% confidence interval and heterogeneity using Review Manager Version 5.3.

RESULTS

A total of 12 studies (2,087 subjects) were identified. Among cirrhosis patients with OHE, albumin infusion was associated with a lower pooled risk of OHE (OR=0.43, 95%CI: 0.27, 0.68; I²=0%). Among patients without baseline OHE, albumin infusion was associated with a lower pooled risk of developing OHE (OR=0.53, 95%CI: 0.32, 0.86; I²=62%). Albumin infusion was associated with a lower pooled risk of inpatient mortality (OR=0.36, 95%CI: 0.21, 0.60; I²=0%).

CONCLUSION

Well-powered randomized trials are required to confirm the benefits of albumin infusion for the prevention and treatment of overt hepatic encephalopathy among decompensated cirrhosis patients.

Modified AST to platelet ratio index improves APRI and better predicts advanced fibrosis and liver cirrhosis in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

AIMS

Advanced fibrosis (AF) and liver cirrhosis (LC) are important milestones in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). FIB-4, NFS and BARD are validated scores with good accuracy in detecting AF and LC. APRI does not have similar predictive accuracy. While a modification (m-APRI) improves its use in viral hepatitis, this has yet to be evaluated in NAFLD. This study compares diagnostic performance of aforementioned scores in predicting AF and LC in NAFLD.

METHODS

Consecutive NAFLD patients undergoing Transient Elastography (TE) using Echosens® Fibroscan® for fibrosis staging were included. Cut-off liver stiffness measurements for AF and LC were 7.9 kPa and 11.5 kPa respectively. Anthropometric and laboratory tests done within 3 months were used. Diagnostic performances of scores were analyzed by standard statistical tests.

RESULTS

161 patients qualified for the study. Mean age was 60.2 ± 14 years, BMI 26.8 ± 4.6 kg/m². M-probe was used in 113, XL in 48. Optimal cut-offs of m-APRI for AF and LC were 5.84 and 9 respectively. Area under receiver operator characteristic curves (AUROC) for prediction of AF at optimal cut-off points were m-APRI 0.84, APRI 0.80, FIB-4: 0.77, NFS 0.77 and BARD 0.65. For prediction of LC, AUROC were m-APRI: 0.83, APRI: 0.76, FIB-4: 0.81, NFS: 0.77 and BARD: 0.66. m-APRI was significantly superior to all scores compared in detecting AF (p < 0.05 for all) and superior to APRI (p = 0.008) and BARD (p = 0.007) in predicting LC. There was no significant difference between m-APRI and FIB-4 or NFS in prediction of LC.

CONCLUSIONS

For prediction of AF in NAFLD, m-APRI outperforms BARD, APRI, NFS and FIB-4, while for the prediction of cirrhosis, m-APRI is superior to APRI and BARD but comparable to NFS and FIB-4.

Efficacy and safety of sofosbuvir/velpatasvir in a real-world chronic hepatitis C genotype 3 cohort

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Real-world data on sofosbuvir/velpatasvir with and without ribavirin (SOF/VEL ± RBV), particularly among patients with genotype 3 (GT3) decompensated cirrhosis, prior treatment, coinfection, and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), are scarce. We aimed to assess the efficacy and safety of SOF/VEL ± RBV in a real-world setting that included both community and incarcerated GT3 hepatitis C virus (HCV) patients.

METHODS

We included all GT3 HCV patients treated with SOF/VEL ± RBV in our institution. The primary outcome measure was the overall sustained virological response 12 weeks after treatment (SVR12), reported in both intention-to-treat (ITT) and per-protocol analyses. The secondary outcome measures were SVR12 stratified by the presence of decompensated cirrhosis, prior treatment, HCC, and HIV/hepatitis C virus coinfection and the occurrence rate of serious adverse events requiring treatment cessation or hospitalization.

RESULTS

A total of 779 HCV patients were treated with 12 weeks of SOF/VEL ± RBV, of which 85% were treated during incarceration. Among the 530 GT3 HCV patients, 31% had liver cirrhosis, and 6% were treatment-experienced. The overall SVR12 for GT3 was 98.7% (95% confidence interval: 97.3%, 99.5%) and 99.2% (95% confidence interval: 98.1%, 99.8%) in ITT and per-protocol analyses, respectively. High SVR12 was also seen in ITT analysis among GT3 HCV patients with decompensated cirrhosis (88%), prior treatment (100%), HCC (100%), and HIV/hepatitis B virus coinfection (100%). Apart from one patient who developed myositis, no other serious adverse events were observed.

CONCLUSION

The SOF/VEL ± RBV is a safe and efficacious treatment option for GT3 HCV patients in a real-world setting. SOF/VEL with RBV may be considered for decompensated GT3 HCV patients.

Clinical Features and Predictors of Dysplasia in Proximal Sessile Serrated Lesions

Background/Aims

Proximal colorectal cancers (CRCs) account for up to half of CRCs. Sessile serrated lesions (SSLs) are precursors to CRC. Proximal location and presence of dysplasia in SSLs predict higher risks of progression to cancer. The prevalence of dysplasia in proximal SSLs (pSSLs) and clinical characteristics of dysplastic pSSLs are not well studied.

Methods

Endoscopically resected colonic polyps at our center between January 2016 and December 2017 were screened for pSSLs. Data of patients with at least one pSSL were retrieved and clinicopathological features of pSSLs were analysed. pSSLs with and without dysplasia were compared for associations.

Results

Ninety pSSLs were identified, 45 of which had dysplasia giving a prevalence of 50.0%. Older age (65.9 years vs. 60.1 years, p=0.034) was associated with the presence of dysplasia. Twelve pSSLs were 10 mm or larger. After adjusting for age, pSSLs ≥10 mm had an adjusted odds ratio of 5.98 (95% confidence interval, 1.21–29.6) of having dysplasia compared with smaller pSSLs.

Conclusions

In our cohort of pSSLs, the prevalence of dysplasia is high at 50.0% and is associated with lesion size ≥10 mm. Endoscopic resection for all proximal serrated lesions should be en bloc to facilitate accurate histopathological examination for dysplasia as its presence warrants shorter surveillance intervals.

Long-term albumin infusion in decompensated cirrhosis: A review of current literature

Decompensated cirrhosis is characterized by chronic inflammation and severe portal hypertension leading to systemic circulatory dysfunction. Albumin infusion has been widely used in decompensated cirrhosis in patients with spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, large-volume paracentesis and hepatorenal syndrome. Emerging data suggest long-term albumin infusion has both oncotic and non-oncotic properties which may improve the clinical outcomes in decompensated cirrhosis patients. We review the current literature on both the established and potential role of albumin, and specifically address the controversies of long-term albumin infusion in decompensated cirrhosis patients.

Clinical implications of prompt ascitic drain removal among cirrhosis with refractory ascites

INTRODUCTION

Large-volume paracentesis (LVP) is the first-line treatment for decompensated cirrhosis with refractory ascites. While ascitic drain removal (ADR) within 72 hours was once considered safe, it was uncertain if ADR within 24 hours could further reduce the risk of ascitic drain-related bacterial peritonitis (AdBP). This study aimed to investigate the association between the timing of ADR and the presence of AdBP.

METHODS

All cirrhotics with refractory ascites who underwent LVP in our institution from 2014 to 2017 were studied. AdBP was diagnosed based on ascitic fluid neutrophil count ≥ 250 cells/mm3 or positive ascitic fluid culture following recent paracentesis within two weeks.

RESULTS

A total of 131 patients who underwent LVP were followed up for 1,806 patient-months. Their mean age was 68.3 ± 11.6 years, and 65.6% were male. Their mean Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score was 15.2. The overall incidence of AdBP was 5.3%. ADR beyond 24 hours was significantly associated with longer median length of stay (five days vs. three days, p < 0.001), higher risk of AdBP (0% vs. 8.9%, p = 0.042) and AKI following LVP (odds ratio 20.0, 95% confidence interval 2.4-164.2, p = 0.021). Overall survival was similar in patients with ADR within and beyond 24 hours.

CONCLUSION

ADR within 24 hours is associated with reduced risk of AdBP and AKI. As AdBP is associated with resistant organism and AKI, we recommend prompt ADR within 24 hours, especially among patients who have Child-Pugh C with alcoholic cirrhosis.

Validation of the Expanded Baveno-VI Criteria for Screening Gastroscopy in Asian Patients with Compensated Advanced Chronic Liver Disease

BACKGROUND

The expanded Baveno-VI criteria may further reduce the need for screening gastroscopy compared to Baveno-VI criteria.

AIM

We sought to validate the performance of these criteria in a cohort of compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) patients with predominantly hepatitis B infection.

METHODS

Consecutive cACLD patients from 2006 to 2012 with paired liver stiffness measurements and screening gastroscopy within 1 year were included. The expanded Baveno-VI criteria were applied to evaluate the sensitivity (SS), specificity (SP), positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) for the presence of high-risk varices (HRV).

RESULTS

Among 165 cACLD patients included, 17 (10.3%) had HRV. The commonest etiology of cACLD was chronic hepatitis B (36.4%) followed by NAFLD (20.0%). Application of expanded Baveno-VI criteria avoided more screening gastroscopy (43.6%) as compared to the original Baveno-VI criteria (18.8%) without missing more HRV (1 with both criteria). The overall SS, SP, PPV and NPV of the expanded Baveno-VI criteria in predicting HRV were 94.1%, 48.0%, 17.2% and 98.6%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Application of the expanded Baveno-VI criteria can safely avoid screening gastroscopy in 43.6% of cACLD patients with an excellent ability to exclude HRV.

Outcomes following SARS-CoV-2 infection in patients with chronic liver disease: An international registry study

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Chronic liver disease (CLD) and cirrhosis are associated with immune dysregulation, leading to concerns that affected patients may be at risk of adverse outcomes following SARS-CoV-2 infection. We aimed to determine the impact of COVID-19 on patients with pre-existing liver disease, which currently remains ill-defined.

METHODS

Between 25th March and 8th July 2020, data on 745 patients with CLD and SARS-CoV-2 (including 386 with and 359 without cirrhosis) were collected by 2 international registries and compared to data on non-CLD patients with SARS-CoV-2 from a UK hospital network.

RESULTS

Mortality was 32% in patients with cirrhosis compared to 8% in those without (p <0.001). Mortality in patients with cirrhosis increased according to Child-Pugh class (A [19%], B [35%], C [51%]) and the main cause of death was from respiratory failure (71%). After adjusting for baseline characteristics, factors associated with death in the total CLD cohort were age (odds ratio [OR] 1.02; 1.01-1.04), Child-Pugh A (OR 1.90; 1.03-3.52), B (OR 4.14; 2.4-7.65), or C (OR 9.32; 4.80-18.08) cirrhosis and alcohol-related liver disease (OR 1.79; 1.03-3.13). Compared to patients without CLD (n = 620), propensity-score-matched analysis revealed significant increases in mortality in those with Child-Pugh B (+20.0% [8.8%-31.3%]) and C (+38.1% [27.1%-49.2%]) cirrhosis. Acute hepatic decompensation occurred in 46% of patients with cirrhosis, of whom 21% had no respiratory symptoms. Half of those with hepatic decompensation had acute-on-chronic liver failure.

CONCLUSIONS

In the largest such cohort to date, we demonstrate that baseline liver disease stage and alcohol-related liver disease are independent risk factors for death from COVID-19. These data have important implications for the risk stratification of patients with CLD across the globe during the COVID-19 pandemic.

LAY SUMMARY

This international registry study demonstrates that patients with cirrhosis are at increased risk of death from COVID-19. Mortality from COVID-19 was particularly high among patients with more advanced cirrhosis and those with alcohol-related liver disease.

The impact of unrestricted access to direct-acting antiviral among incarcerated hepatitis C virus-infected patients

Background/Aims

Despite the disproportionally high prevalence rates of hepatitis C virus (HCV) amongst the incarcerated population, eradication remains challenging due to logistic and financial barriers. Although treatment prioritization based on disease severity is commonly practiced, the efficacy of such approach remained uncertain. We aimed to compare the impact of unrestricted access to direct-acting antiviral (DAA) among incarcerated HCV-infected patients in Singapore.

Methods

In this retrospective study, we reviewed all incarcerated HCV-infected patients treated in our hospital during the restricted DAA era (2013–2018) and unrestricted DAA access era (2019). Study outcomes included the rate of sustained virological response (SVR), treatment completion and treatment default. Subgroup analysis was performed based on the presence of liver cirrhosis, HCV genotype and HCV treatment types.

Results

A total of 1,001 HCV patients was followed-up for 1,489 person-year. They were predominantly male (93%) with genotype-3 HCV infection (71%), and 38% were cirrhotic. The overall SVR during the restricted DAA access era and unrestricted DAA access era were 92.1% and 99.1%, respectively. Unrestricted access to DAA exponentially improved the treatment access among HCV-infected patients by 460%, resulting in a higher SVR rate (99% vs. 92%, P=0.003), higher treatment completion rate (99% vs. 93%, P<0.001) and lower treatment default rate (1% vs. 9%, P<0.001).Conclusion: In this large cohort of incarcerated HCV-infected patients, we demonstrated that unrestricted access to DAA is an impactful strategy to allow rapid treatment up-scale in HCV micro-elimination.

Acute liver failure and seizure: a case report of an unusual presentation of acute painless aortic dissection

Background

Painless aortic dissection presenting with seizure and acute liver failure is uncommon. We described a case of early recognition leading to successful treatment of painless aortic dissection with atypical presentation.

Case summary

A young lady presented with generalized tonic-clonic seizures coupled with hepatitic pattern of deranged liver function test. Examination revealed blood pressure of 99/75 mmHg and hepatic flap. Electrocardiography showed sinus tachycardia. Urgent bedside echocardiography showed preserved cardiac function without significant valvular pathology, but noted a moderate pericardial effusion. Abdominal Ultrasound excluded liver cirrhosis or biliary obstructions. Viral hepatitis serologies and anti-liver panel were negative. She was progressively hypotensive with concurrent acute liver failure and oliguric acute kidney injury. Despite no chest pain, her rising serum troponin and widened mediastinum prompted an urgent computed-tomography aortogram, which showed a 4.3 cm dilatation of ascending thoracic aorta with acute haemopericardium and cardiac tamponade. She was diagnosed with malperfusion syndrome from Stanford type A aortic dissection. She underwent emergent ascending aorta and aortic arch repair and dialysis. She experienced complete recovery in her kidney, liver, and neurological function post-operatively.

Discussion

Painless aortic dissection masquerade as acute liver failure is uncommon. We describe a successful early recognition of malperfusion syndrome from painless aortic dissection, thus providing window for timely, life-saving intervention. Clinical challenges in this case include: (i) atypical presentation of aortic dissection, (ii) worsening acute liver failure which could lead to unnecessary liver transplantation, and (iii) risk of contrast-induced nephropathy in the setting of acute renal failure.

Efficacy and Safety of IV albumin for non-spontaneous bacterial peritonitis infection among patients with cirrhosis: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Efficacy and Safety of intravenous albumin for non-spontaneous bacterial peritonitis infection among patients with cirrhosis: A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials INTRODUCTION: Bacterial infection is a common cause of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) and death among cirrhosis. The benefit of intravenous (IV) albumin among cirrhosis with non-SBP infection remains unclear as individual studies are underpowered to detect the survival benefit of IV albumin.

AIM

We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) to evaluate the efficacy and safety of intravenous albumin for non-SBP infection among cirrhosis patients.

METHODS

We performed a systematic search of electronic databases (Pubmed, MEDLINE and Clinicalkey) up to 1^st December 2019. Studies evaluating IV albumin for non-SBP infection were selected. Using random effect model, the pooled odds ratio (OR), 95% confidence interval (95%CI) and heterogeneity were assessed.

RESULTS

A total of 3 RCTs (406 subjects) fulfilling the inclusion criteria among 218 citations were identified. There was no significant heterogeneity across included studies. In this meta-analysis, we found that the pooled risk of renal impairment (RI) (OR=0.58, 95%CI: 0.28-1.23, I²=0%), mortality at 30 days (OR=1.61, 95%CI: 0.87-3.00, I²=0%) as well as mortality at 90 days (OR=1.30, 95%CI: 0.81-2.07, I²=0%) were similar between albumin and control group. Pooled event of pulmonary edema occurred more commonly in albumin group (OR 5.17, 95%CI 1.62-16.47, I²=0%). More subjects achieved resolution of ACLF in IV albumin group as compared to control group (OR=0.11, 95%CI: 0.02-0.69, p=0.02).

CONCLUSION

Albumin did not reduce the risk of RI and mortality, yet increases the risk of pulmonary edema. Albumin may promote recovery of ACLF, however, more data is required to validate this benefit.

Impact of enhanced personal protective equipment on colonoscopy performance during the COVID-19 pandemic

Background and study aims  Using personal protective equipment (PPE) can reduce risk of disease transmission. During the COVID-19 pandemic, enhanced PPE (EPPE) is recommended when performing endoscopy. We aimed to evaluate the impact of EPPE on colonoscopy performance when compared to standard PPE (SPPE). Patients and methods  A review of electronic medical records and endoscopy reports of consecutive patients who underwent colonoscopy during two similar one-month time periods (in 2019 and during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020) was performed. SPPE was used in 2019 and EPPE was used in 2020. Patient clinical data and procedure-related information were captured and analyzed. The primary outcomes were time to cecum (TTC) and total procedure time. Secondary outcomes were adenoma detection rate (ADR), polyp detection rate (PDR) and cecal intubation rate (CIR). Statistical analysis was performed using STATA v16.1. Results  Two hundred and forty-seven colonoscopy procedures were analyzed. Baseline demographics and indications for colonoscopy of patients in both groups were similar. There were no significant differences in median TTC (10.0 vs 10.0 min, P  = 0.524) or total procedure time (22.5 vs 23.0 min, P  = 0.946) between colonoscopy performed in SPPE and EPPE. The ADR, PDR and CIR were also similar. Conclusion  Our findings suggest that use of EPPE does not affect colonoscopy performance.

Chapter of Gastroenterologists professional guidance for management of patients with liver disease in Singapore during the COVID-19 pandemic

In this paper, we aim to provide professional guidance to clinicians who are managing patients with chronic liver disease during the current coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic in Singapore. We reviewed and summarised the available relevant published data on liver disease in COVID-19 and the advisory statements that were issued by major professional bodies, such as the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases and European Association for the Study of the Liver, contextualising the recommendations to our local situation.

A systematic review and meta-analysis of the COVID-19 associated liver injury

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

The novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has affected more than 5 million people globally. Data on the prevalence and degree of COVID-19 associated liver injury among patients with COVID-19 remain limited. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess the prevalence and degree of liver injury between patients with severe and non-severe COVID-19.

METHODS

We performed a systematic search of three electronic databases (PubMed/MEDLINE, EMBASE and Cochrane Library), from inception to 24^th April 2020. We included all adult human studies (>20 subjects) regardless of language, region or publication date or status. We assessed the pooled odds ratio (OR), mean difference (MD) and 95% confidence interval (95%CI) using the random-effects model.

RESULTS

Among 1543 citations, there were 24 studies (5961 subjects) which fulfilled our inclusion criteria. The pooled odds ratio for elevated ALT (OR = 2.5, 95%CI: 1.6-3.7, I² = 57%), AST (OR = 3.4, 95%CI: 2.3-5.0, I² = 56%), hyperbilirubinemia (OR = 1.7, 95%CI: 1.2-2.5, I² = 0%) and hypoalbuminemia (OR = 7.1, 95%CI: 2.1-24.1, I² = 71%) were higher subjects in critical COVID-19.

CONCLUSION

COVID-19 associated liver injury is more common in severe COVID-19 than non-severe COVID-19. Physicians should be aware of possible progression to severe disease in subjects with COVID-19-associated liver injury.

Short- and long-term predictors of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis in Singapore

INTRODUCTION

Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) is the commonest complication of liver cirrhosis. Timely and appropriate treatment of SBP is crucial, particularly with the rising worldwide prevalence of multidrug-resistant organisms (MDROs). We aimed to investigate the clinical outcomes of SBP in Singapore.

METHODS

All cirrhotic patients with SBP diagnosed between January 2014 and December 2017 were included. Nosocomial SBP (N-SBP) was defined as SBP diagnosed more than 48 hours after hospitalisation. Clinical outcomes were analysed as categorical outcomes using univariate and multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

There were 33 patients with 39 episodes of SBP. Their mean age was 64.5 years and 69.7% were male. The commonest aetiology of cirrhosis was hepatitis B (27.3%). The Median Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) score was 17; 33.3% had acute-on-chronic liver failure and 60.6% had septic shock at presentation. N-SBP occurred in 25.6% of SBP cases. N-SBP was more commonly associated with MDROs, previous antibiotic use in the past three months (p = 0.014) and longer length of stay (p = 0.011). The 30-day and 90-day mortality among SBP patients was 30.8% and 51.3%, respectively. MELD score > 20 was a predictor for 30-day mortality. N-SBP and MELD score > 20 were predictors for 90-day mortality.

CONCLUSION

N-SBP was significantly associated with recent antibiotic use, longer hospitalisation, more resistant organisms and poorer survival among patients with SBP. N-SBP and MELD score predict higher mortality in SBP. Judicious use of antibiotics may reduce N-SBP and improve survival among cirrhotic patients.

Economic evaluation of direct-acting antivirals for the treatment of genotype 3 hepatitis C infection in Singapore

BACKGROUND AND AIM

The prohibitively high cost of direct-acting antivirals (DAA) for hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection remains a barrier to treatment access in Singapore. We aimed to evaluate whether DAA as first-line therapy would be cost-effective for genotype 3 (GT3) HCV patients compared with pegylated interferon and ribavirin (PR).

METHODS

A decision tree analysis was used to compare the costs and outcomes of DAA and PR as first-line therapy. Treatment effectiveness, defined as sustained virological response, was assessed using a retrospective cohort of treated GT3 HCV patients. Direct medical costs were estimated from the payer's perspective using billing information. We obtained health utilities from published literature. We performed extensive one-way sensitivity analyses and probabilistic sensitivity analyses to account for uncertainties regarding the model parameters.

RESULTS

In base case analysis, first-line therapy with DAA and PR yielded quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) of 0.69 and 0.62 at a cost of USD 54 634 and USD 23 857, respectively. The resultant incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) (USD 449 232/QALY) exceeded the willingness-to-pay threshold (USD 53 302/QALY). The ICER was robust for uncertainties regarding the model parameters. The cost of DAA is the key factor influencing the cost-effectiveness of HCV treatment. At current price, DAA as first-line therapy is not cost-effective compared with PR, with or without consideration of retreatment. Threshold analysis suggested that DAA can be cost-effective if it costs less than USD 17 002 for a 12-week treatment course.

CONCLUSION

At current price, DAA as first-line therapy is not cost-effective compared with PR in GT3 HCV patients in Singapore.

Clinical features of paraduodenal hernia

Paraduodenal hernia (PDH), though uncommon, is a surgical emergency associated with high risk of strangulation and incarceration. Diagnosis of PDH remains challenging due to its non-specific presentation. We report the presentation and management of PDH in our hospital. All PDHs diagnosed from 2003 to 2014 were identified from a hospital database. Diagnosis of PDH was based on either radiological imaging or intraoperative surgical findings. Eight PDHs were identified during the study period. Median age was 48.5 (24–63) years and five occurred in females. All were left-sided PDHs. Six patients experienced recurrent symptoms prior to presentation. The commonest presenting symptoms were recurrent abdominal pain (four patients) and intestinal obstruction (four patients). Five patients were treated conservatively either because they had no obstructive symptoms or they declined surgery. All of them remained well up to a median of 27 (16–45) months’ follow-up. In contrast, three patients with obstructive symptoms underwent surgical repair (laparotomy, hernia repair and adhesiolysis). One patient had sub-acute intestinal obstruction after surgical repair and required re-exploratory surgery. All three PDH patients with obstructive symptoms remained well on follow-up (median 61 (range: 27–114) months) after surgery. In conclusion, PDH is an uncommon cause of intestinal obstruction. A high index of suspicion is required to diagnose PDH.

Cytomegalovirus infection masquerading as gastric carcinoma in an immune-compromised host

A 63-year-old man post-renal transplantation on immunosuppressants presented with reflux symptoms for one month. Significant medical history included a history of upper gastrointestinal bleeding, insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus and ischemic heart disease. Barium meal showed a large plaque-like lesion along greater curvature suspicious of malignancy. Gastroscopy revealed a large polyploidal gastric mass which was biopsied. Histological result showed numerous cytomegalovirus (CMV) viral inclusions within hyperplastic gastric mucosa without dysplasia or neoplasm. The findings were consistent with CMV gastric polyp. Following treatment with antiviral therapy and reduction in immunosuppressants, the CMV gastric polyp became smaller. This highlights the importance of considering CMV as a differential of gastric mass in an immunosuppressed host as treatment options varied between surgery and antiviral therapy.

Implementing electronic handover: interventions to improve efficiency, safety and sustainability

PROBLEM

Effective handovers are critical for patient care and safety. Electronic handover tools are increasingly used today to provide an effective and standardized platform for information exchange. The implementation of an electronic handover system in tertiary hospitals can be a major challenge. Previous efforts in implementing an electronic handover tool failed due to poor compliance and buy-in from end-users. A new electronic handover tool was developed and incorporated into the existing electronic medical records (EMRs) for medical patients in Singapore General Hospital (SGH).

INITIAL ASSESSMENT

There was poor compliance by on-call doctors in acknowledging electronic handovers, and lack of adherence to safety rules, raising concerns about the safety and efficiency of the electronic handover tool. Urgent measures were needed to ensure its safe and sustained use.

SOLUTION

A quality improvement group comprising stakeholders, including end-users, developed multi-faceted interventions using rapid PDSA (P-Plan, D-Do, S-Study, A-Act ) cycles to address these issues.

IMPLEMENTATION

Innovative solutions using media and online software provided cost-efficient measures to improve compliance.

EVALUATION

The percentage of unacknowledged handovers per day was used as the main outcome measure throughout all PDSA cycles. Doctors were also assessed for improvement in their knowledge of safety rules and their perception of the electronic handover tool.

LESSONS LEARNT

An electronic handover tool complementing daily clinical practice can be successfully implemented using solutions devised through close collaboration with end-users supported by the senior leadership. A combined 'bottom-up' and 'top-down' approach with regular process evaluations is crucial for its long-term sustainability.