Soccer and Vocational Training are Ineffective Delivery Strategies to Prevent HIV and Substance Abuse by Young, South African Men: A Cluster Randomized Controlled Trial

HIV and substance abuse are common among young men, associated with a cluster of risk behaviors. Yet, most services addressing these challenges are delivered in setting underutilized by men and are often inconsistent with male identity. This cluster randomized controlled trial aimed to reduce multiple risk behaviors found among young men township areas on the outskirts of Cape Town, South Africa. Young men aged 18-29 years (N = 1193) across 27 neighborhoods were randomized by area to receive HIV-related skills training during either: (1) a 12-month soccer league (SL) intervention; (2) 6-month SL followed by 6 months of vocational training (VT) intervention (SL/VT, n = 9); or 3) a control condition (CC). Bayesian longitudinal mixture models were used to evaluate behaviors over time. Because we targeted multiple outcomes as our primary outcome, we analyzed if the number of significantly different outcomes between conditions exceeded chance for 13 measures over 18 months (with 83%, 76%, and 61% follow-up). Only if there were three significant benefits favoring the SL/VT over the SL would benefits be significant. Outcome measures included substance use, HIV-testing, protective sexual behaviors, violence, community engagement and mental health. Consistent participation in the SL was typically around 45% over time across conditions, however, only 17% of men completed SL/VT. There were no significant differences between conditions over time based on the number of study outcomes. These structural interventions were ineffective in addressing young men's substance abuse and risk for HIV.Clinical Trial Registration: This trial was prospectively registered on 24 November 2014 with ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT02358226).

Comparison of Retinal Nerve Fiber Layer and Ganglion Cell Complex Rates of Change in Patients With Moderate to Advanced Glaucoma

PURPOSE

To compare ganglion cell complex (GCC) and retinal nerve fiber layer (RNFL) rates of change (RoC) in eyes with central or moderate to advanced glaucoma.

DESIGN

Prospective cohort study.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 918 matched macular and RNFL OCT scan pairs from 109 eyes (109 patients) enrolled in the Advanced Glaucoma Progression Study with ≥2 years of follow-up and ≥4 OCT scans.

METHODS

We exported GCC and RNFL thickness measurements in 49 central macular superpixels and 12 RNFL clock-hour sectors, respectively. We applied our latest Bayesian hierarchical longitudinal model to estimate population and subject-specific baseline thickness (intercepts) and rates of change (RoC) in macular superpixels and RNFL sectors. Global RNFL and GCC RoC were analyzed in a single bivariate longitudinal model to properly compare them accounting for the correlation between their RoC.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Proportion of significant negative (deteriorating) and positive (improving) RoC expressed in μm/year. Standardized RoC were calculated by dividing RoC by the corresponding population SD. Analyses were repeated in eyes with visual field mean deviation (MD) ≤-6 and > -6 dB.

RESULTS

Average (SD) 24-2 visual field MD and follow-up length were -8.6 (6.3) dB and 4.2 (0.5) years, respectively. Global RNFL RoC (-0.70 µm/year) were faster than GCC (-0.44 µm/year) (P < .001); corresponding normalized RoC were not significantly different (P = .052). In bivariate analysis, patients with a significant negative global RNFL RoC (n = 63, 57%) or GCC (n = 56, 51%) frequently did so for both outcomes (n = 49, 45%). The average proportion of significantly decreasing RNFL sectors within an eye was 30.7% in eyes with MD > -6 dB compared to 20.5% in those with MD ≤ -6 dB (P = .014); the proportions for GCC superpixels were 21.1% versus 18.7%, respectively (P = .63).

CONCLUSIONS

Both GCC and RNFL measures can detect structural progression in glaucoma patients with central damage or moderate to advanced glaucoma. The clinical utility of RNFL imaging decreases with worsening severity of glaucoma.

National Trends in PSA Cancer Screening With Parallel Investigation of Colorectal Cancer Screening: An Analysis of the CDC Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System From 2012 to 2022

INTRODUCTION/BACKGROUND

From 2012 to 2022 there have been numerous revisions in the United States Preventative Task Force guidelines for prostate cancer screening, including advising against PSA testing to allowing shared-decision making for men aged 55 to 69. We sought to observe trends in PSA testing rates in relation to the changing guidelines. Conversely, colorectal cancer screening recommendations remained consistent for patients aged 50-75 and we sought to use this as a comparison to observe the effect of differing guidelines.

METHODS

The Centers for Disease Control Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System is a national database of surveys on health-related behaviors and preventive medical services. We extracted responses from 2012 to 2022 regarding both prostate and colorectal cancer screening. Our primary variable of interest was prostate cancer screening while colorectal cancer screening served as a positive control.

RESULTS

Prostate cancer screening decreased among respondents from 70.1% in 2012 to 59.7% in 2022. However, there was a significant rebound in prostate cancer screening prevalence in 2022. In contrast, colorectal cancer screening rates steadily increased from 70.7% in 2012 to 78% in 2022. The annual percentage of men who had received prostate cancer screening was statistically different year to year.

CONCLUSIONS

Trends in the rate of screening for prostate and colorectal cancer appeared to adapt to the updated recommendations. However, further investigation regarding lower income levels, minority groups, and uninsured men are essential to address the social and racial disparities seen in prostate cancer screening. Efforts to promote shared-decision making may improve effective cancer screening.

Detecting Fast Progressors: Comparing a Bayesian Longitudinal Model to Linear Regression for Detecting Structural Changes in Glaucoma

PURPOSE

Demonstrate that a novel Bayesian hierarchical spatial longitudinal (HSL) model identifies macular superpixels with rapidly deteriorating ganglion cell complex (GCC) thickness more efficiently than simple linear regression (SLR).

DESIGN

Prospective cohort study.

SETTING

Tertiary Glaucoma Center.

SUBJECTS

One hundred eleven eyes (111 patients) with moderate to severe glaucoma at baseline and ≥4 macular optical coherence tomography scans and ≥2 years of follow-up.

OBSERVATION PROCEDURE

Superpixel-patient-specific GCC slopes and their posterior variances in 49 superpixels were derived from our latest Bayesian HSL model and Bayesian SLR. A simulation cohort was created with known intercepts, slopes, and residual variances in individual superpixels.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

We compared HSL and SLR in the fastest progressing deciles on (1) proportion of superpixels identified as significantly progressing in the simulation study and compared to SLR slopes in cohort data; (2) root mean square error (RMSE), and SLR/HSL RMSE ratios.

RESULTS

Cohort- In the fastest decile of slopes per SLR, 77% and 80% of superpixels progressed significantly according to SLR and HSL, respectively. The SLR/HSL posterior SD ratio had a median of 1.83, with 90% of ratios favoring HSL. Simulation- HSL identified 89% significant negative slopes in the fastest progressing decile vs 64% for SLR. SLR/HSL RMSE ratio was 1.36 for the fastest decile of slopes, with 83% of RMSE ratios favoring HSL.

CONCLUSION

The Bayesian HSL model improves the estimation efficiency of local GCC rates of change regardless of underlying true rates of change, particularly in fast progressors.

A Bayesian Hierarchical Spatial Longitudinal Model Improves Estimation of Local Macular Rates of Change in Glaucomatous Eyes

Purpose

Demonstrate that a novel Bayesian hierarchical spatial longitudinal (HSL) model improves estimation of local macular ganglion cell complex (GCC) rates of change compared to simple linear regression (SLR) and a conditional autoregressive (CAR) model.

Methods

We analyzed GCC thickness measurements within 49 macular superpixels in 111 eyes (111 patients) with four or more macular optical coherence tomography scans and two or more years of follow-up. We compared superpixel-patient-specific estimates and their posterior variances derived from the latest version of a recently developed Bayesian HSL model, CAR, and SLR. We performed a simulation study to compare the accuracy of intercept and slope estimates in individual superpixels.

Results

HSL identified a significantly higher proportion of significant negative slopes in 13/49 superpixels and a significantly lower proportion of significant positive slopes in 21/49 superpixels than SLR. In the simulation study, the median (tenth, ninetieth percentile) ratio of mean squared error of SLR [CAR] over HSL for intercepts and slopes were 1.91 (1.23, 2.75) [1.51 (1.05, 2.20)] and 3.25 (1.40, 10.14) [2.36 (1.17, 5.56)], respectively.

Conclusions

A novel Bayesian HSL model improves estimation accuracy of patient-specific local GCC rates of change. The proposed model is more than twice as efficient as SLR for estimating superpixel-patient slopes and identifies a higher proportion of deteriorating superpixels than SLR while minimizing false-positive detection rates.

Translational Relevance

The proposed HSL model can be used to model macular structural measurements to detect individual glaucoma progression earlier and more efficiently in clinical and research settings.

Comparing Rates of Change in Moderate to Advanced Glaucoma: Retinal Nerve Fiber Layer Versus Bruch Membrane Opening-Minimum Rim Width

PURPOSE

To compare rates of change (RoC) of peripapillary retinal nerve fiber layer (RNFL) and Bruch membrane opening-based minimum rim width (BMO-MRW) thickness in moderate-to-advanced glaucoma.

DESIGN

Prospective cohort study.

METHODS

Longitudinal optical coherence tomography (OCT) optic nerve head volume scans of 113 eyes of 113 glaucoma patients with moderate-to-advanced or central damage were exported. This study estimated and compared global and sectoral RoC with linear mixed effects models and simple linear regression (SLR) of RNFL and BMO-MRW thickness. Permutation analyses were used to test significance of RoC in the SLR model. It also compared longitudinal signal-to-noise ratios (LSNR) defined as RoC divided by residual standard deviation (SD) between the two groups.

RESULTS

Mean (SD) follow-up and median (IQR) OCT scan sessions were 5.2 (1.3) years and 10 (8-11), respectively. Baseline average (SD) visual field mean deviation was -9.2 (5.8) dB. Based on SLR, a higher proportion of significant negative RNFL RoC was observed compared to BMO-MRW in the inferotemporal (35% vs 20%; P = .015) and inferonasal (42% vs 17%; P < .001) sectors. Permutation analyses also demonstrated a higher proportion of worsening RNFL RoC than BMO-MRW in the inferotemporal (P = .026) and inferonasal (P < .001) sectors along with overall lower positive RoC. Longitudinal signal-to-noise ratios for RNFL were significantly more negative than for BMO-MRW globally, and in the inferotemporal, inferonasal, and superonasal sectors (P ≤ .01).

CONCLUSIONS

Longitudinal RNFL OCT measurements are more likely to detect structural change and demonstrate better LSNR compared with BMO-MRW in eyes with central or moderate-to-advanced glaucoma damage at baseline.

Fibroepithelial stromal polyp of bladder-a mimicker of sarcoma or angiomyxoma at uncommon location

The fibroepithelial stromal polyp is a benign polypoid proliferation of the stroma with overlying epithelium. Because the lesion contains atypical stromal cells, sometimes it can be overdiagnosed as sarcoma or with myxoid stroma, it can be misdiagnosed as angiomyxoma. The reported locations are mainly in the lower female genital tract, urethra, and rarely extragenital sites, such as the breast, and are exceptionally rare in the bladder. We encountered a 65-year-old man who presented with two small velvety, erythematous patches on the posterior bladder wall. The final diagnosis is a fibroepithelial stromal polyp of the bladder. Familiarity with this lesion will prevent overinterpretation of this benign lesion as a malignancy.

Racial, gender, and psychosocial disparities in viral suppression trends among people receiving coordinated HIV care in Los Angeles County

OBJECTIVE

To longitudinally evaluate differences in HIV viral suppression (<200 copies/ml) by intersections of race/ethnicity, gender, and psychosocial issues in people with HIV in the Los Angeles County Medical Care Coordination Program.

DESIGN

We analyzed 74 649 viral load measurements over 10 184 people with HIV enrolled in the Medical Care Coordination Program between January 1, 2013 and March 1, 2020.Methods: We fit Bayesian logistic hierarchical random effects models to test interactions between gender, race/ethnicity, and a psychosocial acuity score on viral suppression over time from 1 year prior to program enrollment to 24 months after enrollment.

RESULTS

The probability of viral suppression declined prior to enrollment, then increased and stabilized by 6 months after enrollment. Black/African American patients with low and moderate psychosocial acuity scores did not achieve the same increase in percentage of viral suppression as those in other racial/ethnic groups. Transgender women with high psychosocial acuity scores took longer (about 1 year) to achieve the same percentage of viral suppression as clients of other gender identities.

CONCLUSIONS

Some racial/ethnic and gender disparities in viral suppression persisted after enrollment in the Los Angeles County Medical Care Coordination Program while accounting for psychosocial acuity score, which may be explained by factors not assessed in the program.

Chromophobe Renal Cell Carcinoma with Sarcomatoid Differentiation

Chromophobe renal cell carcinoma (chRCC) is one of the less common types of kidney cancer and generally portends a more favorable prognosis. RCC with sarcomatoid differentiation has a more aggressive clinical course with poor outcomes. Four cases of chRCC with varying degrees of sarcomatoid differentiation were retrospectively reviewed at our institution, and clinicopathologic data as well as clinical courses were reported. Patients with higher degrees of sarcomatoid differentiation and larger tumors at presentation generally had and worse overall survival. chRCC with sarcomatoid differentiation portends a poor prognosis with limited data on systemic treatment options for metastatic disease.

Preclinical optimization of a diode laser-based clamp-free partial nephrectomy in a large animal model

Kidney cancer is a common urologic malignancy with either laparoscopic (LPN) or robotic partial nephrectomy as therapeutic options of choice for localized tumors. However, renal resection and suturing are challenging steps of the procedure that can lead to complications such as prolonged warm ischemia, bleeding, and urinary fistulas. LPN with a diode laser is an efficient technique due to its cutting and/or coagulation attributes. Surprisingly, key laser features such as wavelength and power remain undefined. Using a large porcine model, we evaluated the laser range of wavelength and power in a clamp-free LPN and compared it to the established gold-standard LPN technique (i.e., cold-cutting and suturing). By analyzing surgery duration, bleeding, presence of urine leak, tissue damage related to the resected renal fragment and the remaining organ, hemoglobin levels, and renal function, we show that an optimized experimental diode laser clamp-free LPN (wavelength, 980 nm; power, 15 W) had shorter surgery time with less bleeding, and better postoperative renal function recovery when compared to the well-established technique. Together, our data indicate that partial nephrectomy with a diode laser clamp-free LPN technique is an improved alternative to the gold-standard technique. Therefore, translational clinical trials towards human patient applications are readily feasible.

Association of Blood Pressure With Rates of Macular Ganglion Cell Complex Thinning in Patients With Glaucoma

Importance

There are scarce data on the association of blood pressure measures with subsequent macular structural rates of change in patients with glaucoma.

Objective

To investigate the association of baseline blood pressure measures with rates of change of the macular ganglion cell complex in patients with central or moderate to advanced glaucoma damage at baseline.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This prospective cohort study, conducted from August 2021 to August 2022, used data from patients in the Advanced Glaucoma Progression Study at the University of California, Los Angeles. Participants were between 39 and 80 years of age and had more than 4 macular imaging tests and 2 or more years of follow-up.

Exposures

A diagnosis of glaucoma with either central damage or a visual field mean deviation worse than -6 dB.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The main outcome was the association of blood pressure measures with ganglion cell complex rates of change. Macular ganglion cell complex thickness rates of change were estimated with a bayesian hierarchical model. This model included relevant demographic and clinical factors. Blood pressure measures, intraocular pressure, and their interactions were added to the model to assess the association of baseline blood pressure measures with global ganglion cell complex rates of change.

Results

The cohort included 105 eyes from 105 participants. The mean (SD) age, 10-2 visual field mean deviation, and follow-up time were 66.9 (8.5) years, -8.3 (5.3) dB, and 3.6 (0.4) years, respectively, and 67 patients (63.8%) were female. The racial and ethnic makeup of the cohort was 15 African American (14.3%), 23 Asian (21.9%), 12 Hispanic (11.4%), and 55 White (52.4%) individuals based on patient self-report. In multivariable analyses, female sex, history of taking blood pressure medications, higher intraocular pressure, thicker central corneal thickness, shorter axial length, higher contrast sensitivity at 12 cycles per degree, and higher baseline 10-2 visual field mean deviation were associated with faster ganglion cell complex thinning. Lower diastolic blood pressure was associated with faster rates of ganglion cell complex thinning at higher intraocular pressures. For intraocular pressures of 8 and of 16 mm Hg (10% and 90% quantiles, respectively), every 10 mm Hg-lower increment of diastolic blood pressure was associated with 0.011 μm/y slower and -0.130 μm/y faster rates of ganglion cell complex thinning, respectively.

Conclusions and Relevance

In this cohort study, a combination of lower diastolic blood pressure and higher intraocular pressure at baseline was associated with faster rates of ganglion cell complex thinning. These findings support consideration of evaluating and addressing diastolic blood pressure as a therapeutic measure in patients with glaucoma if supported by appropriate clinical trials.

Comparison of Ganglion Cell Layer and Inner Plexiform Layer Rates of Change in Suspected and Established Glaucoma

PURPOSE

We compared ganglion cell layer (GCL) and inner plexiform layer (IPL) rates of change (RoC) in patients with glaucoma suspect (GS) and established glaucoma (EG) to test the hypothesis that IPL thickness changes would occur earlier than GCL changes in eyes with early damage.

DESIGN

Prospective, cohort study.

METHODS

A total of 64 GS eyes (46 patients) and 112 EG eyes (112 patients) with ≥2 years of follow-up and ≥3 macular optical coherence tomography scans were included. GCL and IPL superpixel thickness measurements were exported. A Bayesian hierarchical model with random intercepts/slopes and random residual variances was fitted to estimate RoC in individual superpixels. Normalized RoC and proportions of superpixels with significantly negative and positive GCL and IPL RoC were compared within the groups.

RESULTS

The average (SD) follow-up time and number of scans were 3.5 (0.7) years and 4.2 (1.0), respectively, in the GS group and 3.6 (0.4) years and 7.3 (1.1) in the EG group. Mean (SD) normalized RoC was faster for GCL than IPL (-0.69 [0.05] vs -0.33 [0.04]) in the GS group, whereas it was faster for IPL (-0.47 [0.03] vs -0.28 [0.02]) in EG eyes. GCL RoC were significantly negative in 24 of 36 superpixels compared with 8 of 36 for IPL (P < .001) in GS eyes. In the EG group, 23 of 36 superpixels had significant negative IPL RoC compared with 13 of 36 superpixels for GCL (P = .006).

CONCLUSIONS

GCL thickness is more likely to demonstrate change over time compared with IPL in glaucoma suspects. There is no evidence of preferential IPL thinning in eyes with suspected early glaucoma damage.

Angiosarcoma of the Uterus: A Systematic Review

Primary uterine angiosarcoma is an extremely rare neoplasm. Due to its rarity, knowledge regarding this malignancy is limited to a few scattered case reports. To better understand the prognostic factors and optimal management of these neoplasms, we have performed a systematic analysis of the disease. A systematic literature search of this entity yielded 25 reported cases of this entity. In addition, we searched the National Cancer Institute Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database to find 4 additional cases and added a case diagnosed in our institution. We analyzed the patients' demographic characteristics and the different treatment protocols utilized to treat this malignancy. Patients were primarily treated by surgery with or without adjuvant chemotherapy and radiotherapy. Survival analysis was performed to examine the role of various factors in the outcome for the patients. There was no correlation with age of diagnosis, or treatment modality used, however, better outcomes were seen in patients presenting with smaller sized tumors. Our study is the first attempt to systematically study this rare malignancy in hopes of leading to a more standardized, evidence-based, and improved treatment protocol.

Multivariate Longitudinal Modeling of Macular Ganglion Cell Complex: Spatiotemporal Correlations and Patterns of Longitudinal Change

Purpose

To investigate spatiotemporal correlations among ganglion cell complex (GCC) superpixel thickness measurements and explore underlying patterns of longitudinal change across the macular region.

Design

Longitudinal cohort study.

Subjects

One hundred eleven eyes from 111 subjects from the Advanced Glaucoma Progression Study with ≥ 4 visits and ≥ 2 years of follow-up.

Methods

We further developed our proposed Bayesian hierarchical model for studying longitudinal GCC thickness changes across macular superpixels in a cohort of glaucoma patients. Global priors were introduced for macular superpixel parameters to combine data across superpixels and better estimate population slopes and intercepts.

Main Outcome Measures

Bayesian residual analysis to inspect cross-superpixel correlations for subject random effects and residuals. Principal component analysis (PCA) to explore underlying patterns of longitudinal macular change.

Results

Average (standard deviation [SD]) follow-up and baseline 10-2 visual field mean deviation were 3.6 (0.4) years and -8.9 (5.9) dB, respectively. Superpixel-level random effects and residuals had the greatest correlations with nearest neighbors; correlations were higher in the superior than in the inferior region and strongest among random intercepts, followed by random slopes, residuals, and residual SDs. PCA of random intercepts showed a first large principal component (PC) across superpixels that approximated a global intercept, a second PC that contrasted the superior and inferior macula, and a third PC, contrasting inner and nasal superpixels with temporal and peripheral superpixels. PCs for slopes, residual SDs, and residuals were remarkably similar to those of random intercepts.

Conclusions

Introduction of cross-superpixel random intercepts and slopes is expected to improve estimation of population and subject parameters. Further model enhancement may be possible by including cross-superpixel random effects and correlations to address spatiotemporal relationships in longitudinal data sets.

Performance of the American Heart Association/American College of Cardiology/Heart Rhythm Society versus European Society of Cardiology guideline criteria for hospital admission of patients with syncope

BACKGROUND

Current American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association/Heart Rhythm Society (ACC/AHA/HRS) and European Society of Cardiology (ESC) guidelines recommend different strategies to avoid low-yield admissions in patients with syncope.

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to directly compare the safety and efficacy of applying admission criteria of both guidelines to patients presenting with syncope to the emergency department in 2 multicenter studies.

METHODS

The international BASEL IX (BAsel Syncope EvaLuation) study (median age 71 years) and the U.S. SRS (Improving Syncope Risk Stratification in Older Adults) study (median age 72 years) were investigated. Primary endpoints were sensitivity/specificity for the adjudicated diagnosis of cardiac syncope (BASEL IX only) and 30-day major adverse cardiovascular events (30d-MACE).

RESULTS

Among 2560 patients in the BASEL IX and 2085 in SRS studies, ACC/AHA/HRS and ESC criteria recommended admission for a comparable number of patients in BASEL IX (27% vs 28%), but ACC/AHA/HRS criteria less often in SRS (19% vs 32%; P <.01). Recommendations were discordant in ∼25% of patients. In BASEL IX, sensitivity for cardiac syncope and 30d-MACE among patients without admission criteria was comparable for ACC/AHA/HRS and ESC criteria (64% vs 65%, P = .86; and 67% vs 71%, P = .15, respectively). In SRS, sensitivity for 30d-MACE was lower with ACC/AHA/HRS (54%) vs ESC criteria (88%; P <.001). Similarly, specificity for cardiac syncope and 30d-MACE in BASEL IX was comparable for both guidelines, but in SRS the ACC/AHA/HRS guidelines showed a higher specificity for 30d-MACE than the ESC guidelines.

CONCLUSION

ACC/AHA/HRS and ESC guidelines showed disagreement regarding admission for 1 in 4 patients and had only modest sensitivity, all indicating possible opportunities for improvements.

Association of Early Migration with Child Growth, Cognition and Behavior in South Africa

OBJECTIVE

Examine the association of migration with child growth, cognition, and behavior in South Africa.

METHODS

Secondary analysis assessing effects of migration on child outcomes among a population cohort of women and children (n=1,238) recruited in Cape Town, South African townships and repeatedly assessed from birth to age eight. Logistic regression models analyzed sociodemographic predictors of migration and longitudinal models assessed the association of child migration, with or without their mother, on child growth, cognition, and behavioral outcomes.

RESULTS

By 8 years post-birth, 41% of children born in the townships in Cape Town had migrated to the rural Eastern Cape. Staying in Cape Town, or not migrating, was associated with having an older mother. Children who migrated with their mother were shorter and weighed less than those who did not migrate. Children who migrated had larger vocabularies and those who migrated with their mothers had fewer behavioral problems than children who stayed in Cape Town.

CONCLUSION

Migration in South Africa between peri-urban Cape Town and rural Eastern Cape areas during a child's early years is common and is associated with both positive and negative child outcomes.

Characteristics and Longitudinal Patterns of Erectile Dysfunction Drug Use Among Men Who Have Sex with Men in the U.S

We investigated the longitudinal relationship between erectile dysfunction (ED) drug use with behavioral factors, including substance use and sexual activities in men who have sex with men from the Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study during 1998-2016 (n = 1636). We used a bivariate random-intercept model to evaluate ED drug use along with other behavioral factors to assess relationships between the two outcomes over time on a population level and also at the individual level. Average ED drug use among men who have sex with men (MSM) with HIV was positively correlated with average use of marijuana (r = .19), poppers (r = .27), and stimulants (r = .25). In this group, testosterone use (r = .32), multiple partners (r = .41), insertive anal intercourse with condom (r = .40), and insertive anal intercourse without condom (r = .43) all showed moderate correlations over time with average ED use (p < .001). Associations among MSM without HIV were similar, with average marijuana use (r = .19) and stimulant use (r = .22) being positively correlated with average ED drug use, and were also correlated with having multiple partners (r = .36), insertive anal intercourse with condom (r = .22), and insertive anal intercourse without condom (r = .18) over time. Positive within-individual associations between ED drug use and multiple partners and insertive anal intercourse with and without condom were observed regardless of HIV serostatus. This study showed that MSM who reported use of ED drugs were also, on average, more likely to use recreational drugs and engage in sexual activities, such as having multiple partners and insertive anal intercourse. Within individuals, average ED drug use was also positively correlated with sexual behaviors.

Association of Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder Diagnoses With Pediatric Traumatic Brain Injury: A Meta-analysis

IMPORTANCE

There are conflicting accounts about the risk for attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) following traumatic brain injury (TBI), possibly owing to variations between studies in acute TBI severity or when ADHD was assessed postinjury. Analysis of these variations may aid in identifying the risk.

OBJECTIVE

To conduct a meta-analysis of studies assessing ADHD diagnoses in children between ages 4 and 18 years following concussions and mild, moderate, or severe TBI.

DATA SOURCES

PubMed, PsycInfo, and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (1981-December 19, 2019) were searched including the terms traumatic brain injury, brain injuries, closed head injury, blunt head trauma, concussion, attention deficit disorders, ADHD, and ADD in combination with childhood, adolescence, pediatric, infant, child, young adult, or teen.

STUDY SELECTION

Limited to English-language publications in peer-reviewed journals and patient age (4-18 years). Differences about inclusion were resolved through consensus of 3 authors.

DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS

MOOSE guidelines for abstracting and assessing data quality and validity were used. Odds ratios with 95% credible intervals (CrIs) are reported.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

The planned study outcome was rate of ADHD diagnoses.

RESULTS

A total of 12 374 unique patients with TBI of all severity levels and 43 491 unique controls were included in the 24 studies in this review (predominantly male: TBI, 61.8%; noninjury control, 60.9%; other injury control, 66.1%). The rate of pre-TBI ADHD diagnoses was 16.0% (95% CrI, 11.3%-21.7%), which was significantly greater than the 10.8% (95% CrI, 10.2%-11.4%) incidence of ADHD in the general pediatric population. Compared with children without injuries, the odds for ADHD were not significantly increased following concussion (≤1 year: OR, 0.32; 95% CrI, 0.05-1.13), mild TBI (≤1 year: OR, 0.56; 0.16-1.43; >1 year: OR, 1.07; 95% CrI, 0.35-2.48), and moderate TBI (≤1 year: OR, 1.28; 95% CrI, 0.35-3.34; >1 year: OR, 3.67; 95% CrI, 0.83-10.56). The odds for ADHD also were not significantly increased compared with children with other injuries following mild TBI (≤1 year: OR, 1.07; 95% CrI, 0.33-2.47; >1 year: OR, 1.18; 95% CrI, 0.32-3.12) and moderate TBI (≤1 year: OR, 2.34; 95% CrI, 0.78-5.47; >1 year: OR, 3.78; 95% CrI, 0.93-10.33). In contrast, the odds for ADHD following severe TBI were increased at both time points following TBI compared with children with other injuries (≤1 year: OR, 4.81; 95% CrI, 1.66-11.03; >1 year: OR, 6.70; 95% CrI, 2.02-16.82) and noninjured controls (≤1 year: OR, 2.62; 95% CrI, 0.76-6.64; >1 year: OR, 6.25; 95% CrI, 2.06-15.06), as well as those with mild TBI (≤1 year OR, 5.69; 1.46-15.67: >1 year OR, 6.65; 2.14-16.44). Of 5920 children with severe TBI, 35.5% (95% CrI, 20.6%-53.2%) had ADHD more than 1 year postinjury.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

This study noted a significant association between TBI severity and ADHD diagnosis. In children with severe but not mild and moderate TBI, there was an association with an increase in risk for ADHD. The high rate of preinjury ADHD in children with TBI suggests that clinicians should carefully review functioning before a TBI before initiating treatment.

Estimating Ganglion Cell Complex Rates of Change With Bayesian Hierarchical Models

Purpose

Develop a hierarchical longitudinal regression model for estimating local rates of change of macular ganglion cell complex (GCC) measurements with optical coherence tomography (OCT).

Methods

We enrolled 112 eyes with four or more macular OCT images and ≥2 years of follow-up. GCC thickness measurements within central 6 × 6 superpixels were extracted from macular volume scans. We fit data from each superpixel separately with several hierarchical Bayesian random-effects models. Models were compared with the Watanabe–Akaike information criterion. For our preferred model, we estimated population and individual slopes and intercepts (baseline thickness) and their correlation.

Results

Mean (SD) follow-up time and median (interquartile range) baseline 24-2 visual field mean deviation were 3.6 (0.4) years and −6.8 (−12.2 to −4.3) dB, respectively. The random intercepts and slopes model with random residual variance was the preferred model. While more individual and population negative slopes were observed in the paracentral and papillomacular superpixels, superpixels in the superotemporal and inferior regions displayed the highest correlation between baseline thickness and rates of change (r = –0.43 to –0.50 for the top five correlations).

Conclusions

A Bayesian linear hierarchical model with random intercepts/slopes and random variances is an optimal initial model for estimating GCC slopes at population and individual levels. This novel model is an efficient method for estimating macular rates of change and probability of glaucoma progression locally.

Translational Relevance

The proposed Bayesian hierarchical model can be applied to various macular outcomes from different OCT devices and to superpixels of variable sizes to estimate local rates of change and progression probability.

Family disability, poverty and parenting stress: Analysis of a cross-sectional study in Kenya

BACKGROUND

Households with a disabled member, be they a caregiver or a child, are poorer than households not affected by disability. Poverty, caregiving as a person with a disability and being the caregiver of a child with a disability can lead to increased parenting stress.

OBJECTIVES

The objective of this study was to examine whether parenting stress experienced by caregivers in a household with a disabled member is greater when the disabled member is the caregiver, or the child, and how much of these respective relationships is explained by poverty.

METHOD

We collected cross-sectional data using a demographic survey, the Washington Group Questions on adult disability, the 10 Questions on child disability and the Parenting Stress Index-Short Form, from 465 caregivers enrolled in a non-governmental child development programme in Kenya.

RESULTS

Households with a disabled member were poorer than households without a disabled member. Parenting stress of disabled caregivers was higher than parenting stress of non-disabled caregivers; however, this relationship disappeared when socio-economic status was controlled for. Caregivers of disabled children were more stressed than caregivers of non-disabled children, and this effect was not explained by differences in socio-economic status.

CONCLUSION

Our findings highlight the importance of developing a comprehensive understanding of the stressors facing households with a disabled member, particularly if that member is a child, so that supportive interventions can adequately cater to the needs of caregivers, and their children, in the context of poverty.

Associations between caregiver mental health and young children's behaviour in a rural Kenyan sample

Background: Research shows that caregiver mental health problems have direct, significant effects on child behaviour. While these risks are amplified in low-resource settings, limited evidence exists from these places, especially sub-Saharan Africa.

Objective: We measured associations between caregiver mental health and child behaviour in a rural Kenyan sample, hypothesizing that higher rates of caregiver mental health would be associated with increased child behavioural problems. We also sought to provide an overview of caregiver mental health symptoms in our sample.

Method: Cross-sectional data were collected from caregivers of children ages 4–5 years old enrolled in a community-based early child development programme in western Kenya. 465 caregivers were recruited and assessed at baseline, and answered questions about child behaviour, mental health symptoms (depression, anxiety, stress), and help-seeking. A multivariate linear regression model was used to assess significance of each mental health factor.

Results: Caregiver anxiety (p = 0.01) and parenting stress (p < 0.001) were significantly associated with child behavioural problems. 245 caregivers (52.9%) had high levels of symptoms of depression, anxiety, or both; furthermore, 101 caregivers (21.7%) scored above the cut-off for both of these scales. A high proportion of our sample (60.6%) reported seeking some formal or informal psychosocial support services; however, less than one-third of these caregivers were symptomatic (30.9%).

Conclusion: Anxiety and stress were associated with poorer child behavioural outcomes. Our sample reflected a higher prevalence of caregiving adults with mental health symptomology than previous estimates from Kenya, with few high-symptom caregivers seeking support. We discuss further implications for programming and health services delivery.