Risk factors for coronary heart disease and acute-phase proteins. A population-based study

AIMS

Circulating levels of C-reactive protein and serum amyloid A protein increase markedly, and albumin levels fall, during the acute-phase response to tissue injury, infection and inflammation. Some acute-phase proteins have been associated with increased risks of coronary heart disease in long-term prospective studies. The aim of the present study was to determine whether circulating concentrations of C-reactive protein, albumin and serum amyloid A protein are correlated with one another, standard vascular risk factors, markers of persistent infection, or indicators of socio-economic status.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We report a cross-sectional study of 704 individuals without a history of coronary heart disease from five general practices in Bedfordshire, U.K. Plasma levels of C-reactive protein and serum amyloid A protein were strongly associated with each other (2 P<0.00001) and inversely related to levels of serum albumin (2 P<0.00001). There were highly significant associations of plasma C-reactive protein concentrations with cigarette smoking and obesity (2 P<0.00001 for each). Serum albumin levels were strongly associated with blood pressure (2 P<0.0001) and plasma lipids (2 P<0.001), and concentrations of serum amyloid A protein were strongly correlated with obesity (2 P<0.0001).

CONCLUSION

Previously reported long-term prospective studies have found an increased risk of coronary heart disease of about 50% in people with raised baseline levels of plasma C-reactive protein or low albumin. The strong cross-sectional associations we have found between levels of these proteins with each other and with concentrations of serum amyloid A protein suggest that some underlying process related to inflammation is likely to be of relevance to the causation of disease. Further studies are needed to determine if the strong associations of plasma levels of C-reactive protein with cigarette smoking and obesity indicate that this particular protein can mediate some of the effects of those risk factors on coronary heart disease.

Delays in Stroke Onset to Hospital Arrival Time During COVID-19

Background and Purpose:

The current coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic represents a global public health crisis, disrupting emergency healthcare services. We determined whether COVID-19 has resulted in delays in stroke presentation and affected the delivery of acute stroke services in a comprehensive stroke center in Hong Kong.

Methods:

We retrospectively reviewed all patients with transient ischemic attack and stroke admitted via the acute stroke pathway of Queen Mary Hospital, Hong Kong, during the first 60 days since the first diagnosed COVID-19 case in Hong Kong (COVID-19: January 23, 2020–March 24, 2020). We compared the stroke onset to hospital arrival (onset-to-door) time and timings of inpatient stroke pathways with patients admitted during the same period in 2019 (pre–COVID-19: January 23, 2019–March 24, 2019).

Results:

Seventy-three patients in COVID-19 were compared with 89 patients in pre–COVID-19. There were no significant differences in age, sex, vascular risk factors, nor stroke severity between the 2 groups (P>0.05). The median stroke onset-to-door time was ≈1-hour longer in COVID-19 compared with pre–COVID-19 (154 versus 95 minutes, P=0.12), and the proportion of individuals with onset-to-door time within 4.5 hours was significantly lower (55% versus 72%, P=0.024). Significantly fewer cases of transient ischemic attack presented to the hospital during COVID-19 (4% versus 16%, P=0.016), despite no increase in referrals to the transient ischemic attack clinic. Inpatient stroke pathways and treatment time metrics nevertheless did not differ between the 2 groups (P>0.05 for all comparisons).

Conclusions:

During the early containment phase of COVID-19, we noted a prolongation in stroke onset to hospital arrival time and a significant reduction in individuals arriving at the hospital within 4.5 hours and presenting with transient ischemic attack. Public education about stroke should continue to be reinforced during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Circulating Chlamydia pneumoniae DNA as a predictor of coronary artery disease

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether current vascular Chlamydia pneumoniae (CPn) infection as diagnosed by circulating CPn DNA is more common in subjects with coronary artery disease (CAD).

BACKGROUND

Serological, pathological and animal studies have associated CPn with CAD and preliminary trials suggest antibiotics may prevent adverse coronary events. C. pneumoniae is thought to disseminate systemically within macrophages. We therefore detected CPn DNA in blood to determine whether its presence was a predictor of CAD.

METHODS

One thousand, two hundred and five subjects attending for diagnostic and interventional coronary arteriography were recruited. The mononuclear cell layer and platelets were separated from collected blood and the polymerase chain reaction (PCR) was used to detect CPn DNA.

RESULTS

Circulating CPn DNA was found in 8.8% of 669 men with CAD compared with 2.9% of 135 men with normal coronary arteries (odds ratio [OR] 3.2, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.1-8.9). In men with CAD, those with CPn DNA had higher mean platelet counts than those without CPn DNA. Monocyte counts and indirect fibrinogen levels were also raised but not significantly so. By contrast, no association of circulating CPn DNA and CAD was seen in women.

CONCLUSIONS

Circulating CPn DNA is a predictor of CAD in men. Unlike serology, it is a specific indicator of current infection and is a means of identifying subjects who may potentially benefit from antichlamydial therapy.

Chlamydia pneumoniae and atherosclerosis

OBJECTIVE

To review the literature for evidence that chronic infection with Chlamydia pneumoniae is associated with atherosclerosis and acute coronary syndromes.

DATA SOURCES

MEDLINE and Institute of Science and Information bibliographic databases were searched at the end of September 1998. Indexing terms used were chlamydi*, heart, coronary, and atherosclerosis. Serological and pathological studies published as papers in any language since 1988 or abstracts since 1997 were selected.

DATA EXTRACTION

It was assumed that chronic C pneumoniae infection is characterised by the presence of both specific IgG and IgA, and serological studies were examined for associations that fulfilled these criteria. Pathological studies were also reviewed for evidence that the presence of C pneumoniae in diseased vessels is associated with the severity and extent of atherosclerosis.

DATA SYNTHESIS

The majority of serological studies have shown an association between C pneumoniae and atherosclerosis. However, the number of cases in studies that have reported a positive association when using strict criteria for chronic infection is similar to the number of cases in studies which found no association. Nevertheless, the organism is widely found in atherosclerotic vessels, although it may not be at all diseased sites and is not confined to the most severe lesions. Rabbit models and preliminary antibiotic trials suggest that the organism might exacerbate atherosclerosis.

CONCLUSION

More evidence is required before C pneumoniae can be accepted as playing a role in atherosclerosis. Although use of antibiotics in routine practice is not justified, large scale trials in progress will help to elucidate the role of C pneumoniae.

A community-based exercise programme for older persons with knee pain using telemedicine

We explored the feasibility and efficacy of an exercise programme for elderly people with knee pain conducted via videoconferencing. Twenty-two community-dwelling subjects aged 60 years or above with knee pain were recruited from two community centres in Hong Kong. A 12-week exercise programme, including strengthening and balance training, was given via videoconferencing to subjects at both centres, in conjunction with a home-based exercise programme. The outcome measures included the Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index (WOMAC), quadriceps muscle strength, Berg's Balance Scale (BBS) and subjects' degree of acceptance of videoconferencing. Twenty subjects completed the 12-week programme and significant improvements occurred in all domains of the WOMAC score (P <0.003). There was a 44% and a 13% increase in quadriceps muscle strength (P <0.001) and BBS (P <0.001), respectively. Over 80% of the elderly subjects who joined the programme agreed or strongly agreed about all aspects of using videoconferencing. Most of them felt that the system was user-friendly and convenient. Videoconferencing appears to be a useful method of delivering a resistance-training programme for community-dwelling elderly persons with knee pain.

The species specificity of the microimmunofluorescence antibody test and comparisons with a time resolved fluoroscopic immunoassay for measuring IgG antibodies against Chlamydia pneumoniae

AIMS

To examine the species specificity of the microimmunofluorescence test (MIF) and assess a time resolved fluoroscopic immunoassay (TRIA) for measuring IgG antibodies to C pneumoniae.

METHODS

Sera from 1020 subjects were tested by MIF for IgG, IgM, and IgA antibodies to C pneumoniae, C trachomatis, and C psittaci; 501 serum samples were also tested by TRIA for IgG antibodies to C pneumoniae.

RESULTS

C pneumoniae antibody titres as measured by MIF were correlated with those for C psittaci and trachomatis. It was estimated that on average, one third of the twofold dilution steps that make up the final C pneumoniae antibody titre may be due to cross reacting genus specific antibody. The results of TRIA correlated well with those of MIF. In 75% of cases, the TRIA result predicted a three titre range within which the actual MIF result would fall.

CONCLUSIONS

MIF does not appear to be as species specific as claimed. TRIA is unlikely to be as specific but as it is completely objective, easier to perform, amenable to automation, and gives reproducible results, it is a rapid and useful method for comparing populations.

Prognostic implications of surrogate markers of atherosclerosis in low to intermediate risk patients with type 2 diabetes

Background

Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) patients are at increased risk of developing cardiovascular events. Unfortunately traditional risk assessment scores, including the Framingham Risk Score (FRS), have only modest accuracy in cardiovascular risk prediction in these patients.

Methods

We sought to determine the prognostic values of different non-invasive markers of atherosclerosis, including brachial artery endothelial function, carotid artery atheroma burden, ankle-brachial index, arterial stiffness and computed tomography coronary artery calcium score (CACS) in 151 T2DM Chinese patients that were identified low-intermediate risk from the FRS recalibrated for Chinese (<20% risk in 10 years). Patients were prospectively followed-up and presence of atherosclerotic events documented for a mean duration of 61 ± 16 months.

Results

A total of 17 atherosclerotic events in 16 patients (11%) occurred during the follow-up period. The mean FRS of the study population was 5.0 ± 4.6% and area under curve (AUC) from receiver operating characteristic curve analysis for prediction of atherosclerotic events was 0.59 ± 0.07 (P = 0.21). Among different vascular assessments, CACS > 40 had the best prognostic value (AUC 0.81 ± 0.06, P < 0.01) and offered significantly better accuracy in prediction compared with FRS (P = 0.038 for AUC comparisons). Combination of FRS with CACS or other surrogate vascular markers did not further improve the prognostic values over CACS alone. Multivariate Cox regression analysis identified CACS > 40 as an independent predictor of atherosclerotic events in T2DM patients (Hazards Ratio 27.11, 95% Confidence Interval 3.36-218.81, P = 0.002).

Conclusions

In T2DM patients identified as low-intermediate risk by the FRS, a raised CACS > 40 was an independent predictor for atherosclerotic events.

Circulating Biomarkers for Cardiovascular Disease Risk Prediction in Patients With Cardiovascular Disease

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of death globally. Risk assessment is crucial for identifying at-risk individuals who require immediate attention as well as to guide the intensity of medical therapy to reduce subsequent risk of CVD. In the past decade, many risk prediction models have been proposed to estimate the risk of developing CVD. However, in patients with a history of CVD, the current models that based on traditional risk factors provide limited power in predicting recurrent cardiovascular events. Several biomarkers from different pathophysiological pathways have been identified to predict cardiovascular events, and the incorporation of biomarkers into risk assessment may contribute to enhance risk stratification in secondary prevention. This review focuses on biomarkers related to cardiovascular and metabolic diseases, including B-type natriuretic peptide, high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I, adiponectin, adipocyte fatty acid-binding protein, heart-type fatty acid-binding protein, lipocalin-2, fibroblast growth factor 19 and 21, retinol-binding protein 4, plasminogen activator inhibitor-1, 25-hydroxyvitamin D, and proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9, and discusses the potential utility of these biomarkers in cardiovascular risk prediction among patients with CVD. Many of these biomarkers have shown promise in improving risk prediction of CVD. Further research is needed to assess the validity of biomarker and whether the strategy for incorporating biomarker into clinical practice may help to optimize decision-making and therapeutic management.

Effect of oral cholecalciferol 2,000 versus 5,000 IU on serum vitamin D, PTH, bone and muscle strength in patients with vitamin D deficiency

Treatment of vitamin D deficiency for 3 months with oral cholecalciferol 5,000 IU daily was more effective than 2,000 IU daily in achieving optimal serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25OHD) concentrations. Optimal 25OHD serum level calculated to be 63.8 nmol/L. All parameters of muscle strength improved following administration of cholecalciferol for 3 months.

INTRODUCTION

The aim of this study was to determine the optimal dose of cholecalciferol required to achieve target serum 25OHD level ≥ 75 nmol/L and its relationship to both bone turnover and muscle strength.

METHODS

Thirty deficient patients (serum 25OHD ≤ 50 nmol/L) were randomly assigned into two groups-i.e. 2,000 and 5,000 IU/day. Data were collected at baseline, at 2 and 3 months post-therapy: (a) clinical demographics, (b) dietary calcium recall, (c) physical tests of muscle function and (d) biochemistry. Statistical analysis used paired student t test and analysis of variance. Regression analysis was used to determine relationship between serum 25OHD and parathyroid hormone (PTH).

RESULTS

Twenty-six (87%) patients completed 3 months of therapy. The percent increase in serum 25OHD (compared to baseline) was 82.7% in 2,000-IU group and 219.5% in 5,000-IU group. All participants (100%) achieved a serum 25OHD concentration >50 nmol/L; only 5 subjects (45.4%) in 2,000-IU group compared to 14 subjects (93.3%) in 5,000-IU group achieved final 25OHD concentration ≥ 75 nmol/L (p < 0.01). In the regression analysis, the reflexion point at which the PTH level increased above the normal range was calculated to be 63.8 nmol/L 25OHD. All parameters of muscle strength showed trends in improvements following the administration of both the 2,000 and 5,000 IU doses. No patient reported untoward side effects and no patient developed hypercalcaemia.

CONCLUSION

Treatment for 3 months with oral cholecalciferol 5,000 IU daily may be more effective than 2,000 IU daily in achieving optimal serum 25OHD concentrations in vitamin D-deficient patients.

Alterations of p16/MTS1 gene in oral squamous cell carcinomas from Taiwanese

To determine the alterations of the p16/MTS1 gene in oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC), we examined in Taiwanese patients the mutation, deletion and methylation of p16/MTS1 in primary OSCCs associated mostly with betel quid (BQ)/tobacco use. Among 110 tumors undergoing mutational analyses, seven (6%) showed mutations in exon 2 or the intron 1/exon 2 splice site. All but one mutation disrupted the encoded proteins. Base transitions represented the vast majority (6/7) of the mutations identified in BQ/tobacco consuming subjects. It was noted that 15/56 (27%) tumors examined by restriction fragment methylation analysis revealed a significant level of methylation in different loci of exon 1 as compared with the respective non-cancerous tissue. Mutation of p16/MTS1 was exclusively identified in carcinomas of buccal mucosa, whereas methylation of the p16/MTS1 promoter region occurred preferentially in carcinomas of the tongue (54%) rather than at other sites (22%). Homozygous deletion was not found in 56 paired samples examined, nor was hemizygous deletion indicated in 12 informative cases. The results indicated aberrant methylation and mutation as the molecular abnormality of p16/MTS1 in the OSCC from Taiwanese.

Breast-milk jaundice and oral contraceptives

Among breast-fed infants in the normal lying-in wards of a maternity hospital a significantly higher incidence of "idiopathic" jaundice was found in infants of mothers who had been receiving the contraceptive pill before the present pregnancy than in the infants whose mothers never had the pill. The pill became widely used in society at about the same time as breast-milk jaundice was first reported.

p53 alterations in betel quid- and tobacco-associated oral squamous cell carcinomas from Taiwan

Alterations of p53 have been explored in Taiwanese oral squamous cell carcinomas (OSCCs) consisting of a betel quid (BQ)/tobacco-related subgroup of 36 subjects and a tobacco-related subgroup of 13 subjects. Mutations in conserved exons were found in 12 tumors. Seven mutations were clustered in a hot-spot region mapped to a region between codons 273-282 in exon 8. The incidence of p53 mutation in BQ/tobacco tumors was 22% (8/36). The frequency of p53 allelic loss (21%, 3/14) in BQ/tobacco tumors approximates to the incidence of mutation. This is the first study demonstrating allelic deletion of p53 in such malignancies. Twenty-four of 43 samples showed positive p53 immunostaining. All tumors harboring mis-sense mutations of p53 in conserved exons exhibited nuclear protein accumulation. The incidence of mutation in conserved exons in BQ/tobacco-associated Asian OSCCs (15%) is significantly different from worldwide OSCCs (46%) related primarily to tobacco consumption (P=0.00001).

Mediterranean-style diet is associated with reduced blood pressure variability and subsequent stroke risk in patients with coronary artery disease

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The Mediterranean-style diet is widely advocated for the prevention of cardiovascular diseases (CVD). Meanwhile, blood pressure variability (BPV) is a novel risk factor for CVD. It is unknown whether dietary pattern plays a role in modulating BPV.

METHODS

We prospectively followed-up 274 consecutive patients with stable coronary artery disease (CAD). The Mediterranean diet score (MDS) was derived for all individuals upon recruitment, blood pressure (BP) was measured during each subsequent clinic visit and the visit-to-visit BPV was calculated. The occurrence of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) and all-cause mortality was monitored.

RESULTS

After a mean follow-up of 77±12 months, 16.1% of the study population developed MACEs. About 11.3% died from all causes. Patients who developed MACEs or all-cause mortality had a greater systolic BPV compared to those who did not develop an adverse event. Patients who developed a MACE had a lower MDS and further analysis revealed those who developed a stroke had a lower MDS compared with those who did not develop a stroke, but there were no significant differences in MDS between CAD patients with or without subsequent acute coronary syndrome, cardiovascular, or all-cause mortality. After adjusting for confounding variables, a high MDS was an independent predictor for low systolic BPV (B -0.74, 95% confidence interval -1.27 to -0.21, P < 0.01) and was noted to be protective against subsequent development of stroke (hazards ratio 0.48, 95% confidence interval 0.24 to 0.94, P = 0.03).

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients with CAD, a higher MDS is associated with a lower visit-to-visit BPV and with lower stroke risk.

Long-term prognostic implications of visit-to-visit blood pressure variability in patients with ischemic stroke

BACKGROUND

Blood pressure (BP) variability (BPV) is a novel risk factor for the development of atherosclerotic diseases. High BPV has recently been shown to predict all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in patients with lacunar infarct. Whether BPV has prognostic implications in patients with ischemic stroke subtypes, other than those due to small-vessel occlusion, remains uncertain.

METHODS

We prospectively followed up the clinical outcome of 632 consecutive ischemic stroke patients without atrial fibrillation. The average BP and BPV, as determined by the coefficient of variation of the systolic and diastolic BP, were recorded during a mean 12 ± 6 outpatient clinic visits.

RESULTS

The average age of the population was 71 ± 11 years. After a mean of 76 ± 18 months of follow-up, 161 patients died (26%); 35% (n = 56 of 161) of these deaths were due to cardiovascular causes. Sixteen percent and 5% developed recurrent stroke and acute coronary syndrome (ACS), respectively. After adjusting for mean systolic BP and confounding variables, patients with high systolic BPV were at significantly greater risk of cardiovascular mortality (hazards ratio (HR) = 2.36; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.02-5.49; P < 0.05). High systolic BPV also predicted all-cause mortality after adjusting for mean systolic BP (HR = 1.79; 95% CI = 1.16-2.75; P < 0.05). There was no association between systolic BPV and nonfatal recurrent stroke or nonfatal ACS. Raised diastolic BPV did not predict recurrent nonfatal stroke, nonfatal ACS, or mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Visit-to-visit systolic BPV predicts long-term all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in patients with ischemic stroke without atrial fibrillation, independent of other conventional risk factors, including average BP control.

Telomerase activity and in situ telomerase RNA expression in oral carcinogenesis

To investigate the role of telomerase in oral carcinogenesis, we assayed telomerase activity in various oral tissues by a modified telomeric repeat amplification protocol (TRAP) analysis. Also, using digoxigenin-labeled probes, we measured the in situ expression of human telomerase RNA component (hTR) in paired oral squamous cell carcinomas (OSCC) and adjacent non-cancerous matched tissue (NCMT). We detected telomerase activity in three OSCC cell lines, but not in primary oral keratinocytes. In patient samples, most OSCC (36/42, 86%) and oral premalignant lesions (8/12, 67%) possessed telomerase activity. In addition, 6 of 27 (22%) NCMT contained weak telomerase activity. In situ hybridization showed that hTR was expressed in almost all OSCC (23/27, 85%) as well as in the majority of NCMT (20/25, 80%). In most cases, accumulation of hTR was observed both in the nucleus and cytoplasm of epithelial cells. A correlation between hTR expression and more advanced tumor grade was observed. The appearance of telomerase activation and hTR expression during oral carcinogenesis was different. This study indicates that the activation of telomerase is an early and frequent event in OSCC.

Stroke patients with a past history of cancer are at increased risk of recurrent stroke and cardiovascular mortality

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Cancer patients are at increased risk of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events. It is unclear whether cancer confers any additional risk for recurrent stroke or cardiovascular mortality after stroke.

METHODS

This was a single center, observational study of 1,105 consecutive Chinese ischemic stroke patients recruited from a large stroke rehabilitation unit based in Hong Kong. We sought to determine whether patients with cancer are at higher risk of recurrent stroke and cardiovascular mortality.

RESULTS

Amongst 1,105 patients, 58 patients (5.2%) had cancer, of whom 74% were in remission. After a mean follow-up of 76 ± 18 months, 241 patients developed a recurrent stroke: 22 in patients with cancer (38%, annual incidence 13.94%/year), substantially more than those without cancer (21%, 4.65%/year) (p<0.01). In a Cox regression model, cancer, age and atrial fibrillation were the 3 independent predictors of recurrent stroke with a hazard ratio (HR) of 2.42 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.54-3.80), 1.01 (1.00-1.03) and 1.35 (1.01-1.82) respectively. Likewise, patients with cancer had a higher cardiovascular mortality compared with those without cancer (4.30%/year vs. 2.35%/year, p = 0.08). In Cox regression analysis, cancer (HR: 2.08, 95% CI: 1.08-4.02), age (HR: 1.04, 95% CI 1.02-1.06), heart failure (HR: 3.06, 95% CI 1.72-5.47) and significant carotid atherosclerosis (HR: 1.55, 95% CI 1.02-2.36) were independent predictors for cardiovascular mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Stroke patients with a past history of cancer are at increased risk of recurrent stroke and cardiovascular mortality.

Association of aberrant p53 and p21(WAF1) immunoreactivity with the outcome of oral verrucous leukoplakia in Taiwan

The expression of p53 and p21WAF1 in 53 oral verrucous leukoplakias (OVLs), mostly non-dysplastic lesions, was investigated to ascertain the role of such events in malignant conversion. Immunohistochemical analysis revealed aberrant p53 and p21WAF1 immunoreactivity in 51% (27 cases) and 75% (40 cases), respectively. After an average follow-up period of three and a half years, histopathological examination revealed that 22 (42%) cases had developed oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC), 14 (26%) cases had undergone recurrence, and 17 (32%) cases were free of disease. The oncogenic potential of this subset of premalignant lesions warrants attention. A significant difference in the frequency of OSCC progression/recurrence was noted in lesions bearing aberrant immunoreactivity of either p53 (93% vs 42%; P=0.00008) or p21WAF1 (80% vs 32%; P=0.002) in comparison with lesions without immunoreactivity. This study suggested that the aberrant immunoreactivity of p53 and p21WAF1 may represent important alterations of OVL and could affect the outcome of this lesion.

Age-Biomarkers-Clinical Risk Factors for Prediction of Cardiovascular Events in Patients With Coronary Artery Disease

Objective- In patients with stable coronary artery disease, conventional risk factors provide limited incremental predictive value for cardiovascular events. We sought to investigate whether a panel of cardiometabolic biomarkers alone or combined with conventional risk factors would exhibit incremental value in the prediction of cardiovascular events. Approach and Results- In the discovery cohort, we measured serum adiponectin, A-FABP (adipocyte fatty acid-binding protein), lipocalin-2, FGF (fibroblast growth factor)-19 and 21, plasminogen activator inhibitor-1, and retinol-binding protein-4 in 1166 Chinese coronary artery disease patients. After a median follow-up of 35 months, 170 patients developed new-onset major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). In the model with age ≥65 years and conventional risk factors, area under the curve for predicting MACE was 0.68. Addition of lipocalin-2 to the age-clinical risk factor model improved predictive accuracy (area under the curve=0.73). Area under the curve further increased to 0.75 when a combination of lipocalin-2, A-FABP, and FGF-19 was added to yield age-biomarkers-clinical risk factor model. The adjusted hazard ratio on MACEs for lipocalin-2, A-FABP, and FGF-19 levels above optimal cutoffs were 2.23 (95% CI, 1.62-3.08), 1.99 (95% CI, 1.43-2.76), and 1.65 (95% CI, 1.15-2.35), respectively. In the validation cohort of 1262 coronary artery disease patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus, the age-biomarkers-clinical risk factor model was confirmed to provide good discrimination and calibration over the conventional risk factor alone for prediction of MACE. Conclusions- A combination of the 3 biomarkers, lipocalin-2, A-FABP, and FGF-19, with clinical risk factors to yield the age-biomarkers-clinical risk factor model provides an optimal and validated prediction of new-onset MACE in patients with stable coronary artery disease.

High-sensitivity troponin I and B-type natriuretic peptide biomarkers for prediction of cardiovascular events in patients with coronary artery disease with and without diabetes mellitus

Background

High-sensitivity troponin I (hs-Tnl) and B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) are promising prognostic markers for coronary artery disease (CAD). This prospective cohort study investigated whether a combination of these cardiac biomarkers with conventional risk factors would add incremental value for the prediction of secondary major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) in patients with CAD, with and without type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM).

Methods

Baseline plasma level of hs-Tnl and BNP was measured in 2275 Chinese patients with stable CAD. Patients were monitored for new-onset of MACE over a median of 51 months. Cox proportional hazard model and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) were used to assess the association of cardiac biomarkers with MACE and their predictive values in relationship with or without T2DM.

Results

During the follow up period 402 (18%) patients experienced a new-onset MACE with hs-Tnl and BNP level significantly higher than in those without MACE. In multivariable analyses, patients with elevated hs-Tnl (hazard ratio, 1.75 [95% CI 1.41–2.17]; P < 0.001) and BNP (hazard ratio, 1.42 [95% CI 1.15–1.75]; P = 0.001) were significantly associated with an increased risk of MACE after adjustment for variables of a risk factor model of age, sex, T2DM and hypertension. The risk factor model had an AUC of 0.64 for MACE prediction. The AUC significantly increased to 0.68 by the addition of hs-Tnl to the risk factor model. Subgroup analyses showed that hs-Tnl and BNP remained significant predictors of MACE in both patients with and without T2DM in multivariable models with higher risk of MACE evident in those without T2DM. Among patients without T2DM, addition of each biomarker yielded greater predictive accuracy than in T2DM patients, with AUC further increased to 0.75 when a combination of hs-Tnl and BNP was added to the risk factor model (age, sex and hypertension).

Conclusions

Elevated hs-Tnl and BNP level are independent predictors of new-onset MACE in CAD patients, irrespective of diabetes status. Among CAD patients without T2DM, a combination of cardiac biomarkers hs-Tnl and BNP yield the greatest predictive value beyond conventional risk factors.

Visit-to-visit systolic blood pressure variability predicts all-cause and cardiovascular mortality after lacunar infarct

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Both blood pressure (BP) and its variability (BPV) are established risk factors for development of atherosclerotic disease and are associated with an increased risk for cardiovascular and all-cause mortality. The prognostic implications of outpatient clinic visit-to-visit BPV amongst patients with lacunar infarction are nevertheless unknown.

METHODS

The clinical outcome of 281 patients with lacunar infarction was prospectively followed up. The average BP and BPV, as determined by the standard deviation of the systolic and diastolic BP, were recorded during a mean 13 ± 6 outpatient clinic visits.

RESULTS

The mean age of the population was 70 ± 10 years. After a mean 78 ± 18 months follow-up, 65 patients died (23%), 31% (20/65) due to cardiovascular causes; 14% and 7% developed recurrent stroke and acute coronary syndrome. After adjusting for age, sex, mean systolic and diastolic BP, cardiovascular risk factors and comorbidities, patients with a systolic BPV of the third tertile had significantly higher risk of all-cause mortality [hazard ratio (HR) 1.97, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.02-3.80, P = 0.04) and cardiovascular mortality (HR 7.64, 95% CI 1.65-35.41, P < 0.01) than those with systolic BPV of the first tertile. Nevertheless, systolic BPV did not predict recurrent stroke or acute coronary syndrome. Diastolic BPV did not predict various adverse clinical outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

Visit-to-visit systolic BPV predicts long-term all-cause and cardiovascular mortality after lacunar infarct, independent of conventional risk factors including average BP control.

Surgical outcome of traumatic intracranial hematoma at a regional hospital in Taiwan

BACKGROUND

To report the experience in the management of 489 consecutive patients with traumatic intracranial hematoma and determine the prognostic factors.

METHODS

All patients were classified into three groups based on the number of operations for each case. A total of 538 operations were performed for evacuation of 720 intracranial hematomas.

RESULTS

The most common cause of injury was motor vehicular traffic crashes (68.7%) and most victims were motorcyclists (40.1%). The most common type of lesion was acute epidural hematoma (31.0%). The overall mortality rate was 9.6%, and the complication rate was 11.2%. Follow-up assessment of 480 patients revealed that 270 (56.2%) patients made a good recovery, 99 (20.6%) were moderately disabled, 32 (6.7%) were severely disabled, 21 (4.4%) were vegetative, and 58 (12.1%) had died.

CONCLUSION

The surgical outcome was significantly correlated with the score of the Glasgow Coma Scale, pupillary reactivity, number of operations, and type of lesion.

Location-Specific Hematoma Volume Cutoff and Clinical Outcomes in Intracerebral Hemorrhage

BACKGROUND

Major intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) trials have largely been unable to demonstrate therapeutic benefit in improving functional outcomes. This may be partly due to the heterogeneity of ICH outcomes based on their location, where a small strategic ICH could be debilitating, thus confounding therapeutic effects. We aimed to determine the ideal hematoma volume cutoff for different ICH locations in predicting ICH outcomes.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed consecutive ICH patients enrolled in the University of Hong Kong prospective stroke registry from January 2011 to December 2018. Patients with premorbid modified Rankin Scale score >2 or who underwent neurosurgical intervention were excluded. ICH volume cutoff, sensitivity, and specificity in predicting respective 6-month neurological outcomes (good [modified Rankin Scale score 0-2], poor [modified Rankin Scale score 4-6], and mortality) for specific ICH locations were determined using receiver operating characteristic curves. Separate multivariate logistic regression models were also conducted for each location-specific volume cutoff to determine whether these cutoffs were independently associated with respective outcomes.

RESULTS

Among 533 ICHs, the volume cutoff for good outcome according to ICH location was 40.5 mL for lobar, 32.5 mL for putamen/external capsule, 5.5 mL for internal capsule/globus pallidus, 6.5 mL for thalamus, 17 mL for cerebellum, and 3 mL for brainstem. ICH smaller than the cutoff for all supratentorial sites had higher odds of good outcomes (all P<0.05). Volumes exceeding 48 mL for lobar, 41 mL for putamen/external capsule, 6 mL for internal capsule/globus pallidus, 9.5 mL for thalamus, 22 mL for cerebellum, and 7.5 mL for brainstem were at greater risk of poor outcomes (all P<0.05). Mortality risks were significantly higher for volumes that exceeded 89.5 mL for lobar, 42 mL for putamen/external capsule, and 21 mL for internal capsule/globus pallidus (all P<0.001). All receiver operating characteristic models for location-specific cutoffs had good discriminant values (area under the curve >0.8), except in predicting good outcome for cerebellum.

CONCLUSIONS

ICH outcomes differed with location-specific hematoma size. Location-specific volume cutoff should be considered in patient selection for ICH trials.

Monitoring and assessment of heavy metal contamination in a constructed wetland in Shaoguan (Guangdong Province, China): bioaccumulation of Pb, Zn, Cu and Cd in aquatic and terrestrial components

The objective of this study is to evaluate the current status of heavy metal concentrations in constructed wetland, Shaoguan (Guangdong, China). Sediments, three wetland plants (Typha latifolia, Phragmites australis, and Cyperus malaccensis), and six freshwater fish species [Carassius auratus (Goldfish), Cirrhinus molitorella (Mud carp), Ctenopharyngodon idellus (Grass carp), Cyprinus carpio (Wild common carp), Nicholsicypris normalis (Mandarin fish), Sarcocheilichthys kiangsiensis (Minnows)] in a constructed wetland in Shaoguan were collected and analyzed for their heavy metal compositions. Levels of Pb, Zn, Cu, and Cd in sediments exceeded approximately 532, 285, 11, and 66 times of the Dutch Intervention value. From the current study, the concentrations of Pb and Zn in three plants were generally high, especially in root tissues. For fish, concentrations of all studied metals in whole body of N. mormalis were the highest among all the fishes investigated (Pb 113.4 mg/kg, dw; Zn 183.1 mg/kg, dw; Cu 19.41 mg/kg, dw; 0.846 mg/kg, dw). Heavy metal accumulation in different ecological compartments was analyzed by principle component analysis (PCA), and there is one majority of grouped heavy metals concentration as similar in composition of ecological compartment, with the Cd concentration quite dissimilar. In relation to future prospect, phytoremediation technology for enhanced heavy metal accumulation by constructed wetland is still in early stage and needs more attention in gene manipulation area.