3726
|
Sobngwi-Tambekou J, Taljaard D, Nieuwoudt M, Lissouba P, Puren A, Auvert B. Male circumcision and Neisseria gonorrhoeae, Chlamydia trachomatis and Trichomonas vaginalis: observations after a randomised controlled trial for HIV prevention. Sex Transm Infect 2009; 85:116-20. [PMID: 19074928 PMCID: PMC2652030 DOI: 10.1136/sti.2008.032334] [Citation(s) in RCA: 85] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 11/28/2008] [Indexed: 01/22/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To assess the association between male circumcision and Neisseria gonorrhoeae, Chlamydia trachomatis and Trichomonas vaginalis using data from a male circumcision randomised controlled trial. METHODS We used data collected during the male circumcision trial conducted in Orange Farm (South Africa) among men aged 18-24 years. Altogether, 1767 urine samples collected during the final follow-up visit were analysed using PCR. Prevalence of N gonorrhoeae, C trachomatis and T vaginalis was assessed as a function of male circumcision using odds ratios (OR) given by univariate and multivariate logistic regression. RESULTS In an intention-to-treat analysis, prevalence of N gonorrhoeae, C trachomatis and T vaginalis among intervention and control groups were 10.0% versus 10.3% (OR 0.97; p = 0.84), 2.1% versus 3.6% (OR 0.58; p = 0.065) and 1.7% versus 3.1% (OR 0.54; p = 0.062), respectively. The association between T vaginalis and male circumcision remained borderline when controlling for age, ethnic group, number of lifetime partners, marital status, condom use and HIV status (AOR 0.48; p = 0.069). In the as-treated analysis, this association became significant (OR 0.49, p = 0.030; AOR 0.41, p = 0.030). CONCLUSIONS This study demonstrates for the first time that male circumcision reduces T vaginalis infection among men. This finding explains why women with circumcised partners are less at risk for T vaginalis infection than other women. The protective effect on T vaginalis is an additional argument to recommend male circumcision in Africa where it is acceptable.
Collapse
|
3727
|
Bateman C. Cholera--getting the basics right. S Afr Med J 2009; 99:138-142. [PMID: 19563084] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/28/2023] Open
|
3728
|
Gilreath TD, King G, Graham JW, Flisher AJ, Lombard C. Associations between maternal closeness, suicidal ideation, and risk behaviors in Cape Town. Eur Child Adolesc Psychiatry 2009; 18:174-9. [PMID: 18807110 DOI: 10.1007/s00787-008-0718-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/25/2007] [Accepted: 07/10/2008] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
Abstract
Health compromising behaviors, such as smoking and other risk behaviors tend to co-occur, and contribute to the leading causes of preventable death, disease, and disability among adolescents and young adults worldwide. The present study assesses a model of the direct and indirect effects of maternal closeness with suicidal ideation on smoking and risky behaviors. The sample consisted of 657 South African youth assessed over two time points with comparison of effects between males and females. Maternal closeness had a significant effect on suicidal ideation among females. Suicidal ideation had a significant effect on risky behaviors among males and lifetime smoking among females. A significant indirect effect was observed from maternal closeness to lifetime smoking among females. These results indicate that suicidal ideation is associated with lifetime smoking and risky behaviors separately among male and female adolescents and highlight the need to focus on the development of mental health preventive interventions for both genders.
Collapse
|
3729
|
Glapa M, Zorio M, Snyckers FD, Bowley DM, Yilmaz TH, Doll D, Degiannis E. Gunshot wounds to the head in civilian practice. Am Surg 2009; 75:223-226. [PMID: 19350857] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/27/2023]
Abstract
Gunshot wounds to the head are associated with poor outcome. We reviewed data to identify prognostic factors. We performed a retrospective study of all patients admitted to a Level 1 trauma center with isolated gunshot injury to the head during 6 1/2 years. Data collected included demographics, mechanism of injury, prehospital and resuscitation room data, and initial CT scan characteristics. The primary outcome measure was the Glasgow Outcome Scale. Seventy-two patients with isolated gunshot wounds to the head were admitted. Overall mortality was 58 per cent. The mortality for patients with an initial Glasgow Coma Scale score of < or = 8 was 81 per cent versus 14 per cent for those with initial Glasgow Coma Scale score > 8 (P < or = 0.0001). Fifty per cent had pupillary abnormalities on arrival at the Emergency Department. Mortality in this group was 78 per cent versus 53 per cent in those with normal pupillary reflexes (P = 0.06). Elevated plasma lactate was associated with nonsurvival. Thirteen per cent of survivors were assessed as able to live independently after their injury. Civilian gunshot injury to the head is related to high mortality. Indicators of outcome are the admission Glasgow Coma Scale score, pupillary abnormality, metabolic acidosis, and CT pattern of severe injury. The majority of deaths occur at an early stage. Among survivors the functional outcome can be acceptable.
Collapse
|
3730
|
Swanepoel DW. Early detection of infant hearing loss in South Africa. S Afr Med J 2009; 99:158-159. [PMID: 19563090] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/28/2023] Open
|
3731
|
Matu NK, Stephen L, Lalloo R. Prevalence and severity of periodontal disease: type 2 diabetics versus non-diabetics. SADJ : JOURNAL OF THE SOUTH AFRICAN DENTAL ASSOCIATION = TYDSKRIF VAN DIE SUID-AFRIKAANSE TANDHEELKUNDIGE VERENIGING 2009; 64:64-68. [PMID: 19517857] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/27/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To compare the periodontal status of a group of diabetic Coloured and Black communities of South Africa with a non-diabetic group. STUDY DESIGN Sixty-seven type 2 diabetics (mean age: 49.3 +/- 8.97) and 67 non-diabetics (mean age: 47.6 +/- 8.85) were examined. The plaque index (P1I), gingival index (GI), probing depth (PD) and clinical attachment loss (CAL) were recorded on Ramfjord index teeth or their substitutes. Previous dental care, smoking status, alcohol consumption and socio-economic status were also assessed. RESULTS Diabetics had significantly higher mean GI (p = 0.001), PD (p = 0.031) and CAL (p = 0.022) than non-diabetics. The mean P1I (p = 0.531) was not significantly different between the two groups. CONCLUSION This study showed that diabetics had more severe and a higher prevalence of periodontal disease. Diabetics and their health care givers should be informed of these findings so that diabetics can seek early management of periodontal disease.
Collapse
|
3732
|
Marais E, Aithma N, Perovic O, Oosthuysen WF, Musenge E, Dusé AG. Antimicrobial susceptibility of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus isolates from South Africa. S Afr Med J 2009; 99:170-173. [PMID: 19563094] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/28/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Trends in the antibiotic susceptibility of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) are regularly investigated in many countries, but minimal countrywide data are available for South Africa. The aim of this study was to describe the antibiotic susceptibility patterns of MRSA isolates collected in South Africa. DESIGN Susceptibility testing of 248 MRSA isolates collected from 15 National Health Laboratory Services (NHLS) and 8 private laboratories against 17 antibiotics was performed using the disc diffusion method. Demographic data were collected and correlated with antibiotic resistance patterns. RESULTS Antibiotic resistance of MRSA to erythromycin, tetracycline, trimethoprim/sulfamethoxazole, gentamicin and ciprofloxacin ranged between 55% and 78%, while all isolates were susceptible to teicoplanin, linezolid, vancomycin and quinopristin/dalfopristin. A significant difference in the resistance pattern of the isolates towards certain antimicrobial agents was identified among adults and children, as well as between isolates collected from the private and NHLS laboratories. CONCLUSION This is the first extensive report on the antimicrobial susceptibilities of South African MRSA isolates. These data can assist treatment decisions and form a baseline for further surveillance.
Collapse
|
3733
|
Venter M, Visser A, Lassauniere R. Human polyomaviruses, WU and KI in HIV exposed children with acute lower respiratory tract infections in hospitals in South Africa. J Clin Virol 2009; 44:230-4. [PMID: 19171499 PMCID: PMC7172267 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcv.2008.12.007] [Citation(s) in RCA: 22] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/27/2008] [Revised: 12/03/2008] [Accepted: 12/11/2008] [Indexed: 11/27/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The importance of two recently identified polyomaviruses, WUV and KIV, as respiratory pathogens in populations with a high HIV prevalence needs to be defined, since human polyomaviruses can cause significant morbidity and mortality in patients with immunosuppression. Geographic distribution and disease association of WUV and KIV genotypes are not yet clearly defined. OBJECTIVES To investigate the prevalence of WUV and KIV in HIV-positive and HIV-negative patients with respiratory infections in hospitals in South Africa and determine their genotypes. STUDY DESIGN Specimens from patients with acute respiratory infections from hospitals serving Pretoria were screened for WUV and KIV. Positive specimens were sequenced and subjected to phylogenetic analysis. RESULTS WUV was identified in (7%) and KIV in (1%) of mainly pediatric patients. Co-infections were common in WUV- and KIV-infected patients (71% and 66.6%, respectively); 57% of patients with WUV and 33% of patients with KIV were HIV-positive while the HIV prevalence in the respiratory virus patient group screened in this study was 33% WUV and KIV patients presented with moderate to severe lower respiratory tract disease. Four distinct and 2 unique WUV strains were identified clustering into 2 of 4 globally identified genotypes. KIV strains were identical to strains from Sweden. CONCLUSION WUV is frequently detected in HIV-infected patients with respiratory disease, but its role as respiratory pathogen remains uncertain.
Collapse
|
3734
|
Naidoo S, Kromhout H, London L, Naidoo RN, Burdorf A. Musculoskeletal pain in women working in small-scale agriculture in South Africa. Am J Ind Med 2009; 52:202-9. [PMID: 19035594 DOI: 10.1002/ajim.20662] [Citation(s) in RCA: 34] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/11/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Musculoskeletal pain is associated with demographic, occupational and physical factors. METHODS Our study investigated the prevalence and factors associated with musculoskeletal pain in 911 women working in small-scale agriculture in rural northern KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa in 2006 using a questionnaire survey. RESULTS In total, 67% (n = 574) of women reported any chronic musculoskeletal pain. The 12-month prevalence of pain ranged from 63.9% to 73.3% and the prevalence of specific chronic pain lasting more than 3 months ranged from 42.8% to 48.3%. Older age, carrying heavy loads, working with hands above shoulder height, and frequently squatting and kneeling were associated with chronic musculoskeletal pain. CONCLUSION The prevalence of pain reported in our study, was similar to other developing countries, but considerably higher than in developed countries. Ergonomic interventions including improved and adapted work techniques and tools should be considered to reduce the prevalence of pain in our study population.
Collapse
|
3735
|
Proctor M, Carter N, Barker P. Community assault--the cost of rough justice. S Afr Med J 2009; 99:160-161. [PMID: 19563091] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/28/2023] Open
|
3736
|
Moodley J, Harries J, Barone M. Misinformation and lack of knowledge hinder cervical cancer prevention. S Afr Med J 2009; 99:128. [PMID: 19563081] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/28/2023] Open
|
3737
|
Karim SA. From 'playstation thumb' to 'cellphone thumb': the new epidemic in teenagers. S Afr Med J 2009; 99:161-162. [PMID: 19563092] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/28/2023] Open
|
3738
|
Shulman ST. An ounce of prevention.. Pediatr Ann 2009; 38:123. [PMID: 19353898 DOI: 10.3928/00904481-20090301-03] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/20/2022]
|
3739
|
van der Spuy GD, van Helden PD, Warren RM. Effect of study duration on the interpretation of tuberculosis molecular epidemiology investigations. Tuberculosis (Edinb) 2009; 89:238-42. [PMID: 19249244 DOI: 10.1016/j.tube.2009.01.006] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/29/2008] [Revised: 12/28/2008] [Accepted: 01/23/2009] [Indexed: 11/19/2022]
Abstract
Many molecular epidemiological investigations of M. tuberculosis are reported using data collected over relatively short timeframes. We postulated that such studies would tend to under-estimate the amount of disease in a community attributable to ongoing transmission. To test this hypothesis we used 12-year datasets of both real and simulated epidemics with the latter being based on two possible models of transmission. We analysed the effect of viewing the datasets through time windows of varying sizes on the measured degree of strain clustering as an indicator of ongoing transmission. We found that shorter windows significantly under-estimated transmission and that this effect was inversely correlated with the size of a cluster. Accordingly, we recommend that molecular epidemiological studies of M. tuberculosis, for the purposes of estimating transmission, be conducted over a minimum of 3-4 years and that the distribution of cluster size be taken into account in the interpretation of such data.
Collapse
|
3740
|
|
3741
|
Goedecke JH, Dave JA, Faulenbach MV, Utzschneider KM, Lambert EV, West S, Collins M, Olsson T, Walker BR, Seckl JR, Kahn SE, Levitt NS. Insulin response in relation to insulin sensitivity: an appropriate beta-cell response in black South African women. Diabetes Care 2009. [PMID: 19196884 DOI: 10.2337/dc09-1216] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 04/30/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE The purpose of this study was to characterize differences in the acute insulin response to glucose (AIR(g)) relative to insulin sensitivity (S(I)) in black and white premenopausal normoglycemic South African women matched for body fatness. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS Cross-sectional analysis including 57 black and white South African women matched for BMI, S(I), AIR(g), and the disposition index (AIR(g) x S(I)) were performed using a frequently sampled intravenous glucose tolerance test with minimal model analysis, and similar measures were analyzed using an oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT). Body composition was assessed by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry and computed tomography. RESULTS S(I) was significantly lower (4.4 +/- 0.8 vs. 9.4 +/- 0.8 and 2.9 +/- 0.8 vs. 6.0 +/- 0. 8 x 10(-5) min(-1)/[pmol/l], P < 0.001) and AIR(g) was significantly higher (1,028 +/- 255 vs. 352 +/- 246 and 1,968 +/- 229 vs. 469 +/- 246 pmol/l, P < 0.001), despite similar body fatness (30.9 +/- 1.4 vs. 29.7 +/- 1.3 and 46.8 +/- 1.2 vs. 44.4 +/- 1.3%) in the normal-weight and obese black women compared with their white counterparts, respectively. Disposition index, a marker of beta-cell function, was not different between ethnic groups (3,811 +/- 538 vs. 2,966 +/- 518 and 3,646 +/- 485 vs. 2,353 +/- 518 x 10(-5) min, P = 0.10). Similar results were obtained for the OGTT-derived measures. CONCLUSIONS Black South African women are more insulin resistant than their white counterparts but compensate by increasing their insulin response to maintain normal glucose levels, suggesting an appropriate beta-cell response for the level of insulin sensitivity.
Collapse
|
3742
|
Jennings CL, Lambert EV, Collins M, Levitt NS, Goedecke JH. The atypical presentation of the metabolic syndrome components in black African women: the relationship with insulin resistance and the influence of regional adipose tissue distribution. Metabolism 2009; 58:149-57. [PMID: 19154946 DOI: 10.1016/j.metabol.2008.09.007] [Citation(s) in RCA: 25] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/09/2008] [Accepted: 09/23/2008] [Indexed: 11/17/2022]
Abstract
The appropriateness of the metabolic syndrome criteria as an indicator of cardiovascular disease risk has been challenged in black Africans. Hence, the aims of this study were (1) to examine the level of agreement between the International Diabetes Federation (IDF) and the National Cholesterol Education Program Adult Treatment Panel III (ATP III) metabolic syndrome criteria, which differ in their emphasis on central obesity; (2) to investigate the degree to which these criteria predict insulin resistance, as estimated by the homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR); and (3) to investigate the extent to which a diagnosis of the metabolic syndrome and insulin resistance may be explained by body fat and its distribution. In 103 normal-weight (body mass index <or=25 kg/m(2), mean: 22.0 +/- 1.8 kg/m(2)) and 119 obese (body mass index >or=30 kg/m(2), mean: 33.9 +/- 5.5 kg/m(2)) urbanized black South African women (27 +/- 7 years old), body composition (dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry), fat distribution (waist and computed tomography), blood pressure, fasting glucose, HOMA-IR, and lipid profiles were measured. Insulin resistance was defined as the upper tertile of HOMA-IR. The overall proportion of individuals who met the IDF and ATP III metabolic syndrome criteria were 13% and 10%, respectively. Agreement was high between the IDF and ATP III metabolic syndrome criteria (kappa = 0.87); however, neither criteria predicted HOMA-IR (kappa = 0.16, 95% confidence interval: 0.05-0.27 and 0.14, 95% confidence interval: 0.05-0.27, respectively). Visceral adipose tissue was the largest contributor to diagnosis of the metabolic syndrome, and waist alone (>80 cm or >88 cm) had an improved specificity (21% or 18% higher, respectively) and positive predictive value (64% or 57% higher, respectively) for identifying insulin resistance compared with the metabolic syndrome criteria. Waist circumference was a better predictor of HOMA-IR than the IDF or ATP III metabolic syndrome criteria in young black African women without known disease. The measurement of waist circumference, as an indicator of disease risk, should therefore be encouraged in the public health setting.
Collapse
|
3743
|
Keller P, McCarthy K, Mosendane T, Tellie M, Venter F, Noble L, Scott L, Stevens W, van Rie A. HIV prevalence among medical students in Johannesburg, South Africa. S Afr Med J 2009; 99:72. [PMID: 19418661] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/27/2023] Open
|
3744
|
Bateman C. Treat all HIV-positive people--and bury the pandemic in 14 years. S Afr Med J 2009; 99:80-82. [PMID: 19418663] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/27/2023] Open
|
3745
|
Mitchell SK, Kelly KJ, Potgieter FE, Moon MW. Assessing social preparedness for antiretroviral therapy in a generalized AIDS epidemic: a diffusion of innovations approach. AIDS Behav 2009; 13:76-84. [PMID: 17705035 DOI: 10.1007/s10461-007-9293-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/22/2007] [Accepted: 07/23/2007] [Indexed: 11/28/2022]
Abstract
Researchers conducted focus groups in the Eastern Cape Province of South Africa concerning AIDS and treatment options. Constituent groups included adults aged 25-45, HIV/AIDS caregivers, HIV-positive adults, nurses, rural elders, teenagers, and traditional healers. This pilot work aimed to gather early evidence on perceptions about the government's rollout of antiretroviral treatment (ART), identify potential barriers to success, and inform a subsequent pilot survey. Diffusion of innovations theory was used to interpret the data and helped identify potential obstacles to the ART rollout. AIDS stigma and a weakened healthcare system were negatively impacting the program. There was a lack of accurate knowledge about HIV/AIDS and antiretroviral treatment, with wide disparities among groups. Many people were not convinced that antiretroviral treatment is superior to other treatments, and a few people were afraid it was poisonous. There was no evidence that people were aware of the long-term difficulties of adherence to the regimen.
Collapse
|
3746
|
Kapp C. South Africa heads into elections in a sorry state of health. Lancet 2009; 373:285-6. [PMID: 19177628 DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(09)60082-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/20/2022]
|
3747
|
Abstract
Juliana Han and Michael L. Bennish discuss their experience developing a policy on condom distribution for Mpilonhle, a South African nongovernmental organization involved in HIV prevention in schools.
Collapse
|
3748
|
Jena S, Mountany L, Muller A. A demographic study of homicide-suicide in the Pretoria region over a 5 year period. J Forensic Leg Med 2009; 16:261-5. [PMID: 19481707 DOI: 10.1016/j.jflm.2008.12.009] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/10/2008] [Revised: 10/14/2008] [Accepted: 12/09/2008] [Indexed: 11/15/2022]
Abstract
A study was undertaken to research the occurrence of homicide-suicide events in the Pretoria region from January 1997 until October 2001. It is important to attempt understanding this tragic phenomenon from psychiatric and forensic perspectives. This uncommon phenomenon has attracted widespread and sensational media coverage, but little is known about the causal factors and demographic profile of perpetrators and victims, and possible sites of intervention. Case files of the Pretoria Medico-Legal Laboratory (where all cases of unnatural death in Pretoria are investigated) were reviewed and information collected from relevant investigating officers of the South African Police Services. The average annual incidence of homicide-suicide in Pretoria over the period studied was found to be 1 per 100,000 of the population. Two profiles of typical perpetrators seem to emerge: a younger, single, black male shooting his girlfriend and himself at home; and an older, married, Caucasian male shooting his wife and himself at home. Employment in peace forces and unemployment are shown to play significant roles, suggesting need for the availability of psychological support systems to members of peace forces and for intervention regarding unemployment.
Collapse
|
3749
|
Besselaar TG, Naidoo D, Buys A, Gregory V, McAnerney J, Manamela JM, Blumberg L, Schoub BD. Widespread oseltamivir resistance in influenza A viruses (H1N1), South Africa. Emerg Infect Dis 2009; 14:1809-10. [PMID: 18976580 PMCID: PMC2630761 DOI: 10.3201/eid1411.080958] [Citation(s) in RCA: 67] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/19/2022] Open
|
3750
|
Granich RM, Gilks CF, Dye C, De Cock KM, Williams BG. Universal voluntary HIV testing with immediate antiretroviral therapy as a strategy for elimination of HIV transmission: a mathematical model. Lancet 2009; 373:48-57. [PMID: 19038438 DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(08)61697-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1386] [Impact Index Per Article: 92.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Roughly 3 million people worldwide were receiving antiretroviral therapy (ART) at the end of 2007, but an estimated 6.7 million were still in need of treatment and a further 2.7 million became infected with HIV in 2007. Prevention efforts might reduce HIV incidence but are unlikely to eliminate this disease. We investigated a theoretical strategy of universal voluntary HIV testing and immediate treatment with ART, and examined the conditions under which the HIV epidemic could be driven towards elimination. METHODS We used mathematical models to explore the effect on the case reproduction number (stochastic model) and long-term dynamics of the HIV epidemic (deterministic transmission model) of testing all people in our test-case community (aged 15 years and older) for HIV every year and starting people on ART immediately after they are diagnosed HIV positive. We used data from South Africa as the test case for a generalised epidemic, and assumed that all HIV transmission was heterosexual. FINDINGS The studied strategy could greatly accelerate the transition from the present endemic phase, in which most adults living with HIV are not receiving ART, to an elimination phase, in which most are on ART, within 5 years. It could reduce HIV incidence and mortality to less than one case per 1000 people per year by 2016, or within 10 years of full implementation of the strategy, and reduce the prevalence of HIV to less than 1% within 50 years. We estimate that in 2032, the yearly cost of the present strategy and the theoretical strategy would both be US$1.7 billion; however, after this time, the cost of the present strategy would continue to increase whereas that of the theoretical strategy would decrease. INTERPRETATION Universal voluntary HIV testing and immediate ART, combined with present prevention approaches, could have a major effect on severe generalised HIV/AIDS epidemics. This approach merits further mathematical modelling, research, and broad consultation.
Collapse
|