Determinants of human papillomavirus vaccine hesitancy among Lebanese parents

INTRODUCTION

Human papillomavirus (HPV) is the most common sexually transmitted infection. HPV is responsible for cancer of cervix uteri. Despite its safety and immunogenicity, HPV vaccine hesitancy is one of the most challenging topics that pediatricians face.

METHODS

We aimed to describe the impact of knowledge, attitude, and practice towards vaccines in general, on practice related to HPV vaccination in Lebanon. A questionnaire addressed to parents of students (3-18 years of age) was distributed in 2 public and 2 private schools randomly selected from the greater Beirut area during the school year 2017-2018. Questionnaires covered knowledge, attitude, and practices of vaccination in general and HPV vaccine in particular.

RESULTS

Out of 400 distributed questionnaires, 306 (76.5%) were returned. Of the 185 parents aware of HPV vaccine, 60% hadn't given or were not planning to give the HPV vaccine to their children. Of parents not in favor of HPV vaccine, 7.5 thought that vaccines aren't necessary versus none among those in favor of HPV vaccine(p = 0.02). Thirteen percent of those not in favor of HPV vaccine thought that vaccines are not safe versus 2.7% in the group in favor (p = 0.02). An effect of gender on vaccine acceptance was noted: mothers vs fathers and daughters vs sons. Lack of recommendation by pediatricians and the thought that too little is known about the vaccine were the most selected reasons for parents not wanting to vaccinate their children against HPV, whereas cost and religious and cultural beliefs seemed to have no impact.

CONCLUSION

Most parents in our study did not vaccinate or weren't willing to vaccinate their children against HPV even when they were in favor of vaccines in general. Physician recommendation was shown to be one of the most important predictors of vaccination. Effort should be put into educating parents about the importance of the vaccine and its well-established safety and efficacy regardless of gender. Lebanese physicians should also be educated and empowered to recommend HPV vaccine more strongly and consistently.

Three-dimensional printing of mitral valve models using echocardiographic data improves the knowledge of cardiology fellow physicians in training

Background

High fidelity three-dimensional Mitral valve models (3D MVM) printed from echocardiography are currently being used in preparation for surgical repair.

Aim

We hypothesize that printed 3DMVM could have relevance to cardiologists in training by improving their understanding of normal anatomy and pathology.

Methods

Sixteen fellow physicians in pediatric and adult cardiology training were recruited. 3D echocardiography (3DE) video clips of six mitral valves (one normal and five pathological) were displayed and the fellows were asked to name the prolapsing segments in each. Following that, three still images of 3D MVMs in different projections: enface, profile and tilted corresponding to the same MVs seen in the clip were presented on a screen. Participating physicians were presented with a comprehensive questionnaire aimed at assessing whether the 3D MVM has improved their understanding of valvular anatomy. Finally, a printed 3D MVM of each of the valves was handed out, and the same questionnaire was re-administered to identify any further improvement in the participants' perception of the anatomy.

Results

The correct diagnosis using the echocardiography video clip of the Mitral valve was attained by 45% of the study participants. Both pediatric and adult trainees, regardless of the year of training demonstrated improved understanding of the anatomy of MV after observing the corresponding model image. Significant improvement in their understanding was noted after participants had seen and physically examined the printed model.

Conclusion

Printed 3D MVM has a beneficial impact on the cardiology trainees' understanding of MV anatomy and pathology compared to 3DE images.

Waterpipe and cigarette epigenome analysis reveals markers implicated in addiction and smoking type inference

Waterpipe smoking is frequent in the Middle East and Africa with emerging prevalence worldwide. The epigenome acts as a molecular sensor to exposures and a crucial driver in several diseases. With the widespread use of waterpipe smoking, it is timely to investigate its epigenomic markers and their role in addiction, as a central player in disease prevention and therapeutic strategies. DNA methylome-wide profiling was performed on an exposure-rich population from the Middle East, constituting of 216 blood samples split equally between never, cigarette-only and waterpipe-only smokers. Waterpipe smokers showed predominantly distinct epigenetic markers from cigarette smokers, even though both smoking forms are tobacco-based. Moreover, each smoking form could be accurately (∼90 %) inferred from the DNA methylome using machine learning. Top markers showed dose-response relationship with extent of smoking and were validated using independent technologies and additional samples (total N = 284). Smoking markers were enriched in regulatory regions and several biological pathways, primarily addiction. The epigenetically altered genes were not associated with genetic etiology of tobacco use, and the methylation levels of addiction genes, in particular, were more likely to reverse after smoking cessation. In contrast, other epigenetic markers continued to feature smoking exposure after cessation, which may explain long-term health effects observed in former smokers. This study reports, for the first time, blood epigenome-wide markers of waterpipe smokers and reveals new markers of cigarette smoking, with implications in mechanisms of addiction and the capacity to discriminate between different smoking types. These markers may offer actionable targets to reverse the epigenetic memory of addiction and can guide future prevention strategies for tobacco smoking as the most preventable cause of illnesses worldwide.

Imaging findings of the injured in the massive Beirut blast

PURPOSE

(1) Describe imaging utilization and findings within two weeks of the 2020 Beirut blast according to the mechanism of injury, (2) determine the appropriate imaging modality per organ/system, and (3) describe changes in the workflow of a radiology department to deal with massive crises.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Two hundred sixty patients presented to the largest emergency department in Beirut and underwent imaging within 2 weeks of the blast. In this retrospective study, patients were divided into early (1) and late (2) imaging groups. Patients' demographic, outcome, type and time of imaging studies, body parts imaged, and mechanism and types of injuries were documented.

RESULTS

Two hundred five patients in group 1 underwent 502 and 55 patients in group 2 underwent 145 imaging studies. Tertiary blast injuries from direct impact and falling objects were the most common type of injuries followed by secondary (shrapnel) injuries. Both types of injuries affected mostly the head and neck and upper extremities. Plain radiographs were adequate for the extremities and CT for the head and neck. A regularly updated and practiced emergency plan is essential to mobilize staff and equipment and efficiently deliver radiology services during crises.

CONCLUSION

Because the powerful Beirut blast occurred at the port located in the periphery of the city, most injuries seen on imaging were of the upper extremities and head and neck caused by the severe blast wind or penetrating shrapnel and resulted from people using their arms to protect their heads and bodies from direct impact and falling objects.

The Impact of Social Media on the Physical and Mental Well-Being of Medical Students During the COVID-19 Pandemic

COVID-19 pandemic has increased social media engagement globally. This study examined the correlation between social media use and physical/mental health among university students, considering gender and academic year. Out of 146 responses, 119 were analyzed after excluding participants with pre-existing psychological conditions. Results showed a significant correlation between social media use and mental health for all participants (correlation coefficient = 0.30, p < 0.001), indicating a negative impact on mental health with increased use. Gender-specific analysis revealed a non-significant correlation among males (p = 0.21), while females exhibited a significant correlation (correlation coefficient = 0.32, p = 0.01), suggesting an adverse effect on their mental health. Regarding physical health, females displayed an even higher correlation (correlation coefficient = 0.40, p < 0.001), highlighting the negative influence of social media on their physical well-being. Conversely, no significant correlation was observed among males. Analyzing by academic year, both pre-clerkship and clerkship students showed a significant correlation between social media use and mental health (correlation coefficients of 0.26, p = 0.01, and 0.42, p = 0.03, respectively). Similarly, a significant correlation was found between social media use and physical health among pre-clerkship students (correlation coefficient = 0.34, p = 0.001), but not among clerkship students. In conclusion, this study provides evidence of the adverse impact of social media use on physical and mental health among university students, particularly among females and across different academic years. These findings underscore the importance of promoting healthy social media habits and raising awareness about the potential negative effects on well-being.

Predicting outcomes following open revascularization for aortoiliac occlusive disease using machine learning

OBJECTIVE

Open surgical treatment options for aortoiliac occlusive disease carry significant perioperative risks; however, outcome prediction tools remain limited. Using machine learning (ML), we developed automated algorithms that predict 30-day outcomes following open aortoiliac revascularization.

METHODS

The National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) targeted vascular database was used to identify patients who underwent open aortoiliac revascularization for atherosclerotic disease between 2011 and 2021. Input features included 38 preoperative demographic/clinical variables. The primary outcome was 30-day major adverse limb event (MALE; composite of untreated loss of patency, major reintervention, or major amputation) or death. The 30-day secondary outcomes were individual components of the primary outcome, major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE; composite of myocardial infarction, stroke, or death), individual components of MACE, wound complication, bleeding, other morbidity, non-home discharge, and unplanned readmission. Our data were split into training (70%) and test (30%) sets. Using 10-fold cross-validation, we trained six ML models using preoperative features. The primary model evaluation metric was area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). Model robustness was evaluated with calibration plot and Brier score. Variable importance scores were calculated to determine the top 10 predictive features. Performance was assessed on subgroups based on age, sex, race, ethnicity, symptom status, procedure type, and urgency.

RESULTS

Overall, 9649 patients were included. The primary outcome of 30-day MALE or death occurred in 1021 patients (10.6%). Our best performing prediction model for 30-day MALE or death was XGBoost, achieving an AUROC of 0.95 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.94-0.96). In comparison, logistic regression had an AUROC of 0.79 (95% CI, 0.77-0.81). For 30-day secondary outcomes, XGBoost achieved AUROCs between 0.87 and 0.97 (untreated loss of patency [0.95], major reintervention [0.88], major amputation [0.96], death [0.97], MACE [0.95], myocardial infarction [0.88], stroke [0.93], wound complication [0.94], bleeding [0.87], other morbidity [0.96], non-home discharge [0.90], and unplanned readmission [0.91]). The calibration plot showed good agreement between predicted and observed event probabilities with a Brier score of 0.05. The strongest predictive feature in our algorithm was chronic limb-threatening ischemia. Model performance remained robust on all subgroup analyses of specific demographic/clinical populations.

CONCLUSIONS

Our ML models accurately predict 30-day outcomes following open aortoiliac revascularization using preoperative data, performing better than logistic regression. They have potential for important utility in guiding risk-mitigation strategies for patients being considered for open aortoiliac revascularization to improve outcomes.

Cost-benefit analysis of a multicomponent breastfeeding promotion and support intervention in a developing country

Background

Studies evaluating breastfeeding promotion and support interventions suggest some economic benefits. This study assessed the direct and indirect costs of a multicomponent breastfeeding promotion and support intervention during the first two years of the infant's life.

Methods

This is a cost-benefit analysis of data generated from a randomized controlled trial that aimed at investigating whether provision of a multicomponent breastfeeding promotion and support intervention to Lebanese mothers in the first six months postpartum would improve breastfeeding rates compared to standard obstetric and pediatric care. Data on 339 participants included information on maternal socio-demographics and health, infant nutrition and health, and direct and indirect costs of the intervention. The primary outcome was the benefit-cost ratio (BCR) of the intervention at one, six, 12, and 24 months. Secondary outcomes included the overall costs of infant nutrition and infant-mother dyad health costs during the first two years. Multiple linear regression models investigated the effect of the multicomponent intervention (independent variable) on the overall infant nutrition cost and the overall mother-infant health costs (as dependent variables), adjusting for monthly income and number of children (confounders) at different time points in the first two years. Similar regression models investigated the association between infant nutrition type (exclusive breastfeeding, mixed feeding, artificial milk) and infant nutrition costs and infant-mother health costs. Intention to treat analyses were conducted using SPSS (version 24). Statistical significance was set at a p -value below 0.05.

Results

The prevalence of Exclusive/Predominant breastfeeding among participants declined from 51.6% in the first month to 6.6% at the end of second year. The multicomponent breastfeeding intervention incurred 485 USD more in costs than the control group during the first six months but was cost-efficient by the end of the first year (incremental net benefits of 374 USD; BCR=2.44), and by the end of the second year (incremental net benefits of 472 USD; BCR=2.82). In adjusted analyses, the intervention was significantly associated with fewer infant illness visits in the first year ( p =0.045). Stratified analyses by the type of infant nutrition revealed that infants who were on Exclusive/Predominant , or Any Breastfeeding had significantly more favorable health outcomes at different time points during the first two years ( p <0.05) compared to infants receiving Artificial Milk only, with health benefits being highest in the Exclusive/Predominant breastfeeding group. Moreover, Exclusive/Predominant and Any Breastfeeding had significantly lower costs of infant illness visits, hospitalizations, and infant medications during the two years ( p <0.05), but had additional cost for maternal non-routine doctor visits due to breastfeeding (all p values <0.05). Whereas the overall cost (direct and indirect) during the first six months was significantly lower for the Exclusive/Predominant breastfeeding infants ( p =0.001), they were similar in infants on Mixed Feeding or Artificial Milk .

Conclusions

Breastfeeding is associated with significant economic and infant health benefits in the first two years. In the context of the current economic crisis in Lebanon, this study provides further evidence to policymakers on the need to invest in national breastfeeding promotion and support interventions.

Racial Disparities in Candidates for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Liver Transplant After 6-Month Wait Policy Change

Importance

Racial disparities in liver transplant (LT) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) may be associated with unequal access to life-saving treatment.

Objective

To quantify racial disparities in LT for HCC and mortality after LT, adjusting for demographic, clinical, and socioeconomic factors.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This cohort study was a retrospective analysis of United Network Organ Sharing/Organ Procurement Transplant Network (OPTN) data from 2003 to 2021. Participants were adult patients with HCC on the LT waiting list and those who received LT. Data were analyzed from March 2022 to September 2023.

Exposures

Race and time before and after the 2015 OPTN policy change.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Proportion of LT from wait-listed candidates, the proportion of waiting list removals, and mortality after LT.

Results

Among 12 031 patients wait-listed for LT with HCC (mean [SD] age, 60.8 [7.4] years; 9054 [75.3%] male; 7234 [60.1%] White, 2590 [21.5%] Latinx/o/a, and 1172 [9.7%] Black or African American), this study found that after the 2015 model of end-stage liver disease (MELD) exception policy changes for HCC (era 2), the overall proportion of LT for HCC across all races decreased while the proportion of dropouts on the LT waiting list remained steady compared with patients who did not have HCC. In Kaplan-Meier analysis, Asian patients demonstrated the lowest dropout rates in both era 1 and era 2 (1-year dropout, 16% and 17%, respectively; P < .001). In contrast, Black or African American patients had the highest dropout rates in era 1 (1-year dropout, 24%), but comparable dropout rates (23%) with White patients (23%) and Latinx/o/a patients in era 2 (23%). In both eras, Asian patients had the highest survival after LT (5-year survival, 82% for era 1 and 86% for era 2), while Black or African American patients had the worst survival after LT (5-year survival, 71% for era 1 and 79% for era 2). In the multivariable analysis for HCC LT recipients, Black or African American race was associated with increased risk of mortality in both eras, compared with White race (HR for era 1, 1.17; 95% CI, 1.05-1.35; and HR for era 2, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.10-1.56).

Conclusions and Relevance

This cohort study of LT candidates in the US found that after the 2015 MELD exception policy change for HCC, the proportion of LT for HCC had decreased for all races. Black or African American patients had worse outcomes after LT than other races. Further research is needed to identify the underlying causes of this disparity and develop strategies to improve outcomes for HCC LT candidates.

Effect of Sustained Uterine Compression versus Uterine Massage on Blood Loss after Vaginal Delivery: A Randomized Controlled Trial

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to compare the effectiveness of sustained uterine compression versus uterine massage in reducing blood loos after a vaginal delivery.

STUDY DESIGN

This was a prospective randomized trial conducted at the American University of Beirut Medical Center (AUBMC) between October 2015 and October 2017. Inclusion criteria were women with a singleton pregnancy at ≥36 weeks of gestation, with less than three previous deliveries, who were candidates for vaginal delivery. Participants were randomized into two groups, a sustained uterine compression group (group 1) and a uterine massage group (group 2). Incidence of postpartum hemorrhage (blood loss of ≥500 mL) was the primary outcome. We assumed that the incidence of postpartum hemorrhage at our institution is similar to previously published studies. A total of 545 women were required in each arm to detect a reduction from 9.6 to 4.8% in the primary outcome (50% reduction) with a one-sided α of 0.05 and a power of 80%. Factoring in a 10% dropout rate. Secondary outcomes were admission to intensive care unit (ICU), postpartum complications, drop in hemoglobin, duration of hospital stay, maternal pain, use of uterotonics, or of surgical procedure for postpartum hemorrhage.

RESULTS

A total of 550 pregnant women were recruited, 273 in group 1 and 277 in group 2. There was no statistically significant difference in baseline characteristics between the two groups. Type of anesthesia, rate of episiotomy, lacerations, and mean birth weight were also equal between the groups. Incidence of the primary outcome was not different between the two groups (group 1: 15.5%, group 2: 15.4%; p = 0.98). There was no statistically significant difference in any of the secondary outcomes between the two groups, including drop in hemoglobin (p = 0.79).

CONCLUSION

There was no difference in blood loss between sustained uterine compression and uterine massage after vaginal delivery.

KEY POINTS

· Transabdominal uterine compression and uterine massage are appropriate to prevent postpartum hemorrhage.. · No significant difference in blood loss or maternal discomfort observed between the two techniques.. · Both methods are equally effective and either one can be used based on provider preference..

Fructose intake and its association with relative telomere length: an exploratory study among healthy Lebanese adults

Introduction

Shorter relative telomere length (RTL) has been associated with increased incidence of morbidity. Although still disputed, available evidence suggests that dietary factors, including sugar-sweetened beverages (SSB) may be linked with shorter RTL. It was argued that the link between SSB and RTL may be explained by the sugar content of these beverages, and specifically fructose given its impact on oxidative stress and the inflammatory response. However, none of the existing studies have examined the specific link between fructose intake and RTL. This exploratory study aimed at (1) assessing the intake of dietary fructose (total, added and natural) in Lebanese healthy adults and (2) examining dietary fructose as a predictor of short telomere length.

Methods

Following a cross-sectional design (n = 282), anthropometric and biochemical data were collected. RTL was assessed by utilizing real-time polymerase chain reaction (RT-qPCR) to amplify both telomere and single-copy gene segments. Dietary intake was evaluated using a culture-specific food frequency questionnaire (FFQ). Intakes of added fructose, naturally-occurring fructose, and total fructose were estimated.

Results

Mean intakes of added and natural fructose were of 39.03 ± 34.12 and 12.28 ± 8.59 g/day, respectively, representing 4.80 ± 3.56 and 1.78 ± 1.41% of total energy intake (EI). Mean total fructose intake was of 51.31 ± 35.55 g/day, contributing 6.58 ± 3.71% EI. Higher intakes of total and added fructose were significantly associated with shorter RTL 2nd RTL tertile as compared to the 3rd RTL tertile; relative risk ratio (RRR) = 3.10 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.38, 6.94] and RRR = 2.33 (95% CI: 1.02, 5.36), respectively after adjustment for confounders identified using a directed acyclic graph (DAG).

Conclusion

In conclusion, although we could not observe a dose-dependent relation between fructose intakes and RTL shortening and although the study is limited by its small sample size, the findings suggest that total and added dietary fructose intakes may be associated with shorter RTL. Larger studies, of longitudinal nature, are needed to further confirm the study findings.

Predicting Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events Following Carotid Endarterectomy Using Machine Learning

Background Carotid endarterectomy (CEA) is a major vascular operation for stroke prevention that carries significant perioperative risks; however, outcome prediction tools remain limited. The authors developed machine learning algorithms to predict outcomes following CEA. Methods and Results The National Surgical Quality Improvement Program targeted vascular database was used to identify patients who underwent CEA between 2011 and 2021. Input features included 36 preoperative demographic/clinical variables. The primary outcome was 30-day major adverse cardiovascular events (composite of stroke, myocardial infarction, or death). The data were split into training (70%) and test (30%) sets. Using 10-fold cross-validation, 6 machine learning models were trained using preoperative features. The primary metric for evaluating model performance was area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. Model robustness was evaluated with calibration plot and Brier score. Overall, 38 853 patients underwent CEA during the study period. Thirty-day major adverse cardiovascular events occurred in 1683 (4.3%) patients. The best performing prediction model was XGBoost, achieving an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.91 (95% CI, 0.90-0.92). In comparison, logistic regression had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.62 (95% CI, 0.60-0.64), and existing tools in the literature demonstrate area under the receiver operating characteristic curve values ranging from 0.58 to 0.74. The calibration plot showed good agreement between predicted and observed event probabilities with a Brier score of 0.02. The strongest predictive feature in our algorithm was carotid symptom status. Conclusions The machine learning models accurately predicted 30-day outcomes following CEA using preoperative data and performed better than existing tools. They have potential for important utility in guiding risk-mitigation strategies to improve outcomes for patients being considered for CEA.

Outcomes of critically ill COVID-19 patients boarding in the emergency department of a tertiary care center in a developing country: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Boarding of critically ill patients in the emergency department (ED) has long been known to compromise patient care and affect outcomes. During the COVID-19 pandemic, multiple hospitals worldwide experienced overcrowded emergency rooms. Large influx of patients outnumbered hospital beds and required prolonged length of stay (LOS) in the ED. Our aim was to assess the ED LOS effect on mortality and morbidity, in addition to the predictors of in-hospital mortality, intubation, and complications of critically ill COVID-19 ED boarder patients.

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study, investigating 145 COVID-19-positive adult patients who were critically ill, required intensive care unit (ICU), and boarded in the ED of a tertiary care center in Lebanon. Data on patients who boarded in the emergency from January 1, 2020, till January 31, 2021, was gathered and studied.

RESULTS

Overall, 66% of patients died, 60% required intubation, and 88% developed complications. Multiple risk factors were associated with mortality naming age above 65 years, vasopressor use, severe COVID pneumonia findings on CT chest, chemotherapy treatment in the previous year, cardiovascular diseases, chronic kidney diseases, prolonged ED LOS, and low SaO2 < 95% on triage. In addition, our study showed that staying long hours in the ED increased the risk of developing complications.

CONCLUSION

To conclude, all efforts need to be drawn to re-establish mitigation strategies and models of critical care delivery in the ED to alleviate the burden of critical boarders during pandemics, thus decreasing morbidity and mortality rates. Lessons from this pandemic should raise concern for complications seen in ED ICU boarders and allow the promotion of health measures optimizing resource allocation in future pandemic crises.

Sensitivity and specificity of three diabetes diagnostic criteria in people with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and otherwise healthy people: Analysis of NHANES III

AIMS

Establishing whether fasting plasma glucose (FPG), postprandial glucose (PPG), and HbA1c have the same diagnostic accuracy in NAFLD versus otherwise healthy people could inform T2DM screening recommendations for those with NAFLD.

METHODS

Cross-sectional analysis of the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES III) 1989-1994. T2DM was defined as PPG ≥ 200 mg/dL, FPG ≥ 126 mg/dL, or HbA1c ≥ 6.5 %. We estimated sensitivity and specificity between the six pairwise combinations between the three T2DM definitions in people with and without NAFLD. With Poisson regressions, we investigated if people with NAFLD were more likely to have T2DM with two diagnostic criteria yet not with the third one.

RESULTS

There were 3652 people with mean age 55.6 years and 49.4 % were men; 673 (18.4 %) people had NAFLD. Compared to NAFLD-free individuals, those with NAFLD had lower specificity in all pairwise comparisons except when PPG was the reference vs HbA1c [98.28 % (95 % CI: 97.73 %-98.72 %) in people without NAFLD vs 96.15 % (95 % CI: 94.28 %-97.54 %)]. The sensitivity of FPG was slightly superior to PPG and HbA1c in people without NAFLD; for example, 64.62 % (95 % CI: 55.75 %-72.80 %) for FPG vs 56.58 % (95 % CI: 44.71 %-67.92 %) for HbA1c. People with NAFLD were more likely to be diagnosed with FPG and PPG yet not with HbA1c (PR=2.15; p = 0.020).

CONCLUSIONS

While these T2DM diagnostic criteria may capture different patients both in people with and without NAFLD, in the NAFLD population FPG appears to have the best sensitivity and there were no differences between PPG and HbA1c in terms of specificity.

Racial, ethnic, and socioeconomic disparities impact post-liver transplant survival in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

Liver transplantation can be a curative treatment for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC); however, the morbidity and mortality associated with HCC varies by socioeconomic status and race and ethnicity. Policies like Share 35 were implemented to ensure equitable access to organ transplants; however, their impacts are unclear. We aimed to characterize differences in post-liver transplant (LT) survival among patients with HCC, when considering race and ethnicity, income, and insurance type, and understand if these associations were impacted by Share 35.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 30,610 adult LT recipients with HCC. Data were obtained from the UNOS database. Survival analysis was carried out using Kaplan-Meier curves, and multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to calculate hazard ratios.

RESULTS

Men (HR: 0.90 (95% CI: 0.85-0.95)), private insurance (HR: 0.91 (95% CI: 0.87-0.92)), and income (HR: 0.87 (95% CI: 0.83-0.92)) corresponded with higher post-LT survival, when adjusted for over 20 demographic and clinical characteristics (Table 2). African American or Black individuals were associated with lower post-LT survival (HR: 1.20 (95% CI: 1.12-1.28)), whereas. Asian (HR: 0.79 (95% CI: 0.71-0.88)) or Hispanic (HR: 0.86 (95% CI: 0.81-0.92)) individuals were associated with higher survival as compared with White individuals (Table 2). Many of these patterns held in the pre-Share 35 and Share 35 periods.

CONCLUSIONS

Racial, ethnic, and socioeconomic disparities at time of transplant, such as private insurance and income, influence post-LT survival in patients with HCC. These patterns persist despite the passage of equitable access policies, such as Share 35.

Development and Validation of a Novel 1-year Mortality Risk Score That Includes the Use of Antithrombotic in Patients With Overt Gastrointestinal Bleeding

GOALS AND BACKGROUND

We aimed to develop a novel 1-year mortality risk-scoring system that includes use of antithrombotic (AT) drugs and to validate it against other scoring systems in patients with acute gastrointestinal bleeding (GIB).

STUDY

We developed a risk-scoring system from prospectively collected data on patients admitted with GIB between January 2013 and August 2020, who had at least 1- year of follow-up. Independent predictors of 1-year mortality were determined after adjusting for the following confounders: the age-adjusted Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) (divided into 4 groups: CCI-0=0, CCI-1=1 to 3, CCI-2=4 to 6, CCI-3 ≥7), need for blood transfusion, GIB severity, need for endoscopic therapy, and type of AT. The risk score was based on independent predictors.

RESULTS

Five hundred seventy-six patients were included and 123 (21%) died at 1-year follow-up. Our risk -score was based on the following: CCI-2 (2 points), CCI-3 (4 points), need for blood transfusion (1 point), and no use of aspirin (1 point), as aspirin use was protective (maximum score=6). Patients with higher risk scores had higher mortality. The model had a better predictive accuracy [AUC=0.82, 95% confidence interval (0.78-0.86), P <0.0001] than the Rockall score for upper GIB (Area Under the Curve (AUC)=0.68, P <<0.0001), the Oakland score for lower GIB (AUC=0.69, p =0.004), or the Shock Index for all (AUC=0.54, P <0.0001).

CONCLUSION

A simple and novel score that includes use of AT upon admission accurately predicts 1-year mortality in patients with GIB. This scoring system may help guide follow-up decisions and inform the prognosis of patients with GIB.

The Impact of COVID-19 on the Epidemiology and Outcomes of Candidemia: A Retrospective Study from a Tertiary Care Center in Lebanon

Invasive fungal infections, notably candidemia, have been associated with COVID-19. The epidemiology of candidemia has significantly changed during the COVID-19 pandemic. We aim to identify the microbiological profile, resistance rates, and outcomes of COVID-19-associated candidemia (CAC) compared to patients with candidemia not associated with COVID-19. We retrospectively collected data on patients with candidemia admitted to the American University of Beirut Medical Center between 2004 and 2022. We compared the epidemiology of candidemia during and prior to the COVID-19 pandemic. Additionally, we compared the outcomes of critically ill patients with CAC to those with candidemia without COVID-19 from March 2020 till March 2022. Among 245 candidemia episodes, 156 occurred prior to the pandemic and 89 during the pandemic. Of the latter, 39 (43.8%) were CAC, most of which (82%) were reported from intensive care units (ICU). Non-albicans Candida (NAC) spp. were predominant throughout the study period (67.7%). Candida auris infection was the most common cause of NAC spp. in CAC. C. glabrata had decreased susceptibility rates to fluconazole and caspofungin during the pandemic period (46.1% and 38.4%, respectively). The mortality rate in the overall ICU population during the pandemic was 76.6%, much higher than the previously reported candidemia mortality rate observed in studies involving ICU patients. There was no significant difference in 30-day mortality between CAC and non-CAC (75.0% vs. 78.1%; p = 0.76). Performing ophthalmic examination (p = 0.002), CVC removal during the 48 h following the candidemia (p = 0.008) and speciation (p = 0.028) were significantly associated with a lower case-fatality rate. The epidemiology of candidemia has been significantly affected by the COVID-19 pandemic at our center. Rigorous infection control measures and proper antifungal stewardship are essential to combat highly resistant species such as C. auris.

Social and racial inequalities in diabetes and cancer in the United States

Background

Cancer and diabetes are among the leading causes of morbidity and mortality worldwide. Several studies have reported diabetes as a risk factor for developing cancer, a relationship that may be explained by associated factors shared with both diseases such as age, sex, body weight, smoking, and alcohol consumption. Social factors referred to as social determinants of health (SDOH) were shown to be associated with the risk of developing cancer and diabetes. Despite that diabetes and social factors were identified as significant determinants of cancer, no studies examined their combined effect on the risk of developing cancer. In this study, we aim at filling this gap in the literature by triangulating the association between diabetes, indices of SDOH, and the risk of developing cancer.

Methods

We have conducted a quantitative study using data from the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS), whereby information was collected nationally from residents in the United States (US) with respect to their health-related risk behaviors, chronic health conditions, and the use of preventive services. Data analysis using weighted regressions was conducted on 389,158 study participants.

Results

Our findings indicated that diabetes is a risk factor that increases the likelihood of cancer by 13% (OR 1.13; 95%CI: 1.05-1.21). People of White race had higher odds for cancer compared to African Americans (OR 0.44; 95%CI: 0.39-0.49), Asians (OR 0.27; 95%CI: 0.20-0.38), and other races (OR 0.56; 95%CI: 0.46-0.69). The indices of SDOH that were positively associated with having cancer encompassed unemployment (OR 1.78; 95%CI: 1.59-1.99), retirement (OR 1.54; 95%CI: 1.43-1.67), higher income levels with ORs ranging between 1.16-1.38, college education (OR 1.10; 95%CI: 1.02-1.18), college graduates (OR 1.31; 95%CI: 1.21-1.40), and healthcare coverage (OR 1.44; 95%CI: 1.22-1.71). On the other hand, the indices of SDOH that were protective against having cancer were comprised of renting a home (OR 0.86; 95%CI: 0.79-0.93) and never married (OR 0.73; 95%CI: 0.65-0.81).

Conclusion

This study offers a novel social dimension for the association between diabetes and cancer that could guide setting strategies for addressing social inequities in disease prevention and access to healthcare.

Association of serum IgG4 and disease outcomes in patients with inflammatory bowel disease

Background

The etiology of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is multifactorial and thought to be influenced by inappropriate activation of the gut mucosal immune system. As the only immunoglobulin G (IgG) subclass unable to activate the classical complement cascade, the role of IgG4 in IBD pathophysiology as an immunomodulator is controversial. This study aimed to determine the association of low, normal and high IgG4 levels with the outcomes of IBD patients.

Methods

This was a retrospective study of a multisite tertiary care center database evaluating patients with IBD who had an IgG4 level drawn between 2014 and 2021. Subjects were divided into low, normal, and high IgG4 level groups for evaluation of demographic and clinical indicators of IBD activity and severity.

Results

Of 284 patients with IBD, 22 had low (7.7%), 16 high (5.6%), and 246 (86.6%) normal IgG4 levels. There was no difference in IBD subtype, mean age, age at IBD diagnosis, or smoking between the 3 groups. There was no difference in number of hospitalizations (P=0.20), C-reactive protein levels, need for intestinal resection (P=0.85), or presence of primary sclerosing cholangitis (P=0.15), pancreatitis (P=0.70), or perianal disease (P=0.68) between the groups. Significantly more patients in the low IgG4 group had previous exposure to vedolizumab compared to the other groups and more patients in the low IgG4 group received vedolizumab (P=0.04), azathioprine (P=0.04) and prednisone (P=0.03) during the 5-year follow up.

Conclusion

In this study, a low serum IgG4 level was associated with higher rates of vedolizumab, azathioprine, and steroid use.

A novel nephrectomy-specific respiratory failure index using the ACS-NSQIP dataset

PURPOSE

Post-operative pulmonary failure is a major complication of nephrectomy that may lead to severe morbidity and mortality. Hence, we aimed to derive a nephrectomy-specific post-operative respiratory failure index.

METHODS

Our cohort was derived from The American College of Surgeons-National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database between 2005 and 2019. The outcome of interest was post-operative respiratory failure (PRF) defined as any incidence of unplanned intubation post-operatively or requiring mechanical ventilation post-operatively for a period > 48 h. A multivariable logistic regression model was constructed, and model calibration and performance were assessed using a ROC analysis and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test. Finally, we derived the nephrectomy-specific respiratory failure (NSRF) index and compared it to Gupta's index.

RESULTS

Seventy-nine thousand five hundred and twenty-three patients underwent nephrectomy between the years 2005 and 2019 of which nine hundred and sixty-two patients developed PRF. The final NSRF model encompassed ten variables: age, smoking status, American society of anesthesiology class, abnormal creatinine (≥ 1.5 mg/dL), anemia (< 36%), functional health status, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, surgical approach, emergency case, and obesity (≥ 40 kg/m²). The NSRF ROC analysis provided C-statistic = 0.78, calibration R² = 0.99, and proper goodness of fit. In comparison, the C-statistics of Gupta's index was found to be 0.71 (p value < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The NSRF is a procedure tailored index for predicting post-operative respiratory failure. It is a valuable tool in the pre-operative evaluation setting that can help identify high-risk patients who will require additional respiratory evaluation and preparation for their surgery.

Association of Hip Fracture With the Use of Walking Assistance Devices Post-surgery: A Retrospective Study Comparing Intertrochanteric and Subtrochanteric Hip Fractures

Background Hip fractures, including intertrochanteric and subtrochanteric fractures, are among the most common types of fractures. The dynamic hip screw (DHS) and the cephalomedullary hip nail (CHN) are the two main techniques used for the fixation of these types of fractures. This study aims to explore the association of the fracture type with the use of walking assistance devices post-surgery, regardless of the fixation technique. Methodology This study is a retrospective study based on the review of de-identified patient data from the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database. Patients aged 65 years old or above who underwent fixation procedures for intertrochanteric or subtrochanteric fractures using CHN or DHS techniques were included in this study. Results A total of 8,881 patients were included and divided into the following two groups: 876 (9.9%) patients treated for subtrochanteric fracture, and 8,005 (90.1%) patients treated for intertrochanteric fracture. No statistical significance was detected in the use of mobility aid postoperatively between the two groups. When compared to CHN, DHS was noted to be the most employed fixation technique among patients with intertrochanteric fractures. One main finding was that patients who underwent surgery using DHS for intertrochanteric fractures were more likely to use walking assistance devices postoperatively compared to those with subtrochanteric fractures treated with the same fixation technique. Conclusions Findings suggest that the use of walking assistance devices post-surgery is independent of the type of fracture and potentially dependent on the fixation technique employed. Future studies focused on the difference in the use of walking assistance devices based on fixation techniques for patients with distinctive sub-types of trochanteric fractures are highly encouraged.

Comparison between the accuracy of chest computerized tomography vs. reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction in a tertiary care center in Lebanon; along with their correlation to mortality, morbidity and symptoms in COVID-19 patients

Objectives

Chest Computerized Tomography has been widely used in COVID patients' assessment. Hence the question arises as to whether there is any correlation between the Ct value and findings on Chest CT scan or clinical presentation of the patient. We wanted to test the hypothesis of whether low Ct values (≤30) in RT-PCR were associated with a high mortality rate, CT scan findings, or with comorbidities such as immunosuppression and lung disease.

Methods

The radiographic records and RT-PCR Ct values of 371 COVID patents diagnosed at the American University of Beirut Medical Center were reviewed.

Results

We found out that the sensitivity of chest CT scan compared to RT-PCR, the gold standard, turned out to be 74% (95% CI 69–79%). Specificity, on the other hand was 33% (95% CI 16–55%). The positive predictive value of CT was 94% (95% CI 91–97%) and the negative predictive value was 8% (95% CI 4–16%). low Ct values in RT-PCR were not associated with a higher mortality rate (p-value = 0.416). There was no significant positive association between low Ct value and suspicious CT scan findings (typical and indeterminate for COVID-19), with a p-value of 0.078. There was also no significant association between low Ct value and immunosuppression (p-value = 0.511), or lung disease (p-value =0.06). CT scan findings whether suspicious or not for COVID-19 infection, were not shown to be significantly associated with respiratory symptoms of any kind.

No association was found between a history of lung disease, immunosuppression and suspicious CT scan findings for COVID-19.

Conclusion

As long as this pandemic exists, nucleic acid testing was and remains the gold standard of COVID-19 diagnosis worldwide and in our community as it has a superior diagnostic accuracy to CT scan and higher sensitivity (94% vs 74%).

Predictors of surgical site infection following reconstructive flap surgery: A multi-institutional analysis of 37,177 patients

Purpose

Rates of surgical site infection (SSI) following reconstructive flap surgeries (RFS) vary according to flap recipient site, potentially leading to flap failure. This is the largest study to determine predictors of SSI following RFS across recipient sites.

Methods

The National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database was queried for patients undergoing any flap procedure from years 2005 to 2020. RFS involving grafts, skin flaps, or flaps with unknown recipient site were excluded. Patients were stratified according to recipient site: breast, trunk, head and neck (H&N), upper and lower extremities (UE&LE). The primary outcome was the incidence of SSI within 30 days following surgery. Descriptive statistics were calculated. Bivariate analysis and multivariate logistic regression were performed to determine predictors of SSI following RFS.

Results

37,177 patients underwent RFS, of whom 7.5% (n = 2,776) developed SSI. A significantly greater proportion of patients who underwent LE (n = 318, 10.7%) and trunk (n = 1,091, 10.4%) reconstruction developed SSI compared to those who underwent breast (n = 1,201, 6.3%), UE (n = 32, 4.4%), and H&N (n = 100, 4.2%) reconstruction (p < .001). Longer operating times were significant predictors of SSI following RFS across all sites. The strongest predictors of SSI were presence of open wound following trunk and H&N reconstruction [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.82 (1.57-2.11) and 1.75 (1.57-1.95)], disseminated cancer following LE reconstruction [aOR (CI) 3.58 (2.324-5.53)], and history of cardiovascular accident or stroke following breast reconstruction [aOR (CI) 16.97 (2.72-105.82)].

Conclusion

Longer operating time was a significant predictor of SSI regardless of reconstruction site. Reducing operating times through proper surgical planning might help mitigate the risk of SSI following RFS. Our findings should be used to guide patient selection, counseling, and surgical planning prior to RFS.

Sedation as an alternative anesthetic technique for frail patients in transurethral resection of the prostate

Background

Transurethral resection of the prostate (TURP) under Monitored Anesthesia Care MAC/Sedation (macTURP), as compared with TURP under general (genTURP) or spinal (spTURP) anesthesia, is a safer and infrequently used technique reserved for high-risk patients.

Objectives

The aim of this study is to compare 30-day postoperative outcomes of TURP using the three types of anesthesia techniques.

Design and methods

The American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database was queried for patients who underwent TURP between 2008 and 2019. Demographics, lab values, medical history, and 30-day outcomes were compared. Univariate and multivariate regression models for postoperative complications were constructed. A propensity score-matched analysis was then performed for genTURP and macTURP and for spTURP and macTURP as a sensitivity analysis.

Results

A total of 53,182 patients underwent TURP. Older patients (>80) with diabetes requiring insulin (7.9%), leukocytosis (7.4%), history of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) (7.8%), dyspnea (7.2%), and of ASA > 2 (58.8%) were more likely to undergo macTURP as compared with genTURP (p < 0.013). SpTURP showed lower rates of urinary tract infection (UTI) [odds ratio (OR) = 0.869] as compared with genTURP (p = 0.049), whereas macTURP showed higher rates of major adverse cardiovascular events (OR = 2.179) as compared with genTURP (p = 0.005). All other postoperative complications showed similar rates between the three procedures. The propensity-matched cohorts demonstrated that no differences in postoperative complication rates were noted between macTURP and genTURP and between macTURP and spTURP.

Conclusion

MacTURP was found to be feasible with a good safety profile as compared with genTURP and spTURP. MacTURP could be used in elderly, frail, and co-morbid patients with a similar safety profile as compared with more invasive anesthetic techniques.

Varenicline Treatment for Waterpipe Smoking Cessation

BACKGROUND

Waterpipe smoking is increasing worldwide with no proven interventions for cessation. We compared abstinence rates with 12-week varenicline therapy versus placebo among habitual waterpipe smokers willing to quit.

METHODS

This double-blind placebo-controlled single-center trial, randomized waterpipe smokers from Lebanon who did not smoke other tobacco products to receive varenicline or placebo for 12 weeks. All participants also received three structured 30-minute individual behavioral intervention sessions. The primary outcome was repeated point prevalence abstinence assessed by self-report and verified by exhaled carbon monoxide three times during 12 weeks and analyzed with the intention to treat. End of treatment urine cotinine, weight, blood pressure, anxiety, depression, withdrawal, and adverse symptoms were also assessed.

RESULTS

In total, 152 waterpipe smokers (mean age 38 years [SD = 13], 39% females) willing to quit, who smoked waterpipe exclusively (average 2.3 per day [SD = 1.6] for 16.8 years [SD = 10.8]) were randomized. Seventy-nine participants (52%) with any missing abstinence assessment were considered to have relapsed. Repeat point prevalence abstinence rate was numerically higher among the varenicline group compared to placebo, but the difference did not reach statistical significance when assessed by self-report (16.9 vs. 13.6%, respectively, p = .6) and when further verified by exhaled carbon monoxide (14.1% vs. 9.9%, respectively, p = .4). Abstinence rates were similar in both groups when further verified by urine cotinine at end of treatment. No serious adverse events were reported, adverse symptoms and other outcomes were similar in the varenicline and placebo arms.

CONCLUSIONS

Varenicline for 12 weeks was not more effective than placebo to achieve abstinence among daily waterpipe smokers.

IMPLICATIONS

Varenicline in combination with a behavioral intervention did not significantly enhance the quit rate among exclusive waterpipe smokers compared to behavioral intervention plus placebo. We experienced difficulty enrolling exclusive waterpipe smokers willing to quit and observed high dropout rates among participants demonstrating the difficulties of waterpipe smoking cessation.

Robotic-assisted radical prostatectomy is pushing the boundaries: a national survey of frailty using the national surgical quality improvement program

Background

Robotic-assisted radical prostatectomy (RARP) has been found to be comparable and, in some cases, favorable to open surgical approaches, while being used in a frailer population.

Objectives

We aimed to illustrate the trend in population frailty and compare morbidity and mortality postoperatively in patients who underwent RARP.

Design and Methods

The National Surgical Quality Improvement Program data set was used to select patients who underwent RARP between the years 2011-2019. Age, frailty indicators, surgical characteristics, and perioperative morbidity and mortality were compared between the years 2011-2019 using the chi-square test (χ²) for categorical variables and the one-way analysis of variance (ANOVA) for continuous variables.

Results

Our patient population consisted of 66,683 patients who underwent RARP. There was an increase in mean age and frailty indicated by an increase in 5-item frailty score ⩾2, metabolic syndrome index = 3, and American Society of Anesthesiologists' (ASA) class ⩾3 between the years 2011-2019 (p < 0.001). Whereas the rate of mortality and morbidity, indicated by postoperative Clavien-Dindo grade ⩾4 and major morbidity, remained the same over the same period (p > 0.264). Furthermore, operative time and length of stay decreased over the same period (p < 0.001).

Conclusion

RARP is being performed on more frail patients, with no added morbidity or mortality.