Prognostic impact of perioperative change in serum p53 antibody titers in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The clinical effectiveness of tumor markers for estimating prognosis in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) remains unclear. We assessed the clinical impact of changes in perioperative serum p53 antibodies (s-p53-Abs) titers in ESCC.

METHODS

From January 2011 to March 2021, 249 patients were enrolled in this study. Titers of s-p53-Abs were measured before the initial treatment and 3 months after esophagectomy. Patients were divided into a s-p53-Abs decreased or unchanged group (Group D, n = 217) and an increased group (Group I, n = 32). Short- and long-term outcomes were compared between the groups.

RESULTS

There was no correlation between the changes in squamous cell carcinoma antigen and carcinoembryonic antigen titers and recurrence site, number of recurrent lesions, and prognosis. However, the recurrence rate was significantly higher in Group I than in Group D (53.1% vs. 28.6%, p = 0.008), especially for distant organ recurrence (37.5% vs. 18.4%, p = 0.019). Furthermore, the rate of polyrecurrence was higher in Group I than in Group D (34.4% vs. 14.3%, p = 0.009). Recurrence-free survival (RFS) was significantly worse in Group I than in Group D (median survival time, 21.2 months vs. 36.7 months, p = 0.015). Multivariate analysis revealed that lymphatic vessel infiltration (hazard ratio [HR], 1.721; 95% CI 1.069-2.772; p = 0.026), blood vessel infiltration (HR, 2.348; 95% CI 1.385-3.982; p = 0.002), advanced pathological stage (≥ III) (HR, 3.937; 95% CI 2.295-6.754; p < 0.001), and increased s-p53-Abs titers (HR, 2.635; 95% CI 1.488-4.667; p = 0.001) were independent predictors of poor RFS.

CONCLUSIONS

Elevation of s-p53-Abs titers after esophagectomy can predict polyrecurrence in distant organs and poor prognosis.

Oncological and physiological impact of thoracic duct resection in esophageal cancer

Despite advances in multidisciplinary treatment, esophagectomy remains the main curative treatment for esophageal cancer. The advantages and disadvantages of thoracic duct (TD) resection have been controversial for decades. We have herein reviewed relevant published literature regarding 'thoracic duct,' 'esophageal cancer,' and 'esophagectomy' describing the anatomy and function of the TD, and incidence of thoracic duct lymph nodes (TDLN) and TDLN metastases, as well as the oncological and physiological effects of TD resection. The presence of lymph nodes around the TD, referred to as TDLN, has been reported previously. The delineation of TDLNs is clearly defined by a thin fascial structure covering the TD and the surrounding adipose tissue. Previous studies have examined the number of TDLNs and the percentage of patients with TDLN metastasis and revealed that each patient had approximately two TDLNs. The percentage of patients with TDLN metastasis was reported to be 6-15%. Several studies have been conducted to compare the survival after TD resection with that after TD preservation. However, no consensus has been reached because all studies were retrospective, precluding firm conclusions. Although the issue of whether the risk of postoperative complications is affected by TD resection is still unclear, resecting the TD has been shown to have a long-term impact on nutritional status after surgery. In summary, TDLNs are quite common and present in most patients, while metastasis in the TDLNs occurs in a minority. However, the oncological value of TD resection in esophageal cancer surgery remains controversial due to varying findings and methodological limitations of previous comparative studies. Considering the potential but unproven oncological benefits and possible physiological drawbacks of TD resection, including postoperative fluid retention and disadvantages in the long-term nutritional outcome, clinical stage, and nutritional status should be considered before deciding whether to perform TD resection or not.

Risk and Prognosis of Upper Extremity Deep Vein Thrombosis

Objectives: We aimed to investigate the clinical features of upper extremity deep vein thrombosis (UEDVT). Methods: We retrospectively reviewed the background, thrombus site, treatment, and outcome of 76 UEDVT patients. Results: Of the 76 UEDVT patients, 44 (57.9%) were men, and 51 (67.1%) were complicated by malignancy, 44 (57.9%) had an indwelling central vein (CV) catheter, 8 (10.5%) had concomitant pulmonary embolization (PE), and 33 (43.3%) were symptomatic. Regarding the thrombus site, the right internal jugular vein was the most common, with 30 cases (35.3%). As regards the treatment method, 53 patients (69.7%) received oral anticoagulants. In 2015, when direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) was covered by insurance, there were 44 UEDVT cases, of which 34 (77.3%) received DOACs. Outcomes at a mean observation period of 37.5±41.5 months included 40 deaths (52.6%) with a mean survival of 16.3±21.3 months. The most common cause of death was malignancy, with 33 cases (82.5%). Conclusion: In the background of UEDVT, the combination of indwelling CV catheter placement and malignancy was frequently observed. While the risk of recurrence or PE complications is low, the prognosis of UEDVT complicated by malignancy is extremely poor.

Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy or Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy for Patients with Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma: Real-World Data Comparison from A Japanese Nationwide Study

BACKGROUND

Although neoadjuvant treatment has become the standard of care for patients with locally advanced esophageal cancer, previous studies comparing neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) and neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NACRT) have demonstrated inconclusive results.

METHODS

Our study cohort included 3978 patients from 85 institutions. Those who underwent NAC or NACRT followed by surgery for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) were eligible for inclusion. We used the inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) method to compare the outcomes between NAC and NACRT.

RESULTS

Among the 3978 patients, 3777 (94.9%) received NAC and 201 (5.1%) received NACRT. After IPTW adjustment, the NACRT group had more patients with pathologically downstaged diseases and significantly better pathological response compared with the NAC group (p < 0.001); however, 5-year overall survival (OS), recurrence-free survival (RFS), and regional recurrence-specific survival (RRSS) were comparable between the groups. Subgroup analysis stratifying patients according to cT category showed that among cT1-2 patients, those in the NACRT group had significantly longer 5-year OS, RFS, and RRSS than those in the NAC group (P = 0.024, < 0.001, and 0.020, respectively). In contrast, no significant differences were observed among cT3-4a patients. The competing risks regression model showed comparable subdistribution hazard ratios for 10-year cancerous and noncancerous deaths between the NAC and NACRT groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with NAC, NACRT for ESCC did not promote better survival despite better therapeutic effects and did not increase noncancerous deaths.

The impact of thoracic duct resection on the long-term body composition of patients who underwent esophagectomy for esophageal cancer and survived without recurrence

BACKGROUND

We have reported the possible benefits of radical esophagectomy with thoracic duct (TD) resection in elective esophageal cancer surgery. However, the effect of TD resection on the long-term nutrition status remains unclear.

METHODS

Patients who underwent esophagectomy at Keio University between January 2006 and December 2018 were included, and those who had no recurrence for more than three years were evaluated. Changes in each body composition (muscle mass and body fat) were comparatively assessed between those who underwent TD resection or not, before and at, one, three and five years after surgery. Computed tomography images were analyzed on postoperative year 1, 3 and 5.

RESULTS

This study included 217 patients categorized in the TD-resected (TD-R) (156 patients) and TD-preserved (TD-P) (61 patients) groups. The loss of muscle mass was comparable between the groups. On the other hand, the loss of adipose tissues was significantly greater in the TD-R group than in the TD-P group at one and three years after surgery, while there was no statistical difference five years after surgery. Additionally, among patients with cT1N0M0 disease in whom survival advantage of TD resection has been reported previously, the loss of muscle mass did not differ between each group.

CONCLUSIONS

The change of muscle mass between the two groups was comparable. Although body fat mass was reduced by TD resection, it eventually recovered in the long term. In patients with esophageal cancer, TD resection may be acceptable without significant impact on body composition in the long term.

The Usefulness of a Three-Microneedle Device for Indocyanine Green Fluorescence Lymphography

Background: Indocyanine green (ICG) fluorescence lymphography is widely used to diagnose lymphedema. There is little consensus on the appropriate injection method for ICG fluorescence lymphangiography. We used a three-microneedle device (TMD) for skin injection of ICG solution and investigated its usefulness. Methods and Results: Thirty healthy volunteers were injected with ICG solution using a 27-gauge (27G) needle in one foot and a TMD in the other foot. Injection-related pain was evaluated using the Numerical Rating Scale (NRS) and Face Rating Scale (FRS). The skin depth of the injected ICG solution was evaluated by injecting the solution into the skin of amputated lower limbs using a 27G needle or TMD using ICG fluorescence microscopy. The median and interquartile range of the NRS scores was 3 (3-4) and 2 (2-4) in the 27G needle and TMD groups, respectively; that of the FRS scores was 2 (2-3) and 2 (1-2) in the 27G needle and TMD groups, respectively. Injection-related pain was significantly lower with the TMD than with the 27G needle. The lymphatic vessels were similarly visible using both needles. The depth of the ICG solution varied for each injection with a 27G needle (400-1200 μm) and was consistent at ∼300-700 μm below the skin surface using the TMD. Injection depth was significantly different between the 27G needle and the TMD. Conclusions: Injection-related pain decreased using the TMD, and ICG solution depth was consistent on fluorescence lymphography. A TMD may be useful for ICG fluorescence lymphography. Clinical Trials Registry (UMIN-CTR; ID: UMIN000033425).

Using a multistep approach with multidisciplinary team to increase the diagnosis rate of Lynch syndrome-associated colorectal cancer after universal screening: a single-center study in Japan

BACKGROUNDS

This study aimed to evaluate the changes in the rates of genetic counseling and genetic testing as well as the diagnosis rate of Lynch syndrome (LS)-associated colorectal cancer before and after multistep approach with multidisciplinary team in Japanese.

METHODS

In September 2016, we started universal screening for LS by mismatch repair protein immunohistochemistry and prospectively collected the records. Following patient interviews, we started multistep approach with multidisciplinary team (MA) in January 2020. MA consists of six surgeons, one genetic counselor, one medical geneticist, and six pathologists. MA is set up to compensate for patients' lack of knowledge about genetic diseases and make case selection for elderly colorectal cancer patients with deficient mismatch repair (dMMR). MA is designed as a system that could be performed by a small number of medical genetic specialists. A total of 522 patients were included during the study duration, 323 and 199 patients in the pre-MA (P-MA) and MA groups, respectively.

RESULTS

The frequency of dMMR in all patients was 10.0%. The patient interview results indicated a significant lack of patient education regarding genetic diseases. The rates of genetic counseling and genetic testing was significantly higher in MA group than in P-MA group (genetic counseling: MA 34.6% vs. P-MA 7.7%, p = 0.04; genetic testing: MA 30.8% vs. P-MA 3.8%, p = 0.02). Moreover, the diagnosis rate of LS-associated colorectal cancer was significantly higher in MA group (2.5%) than in P-MA group (0.3%) (P = 0.03). In addition, MA could be performed without problems despite the small number of medical and human genetics specialists.

CONCLUSIONS

MA has achieved appropriate pickup of suspected hereditary colorectal cancer patients and complemented the lack of knowledge about genetic diseases. The introduction of MA increased LS-associated colorectal cancer after universal screening. MA is an appropriate LS screening protocol for Japanese patients who lag behind in medical and human genetics education.

Real-world Evaluation of the Efficacy of Neoadjuvant DCF Over CF in Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma: Propensity Score-matched Analysis From 85 Authorized Institutes for Esophageal Cancer in Japan

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to evaluate the efficacy of neoadjuvant docetaxel, cisplatin, and 5-fluorouracil (DCF) therapy over cisplatin and 5-fluorouracil (CF) in patients with surgically resectable advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC), using real-world data from 85 esophageal centers.

BACKGROUND

JCOG1109 trial, which assessed the superiority of DCF over CF, and the superiority of chemoradiotherapy with CF over CF alone demonstrated the significant survival advantage of neoadjuvant DCF in overall survival (OS) over CF for ESCC.

METHODS

The ESCC patients who received neoadjuvant CF or DCF at 85 Japanese esophageal centers certified by the Japan Esophageal Society were retrospectively reviewed. After propensity score (PS) matching, the OS and recurrence-free survival were compared between CF and DCF.

RESULTS

We initially enrolled 4781 patients. After data cleaning and PS matching using pretreatment variables, 1074 patients for each group were selected for subsequent analysis. There was no significant difference in the incidence of postoperative pneumonia and anastomotic leakage. In the survival analysis, OS was significantly longer in DCF group than CF group (hazard ratio, 0.868; 95% confidence interval, 0.770-0.978; P =0.02), as well as recurrence-free survival (hazard ratio, 0.850; 95% confidence interval, 0.761-0.949; P =0.004). The survival advantage of DCF was not observed in patients with 76 years old or older.

CONCLUSIONS

Neoadjuvant DCF therapy showed a remarkable survival advantage in surgically resectable ESCC patients, especially in patients who were 75 years old or younger. The current real-world evidence will encourage recommendations for DCF as a standard regimen in neoadjuvant chemotherapy-based treatment strategy for ESCC.

What is the best reconstruction procedure after esophagectomy? A meta-analysis comparing posterior mediastinal and retrosternal approaches

Thoracic esophagectomy is a particularly invasive and complicated surgical procedure, with a reconstruction of the gastrointestinal tract, such as the stomach, jejunum, or colon. The posterior mediastinal, retrosternal, and subcutaneous routes are the three possible esophageal reconstruction routes. Each route has advantages and disadvantages, and the optimal reconstruction route after esophagectomy remains controversial. Additionally, the best anastomotic techniques after esophagectomy in terms of location (Ivor Lewis or McKeown) and suturing (manual or mechanical) are debatable. Our meta-analysis investigating postoperative complications after esophagectomy between the posterior mediastinal and retrosternal routes revealed that the posterior mediastinal route was associated with a significantly lower anastomotic leakage rate than the retrosternal route (odds ratio = 0.78, 95% confidence interval: 0.70-0.87, p < 0.0001). Conversely, pulmonary complications (odds ratio = 0.80, 95% confidence interval: 0.58-1.11, p = 0.19) and mortality between the posterior mediastinal and retrosternal routes (odds ratio = 0.79, 95% confidence interval: 0.56-1.12, p = 0.19) were not significantly different. However, the incidence of pneumonia may be lower when using the retrosternal route rather than the posterior mediastinal route for performing minimally invasive esophagectomy. The McKeown procedure is oncologically necessary for tumors located above the carina to dissect upper mediastinal and cervical lymph nodes; however, the Ivor Lewis procedure offers perioperative and oncological safety for tumors located under the carina. An individualized treatment strategy for selecting the optimal reconstruction procedure can be proposed in future studies based on oncological and patient risk factors considering mid- to long-term quality of life.

Pre-Operative Four Dimensional Flow Sensitive Magnetic Resonance Imaging Assessment of Aortic Side Branches as a Method to Predict Risk of Type II Endoleak Resulting in Sac Enlargement After EVAR

OBJECTIVE

To predict sac enlargement with type II endoleak (ELII) before endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR) using four dimensional flow sensitive magnetic resonance imaging (4D flow MRI).

METHODS

A single centre retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data was conducted. Patients with an abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) who underwent EVAR between 2013 and 2019 were included. Aortic branches occluded pre-EVAR, and patients with endoleaks other than ELII were excluded. The aortic branch diameter, peak flow velocity (PFVe), and amplitude of the dynamics of flow volume (AFV) were measured in each aortic branch pre-EVAR. Total flow volume per minute (TFV/min), defined as the sum of AFV/min, was calculated in each case. According to computed tomography findings one year post-EVAR, the aortic branches and patients were divided into patent vessel and occluded vessel groups and sac expanding and non-expanding groups. PFVe, AFV/min, and TFV/min were analysed via receiver operating characteristic curve analysis.

RESULTS

The patent aortic branches pre-EVAR (69 inferior mesenteric arteries [IMAs]; 249 lumbar arteries [LAs]) of 100 patients were included. Patent IMAs (n = 14) and occluded IMAs (n = 55), patent LAs (n = 23) and occluded LAs (n = 226), and expanding (n = 9) and non-expanding (n = 91) groups were compared, respectively. No statistically significant difference was observed in branch diameters (IMA; patent, 2.5 ± 0.8 mm, occluded, 2.5 ± 0.8 mm, p < .78 and LA; patent, 1.5 ± 0.3 mm, occluded, 1.5 ± 0.4 mm, p < .35). PFVe (IMA; patent, 262.6 mm2/sec, occluded, 183.4 mm2/sec and LA; patent, 142.6 mm2/sec, occluded, 47.7 mm2/sec) and AFV/min (IMA; patent, 8.4 mL, occluded, 5.2 mL and LA; patent, 4.2 mL, occluded, 1.4 mL) were higher in the patent vessel group (p < .050). TFV/min was statistically significantly higher in the expanding group (24.1 mL/min) than in the non-expanding group (7.0 mL/min) (p < .010).

CONCLUSION

Pre-EVAR haemodynamic analyses using 4D flow MRI were useful to detect aortic branches responsible for ELII and to predict AAA cases with sac enlargement. This analysis suggests a new strategy for pre-EVAR aortic branch embolisation.

Phosphatidylcholine in bile-derived small extracellular vesicles as a novel biomarker of cholangiocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

Owing to the lack of definite diagnostic modalities, it is challenging to distinguish malignant cases of cholangiocarcinoma (CCA), which often causes biliary tract obstruction, from benign ones. Here, we investigated a novel lipid biomarker of CCA in bile-derived small extracellular vesicles (sEVs) and developed a simple detection method for clinical application.

METHODS

Bile samples from seven patients with malignant diseases (hilar CCA = 4, distal CCA = 3) and eight patients with benign diseases (gallstones = 6, primary sclerosing cholangitis = 1, autoimmune pancreatitis = 1) were collected through a nasal biliary drainage tube. sEVs were isolated via serial ultracentrifugation and characterized using nanoparticle tracking analysis, transmission electron microscopy, and immunoblotting (with CD9, CD63, CD81, and TSG101). Comprehensive lipidomic analysis was performed using liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry. Using a measurement kit, we further confirmed whether lipid concentrations could be used as a potential CCA marker.

RESULTS

Lipidomic analysis of bile sEVs in the two groups identified 209 significantly increased lipid species in the malignant group. When focusing on lipid class, phosphatidylcholine (PC) level was 4.98-fold higher in the malignant group than in the benign group (P = 0.037). The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve showed a sensitivity of 71.4%, a specificity of 100%, and an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.857 (95% confidence interval [CI]:0.643-1.000). Using a PC assay kit, the ROC curve showed a cutoff value of 16.1 μg/mL, a sensitivity of 71.4%, a specificity of 100%, and an AUC of 0.839 (95% CI: 0.620-1.000).

CONCLUSION

PC level in sEVs from human bile is a potential diagnostic marker for CCA and can be assessed by a commercially available assay kit.

Risk prediction of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma recurrence in patients who underwent esophagectomy after receiving neoadjuvant treatment: a nationwide retrospective study in Japan

BACKGROUND

Although neoadjuvant treatment (NAT) has become the standard of care for patients with locally advanced esophageal cancer, the risk of recurrence remains high. The risk must be predicted accurately, so that appropriate adjuvant therapy can be planned. We aimed to develop a model predicting recurrence of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) in patients who received NAT before esophagectomy.

METHODS

This nationwide study included 3874 patients from 85 institutions. Patients who underwent NAT and then surgery for ESCC were eligible. We developed a Cox proportional hazards model and created a nomogram to predict disease recurrence after NAT and curative esophagectomy.

RESULTS

Of the patients, 268 (6.9%), 1280 (33.0%), 2006 (51.8%), and 320 (8.3%) had clinical stage I, II, III, and IV tumors, respectively. The 5-year recurrence rate was 45.1% (95% confidence interval 43.4%-46.7%). Multivariable analysis revealed that body mass index, type of neoadjuvant treatment, primary tumor location, operative blood loss, pathological tumor stage, pathological therapeutic effect, and leakage were independently associated with disease recurrence. Using 13 commonly measured perioperative variables, we created a predictive nomogram, and the area under the curve was 0.783 (95% confidence interval 0.766-0.800). This nomogram was also adequately validated internally and had excellent calibration capacity (calibration slope, 0.992).

CONCLUSIONS

The model developed in this study adequately predicted ESCC recurrence in patients who underwent NAT and then esophagectomy. Further research with this nomogram is needed to assess the effect of adjuvant therapy in patients at high risk for recurrence.

Development and Validation of a Predictive Model of Therapeutic Effect in Patients with Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Who Received Neoadjuvant Treatment: A Nationwide Retrospective Study in Japan

BACKGROUND

Neoadjuvant treatment has become the standard of care for patients with advanced esophageal cancer. However, few studies have elucidated the clinical factors that predict response to neoadjuvant therapy in a large multicenter cohort. We aimed to develop a predictive model of therapeutic effect in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) who received neoadjuvant treatment.

METHODS

This nationwide study included 4078 patients from 85 institutions. Patients who received neoadjuvant treatment followed by surgery for esophageal SCC were eligible. We developed a logistic regression model to predict good pathological therapeutic effects, and a predictive nomogram was generated by applying the logistic regression formula.

RESULTS

Among neoadjuvant regimens, cisplatin plus 5-fluorouracil (CF) was the most frequently used (60.2%), followed by docetaxel plus CF (DCF, 27.4%), CF with radiotherapy (CF-RT, 4.5%), adriamycin plus CF (3.6%), nedaplatin plus 5-fluorouracil (0.9%), and DCF-RT (0.5%). Multivariable analysis revealed that male sex, advanced cT category, and increased pretherapeutic SCC antigen level were independently associated with not achieving a good therapeutic effect. Moreover, intensified neoadjuvant regimens were independently associated with favorable therapeutic effects; DCF-RT elicited the best therapeutic effect, followed by CF-RT and DCF. A predictive model including nine commonly measured preoperative variables was generated, and the area under the curve was 0.679 (95% confidence interval: 0.658-0.700). This nomogram was also adequately validated internally.

CONCLUSIONS

The model developed in this study was validated and predicts the therapeutic effect in patients with esophageal SCC who received neoadjuvant treatment. This model might contribute to individualized treatment strategies.

A nationwide validation of the prognostic impact of pathological response and the distribution of recurrence patterns in responders after neoadjuvant chemotherapy for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND

We previously reported that postoperative recurrence in responders occurred in the regional field mostly as a solitary lesion without distant failure. However, further validation is necessary due to the low percentage of pathological responders, especially those with pCR. This study aimed to validate the prognostic impact of pathological response and the distribution of residual tumors in pathological responders using a nationwide database from 85 Japanese esophageal centers.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) who underwent subtotal esophagectomy at 85 authorized institutes for esophageal cancer between 2010 and 2015. The recurrence free survival (RFS), overall survival (OS), and recurrent tumor patterns were compared among the pathological responses.

RESULTS

Of 4781 patients initially enrolled, 3840 were selected for subsequent analysis, including 237 patients with pathological complete response (pCR, 6%). The RFS and OS were significantly correlated with pathological response. When the recurrence pattern was classified into regional or distant recurrence, the incidence of distant failure was significantly lower in patients with pCR in cT1/2. Three percent of all patients with pCR in cT1/2 encountered postoperative recurrence in distant organs.

CONCLUSION

The prognostic impact of pathological response was reproduced in the nationwide data. pCR in ESCC patients with cT1/2 provides a favorable prognosis with less incidence of distant failure. This finding may contribute to selecting appropriate candidates for an organ preservation approach based on the response to induction therapy.

Prognostic impact of endoscopic response evaluation after neoadjuvant chemotherapy for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma: a nationwide validation study

BACKGROUND

Our previous study reported the prognostic significance of endoscopic response (ER) evaluation, defined ER, and revealed ER as an independent prognostic factor of overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) and surgery. The present study aimed to validate the prognostic impact of ER using a nationwide database from the authorized institute for board-certified esophageal surgeons by the Japan Esophageal Society.

METHODS

This study retrospectively reviewed patients with ESCC who underwent subtotal esophagectomy at 85 authorized institutes for esophageal cancer from 2010 to 2015. Patients were classified as ER when the tumor size was markedly reduced post-NAC compared to pre-NAC. The correlation between OS and RFS was investigated.

RESULTS

Of 4781 patients initially enrolled, 3636 were selected for subsequent analysis. Of them, 642 (17.7%) patients were classified as the ER group. Patients with ER showed significantly better OS and RFS. Subgroup analysis revealed the statistical difference in OS and RFS in cStage II and III, while the magnitude of survival difference between ER and non-ER was not evident in cStage I and IV. The percentage of ER varied from 46 to 87% among groups when institutions were classified into 3 subgroups based on the hospital volume, which would indicate the interinstitutional inconsistency.

CONCLUSIONS

The prognostic impact of ER was validated using a nationwide database. Standardization of ER evaluation is required to improve the interinstitutional consistency and clinical validity of the ER evaluation.

Evaluation of Endoscopic Response Using Deep Neural Network in Esophageal Cancer Patients Who Received Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy

BACKGROUND

We previously reported that endoscopic response evaluation can preoperatively predict the prognosis and distribution of residual tumors after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC). In this study, we developed artificial intelligence (AI)-guided endoscopic response evaluation using a deep neural network to discriminate endoscopic responders (ERs) in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) after NAC.

METHOD

Surgically resectable ESCC patients who underwent esophagectomy following NAC were retrospectively analyzed in this study. Endoscopic images of the tumors were analyzed using a deep neural network. The model was validated with a test data set using 10 newly collected ERs and 10 newly collected non-ER images. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) of the endoscopic response evaluation by AI and endoscopists were calculated and compared.

RESULTS

Of 193 patients, 40 (21%) were diagnosed as ERs. The median sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV values for ER detection in 10 models were 60%, 100%, 100%, and 71%, respectively. Similarly, the median values by the endoscopist were 80%, 80%, 81%, and 81%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

This proof-of-concept study using a deep learning algorithm demonstrated that the constructed AI-guided endoscopic response evaluation after NAC could identify ER with high specificity and PPV. It would appropriately guide an individualized treatment strategy that includes an organ preservation approach in ESCC patients.