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Yeoh A, Cheung R, Ahmed A, Chitnis AS, Do A, Wong RJ. Cardiovascular Disease Risk and Statin Use Among Adults with Metabolic Dysfunction Associated Fatty Liver Disease. Am J Med 2023:S0002-9343(23)00206-1. [PMID: 37001720 DOI: 10.1016/j.amjmed.2023.03.010] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/09/2022] [Revised: 02/07/2023] [Accepted: 03/13/2023] [Indexed: 05/02/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND A leading cause of mortality in fatty liver disease is cardiovascular disease. Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is new terminology that classifies fatty liver due to metabolic dysfunction attributable to obesity and associated complications. We evaluated atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk and statin use in adults with MAFLD. METHODS This was a retrospective study of the 2011-2018 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. Adults with MAFLD were identified using established criteria: presence of hepatic steatosis (US Fatty Liver Index>30) plus ≥1 of the following: 1) body mass index >25 kg/m2 in non-Asians or >23 kg/m2 in Asians, 2) diabetes mellitus, and 3) ≥2 metabolic risk factors. Cardiovascular disease risk was estimated using the validated 10-year ASCVD risk score. Statin use was assessed in intermediate and high 10-year ASCVD risk groups. RESULTS Prevalence of MAFLD was 34.8% (95% confidence interval [CI], 33.9%-35.8%), comprising 54.4% males, 27.9% aged 65 years and older, and 38.2% non-Hispanic white. Among adults with MAFLD, 23.3% and 23.0% had intermediate and high 10-year ASCVD risk, respectively. Compared with females, males were more likely to have high 10-year ASCVD risk (28.7% vs 16.1%, adjusted odds ratio 5.24, 95% CI, 3.87-7.10, P < .01). In intermediate and high ASCVD risk groups, overall statin use was 48.3% (95% CI, 46.1-51.3). CONCLUSIONS Over 46% of adults with MAFLD had intermediate or high 10-year ASCVD risk. Statin use was underutilized at 48.3% in those meeting statin criteria. These findings are alarming given the high cardiovascular disease risk and low statin use in this cohort.
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Kuo YF, Kwo P, Wong RJ, Singal AK. Impact of COVID-19 on Liver Transplant Activity in the USA: Variation by Etiology and Cirrhosis Complications. J Clin Transl Hepatol 2023; 11:130-135. [PMID: 36406316 PMCID: PMC9647098 DOI: 10.14218/jcth.2022.00129] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/16/2022] [Revised: 05/17/2022] [Accepted: 07/04/2022] [Indexed: 12/04/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIMS The COVID-19 pandemic has impacted the care of patients with liver disease. We examined impact of COVID-19 on liver transplant (LT) activity in the USA. METHODS LT listings in the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) database (April 2018-May 2021) were analyzed to examine the impact of COVID-19 pandemic on the LT activity based on etiology: hepatitis C virus (HCV), alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD), alcoholic hepatitis (AH), and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) complications: hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) grade 2 or 3) and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score. Joinpoint regression models assessed time trend changes on a log scale. RESULTS Of 23,871 recipients (8,995 in the COVID era, April 2018-February 2020), mean age 52 years, 62% men, 61% Caucasian, 32% ALD, 15% HCC, 30% ACLF grades 2-3, and mean MELD score 20.5), monthly LT changes were a decrease of 3.4% for overall LTs and 22% for HCC after September 2020, and increase of 4.5% for ALD since 11/2020 and 17% since 03/2021 for ACLF grade 2-3. Monthly MELD scores increased by 0.7 and 0.36 after June 2020 for HCV and HCC respectively. CONCLUSIONS The COVID-19 pandemic has impacted LT activity, with a decrease of LTs especially for HCC, and an increase of LTs for ALD and severe ACLF. Strategies are needed to reorganize cirrhosis patients to overcome the aftereffects of COVID-19 pandemic.
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Wong RJ, Rupp L, Lu M, Yang Z, Daida YG, Schmidt M, Boscarino JA, Gordon SC, Chitnis AS. Prevalence of hepatitis B virus (HBV) and latent tuberculosis co-infection and risk of drug-induced liver injury across two large HBV cohorts in the United States. J Viral Hepat 2023; 30:512-519. [PMID: 36843435 DOI: 10.1111/jvh.13823] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/26/2022] [Revised: 02/20/2023] [Accepted: 02/22/2023] [Indexed: 02/28/2023]
Abstract
The epidemiology of latent tuberculosis and hepatitis B virus (HBV-LTBI) co-infection among U.S. populations is not well studied. We aim to evaluate LTBI testing patterns and LTBI prevalence among two large U.S. cohorts of adults with chronic HBV (CHB). Adults with CHB in the Chronic Hepatitis Cohort Study (CHeCS) and Veterans Affairs national cohort were included in the analyses. Prevalence of HBV-LTBI co-infection was defined as the number of HBV patients with LTBI divided by the number of HBV patients in a cohort. Multivariable logistic regression evaluated odds of HBV-LTBI co-infection among CHB patients who underwent TB testing. Among 6019 CHB patients in the CHeCS cohort (44% female, 47% Asian), 9.1% were tested for TB, among whom 7.7% had HBV-LTBI co-infection. Among HBV-LTBI co-infected patient, only 16.7% (n = 7) received LTBI treatment, among whom 28.6% (n = 2) developed DILI. Among 12,928 CHB patients in the VA cohort (94% male, 42% African American, 39% non-Hispanic white), 14.7% were tested for TB, among whom 14.5% had HBV-LTBI. Among HBV-LTBI co-infected patient, 18.6% (n = 51) received LTBI treatment, among whom 3.9% (n = 3) developed DILI. Presence of cirrhosis, race/ethnicity, and country of birth were observed to be associated with odds of HBV-LTBI co-infection among CHB patients who received TB testing. In summary, among two large distinct U.S. cohorts of adults with CHB, testing for LTBI was infrequent despite relatively high prevalence of HBV-LTBI co-infection. Moreover, low rates of LTBI treatment were observed among those with HBV-LTBI co-infection.
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Wong RJ, Kaufman HW, Niles JK, Kapoor H, Gish RG. Simplifying Treatment Criteria in Chronic Hepatitis B: Reducing Barriers to Elimination. Clin Infect Dis 2023; 76:e791-e800. [PMID: 35594550 DOI: 10.1093/cid/ciac385] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 11.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/17/2022] [Revised: 04/27/2022] [Accepted: 05/13/2022] [Indexed: 12/15/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Early, sustained hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA suppression reduces long-term risks of hepatocellular carcinoma. Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) treatment criteria are complex. Simplifying criteria will improve timely linkage to therapy. We evaluated treatment eligibility patterns among US patients with CHB and propose stepwise simplification of CHB treatment criteria. METHODS Using 2016-2020 Quest Diagnostics data, we evaluated treatment eligibility among patients with CHB (2 positive HBV tests [HBV surface antigen, HBV e antigen, or HBV DNA] ≥6 months apart) using American Association for the Study of Liver Disease (AASLD), European Association for Study of the Liver (EASL), Asian Pacific Association for Study of the Liver (APASL), and Asian American Treatment Algorithm (AATA) criteria. RESULTS Among 84 916 patients with CHB, 6.7%, 6.2%, 5.8%, and 16.4% met AASLD, EASL, APASL, and AATA criteria, respectively. Among treatment-ineligible patients with CHB, proportion with significant fibrosis (aspartate aminotransferase platelet ratio index >0.5) were 10.4%, 10.4%, 10.8%, and 7.7% based on AASLD, EASL, APASL, and AATA, respectively. In the proposed treatment simplification, the proportion of patients with CHB eligible for therapy increased from 10.3% for step 1 (HBV DNA >20 000 IU/mL, elevated alanine aminotransferase [ALT] level) to 14.1% for step 2 (HBV >2000 IU/mL, elevated ALT level), 33.5% for step 3 (HBV DNA >2000 IU/mL, any ALT level), and 87.2% for step 4 (detectable HBV DNA, any ALT level). CONCLUSIONS A large proportion of patients with CHB not meeting established treatment criteria have significant fibrosis. Simplifying criteria to treat all patients with detectable HBV DNA will reduce complexity and heterogeneity in assessing treatment eligibility, improving treatment rates and progress toward HBV elimination.
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Chou C, Veracruz N, Chitnis AS, Wong RJ. Risk of drug-induced liver injury in chronic hepatitis B and tuberculosis co-infection: A systematic review and meta-analysis. J Viral Hepat 2022; 29:1107-1114. [PMID: 36138556 DOI: 10.1111/jvh.13751] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/16/2021] [Revised: 07/16/2022] [Accepted: 08/29/2022] [Indexed: 12/29/2022]
Abstract
Patients with tuberculosis (TB) disease treated with multi-drug regimens are at risk of developing drug induced liver injury (DILI), and DILI risk might be even higher in patients with underlying liver disease. We aimed to evaluate whether underlying chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) and TB co-infection are associated with a higher risk of TB therapy-related DILI. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis using MEDLINE/PubMed from inception to 31 December 2021. Primary outcome assessed was development of DILI following multi-drug TB treatment. Meta-analysis using random-effects models were utilized to evaluate whether underlying chronic HBV was associated with increased risk of DILI in patients undergoing active TB treatment. A total of 10 studies met inclusion criteria to be analysed, among which 520 patients had HBV-TB co-infection and 2988 patients had active TB disease without HBV. Prevalence of DILI was 21.9% in HBV-TB co-infected patients and 11.9% in TB patients without HBV. On meta-analysis, HBV-TB co-infected patients had significantly higher risk of DILI when treated with TB therapies compared with TB patients without HBV (pooled risk ratio 1.98, 95% CI 1.38-2.83, I2 = 68%). Sub-analysis of prospective cohort studies conducted after year 2000 detected a pooled risk ratio of 2.75 (95% CI 2.10-3.59, I2 = 0%). In conclusion, HBV-TB co-infected patients undergoing multi-drug TB therapy have 2-3 times higher risk of DILI compared with TB patients without HBV. Routine HBV screening prior to initiation of TB therapy is critical for early identification of HBV-TB co-infection, so that clinicians can modify TB and HBV treatment and management to reduce risks of DILI.
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Wong RJ, Jayasekera C, Jones P, Kanwal F, Singal AG, Ahmed A, Taglienti R, Younossi Z, Kulik L, Mehta N. An Open-Access, Interactive Decision-Support Tool to Facilitate Guideline-Driven Care for Hepatocellular Carcinoma. Gastroenterology Res 2022; 15:297-307. [PMID: 36660470 PMCID: PMC9822660 DOI: 10.14740/gr1573] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/28/2022] [Accepted: 11/07/2022] [Indexed: 12/23/2022] Open
Abstract
Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is increasing in incidence and is a leading cause of cancer-related mortality worldwide. Adherence to HCC surveillance guidelines and appropriate treatment triage of liver lesions may improve receipt of curative-intent treatment and improved survival. Late-stage HCC diagnosis reflects sub-optimal implementation of effective HCC surveillance, whereas inappropriate treatment triage or linkage to care accounts for the non-receipt of curative-intent in close to half of early-stage HCC in the USA. A free, open-access decision-support tool for liver lesions that incorporates current guideline recommendations in a user-friendly interface could improve appropriate and timely triage of patients to appropriate care. This review provides a summary of gaps and disparities in linkage to HCC care and introduces a free, internet-based, interactive decision-support tool for managing liver lesions. This tool has been developed by the HCC Steering Committee of the Chronic Liver Disease Foundation and is targeted toward clinicians across specialties who may encounter liver lesions during routine care or as part of dedicated HCC surveillance.
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Lam D, Wong RJ, Tessier A, Zapata Y, Saldana E, Gish RG. Barriers to Hepatitis C Virus Care and How Federally Qualified Health Centers Can Improve Patient Access to Treatment. Gastroenterology Res 2022; 15:343-352. [PMID: 36660471 PMCID: PMC9822664 DOI: 10.14740/gr1568] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/08/2022] [Accepted: 11/24/2022] [Indexed: 12/23/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Despite the availability of direct-acting antiviral agents (DAAs) for hepatitis C virus (HCV) treatment, disparities in HCV care and treatment persist for underserved populations due to demographic-based and insurance-based barriers. We aim to examine the effect of barriers on HCV treatment access for a federally qualified health center (FQHC) population. Methods We retrospectively evaluated medical records of adults diagnosed with chronic HCV at an FQHC clinic from 2016 to 2020 with follow-up through 2021. Univariate and bivariate analyses were used to describe the patient population and significant associations between predictors of linkage to HCV care and treatment access. Adjusted multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to identify predictors of starting HCV treatment. Results Of 279 total patients with chronic HCV, 162 patients started treatment (58%), 138 patients (50%) completed treatment, and 99 patients (35%) achieved sustained virological response (SVR). Of the total patients, 145 (52%) were seen by their primary care physician (PCP) for their HCV care and treatment, and 134 (48%) were seen by a provider that specializes in management and treatment of HCV (HCV provider). Patients seen by an HCV provider in addition to their PCP were more likely to have had their prior authorization requests for HCV treatment denied by their insurance providers than patients seen only by their PCP for HCV care (30% vs. 14%, P = 0.001). We believe that this discrepancy stems from two issues. One, prior authorizations are reviewed by insurance providers who are not specially trained in HCV management, so the verbiage used perplexes these reviewers, possibly causing them to issue denials. Two, insurance providers often require HCV genotype testing for DAA medication eligibility, and HCV providers order genotype tests for patients only when HCV treatments have failed to cure patients, so this requirement becomes another barrier to DAA medications. Patients who spoke a non-English language, lived in the USA for less than 10 years, and showed inability to pay for treatment had received treatment despite these characteristics being common barriers to HCV treatment. On multivariate regression, factors independently associated with patients starting treatment included prior denial for DAA medication (odds ratio (OR), 8.88; 95% confidence interval (CI), 3.22 - 24.6; P < 0.001) and being seen by an HCV provider (OR, 24.8; 95% CI, 11.7 - 52.5; P < 0.001). However, the most significant barrier to HCV treatment access for the FQHC population was eligibility restrictions from insurance providers. Conclusions Demographic-based barriers (e.g., age, race, and income) often impede HCV care and treatment, but insurance-based barriers are the greatest challenge currently that affects treatment outcomes in our study population. Removing these restrictions would, in our opinion, help to increase treatment levels to underserved populations.
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Veracruz N, Gish RG, Cheung R, Chitnis AS, Wong RJ. Global trends and the impact of chronic hepatitis B and C on disability-adjusted life years. Liver Int 2022; 42:2145-2153. [PMID: 35753064 DOI: 10.1111/liv.15347] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/06/2022] [Revised: 06/12/2022] [Accepted: 06/24/2022] [Indexed: 01/02/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIMS Advances in hepatitis B virus (HBV) and hepatitis C virus (HCV) therapies have improved morbidity and mortality, but global disparities in viral hepatitis outcomes remain. We evaluate global trends in the impact of HBV and HCV on disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). METHODS Using data from the 2010-2019 Global Burden of Diseases Study (GBD), overall all-cause DALYs for patients with acute HBV or HCV, HBV- or HCV-related cirrhosis, and HBV- or HCV-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) was calculated as the sum of years of life lost because of premature death and years lived with disability. DALYs were presented as age-standardized rates per 100 000 population stratified by age and sex. RESULTS From 2010 to 2019, the overall global impact of HBV on DALYs per 100 000 decreased from 27.6 to 20.9 for acute HBV and 168.6 to 129.8 for HBV-related cirrhosis but remained stable for HBV-related HCC. The impact of HCV on DALYs per 100 000 decreased from 5.23 to 3.3 for acute HCV, 159.2 to 146.2 for HCV-related cirrhosis, and 37.5 to 34.9 for HCV-related HCC. We observed significant differences in the impact of HBV and HCV on DALYs when stratified by world regions. CONCLUSION Decreases in HBV and HCV DALYs from 2010 to 2019 were observed. Disparities in DALY improvements across world regions suggest unequal access to viral hepatitis care and treatment. Achieving goals of viral hepatitis elimination will require enhanced prevention efforts and funding for high-burden regions and regions that have not had substantial reductions in DALYs because of HBV and HCV.
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Chitnis AS, Wong RJ. Review of Updated Hepatitis B Vaccine Recommendations and Potential Challenges With Implementation. Gastroenterol Hepatol (N Y) 2022; 18:447-451. [PMID: 36397819 PMCID: PMC9666805] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/16/2023]
Abstract
Hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is a vaccine-preventable disease associated with substantial morbidity and mortality. Although safe and effective hepatitis B vaccines are available, an increased number of adults must receive the hepatitis B vaccine in order to reach the goal of the US Department of Health and Human Services for HBV elimination. Previous guidelines from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) for hepatitis B vaccination among adults utilized a risk-based approach that may have contributed to decreased uptake of the vaccine because the recommendations were difficult to adopt into clinical practice and assumed patients would recognize and disclose their risk factors. Based on review of epidemiologic and cost-effectiveness data, the CDC now recommends that all adults 19 to 59 years old receive the hepatitis B vaccine; however, a risk-based approach to hepatitis B vaccination was retained among adults age 60 years and older because universal vaccination in this age group would not lead to substantial reductions in acute HBV cases and be cost-effective. Implementation of these expanded hepatitis B vaccination recommendations in clinical and public health practice may pose challenges, including ensuring effective HBV screening practices, quality measures to track coverage of the hepatitis B vaccine, utilization of hepatitis B vaccines that have the highest completion rates for the vaccine series in a real-world setting, and sustained efforts to vaccinate high-risk groups such as individuals experiencing incarceration, utilizing sexually transmitted disease clinics, and injecting illicit drugs.
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Singal AK, Kuo YF, Waleed M, Wong RJ, Sundaram V, Jalan R. High-risk liver transplant recipients with grade 3 acute on chronic liver failure should receive the good quality graft. Liver Int 2022; 42:1629-1637. [PMID: 35357067 DOI: 10.1111/liv.15263] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/07/2021] [Revised: 03/24/2022] [Accepted: 03/28/2022] [Indexed: 02/13/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND & AIM We aimed to develop a risk score for LT recipients and donor selection among patients with ACLF-3. METHODS AND RESULTS A total of 7166 adult LT recipients (mean age 53 years, 63% males, 56% Caucasians, 42% obese, median MELD score 36.5) using deceased donor grafts in the UNOS database (01/2002-06/2018) who were in ACLF-3 at LT as per EASL-CLIF criteria were analysed. Cox regression model on the derivation dataset (N = 3583) showed recipient age, non-alcohol aetiology, pulmonary failure, brain failure and cardiovascular failure to be associated with 1-year patient survival. Observed and expected post-transplant 1-year survival showed excellent correlation (R = .920). Risk score from cox model on derivation dataset stratified 3583 recipients in validation cohort using cut-off scores 7.55 and 11.57 to low (N = 1211), medium (N = 1168) and high risk (N = 1199), with 1-year patient survival of 89%, 82% and 80% respectively. Based on poor versus good quality graft (donor risk index cut-off at 1.50), 1-year patient survival for low, medium and high-risk categories were 90 versus 89% (p = .490), 83 versus 82% (p = .390) and 83 versus 78% (p = .038) respectively. Among recipients with a high-risk score, donor factors of age ≥60 years, grafts obtained from national sharing and macro-steatosis >15% were associated with 1-year patient survival below 66%. CONCLUSION Among ACLF-3 liver transplant recipients, those with high risk at the time of transplant receiving better quality graft will improve post-transplant outcomes. Prospective studies using additional characteristics are needed to derive an accurate risk score model in predicting post-transplant outcomes among recipients with ACLF-3.
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Chen J, Hubbard A, Bagley L, Shiau R, Wong RJ, Chitnis AS. Prevalence of Latent Tuberculosis Infection Among Persons with Chronic Hepatitis B Virus Infection: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. Dig Dis Sci 2022; 67:2646-2654. [PMID: 34056681 DOI: 10.1007/s10620-021-07056-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/19/2021] [Accepted: 05/11/2021] [Indexed: 01/15/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Tuberculosis (TB) and chronic hepatitis B virus infection (HBV) can be prevented through latent tuberculosis infection (LTBI) treatment and HBV vaccination, respectively. Prevalence of LTBI and HBV are six- and ninefold higher among non-US-born compared to US-born persons, respectively. Few studies have described the prevalence of LTBI-HBV co-infection. AIMS In this study, we estimated LTBI prevalence among persons with chronic HBV. METHODS We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis using PubMed from inception through September 1, 2019, and identified and reviewed studies that provided data regarding LTBI prevalence among adults with chronic HBV. Pooled LTBI prevalence among adults with HBV was calculated using a random-effects meta-analysis model. RESULTS A total of 1,205 articles were identified by systematic review of the published literature. Six studies were included in the meta-analysis; five studies were conducted in North America, and one was in China. LTBI prevalence among adults with chronic HBV was estimated to be 34.25% (95% confidence interval: 17.88-50.62%). CONCLUSION LTBI prevalence among adults with chronic HBV was two times higher than the LTBI prevalence among all non-US-born persons. The high LTBI prevalence and increased risk of hepatotoxicity with TB medications among persons with chronic HBV may warrant consideration of routine screening for HBV among persons who are tested for LTBI. Reducing morbidity and mortality associated with TB and chronic HBV may require healthcare systems and public health to ensure that persons at risk of both infections are screened and treated for LTBI and chronic HBV.
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Veracruz N, Gish RG, Cheung R, Chitnis AS, Wong RJ. Global incidence and mortality of hepatitis B and hepatitis C acute infections, cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma from 2010 to 2019. J Viral Hepat 2022; 29:352-365. [PMID: 35274406 DOI: 10.1111/jvh.13663] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/04/2021] [Accepted: 02/15/2022] [Indexed: 12/21/2022]
Abstract
Hepatitis B virus (HBV) and hepatitis C virus (HCV) contribute to significant healthcare burden globally. We aim to provide an updated and comprehensive analysis of global trends in the incidence and mortality of HBV and HCV related acute infections, cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Estimates of annual cause-specific disease incidence and mortality for HBV and HCV were analysed using the 2010-2019 Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries and Risk Factors Study database. Three distinct disease states were evaluated: acute infections, cirrhosis and HCC. Age-standardized disease incidence and mortality were presented per 100,000 population and stratified by age, sex, year and 21 world regions. From 2010 to 2019, overall incidence of acute HBV declined by 19.3% (95% CI 4.1-32.0, p < .05) and HBV cirrhosis declined by 15.0% (95% CI 9.8-20.7, p < .05). Incidence of HCV cirrhosis increased by 5.6% (95% CI 0.3-10.2, p < .05) and HCV HCC remained stable. Incidence of acute HCV declined until 2015, after which it began increasing. From 2010 to 2019, overall mortality for HBV cirrhosis and HCV cirrhosis declined, whereas mortality for acute infections and HCC remained stable. Major differences in HBV and HCV incidence and mortality trends were observed when stratified by world regions. In conclusion, while our analyses of global trends in HBV and HCV incidence and mortality demonstrate encouraging trends, disparities in disease epidemiology were observed across world regions. These observations will identify regions and populations where greater focus and resources are needed to continue progressing towards viral hepatitis elimination.
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Kim D, Cholankeril G, Dennis BB, Alshuwaykh O, Kumari R, Wong RJ, Ahmed A. Trends in the Prevalence of Hepatitis C Virus Infection based on the Insurance Status in the United States from 2013 to 2018. Liver Int 2022; 42:340-349. [PMID: 34817925 DOI: 10.1111/liv.15113] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/04/2021] [Revised: 10/19/2021] [Accepted: 11/18/2021] [Indexed: 12/15/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND & AIMS With the recent improvement in the treatment of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, a better understanding of the infection burden is needed. We aimed to (a) estimate the trends in the national prevalence of HCV infection based on the type of health insurance coverage and (b) identify at-risk populations for HCV infection in the United States (US) general population. METHODS Population-based analyses using the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (2013-2018) were performed with a focus on HCV infection. We analysed the prevalence of HCV infection based on the health insurance status before the direct-acting antiviral (DAA) era (2013-2014) and during the DAA era (2015-2018). RESULTS The age-adjusted prevalence of active HCV infection (HCV RNA [+]) was 0.92% (95% confidence interval, 0.71%-1.19%) in the US non-institutionalized civilian population. Although the prevalence of active HCV infection has remained stable, the prevalence of resolved HCV infection has increased after the introduction of DAA. In terms of health insurance coverage, the prevalence of active HCV infection decreased, and the prevalence of resolved HCV infection increased among individuals who had health insurance, especially private health insurance. The independent risk factors of active HCV infection were 40-69 years group, male, less than high school education, unmarried, below poverty status, being born in the US, history of blood transfusion and not having private health insurance. CONCLUSION The burden of active HCV infection has decreased among individuals who had health insurance, especially private health insurance, during the DAA era.
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Ohikere K, Chitnis AS, Hahambis TA, Singal A, Wong RJ. Ethnic Minorities and Low Socioeconomic Status Patients With Chronic Liver Disease Are at Greatest Risk of Being Uninsured. Gastroenterology Res 2022; 14:313-323. [PMID: 35059065 PMCID: PMC8734498 DOI: 10.14740/gr1439] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/21/2021] [Accepted: 07/15/2021] [Indexed: 12/16/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Chronic liver disease (CLD) predominantly affects ethnic minorities and socially vulnerable populations, who have high prevalence of risk factors (e.g., suboptimal insurance coverage) predisposing to healthcare disparities. We evaluate prevalence and predictors of uninsured status among CLD adults, and secondarily, how this affects documented immunity or vaccination for hepatitis A virus (HAV) and hepatitis B virus (HBV). Methods Using 2011 - 2018 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey data, self-reported insurance status was determined among adults with CLD. Prevalence of uninsured status was stratified by patient characteristics and evaluated using multivariable logistic regression models. Prevalence of self-reported completion of vaccination as well as laboratory value-based documented immunity to HAV and HBV was stratified by insurance status. Results Overall, 19.0% of adults with CLD reported having no insurance, which was highest among individuals of Hispanic ethnicity (33.5%), less than high school education (33.7%), and below poverty status (35.3%). On multivariable analyses, significantly lower odds of having any insurance coverage was observed in men, Hispanics, and individuals with lower education and lower household income. Prevalence of documented immunity or vaccination for HAV was low across all insurance categories, ranging from 46.5% to 54.0%. Prevalence of documented immunity or vaccination for HBV was similarly low across all insurance categories, ranging from 24.3% to 40.8%. Conclusion Prevalence of uninsured status among CLD was more than twice the US adult population, and lack of insurance particularly impacted Hispanics and individuals with low education and low household income. Low prevalence of documented immunity or vaccination for HAV and HBV across all insurance categories is concerning.
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Ohikere K, Veracruz N, Wong RJ. Cognitive Impairment and Cirrhosis in Older Patients: A Systematic Review. Gerontol Geriatr Med 2022; 8:23337214221122520. [PMID: 36105374 PMCID: PMC9465583 DOI: 10.1177/23337214221122520] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/13/2022] [Revised: 07/27/2022] [Accepted: 08/08/2022] [Indexed: 11/15/2022] Open
Abstract
Prevalence of cirrhosis and hepatic encephalopathy (HE) in older patients receiving care in long-term care settings is unknown. This systematic review aimed to identify potential factors associated with HE and cognitive impairment in older patients with cirrhosis. A PubMed search of English-language articles published between January 1, 2000, and November 3, 2021, was conducted to identify studies in adults with cirrhosis relevant to cognitive impairment and/or HE (e.g., fall, frailty, and sarcopenia). Of 2,879 English-language publications, 24 were included. In patients with cirrhosis, falls were increased in the presence of HE and were associated with increased injury risk. Frailty was associated with HE development and cognitive impairment in patients with cirrhosis. Further, cognitive impairment and frailty were predictive of HE-related hospitalizations. Sarcopenia increased the risk of developing HE. Furthermore, specific medications increased the risk of developing HE. Risk reduction and management of patients with HE are critical to prevent negative outcomes.
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Wong RJ, Cheung R, Gish RG, Chitnis AS. Prevalence of hepatitis E infection among adults with concurrent chronic liver disease. J Viral Hepat 2021; 28:1643-1655. [PMID: 34415657 DOI: 10.1111/jvh.13597] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/03/2021] [Revised: 08/05/2021] [Accepted: 08/09/2021] [Indexed: 01/17/2023]
Abstract
While hepatitis E virus (HEV) infection can increase the risk of liver decompensation and death in patients with underlying chronic liver disease (CLD), prevalence of HEV in this cohort is not well reported. Using data from the 2011-2018 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, we aim to evaluate seroprevalence of HEV IgG among adults with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), alcoholic liver disease (ALD), chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) and chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV). HEV IgG seroprevalence between groups was evaluated with chi-square testing, and adjusted multivariate logistic regression models evaluated for predictors of seropositivity for HEV IgG. Seroprevalence of HEV IgG was 6.58% in ALD, 8.66% in HCV, 8.81% in NAFLD and 19.86% in HBV. We observed increasing HEV IgG seroprevalence over time in our study period, and in 2015-2018, seroprevalence was highest among the individuals with HCV (10.00%) and HBV (30.30%). Older age and being born outside of the United States were associated with seropositivity for HEV IgG in ALD, NAFLD, HBV, and for HCV, older age and being at or below poverty level were associated with seroprevalence for HEV IgG. In conclusion, we observed a relatively high prevalence of HEV among adults with CLD. These data highlight the need for greater awareness and education about the role of HEV in patients with underlying CLD, improving HEV test diagnostics, and revisiting the discussion about the potential role of HEV vaccines in CLD patients who are at higher risk of decompensation and death from acute HEV infection.
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Wong RJ, Kachru N, Martinez DJ, Moynihan M, Ozbay AB, Gordon SC. Real-world Comorbidity Burden, Health Care Utilization, and Costs of Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis Patients With Advanced Liver Diseases. J Clin Gastroenterol 2021; 55:891-902. [PMID: 32815873 PMCID: PMC8500367 DOI: 10.1097/mcg.0000000000001409] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/21/2020] [Accepted: 07/15/2020] [Indexed: 12/13/2022]
Abstract
GOALS This study evaluates the real-world comorbidity burden, health care resource utilization (HRU), and costs among nonalcoholic fatty liver disease/nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NAFLD/NASH) patients with advanced liver diseases [compensated cirrhosis (CC), decompensated cirrhosis (DCC), liver transplantation (LT), hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC)]. BACKGROUND NAFLD/NASH is a leading cause of liver diseases. MATERIALS AND METHODS Adult NAFLD/NASH patients were identified retrospectively from MarketScan Commercial claims (2006-2016). Following initial NAFLD/NASH diagnosis, advanced liver diseases were identified using the first diagnosis as their index date. Mean annual all-cause HRU and costs (2016 USD) were reported. Adjusted costs were estimated through generalized linear models. Cumulative costs were illustrated for patient subsets with variable follow-up for each stage. RESULTS Within the database, 485,774 NAFLD/NASH patients met eligibility criteria. Of these, 93.4% (453,564) were NAFLD/NASH patients without advanced liver diseases, 1.6% (7665) with CC, 3.3% (15,833) with DCC, 0.1% (696) with LT, and 0.1% (428) with HCC. Comorbidity burden was high and increased as patients progressed through liver disease severity stages. Compared with NAFLD/NASH without advanced liver diseases (adjusted costs: $23,860), the annual cost of CC, DCC, LT, and HCC were 1.22, 5.64, 8.27, and 4.09 times higher [adjusted costs: $29,078, $134,448, $197,392, and $97,563 (P<0.0001)]. Inpatient admissions significantly drove increasing HRU. CONCLUSION Study findings suggest the need for early identification and effective management of NAFLD/NASH patients to minimize comorbidity burden, HRU, and costs in the privately insured US population.
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Wong RJ. Closing the gap to achieve HBV elimination by 2030: A global pursuit fueled by regional successes. LANCET REGIONAL HEALTH-WESTERN PACIFIC 2021; 16:100254. [PMID: 34590060 PMCID: PMC8406021 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanwpc.2021.100254] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/03/2021] [Accepted: 08/03/2021] [Indexed: 12/04/2022]
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Singal AK, Wong RJ, Jalan R, Asrani S, Kuo YF. Primary biliary cholangitis has the highest waitlist mortality in patients with cirrhosis and acute on chronic liver failure awaiting liver transplant. Clin Transplant 2021; 35:e14479. [PMID: 34510550 DOI: 10.1111/ctr.14479] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/28/2021] [Revised: 08/27/2021] [Accepted: 08/29/2021] [Indexed: 12/14/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Data are sparse on etiology specific outcomes on waitlist (WL) and post-transplant outcomes among patients with acute on chronic liver failure (ACLF). METHODS AND RESULTS In a retrospective cohort of 14,774 adults from United network for organ sharing (UNOS) database listed for Liver transplantation (LT) with cirrhosis and ACLF (January 2013-June 2019), 40% were due to alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD), followed by hepatitis C virus (HCV) at 20%, non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (19%), cryptogenic cirrhosis (7%), autoimmune hepatitis (5%), primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) at 3%, and 2% each for hepatitis B, primary biliary cholangitis (PBC), and metabolic etiology. Using competing risk analysis, cumulative risk of WL mortality was highest for PBC at 20.5% and lowest for PSC at 13.3%, P < .001. Compared with ALD as reference, WL mortality was higher for PBC (1.45 [1.16-1.82]), and similar for other etiologies, P < .001. Of this cohort, 9650 (65.3%) patients received LT, with 1-year. patient survival of 91.6% for PBC, worst for cryptogenic cirrhosis (89.5%) and best for PSC and ALD (93.4%), P < .001. CONCLUSION Among listed candidates with ACLF, those with PBC have highest WL mortality 1-year. post-transplant survival was excellent among recipients for PBC. If these findings are validated in prospective studies, liver disease etiology should be considered for LT selection among patients in ACLF.
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Wong RJ, Hirode G. The Effect of Hospital Safety-Net Burden and Patient Ethnicity on In-Hospital Mortality Among Hospitalized Patients With Cirrhosis. J Clin Gastroenterol 2021; 55:624-630. [PMID: 33136780 DOI: 10.1097/mcg.0000000000001452] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/03/2020] [Accepted: 09/12/2020] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Over 2.1 million individuals in the United Stats have cirrhosis, including 513,000 with decompensated cirrhosis. Hospitals with high safety-net burden disproportionately serve ethnic minorities and have reported worse outcomes in surgical literature. No studies to date have evaluated whether hospital safety-net burden negatively affects hospitalization outcomes in cirrhosis. We aim to evaluate the impact of hospitals' safety-net burden and patients' ethnicity on in-hospital mortality among cirrhosis patients. METHODS Using National Inpatient Sample data from 2012 to 2016, the largest United States all-payer inpatient health care claims database of hospital discharges, cirrhosis-related hospitalizations were stratified into tertiles of safety-net burden: high (HBH), medium (MBH), and low (LBH) burden hospitals. Safety-net burden was calculated as percentage of hospitalizations per hospital with Medicaid or uninsured payer status. Multivariable logistic regression evaluated factors associated with in-hospital mortality. RESULTS Among 322,944 cirrhosis-related hospitalizations (63.7% white, 9.9% black, 15.6% Hispanic), higher odds of hospitalization in HBHs versus MBH/LBHs was observed in blacks (OR, 1.26; 95%CI, 1.17-1.35; P<0.001) and Hispanics (OR, 1.63; 95% CI, 1.50-1.78; P<0.001) versus whites. Cirrhosis-related hospitalizations in MBHs or HBHs were associated with greater odds of in-hospital mortality versus LBHs (HBH vs. LBH: OR, 1.05; 95% CI, 1.00-1.10; P=0.044). Greater odds of in-hospital mortality was observed in blacks (OR, 1.27; 95% CI, 1.21-1.34; P<0.001) versus whites. CONCLUSION Cirrhosis patients hospitalized in HBH experienced 5% higher mortality than those in LBH, resulting in significantly greater deaths in cirrhosis patients. Even after adjusting for safety-net burden, blacks with cirrhosis had 27% higher in-hospital mortality compared with whites.
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Singal AK, Arsalan A, Dunn W, Arab JP, Wong RJ, Kuo YF, Kamath PS, Shah VH. Editorial: trends in alcohol use and alcohol-associated liver disease in the US population-authors' reply. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 2021; 54:513-514. [PMID: 34331802 DOI: 10.1111/apt.16520] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/09/2022]
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Singal AK, Arsalan A, Dunn W, Arab JP, Wong RJ, Kuo YF, Kamath PS, Shah VH. Alcohol-associated liver disease in the United States is associated with severe forms of disease among young, females and Hispanics. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 2021; 54:451-461. [PMID: 34247424 DOI: 10.1111/apt.16461] [Citation(s) in RCA: 26] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/07/2021] [Revised: 03/12/2021] [Accepted: 05/18/2021] [Indexed: 02/06/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Alcohol use and alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) burden are increasing in young individuals. AIM To assess host factors associated with this burden. METHODS National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES), National Inpatient Sample (NIS), and United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) databases (2006-2016) were used to identify individuals with harmful alcohol use, ALD-related admissions, and ALD-related LT listings respectively. RESULTS Of 15 981 subjects in NHANES database, weighted prevalence of harmful alcohol use was 17.7%, 29.3% in <35 years (G1) versus 16.9% in 35-64 years (G2) versus 5.1% in ≥65 years (G3). Alcohol use was about 11 and 4.7 folds higher in G1 and G2 versus G3, respectively. Male gender and Hispanic race associated with harmful alcohol use. Of 593 600 ALD admissions (5%, 77%, and 18% in G1-G3 respectively), acute on chronic liver failure (ACLF) occurred in 7.2%, (7.2 in G2 vs 6.7% in G1 and G3, P < 0.001). After controlling for other variables, ACLF development among ALD hospitalizations was higher by 14% and 10% in G1 and G2 versus G3, respectively. Female gender and Hispanic race were associated with increased ACLF risk by 8% and 17% respectively. Of 20,245 ALD LT listings (3.4%, 84.4%, and 12.2% in G1-G3 respectively), ACLF occurred in 28% candidates. Risk of severe (grade 2 or 3) ACLF was higher by about 1.7 fold in G1, 1.5 fold in females and 20% in Hispanics. CONCLUSION Young age, female gender, and Hispanic race are independently associated with ALD-related burden and ACLF in the United States. If these findings are validated in prospective studies, strategies will be needed to reduce alcohol use in high risk individuals to reduce burden from ALD.
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Wong RJ, Brosgart CL, Welch S, Block T, Chen M, Cohen C, Kim WR, Kowdley KV, Lok AS, Tsai N, Ward J, Wong SS, Gish RG. An Updated Assessment of Chronic Hepatitis B Prevalence Among Foreign-Born Persons Living in the United States. Hepatology 2021; 74:607-626. [PMID: 33655536 PMCID: PMC8453838 DOI: 10.1002/hep.31782] [Citation(s) in RCA: 52] [Impact Index Per Article: 17.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/13/2020] [Revised: 02/01/2021] [Accepted: 02/03/2021] [Indexed: 12/12/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIMS Although prevalence of chronic hepatitis B (CHB) in the USA includes 0.42 million (range, 0.28-0.67) U.S.-born persons, foreign-born (FB) persons contribute a substantially larger number to the burden of CHB in the USA. Over the past decade, patterns of U.S. immigration have changed and many countries have implemented HBV prevention programs. This study aims to estimate the number of FB persons with CHB in the USA by country of origin, updating our 2011 study. APPROACH AND RESULTS We performed systematic searches for articles published in 2009-2019 reporting HBsAg seroprevalence in emigrants and in-country populations of 117 countries. Data meeting inclusion criteria were combined with data from our 2011 study to calculate pooled prevalence estimates for 99 countries using meta-analyses (total 2,800 surveys involving 112 million subjects). Combining country-specific CHB rate estimates with the number of FB in the USA in 2018, by country of origin from the U.S. Census Bureau, we estimate that the number of FB with CHB in the USA in 2018 was 1.47 million (95% CI, 1.21-1.73), substantially higher than previously reported. The weighted average CHB prevalence for all FB in the USA in 2018 was 3.07%. Approximately 59% of FB with CHB in the USA in 2018 emigrated from Asia, 19% from the Americas, and 15% from Africa. Subgroup analyses found that for many countries, CHB rates are higher in males than females and have declined over the past three decades, but no consistent pattern is observed between emigrant and in-country rates. CONCLUSIONS Including FB and U.S.-born persons, the total prevalence of CHB in the USA may be as high as 2.4 million.
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Abdallah MA, Kuo YF, Asrani S, Wong RJ, Ahmed A, Kwo P, Terrault N, Kamath PS, Jalan R, Singal AK. Validating a novel score based on interaction between ACLF grade and MELD score to predict waitlist mortality. J Hepatol 2021; 74:1355-1361. [PMID: 33326814 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhep.2020.12.003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 30] [Impact Index Per Article: 10.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/28/2020] [Revised: 12/03/2020] [Accepted: 12/03/2020] [Indexed: 02/08/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND & AIMS Among candidates listed for liver transplant (LT), the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score may not capture acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) severity. Data on the interaction between ACLF and MELD score in predicting waitlist mortality are scarce. METHODS We analyzed the UNOS database (01/2002 to 06/2018) for LT listings in adults with cirrhosis and ACLF (without hepatocellular carcinoma). ACLF grades 1, 2, 3a, and 3b- were defined using the modified EASL-CLIF criteria. RESULTS Of 18,416 candidates with ACLF at listing (mean age 54 years, 69% males, 63% Caucasians), 90-day waitlist mortality (patient death or being too sick for LT) was 21.6% (18%, 20%, 25%, and 39% for ACLF grades 1, 2, 3a, and 3b, respectively). Using a Fine and Gray regression model, we identified an interaction between MELD and ACLF grade, with ACLF having a higher impact at lower MELD scores. Other variables included candidate's age, sex, liver disease etiology, listing MELD, ACLF grade, obesity, and performance status. A score developed using parameter estimates from the interaction model on the derivation cohort (n = 9,181) stratified the validation cohort (n = 9,235) into quartiles: Q1 (score <10.42), Q2 (10.42-12.81), Q3 (12.82-15.50), and Q4 (>15.50). Waitlist mortality increased with each quartile from 13%, 18%, 23%, and 36%, respectively. Observed vs. expected waitlist mortality deciles in the validation cohort showed good calibration (goodness of fit p = 0.98) and correlation (R = 0.99). CONCLUSION Among selected candidates who have ACLF at listing, MELD score and ACLF interact in predicting cumulative risk of 90-day waitlist mortality, with higher impact of ACLF grade at lower listing MELD score. Validating these findings in large prospective studies will support consideration of both MELD and ACLF when prioritizing transplant candidates and allocating liver grafts. LAY SUMMARY In patients with cirrhosis listed for liver transplantation, the presence of multiorgan failure, a condition referred to as acute-on-chronic liver failure, is associated with high waiting list mortality rates. Current organ allocation policy disadvantages patients with this condition. This study describes and validates a new scoring method that performs better than the currently available scoring systems. Further validation of this approach may reduce the deaths of patients with cirrhosis and acute-on-chronic liver failure on the transplant waiting list.
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Sundaram V, Jalan R, Shah P, Singal AK, Patel AA, Wu T, Noureddin M, Mahmud N, Wong RJ. Acute on Chronic Liver Failure From Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: A Growing and Aging Cohort With Rising Mortality. Hepatology 2021; 73:1932-1944. [PMID: 32961608 DOI: 10.1002/hep.31566] [Citation(s) in RCA: 29] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/23/2020] [Revised: 08/31/2020] [Accepted: 09/02/2020] [Indexed: 02/06/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIMS We assessed the burden of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD)-related acute on chronic liver failure (ACLF) among transplant candidates in the United States, along with waitlist outcomes for this population. APPROACH AND RESULTS We analyzed the United Network for Organ Sharing registry from 2005 to 2017. Patients with ACLF were identified using the European Association for the Study of the Liver/Chronic Liver Failure criteria and categorized into NAFLD, alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD), and hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. We used linear regression and Chow's test to determine significance in trends and evaluated waitlist outcomes using Fine and Gray's competing risks regression and Cox proportional hazards regression. Between 2005 and 2017, waitlist registrants for NAFLD-ACLF rose by 331.6% from 134 to 574 candidates (P < 0.001), representing the largest percentage increase in the study population. ALD-ACLF also increased by 206.3% (348-1,066 registrants; P < 0.001), whereas HCV-ACLF declined by 45.2% (P < 0.001). As of 2017, the NAFLD-ACLF population consisted primarily of persons aged ≥60 years (54.1%), and linear regression demonstrated a significant rise in the proportion of patients aged ≥65 in this group (β = 0.90; P = 0.011). Since 2014, NAFLD-ACLF grade 1 was associated with a greater risk of waitlist mortality relative to ALD-ACLF (subhazard ratio [SHR] = 1.24; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.05-1.44) and HCV-ACLF (SHR = 1.35; 95% CI, 1.08-1.71), among patients aged ≥60 years. Mortality was similar among the three groups for patients with ACLF grade 2 or 3. CONCLUSIONS NAFLD is the fastest rising etiology of cirrhosis associated with ACLF among patients listed in the United States. As the NAFLD population continues to grow and age, patients with NAFLD-ACLF will likely have the highest risk of waitlist mortality.
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