Leveraging Multivariable Linear Regression Analysis to Identify Patients with Anterior Cruciate Ligament Deficiency Using a Composite Index of the Knee Flexion and Muscle Force

Patients with anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) deficiency (ACLD) tend to have altered lower extremity kinematics and dynamics. Clinical diagnosis of ACLD requires more objective and convenient evaluation criteria. Twenty-five patients with ACLD before ACL reconstruction and nine healthy volunteers were recruited. Five experimental jogging data sets of each participant were collected and calculated using a musculoskeletal model. The resulting knee flexion and muscle force data were analyzed using a t-test for characteristic points, which were the time points in the gait cycle when the most significant difference between the two groups was observed. The data of the characteristic points were processed with principal component analysis to generate a composite index for multivariable linear regression. The accuracy rate of the regression model in diagnosing patients with ACLD was 81.4%. This study demonstrates that the multivariable linear regression model and composite index can be used to diagnose patients with ACLD. The composite index and characteristic points can be clinically objective and can be used to extract effective information quickly and conveniently.

Autotrophic denitrification using Fe(II) as an electron donor: A novel prospective denitrification process

As a newly identified nitrogen loss pathway, the nitrate-dependent ferrous oxidation (NDFO) process is emerging as a research hotspot in the field of low carbon to nitrogen ratio (C/N) wastewater treatment. This review article provides an overview of the NDFO process and summarizes the functional microorganisms associated with NDFO from different perspectives. The potential mechanisms by which external factors such as influent pH, influent Fe(II)/N (mol), organic carbon, and chelating agents affect NDFO performance are also thoroughly discussed. As the electron-transfer mechanism of the NDFO process is still largely unknown, the extensive chemical Fe(II)-oxidizing nitrite-reducing pathway (NDFO_chem) of the NDFO process is described here, and the potential enzymatic electron transfer mechanisms involved are summarized. On this basis, a three-stage electron transfer pathway applicable to low C/N wastewater is proposed. Furthermore, the impact of Fe(III) mineral products on the NDFO process is revisited, and existing crusting prevention strategies are summarized. Finally, future challenges facing the NDFO process and new research directions are discussed, with the aim of further promoting the development and application of the NDFO process in the field of nitrogen removal.

Development and validation of a nomogram for survival prediction in hepatocellular carcinoma after partial hepatectomy

BACKGROUND

The prognosis for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is complex due to its high level of heterogeneity, even after radical resection. This study was designed to develop and validate a prognostic nomogram for predicting the postoperative prognosis for HCC patients following partial hepatectomy.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We extracted data on HCC patients and randomly divided them into two groups (primary and validation cohorts), using the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. We developed the prediction model based on the data of the primary cohort and prognostic factors were evaluated using univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis. A nomogram was constructed for predicting the 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival probability of HCC patients after surgery based on the results of the multivariate Cox regression analysis. The performance of the nomogram was evaluated in terms of its discrimination and calibration. To validated the model, discrimination and calibration were also evaluated in the validation cohort. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was performed to assess the clinical utility of the nomogram.

RESULTS

A total of 890 patients who underwent partial hepatectomy for HCC were included in the study. The primary cohort enrolled 628 patients with a median follow-up time of 39 months, the 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival rate were 95.4%, 52.7% and 25.8% during follow-up. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that differentiation, tumor size, AFP and fibrosis were independently association with the prognosis of HCC patients after partial hepatectomy. The nomogram showed a moderate discrimination ith a C-index of 0.705 (95% CI 0.669 to 0.742), and good calibration. Similar discrimination with a C-index of 0.681 (95% CI 0.625 to 0.737), and calibration were also observed in the validation cohort. Decision curve analysis showed that the nomogram could be useful to predicting the prognosis in HCC patients following partial hepatectomy.

CONCLUSIONS

The proposed nomogram is highly predictive and has moderate calibration and discrimination, potentially contributing to the process of managing HCC patients after partial hepatectomy in an individualized way.

Development and validation of a dynamic online nomogram for predicting acute kidney injury in cirrhotic patients upon ICU admission

Background

Acute kidney injury (AKI) is one of the most common and deadly complications among cirrhotic patients at intensive care unit (ICU) admission. We aimed to develop and validate a simple and clinically useful dynamic nomogram for predicting AKI in cirrhotic patients upon ICU admission.

Methods

We analyzed the admission data of 4,375 patients with liver cirrhosis in ICU from 2008 to 2019 in the intensive care unit IV (MIMIC-IV) database. The eligible cirrhotic patients were non-randomly divided into derivation (n = 2,188) and validation (n = 2,187) cohorts at a ratio of 1:1, according to the order of admission. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression model was used to identify independent predictors of AKI in the derivation cohort. A dynamic online nomogram was built using multivariate logistic regression analysis in the derivation cohort and then validated in the validation cohort. The C-index, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis were used to assess the nomogram's discrimination, calibration, and clinical usefulness, respectively.

Results

The incidence of AKI in 4,375 patients was 71.3%. Ascites, chronic kidney disease, shock, sepsis, diuretic drugs, hepatic encephalopathy, bacterial infections, vasoactive drugs, admission age, total bilirubin, and blood urea nitrogen were identified using the multivariate logistic regression analysis as significant predictors of AKI upon ICU admission. In the derivation cohort, the model showed good discrimination (C-index, 0.786; 95% CI, 0.765-0.806) and good calibration. The model in the validation cohort yielded good discrimination (C-index, 0.774; 95% CI, 0.753-0.795) and good calibration. Decision curve analysis demonstrated that the dynamic online nomogram was clinically useful.

Conclusion

Our study presents a dynamic online nomogram that incorporates clinical predictors and can be conveniently used to facilitate the individualized prediction of AKI in cirrhotic patients upon ICU admission.

The effects of blurred visual inputs with different levels on the cerebral activity during free level walking

Objective

The aim of this study was to evaluate the effects of blurred vision on electrocortical activities at different levels during walking.

Materials and methods

A total of 22 healthy volunteers (all men; mean age: 24.4 ± 3.9 years) underwent an electroencephalography (EEG) test synchronous with free level walking. Visual status was simulated by goggles covered by the occlusion foil targeted at a Snellen visual acuity of 20/60 (V0.3), 20/200 (V0.1), and light perception (V0). At each of these conditions, the participants completed barefoot walking for five blocks of 10 m. The EEG signals were recorded by a wireless EEG system with electrodes of interest, namely, Cz, Pz, Oz, O1, and O2. The gait performances were assessed by the Vicon system.

Results

During walking with normal vision (V1.0), there were cerebral activities related to visual processing, characterized as higher spectral power of delta (Oz and O2 vs. Cz, Pz, and O1, p ≤ 0.033) and theta (Oz vs. Cz and O1, p = 0.044) bands in occipital regions. Moderately blurred vision (V0.3) would attenuate the predominance of delta- and theta-band activities at Oz and O2, respectively. At the statuses of V0.1 and V0, the higher power of delta (at V0.1 and V0, Oz, and O2 vs. Cz, Pz, and O1, p ≤ 0.047) and theta bands (at V0.1, Oz vs. Cz, p = 0.010; at V0, Oz vs. Cz, Pz, and O1, p ≤ 0.016) emerged again. The cautious gait pattern, characterized by a decrease in gait speed (p < 0.001), a greater amplitude of deviation from the right ahead (p < 0.001), a prolonged stance time (p = 0.001), a restricted range of motion in the hip on the right side (p ≤ 0.010), and an increased knee flexion during stance on the left side (p = 0.014), was only detected at the status of V0. The power of the alpha band at the status of V0 was higher than that at V1.0, V0.3, and V0.1 (p ≤ 0.011).

Conclusion

Mildly blurred visual inputs would elicit generalization of low-frequency band activity during walking. In circumstance to no effective visual input, locomotor navigation would rely on cerebral activity related to visual working memory. The threshold to trigger the shift might be the visual status that is as blurred as the level of Snellen visual acuity of 20/200.

Effects of sponge iron dosage on nitrogen removal performance and microbial community structure in sequencing batch reactors

The application of sponge iron (SI) carriers can improve the biochemical treatment performance of sequencing batch reactors (SBR) during wastewater treatment. This study used SBR reactors to explore the effects of SI dosage on the nitrogen removal performance and reactor stability and microbial community structure under low temperature and ultra-low load. In contrast to conventional SBR, the average removal rate of total nitrogen (TN) in the biological sponge iron system (BSIS) was increased by 5.38 % for 45 g/L, 18.93 % for 90 g/L, and 13.52 % for 135 g/L, respectively. The nitrogen removal performance and reactor stability showed the best performance under the SI dosage of 90 g/L. The addition of SI formed the anaerobic-anoxic-aerobic microenvironments, which facilitate the propagation of denitrifying bacteria (Saccharimonadales, Hydrogenophaga) and iron bacteria (Rhodoferax and Acinetobacter) in the BSIS. This study provides a new insight on the application of SI in the wastewater treatment.

Distribution of trace metals in a soil-tea leaves-tea infusion system: characteristics, translocation and health risk assessment

The effects of metal pollution on tea are of great concern to consumers. We apply Geographic information systems technology to study the distribution of heavy metal elements in tea plantation ecosystems in Jiangsu Province, explore the relationships among metals in the soil, tea leaves and tea infusions, and assess the human safety risks of metals. The concentrations of nine metals in a soil-tea leaves-tea infusion system were studied at 100 randomly selected tea plantations in Jiangsu Province, China. Concentrations of selected metals, zinc (Zn), nickel (Ni), manganese (Mn), chromium (Cr) and copper (Cu), were quantified using an inductively coupled plasma-optical emission spectrometer (ICP-OES), and cadmium (Cd), arsenic (As), plumbum (Pb) and mercury (Hg) were quantified using inductively coupled plasma-mass spectrometry (ICP-MS). Arc-Map 10.3 was used for the spatial analysis of metals in soil, tea leaves and tea infusions. We found that the contents of Mn, Ni and Zn are high level in soil, tea leaves and tea infusions. The Mn level showed a spatial distribution pattern with greater concentrations at the junction of Nanjing and Yangzhou, southwest of Changzhou and west of Suzhou. The hazard index (HI) values in north-central Nanjing, southern Suzhou, southwestern Changzhou and northern Lianyungang were relatively greater. The Zn, Ni, Mn, Cr and Cu levels in the soil-tea infusion system were 17.3, 45.5, 54.5, 1.5 and 14.3%, respectively. The order of the leaching rates of the elements was Ni > Cr > Zn > Mn > Cu. The relative contribution ratios of HI were in the order of Mn > Ni > Cu > Zn > Cr > Pb > Cd > As > Hg. In tea infusions, the Mn level has the greatest potential health risks to consumers. Moreover, using C_soil it was inferred that the safety thresholds of Zn, Ni, Mn, Cr and Cu in soil were 27,700, 50, 1230, 493,000 and 16,800 mg L^-1, respectively. The content of heavy metals in soil and tea varies greatly in different regions of Jiangsu Province, 92% of the soil has heavy metal content that meets the requirements of pollution-free tea gardens, 91% of tea samples met the requirements of green food tea. The thresholds for Ni (50 mg L^-1) and Mn (1230 mg L^-1) can be used as maximum limits in tea plantation soils. The consumption of tea infusions did not pose metal-related risks to human health.

Arthroscopic modified Broström procedure achieves faster return to sports than open procedure for chronic ankle instability

PURPOSE

To compare the clinical outcomes, rate of return to sports, postural control, and muscle strength between the arthroscopic and open modified Broström procedure for chronic lateral ankle instability (CLAI) patients.

METHODS

From September 2018 to April 2019, 70 patients diagnosed with CLAI were prospectively included with arthroscopic modified Broström procedure (n = 36) and open modified Broström procedure (n = 34). They were evaluated at five time points (preoperation and 3 months, 6 months, 1 year and 2 years postoperatively). The main results examined the rate of return to sports, American Orthopaedic Foot and Ankle Society Score (AOFAS), Foot and Ankle Ability Measure (FAAM), visual analogue scale (VAS), centre of pressure (COP) excursion velocity, time to boundary (TTB), plantar pressure, isokinetic muscle strength and complications.

RESULTS

Compared with the open group, the arthroscopic group demonstrated a significantly shorter period of return to the preinjury sport (13.2 ± 2.4 weeks vs. 18.7 ± 3.1 weeks, P = 0.023) and a higher early sport ratio (80.6 vs. 61.8%, P = 0.011) combined with better FAAM sports and AOFAS at 3 months and 6 months postoperatively and VAS at 3 months postoperatively. In addition, better anterior-posterior postural control stability, less time to peak force under lateral hindfoot and better dorsiflexion strength were shown in the arthroscopic group at 6 months postoperatively. No significant difference was found in clinical scores, posture control or muscle strength at the 1- or 2-year follow-up between the two groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Shorter period and higher rates of return to sport activities and better clinical scores, posture control and muscle strength were achieved in the arthroscopic group at 6 months postoperatively, and no clinical differences were found between arthroscopic and open modified Broström procedure 1 year or 2 years postoperatively. Arthroscopic modified Broström procedure is a reliable procedure for CLAI injuries with the demand for fast exercise recovery.

CLINICAL REGISTRATION

ChiCTR1900023999.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

II.

Inhibition of Mitochondrial Biosynthesis Using a "Right-Side-Out" Membrane-Camouflaged Micelle to Facilitate the Therapeutic Effects of Shikonin on Triple-Negative Breast Cancer

The mitochondria represent a potential target for the treatment of triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) and shikonin (SK) has shown remarkable therapeutic effects on TNBC. Herein, it is found that SK possesses potent inhibitory effects on mitochondrial biogenesis via targeting polymerase gamma (POLG). However, its application is restricted by its poor aqueous solubility and stability, and therefore, a biomimetic micelle to aid with tumor lesion accumulation and mitochondria-targeted delivery of SK is designed. A folic acid (FA) conjugated polyethylene glycol derivative (FA-PEG-FA) is inserted onto the external membranes of red blood cells (FP-RBCm) to prepare a "right-side-out" RBCm-camouflaged cationic micelle (ThTM/SK@FP-RBCm). Both FP-RBCm coating and a triphenylphosphine (TPP) moiety on the periphery of micelles contribute to tumor lesion distribution, receptor-mediated cellular uptake, and electrostatic attraction-dependent mitochondrial targeting, thereby maximizing inhibitory effects on mitochondrial biosynthesis in TNBC cells. Intravenous administration of ThTM/SK@FP-RBCm leads to profound inhibition of tumor growth and lung metastasis in a TNBC mouse model with no obvious toxicity. This work highlights the mitochondria-targeted delivery of SK using a "right-side-out" membrane-camouflaged micelle for the inhibition of mitochondrial biogenesis and enhanced therapeutic effects on TNBC.

Bilateral Alterations in Isokinetic Strength and Knee Biomechanics During Side-Cutting 1 Year After Unilateral ACL Reconstruction

BACKGROUND

Individuals with anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) reconstruction (ACLR) are a population that has a higher risk for ACL injury compared with the general population. To reduce the reinjury rate and improve the rehabilitation outcome after ACLR, risk factors for ACL injury have to be addressed.

PURPOSE

To compare the knee biomechanics during side-cutting and isokinetic strength of the thigh muscle of the reconstructed leg with those of the contralateral leg and healthy controls and investigate the knee movement asymmetries in individuals with ACLR.

STUDY DESIGN

Controlled laboratory study.

METHODS

A total of 16 participants with ACLR (ACLR group; 11.8 ± 1.1 months after reconstruction) and 16 healthy controls (control group) were recruited. Landmark coordinates and ground-reaction forces during side-cutting and isokinetic strength of hamstring and quadriceps were collected. Two-way analysis of variance with the mixed design was performed to compare each dependent variable between groups and across legs.

RESULTS

The reconstructed leg had a significantly smaller knee flexion angle (P = .004) and less quadriceps strength (P = .003) than the contralateral leg. The knee extension moment and knee external rotation angle were decreased compared with both the contralateral leg (P = .001, P = .003, respectively) and the healthy control leg (P = .001, P = .001, respectively). The ACLR group showed greater knee abduction angles (P = .004) and smaller knee external rotation moments (P = .006) than the control group. The ACLR group also demonstrated greater asymmetries of knee flexion angle (P = .015), knee external rotation angle (P = .001), knee extension moment (P = .013), knee abduction moment (P = .001), and quadriceps strength (P = .046) than the control group.

CONCLUSION

Knee biomechanics in the leg with ACLR were altered mainly in the sagittal plane during side-cutting compared with the contralateral leg. The altered movement patterns between the ACLR and control groups were primarily observed in the frontal and transverse planes. The ACLR group also demonstrated greater asymmetries of sagittal knee movement and concentric quadriceps strength than the control group.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE

Individuals with ACLR showed different alterations in the reconstructed and contralateral leg compared with healthy controls. These results suggest that rehabilitation programs after ACLR should further focus on restoring the knee flexion angle and quadriceps strength. Injury prevention programs need to be further targeted in the altered movement patterns observed between the ACLR and the healthy groups.

Protein Lysine Methyltransferases Inhibitors

Protein lysine methylation is a significant protein post-translational modification (PTMs), and has a key function in epigenetic regulation. Protein lysine methyltransferase (PKMTs) mainly catalyze the lysine methylation of various core histones, but also catalyze a few non-histone proteins. It has been observed that aberrant activity of PKMTs has been found in many cancers and other diseases, and some PKMTs inhibitors have been discovered and progressed to clinical trials. This field developed rapidly and has aroused great interest. In this paper, we reviewed the biochemical and biological activities of PKMTs and their association with various cancers. Selective small-molecule inhibitors including their chemical structure, structure-activity relationship, and in vitro/vivo studies are also be described with the aim of providing ideas for the discovery highly potent, selective PKMTs inhibitors.

Inhibition of TNF-α and JNK Signaling Pathway Can Reduce Paclitaxel-Induced Apoptosis of Mouse Cardiomyocytes

Paclitaxel (PTX) is a widely used chemotherapeutic drug for treating tumors. However, studies have shown that it can cause cardiac problems such as arrhythmia, myocarditis, chronic cardiomyopathy, and heart failure. Therefore, it is essential to study the mechanism behind the cardiotoxicity of PTX in tumor treatment. In this study, we initially injected PTX into mice to establish a myocardial cell apoptosis model to observe the degree of damage to mouse myocardium caused by PTX. Upon determining the levels of mouse myocardial creatine phosphokinase (CK), myokinase isoenzyme (CK-MB), aspartate transaminase (AST), and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), we found that all of these levels showed apparent increases in mice treated with PTX. Further analyses of the TNF-α level and the expression of Jun N-terminal kinase (JNK) and Bcl-2 family-related proteins in myocardial tissue were performed. It was found that PTX increased the protein levels of TNF-α, Bax, p-JNK, and JNK in myocardial tissue but decreased the protein level of Bcl-2. After 1 month of PTX treatment in mice, we inhibited the expression of TNF-α and JNK proteins, which reduced the effect of paclitaxel on the apoptosis of mouse cardiomyocytes. The protein levels of Bax, p-JNK, and TNF-α in cardiomyocytes were reduced, while there was a relative increase in the Bcl-2 protein level. The findings suggested that inhibition of the NK signaling pathway and TNF-α can lessen the effect of PTX on mouse cardiomyocytes.

Relationship between high intra-abdominal pressure and compliance of the pelvic floor support system in women without pelvic organ prolapse: A finite element analysis

Previous studies mainly focused on the relationship between the size of the prolapse and injury to the supporting tissues, but the strain and stress distributions of the supporting tissues as well as high-risk areas of injury are still unknown. To further investigate the effect of supporting tissues on organs and the interactions between organs, this study focused on the relationship between high intra-abdominal pressure and the compliance of the pelvic floor support system in a normal woman without pelvic organ prolapse (POP), using a finite element model of the whole pelvic support system. A healthy female volunteer (55 years old) was scanned using magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) during rest and Valsalva maneuver. According to the pelvic structure contours traced by a gynecologist and anatomic details measured from dynamic MRI, a finite element model of the whole pelvic support system was established, including the uterus, vagina with cavity, cardinal and uterosacral ligaments, levator ani muscle, rectum, bladder, perineal body, pelvis, and obturator internus and coccygeal muscles. This model was imported into ANSYS software, and an implicit iterative method was employed to simulate the biomechanical response with increasing intra-abdominal pressure. Stress and strain distributions of the vaginal wall showed that the posterior wall was more stable than the anterior wall under high intra-abdominal pressure. Displacement at the top of the vagina was larger than that at the bottom, especially in the anterior–posterior direction. These results imply potential injury areas with high intra-abdominal pressure in non-prolapsed women, and provide insight into clinical managements for the prevention and surgical repair plans of POP.

Use of sponge iron as an indirect electron donor to provide ferrous iron for nitrate-dependent ferrous oxidation processes: Denitrification performance and mechanism

Sponge iron (SI) can serve as an indirect electron donor to provide Fe(II) for the nitrate-dependent ferrous oxidation (NDFO) process, producing OH^- and magnetite. The SI-NDFO system mainly uses Fe(OH)₂ as an electron donor, achieving a TN reduction rate of 0.42 mg-TN/(gVSS·h) for a period of at least 90 days. The enrichment of iron-oxidizing bacteria and the competition of iron-carbon micro-electrolysis for reaction sites on the surface of SI are the main reasons for the improvement of total nitrogen removal efficiency (TNRE). With an influent NO₃^--N concentration of 50 mg/L and a SI concentration of 50 g/L (at pH 5.0 and 30 °C), the TNRE reached a maximum level of 38.28%. In addition, reducing the pH environment was found to improve the denitrification efficiency of the SI-NDFO system, although denitrification stability was also reduced as a result. Overall, the SI-mediated NDFO process is a promising technique.

Posterior reversible encephalopathy syndrome secondary to acute post-streptococcal glomerulonephritis in a child: a case report from the Tibetan plateau

Background

Posterior reversible encephalopathy syndrome (PRES) is a disorder of reversible vasogenic brain oedema with acute neurologic symptoms. It is a rare but serious disease that affects the central nervous system. PRES is a rare complication of acute post-streptococcal glomerulonephritis (APSGN). High altitude can accelerate vasogenic brain oedema by increasing cerebral blood flow (CBF), impairing cerebral autoregulation and promoting vascular inflammation. We report a case of PRES induced by acute post-streptococcal glomerulonephritis in a high-altitude environment.

Case presentation

A fourteen-year-old Tibetan girl presented with progressive headache with haematuria, facial swelling, dizziness and vomiting for 2 weeks as well as multiple episodes of tonic–clonic seizures for 14 h. She was diagnosed with APSGN based on laboratory tests and clinical symptoms. Brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and computed tomography (CT) revealed bilateral frontal, parietal and occipital lesions that were compatible with the radiological diagnosis of PRES. The treatments included an antibiotic (penicillin), an antiepileptic drug, and hyperbaric oxygen (HBO) therapy. Follow-up MRI obtained 1 week after admission and CT obtained 4 weeks and 6 weeks after admission demonstrated complete resolution of the brain lesions.

Conclusions

The case illustrates a rare occurrence of PRES following APSGN in a 14-year-old child in the Tibetan Plateau. The hypoxic conditions of a high-altitude setting might lower the cerebral autoregulation threshold and amplify the endothelial inflammatory reaction, thus inducing PRES in patients with APSGN. It is important to recognize the clinical and radiologic features of PRES, and adjuvant HBO therapy can promote rapid recovery from this condition in high-altitude areas.

Mathematical model and experiment analysis of pressure fluctuation inside dual-stack drainage system in residential buildings

The final velocity was put forward to study the water flow characteristics inside the building drainage system; however, it is more suitable for low-rise and multi-storey buildings, not for high-rise buildings. This study revealed the drainage transient characteristics of a double stack drainage system in high-rise residential buildings. Based on the final velocity, the air-water interaction mechanism and two-phase flow conditions in high-rise residential drainage stacks were discussed. An influence model of drainage system flow rate on pressure fluctuation under the change of state parameters such as ventilation rate, pipe wall roughness and building height was established. The pressure limit and flow rate data were obtained through full-scale experiments. The pressure limit and flow rate model were simplified to P_n = A ċ Q² + B ċ Q^1:81 + C. After the data were verified, the fitting coefficients A, B and C were linear to the floor height.

A model for predicting the overall survival of gastroenteropancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasms after surgery

BACKGROUND

The increase in the incidence of gastroenteropancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (GEP-NENs) and refined morphological imaging techniques have led to a rise in the number of patients undergoing surgery. However, there is still a paucity of objective, clinically reliable and personalized tools to evaluate patient prognosis.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We identified patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database who underwent surgery for GEP-NEN from 1975 to 2018. The predictors associated with OS were investigated by Multivariate Cox proportional hazards (PHs) regression analysis in the primary cohort; a prognostic nomogram was then built based on the multivariate analysis results. The performance of the nomogram was assessed by Harrell's concordance index (C-index) and calibration curve and compared with the eighth edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system.

RESULTS

A total of 45,889 patients were enrolled in our study; 32,321 were included in the primary cohort, and 13,568 were included in the validation cohort. A nomogram incorporating Age, Differentiation, M staging, and AJCC staging was subsequently built based on the multivariate analysis. The C-index (0.833 for the primary cohort and 0.845 for the validation cohort) and calibration curves indicated good discriminative ability and calibration of the nomogram. Further analysis demonstrated that the nomogram had superior discriminatory ability than the AJCC staging system (C-index= 0.706).

CONCLUSION

The proposed nomogram showed excellent prediction with good calibration and discrimination, which can be used to make well-informed and individualized clinical decisions regarding the clinical management of GEP-NENs.