Derivation and prospective validation of a simple index for prediction of cardiac risk of major noncardiac surgery

BACKGROUND

Cardiac complications are important causes of morbidity after noncardiac surgery. The purpose of this prospective cohort study was to develop and validate an index for risk of cardiac complications.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We studied 4315 patients aged > or = 50 years undergoing elective major noncardiac procedures in a tertiary-care teaching hospital. The main outcome measures were major cardiac complications. Major cardiac complications occurred in 56 (2%) of 2893 patients assigned to the derivation cohort. Six independent predictors of complications were identified and included in a Revised Cardiac Risk Index: high-risk type of surgery, history of ischemic heart disease, history of congestive heart failure, history of cerebrovascular disease, preoperative treatment with insulin, and preoperative serum creatinine >2.0 mg/dL. Rates of major cardiac complication with 0, 1, 2, or > or = 3 of these factors were 0.5%, 1.3%, 4%, and 9%, respectively, in the derivation cohort and 0.4%, 0.9%, 7%, and 11%, respectively, among 1422 patients in the validation cohort. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis in the validation cohort indicated that the diagnostic performance of the Revised Cardiac Risk Index was superior to other published risk-prediction indexes.

CONCLUSIONS

In stable patients undergoing nonurgent major noncardiac surgery, this index can identify patients at higher risk for complications. This index may be useful for identification of candidates for further risk stratification with noninvasive technologies or other management strategies, as well as low-risk patients in whom additional evaluation is unlikely to be helpful.

Effect of dietary enrichment with eicosapentaenoic and docosahexaenoic acids on in vitro neutrophil and monocyte leukotriene generation and neutrophil function

The effects of dietary fish-oil fatty acids on the function of the 5-lipoxygenase pathway of peripheral-blood polymorphonuclear leukocytes and monocytes were determined in seven normal subjects who supplemented their usual diet for six weeks with daily doses of triglycerides containing 3.2 g of eicosapentaenoic acid and 2.2 g of docosahexaenoic acid. The diet increased the eicosapentaenoic acid content in neutrophils and monocytes more than sevenfold, without changing the quantities of arachidonic acid and docosahexaenoic acid. When the neutrophils were activated, the release of [3H]arachidonic acid and its labeled metabolites was reduced by a mean of 37 per cent, and the maximum generation of three products of the 5-lipoxygenase pathway was reduced by more than 48 per cent. The ionophore-induced release of [3H]arachidonic acid and its labeled metabolites from monocytes in monolayers was reduced by a mean of 39 per cent, and the generation of leukotriene B4 by 58 per cent. The adherence of neutrophils to bovine endothelial-cell monolayers pretreated with leukotriene B4 was inhibited completely, and their average chemotactic response to leukotriene B4 was inhibited by 70 per cent, as compared with values determined before the diet was begun and six weeks after its discontinuation. We conclude that diets enriched with fish-oil-derived fatty acids may have antiinflammatory effects by inhibiting the 5-lipoxygenase pathway in neutrophils and monocytes and inhibiting the leukotriene B4-mediated functions of neutrophils.

RIP: a novel protein containing a death domain that interacts with Fas/APO-1 (CD95) in yeast and causes cell death

Ligation of the extracellular domain of the cell surface receptor Fas/APO-1 (CD95) elicits a characteristic programmed death response in susceptible cells. Using a genetic selection based on protein-protein interaction in yeast, we have identified two gene products that associate with the intracellular domain of Fas: Fas itself, and a novel 74 kDa protein we have named RIP, for receptor interacting protein. RIP also interacts weakly with the p55 tumor necrosis factor receptor (TNFR1) intracellular domain, but not with a mutant version of Fas corresponding to the murine lprcg mutation. RIP contains an N-terminal region with homology to protein kinases and a C-terminal region containing a cytoplasmic motif (death domain) present in the Fas and TNFR1 intracellular domains. Transient overexpression of RIP causes transfected cells to undergo the morphological changes characteristic of apoptosis. Taken together, these properties indicate that RIP is a novel form of apoptosis-inducing protein.

Cyclin activation of p34cdc2

The gradual accumulation of cyclin in the frog egg induces an abrupt and concerted activation of p34cdc2 that initiates mitosis. Activation is delayed even after the accumulation of cyclin to a critical threshold concentration. We have reproduced these unusual kinetic properties of p34cdc2 activation in vitro using bacterially expressed cyclin proteins and extracts derived from Xenopus eggs. Abrupt activation follows a lag period, the length of which is independent of the concentration of cyclin. The threshold concentration of cyclin and the length of the lag period are regulated by INH, an inhibitor of MPF activation in oocytes recently identified as a type 2A protein phosphatase. Binding to cyclin induces both tyrosine and threonine phosphorylation of the previously unphosphorylated p34cdc2, rendering it inactivated. The concerted transition into mitosis involves both a reduction in the rate of p34cdc2 phosphorylation on tyrosine and an increase in its rate of dephosphorylation.

Clinical characteristics and natural history of patients with acute myocardial infarction sent home from the emergency room

In a prospective multicenter investigation of emergency room patients with acute chest pain, physicians admitted 96% of patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and discharged 4%. Of 35 patients who were sent home with AMI, only 11 (31%) returned to the same hospital because of persistent symptoms. Compared with a control group of 105 randomly selected patients with AMI who were admitted from the emergency room, patients in whom AMI was missed were significantly younger, had less typical symptoms and were less likely to to have had prior AMI or angina or to have electrocardiographic evidence of ischemia or infarction not known to be old. Despite the less typical presentations of patients in whom AMI was missed, after controlling for age and sex, the short-term mortality rate was significantly higher among patients in whom AMI was missed but in whom it was detected through our follow-up procedures than in admitted AMI patients. As determined by independent reviewers, 49% of the missed AMIs could have been diagnosed through improved electrocardiographic reading skills or by admission of patients with recognized ischemic pain at rest or ischemic electrocardiographic changes not known to be old.

A computer protocol to predict myocardial infarction in emergency department patients with chest pain

To achieve more appropriate triage to the coronary care unit of patients presenting with acute chest pain, we used clinical data on 1379 patients at two hospitals to construct a simple computer protocol to predict the presence of myocardial infarction. When we tested this protocol prospectively in 4770 patients at two university hospitals and four community hospitals, the computer-derived protocol had a significantly higher specificity (74 vs. 71 percent) in predicting the absence of infarction than physicians deciding whether to admit patients to the coronary care unit, and it had a similar sensitivity in detecting the presence of infarction (88.0 vs. 87.8 percent). Decisions based solely on the computer protocol would have reduced the admission of patients without infarction to the coronary care unit by 11.5 percent without adversely affecting the admission of patients in whom emergent complications developed that required intensive care. Although this protocol should not be used to override careful clinical judgment in individual cases, the computer protocol for the most part yields accurate estimates of the probability of myocardial infarction. Decisions about admission to the coronary care unit based on the protocol would have been as effective as those actually made by the unaided physicians who cared for the patients, and less costly. Whether physicians who are aided by the protocol perform better than unaided physicians cannot be determined without further study.

Major glycoprotein antigens that induce antibodies in AIDS patients are encoded by HTLV-III

Antibodies from the serum of patients with the acquired immune deficiency syndrome (AIDS) or with the AIDS-related complex and from the serum of seropositive healthy homosexuals, recognize two major glycoproteins in cells infected with human T-cell lymphotropic virus type III (HTLV III). These glycoproteins, gp160 and gp120, are encoded by the 2.5-kilobase open reading frame located in the 3' end of the HTLV-III genome, as determined by amino terminus sequence analysis of the radiolabeled forms of these proteins. It is hypothesized that gp160 and gp120 represent the major species of virus-encoded envelope gene products for HTLV-III.

Does housestaff discontinuity of care increase the risk for preventable adverse events?

OBJECTIVE

To study the relation between housestaff coverage schedules and the occurrence of preventable adverse events.

DESIGN

Case-control study.

SETTING

Urban teaching hospital.

PATIENTS

All 3146 patients admitted to the medical service during a 4-month period.

MEASUREMENTS

A previously tested confidential self-report system to identify adverse events, which were defined as unexpected complications of medical therapy that resulted in increased length of stay or disability at discharge. A panel of three board-certified internists confirmed events and evaluated preventability based on case summaries. Housestaff coverage was coded according to the day in the usual intern's schedule and to cross-coverage status. Cross-coverage was defined as care by a house officer who was not the patient's usual intern and not a member of the usual intern's patient care team. Coverage for an adverse event was assigned according to who was covering during the proximate cause of that event. Clinical data were collected for each patient and two matched controls.

RESULTS

Of the 124 adverse events reported and confirmed, 54 (44%) were judged potentially preventable. In the univariate analysis, patients with potentially preventable adverse events were more likely than their controls to be covered by a physician from another team at the time of the event (26% compared with 12% [odds ratio, 3.5; P = 0.01]). In the multivariate analysis, three factors were significant independent correlates of potentially preventable adverse events; cross-coverage (odds ratio, 6.1; 95% CI, 1.4 to 26.7), Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score (odds ratio per point, 1.2; CI, 1.1 to 1.4), and history of gastrointestinal bleeding (odds ratio, 4.7; CI, 1.2 to 19.0).

CONCLUSION

Potentially preventable adverse events were strongly associated with coverage by a physician from another team, which may reflect management by housestaff unfamiliar with the patient. The results emphasize the need for careful attention to the outcome of work-hour reforms for housestaff.

Leukotriene E4 and granulocytic infiltration into asthmatic airways

Sulphidopeptide leukotrienes are potent bronchoconstrictors and increase bronchial hyperreactivity, one of the hallmarks of asthma. We have demonstrated that leukotriene LTE4, the most stable of the sulphidopeptide leukotrienes, elicited an increase in the numbers of eosinophils and neutrophils in the lamina propria of the airway mucosa 4 h after inhalation in 4 asthmatic subjects. The numbers of eosinophils were, on average, 10-fold greater than those of neutrophils. There was no significant change in numbers of lymphocytes, plasma cells, mast cells, or macrophages. Since LTE4 recruits granulocytes, the potential of antisulphidopeptide leukotriene drugs as anti-inflammatory and "steroid-sparing" agents should be tested.

Methamphetamine neurotoxicity: necrotic and apoptotic mechanisms and relevance to human abuse and treatment

Research into methamphetamine-induced neurotoxicity has experienced a resurgence in recent years. This is due to (1) greater understanding of the mechanisms underlying methamphetamine neurotoxicity, (2) its usefulness as a model for Parkinson's disease and (3) an increased abuse of the substance, especially in the American Mid-West and Japan. It is suggested that the commonly used experimental one-day methamphetamine dosing regimen better models the acute overdose pathologies seen in humans, whereas chronic models are needed to accurately model human long-term abuse. Further, we suggest that these two dosing regimens will result in quite different neurochemical, neuropathological and behavioral outcomes. The relative importance of the dopamine transporter and vesicular monoamine transporter knockout is discussed and insights into oxidative mechanisms are described from observations of nNOS knockout and SOD overexpression. This review not only describes the neuropathologies associated with methamphetamine in rodents, non-human primates and human abusers, but also focuses on the more recent literature associated with reactive oxygen and nitrogen species and their contribution to neuronal death via necrosis and/or apoptosis. The effect of methamphetamine on the mitochondrial membrane potential and electron transport chain and subsequent apoptotic cascades are also emphasized. Finally, we describe potential treatments for methamphetamine abusers with reference to the time after withdrawal. We suggest that potential treatments can be divided into three categories; (1) the prevention of neurotoxicity if recidivism occurs, (2) amelioration of apoptotic cascades that may occur even in the withdrawal period and (3) treatment of the atypical depression associated with withdrawal.

Identification of a new type of mammalian peroxiredoxin that forms an intramolecular disulfide as a reaction intermediate

Peroxidases of the peroxiredoxin (Prx) family contain a Cys residue that is preceded by a conserved sequence in the NH(2)-terminal region. A new type of mammalian Prx, designated PrxV, has now been identified as the result of a data base search with this conserved Cys-containing sequence. The 162-amino acid PrxV shares only approximately 10% sequence identity with previously identified mammalian Prx enzymes and contains Cys residues at positions 73 and 152 in addition to that (Cys(48)) corresponding to the conserved Cys. Analysis of mutant human PrxV proteins in which each of these three Cys residues was individually replaced with serine suggested that the sulfhydryl group of Cys(48) is the site of oxidation by peroxides and that oxidized Cys(48) reacts with the sulfhydryl group of Cys(152) to form an intramolecular disulfide linkage. The oxidized intermediate of PrxV is thus distinct from those of other Prx enzymes, which form either an intermolecular disulfide or a sulfenic acid intermediate. The disulfide formed by PrxV is reduced by thioredoxin but not by glutaredoxin or glutathione. Thus, PrxV mutants lacking Cys(48) or Cys(152) showed no detectable thioredoxin-dependent peroxidase activity, whereas mutation of Cys(73) had no effect on activity. Immunoblot analysis revealed that PrxV is widely expressed in rat tissues and cultured mammalian cells and is localized intracellularly to cytosol, mitochondria, and peroxisomes. The peroxidase function of PrxV in vivo was demonstrated by the observations that transient expression of the wild-type protein, but not that of the Cys(48) mutant, in NIH 3T3 cells inhibited H(2)O(2) accumulation and activation of c-Jun NH(2)-terminal kinase induced by tumor necrosis factor-alpha.

Impact of age on perioperative complications and length of stay in patients undergoing noncardiac surgery

BACKGROUND

Major surgical procedures are performed with increasing frequency in elderly persons, but the impact of age on resource use and outcomes is uncertain.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the influence of age on perioperative cardiac and noncardiac complications and length of stay in patients undergoing noncardiac surgery.

DESIGN

Prospective cohort study.

SETTING

Urban academic medical center.

PATIENTS

Consecutive sample of 4315 patients 50 years of age or older who underwent nonemergent major noncardiac procedures.

MEASUREMENTS

Major perioperative complications (cardiac and noncardiac), in-hospital mortality, and length of stay.

RESULTS

Major perioperative complications occurred in 4.3% (44 of 1015) of patients 59 years of age or younger, 5.7% (93 of 1646) of patients 60 to 69 years of age, 9.6% (129 of 1341) of patients 70 to 79 years of age, and 12.5% (39 of 313) of patients 80 years of age or older (P < 0.001). In-hospital mortality was significantly higher in patients 80 years of age or older than in those younger than 80 years of age (0.7% vs. 2.6%, respectively). Multivariate analyses indicated an increased odds ratio for perioperative complications or in-hospital mortality in patients 70 to 79 years of age (1.8 [95% CI, 1.2 to 2.7]) and those 80 years of age or older (OR, 2.1 [CI, 1.2 to 3.6]) compared with patients 50 to 59 years of age. Patients 80 years of age or older stayed an average of 1 day more in the hospital, after adjustment for other clinical data (P = 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Elderly patients had a higher rate of major perioperative complications and mortality after noncardiac surgery and a longer length of stay, but even in patients 80 years of age or older, mortality was low.

Critical pathways as a strategy for improving care: problems and potential

In an era of increasing competition in medical care, critical pathway guidelines have emerged as one of the most popular new initiatives intended to reduce costs while maintaining or even improving the quality of care. Developed primarily for high-volume hospital diagnoses, critical pathways display goals for patients and provide the corresponding ideal sequence and timing of staff actions for achieving those goals with optimal efficiency. Despite the rapid dissemination of critical pathway programs in hospitals throughout the United States, many uncertainties remain about their development, implementation, and evaluation. In addition, serious concerns have been raised about their effect on patient outcomes and satisfaction with care, physician autonomy, malpractice risks, and the teaching and research missions of many hospitals. Underlying these concerns is the absence of data from controlled trials to evaluate the effects of critical pathways. Physicians should understand the potential benefits and problems associated with critical pathways because physicians are increasingly being asked to provide leadership for pathway programs. Physicians and other health service investigators should also develop methods to study pathways in evolving health care settings. Although the promise of reduced costs and improved quality is enticing, the gaps in our knowledge about critical pathways are extensive; therefore, like any new health care technology, pathway programs should be fully evaluated in order to understand the conditions under which that promise may be fulfilled.

Peroxiredoxin II is essential for sustaining life span of erythrocytes in mice

Peroxiredoxins (Prxs) are a family of antioxidant proteins that reduce peroxide levels by using reducing agents such as thioredoxin. These proteins were characterized to have a number of cellular functions, including cell proliferation and differentiation and protection of specific proteins from oxidative damage. However, the physiological roles of the peroxiredoxins have not been determined. To clarify the physiological relevance of this protein type, we generated a mouse model deficient in Prx II, which is abundantly expressed in all types of cells. The Prx II-/- mice were healthy in appearance and fertile. However, they had splenomegaly caused by the congestion of red pulp with hemosiderin accumulation. Heinz bodies were detected in their peripheral blood, and morphologically abnormal cells were elevated in the dense red blood cell (RBC) fractions, which contained markedly higher levels of reactive oxygen species (ROS). The Prx II-/- mice had significantly decreased hematocrit levels, but increased reticulocyte counts and erythropoietin levels, indicative of a compensatory action to maintain hematologic homeostasis in the mice. In addition, a labeling experiment with the thiol-modifying reagent biotinylated iodoacetamide (BIAM) in Prx II-/- mice revealed that a variety of RBC proteins were highly oxidized. Our results suggest that Prx II-/- mice have hemolytic anemia and that Prx II plays a major role in protecting RBCs from oxidative stress in mice.

Prediction of the need for intensive care in patients who come to emergency departments with acute chest pain

BACKGROUND

Patients who come to the emergency department with chest pain are a heterogeneous group. Some have ischemic heart disease that may lead to serious complications, whereas others have minor disorders. We performed a study to identify clinical factors that predict which patients will have complications requiring intensive care.

METHODS

We first studied 10,682 patients with acute chest pain at seven hospitals between 1984 and 1986 (derivation set) to identify potential clinical predictors of the development of major complications. We then validated these predictors in a separate set of 4676 patients at one hospital between 1990 and 1994 (validation set).

RESULTS

In the derivation set of patients, we identified the following set of clinical features, which, if present in the emergency department, were associated with an increased risk of complications: ST-segment elevation or Q waves on the electrocardiogram thought to indicate acute myocardial infarction, other electrocardiographic changes indicating myocardial ischemia, low systolic blood pressure, pulmonary rales above the bases, or an exacerbation of known ischemic heart disease. On the basis of these criteria, the patients in the validation set were stratified into four groups, with the risk of major complications in the first 12 hours ranging from 0.15 to 8 percent. After 12 hours, the probability of a major complication could be updated on the basis of whether the patient had already had a complication of major severity, a complication of intermediate severity, or a myocardial infarction (independent relative risks, 18.9, 7.7 and 4.0, respectively, as compared with patients without prior complications or myocardial infarction).

CONCLUSIONS

The risk of major complications in patients with acute chest pain can be estimated on the basis of the clinical presentation and new clinical observations made during the hospital course. These estimates of risk help in making rational decisions about the appropriate level of medical care for patients with acute chest pain.

The relationship of postoperative delirium with psychoactive medications

OBJECTIVE

To examine the role of medications with known psychoactive properties in the development of postoperative delirium.

DESIGN

Nested case-control study within a prospective cohort study.

SETTING

General surgery, orthopedic surgery, and gynecology services at Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Mass.

PATIENTS

Cases (n = 91) were patients enrolled in a prospective cohort study who developed delirium during postoperative days 2 through 5. One or two controls (n = 154) were matched to each case by the calculated preoperative risk for delirium using a predictive model developed and validated in the prospective cohort study.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Medication exposures were ascertained from the medical record by a reviewer blinded to the study hypothesis. Exposures to narcotics, benzodiazepines, and anticholinergics were recorded for the 24-hour period before delirium developed in the 91 cases and for the same 24-hour postoperative period for the 154 matched controls.

RESULTS

Delirium was significantly associated with postoperative exposure to meperidine (odds ratio [OR], 2.7; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.3 to 5.5) and to benzodiazepines (OR, 3.0; 95% CI, 1.3 to 6.8). Meperidine had similar associations with delirium whether administered via epidural or patient-controlled routes, although only the epidural route reached significance (OR, 2.4; 95% CI, 1.3 to 4.4; OR, 2.1; 95% CI, 0.4 to 10.7, respectively). For benzodiazepines, long-acting agents had a trend toward stronger association with delirium than did short-acting agents (OR, 5.4; 95% CI, 1.0 to 29.2; vs 2.6; 1.1 to 6.5), and high-dose exposures had a trend toward slightly stronger association than low-dose exposures (OR, 3.3; 95% CI, 1.0 to 11.0; vs 2.6; 0.8 to 9.1). Neither narcotics (OR, 1.4; 95% CI, 0.5 to 4.3) nor anticholinergic drugs (OR, 1.5; 95% CI, 0.6 to 3.4) were significantly associated with delirium as a class, although statistical power was limited because of the high use of narcotics and the low use of anticholinergics in the study population.

CONCLUSIONS

Clinicians caring for patients at risk for delirium should carefully evaluate the need for meperidine and benzodiazepines in the postoperative period and consider alternative therapies whenever possible.

Antibodies to cell membrane antigens associated with human T-cell leukemia virus in patients with AIDS

The acquired immune deficiency syndrome (AIDS), which has recently occurred at increasing rates in homosexual men, intravenous drug users, and others, is characterized by the development of Kaposi's sarcoma and several opportunistic infections including pneumonia caused by Pneumocystis carinii. Serum samples from patients with AIDS and from matched and unmatched control subjects were examined for the presence of antibodies to cell membrane antigens associated with human T-cell leukemia virus. Nineteen of 75 of the AIDS patients had antibodies directed to surface antigens of Hut 102, a reference T lymphoid cell line infected with leukemia virus, as did two of the 336 control subjects.

The association of intraoperative factors with the development of postoperative delirium

PURPOSE

To examine the association of intraoperative factors, including route of anesthesia, hemodynamic complications, and blood loss, with the development of postoperative delirium.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We studied 1,341 patients 50 years of age and older admitted for major elective noncardiac surgery at an academic medical center. Data on route of anesthesia, intraoperative hypotension, bradycardia and tachycardia, blood loss, number of blood transfusions, and lowest postoperative hematocrit were obtained from the medical record. Delirium was diagnosed by using daily interviews with the Confusion Assessment Method, as well as from the medical record and the hospital's nursing intensity index.

RESULTS

Postoperative delirium occurred in 117 (9%) patients. Route of anesthesia and intraoperative hemodynamic complications were not associated with delirium. Delirium was associated with greater intraoperative blood loss, more postoperative blood transfusions, and postoperative hematocrit <30%. After adjusting for preoperative risk factors, postoperative hematocrit <30% was associated with an increased risk of delirium (odds ratio = 1.7, 95% confidence interval 1.1-2.7).

CONCLUSIONS

Further study is required to determine whether transfusion to keep postoperative hematocrit above 30% can reduce the incidence of postoperative delirium.

HIV-1 Langerhans' cell tropism associated with heterosexual transmission of HIV

Heterosexual transmission by vaginal intercourse accounts for most transmission of human immunodeficiency virus-type 1 (HIV-1) in Africa and Asia but is less important in the HIV-1 epidemics of the United States and Western Europe. Epithelial Langerhans' cells (LCs) represent a possible source of initial cell contact for vaginal infection. Fifteen primary isolates of HIV-1 from U.S. homosexuals and 18 HIV-1 isolates from Thailand heterosexuals were evaluated for growth in LCs of U.S. origin. All the viruses from the Thai heterosexuals, which were subtype E, grew more efficiently in the LCs than any of the viruses from the U.S. homosexuals, which are subtype B. These results suggest that LC tropism is associated with the efficiency of heterosexual transmission of HIV.

The matrix protein of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 is required for incorporation of viral envelope protein into mature virions

Accumulating evidence suggests that the matrix (MA) protein of retroviruses plays a key role in virus assembly by directing the intracellular transport and membrane association of the Gag polyprotein. In this report, we show that the MA protein of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 is also critical for the incorporation of viral Env proteins into mature virions. Several deletions introduced in the MA domain (p17) of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 Gag polyprotein did not greatly affect the synthesis and processing of the Gag polyprotein or the formation of virions. Analysis of the viral proteins revealed normal levels of Gag and Pol proteins in these mutant virions, but the Env proteins, gp120 and gp41, were hardly detectable in the mutant virions. Our data suggest that an interaction between the viral Env protein and the MA domain of the Gag polyprotein is required for the selective incorporation of Env proteins during virus assembly. Such an interaction appears to be very sensitive to conformational changes in the MA domain, as five small deletions in two separate regions of p17 equally inhibited viral Env protein incorporation. Mutant viruses were not infectious in T cells. When mutant and wild-type DNAs were cotransfected into T cells, the replication of wild-type virus was also hindered. These results suggest that the incorporation of viral Env protein is a critical step for replication of retroviruses and can be a target for the design of antiviral strategies.

Heterogeneity of therapeutic responses in asthma

Asthma is a complex clinical syndrome with multiple genetic and environmental factors contributing to its phenotypic expression. This aetiological heterogeneity adds to the complexity when addressing variation in the response to anti-asthma treatment. Currently, there are three main lines of treatment available: (i) inhaled glucocorticoids which have multiple mechanisms of action; (ii) beta 2-agonists which are very effective bronchodilators and act predominantly on airway smooth muscle; and (iii) cysteinyl-leukotriene inhibitors. Analysis of the repeatability (r) of the treatment response, defined as the fraction of the total population variance which results from among-individual differences, shows values of r between 60-80% indicating that a substantial fraction of the variance of the treatment response could be genetic in nature. Among the sources of variability that could contribute to the observed heterogeneity in the response to treatment are the degree of underlying inflammation, such as in glucocorticoid resistance, and polymorphisms in the genes encoding the drug target, such as beta 2-adrenoceptor and 5-lipoxygenase.

Assessment of operative risk in patients undergoing lung resection. Importance of predicted pulmonary function

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the ability of preoperative variables to identify patients at increased risk for complications after lung resection and the usefulness of predicted postoperative FEV1 as a marker of risk for adverse outcomes.

DESIGN

Prospective analysis of a cohort of patients undergoing pulmonary resection. Complication rates were analyzed according to preoperative pulmonary variables, demographic variables, procedure performed, and predicted postoperative FEV1. Predicted postoperative FEV1 was calculated using a formula estimating the decline in preoperative FEV1 based on the number of bronchopulmonary segments removed during surgery.

SETTING

A major teaching hospital and tertiary referral center.

PATIENTS

A consecutive series of patients undergoing pulmonary resection.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

Medical complications were recorded as part of an ongoing clinical database. The overall complication rate was low (17 percent rate of any complication, 1 percent death rate). Univariate predictors of complications included age > or = 60, male sex, history of smoking, a pneumonectomy procedure, and a low predicted postoperative FEV1. Hypercarbia (> or = 45 mm Hg) on preoperative arterial blood gas analysis, desaturation on exercise oximetry (< or = 90 percent), and a preoperative FEV1 less than 1 L were not predictive of complications. When the effect of these variables was controlled for in a multivariate analysis, a low predicted postoperative FEV1 remained the only significant independent predictor of complications. For each 0.2 L decrease in predicted FEV1, the odds ratio for complications was 1.46 (95 percent confidence interval [CI] 1.2 to 1.8).

CONCLUSIONS

A low predicted postoperative FEV1 appears to be the best indicator of patients at high risk for complications, and it was the only significant correlate of complications when the effect of other potential risk factors was controlled for in a multivariate analysis. Pulmonary resection should not be denied on the basis of traditionally cited preoperative pulmonary variables, and a prediction of postoperative pulmonary function by a technique of simple calculation may be useful to identify patients at increased risk for medical complications.