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Santoni G, Lagergren J, Bottai M. ASO Authors Reflections: Patient Age and Survival After Surgery for Esophageal Cancer. Ann Surg Oncol 2020; 27:765-766. [PMID: 32472414 PMCID: PMC7677268 DOI: 10.1245/s10434-020-08661-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/11/2020] [Indexed: 12/26/2022]
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Lindqvist C, Nordstedt P, Nowak G, Slinde F, Majeed A, Bottai M, Wahlin S. Energy expenditure early after liver transplantation: Better measured than predicted. Nutrition 2020; 79-80:110817. [DOI: 10.1016/j.nut.2020.110817] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/06/2019] [Revised: 03/09/2020] [Accepted: 03/11/2020] [Indexed: 12/13/2022]
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Fritzell K, Forsberg A, Wangmar J, Wengström Y, Bottai M, Hultcrantz R. Gender, having a positive FIT and type of hospital are important factors for colonoscopy experience in colorectal cancer screening - findings from the SCREESCO study. Scand J Gastroenterol 2020; 55:1354-1362. [PMID: 32946700 DOI: 10.1080/00365521.2020.1820568] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/04/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Assessing the experience of screening procedures is crucial for improving the quality and acceptance of colonoscopy in colorectal cancer screening. The aim of the study was to investigate the colonoscopy experience and associated factors among individuals who underwent a colonoscopy in the Screening of Swedish Colons (SCREESCO) study. METHODS Participants in the Screening of Swedish Colons (SCREESCO; n = 7593) randomized clinical trial (colonoscopy vs. faecal immunochemical test (FIT)) were enrolled. The primary outcome was overall colonoscopy experience measured with a study-specific questionnaire. Secondary endpoints were measured using multiple regression analyses with factors that included sex, randomization group, geographical regions, university hospital, complications, sedation, clean bowel, time to cecum, and presence of polyps or cancer. RESULTS A total of 6572 (87%) individuals responded to the questionnaire. The majority was satisfied with the information, care and treatment. Women reported more worry, discomfort and pain, but also better information, care and treatment compared with men. The FIT group was more worried and perceived more discomfort and pain than the colonoscopy group. Type of hospital (geographical region; university hospital vs. not university hospital) was also a significant predictor for the colonoscopy experience. CONCLUSIONS Although most participants were satisfied with the colonoscopy experience, the study has highlighted areas for improvement. Important factors for colonoscopy experience were gender, randomization group, and type of hospital and therefore crucial to bear in mind when designing screening programs.
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Forsberg A, Widman L, Bottai M, Ekbom A, Hultcrantz R. Postcolonoscopy Colorectal Cancer in Sweden From 2003 to 2012: Survival, Tumor Characteristics, and Risk Factors. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2020; 18:2724-2733.e3. [PMID: 32553903 DOI: 10.1016/j.cgh.2020.06.010] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/11/2020] [Revised: 06/03/2020] [Accepted: 06/06/2020] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND & AIMS The rate of postcolonoscopy colorectal cancer (PCCRC) is a measure of colonoscopy quality, but there are conflicting results from studies of survival times of patients with PCCRC. We assessed survival times of patients with PCCRC and characterized the microscopic and macroscopic features of postcolonoscopy colorectal tumors. METHODS We performed a population-based cohort study using data from a database in Sweden, on 458,937 colonoscopies (54.0% women) performed from 2003 through 2012. Rates of colorectal cancer within 3 years of a colonoscopy were calculated based on the World Endoscopy Organization guidelines. Risk factors were evaluated using Poisson regression analysis. We used Cox regression models and Kaplan-Meier analyses, stratified by sex, to assess conditional survival. Logistic regression models were used to evaluate features of postcolonoscopy colorectal tumors, including stage location (right, left, or rectum) differentiation grade (high or low), synchronous tumors, perineural growth, resection margins, and mucinous and vessel characteristics. RESULTS Within 36 months after a colonoscopy, there were 19,184 individuals who had received a diagnosis of CRC; 1384 of these were PCCRCs (7.2%). The proportion of individuals with PCCRC decreased from 9.4% in 2003 to 6.1% in 2012. The largest risk factors for PCCRC were a prior diagnosis of CRC (relative risk [RR], 3.31; 95% CI, 2.71-4.04), ulcerative colitis (RR, 5.44; 95% CI, 4.75-6.23), Crohn's disease (RR, 3.81; 95% CI, 2.98-4.87), and prior polypectomy (RR, 2.32; 95% CI, 1.97-2.72). Individuals with PCCRCs had shorter survival times than individuals with CRCs detected during the index colonoscopy. Multivariate hazard ratios for PCCRC were 2.75 for men (95% CI, 2.21-3.42) and 2.00 for women (95% CI, 1.59-2.52), respectively. Individuals with left-side PCCRC had shorter survival times than patients with CRC detected during the index colonoscopy. Postcolonoscopy colorectal tumors had increased odds of low differentiation grade (odds ratio, 1.27; 95% CI, 1.09-1.49) compared with colorectal tumors detected during the index colonoscopy. CONCLUSIONS In an analysis of colonoscopies in Sweden, the rate of PCCRCs decreased from 9.4% in 2003 to 6.1% in 2012. Diseases that require surveillance (such as prior colorectal neoplasms and inflammatory bowel diseases) are the largest risk factors for PCCRC. Patients with PCCRC have shorter survival times than patients with CRC detected during their initial colonoscopy-especially women and patients with left-side tumors.
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Almskog LM, Wikman A, Svensson J, Wanecek M, Bottai M, van der Linden J, Ågren A. Rotational thromboelastometry results are associated with care level in COVID-19. J Thromb Thrombolysis 2020; 51:437-445. [PMID: 33068277 PMCID: PMC7568025 DOI: 10.1007/s11239-020-02312-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 10/08/2020] [Indexed: 01/06/2023]
Abstract
High prevalence of thrombotic events in severely ill COVID-19 patients have been reported. Pulmonary embolism as well as microembolization of vital organs may in these individuals be direct causes of death. The identification of patients at high risk of developing thrombosis may lead to targeted, more effective prophylactic treatment. The primary aim of this study was to test whether rotational thromboelastometry (ROTEM) at admission indicates hypercoagulopathy and predicts the disease severity, assessed as care level, in COVID-19 patients. The study was designed as a prospective, observational study where COVID-19 patients over 18 years admitted to hospital were eligible for inclusion. Patients were divided into two groups depending on care level: (1) regular wards or (2) wards with specialized ventilation support. Conventional coagulation tests, blood type and ROTEM were taken at admission. 60 patients were included; age 61 (median), 67% men, many with comorbidities (e.g. hypertension, diabetes). The ROTEM variables Maximum Clot Firmness (EXTEM-/FIBTEM-MCF) were higher in COVID-19 patients compared with in healthy controls (p < 0.001) and higher in severely ill patients compared with in patients at regular wards (p < 0.05). Our results suggest that hypercoagulopathy is present early in patients with mild to moderate disease, and more pronounced in severe COVID-19 pneumonia. Non-O blood types were not overrepresented in COVID-19 positive patients. ROTEM variables showed hypercoagulopathy at admission and this pattern was more pronounced in patients with increased disease severity. If this feature is to be used to predict the risk of thromboembolic complications further studies are warranted.
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Landgren V, Malki K, Bottai M, Arver S, Rahm C. Effect of Gonadotropin-Releasing Hormone Antagonist on Risk of Committing Child Sexual Abuse in Men With Pedophilic Disorder: A Randomized Clinical Trial. JAMA Psychiatry 2020; 77:897-905. [PMID: 32347899 PMCID: PMC7191435 DOI: 10.1001/jamapsychiatry.2020.0440] [Citation(s) in RCA: 27] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/17/2022]
Abstract
IMPORTANCE Evidence-based treatments from randomized clinical trials for pedophilic disorder are lacking. OBJECTIVE To determine whether a gonadotropin-releasing hormone antagonist reduces dynamic risk factors for committing child sexual abuse. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS This academically initiated, double-blind, placebo-controlled, parallel-group, phase 2 randomized clinical trial was conducted at the ANOVA center in Stockholm, Sweden, from March 1, 2016, to April 30, 2019. Individuals who contacted PrevenTell, the national telephone helpline for unwanted sexuality, were recruited. Eligible participants were men seeking help aged 18 to 66 years with a pedophilic disorder diagnosis and no contraindications to the intervention. The primary end point was assessed by intent-to-treat analysis. INTERVENTIONS Randomization to receive either 2 subcutaneous injections of 120 mg of degarelix acetate or equal volume of placebo. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES The primary end point was the mean change between baseline and 2 weeks in the composite risk score of 5 domains of child sexual abuse ranging from 0 to 15 points; each domain could be rated from 0 to 3 points. Secondary end points included efficacy at 2 and 10 weeks as measured by the composite score, each risk domain, quality of life, self-reported effects, and adverse events. RESULTS A total of 52 male participants (mean [SD] age, 36 [12] years) were randomized to receive either degarelix (n = 25; with 1 withdrawal) or placebo (n = 26). At 2 weeks, the composite risk score decreased from 7.4 to 4.4 for participants in the degarelix group and from 7.8 to 6.6 for the placebo group, a mean between-group difference of -1.8 (95% CI, -3.2 to -0.5; P = .01). A decrease was seen in the composite score at 10 weeks (-2.2 [95% CI, -3.6 to -0.7]) as well as in the domains of pedophilic disorder (2 weeks: -0.7 [95% CI, -1.4 to 0.0]; 10 weeks: -1.1 [95% CI, -1.8 to -0.4]) and sexual preoccupation (2 weeks: -0.7 [95% CI, -1.2 to -0.3]; 10 weeks: -0.8 [95% CI, -1.3 to -0.3]) in the degarelix group compared with the placebo group. No difference was seen for the domains of self-rated risk (2 weeks: -0.4 [95% CI, -0.9 to 0.1]; 10 weeks: -0.5 [95% CI, -1 to 0.0]), low empathy (2 weeks: 0.2 [95% CI, -0.3 to 0.6]; 10 weeks: 0.2 [95% CI, -0.2 to 0.6]), and impaired self-regulation (2 weeks: -0.0 [95% CI, -0.7 to 0.6]; 10 weeks: 0.1 [95% CI, -0.5 to 0.8]), or quality of life (EuroQol 5 Dimensions questionnaire index score, 2 weeks: 0.06 [95% CI, -0.00 to 0.12], and 10 weeks: 0.04; 95% CI, -0.02 to 0.10; EuroQol visual analog scale, 2 weeks: 0.6 [95% CI, -9.7 to 10.9], and 10 weeks: 4.2 [95% CI, -6.0 to 14.4]). Two hospitalizations occurred from increased suicidal ideation, and more injection site reactions (degarelix: 22 of 25 [88%]; placebo: 1 of 26 [4%]) and hepatobiliary enzyme level elevations were reported by participants who received degarelix (degarelix: 11 of 25 [44%]; placebo: 2 of 26 [8%]). Among the 26 participants randomized to receive degarelix, 20 (77%) experienced positive effects (eg, improved attitude or behavior) on sexuality and 23 (89%) reported adverse effects on the body. CONCLUSION AND RELEVANCE This trial found that degarelix reduced the risk score for committing child sexual abuse in men with pedophilic disorder 2 weeks after initial injection, suggesting use of the drug as a rapid-onset treatment option. Further studies are warranted into the effects and long-term adverse effects of hormone deficiency. TRIAL REGISTRATION EU Clinical Trials Register Identifier: 2014-000647-32.
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Fritz I, Wagner P, Bottai M, Eriksson H, Ingvar C, Krakowski I, Nielsen K, Olsson H. Desloratadine and loratadine use associated with improved melanoma survival. Allergy 2020; 75:2096-2099. [PMID: 32171023 DOI: 10.1111/all.14273] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/07/2020] [Revised: 02/10/2020] [Accepted: 03/01/2020] [Indexed: 02/03/2023]
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Olausson N, Discacciati A, Nyman AI, Lundberg F, Hovatta O, Westerlund E, Wallén HN, Mobarrez F, Bottai M, Ekbom A, Henriksson P. Incidence of pulmonary and venous thromboembolism in pregnancies after in vitro fertilization with fresh respectively frozen-thawed embryo transfer: Nationwide cohort study. J Thromb Haemost 2020; 18:1965-1973. [PMID: 32289205 DOI: 10.1111/jth.14840] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/18/2019] [Revised: 02/19/2020] [Accepted: 04/08/2020] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The assisted reproductive technique in vitro fertilization (IVF) is associated with an increased risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) and pulmonary embolism (PE) during the first trimester. OBJECTIVES To compare the incidence of VTE and PE during the first trimester of IVF pregnancies using fresh or frozen-thawed embryo transfer to that during natural pregnancies. PATIENT/METHODS Nationwide Swedish registry-based cohort study of women who gave birth (n = 902 891) at the age of 15-50 years to their first child from the 1st of January 1992 until the 31st of December 2012. Exposure groups were IVF with fresh respectively frozen-thawed embryo transfer. Incidences of VTE and PE were calculated, and time-varying hazard ratios estimated for all trimesters after fresh respectively frozen-thawed embryo transfer IVF and compared to natural conception. RESULTS AND CONCLUSION Women giving birth after fresh embryo transfer IVF had a more than eightfold increased incidence of venous thromboembolism (hazard ratio [HR] 8.96, 95% CI 6.33 to 12.67) and pulmonary embolism during the first trimester, (HR 8.69, 95% CI 3.83 to 19.71) compared to women giving birth after natural conception. The incidence of VTE in women giving birth after frozen-thawed embryo transfer was not increased during the first trimester. To conclude, fresh embryo transfer IVF was associated with a significantly increased incidence of VTE and PE during the first trimester. These results suggest that frozen-thawed embryo transfer could be a preferred method of IVF with a minimised maternal risk.
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Littmann K, Wodaje T, Alvarsson M, Bottai M, Eriksson M, Parini P, Brinck J. The Association of Lipoprotein(a) Plasma Levels With Prevalence of Cardiovascular Disease and Metabolic Control Status in Patients With Type 1 Diabetes. Diabetes Care 2020; 43:1851-1858. [PMID: 31862789 DOI: 10.2337/dc19-1398] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/14/2019] [Accepted: 11/19/2019] [Indexed: 02/03/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To investigate the association of the cardiovascular risk factor lipoprotein (Lp)(a) and vascular complications in patients with type 1 diabetes. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS Patients with type 1 diabetes receiving regular care were recruited in this observational cross-sectional study and divided into four groups according to their Lp(a) levels in nmol/L (very low <10, low 10-30, intermediate 30-120, high >120). Prevalence of vascular complications was compared between the groups. In addition, the association between metabolic control, measured as HbA1c, and Lp(a) was studied. RESULTS The patients (n = 1,860) had a median age of 48 years, diabetes duration of 25 years, and HbA1c of 7.8% (61 mmol/mol). The median Lp(a) was 19 (interquartile range 10-71) nmol/L. No significant differences between men and women were observed, but Lp(a) levels increased with increasing age. Patients in the high Lp(a) group had higher prevalence of complications than patients in the very low Lp(a) group. The age- and smoking-status-adjusted relative risk ratio of having any macrovascular disease was 1.51 (95% CI 1.01-2.28, P = 0.048); coronary heart disease, 1.70 (95% CI 0.97-3.00, P = 0.063); albuminuria, 1.68 (95% CI 1.12-2.50, P = 0.01); and calcified aortic valve disease, 2.03 (95% CI 1.03-4.03; P = 0.042). Patients with good metabolic control, HbA1c <6.9% (<52 mmol/mol), had significantly lower Lp(a) levels than patients with poorer metabolic control, HbA1c >6.9% (>52 mmol/mol). CONCLUSIONS Lp(a) is a significant risk factor for macrovascular disease, albuminuria, and calcified aortic valve disease in patients with type 1 diabetes. Poor metabolic control in patients with type 1 diabetes is associated with increased Lp(a) levels.
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Abstract
Quantile regression is widely used to estimate conditional quantiles of an outcome variable of interest given covariates. This method can estimate one quantile at a time without imposing any constraints on the quantile process other than the linear combination of covariates and parameters specified by the regression model. While this is a flexible modeling tool, it generally yields erratic estimates of conditional quantiles and regression coefficients. Recently, parametric models for the regression coefficients have been proposed that can help balance bias and sampling variability. So far, however, only models that are linear in the parameters and covariates have been explored. This paper presents the general case of nonlinear parametric quantile models. These can be nonlinear with respect to the parameters, the covariates, or both. Some important features and asymptotic properties of the proposed estimator are described, and its finite-sample behavior is assessed in a simulation study. Nonlinear parametric quantile models are applied to estimate extreme quantiles of longitudinal measures of respiratory mechanics in asthmatic children from an epidemiological study and to evaluate a dose-response relationship in a toxicological laboratory experiment.
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Fagerberg P, Klingelhoefer L, Bottai M, Langlet B, Kyritsis K, Rotter E, Reichmann H, Falkenburger B, Delopoulos A, Ioakimidis I. Lower Energy Intake among Advanced vs. Early Parkinson's Disease Patients and Healthy Controls in a Clinical Lunch Setting: A Cross-Sectional Study. Nutrients 2020; 12:E2109. [PMID: 32708668 PMCID: PMC7400863 DOI: 10.3390/nu12072109] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/17/2020] [Revised: 07/10/2020] [Accepted: 07/14/2020] [Indexed: 02/07/2023] Open
Abstract
Unintentional weight loss has been observed among Parkinson's disease (PD) patients. Changes in energy intake (EI) and eating behavior, potentially caused by fine motor dysfunction and eating-related symptoms, might contribute to this. The primary aim of this study was to investigate differences in objectively measured EI between groups of healthy controls (HC), early (ESPD) and advanced stage PD patients (ASPD) during a standardized lunch in a clinical setting. The secondary aim was to identify clinical features and eating behavior abnormalities that explain EI differences. All participants (n = 23 HC, n = 20 ESPD, and n = 21 ASPD) went through clinical evaluations and were eating a standardized meal (200 g sausages, 400 g potato salad, 200 g apple purée and 500 mL water) in front of two video cameras. Participants ate freely, and the food was weighed pre- and post-meal to calculate EI (kcal). Multiple linear regression was used to explain group differences in EI. ASPD had a significantly lower EI vs. HC (-162 kcal, p < 0.05) and vs. ESPD (-203 kcal, p < 0.01) when controlling for sex. The number of spoonfuls, eating problems, dysphagia and upper extremity tremor could explain most (86%) of the lower EI vs. HC, while the first three could explain ~50% vs. ESPD. Food component intake analysis revealed significantly lower potato salad and sausage intakes among ASPD vs. both HC and ESPD, while water intake was lower vs. HC. EI is an important clinical target for PD patients with an increased risk of weight loss. Our results suggest that interventions targeting upper extremity tremor, spoonfuls, dysphagia and eating problems might be clinically useful in the prevention of unintentional weight loss in PD. Since EI was lower in ASPD, EI might be a useful marker of disease progression in PD.
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Milton A, Schandl A, Soliman I, Joelsson‐Alm E, Boogaard M, Wallin E, Brorsson C, Östberg U, Latocha K, Savilampi J, Paskins S, Bottai M, Sackey P. ICU discharge screening for prediction of new-onset physical disability-A multinational cohort study. Acta Anaesthesiol Scand 2020; 64:789-797. [PMID: 32083323 DOI: 10.1111/aas.13563] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/14/2019] [Revised: 02/02/2020] [Accepted: 02/07/2020] [Indexed: 12/23/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Methods to identify patients at risk for incomplete physical recovery after intensive care unit (ICU) stay are lacking. Our aim was to develop a method for prediction of new-onset physical disability at ICU discharge. METHODS Multinational prospective cohort study in 10 general ICUs in Sweden, Denmark, and the Netherlands. Adult patients with an ICU stay ≥12 hours were eligible for inclusion. Sixteen candidate predictors were analyzed with logistic regression for associations with the primary outcome; new-onset physical disability 3 months post-ICU, defined as a ≥10 score reduction in the Barthel Index (BI) compared to baseline. RESULTS Of the 572 included patients, follow-up data are available on 78% of patients alive at follow-up. The incidence of new-onset physical disability was 19%. Univariable and multivariable modeling rendered one sole predictor for the outcome: physical status at ICU discharge, assessed with the five first items of the Chelsea critical care physical assessment tool (CPAx) (odds ratio 0.87, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.81-0.93), a higher score indicating a lower risk, with an area under the receiver operating characteristics curve of 0.68 (95% CI 0.61-0.76). Negative predictive value for a low-risk group (CPAx score >18) was 0.88, and positive predictive value for a high-risk group (CPAx score ≤18) was 0.32. CONCLUSION The ICU discharge assessment described in this study had a moderate AUC but may be useful to rule out patients unlikely to need physical interventions post-ICU. For high-risk patients, research to determine post-ICU risk factors for an incomplete rehabilitation is mandated.
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Krakowski I, Bottai M, Häbel H, Masucci G, Girnita A, Smedby KE, Eriksson H. Impact of modern systemic therapies and clinical markers on treatment outcome for metastatic melanoma in a real-world setting. J Eur Acad Dermatol Venereol 2020; 35:105-115. [PMID: 32455474 DOI: 10.1111/jdv.16678] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/18/2019] [Revised: 03/23/2020] [Accepted: 05/05/2020] [Indexed: 12/19/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The survival in metastatic melanoma has dramatically improved after the introduction of immune checkpoint- (ICIs) and MAPKinase inhibitors (MAPKis). OBJECTIVE Our aim was to describe therapy response and survival in a real-world population as well as to assess the associations between clinical variables and therapy outcome for patients with metastatic melanoma receiving first-line ICIs or MAPKis. METHODS A total of 252 patients with metastatic (stage IV) melanoma were prospectively followed between 1 January 2010 and 3 December 2017 with follow-up until 31 March 2019, at the Karolinska University Hospital, Sweden. Hazard ratios (HRs) for progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were analysed with Cox regression, and logistic regression was used to estimate odds ratios (ORs) for therapy response. RESULTS Patients receiving ICIs (n = 138) experienced longer PFS compared to patients that received MAPKis (n = 114; median PFS for ICIs was 6.8 months, and median PFS for MAPKis was 5.3 months). In the multivariable analyses of clinical markers, increasing M-stage (OR 0.65; 95% CI 0.45-0.94; P = 0.022) and male sex (OR 0.41; 95% CI 0.19-0.90; P = 0.027) were significantly associated with lower response to ICIs. Lower baseline albumin levels (OR 0.90; 95% CI 0.83-0.98; P = 0.019) and male sex (OR 0.33; 95% CI 0.12-0.93; P = 0.036) were related with lower response to MAPKis. For ICIs, increasing M-stage (HR 1.34; 95% CI 1.07-1.68; P = 0.010), increasing LDH (HR 1.73; 95% CI 1.19-2.50; P = 0.004) and decreasing albumin (HR 1.06; 95% CI 1.01-1.10; P = 0.011) were significantly associated lower PFS in the adjusted model. The corresponding markers for MAPKis were increasing LDH (HR 1.44; 95% CI 1.08-1.92; P = 0.013) and decreasing albumin (HR 1.05; 95% CI 1.02-1.09; P = 0.005) for PFS. CONCLUSION ICIs and MAPKis were effective in this real-world population, and we could confirm the importance of previously reported clinical prognostic markers. Albumin values may be associated with therapy outcome but need further validation.
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Ortaglia A, McDonald SM, Supino C, Wirth MD, Sui X, Bottai M. Differential relationships between waist circumference and cardiorespiratory fitness among people with and without type 2 diabetes. Prev Med Rep 2020; 18:101083. [PMID: 32309113 PMCID: PMC7155224 DOI: 10.1016/j.pmedr.2020.101083] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/03/2019] [Revised: 01/09/2020] [Accepted: 03/29/2020] [Indexed: 12/30/2022] Open
Abstract
Adults with type 2 diabetes mellitus tend to exhibit an increased level of central adiposity, augmenting their risk of further non-communicable diseases (NCDs). Importantly, consistent evidence demonstrates a significant, negative association between cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) and waist circumference (WC). However, no previous studies have investigated differences in these CRF-related reductions in WC between adults with and without diabetes. This study used data from the Aerobic Center for Longitudinal Studies, conducted between 1970 and 2006 among predominately Non-Hispanic White, middle-to-upper class adults in Texas. Quantile regression models were used to estimate CRF-related differences in WC between persons with and without diabetes. Age, height, smoking status and birth cohort served as covariates. The analytic sample included 45901 adults. Significantly larger reductions in WC were observed among adults with diabetes as compared to without diabetes across all WC percentiles. Among males, high CRF levels were associated with significant reductions, as compared to their low-fit counterparts, in WC as large as 21.9 cm for adults without diabetes and as large as 27 cm for adults with diabetes. Among females, high CRF levels were associated with significant reductions, as compared to their low-fit counterparts, in WC as large as 22.3 and 30.0 cm for adults without and with diabetes, respectively. This study demonstrated that higher CRF is associated with significant reductions in WC, with greater magnitudes found among adults with diabetes, especially among the most centrally obese, highlighting the necessity of exercise prescription in this clinical population potentially leading to lower risks of future NCDs.
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Lindqvist C, Slinde F, Majeed A, Bottai M, Wahlin S. Nutrition impact symptoms are related to malnutrition and quality of life – A cross-sectional study of patients with chronic liver disease. Clin Nutr 2020; 39:1840-1848. [DOI: 10.1016/j.clnu.2019.07.024] [Citation(s) in RCA: 22] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/27/2019] [Revised: 06/19/2019] [Accepted: 07/31/2019] [Indexed: 02/08/2023]
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Lagergren J, Bottai M, Santoni G. Patient Age and Survival After Surgery for Esophageal Cancer. Ann Surg Oncol 2020; 28:159-166. [PMID: 32468352 PMCID: PMC7752878 DOI: 10.1245/s10434-020-08653-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 20] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/09/2020] [Indexed: 01/01/2023]
Abstract
Background Esophagectomy for esophageal cancer is associated with a substantial risk of life-threatening complications and a limited long-term survival. This study aimed to clarify the controversial questions of how age influences short-term and long-term survival. Methods This population-based cohort study included almost all patients who underwent curatively intended esophagectomy for esophageal cancer in Sweden in 1987–2010, with follow-up through 2016. The exposure was age, analyzed both as a continuous and categorical variable. The probability of mortality was computed using a novel flexible parametric model approach. The reported probabilities are proper measures of the risk of dying, and the related odds ratios (OR) are therefore more suitable measures of association than hazard ratios. The outcomes were 90-day all-cause mortality, 5-year all-cause mortality, and 5-year disease-specific mortality. A novel flexible parametric model was used to derive the instantaneous probability of dying and the related OR along with 95% confidence intervals (CIs), adjusted for sex, education, comorbidity, tumor histology, pathological tumor stage, and resection margin status. Results Among 1737 included patients, the median age was 65.6 years. When analyzed as a continuous variable, older age was associated with slightly higher odds of 90-day all-cause mortality (OR 1.05, 95% CI 1.02–1.07), 5-year all-cause mortality (OR 1.02, 95% CI 1.01–1.03), and 5-year disease-specific mortality (OR 1.01, 95% CI 1.01–1.02). Compared with patients aged < 70 years, those aged 70–74 years had no increased risk of any mortality outcome, while patients aged ≥ 75 years had higher odds of 90-day mortality (OR 2.85, 95% CI 1.68–4.84), 5-year all-cause mortality (OR 1.56, 95% CI 1.27–1.92), and 5-year disease-specific mortality (OR 1.38, 95% CI 1.09–1.76). Conclusions Patient age 75 years or older at esophagectomy for esophageal cancer appears to be an independent risk factor for higher short-term mortality and lower long-term survival. Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (10.1245/s10434-020-08653-w) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
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Wångdahl A, Wyss K, Saduddin D, Bottai M, Ydring E, Vikerfors T, Färnert A. Severity of Plasmodium falciparum and Non-falciparum Malaria in Travelers and Migrants: A Nationwide Observational Study Over 2 Decades in Sweden. J Infect Dis 2020; 220:1335-1345. [PMID: 31175365 PMCID: PMC6743839 DOI: 10.1093/infdis/jiz292] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/24/2019] [Accepted: 06/05/2019] [Indexed: 12/23/2022] Open
Abstract
Background The aim was to assess factors affecting disease severity in imported P. falciparum and non-falciparum malaria. Methods We reviewed medical records from 2793/3260 (85.7%) of all episodes notified in Sweden between 1995 and 2015 and performed multivariable logistic regression. Results Severe malaria according to WHO 2015 criteria was found in P. falciparum (9.4%), P. vivax (7.7%), P. ovale (5.3%), P. malariae (3.3%), and mixed P. falciparum episodes (21.1%). Factors associated with severe P. falciparum malaria were age <5 years and >40 years, origin in nonendemic country, pregnancy, HIV, region of diagnosis, and health care delay. Moreover, oral treatment of P. falciparum episodes with parasitemia ≥2% without severe signs at presentation was associated with progress to severe malaria with selected criteria. In non-falciparum, age >60 years, health care delay and endemic origin were identified as risk factors for severe disease. Among patients originating in endemic countries, a higher risk for severe malaria, both P. falciparum and non-falciparum, was observed among newly arrived migrants. Conclusions Severe malaria was observed in P. falciparum and non-falciparum episodes. Current WHO criteria for severe malaria may need optimization to better guide the management of malaria of different species in travelers and migrants in nonendemic areas.
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Bergquist A, Stokkeland K, Bottai M. Reply. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2020; 18:1245-1246. [PMID: 31730911 DOI: 10.1016/j.cgh.2019.11.021] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/24/2019] [Revised: 11/05/2019] [Accepted: 11/06/2019] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
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Sundqvist ML, Larsen FJ, Carlström M, Bottai M, Pernow J, Hellénius ML, Weitzberg E, Lundberg JO. A randomized clinical trial of the effects of leafy green vegetables and inorganic nitrate on blood pressure. Am J Clin Nutr 2020; 111:749-756. [PMID: 32091599 PMCID: PMC7338722 DOI: 10.1093/ajcn/nqaa024] [Citation(s) in RCA: 28] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/15/2019] [Accepted: 01/30/2020] [Indexed: 02/07/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND A diet rich in fruits and vegetables is associated with lowering of blood pressure (BP), but the nutrient(s) responsible for these effects remain unclear. Research suggests that inorganic nitrate present in leafy green vegetables is converted into NO in vivo to improve cardiovascular function. OBJECTIVE In this study, we evaluated the effect of leafy green vegetables on BP in subjects with elevated BP, with the aim of elucidating if any such effect is related to their high nitrate content. DESIGN We enrolled 243 subjects, 50-70 y old, with a clinic systolic BP (SBP) of 130-159 mm Hg. After a 2-wk run-in period on a nitrate-restricted diet the subjects were randomly assigned to receive 1 of the following 3 interventions daily for 5 wk: low-nitrate vegetables + placebo pills, low-nitrate vegetables + nitrate pills (300 mg nitrate), or leafy green vegetables containing 300 mg nitrate + placebo pills. The primary end point measure was the difference in change in 24 h ambulatory SBP between the groups. RESULTS A total of 231 subjects (95%) completed the study. The insignificant change in ambulatory SBP (mean ± standard deviation) was -0.6 ± 6.2 mm Hg in the placebo group, -1.2 ± 6.8 mm Hg in the potassium nitrate group, and -0.5 ± 6.6 mm Hg in the leafy green vegetable group. There was no significant difference in change between the 3 groups. CONCLUSIONS A 5-wk dietary supplementation with leafy green vegetables or pills containing the same amount of inorganic nitrate does not decrease ambulatory SBP in subjects with elevated BP. This trial was registered at clinicaltrials.gov as NCT02916615.
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Tinguely P, Dal G, Bottai M, Nilsson H, Freedman J, Engstrand J. Microwave ablation versus resection for colorectal cancer liver metastases – A propensity score analysis from a population-based nationwide registry. Eur J Surg Oncol 2020; 46:476-485. [DOI: 10.1016/j.ejso.2019.12.002] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/15/2019] [Revised: 09/15/2019] [Accepted: 12/02/2019] [Indexed: 02/07/2023] Open
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Zheng H, Jarvis IWH, Bottai M, Dreij K, Stenius U. TGF beta promotes repair of bulky DNA damage through increased ERCC1/XPF and ERCC1/XPA interaction. Carcinogenesis 2020; 40:580-591. [PMID: 30418489 DOI: 10.1093/carcin/bgy156] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/02/2018] [Revised: 10/30/2018] [Accepted: 11/07/2018] [Indexed: 12/15/2022] Open
Abstract
Transforming growth factor beta (TGFβ) is multifunctional cytokine that is involved in the coordination and regulation of many cellular homeostatic processes. Compromised TGFβ activity has been attributed to promotion of human cancers. Recent studies have identified a role for TGFβ in response to radiation-induced DNA damage, suggesting a link between TGFβ and the DNA damage response with implications for cancer development. In this study, the effects of TGFβ on promoting the repair of bulky DNA damage, through modulation of nucleotide excision repair (NER), were investigated. We show that treatment of cells with exogenous TGFβ leads to enhanced repair of DNA damage formed by polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons and ultraviolet-C radiation; similarly, cells with constitutively activated endogenous TGFβ signaling show comparable responses. This effect of TGFβ is independent of the cell cycle. The response to TGFβ is decreased in cells that have compromised TGFβ signaling through RNA interference of Smad4 and is decreased in NER-deficient cells and cells with compromised NER through RNA interference of excision repair cross-complementing group 1 (ERCC1). Increased interaction and nuclear localization of ERCC1/xeroderma pigmentosum (XP) F and ERCC1/XPA proteins is observed after TGFβ treatment. Our study represents the first experimental evidence of a role for TGFβ in the repair of bulky DNA damage resulting from promotion of the interaction and localization of repair protein complexes involved in the incision step of NER.
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Beiki O, Frumento P, Bottai M, Manouchehrinia A, Hillert J. Changes in the Risk of Reaching Multiple Sclerosis Disability Milestones In Recent Decades: A Nationwide Population-Based Cohort Study in Sweden. JAMA Neurol 2020; 76:665-671. [PMID: 30882868 DOI: 10.1001/jamaneurol.2019.0330] [Citation(s) in RCA: 43] [Impact Index Per Article: 10.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/31/2022]
Abstract
Importance Clinicians' experience and findings from recent natural history studies suggest that multiple sclerosis (MS) may now be running a more slowly progressing course than before. Objective To investigate whether the risk of reaching MS disability milestones has changed over the last decade in Sweden. Design, Setting, and Participants A nationwide population-based retrospective cohort study. By April 2017, 12 512 patients with available information on demographics, MS phenotype, and date of MS onset and diagnosis were registered in the Swedish MS Registry of which 7331 patients with at least 2 recorded Expanded Disability Status Scale scores (EDSS) and diagnosed between January 1995 and December 2010 were included. No further exclusion criteria were applied. Patients were followed up until December 2016 with a median duration follow-up of 8.5 (interquartile range, 4.7-13.8) years. Statistical analysis began in April 2017. Main Outcomes and Measures Patients were followed up from MS onset date to the date of sustained EDSS 3.0, 4.0, and 6.0. To handle interval-censored observations, a Weibull model was fit, and the change in the risk of EDSS 3.0, 4.0, and 6.0 over calendar years was estimated and hazard ratios (HRs) with corresponding CIs were calculated. Results Of 7331 patients, 5196 (70.9%) were women, and the mean (SD) age at diagnosis was 38.3 (11.7) years. Adjusting for sex, number of clinic visits, diagnostic delay, and onset age, a 3% decrease per calendar year of diagnosis for the risk of sustained EDSS 3.0 (HR, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.96-0.97), a 6% decrease for the risk of EDSS 4.0 (HR, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.93-0.95), and a 7% decrease for the risk of EDSS 6.0 (HR, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.91-0.94) among patients with relapsing-onset MS was found. The trends were not significant for patients with progressive-onset MS (EDSS 3.0: HR, 1.01; 95% CI, 0.98-1.03; EDSS 4.0: HR, 1.00; 95% CI, 0.98-1.02; EDSS 6.0: HR, 1.00; 95% CI, 0.98-1.02). Conclusions and Relevance Risk of reaching major disability milestones has significantly decreased over the last decade in patients with relapsing-onset MS in Sweden. Several factors could potentially be responsible for this observation. However, given that no change was seen in disability accrual of patients with progressive-onset MS and the absence of efficacious treatment option in this group, increased use of more efficacious disease-modifying treatments could be a possible driver of this change.
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Skillgate E, Pico-Espinosa OJ, Côté P, Jensen I, Viklund P, Bottai M, Holm LW. Effectiveness of deep tissue massage therapy, and supervised strengthening and stretching exercises for subacute or persistent disabling neck pain. The Stockholm Neck (STONE) randomized controlled trial. Musculoskelet Sci Pract 2020; 45:102070. [PMID: 31655314 DOI: 10.1016/j.msksp.2019.102070] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/13/2019] [Revised: 09/25/2019] [Accepted: 10/08/2019] [Indexed: 11/30/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To compare the effectiveness of deep tissue massage, supervised strengthening and stretching exercises, and a combined therapy (exercise followed by massage) (index groups), with advice to stay active (control group). METHODS Randomized controlled trial of 619 adults with subacute or persistent neck pain allocated to massage (n = 145), exercise (n = 160), combined therapy (n = 169) or advice (n = 147). Primary outcomes were minimal clinically important improvements in neck pain intensity and pain-related disability based on adapted questions from the Chronic Pain Questionnaire. Secondary outcomes were perceived recovery and sickness absence. Outcomes were measured at seven, 12, 26 and 52 weeks. RESULTS We found improvement in pain intensity favouring massage and combined therapy compared to advice; at seven weeks (RR = 1.36; 95%CI:1.04-1.77) and 26 weeks (RR = 1.23; 95%CI:0.97-1.56); and seven (RR = 1.39; 95%CI:1.08-1.81) and 12 weeks (RR = 1.28; 95%CI:1.02-1.60) respectively, but not at later follow-ups. Exercise showed higher improvement of pain intensity at 26 weeks (RR = 1.31; 95%CI:1.04-1.65). Perceived recovery was higher in the index groups than in the advice group at all follow-ups. We found no consistent differences in pain related disability or sickness absence. CONCLUSIONS In this study, at 12-months follow-up, none of the index therapies were more effective than advice in terms of pain intensity in the long term or in terms of pain-related disability in the short or long term. However, the index therapies led to higher incidence of improvement in pain intensity in the short term, and higher incidence of favorable perceived recovery in the short and in the long term than advice. TRIAL REGISTRATION ISRCTN01453590. Registered 3 July 2014.
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Gigante B, Papa L, Bye A, Kunderfranco P, Viviani C, Roncarati R, Briguori C, de Faire U, Bottai M, Condorelli G. MicroRNA signatures predict early major coronary events in middle-aged men and women. Cell Death Dis 2020; 11:74. [PMID: 32001669 PMCID: PMC6992779 DOI: 10.1038/s41419-020-2291-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/17/2020] [Accepted: 01/22/2020] [Indexed: 10/30/2022]
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Miller DJ, Nguyen JT, Bottai M. emagnification: A tool for estimating effect-size magnification and performing design calculations in epidemiological studies. THE STATA JOURNAL 2020; 20:548-564. [PMID: 34434078 PMCID: PMC8384122 DOI: 10.1177/1536867x20953567] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/13/2023]
Abstract
Artificial effect-size magnification (ESM) may occur in underpowered studies, where effects are reported only because they or their associated p-values have passed some threshold. Ioannidis (2008, Epidemiology 19: 640-648) and Gelman and Carlin (2014, Perspectives on Psychological Science 9: 641-651) have suggested that the plausibility of findings for a specific study can be evaluated by computation of ESM, which requires statistical simulation. In this article, we present a new command called emagnification that allows straightforward implementation of such simulations in Stata. The commands automate these simulations for epidemiological studies and enable the user to assess ESM routinely for published studies using user-selected, study-specific inputs that are commonly reported in published literature. The intention of the command is to allow a wider community to use ESMs as a tool for evaluating the reliability of reported effect sizes and to put an observed statistically significant effect size into a fuller context with respect to potential implications for study conclusions.
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