Winter severity index using widely available weather information

Context Changes in global climate and evidence of species’ responses to these changes have increased interest in relationships between climate variables and species demography and distributions. Although an important tool for many ecological questions, large-scale climate indices fail to provide the spatial resolution necessary to investigate drivers of change across small spatial scales. Climate variables that describe yearly climate variation at large spatial extents and small spatial grain are needed. Aim Here we develop a model for snow depth using snow water equivalent (SWE) data, which are readily available in a number of formats, to be included in a more general climate index. We use an existing winter severity index (WSI) for white-tailed deer to test the performance of the model. Methods We obtained data for 13 weather stations from north-western Canada, reporting both SWE and snow depth. We accumulated a snowpack from daily SWE of snowfall and then tested two methods for converting the SWE of the snowpack into the snow portion of the WSI. We then generalised the model for application to the northwest forest climate region. Key results Coefficients of determination (R2) relating the actual and predicted snow depth portion of the WSI ranged from 0.41 to 0.78, with only three stations being below 0.50. Coefficients of determination (R2) relating the actual and predicted WSI for the northwest climate region ranged from 0.58 to 0.88. Conclusions The SWE model predicts the snow portion of the WSI well for most stations and, when incorporated into the full WSI, provides a good measure of relative winter severity across space and time for most stations. Implications The method developed here could be applied elsewhere, where snow depth is an important factor in species ecology. The benefit of this approach is a comparatively simple method that maximises the use of widely available SWE data in place of snow-depth data.

Antagonistic effect of indigenous skin bacteria of brook charr (Salvelinus fontinalis) against Flavobacterium columnare and F. psychrophilum

Industrial fish production exposes fish to potentially stressful conditions, which in turn may induce infections by opportunistic pathogens. Probiotics appear to be a promising way to prevent opportunistic infections in aquaculture. In this study, we tested the inhibitory potential of endogenous bacterial communities found in the mucus of brook charr (Salvelinus fontinalis) against two major pathogens Flavobacterium columnare and Flavobacterium psychrophilum. Nine bacterial strains were isolated from brook charr skin mucus and tested for potential antagonistic activity. Results from both agar diffusion assays and broth co-culture assays showed the presence of antagonism. We identified seven bacterial strains, collected from unstressed fish, which exerted strong antagonism against F. psychrophilum and/or F. columnare. These strains were mixed and used to treat columnaris disease in an in vivo experiment in which four distinct fish families were tested. This treatment resulted in a decrease of mortality (54-86%) across fish families indicating that candidates from the host microbiota are potentially suitable for probiotic development. This would allow for the efficient (ability to adhere and colonize the host mucus) and durable management (antagonistic effect against pathogens which would be harmless for the host and safe for its environment) of opportunistic diseases in aquaculture.

Facultative symbiont infections affect aphid reproduction

Some bacterial symbionts alter their hosts reproduction through various mechanisms that enhance their transmission in the host population. In addition to its obligatory symbiont Buchnera aphidicola, the pea aphid Acyrthosiphon pisum harbors several facultative symbionts influencing several aspects of host ecology. Aphids reproduce by cyclical parthenogenesis whereby clonal and sexual reproduction alternate within the annual life cycle. Many species, including the pea aphid, also show variation in their reproductive mode at the population level, with some lineages reproducing by cyclical parthenogenesis and others by permanent parthenogenesis. While the role of facultative symbionts has been well studied during the parthenogenetic phase of their aphid hosts, very little is known on their possible influence during the sexual phase. Here we investigated whether facultative symbionts modulate the capacity to produce sexual forms in various genetic backgrounds of the pea aphid with controlled symbiont composition and also in different aphid genotypes from natural populations with previously characterized infection status and reproductive mode. We found that most facultative symbionts exhibited detrimental effects on their hosts fitness under sex-inducing conditions in comparison with the reference lines. We also showed that the loss of sexual phase in permanently parthenogenetic lineages of A. pisum was not explained by facultative symbionts. Finally, we demonstrated that Spiroplasma infection annihilated the production of males in the host progeny by inducing a male-killing phenotype, an unexpected result for organisms such as aphids that reproduce primarily through clonal reproduction.

Conservation of caribou (Rangifer tarandus) in Canada: an uncertain future1This review is part of the virtual symposium “Flagship Species – Flagship Problems” that deals with ecology, biodiversity and management issues, and climate impacts on species at risk and of Canadian importance, including the polar bear (Ursus maritimus), Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua), Piping Plover (Charadrius melodus), and caribou (Rangifer tarandus)

Caribou ( Rangifer tarandus (L., 1758)) play a central role in the ecology and culture of much of Canada, where they were once the most abundant cervid. Most populations are currently declining, and some face extirpation. In southern Canada, caribou range has retreated considerably over the past century. The ultimate reason for their decline is habitat alterations by industrial activities. The proximate causes are predation and, to a lesser extent, overharvest. The most southerly populations of “Mountain” caribou are at imminent risk of extirpation. Mountain caribou are threatened by similar industrial activities as Boreal caribou, and face increasing harassment from motorized winter recreational activities. Most populations of “Migratory Tundra” caribou are currently declining. Although these caribou fluctuate in abundance over decades, changing harvest technologies, climate change, increasing industrial development and human presence in the North raise doubts over whether recent declines will be followed by recoveries. The Peary caribou ( Rangifer tarandus pearyi J.A. Allen, 1902), a distinct subspecies endemic to Canada’s High Arctic, has suffered drastic declines caused by severe weather, hunting and predation. It faces an increasing threat from climate change. While some questions remain about the reasons for the decline of Migratory Tundra caribou, research has clearly identified several threats to the persistence of “Boreal”, Mountain, and Peary caribou. Scientific knowledge, however, has neither effectively influenced policies nor galvanized public opinion sufficiently to push governments into effective actions. The persistence of many caribou populations appears incompatible with the ongoing pace of industrial development.

The cold shoulder: free-ranging snowshoe hares maintain a low cost of living in cold climates

The hypothesis that cold air temperatures (Ta) constrain the metabolic diversity of high-latitude endotherms is based on the observation among birds and mammals that mean field metabolic rate (FMR) increases, whereas the variability of FMR decreases, from the warm tropics to the cold poles. However, there is a paucity of FMR measurements from above 60° latitude and below 0 °C. We measured the daily energy expenditure of a high-latitude population of free-ranging snowshoe hares ( Lepus americanus Erxleben, 1777) in Yukon, Canada, in winter (Ta-mean = –16.4 °C) and in autumn (Ta-mean = 0.5 °C). Doubly labelled water measures of FMR were approximately 20% lower in winter than in autumn, and were a similar, low multiple of resting metabolic rate in both seasons (2.04 and 1.94, respectively). The mass-corrected FMR of snowshoe hares in winter was only half the value predicted by extrapolating the relationship between FMR and Ta > 0 to –16.4 °C. These results contribute to an emerging pattern of a reversal in the relationship between FMR and Ta in free-ranging mammals from negative above 0 °C to positive below 0 °C. We refer to the positive, low Ta portion of this relationship as the cold shoulder, and suggest that it may reflect the general necessity for free-ranging mammals to use behavioural and (or) physiological means to conserve energy during long winters when cold conditions coincide with resource scarcity.

Enhanced Lentiviral Transduction of Monocyte-Derived Dendritic Cells in The Presence of Conditioned Medium from Dying Monocytes

Lentiviral vectors (LVs) are attractive vehicles for the transduction of human dendritic cells (DCs) in order to mobilize their endogenous antigen presentation pathways. We analyzed here how to improve the efficiency of LV transduction, which we performed at the initial stages of the differentiation of purified monocytes into dendritic cells (Mo-DCs). Using LVs pseudotyped with the vesicular stomatitis virus envelope G glycoprotein (VSV-G), we found that a conditioned medium derived from dying monocytes (MCM) improved by 2- to 10- fold the proportion of transduced Mo-DCs. This enhanced transduction efficiency requires the presence of MCM during the initial stage of LV transduction and does not affect the phenotype and antigen presentation function of terminally differentiated Mo-DCs. Importantly, we found that MCM derived from a human acute monocytic leukemia cell line, THP-1, was equally effective. The MCM activity was heat stable (56 degrees C) and was present in the soluble fraction after high-speed centrifugation. Altogether our results show that a soluble factor present in dying monocyte cultures can replace advantageously facilitating agents such as Polybrene, to achieve high LV transductions levels. This protocol can be performed with autologous monocytes and is therefore applicable in clinical settings.

Efficient transduction of monocyte- and CD34+- derived Langerhans cells with lentiviral vectors in the absence of phenotypic and functional maturation

BACKGROUND

Gene delivery in dendritic cells (DC) has raised considerable interest to modulate DC functions and induce therapeutic immunity or tolerance in an antigen-specific fashion. Among immature DC, Langerhans cells (LC) are attractive candidates for antigen delivery using lentiviral vectors (LV).

METHODS

LC derived from monocytes (Mo-LC), or derived from CD34+ cells (CD34-LC) in the presence of cytokine cocktail, were transduced with LV expressing enhanced green fluorescent protein (E-GFP) under the control of the ubiquitous phosphoglycerate kinase (PGK) promoter at a multiplicity of infection of 18, at days 0 to 3 for Mo-LC, or at days 0 to 12 for CD34-LC. We assessed gene transfer levels from the percentage of E-GFP+ cells in the final cultures, and examined the morphology, immunophenotype, state of differentiation and function of transduced LC.

RESULTS

Day 0 transduction of monocytes or CD34+ progenitors before cytokine pre-activation and LC differentiation resulted in stable gene expression in 7.8% of Mo-LC and 24% of CD34-LC. Monocyte-derived DC (Mo-DC) differentiated in serum-free medium were also efficiently transduced up to 13.2%. Interestingly, Mo-LC cells committed towards LC phenotype were permissive for transduction up to day 3. Transduction levels of CD34-LC peaked at day 6 to 44% and decreased thereafter. LV transduction did not perturb viability, phenotype and function of E-GFP-expressing LC.

CONCLUSIONS

LC generated ex vivo can serve as vaccine vehicles in humans through efficient transduction by LV. These LC will be helpful to assess in vitro the immunogenicity of gene therapy vectors, from the characterization of their phenotypic and functional maturation.

Lifetime selection on heritable life-history traits in a natural population of red squirrels

Despite their importance in evolutionary biology, heritability and the strength of natural selection have rarely been estimated in wild populations of iteroparous species or have usually been limited to one particular event during an organism's lifetime. Using an animal-model restricted maximum likelihood and phenotypic selection models, we estimated quantitative genetic parameters and the strength of lifetime selection on parturition date and litter size at birth in a natural population of North American red squirrels, Tamiasciurus hudsonicus. Litter size at birth and parturition date had low heritabilities (h2 = 0.15 and 0.16, respectively). We considered potential effects of temporal environmental covariances between phenotypes and fitness and of spatial environmental heterogeneity in estimates of selection. Selection favored early breeders and females that produced litter sizes close to the population average. Stabilizing selection on litter size at birth may occur because of a trade-off between number of offspring produced per litter and offspring survival or a trade-off between a female's fecundity and her future reproductive success and survival.

Effects of food abundance on genetic and maternal variation in the growth rate of juvenile red squirrels

Sources of variation in growth in body mass were assessed in natural and experimental conditions of high and low food abundance using reciprocal cross-fostering techniques and long-term data (1987-2002) for a population of North American red squirrels (Tamiasciurus hudsonicus). Growth rates were significantly higher in naturally good and food supplemented conditions, than in poor conditions. Mother-offspring resemblance was higher in poor conditions as a result of large increases in both the direct genetic variance and direct-maternal genetic covariance and a smaller increase in the coefficient of maternal variation. Furthermore, the genetic correlation across environments was significantly less than one indicating that sources of heritable variation differed between the two environments. These results are consistent with the hypothesis that selection has eroded heritable variation for growth more in good conditions and indicate the potential for independent adaptation of growth rates in good and poor conditions.

Characterization of cis-acting sequences involved in canine adenovirus packaging

The cis-acting packaging domain in adenovirus serotype 5 (Ad5) is a series of redundant, albeit not functionally equivalent, "A-repeats" made up of the consensus sequence 5'-TTTGN(8)CG-3'. A-repeats may bind trans-acting factors that direct packaging of the adenovirus genome into the preformed capsid. To try to understand this basic mechanism, we examined the packaging domain from a nonhuman adenovirus. We delimited the canine adenovirus type 2 (CAV-2) packaging domain to within 156 bp via a conditional mutation based on the Cre/loxP excision. Using an insertion, deletion, and substitution strategy, we generated packaging-defective CAV-2 vectors. Our results demonstrate that, like Ad5, CAV-2 cis-acting packaging sequences are located near the left inverted terminal repeat and are redundant, but not functionally equivalent. However, the bipartite motif found in Ad5 is present only once in CAV-2 and deletion of it caused only a minor variation in the packaging efficiency. We have identified at least four functional cis-acting packaging sequences in CAV-2. The CAV-2 vectors that we generated were not replication-defective in an E1-transcomplementing cell line and as heat stable as the parental vectors that did not contain mutations.

Canine adenovirus type 2 attachment and internalization: coxsackievirus-adenovirus receptor, alternative receptors, and an RGD-independent pathway

The best-characterized receptors for adenoviruses (Ads) are the coxsackievirus-Ad receptor (CAR) and integrins alpha(v)beta(5) and alpha(v)beta(3), which facilitate entry. The alpha(v) integrins recognize an Arg-Gly-Asp (RGD) motif found in some extracellular matrix proteins and in the penton base in most human Ads. Using a canine adenovirus type 2 (CAV-2) vector, we found that CHO cells that express CAR but not wild-type CHO cells are susceptible to CAV-2 transduction. Cells expressing alpha(M)beta(2) integrins or major histocompatibility complex class I (MHC-I) molecules but which do not express CAR were not transduced. Binding assays showed that CAV-2 attaches to a recombinant soluble form of CAR and that Ad type 5 (Ad5) fiber, penton base, and an anti-CAR antibody partially blocked attachment. Using fluorescently labeled CAV-2 particles, we found that in some cells nonpermissive for transduction, inhibition was at the point of internalization and not attachment. The transduction efficiency of CAV-2, which lacks an RGD motif, surprisingly mimicked that of Ad5 when tested in cells selectively expressing alpha(v)beta(5) and alpha(v)beta(3) integrins. Our results demonstrate that CAV-2 transduction is augmented by CAR and possibly by alpha(v)beta(5), though transduction can be CAR and alpha(v)beta(3/5) independent but is alpha(M)beta(2), MHC-I, and RGD independent, demonstrating a transduction mechanism which is distinct from that of Ad2/5.

Anticipatory parental care: acquiring resources for offspring prior to conception

Many organisms acquire and defend resources outside the breeding season and this is thought to be for immediate survival and reproductive benefits. Female red squirrels (Tamiasciurus hudsonicus) acquire traditional food cache sites up to four months prior to the presence of any physiological or behavioural cues associated with mating or offspring dependency. They subsequently relinquish these resources to one of their offspring at independence (ten months later). We experimentally show that acquisition of these cache sites cannot be explained by conventional arguments such as enhanced survival of the parent or increased reproductive output. Instead this behaviour functions as a form of parental care.

Canine adenovirus vectors: an alternative for adenovirus-mediated gene transfer

Preclinical studies have shown that gene transfer following readministration of viral vectors is often inefficient due to the presence of neutralizing antibodies. Vectors derived from ubiquitous human adenoviruses may have limited clinical use because preexisting humoral and cellular immunity is found in 90% of the population. Furthermore, risks associated with the use of human adenovirus vectors, such as the need to immunosuppress or tolerize patients to a potentially debilitating virus, are avoidable if efficient nonhuman adenovirus vectors are feasible. Plasmids containing recombinant canine adenovirus (CAV) vectors from which the E1 region had been deleted were generated and transfected into a CAV E1-transcomplementing cell line. Vector stocks, with titers greater than or equal to those obtained with human adenovirus vectors, were free of detectable levels of replication-competent CAV and had a low particle-to-transduction unit ratio. CAV vectors were replication defective in all cell lines tested, transduced human-derived cells at an efficiency similar to that of a comparable human adenovirus type 5 vector, and are amenable to in vivo use. Importantly, 49 of 50 serum samples from healthy individuals did not contain detectable levels of neutralizing CAV antibodies.

Common dynamic structure of canada lynx populations within three climatic regions

Across the boreal forest of Canada, lynx populations undergo regular density cycles. Analysis of 21 time series from 1821 onward demonstrated structural similarity in these cycles within large regions of Canada. The observed population dynamics are consistent with a regional structure caused by climatic features, resulting in a grouping of lynx population dynamics into three types (corresponding to three climatic-based geographic regions): Pacific-maritime, Continental, and Atlantic-maritime. A possible link with the North Atlantic Oscillation is suggested.

From patterns to processes: phase and density dependencies in the Canadian lynx cycle

Across the boreal forest of North America, lynx populations undergo 10-year cycles. Analysis of 21 time series from 1821 to the present demonstrates that these fluctuations are generated by nonlinear processes with regulatory delays. Trophic interactions between lynx and hares cause delayed density-dependent regulation of lynx population growth. The nonlinearity, in contrast, appears to arise from phase dependencies in hunting success by lynx through the cycle. Using a combined approach of empirical, statistical, and mathematical modeling, we highlight how shifts in trophic interactions between the lynx and the hare generate the nonlinear process primarily by shifting functional response curves during the increase and the decrease phases.

Sex-biased mortality in woodrats occurs in the absence of parental intervention

Male-biased mortality in young animals is often viewed as adaptive discrimination against male offspring by parents unable to raise reproductively competitive sons. Unequivocal evidence of the presence or absence of parental discrimination against males is lacking, however, and the adaptive interpretation of male-biased mortality is confounded by an alternative explanation that it reflects differential energetic requirements between the sexes (due to sexual selection for large size in mature males) independent of parental manipulation. To determine whether maternal discrimination against offspring explains postnatal mortality in a sexually dimorphic rodent, we examined patterns of growth and mortality in offspring of food-restricted and food-enriched lactating bushy-tailed woodrats, Neotoma cinerea. We also monitored mothers and their litters daily throughout lactation for evidence of maternal discrimination against offspring. Offspring of food-restricted mothers showed depressed growth, and mortality of offspring born to both food-restricted and food-enriched mothers was male-biased, but in the absence of maternal discrimination. Offspring that died were no less likely to be attached to their mother's teats in the 10 days prior to death than were offspring that successfully weaned. Similarly, offspring of food-restricted mothers were attached as often as were offspring of food-enriched mothers. In a series of behavioural arena trials in the first 10 days after birth, restricted mothers were no less attentive toward their sons than they were to their daughters, nor did mothers treat their offspring that did not survive to weaning differently from those that survived. Our findings provide empirical evidence that postnatal, sex-biased mortality in offspring is not necessarily due to parental intervention, and they call into question the adaptive interpretations of previous examples of sex-biased offspring mortality. Copyright 1998 The Association for the Study of Animal Behaviour Copyright 1998 The Association for the Study of Animal Behaviour.

Amino-acid change in the Epstein-Barr-virus ZEBRA protein in undifferentiated nasopharyngeal carcinomas from Europe and North Africa

Different Epstein-Barr-virus(EBV) variants were found to be associated with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). The type-C variant lacks the BamHI site between the BamHI W1* and I* regions and the type-f variant has an extra BamHI site in the BamHI F fragment. The BNLF1 gene (which encodes the LMP1 protein) from a nude-mouse-passaged CAO strain and from NPC biopsies from Taiwanese patients also exhibits variations resulting in structural and functional differences in the protein. The BZLF1 gene encodes the ZEBRA protein which triggers the EBV lytic cycle. A difference has been observed in 8 amino acids in the ZEBRA sequence in B95-8 (Z95) and P3HR1 (ZP3) cell lines. EBV found in NPC biopsies and peripheral-blood cells from Asians was predominantly of the ZP3 type (72%), while 81% of samples from different EBV-associated diseases and peripheral-blood cells from North Africa or Europe were of the Z95 type. We found that an alanine 206 had been replaced by a serine in the Z95 sequence in 72% of the NPC biopsies from European and North African patients. The Zser206 variant is found in a significantly lower percentage (p < 0.001) of other EBV-positive tissues from individuals in the same region (10-33%). In contrast, a 30-bp deletion is observed near the 3' end of the LMP1 gene in the majority of EBV (86%) from NPC and peripheral-blood cells from Asians, whereas a significantly lower percentage (p < 0.001) of NPC biopsies from European and North African patients (56%) have this deletion, as do lymphocytes from control individuals from the same region (36 and 55% respectively).

A recombinant E1-deleted canine adenoviral vector capable of transduction and expression of a transgene in human-derived cells and in vivo

Human adenovirus (HAV) serotypes 2 and 5 are commonly used as vector backbones for adenovirus-mediated gene transfer. However, HAVs were chosen as a backbone for the vectors for historical reasons and have a number of significant disadvantages when used as a shuttle for gene transfer in humans. As an initial trial to circumvent some of the shortcomings of HAV vectors, we have produced an E1-deleted canine adenovirus type 2 (CAV-2) vector for gene transfer. Initially, we demonstrated that CAV-2 undergoes an abortive viral cycle in a wide range of human-derived cell lines. Second, we assayed human sera containing HAV-5 neutralizing antibodies for their ability to inhibit CAV-2-induced plaques on permissive cells. In the cohort tested, our data demonstrate that the humoral response directed against HAV-5 does not inhibit CAV-2 plaque formation in the majority of cases. Canine cell lines expressing the E1 region of CAV-2 were generated and characterized. A recombinant CAV vector (CAVRSVbetagal) deleted in the E1 region and harboring lacZ was constructed. We show that CAVRSVbetagal is able to transduce and direct expression of the transgene in vitro in a variety of mammalian cells, most notably primary human-derived cells. In addition, gene transfer is demonstrated in vivo using chick embryos.

Patients' opinion of mammography screening services: immediate results versus delayed results due to interpretation by two observers

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to evaluate by random questionnaire mailings the preferences of women who have undergone mammography in our region regarding communication of mammography screening results.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Questionnaires were mailed to 400 randomly selected women who were more than 35 years old and who had been treated at our institution for medical or surgical reasons. Questions regarding use of mammography screening at our institution versus services at other locations were included. The questionnaire described two possible mammography services; either a double reading service that would provide delayed reports (DRDR) with the benefit of extra cancers detected, and a service that provides immediate reports given directly to the patient by an on-site radiologist. The presentation of the services was reversed in half the questionnaires to avoid bias. Patients' choices were collected, as were demographic data. The choice of one system over the other was evaluated using the one-sample lest for binomial probability. The chi-square test was used to determine if the order of questions on the survey or the site of patients' screening mammography affected responses.

RESULTS

The response rate was 42% (n = 168). Of these, one response informed us of the death of a patient. Of the remaining 167 respondents, 75% (n = 126) preferred the DRDR system, 13% (n = 22) preferred the system providing immediate results (p < .0001), and the other 19 respondents did not select a preference. Of the 167 respondents, 156 answered the question regarding previous screening mammography experience. Of the 105 patients who had undergone screening mammography at our institution, 78% (n = 82) preferred the DRDR system. Of the 51 patients who had undergone mammography elsewhere or who had never undergone mammography, 75% (n = 38) preferred the DRDR system. We found that ordering of presentation of the systems in the questionnaire had no effect on responses. Likewise, whether a respondent had undergone mammography at our institution had no effect on responses (p = 1.0).

CONCLUSION

A statistically significant number of women who responded to our questionnaire preferred the DRDR system of reporting screening mammographic results. Educational material about double reading that we included with each patient's questionnaire could account for these results. If the use of a second interpreter is feasible and is done for batch interpretation of screening mammograms, then education of patients about this process may increase acceptance of a delayed mammographic report.

Impact of Food and Predation on the Snowshoe Hare Cycle

Snowshoe hare populations in the boreal forests of North America go through 10-year cycles. Supplemental food and mammalian predator abundance were manipulated in a factorial design on 1-square-kilometer areas for 8 years in the Yukon. Two blocks of forest were fertilized to test for nutrient effects. Predator exclosure doubled and food addition tripled hare density during the cyclic peak and decline. Predator exclosure combined with food addition increased density 11-fold. Added nutrients increased plant growth but not hare density. Food and predation together had a more than additive effect, which suggests that a three-trophic-level interaction generates hare cycles.

Testing predator - prey theory by studying fluctuating populations of small mammals

Fluctuating populations of small mammals provide an excellent opportunity to study the functional and numerical responses of predators because of the wide range in prey density that occurs. I reinterpret data from six studies that have examined the role of predation in the population dynamics of voles in California, southern Sweden and western Finland, of snowshoe hares in northern Canada, and of house mice and rabbits in Australia. Most studies have measured functional responses by relying on changes in diet as reflected by scat or stomach contents. These methods are probably biased toward showing predator satiation. Contrary to previous conclusions I find that there is little evidence for non-linear (Type 111) functional-response curves or predator satiation at high prey densities. Recent studies indicate that the functional and numerical responses of predators can be rapid and strong enough to initiate cyclic declines, dampen fluctuations, or even cause stable numbers. The exception to this appears to be the irruptions of mice and rabbits in Australia. I propose a general explanation for the role of predation whereby the effect of predation is largely dependent on the entire prey community. When potentially cyclic prey are a small component of the overall prey biomass, generalist predators are able to prevent fluctuations by strong functional or numerical responses. As the prey community becomes dominated by a few species that fluctuate, limit cycles predominate. Limit cycles turn into irruptive population dynamics when seasonal prey reproduction is eliminated because of extended periods of vegetation growth (vegetation flushes following drought). In the future we must test assumptions underlying the way we study predation by telemetric monitoring of prey mortality and by experimentally manipulating predation.