Enzymatic lipid oxidation by eosinophils propagates coagulation, hemostasis, and thrombotic disease

Blood coagulation is essential for physiological hemostasis but simultaneously contributes to thrombotic disease. However, molecular and cellular events controlling initiation and propagation of coagulation are still incompletely understood. In this study, we demonstrate an unexpected role of eosinophils during plasmatic coagulation, hemostasis, and thrombosis. Using a large-scale epidemiological approach, we identified eosinophil cationic protein as an independent and predictive risk factor for thrombotic events in humans. Concurrent experiments showed that eosinophils contributed to intravascular thrombosis by exhibiting a strong endogenous thrombin-generation capacity that relied on the enzymatic generation and active provision of a procoagulant phospholipid surface enriched in 12/15-lipoxygenase-derived hydroxyeicosatetraenoic acid-phosphatidylethanolamines. Our findings reveal a previously unrecognized role of eosinophils and enzymatic lipid oxidation as regulatory elements that facilitate both hemostasis and thrombosis in response to vascular injury, thus identifying promising new targets for the treatment of thrombotic disease.

Automatic identification of variables in epidemiological datasets using logic regression

Background

For an individual participant data (IPD) meta-analysis, multiple datasets must be transformed in a consistent format, e.g. using uniform variable names. When large numbers of datasets have to be processed, this can be a time-consuming and error-prone task. Automated or semi-automated identification of variables can help to reduce the workload and improve the data quality. For semi-automation high sensitivity in the recognition of matching variables is particularly important, because it allows creating software which for a target variable presents a choice of source variables, from which a user can choose the matching one, with only low risk of having missed a correct source variable.

Methods

For each variable in a set of target variables, a number of simple rules were manually created. With logic regression, an optimal Boolean combination of these rules was searched for every target variable, using a random subset of a large database of epidemiological and clinical cohort data (construction subset). In a second subset of this database (validation subset), this optimal combination rules were validated.

Results

In the construction sample, 41 target variables were allocated on average with a positive predictive value (PPV) of 34%, and a negative predictive value (NPV) of 95%. In the validation sample, PPV was 33%, whereas NPV remained at 94%. In the construction sample, PPV was 50% or less in 63% of all variables, in the validation sample in 71% of all variables.

Conclusions

We demonstrated that the application of logic regression in a complex data management task in large epidemiological IPD meta-analyses is feasible. However, the performance of the algorithm is poor, which may require backup strategies.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s12911-017-0429-1) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Lipoprotein(a) and incident type-2 diabetes: results from the prospective Bruneck study and a meta-analysis of published literature

Aims

We aimed to (1) assess the association between lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)] concentration and incident type-2 diabetes in the Bruneck study, a prospective population-based study, and (2) combine findings with evidence from published studies in a literature-based meta-analysis.

Methods

We used Cox proportional hazards models to calculate hazard ratios (HR) for incident type-2 diabetes over 20 years of follow-up in 815 participants of the Bruneck study according to their long-term average Lp(a) concentration. For the meta-analysis, we searched Medline, Embase and Web of Science for relevant prospective cohort studies published up to October 2016.

Results

In the Bruneck study, there was a 12% higher risk of type-2 diabetes for a one standard deviation lower concentration of log Lp(a) (HR = 1.12 [95% CI 0.95–1.32]; P = 0.171), after adjustment for age, sex, alcohol consumption, body mass index, smoking status, socioeconomic status, physical activity, systolic blood pressure, HDL cholesterol, log high-sensitivity C-reactive protein and waist–hip ratio. In a meta-analysis involving four prospective cohorts with a total of 74,575 participants and 4514 incident events, the risk of type-2 diabetes was higher in the lowest two quintiles of Lp(a) concentrations (weighted mean Lp(a) = 3.3 and 7.0 mg/dL, respectively) compared to the highest quintile (62.9 mg/dL), with the highest risk of type-2 diabetes seen in quintile 1 (HR = 1.28 [1.14–1.43]; P < 0.001).

Conclusions

The current available evidence from prospective studies suggests that there is an inverse association between Lp(a) concentration and risk of type-2 diabetes, with a higher risk of type-2 diabetes at low Lp(a) concentrations (approximately <7 mg/dL).

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s12933-017-0520-z) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Extracellular matrix proteomics identifies molecular signature of symptomatic carotid plaques

BACKGROUND. The identification of patients with high-risk atherosclerotic plaques prior to the manifestation of clinical events remains challenging. Recent findings question histology- and imaging-based definitions of the “vulnerable plaque,” necessitating an improved approach for predicting onset of symptoms.

METHODS. We performed a proteomics comparison of the vascular extracellular matrix and associated molecules in human carotid endarterectomy specimens from 6 symptomatic versus 6 asymptomatic patients to identify a protein signature for high-risk atherosclerotic plaques. Proteomics data were integrated with gene expression profiling of 121 carotid endarterectomies and an analysis of protein secretion by lipid-loaded human vascular smooth muscle cells. Finally, epidemiological validation of candidate biomarkers was performed in two community-based studies.

RESULTS. Proteomics and at least one of the other two approaches identified a molecular signature of plaques from symptomatic patients that comprised matrix metalloproteinase 9, chitinase 3-like-1, S100 calcium binding protein A8 (S100A8), S100A9, cathepsin B, fibronectin, and galectin-3-binding protein. Biomarker candidates measured in 685 subjects in the Bruneck study were associated with progression to advanced atherosclerosis and incidence of cardiovascular disease over a 10-year follow-up period. A 4-biomarker signature (matrix metalloproteinase 9, S100A8/S100A9, cathepsin D, and galectin-3-binding protein) improved risk prediction and was successfully replicated in an independent cohort, the SAPHIR study.

CONCLUSION. The identified 4-biomarker signature may improve risk prediction and diagnostics for the management of cardiovascular disease. Further, our study highlights the strength of tissue-based proteomics for biomarker discovery.

FUNDING. UK: British Heart Foundation (BHF); King’s BHF Center; and the National Institute for Health Research Biomedical Research Center based at Guy’s and St Thomas’ NHS Foundation Trust and King’s College London in partnership with King’s College Hospital. Austria: Federal Ministry for Transport, Innovation and Technology (BMVIT); Federal Ministry of Science, Research and Economy (BMWFW); Wirtschaftsagentur Wien; and Standortagentur Tirol.

Do Women With Atrial Fibrillation Experience More Severe Strokes?

Background and Purpose—

Ischemic strokes associated with atrial fibrillation (AF) are more severe than those of other cause. We aim to study potential sex effects in this context.

Methods—

In this cross-sectional study, 74 425 adults with acute ischemic stroke from the Austrian Stroke Unit Registry were included between March 2003 and January 2016. In 63 563 patients, data on the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale on admission to the stroke unit, presence of AF, vascular risk factors, and comorbidities were complete. Analysis was done by a multivariate regression model.

Results—

Stroke severity in general increased with age. AF-related strokes were more severe than strokes of other causes. Sex-related differences in stroke severity were only seen in stroke patients with AF. Median (Q 25 , 75 ) National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score points were 9 (4,17) in women and 6 (3,13) in men ( P <0.001). The interaction between AF and sex on stroke severity was independent of age, previous functional status, vascular risk factors, and vascular comorbidities and remained significant in various subgroups.

Conclusions—

Women with AF do not only have an increased risk of stroke when compared with men but also experience more severe strokes.

Circulating MicroRNA-122 Is Associated With the Risk of New-Onset Metabolic Syndrome and Type 2 Diabetes

MicroRNA-122 (miR-122) is abundant in the liver and involved in lipid homeostasis, but its relevance to the long-term risk of developing metabolic disorders is unknown. We therefore measured circulating miR-122 in the prospective population-based Bruneck Study (n = 810; survey year 1995). Circulating miR-122 was associated with prevalent insulin resistance, obesity, metabolic syndrome, type 2 diabetes, and an adverse lipid profile. Among 92 plasma proteins and 135 lipid subspecies quantified with mass spectrometry, it correlated inversely with zinc-α-2-glycoprotein and positively with afamin, complement factor H, VLDL-associated apolipoproteins, and lipid subspecies containing monounsaturated and saturated fatty acids. Proteomics analysis of livers from antagomiR-122-treated mice revealed novel regulators of hepatic lipid metabolism that are responsive to miR-122 inhibition. In the Anglo-Scandinavian Cardiac Outcomes Trial (ASCOT, n = 155), 12-month atorvastatin reduced circulating miR-122. A similar response to atorvastatin was observed in mice and cultured murine hepatocytes. Over up to 15 years of follow-up in the Bruneck Study, multivariable adjusted risk ratios per one-SD higher log miR-122 were 1.60 (95% CI 1.30-1.96; P < 0.001) for metabolic syndrome and 1.37 (1.03-1.82; P = 0.021) for type 2 diabetes. In conclusion, circulating miR-122 is strongly associated with the risk of developing metabolic syndrome and type 2 diabetes in the general population.

PCSK9 genetic variants and risk of type 2 diabetes: a mendelian randomisation study

BACKGROUND

Statin treatment and variants in the gene encoding HMG-CoA reductase are associated with reductions in both the concentration of LDL cholesterol and the risk of coronary heart disease, but also with modest hyperglycaemia, increased bodyweight, and modestly increased risk of type 2 diabetes, which in no way offsets their substantial benefits. We sought to investigate the associations of LDL cholesterol-lowering PCSK9 variants with type 2 diabetes and related biomarkers to gauge the likely effects of PCSK9 inhibitors on diabetes risk.

METHODS

In this mendelian randomisation study, we used data from cohort studies, randomised controlled trials, case control studies, and genetic consortia to estimate associations of PCSK9 genetic variants with LDL cholesterol, fasting blood glucose, HbA1c, fasting insulin, bodyweight, waist-to-hip ratio, BMI, and risk of type 2 diabetes, using a standardised analysis plan, meta-analyses, and weighted gene-centric scores.

FINDINGS

Data were available for more than 550 000 individuals and 51 623 cases of type 2 diabetes. Combined analyses of four independent PCSK9 variants (rs11583680, rs11591147, rs2479409, and rs11206510) scaled to 1 mmol/L lower LDL cholesterol showed associations with increased fasting glucose (0·09 mmol/L, 95% CI 0·02 to 0·15), bodyweight (1·03 kg, 0·24 to 1·82), waist-to-hip ratio (0·006, 0·003 to 0·010), and an odds ratio for type diabetes of 1·29 (1·11 to 1·50). Based on the collected data, we did not identify associations with HbA1c (0·03%, -0·01 to 0·08), fasting insulin (0·00%, -0·06 to 0·07), and BMI (0·11 kg/m2, -0·09 to 0·30).

INTERPRETATION

PCSK9 variants associated with lower LDL cholesterol were also associated with circulating higher fasting glucose concentration, bodyweight, and waist-to-hip ratio, and an increased risk of type 2 diabetes. In trials of PCSK9 inhibitor drugs, investigators should carefully assess these safety outcomes and quantify the risks and benefits of PCSK9 inhibitor treatment, as was previously done for statins.

FUNDING

British Heart Foundation, and University College London Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust (UCLH) National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Biomedical Research Centre.

Dietary spermidine for lowering high blood pressure

Loss of cardiac macroautophagy/autophagy impairs heart function, and evidence accumulates that an increased autophagic flux may protect against cardiovascular disease. We therefore tested the protective capacity of the natural autophagy inducer spermidine in animal models of aging and hypertension, which both represent major risk factors for the development of cardiovascular disease. Dietary spermidine elicits cardioprotective effects in aged mice through enhancing cardiac autophagy and mitophagy. In salt-sensitive rats, spermidine supplementation also delays the development of hypertensive heart disease, coinciding with reduced arterial blood pressure. The high blood pressure-lowering effect likely results from improved global arginine bioavailability and protection from hypertension-associated renal damage. The polyamine spermidine is naturally present in human diets, though to a varying amount depending on food type and preparation. In humans, high dietary spermidine intake correlates with reduced blood pressure and decreased risk of cardiovascular disease and related death. Altogether, spermidine represents a cardio- and vascular-protective autophagy inducer that can be readily integrated in common diets.

Austrian Lipid Consensus on the management of metabolic lipid disorders to prevent vascular complications: A joint position statement issued by eight medical societies. 2016 update

In 2010, eight Austrian medical societies proposed a joint position statement on the management of metabolic lipid disorders for the prevention of vascular complications. An updated and extended version of these recommendations according to the current literature is presented, referring to the primary and secondary prevention of vascular complications in adults, taking into consideration the guidelines of other societies. The "Austrian Lipid Consensus - 2016 update" provides guidance for individualized risk stratification and respective therapeutic targets, and discusses the evidence for reducing vascular endpoints with available lipid-lowering therapies. Furthermore, specific management in key patient groups is outlined, including subjects presenting with coronary, cerebrovascular, and/or peripheral atherosclerosis; diabetes mellitus and/or metabolic syndrome; nephropathy; and familial hypercholesterolemia.

Liver microRNAs: potential mediators and biomarkers for metabolic and cardiovascular disease?

Recent discoveries have revealed that microRNAs (miRNAs) play a key role in the regulation of gene expression. In this review, we summarize the rapidly evolving knowledge about liver miRNAs (including miR-33, -33*, miR-223, -30c, -144, -148a, -24, -29, and -122) and their link to hepatic lipid metabolism, atherosclerosis and cardiovascular disease, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, metabolic syndrome, and type-2 diabetes. With regards to its biomarker potential, the main focus is on miR-122 as the most abundant liver miRNA with exquisite tissue specificity. MiR-122 has been proposed to play a central role in the maintenance of lipid and glucose homeostasis and is consistently detectable in serum and plasma. This miRNA may therefore constitute a novel biomarker for cardiovascular and metabolic diseases.

Prehospital and intra-hospital time delays in posterior circulation stroke: results from the Austrian Stroke Unit Registry

Therapeutic effect of recombinant tissue-plasminogen activator (rt-PA) is time dependent. There is limited evidence whether localization of stroke within the posterior circulation (PCS) is associated with a treatment delay. We aimed to analyze within a nationwide multicenter cohort whether duration of pre- and intra-hospital patient management differs between patients with PCS and anterior circulation strokes (ACS). We studied onset-to-door-times (ODT) and door-to-needle-times (DNT) of all patients with acute ischemic stroke (IS) enrolled in the Austrian Stroke Unit Registry according to infarct localization. Classification into PCS and ACS was based on clinical presentation applying the criteria used in the Oxfordshire Community Stroke Project. Relationships between ODT, respectively, DNT and explanatory variables were modeled by multivariate linear regression. Between 2003 and 2015, 71010 patients with IS were enrolled, 11,924 with PCS and 59,086 with ACS. Overall, the ODT was significantly longer in PCS: median (IQR): 170 (25th, 75th‰: 79,420) min versus 110 (60,240); p < 0.001; this finding held true in multivariable analysis. In 10535 rt-PA-treated patients (1022 PCS/9832 ACS), ODT and DNT were significantly longer among those with PCS: ODT: median: 80 min (55,120) versus 72 (50,110), p < 0.001; DNT: 57 (35.90) versus 45 (30.67), p < 0.001. In the multivariate model, PCS was significantly associated with delay in the DNT. In conclusion, in this large nationwide cohort, patient management was significantly slower in PCS as compared to ACS. Increasing awareness about these delays and further elaboration of the underlying causes may translate into higher proportions of patients with PCS receiving rt-PA.

Consistency of "Probable RBD" Diagnosis with the RBD Screening Questionnaire: A Follow-up Study

Introduction

The aim of this study was to evaluate the consistency of "probable RBD" diagnosis with the RBD screening questionnaire (RBDSQ) assessed 2 years apart in a population-based study.

Methods

Probable RBD was assessed by RBDSQ in 2008 and in 2010 in the Bruneck Study Cohort, with participants aged ≥60 years.

Results

A total of 437 participants completed the RBDSQ in 2008 and 2010. There were 29 (6.6%) and 23 (5.3%) participants with probable RBD in 2008 and in 2010, respectively. Only eight (1.8%) screened positive on both occasions. RBDSQ values 2 years apart showed low correlation with each other (Spearman rank coefficient r = 0.348, P < 0.001) and low agreement (intraclass correlation coefficient 0.388, P < 0.001).

Conclusions

We found low agreement between the two assessments. Possible explanations are the fluctuation of untreated RBD expression and the poor utility of the RBDSQ to detect RBD in the general population. Until further PSG validation of the RBDSQ in population-based studies, investigators must be aware of the inherent uncertainty of questionnaire-based RBD diagnosis.

Aortic Elastic Properties in Preschool Children Born Preterm

OBJECTIVE

Preterm birth predisposes children to the development of cardiovascular diseases in adulthood. The aim of this study was to characterize elastic properties of the aorta at preschool age and test the hypothesis that prematurity is associated with decreased aortic distensibility and increased stiffness, both of which are predictors of increased cardiovascular risk.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

In an observational study of 76 five- to seven-year-old children born at a gestational age <32 weeks and 79 term-born controls, elastic parameters of the ascending and descending abdominal aorta were determined noninvasively by means of M mode echocardiographic tracings and calculated using computerized wall contour analysis. Compared with children born at term, the preterm group showed significantly reduced distensibility and increased stiffness of the descending abdominal aorta. These results remained significant under multivariable adjustment for birth weight z score, maternal smoking in pregnancy, maternal education, family history of cardiovascular disease, breastfeeding, childhood nutrition, and current body mass index z score (multivariable odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals 5.1, 1.7-15.9; P=0.005 and 2.8, 1.0-7.9; P=0.046, respectively). Further adjustment for intravenous lipid therapy attenuated the strength of association. Elastic properties of the ascending aorta did not differ between the 2 study groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Children born preterm are characterized by decreased elastic properties of the descending abdominal aorta potentially attributable to impaired viscoelastic properties of and lipid damage to the aorta. Clinical follow-up of preterm infants with a focus on aortic elastic properties may be useful for tailoring early prevention programs and counteracting cardiovascular risk in adulthood.

Correlates of serum hepcidin levels and its association with cardiovascular disease in an elderly general population

BACKGROUND

The expression of the key iron regulatory hormone hepcidin is regulated by iron availability, inflammation, hormones, hypoxia, and anaemia. Increased serum concentrations of hepcidin have recently been linked to atherosclerosis. We studied demographic, haematologic, biochemical, and dietary correlates of serum hepcidin levels and its associations with incident cardiovascular disease and with carotid atherosclerosis.

METHODS

Serum hepcidin concentrations were measured by tandem mass spectrometry in samples taken in 2000 from 675 infection-free participants of the prospective population-based Bruneck study (age, mean±standard deviation, 66.0±10.2; 48.1% male). Blood parameters were measured by standard methods. Dietary intakes of iron and alcohol were surveyed with a food frequency questionnaire. Carotid atherosclerosis (365 cases) was assessed by ultrasound and subjects were observed for incident stroke, myocardial infarction, or sudden cardiac death (91 events) until 2010.

RESULTS

Median (interquartile range) hepcidin levels were 2.27 nM (0.86, 4.15). Most hepcidin correlates were in line with hepcidin as an indicator of iron stores. Independently of ferritin, hepcidin was related directly to physical activity (p=0.024) and fibrinogen (p<0.0001), and inversely to alcohol intake (p=0.006), haemoglobin (p=0.027), and γ-glutamyltransferase (p<0.0001). Hepcidin and hepcidin-to-ferritin ratio were not associated with prevalent carotid atherosclerosis (p=0.43 and p=0.79) or with incident cardiovascular disease (p=0.62 and p=0.33).

CONCLUSIONS

In this random sample of the general community, fibrinogen and γ-glutamyltransferase were the most significant hepcidin correlates independent of iron stores, and hepcidin was related to neither atherosclerosis nor cardiovascular disease.

The role of immune activation in endotoxin-induced atherogenesis

Some infectious agents may contribute to atherosclerosis by maintaining a heightened state of inflammatory response. Although the risk for atherosclerosis was associated with elevated plasma levels of endotoxin, it is difficult to firmly establish what place endotoxin assumes in the etiology of this disease. As the ability for endotoxin to promote disease may depend on its ability to initiate an inflammatory response, it may be controlled by additional regulatory factors. We measured plasma levels of endotoxin and serum levels of neopterin and soluble interleukin-2 receptor in a random population of 402 men and women, 50—79 years old at the 1990 baseline evaluation (Bruneck Study). End point of the prospective survey was incident (early) atherosclerosis in the carotid arteries as assessed with duplex ultrasound. Subjects with high endotoxin levels (90th percentile) in combination with low neopterin or soluble interleukin-2 receptor levels (below median) did not differ from those with low endotoxin in their risk of incident atherosclerosis. The risk associated with high endotoxin, however, was markedly elevated in subjects with high (above median) neopterin or soluble interleukin-2 receptor levels. The study provides epidemiological evidence that the atherogenic potential of endotoxemia is affected by concomitant immune activation.

Predictive value of ABCD2 and ABCD3-I scores in TIA and minor stroke in the stroke unit setting

OBJECTIVE

It is not clear whether risk scores for early stroke recurrence after TIA that have been mainly established in outpatient and emergency department settings are valid on the background of highly specialized stroke unit care.

METHODS

ABCD2 and ABCD3-I scores have been prospectively documented in a cohort of patients admitted to Austrian stroke units within 24 hours of symptom onset with TIA or minor stroke (NIH Stroke Scale score <4).

RESULTS

A total of 5,237 TIA and minor stroke patients met inclusion criteria, with 3-month follow-up data available on 2,457. Early and 3-month stroke were observed in 2.4% and 4.2% of the study population. The probability of early stroke during the stroke unit stay (median 2 [interquartile range 1-3] days) steadily increased from 0% to 4.8% and 0% to 16.7% with increasing ABCD2 and ABCD3-I score points, respectively. On 3-month follow-up, stroke risk increased from 0% to 8.0% and 0% to 23.8% with increasing ABCD2 and ABCD3-I score points, respectively. Of the individual score components, age, blood pressure, and diabetes were not related to early or 3-month stroke, whereas clinical presentation (C), symptom duration (D), and cerebral as well as carotid imaging (I) were and accounted for the information provided by the full scores.

CONCLUSIONS

Standard ABCD2 and ABCD3-I scores are useful instruments to estimate the probability of early and 3-month stroke in TIA and minor stroke patients treated at specialized stroke units, with C, D, and I being the most important score components in this setting.

A genome-wide association meta-analysis on apolipoprotein A-IV concentrations

Apolipoprotein A-IV (apoA-IV) is a major component of HDL and chylomicron particles and is involved in reverse cholesterol transport. It is an early marker of impaired renal function. We aimed to identify genetic loci associated with apoA-IV concentrations and to investigate relationships with known susceptibility loci for kidney function and lipids. A genome-wide association meta-analysis on apoA-IV concentrations was conducted in five population-based cohorts (n = 13,813) followed by two additional replication studies (n = 2,267) including approximately 10 M SNPs. Three independent SNPs from two genomic regions were significantly associated with apoA-IV concentrations: rs1729407 near APOA4 (P = 6.77 × 10 ^{-  44}), rs5104 in APOA4 (P = 1.79 × 10^-24) and rs4241819 in KLKB1 (P = 5.6 × 10^-14). Additionally, a look-up of the replicated SNPs in downloadable GWAS meta-analysis results was performed on kidney function (defined by eGFR), HDL-cholesterol and triglycerides. From these three SNPs mentioned above, only rs1729407 showed an association with HDL-cholesterol (P = 7.1 × 10 ^{-  07}). Moreover, weighted SNP-scores were built involving known susceptibility loci for the aforementioned traits (53, 70 and 38 SNPs, respectively) and were associated with apoA-IV concentrations. This analysis revealed a significant and an inverse association for kidney function with apoA-IV concentrations (P = 5.5 × 10^-05). Furthermore, an increase of triglyceride-increasing alleles was found to decrease apoA-IV concentrations (P = 0.0078). In summary, we identified two independent SNPs located in or next the APOA4 gene and one SNP in KLKB1 The association of KLKB1 with apoA-IV suggests an involvement of apoA-IV in renal metabolism and/or an interaction within HDL particles. Analyses of SNP-scores indicate potential causal effects of kidney function and by lesser extent triglycerides on apoA-IV concentrations.

Prodromal Parkinson's disease as defined per MDS research criteria in the general elderly community

BACKGROUND

Recently, the International Parkinson and Movement Disorder Society has defined research criteria for prodromal Parkinson's disease (PD), but to date their predictive value has not yet been tested in population-based cohorts.

METHODS

We retrospectively applied these criteria to the longitudinal Bruneck Study cohort aged 55-94 years using recorded data on all included risk and prodromal markers that are quick and easily assessable.

RESULTS

After excluding participants with idiopathic PD or secondary parkinsonism, prevalence of probable prodromal PD in the remaining 539 participants was 2.2% (95% confidence interval, 1.2%-3.9%). Of 488 participants followed up over 5 years, 11 developed incident PD. Sensitivity of "probable prodromal PD" status for incident PD was 54.6% (95% confidence interval, 28.0%-78.8%), specificity was 99.2% (97.8%-99.8%), positive predictive value was 60.0% (31.2%-83.3%), and negative predictive value was 99.0% (97.5%-99.6%).

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that the new research criteria for prodromal PD are a promising tool to identify cases of incident PD over 5 years, arguing for their usefulness in defining target populations for disease-prevention trials. © 2016 International Parkinson and Movement Disorder Society.

Prediction of infarction development after endovascular stroke therapy with dual-energy computed tomography

OBJECTIVES

After intraarterial recanalisation (IAR), the haemorrhage and the blood-brain barrier (BBB) disruption can be distinguished using dual-energy computed tomography (DECT). The aim of the present study was to investigate whether future infarction development can be predicted from DECT.

METHODS

DECT scans of 20 patients showing 45 BBB disrupted areas after IAR were assessed and compared with follow-up examinations. Receiver operator characteristic (ROC) analyses using densities from the iodine map (IM) and virtual non-contrast (VNC) were performed.

RESULTS

Future infarction areas are denser than future non-infarction areas on IM series (23.44 ± 24.86 vs. 5.77 ± 2.77; p < 0.0001) and more hypodense on VNC series (29.71 ± 3.33 vs. 35.33 ± 3.50; p < 0.0001). ROC analyses for the IM series showed an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.99 (cut-off: <9.97 HU; p < 0.05; sensitivity 91.18 %; specificity 100.00 %; accuracy 0.93) for the prediction of future infarctions. The AUC for the prediction of haemorrhagic infarctions was 0.78 (cut-off >17.13 HU; p < 0.05; sensitivity 90.00 %; specificity 62.86 %; accuracy 0.69). The VNC series allowed prediction of infarction volume.

CONCLUSIONS

Future infarction development after IAR can be reliably predicted with the IM series. The prediction of haemorrhages and of infarction size is less reliable.

KEY POINTS

• The IM series (DECT) can predict future infarction development after IAR. • Later haemorrhages can be predicted using the IM and the BW series. • The volume of definable hypodense areas in VNC correlates with infarction volume.

Optimizing odor identification testing as quick and accurate diagnostic tool for Parkinson's disease

Introduction

The aim of this study was to evaluate odor identification testing as a quick, cheap, and reliable tool to identify PD.

Methods

Odor identification with the 16‐item Sniffin' Sticks test (SS‐16) was assessed in a total of 646 PD patients and 606 controls from three European centers (A, B, and C), as well as 75 patients with atypical parkinsonism or essential tremor and in a prospective cohort of 24 patients with idiopathic rapid eye movement sleep behavior disorder (center A). Reduced odor sets most discriminative for PD were determined in a discovery cohort derived from a random split of PD patients and controls from center A using L1‐regularized logistic regression. Diagnostic accuracy was assessed in the rest of the patients/controls as validation cohorts.

Results

Olfactory performance was lower in PD patients compared with controls and non‐PD patients in all cohorts (each P < 0.001). Both the full SS‐16 and a subscore of the top eight discriminating odors (SS‐8) were associated with an excellent discrimination of PD from controls (areas under the curve ≥0.90; sensitivities ≥83.3%; specificities ≥82.0%) and from non‐PD patients (areas under the curve ≥0.91; sensitivities ≥84.1%; specificities ≥84.0%) in all cohorts. This remained unchanged when patients with >3 years of disease duration were excluded from analysis. All 8 incident PD cases among patients with idiopathic rapid eye movement sleep behavior disorder were predicted with the SS‐16 and the SS‐8 (sensitivity, 100%; positive predictive value, 61.5%).

Conclusions

Odor identification testing provides excellent diagnostic accuracy in the distinction of PD patients from controls and diagnostic mimics. A reduced set of eight odors could be used as a quick tool in the workup of patients presenting with parkinsonism and for PD risk indication. © 2016 The Authors. Movement Disorders published by Wiley Periodicals, Inc. on behalf of International Parkinson and Movement Disorder Society

Update of the effect estimates for common variants associated with carotid intima media thickness within four independent samples: The Bonn IMT Family Study, the Heinz Nixdorf Recall Study, the SAPHIR Study and the Bruneck Study

Carotid intima media thickness (cIMT) is a marker for subclinical atherosclerosis. The most recent genome-wide association meta-analysis (GWAMA) from the CHARGE consortium identified four genomic regions showing either significant (ZHX2, APOC1, PINX1) or suggestive evidence (SLC17A4) for an association. Here we assess these four cIMT loci in a pooled analysis of four independent studies including 5446 individuals by providing updated unbiased effect estimates of the cIMT association signals. The pooled estimates of our four independent samples pointed in the same direction and were similar to those of the GWAMA. When updating the independent second stage replication results from the earlier CHARGE GWAMA by our estimates, effect size estimates were closer to those of the original CHARGE discovery. A fine-mapping approach within a ±50 kb region around each lead SNP from CHARGE revealed 27 variants with larger estimated effect sizes than the lead SNPs but only three of them showed a r(2) > 0.40 with these respective lead SNPs from CHARGE. Some variants are located within potential functional loci.