Prognostic factors in advanced cancer patients: evidence-based clinical recommendations--a study by the Steering Committee of the European Association for Palliative Care

Survival prediction of patients with advanced cancer: the predictive accuracy of the model based on biological markers

To determine whether the addition of biological markers to performance status (PS) and physical symptoms would improve survival prediction among patients with advanced cancer, we developed two prediction models with a scoring system based on 294 consecutive patients with advanced cancer (training set), and then tested its validity on another 93 patients (testing set). We assessed the predictive accuracy of the models using receiver-operating characteristic analysis. Albumin (ALB), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), and lymphocyte percentage (Lymp%) were significantly and independently associated with survival length. For prediction of 60-day survival, the predictive accuracy of Model 2, based on the above biological markers in addition to PS and symptoms, was significantly better than that of Model 1, based on PS and symptoms alone (area under the curve [AUC] for Model 2, 0.80+/-0.03; AUC for Model 1, 0.69+/-0.04; P<0.001). Addition of ALB, LDH, and Lymp% to PS and physical symptoms improved prediction accuracy, especially for longer survival.

Assessing physical functioning: a systematic review of quality of life measures developed for use in palliative care

BACKGROUND

Physical decline is experienced by all palliative care patients and affects most aspects of life. Physical functioning (PF) is therefore a crucial domain for quality of life (Qol) assessments. The purpose of this study was to review how PF assessments are performed in Qol instruments developed for palliative care

METHODS

For identification of instruments, Medline searches up to April 2005 were performed using the terms (palliative care OR end of life care OR terminal care) AND quality of life AND (assessment OR instrument OR questionnaire). A total of 1326 hits were screened. Named QoL instruments were extracted from 240 abstracts and 46 relevant reports. Items assessing PF were then identified and classified according to activity domains as described by the WHO International Classification of Functioning Disability and Health.

RESULTS

Of 224 different instruments detected, 39 were identified as developed for palliative care. Of these, 11 included original PF assessments. Two were comprehensive performance status measures made for staff assessment, 9 were multidimensional tools including 2-7 PF items. The content and phrasing of items varied considerably. All instruments included some aspects of self-care, whereas the coverage of mobility, domestic, work--and leisure activities was inconsistent.

INTERPRETATION

Despite its importance, PF assessment seems to be a minor part of palliative care QoL instruments. Clear definitions and conceptualization of PF are needed, as well as a consensus on relevant aspects to include in improved instruments. Performance scales already developed should be further explored with regard to content, validity and psychometric properties.

Symptoms and survival in patients with advanced disease

Predicting survival in patients with advanced disease is challenging for health care providers. Accurate survival estimation using symptom assessment may assist physicians and patients in determining treatment options. This report analyzes prospective studies in adult patients with a median/mean survival of 6 months or less and identifies symptoms that are associated with decreased survival. To be included in this analysis, a study needed to have at least one symptom associated with decreased survival in a univariate or multivariate analysis. Twenty-two studies were identified and 15 symptoms were associated with decreased survival. Anorexia, delirium, and dyspnea were associated with decreased survival in most studies. Delirium and anorexia (but not dyspnea) were associated with decreased survival in most studies that included patients with a median survival of 30 days or less. More research is needed to investigate any associations between symptom characteristics and survival in patients with advanced disease. Short assessment tools using symptoms identified in this report, with a focus on symptoms that were found in multiple studies, need to be developed to better predict survival and guide patient treatment.

Comparison of the prognostic value of selected markers of the systemic inflammatory response in patients with colorectal cancer

There is increasing evidence that the presence of a systemic inflammatory response plays an important role in predicting survival in patients with colorectal cancer. However, it is not clear what components of the systemic inflammatory response best predict survival. The aim of the present study was to compare the prognostic value of an inflammation-based prognostic score (modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (Mgps) 0=C-reactive protein <10 mg l⁻¹, 1=C-reactive protein >10 mg l⁻¹, and 2=C-reactive protein >10 mg l⁻¹ and albumin<35 g l⁻¹) with that of components of the white cell count (neutrophils, lymphocytes, monocytes and platelets using standard thresholds) in patients with colorectal cancer. Two patient groups were studied: 149 patients who underwent potentially curative resection for colorectal cancer and 84 patients who had synchronous unresectable liver metastases. In those patients who underwent potentially curative resection the minimum follow-up was 36 months and 20 patients died of their cancer. On multivariate survival analysis only TNM stage (HR 3.75, 95% CI 1.54–9.17, P=0.004), monocyte count (HR 3.79, 95% CI 1.29–11.12, P=0.015) and mGPS (HR 2.21, 95% CI 1.11–4.41, P=0.024) were independently associated with cancer-specific survival. In patients with synchronous unresectable liver metastases the minimum follow-up was 6 months and 71 patients died of their cancer. On multivariate survival analysis only single liver metastasis >5 cm (HR 1.78, 95% CI 0.99–3.21, P=0.054), extra-hepatic disease (HR 2.09, 95% CI 1.05–4.17, P=0.036), chemotherapy treatment (HR 2.40, 95% CI 1.82–3.17, P<0.001) and mGPS (HR 1.44, 95% CI 1.01–2.04, P=0.043) were independently associated with cancer-specific survival. In summary, markers of the systemic inflammatory response are associated with poor outcome in patients with either primary operable or synchronous unresectable colorectal cancer. An acute-phase protein-based prognostic score, the mGPS, appears to be a superior predictor of survival compared with the cellular components of the systemic inflammatory response.

Distress reduction from a psychological intervention contributes to improved health for cancer patients

PURPOSE

Psychological interventions are efficacious in reducing emotional distress for cancer patients. However, it is not clear whether psychological improvements are, in turn, related to improved health. A clinical trial tests whether a psychological intervention for cancer patients can do so, and also tests two routes to achieve better health: (a) reducing patients' Emotional Distress, and/or (b) enhancing their functional immunity.

METHODS

Post-surgery, 227 breast cancer patients were randomized to intervention or assessment only Study Arms. Conducted in small groups, intervention sessions were offered weekly for 4 months and followed by monthly sessions for 8 months. Measures included psychological (distress), biological (immune), and health outcomes (performance status and evaluations of patient's symptomatology, including toxicity from cancer treatment, lab values) collected at baseline, 4 months, and 12 months.

RESULTS

A path model revealed that intervention participation directly improved health (p<.05) at 12 months. These effects remained when statistically controlling for baseline levels of distress, immunity, and health as well as sociodemographic, disease, and cancer treatment variables. Regarding the mechanisms for achieving better health, support was found for an indirect effect of distress reduction. That is, by specifically lowering intervention patients' distress at 4 months, their health was improved at 12 months (p<.05). Although the intervention simultaneously improved patients' T-cell blastogenesis in response to phytohemagglutinin (PHA), the latter increases were unrelated to improved health.

CONCLUSION

A convergence of biobehavioral effects and health improvements were observed. Behavioral change, rather than immunity change, was influential in achieving lower levels of symptomatology and higher functional status. Distress reduction is highlighted as an important mechanism by which health can be improved.

Effect of sertraline on symptoms and survival in patients with advanced cancer, but without major depression: a placebo-controlled double-blind randomised trial

BACKGROUND

Depression, anxiety, fatigue, and impaired wellbeing are common, important, and closely related in advanced cancer. We aimed to identify the effects of an established antidepressant on these symptoms and survival in patients with advanced cancer who did not have major depression as assessed by clinicians.

METHODS

Between July, 2001, and February, 2006, 189 patients with advanced cancer were randomly assigned sertraline 50 mg (n=95), or placebo (n=94), once per day. The primary outcome was depression as assessed by the Centre for Epidemiologic Studies Depression scale (CES-D); the main secondary outcomes were: anxiety as assessed by Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scales (HADS-A); overall quality of life and fatigue as assessed by Functional Assessment of Cancer Therapy General and Fatigue scales (FACT-G and FACT-F, respectively); and clinicians' ratings of quality of life by use of Spizter's Quality of Life Index (SQLI). Multiple measures were used for corroboration of the most important outcomes. Primary analyses were done by intention to treat and were based on scale scores at 4 weeks and 8 weeks. The benefits of sertraline compared with placebo are expressed on a range from +100 (ie, maximum benefit) to -100 (ie, maximum harm); a difference of 10 was deemed clinically significant. This clinical trial is registered at Current Controlled Trials website http://www.controlled-trials.com/ISRCTN72466475.

FINDINGS

Sertraline had no significant effect (scale, benefit over placebo [95% CI]) on depression (CES-D 0.4 [-2.6 to 3.4]), anxiety (HADS-A 2.0 [-1.5 to 5.5]), fatigue (FACT-F 0.3 [-4.3 to 4.9]), overall quality of life (FACT-G 1.7 [-1.3 to 4.7]), or clinicians' ratings (SQLI 2.0 [-2.5 to 6.5]), and the 95% CI ruled out a clinically significant benefit for all main outcomes. Sertraline was discontinued more often and earlier than was placebo (hazard ratio 1.46 [1.03-2.06], p=0.03). Recruitment was stopped after the first planned interim analysis in February 2006 (n=150) showed that survival was longer in patients assigned placebo than in patients assigned sertraline (unadjusted hazard ratio 1.60 [95% CI 1.04-2.45], log-rank p=0.04; adjusted hazard ratio 1.62 [1.06-2.41], Cox model p=0.02). However, at the final analysis in July 2006 of all patients (n=189) and with longer follow-up, survival did not differ significantly between the treatment groups (unadjusted hazard ratio 1.35 [0.95-1.91], log-rank p=0.09; adjusted hazard ratio 1.27 [0.87-1.84], Cox model p=0.20). The trial was closed because it had ruled out a significant benefit of sertraline.

INTERPRETATION

Sertraline did not improve symptoms, wellbeing, or survival in patients with advanced cancer who do not have major depression, and should be reserved for those with a proven indication.

The B12/CRP index as a simple prognostic indicator in patients with advanced cancer: a confirmatory study

BACKGROUND

The vitamin B(12)/C-reactive protein Index (BCI) has been proposed as a prognostic indicator in patients with advanced cancer. The purpose of this study was to confirm the utility of the BCI in palliative care patients.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients with advanced cancer provided a blood specimen for analysis. Demographic and disease-related variables were recorded. Patients were followed up for at least 90 days or until death.

RESULTS

Patients (n = 329) were divided into three groups according to their BCI score. Patients in group 3 (BCI >40,000; median survival 29 days) had a significantly (P < 0.01) worse survival than patients in group 2 (BCI 10,001-40,000; median survival 43 days) and patients in group 1 (BCI < or =10,000; median survival 71 days). However, patients in group 1 did not have a significantly better prognosis than those in group 2 (P = 0.091). The point estimates for 90-day mortality for each of the three risk groups were different from the figures previously reported during the development phase of the BCI (group 1, 58.9% versus 47.2%; group 2, 64.0 versus 72.5%; group 3, 78.9% versus 90.6%).

CONCLUSIONS

An elevated BCI (>40,000) predicts poor survival in patients with advanced cancer.

Survival Prediction in Terminally Ill Cancer Patients by Clinical Estimates, Laboratory Tests, and Self-Rated Anxiety and Depression

Purpose

To study how survival of palliative cancer patients relates to subjective prediction of survival, objective prognostic factors (PFs), and individual psychological coping.

Patients and Methods

Survival was estimated according to three categories (< 1 month, 1 to 6 months, and > 6 months) by two physicians (A and B) and the institutional tumor board (C) for 216 patients recently referred for palliative radiotherapy. After 6 months, the accuracy of these estimates was assessed. The prognostic relevance of clinical symptoms, performance status, laboratory tests, and self-reported emotional distress (Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale) was investigated.

Results

In 61%, 55%, and 63% of the patients, prognoses were correctly estimated by A, B, and C, respectively. κ statistic showed fair agreement of the estimates, which proved to be overly optimistic. Accuracy of the three estimates did not improve with increasing professional experience. In particular, the survival of 96%, 71%, and 87% of patients who died in less than 1 month was overestimated by A, B, and C, respectively. On univariate analysis, 11 of 27 parameters significantly affected survival, namely performance status, primary cancer, fatigue, dyspnea, use of strong analgesics, brain metastases, leukocytosis, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), depression, and anxiety. On multivariate analysis, colorectal and breast cancer had a favorable prognosis, whereas brain metastases, Karnofsky performance status less than 50%, strong analgesics, dyspnea, LDH, and leukocytosis were associated with a poor prognosis.

Conclusion

This study revealed that physicians' survival estimates were unreliable, especially in the case of patients near death. Self-reported emotional distress and objective PFs may improve the accuracy of survival estimates.

The palliative prognostic score and survival in patients with advanced solid tumors receiving chemotherapy

PURPOSE

To evaluate the accuracy of the Palliative Prognostic Score (PaP score) in selecting metastatic gastrointestinal or nonsmall-cell lung cancer patients candidate to palliative chemotherapy.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The PaP score was calculated in 173 patients with advanced, pretreated gastrointestinal or nonsmall-cell lung cancer before starting a further line of chemotherapy with palliative aim. Symptom distress score was calculated using the Edmonton Symptom Assessment System (ESAS) before every course of chemotherapy. Univariate analysis of survival was performed using the logrank test; multivariate analysis was performed using the Cox regression model. Symptom distress scores were compared using multivariate analysis of variance test for repeated measures, and overall symptom distress score was compared using analysis of variance test for repeated measures.

RESULTS

Overall median survival was 26 weeks; in PaP score class A it was 32 weeks, and in class B 8 weeks (p < 0.0001). No patient was classified in class C. The two-class PaP score resulted in an independent prognostic factor (p = 0.022), as well as Karnofsky performance status (p = 0.002) and colorectal cancer (p = 0.017). A trend towards worsening of symptom distress was observed in the entire population and in class A. The high number of missed data did not permit an adequate analysis in class B.

CONCLUSIONS

The PaP score seems to discriminate patients who could benefit by palliative chemotherapy from those who could better benefit by supportive and palliative approach. However, the data are insufficient to validate the use of the PaP score in patients to be treated with palliative chemotherapy, and further trials should be planned to assess its ability to improve the quality of care in oncology and the appropriateness in the choice of palliative chemotherapy.

Pronóstico de supervivencia en el cáncer avanzado

Accurate prognoses are important in the care of patients with advanced cancer to assist clinicians in their decision making, and to help patients set their goals and priorities. Several studies have demonstrated that doctors are inaccurate and overly optimistic when predicting the survival of patients with advanced and terminal cancer. To improve prognostic accuracy, clinicians can use a number of factors that have proven to be associated with life expectancy: performance status, some signs and symptoms and some laboratory markers. Prognostic scores including most of the factors are also developed. Patients and their families can benefit from realistic prognostic information in a simple and empathetic manner.

A process to facilitate decision making in pediatric stem cell transplantation: the individualized care planning and coordination model

Providers of care for children undergoing stem cell transplantation (SCT) skillfully combine the roles of scientist and clinician. As scientists, they apply scientific methods and disease theory in the creation and testing of new therapies and in the careful observation and exploration of treatment outcomes. As clinicians, they are capable of intuitively delivering care in a patient- and family-centered context of meaning and life values. The specialty of SCT has inherent aspects that make treatment decision making complex and potentially contentious. Having a strategy ready to implement in advance or at the time when treatment decisions need to be made will facilitate and enhance the decision making process for both the health care team and family members. Here we introduce the individualized care planning and coordination (ICPC) model as a practical approach to facilitate ethical and effective decision making in pediatric SCT settings. The ICPC is a 3-step model comprising (1) relationship--understanding the illness experience from the perspective of the patient and family, sharing relevant information, and assessing ongoing needs; (2) negotiation--prognosticating, establishing goals of care, and discussing treatment options; and (3) plan--generating a comprehensive plan of care that includes life and medical plans. Based on a foundation of a care of competence, empathy, compassion, communication, and quality, the ICPC model aims to diminish contentious family-staff interactions that can lead to mistrust and help guide treatment decision making. The ICPC model enhances communication among patients, families, and clinicians by revealing patient and family values and medical and quality-of-life priorities before reaching or even during critical decision points in the transplantation process.

The Prognostic Value of Measuring Health-Related Quality of Life in Hospice Patients

PURPOSE

Better prognostic instruments are sorely needed for patients near the end of life. Health-related quality of life instruments designed for hospice patients have not been previously studied for their prognostic properties. This study evaluated the prognostic property of the Missoula-Vitas Quality of Life Index (MVQOLI) with hospice patients.

METHODS

A prospective, cross-sectional cohort design included all consecutive patients admitted to a hospice over a 19-month period. At admission to hospice, patients were asked to complete an MVQOLI. In addition, hospice nurses completed three functional status instruments. All patients were followed until death, study closure, or loss to follow-up.

RESULTS

The sample included 1047 patients, but only 231 (22%) were able to complete an MVQOLI at admission. Functional status data were collected on nearly all of the patients. The Karnofsky performance score, modified activity of daily living score, and descriptive symptom score were significantly associated with survival time. Using Cox regression models these functional status assessments were strongly associated with survival time (p<0.001). However, the MVQOLI scores were not significantly associated with survival time, except for the function subscale (p=0.045).

CONCLUSION

The MVQOLI global, total, and four of the five weighted-domain baseline scores were not associated with survival time in hospice patients. Other methods for prognostication at the end of life are needed.

Evaluation of the relationship between the systemic inflammatory response and cancer-specific survival in patients with primary operable breast cancer

The relationship between the systemic inflammatory response (as evidenced by elevated C-reactive protein and lowered albumin concentrations), clinico-pathologic status and relapse-free, cancer-specific and overall survival was examined in patients with invasive primary operable breast cancer (n=300). The median follow-up of the survivors was 46 months. During this period, 37 patients relapsed and 25 died of their cancer. On multivariate analysis, only tumour size (P<0.05), albumin (P<0.01) and systemic treatment (P<0.0001) were significant independent predictors of relapse-free, cancer-specific and overall survival. Lower serum albumin concentrations (<or=43 g l(-1)) were associated with deprivation (P<0.05), hormonal receptor negative tumours (P<0.01) and significantly poorer 3-year relapse-free (85 vs 93%, P=0.001) cancer-specific (87 vs 97%, P<0.0001) and overall survival (84 vs 94%, P=0.001) rates. The results of the present study suggest that lower preoperative albumin concentrations, but not elevated C-reactive protein concentrations, predict relapse-free, cancer-specific and overall survival, independent of clinico-pathologic status and treatment in patients undergoing potentially curative surgery for primary operable breast cancer.

Palliative Sedation Therapy in the Last Weeks of Life: A Literature Review and Recommendations for Standards

PURPOSE

Palliative sedation therapy (PST) is a controversial issue. There is a need for internationally accepted definitions and standards.

METHODS

A systematic review of the literature was performed by an international panel of 29 palliative care experts. Draft papers were written on various topics concerning PST. This paper is a summary of the individual papers, written after two meetings and extensive e-mail discussions.

RESULTS

PST is defined as the use of specific sedative medications to relieve intolerable suffering from refractory symptoms by a reduction in patient consciousness, using appropriate drugs carefully titrated to the cessation of symptoms. The initial dose of sedatives should usually be small enough to maintain the patients' ability to communicate periodically. The team looking after the patient should have enough expertise and experience to judge the symptom as refractory. Advice from palliative care specialists is strongly recommended before initiating PST. In the case of continuous and deep PST, the disease should be irreversible and advanced, with death expected within hours to days. Midazolam should be considered first-line choice. The decision whether or not to withhold or withdraw hydration should be discussed separately. Hydration should be offered only if it is considered likely that the benefit will outweigh the harm. PST is distinct from euthanasia because (1) it has the intent to provide symptom relief, (2) it is a proportionate intervention, and (3) the death of the patient is not a criterion for success. PST and its outcome should be carefully monitored and documented.

CONCLUSION

When other treatments fail to relieve suffering in the imminently dying patient, PST is a valid palliative care option.

Evaluation of nutritional and inflammatory status of advanced colorectal cancer patients and its correlation with survival

The purpose of this study was to evaluate novel inflammatory and nutritional prognostic factors in patients with advanced colorectal cancer (ACRC). All ACRC patients attending the clinic for palliative treatment were eligible for study. Demographics, including performance status (PS), C-reactive protein (CRP), albumin (Alb), Glasgow prognostic score (GPS), weight, weight history, body mass index (BMI), and nutritional status using the patient-generated subjective global assessment (PGSGA), were collected and correlated with survival. At a median follow-up of 29.8 mo, with a minimum follow-up of 15.7 mo, the median survival was 9.9 mo (0.8-21.8 mo). Fifteen (29%) patients were newly diagnosed (stage IV colorectal cancer), and 36 (71%) had received prior chemotherapy. Although the median BMI was 27 kg/m2 (range = 17-41 kg/m2), 28 of 50 (56%) were nutritionally at risk. In fact, 19 patients (38%) were critically in need of nutrition intervention (PGSGA score of > or =9). Thirty-three of 48 patients (69%) had an elevated CRP (>10 mg/l with a median of 21.1 mg/L), and 7 patients (15%) had both a CRP of >10 mg/l and hypoalbuminemia (< 35 g/l). A significant positive correlation was found between PGSGA score and CRP (P = 0.003; r = 0.430). Using univariate analysis, significantly worse survival was found for patients with poorer PS (P = 0.001), high GPS (P = 0.04), low Alb (P = 0.017), elevated serum alkaline phosphatase (SAP; P = 0.018), PGSGA score of > 9 (P = 0.001), and PGSGA group B/C (P = 0.02). Using the Cox proportional hazard model for multivariate survival analysis, type of treatment (hazard ratio, HR = 1.48; 95% confidence interval, CI = 1.11-1.79; P = 0.005), PS (HR = 2.37; 95% CI = 1.11-5.09; P = 0.026), GPS (HR = 2.27; 95% CI = 1.09-4.73; P = 0.028), and SAP (HR = 0.44; 95% CI = 0.18-1.07; P =0.069) remained significant predictors of survival. These preliminary data suggest that the type of treatment, PS, GPS, and SAP are important predictors of survival in ACRC.

Evaluation of an inflammation-based prognostic score in patients with metastatic renal cancer

BACKGROUND

Recently, it was shown that an inflammation-based prognostic score, the Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS), provides additional prognostic information in patients with advanced cancer. The objective of the current study was to examine the value of the GPS compared with established scoring systems in predicting cancer-specific survival in patients with metastatic renal cancer.

METHODS

One hundred nineteen patients who underwent immunotherapy for metastatic renal cancer were recruited. The Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center (MSKCC) score and the Metastatic Renal Carcinoma Comprehensive Prognostic System (MRCCPS) score were calculated as described previously. Patients who had both an elevated C-reactive protein level (>10 mg/L) and hypoalbuminemia (<35 g/L) were allocated a GPS of 2. Patients who had only 1 of those 2 biochemical abnormalities were allocated a GPS of 1. Patients who had neither abnormality were allocated a GPS of 0.

RESULTS

On multivariate analysis of significant individual factors, only calcium (hazard ratio [HR], 3.21; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.51-6.83; P = .002), white cell count (HR, 1.66; 95% CI, 1.17-2.35; P = .004), albumin (HR, 2.63; 95% CI, 1.38-5.03; P = .003), and C-reactive protein (HR, 2.85; 95% CI; 1.49-5.45; P = .002) were associated independently with cancer-specific survival. On multivariate analysis of the different scoring systems, the MSKCC (HR, 1.88; 95% CI, 1.22-2.88; P = .004), the MRCCPS (HR, 1.42; 95% CI, 0.97-2.09; P = .071), and the GPS (HR, 2.35; 95% CI, 1.51-3.67; P < .001) were associated independently with cancer-specific survival.

CONCLUSIONS

An inflammation-based prognostic score (GPS) predicted survival independent of established scoring systems in patients with metastatic renal cancer.

Low serum albumin levels and liver metastasis are powerful prognostic markers for survival in patients with carcinomas of unknown primary site

BACKGROUND

The authors investigated how lymphopenia and low serum albumin levels correlate with the prognosis of patients with carcinoma of unknown primary (CUP).

METHODS

Univariate and multivariate prognostic factor analyses were conducted in a population of 317 consecutive patients with CUP who were evaluated at the Cross Cancer Institute of Edmonton, Alberta, Canada, from 1998 to 2004.

RESULTS

The results from multivariate analysis showed that patients who had a performance status >/=2 (using the World Health Organization scale), a high overall comorbidity score (on the Adult Comorbidity Evaluation 27), liver metastasis, elevated serum lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) levels, lymphopenia (defined as an absolute lymphocyte count >/=0.7 x 10(9)/L), and low serum albumin levels had a worse prognosis. Based on the observation that the presence of liver metastasis and low serum albumin levels were the most powerful adverse prognostic factors, a classification scheme was delineated that took those 2 variables into account. A group of good-risk patients (no liver metastasis and normal serum albumin levels) and a group of poor-risk patients (liver metastasis and/or low serum albumin levels) were identified with median survivals of 371 days and 103 days, respectively (P < .0001). This classification was validated further in an independent data set of 124 patients who were evaluated at 2 French cancer centers: Among those patients, the median survival was 378 days in the good-risk group and 90 days in the poor-risk group (P < .0001). The new prognostic model substantially outperformed the previous standard prognostic model, which was based on performance status and serum LDH levels.

CONCLUSIONS

Lymphopenia and low serum albumin levels were identified as 2 new independent markers of prognosis in patients with CUP. Although the authors confirmed the validity of the previous prognostic model, they developed and validated a more powerful, simple model based on the 2 most powerful adverse prognostic factors: liver metastasis and low serum albumin levels. These findings were confirmed in an independent cohort of patients with CUP, and consideration of the authors' improved prognostic model for survival of patients with CUP is warranted.

Methodological and structural challenges in palliative care research: how have we fared in the last decades?

The heterogeneity of the palliative care population represents challenges to research methodology, including study design, informed consent (and ethical issues in general), assessment and classification of symptoms and signs, as well as practical issues in the clinic. The aim of this report is to describe and examine the status of palliative care research in Europe by means of a survey and a literature review. Only one European country, the UK, has taken a national initiative to stimulate and promote palliative care research through the supportive and palliative care collaboratives (SUPAC) in 2005. There are few European research groups in palliative care reaching a critical size, several countries do not have academic chairs in palliative care, and there is no clear trend that chairs are emerging in general. There is little public funding for palliative care research. Palliative care researchers need to compete on the 'open market' or rely on private foundations. There has been a steady increase in the number of abstracts for presentation at the EAPC Research Forums, from 200 in 2000, to 480 in 2006. The literature review indicated that the majority of publications are surveys and descriptive/observational studies, and few randomised, controlled, studies were published. In conclusion, the quantity of research seems to be steadily increasing. There may be a need for larger multi-centre studies, and in order to perform such studies, national and international structures, encompassing research above the critical size, with a multi-disciplinary background including both basic scientists and clinicians is required.

Predicting prognosis in patients with advanced cancer

BACKGROUND

Patients with advanced cancer and their carers frequently wish to know how long they can expect to live. Improved prognostication would enable patients and their carers to be better prepared for their impending death, and would allow clinicians to make better informed decisions about place of care. However, clinician estimates of survival are inaccurate and systematically overoptimistic. Recently, attempts have been made to improve upon clinician estimates of survival by devising prognostic scales incorporating clinical information with biochemical and haematological results.

DESIGN

A descriptive and critical review of palliative prognostic scales, on the basis of the recommendations of the European Association of Palliative Care prognosis working group (2005) supplemented by an Ovid Medline search 1966-March 2006 using the key words 'prognosis', 'neoplasms', 'palliative care' and 'terminal care'.

RESULTS

This paper reviews the advantages and limitations of the palliative prognostic score, the palliative prognostic index, the Chuang prognostic scale, the terminal cancer prognostic score and the poor prognostic indicator.

CONCLUSIONS

All the currently available prognostic scales have limitations, but nonetheless offer an improvement on unadjusted clinician estimates of survival. Further research is required to systematically develop a prognostic scale on the basis of all the known prognostic variables in patients with advanced cancer.

The relationship between the systemic inflammatory response, tumour proliferative activity, T-lymphocytic infiltration and COX-2 expression and survival in patients with transitional cell carcinoma of the urinary bladder

The relationship between the systemic inflammatory response, tumour proliferative activity, T-lymphocytic infiltration, and COX-2 expression and survival was examined in patients with transitional cell carcinoma of the urinary bladder (n=103). Sixty-one patients had superficial disease and 42 patients had invasive disease. Cancer-specific survival was shorter in those patients with invasive compared with superficial bladder cancer (P<0.001). On univariate analysis, stratified by stage, increased Ki-67 labelling index (P<0.05), increased COX-2 expression (P<0.05), C-reactive protein (P<0.05) and adjuvant therapy (P<0.01) were associated with poorer cancer-specific survival. On multivariate analysis of these significant factors, stratified by stage, only C-reactive protein (HR 2.89, 95% CI 1.42–5.91, P=0.004) and adjuvant therapy (HR 0.29, 95% CI 0.14–0.62, P=0.001) were independently associated with poorer cancer-specific survival. These results would suggest that tumour-based factors such as grade, COX-2 expression or T-lymphocytic infiltration are subordinate to systemic factors such as C-reactive protein in determining survival in patients with transitional cell carcinoma of the urinary bladder.

Biomarkers in the diagnosis of Alzheimer's disease: are we ready?

Although clinical manifestations of cognitive dysfunction and impairments of activities of daily living are the current standard measures for the diagnosis of Alzheimer's disease, biomarkers are receiving increasing attention in research centers as possible early diagnostic measures or as surrogate measures of the ongoing pathology. In preparation for the upcoming development of the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (5th ed; DSM-V) nosology, the American Psychiatric Association has sponsored an effort to reassess the current approaches to diagnosis in dementia in general and Alzheimer's disease in particular. This article focuses on the potential use of biomarkers in the diagnosis of Alzheimer's disease, in the monitoring of mild cognitive impairment, and as possible prognostic markers in normal controls at risk for dementia. Most advanced information is available with the biomarkers found in the cerebrospinal fluid, but there are many other potential biomarkers using blood, brain imaging, or a combination. The current biomarker approaches to diagnosis are reviewed along with a special emphasis on near-term recommendations and further research directions.

An elevated C-reactive protein concentration, prior to surgery, predicts poor cancer-specific survival in patients undergoing resection for gastro-oesophageal cancer

There is increasing evidence that the presence of an ongoing systemic inflammatory response is associated with poor outcome in patients undergoing resection for a variety of tumours. The aim of the present study was to examine the relationship between clinico-pathological status, preoperative C-reactive protein concentration and cancer-specific survival in patients undergoing resection for gastro-oesophageal cancer. One hundred and twenty patients attending the upper gastrointestinal surgical unit in the Royal Infirmary, Glasgow, who were selected for potentially curative surgery, were included in the study. Laboratory measurements of haemoglobin, white cell, lymphocyte and platelet counts, albumin and C-reactive protein were carried out at the time of diagnosis. All patients underwent en-bloc resection with lymphadenectomy and survived at least 30 days following surgery. On multivariate analysis, only the positive to total lymph node ratio (hazard ratio (HR) 2.02, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.44–2.84, P<0.001) and preoperative C-reactive protein concentration (HR 3.53, 95% CI 1.88–6.64, P<0.001) were independent predictors of cancer-specific survival. The patient group with no evidence of a preoperative systemic inflammatory response (C-reactive protein ⩽10 mg l⁻¹) had a median survival of 79 months compared with 19 months in the elevated systemic inflammatory response group (P<0.001). The results of the present study indicate that in patients selected to undergo potentially curative resection for gastro-oesophageal cancer, the presence of an elevated preoperative C-reactive protein concentration is an independent predictor of poor cancer-specific survival.

Systemic Inflammatory Response, Prostate-Specific Antigen and Survival in Patients with Metastatic Prostate Cancer

BACKGROUND

It is increasingly recognised that, in cancer patients, disease progression is dependent on a complex interaction of the tumour and the host inflammatory response and that the systemic inflammatory response, as evidenced by an elevated C-reactive protein (CRP) concentration, may be a useful prognostic factor.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The prognostic value of CRP compared with prostate-specific antigen (PSA) was examined in 62 patients with metastatic prostate cancer receiving androgen-deprivation therapy.

RESULTS

In all, 41 (66%) of patients died, 38 (61%) of their disease. On univariate survival analysis, PSA (p < 0.05) and CRP (p < 0.05) were significant predictors of cancer-specific survival. On multivariate analysis, both PSA (HR 1.96, 95% CI 1.00-3.83, p = 0.049) and CR (HR 1.97, 95% CI 0.99-3.92, p = 0.052) were independent predictors of cancer-specific survival. PSA concentrations were significantly correlated with those of CRP (r(s) = 0.46, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The results of the present study suggest that, in patients with metastatic prostate cancer, the presence of an elevated CRP concentration predicts poor outcome, independent of PSA.

Cancer-Associated Cachexia and Underlying Biological Mechanisms

Cancer metastases (spread to distant organs from the primary tumor site) signify systemic, progressive, and essentially incurable malignant disease. Anorexia and wasting develop continuously throughout the course of incurable cancer. Overall, in Westernized countries nearly exactly half of current cancer diagnoses end in cure and the other half end in death; thus, cancer-associated cachexia has a high prevalence. The pathophysiology of cancer-associated cachexia has two principal components: a failure of food intake and a systemic hypermetabolism/hypercatabolism syndrome. The superimposed metabolic changes result in a rate of depletion of physiological reserves of energy and protein that is greater than would be expected based on the prevailing level of food intake. These features indicate a need for nutritional support, metabolic management, and a clear appreciation of the context of life-limiting illness.

Evaluation of an inflammation-based prognostic score in patients with inoperable gastro-oesophageal cancer

There is increasing evidence that the presence of an ongoing systemic inflammatory response is associated with poor outcome in patients with advanced cancer. The aim of the present study was to examine whether an inflammation-based prognostic score (Glasgow Prognostic score, GPS) was associated with survival, in patients with inoperable gastro-oesophageal cancer. Patients diagnosed with inoperable gastro-oesophageal carcinoma and who had measurement of albumin and C-reactive protein concentrations, at the time of diagnosis, were studied (n=258). Clinical information was obtained from a gastro-oesophageal cancer database and analysis of the case notes. Patients with both an elevated C-reactive protein (>10 mg l(-1)) and hypoalbuminaemia (<35 g l(-1)) were allocated a GPS score of 2. Patients in whom only one of these biochemical abnormalities was present were allocated a GPS score of 1, and patients with a normal C-reactive protein and albumin were allocated a score of 0. On multivariate survival analysis, age (hazard ratio (HR) 1.22, 95% CI 1.02-1.46, P<0.05), stage (HR 1.55, 95% CI 1.30-1.83, P<0.001), the GPS (HR 1.51, 95% CI 1.22-1.86, P<0.001) and treatment (HR 2.53, 95% CI 1.80-3.56, P<0.001) were significant independent predictors of cancer survival. A 12-month cancer-specific survival in patients with stage I/II disease receiving active treatment was 67 and 60% for a GPS of 0 and 1, respectively. For stage III/IV disease, 12 months cancer-specific survival was 57, 25 and 12% for a GPS of 0, 1 and 2, respectively. In the present study, the GPS predicted cancer-specific survival, independent of stage and treatment received, in patients with inoperable gastro-oesophageal cancer. Moreover, the GPS may be used in combination with conventional staging techniques to improve the prediction of survival in patients with inoperable gastro-oesophageal cancer.

Progressive disease in patients with cancer presenting to an emergency room with acute symptoms predicts short-term mortality

GOALS

Patients with symptomatic, advanced cancer continue to be referred late or not at all for hospice or palliative care. We conducted a retrospective cohort study to determine whether evidence of cancer progression is an independent predictor of short-term mortality in acutely symptomatic cancer patients.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We reviewed the records of 396 patients who visited the emergency center at a comprehensive cancer center in January 2000. Records were reviewed for clinical characteristics, including symptoms, type and extent of cancer, and whether the patient's cancer was stable or progressing (uncontrolled) at the time of the emergency center visit. Cox regression analysis was used to assess survival at 90 and 180 days, after controlling for patient characteristics.

MAIN RESULTS

Patients who died within 14, 90, or 180 days were more likely to have disease progression than those who did not. Dyspnea on emergency center presentation and disease progression were independent predictors of death within 90 or 180 days, after controlling for patient age, symptoms, signs, and the presence of metastases. The odds ratios for death within 90 and 180 days were 3.97 and 4.34, respectively (95% confidence intervals: 1.44, 10.94 and 1.87, 10.09).

CONCLUSION

Cancer disease progression is a clinical measure of increased risk of short-term mortality in acutely symptomatic cancer patients. Future studies should examine whether the use of this characteristic enhances identification of patients who could benefit from timely referral to hospice or palliative care. Symptomatic cancer patients presenting to a cancer center emergency room were more likely to die within 14, 90, or 180 days if they had evidence of recent progression of their cancer. Among patients with disease progression, 47% died within 90 days and 61% within 180 days.

Evaluation of an inflammation-based prognostic score (GPS) in patients with metastatic breast cancer

Prediction of outcome in patients with metastatic breast cancer remains problematical. The present study evaluated the value of an inflammation-based score (Glasgow Prognostic Score, GPS) in patients with metastatic breast cancer. The GPS was constructed as follows: patients with both an elevated C-reactive protein (>10 mg l(-1)) and hypoalbuminaemia (<35 g l(-1)) were allocated a score of 2. Patients in whom only one or none of these biochemical abnormalities was present were allocated a score of 1 or 0, respectively. In total, 96 patients were studied. During follow-up 51 patients died of their cancer. On multivariate analysis of the GPS and treatment received, only the GPS (HR 2.26, 95% CI 1.45-3.52, P<0.001) remained significantly associated with cancer-specific survival. The presence of a systemic inflammatory response (the GPS) appears to be a useful indicator of poor outcome independent of treatment in patients with metastatic breast cancer.

Cultural aspects of communication in cancer care

Cancer is increasing in incidence and prevalence worldwide, and the WHO has recently included cancer and its treatments as a health priority in developed and developing countries. The cultural diversity of oncology patients is bound to increase, and cultural sensitivity and competence are now required of all oncology professionals. A culturally competent cancer care leads to improved therapeutic outcome and it may decrease disparities in medical care. Cultural competence in medicine is a complex multilayered accomplishment, requiring knowledge, skills and attitudes whose acquisition is needed for effective cross-cultural negotiation in the clinical setting. Effective cultural competence is based on knowledge of the notion of culture; on awareness of possible biases and prejudices related to stereotyping, racism, classism, sexism; on nurturing appreciation for differences in health care values; and on fostering the attitudes of humility, empathy, curiosity, respect, sensitivity and awareness. Cultural competence in healthcare relates to individual professionals, but also to organizations and systems. A culturally competent healthcare system must consider in their separateness and yet in there reciprocal influences social, racial and cultural factors. By providing a framework of reference to interpret the external world and relate to it, culture affects patients' perceptions of disease, disability and suffering; degrees and expressions of concern about them; their responses to treatments and their relationship to individual physicians and to the healthcare system. Culture also influences the interpretation of ethical norms and principles, and especially of individual autonomy, which can be perceived either as synonymous with freedom or with isolation depending on the cultural context. This, in turn, determines the variability of truth-telling attitudes and practices worldwide as well as the different roles of family in the information and decision-making process of the cancer patient. Finally, culture affects individual views of the patient-doctor relationship in different contexts.