The ABC pathway: an integrated approach to improve AF management

Atrial fibrillation: stroke prevention

Stroke prevention is central to the management of patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) which has moved towards a more holistic or integrative care approach. The published evidence suggests that management of AF patients following such a holistic approach based on the Atrial fibrillation Better Care (ABC) pathway is associated with a lower risk of stroke and adverse events. Risk assessment, re-assessment and use of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) are important for stroke prevention in AF. The stroke and bleeding risks of AF patients are not static and should be re-assessed regularly. Bleeding risk assessment is to address and mitigate modifiable bleeding risk factors, and to identify high bleeding risk patients for early review and follow-up. Well-controlled comorbidities and healthy lifestyles also play an important role to achieve a better clinical outcome. Digital health solutions are increasingly relevant in the diagnosis and management of patients with AF, with the potential to improve stroke prevention. In this review, we provide an update on stroke prevention in AF, including importance of holistic management, risk assessment/re-assessment, and stroke prevention for special AF populations. Evidence-based and structured management of AF patients would reduce the risk of stroke and other adverse events.

Adherence to the Atrial fibrillation Better Care pathway and the risk of adverse health outcomes in older care home residents with atrial fibrillation: a retrospective data linkage study 2003-18

BACKGROUND

The Atrial fibrillation Better Care (ABC) pathway is the gold-standard approach to atrial fibrillation (AF) management, but the effect of implementation on health outcomes in care home residents is unknown.

OBJECTIVE

To examine associations between ABC pathway adherence and stroke, transient ischaemic attack, cardiovascular hospitalisation, major bleeding, mortality and a composite of all these outcomes in care home residents.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study of older care home residents (≥65 years) in Wales with AF was conducted between 1 January 2003 and 31 December 2018 using the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage Databank. Adherence to the ABC pathway was assessed at care home entry using pre-specified definitions. Cox proportional hazard and competing risk models were used to estimate the risk of health outcomes according to ABC adherence.

RESULTS

From 14,493 residents (median [interquartile range] age 87.0 [82.6-91.2] years, 35.2% male) with AF, 5,531 (38.2%) were ABC pathway adherent. Pathway adherence was not significantly associated with risk of the composite outcome (adjusted hazard ratio, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.01 [0.97-1.05]). There was a significant independent association observed between ABC pathway adherence and a reduced risk of myocardial infarction (0.70 [0.50-0.98]), but a higher risk of haemorrhagic stroke (1.59 [1.06-2.39]). ABC pathway adherence was not significantly associated with any other individual health outcomes examined.

CONCLUSION

An ABC adherent approach in care home residents was not consistently associated with improved health outcomes. Findings should be interpreted with caution owing to difficulties in defining pathway adherence using routinely collected data and an individualised approach is recommended.

Atrial fibrillation: better symptom control with rate and rhythm management

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is often associated with limiting symptoms, and with significant impairment in quality of life. As such, treatment strategies aimed at symptom control form an important pillar of AF management. Such treatments include a wide variety of drugs and interventions, including, increasingly, catheter ablation. These strategies can be utilised either singly or in combination, to improve and restore quality of life for patients, and this review covers the current evidence base underpinning their use. In this Review, we discuss the pros and cons of rate vs. rhythm control, while offering practical tips to non-specialists on how to utilise various treatments and counsel patients about all relevant treatment options. These include antiarrhythmic and rate control medications, as well as interventions such as cardioversion, catheter ablation, and pace-and-ablate.

Neuroticism and the Risk of Atrial Fibrillation: An Observational Epidemiologic and Mendelian Randomization Study

Background

The association between neuroticism and atrial fibrillation (AF) remains unknown.

Objectives

This study aimed to assess the epidemiological and causal relationships between neuroticism and AF.

Methods

Individuals without AF history were selected From the UK Biobank nationwide prospective cohort study. Participants were divided into 2 groups (high and low) based on the median summary score from a self-questionnaire of 12 neurotic behavior domains. The 10-year AF risk was compared between the neuroticism score groups using inverse probability of treatment weighting. The causal relationship between neuroticism and AF was evaluated using a 2-sample summary-level Mendelian randomization with the inverse variance-weighted method.

Results

Of 394,834 participants (mean age 56.3 ± 8.1 years, 45.9% male), AF occurred in 23,509 (6.0%) during a 10-year follow-up. The risk of incident AF significantly increased in the high neuroticism score group (score ≥4) (inverse probability of treatment weighting-adjusted HR: 1.05; 95% CI: 1.02-1.09; P = 0.005) compared with the low neuroticism group. In the subgroup analysis, younger age, lower body mass index, or nonsmoker/ex-smoker participants were particularly susceptible to increased AF risk due to high neuroticism scores. A Mendelian randomization analysis showed a significant causal relationship between an increase in neuroticism score and increased risk of AF (OR by inverse variance-weighted method 1.06; 95% CI: 1.02-1.11; P = 0.007) without evidence of reverse causality.

Conclusions

There was a significant longitudinal and causal relationship between neuroticism and AF. An integrated care including active mental health screening and management may benefit in high-risk populations.

Atrial fibrillation: comorbidities, lifestyle, and patient factors

Modern anticoagulation therapy has dramatically reduced the risk of stroke and systemic thromboembolism in people with atrial fibrillation (AF). However, AF still impairs quality of life, increases the risk of stroke and heart failure, and is linked to cognitive impairment. There is also a recognition of the residual risk of thromboembolic complications despite anticoagulation. Hence, AF management is evolving towards a more comprehensive understanding of risk factors predisposing to the development of this arrhythmia, its' complications and interventions to mitigate the risk. This review summarises the recent advances in understanding of risk factors for incident AF and managing these risk factors. It includes a discussion of lifestyle, somatic, psychological, and socioeconomic risk factors. The available data call for a practice shift towards a more individualised approach considering an increasingly broader range of health and patient factors contributing to AF-related health burden. The review highlights the needs of people living with co-morbidities (especially with multimorbidity), polypharmacy and the role of the changing population demographics affecting the European region and globally.

Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction and atrial fibrillation: clinical management in the context of recent therapeutic advances in heart failure and electrophysiology

Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and atrial fibrillation (AF) have emerged as major age-related epidemics within cardiology. Both conditions carry overlapping symptomatology, and delineating between AF and HFpEF from a diagnostic standpoint is challenging as echocardiographic and biomarker assessments used to diagnose HFpEF may be impacted by AF. Indeed, these two conditions are commonly found in the same individual, so much so that AF has been used in proposed diagnostic criteria for HFpEF. The frequent concomitant presence of these two conditions is associated with poorer quality of life, exertional capacity, as well as increased risk for decompensated heart failure and all-cause mortality. Though these deleterious effects of AF in HFpEF patients are well described, we currently have only a superficial understanding of the complex interplay between these two conditions. Preliminary studies on intervening in AF in HFpEF are very small, with mixed data on whether modifying the natural history of AF can lead to improvement in heart failure (HF) outcomes in HFpEF. In this review, we will describe the clinical implications of carrying both cardiovascular conditions, address recent advances in HFpEF and AF, and highlight preliminary studies targeted at reduction of effects associated with AF burden in HFpEF.

Exploring the Intricate Interplay Between Obesity and Atrial Fibrillation: Mechanisms, Management, and Clinical Implications

Atrial fibrillation (AF) stands as a prevalent and escalating cardiac arrhythmia in the United States, with obesity emerging as a prominent modifiable risk factor. This article explores the intricate relationship between obesity and AF, delving into the multifaceted pathophysiological mechanisms linking the 2 conditions. Various factors, such as autonomic dysfunction, left atrial stretch, inflammation, and hormonal imbalances, contribute to the initiation and perpetuation of AF in obese individuals. The Atrial Fibrillation Better Care pathway, emphasizing lifestyle modifications and weight loss strategies, emerges as a practical guideline for managing AF in obesity. This comprehensive review underscores the critical role of obesity as a significant modifiable risk factor for AF, urging a proactive approach to its management. Implementing the Atrial Fibrillation Better Care approach, focusing on encouraging physical activity, promoting healthy dietary habits, and raising awareness about the risks associated with obesity prove essential in preventing and mitigating the burden of AF in the obese population.

A New Player in the Game: Can Exergame Be of Support in the Management of Atrial Fibrillation?

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common form of cardiac arrhythmia, currently affecting 2-3% of the world's population. Traditional exercise and physical activity interventions have been successfully implemented in the management of AF, with the aim of improving patients' quality of life and their exercise capacity, as well as reducing their mortality rate. Currently, new technology-mediated approaches to exercise, defined as exergame, have been shown to be successful in the delivery of exercise home-based interventions in patients with cardiovascular diseases. However, data on the effects of exergame on AF are not yet available. In this paper, we summarise the current literature on the role of traditional exercise in AF and how it affects the pathophysiology of this condition. We also review the current literature on exergame and its employment in cardiac rehabilitation and suggest its potential role in the management of AF patients. A review of the evidence suggests that traditional exercise (of light-to-moderate intensity) is beneficial in patients with AF. Additionally, exergame seems to be a promising approach for delivering exercise interventions in patients with cardiovascular diseases. Exergame may be a promising tool to improve the quality of life and exercise capacity in patients with AF, with the additional advantage of being remotely delivered, and the potential to increase patients' engagement. Proper guidelines are required to prescribe exergame interventions, considering the principles of traditional exercise prescription and applying them to this new e-health approach. Further studies are needed to validate the use of exergame in patients with AF.

Pharmacist-led intervention for older people with atrial fibrillation in long-term care (PIVOTALL study): a randomised pilot and feasibility study

BACKGROUND

Older care home residents are a vulnerable group of people with atrial fibrillation (AF) at high risk of adverse health events. The Atrial Fibrillation Better Care (ABC: Avoid stroke; Better symptom management; Cardiovascular and other comorbidity management) pathway is the gold-standard approach toward integrated AF care, and pharmacists are a potential resource with regards to its' implementation. The aim of this study was to determine the feasibility of pharmacist-led medicines optimisation in care home residents, based on the ABC pathway compared to usual care.

METHODS

Individually randomised, prospective pilot and feasibility study of older (aged ≥ 65 years) care home residents with AF (ISRCTN14747952); residents randomised to ABC pathway optimised care versus usual care. The primary outcome was a description of study feasibility (resident and care home recruitment and retention). Secondary outcomes included the number and type of pharmacist medication recommendations and general practitioner (GP) implementation.

RESULTS

Twenty-one residents were recruited and 11 (mean age [standard deviation] 85.0 [6.5] years, 63.6% female) were randomised to receive pharmacist-led medicines optimisation. Only 3/11 residents were adherent to all three components of the ABC pathway. Adherence was higher to 'A' (9/11 residents) and 'B' (9/11 residents) components compared to 'C' (3/11 residents). Four ABC-specific medicines recommendations were made for three residents, and two were implemented by residents' GPs. Overall ABC adherence rates did not change after pharmacist medication review, but adherence to 'A' increased (from 9/11 to 10/11 residents). Other ABC recommendations were inappropriate given residents' co-morbidities and risk of medication-related adverse effects.

CONCLUSIONS

The ABC pathway as a framework was feasible to implement for pharmacist medication review, but most residents' medications were already optimised. Low rates of adherence to guideline-recommended therapy were a result of active decisions not to treat after assessment of the net risk-benefit.

Time in target range of systolic blood pressure and clinical outcomes in atrial fibrillation patients: results of the COOL-AF registry

We aimed to investigate the relationship between time in target range of systolic blood pressure (SBP-TTr) and clinical outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). We analyzed the results from multicenter AF registry in Thailand. Blood pressure was recorded at baseline and at every 6 monthly follow-up visit. SBP-TTr were calculated using the Rosendaal method, based on a target SBP 120-140 mmHg. The outcomes were death, ischemic stroke/systemic embolism (SSE), major bleeding, and heart failure. A total of 3355 patients were studied (mean age 67.8 years; 41.9% female). Average follow-up time was 32.1 ± 8.3 months. SBP-TTr was classified into 3 groups according to the tertiles. The incidence rates of all-cause death, SSE, major bleeding, and heart failure were 3.90 (3.51-4.34), 1.52 (1.27-1.80), 2.2 (1.90-2.53), and 2.83 (2.49-3.21) per 100 person-years, respectively. Patients in the 3rd tertile of SBP-TTr had lower rates of death, major bleeding and heart failure with adjusted hazard ratios 0.62 (0.48-0.80), p < 0.001, 0.64 (0.44-0.92), p = 0.016, and 0.61 (0.44-0.84), p = 0.003, respectively, compared to 1st SBP-TTr tertile. In conclusion, high SBP-TTr was associated with better clinical outcomes compared to other groups with lower SBP-TTr. This underscores the importance of good blood pressure control in AF patients.

Atrial fibrillation and stroke: State-of-the-art and future directions

Atrial fibrillation (AF) and stroke remain a major cause of morbidity and mortality. The two conditions shared common co-morbidities and risk factors. AF-related strokes are associated with worse clinical outcomes and higher mortality compared to non-AF-related. Early detection of AF is vital for prevention. While various scores have been developed to predict AF in such a high-risk group, they are yet to incorporated into clinical guidelines. Novel markers and predictors of AF including coronary and intracranial arterial calcification have also been studied. There are also ongoing debates on the management of acute stroke in patients with AF, and those who experienced breakthrough stroke while on oral anticoagulants. We provided an overview of the complex interplay between AF and stroke, as well as the treatment and secondary prevention of stroke in AF. We also comprehensively discussed the current evidence and the ongoing conundrums, and highlighted the future directions on the topic.

Impact of Unhealthy Lifestyles on Patients with Atrial Fibrillation at Low Risk of Stroke: A Nationwide Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

The impact of unhealthy lifestyles on clinical outcomes among patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) who are at low risk of stroke remains uncertain. The study objective was to evaluate the association between unhealthy lifestyles and clinical outcomes among low-risk AF patients with 0-1 non-sex risk factor of the CHA2DS2-VASc (Congestive heart failure, Hypertension, Age ≥75 years, Diabetes mellitus, prior Stroke or transient ischemic attack [TIA], Vascular disease, Age 65-74 years, female Sex;) score.

METHODS

A total of 52,451 low-risk AF patients (mean age 51.6 ± 10.4 years) were evaluated with the National Health Insurance Service of the Republic of Korea database between 2009 and 2016. Using the survey on health habits, an unhealthy lifestyle score (ULS) was calculated by adding one point each if a respondent had a sedentary lifestyle, drinking, or smoking. The primary outcome was the composite of myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, heart failure, and all-cause death. Multivariable Cox regression analysis was used to estimate the risk of the study outcome according to the ULS.

RESULTS

There was a total of 12,792 (24.4%), 24,785 (47.3%), 11,602 (22.1%), and 3272 (6.2%) low-risk AF patients with 0 to 3 points of the ULS, respectively. The median follow-up period was 4.1 (2.1-6.1) years. Compared with the healthiest-lifestyle group (ULS 0), the other groups were associated with significantly higher risks of the primary outcome, with a gradually increasing trend according to the ULS (adjusted hazard ratio [95% confidence interval] =1.17 [1.05-1.31], 1.37 [1.21-1.56], 1.82 [1.53-2.17], for the groups with ULS 1, 2, and 3, respectively).

CONCLUSION

Unhealthy lifestyles, including a sedentary lifestyle, drinking, and smoking, may synergistically impact poor clinical outcomes in AF patients who are deemed to be at low risk of stroke.

Potentially inappropriate prescribing in multimorbid and polymedicated older adults with AF: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

AIM

Polypharmacy in multimorbid older patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) is a risk factor for potentially inappropriate prescribing (PIP). We aimed to systematically assess the evidence on the prevalence of PIP and its impact on adverse health outcomes in this patient group.

METHODS

A systematic search of the published peer-reviewed literature describing the prevalence of PIP and/or its association with adverse health outcomes in multimorbid (AF plus one comorbidity) and polymedicated (≥ 2 drugs) adults ≥ 65 years was done up to March 2023. A meta-analysis of the prevalence of PIP of (direct) oral anticoagulants ((D)OACs) was conducted using a random-effects model. Leave-one-out analysis was performed with R (version 4.2.2) and RStudio (version 2022.12.0+353).

RESULTS

Of the 12 studies included, only one reported on the prevalence of overall PIP (65%). The meta-analysis of 10 studies assessing PIP of (D)OACs produced a pooled prevalence [95% confidence interval (CI)] of 35% [30-40%], with significant heterogeneity between the included studies (I2 95%). No statistically significant association was reported in three studies between PIP of (D)OACs, cardiovascular (CV) and all-cause mortality, hospital readmission, CV hospitalisation and stroke. Reported associations between PIP and major bleeding differed, with one study demonstrating a significant association (odds ratio 2.17; 95% CI 1.14-4.12) and the other study not showing such association.

CONCLUSION

This systematic review highlights the scarce evidence regarding the prevalence of PIP and its association with adverse health outcomes in multimorbid older adults with AF. Large, prospective and better-designed studies are needed.

Long-Term Pattern and Associated Costs of Re-hospitalisations in Patients After Index Atrial Fibrillation Admission in Western Australia, 2011-2017

AIMS

This study aimed to determine total and cardiovascular-specific re-hospitalisation patterns and associated costs within 2 years of index atrial fibrillation (AF) admission in Western Australia (WA).

METHOD

Patients aged 25-94 years, surviving an index (first-in-period) AF hospitalisation (principal diagnosis) from 2011 to 2015 were identified from WA-linked administrative data and followed for 2 years. Person-level hospitalisation costs ($ Australian dollar) were computed using the Australian Refined Diagnosis Related Groups and presented as median with first and third quartile costs.

RESULTS

The cohort comprised 17,080 patients, 59.0% men, mean age 69.6±13.3 (standard deviation) years, and 59.0% had a CHA2DS2-VA (one point for congestive heart failure, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, vascular disease or age 65-74 years; two points for prior stroke/transient ischaemic attack or age ≥75 years) score of 2 or more. Within 2 years, 13,776 patients (80.6%) were readmitted with median of 2 (1-4) readmissions. Among total all-cause readmissions (n=54,240), 40.1% were emergent and 36.6% were cardiovascular-related, led by AF (19.5%), coronary events (5.8%), and heart failure (4.2%). The median index AF admission cost was $3,264 ($2,899-$7,649) while cardiovascular readmission costs were higher, particularly stroke ($10,732 [$4,179-23,390]), AF ablation ($7,884 [$5,283-$8,878]), and heart failure ($6,759 [$6,081-$13,146]). Average readmission costs over 2 years per person increased by $4,746 (95% confidence interval [CI] $4,459-$5,033) per unit increase in baseline CHA2DS2-VA score. The average 2-year hospitalisation costs per patient, including index admission, was $27,820 (95% CI $27,308-$28,333) and total WA costs were $475.2 million between 2011 and 2017.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients after index AF hospitalisation have a high risk of cardiovascular and other readmissions with considerable healthcare cost implications. Readmission costs increased progressively with baseline CHA2DS2-VA score. Better integrated management of AF and coexistent comorbidities is likely key to reducing readmissions and associated costs.

Non-vitamin K Antagonist Oral Anticoagulant, Warfarin, and ABC Pathway Adherence on Hierarchical Outcomes: Win Ratio Analysis of the COOL-AF Registry

BACKGROUND

 Atrial fibrillation (AF) Better Care (ABC) pathway adherence is associated with improved outcomes. Clinical trials have shown that non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) are as least as effective as warfarin for stroke prevention in AF patients. The Win Ratio method, analyzing hierarchical composite outcomes considering event timing and severity, has limited data on its use in Asians.

OBJECTIVES

 We aim to apply Win Ratio in a registry to access the comparative effectiveness of NOACs versus warfarin and ABC adherence versus nonadherence in Asian patients with AF.

METHODS

 Our study included nonvalvular AF patients from the nationwide prospective COOL-AF registry in Thailand. The NOAC-treated group was compared with the warfarin-treated group using the Win Ratio, with the following order: all-cause death, intracranial hemorrhage (ICH), ischemic stroke/transient ischemic attack/systemic embolism, non-ICH major bleeding, and myocardial infarction or heart failure. ABC pathway adherence versus nonadherence was also compared. A Win Ratio greater than 1.00 indicating a better outcome.

RESULTS

 The analysis included 2,568 patients, with 228 in the NOAC group and 2,340 in the warfarin group. The NOAC group had more wins than the warfarin group, with an unmatched Win Ratio of 1.64 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.22-2.20; p < 0.001). When compared with nonadherence, ABC pathway adherence was associated with a Win Ratio of 1.57 (95% CI: 1.33-1.85; p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

 This Win Ratio analysis demonstrates the significant benefits of NOACs over warfarin and ABC pathway adherence over nonadherence in reducing the composite outcome in patients with AF.

Cardiac and renal outcomes of direct oral anticoagulants in patients with atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Oral anticoagulation therapy with warfarin or direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) is the mainstay for stroke prevention in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (AF). The DOACs might have a lower risk of declining renal function than warfarin. This study aimed to compare renal outcomes among rivaroxaban, edoxaban, dabigatran, and warfarin.

METHOD

This cohort study identified 2203 adults with AF who started anticoagulation therapy between 1 July 2013 and 31 December 2020, in a clinical database at a single centre. Inverse probability of treatment weighting was adopted to balance baseline characteristics among four anticoagulants treatment groups. The primary outcome was a composite of cardiac and renal outcomes, involving a ≥30% decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), renal failure and cardiovascular death.

RESULTS

After propensity score weighting, dabigatran was associated with significantly lower risks of a ≥30% decline in eGFR (hazard ratio [HR]: .69, 95% confidence interval [CI]: .497-.951, p = .0237), doubling of the serum creatinine level (HR: .49, 95% CI: .259-.927, p = .0282) and the cardiac and renal outcome composite (HR: .67, 95% CI: .485-.913, p = .0115) than warfarin. Rivaroxaban and edoxaban did not show significant protective effects on renal outcomes compared to warfarin.

CONCLUSION

In this study, patients treated with dabigatran had significantly reduced risks of declining renal function and composite cardiac and renal events than those treated with warfarin. However, rivaroxaban and edoxaban were not associated with lower risks of any renal outcomes than warfarin. More studies are warranted to investigate and compare the impact of renal function between different DOACs in patients with AF.

Validating the predictive ability of the 2MACE score for major adverse cardiovascular events in patients with atrial fibrillation: results from phase II/III of the GLORIA-AF registry

The 2MACE score was specifically developed as a risk-stratification tool in atrial fibrillation (AF) to predict cardiovascular outcomes. We evaluated the predictive ability of the 2MACE score in the GLORIA-AF registry. All eligible patients from phase II/III of the prospective global GLORIA-AF registry were included. Major adverse cardiac events (MACEs) were defined as the composite outcome of stroke, myocardial infarction and cardiovascular death. Cox proportional hazards were used to examine the relationship between the 2MACE score and study outcomes. Predictive capability of the 2MACE score was investigated using receiver-operating characteristic curves. A total of 25,696 patients were included (mean age 71 years, female 44.9%). Over 3 years, 1583 MACEs were recorded. Patients who had MACE were older, with more cardiovascular risk factors and were less likely to be managed using a rhythm-control strategy. The median 2MACE score in the MACE and non-MACE groups were 2 (IQR 1-3) and 1 (IQR 0-2), respectively (p < 0.001). The 2MACE score was positively associated with an increase in the risk of MACE, with a score of ≥ 2 providing the best combination of sensitivity (69.6%) and specificity (51.6%), HR 2.47 (95% CI, 2.21-2.77). The 2MACE score had modest predictive performance for MACE in patients with AF (AUC 0.655 (95% CI, 0.641-0.669)). Our analysis in this prospective global registry demonstrates that the 2MACE score can adequately predict the risk of MACE (defined as myocardial infarction, CV death and stroke) in patients with AF. Clinical trial registration: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov . Unique identifiers: NCT01468701, NCT01671007 and NCT01937377.

Generalisability of and lessons learned from a mixed-methods study conducted in three low- and middle-income countries to identify care pathways for atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Identifying existing care pathways is the first step for understanding how services can be improved to enable early diagnosis and effective follow-up care for non-communicable diseases (NCDs); however, evidence on how care pathways can and should be identified in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) is lacking.

OBJECTIVE

To describe generalisability and lessons learned from recruitment and data collection for the quantitative component of a mixed methods study designed to determine the care pathway for atrial fibrillation (AF) in Brazil, China and Sri Lanka.

METHODS

Adults (≥18 years) that spoke the local language and with an AF diagnosis were eligible. We excluded anyone with a hearing or cognitive impairment or ineligible address. Eligible participants were identified using electronic records in Brazil and China; in Sri Lanka, researchers attended the outpatient clinics to identify eligible participants. Data were collected using two quantitative questionnaires administered at least 2-months apart. A minimum sample size of 238 was required for each country.

RESULTS

The required sample size was met in Brazil (n = 267) and China (n = 298), but a large proportion of AF patients could not be contacted (47% and 27%, respectively) or refused to participate (36% and 38%, respectively). In Sri Lanka, recruitment was challenging, resulting in a reduced sample (n = 151). Mean age of participants from Brazil, China and Sri Lanka was 69 (SD = 11.3), 65 (SD = 12.8) and 58 (SD = 11.7), respectively. Females accounted for 49% of the Brazil sample, 62% in China and 70% in Sri Lanka.

CONCLUSIONS

Generalisability was an issue in Brazil and China, as was selection bias. Recruitment bias was highlighted in Sri Lanka. Additional or alternative recruitment methods may be required to ensure generalisability and reduce bias in future studies aimed at identifying NCD care pathways in LMICs.

Direct Oral Anticoagulants in Special Patient Populations

Anticoagulants are a cornerstone of treatment in atrial fibrillation. Nowadays, direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) are extensively used for this condition in developed countries. However, DOAC treatment may be inappropriate in certain patient populations, such as: patients with chronic kidney disease in whom DOAC concentrations may be dangerously elevated; frail elderly patients with an increased risk of falls; patients with significant drug-drug interactions (DDI) affecting either DOAC concentration or effect; patients at the extremes of body mass in whom an "abnormal" volume of distribution may result in inappropriate drug concentrations; patients with recurrent stroke reflecting an unusually high thromboembolic tendency; and, lastly, patients who experience major hemorrhage on an anticoagulant and in whom continued anticoagulation is deemed necessary. Herein we provide a fictional case-based approach to review the recommendations for the use of DOACs in these special patient populations.

Impact of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in patients with atrial fibrillation: an analysis from the GLORIA-AF registry

AIMS

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) may influence management and prognosis of atrial fibrillation (AF), but this relationship has been scarcely explored in contemporary global cohorts. We aimed to investigate the association between AF and COPD, in relation to treatment patterns and major outcomes.

METHODS AND RESULTS

From the prospective, global GLORIA-AF registry, we analysed factors associated with COPD diagnosis, as well as treatment patterns and risk of major outcomes in relation to COPD. The primary outcome was the composite of all-cause death and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs). A total of 36 263 patients (mean age 70.1 ± 10.5 years, 45.2% females) were included; 2,261 (6.2%) had COPD. The prevalence of COPD was lower in Asia and higher in North America. Age, female sex, smoking, body mass index, and cardiovascular comorbidities were associated with the presence of COPD. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease was associated with higher use of oral anticoagulant (OAC) [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) and 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.29 (1.13-1.47)] and higher OAC discontinuation [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) and 95% CI: 1.12 (1.01-1.25)]. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease was associated with less use of beta-blocker [aOR (95% CI): 0.79 (0.72-0.87)], amiodarone and propafenone, and higher use of digoxin and verapamil/diltiazem. Patients with COPD had a higher hazard of primary composite outcome [aHR (95% CI): 1.78 (1.58-2.00)]; no interaction was observed regarding beta-blocker use. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease was also associated with all-cause death [aHR (95% CI): 2.01 (1.77-2.28)], MACEs [aHR (95% CI): 1.41 (1.18-1.68)], and major bleeding [aHR (95% CI): 1.48 (1.16-1.88)].

CONCLUSION

In AF patients, COPD was associated with differences in OAC treatment and use of other drugs; Patients with AF and COPD had worse outcomes, including higher mortality, MACE, and major bleeding.

Prevalence and incidence of diastolic dysfunction in atrial fibrillation: clinical implications

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Atrial fibrillation (AF) and heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) are intimately associated disorders; HFpEF may be overlooked in AF when symptoms are simply attributed to dysrhythmia, and incident AF may identify patients at risk for developing diastolic dysfunction (DD). This study aimed to investigate the prevalence and incidence of DD in patients with new-onset AF compared with sinus rhythm (SR).

METHODS

Adults with new-onset AF (n = 1747) or SR (n = 29 623) and no structural heart disease were identified. Propensity score matching was performed (1:3 ratio) between AF and SR based on age, sex, body mass index, and comorbidities. Severe DD (SDD) was defined by ≥3/four abnormal parameters (medial e', medial E/e', tricuspid regurgitation velocity, and left atrial volume index) and ≥moderate DD (>MDD) by ≥2/4. Annualized changes in DD indices were determined.

RESULTS

New-onset AF was independently associated with SDD (8% vs. 3%) and ≥MDD (25% vs. 16%); 62% of patients with AF had high-risk H2FPEF scores, and 5% had clinically recognized HFpEF. Over a median follow-up of 3.2 (interquartile range 1.6-5.8) years, DD progressed two-four-fold more rapidly in those with new-onset AF (P < .001 for all). The risk for incident DD was increased in new-onset AF [hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) 2.69 (2.19-3.32) for SDD and 1.73 (1.49-2.02) for ≥MDD].

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with new-onset AF display high-risk features for HFpEF at diagnosis, emphasizing the importance of evaluating for HFpEF among symptomatic patients with AF. Patients with new-onset AF have accelerated progression in DD over time, which may identify patients with preclinical HFpEF, where preventive therapies may be tested.

Early rhythm control on diabetes-related complications and mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus and atrial fibrillation

AIMS

We evaluated the impact of early rhythm control (ERC) on diabetes-related complications and mortality in subjects with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and atrial fibrillation (AF).

METHODS

This observational cohort study based on the Korean National Health Insurance Service claims database from 2009 to 2016, divided newly diagnosed AF patients with T2DM into ERC or usual care groups based on receiving rhythm control treatment within 1 year of AF diagnosis. The primary outcome was ischemic stroke, and the secondary outcomes were macro/microvascular complications, and all-cause death.

RESULTS

Among 47,509 subjects (mean age 66.7 ± 10.5 years; 61.8 % men; mean CHA2DS2-VASc score 4.6 ± 1.8; mean follow-up 4.3 ± 2.3 years; mean DM duration 5.6 ± 4.7 years), 23.1 % received ERC, and 76.9 % did not (usual care group). ERC was associated with lower risks of ischemic stroke, macrovascular and microvascular complications, and all-cause death compared to usual care (adjusted hazard ratios [95 % confidence interval]: 0.77 [0.70-0.85], 0.79 [0.73-0.86], 0.86 [0.82-0.90], and 0.92 [0.87-0.98], p < 0.001, <0.001, <0.001, and 0.012, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Early rhythm control was associated with reduced risks of diabetes-related complications and mortality in subjects with T2DM and AF. Rhythm control within 1 year of AF diagnosis with proper anticoagulation should be considered to prevent adverse outcomes.

Mobile Health-Technology-Integrated Care for Atrial Fibrillation: A Win Ratio Analysis from the mAFA-II Randomized Clinical Trial

BACKGROUND

 The Mobile Health (mHealth) Technology for Improved Screening and Optimized Integrated Care in atrial fibrillation (AF) (mAFA-II) cluster randomized trial assessed the efficacy of an integrated care approach in improving the prognosis of AF patients. In this study, we provide a reanalysis of the trial outcomes using the win ratio (WR) approach.

METHODS

 The mAFA-II trial allocated patients to receive a mHealth-technology implemented Atrial Fibrillation Better Care (ABC) pathway (mAFA intervention) or usual care. The primary outcome was the composite of all-cause death, ischemic stroke or systemic thromboembolism, and rehospitalization. The efficacy of the mAFA intervention was analyzed according to the WR method using the unmatched pairs approach, with the components of the primary outcome analyzed hierarchically as follows: (1) all-cause death; (2) ischemic stroke or thromboembolism; (3) rehospitalization. Results were reported as WR and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). In addition, we calculated win odds (WO) and 95% CI.

RESULTS

 A total of 3,324 patients were enrolled in the mAFA-II trial and included in this analysis (1,646 allocated to mAFA intervention and 1,678 to usual care). Among 2,761,988 unmatched pairs comparisons, the number of wins was higher in the mAFA intervention group, with a WR: 2.78 (95% CI: 1.85-4.17). WO confirmed the effect of mAFA intervention, although with a lower magnitude (WO: 1.06; 95% Cl: 1.04-1.08).

CONCLUSION

 In this posthoc WR analysis of the mAFA-II trial, a mHealth-technology-implemented integrated care approach was effective in reducing the risk of the primary composite outcome of all-cause death, ischemic stroke or thromboembolism, and rehospitalization, even when prioritizing fatal events.

Prediction of early death after atrial fibrillation diagnosis using a machine learning approach: A French nationwide cohort study

AIMS

Atrial fibrillation is associated with important mortality but the usual clinical risk factor based scores only modestly predict mortality. This study aimed to develop machine learning models for the prediction of death occurrence within the year following atrial fibrillation diagnosis and compare predictive ability against usual clinical risk scores.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We used a nationwide cohort of 2,435,541 newly diagnosed atrial fibrillation patients seen in French hospitals from 2011 to 2019. Three machine learning models were trained to predict mortality within the first year using a training set (70% of the cohort). The best model was selected to be evaluated and compared with previously published scores on the validation set (30% of the cohort). Discrimination of the best model was evaluated using the C index. Within the first year following atrial fibrillation diagnosis, 342,005 patients (14.4%) died after a period of 83 (SD 98) days (median 37 [10-129]). The best machine learning model selected was a deep neural network with a C index of 0.785 (95% CI, 0.781-0.789) on the validation set. Compared to clinical risk scores, the selected model was superior to the CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED risk scores and superior to dedicated scores such as Charlson Comorbidity Index and Hospital Frailty Risk Score to predict death within the year following atrial fibrillation diagnosis (C indexes: 0.597; 0.562; 0.643; 0.626 respectively. P < .0001).

CONCLUSION

Machine learning algorithms predict early death after atrial fibrillation diagnosis and may help clinicians to better risk stratify atrial fibrillation patients at high risk of mortality.

Safety of Direct Oral Anticoagulants for Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage in Patients With Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis of Real-world Studies

GOALS AND BACKGROUND

Since the introduction of Direct Oral Anticoagulants (DOACs), "real-world" studies have investigated their safety profile on gastrointestinal hemorrhage (GIH) when used by patients with Non-Valvular Atrial Fibrillation. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to compile and summarize this data after Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses guidelines.

STUDY

Medline and Embase were systematically searched until April 2021. Observational studies that met predefined inclusion criteria were included and hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% CI were extracted. Subgroup analyses based on DOAC doses, history of chronic kidney disease, stroke, prior exposure to VKA (vitamin K antagonist), age, gender, geographic location of population samples, as well as Leave-One-Out and Low/Moderate Risk of Bias sensitivity analyses were performed. A random effects model was used.

RESULTS

A total of 46 studies were included. Apixaban was associated with a reduced risk of GIH compared with Dabigatran (HR: 0.67, 95% CI, 0.56 to 0.81, I2 : 53.28%), Rivaroxaban (HR: 0.56, 95% CI, 0.44 to 0.70, I2 : 79.17%), and VKA (HR: 0.68, 95% CI, 0.60 to 0.78, I2 : 71.93%). Rivaroxaban was associated with increased GIH risk compared with Dabigatran (HR: 1.19, 95% CI, 1.02 to 1.40, I2 : 72.96%) and VKA (HR: 1.16, 95% CI, 1.05 to 1.27, I2 : 81.95%). Dabigatran was associated with similar GIH risk compared with VKA (HR: 1.11, 95% CI, 0.98 to 1.26, I2 : 87.28%).

CONCLUSIONS

Our study shows that Apixaban was associated with a reduction in GIH risk compared with Dabigatran, Rivaroxaban and VKA, whereas Rivaroxaban was associated with an increase in GIH risk compared with both Dabigatran and VKA.

Association of Length of Stay With the Clinical Trajectory of Hospitalized Patients With Atrial Fibrillation: Staying Less Is More?

Data predicting the length of stay (LOS) in patients with concurrent atrial fibrillation (AF) are scarce. This study aimed to investigate the potential predictors for prolonged LOS and its prognostic value. In this observational post hoc analysis of the MISOAC-AF (Motivational Interviewing to Support Oral AntiCoagulation adherence in patients with non-valvular Atrial Fibrillation) randomized trial logistic regression analyses were conducted to identify the parameters associated with prolonged LOS (defined as >7 days according to diagnostic accuracy analyses). Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression analyses were performed to generate survival curves and adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the primary end point of all-cause mortality and for the secondary end points during a median 3.7-year follow-up. Of the 1,057 patients studied, 462 (43.7%) were hospitalized for ≥7 days. Heart failure with reduced ejection fracture (aHR 1.75, 95% CI 1.17 to 2.63), permanent AF (aHR 1.72, 95% CI 1.29 to 2.31), history of coronary artery disease (aHR 2.32, 95% CI 1.59 to 3.39), and advanced or end-stage chronic kidney disease (aHR 1.54, 95% CI 1.15 to 2.06) were independently associated with prolonged hospitalization. Prolonged LOS was independently linked with increased all-cause mortality rates (aHR 1.68, 95% CI 1.25 to 2.26), cardiovascular mortality (aHR 1.92, 95% CI 1.36 to 2.72), major bleeding (aHR 3.07, 95% CI 1.07 to 8.78), and the composite outcome of cardiovascular death or rehospitalization (aHR 1.31, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.66). Each extra day of LOS was an independent predictor of all-cause mortality (aHR 1.03, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.04). Hospitalized patients with concurrent AF carry a substantial morbidity burden being prone to extended LOS. A jointed approach seems reasonable to reduce the LOS in patients with AF.

Mechanisms, prevalence and management of cardiac arrhythmias in cancer patients: a comprehensive review

Recently, prognosis and survival of cancer patients has improved due to progression and refinement of cancer therapies; however, cardiovascular sequelae in this population augmented and now represent the second cause of death in oncological patients. Initially, the main issue was represented by heart failure and coronary artery disease, but a growing body of evidence has now shed light on the increased arrhythmic risk of this population, atrial fibrillation being the most frequently encountered. Awareness of arrhythmic complications of cancer and its treatments may help oncologists and cardiologists to develop targeted approaches for the management of arrhythmias in this population. In this review, we provide an updated overview of the mechanisms triggering cardiac arrhythmias in cancer patients, their prevalence and management.

Trends in Atrial Fibrillation Management-Results from a National Multi-Center Urgent Care Network Registry

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common diagnosis in patients presenting to urgent care centers (UCCs), yet there is scant research regarding treatment in these centers. While some of these patients are managed within UCCs, some are referred for further care in an emergency department (ED).

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to identify the rate of patients referred to an ED and define predictors for this outcome. We analyzed the rates of AF diagnosis and hospital referral over the years. Finally, we described trends in patient anticoagulation (AC) medication use.

METHODS

This retrospective study included 5873 visits of patients over age 18 visiting the TEREM UCC network with a diagnosis of AF over 11 years. Multivariate analysis was used to identify predictors for ED referral.

RESULTS

In a multivariate model, predictors of referral to an ED included vascular disease (OR 1.88 (95% CI 1.43-2.45), p < 0.001), evening or night shifts (OR 1.31 (95% CI 1.11-1.55), p < 0.001; OR 1.68 (95% CI 1.32-2.15), p < 0.001; respectively), previously diagnosed AF (OR 0.31 (95% CI 0.26-0.37), p < 0.001), prior treatment with AC (OR 0.56 (95% CI 0.46-0.67), p < 0.001), beta blockers (OR 0.63 (95% CI 0.52-0.76), p < 0.001), and antiarrhythmic medication (OR 0.58 (95% CI 0.48-0.69), p < 0.001). Visits diagnosed with AF increased over the years (p = 0.030), while referrals to an ED decreased over the years (p = 0.050). The rate of novel oral anticoagulant prescriptions increased over the years.

CONCLUSIONS

The rate of referral to an ED from a UCC over the years is declining but remains high. Referrals may be predicted using simple clinical variables. This knowledge may help to reduce the burden of hospitalizations.

Implications of Clinical Risk Phenotypes on the Management and Natural History of Atrial Fibrillation: A Report From the GLORIA-AF

Background Clinical risk factors are common among patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), but there are still limited data on their association with oral anticoagulant (OAC) treatment patterns and major outcomes. We aim to analyze the association between clinical risk phenotypes on AF treatment patterns and the risk of major outcomes. Methods and Results The GLORIA-AF (Global Registry on Long-Term Oral Antithrombotic Treatment in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation) phase 2 and 3 registries enrolled patients with a recent diagnosis of AF between 2011 and 2016. We defined 4 features of clinical risk among patients with CHA2DS2-VASc ≥2: elderly individuals (aged ≥80 years), chronic kidney disease (estimated glomerular filtration rate <45 mL/min), history of stroke, and history of bleeding. We analyzed the odds of receiving OAC and the risk of OAC discontinuation and adverse events at follow-up according to specific combinations and cumulative burden of these features. Primary outcome was the composite of all-cause death, thromboembolism, and major bleeding. Among 28 891 (mean±SD age, 70.1±10.5 years; 45.5% women) patients included, 10 797 (37.3%) had at least 1 clinical risk feature. OAC use was lower among patients in the elderly group (odds ratio [OR], 0.85 [95% CI, 0.75-0.96]), those with history of both stroke and bleeding (OR, 0.45 [95% CI, 0.35-0.56]), and those with multiple features (OR, 0.71 [95% CI, 0.62-0.82]). Increasing burden of clinical risk features was associated with OAC discontinuation, with highest magnitude in those with ≥3 features (hazard ratio [HR], 1.68 [95% CI, 1.31-2.15]). Groups with increasingly complex clinical risk phenotypes were associated with the occurrence of the primary composite outcome, with the highest figures observed for groups with a history of both stroke and bleeding (adjusted HR, 2.36 [95% CI, 1.83-3.04]) and multiple features (adjusted HR, 2.86 [95% CI, 2.52-3.25]). Conclusions In patients with AF, clinical risk phenotypes are multifaceted and heterogenous, and they are associated with differences in stroke prevention and worse prognosis.

Impact of diabetes mellitus severity, treatment regimen and glycaemic control on atrial fibrillation prevalence in the Polish population aged ≥ 65

Diabetes mellitus (DM) is a well-known risk factor for atrial fibrillation (AF), but the mechanism(s) by which DM affects AF prevalence remains unclear. This study aims to evaluate the impact of diabetes mellitus severity (expressed as its known duration), antihyperglycemic treatment regimen and glycaemic control on AF prevalence. From the representative sample of 3014 participants (mean age 77.5, 49.1% female) from the cross-sectional NOMED-AF study, 881 participants (mean age 77.6 ± 0.25, 46.4% female) with concomitant DM were involved in the analysis. AF was screened using a telemonitoring vest for a mean of 21.9 ± 9.1 days. The mean DM duration was 12 ± 0.35 years, but no significant impact of DM timespan on AF prevalence was observed. No differences in the treatment pattern (oral medication vs insulin vs both oral + insulin) among the study population with and without AF were shown (p = 0.106). Metabolic control reflected by HbA1c levels showed no significant association with AF and silent AF prevalence (p = 0.635; p = 0.094). On multivariate analyses, age (Odds Ratio (OR) 1.35, 95%CI: 1.18-1.53, p < 0.001), p = 0.042), body mass index (BMI; OR 1.043, 95%CI: 1.01-1.08, p = 0.027) and LDL < 100 mg/dl (OR 0.64, 95%CI: 0.42-0.97, p = 0.037) were independent risk factors for AF prevalence, while age (OR 1.45, 95%CI: 1.20-1.75, p < 0.001), LDL < 100 mg/dl (OR 0.43, 95%CI 0.23-0.82, p = 0.011), use of statins (OR 0.51, 95%CI: 0.28-0.94, p = 0.031) and HbA1c ≤ 6.5 (OR 0.46, 95%CI: 0.25-0.85, p = 0.013) were associated with silent AF prevalence. Diabetes duration, diabetic treatment pattern or metabolic control per se did not significantly impact the prevalence of AF, including silent AF detected by prospective continuous monitoring. Independent predictors of AF were age, BMI and low LDL levels, with statins and HbA1c ≤ 6.5 being additional independent predictors for silent AF.Trial registration: NCT03243474.

Identifying and understanding the care pathway of patients with atrial fibrillation in Brazil and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic: A mixed-methods study

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a major risk factor for stroke. To enable improvements to AF diagnosis and follow-up care, understanding current patient pathways and barriers to optimal care are essential. We investigated the patient care pathways and their drivers, and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on patient pathways in a middle-income country setting, Brazil.

METHODS

This mixed-methods study in São Paulo, included adults (≥18y) with AF from 13 primary/secondary healthcare facilities. Surveys using baseline, follow-up (administered ≥two months after baseline) and COVID-19 questionnaires (quantitative), and three focus group discussions (FGDs) were conducted. Minimum sample size for the quantitative component was 236 and we aimed to reach saturation with at least three FGDs for the qualitative component. Descriptive statistics were used for quantitative data and a content analysis was used for qualitative data to identify themes related to AF diagnosis and follow-up care.

RESULTS

267 participants completed the baseline questionnaire: 25% were diagnosed in primary care, 65% in an emergency or inpatient department. At follow-up (n = 259), 31% visited more than one facility for AF care, and 7% had no follow-up. Intervals between international normalised ratio (INR) tests were increased during the pandemic, and the number of healthcare visits and availability of medication were reduced. Seventeen patients participated in three FGDs and revealed that AF diagnosis often occurred following a medical emergency and patients often delay care-seeking due to misconceptions about AF symptoms. Long waiting times, doctor/patient interactions and health system factors, such as doctor availability and the referral system, influence where participants visited for follow-up care.

CONCLUSIONS

Lack of public awareness and underdeveloped primary healthcare lead to delayed diagnosis, which impacts clinical outcomes and excess patient and healthcare system costs. Health system, care-provider, and pandemic factors disrupt timely and effective continuity of care.

Radiofrequency catheter ablation of atrial fibrillation: A review of techniques

Ablation of atrial fibrillation is a key area of current research. A multitude of techniques have been tested, some of which are poorly evidenced and not recommended in routine clinical practice whilst others are more promising. Additionally, a plethora of issues exist when researching ablation techniques, from control arm ablation strategy to the relevance of outcome measures. In this review article, we discuss these issues in the context of the current evidence base.

Prevalence, risk factors and outcomes of cardiac disease in cystic fibrosis: a multinational retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Although people living with cystic fibrosis (PwCF) often have some risk factors for cardiovascular disease, including diabetes and chronic inflammation, little is known about the long-term cardiac risk in this condition. We aimed to determine the characteristics, rates and outcomes for cardiac disease in CF.

METHODS

We looked at rates and outcomes for cardiac disease in 5649 adult PwCF in the UK CF Registry and 6265 adult PwCF in TriNetX (a global federated database of electronic healthcare record data). We used propensity matching to compare risk of major adverse cardiac events (MACE) (myocardial infarction, left-sided heart failure and atrial fibrillation) in PwCF against matched non-CF comparators in the general population and other inflammatory diseases.

RESULTS

PwCF had a high prevalence of diabetes but low rates of hypertension and obesity. Some cardiac risk factors (age, diabetes and hypertension) were associated with MACE, but relationships between disease-specific risk factors (lung function and intravenous antibiotic days) were also observed. In propensity score-matched analyses, PwCF had higher risk of MACE than matched general population comparators (hazard ratio (HR) 1.65, 95% CI 1.40-1.95; p<0.001) and an equivalent or higher relative risk compared with other inflammatory conditions considered "high risk" for cardiovascular disease, including systemic lupus erythematosus (HR 0.95, 95% CI 0.82-1.09; p=0.44), rheumatoid arthritis (HR 1.21, 95% CI 1.00-1.48; p<0.001) and HIV (HR 0.93, 95% CI 0.82-1.06; p=0.29).

CONCLUSIONS

PwCF are at increased risk of adverse cardiac disease events. Future work should focus on defining determinants of cardiovascular risk such that appropriate risk stratification can be employed.

Electronic health record-wide association study for atrial fibrillation in a British cohort

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) confers a major healthcare burden from hospitalisations and AF-related complications, such as stroke and heart failure. We performed an electronic health records-wide association study to identify the most frequent reasons for healthcare utilization, pre and post new-onset AF.

Methods

Prospective cohort study with the linked electronic health records of 5.6 million patients in the United Kingdom Clinical Practice Research Datalink (1998-2016). A cohort study with AF patients and their age-and sex matched controls was implemented to compare the top 100 reasons of frequent hospitalisation and primary consultation.

Results

Of the 199,433 patients who developed AF, we found the most frequent healthcare interactions to be cardiac, cerebrovascular and peripheral-vascular conditions, both prior to AF diagnosis (41/100 conditions in secondary care, such as cerebral infarction and valve diseases; and 33/100 conditions in primary care), and subsequently (47/100 conditions hospital care and 48 conditions in primary care). There was a high representation of repeated visits for cancer and infection affecting multiple organ systems. We identified 10 novel conditions which have not yet been associated with AF: folic acid deficiency, pancytopenia, idiopathic thrombocytopenic purpura, seborrheic dermatitis, lymphoedema, angioedema, laryngopharyngeal reflux, rib fracture, haemorrhagic gastritis, inflammatory polyneuropathies.

Conclusion

Our nationwide data provide knowledge and better understanding of the clinical needs of AF patients suggesting: (i) groups at higher risk of AF, where screening may be more cost-effective, and (ii) potential complications developing following new-onset AF that can be prevented through implementation of comprehensive integrated care management and more personalised, tailored treatment.

Clinical trial registration

NCT04786366.

Mobile health technology integrated care in atrial fibrillation patients with diabetes mellitus in China: A subgroup analysis of the mAFA-II cluster randomized clinical trial

BACKGROUND

The Mobile Health Technology for Improved Screening and Optimized Integrated Care in AF (mAFA-II) prospective randomized trial showed the efficacy of a mobile health (mHealth) implemented 'Atrial fibrillation Better Care' (ABC) pathway for the integrated care management of patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). In this ancillary analysis, we evaluated the effect of mAFA intervention according to the history of diabetes mellitus (DM).

METHODS

The mAFA-II trial enrolled 3324 AF patients across 40 centres in China, between June 2018 and August 2019. In this analysis, we assessed the interaction between history of DM and the effect of mAFA intervention on the risk of the primary composite outcome of stroke, thromboembolism, all-cause death and rehospitalizations. Results were expressed as adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) and 95% confidence intervals (95%CI). The effect of mAFA intervention on exploratory secondary outcomes was also assessed.

RESULTS

Overall, 747 (22.5%) patients had DM (mean age: 72.7 ± 12.3, 39.6% females; 381 allocated to mAFA intervention). mAFA intervention was associated with a significant risk reduction for the primary composite outcome both in patients with and without DM (aHR [95%CI]: .36 [.18-.73] and .37 [.23-.61], respectively, p for interaction = .941). A significant interaction was found only for the composite of recurrent AF, heart failure and acute coronary syndromes (pint  =.025), with lower effect of mAFA intervention in patients with DM.

CONCLUSIONS

A mHealth-technology implemented ABC pathway showed a consistent effect in reducing the risk of the primary composite outcome in AF patients with and without DM.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

WHO International Clinical Trials Registry Platform (ICTRP) Registration number: ChiCTR-OOC-17014138.

Atrial fibrillation: a contemporary update

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac arrhythmia and imposes a significant healthcare burden. The landscape of AF has changed considerably over the past few years, with the advent of novel diagnostic approaches, advances in therapies and changing recommendations on best practice from the latest major trials. In this article, we review our evolving understanding of the natural history of AF and explore the contemporary landscape of its diagnosis and management.

Visit-to-Visit Heart Rate Variability in the Prediction of Clinical Outcomes of Patients with Atrial Fibrillation

BACKGROUND

 Visit-to-visit heart rate variability (VVV-HR) has been associated with adverse cardiovascular outcomes. We aimed to determine the predictive value of VVV-HR for adverse clinical outcomes in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (AF).

METHODS

 We used data from a prospective multicenter AF registry of 27 hospitals in Thailand during 2014 to 2017. After the baseline visit, patients were followed up every 6 months until 3 years. VVV-HR was calculated from the standard deviation of heart rate data from baseline visit and every follow-up visit. VVV-HR was categorized into four groups according to the quartiles. Clinical outcomes were all-cause death, ischemic stroke/systemic embolism (SE), and heart failure. Cox proportional hazard models were used for multivariable analysis.

RESULTS

 There were a total of 3,174 patients (mean age: 67.7 years; 41.8% female). The incidence rates of all-cause death, ischemic stroke/SE, and heart failure were 3.10 (2.74-3.49), 1.42 (1.18-1.69), and 2.09 (1.80-2.42) per 100 person-years respectively. The average heart rate was 77.8 ± 11.0 bpm and the average of standard deviation of heart rate was 11.0 ± 5.9 bpm. VVV-HR Q4 was an independent predictor of all-cause death, ischemic stroke/SE, and heart failure with adjusted hazard ratios of 1.45 (95% confidence interval: 1.07-1.98), 2.02 (1.24-3.29), and 2.63 (1.75-3.96), respectively. VVV-HR still remained a significant predictor of clinical outcomes when analyzed based on coefficient of variation and variability independent of mean.

CONCLUSION

 VVV-HR is an independent predictor for adverse clinical outcomes in patients with AF. A J-curve appearance was demonstrated for the effect of VVV-HR on all-cause death.

Patterns of oral anticoagulant use and outcomes in Asian patients with atrial fibrillation: a post-hoc analysis from the GLORIA-AF Registry

Background

Previous studies suggested potential ethnic differences in the management and outcomes of atrial fibrillation (AF). We aim to analyse oral anticoagulant (OAC) prescription, discontinuation, and risk of adverse outcomes in Asian patients with AF, using data from a global prospective cohort study.

Methods

From the GLORIA-AF Registry Phase II-III (November 2011-December 2014 for Phase II, and January 2014-December 2016 for Phase III), we analysed patients according to their self-reported ethnicity (Asian vs. non-Asian), as well as according to Asian subgroups (Chinese, Japanese, Korean and other Asian). Logistic regression was used to analyse OAC prescription, while the risk of OAC discontinuation and adverse outcomes were analysed through Cox-regression model. Our primary outcome was the composite of all-cause death and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). The original studies were registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT01468701, NCT01671007, and NCT01937377.

Findings

34,421 patients were included (70.0 ± 10.5 years, 45.1% females, 6900 (20.0%) Asian: 3829 (55.5%) Chinese, 814 (11.8%) Japanese, 1964 (28.5%) Korean and 293 (4.2%) other Asian). Most of the Asian patients were recruited in Asia (n = 6701, 97.1%), while non-Asian patients were mainly recruited in Europe (n = 15,449, 56.1%) and North America (n = 8378, 30.4%). Compared to non-Asian individuals, prescription of OAC and non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulant (NOAC) was lower in Asian patients (Odds Ratio [OR] and 95% Confidence Intervals (CI): 0.23 [0.22-0.25] and 0.66 [0.61-0.71], respectively), but higher in the Japanese subgroup. Asian ethnicity was also associated with higher risk of OAC discontinuation (Hazard Ratio [HR] and [95% CI]: 1.79 [1.67-1.92]), and lower risk of the primary composite outcome (HR [95% CI]: 0.86 [0.76-0.96]). Among the exploratory secondary outcomes, Asian ethnicity was associated with higher risks of thromboembolism and intracranial haemorrhage, and lower risk of major bleeding.

Interpretation

Our results showed that Asian patients with AF showed suboptimal thromboembolic risk management and a specific risk profile of adverse outcomes; these differences may also reflect differences in country-specific factors. Ensuring integrated and appropriate treatment of these patients is crucial to improve their prognosis.

Funding

The GLORIA-AF Registry was funded by Boehringer Ingelheim GmbH.

Sex Differences in Atrial Fibrillation

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained cardiac arrhythmia. The estimated lifetime risk of developing AF is higher in men; however, due to differences in life expectancy, the overall prevalence is higher among women, particularly in the older age group. Sex differences play an important role in the pathophysiology, presentation, and clinical outcomes of AF. Awareness of these differences minimizes the potential for disparities in AF management. Our review summarizes the current literature on sex differences in AF, including the epidemiology, pathophysiology, risk factors, clinical symptomatology, mechanisms, treatment, and outcomes. We also explore the implications of these differences for clinical practice and future research.

RECENT FINDINGS

Women are more likely to present with atypical symptoms, have a higher stroke risk, and have a worse quality of life with AF when compared to men. Despite this, they are less likely to receive rhythm control strategies and anticoagulants. The sex-based differences in AF pathology and management might be a combination of inherent biological and hormonal differences, and implicit bias of the research entities and treating clinicians. Our review stresses the need for further sex-specific research in the pathophysiology of AF and opens a dialogue on personalized medicine, where management strategies can be tailored to individual patient characteristics, including sex.

Frailty Predicts Incident Atrial Fibrillation in Women but Not in Men: The Kuopio Ischaemic Heart Disease Risk Factor Study

INTRODUCTION

Frailty and atrial fibrillation (AF) are common aging problems and increasing globally. The association(s) between frailty and AF has been inconclusive. The purpose of this prospective population-based cohort was to investigate the associations between frailty and incident AF in older men and women.

METHODS

In total 839 participants, women (n = 458) and men (n = 381), aged 61-74 years from the Kuopio Ischaemic Heart Disease Risk Factor Study were included (March 1, 1998, to December 31, 2001). At the baseline, frailty prevalence was 49.3% (n = 414), and non-frailty 50.7% (n = 425) of the total population. Frailty was ascertained with the presence of 3-5 and prefrailty 1-2 of the following criteria: weight loss (highest 20% over 7 years), self-reported tiredness, weakness (measured by handgrip strength), slow walking speed (walking pace), and low physical activity (lowest 20%). AF events were obtained by record linkages from the national computerized hospitalization registry in Finland up to December 31, 2019. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression estimated the hazard ratio (HR) of incident events, adjusted for potential confounders.

RESULTS

During the mean follow-up of 14.2 years, 288 AF cases (169 women; 119 men) occurred. After adjustment for possible confounders, the HRs (95% confidence intervals [CIs]) for AF was 1.46 (1.48-1.85) in the frail population, compared to the non-frail group. The association was observed only among older frail women (multivariable-adjusted HR 1.78, 95% CI [1.28-2.48]) (p for interaction = 0.04). No statistically significant associations were observed between frailty and future AF incident among men (multivariable-adjusted HRs 1.12, 95% CI (0.77-1.63)).

CONCLUSIONS

In this population-based epidemiological cohort, the risk of developing AF was increased in women affected by frailty at baseline but not in men.

Atrial fibrillation and stroke prevention: 25 years of research at EP Europace journal

Stroke prevention in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) is one pillar of the management of this common arrhythmia. Substantial advances in the epidemiology and associated pathophysiology underlying AF-related stroke and thrombo-embolism are evident. Furthermore, the introduction of the non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (also called direct oral anticoagulants) has clearly changed our approach to stroke prevention in AF, such that the default should be to offer oral anticoagulation for stroke prevention, unless the patient is at low risk. A strategy of early rhythm control is also beneficial in reducing strokes in selected patients with recent onset AF, when compared to rate control. Cardiovascular risk factor management, with optimization of comorbidities and attention to lifestyle factors, and the patient's psychological morbidity are also essential. Finally, in selected patients with absolute contraindications to long-term oral anticoagulation, left atrial appendage occlusion or exclusion may be considered. The aim of this state-of-the-art review article is to provide an overview of the current status of AF-related stroke and prevention strategies. A holistic or integrated care approach to AF management is recommended to minimize the risk of stroke in patients with AF, based on the evidence-based Atrial fibrillation Better Care (ABC) pathway, as follows: A: Avoid stroke with Anticoagulation; B: Better patient-centred, symptom-directed decisions on rate or rhythm control; C: Cardiovascular risk factor and comorbidity optimization, including lifestyle changes.

Real world time trends in antithrombotic treatment for newly diagnosed atrial fibrillation in China: reports from the GLORIA-AF Phase III registry : Trends in antithrombotic therapy use in China

BACKGROUND

Stroke prevention with oral anticoagulant (OAC) therapy, including non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs), is recommended in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). This analysis describes the antithrombotic prescription patterns for Chinese patients enrolled post-dabigatran approval during Phase II and III of the Global Registry on Long-Term Oral Antithrombotic Treatment in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation (GLORIA-AF) program in China.

METHODS

Patients aged ≥ 18 years with newly diagnosed (< 3 months before baseline visit) nonvalvular AF at risk of stroke (CHA₂DS₂-VASc score ≥ 1) were consecutively enrolled in the GLORIA-AF registry. This cross-sectional analysis provides descriptive comparison of Chinese patients in Phase III (2015-2016) with those enrolled in Phase II (2013-2014).

RESULTS

Overall, 1,018 and 1,911 Chinese patients were eligible for analysis in Phase II and III, respectively. Most patients (69.6% and 69.1%, respectively) had high stroke risk (CHA₂DS₂-VASc score ≥ 2 for males and ≥ 3 for females). High bleeding risk (HAS-BLED score ≥ 3) rates were similar (17.3% for Phase II, 17.6% for Phase III). In Phase II, 5.8%, 15.2%, 36.7% and 42.2% of patients were prescribed NOACs, vitamin K antagonists (VKAs), antiplatelet therapies or no antithrombotic treatment, respectively. The corresponding figures were 17.2%, 23.5%, 37.4% and 21.8% for patients in Phase III, with an overall increase in OAC prescriptions (NOACs or VKAs). In patients with high stroke risk, the prescription patterns in Phase II were 5.6%, 14.4%, 41.0% and 38.9% for NOACs, VKAs, antiplatelets or no antithrombotic treatment, respectively. The respective proportions in Phase III were 15.1%, 23.5%, 40.9% and 20.5%.

CONCLUSIONS

Since the availability of dabigatran in China, the overall trend of OAC, including NOAC, prescriptions in Chinese patients with nonvalvular AF has increased over time, albeit with VKAs as the most common antithrombotic treatment. Most patients, including those at high stroke risk, remain undertreated according to best practice guidelines.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov NCT01468701.

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) outcomes and associated risk factors in a medicare population without prior CVD history: an analysis using statistical and machine learning algorithms

There is limited information on predicting incident cardiovascular outcomes among high- to very high-risk populations such as the elderly (≥ 65 years) in the absence of prior cardiovascular disease and the presence of non-cardiovascular multi-morbidity. We hypothesized that statistical/machine learning modeling can improve risk prediction, thus helping inform care management strategies. We defined a population from the Medicare health plan, a US government-funded program mostly for the elderly and varied levels of non-cardiovascular multi-morbidity. Participants were screened for cardiovascular disease (CVD), coronary or peripheral artery disease (CAD or PAD), heart failure (HF), atrial fibrillation (AF), ischemic stroke (IS), transient ischemic attack (TIA), and myocardial infarction (MI) for a 3-yr period in the comorbid history. They were followed up for up to 45.2 months. Analyses included descriptive approaches in terms of incidence rates and density ratios, and inferential in terms of main effect statistical/complex machine learning modeling. The contemporary risk factors of interest spanned across the domains of comorbidity, lifestyle, and healthcare utilization history. The cohort consisted of 154,551 individuals (mean age 68.8 years; 62.2% female). The overall crude incidence rate of CVD events was 9.9 new cases per 100 person-years. The highest rates among its component outcomes were obtained for CAD or PAD (3.6 for each), followed by HF (2.2) and AF (1.8), then IS (1.3), and finally TIA (1.0) and MI (0.9).Model performance was modest in terms of discriminatory power (C index: 0.67, 95%CI 0.667-0.674 for training; and 0.668, 95%CI 0.663-0.673 for validation data), equal agreement between predicted and observed events for calibration purposes, and good clinical utility in terms of a net benefit of 15 true positives per 100 patients relative to the All-patient treatment strategy. Complex models based on machine learning algorithms yielded incrementally better discriminatory power and much improved goodness-of-fitness tests from those based on main effect statistical modeling. This Medicare population represents a highly vulnerable group for incident CVD events. This population would benefit from an integrated approach to their care and management, including attention to their comorbidities and lifestyle factors, as well as medication adherence.

Clinical and economic outcomes associated with use of anti-arrhythmic drugs versus ablation in atrial fibrillation

Aim: To evaluate the clinical and economic impact of antiarrhythmic drugs (AADs) compared with ablation both as individual treatments and as combination therapy without/with considering the order of treatment among patients with atrial fibrillation (AFib). Materials & methods: A budget impact model over a one-year time horizon was developed to assess the economic impact of AADs (amiodarone, dofetilide, dronedarone, flecainide, propafenone, sotalol, and as a group) versus ablation across three scenarios: direct comparisons of individual treatments, non-temporal combinations, and temporal combinations. The economic analysis was conducted in accordance with CHEERS guidance as per current model objectives. Results are reported as costs per patient per year (PPPY). The impact of individual parameters was evaluated using one-way sensitivity analysis (OWSA). Results: In direct comparisons, ablation had the highest annual medication/procedure cost ($29,432), followed by dofetilide ($7661), dronedarone ($6451), sotalol ($4552), propafenone ($3044), flecainide ($2563), and amiodarone ($2538). Flecainide had the highest costs for long-term clinical outcomes ($22,964), followed by dofetilide ($17,462), sotalol ($15,030), amiodarone ($12,450), dronedarone ($10,424), propafenone ($7678) and ablation ($9948). In the non-temporal scenario, total costs incurred for AADs (group) + ablation ($17,278) were lower compared with ablation alone ($39,380). In the temporal scenario, AADs (group) before ablation resulted in PPPY cost savings of ($22,858) compared with AADs (group) after ablation ($19,958). Key factors in OWSA were ablation costs, the proportion of patients having reablation, and withdrawal due to adverse events. Conclusion: Utilization of AADs as individual treatment or in combination with ablation demonstrated comparable clinical benefits along with costs savings in patients with AFib.

Integrated Care for Atrial Fibrillation Using the ABC Pathway in the Prospective APHRS-AF Registry

Background

The Atrial Fibrillation Better Care (ABC) has been proposed as an integrated approach to improve management in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), based on 3 pillars: "A" Avoid stroke with Anticoagulation; "B" Better symptoms control; "C" Cardiovascular risk-factor and comorbidities management.

Objectives

This study sought to investigate the association with outcomes of ABC adherence in the prospective multinational Asia-Pacific Heart Rhythm Society (APHRS) Atrial Fibrillation registry.

Method

Cox-regression analyses adjusted for age, sex, CHA2DS2-VASc score, paroxysmal AF, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, chronic kidney disease, cancer, dyslipidemia, and dementia were performed to investigate the association with outcomes. Primary outcome was a composite of all-cause death, any thromboembolic events, acute coronary syndrome or percutaneous interventional procedures, and advancing heart failure.

Results

Of the 4,013 included patients with AF (mean age 68 ± 12 years; 34.4% female); 38.6% were adherent to all 3 main ABC pillars. After 1 year of follow-up, adherence to the ABC pathway was associated with a low incidence of composite outcome (4.0% vs 8.5%, P < 0.001), all-cause and cardiovascular death, and advancing heart failure. On Cox regression analysis, ABC adherence was associated with a lower risk of primary outcome (HR: 0.72; 95% CI: 0.53-0.97), with risk reduction progressively higher with a higher number of ABC criteria attained. No significant interaction in the association was seen according to the different geographic areas (Pint = 0.217).

Conclusions

In a large contemporary cohort of Asian patients with AF, adherence to ABC pathway was associated with a reduction of the risk for adverse outcomes. (Clinical Survey on the Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation in Asia (AF-Registry; NCT04807049).