OUP accepted manuscript

Management of multiple sclerosis in older adults: review of current evidence and future perspectives

IMPORTANCE

The prevalence of multiple sclerosis (MS) and aging MS patients is increasing worldwide. There is a need to better understand this MS sub-population, which historically is underrepresented in the literature. This narrative review examines the evolving demographics, disease course, and treatments for older adults with MS (OAMS) to address current knowledge gaps and highlight areas critical for future research.

OBSERVATIONS

OAMS populations require special consideration by clinicians. Older individuals have different care needs than individuals with adult onset MS who are mid-life or younger. Comorbidities, an aging immune system, increasing neurodegeneration, decreasing neurologic reserve, changing benefit/risk relationship for disease modifying therapies (DMTs), and wellness require special attention to provide holistic comprehensive care. Active areas of research include potential cessation of DMTs and novel disease targets.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

This review highlights both the current knowledge and information gaps in the literature that are critical to understanding and properly managing OAMS. The aims are to inform MS clinicians in their current practice, as well as inspire future studies which are critical to providing quality and evidence-based care for OAMS.

Long-term effectiveness of natalizumab in secondary progressive multiple sclerosis: A propensity-matched study

Treatment options for secondary progressive MS (SPMS) are limited, especially considering that the new drugs recently approved are licensed for actively relapsing patients. We aimed to compare the disability progression in a real-world cohort of SPMS patients treated with natalizumab (NTZ) or interferon beta-1b (IFNb-1b). This multicenter retrospective enrolled patients with a diagnosis of SPMS according to 2014 Lublin criteria, who received NTZ or IFNb-1b for at least 48 months between the 1st June 2012 and the 15th May 2018 ​at 33 Italian MS centers contributing to the Italian MS Registry NTZ or IFNb-1b. Confirmed Expanded Disability Status Scale worsening (CEW) and progression independent of relapse (PIRA) were evaluated. In order to correct for non-randomization, a propensity score matching of the groups was performed. Out of 5206 MS patients identified at the time of data extraction, 421 SPMS patients treated with NTZ (224 [53.2%] females, mean age 45.3 ​± ​25.4 years) and 353 with IFNb-1b (133 [37.8%] females, mean age 48.5 ​± ​19.8 years) were enrolled. After applying the matching procedure, 102 patients were retained in the NTZ group and 98 in the IFNb-2b group. The proportion of patients who reached the 48-month 1-point CEW was significantly higher in IFNb-1b compared to NTZ group (58.2% versus 30.4%, p ​= ​0.01). The proportion of patients who developed PIRA at 48 months were significantly higher in IFNb-1b compared to NTZ (72.4% versus 40.2%, p ​= ​0.01). EDSS before treatment initiation and SPMS duration were risk factors for disability progression in terms of PIRA (HR 2.54, 25%CI 1.67-5.7; p ​= ​0.006 and HR 2.04, 25%CI 1.22-3.35; p ​= ​0.01, respectively). Patients treated with IFNb-1b were 1.64 times more to likely to develop PIRA (HR 1.64, 25%CI 1.04-4.87; p ​= ​0.001). Treatment with NTZ in SPMS patients showed more favorable disability outcomes compared to IFNb-1b with beneficial effects over 48 months.

Prevalence and epidemiology of stroke in patients with multiple sclerosis: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Epidemiological data are sparse regarding the risk of stroke in patients with multiple sclerosis (MS).

OBJECTIVE

To estimate the following: (1) the pooled prevalence of all-cause stroke, acute ischaemic stroke (AIS) and intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH) in MS patients; (2) the relative risk for all-cause stroke, AIS and ICH in MS patients compared to the general population; (3) associations between patient characteristics and the risk for AIS and ICH in MS patients.

METHODS

Systematic review and meta-analysis of registry-based and cohort studies.

RESULTS

Thirteen observational studies comprising 146,381 MS patients were included. The pooled prevalence of all-cause stroke was 2.7% (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.3-4.6%), with the relative risk of all-cause stroke being higher in MS patients compared to the general population (RR: 2.55; 95% CI 1.97-3.29). Subgroup analyses per stroke subtype revealed a pooled AIS prevalence of 2.1% (95% CI 0.8-4.1%) and a pooled ICH prevalence of 0.6% (95% CI 0.2-1.2%). Compared to the general population, patients with MS were found to harbour an increased risk for AIS (RR: 2.79; 95% CI 2.27-3.41) and ICH (RR: 2.31; 95% CI 1.04-5.11), respectively. The pooled prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors in MS patients was 11.5% (95% CI 2.9-24.7%) for dyslipidaemia, 18.2% (95% CI 5.9-35.3%) for hypertension and 5.4% (95% CI 2.1-10.2%) for diabetes. In meta-regression, age was negatively associated with AIS risk (β =  - .03, p = 0.04), with a 1-year increase in age resulting in a significant 3% (95%CI 0-5) attenuation of the risk of AIS.

CONCLUSION

The findings of the present meta-analysis indicate that MS is associated with an increased risk for ischaemic and haemorrhagic stroke. Future well-designed epidemiological studies are warranted to corroborate the robustness of the present findings in the MS population.

The neuropathobiology of multiple sclerosis

Chronic low-grade inflammation and neuronal deregulation are two components of a smoldering disease activity that drives the progression of disability in people with multiple sclerosis (MS). Although several therapies exist to dampen the acute inflammation that drives MS relapses, therapeutic options to halt chronic disability progression are a major unmet clinical need. The development of such therapies is hindered by our limited understanding of the neuron-intrinsic determinants of resilience or vulnerability to inflammation. In this Review, we provide a neuron-centric overview of recent advances in deciphering neuronal response patterns that drive the pathology of MS. We describe the inflammatory CNS environment that initiates neurotoxicity by imposing ion imbalance, excitotoxicity and oxidative stress, and by direct neuro-immune interactions, which collectively lead to mitochondrial dysfunction and epigenetic dysregulation. The neuronal demise is further amplified by breakdown of neuronal transport, accumulation of cytosolic proteins and activation of cell death pathways. Continuous neuronal damage perpetuates CNS inflammation by activating surrounding glia cells and by directly exerting toxicity on neighbouring neurons. Further, we explore strategies to overcome neuronal deregulation in MS and compile a selection of neuronal actuators shown to impact neurodegeneration in preclinical studies. We conclude by discussing the therapeutic potential of targeting such neuronal actuators in MS, including some that have already been tested in interventional clinical trials.

Effects of virtual reality-based rehabilitation on cognitive function and mood in multiple sclerosis: A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials

BACKGROUND

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a disabling neurological disease that causes cognitive impairment and mental problems that occur in all MS phenotypes but are most common in patients with secondary progressive MS. Various degrees of cognitive impairment and mental health concerns are common among patients with MS (PwMS). Virtual reality (VR)-based rehabilitation is an innovative approach aimed at enhancing cognitive function and mood in PwMS. This study aims to perform a meta-analysis to assess the effects of VR-based rehabilitation on cognitive function and mood in PwMS.

METHODS

Using PubMed, Embase, the Cochrane Library, Web of Science, and the Physiotherapy Evidence Database (PEDro), a thorough database search was performed to identify randomized controlled trials (RCTs) examining the effects of VR on PwMS. Trials published until October 31, 2023, that satisfied our predetermined inclusion and exclusion criteria were included. Data were extracted, literature was examined, and the methodological quality of the included trials was assessed. StataSE version 16 was used for the meta-analysis.

RESULTS

Our meta-analysis included 461 patients from 10 RCTs.

PRIMARY OUTCOMES

The Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA) (weighted mean difference [WMD]=1.93, 95 % confidence interval [CI]=0.51-3.36, P = 0.008, I² = 75.4 %) the Spatial Recall Test (SPART) (WMD=3.57, 95 % CI=1.65-5.50, P < 0.001, I² = 0 %), immediate recall (standard mean difference [SMD]=0.37, 95 % CI=0.10-0.64, P = 0.007, I² = 0 %) and delayed recall ([SMD]=0.30, 95 % CI=0.06-0.54, P = 0.013, I² = 35.4 %) showed improvements in comparison to the control group in terms of global cognitive function immediate recall, delayed recall, and visuospatial abilities.

SECONDARY OUTCOMES

Compared to the control group, anxiety improved (standard mean difference [SMD]=0.36, 95 % CI=0.10-0.62, P = 0.007, I² = 43.1 %). However, there were no significant differences in processing speed, attention, working memory or depression.

CONCLUSIONS

This systematic review provides valuable evidence for improving cognitive function and mood in PwMS through VR-based rehabilitation. In the future, VR-based rehabilitation may be a potential method to treat cognitive function and emotional symptoms of MS.

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION

PROSPERO; identifier: CRD42023474467.

A comparison of multiple sclerosis disease characteristics across three genetically diverse Asian racial groups in Singapore

Studies in Western populations have shown that Black and Hispanic patients have an earlier age of Multiple Sclerosis (MS) onset and a more severe disease course characterised by faster disability accrual compared to Whites. It is yet unclear whether MS disease characteristics and clinical course differ amongst Asian racial groups. Singapore is uniquely poised to investigate this as its multi-racial population comprises three genetically diverse Asian racial groups-Chinese, Malay and South Asian. Herein, we sought to elucidate differences in the clinical phenotypes, disease-modifying therapy (DMT) usage, and disease course amongst these three Asian racial groups by performinga retrospective observational study on MS patients seen at the National Neuroscience Institute, Singapore. Data on demographics, disease characteristics, ancillary investigations, and DMT usage were collected. One hundred and eighty-eight patients were included (90 Chinese, 32 Malay, and 66 South Asian). Our findings showed that MS prevalence was the highest in South Asians followed by Malays and Chinese, while demographics, healthcare access, and longer-term disease course were identical across the racial groups. However, several differences and trends were elucidated: (1) South Asian patients had milder sentinel attacks (p = 0.006), (2) a higher proportion of Malay patients had enhancing lesions on their initial MRI (p = 0.057) and the lesion topography differed across the races (p = 0.034), and (3) more Malay patients switched out of their initial DMT (p = 0.051). In conclusion, MS disease characteristics were largely similar across these three Asian racial groups, and while there were some clinical and radiological differences at presentation, these did not influence longer-term outcomes.

The global patient-reported outcomes for multiple sclerosis initiative: bridging the gap between clinical research and care - updates at the 2023 plenary event

Significant advancements have been achieved in delineating the progress of the Global PROMS (PROMS) Initiative. The PROMS Initiative, a collaborative endeavor by the European Charcot Foundation and the Multiple Sclerosis International Federation, strives to amplify the influence of patient input on MS care and establish a cohesive perspective on Patient-Reported Outcomes (PROs) for diverse stakeholders. This initiative has established an expansive, participatory governance framework launching four dedicated working groups that have made substantive contributions to research, clinical management, eHealth, and healthcare system reform. The initiative prioritizes the global integration of patient (For the purposes of the Global PROMS Initiative, the term "patient" refers to the people with the disease (aka People with Multiple Sclerosis - pwMS): any individual with lived experience of the disease. People affected by the disease/Multiple Sclerosis: any individual or group that is affected by the disease: E.g., family members, caregivers will be also engaged as the other stakeholders in the initiative). insights into the management of MS care. It merges subjective PROs with objective clinical metrics, thereby addressing the complex variability of disease presentation and progression. Following the completion of its second phase, the initiative aims to help increasing the uptake of eHealth tools and passive PROs within research and clinical settings, affirming its unwavering dedication to the progressive refinement of MS care. Looking forward, the initiative is poised to continue enhancing global surveys, rethinking to the relevant statistical approaches in clinical trials, and cultivating a unified stance among 'industry', regulatory bodies and health policy making regarding the application of PROs in MS healthcare strategies.

Selection of disease modifying therapies in multiple sclerosis based on patient's age and disease activity: Data from a nationwide registry

BACKGROUND

Knowledge of the safety and efficacy of disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) in older patients with Multiple Sclerosis (pwMS) is limited due to their exclusion from clinical trials. Our purpose is to evaluate the choice of DMTs in pwMS older than 50 years old in a real-world setting.

METHODS

Cross-sectional study of pwMS from the Argentine MS and NMOSD Registry. We included patients under 35 and above 50 years old prescribed DMTs. Disease activity was categorized as highly active (HA) or not highly active (NHA), and DMTs were classified as low efficacy therapies (LET) or high efficacy therapies (HET).

RESULTS

1460 patients (65% females) were enrolled. The HA group comprised 241 patients, 198 young (82.2%) and 43 older (17.8%). The NHA group included 1219 patients, 893 young (73%) and 326 older (27%). In the NHA group, older patients received LET more frequently than younger patients (66% versus 44%; p < 0.01). In the HA group, older patients received LET in 61% of cases, whereas younger patients received HET in 71% (p = 0.01).

CONCLUSION

The study shows the preference of LET in older patients regardless of disease activity. However it does not demonstrate a difference in disability in older patients based on low vs high efficacy DMTs used, probably due to the design of the study. Further longitudinal studies are warranted to address this issue.

Knowledge mapping of disease-modifying therapy (DMT) in multiple sclerosis (MS): A bibliometrics analysis

Background

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a heterogeneous autoimmune disease, with a rapidly evolving body of literature on disease-modifying therapy (DMT) that urgently needs to be synthesized and regularized.

Methods

The original material used for the analysis was obtained from the Web of Science Core Collection (WoSCC) in the Science Citation Index Expanded Edition (SCI-E). The data material was accessed through VOSviewer, Citespace, R package "Bibliometrix", and Scimago Graphica for data analysis and visualization. Among them, the clustering algorithm based on the Largest Likelihood Ratio (LLR) and the burst citation algorithm is the key.

Results

As of November 6th, 2022, 4142 publications related to emerging disease-modifying therapies (e-DMT) for MS, 6521 publications related to traditional disease-modifying therapies (t-DMT) for MS, and 1793 publications in cross-cutting disease-modifying therapies (I-DMT) for MS were included in the analysis, respectively. Publications related to DMT in MS were analyzed descriptively (for three subjects: country, institution, and author) and predictively (for two subjects: keywords and references) separately according to three sections: e-DMT, t-DMT, and I-DMT. Topics that still have relevant reference output as of 2022 include the safety of Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) mRNA vaccination, therapeutic inertia (TI), cladribine tablets, autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (aHSCT), progressive multiple sclerosis, and pediatric multiple sclerosis.

Conclusion

The future research focus for MS DMT is the combination trial or cross-trial of various treatment methods to improve the development of individualized treatment plans for MS patients. The exact contents of the research frontiers are included but not limited to ocrelizumab, fingolimod and other monoclonal antibodies, fumaric acid ester, cladribine tablet, aHSCT, and other interventions of randomized controlled trials (RCTs); the impact of mRNA COVID-19 vaccination on MS patients; TI, patient adherence, and other medical management issues; and continued exploration of biomarkers for more accurate disease classification based on the existing clinical indication classification.

Novel and Emerging Treatments to Target Pathophysiological Mechanisms in Various Phenotypes of Multiple Sclerosis

The objective is to comprehensively review novel pharmacotherapies used in multiple sclerosis (MS) and the possibilities they may carry for therapeutic improvement. Specifically, we discuss pathophysiological mechanisms worth targeting in MS, ranging from well known targets, such as autoinflammation and demyelination, to more novel and advanced targets, such as neuroaxonal damage and repair. To set the stage, a brief overview of clinical MS phenotypes is provided, followed by a comprehensive recapitulation of both clinical and paraclinical outcomes available to assess the effectiveness of treatments in achieving these targets. Finally, we discuss various promising novel and emerging treatments, including their respective hypothesized modes of action and currently available evidence from clinical trials. SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT: This comprehensive review discusses pathophysiological mechanisms worth targeting in multiple sclerosis. Various promising novel and emerging treatments, including their respective hypothesized modes of action and currently available evidence from clinical trials, are reviewed.

Passive assessment of tapping speed through smartphone is useful for monitoring multiple sclerosis

INTRODUCTION

Continuously acquired smartphone keyboard interactions may be useful to monitor progression in multiple sclerosis (MS). We aimed to study the correlation between tapping speed (TS), measured as keys/s, and baseline disability scales in patients with MS.

METHODS

Single-center prospective study in patients with MS. We passively assessed TS during first week, measured by an "in house" smartphone application. Reliability was assessed by intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC). Correlations between median and maximum keys/s of first week of assessment and baseline disability measures were explored.

RESULTS

One-hundred three patients were included: 62.1 % women, with a median (IQR) age of 47 (40.4-54.8) years-old and an EDSS score of 3.0 (2.0-4.0). Distribution by MS subtypes was: 77.7 % relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS), 17.5 % secondary-progressive MS (SPMS) and 4.9 % primary-progressive MS (PPMS). ICC during first week was 0.714 (p < 0.00001). Both median and maximum keys/s showed a negative correlation with Expanded Disability Status Score, 9-hole peg test and timed 25-foot walk and a positive correlation with Processing Speed Test CogEval® raw and Z-score. Median and maximum keys/s were lower in patients diagnosed with SPMS than in RRMS. Both measures of tapping speed were associated with MS phenotype independently of age.

CONCLUSION

TS measured through our application is reliable and correlates with baseline disability scales.

The Study of Remyelinating Therapies in Multiple Sclerosis: Visual Outcomes as a Window Into Repair

INTRODUCTION

Amelioration of disability in multiple sclerosis requires the development of complementary therapies that target neurodegeneration and promote repair. Remyelination is a promising neuroprotective strategy that may protect axons from damage and subsequent neurodegeneration.

METHODS

A review of key literature plus additional targeted search of PubMed and Google Scholar was conducted.

RESULTS

There has been a rapid expansion of clinical trials studying putative remyelinating candidates, but further growth of the field is limited by the lack of consensus on key aspects of trial design. We have not yet defined the ideal study population, duration of therapy, or the appropriate outcome measures to detect remyelination in humans. The varied natural history of multiple sclerosis, coupled with the short time frame of phase II clinical trials, requires that we develop and validate biomarkers of remyelination that can serve as surrogate endpoints in clinical trials.

CONCLUSIONS

We propose that the visual system may be the most well-suited and validated model for the study potential remyelinating agents. In this review, we discuss the pathophysiology of demyelination and summarize the current clinical trial landscape of remyelinating agents. We present some of the challenges in the study of remyelinating agents and discuss current potential biomarkers of remyelination and repair, emphasizing both established and emerging visual outcome measures.

Understanding multiple sclerosis as a disease spectrum: above and below the clinical threshold

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Research in multiple sclerosis (MS) has long been predicated on clinical groupings that do not reflect the underlying biologic heterogeneity apparent within patient populations. This review explicates the various levels of explanation through which the spectrum of disease is described and investigated both above and below the clinical threshold of detection, as framed by the topographical model of MS, to help advance a cogent mechanistic framework.

RECENT FINDINGS

Contemporary evidence has amended the view of MS as consisting of sequential disease phases in favor of a spectrum of disease with an admixture of interdependent and dynamic pathobiological axes driving tissue injury and progression. Recent studies have shown the presence of acute and compartmentalized inflammation and mechanisms of neurodegeneration beginning early and evolving throughout the disease continuum. Still, the gap between the understanding of immunopathologic processes in MS and the tools used to measure relevant molecular, laboratory, radiologic, and clinical metrics needs attention to enable better prognostication of disease and monitoring for changes along specific pathologic axes and variable treatment outcomes.

SUMMARY

Aligning on a consistently-applied mechanistic framework at distinct levels of explanation will enable greater precision across bench and clinical research, and inform discourse on drivers of disability progression and delivery of care for individuals with MS.

Addition of quantitative MRI to the routine clinical care of patients with multiple sclerosis-Results from the MAGNON project

BACKGROUND

The revised Lublin classification offers a framework for categorizing multiple sclerosis (MS) according to the clinical course and imaging results. Diagnosis of secondary progressive MS (SPMS) is often delayed by a period of uncertainty. Several quantitative magnetic resonance imaging (qMRI) markers are associated with progressive disease states, but they are not usually available in clinical practice.

METHODS

The MAGNON project enrolled 629 patients (early relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS), n = 51; RRMS with suspected SPMS, n = 386; SPMS, n = 192) at 55 centers in Germany. Routine magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scans at baseline and after 12 months were analyzed using a centralized automatic processing pipeline to quantify lesions and normalized brain and thalamic volume. Clinical measures included relapse activity, disability, and MS phenotyping. Neurologists completed questionnaires before and after receiving the qMRI reports.

RESULTS

According to the physicians' reports, qMRI results changed their assessment of the patient in 31.8% (baseline scan) and 27.6% (follow-up scan). For ∼50% of patients with RRMS with suspected SPMS, reports provided additional information that the patient was transitioning to SPMS. In >25% of all patients, this information influenced the physicians' assessment of the patient's current phenotype. However, actual changes of treatment were reported only in a minority of these patients.

CONCLUSIONS

The MAGNON results suggest that standardized qMRI reports may be integrated into the routine clinical care of MS patients and support the application of the Lublin classification as well as treatment decisions. The highest impact was reported in patients with suspected SPMS, indicating a potential to reduce diagnostic uncertainty.

Early use of high-efficacy therapies in multiple sclerosis in the United States: benefits, barriers, and strategies for encouraging adoption

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is characterized by progressive neuroinflammation and neurodegeneration from disease onset that, if left untreated, can result in the accumulation of irreversible neurological disability. Early intervention with high-efficacy therapies (HETs) is increasingly recognized as the best strategy to delay or mitigate disease progression from the earliest stages of the disease and to prevent long-term neurodegeneration. Although there is growing clinical and real-world evidence supporting early HET intervention, foregoing this strategy in favor of a traditional escalation approach prioritizing lower-efficacy disease-modifying therapies remains a common approach in clinical practice. This review explores potential health care professional- and patient-related barriers to the early use of HETs in patients with MS in the United States. Barriers can include regulatory and reimbursement restrictions; knowledge gaps and long-term safety concerns among health care professionals; and various individual, cultural, and societal factors affecting patients. Potential strategies for overcoming these barriers and encouraging early HET use are proposed.

Bruton tyrosine kinase inhibitors in multiple sclerosis: evidence and expectations

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Despite availability of high-efficacy therapies for multiple sclerosis (MS), many patients experience significant disability worsening due to limited effects of currently available drugs on central nervous system (CNS)-compartmentalized inflammation. Bruton tyrosine kinase (BTK) is an intracellular signaling molecule involved in regulation of maturation, survival, migration, and activation of B cells and microglia, which are central players in the immunopathogenesis of progressive MS. Therefore, CNS-penetrant BTK inhibitors may better prevent disease progression by targeting immune cells on both sides of the blood-brain barrier. This review gives an overview on the preliminary results of clinical trials.

RECENT FINDINGS

Currently, the efficacy and safety of six BTK inhibitors are being evaluated in clinical trials in patients with relapsing and progressive MS. Evobrutinib, tolebrutinib and fenebrutinib have shown efficacy and safety in relapsing MS in phase 2 studies, and evobrutinib and tolebrutinib in their extension studies up to 3-5 years. However, evobrutinib failed to distinguish itself from the comparator drug teriflunomide in reduction of relapse rate (primary end point) in two phase 3 studies in relapsing MS.

SUMMARY

Inhibition of BTK has emerged as a promising therapeutic approach to target the CNS-compartmentalized inflammation. Results from phase 3 clinical trials will shed light on differences in efficacy and safety of BTK inhibitors and its potential role in the future MS landscape.

Shifting our attention earlier in the multiple sclerosis disease course

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Revisions of multiple sclerosis (MS) diagnostic criteria enable clinicians to diagnose patients earlier in the biologic disease course. Prompt initiation of therapy correlates with improved clinical outcomes. This has led to increased attention on the earliest stages of MS, including the MS prodrome and radiologically isolated syndrome (RIS). Here, we review current understanding and approach to patients with preclinical MS.

RECENT FINDINGS

MS disease biology often begins well before the onset of typical MS symptoms, and we are increasingly able to recognize preclinical and prodromal stages of MS. RIS represents the best characterized aspect of preclinical MS, and its diagnostic criteria were recently revised to better capture patients at highest risk of conversion to clinical MS. The first two randomized control trials evaluating disease modifying therapy use in RIS also found that treatment could delay or prevent onset of clinical disease.

SUMMARY

Despite progress in our understanding of the earliest stages of the MS disease course, additional research is needed to systematically identify patients with preclinical MS as well as capture those at risk for developing clinical disease. Recent data suggests that preventive immunomodulatory therapies may be beneficial for high-risk patients with RIS; though management remains controversial.

Recent advances in the treatment of primary and secondary progressive Multiple Sclerosis

BACKGROUND

The article highlights upcoming potential treatments, which target different phases of inflammation and offer remyelinating strategies as well as direct and indirect neuroprotective and oligodendrocyte protective effects, providing a hopeful outlook for patients with primary and secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (PPMS and SPMS).

OBJECTIVES

The review aims to identify potential treatments and ongoing clinical trials for PPMS and SPMS, and compare their mechanisms of action, efficacy, and side effects with current treatments.

METHODS

We reviewed ongoing clinical trials for PPMS and SPMS on the NIH website, as well as articles from PubMed, Embase, and clinicaltrails.gov since 2010.

RESULTS

BTKIs like, tolebrutinib, and fenebrutinib are being explored as potential PMS treatments. Vidofludimus calcium, an orally available treatment, has shown a reduction of active and new MRI lesions. Other treatments like simvastatin, N-acetylcysteine (NAC), and alpha-lipoic acid are being explored for their antioxidant properties. AHSCT and mesenchymal stem cell therapy are experimental options for younger patients with high inflammatory activity.

CONCLUSIONS

SPMS and PPMS are being studied for new treatments and future trials should consider combination therapies targeting inflammation, demyelination, and neuronal death, as the pathogenesis of PMS involves complex factors.

Olfactory threshold as a biomarker of long-term relapse activity in multiple sclerosis

BACKGROUND

Olfactory threshold (OT) is a marker of short-term inflammatory activity in multiple sclerosis (MS).

OBJECTIVE

To investigate whether OT predicts long-term MS clinical disease course.

METHODS

This was a 6-year prospective longitudinal study on MS patients at the MS clinic Innsbruck. Clinical visits assessing the occurrence of relapses, Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores, and disease-modifying treatment (DMT), were conducted biannually. OT testing was performed at baseline (BL), year 1 (Y1), year 2 (Y2) and year 6 (Y6), using the threshold subscore of the "Sniffin' Sticks" test. Cognitive function was assessed by the Symbol Digit Modalities Test.

RESULTS

Of 139 MS patients, 92 were eligible for Y6 follow-up. 68% experienced relapses, 53% EDSS worsening, 29% progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA) and 41% cognitive deterioration. OT scores were lower at BL, Y1 and Y2 in patients requiring DMT escalation. In multivariable analysis, higher OT scores at BL, Y1, Y2 and Y6 were associated with lower risk of relapse (hazard ratio, HR: 0.65-0.92) and EDSS worsening (HR: 0.86-0.89), while no associations were found for PIRA and cognitive deterioration.

CONCLUSIONS

OT is a potential surrogate marker for long-term inflammatory disease activity and DMT failure in MS.

Breakthrough COVID-19 in people with multiple sclerosis on disease modifying treatments: Is it still a severe disease?

INTRODUCTION

Disease modifying treatments (DMTs) for multiple sclerosis (MS) are effective in preventing both relapses and disability progression. Highly effective treatments (HETs) are more effective than platform therapy in preventing confirmed disability progression (CDP), when used early. Infections may complicate HETs administration, and their prevention through vaccination is crucial in order to assure the safety of people with MS (pwMS). The aim of the present study is to describe the effect of MS DMTs on COVID-19 vaccination and the risk of breakthrough infection in a cohort of pwMS.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This is a monocentric retrospective observational study conducted at the MS center of the Guglielmo da Saliceto Hospital in Piacenza, Italy. One hundred and fifty-seven (157) pwMS who received two doses of the SARS-CoV-2 vaccine (with 80.3 % receiving a booster dose) were included in the study.

RESULTS

fifty-six pwMS (35.7 %) were females, the mean age was 48.6 (SD: 12.87) years, and 59 (37.6 %) had at least one comorbidity. Twenty-five (15.9 %) breakthrough infections were observed, with 17 (68.0 %) classified as mild and 8 (32.0 %) as moderate. A multivariable linear regression model confirmed that B-cell suppressor DMTs and EDSS were factors associated with the latest antibody titre. Patients treated with B-cell suppressors exhibited a risk almost four times higher for breakthrough infections compared to other patients, with a hazard ratio (HR) of 3.72 (95 % CI: 1.50 - 9.27) (p = 0.005).

CONCLUSIONS

B-cell suppressor DMTs are associated with the risk of breakthrough COVID-19 in our cohort, but vaccination fully protected pwMS against severe breakthrough disease.

Montelukast as a repurposable additive drug for standard-efficacy multiple sclerosis treatment: Emulating clinical trials with retrospective administrative health claims data

BACKGROUND

Effective and safe treatment options for multiple sclerosis (MS) are still needed. Montelukast, a leukotriene receptor antagonist (LTRA) currently indicated for asthma or allergic rhinitis, may provide an additional therapeutic approach.

OBJECTIVE

The study aimed to evaluate the effects of montelukast on the relapses of people with MS (pwMS).

METHODS

In this retrospective case-control study, two independent longitudinal claims datasets were used to emulate randomized clinical trials (RCTs). We identified pwMS aged 18-65 years, on MS disease-modifying therapies concomitantly, in de-identified claims from Optum's Clinformatics® Data Mart (CDM) and IQVIA PharMetrics® Plus for Academics. Cases included 483 pwMS on montelukast and with medication adherence in CDM and 208 in PharMetrics Plus for Academics. We randomly sampled controls from 35,330 pwMS without montelukast prescriptions in CDM and 10,128 in PharMetrics Plus for Academics. Relapses were measured over a 2-year period through inpatient hospitalization and corticosteroid claims. A doubly robust causal inference model estimated the effects of montelukast, adjusting for confounders and censored patients.

RESULTS

pwMS treated with montelukast demonstrated a statistically significant 23.6% reduction in relapses compared to non-users in 67.3% of emulated RCTs.

CONCLUSION

Real-world evidence suggested that montelukast reduces MS relapses, warranting future clinical trials and further research on LTRAs' potential mechanism in MS.

Effects of Physical Therapy and Dalfampridine on Function and Quality of Life in Nonambulatory Individuals With Multiple Sclerosis: A Randomized Controlled Trial

BACKGROUND

Decreases in mobility, quality of life (QOL) and cognition are commonly seen in people with multiple sclerosis (MS). Physical therapy (PT) and exercise have been shown to improve many symptoms in ambulatory individuals with MS; however, evidence in nonambulatory people with MS is lacking. Dalfampridine is a US Food and Drug Administration-approved medication for MS that treats impaired ambulation by enhancing nerve conduction. To our knowledge, no study has examined the combined effect of PT and dalfampridine and very few studies have examined dalfampridine's effect on function in individuals with more progressive disease. The purpose of this study was to examine the effectiveness of PT combined with dalfampridine or a placebo on function, QOL, and cognition in nonambulatory individuals with MS. In addition, we explored the benefits of PT in all participants to increase the extremely limited research in this population.

METHODS

Adults with MS were randomly assigned to receive dalfampridine (n = 13) or placebo (n = 14) for 12 weeks in conjunction with PT treatment 2 times a week. Function, QOL, and cognition were assessed at baseline, 6 weeks, and 12 weeks.

RESULTS

There was a significant time × group interaction for the Multiple Sclerosis Quality of Life-54 favoring the placebo group. Both groups significantly improved on the 9-Hole Peg Test (left arm only), sitting lateral reach (right), transferring from wheelchair to mat, and repeated sit to stand.

CONCLUSIONS

The addition of dalfampridine to physical therapy did not improve function, QOL, or cognitive processing speed. Importantly, this study demonstrated an overall benefit in function and QOL with physical therapy 2 times a week for 12 weeks for nonambulatory individuals with MS.

Safety and Dose-Response of Vidofludimus Calcium in Relapsing Multiple Sclerosis: Extended Results of a Placebo-Controlled Phase 2 Trial

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Vidofludimus calcium suppressed MRI disease activity compared with placebo in patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) in the first cohort of the phase 2 EMPhASIS study. Because 30 mg and 45 mg showed comparable activity on multiple end points, the study enrolled an additional low-dose cohort to further investigate a dose-response relationship.

METHODS

In a randomized, placebo-controlled, phase 2 trial, patients with RRMS, aged 18-55 years, and with ≥2 relapses in the last 2 years or ≥1 relapse in the last year, and ≥1 gadolinium-enhancing brain lesion in the last 6 months. Patients were randomly assigned (1:1:1) vidofludimus calcium (30 or 45 mg) or placebo in cohort 1 and vidofludimus calcium (10 mg) or placebo (4:1) in cohort 2 for 24 weeks. The primary end point was the cumulative number of combined unique active (CUA) lesions at week 24. Secondary end points were clinical outcomes and safety.

RESULTS

Across cohorts 1 and 2, 268 patients were randomized to placebo (n = 81), 10 mg (n = 47) vidofludimus calcium, 30 mg (n = 71) vidofludimus calcium, or 45 mg (n = 69) vidofludimus calcium. The mean cumulative CUA lesions over 24 weeks was 5.8 (95% CI 4.1-8.2) for placebo, 5.9 (95% CI 3.9-9.0) for 10 mg treatment group, 1.4 (95% CI 0.9-2.1) for 30 mg treatment group, and 1.7 (95% CI 1.1-2.5) for 45 mg treatment group. Serum neurofilament light chain decreased in a dose-dependent manner. The number of patients with confirmed disability worsening after 24 weeks was 3 (3.7%) patients receiving placebo and 3 (1.6%) patients receiving any dose of vidofludimus calcium. Treatment-emergent adverse events occurred in 35 (43%) placebo patients compared with 11 (23%) and 71 (37%) patients in the 10 mg or any dose of vidofludimus calcium groups, respectively. The incidence of liver enzyme elevations and infections were similar between placebo and any dose of vidofludimus calcium. No new safety signals were observed.

DISCUSSION

Compared with placebo, vidofludimus calcium suppressed the development of new brain lesions with daily doses of 30 mg and 45 mg, but not 10 mg, establishing the lowest efficacious dose is 30 mg.

CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE

This study provides Class II evidence that among adults with active RRMS and ≥1 Gd+ brain lesion in the past 6 months, the cumulative number of active lesions decreased with vidofludimus calcium.

TRIAL REGISTRATION INFORMATION

ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT03846219) and EudraCT (2018-001896-19).

Substantial and comparable suppression of disease activity following early initiation of cladribine tablets, ocrelizumab or alemtuzumab as first pharmacologic treatment for relapsing multiple sclerosis: A real world study

BACKGROUND

We describe the efficacy and safety of recent high efficacy disease DMTs in DMT-naive patients with highly active RMS.

METHODS

This was a retrospective, cross sectional study from the Kuwait national MS registry. Patients with RMS who received alemtuzumab, cladribine tablets or ocrelizumab as their first DMT for RMS, with ≥2 year of follow up were included. The primary endpoint was the change in relapse rate from treatment initiation to 1 year; changes in disability (Expanded Disability Status Scale [EDSS]), radiologic activity, the proportion with no evidence of disease activity-3 (NEDA-3), and the frequency of adverse events were secondary endpoints.

RESULTS

Among 123 RRMS patients, 59 received ocrelizumab, 32 received cladribine tablets and 32 received alemtuzumab. About two-thirds (65%) were women. Substantial and similar (p>0.05) reductions occurred at the end of follow-up in annual relapse rate (by 93.2% for ocrelizumab, 87.5% for cladribine tablets, and 90.6% for alemtuzumab). The proportion with new T2 of gadolinium-enhancing MRI lesions across the three groups was reduced from 85-100% to 7-13%. Rates of confirmed disability progression were low (ocrelizumab 6.9%, cladribine tablets 3.1%, alemtuzumab 0%; p=0.280); disability was reduced in 15%, 22% and 38%, respectively. NEDA-3 was observed in 89.8%, 87.5%, and 84.4, respectively (p=0.784). No new or unexpected safety issues occurred.

CONCLUSION

Ocrelizumab, cladribine tablets and alemtuzumab reduced relapse rates and MRI activity, and prevented disease progression, when are initiated early in DMT-naive RMS patients. These data support the early use of high-efficacy DMTs for people with highly active RMS.

Male sexual and reproductive health in multiple sclerosis: a scoping review

BACKGROUND

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic neuroinflammatory disease with highest incidence during the period of optimal reproductive health. This scoping review aimed to identify and summarize available data on sexual/reproductive health in males with MS (MwMS).

METHODS

This review was based on PRISMA extension for Scoping Review. PubMed database was searched for keyword "multiple sclerosis" alongside keywords "sexual health", "reproductive health", "family planning", "male fertility", "male infertility", "sexual dysfunction", and "erectile dysfunction", iteratively using the "AND" logical operator. Descriptive analysis was performed on the included articles.

RESULTS

Thirty-four studies were included, and four topics emerged: sexual dysfunction, erectile dysfunction, fertility, and family planning. Sexual dysfunction is common in MwMS (35-72%), yet only a minority of MwMS discuss their sexual health with their treatment teams. Both MS disability and depression were associated with sexual dysfunction in MwMS, with erectile dysfunction and decreased libido as the most prevalent aspects of sexual dysfunction. Positively, phosphodiesterase-5 inhibitors appear effective for treating erectile dysfunction and improving sexual quality of life in MwMS. There may also be a relationship between MS and male infertility, though changes in sexual behavior may underlie this association. Finally, a prominent knowledge gap was observed for disease-modifying therapy use and family planning in MwMS.

CONCLUSION

Sexual dysfunction is common, impacted by MS severity, and associates with decreased quality of life in MwMS. Communication barriers regarding sexual and reproductive health appear to exist between MwMS and providers, as do literature gaps related to MS therapeutics and sexual/reproductive health.

BTK inhibition limits microglia-perpetuated CNS inflammation and promotes myelin repair

In multiple sclerosis (MS), persisting disability can occur independent of relapse activity or development of new central nervous system (CNS) inflammatory lesions, termed chronic progression. This process occurs early and it is mostly driven by cells within the CNS. One promising strategy to control progression of MS is the inhibition of the enzyme Bruton's tyrosine kinase (BTK), which is centrally involved in the activation of both B cells and myeloid cells, such as macrophages and microglia. The benefit of BTK inhibition by evobrutinib was shown as we observed reduced pro-inflammatory activation of microglia when treating chronic experimental autoimmune encephalomyelitis (EAE) or following the adoptive transfer of activated T cells. Additionally, in a model of toxic demyelination, evobrutinib-mediated BTK inhibition promoted the clearance of myelin debris by microglia, leading to an accelerated remyelination. These findings highlight that BTK inhibition has the potential to counteract underlying chronic progression of MS.

Synaptic injury in the inner plexiform layer of the retina is associated with progression in multiple sclerosis

While neurodegeneration underlies the pathological basis for permanent disability in multiple sclerosis (MS), predictive biomarkers for progression are lacking. Using an animal model of chronic MS, we find that synaptic injury precedes neuronal loss and identify thinning of the inner plexiform layer (IPL) as an early feature of inflammatory demyelination-prior to symptom onset. As neuronal domains are anatomically segregated in the retina and can be monitored longitudinally, we hypothesize that thinning of the IPL could represent a biomarker for progression in MS. Leveraging our dataset with over 800 participants enrolled for more than 12 years, we find that IPL atrophy directly precedes progression and propose that synaptic loss is predictive of functional decline. Using a blood proteome-wide analysis, we demonstrate a strong correlation between demyelination, glial activation, and synapse loss independent of neuroaxonal injury. In summary, monitoring synaptic injury is a biologically relevant approach that reflects a potential driver of progression.

Long-term follow up of alemtuzumab-treated patients: a retrospective study in a Belgian tertiary care center

BACKGROUND

Pivotal studies have reported a significant proportion of patients achieving no evidence of disease activity (NEDA) after 2 cycles of treatment with alemtuzumab (ATZ), that can be maintained for several years. Long-term real-world evidence regarding ATZ as well as subsequent treatment trajectories is still scarce.

OBJECTIVE

To analyze the effectiveness and safety of ATZ-treated patients in a tertiary care Belgian center.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study including 32 patients treated with ATZ between 2015 and 2021 was performed.

RESULTS

32 patients received 2 ATZ courses with a mean follow-up (FU) duration of 5.6 years (range: 2.25-8.2). 21.75% patients were treatment naïve. 40.5% were previously treated with natalizumab or fingolimod. NEDA-3 was achieved in 61.3-85% of patients, with failure mostly attributed to recurrence of radiological disease activity. During FU, annualized relapse rates remained very low (0.06-0.14), disability improvement occurred in up to 40.5%, whereas disability worsening occurred in up to 13.5%. Retreatment risk was associated with younger age (< 45 years old, Odds Ratio 8.0, p = 0.02) and a higher number of previous DMTs (Hazard ratio 2.7, 95%CI 1.3-7.4, p = 0.02). Safety in our cohort was consistent with the known profile of ATZ. At the end of FU, 65.6% patients remained untreated after 2 or 3 courses of ATZ, while the remaining switched to anti-CD20 therapy or cladribine.

CONCLUSION

ATZ is a high efficacy therapy for active MS, providing long-term remission in a significant proportion of patients. Retreatment was more frequent in younger patients or patients having failed a higher number of previous DMTs.

Cellular architecture of evolving neuroinflammatory lesions and multiple sclerosis pathology

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a neurological disease characterized by multifocal lesions and smoldering pathology. Although single-cell analyses provided insights into cytopathology, evolving cellular processes underlying MS remain poorly understood. We investigated the cellular dynamics of MS by modeling temporal and regional rates of disease progression in mouse experimental autoimmune encephalomyelitis (EAE). By performing single-cell spatial expression profiling using in situ sequencing (ISS), we annotated disease neighborhoods and found centrifugal evolution of active lesions. We demonstrated that disease-associated (DA)-glia arise independently of lesions and are dynamically induced and resolved over the disease course. Single-cell spatial mapping of human archival MS spinal cords confirmed the differential distribution of homeostatic and DA-glia, enabled deconvolution of active and inactive lesions into sub-compartments, and identified new lesion areas. By establishing a spatial resource of mouse and human MS neuropathology at a single-cell resolution, our study unveils the intricate cellular dynamics underlying MS.

Managing multiple sclerosis in individuals aged 55 and above: a comprehensive review

Multiple Sclerosis (MS) management in individuals aged 55 and above presents unique challenges due to the complex interaction between aging, comorbidities, immunosenescence, and MS pathophysiology. This comprehensive review explores the evolving landscape of MS in older adults, including the increased incidence and prevalence of MS in this age group, the shift in disease phenotypes from relapsing-remitting to progressive forms, and the presence of multimorbidity and polypharmacy. We aim to provide an updated review of the available evidence of disease-modifying treatments (DMTs) in older patients, including the efficacy and safety of existing therapies, emerging treatments such as Bruton tyrosine kinase (BTKs) inhibitors and those targeting remyelination and neuroprotection, and the critical decisions surrounding the initiation, de-escalation, and discontinuation of DMTs. Non-pharmacologic approaches, including physical therapy, neuromodulation therapies, cognitive rehabilitation, and psychotherapy, are also examined for their role in holistic care. The importance of MS Care Units and advance care planning are explored as a cornerstone in providing patient-centric care, ensuring alignment with patient preferences in the disease trajectory. Finally, the review emphasizes the need for personalized management and continuous monitoring of MS patients, alongside advocating for inclusive study designs in clinical research to improve the management of this growing patient demographic.

Identification and management of subclinical disease activity in early multiple sclerosis: a review

IMPORTANCE

Early treatment initiation in multiple sclerosis (MS) is crucial in preventing irreversible neurological damage and disability progression. The current assessment of disease activity relies on relapse rates and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) lesion activity, but inclusion of other early, often "hidden," indicators of disease activity may describe a more comprehensive picture of MS.

OBSERVATIONS

Early indicators of MS disease activity other than relapses and MRI activity, such as cognitive impairment, brain atrophy, and fatigue, are not typically captured by routine disease monitoring. Furthermore, silent progression (neurological decline not clearly captured by standard methods) may occur undetected by relapse and MRI lesion activity monitoring. Consequently, patients considered to have no disease activity actually may have worsening disease, suggesting a need to revise MS management strategies with respect to timely initiation and escalation of disease-modifying therapy (DMT). Traditionally, first-line MS treatment starts with low- or moderate-efficacy therapies, before escalating to high-efficacy therapies (HETs) after evidence of breakthrough disease activity. However, multiple observational studies have shown that early initiation of HETs can prevent or reduce disability progression. Ongoing randomized clinical trials are comparing escalation and early HET approaches.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

There is an urgent need to reassess how MS disease activity and worsening are measured. A greater awareness of "hidden" indicators, potentially combined with biomarkers to reveal silent disease activity and neurodegeneration underlying MS, would provide a more complete picture of MS and allow for timely therapeutic intervention with HET or switching DMTs to address suboptimal treatment responses.

Nestorone (segesterone acetate) effects on neuroregeneration

Nestorone® (segesterone acetate) is a progestin with a chemical structure closely related to progesterone with high affinity and selectivity for the progesterone receptor without significant interaction with other steroid receptors. It has been developed for female and male contraception and is FDA-approved in a first long-acting contraceptive vaginal system for female contraception. Its safety has been extensively demonstrated in both preclinical and clinical studies for contraceptive indications. Nestorone was found to display neuroprotective and neuroregenerative activity in animal models of various central nervous system diseases, including multiple sclerosis, stroke, and amyotrophic lateral sclerosis. Reviewed herein are neuroprotective and myelin- regenerating properties of Nestorone in various animal models and its translational potential as a therapeutic agent for debilitating neurological diseases for which limited therapeutic options are available (Table 1).

Late-onset multiple sclerosis: disability trajectories in relapsing-remitting patients of the Italian MS Registry

BACKGROUND

Generally infrequent, multiple sclerosis (MS) with late onset (LOMS) is characterized by an onset over the age of 50 and a mainly progressive course, while relapsing-remitting (RR) forms are less frequently observed and explored. This study aimed to characterize a large cohort of MS patients with RRMS at onset to assess the baseline factors related to the worst disability trajectories and explore the role of LOMS.

METHODS

The data were extracted from the Italian MS Register (IMSR). Disability trajectories, defined using at least two and up to twenty expanded disability status scale (EDSS) assessments annually performed, were implemented using group-based trajectory models (GBTMs) to identify different groups with the same trajectories over time. MS profiles were explored using multinomial logistic regression.

RESULTS

A total of 16,159 RR patients [1012 (6.26%) presented with LOMS] were analyzed. The GBTM identified four disability trajectories. The group with the most severe EDSS trend included 12.3% of the patients with a mean EDSS score > 4, which increased over time and exceeded 6 score. The group with medium severity EDSS trend comprised 21.9% of the patients and showed a change in EDSS > 3 scores over time. The largest group with 50.8% of patients reported a constant EDSS of 2 score. Finally, the benign group comprised 14.9% of the patients with a low and constant EDSS of 1 score over time. The probability of being in the worst groups increased if the patient was male; had LOMS or experienced brainstem, spinal, or supratentorial symptoms.

CONCLUSIONS

Four MS severity profiles among RRMS patients in the IMSR have been reported, with LOMS being associated with a rapid worsening of EDSS scores. These findings have important implications for recognizing and managing how older age, aging, and age-related factors interact with MS and its evolution.

Natalizumab promotes anti-inflammatory and repair effects in multiple sclerosis

BACKGROUND

Multiple sclerosis is an inflammatory and degenerative disease of the central nervous system leading to demyelination and axonal loss. Relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) is commonly treated by anti-inflammatory drugs, where one of the most effective drugs to date is the monoclonal antibody natalizumab.

METHODS

The cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) proteome was analyzed in 56 patients with RRMS before and after natalizumab treatment, using label-free mass spectrometry and a subset of the changed proteins were verified by parallel reaction monitoring in a new cohort of 20 patients, confirming the majority of observed changes.

RESULTS

A total of 287 differentially abundant proteins were detected including (i) the decrease of proteins with roles in immunity, such as immunoglobulin heavy constant mu, chitinase-3-like protein 1 and chitotriosidase, (ii) an increase of proteins involved in metabolism, such as lactate dehydrogenase A and B and malate-dehydrogenase cytoplasmic, and (iii) an increase of proteins associated with the central nervous system, including lactadherin and amyloid precursor protein. Comparison with the CSF-PR database provided evidence that natalizumab counters protein changes commonly observed in RRMS. Furthermore, vitamin-D binding protein and apolipoprotein 1 and 2 were unchanged during treatment with natalizumab, implying that these may be involved in disease activity unaffected by natalizumab.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study revealed that some of the previously suggested biomarkers for MS were affected by the natalizumab treatment while others were not. Proteins not previously suggested as biomarkers were also found affected by the treatment. In sum, the results provide new information on how the natalizumab treatment impacts the CSF proteome of MS patients, and points towards processes affected by the treatment. These findings ought to be explored further to disclose potential novel disease mechanisms and predict treatment responses.

Disease-modifying therapy use and health resource utilisation associated with multiple sclerosis over time: A retrospective cohort study from Alberta, Canada

BACKGROUND

Estimating multiple sclerosis (MS) prevalence and incidence, and assessing the utilisation of disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) and healthcare resources over time is critical to understanding the evolution of disease burden and impacts of therapies upon the healthcare system.

METHODS

A retrospective population-based study was used to determine MS prevalence and incidence (2003-2019), and describe utilisation of DMTs (2009-2019) and healthcare resources (1998-2019) among people living with MS (pwMS) using administrative data in Alberta.

RESULTS

Prevalence increased from 259 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 253-265) to 310 (95% CI: 304, 315) cases per 100,000 population, and incidence decreased from 21.2 (95% CI: 19.6-22.8) to 12.7 (95% CI: 11.7-13.8) cases per 100,000 population. The proportion of pwMS who received ≥1 DMT dispensation increased (24% to 31% annually); use of older platform injection therapies decreased, and newer oral-based, induction, and highly-effective therapies increased. The proportion of pwMS who had at least one MS-related physician, ambulatory, or tertiary clinic visits increased, and emergency department visits and hospitalizations decreased.

CONCLUSIONS

Alberta has one of the highest rates of MS globally. The proportion of pwMS who received DMTs and had outpatient visits increased, while acute care visits decreased over time. The landscape of MS care appears to be rapidly evolving in response to changes in disease burden and new highly-effective therapies.

Real-world experience of teriflunomide in relapsing multiple sclerosis: paramagnetic rim lesions may play a role

Objectives

The aims of this study were to report the effectiveness and safety of teriflunomide in Chinese patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) and to explore the association of paramagnetic rim lesion (PRL) burden with patient outcome in the context of teriflunomide treatment and the impact of teriflunomide on PRL burden.

Methods

This is a prospective observational study. A total of 100 RRMS patients treated with teriflunomide ≥3 months were included in analyzing drug persistence and safety. Among them, 96 patients treated ≥6 months were included in assessing drug effectiveness in aspects of no evidence of disease activity (NEDA) 3. The number and total volume of PRL were calculated in 76 patients with baseline susceptibility-weighted imaging (SWI), and their association with NEDA3 failure during teriflunomide treatment was investigated.

Results

Over a treatment period of 19.7 (3.1-51.7) months, teriflunomide reduced annualized relapse rate (ARR) from 1.1 ± 0.8 to 0.3 ± 0.5, and Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores remained stable. At month 24, the NEDA3% and drug persistence rate were 43.8% and 65.1%, respectively. In patients with a baseline SWI, 81.6% had at least 1 PRL, and 42.1% had ≥4 PRLs. The total volume of PRL per patient was 0.3 (0.0-11.5) mL, accounting for 2.3% (0.0%-49.0%) of the total T2 lesion volume. Baseline PRL number ≥ 4 (OR = 4.24, p = 0.009), younger onset age (OR = 0.94, p = 0.039), and frequent relapses in initial 2 years of disease (OR = 13.40, p = 0.026) were associated with NEDA3 failure. The PRL number and volume were not reduced (p = 0.343 and 0.051) after teriflunomide treatment for more than 24 months. No new safety concerns were identified in this study.

Conclusion

Teriflunomide is effective in reducing ARR in Chinese patients with RRMS. Patients with less PRL burden, less frequent relapses, and relatively older age are likely to benefit more from teriflunomide, indicating that PRL might be a valuable measurement to inform clinical treatment decision.

Best practices in phase III clinical trials on DMTs for multiple sclerosis: a systematic analysis and appraisal of published trials

BACKGROUND

Great advances have been made in the field of multiple sclerosis (MS) therapy due to the publication of numerous randomised clinical trials (RCTs). In this study, we carried out a critical appraisal of phase III RCTs of disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) for MS published after 2010, intending to identify critical areas of improvement.

METHODS

We performed a systematic search of published RCTs on MS from January 2010 until December 2021. RCTs were assessed using an ad-hoc tool. This tool was developed based on existing generic methodological instruments and MS-specific guidelines and methodological papers. It included 14 items grouped in 5 domains: methodological quality, adequacy and measurement of outcomes, adverse event reporting, applicability and relevance of results, and transparency and conflict of interest.

RESULTS

We identified 31 phase III RCTs. Most of them were fully compliant in terms of sample size (87%), randomisation (68%), blinding (61%), participant selection (68%), adverse event reporting (84%) and clinical relevance (52%). Only a few were compliant in terms of participant description (6%), comparison (42%), attrition bias (26%), adequacy of outcome measures (26%), applicability (23%), transparency (36%) and conflict of interest (6%). None were compliant in terms of analysis and reporting of outcomes. The most common limitations related to the absence of comorbidity data, unjustified use of placebo, inadequacy of outcomes design and absence of protocol and/or prospective registration.

CONCLUSIONS

RCTs for DMTs in MS have relevant and frequent limitations. These should be addressed to enhance their quality, transparency and external validity.

Clinical characterization of long-term multiple sclerosis (COLuMbus) patients in Argentina: A cross-sectional non-interventional study

BACKGROUND

Most Multiple Sclerosis (MS) clinical trials fail to assess the long-term effects of disease-modifying therapies (DMT) or disability.

METHODS

COLuMbus was a single-visit, cross-sectional study in Argentina in adult patients with ≥10 years of MS since first diagnosis. The primary endpoint was to determine patient disability using the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS). The secondary endpoints were to evaluate the distribution of diagnoses between relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) and secondary progressive MS (SPMS), patient demographics, disease history, and the risk of disability progression. The relationship between baseline characteristics and the current disability state and the risk of disability progression was assessed.

RESULTS

Out of the 210 patients included, 76.7 % had a diagnosis of RRMS and 23.3 % had been diagnosed with SPMS, with a mean disease duration of 17.9 years and 20.5 years, respectively. The mean delay in the initial MS diagnosis was 2.6 years for the RRMS subgroup and 2.8 years for the SPMS subgroups. At the time of cut-off (28May2020), 90.1 % (RRMS) and 75.5 % (SPMS) of patients were receiving a DMT, with a mean of 1.5 and 2.0 prior DMTs, respectively. The median EDSS scores were 2.5 (RRMS) and 6.5 (SPMS). In the RRMS and SPMS subgroups, 23 % and 95.9 % of patients were at high risk of disability, respectively; the time since first diagnosis showed a significant correlation with the degree of disability.

CONCLUSIONS

This is the first local real-world study in patients with long-term MS that highlights the importance of recognizing early disease progression to treat the disease on time and delay disability.

Evaluation of drivers of treatment switch in relapsing multiple sclerosis: a study from the Italian MS Registry

BACKGROUND

Active relapsing-remitting (RR) and secondary progressive (SP) multiple sclerosis (MS) are currently defined as "relapsing MS" (RMS). The aim of this cross-sectional study was to assess drivers of treatment switches due to clinical relapses in a population of RMS patients collected in the Italian MS and Related Disorders Register (I-MS&RD).

METHODS

RRMS and SPMS patients with at least one relapse in a time window of 2 years before of data extraction were defined as RMS. Factors associated with disease-modifying therapy (DMT) switching due to clinical activity were assessed through multivariable logistic regression models in which treatment exposure was included as the last recorded DMT and the last DMT's class [moderate-efficacy (ME), high-efficacy (HE) DMTs and anti-CD20 drugs].

RESULTS

A cohort of 4739 RMS patients (4161 RRMS, 578 SPMS) was extracted from the I-MS&RD. A total of 2694 patients switching DMTs due to relapses were identified. Switchers were significantly (p < 0.0001) younger, less disabled, more frequently affected by an RR disease course in comparison to non-switcher patients. The multivariable logistic regression models showed that Alemtuzumab (OR 0.08, 95% CI 0.02-0.37), Natalizumab (0.48, 0.30-0.76), Ocrelizumab (0.1, 0.02-0.45) and Rituximab (0.23, 0.06-0.82) exposure was a protective factor against treatment switch due to relapses. Moreover, the use of HE DMTs (0.43, 0.31-0.59), especially anti-CD20 drugs (0.14, 0.05-0.37), resulted to be a protective factor against treatment switch due to relapses in comparison with ME DMTs.

CONCLUSIONS

More than 50% of RMS switched therapy due to disease activity. HE DMTs, especially anti-CD20 drugs, significantly reduce the risk of treatment switch.

Robotic systems for upper-limb rehabilitation in multiple sclerosis: a SWOT analysis and the synergies with virtual and augmented environments

The robotics discipline is exploring precise and versatile solutions for upper-limb rehabilitation in Multiple Sclerosis (MS). People with MS can greatly benefit from robotic systems to help combat the complexities of this disease, which can impair the ability to perform activities of daily living (ADLs). In order to present the potential and the limitations of smart mechatronic devices in the mentioned clinical domain, this review is structured to propose a concise SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, and Threats) Analysis of robotic rehabilitation in MS. Through the SWOT Analysis, a method mostly adopted in business management, this paper addresses both internal and external factors that can promote or hinder the adoption of upper-limb rehabilitation robots in MS. Subsequently, it discusses how the synergy with another category of interaction technologies - the systems underlying virtual and augmented environments - may empower Strengths, overcome Weaknesses, expand Opportunities, and handle Threats in rehabilitation robotics for MS. The impactful adaptability of these digital settings (extensively used in rehabilitation for MS, even to approach ADL-like tasks in safe simulated contexts) is the main reason for presenting this approach to face the critical issues of the aforementioned SWOT Analysis. This methodological proposal aims at paving the way for devising further synergistic strategies based on the integration of medical robotic devices with other promising technologies to help upper-limb functional recovery in MS.

Long-term clinical outcomes in patients with multiple sclerosis who are initiating disease-modifying therapy with natalizumab compared with BRACETD first-line therapies

Background

Aggressive disease control soon after multiple sclerosis (MS) diagnosis may prevent irreversible neurological damage, and therefore early initiation of a high-efficacy disease-modifying therapy (DMT) is of clinical relevance.

Objectives

Evaluate long-term clinical outcomes in patients with MS who initiated treatment with either natalizumab or a BRACETD therapy (interferon beta, glatiramer acetate, teriflunomide, or dimethyl fumarate).

Design

This retrospective analysis utilized data from MSBase to create a matched population allowing comparison of first-line natalizumab to first-line BRACETD.

Methods

This study included patients who initiated treatment either with natalizumab or a BRACETD DMT within 1 year of MS diagnosis and continued treatment for ⩾6 months, after which patients could switch DMTs or discontinue treatment. Patients had a minimum follow-up time of ⩾60 months from initiation. A subgroup analysis compared the natalizumab group to patients in the BRACETD group who escalated therapy after 6 months. Outcomes included unadjusted annualized relapse rates (ARRs), time-to-first relapse, time-to-first confirmed disability improvement (CDI), and time-to-first confirmed disability worsening (CDW).

Results

After 1:1 propensity score matching, 355 BRACETD patients were matched to 355 natalizumab patients. Patients initiating natalizumab were less likely to experience a relapse over the duration of follow-up, with ARRs [95% confidence interval (CI)] of 0.080 (0.070-0.092) for natalizumab patients and 0.191 (0.178-0.205) for BRACETD patients (p < 0.0001). A Cox regression model of time-to-first relapse showed a reduced risk of relapse for natalizumab patients [hazard ratio (95% CI) of 0.52 (0.42-0.65); p < 0.001] and a more favorable time-to-first CDI. The risk of CDW was similar between groups. The subgroup analysis showed an increased relapse risk as well as a significantly higher risk of CDW for BRACETD patients.

Conclusion

Early initiation of natalizumab produced long-term benefits in relapse outcomes in comparison with BRACETD, regardless of a subsequent escalation in therapy.

Preferences, Adherence, and Satisfaction: Three Years of Treatment Experiences of People with Multiple Sclerosis

Background

To reduce the risk of long-term disability in people with Multiple Sclerosis (pwMS), an increasing number of disease-modifying immune therapies (DMT) are available, involving diverse mechanisms of action, levels of efficacy, treatment risks, and tolerability aspects. Including patient preferences and expectations in shared decision-making may improve treatment satisfaction, adherence, and persistence.

Purpose

To investigate long-term alignment of individual preferences and expectations of pwMS with their actual DMT and its effect on treatment satisfaction, health-related quality of life (HRQoL), adherence, and treatment discontinuation.

Methods

A total of 401 pwMS beginning a new DMT were enrolled from 2015 to 2018 in a non-interventional study at three German MS centres. Patient preferences regarding DMT, TSQM-9, SF36, and self-reported adherence as well as relapses and EDSS were recorded at baseline and every 3 to 6 months for up to 3 years.

Results

Efficacy and tolerability were the highest-ranking preferences at baseline. Actual selection of DMT corresponded more closely to safety than efficacy, tolerability, or convenience preferences. Participants reported excellent adherence throughout the study. DMT persistence was 69.0%, with earlier discontinuation for injectable vs oral or infusion therapies. Breakthrough disease, rather than patient-reported outcomes, was the main driver of DMT discontinuation. For all routes of administration, global treatment satisfaction increased over time despite lower satisfaction with convenience. Several patterns of changing preferences were observed.

Conclusion

This study provides insight into the interaction of DMT preferences of pwMS with their actual treatment experience. Treatment decisions should be aligned with long-term expectations of pwMS to promote continuous adherence.

Choroid plexus volume as a marker of retinal atrophy in relapsing remitting multiple sclerosis

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate choroid plexus (CP) volume as a biomarker for predicting clinical disability and retinal layer atrophy in relapsing remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS).

METHODS

Ninety-five RRMS patients and 26 healthy controls (HCs) underwent 3 T whole brain MRI, expanded disability status scale (EDSS) and optical coherence tomography (OCT). Fully automated intra-retinal segmentation was performed to obtain the volumes of the retinal nerve fiber layer (RNFL), combined ganglion cell layer -inner plexiform layer (GCIPL), inner nuclear layer (INL), outer plexiform layer (OPL), outer nuclear layer (ONL), retinal pigment epithelium (RPE), total macular volume (TMV) and papillomacular bundle (PMB). Automated segmentation of the CP within the lateral ventricles was performed and the choroid plexus volume (CPV) was normalized by total intracranial volume (TIV). Linear regression analysis and generalized estimating equation (GEE) models were applied to evaluate relationships between nCPV and EDSS, T2 lesion volume, disease duration, and retinal layer volumes, followed by Bonferroni correction analysis for multiple comparisons.

RESULTS

RRMS patients had larger tChPV compared to HCs (p < 0.001). After Bonferroni correction, there was a significant positive correlation between tChPV and EDSS (r2 = 0.25, p = 0.0002), disease duration (r2 = 0.30, p = 0.01), and T2 lesion volume (r2 = 0.39, p = 0.0000). A robust negative correlation was found between tChPV and RNFL (p < 0.001), GCIPL (p = 0.003), TMV (p = 0.0185), PMB (p < 0.0001), G (p = 0.04), T(p = 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings support the association of tChPV with disability and altered retinal integrity in RRMS.

Prognostic relevance of MRI in early relapsing multiple sclerosis: ready to guide treatment decision making?

Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) of the brain and spinal cord plays a crucial role in the diagnosis and monitoring of multiple sclerosis (MS). There is conclusive evidence that brain and spinal cord MRI findings in early disease stages also provide relevant insight into individual prognosis. This includes prediction of disease activity and disease progression, the accumulation of long-term disability and the conversion to secondary progressive MS. The extent to which these MRI findings should influence treatment decisions remains a subject of ongoing discussion. The aim of this review is to present and discuss the current knowledge and scientific evidence regarding the utility of MRI at early MS disease stages for prognostic classification of individual patients. In addition, we discuss the current evidence regarding the use of MRI in order to predict treatment response. Finally, we propose a potential approach as to how MRI data may be categorized and integrated into early clinical decision making.

Pathophysiology, Diagnosis, Treatment and Emerging Neurotherapeutic Targets for Progressive Multiple Sclerosis: The Age of PIRA

More than one million individuals are impacted by progressive forms of multiple sclerosis. The literature examining the management of MS has focused primarily on relapsing forms of disease, and effective therapies targeting progressive mechanisms in MS remains a significant unmet need. Despite this, there are several encouraging potential therapeutics on the horizon. Improved understanding of mechanisms underlying MS progression, identification and validation of biomarkers, identification of novel therapeutic targets, and improved trial design are needed to further propel progress in the management of individuals with progressive forms of MS.

An update on the role of magnetic resonance imaging in predicting and monitoring multiple sclerosis progression

INTRODUCTION

While magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is established in diagnosing and monitoring disease activity in multiple sclerosis (MS), its utility in predicting and monitoring disease progression is less clear.

AREAS COVERED

The authors consider changing concepts in the phenotypic classification of MS, including progression independent of relapses; pathological processes underpinning progression; advances in MRI measures to assess them; how well MRI features explain and predict clinical outcomes, including models that assess disease effects on neural networks, and the potential role for machine learning.

EXPERT OPINION

Relapsing-remitting and progressive MS have evolved from being viewed as mutually exclusive to having considerable overlap. Progression is likely the consequence of several pathological elements, each important in building more holistic prognostic models beyond conventional phenotypes. MRI is well placed to assess pathogenic processes underpinning progression, but we need to bridge the gap between MRI measures and clinical outcomes. Mapping pathological effects on specific neural networks may help and machine learning methods may be able to optimize predictive markers while identifying new, or previously overlooked, clinically relevant features. The ever-increasing ability to measure features on MRI raises the dilemma of what to measure and when, and the challenge of translating research methods into clinically useable tools.

Current knowledge on multiple sclerosis pathophysiology, disability progression assessment and treatment options, and the role of autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplantation

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is an autoimmune disease of the central nervous system (CNS) that affects nearly 2.8 million people each year. MS distinguishes three main types: relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS), secondary progressive MS (SPMS) and primary progressive MS (PPMS). RRMS is the most common type, with the majority of patients eventually progressing to SPMS, in which neurological development is constant, whereas PPMS is characterized by a progressive course from disease onset. New or additional insights into the role of effector and regulatory cells of the immune and CNS systems, Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) infection, and the microbiome in the pathophysiology of MS have emerged, which may lead to the development of more targeted therapies that can halt or reverse neurodegeneration. Depending on the type and severity of the disease, various disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) are currently used for RRMS/SPMS and PPMS. As a last resort, and especially in highly active RRMS that does not respond to DMTs, autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (AHSCT) is performed and has shown good results in reducing neuroinflammation. Nevertheless, the question of its potential role in preventing disability progression remains open. The aim of this review is to provide a comprehensive update on MS pathophysiology, assessment of MS disability progression and current treatments, and to examine the potential role of AHSCT in preventing disability progression.

Haematopoietic stem cell transplantation for treatment of relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis in Sweden: an observational cohort study

BACKGROUND

A growing evidence base supports the use of autologous haematopoietic stem cell transplantation (aHSCT) for treatment of relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS), but it has not yet been integrated into most national clinical guidelines. The objective of this study was to assess efficacy and safety when aHSCT is implemented in routine healthcare.

METHODS

We assessed 231 patients and the final analysis included 174 RRMS patients who were treated with aHSCT in Sweden before 1 January 2020. Efficacy was evaluated by performing a retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data from the Swedish MS registry. Procedure-related safety was assessed by analysing data from electronic patient records covering a period of 100 days following aHSCT.

RESULTS

With a median follow-up time of 5.5 (IQR: 3.4-7.5) years, the Kaplan-Meier estimate for no evidence of disease activity was 73% (95% CI 66% to 81%) at 5 years and 65% (95% CI 57% to 75%) at 10 years. Out of the 149 patients with baseline disability, 80 (54%) improved, 55 (37%) were stable and 14 (9%) deteriorated. The mean number of adverse events per patient was 1.7 (±SD: 1.5) for grade 3 events and 0.06 (±SD: 0.3) for grade 4 events. Febrile neutropenia was the most common adverse event, affecting 68% of patients. There was no treatment-related mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Treatment with aHSCT for RRMS is associated with freedom from disease activity in a majority of patients, with acceptable adverse events. This procedure should be considered a standard of care for patients with highly active RRMS.

Association of Spinal Cord Atrophy and Brain Paramagnetic Rim Lesions With Progression Independent of Relapse Activity in People With MS

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA) is a crucial determinant of overall disability accumulation in multiple sclerosis (MS). Accelerated brain atrophy has been shown in patients experiencing PIRA. In this study, we assessed the relation between PIRA and neurodegenerative processes reflected by (1) longitudinal spinal cord atrophy and (2) brain paramagnetic rim lesions (PRLs). Besides, the same relationship was investigated in progressive MS (PMS). Last, we explored the value of cross-sectional brain and spinal cord volumetric measurements in predicting PIRA.

METHODS

From an ongoing multicentric cohort study, we selected patients with MS with (1) availability of a susceptibility-based MRI scan and (2) regular clinical and conventional MRI follow-up in the 4 years before the susceptibility-based MRI. Comparisons in spinal cord atrophy rates (explored with linear mixed-effect models) and PRL count (explored with negative binomial regression models) were performed between: (1) relapsing-remitting (RRMS) and PMS phenotypes and (2) patients experiencing PIRA and patients without confirmed disability accumulation (CDA) during follow-up (both considering the entire cohort and the subgroup of patients with RRMS). Associations between baseline MRI volumetric measurements and time to PIRA were explored with multivariable Cox regression analyses.

RESULTS

In total, 445 patients with MS (64.9% female; mean [SD] age at baseline 45.0 [11.4] years; 11.2% with PMS) were enrolled. Compared with patients with RRMS, those with PMS had accelerated cervical cord atrophy (mean difference in annual percentage volume change [MD-APC] -1.41; p = 0.004) and higher PRL load (incidence rate ratio [IRR] 1.93; p = 0.005). Increased spinal cord atrophy (MD-APC -1.39; p = 0.0008) and PRL burden (IRR 1.95; p = 0.0008) were measured in patients with PIRA compared with patients without CDA; such differences were also confirmed when restricting the analysis to patients with RRMS. Baseline volumetric measurements of the cervical cord, whole brain, and cerebral cortex significantly predicted time to PIRA (all p ≤ 0.002).

DISCUSSION

Our results show that PIRA is associated with both increased spinal cord atrophy and PRL burden, and this association is evident also in patients with RRMS. These findings further point to the need to develop targeted treatment strategies for PIRA to prevent irreversible neuroaxonal loss and optimize long-term outcomes of patients with MS.

Development of a predictive model for predicting disability after optic neuritis: a secondary analysis of the Optic Neuritis Treatment Trial

Objective

The present study aimed to develop a prediction model for predicting developing debilities after optic neuritis.

Methods

The data for this research was obtained from the Optic Neuritis Treatment Trial (ONTT). The predictive model was built based on a Cox proportional hazards regression model. Model performance was assessed using Harrell's C-index for discrimination, calibration plots for calibration, and stratification of patients into low-risk and high-risk groups for utility evaluation.

Results

A total of 416 patients participated. Among them, 101 patients (24.3%) experienced disability, which was defined as achieving or surpassing a score of 3 on the expanded disability status scale. The median follow-up duration was 15.5 years (interquartile range, 7.0 to 16.8). Two predictors in the final predictive model included the classification of multiple sclerosis at baseline and the condition of the optic disk in the affected eye at baseline. Upon incorporating these two factors into the model, the model's C-index stood at 0.71 (95% CI, 0.66-0.76, with an optimism of 0.005) with a favorable alignment with the calibration curve. By utilizing this model, the ONTT cohort can be categorized into two risk categories, each having distinct rates of disability development within a 15-year timeframe (high-risk group, 41% [95% CI, 31-49%] and low-risk group, 13% [95% CI, 8.4-17%]; log-rank p-value of <0.001).

Conclusion

This predictive model has the potential to assist physicians in identifying individuals at a heightened risk of experiencing disability following optic neuritis, enabling timely intervention and treatment.