The International Society for Bipolar Disorders (ISBD) Task Force report on the nomenclature of course and outcome in bipolar disorders

Nicotine use and non-pathological alcohol use and their relationship to affective symptoms and sleep disturbances in bipolar disorder

BACKGROUND

The use of alcohol and nicotine can negatively impact the course of bipolar disorder (BD), but there is limited knowledge about how symptoms and sleep disturbances are related to concurrent nicotine use and non-pathological use of alcohol.

METHODS

We investigated how nicotine use and non-pathological use of alcohol relates to affective symptoms and sleep disturbances in 453 participants with BD without substance use disorders. Manic symptoms were assessed with the Young Mania Rating Scale, and depressive symptoms with The Inventory of Depressive Symptomatology, Clinician-Rated (IDS-C). Sleep-related questions from IDS-C were used to create proxy variables for sleep disturbances, including Insomnia and Hypersomnia. Multinomial regression analysis was conducted to investigate the associations between nicotine use and sleep disturbances, controlling for possible confounders such as current use of illicit drugs and psychopharmacological treatment.

RESULTS

Depressive and manic symptoms were not associated with the concurrent level of alcohol or nicotine use. Individuals with medium and high levels of daily nicotine use had higher risk of insomnia than those without. Non-pathological alcohol use was not associated with sleep disturbances.

LIMITATIONS

Sleep disturbances were based on items from the IDS-C questionnaire.

CONCLUSION

We found an elevated risk for insomnia in individuals with BD and medium or high levels of daily nicotine use. We found no association between the level of affective symptoms and the level of use of alcohol or nicotine. The direction of the relationship between nicotine use and insomnia needs clarification, as it is highly relevant for treatment planning.

Neurological and cerebellar soft signs in bipolar disorder: The role of staging, type and history of psychotic symptoms

AIM

Bipolar disorder (BD) patients show neurological abnormalities in form of neurological and cerebellar soft signs (NSS and CSS). NSS represents heterogeneous group of symptoms representing i.a. deficits of motor coordination, sequencing of complex motor acts and sensory integration. CSS were introduced as group of the neurological deficits of posture, gait, kinetic functions, eye movements and speech, associated more specifically to cerebellar abnormalities than NSS. Studies show significant effect size variability of those symptoms in BD group suggesting the existence of differing subpopulations. The aim of our study was to evaluate the effect of BD type, stage and the history of psychotic symptoms (HoPS) on the severity of CSS and NSS as none of the previous studies had verified the role of those categories.

METHODS

This study involved 181 participants: 116 euthymic BD patients (66 BD I, 50 BD II) and 65 healthy controls (HC). CSS was assessed with the International Cooperative Ataxia Rating Scale and NSS with Neurological Evaluation Scale. Patients were divided into early and late stage of the disorder according to Kapczinski's criteria. Rater was blind to patients' stage, type and HoPS.

RESULTS

Staging was related to vast majority of CSS and NSS scores. HoPS was related to oculomotor deficits. The effect of BD type was the least significant. Late stage BD showed more severe CSS and NSS than HC in every measure. There were no differences between early stage BD and HC, apart of posture and gait disturbances. Except of sensory integration scores, late stage BD showed higher CSS and NSS rates than early stage patients.

CONCLUSION

In this hitherto the largest study of neurological abnormalities in BD we have shown significant role of staging in CSS and NSS severity. Progression criteria based on inter-episode psychosocial functioning may stand as unrecognised factor responsible for variability observed in previous studies evaluating neurological abnormalities in BD. Our study suggests that in clinical practice NSS and CSS may be potentially used as easy-to-assess biological marker of BD staging. Observed severity of neurological impairments of BD patients may more likely correspond to the disease progression than to BD type and HoPS.

Antidepressants that increase mitochondrial energetics may elevate risk of treatment-emergent mania

Preclinical evidence suggests that antidepressants (ADs) may differentially influence mitochondrial energetics. This study was conducted to investigate the relationship between mitochondrial function and illness vulnerability in bipolar disorder (BD), specifically risk of treatment-emergent mania (TEM). Participants with BD already clinically phenotyped as TEM+ (n = 176) or TEM- (n = 516) were further classified whether the TEM associated AD, based on preclinical studies, increased (Mito+, n = 600) or decreased (Mito-, n = 289) mitochondrial electron transport chain (ETC) activity. Comparison of TEM+ rates between Mito+ and Mito- ADs was performed using generalized estimating equations to account for participants exposed to multiple ADs while adjusting for sex, age at time of enrollment into the biobank and BD type (BD-I/schizoaffective vs. BD-II). A total of 692 subjects (62.7% female, 91.4% White, mean age 43.0 ± 14.0 years) including 176 cases (25.3%) of TEM+ and 516 cases (74.7%) of TEM- with previous exposure to Mito+ and/or Mito- antidepressants were identified. Adjusting for age, sex and BD subtype, TEM+ was more frequent with antidepressants that increased (24.7%), versus decreased (13.5%) mitochondrial energetics (OR = 2.21; p = 0.000009). Our preliminary retrospective data suggests there may be merit in reconceptualizing AD classification, not solely based on monoaminergic conventional drug mechanism of action, but additionally based on mitochondrial energetics. Future prospective clinical studies on specific antidepressants and mitochondrial activity are encouraged. Recognizing pharmacogenomic investigation of drug response may extend or overlap to genomics of disease risk, future studies should investigate potential interactions between mitochondrial mechanisms of disease risk and drug response.

Affective temperaments mediate aggressive dimensions in bipolar disorders: A cluster analysis from a large, cross-sectional, international study

BACKGROUND

Affective temperaments show potential for aggressive behavior (AB) preventive strategies in bipolar disorder (BD). We aim to define intra-diagnostic subgroups of patients with BD based on homogeneous behaviors related to AB. Subsequently, to assess whether affective temperament dimensions may contribute to the presence and severity of AB.

METHODS

Patients with BD were recruited. AB was evaluated through the modified overt aggression scale (MOAS); affective temperaments were assessed with the TEMPS-A. A cluster analysis was conducted based on TEMPS-A and MOAS scores. Stepwise backward logistic regression models were used to identify the predictive factors of cluster membership.

RESULTS

799 patients with BD were enrolled. Three clusters were determined: non-aggressive (55.5 %), self-aggressive (18 %), and hetero-aggressive (26.5 %). Depressive, irritable, and anxious temperament scores significantly increased from the non-aggressive (lower) to the self-aggressive (intermediate) and the hetero-aggressive group (highest). A positive history of a suicide attempt (B = 5.131; OR = 169.2, 95 % CI 75.9; 377) and rapid cycling (B = -0.97; OR = 0.40, 95 % CI 0.17; 0.95) predicted self-aggressive cluster membership. Atypical antipsychotics (B = 1.19; OR = 3.28, 95 % CI 2.13; 5.06) or SNRI treatment (B = 1.09; OR = 3, 95 % CI 1.57; 5.71), psychotic symptoms (B = 0.73; OR = 2.09, 95 % CI 1.34; 3.26), and history of a suicide attempt (B = -1.56; OR = 0.20, 95 % CI 0.11; 0.38) predicted hetero-aggressive cluster membership.

LIMITATIONS

Recall bias might have affected the recollection of AB.

CONCLUSIONS

Clinical factors orientate the prevention of different ABs in BD. Affective temperaments might play a role in preventing AB since patients with more pronounced affective temperaments might have an increased risk of showing AB, in particular hetero-AB.

Habitual light exposure and circadian activity rhythms in bipolar disorder: A cross-sectional analysis of the APPLE cohort

BACKGROUND

Circadian activity rhythm disruption is a core feature in bipolar disorder. We investigated whether light exposure in daily life is associated with circadian activity rhythms in patients with bipolar disorder.

METHODS

In a cross-sectional study, we enrolled 194 outpatients with bipolar disorder who were participants of the Association between Pathology of Bipolar Disorder and Light Exposure in Daily Life (APPLE) cohort study. The participants' physical activity and daytime illuminance were measured using an actigraph over 7 consecutive days. Nighttime illuminance in the bedroom was measured using a portable photometer. Circadian activity rhythm parameters were calculated using cosinor analysis and a nonparametric circadian rhythm analysis.

RESULTS

The median daytime illuminance and nighttime illuminance were 224.5 lx (interquartile range, 154.5-307.5 lx) and 2.3 lx (0.3-9.4 lx), respectively. Multivariable linear regression analysis, adjusted for potential confounding factors, showed that higher daytime illuminance was significantly associated with higher amplitude and most active continuous 10-hour period, advanced acrophase, higher interdaily stability, and lower intradaily variability. Higher nighttime illuminance was significantly associated with lower relative amplitude, delayed onset of the least active continuous 5-hour period, and higher intradaily variability.

LIMITATIONS

As this was a cross-sectional study, the results do not necessarily imply that light exposure alters circadian activity rhythms.

CONCLUSIONS

Daytime light exposure was associated with a positive effect and nighttime light exposure with a negative effect on circadian activity rhythms in bipolar disorder.

Procollagen type 1 N-terminal propeptide, neurofilament light chain, proinflammatory cytokines, and cognitive function in bipolar and major depressive disorders: An exploratory study of brain- bone axis and systemic inflammation

BACKGROUND

Higher levels of neurofilament light chain (NfL) and proinflammatory cytokines (i.e., tumor necrosis factor [TNF]-α) were observed in patients with bipolar disorder (BD) and major depressive disorder (MDD). Procollagen type 1 N-terminal propeptide (P1NP), a bone turnover biomarker, is related to MDD. The association among the brain-bone axis, systemic inflammation, and cognitive function remains unclear in severe affective disorders.

METHODS

Overall, 25 patients with BD, 24 with MDD, and 29 matched controls were enrolled in the current study and underwent the measurements of the NfL, P1NP, and proinflammatory cytokine levels and 1-back and 2-back working memory tasks. Generalized linear models (GLMs) were used to examine the aforementioned biomarkers between the groups and clarify the association with each other.

RESULTS

GLMs showed increased levels of NfL (p = 0.001, p = 0.020) and P1NP (p = 0.050, p = 0.032) in the patients with BD and MDD than in the controls and suggested significant correlations between the NfL level and the mean time of the 2-back working memory task (p = 0.038) and between P1NL and TNF-α levels (p < 0.001).

DISCUSSION

Our study revealed the dysregulated brain-bone axis, indicated by elevated NfL and P1NP levels, and related cognitive impairment and systemic inflammation in the patients with BD and MDD. Additional studies are necessary to elucidate definite pathomechanisms underlying those conditions.

"A sense of the bigger picture:" A qualitative analysis of follow-up interviews with people with bipolar disorder who self-reported psilocybin use

OBJECTIVES

People with bipolar disorder (BD) spend more time depressed than manic/hypomanic, and depression is associated with greater impairments in psychosocial functioning and quality of life than mania/hypomania. Emerging evidence suggests psilocybin, the psychoactive compound in "magic mushrooms," is a promising treatment for unipolar depression. Clinical trials of psilocybin therapy have excluded people with BD as a precaution against possible adverse effects (e.g., mania). Our study centered the experiences of adults living with BD who consumed psilocybin-containing mushrooms, and aimed to (1) understand its subjective impacts on BD symptoms, (2) deepen understanding of Phase I survey results, and (3) elucidate specific contextual factors associated with adverse reactions in naturalistic settings.

METHODS

Following an international survey (Phase I), follow-up interviews were conducted with 15 respondents (Phase II) to further understand psilocybin use among adults with BD. As part of a larger mixed-methods explanatory sequential design study, reflexive thematic analysis was used to elaborate findings.

RESULTS

Three major themes containing sub-themes were developed. (1) Mental Health Improvements: (1.1) decreased impact and severity of depression, (1.2) increased emotion processing, (1.3) development of new perspectives, and (1.4) greater relaxation and sleep. (2) Undesired Mental Health Impacts: (2.1) changes in sleep, (2.2) increased mania severity, (2.3) hospitalization, and (2.4) distressing sensory experiences. (3) Salient Contextual Factors for psilocybin use included: (3.1) poly-substance use and psilocybin dose, (3.2) solo versus social experiences, and (3.3) pre-psilocybin sleep deprivation.

CONCLUSION

Our findings demonstrate both benefits and risks of psilocybin use in this population. Carefully designed clinical trials focused on safety and preliminary efficacy are warranted.

Which patients with bipolar depression receive antidepressant augmentation? Results from an observational multicenter study

BACKGROUND

To identify demographic and clinical characteristics of bipolar depressed patients who require antidepressant (AD) augmentation, and to evaluate the short- and long-term effectiveness and safety of this therapeutic strategy.

METHODS

One hundred twenty-two bipolar depressed patients were consecutively recruited, 71.7% of them received mood stabilizers (MS)/second-generation antipsychotics (SGA) with AD-augmentation and 28.3% did not. Patients were evaluated at baseline, and after 12 weeks and 15 months of treatment.

RESULTS

The AD-augmentation was significantly higher in patients with bipolar II compared with bipolar I diagnosis. Patients with MS/SGA + AD had often a seasonal pattern, depressive polarity onset, depressive index episode with anxious features, a low number of previous psychotic and (hypo)manic episodes and of switch. They had a low irritable premorbid temperament, a low risk of suicide attempts, and a low number of manic symptoms at baseline. After 12 weeks of treatment, 82% of patients receiving ADs improved, 58% responded and 51% remitted, 3.8% had suicidal thoughts or projects, 6.1% had (hypo)manic switch, and 4.1% needed hospitalization. During the following 12 months, 92% of them remitted from index episode, 25.5% did not relapse, and 11% needed hospitalization. Although at the start advantaged, patients with AD-augmentation, compared with those without AD-augmentation, did not significantly differ on any outcome as well on adverse events in the short- and long-term treatment.

CONCLUSION

Our findings indicate that ADs, combined with MS and/or SGA, are short and long term effective and safe in a specific subgroup for bipolar depressed patients.

The clinical characterization of the adult patient with bipolar disorder aimed at personalization of management

Bipolar disorder is heterogeneous in phenomenology, illness trajectory, and response to treatment. Despite evidence for the efficacy of multimodal-ity interventions, the majority of persons affected by this disorder do not achieve and sustain full syndromal recovery. It is eagerly anticipated that combining datasets across various information sources (e.g., hierarchical "multi-omic" measures, electronic health records), analyzed using advanced computational methods (e.g., machine learning), will inform future diagnosis and treatment selection. In the interim, identifying clinically meaningful subgroups of persons with the disorder having differential response to specific treatments at point-of-care is an empirical priority. This paper endeavours to synthesize salient domains in the clinical characterization of the adult patient with bipolar disorder, with the overarching aim to improve health outcomes by informing patient management and treatment considerations. Extant data indicate that characterizing select domains in bipolar disorder provides actionable information and guides shared decision making. For example, it is robustly established that the presence of mixed features - especially during depressive episodes - and of physical and psychiatric comorbidities informs illness trajectory, response to treatment, and suicide risk. In addition, early environmental exposures (e.g., sexual and physical abuse, emotional neglect) are highly associated with more complicated illness presentations, inviting the need for developmentally-oriented and integrated treatment approaches. There have been significant advances in validating subtypes of bipolar disorder (e.g., bipolar I vs. II disorder), particularly in regard to pharmacological interventions. As with other severe mental disorders, social functioning, interpersonal/family relationships and internalized stigma are domains highly relevant to relapse risk, health outcomes, and quality of life. The elevated standardized mortality ratio for completed suicide and suicidal behaviour in bipolar disorder invites the need for characterization of this domain in all patients. The framework of this paper is to describe all the above salient domains, providing a synthesis of extant literature and recommendations for decision support tools and clinical metrics that can be implemented at point-of-care.

Symptom Severity Mixity in Older-Age Bipolar Disorder: Analyses From the Global Aging and Geriatric Experiments in Bipolar Disorder Database (GAGE-BD)

OBJECTIVE

Some individuals with bipolar disorder (BD) experience manic and depressive symptoms concurrently, but data are limited on symptom mixity in older age bipolar disorder (OABD). Using the Global Aging & Geriatric Experiments in Bipolar Disorder Database, we characterized mixity in OABD and associations with everyday function.

METHODS

The sample (n = 805), from 12 international studies, included cases with both mania and depression severity ratings at a single timepoint. Four mixity groups were created: asymptomatic (A), mixed (Mix), depressed only (Dep), and manic only (Man). Generalized linear mixed models used mixity group as the predictor variable; cohort was included as a random intercept. Everyday function was assessed with the Global Assessment of Functioning score.

RESULTS

Group proportions were Mix (69.6%; n = 560), followed by Dep (18.4%; n = 148), then A (7.8%; n = 63), then Man (4.2%; n= 34); levels of depression and mania were similar in Mix compared to Dep and Man, respectively. Everyday function was lowest in Mix, highest in A, and intermediate in Man and Dep. Within Mix, severity of depression was the main driver of worse functioning. Groups differed in years of education, with A higher than all others, but did not differ by age, gender, employment status, BD subtype, or age of onset.

CONCLUSIONS

Mixed features predominate in a cross-sectional, global OABD sample and are associated with worse everyday function. Among those with mixed symptoms, functional status relates strongly to current depression severity. Future studies should include cognitive and other biological variables as well as longitudinal designs to allow for evaluation of causal effects.

Comparing adaptive coding of reward in bipolar I disorder and schizophrenia

Deficits in neural processing of reward have been described in both bipolar disorder (BD) and schizophrenia (SZ), but it remains unclear to what extent these deficits are caused by similar mechanisms. Efficient reward processing relies on adaptive coding which allows representing large input spans by limited neuronal encoding ranges. Deficits in adaptive coding of reward have previously been observed across the SZ spectrum and correlated with total symptom severity. In the present work, we sought to establish whether adaptive coding is similarly affected in patients with BD. Twenty-five patients with BD, 27 patients with SZ and 25 healthy controls performed a variant of the Monetary Incentive Delay task during functional magnetic resonance imaging in two reward range conditions. Adaptive coding was impaired in the posterior part of the right caudate in BD and SZ (trend level). In contrast, BD did not show impaired adaptive coding in the anterior caudate and right precentral gyrus/insula, where SZ showed deficits compared to healthy controls. BD patients show adaptive coding deficits that are similar to those observed in SZ in the right posterior caudate. Adaptive coding in BD appeared more preserved as compared to SZ participants especially in the more anterior part of the right caudate and to a lesser extent also in the right precentral gyrus. Thus, dysfunctional adaptive coding could constitute a fundamental deficit in severe mental illnesses that extends beyond the SZ spectrum.

Specific metabolic syndrome components predict cognition and social functioning in people with type 2 diabetes mellitus and severe mental disorders

OBJECTIVE

Obesity and metabolic diseases such as metabolic syndrome (MetS) are more prevalent in people with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), major depressive disorder (MDD), bipolar disorder (BD), and schizophrenia (SZ). MetS components might be associated with neurocognitive and functional impairments in these individuals. The predictive and discriminatory validity of MetS and its components regarding those outcomes were assessed from prospective and transdiagnostic perspectives.

METHODS

Metabolic syndrome components and neurocognitive and social functioning were assessed in 165 subjects, including 30 with SZ, 42 with BD, 35 with MDD, 30 with T2DM, and 28 healthy controls (HCs). A posteriori, individuals were classified into two groups. The MetS group consisted of those who met at least three of the following criteria: abdominal obesity (AO), elevated triglycerides (TG), reduced high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL), elevated blood pressure (BP), and elevated fasting glucose (FPG); the remaining participants comprised the No-MetS group. Mixed one-way analysis of covariance and linear and binary logistic regression analyses were performed.

RESULTS

Cognitive impairment was significantly greater in the MetS group (n = 82) than in the No-MetS group (n = 83), with small effect sizes (p < 0.05; η²p = 0.02 - 0.03). In both groups, the most robust associations between MetS components and neurocognitive and social functioning were observed with TG and FPG (p < 0.05). There was also evidence for a significant relationship between cognition and BP in the MetS group (p < 0.05). The combination of TG, FPG, elevated systolic BP and HDL best classified individuals with greater cognitive impairment (p < 0.001), and TG was the most accurate (p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

Specific MetS components are significantly associated with cognitive impairment across somatic and psychiatric disorders. Our findings provide further evidence on the summative effect of MetS components to predict cognition and social functioning and allow the identification of individuals with worse outcomes. Transdiagnostic, lifestyle-based therapeutic interventions targeted at that group hold the potential to improve health outcomes.

Smartphone-based interventions in bipolar disorder: Systematic review and meta-analyses of efficacy. A position paper from the International Society for Bipolar Disorders (ISBD) Big Data Task Force

BACKGROUND

The clinical effects of smartphone-based interventions for bipolar disorder (BD) have yet to be established.

OBJECTIVES

To examine the efficacy of smartphone-based interventions in BD and how the included studies reported user-engagement indicators.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic search on January 24, 2022, in PubMed, Scopus, Embase, APA PsycINFO, and Web of Science. We used random-effects meta-analysis to calculate the standardized difference (Hedges' g) in pre-post change scores between smartphone intervention and control conditions. The study was pre-registered with PROSPERO (CRD42021226668).

RESULTS

The literature search identified 6034 studies. Thirteen articles fulfilled the selection criteria. We included seven RCTs and performed meta-analyses comparing the pre-post change in depressive and (hypo)manic symptom severity, functioning, quality of life, and perceived stress between smartphone interventions and control conditions. There was significant heterogeneity among studies and no meta-analysis reached statistical significance. Results were also inconclusive regarding affective relapses and psychiatric readmissions. All studies reported positive user-engagement indicators.

CONCLUSION

We did not find evidence to support that smartphone interventions may reduce the severity of depressive or manic symptoms in BD. The high heterogeneity of studies supports the need for expert consensus to establish ideally how studies should be designed and the use of more sensitive outcomes, such as affective relapses and psychiatric hospitalizations, as well as the quantification of mood instability. The ISBD Big Data Task Force provides preliminary recommendations to reduce the heterogeneity and achieve more valid evidence in the field.

Sexual dysfunction among males and females with bipolar disorder and healthy subjects: The burden of illness severity

OBJECTIVES

Sexual dysfunction has wide-ranging impacts on the person's functioning and quality of life, being associated with higher severity of psychiatric illnesses and poor therapeutic response. Given the paucity of data on this topic in bipolar disorder (BD), we investigated sexual functioning among males and females with BD and healthy controls (HCs) as well as whether illness severity markers and subthreshold mood symptoms were associated with sexual dysfunctions in BD patients.

METHODS

The study included 80 BD outpatients and 70 HCs. Sexual functioning was evaluated using the validated, gender-specific Changes in Sexual Functioning Questionnaire (CSFQ-14).

RESULTS

BD patients had a significantly poorer sexual functioning than HCs (p < 0.00001). The odds of sexual dysfunction doubled given a one-unit increase in the number of suicide attempts (adjusted OR = 2.01, 95% CI:1.23-3.55; p < 0.01) and increased by 60% for every additional hospitalization (p < 0.05). Greater illness duration was associated with arousal/orgasmic (p < 0.05) and overall sexual dysfunctions (p < 0.01). BD patients with more mixed or (hypo)manic episodes had a lower likelihood of libido loss and arousal/orgasmic disturbances (p < 0.01), respectively. Higher levels of subthreshold depressive symptoms increased by 20% the odds of sexual interest/frequency dysfunctions (p < 0.05), and up to 60% regarding orgasmic disturbances (p < 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Sexual functioning may be a useful proxy of illness severity as well as a relevant dimension to more deeply characterize BD patients. Further studies are warranted to replicate our findings, to evaluate temporal associations between sexual dysfunctions and illness severity across the BD mood and treatment spectrums and to explore neurobiological underpinnings of these associations.

Effect of nighttime bedroom light exposure on mood episode relapses in bipolar disorder

OBJECTIVE

A previous cross-sectional study reported that nighttime light is associated with increased occurrence of manic symptoms in bipolar disorder; however, the longitudinal association between nighttime light and subsequent mood episode relapses remains unclear. We determined whether bedroom nighttime light was associated with mood episode relapses in patients with bipolar disorder.

METHODS

This prospective cohort study included 172 outpatients with bipolar disorder who participated in an Association between the Pathology of Bipolar Disorder and Light Exposure in Daily Life (APPLE) cohort study. A portable photometer was used to measure illuminance in the bedroom from bedtime to rising time during 7 consecutive nights for baseline assessment. Then, the participants were assessed at a 2-year follow-up for mood episode relapses.

RESULTS

Of the 172 participants, 157 (91%) completed the 2-year follow-up, and 39 (22%) experienced manic or hypomanic episodes (with or without mixed features), during that time. In the Cox proportional-hazards model, the hazard ratio (HR) for manic/hypomanic episode relapses was significantly higher when the average nighttime illuminance was ≥3 lux (n = 71) than when it was <3 lux (n = 101; HR, 2.54; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.33-4.84). In the multivariable model adjusted for a propensity score in relation to nighttime light, the relationship remained significant (HR, 2.17; 95% CI, 1.04-4.52). The association between nighttime light and depressive episode relapses was not significantly different.

CONCLUSIONS

Keeping the bedroom dark at night may prevent hypomanic and manic episodes.

Determinants of three-year clinical outcomes in real-world outpatients with bipolar disorder: The multicenter treatment survey for bipolar disorder in psychiatric outpatient clinics (MUSUBI)

BACKGROUND

There is limited evidence regarding predictors of long-term clinical outcomes in patients with bipolar disorder (BD). The objective of this study was to describe 3-year clinical outcomes and identify their predictors from participants in the multicenter treatment survey for BD in psychiatric outpatient clinics (MUSUBI).

METHODS

The MUSUBI was a naturalistic study investigating patients with BD in real-world clinical practice. Our study extracted data regarding 1647 outpatients with BD from 2016, 2017, and 2019 as baseline, 1-year, and 3-year assessments. As clinical outcomes, we assessed the presence of time ill (depressive and manic) during the 1 year prior to the 3-year assessment and durable remission (53 weeks or more) prior to the 3-year assessment.

RESULTS

Participants with durable remission prior to the 3-year assessment had significant associations with diagnosis of a personality disorder and duration of continuous remission at baseline. Regarding the presence of depressive symptoms during the 1 year prior to the 3-year assessment, work status, Global Assessment of Functioning (GAF) scores, suicidal ideation, and duration of continuous remission at baseline had significant associations with this outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

At the 3-year assessment, 19.3% of participants (318/1647) achieved durable remission, while 47.5% of them (782/1647) were not remitted. Our findings can help clinicians predict the illness course of BD by understanding demographic and clinical characteristics.

Levels of circulating endothelial progenitor cells inversely correlate with manic and positive symptom severity in patients with bipolar disorder

OBJECTIVES

Patients with bipolar disorder (BPD) are at high risk of cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) that are attributed to endothelial dysfunction. Circulating endothelial progenitor cells (cEPCs) are proposed as indicators of endothelial dysfunction. This study examined the relationship of cEPC numbers with BPD diagnosis and its clinical symptoms in patients with BPD.

METHODS

We recruited 48 patients with BPD and 50 healthy controls (HCs). All the patients had scores of <13 on the Young Mania Rating Scale (YMRS). In addition to the YMRS and Clinical Global Impression for BPD (CGI-BP), bipolar patients were assessed using relevant measurements for their depression, anxiety, general psychopathology, cognitive dysfunction and deficit, somatic symptoms, quality of life, and level of disability. cEPC counts were measured using flow cytometry.

RESULTS

The numbers of immature and mature cEPCs in the bipolar patients did not significantly differ from those in the HCs. After correction for multiple comparisons and controlling for body mass index and smokers, the number of immature cEPCs was observed to be inversely correlated with CGI-BP (corrected p [p_corr ] = .00018) and positive scores in the positive and negative syndrome scale (PANSS-P; p_corr  = .0049). The number of mature cEPCs was inversely correlated with YMRS (p_corr  = .014), CGI-BP (p_corr  = .00022), and PANSS-P (p_corr  = .0049) scores. In multivariate stepwise analysis, numbers of both types of cEPCs were associated with CGI-BP.

CONCLUSIONS

cEPC levels, an indicator of endothelial dysfunction and risk of CVDs, may be associated manic and positive symptom severities in patients with BPD.

The Patient Mania Questionnaire (PMQ-9): a Brief Scale for Assessing and Monitoring Manic Symptoms

BACKGROUND

Measurement-based care is an effective clinical strategy underutilized for bipolar disorder partly due to lacking a widely adopted patient-reported manic symptom measure.

OBJECTIVE

To report development and psychometric properties of a brief patient-reported manic symptom measure.

DESIGN

Secondary analysis of data collected in a randomized effectiveness trial comparing two treatments for 1004 primary care patients screening positive for bipolar disorder and/or PTSD.

PARTICIPANTS

Two analytic samples included 114 participants with varied diagnoses and test-retest data, and 179 participants with psychiatrist-diagnosed bipolar disorder who had two or more assessments with the nine-item Patient Mania Questionnaire-9 [PMQ-9]).

MAIN MEASURES

Internal and test-retest reliability, concurrent validity, and sensitivity to change were assessed. Minimally important difference (MID) was estimated by standard error of measurement (SEM) and by standard deviation (SD) effect sizes.

KEY RESULTS

The PMQ-9 had high internal reliability (Cronbach's alpha = 0.88) and test-retest reliability (0.85). Concurrent validity correlation with manic symptom measures was high for the Internal State Scale-Activation Subscale (0.70; p<0.0001), and lower for the Altman Mania Rating Scale (0.26; p=0.007). Longitudinally, PMQ-9 was completed at 1511 clinical encounters in 179 patients with bipolar disorder. Mean PMQ-9 score at first and last encounters was 14.5 (SD 6.5) and 10.1 (SD 7.0), a 27% decrease in mean score during treatment, suggesting sensitivity to change. A point estimate of the MID was approximately 3 points (range of 2-4).

CONCLUSIONS

The PMQ-9 demonstrated excellent test-retest reliability, concurrent validity, internal consistency, and sensitivity to change and was widely used and acceptable to patients and clinicians in a pragmatic clinical trial. Combined with the Patient Health Questionnaire-9 (PHQ-9) measure of depressive symptoms this brief measure could inform measurement-based care for individuals with bipolar disorder in primary care and mental health care settings given its ease of administration and familiar self-report response format.

Antidepressant Treatment and Manic Switch in Bipolar I Disorder: A Clinical and Molecular Genetic Study

Affective switch is an important clinical issue when treating bipolar disorder. Though commonly seen in clinical practice, the benefits of prescribing antidepressants for bipolar depression are still controversial. To date, there have been few genetic studies and no genome-wide association study (GWAS), focusing on manic switch following bipolar depression. This study aims to investigate the effects of individual genomics and antidepressant medication on the risk of manic switch in bipolar I disorder (BPI). A total of 1004 patients with BPI who had at least one depressive episode with complete data on antidepressant treatment and outcome were included. Clinical assessment of mania and depression was performed by trained psychiatric nurses and psychiatrists using the Chinese version of the Schedules for Clinical Assessment in Neuropsychiatry (SCAN), and the diagnosis of BPI was made according to DSM-IV criteria. Manic switch was defined as a manic episode occurring within eight weeks of remission from an acute depressive episode. The age at first depressive episode of the study patients was 30.7 years (SD 12.5) and 56% of all patients were female. GWAS was carried out in a discovery group of 746 patients, followed by replication in an independent group of 255 patients. The top SNP rs10262219 on chromosome 7 showed the strongest allelic association with manic switch (p = 2.21 × 10−7) in GWAS, which was however not significantly replicated. Antidepressant treatment significantly (odds ratio 1.7; 95% CI 1.3−2.2; p < 0.001) increased the risk of manic switch. In logistic regression analysis, the CC genotype of rs10262219 (odds ratio 3.0; 95% CI 1.7−5.2) and antidepressant treatment (odds ratio 2.3; 95% CI 1.4−3.7) significantly increased the risk of manic switch with a joint effect (odds ratio 5.9; 95% CI 3.7−9.4). In conclusion, antidepressant medication and rs10262219 variants jointly increased the risk of manic switch after bipolar depression.

Looking for factors affecting functioning in euthymic patients with bipolar I disorder: the importance of cognitive complaints and BDNF's Val66Met polymorphism

INTRODUCTION

Functioning in Bipolar Disorder (BD) is affected in a substantial proportion of patients. The impact of demographic, clinical, cognitive, and genetic factors on functioning has been shown individually; however, as a complex phenomenon, a global approach to identify the most relevant as well as possible interactions is needed.

METHODS

102 patients with type I BD in euthymia were invited for evaluation of demographic, clinical, and cognitive characteristics as well as genotype for Val66Met polymorphism of BDNF gene to determine those associated with poor functioning according to the FAST scale cut-off score. Clinical evaluation included assessment of residual affective symptoms and anxiety. Cognitive evaluation included the COBRA scale, verbal memory, and executive functions testing.

RESULTS

Residual depressive symptoms, anxiety, cognitive complaints and being a Met carrier were more frequent in the poor functioning group and were entered in a logistic regression model. Being a Met carrier (OR=4.46, CI=1.19-16.67) and cognitive complaints (OR=1.29, CI= 1.13-1.46) were the most important predictors of poor functioning in type I BD.

LIMITATIONS

Cross-sectional study, with select population limiting generalizability of findings.

CONCLUSIONS

A better understanding of underlying factors affecting cognition, including the possible involvement of BDNF Val66Met polymorphism, its systematic evaluation and a continued search for targeted treatment, along with recognition and attention of residual affective and anxious symptoms might improve psychosocial outcomes such as functioning in this population.

Association between childhood maltreatment and the clinical course of bipolar disorders: A survival analysis of mood recurrences

OBJECTIVES

Childhood maltreatment, also referred as childhood trauma, increases the severity of bipolar disorders (BD). Childhood maltreatment has been associated with more frequent mood recurrences, however, mostly in retrospective studies. Since scarce, further prospective studies are required to identify whether childhood maltreatment may be associated with the time to recurrence in BD.

METHODS

Individuals with BD (N = 2008) were assessed clinically and for childhood maltreatment at baseline, and followed up for two years. The cumulative probability of mood recurrence over time was estimated with the Turnbull's extension of the Kaplan-Meier analysis for interval-censored data, including childhood maltreatment as a whole, and then maltreatment subtypes as predictors. Analyses were adjusted for potential confounding factors.

RESULTS

The median duration of follow-up was 22.3 months (IQR:12.0-24.8). Univariable analyses showed associations between childhood maltreatment, in particular all types of abuses (emotional, physical, and sexual) or emotional neglect, and a shorter time to recurrence (all p < 0.001). When including potential confounders into the multivariable models, the time to mood recurrence was associated with multiple/severe childhood maltreatment (i.e., total score above the 75th percentile) (HR = 1.32 95%CI (1.11-1.57), p = 0.002), and more specifically with moderate/severe physical abuse (HR = 1.44 95%CI(1.21-1.73), p < 0.0001). Living alone, lifetime anxiety disorders, lifetime number of mood episodes, baseline depressive and (hypo)manic symptoms, and baseline use of atypical antipsychotics were also associated with the time to recurrence.

CONCLUSIONS

In addition to typical predictors of mood recurrences, an exposure to multiple/severe forms of childhood maltreatment, and more specifically to moderate to severe physical abuse, may increase the risk for a mood recurrence in BD. This leads to the recommendations of more scrutiny and denser follow-up of the individuals having been exposed to such early-life stressors.

Major Depression and Its Recurrences: Life Course Matters

Major depression is one of the most prevalent and debilitating personal and public health conditions worldwide. Less appreciated is that depression's tremendous burdens are not shared equally among all who become depressed. Some will suffer recurrences over the rest of their lives, whereas half or more will never have a recurrence. Based on these two distinctive life course prototypes, we propose a subtype distinction for research on the origins and lifetime course of major depression. A pressing goal is to determine at the time of depression's first onset who will follow which clinical trajectory. The lack of recognition of this distinction has resulted in many obstacles, including conceptual biases, methodological oversights, and definitional dead ends. Current theories are reviewed and compared. The implications for contemporary diagnostic controversies, reevaluating research on treatment and prevention, and enhancing the predictive strength of traditionally weak indicators of recurrences and recurrent depression are discussed. Expected final online publication date for the Annual Review of Clinical Psychology, Volume 18 is May 2022. Please see http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates for revised estimates.

A Smartphone-Based Self-management Intervention for Individuals With Bipolar Disorder (LiveWell): Empirical and Theoretical Framework, Intervention Design, and Study Protocol for a Randomized Controlled Trial

Background

Bipolar disorder is a severe mental illness with high morbidity and mortality rates. Even with pharmacological treatment, frequent recurrence of episodes, long episode durations, and persistent interepisode symptoms are common and disruptive. Combining psychotherapy with pharmacotherapy improves outcomes; however, many individuals with bipolar disorder do not receive psychotherapy. Mental health technologies can increase access to self-management strategies derived from empirically supported bipolar disorder psychotherapies while also enhancing treatment by delivering real-time assessments, personalized feedback, and provider alerts. In addition, mental health technologies provide a platform for self-report, app use, and behavioral data collection to advance understanding of the longitudinal course of bipolar disorder, which can then be used to support ongoing improvement of treatment.

Objective

A description of the theoretical and empirically supported framework, design, and protocol for a randomized controlled trial (RCT) of LiveWell, a smartphone-based self-management intervention for individuals with bipolar disorder, is provided to facilitate the ability to replicate, improve, implement, and disseminate effective interventions for bipolar disorder. The goal of the trial is to determine the effectiveness of LiveWell for reducing relapse risk and symptom burden as well as improving quality of life (QOL) while simultaneously clarifying behavioral targets involved in staying well and better characterizing the course of bipolar disorder and treatment response.

Methods

The study is a single-blind RCT (n=205; 2:3 ratio of usual care vs usual care plus LiveWell). The primary outcome is the time to relapse. Secondary outcomes are percentage time symptomatic, symptom severity, and QOL. Longitudinal changes in target behaviors proposed to mediate the primary and secondary outcomes will also be determined, and their relationships with the outcomes will be assessed. A database of clinical status, symptom severity, real-time self-report, behavioral sensor, app use, and personalized content will be created to better predict treatment response and relapse risk.

Results

Recruitment and screening began in March 2017 and ended in April 2019. Follow-up ended in April 2020. The results of this study are expected to be published in 2022.

Conclusions

This study will examine whether LiveWell reduces relapse risk and symptom burden and improves QOL for individuals with bipolar disorder by increasing access to empirically supported self-management strategies. The role of selected target behaviors (medication adherence, sleep duration, routine, and management of signs and symptoms) in these outcomes will also be examined. Simultaneously, a database will be created to initiate the development of algorithms to personalize and improve treatment for bipolar disorder. In addition, we hope that this description of the theoretical and empirically supported framework, intervention design, and study protocol for the RCT of LiveWell will facilitate the ability to replicate, improve, implement, and disseminate effective interventions for bipolar and other mental health disorders.

Trial Registration

ClinicalTrials.gov NCT03088462; https://www.clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT03088462

International Registered Report Identifier (IRRID)

DERR1-10.2196/30710

Improving the Assessment Process of Family Functioning in Adult Bipolar Disorders: A PRISMA Systematic Review

In order to determine family functioning in the treatment of adults with bipolar disorders, guidelines are needed regarding the way family functioning may be assessed. The present systematic review aims to investigate how family functioning is assessed in this context. Following PRISMA guidelines, a total of 29 studies were reviewed. Results showed that although there was no consensual family functioning assessment across studies, 27 studies (93%) relied on self-report questionnaires, 12 studies (41%) relied on one family member as an informant (adult with bipolar disorder or other) and the adult considered was mostly a woman in the acute phase of bipolar I disorder. Significant heterogeneity was observed in the assessment of family functioning. Methodological considerations regarding the assessment of family functioning are discussed.

Motor activity patterns can distinguish between interepisode bipolar disorder patients and healthy controls

BACKGROUND

Bipolar disorder (BD) is linked to circadian rhythm disruptions resulting in aberrant motor activity patterns. We aimed to explore whether motor activity alone, as assessed by longitudinal actigraphy, can be used to classify accurately BD patients and healthy controls (HCs) into their respective groups.

METHODS

Ninety-day actigraphy records from 25 interepisode BD patients (ie, Montgomery-Asberg Depression Rating Scale (MADRS) and Young Mania Rating Scale (YMRS) < 15) and 25 sex- and age-matched HCs were used in order to identify latent actigraphic biomarkers capable of discriminating between BD patients and HCs. Mean values and time variations of a set of standard actigraphy features were analyzed and further validated using the random forest classifier.

RESULTS

Using all actigraphy features, this method correctly assigned 88% (sensitivity = 85%, specificity = 91%) of BD patients and HCs to their respective group. The classification success may be confounded by differences in employment between BD patients and HCs. When motor activity features resistant to the employment status were used (the strongest feature being time variation of intradaily variability, Cohen's d = 1.33), 79% of the subjects (sensitivity = 76%, specificity = 81%) were correctly classified.

CONCLUSION

A machine-learning actigraphy-based model was capable of distinguishing between interepisode BD patients and HCs solely on the basis of motor activity. The classification remained valid even when features influenced by employment status were omitted. The findings suggest that temporal variability of actigraphic parameters may provide discriminative power for differentiating between BD patients and HCs while being less affected by employment status.

Efficacy and safety of 24-week pramipexole augmentation in patients with treatment resistant depression. A retrospective cohort study

Pramipexole is a dopamine agonist with potential antidepressant, neuroprotective, antioxidant and anti-inflammatory activity. In the present study we investigated the 24 weeks effect and safety of traditional AD augmentation with pramipexole for treatment-resistant depression. The study includes 116 patients, 37 (32%) with bipolar disorders and 79 (68%) with major depressive disorder, who failed to respond to at least 2 ADs trials of different classes and that were treated with AD augmented with pramipexole. Mood stabilizers and/or second-generation antipsychotics were added in patients with bipolar or mixed depression. Exclusion criteria were psychotic depression, rapid cycling bipolar course and previous unsuccessful treatment with pramipexole. After 24 weeks of pramipexole augmentation (median max dose 1.05 mg/day, IQR 0.72-1.08) 74.1% of patients responded (≥50% reduction of baseline Hamilton Depression Rating Scale₂₁ total score) and 66.4% remitted (Hamilton Depression Rating Scale₂₁ total score < 7). Global Assessment of Functioning score significantly increase from 53 (50-60) at baseline to 80 (71-81) at 24 weeks (Wilcoxon signed rank test = 8.174, p < 0.001]. Ten patients (8.6%) dropped out (8 due to side effects and 2 for lack of efficacy) and 1 experienced an induced hypomanic switch. No patient committed a suicide attempt, had suicidal ideation, needed hospitalization, reported lethargy, gambling, hypersexuality and compulsive shopping. The limitations of the study are the observational design, the lack of a control group, the inclusion of outpatients only, the unblinded outcomes assessment, and the flexibility of the add-on schedule. The findings of the present study showed that off-label use of pramipexole as augmentation of traditional AD is an effective and safe 24 weeks treatment of resistant unipolar and bipolar depression. These results need confirmation from randomized clinical trials on larger samples.

Secondary Mania induced by TNF-α inhibitors: A systematic review

A growing number of studies support a bidirectional relationship between inflammation and bipolar disorders. Tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α) inhibitors have recently attracted interest as potential therapeutic compounds for treating depressive symptoms, but the risk for triggering mood switches in patients with or without bipolar disorders remains controversial. Thus, we conducted a systematic review to study the anti-TNF-α medication-induced manic or hypomanic episodes. PubMed, Scopus, Medline, and Embase databases were screened for a comprehensive literature search from inception until November 2020, using The Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. Out of the initial 75 references, the screening resulted in the inclusion of four case reports (each describing one patient) and a cohort study (in which 40 patients out of 7600-0.53% - experienced elated mood episodes after infliximab administration). Of these 44 patients, 97.7% experienced a manic episode and 2.3% hypomania. 93.2% of patients had no history of psychiatric disorder or psychotropic treatment. Only 6.8% had a history of psychiatric disorders with the affective spectrum (4.6% dysthymia and 2.3% bipolar disorder). The time of onset of manic or hypomanic symptoms varied across TNF-α inhibitors with an early onset for Infliximab and a later onset for Adalimumab and Etanercept. These findings suggest that medications targeting the TNF-α pathway may trigger a manic episode in patients with or without affective disorders. However, prospective studies are needed to evaluate the relative risk of such side effects and identify the population susceptible to secondary mania.

Effect of long acting injectable antipsychotics on course and hospitalizations in bipolar disorder - a naturalistic mirror image study

PURPOSE

To determining whether the addition of a long-acting injectable antipsychotic (LAI-AP) has a positive effect on prognosis in bipolar disorder.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Medical records of patients with bipolar disorder who were using LAI-AP at least for one year in the community mental health center (CMHC) until March 2020 were investigated. Comparisons were made between the period of one year before and after the initiation of LAI-AP. Hospital admission was the primary outcome. Residual symptom severity and functionality were evaluated with Personal and Social Performance Scale (PSP), Young Mania Rating Scale (YMRS), and Beck Depression Inventory (BDI).

RESULTS

There were 197 patients with bipolar disorder who were attending to the CMHC and 17 of them were under maintenance treatment with LAI-AP for at least one year. The LAI-APs used were aripiprazole (n = 8), paliperidone (n = 5) and risperidone (n = 4). Duration of illness was 13.5 ± 8.02 years and duration of LAI-AP treatment was 24.8 ± 22.74 months (median: 18). During the one-year period after the LAI-AP initiation, there were fewer days spent in hospital (2.5 ± 5.68 vs. 15.5 ± 20.59 days, p = .026) and the number of hospitalizations was lower than the year before the LAI-AP use (0.1 ± 0.39 vs. 0.9 ± 1.24 hospitalizations, p = .013). During the recovery period with LAI antipsychotics, there were mild residual symptoms presented with mean PSP (70.2), YMRS (1.7) and BDI (7.6) scores.

CONCLUSION

LAI-AP use may have positive effect on course for selected patients with a long history of bipolar disorder.

Comparison of objective and subjective sleep parameters in patients with bipolar disorder in both euthymic and residual symptomatic periods

BACKGROUND

Sleep disturbance is a core feature of bipolar disorder; hence, sleep must be accurately assessed in patients with bipolar disorder. Subjective sleep assessment tools such as sleep diary and questionnaires are often used clinically for assessing sleep in these patients. However, the insight into whether these tools are as accurate as objective tools, such as actigraphy, remains controversial.

METHODS

This cross-sectional study included 164 outpatients with a diagnosis of bipolar disorder, including patients who had euthymic and residual symptomatic periods. Objective sleep assessment was conducted prospectively using actigraphy for 7 consecutive days, whereas subjective sleep assessment was conducted prospectively using a sleep diary.

RESULTS

The correlations were high and moderate between sleep diary and actigraphy when assessing the total sleep time and sleep onset latency, respectively (r = 0.81 and 0.47). These correlations remained significant after correction for multiple testing (both p < 0.001) and in both euthymic and residual symptomatic states (total sleep time: r = 0.86 and 0.77; sleep onset latency: r = 0.51 and 0.40, respectively). The median (interquartile ranges) of the percentage difference (sleep diary parameters minus actigraphy parameters divided by actigraphy parameter) in the total sleep time was relatively small (6.2% [-0.2% to 13.6%]).

CONCLUSIONS

Total sleep time assessment using a sleep diary could be clinically useful in the absence of actigraphy or polysomnography.

Understanding the Barriers and Facilitators to Employment for People with Bipolar Disorder

People with Bipolar Disorder (BD) consistently report a desire for employment; however, this is not reflected in employment figures. Individuals' perceptions of barriers to employment, along with endorsement of facilitators to employment remain under-investigated. We aimed to address this limitation by: (i) first examining differences in employed versus unemployed individuals (demographic, clinical, functioning); then (ii) identifying barriers and/or facilitators to employment, perception of same, and subsequent impact on employment. We assessed demographics, functioning, and illness-related characteristics in 35 participants with BD (19 employed, 16 unemployed). Participants were asked to indicate perception of common barriers and facilitators to employment. Groups did not differ regarding demographic or clinical variables. High levels of absenteeism, termination of last role and commonly perceived barriers were attributed to mental ill-health. 93.3% of unemployed participants reportedly desired employment, and more perceived barriers were observed in the unemployed group. Identified facilitators included increased support and flexible work strategies. A comprehensive understanding of perceptions of limiting and helpful factors related to employment for people with BD was obtained. These findings have implications for service provision, encouraging targeted discussion, and tailored treatment approaches to individual's unique perceptions of factors related to employment.

Consensus on nomenclature for clinical staging models in bipolar disorder: A narrative review from the International Society for Bipolar Disorders (ISBD) Staging Task Force

OBJECTIVES

Clinical staging is widely used in medicine to map disease progression, inform prognosis, and guide treatment decisions; in psychiatry, however, staging remains a hypothetical construct. To facilitate future research in bipolar disorders (BD), a well-defined nomenclature is needed, especially since diagnosis is often imprecise with blurred boundaries, and a full understanding of pathophysiology is lacking.

METHODS

Under the auspices of the International Society of Bipolar Disorders, a Task Force of international experts was convened to review, discuss, and integrate findings from the scientific literature relevant to the development of a consensus staging model and standardize a terminology that could be used to advance future research including staging of BD and related disorders.

RESULTS

Consensus opinion and areas of uncertainty or difference were identified in regard to terms referring to staging as it may apply to BD, to at-risk status and subthreshold stages, and to various clinical stages of BD as it is currently diagnosed.

CONCLUSION

The use of a standardized nomenclature about the clinical stages of BD will facilitate communication about research on clinical and pathological components of this heterogeneous group of disorders. The concepts presented are based on current evidence, but the template provided allows for further refinements as etiological advances come to light.

Duration of untreated illness and bipolar disorder: time for a new definition? Results from a cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

We primarily aimed to explore the associations between duration of untreated illness (DUI), treatment response, and functioning in a cohort of patients with bipolar disorder (BD).

METHODS

261 participants with BD were recruited. DUI was defined as months from the first affective episode to the start of a mood-stabilizer. The functioning assessment short test (FAST) scores and treatment response scores for lithium, valproate, or lamotrigine according to the Alda Scale Total Score (TS) were compared between patients with short (<24 months) or long DUI. Differences in FAST scores among good (GR; TS≥7), poor (PR; TS=2-6), or non-responders (NR; TS<2) to each mood-stabilizer were analyzed. Linear regression was computed using the FAST global score as the dependent variable.

RESULTS

DUI and FAST scores showed no statistically significant correlation. Patients with a longer DUI showed poorer response to lithium (Z=-3.196; p<0.001), but not to valproate or lamotrigine. Response to lithium (β=-1.814; p<0.001), number of hospitalizations (β=0.237; p<0.001), and illness duration (β=0.160; p=0.028) were associated with FAST total scores. GR to lithium was associated with better global functioning compared to PR or NR [H=27.631; p<0.001].

LIMITATIONS

The retrospective design could expose our data to a recall bias. Also, only few patients were on valproate or lamotrigine treatment.

CONCLUSIONS

Poor functioning in BD could be the result of multiple affective relapses, rather than a direct effect of DUI. A timely diagnosis with subsequent effective prophylactic treatment, such as lithium, may prevent poor functional outcomes in real-world patients with BD.

A Comparison of Different Approaches to Clinical Phenotyping of Lithium Response: A Proof of Principle Study Employing Genetic Variants of Three Candidate Circadian Genes

Optimal classification of the response to lithium (Li) is crucial in genetic and biomarker research. This proof of concept study aims at exploring whether different approaches to phenotyping the response to Li may influence the likelihood of detecting associations between the response and genetic markers. We operationalized Li response phenotypes using the Retrospective Assessment of Response to Lithium Scale (i.e., the Alda scale) in a sample of 164 cases with bipolar disorder (BD). Three phenotypes were defined using the established approaches, whilst two phenotypes were generated by machine learning algorithms. We examined whether these five different Li response phenotypes showed different levels of statistically significant associations with polymorphisms of three candidate circadian genes (RORA, TIMELESS and PPARGC1A), which were selected for this study because they were plausibly linked with the response to Li. The three original and two revised Alda ratings showed low levels of discordance (misclassification rates: 8–12%). However, the significance of associations with circadian genes differed when examining previously recommended categorical and continuous phenotypes versus machine-learning derived phenotypes. Findings using machine learning approaches identified more putative signals of the Li response. Established approaches to Li response phenotyping are easy to use but may lead to a significant loss of data (excluding partial responders) due to recent attempts to improve the reliability of the original rating system. While machine learning approaches require additional modeling to generate Li response phenotypes, they may offer a more nuanced approach, which, in turn, would enhance the probability of identifying significant signals in genetic studies.

Association between circadian activity rhythms and mood episode relapse in bipolar disorder: a 12-month prospective cohort study

A significant proportion of patients with bipolar disorder experience mood episode relapses. We examined whether circadian activity rhythms were associated with mood episode relapses in patients with bipolar disorder. This prospective cohort study included outpatients with bipolar disorder who participated in a study titled "Association between the Pathology of Bipolar Disorder and Light Exposure in Daily Life (APPLE) cohort study." The participants' physical activity was objectively assessed using a wrist-worn accelerometer over 7 consecutive days for the baseline assessment and then at the 12-month follow-up for mood episode relapses. The levels and timing of the circadian activity rhythms were estimated using a cosinor analysis and a nonparametric circadian rhythm analysis. Of the 189 participants, 88 (46%) experienced mood episodes during follow-up. The Cox proportional hazards model adjusting for potential confounders showed that a robust circadian activity rhythm, including midline-estimating statistic of rhythm (MESOR) and amplitude by cosinor analysis and 10 consecutive hours with the highest amplitude values (M10) by the nonparametric circadian rhythm analysis, was significantly associated with a decrease in mood episode relapses (per counts/min, hazard ratio [95% confidence interval]: MESOR, 0.993 [0.988-0.997]; amplitude, 0.994 [0.988-0.999]; and M10, 0.996 [0.993-0.999]). A later timing of the circadian activity rhythm (M10 onset time) was significantly associated with an increase in the depressive episode relapses (per hour; 1.109 [1.001-1.215]). We observed significant associations between circadian activity rhythms and mood episode relapses in bipolar disorder.

Evaluating the emotion regulation of positive mood states among people with bipolar disorder using hierarchical clustering

BACKGROUND

People with bipolar disorder (BD) frequently struggle with the recurrence of affective symptoms. However, the interplay between coping mechanism and positive mood state remains under-researched.

AIM

To explore the associations among behavioral approach system (BAS) sensitivity level, coping, and positive mood states among people with BD.

METHODS

Using a cross-sectional study design, 90 participants with BD were presented with four BAS-activating life event scenarios and assessed with regard to their BAS trait sensitivity, coping flexibility, and mood states. A hierarchical clustering method was used to identify different groups with different styles of coping. Multiple hierarchical regression analyses were conducted to examine the mediating and moderating roles of different components of coping on mood states.

RESULTS

A three-cluster solution was found to best fit the present data set. The findings showed that a low mass of coping combined with low BAS sensitivity level protects people with BD from detrimentally accentuating mood states when they encounter BAS-activating life events. Moreover, coping flexibility is demonstrated to mediate and moderate the relationships between BAS sensitivity level and mood states. Specifically, subduing the perceived controllability and reducing the use of behavioral-activation/emotion-amplifying coping strategies could help buffer the effect of positive affect.

CONCLUSION

The judicious use of coping in emotion regulation for people with BD when encountering BAS-activating life events was indicated. Practical applications and theoretical implications are highlighted.

The efficacy of cariprazine on function in patients with bipolar depression: a post hoc analysis of a randomized controlled trial

INTRODUCTION

Individuals with bipolar depression often experience functional impairment that interferes with recovery. These analyses examined the effects of cariprazine on functional outcomes in patients with bipolar I disorder.

METHODS

Prespecified analyses of data from a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled pivotal trial of cariprazine in bipolar I depression (NCT01396447) evaluated mean changes from baseline to week 8 in Functional Assessment Short Test (FAST) total score. Post hoc analyses with no adjustment for multiplicity evaluated FAST subscale scores, functional recovery and remission (FAST total score ≤11 and ≤20, respectively), and 30% or 50% improvement from baseline.

RESULTS

There were 393 patients with bipolar I disorder (placebo = 132; cariprazine: 1.5 mg/d = 135, 3 mg/d = 126) in the FAST analysis population. Statistically significant differences were noted for cariprazine 1.5 mg/d versus placebo in mean change from baseline in FAST total score (p<.01) and on 5 of 6 subscale scores (p<.05); cariprazine 3 mg/d was significantly different than placebo on the Interpersonal Relationship subscale (p<.05). Rates of functional remission and recovery, and ≥30% or ≥50% improvement were significantly greater for cariprazine 1.5 mg/d versus placebo (p<.05 all); the percentage of patients with ≥30% improvement was significantly different for cariprazine 3 mg/d versus placebo (p<.05).

CONCLUSION

At week 8, statistically significant improvements in FAST outcomes were observed for cariprazine versus placebo in patients with bipolar I depression; more consistent results were noted for 1.5 mg/d than 3 mg/d. In addition to improving bipolar depression symptoms, these results suggest that cariprazine may improve functional outcomes.

Validity of the Aktibipo Self-rating Questionnaire for the Digital Self-assessment of Mood and Relapse Detection in Patients With Bipolar Disorder: Instrument Validation Study

BACKGROUND

Self-reported mood is a valuable clinical data source regarding disease state and course in patients with mood disorders. However, validated, quick, and scalable digital self-report measures that can also detect relapse are still not available for clinical care.

OBJECTIVE

In this study, we aim to validate the newly developed ASERT (Aktibipo Self-rating) questionnaire-a 10-item, mobile app-based, self-report mood questionnaire consisting of 4 depression, 4 mania, and 2 nonspecific symptom items, each with 5 possible answers. The validation data set is a subset of the ongoing observational longitudinal AKTIBIPO400 study for the long-term monitoring of mood and activity (via actigraphy) in patients with bipolar disorder (BD). Patients with confirmed BD are included and monitored with weekly ASERT questionnaires and monthly clinical scales (Montgomery-Åsberg Depression Rating Scale [MADRS] and Young Mania Rating Scale [YMRS]).

METHODS

The content validity of the ASERT questionnaire was assessed using principal component analysis, and the Cronbach α was used to assess the internal consistency of each factor. The convergent validity of the depressive or manic items of the ASERT questionnaire with the MADRS and YMRS, respectively, was assessed using a linear mixed-effects model and linear correlation analyses. In addition, we investigated the capability of the ASERT questionnaire to distinguish relapse (YMRS≥15 and MADRS≥15) from a nonrelapse (interepisode) state (YMRS<15 and MADRS<15) using a logistic mixed-effects model.

RESULTS

A total of 99 patients with BD were included in this study (follow-up: mean 754 days, SD 266) and completed an average of 78.1% (SD 18.3%) of the requested ASERT assessments (completion time for the 10 ASERT questions: median 24.0 seconds) across all patients in this study. The ASERT depression items were highly associated with MADRS total scores (P<.001; bootstrap). Similarly, ASERT mania items were highly associated with YMRS total scores (P<.001; bootstrap). Furthermore, the logistic mixed-effects regression model for scale-based relapse detection showed high detection accuracy in a repeated holdout validation for both depression (accuracy=85%; sensitivity=69.9%; specificity=88.4%; area under the receiver operating characteristic curve=0.880) and mania (accuracy=87.5%; sensitivity=64.9%; specificity=89.9%; area under the receiver operating characteristic curve=0.844).

CONCLUSIONS

The ASERT questionnaire is a quick and acceptable mood monitoring tool that is administered via a smartphone app. The questionnaire has a good capability to detect the worsening of clinical symptoms in a long-term monitoring scenario.

Electroconvulsive Therapy (ECT) in Bipolar Disorder Patients with Ultra-Rapid Cycling and Unstable Mixed States

Background and Objectives: Unstable mixed episodes or rapid switching between opposite affective poles within the scope of short cycles was first characterized in 1967 by S. Mentzos as complex polymorphous states with chaotic overlap of manic and depressive symptoms. Well-known examples include antidepressant-induced mania/hypomania and rapid/ultra-rapid/ultradian cycling, when clinicians observe an almost continuous mixed state with a constant change of preponderance of manic or depressive symptoms. Achieving stable remission in these cases is challenging with almost no data on evidence-based treatment. When mood stabilizers are ineffective, electroconvulsive therapy (ECT) has been suggested. Objectives: After reviewing the evidence from available literature, this article presents our own clinical experience of ECT efficacy and tolerability in patients with ultra-rapid cycling bipolar disorder (BD) and unstable mixed states. Materials and Methods: We conducted an open, one-year observational prospective study with a "mirror image" design, including 30 patients with rapid and ultra-rapid cycling BD on long-term mood stabilizer treatment (18 received lithium carbonate, 6 on valproate and 6 on carbamazepine) with limited effectiveness. A bilateral ECT course (5-10 sessions) was prescribed for regaining mood stability. Results: ECT was very effective in 12 patients (40%) with a history of ineffective mood stabilizer treatment who achieved and maintained remission; all of them received lithium except for 1 patient who received carbamazepine and 2 with valproate. Nine patients (30%) showed partial response (one on carbamazepine and two on valproate) and nine patients (30%) had no improvement at all (four on carbamazepine and two on valproate). For the whole sample, the duration of affective episodes was significantly reduced from 36.05 ± 4.32 weeks in the year prior to ECT to 21.74 ± 12.14 weeks in the year post-ECT (p < 0.001). Depressive episodes with mixed and/or catatonic features according to DSM-5 specifiers were associated with a better acute ECT response and/or long-term mood stabilizer treatment outcome after ECT. Conclusions: ECT could be considered as a useful option for getting mood instability under control in rapid and ultra-rapid cycling bipolar patients. Further randomized trials are needed to confirm these results.

Predominant Polarity and Polarity Index of Maintenance Treatments for Bipolar Disorder: A Validation Study in a Large Naturalistic Sample in Italy

Background and Objectives: Predominant polarity (PP) may be a useful course specifier in at least a significant proportion of patients with Bipolar Disorder (BD), being associated with several clinically relevant correlates. Emerging evidence suggests that the concept of PP might influence the selection of maintenance treatments, based on a drug polarity index (PI) which measures the greater antidepressive vs. antimanic preventive efficacy of mood stabilizers over long-term maintenance treatment. In this study, we aimed to validate the PI in a large sample of Italian BD patients with accurate longitudinal characterization of the clinical course, which ensured a robust definition of the PP. Materials and Methods: Our sample is comprised of 653 patients with BD, divided into groups based on the predominant polarity (manic/hypomanic predominant polarity—MPP, depressive predominant polarity—DPP and no predominant polarity). Subsequently we calculated the mean total polarity index for each group, and we compared the groups. Results: When we examined the mean PI of treatments prescribed to individuals with DPP, MPP and no predominant polarity, calculated using two different methods, we failed to find significant differences, with the exception of the PI calculated with the Popovic method and using the less stringent criterion for predominant polarity (PP_50%). Conclusions: Future prospective studies are needed in order to determine whether the predominant polarity is indeed one clinical factor that might guide the clinician in choosing the right mood stabilizer for BD maintenance treatment.

Evaluation of MADRS severity thresholds in patients with bipolar depression

BACKGROUND

The Montgomery-Åsberg Depression Rating Scale (MADRS) is commonly used to assess depression symptom changes in clinical trials; however, the score itself can be difficult to interpret without clinical context. Categories of depression severity corresponding to MADRS total score have not been established for bipolar depression, which was the objective of this study.

METHODS

Data were pooled from 3 randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trials of cariprazine in patients with bipolar I depression; placebo and cariprazine arms were pooled. An anchor-based approach was used to map MADRS total score to the clinician-rated, 7-category Clinical Global Impression of Severity scale (CGI-S). Spearman's correlation coefficient was used to assess associations between MADRS total and CGI-S scores. Optimal MADRS severity thresholds for each CGI-S category was determined via Youden index using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses.

RESULTS

Using data from 1523 patients with bipolar depression, mean MADRS total scores were positively correlated with mean CGI-S scores at week 6 (r = 0.87; P<.0001). Using ROC curves, MADRS severity thresholds corresponding to each CGI-S category were estimated with high sensitivity and specificity: 0-6 for "normal, not at all ill", 7-12 for "borderline mentally ill", 13-18 for "mildly ill", 19-23 for "moderately ill", 24-36 for "markedly ill", 37-39 for "severely ill", and ≥40 for "extremely ill".

CONCLUSIONS

Utilizing data from 3 clinical trials of patients with bipolar depression, MADRS severity thresholds were identified. These empirical findings may help clinicians contextualize MADRS results from bipolar clinical research and apply to their practice.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

clinicaltrials.gov NCT01396447, NCT02670538, NCT02670551.

Is short-term antidepressant treatment effective and safe in bipolar depression? Results from an observational multicenter study

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the short-term effectiveness and the short-term and long-term safety of acute antidepressant (AD) treatment of bipolar depression in a naturalistic setting.

METHODS

Patients with bipolar (n = 86) or unipolar (n = 111) depression were consecutively recruited and treated with AD (combined with mood stabilizer [MS] and/or second-generation antipsychotics in bipolar depression). Exclusion criteria were mixed depression, high mood instability, previous predominantly mixed depression (both bipolar and unipolar depression), rapid cycling course and previous switch AD-emerging (bipolar depression).

RESULTS

After 12 weeks of treatment, no difference was found in remission, response and improvement rates between bipolar and unipolar depression. Concerning short-term safety, switching and suicidality did not differ significantly between the two groups, and no suicide attempt was observed. Concerning long-term safety, patients with bipolar depression had a significant reduction of depressive and total recurrences during the year of follow-up, compared to the year before entering the study, without significant changes in (hypo)mania and mixed depression recurrences, and suicide rates.

CONCLUSIONS

Acute AD treatment of bipolar depression is effective in the short-term and safe in the short- and long-term, when administered in combination with MSs and/or second-generation antipsychotics, with a low risk of switch, mixed depression and cycle acceleration.

Performance on the Wechsler Adult Intelligence Scale (WAIS) in Japanese patients with bipolar and major depressive disorders in euthymic and depressed states

AIM

This study aimed to examine the cognitive performance of patients with bipolar disorder (BD) stratified by illness phase compared to that of patients with major depressive disorder (MDD) and healthy controls.

METHODS

Participants were 139 patients with BD (55 euthymic and 84 depressed), 311 patients with MDD (88 euthymic and 223 depressed), and 386 healthy controls who underwent the Wechsler Adult Intelligence Scale-Revised or the Third Edition. They were non-elderly Japanese individuals with normal estimated premorbid intelligence quotient (IQ; >90), group-matched for age, sex, and premorbid IQ.

RESULTS

The depressed BD group showed significantly lower scores on verbal IQ, performance IQ, full-scale IQ, and three group indexes of perceptual organization, working memory, and processing speed when compared with healthy controls (all P < 0.001). All IQs and working memory index were also significantly lower than those of the depressed MDD group. The depressed MDD group scored significantly lower than controls in performance IQ (P < 0.001), full-scale IQ, and only in the index of processing speed (P < 0.001). The euthymic BD group scored significantly lower than controls in performance IQ (P = 0.004), whereas the euthymic MDD group scored significantly lower than controls only in processing speed (P = 0.030).

CONCLUSION

Patients with BD appear to have global and more intense cognitive impairments in depressed states compared with those with MDD whose impairments seem to be apparent only in processing speed in the Wechsler Adult Intelligence Scale. Attenuated impairments appear to exist in euthymic states of both patients.

Preventive effect of morning light exposure on relapse into depressive episode in bipolar disorder

OBJECTIVE

Light therapy has been suggested to have a curative effect on bipolar depression; however, preventive effects of light exposure on depressive episodes remain unclear. This study evaluated whether daytime light exposure in real-life situations was associated with a preventive effect on relapse into depressive episodes in patients with bipolar disorder.

METHODS

This prospective, naturalistic, observational study was conducted in Japan between August 2017 and June 2020. Outpatients with bipolar disorder were objectively evaluated for daytime light exposure over 7 consecutive days using an actigraph that could measure ambient light at baseline assessment and then assessed at 12-month follow-up for relapse into mood episodes.

RESULTS

Of 202 participants, 198 (98%) completed follow-up at 12 months and 78 (38%) experienced relapse into depressive episodes during follow-up. In a Cox proportional hazards model adjusting for potential confounders, a longer time above 1000 lux at daytime was significantly associated with decrease in relapse into depressive episodes (per log min; hazard ratio, 0.66; 95% confidence interval, 0.50-0.91). In addition, a higher average illuminance and longer time above 1000 lux in the morning exhibited a significant decrease in relapse into depressive episodes (per log lux and per log min; hazard ratio, 0.65 and 0.61; 95% confidence interval, 0.49-0.86 and 0.47-0.78, respectively). The association between daytime light exposure and relapse into manic/hypomanic/mixed episodes was not significantly different.

CONCLUSION

A significant association was observed between increased daytime light exposure, mainly in the morning, and decreased relapse into depressive episodes.

Effect of evening light exposure on sleep in bipolar disorder: A longitudinal analysis for repeated measures in the APPLE cohort

OBJECTIVE

Sleep disturbance, a core feature of bipolar disorder, is associated with residual mood symptoms, mood episode recurrence and suicide ideation. We investigated the effect of evening light exposure on sleep in patients with bipolar disorder.

METHODS

In this longitudinal analysis, we measured the sleep parameters of 207 outpatients with bipolar disorder using actigraphy at their homes for seven consecutive nights. We measured the white-light illuminance and the irradiance of each wavelength during the 4 hours before each participant's bedtime. We used mixed-effect linear regression analysis for repeated measures to evaluate the effect of evening light exposure on subsequent sleep parameters.

RESULTS

The median white-light illuminance was 25.8 lux (interquartile range, 12.9-50.1 lux). In a multivariable model adjusted for potential confounders, we found higher white-light illuminance to be significantly associated with lower sleep efficiency (per log lux: 95% confidence interval = [-1.328, -0.133]; p = 0.017), prolonged sleep-onset latency (95% confidence interval = [0.006, 0.172]; p = 0.035) and longer wake after sleep onset (95% confidence interval = [1.104, 4.459]; p = 0.001). This effect size was larger in the younger age group (aged < 44 years) stratified by median age. Higher irradiance of the blue wavelength range was significantly associated with longer wake after sleep onset, a result similar to those for the green and red wavelength ranges.

CONCLUSION

We observed significant associations between evening light exposure and subsequent sleep in patients with bipolar disorder. The effects of various light wavelengths on sleep in bipolar disorder require further investigation.

Trajectories of medication adherence in patients with Bipolar Disorder along 2 years-follow-up

BACKGROUND

Bipolar disorder (BD) is a chronic and severe mental illness. It requires a non-discontinued pharmacological treatment to prevent mood recurrences but nonadherence to medication is frequent. To this date, medication adherence in BD has been mostly evaluated in cross-sectional studies and often considered as a stable trait. We aimed to study medication adherence using a prospective person-oriented approach.

METHODS

1627 BD patients were followed on a 2 years period and assessed every 6 months. Medication adherence was evaluated at each visit with the Medication Adherence Rating Scale (MARS). A latent class mixed model (LCMM) was used to identify trajectory classes of adherence over time. Regression analyses and linear mixed model were used to search for predictors and covariables of the trajectories.

RESULTS

Three distinct and robust trajectories of medication adherence have been identified: one that starts poorly and keeps deteriorating (4.8%), one that starts poorly but improves (9%) and one that starts well and keeps improving (86.2%). A good tolerance to psychotropic medications, low depressive symptoms, the absence of comorbid eating disorders and anticonvulsant medication were associated to a better prognosis of adherence. Along the follow-up, the lower were the depressive symptoms, the better was the medication adherence (p < .001) LIMITATIONS: The use of a single measure of medication adherence although it is a validated instrument and a possible positive selection bias that might limit the generalization of our findings.

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrates that medication adherence in BD patients is a heterogeneous and potentially variable phenomenon.

Proinflammatory Cytokine Dysregulation and Cognitive Dysfunction Among Patients with Remitted Bipolar I and II Disorders

BACKGROUND

Euthymic patients with bipolar disorder reportedly demonstrated increased levels of proinflammatory cytokines and cognitive function deficits. Because uncertain differences exist in cognitive function and proinflammatory cytokines between remitted bipolar I (BD1) and bipolar II (BD2) disorders, we performed this study to further investigate these differences.

METHOD

We enrolled 58 patients with remitted BD1 and 27 with remitted BD2, and matched them for age and sex with 51 controls. Proinflammatory cytokines, including soluble interleukin-6 receptor (sIL-6R), C-reactive protein, and soluble tumor necrosis factor receptor 1 (sTNFR1) were measured, and performance in the Word List Memory Task (WLMT) and Wisconsin Card Sorting Task (WCST) was assessed.

RESULTS

Significantly elevated levels of sTNFR1 were observed among patients with BD1 (p < .001) and BD2 (p = .038) compared with the controls; however, they did not differ between patients with BD1 and BD2 (p =.130). Working memory deficit measured by the WLMT was significantly greater in patients with BD1 (p < .001) and BD2 (p < .05) compared with controls, but did not differ between patients with BD1 and BD2 (p > 0.1). Furthermore, sTNFR1 levels were negatively correlated with cognitive function measured using the WLMT and WCST (all p < .05).

DISCUSSION

Our results showed that euthymic patients with BD1 and BD2 showed similar levels of sTNFR1 and cognitive function (especially working memory) impairments. Further investigation is required to explore whether a common pathophysiology may contribute to the shared inflammatory and cognitive alterations between BD1 and BD2.

Clinical predictors of recurrences in bipolar disorders type 1 and 2: A FACE-BD longitudinal study

OBJECTIVE

To examine which characteristics predict the time to a first mood recurrence at three years in Bipolar Disorder type I (BD-I) and type II (BD-II).

METHODS

Individuals with BD were followed up to 3 years. Turbull's extension of the Kaplan-Meier analysis for interval-censored data was used to estimate the cumulative probability of recurrence over time. Separate models were performed according to BD subtype to determine which baseline factors were predictive of recurrences and were adjusted for age, gender and educational level.

RESULTS

We included 630 individuals with BD-I and 505 with BD-II. The first recurrence of any polarity occurred earlier in BD-II (p = 0.03). The first depressive recurrence occurred earlier in BD-II (p < 0.0001), whereas the first (hypo)manic recurrence occurred earlier in BD-I (p = 0.0003). In BD-I, the clinical variables that were associated to the time to a first mood recurrence were depressive symptoms, lifetime rapid cycling, global activation and the number of psychotropic medications at baseline. In BD-II, the time to a first recurrence was associated with a younger age at onset of BD and a higher number of lifetime mood episodes. The Areas Under the Curve for both models were moderate.

CONCLUSION

Predictors of recurrences showed few specificities to BD-I or BD-II. The ability to predict recurrences in BD based on socio-demographic and clinical variables remained too moderate for a transfer in daily practice. This study highlights the need for further studies that would include other types of predictors, such as molecular, cognitive or neuro-imaging ones, to achieve an accurate level of prediction of recurrences in BD.