The global, regional, and national burden of cirrhosis by cause in 195 countries and territories, 1990-2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017

Current status and future trends of the global burden of MASLD

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) has emerged as the most common chronic liver disease globally, affecting more than a third of the world's adult population. This comprehensive narrative review summarizes the global incidence and prevalence rates of MASLD and its related adverse hepatic and extrahepatic outcomes. We also discuss the substantial economic burden of MASLD on healthcare systems, thus further highlighting the urgent need for global efforts to tackle this common and burdensome liver condition. We emphasize the clinical relevance of early interventions and a holistic approach that includes public health strategies to reduce the global impact of MASLD.

Mild-moderate alcohol consumption and diabetes are associated with liver fibrosis in patients with biopsy-proven MASLD

Background

It is unclear whether patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) are allowed variable low levels of alcohol. This study aimed to evaluate the effect of mild-moderate alcohol consumption on the biochemical and histological characteristics of patients with MASLD.

Methods

Alcohol consumption was assessed in 713 patients with steatotic liver disease (SLD) who underwent liver biopsy. Non-drinking, mild-moderate drinking, and excessive drinking were defined as 0 g/day, 1-<20 g/day, and >20 g/day for women and 0 g/day, 1-<30 g/day, and >30 g/day for men, respectively. Liver biopsies were scored according to the NASH CRN system.

Results

A total of 713 participants (median age 39.0 years and 77.1% male) with biopsy-proven SLD were enrolled, including 239 nondrinkers, 269 mild-moderate drinkers and 205 excessive drinkers. Excessive drinking was associated with increased risks for lobular inflammation and liver fibrosis compared to nondrinkers and mild-moderate drinkers. Compared with non-drinkers, mild-moderate drinkers had significantly lower odds for steatosis (OR = 0.60, 95% CI = 0.38-0.93, p = 0.025), hepatocellular ballooning (OR = 0.52, 95% CI = 0.29-0.91, p = 0.020) and fibrosis (OR = 0.50, 95% CI = 0.31-0.81, p = 0.005). However, in non-excessive drinkers with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), there was no association between mild-moderate alcohol consumption and liver fibrosis (OR = 0.562, 95% CI = 0.207-1.530, p = 0.257).

Conclusions

Mild-moderate alcohol consumption might be protective against liver fibrosis in MASLD patients, which is modified by the presence of T2DM. However, further longitudinal studies are needed to determine the effect of ongoing alcohol consumption on disease severity.

Microarray analysis demonstrates up-regulation of the endothelin-1 gene with compensatory down-regulation of the ETA receptor gene in human portal vein

High blood pressure in the portal vein, portal hypertension (PH), is the final common pathway in liver cirrhosis regardless of aetiology. Complications from PH are the major cause of morbidity and mortality in these patients. Current drug therapy to reduce portal pressure is mainly limited to β-adrenergic receptor blockade but approximately 40% of patients do not respond. Our aim was to use microarray to measure the expression of ∼20,800 genes in portal vein from patients with PH undergoing transplantation for liver cirrhosis (PH, n=12) versus healthy vessels (control, n=9) to identify potential drug targets to improve therapy. Expression of 9,964 genes above background was detected in portal vein samples. Comparing PH veins versus control (adjusted P-value < 0.05, fold change > 1.5) identified 548 up-regulated genes and 1,996 down-regulated genes. The 2,544 differentially expressed genes were subjected to pathway analysis. We identified 49 significantly enriched pathways. The endothelin pathway was ranked the tenth most significant, the only vasoconstrictive pathway to be identified. ET-1 gene (EDN1) was significantly up-regulated, consistent with elevated levels of ET-1 peptide previously measured in PH and cirrhosis. ETA receptor gene (EDNRA) was significantly down-regulated, consistent with an adaptive response to increased peptide levels in the portal vein but there was no change in the ETB gene (EDNRB). The results provide further support for evaluating the efficacy of ETA receptor antagonists as a potential therapy in addition to β-blockers in patients with PH and cirrhosis.

Real-World Risk and Outcome of Liver Cirrhosis in Patients with Hyperlipidemia Treated with Red Yeast Rice: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Objective

Sustained hyperlipidemia contributes to fatty liver and liver cirrhosis. Red yeast rice (RYR) effectively improved the lipid profile; however, the effects of RYR on the risk of incident liver cirrhosis remain to be elucidated. We aimed to evaluate the beneficial effects of RYR use on the risk and outcome of liver cirrhosis.

Patients and methods

We identified 156,587 adults who had newly diagnosed hyperlipidemia in 2010-2016 from health insurance data in this retrospective cohort study. Using propensity score matching, we selected 34,367 patients who used RYR and 34,367 patients who used lovastatin. Events of incident liver cirrhosis that occurred in the two cohorts during the follow-up period of 2010-2019 were identified. We calculated adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (Cis) for liver cirrhosis risk associated with RYR use in the multiple Cox proportional hazard model.

Results

Compared with patients who used lovastatin, patients who used RYR had a decreased risk of liver cirrhosis (HR 0.60, 95% CI 0.57-0.63), and this association was significant in various subgroups. A biological gradient relationship between the frequency of RYR use and decreased liver cirrhosis was observed (p for trend < 0.0001). Reduced postcirrhosis jaundice (HR 0.56, 95% CI 0.43-0.72), ascites (HR 0.37, 95% CI 0.28-0.50), hepatic coma (HR 0.36, 95% CI 0.26-0.50), and mortality (HR 0.48, 95% CI 0.38-0.61) were also associated with RYR use.

Conclusion

We demonstrated the beneficial effects of RYR use on the risk and outcome of liver cirrhosis; however, the lack of compliance data should be considered. However, our study did not infer causality or claim the superiority of RYR over lovastatin.

Transcriptome Analyses of Liver Sinusoidal Endothelial Cells Reveal a Consistent List of Candidate Genes Associated with Endothelial Dysfunction and the Fibrosis Progression

Liver fibrosis is an important step in the transformation of chronic liver disease into cirrhosis and liver cancer, and structural changes and functional disorders of liver sinusoidal endothelial cells (LSECs) are early events in the occurrence of liver fibrosis. Therefore, it is necessary to identify the key regulatory genes of endothelial dysfunction in the process of liver fibrosis to provide a reference for the diagnosis and treatment of liver fibrosis. In this study, we identified 230 common differentially expressed genes (Co-DEGs) by analyzing transcriptomic data of primary LSECs from three different liver fibrosis mouse models (carbon tetrachloride; choline-deficient, l-amino acid-defined diet; and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis). Enrichment analysis revealed that the Co-DEGs were mainly involved in regulating the inflammatory response, immune response, angiogenesis, formation and degradation of the extracellular matrix, and mediating chemokine-related pathways. A Venn diagram analysis was used to identify 17 key genes related to the progression of liver cirrhosis. Regression analysis using the Lasso-Cox method identified genes related to prognosis among these key genes: SOX4, LGALS3, SERPINE2, CD52, and LPXN. In mouse models of liver fibrosis (bile duct ligation and carbon tetrachloride), all five key genes were upregulated in fibrotic livers. This study identified key regulatory genes for endothelial dysfunction in liver fibrosis, namely SOX4, LGALS3, SERPINE2, CD52, and LPXN, which will provide new targets for the development of therapeutic strategies targeting endothelial dysfunction in LSECs and liver fibrosis.

Liver cirrhosis: current status and treatment options using western or traditional Chinese medicine

Liver cirrhosis arises from liver fibrosis and necroinflammation caused by various mechanisms of hepatic injury. It is a prevalent condition in clinical practice characterized by hepatocellular dysfunction, portal hypertension, and associated complications. Despite its common occurrence, the etiology and pathogenesis of liver cirrhosis remain incompletely understood, posing a significant health threat. Effective prevention of its onset and progression is paramount in medical research. Symptoms often include discomfort in the liver area, while complications such as sarcopenia, hepatic encephalopathy, ascites, upper gastrointestinal bleeding, and infection can arise. While the efficacy of Western medicine in treating liver cirrhosis is uncertain, Chinese medicine offers distinct advantages. This review explores advancements in liver cirrhosis treatment encompassing non-pharmacological and pharmacological modalities. Chinese medicine interventions, including Chinese medicine decoctions, Chinese patent medicines, and acupuncture, exhibit notable efficacy in cirrhosis reversal and offer improved prognoses. Nowadays, the combination of Chinese and Western medicine in the treatment of liver cirrhosis also has considerable advantages, which is worthy of further research and clinical promotion. Standardized treatment protocols based on these findings hold significant clinical implications.

Prognostic nomogram based on the gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase-to-platelet ratio for patients with compensated cirrhotic hepatocellular carcinoma after local ablation

Background

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients with compensated cirrhosis typically face a high prevalence and unfavorable prognosis. However, there is currently a deficiency in prediction models to anticipate the prognosis of these patients. Therefore, our study included the Gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase-to-platelet ratio (GPR) in analysis and aimed to develop a nomogram for HCC patients with compensated cirrhosis after local ablation.

Methods

Enrolling 669 patients who underwent local ablation at Beijing You'an Hospital during the period from January 1, 2014, to December 31, 2022, this study focused on individuals with compensated cirrhotic HCC. In a ratio of 7:3, patients were allocated to the training cohort (n=468) and the validation cohort (n=201). Lasso-Cox regression was employed to identify independent prognostic factors for overall survival (OS). Subsequently, a nomogram was constructed using these factors and was validated through receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results

GPR, age, and hemoglobin were identified by Lasso-Cox regression as independent prognostic factors of the nomogram. The area under the ROC curves (AUCs) for 3-, 5-, and 8-year OS (0.701, 0.755, and 0.768 for the training cohort; 0.684, 0.707, and 0.778 for the validation cohort), and C-indices (0.695 for training cohort; 0.679 for validation cohort) exhibited the excellent predictive ability of the nomogram. Calibration curves and DCA curves indicated favorable calibration performance and clinical utility. Patients were further stratified into two risk groups according to the median nomogram score. There existed an obvious distinction between the two groups both in the training cohort and validation cohort.

Conclusion

In summary, this research established and validated a novel nomogram to predict OS, which had good predictive power for HCC patients with compensated cirrhosis after local ablation.

Dynamic risk prediction of survival in liver cirrhosis: A comparison of landmarking approaches

Electronic health records (EHR) data provides the researcher and physician with the opportunity to improve risk prediction by employing newer, more sophisticated modeling techniques. Rather than treating the impact of predictor variables on health trajectories as static, we explore the use of time-dependent variables in dynamically modeling time-to-event data through the use of landmarking (LM) data sets. We compare several different dynamic models presented in the literature that utilize LM data sets as the basis of their approach. These techniques include using pseudo-means, pseudo-survival probabilities, and the traditional Cox model. The models are primarily compared with their static counterparts using appropriate measures of model discrimination and calibration based on what summary measure is employed for the response variable.

Validating new coding algorithms to improve identification of alcohol-associated and nonalcohol-associated cirrhosis hospitalizations in administrative databases

BACKGROUND

Alcohol (AC) and nonalcohol-associated cirrhosis (NAC) epidemiology studies are limited by available case definitions. We compared the diagnostic accuracy of previous and newly developed case definitions to identify AC and NAC hospitalizations.

METHODS

We randomly selected 700 hospitalizations from the 2008 to 2022 Canadian Discharge Abstract Database with alcohol-associated and cirrhosis-related International Classification of Diseases 10th revision codes. We compared standard approaches for AC (ie, AC code alone and alcohol use disorder and nonspecific cirrhosis codes together) and NAC (ie, NAC codes alone) case identification to newly developed approaches that combine standard approaches with new code combinations. Using electronic medical record review as the reference standard, we calculated case definition positive and negative predictive values, sensitivity, specificity, and AUROC.

RESULTS

Electronic medical records were available for 671 admissions; 252 had confirmed AC and 195 NAC. Compared to previous AC definitions, the newly developed algorithm selecting for the AC code, alcohol-associated hepatic failure code, or alcohol use disorder code with a decompensated cirrhosis-related condition or NAC code provided the best overall positive predictive value (91%, 95% CI: 87-95), negative predictive value (89%, CI: 86-92), sensitivity (81%, CI: 76-86), specificity (96%, CI: 93-97), and AUROC (0.88, CI: 0.85-0.91). Comparing all evaluated NAC definitions, high sensitivity (92%, CI: 87-95), specificity (82%, CI: 79-86), negative predictive value (96%, CI: 94-98), AUROC (0.87, CI: 0.84-0.90), but relatively low positive predictive value (68%, CI: 62-74) were obtained by excluding alcohol use disorder codes and using either a NAC code in any diagnostic position or a primary diagnostic code for HCC, unspecified/chronic hepatic failure, esophageal varices without bleeding, or hepatorenal syndrome.

CONCLUSIONS

New case definitions show enhanced accuracy for identifying hospitalizations for AC and NAC compared to previously used approaches.

Prevalence of Frailty and Its Impact on Mortality and Hospitalization in Patients With Cirrhosis: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

Background & aims

Frailty in patients with cirrhosis is associated with increased morbidity and mortality. In this study, we aimed to determine the prevalence of frailty and its impact on mortality and hospitalization in patients with cirrhosis.

Methods

An elaborate search was undertaken in the databases "PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, and Cochrane, and preprint servers", and an assessment of all published articles till 17 February 2023 was done. Studies that provided data on prevalence, mortality and hospitalization among frail patients with cirrhosis were included. The study characteristics and data on the prevalence, mortality, and hospitalization were extracted from included studies. The primary outcome was to estimate the pooled prevalence of frailty and determine its impact on mortality and hospitalization in patients with cirrhosis.

Results

Overall, 12 studies were included. Data on prevalence of frailty and mortality were available in 11 studies, while seven studies reported data on hospitalization. The analysis conducted among 6126 patients with cirrhosis revealed pooled prevalence of frailty to be 32% (95% confidence interval [CI], 24-41). A total of 540 events of death revealed a pooled mortality rate of 29% (95% CI, 19-41). Six-month and twelve-month pooled estimates of mortality were found to be 24% (95% CI, 17-33) and 33% (95% CI, 23-45), respectively. The pooled hospitalization rate among the seven studies was 43% (95% CI, 21-68).

Conclusion

The prevalence of frailty in patients with cirrhosis is high, leading to poor outcomes. Frailty assessment should become an integral part of cirrhosis evaluation.

Registry and registration number of study

PROSPERO 2022 CRD42022377507.

Using liver stiffness to predict and monitor the risk of decompensation and mortality in patients with alcohol-related liver disease

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) is recommended for disease prognostication and monitoring. We evaluated if LSM, using transient elastography, and LSM changes predict decompensation and mortality in patients with alcohol-related liver disease (ALD).

METHODS

We performed an observational cohort study of compensated patients at risk of ALD from Denmark and Austria. We evaluated the risk of decompensation and all-cause mortality, stratified for compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD: baseline LSM ≥10 kPa) and LSM changes after a median of 2 years. In patients with cACLD, we defined LSM changes as (A) LSM increase ≥20% ("cACLD increasers") and (B) follow-up LSM <10 kPa or <20 kPa with LSM decrease ≥20% ("cACLD decreasers"). In patients without cACLD, we defined follow-up LSM ≥10 kPa as an LSM increase ("No cACLD increasers"). The remaining patients were considered LSM stable.

RESULTS

We followed 536 patients for 3,008 patient-years-median age 57 years (IQR 49-63), baseline LSM 8.1 kPa (IQR 4.9-21.7)-371 patients (69%) had follow-up LSM after a median of 25 months (IQR 17-38), 41 subsequently decompensated and 55 died. Of 125 with cACLD at baseline, 14% were "cACLD increasers" and 43% "cACLD decreasers", while 13% of patients without cACLD were "No cACLD increasers" (n = 33/246). Baseline LSM, follow-up LSM and LSM changes accurately predicted decompensation (C-index: baseline LSM 0.85; follow-up LSM 0.89; LSM changes 0.85) and mortality (C-index: baseline LSM 0.74; follow-up LSM 0.74; LSM changes 0.70). When compared to "cACLD decreasers", "cACLD increasers" had significantly lower decompensation-free survival and higher risks of decompensation (subdistribution hazard ratio 4.39, p = 0.004) and mortality (hazard ratio 3.22, p = 0.01).

CONCLUSION

LSM by transient elastography predicts decompensation and all-cause mortality in patients with compensated ALD both at diagnosis and when used for monitoring.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

Patients at risk of alcohol-related liver disease (ALD) are at significant risk of progressive disease and adverse outcomes. Monitoring is essential for optimal disease surveillance and patient guidance, but non-invasive monitoring tools are lacking. In this study we demonstrate that liver stiffness measurement (LSM), using transient elastography, and LSM changes after a median of 2 years, can predict decompensation and all-cause mortality in patients at risk of ALD with and without compensated advanced chronic liver disease. These findings are in line with results from non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, hepatitis C and primary sclerosing cholangitis, and support the clinical utility of LSM, using transient elastography, for disease prognostication and monitoring in chronic liver diseases including ALD, as recommended by the Baveno VII.

Correlation of severity of alcohol dependence with liver dysfunction (by transient elastography) in freshly diagnosed cases of alcohol dependence syndrome

Background

Alcohol-related liver disease contributes significantly to global mortality and healthcare costs, underscoring the urgency of early detection and non-invasive diagnostic tools such as transient elastography.

Aim

This study aimed to investigate the correlation between the severity of alcohol dependence syndrome (ADS) and liver dysfunction assessed via transient elastography in newly diagnosed patients.

Materials and Methods

From October 2019 to September 2021, a cross-sectional observational study was conducted on 58 inpatients diagnosed with ADS according to International Classification of Diseases-10 criteria. The severity of alcohol dependence was assessed using the Severity of Alcohol Dependence Questionnaire (SADQ), serum biochemical markers, and liver stiffness measured by transient elastography within 96 hours of admission and again after four weeks of enforced abstinence. Data were analyzed using Statistical Package for Social Sciences, with descriptive statistics applied to socio-demographic and clinical data. Paired t-tests compared biochemical markers, and Spearman rank correlation analyzed the relationship between SADQ scores and liver stiffness at admission and after abstinence.

Results

Initial SADQ scores indicated moderate alcohol dependence in 55% of participants. According to Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test, 38% had a medium-to-severe risk of harmful alcohol consumption. Liver fibrosis assessment showed that 63.8% had no or mild fibrosis on day 1, increasing to 81.0% by day 28. Moderate to advanced fibrosis (measured above 7.5 kilopascal) decreased from 8.6%, 12.1%, and 15.5% on day 1 to 3.4%, 5.2%, and 10.3% on day 28, respectively. There was a statistically significant (P < 0.05) reduction in serum biochemical markers and mean liver stiffness after four weeks of abstinence.

Conclusions

The study underscores that the greater severity of alcohol dependence correlates with more pronounced liver function impairments and stiffness. Transient elastography indicated significant liver fibrosis in actively drinking patients, with notable improvement after one month of abstinence.

Independent Associations of Aortic Calcification with Cirrhosis and Liver Related Mortality in Veterans with Chronic Liver Disease

INTRODUCTION

Abdominal aortic calcifications (AAC) are incidentally found on medical imaging and useful cardiovascular burden approximations. The Morphomic Aortic Calcification Score (MAC) leverages automated deep learning methods to quantify and score AACs. While associations of AAC and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) have been described, relationships of AAC with other liver diseases and clinical outcome are sparse. This study's purpose was to evaluate AAC and liver-related death in a cohort of Veterans with chronic liver disease (CLD).

METHODS

We utilized the VISN 10 CLD cohort, a regional cohort of Veterans with the three forms of CLD: NAFLD, hepatitis C (HCV), alcohol-associated (ETOH), seen between 2008 and 2014, with abdominal CT scans (n = 3604). Associations between MAC and cirrhosis development, liver decompensation, liver-related death, and overall death were evaluated with Cox proportional hazard models.

RESULTS

The full cohort demonstrated strong associations of MAC and cirrhosis after adjustment: HR 2.13 (95% CI 1.63, 2.78), decompensation HR 2.19 (95% CI 1.60, 3.02), liver-related death HR 2.13 (95% CI 1.46, 3.11), and overall death HR 1.47 (95% CI 1.27, 1.71). These associations seemed to be driven by the non-NAFLD groups for decompensation and liver-related death [HR 2.80 (95% CI 1.52, 5.17; HR 2.34 (95% CI 1.14, 4.83), respectively].

DISCUSSION

MAC was strongly and independently associated with cirrhosis, liver decompensation, liver-related death, and overall death. Surprisingly, stratification results demonstrated comparable or stronger associations among those with non-NAFLD etiology. These findings suggest abdominal aortic calcification may predict liver disease severity and clinical outcomes in patients with CLD.

Screening patients in general practice for advanced chronic liver disease using an innovative IT solution: The Liver Toolkit

BACKGROUND

Identifying patients with undiagnosed advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD) is a public health challenge. Patients with advanced fibrosis or compensated cirrhosis have much better outcomes than those with decompensated disease and may be eligible for interventions to prevent disease progression.

METHODS

A cloud-based software solution ("the Liver Toolkit") was developed to access primary care practice software to identify patients at risk of ACLD. Clinical history and laboratory results were extracted to calculate aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index and fibrosis 4 scores. Patients identified were recalled for assessment, including Liver Stiffness Measurement (LSM) via transient elastography. Those with an existing diagnosis of cirrhosis were excluded.

RESULTS

Existing laboratory results of more than 32,000 adults across nine general practices were assessed to identify 703 patients at increased risk of ACLD (2.2% of the cohort). One hundred seventy-nine patients (26%) were successfully recalled, and 23/179 (13%) were identified to have ACLD (LSM ≥10.0 kPa) (10% found at indeterminate risk [LSM 8.0-9.9 kPa] and 77% low risk of fibrosis [LSM <8.0 kPa]). In most cases, the diagnosis of liver disease was new, with the most common etiology being metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (n=20, 83%). Aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index ≥1.0 and fibrosis 4 ≥3.25 had a positive predictive value for detecting ACLD of 19% and 24%, respectively. Patients who did not attend recall had markers of more severe disease with a higher median aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index score (0.57 vs. 0.46, p=0.041).

CONCLUSIONS

This novel information technology system successfully screened a large primary care cohort using existing laboratory results to identify patients at increased risk ACLD. More than 1 in 5 patients recalled were found to have liver disease requiring specialist follow-up.

Durability and on-treatment predictors of recompensation in entecavir-treated patients with hepatitis B and decompensated cirrhosis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Hepatic recompensation may be achieved in patients with decompensated cirrhosis due to chronic hepatitis B (CHB) upon effective suppression of viral replication by nucleos(t)ide analogues (NAs). However, the optimal timing and predictors of recompensation and the subsequent clinical course of patients with CHB with vs. without recompensation are not well-defined.

METHODS

This study was a retrospective extension of a multi-centre prospective cohort, focusing on patients with CHB and decompensated cirrhosis treated with entecavir. We followed patients beyond treatment week 120 until a second decompensation event or June 2023. We identified the optimal timing and predictors of recompensation by week 120, evaluated durability of recompensation in patients fulfilling recompensation criteria by week 120 and examined late recompensation in those who did not fulfil it by week 120.

RESULTS

At treatment week 24, serum albumin ≥34 g/L predicted recompensation by week 120. The Brec-PAS model offered good predictive ability for recompensation by week 120. Of the 283 patients who finished 120 weeks of therapy, 175 were followed beyond week 120 (median follow-up: 240 weeks). Among the 106 patients achieving recompensation by week 120, 92 (86.8%) maintained recompensation for another 120 (72-168) weeks. Among the 69 patients without recompensation by week 120, 40.6% attained late recompensation during the subsequent 120 (72-168) weeks. Additionally, hepatocellular carcinoma incidence was lower in the recompensated group (5.0% vs. 16.13%, p = 0.002).

CONCLUSIONS

A serum albumin ≥34 g/L at treatment week 24 predicted recompensation by week 120. Recompensation achieved by week 120 of NA treatment is maintained in >80% of patients in the long term. Some patients may achieve recompensation only after >120 weeks of NA treatment. The incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma was reduced but not completely abolished after recompensation.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

Our research provides a meaningful contribution to understanding the long-term prognosis of recompensation in patients with chronic hepatitis B and decompensated cirrhosis, as well as to evaluating the predictive value of serum albumin levels, offering a comprehensive view of clinical outcomes after recompensation. The significance of early biomarkers in guiding therapeutic decisions is highlighted, shedding light on the continued benefits and possible risks after recompensation. This enhances the capability for more precise prognostic evaluations and informed therapeutic strategies. For healthcare providers, these insights afford a detailed perspective on patient monitoring and intervention planning, underscoring the need for ongoing assessment past the initial recompensation phase.

Screening for liver fibrosis: lessons from colorectal and lung cancer screening

Many countries have incorporated population screening programmes for cancer, such as colorectal and lung cancer, into their health-care systems. Cirrhosis is more prevalent than colorectal cancer and has a comparable age-standardized mortality rate to lung cancer. Despite this fact, there are no screening programmes in place for early detection of liver fibrosis, the precursor of cirrhosis. In this Perspective, we use insights from colorectal and lung cancer screening to explore the benefits, challenges, implementation strategies and pathways for future liver fibrosis screening initiatives. Several non-invasive methods and referral pathways for early identification of liver fibrosis exist, but in addition to accurate detection, screening programmes must also be cost-effective and demonstrate benefit through a reduction in liver-related mortality. Randomized controlled trials are needed to confirm this. Future randomized screening trials should evaluate not only the screening tests, but also interventions used to halt disease progression in individuals identified through screening.

Higher cumulative dose of topical corticosteroids is associated with osteoporosis and major osteoporotic fracture: A nationwide case-control study

BACKGROUND

Connections between long-term use of topical corticosteroids (TCSs) of varying potency and osteoporosis and major osteoporotic fracture (MOF) are unclear. Susceptibility to adverse bone effects of TCSs in different sex, age and ethnic groups is unknown too.

OBJECTIVES

To demonstrate the association between cumulative dose of TCSs of varying potency and osteoporosis and MOF in Taiwanese population, with stratified analysis of sex and age.

METHODS

We conducted a nationwide case-control study and obtained data from Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database. Cumulative TCS doses in different exposure periods were calculated, and the potency of TCSs was converted to prednisolone equivalent. Adjusted odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated for osteoporosis and MOF associated with TCS use.

RESULTS

From 2017 to 2020, 129,682 osteoporosis cases and 34,999 MOF cases were selected and randomly matched with 518,728 and 139,996 controls by sex and age. We found clear dose-response relationships between long-term TCS exposure and osteoporosis and MOF. For example, compared to no TCS use, adjusted ORs of osteoporosis were 1.216 (95% CI 1.189-1.243), 1.260 (95% CI, 1.241-1.280) and 1.341 (95% CI, 1.314-1.369) for exposure to low, medium and high cumulative TCS doses, respectively, over 5 years. Adjusted ORs of MOF were 1.118 (95% CI 1.069-1.170), 1.191 (95% CI, 1.156-1.227) and 1.288 (95% CI, 1.238-1.340) for exposure to low, medium and high cumulative TCS doses, respectively, over 5 years. Stratified analysis showed women had higher ORs of osteoporosis and MOF compared to men. Younger people (<50 years) had highest OR of osteoporosis compared to other age groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher cumulative TCS dose was associated with increased risk of osteoporosis and MOF. Long-term use of TCSs should be cautious, especially in susceptible populations such as women and young people.

A rule-based multiscale model of hepatic stellate cell plasticity: Critical role of the inactivation loop in fibrosis progression

Hepatic stellate cells (HSC) are the source of extracellular matrix (ECM) whose overproduction leads to fibrosis, a condition that impairs liver functions in chronic liver diseases. Understanding the dynamics of HSCs will provide insights needed to develop new therapeutic approaches. Few models of hepatic fibrosis have been proposed, and none of them include the heterogeneity of HSC phenotypes recently highlighted by single-cell RNA sequencing analyses. Here, we developed rule-based models to study HSC dynamics during fibrosis progression and reversion. We used the Kappa graph rewriting language, for which we used tokens and counters to overcome temporal explosion. HSCs are modeled as agents that present seven physiological cellular states and that interact with (TGFβ1) molecules which regulate HSC activation and the secretion of type I collagen, the main component of the ECM. Simulation studies revealed the critical role of the HSC inactivation process during fibrosis progression and reversion. While inactivation allows elimination of activated HSCs during reversion steps, reactivation loops of inactivated HSCs (iHSCs) are required to sustain fibrosis. Furthermore, we demonstrated the model's sensitivity to (TGFβ1) parameters, suggesting its adaptability to a variety of pathophysiological conditions for which levels of (TGFβ1) production associated with the inflammatory response differ. Using new experimental data from a mouse model of CCl4-induced liver fibrosis, we validated the predicted ECM dynamics. Our model also predicts the accumulation of iHSCs during chronic liver disease. By analyzing RNA sequencing data from patients with non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) associated with liver fibrosis, we confirmed this accumulation, identifying iHSCs as novel markers of fibrosis progression. Overall, our study provides the first model of HSC dynamics in chronic liver disease that can be used to explore the regulatory role of iHSCs in liver homeostasis. Moreover, our model can also be generalized to fibroblasts during repair and fibrosis in other tissues.

Update on cirrhotic cardiomyopathy: from etiopathogenesis to treatment

Cirrhotic cardiomyopathy represents a syndrome of cardiac dysfunction associated with advanced liver disease. It is the result of complex pathophysiological processes that complicate the course of the disease, and is generally associated with a poor prognosis. Pathophysiologically, portal hypertension is the key factor leading to hyperdynamic circulation, via over-activation of the neurohumoral axis. Intestinal obstruction, subclinical inflammation and hepatocellular insufficiency, with defective synthesis or metabolism of several vasoactive mediators, are essential components of this process. Since it is usually unapparent at rest and only unmasked by an inadequate cardiac response to hemodynamic stress, the diagnosis of cirrhotic cardiomyopathy is challenging and demands a multimodal approach. There is currently no specific therapy, but there are prognostically effective drugs available to treat heart failure. Therefore, it is crucial to identify patients with chronic liver disease and heart failure in order to ameliorate their outcome. This article attempts to highlight the most important aspects of cirrhotic cardiomyopathy and draws attention to this condition.

Role of point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) in clinical hepatology

Hospitalized patients with cirrhosis frequently require critical care management for sepsis, HE, respiratory failure, acute variceal bleeding, acute kidney injury (AKI), shock, and optimization for liver transplantation, while outpatients have unique care considerations. Point-of-care ultrasonography (POCUS) enhances bedside examination of the hepatobiliary system and relevant extrahepatic sites. POCUS includes cardiac US and is used to assess volume status and hemodynamic parameters like cardiac output, systemic vascular resistance, cardiac contractility, and pulmonary artery pressure, which aid in the early and accurate diagnosis of heart failure, cirrhotic cardiomyopathy, porto-pulmonary hypertension, hepatopulmonary syndrome, arrhythmia, and pulmonary embolism. This also helps in fluid management and vasopressor use in the resuscitation of patients with cirrhosis. Lung ultrasound (LUS) can help in differentiating pneumonia, effusion, and edema. Further, US guides interventions such as line placement, drainage of abdominal collections/abscesses, relief of tension pneumothorax, drainage of pleural and pericardial effusions, and biliary drainage in cholangitis. Additionally, its role is essential to assess liver masses foci of sepsis, for appropriate sites for paracentesis, and to assess for vascular disorders such as portal vein or hepatic vein thrombosis. Renal US can identify renal and postrenal causes of AKI and aid in diagnosis of prerenal AKI through volume assessment. In this review, we address the principles and methods of POCUS in hospitalized patients and in outpatients with cirrhosis and discuss the application of this diverse modality in clinical hepatology.

Association Between Cardiovascular Health and Cirrhosis and Mortality: Insights From a Comprehensive Cross-sectional Study

GOAL

We aim to explore the relationship between the newly introduced CVH indicator "Life's Essential 8 (LE8)" and cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND

The global burden of cirrhosis is increasing, with a rising number of deaths, leading to significant societal and economic challenges. Cardiovascular health (CVH) has been found to have potential associations with liver diseases.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

All participants aged 20 and older from National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2005 to 2018 were included. CVH was accessed by LE8, consisting of 4 health behaviors (diet, physical activity, nicotine exposure, and sleep health) and 4 health factors (body mass index, lipid levels, blood sugar, and blood pressure). Cirrhosis was determined based on abnormal liver function test results, with an aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index >2. Participants' mortality status was obtained by matching with the National Death Index and all-cause mortality served as the follow-up endpoint.

RESULTS

This extensive cross-sectional study reveals that LE8 was not associated with cirrhosis. A higher health behaviors score was associated with lower cirrhosis. Moreover, there is an inverse U-shaped relationship between the LE8 score and all-cause mortality in participants with cirrhosis, signifying a decrease in all-cause mortality when LE8 surpasses 60. A greater health behaviors score is linked to a decreased proportion of all-cause mortality in cirrhosis patients.

CONCLUSION

Maintaining better health behaviors may be beneficial for cirrhosis, especially through a balanced diet, regular exercise, smoking cessation, and quality sleep.

Top-Down Proteomics Identifies Plasma Proteoform Signatures of Liver Cirrhosis Progression

Cirrhosis, advanced liver disease, affects 2-5 million Americans. While most patients have compensated cirrhosis and may be fairly asymptomatic, many decompensate and experience life-threatening complications such as gastrointestinal bleeding, confusion (hepatic encephalopathy), and ascites, reducing life expectancy from 12 to less than 2 years. Among patients with compensated cirrhosis, identifying patients at high risk of decompensation is critical to optimize care and reduce morbidity and mortality. Therefore, it is important to preferentially direct them towards specialty care which cannot be provided to all patients with cirrhosis. We used discovery Top-down Proteomics (TDP) to identify differentially expressed proteoforms (DEPs) in the plasma of patients with progressive stages of liver cirrhosis with the ultimate goal to identify candidate biomarkers of disease progression. In this pilot study, we identified 209 DEPs across three stages of cirrhosis (compensated, compensated with portal hypertension, and decompensated), of which 115 derived from proteins enriched in the liver at a transcriptional level and discriminated the three stages of cirrhosis. Enrichment analyses demonstrated DEPs are involved in several metabolic and immunological processes known to be impacted by cirrhosis progression. We have preliminarily defined the plasma proteoform signatures of cirrhosis patients, setting the stage for ongoing discovery and validation of biomarkers for early diagnosis, risk stratification, and disease monitoring.

Expanding the liver donor pool worldwide with hepatitis C infected livers, is it the time?

Liver transplantation (LT) provides a life-saving option for cirrhotic patients with complications and hepatocellular carcinoma. Despite the increasing number of liver transplants performed each year, the number of LT candidates on the waitlist remains unchanged due to an imbalance between donor organ supply and the demand which increases the waitlist time and mortality. Living donor liver transplant had a great role in increasing the donor pool and shortened waitlist time for LT candidates. Nevertheless, further strategies can be implemented to increase the pool of potential donors in deceased donor LT, such as reducing the rate of organ discards. Utilizing hepatitis C virus (HCV) seropositive liver grafts is one of the expanded donor organ criteria. A yearly increase of hundreds of transplants is anticipated as a result of maximizing the utilization of HCV-positive organs for HCV-negative recipients. Direct-acting antiviral therapy's efficacy has revolutionized the treatment of HCV infection and the use of HCV-seropositive donors in transplantation. The American Society of Transplantation advises against performing transplants from HCV-infected liver donors (D+) into HCV-negative recipient (R-) unless under Institutional Review Board-approved study rules and with full informed consent of the knowledge gaps associated with such transplants. Proper selection of patients to be transplanted with HCV-infected grafts and confirming their access to direct-acting antivirals if needed is important. National and international consensuses are needed to regulate this process to ensure the maximum benefit and the least adverse events.

Opportunistic Screening of Chronic Liver Disease with Deep Learning Enhanced Echocardiography

Importance

Chronic liver disease affects more than 1.5 billion adults worldwide, however the majority of cases are asymptomatic and undiagnosed. Echocardiography is broadly performed and visualizes the liver; but this information is not leveraged.

Objective

To develop and evaluate a deep learning algorithm on echocardiography videos to enable opportunistic screening for chronic liver disease.

Design

Retrospective observational cohorts.

Setting

Two large urban academic medical centers.

Participants

Adult patients who received echocardiography and abdominal imaging (either abdominal ultrasound or abdominal magnetic resonance imaging) with ≤30 days between tests, between July 4, 2012, to June 4, 2022.

Exposure

Deep learning model predictions from a deep-learning computer vision pipeline that identifies subcostal view echocardiogram videos and detects the presence of cirrhosis or steatotic liver disease (SLD).

Main Outcome and Measures

Clinical diagnosis by paired abdominal ultrasound or magnetic resonance imaging (MRI).

Results

A total of 1,596,640 echocardiogram videos (66,922 studies from 24,276 patients) from Cedars-Sinai Medical Center (CSMC) were used to develop EchoNet-Liver, an automated pipeline that identifies high quality subcostal images from echocardiogram studies and detects the presence of cirrhosis or SLD. In the held-out CSMC test cohort, EchoNet-Liver was able to detect the presence of cirrhosis with an AUC of 0.837 (0.789 - 0.880) and SLD with an AUC of 0.799 (0.758 - 0.837). In a separate test cohort with paired abdominal MRIs, cirrhosis was detected with an AUC of 0.704 (0.689-0.718) and SLD was detected with an AUC of 0.726 (0.659-0.790). In an external test cohort of 106 patients (n = 5,280 videos), the model detected cirrhosis with an AUC of 0.830 (0.738 - 0.909) and SLD with an AUC of 0.768 (0.652 - 0.875).

Conclusions and Relevance

Deep learning assessment of clinical echocardiography enables opportunistic screening of SLD and cirrhosis. Application of this algorithm may identify patients who may benefit from further diagnostic testing and treatment for chronic liver disease.

Protein truncating variants in mitochondrial-related nuclear genes and the risk of chronic liver disease

BACKGROUND

Mitochondrial (MT) dysfunction is a hallmark of liver diseases. However, the effects of functional variants such as protein truncating variants (PTVs) in MT-related genes on the risk of liver diseases have not been extensively explored.

METHODS

We extracted 60,928 PTVs across 2466 MT-related nucleus genes using whole-exome sequencing data obtained from 442,603 participants in the UK Biobank. We examined their associations with liver dysfunction that represented by the liver-related biomarkers and the risks of chronic liver diseases and liver-related mortality.

RESULTS

96.10% of the total participants carried at least one PTV. We identified 866 PTVs that were positively associated with liver dysfunction at the threshold of P value < 8.21e - 07. The coding genes of these PTVs were mainly enriched in pathways related to lipid, fatty acid, amino acid, and carbohydrate metabolisms. The 866 PTVs were presented in 1.07% (4721) of participants. Compared with participants who did not carry any of the PTVs, the carriers had a 5.33-fold (95% CI 4.15-6.85), 2.82-fold (1.69-4.72), and 4.41-fold (3.04-6.41) increased risk for fibrosis and cirrhosis of liver, liver cancer, and liver disease-related mortality, respectively. These adverse effects were consistent across subgroups based on age, sex, body mass index, smoking status, and presence of hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidemia, and metabolic syndrome.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings revealed a significant impact of PTVs in MT-related genes on liver disease risk, highlighting the importance of these variants in identifying populations at risk of liver diseases and facilitating early clinical interventions.

Bioactive sulforaphane from cruciferous vegetables: advances in biosynthesis, metabolism, bioavailability, delivery, health benefits, and applications

Chronic inflammation-induced diseases (CID) are the dominant cause of death worldwide, contributing to over half of all global deaths. Sulforaphane (SFN) derived from cruciferous vegetables has been extensively studied for its multiple functional benefits in alleviating CID. This work comprehensively reviewed the biosynthesis, metabolism, bioavailability, delivery, health benefits, and applications of SFN and its potential mechanisms against CID (e.g., cancer, obesity, type 2 diabetes, et al.), and neurological disorders based on a decade of research. SFN exerts its biological functions through the hydrolysis of glucosinolates by gut microbiota, and exhibits rapid metabolism and excretion characteristics via metabolization of mercapturic acid pathway. Microencapsulation is an important way to improve the stability and targeted delivery of SFN. The health benefits of SNF against CID are attributed to the multiple regulatory mechanisms including modulating oxidative stress, inflammation, apoptosis, immune response, and intestinal homeostasis. The clinical applications of SFN and related formulations show promising potential; however, further exploration is required regarding the sources, dosages, toxicity profiles, and stability of SFN. Together, SFN is a natural product with great potential for development and application, which is crucial for the development of functional food and pharmaceutical industries.

Liver Stiffness and Steatosis Measurements with iLivTouch and FibroScan: A Comparative Study

The presence of liver fibrosis is the most important indicator of progression to cirrhosis. Noninvasive measurement of liver stiffness is crucial for detecting fibrosis. Vibration-controlled transient elastography is one of the most useful methods for this purpose. We aimed to compare the liver stiffness and steatosis measurements with iLivTouch© and the FibroScan© elastography devices Two hundred thirty-seven consecutive adult patients with chronic hepatitis were included in the study. The liver stiffness and steatosis were measured with iLivTouch and FibroScan on the same day. Thirty-one patients had liver biopsies on the same day with elastography procedures. The diagnostic performances of iLivTouch and FibroScan were compared to aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI), Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4), and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score (NFS). The liver stiffness measurements obtained using iLivTouch and FibroScan had median value of 10.3 (ranging from 2.9 to 46.3) and 7.2 (ranging from 2.5 to 75), respectively. The mean steatosis measurements using ultrasound attenuation parameter with iLivTouch were 245.51 ± 45.79, while the mean controlled attenuation parameter measurements using FibroScan were 259.37 ± 75.0. In subgroup analysis, the AUC of iLivTouch on detecting signiicant fibrosis [0.83, (P = .002)] was minimally higher than other noninvasive methods [0.82 for NFS (P = .003), 0.80 for FibroScan (P = .006), 0.68 for FIB-4 (P = .089), and 0.53 for APRI (P = .76)]. The stiffness and steatosis measurements with iLivTouch and FibroScan were not similar. The accuracy of iLivTouch in detecting significant and advanced fibrosis was minimally higher. Large clinical trials are necessary to support these findings.

TAAR1 agonist ulotaront modulates striatal and hippocampal glutamate function in a state-dependent manner

Aberrant dopaminergic and glutamatergic function, particularly within the striatum and hippocampus, has repeatedly been associated with the pathophysiology of schizophrenia. Supported by preclinical and recent clinical data, trace amine-associated receptor 1 (TAAR1) agonism has emerged as a potential new treatment approach for schizophrenia. While current evidence implicates TAAR1-mediated regulation of dopaminergic tone as the primary circuit mechanism, little is known about the effects of TAAR1 agonists on the glutamatergic system and excitation-inhibition balance. Here we assessed the impact of ulotaront (SEP-363856), a TAAR1 agonist in Phase III clinical development for schizophrenia, on glutamate function in the mouse striatum and hippocampus. Ulotaront reduced spontaneous glutamatergic synaptic transmission and neuronal firing in striatal and hippocampal brain slices, respectively. Interestingly, ulotaront potentiated electrically-evoked excitatory synaptic transmission in both brain regions, suggesting the ability to modulate glutamatergic signaling in a state-dependent manner. Similar striatal effects were also observed with the TAAR1 agonist, RO5166017. Furthermore, we show that ulotaront regulates excitation-inhibition balance in the striatum by specifically modulating glutamatergic, but not GABAergic, spontaneous synaptic events. These findings expand the mechanistic circuit hypothesis of ulotaront and TAAR1 agonists, which may be uniquely positioned to normalize both the excessive dopaminergic tone and regulate abnormal glutamatergic function associated with schizophrenia.

Test characteristics for combining non-invasive liver fibrosis staging modalities in individuals with Hepatitis C virus

Non-invasive methods have largely replaced biopsy to identify advanced fibrosis in hepatitis C virus (HCV). Guidelines vary regarding testing strategy to balance accuracy, costs and loss to follow-up. Although individual test characteristics are well-described, data comparing the accuracy of using two tests together are limited. We calculated combined test characteristics to determine the utility of combined strategies. This study synthesizes empirical data from fibrosis staging trials and the literature to estimate test characteristics for Fibrosis-4 (FIB4), APRI or a commercial serum panel (FibroSure®), followed by transient elastography (TE) or FibroSure®. We simulated two testing strategies: (1) second test only for those with intermediate first test results (staged approach), and (2) second test for all. We summarized empiric data with multinomial distributions and used this to estimate test characteristics of each strategy on a simulated population of 10,000 individuals with 4.2% cirrhosis prevalence. Negative predictive value (NPV) for cirrhosis from a single test ranged from 98.2% (95% CB 97.6-98.8%) for FIB-4 to 99.4% (95% CB 99.0-99.8%) for TE. Using a staged approach with TE second, sensitivity for cirrhosis rose to 93.3-96.9%, NPV to 99.7-99.8%, while PPV dropped to <32%. Using TE as a second test for all minimally changed estimated test characteristics compared with the staged approach. Combining two non-invasive fibrosis tests barely improves NPV and decreases or does not change PPV compared with a single test, challenging the utility of serial testing modalities. These calculated combined test characteristics can inform best methods to identify advanced fibrosis in various populations.

miRNAs in patients with alcoholic liver disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION

Alcoholic liver disease (ALD) encompasses a spectrum of liver conditions, including liver steatosis, alcoholic hepatitis (AH), fibrosis, cirrhosis, and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). microRNAs (miRNAs) have garnered significant interest as potential biomarkers for ALD.

METHODS

We searched PubMed, Embase, Web of Science and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL) systemically from inception to June 2024. All extracted data was stratified according to the stages of ALD. The vote-counting strategy performed a meta-analysis on miRNA expression profiles.

RESULTS

We included 40 studies. In serum of individuals with alcohol-use vs. no alcohol-use, miRNA-122 and miRNA-155 were upregulated, and miRNA-146a was downregulated. In patients with ALD vs. healthy controls, miRNA-122 and miRNA-155 were also upregulated, and miRNA-146a was downregulated. However, in patients with AH vs. healthy individuals, only the serum miRNA-122 level was upregulated. Due to insufficient data on diagnostic accuracy, we failed to conclude the ability of miRNAs to distinguish between different stages of ALD-related liver fibrosis. The results for ALD-related HCC were also insufficient and controversial.

CONCLUSIONS

Circulating miRNA-122 was the most promising biomarker to manage individuals with ALD. More studies were needed for the diagnostic accuracy of miRNAs in ALD.

REGISTRATION

This protocol was registered on the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (PROSPERO) (www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/) with registration number CRD42023391931.

Impact of Longitudinal Alcohol Use Patterns on Long-Term Risk of Cirrhosis Among US Veterans With Steatotic Liver Disease

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Conflicting data exist on the impact of alcohol use on risk of liver disease progression in patients with steatotic liver disease. We aimed to evaluate the effect of longitudinal alcohol use on risk of cirrhosis among veterans with steatotic liver disease.

METHODS

US veterans with steatotic liver disease were identified from January 2010 through December 2022. Alcohol use was assessed using documented Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test-Concise (AUDIT-C) scores and categorized as no alcohol (AUDIT-C = 0), low-risk alcohol use (AUDIT-C 1-2 for women and 1-3 for men), and high-risk alcohol (AUDIT-C ≥ 3 for women and ≥ 4 for men). Incidence of cirrhosis was evaluated with competing risks Nelson-Aalen methods. Adjusted multivariable regression models evaluated risks of cirrhosis associated with baseline alcohol use and changes in alcohol use during follow-up.

RESULTS

There were 1,156,189 veterans with steatotic liver disease identified (54.2% no alcohol, 34.6% low-risk alcohol, and 11.2% high-risk alcohol). Veterans with steatotic liver disease and high-risk alcohol have a 43% higher incidence of cirrhosis compared with patients reporting no alcohol use. Compared with patients with baseline high-risk alcohol who reported no change in alcohol use, those who decreased their alcohol use during follow-up experienced a 39% reduction in long-term risk of cirrhosis (hazard ratio, 0.61; 95% CI, 0.45-0.83; P < .01).

CONCLUSIONS

One in 9 veterans with steatotic liver disease report concurrent high-risk alcohol use, which is associated with 43% greater risk of cirrhosis compared with no alcohol use. However, reducing alcohol use lowers risk of cirrhosis, emphasizing the importance of timely alcohol use assessment and early interventions to address high-risk alcohol use in steatotic liver disease.

The Role of Obstructive Sleep Apnea in Hypercapnic Respiratory Failure Identified in Critical Care, Inpatient, and Outpatient Settings

An emerging body of literature describes the prevalence and consequences of hypercapnic respiratory failure. While device qualifications, documentation practices, and previously performed clinical studies often encourage conceptualizing patients as having a single "cause" of hypercapnia, many patients encountered in practice have several contributing conditions. Physiologic and epidemiologic data suggest that sleep-disordered breathing-particularly obstructive sleep apnea (OSA)-often contributes to the development of hypercapnia. In this review, the authors summarize the frequency of contributing conditions to hypercapnic respiratory failure among patients identified in critical care, emergency, and inpatient settings with an aim toward understanding the contribution of OSA to the development of hypercapnia.

Unique metabolomics characteristics for distinguishing cirrhosis related to different liver diseases: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Clinical evidence for early identification and diagnosis of liver cirrhosis (LC) caused by different types of liver disease is limited. We investigated this topic through a meta-analysis of quantitative metabolomics.

METHODS

Four databases were searched until October 31, 2022 for studies comparing metabolite levels between patients with different types of liver disease and control individuals. A random-effects model was applied for the meta-analysis.

RESULTS

This study included 55 studies with 8266 clinical participants, covering 348 metabolites. In LC related to drug-induced liver injury (DILI), hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection, and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), the primary bile acid biosynthesis (taurocholic acid: SMD, 1.08[0.81, 1.35]; P < 0.00001; glycocholic acid: SMD, 1.35[1.07, 1.62]; P < 0.00001; taurochenodeoxycholic acid: SMD, 1.36[0.94, 1.78]; P < 0.00001; glycochenodeoxycholic acid: SMD, 1.49[0.93, 2.06]; P < 0.00001), proline and arginine (l-proline: SMD, 1.06[0.53, 1.58]; P < 0.0001; hydroxyproline: SMD, 0.81[0.30, 1.33]; P = 0.002), and fatty acid biosynthesis (palmitic acid: SMD, 0.44[0.21, 0.67]; P = 0.0002; oleic acid: SMD, 0.46[0.19, 0.73]; P = 0.0008; stearic acid: SMD, 0.37[0.07, 0.68]; P = 0.02) metabolic pathways were significantly altered.

CONCLUSION

We identified key biomarkers and metabolic characteristics for distinguishing and identifying LC related to different types of liver disease, providing a new perspective for early diagnosis, disease monitoring, and precise treatment.

The Utility of the Platelet-Albumin-Bilirubin Score as a Non-invasive Predictor of Esophageal Varices and Variceal Hemorrhage in Patients With Liver Cirrhosis Compared to Child-Turcotte-Pugh and Model of End-Stage Liver Disease-Sodium Scores

Introduction Research on non-invasive tools for detecting gastro-esophageal varices is underway. We investigated the Platelet-Albumin-Bilirubin (PALBI) score in comparison with the Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) and MELD-Na (MELD-Na) scores in patients with liver cirrhosis. Methods Three hundred and twenty-three patients with liver cirrhosis were studied. The PALBI, CTP and MELD-Na scores were calculated and analyzed for gastroesophageal varices and their characteristics using SPSS version 26 (IBM Corp., Armonk, NY, USA). Results Two hundred and sixty-four patients had esophageal varices and 102 presented with variceal hemorrhage. Mean PALBI, CTP and MELD-Na scores were significantly higher for patients with varices versus without varices (p < 0.05). Unlike the mean MELD-Na score, the mean PALBI and CTP scores were significantly higher in patients with large high-risk varices as compared to patients with small low-risk varices (p < 0.05). The mean CTP scores were significantly higher in patients with variceal hemorrhage than those without hemorrhage (p < 0.05), while the difference between mean PALBI and MELD-Na was insignificant, in this regard. The PALBI score had better sensitivity than the CTP and MELD-Na scores in indicating the presence of varices but was similar to the CTP score in predicting high-risk varices. Conclusion The PALBI score proves to have good utility and efficiency in predicting varices in comparison to CTP and MELD-Na scores. It can determine high-risk stigmata of variceal hemorrhage with similar performance as the CTP Score.

Safety and efficacy of non-reduced use of caspofungin in patients with Child-Pugh B or C cirrhosis: a real-world study

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The need for dose adjustment of caspofungin in patients with hepatic impairment is controversial, especially for those with Child-Pugh B or C cirrhosis. The purpose of this study was to investigate the safety and efficacy of standard-dose caspofungin administration in Child-Pugh B and C cirrhotic patients in a real-world clinical setting.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

The electronic medical records of 258 cirrhotic patients, including 67 Child-Pugh B patients and 191 Child-Pugh C patients, who were treated with standard-dose of caspofungin at the Second Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, China, from March 2018 to June 2023 were reviewed retrospectively. The white blood cells (WBC), hepatic, renal and coagulation function results before administration and post administration on days 7, 14 and 21 were collected, and the efficacy was assessed in all patients at the end of caspofungin therapy.

RESULTS

Favorable responses were achieved in 137 (53.1%) patients while 34 (13.2%) patients died. We observed that some patients experienced an increase of prothrombin time (PT) or international normalized ratio (INR), or a decrease of WBC, but no exacerbation of hepatic or renal dysfunction were identified and no patient required dose interruption or adjustment because of an adverse drug reaction during treatment with caspofungin.

CONCLUSIONS

Standard-dose of caspofungin can be safely and effectively used in patients with Child-Pugh B or C cirrhosis, and we appealed to re-assess the most suitable dosing regimen in this population to avoid a potential subtherapeutic exposure.

CXCR6+CD69+ CD8+ T cells in ascites are associated with disease severity in patients with cirrhosis

Background & Aims

Patients with advanced cirrhosis often develop hepatic decompensation, which is accompanied by systemic inflammation and may eventually lead to acute-on-chronic liver failure. One important cause of systemic hyperinflammation is a dysregulated overshooting immune response in ascites in the abdominal cavity. In this study, we analyzed the role of CD8+ T cells in the ascites immune compartment.

Methods

Peripheral blood and ascites fluid were collected from 50 patients with decompensated cirrhosis. Phenotype and functional responses of CD8+ T cells were analyzed, and obtained data were compared with each other as well as with healthy controls and patients with compensated cirrhosis.

Results

High-dimensional flow cytometry revealed that CD8+ T cells are abundant in the ascites of patients with cirrhosis and exhibit a chronically activated bystander phenotype with innate-like functions. Indeed, we identified distinct CXCR6+CD69+ clusters of late effector memory CD8+ T cells that were rarely found in blood and correlated with clinical parameters of disease severity. Moreover, this CD8+ T-cell population was hyperresponsive to innate cytokines and exhibited cytokine-mediated bystander activation. Interestingly, the Janus kinase (JAK) inhibitor tofacitinib was able to effectively block bystander-activated CXCR6+CD69+ CD8+ T cells and significantly suppress effector molecule production.

Conclusions

The results indicate that CXCR6+CD69+ CD8+ T cells in ascites are associated with disease severity and may contribute to inflammation in patients with decompensated cirrhosis, suggesting that targeted inhibition of this immune cell subset may be a viable therapeutic option.

Impact and Implications

Patients with advanced cirrhosis often develop hepatic decompensation, which is accompanied by systemic inflammation and eventually leads to acute-on-chronic liver failure. One important cause of systemic hyperinflammation is a dysregulated overshooting immune response in ascites in the abdominal cavity. In this study, we demonstrate that CXCR6+CD69+ CD8+ T cells are abundant in the ascites of patients with cirrhosis, exhibit a chronically activated bystander phenotype, and correlate with clinical parameters of disease severity. Moreover, we show that the Janus kinase (JAK) inhibitor tofacitinib can effectively block these bystander-activated CXCR6+CD69+ CD8+ T cells, suggesting that targeted inhibition of this immune cell subset may be a potential therapeutic strategy.

Clinical trial number

Prospective registry: INFEKTA (DRKS00010664).

Rapid appraisal of liver diseases using transient elastography, abdominal ultrasound, and microbiology in Côte d'Ivoire: A single-center study

BACKGROUND

Liver diseases of infectious and non-infectious etiology cause considerable morbidity and mortality, particularly in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). However, data on the prevalence of liver diseases and underlying risk factors in LMICs are scarce. The objective of this study was to elucidate the occurrence of infectious diseases among individuals with chronic liver damage in a rural setting of Côte d'Ivoire.

METHODOLOGY

In 2021, we screened 696 individuals from four villages in the southern part of Côte d'Ivoire for hepatic fibrosis and steatosis, employing transient elastography (TE) and controlled attenuation parameter (CAP). We classified CAP ≥248 dB/m as steatosis, TE ≥7.2 kPa as fibrosis, and did subgroup analysis for participants with TE ranging from 7.2 kPa to 9.1 kPa. Clinical and microbiologic characteristics were compared to an age- and sex-matched control group (TE <6.0 kPa; n = 109). Stool samples were subjected to duplicate Kato-Katz thick smears for diagnosis of Schistosoma mansoni. Venous blood samples were examined for hepatitis B and hepatitis C virus. Additionally, an abdominal ultrasound examination was performed.

PRINCIPAL FINDINGS

Among 684 individuals with valid TE measurements, TE screening identified hepatic pathologies in 149 participants (17% with fibrosis and 6% with steatosis). 419 participants were included for further analyses, of which 261 had complete microbiologic analyses available. The prevalence of S. mansoni, hepatitis B, and hepatitis C were 30%, 14%, and 7%, respectively. Logistic regression analysis revealed higher odds for having TE results between 7.2 kPa and 9.1 kPa in individuals with S. mansoni infection (odds ratio [OR] = 3.02, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.58-5.76, P = 0.001), while HCV infection (OR = 5.02, 95% CI = 1.72-14.69, P = 0.003) and steatosis (OR = 4.62, 95% CI = 1.60-13.35, P = 0.005) were found to be risk factors for TE ≥9.2 kPa.

CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE

Besides viral hepatitis, S. mansoni also warrants consideration as a pathogen causing liver fibrosis in Côte d'Ivoire. In-depth diagnostic work-up among individuals with abnormal TE findings might be a cost-effective public health strategy.

Higher scores in the Clinical Frailty Scale are associated with covert and overt hepatic encephalopathy in patients with cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Frailty increases the vulnerability to internal and external stressors and may therefore be an indicator of a higher frequency of cirrhosis complications. We aimed to investigate the association of the Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS) with covert (CHE) and overt HE (OHE) development in patients with cirrhosis.

METHODS

This study analyzed data of 228 patients with cirrhosis. Frailty was assessed using CFS. Patients were examined for the presence of CHE (using PHES) at study inclusion and followed for OHE.

RESULTS

Median CFS was 3 and 26 (11 %) patients were at least pre-frail (CFS>3). In multivariable logistic regression analysis in patients without a history of OHE (n = 195), a higher CFS was associated with the presence of CHE at baseline (OR 1.6, p = 0.039). During follow-up, 42 (18 %) patients developed an episode of OHE. In multivariable competing risk regression analyses, a higher CFS was independently associated with the development of an OHE episode in the total cohort (sHR 1.97, p < 0.001) and in the subcohort of patients without a history of OHE (sHR 1.88, p = 0.008).

CONCLUSION

CFS appears to be a reliable tool to identify patients at higher risk of HE in whom intensified monitoring and treatment may be justified.

Pharmacological inhibition of the Src homology phosphatase 2 confers partial protection in a mouse model of alcohol-associated liver disease

Alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) is a leading factor of liver-related death worldwide. ALD has various manifestations that include steatosis, hepatitis, and cirrhosis and is currently without approved pharmacotherapies. The Src homology phosphatase 2 (Shp2) is a drug target in some cancers due to its positive regulation of Ras-mitogen-activated protein kinase signaling and cell proliferation. Shp2 pharmacological inhibition yields beneficial outcomes in animal disease models, but its impact on ALD remains unexplored. This study aims to investigate the effects of Shp2 inhibition and its validity using a preclinical mouse model of ALD. We report that the administration of SHP099, a potent and selective allosteric inhibitor of Shp2, partially ameliorated ethanol-induced hepatic injury, inflammation, and steatosis in mice. Additionally, Shp2 inhibition was associated with reduced ethanol-evoked activation of extracellular signal-regulated kinase (ERK), oxidative, and endoplasmic reticulum (ER) stress in the liver. Besides the liver, excessive alcohol consumption induces multi-organ injury and dysfunction, including the intestine. Notably, Shp2 inhibition diminished ethanol-induced intestinal inflammation and permeability, abrogated the reduction in tight junction protein expression, and the activation of ERK and stress signaling in the ileum. Collectively, Shp2 pharmacological inhibition mitigates the deleterious effects of ethanol in the liver and intestine in a mouse model of ALD. Given the multifactorial aspects underlying ALD pathogenesis, additional studies are needed to decipher the utility of Shp2 inhibition alone or as a component in a multitherapeutic regimen to combat this deadly malady.

Associations of gallbladder and gallstone parameters with clinical outcomes in patients with cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Morphologic changes in the gallbladder and gallstones are common in cirrhotic patients, but their associations with outcomes of cirrhotic patients are unclear.

METHODS

We retrospectively enrolled 206 cirrhotic patients and measured their gallbladder length and width, gallbladder wall thickness, presence of gallstones, and gallstones' length and width in axial contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CT) images. X-tile software was utilized to calculate the optimal cutoff values of these parameters for evaluating survival and hepatic decompensation events in the cirrhosis group. Their associations with survival were explored by Cox regression analyses and Kaplan-Meier curve analyses. Their associations with hepatic decompensation events were evaluated by competing risk analyses and Nelson-Aalen cumulative risk curve analyses where death was a competing event.

RESULTS

Cirrhotic patients with gallbladder length < 72 mm had a significantly higher cumulative survival rate than those with a length of ≥ 72 mm (P = 0.049 by log-rank test), but gallbladder width, gallbladder wall thickness, presence of gallstones, and gallstones' length and width were not significantly associated with survival (P = 0.10, P = 0.14, P = 0.97, P = 0.73, and P = 0.73 by log-rank tests, respectively). Cirrhotic patients with gallbladder wall thickness < 3.4 mm had a significantly lower cumulative rate of hepatic decompensation events than those with a wall thickness of ≥ 3.4 mm (P = 0.02 by Gray's test), but gallbladder length and width, presence of gallstones, and gallstones' length and width were not significantly associated with hepatic decompensation events (P = 0.15, P = 0.15, P = 0.54, P = 0.76, and P = 0.54 by Gray's tests, respectively).

CONCLUSION

Changes in gallbladder length and gallbladder wall thickness, rather than gallstone parameters, may be in parallel with the long-term outcomes of cirrhotic patients.

Glucagon-like Peptide-1 Receptor Agonist Use in Patients With Liver Cirrhosis and Type 2 Diabetes

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Liver cirrhosis is often associated with type 2 diabetes (T2D), but research on treatment of T2D in cirrhotic patients is scarce. We investigated the long-term outcomes of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RAs) in patients with T2D and cirrhosis.

METHODS

Using propensity score matching, we selected 467 matched pairs of GLP-1 RA users and nonusers from the National Health Insurance Research Database of Taiwan from January 1, 2008, to December 31, 2019. Multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards models were used to compare the outcomes between GLP-1 RA users and nonusers.

RESULTS

The mean follow-up time was 3.28 and 3.06 years for GLP-1 RA users and nonusers, respectively. The rates of death were 27.46 and 55.90 per 1000 person-years for GLP-1 RA users and nonusers, respectively. The multivariable-adjusted models showed that GLP-1 RA users had lower risks of mortality (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.47; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.32-0.69), cardiovascular events (aHR, 0.6; 95% CI, 0.41-0.87), decompensated cirrhosis (aHR, 0.7; 95% CI, 0.49-0.99), hepatic encephalopathy (aHR, 0.59; 95% CI, 0.36-0.97), and liver failure (aHR, 0.54; 95% CI, 0.34-0.85) than nonusers. A longer cumulative duration of GLP-1 RA use had a lower risk of these outcomes than GLP-1 RA nonuse.

CONCLUSIONS

This population-based cohort study showed that GLP-1 RA users exhibited a significantly lower risk of death, cardiovascular events, decompensated cirrhosis, hepatic encephalopathy, and liver failure in patients with T2D and compensated liver cirrhosis. Additional studies are needed to confirm our results.

Comparison of different nutritional screening tools in nutritional screening of patients with cirrhosis: A cross-sectional observational study

Aims

The Royal Free Hospital Nutritional Prioritizing Tool (RFH-NPT), the Liver Disease Undernutrition Screening Tool (LDUST) and Nutritional Risk Screening 2002 (NRS2002) were used by nurses to screen, compare, and analyze the nutritional status of patients with liver cirrhosis. The application value of different screening tools was summarized in the nutritional screening of patients with liver cirrhosis.

Methods

In this study, LDUST, RFH-NPT, and NRS2002 were used by nurses to screen the nutritional status of hospitalized patients with liver cirrhosis within 24-48 h after admission. The study calculated validity indicators such as sensitivity, specificity, the area under the receiver operating curve (AUC), and reliability indicators such as the Kappa coefficient. The efficacy of these screening tools in the nutritional screening of patients with liver cirrhosis was compared.

Results

Among the 207 patients, LDUST and NRS2002 identified 72.9 % and 23.7 % as undernourished, respectively. The sensitivity of LDUST and NRS2002 were 92.1 % and 30.0 %, respectively. The Kappa value of LDUST and RFH-NPT was 0.620, and the Kappa value of LDUST compared with NRS2002 was 0.144.

Conclusion

This study shows that the Liver Disease Undernutrition Screening Tool, a special screening tool for patients with liver cirrhosis, has a more reliable screening effect and higher sensitivity than NRS2002. The Liver Disease Undernutrition Screening Tool is recommended for nutritional screening in patients with liver cirrhosis.

Impact of an Automated Population-Level Cirrhosis Screening Program Using Common Pathology Tests on Rates of Cirrhosis Diagnosis and Linkage to Specialist Care (CAPRISE): Protocol for a Pilot Prospective Single-Arm Intervention Study

BACKGROUND

People with compensated cirrhosis receive the greatest benefit from risk factor modification and prevention programs to reduce liver decompensation and improve early liver cancer detection. Blood-based liver fibrosis algorithms such as the Aspartate Transaminase-to-Platelet Ratio Index (APRI) and Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index are calculated using routinely ordered blood tests and are effective screening tests to exclude cirrhosis in people with chronic liver disease, triaging the need for further investigations to confirm cirrhosis and linkage to specialist care.

OBJECTIVE

This pilot study aims to evaluate the impact of a population screening program for liver cirrhosis (CAPRISE [Cirrhosis Automated APRI and FIB-4 Screening Evaluation]), which uses automated APRI and FIB-4 calculation and reporting on routinely ordered blood tests, on monthly rates of referral for transient elastography, cirrhosis diagnosis, and linkage to specialist care.

METHODS

We have partnered with a large pathology service in Victoria, Australia, to pilot a population-level liver cirrhosis screening package, which comprises (1) automated calculation and reporting of APRI and FIB-4 on routinely ordered blood tests; (2) provision of brief information about liver cirrhosis; and (3) a web link for transient elastography referral. APRI and FIB-4 will be prospectively calculated on all community-ordered pathology results in adults attending a single pathology service. This single-center, prospective, single-arm, pre-post study will compare the monthly rates of transient elastography (FibroScan) referral, liver cirrhosis diagnosis, and the proportion linked to specialist care in the 6 months after intervention to the 6 months prior to the intervention.

RESULTS

As of January 2024, in the preintervention phase of this study, a total of 120,972 tests were performed by the laboratory. Of these tests, 78,947 (65.3%) tests were excluded, with the remaining 42,025 (34.7%) tests on 37,872 individuals meeting inclusion criteria with APRI and FIB-4 being able to be calculated. Of these 42,025 tests, 1.3% (n=531) had elevated APRI>1 occurring in 446 individuals, and 2.3% (n=985) had elevated FIB-4>2.67 occurring in 816 individuals. Linking these data with FibroScan referral and appointment attendance is ongoing and will continue during the intervention phase, which is expected to commence on February 1, 2024.

CONCLUSIONS

We will determine the feasibility and effectiveness of automated APRI and FIB-4 reporting on the monthly rate of transient elastography referrals, liver cirrhosis diagnosis, and linkage to specialist care.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry ACTRN12623000295640; https://tinyurl.com/58dv9ypp.

INTERNATIONAL REGISTERED REPORT IDENTIFIER (IRRID)

DERR1-10.2196/56607.

Machine Learning for Short-Term Mortality in Acute Decompensation of Liver Cirrhosis: Better than MELD Score

Prediction of short-term mortality in patients with acute decompensation of liver cirrhosis could be improved. We aimed to develop and validate two machine learning (ML) models for predicting 28-day and 90-day mortality in patients hospitalized with acute decompensated liver cirrhosis. We trained two artificial neural network (ANN)-based ML models using a training sample of 165 out of 290 (56.9%) patients, and then tested their predictive performance against Model of End-stage Liver Disease-Sodium (MELD-Na) and MELD 3.0 scores using a different validation sample of 125 out of 290 (43.1%) patients. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) for predicting 28-day mortality for the ML model was 0.811 (95%CI: 0.714- 0.907; p < 0.001), while the AUC for the MELD-Na score was 0.577 (95%CI: 0.435-0.720; p = 0.226) and for MELD 3.0 was 0.600 (95%CI: 0.462-0.739; p = 0.117). The area under the ROC curve (AUC) for predicting 90-day mortality for the ML model was 0.839 (95%CI: 0.776- 0.884; p < 0.001), while the AUC for the MELD-Na score was 0.682 (95%CI: 0.575-0.790; p = 0.002) and for MELD 3.0 was 0.703 (95%CI: 0.590-0.816; p < 0.001). Our study demonstrates that ML-based models for predicting short-term mortality in patients with acute decompensation of liver cirrhosis perform significantly better than MELD-Na and MELD 3.0 scores in a validation cohort.

Women Are Also Disadvantaged in Accessing Transplant Outside the United States: Analysis of the Spanish Liver Transplantation Registry

Sex inequities in liver transplantation (LT) have been documented in several, mostly US-based, studies. Our aim was to describe sex-related differences in access to LT in a system with short waiting times. All adult patients registered in the RETH-Spanish Liver Transplant Registry (2000-2022) for LT were included. Baseline demographics, presence of hepatocellular carcinoma, cause and severity of liver disease, time on the waiting list (WL), access to transplantation, and reasons for removal from the WL were assessed. 14,385 patients were analysed (77% men, 56.2 ± 8.7 years). Model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score was reported for 5,475 patients (mean value: 16.6 ± 5.7). Women were less likely to receive a transplant than men (OR 0.78, 95% CI 0.63, 0.97) with a trend to a higher risk of exclusion for deterioration (HR 1.17, 95% CI 0.99, 1.38), despite similar disease severity. Women waited longer on the WL (198.6 ± 338.9 vs. 173.3 ± 285.5 days, p < 0.001). Recently, women's risk of dropout has reduced, concomitantly with shorter WL times. Even in countries with short waiting times, women are disadvantaged in LT. Policies directed at optimizing the whole LT network should be encouraged to guarantee a fair and equal access of all patients to this life saving resource.

Diagnostic accuracy of serological and imaging tests used in surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma in adults with cirrhosis: a systematic review protocol

Background

Liver cirrhosis is the largest risk factor for developing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and surveillance is therefore recommended among this population. Current guidance recommends surveillance with ultrasound, with or without alpha-fetoprotein (AFP). This review is part of a larger project looking at benefits, harms and costs of surveillance for HCC in people with cirrhosis. It aims to synthesise the evidence on the diagnostic accuracy of imaging or biomarker tests, alone or in combination, to identify HCC in adults with liver cirrhosis in a surveillance programme.

Methods

We will identify studies through a 2021 Cochrane review with similar eligibility criteria, and a database search of MEDLINE, Embase and the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews. We will include diagnostic test accuracy studies with adult cirrhosis patients of any aetiology. Studies must assess at least one of the following index tests: ultrasound (US), magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), computerised tomography (CT), alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), des-gamma-carboxyprothrombin (DCP), lens culinaris agglutinin-reactive fraction of AFP (AFP-L3), a genomic biomarker, or a diagnostic prediction model incorporating at least one of the above-mentioned tests. We will assess studies for risk of bias using QUADAS-2 and QUADAS-C. We will combine data using bivariate random effects meta-analyses. For tests evaluated across varying diagnostic thresholds, we will produce pooled estimates of sensitivity and specificity across the full range of numerical thresholds, where possible. Where sufficient studies compare two or more index tests, we will perform additional analyses to compare the accuracy of different tests. Where feasible, we will stratify all meta-analyses by tumour size and patient characteristics, including cirrhosis aetiology and liver disease severity.

Discussion

This review will synthesise evidence across the full range of possible surveillance tests, using advanced statistical methods to summarise accuracy across all thresholds and to compare the accuracy of different tests.

PROSPERO registration

CRD42022357163.

The burden of liver disease in Latin America

Liver disease poses a substantial burden in Latin America. This burden is primarily attributed to a high level of alcohol consumption and the increasing prevalence of risk factors associated with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), such as sedentary lifestyles, easy access to ultra-processed foods, obesity, and type 2 diabetes mellitus. These epidemiological trends are cause for concern, especially considering that there are significant challenges in addressing them due to disparities in access to liver disease screening and care. In this article, we aim to provide an overview of the current situation regarding liver disease in Latin America. We also discuss recent multinational proposals designed to address the growing MASLD burden via its integration into existing non-communicable diseases policies, at both local and global levels. Additionally, we emphasize the urgent need to establish effective public health policies that target both MASLD risk factors and excessive alcohol consumption. Furthermore, we discuss the development of liver transplantation programs, areas for improvement in medical education and research capabilities, and how the fostering of extensive collaboration among all stakeholders is crucial for addressing liver disease in the region.