Akaike's information criterion in generalized estimating equations

The age factor influencing long-term physical functionality in stroke patients undergoing intra-arterial thrombectomy treatment

The treatment of acute ischemic stroke is heavily time-dependent, and even though, with the most efficient treatment, the long-term functional outcome is still highly variable. In this current study, the authors selected acute ischemic stroke patients who were qualified for intravenous thrombolysis with recombinant tissue plasminogen activator and followed by intra-arterial thrombectomy. With primary outcome defined by the functional level in a 1-year follow-up, we hypothesize that patients with older age are at a disadvantage in post-stroke recovery. However, an age-threshold should be determined to help clinicians in selection of patients to undergo such therapy. This is a retrospective chart review study that include 92 stroke patients in Changhua Christian hospital with a total of 68 evaluation indexes recorded. The current study utilized the forward stepwise regression model whose Adj-R2 and P value in search of important variables for outcome prediction. The chngpt package in R indicated the threshold point of the age factor directing the better future functionality of the stroke patients. Datasets revealed the threshold of the age set at 79 the most appropriate. Admission Barthel Index, Age, ipsilateral internal carotid artery resistance index (ICA RI), ipsilateral vertebral artery (VA) PI, contralateral middle cerebral artery (MCA) stenosis, contralateral external carotid artery (ECA) RI, and in-hospital pneumonia are the significant predicting variables. The higher the age, in-hospital pneumonia, contralateral MCA stenosis, ipsilateral ICA RI and ipsilateral VA PI, the less likely patient to recover from functional deficits as the result of acute ischemic stroke; the higher the value of contralateral ECA RI and admission Barthel Index, the better chance to full functional recovery at 1-year follow up. Parameters of pre-intervention datasets could provide important information to aid first-line clinicians in decision making. Especially, in patients whose age is above 79 receives diminish return in the benefit to undergo such intervention and should be considered seriously by both the patients and the physicians.

US adult smokers' perceived relative risk on ENDS and its effects on their transitions between cigarettes and ENDS

BACKGROUND

Perceived risk reduction motivates smokers to switch to electronic nicotine delivery systems (ENDS). This research examines US smokers' relative risk perceptions and their prospective association with various behavioral stages of switching to ENDS.

METHODS

Data from the nationally representative, longitudinal Population Assessment of Tobacco and Health (PATH) Adult survey, Waves 1 (2014) through 5 (2019), were analyzed. We assessed the association between the perceived risk of ENDS relative to cigarettes ("less harmful" vs. "equally harmful" or "more harmful") and 1) adoption of ENDS (among never-ENDS-using smokers), 2) complete switching to ENDS (i.e., stopping smoking, among ever-ENDS-using smokers), and 3) avoiding reversion to smoking (among smokers who had switched to ENDS), at the next wave.

RESULTS

The proportion of US smokers perceiving ENDS as less harmful than cigarettes continually decreased, reaching 17.4% in Wave 5 (2019). Current smokers with such belief were more likely to adopt ENDS (aOR 1.31; 95% CI 1.15-1.50) and switch completely to ENDS (aOR 2.24; 95% CI 1.89-2.65) in the subsequent wave. Among smokers who had switched within the past year, such beliefs predicted avoidance of resumption of smoking in the next wave (aOR 0.55; 95% CI 0.33-0.93).

CONCLUSIONS

Smokers' beliefs about the relative risk of ENDS compared to cigarettes had a strong and consistent association with transitions between smoking and ENDS use. Addressing the growing misperception about ENDS has the potential to contribute to public health by encouraging smokers' switching to ENDS.

Mesenteric abnormalities play an important role in grading intestinal fibrosis in patients with Crohn's disease: a computed tomography and clinical marker-based nomogram

BACKGROUND

While the grading of intestinal fibrosis is closely related to the therapeutic strategy of patients with Crohn's disease (CD), it has not yet been well resolved. Mesenteric abnormalities are inextricably linked to intestinal fibrosis.

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to establish an optimal model for assessing intestinal fibrosis using computed tomography enterography (CTE) and clinical markers.

DESIGN

A total of 174 patients with CD between January 2014 and June 2020 were included in this retrospective multicentre study.

METHODS

All patients underwent CTE within 3 months prior to surgery. Intestinal fibrosis was pathologically scored as non-mild or moderate-to-severe. Selected imaging of the intestinal walls and mesentery and/or clinical factors were used to develop the diagnostic models. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) analysis was used to evaluate the discrimination performance of the models. A decision curve analysis was performed to evaluate the clinical usefulness of the models.

RESULTS

One-, two-, and three-variable models were identified as possible diagnostic models. Model 1 [mesenteric creeping fat index (MCFI)], Model 2 (mesenteric oedema and MCFI), and Model 3 (mesenteric oedema, MCFI, and disease duration) were established. The AUCs of Model 1 in training and test cohorts 1 and 2 were 0.799, 0.859, and 0.693, respectively; Model 2 was 0.851, 0.833, and 0.757, respectively; and Model 3 was 0.832, 0.821, and 0.850, respectively. We did not observe any significant difference in diagnostic performance between the training and total test cohorts in any model (all p > 0.05). The decision curves showed that Model 3 had the highest net clinical benefit in test cohort 2. The nomogram of this optimal model was constructed by considering the favourable and robust performance of Model 3.

CONCLUSION

A nomogram integrating mesenteric abnormalities on CTE with a clinical marker was optimal for differentiating between non-mild and moderate-to-severe fibrosis in patients with CD.

Patterns of antimicrobial resistance in Salmonella isolates from fattening pigs in Spain

Background

Swine are considered a major source of foodborne salmonellosis, a public health issue further complicated by the circulation of multidrug-resistant Salmonella strains that threaten the safety of the food chain. The current study aimed to identify patterns that can help to understand the epidemiology of antimicrobial resistance (AMR) in Salmonella in pigs in Spain through the application of several multivariate statistical methods to data from the AMR national surveillance programs from 2001 to 2017.

Results

A total of 1,318 pig Salmonella isolates belonging to 63 different serotypes were isolated and their AMR profiles were determined. Tetracycline resistance across provinces in Spain was the highest among all antimicrobials and ranged from 66.7% to 95.8%, followed by sulfamethoxazole resistance (range: 42.5% − 77.8%), streptomycin resistance (range: 45.7% − 76.7%), ampicillin resistance (range: 24.3% − 66.7%, with a lower percentage of resistance in the South-East of Spain), and chloramphenicol resistance (range: 8.5% − 41.1%). A significant increase in the percentage of resistant isolates to chloramphenicol, sulfamethoxazole, ampicillin and trimethoprim from 2013 to 2017 was observed. Bayesian network analysis showed the existence of dependencies between resistance to antimicrobials of the same but also different families, with chloramphenicol and sulfamethoxazole in the centre of the networks. In the networks, the conditional probability for an isolate susceptible to ciprofloxacin that was also susceptible to nalidixic acid was 0.999 but for an isolate resistant to ciprofloxacin that was also resistant to nalidixic acid was only 0.779. An isolate susceptible to florfenicol would be expected to be susceptible to chloramphenicol, whereas an isolate resistant to chloramphenicol had a conditional probability of being resistant to florfenicol at only 0.221. Hierarchical clustering further demonstrated the linkage between certain resistances (and serotypes). For example, a higher likelihood of multidrug-resistance in isolates belonging to 1,4,[5],12:i:- serotype was found, and in the cluster where all isolates were resistant to tetracycline, chloramphenicol and florfenicol, 86.9% (n = 53) of the isolates were Typhimurium.

Conclusion

Our study demonstrated the power of multivariate statistical methods in discovering trends and patterns of AMR and found the existence of serotype-specific AMR patterns for serotypes of public health concern in Salmonella isolates in pigs in Spain.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12917-022-03377-3.

Association between polarity of first episode and solar insolation in bipolar I disorder

OBJECTIVE

Circadian rhythm disruption is commonly observed in bipolar disorder (BD). Daylight is the most powerful signal to entrain the human circadian clock system. This exploratory study investigated if solar insolation at the onset location was associated with the polarity of the first episode of BD I. Solar insolation is the amount of electromagnetic energy from the Sun striking a surface area of the Earth.

METHODS

Data from 7488 patients with BD I were collected at 75 sites in 42 countries. The first episode occurred at 591 onset locations in 67 countries at a wide range of latitudes in both hemispheres. Solar insolation values were obtained for every onset location, and the ratio of the minimum mean monthly insolation to the maximum mean monthly insolation was calculated. This ratio is largest near the equator (with little change in solar insolation over the year), and smallest near the poles (where winter insolation is very small compared to summer insolation). This ratio also applies to tropical locations which may have a cloudy wet and clear dry season, rather than winter and summer.

RESULTS

The larger the change in solar insolation throughout the year (smaller the ratio between the minimum monthly and maximum monthly values), the greater the likelihood the first episode polarity was depression. Other associated variables were being female and increasing percentage of gross domestic product spent on country health expenditures. (All coefficients: P ≤ 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Increased awareness and research into circadian dysfunction throughout the course of BD is warranted.

Carcinogenic air pollution along the United States' southern border: Neighborhood inequities in risk

Air pollution poses serious and socially inequitable risks to public health. Social disparities are marked along the US-Mexico border, yet prior research has not assessed inequities in air pollution exposure across the entire US-side of the border region. We apply an intersectional approach to examine contextually relevant sociodemographic variables, including (1) Hispanic/Latinx ethnicity by race and (2) nativity (US vs. Foreign) by citizenship, and cancer risks attributable to air pollution exposures. We pair data from the 2012-2016 American Community Survey with 2014 National Air Toxics Assessment estimates of carcinogenic risks from all sources of hazardous air pollutants at the census tract level (n = 1448) and use a series of generalized estimating equations to assess inequities in risk. Increased concentrations of renter-occupants, Hispanics, mid-to-high socioeconomic status households, and foreign-born citizens were associated with elevated risks. Hispanic ethnicity intersected with non-White racial identification to amplify risks. In contrast, increased concentrations of non-Hispanic Black people and foreign-born non-citizens were not associated with disparate risks. To ameliorate environmental health inequities in this context, research and policy actions must be tailored to the US-Mexico border and consider intersectional positions within the Hispanic population.

Adolescent reinforcement-learning trajectories predict cocaine-taking behaviors in adult male and female rats

The anatomical, structural, and functional adaptations that occur in the brain during adolescence are thought to facilitate improvements in decision-making functions that are known to occur during this stage of development. The mechanisms that underlie these neural adaptations are not known, but deviations in developmental trajectories have been proposed to contribute to the emergence of mental illness, including addiction. Direct evidence supporting this hypothesis, however, has been limited. Here, we used a recently developed reversal-learning protocol to investigate the predictive relationship between adolescent decision-making trajectories and cocaine-taking behaviors in adulthood. Decision-making functions in the reversal-learning task were assessed throughout adolescence and into adulthood in male and female Long-Evans rats. Trial-by-trial choice data was fitted with a reinforcement-learning model to quantify the degree to which choice behavior of individual rats was influenced by rewarded (e.g., ∆₊ parameter) and unrewarded (e.g., ∆₀ parameter) outcomes. We report that reversal-learning performance improved during adolescence and that this was due to an increase in value updating for rewarded outcomes (e.g., ∆₊ parameter). Furthermore, the rate of change in the ∆₊ parameter predicted individual differences in the ∆₊ parameter and, notably, cocaine-taking behaviors in adulthood: Rats that had a shallower adolescent trajectory were found to have a lower ∆₊ parameter and greater cocaine self-administration in adulthood. These data indicate that adolescent development plays a critical role in drug use susceptibility. Future studies aimed at understanding the neurobiological mechanisms that underlie these age-related changes in decision-making could provide new insights into the biobehavioral mechanisms mediating addiction susceptibility.

In-vehicle warnings for work zone and related rear-end collisions: A driving simulator experiment

Work zone area on roads is a critical component of road networks which concerns the safety of workers and passing by drivers. However, the passive speed reduction and lane changes caused by lane closure have led to frequent rear-end collisions in work zone areas. To help drivers better anticipate work zone situation and reduce collision risks, this paper proposes two types of in-vehicle warnings for work zone areas: Leading Vehicle Brake Warning (LVBW), and Lane-Closed Warning & Leading Vehicle Brake Warning (LCW & LVBW). The LVBW delivers a danger warning message to drivers upon the brake of the leading vehicle, while the LCW & LVBW provides an additional work-zone position message to remind drivers to decelerate in advance. A driving simulator experiment was conducted with 44 participants (24 males and 20 females) to test drivers' performance in work zone area under different conditions, comprising two warning types (LVBW vs. LCW & LVBW), four warning times (3 s, 5 s, 7 s and 9 s) and two visibility conditions (clear and foggy weather). The results showed significant safety benefits of the lane-closed warning message under the LCW & LVBW condition. In contrast, the warning of leading vehicle's brake in both LVBW and LCW & LVBW conditions had limited efficacy, which indicates that earlier warning about lane-closure is important to assist drivers in anticipating the complex situations in work zones. Drivers' speed control and collision avoidance performances were impaired in fog, but the impairment was compensated by the warning messages. Compared with male drivers, female drivers tend to be more cautious when approaching the work zone areas. Overall, this study plays a pioneering role in developing effective safety countermeasures for work zone areas and providing strong support for implementing in-vehicle warning technologies.

Effect of paternal smoking on pre-implantation embryonic development: a prospective cohort study

CONTEXT

Recent studies have failed to demonstrate the negative impact of male tobacco smoking on embryo development, raising the question of its actual implication on natural fecundity and assisted reproductive techniques outcomes.

AIMS

To assess the impact of paternal smoking on embryo development.

METHODS

In this prospective cohort study, 252 men from couples undergoing in vitro fertilisation (IVF) were included. Each patient was interviewed and took a carbon monoxide breath-test, creating three groups: non-smokers (n=113), former smokers (n=81) and active smokers (n=58). The Top-grade embryo ratio (primary endpoint), embryo morphokinetic parameters and clinical outcomes were assessed.

KEY RESULTS

In a multivariate analyses based on 1521 embryos, no significant difference was found in the top-grade embryo ratio between the groups. Tobacco smoking had no impact on clinical outcomes. Compared to non-smokers the time to the pronuclei fading (tPNf, P=0.006) and the time to the first embryonic cleavage (t2, P=0.002) were shorter in smokers, and the t2 was also slightly shorter in former smokers (P=0.045). No other differences were found in the morphokinetic parameters.

CONCLUSION

Even if a few differences were observed in the first timing of embryonic events, this study did not highlight a major embryonic and clinical impact of the paternal smoking status.

IMPLICATION

The results obtained here are reassuring towards IVF outcomes. As maternal smoking is highly controlled in the IVF patients in this study, we speculate that the sperm selection process may limit the adverse effects of tobacco consumption on embryo development.

The Global Network Socioeconomic Status Index as a predictor of stillbirths, perinatal mortality, and neonatal mortality in rural communities in low and lower middle income country sites of the Global Network for Women's and Children's Health Research

BACKGROUND

Globally, socioeconomic status (SES) is an important health determinant across a range of health conditions and diseases. However, measuring SES within low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) can be particularly challenging given the variation and diversity of LMIC populations.

OBJECTIVE

The current study investigates whether maternal SES as assessed by the newly developed Global Network-SES Index is associated with pregnancy outcomes (stillbirths, perinatal mortality, and neonatal mortality) in six LMICs: Democratic Republic of the Congo, Guatemala, India, Kenya, Pakistan, and Zambia.

METHODS

The analysis included data from 87,923 women enrolled in the Maternal and Newborn Health Registry of the NICHD-funded Global Network for Women's and Children's Health Research. Generalized estimating equations models were computed for each outcome by SES level (high, moderate, or low) and controlling for site, maternal age, parity, years of schooling, body mass index, and facility birth, including sampling cluster as a random effect.

RESULTS

Women with low SES had significantly higher risks for stillbirth (p < 0.001), perinatal mortality (p = 0.001), and neonatal mortality (p = 0.005) than women with high SES. In addition, those with moderate SES had significantly higher risks of stillbirth (p = 0.003) and perinatal mortality (p = 0.008) in comparison to those with high SES.

CONCLUSION

The SES categories were associated with pregnancy outcomes, supporting the validity of the index as a non-income-based measure of SES for use in studies of pregnancy outcomes in LMICs.

Vertical Loading Rate Is Not Associated with Running Injury, Regardless of Calculation Method

INTRODUCTION

Loading rate (LR), the slope of the vertical ground reaction force (vGRF), is commonly used to assess running-related injury risk. However, the relationship between LR and running-related injuries, including bone stress injuries (BSI), is unclear. Inconsistent findings may result from the numerous LR calculation methods that exist and their application across different running speeds.

PURPOSE

This study aimed to assess the influence of calculation method and running speed on LR values and to determine the association of LR during healthy running with subsequent injury.

METHODS

Healthy preseason running data and subsequent injury records from Division I cross-country athletes ( n = 79) over four seasons (2015-2019) at 2.68 m·s -1 , preferred training pace, and 4.47 m·s -1 were collected. LR at each speed was calculated four ways: 1) maximum and 2) average slope from 20% to 80% of vGRF magnitude at impact peak (IP), 3) average slope from initial contact to IP, and 4) average slope from 3% to 12% of stance time. Linear mixed effects models and generalized estimation equations were used to assess LR associations.

RESULTS

LR values differed depending on speed and calculation method ( P value <0.001). The maximum slope from 20% to 80% of the vGRF at 4.47 m·s -1 produced the highest LR estimate and the average slope from initial contact to IP at 2.68 m·s -1 produced the lowest. Sixty-four injuries (20 BSI) were observed. No significant association was found between LR and all injuries or BSI across any calculation method ( P values ≥0.13).

CONCLUSIONS

Calculation method and running speed result in significantly different LR values. Regardless of calculation method, no association between LR and subsequent injury was identified. Thus, healthy baseline LR may not be useful to prospectively assess running-related injury risk.

The day-of-invitation effect on participation in web-based studies

Several methods have been proposed to promote participation in web-based research. Here, we examine a technique that is available at no cost: Inviting respondents per e-mail on a particular day of the week. We base our reasoning on such a day-of-invitation effect upon theories on variations in mood and work performance over the week. We conducted five experiments with large and heterogeneous samples to find out whether such effects apply for response rate (i.e., visiting the first page of a study) and retention rate (i.e., completing the study) in web-based studies. We found evidence of a small but significant day-of-invitation effect. Response rate is high at the beginning of the workweek and falls to a low on Friday. Exploratory analyses showed that this decline is higher for employed (vs. nonemployed) persons. Effects on retention rate appear to follow a less straightforward pattern. We discuss possible mechanisms that might account for the day-of-invitation effect and recommend inviting participants on Monday or Tuesday.

The Evolution of Effort-Reward Imbalance in Workers during the COVID-19 Pandemic in France-An Observational Study in More than 8000 Workers

(1) Background: The effects of lockdown repetition on work-related stress, expressed through Effort-Reward Imbalance (ERI), during the COVID-19 pandemic are poorly documented. We investigated the effect of repetitive lockdowns on the ERI in French workers, its difference across occupations, and the change in its influencing factors across time. (2) Methods: Participants were included in a prospective cross-sectional observational study from 30 March 2020 to 28 May 2021. The primary outcome was the ERI score (visual analog scale). The ERI score of the population was examined via Generalized Estimating Equations. For each period, the factors influencing ERI were studied by multivariate linear regression. (3) Results: In 8121 participants, the ERI score decreased in the first 2 lockdowns (53.2 ± 0.3, p < 0.001; 50.5 ± 0.7, p < 0.001) and after lockdown 2 (54.8 ± 0.8, p = 0.004) compared with the pre-pandemic period (59 ± 0.4). ERI was higher in medical than in paramedical professionals in the pre-pandemic and the first 2 lockdowns. Higher workloads were associated with better ERI scores. (4) Conclusions: In a large French sample, Effort-Reward Imbalance worsened during the COVID-19 pandemic until the end of the 2nd lockdown. Paramedical professionals experienced a higher burden of stress compared with medical professionals.

Anti-Citrullinated Protein Antibody Titers Are Independently Modulated by Both Disease Activity and Conventional or Biologic Anti-Rheumatic Drugs

This study aimed to analyze the factors that influence anti-citrullinated protein antibody (ACPA) titers in a seropositive early arthritis (EA) population under non-protocolized treatment with disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drugs (DMARDs). A total of 130 ACPA-positive patients from the PEARL (Princesa Early Arthritis Longitudinal) study were studied along a 5-year follow-up. Sociodemographic, clinical, and therapeutic variables, along with serum samples, were collected at five visits by protocol. Anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide 2 (CCP2) ACPA titers were measured by ELISA. The effect of different variables on anti-CCP2 titers was estimated using longitudinal multivariate analysis models, nested by visit and patient. Data from 471 visits in 130 patients were analyzed. A significant decrease in anti-CCP2 titers was observed at all time-points, compared to baseline, following the decline of disease activity. In the multivariate analysis, active or ever smoking was significantly associated with the highest anti-CCP2 titers while reduction in disease activity was associated with titer decline. After adjusting for these variables, both conventional synthetic (cs) and biologic (b) DMARDs accounted for the decline in anti-CCP2 titers as independent factors. Conclusion: In patients with EA, an early and sustained reduction in ACPA titers can be detected associated with the decline in disease activity, irrespective of the treatment used.

Longitudinal determinants of anal intercourse among women with, and without HIV in the United States

BACKGROUND

Anal intercourse (AI) is not uncommon among U.S. women and, when condomless, confers a far greater likelihood of HIV transmission than condomless vaginal intercourse. We aim to identify determinants preceding AI, among women with, and women without HIV.

METHODS

3708 women living with (73%), and without HIV (27%) participating in the Women's Interagency HIV Study provided sexual behavior and other data at 6-monthly visits over a median of 9 years (1994-2014). We used generalized estimating equation models to examine sociodemographic, structural and behavioral determinants reported in the visit preceding (1) AI, and (2) condomless AI.

RESULTS

AI was reported at least once over follow-up by 31% of women without, and 21% with HIV. AI was commonly condomless; reported at 76% and 51% of visits among women living without HIV, and with HIV, respectively. Women reporting AI were more likely to be younger (continuous variable, adjusted odds ratio (aOR) = 0.97, 95% confidence interval (CI):0.96-0.98), Hispanic (aOR = 1.88, CI:1.47-2.41) or White (aOR = 1.62, CI:1.15-2.30) compared to Black, and have at least high school education (aOR = 1.33, CI:1.08-1.65). AI was more likely following the reporting of either (aOR = 1.35, CI:1.10-1.62), or both (aOR = 1.77, CI:1.13-2.82) physical and sexual violence, excessive drinking (aOR = 1.27, CI:1.05-1.66) or any drug use (aOR = 1.34, CI:1.09-1.66), multiple male partners (aOR = 2.64, CI:2.23-3.11), exchange sex (aOR = 3.45, CI:2.53-4.71), one or more female sex partners (aOR = 1.32, CI:1.01-1.75), condomless vaginal intercourse (aOR = 1.80, CI:1.53-2.09), and high depressive symptoms (aOR = 1.23, CI:1.08-1.39).

CONCLUSION

AI disproportionally follows periods of violence victimization, substance use, multiple sex partners and depression. Better prevention messaging and biomedical interventions that reduce acquisition or transmission risk are needed, but when AI occurs in the context of violence against women, as our findings indicate, focusing on gender-based violence reduction and immediate treatment to reduce HIV transmission risk is important.

The Association between Perceived Discrimination and Mental Health of Wage Workers with Disabilities: Findings from the Panel Survey of Employment for the Disabled 2016–2018

Despite efforts to integrate society, persons with disabilities (PWD) still experience considerable discrimination. Therefore, this study examined the association between experiences of discrimination and stress/depressive symptoms in wage working PWD. This study used data from the Panel Survey of Employment for the Disabled 2016–2018 in South Korea. This study included 1566 wage working PWD aged 15–64. The dependent variable was stress and depressive symptoms, and the independent variable was the experience of discrimination due to disability in daily life (Never, Rarely, Often, and Regularly) and the experience of discrimination at the workplace (0, 1, 2, ≥3). This study used a generalized estimating equations model to consider the repeated measurement data. Wage working PWD who experienced more discrimination in their daily life due to disability and at workplaces showed a higher odds ratio (OR) of stress and depressive symptoms than those who did not experience discrimination. As a result of the analysis including both discrimination experiences, those who always experienced discrimination due to disability in daily life had the highest OR to stress and depression (OR = 2.64, 95% Confidence Interval (CI): 1.37–5.08; OR = 4.96, 95% CI: 2.58–9.56, respectively). According to the experience at workplaces, wage working PWD who faced discrimination by two factors (OR = 1.66, 95% CI: 1.22–2.25) had the highest OR of stress, and those who experienced three or more factors had the highest OR of depressive symptoms (OR = 1.33, 95% CI: 0.83–2.11). Discrimination due to disability in daily life was more associated with the mental distress of working PWD than discrimination at workplaces. For the mental health of working PWD, not only policies or systems to eliminate discrimination in the workplace, but also overall social integration efforts based on improving awareness, are needed so that they do not experience discrimination in their daily life.

The Relationship Between Fetal Growth and Retinal Nerve Fiber Layer Thickness in a Cohort of Young Adults

Purpose

To explore relationships between patterns of fetal anthropometric growth, as reflective of fetal wellbeing, and global retinal nerve fiber layer (RNFL) thickness measured in young adulthood.

Methods

Participants (n = 481) from within a Western Australian pregnancy cohort study underwent five serial ultrasound scans during gestation, with fetal biometry measured at each scan. Optic disc parameters were measured via spectral-domain optical coherence tomography imaging at a 20-year follow-up eye examination. Generalized estimating equations were used to evaluate differences in global RNFL thickness between groups of participants who had undergone similar growth trajectories based on fetal head circumference (FHC), abdominal circumference (FAC), femur length (FFL), and estimated fetal weight (EFW).

Results

Participants with consistently large FHCs throughout gestation had significantly thicker global RNFLs than those with any other pattern of FHC growth (P = 0.023), even after adjustment for potential confounders (P = 0.037). Based on model fit statistics, FHC growth trajectory was a better predictor of global RNFL thickness than birth weight or head circumference at birth. RNFL thickness did not vary significantly between groups of participants with different growth trajectories based on FAC, FFL, or EFW.

Conclusions

FHC growth is associated with RNFL thickness in young adulthood and, moreover, is a better predictor than either birth weight or head circumference at birth.

Translational Relevance

This research demonstrates an association between intrauterine growth and long-term optic nerve health, providing a basis for further exploring the extent of the influence of fetal wellbeing on clinical conditions linked to RNFL thinning.

Practice patterns of ABO-matching for cryoprecipitate and patient outcomes after ABO-compatible versus incompatible cryoprecipitate

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

This sub-study of the FIBRES trial sought to examine the patterns of ABO-compatible cryoprecipitate administration and to identify adverse consequences of ABO-incompatible cryoprecipitate.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This was a post hoc analysis of data collected from the FIBRES randomized clinical trial comparing fibrinogen concentrate with cryoprecipitate in the treatment of bleeding related to hypofibrinogenemia after cardiac surgery. The primary outcome was the percentage of administered cryoprecipitate that was ABO-compatible. Secondary outcomes were adverse events at 28 days. A follow-up survey was distributed to the FIBRES participating sites to examine the rationale behind the identified cryoprecipitate ABO-matching practice patterns.

RESULTS

A total of 363 patients were included: 53 (15%) received ABO-incompatible cryoprecipitate and 310 (85%) received ABO-compatible cryoprecipitate. There was an increased incidence of post-operative anaemia in the ABO-incompatible group (15; 28.3%) in comparison to the ABO-compatible (44; 14.2%) group (p = 0.01) at 28 days, which was unrelated to haemolysis, without a significant difference in transfusion requirement. In the multivariable logistic regression models accounting for clustering by site, there was no observed statistically significant association between the administration of ABO-incompatible cryoprecipitate and any other adverse outcomes. Nine out of 11 sites did not have a policy requiring ABO-matched cryoprecipitate.

CONCLUSION

This sub-study demonstrated that most cryoprecipitate administered in practice is ABO-compatible, despite the absence of guidelines or blood bank policies to support this practice. A signal towards increased risk of post-operative anaemia may be explained by higher rates of urgent surgery (vs. elective) in the ABO-incompatible group. Future studies should prospectively examine the impact of ABO-compatible versus incompatible cryoprecipitate to conclusively establish if there is a meaningful clinical impact associated with the administration of ABO-incompatible cryoprecipitate.

Does Weight-Motivation for Exercise Predict Physical Activity Levels Across the Life Course From Adolescence to Adulthood?

Healthcare professionals may motivate their patients to exercise to lose weight, but it is unknown how weight-focused motivations influence young peoples' PA trajectories.

PURPOSE

To examine if weight-motivated exercise predicts moderate-to-vigorous physical activity (MVPA) from adolescence to adulthood in a population-based sample and if this relationship differs by age and body mass index (BMI).

METHODS

Participants (N = 1,428; 13-18 years at baseline; 48.6% female; 49.0% white) responded to surveys in the 15-year longitudinal study, Project EAT (Eating and Activity in Teens and Young Adults). Weight-motivated exercise was examined as a predictor of MVPA across the life course at five-year intervals using linear regression generalized estimating equations and adjusting for demographics (age modeled continuously), BMI (modeled continuously), weight-related intentions, and prior MVPA.

RESULTS

Weight-motivated exercise predicted higher subsequent MVPA at five-year intervals among females (B = .57, 95% CI:0.13, 1.00) but not males (B = .31, 95% CI:-.09, .72). The association differed by BMI in females (p = .02); weight-motivated exercise was associated with higher subsequent MVPA at lower BMI but lower subsequent MVPA at higher BMI. The association also differed by age in males (p = .008), such that older males who reported weight-motivated exercise had higher subsequent MVPA, whereas this association was not present in younger males.

CONCLUSION

Weight-motivated exercise may have a deleterious influence on MVPA for females with higher BMI and may have an advantageous influence on older males. Understanding how motivations for exercise may influence PA trajectories can inform PA promotion over the life course by providing more nuanced guidance by age, BMI, and sex.

The self-reported stress and stressors in tram and long-haul truck drivers

Work stress may compromise professional drivers' health and driving capacity. Differences between driver groups in terms of on-duty stress are understudied. Therefore, we examined self-reported stress (Stockholm University Stress Scale) of shift-working tram and long-haul truck drivers (n = 75) across 2-3 weeks. Furthermore, stressors were self-reported retrospectively and categorised as related to the job, driving conditions, personal, or other causes. Stress levels were generally low, but moderate to high stress (≥6) was more frequently reported among the tram drivers. Stressors related to the job (54%) and driving conditions (19% of all shifts) were frequently reported among the tram and truck drivers, respectively. Moderate to high stress was associated with categorised stressors related to the job and other causes among the tram drivers, and all categorised stressors among the truck drivers. Altogether, self-reported stress and stressors differ by driver group, but the role of shift type is less significant.

Maternal obesity, pregnancy weight gain, and birth weight and risk of colorectal cancer

OBJECTIVE

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is a leading cause of cancer-related death worldwide. Obesity is a well-established risk factor for CRC, and fetal or developmental origins of obesity may underlie its effect on cancer in adulthood. We examined associations of maternal obesity, pregnancy weight gain, and birth weight and CRC in adult offspring.

DESIGN

The Child Health and Development Studies is a prospective cohort of women receiving prenatal care between 1959 and 1966 in Oakland, California (N=18 751 live births among 14 507 mothers). Clinical information was abstracted from mothers' medical records 6 months prior to pregnancy through delivery. Diagnoses of CRC in adult (age ≥18 years) offspring were ascertained through 2019 by linkage with the California Cancer Registry. We used Cox proportional hazards models to estimate adjusted HR (aHR); we examined effect measure modification using single-referent models to estimate the relative excess risk due to interaction (RERI).

RESULTS

68 offspring were diagnosed with CRC over 738 048 person-years of follow-up, and half (48.5%) were diagnosed younger than age 50 years. Maternal obesity (≥30 kg/m²) increased the risk of CRC in offspring (aHR 2.51, 95% CI 1.05 to 6.02). Total weight gain modified the association of rate of early weight gain (RERI -4.37, 95% CI -9.49 to 0.76), suggesting discordant growth from early to late pregnancy increases risk. There was an elevated association with birth weight (≥4000 g: aHR 1.95, 95% CI 0.8 to 4.38).

CONCLUSION

Our results suggest that in utero events are important risk factors for CRC and may contribute to increasing incidence rates in younger adults.

Eye movement as a function to explore the effects of improved signs design and audio warning on drivers' behavior at STOP-sign-controlled grade crossings

Train-vehicle collisions at STOP-sign-controlled grade crossings attract many concerns in China and across the world. Researchers have demonstrated that the cost-effective approaches to improve grade crossing safety are the redesign of signs and pavement markings as well as the application of in-vehicle audio warning. However, the impacts of improved signs design and audio warning on drivers' visual performance have barely been discussed. This study explored the effects of improved signs design and audio warning on drivers' eye movement patterns and driving behavior at STOP-sign-controlled grade crossings, by conducting a driving simulator experiment. Three types of grade crossing scenarios: 1) the conventional signs design (Baseline), 2) improved signs design (PS), and 3) improved signs design and three-stage audio warning (PSW), were modeled in a driving simulation system and tested under a series of train TTC (no train, 4 s, 7 s, 10 s, 13 s) conditions. Foggy conditions and drivers' characteristics, i.e., gender and vocation were considered in the experiment design. Seven variables describing both drivers' fixation patterns and driving performance were collected and analyzed in this study, e.g., total fixation duration, distance to stop line at the first fixation, fixation transition probability, stop compliance, speed, maximum deceleration rate and minimum time-to-collision. Results revealed that the improved design of signs and the audio warning could prime drivers' expectation of the grade crossing in advance since drivers could drive at a lower speed, perceive signs timely, and conduct an earlier visual search for the train with these countermeasures. Besides, in PS and PSW scenarios, drivers attached more importance to the STOP sign, and they were more cautious in estimating the time-to-arrival of the train by repeatedly fixating on these two areas. The improvement in fixation performance of drivers in PS and PSW contributed to a more comfortable deceleration. Compared with no warning scenarios, higher compliance rates were observed with audio warning, especially with a short train TTC (4 s and 7 s). However, no significant difference was found between PS and Baseline, indicating the limited safety benefits of improved signs design. Minimum time-to-collision for those drivers who ignored the warning did not increase significantly in both PS and PSW. Additionally, heavy fog limited drivers' perception of signs and led to a later and shorter fixation. For gender effect, males had a lower fixation duration on the STOP sign and lower compliance rate than females. Moreover, female drivers could perceive the approaching train earlier than males, especially in PS and PSW. These findings suggested that the improved signs design and in-vehicle audio warning improved drivers' visual and behavioral performance and had the potential to enhance safety at STOP-sign-controlled grade crossings.

Sex differences among endurance athletes in the pre-race relationships between sleep, and perceived stress and recovery

This study examined sex differences among endurance athletes in pre-race relationships between sleep, and perceived stress and recovery. Thirty-six athletes completed the Short Recovery and Stress Scale, and had sleep monitored via actigraphy, over four consecutive days prior to an ultra-marathon. Overall, compared with males, females had shorter wake after sleep onset (mean ± SD, 50 ± 23 vs 65 ± 23 min, p = .04) and lower emotional balance (3.9 ± 1.1 vs 4.8 ± 1.1 arbitrary units, p = .001). The day before the race, females scored higher for all stress-related items (p < 0.05). Among females, higher scores for emotional balance (β = -31 min, p = .01) and negative emotional state (β = -21 min, p < .001) were associated with reduced sleep duration. Among males, higher scores for overall stress were associated with increased sleep duration (β = 22 min, p = .01). Across all athletes, longer sleep duration was associated with improved overall recovery (β = 0.003 arbitrary units, p = .02). Females experienced greater pre-race stress than males, and their sleep duration was associated with emotional factors. The SRSS may help identify female athletes at risk of sleep difficulties prior to competition.

Genetic LGALS1 Variants Are Associated with Heterogeneity in Galectin-1 Serum Levels in Patients with Early Arthritis

Galectin 1 (Gal1) exerts immunomodulatory effects leading to therapeutic effects in autoimmune animal models. Patients with rheumatoid arthritis have been reported to show higher Gal1 serum levels than the healthy population. Our study aimed to find genetic variants on the Gal1 gene (LGALS1) modulating its expression and/or clinical features in patients with early arthritis (EA). LGALS1 was sequenced in 53 EA patients to characterize all genetic variants. Then, we genotyped rs9622682, rs929039, and rs4820293, which covered the main genetic variation in LGALS1, in 532 EA patients. Gal1 and IL-6 serum levels were measured by ELISA and Gal1 also by western blot (WB) in lymphocytes from patients with specific genotypes. Once disease activity improved with treatment, patients with at least one copy of the minor allele in rs9622682 and rs929039 or those with GG genotype in rs4820293 showed significantly higher Gal1 serum levels (p < 0.05). These genotypic combinations were also associated with higher Gal1 expression in lymphocytes by WB and lower IL-6 serum levels in EA patients. In summary, our study suggests that genetic variants studied in LGALS1 can explain heterogeneity in Gal1 serum levels showing that patients with higher Gal1 levels have lower serum IL-6 levels.

Development and externally validate MRI-based nomogram to assess EGFR and T790M mutations in patients with metastatic lung adenocarcinoma

OBJECTIVES

This study aims to explore values of multi-parametric MRI-based radiomics for detecting the epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutation and resistance (T790M) mutation in lung adenocarcinoma (LA) patients with spinal metastasis.

METHODS

This study enrolled a group of 160 LA patients from our hospital (between Jan. 2017 and Feb. 2021) to build a primary cohort. An external cohort was developed with 32 patients from another hospital (between Jan. 2017 and Jan. 2021). All patients underwent spinal MRI (including T1-weighted (T1W) and T2-weighted fat-suppressed (T2FS)) scans. Radiomics features were extracted from the metastasis for each patient and selected to develop radiomics signatures (RSs) for detecting the EGFR and T790M mutations. The clinical-radiomics nomogram models were constructed with RSs and important clinical parameters. The receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the predication capabilities of each model. Calibration and decision curve analyses (DCA) were constructed to verify the performance of the models.

RESULTS

For detecting the EGFR and T790M mutation, the developed RSs comprised 9 and 4 most important features, respectively. The constructed nomogram models incorporating RSs and smoking status showed favorite prediction efficacy, with AUCs of 0.849 (Sen = 0.685, Spe = 0.885), 0.828 (Sen = 0.964, Spe = 0.692), and 0.778 (Sen = 0.611, Spe = 0.929) in the training, internal validation, and external validation sets for detecting the EGFR mutation, respectively, and with AUCs of 0.0.842 (Sen = 0.750, Spe = 0.867), 0.823 (Sen = 0.667, Spe = 0.938), and 0.800 (Sen = 0.875, Spe = 0.800) in the training, internal validation, and external validation sets for detecting the T790M mutation, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Radiomics features from the spinal metastasis were predictive on both EGFR and T790M mutations. The constructed nomogram models can be potentially considered as new markers to guild treatment management in LA patients with spinal metastasis.

KEY POINTS

• To our knowledge, this study was the first approach to detect the EGFR T790M mutation based on spinal metastasis in patients with lung adenocarcinoma. • We identified 13 MRI features that were strongly associated with the EGFR T790M mutation. • The proposed nomogram models can be considered as potential new markers for detecting EGFR and T790M mutations based on spinal metastasis.

Cost-utility analysis of adding abiraterone acetate plus prednisone/prednisolone to long-term hormone therapy in newly diagnosed advanced prostate cancer in England: Lifetime decision model based on STAMPEDE trial data

Adding abiraterone acetate (AA) plus prednisolone (P) to standard of care (SOC) improves survival in newly diagnosed advanced prostate cancer (PC) patients starting hormone therapy. Our objective was to determine the value for money to the English National Health Service (NHS) of adding AAP to SOC. We used a decision analytic model to evaluate cost-effectiveness of providing AAP in the English NHS. Between 2011-2014, the STAMPEDE trial recruited 1917 men with high-risk localised, locally advanced, recurrent or metastatic PC starting first-line androgen-deprivation therapy (ADT), and they were randomised to receive SOC plus AAP, or SOC alone. Lifetime costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) were estimated using STAMPEDE trial data supplemented with literature data where necessary, adjusting for baseline patient and disease characteristics. British National Formulary (BNF) prices (£98/day) were applied for AAP. Costs and outcomes were discounted at 3.5%/year. AAP was not cost-effective. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was £149,748/QALY gained in the non-metastatic (M0) subgroup, with 2.4% probability of being cost-effective at NICE's £30,000/QALY threshold; and the metastatic (M1) subgroup had an ICER of £47,503/QALY gained, with 12.0% probability of being cost-effective. Scenario analysis suggested AAP could be cost-effective in M1 patients if priced below £62/day, or below £28/day in the M0 subgroup. AAP could dominate SOC in the M0 subgroup with price below £11/day. AAP is effective for non-metastatic and metastatic disease but is not cost-effective when using the BNF price. AAP currently only has UK approval for use in a subset of M1 patients. The actual price currently paid by the English NHS for abiraterone acetate is unknown. Broadening AAP's indication and having a daily cost below the thresholds described above is recommended, given AAP improves survival in both subgroups and its cost-saving potential in M0 subgroup.

Weight-adjusted dosing of fibrinogen concentrate and cryoprecipitate in the treatment of hypofibrinogenaemic bleeding adult cardiac surgical patients: a post hoc analysis of the Fibrinogen Replenishment in cardiac surgery randomised controlled trial

Background

Hypofibrinogenaemia is associated with excessive bleeding after cardiac surgery. Our aim was to compare the efficacy and safety of weight-adjusted vs empiric dosing of fibrinogen replacement in cardiac surgery.

Methods

In the Fibrinogen Replenishment in Cardiac Surgery (FIBRES) RCT, patients (n=735) received fibrinogen concentrate (4 g) or cryoprecipitate (10 units). In this post-hoc analysis, patients were grouped into quartiles based on increasing weight-adjusted dosing. Generalised estimating equations were used to account for hospital site, age, sex, surgical complexity, urgency, and critical preoperative status. The primary outcome was the number of units of red blood cells transfused within 24 h of cardiopulmonary bypass. Secondary outcomes included allogeneic blood components within 24 h, tamponade or major bleeding, and thromboembolic complications, ischaemic complications, or both within 28 days of cardiopulmonary bypass.

Results

The median weight-adjusted doses were 52 mg kg-1 of fibrinogen concentrate (inter-quartile range [IQR], 45-61; n=372) and 1.30 units per 10 kg of cryoprecipitate (IQR, 1.11-1.54; n=363). When patients were divided into quartiles of lowest to highest weight-adjusted dosing, no differences were seen in the primary outcome of red blood cell units transfused within 24 h of cardiopulmonary bypass between the lowest and highest quartiles in either the fibrinogen group (adjusted relative risk [RR]=0.90; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.71-1.13; P=0.36) or the cryoprecipitate group (adjusted RR=1.04; 95% CI, 0.76-1.43; P=0.80). Results were similar for all secondary outcomes.

Conclusion

Outcomes for the lowest and highest weight-adjusted doses of fibrinogen replacement were comparable. Weight-adjusted dosing does not appear to offer advantages over empiric dosing in this context.

Clinical trial registration

NCT03037424.

The electroretinogram b-wave amplitude: a differential physiological measure for Attention Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder and Autism Spectrum Disorder

Background

Attention Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD) is the most prevalent childhood neurodevelopmental disorder. It shares some genetic risk with Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD), and the conditions often occur together. Both are potentially associated with abnormal glutamate and GABA neurotransmission, which can be modelled by measuring the synaptic activity in the retina with an electroretinogram (ERG). Reduction of retinal responses in ASD has been reported, but little is known about retinal activity in ADHD. In this study, we compared the light-adapted ERGs of individuals with ADHD, ASD and controls to investigate whether retinal responses differ between these neurodevelopmental conditions.

Methods

Full field light-adapted ERGs were recorded from 15 ADHD, 57 ASD (without ADHD) and 59 control participants, aged from 5.4 to 27.3 years old. A Troland protocol was used with a random series of nine flash strengths from −0.367 to 1.204 log photopic cd.s.m⁻². The time-to-peak and amplitude of the a- and b-waves and the parameters of the Photopic Negative Response (PhNR) were compared amongst the three groups of participants, using generalised estimating equations.

Results

Statistically significant elevations of the ERG b-wave amplitudes, PhNR responses and faster timings of the b-wave time-to-peak were found in those with ADHD compared with both the control and ASD groups. The greatest elevation in the b-wave amplitudes associated with ADHD were observed at 1.204 log phot cd.s.m⁻² flash strength (p < .0001), at which the b-wave amplitude in ASD was significantly lower than that in the controls. Using this measure, ADHD could be distinguished from ASD with an area under the curve of 0.88.

Conclusions

The ERG b-wave amplitude appears to be a distinctive differential feature for both ADHD and ASD, which produced a reversed pattern of b-wave responses. These findings imply imbalances between glutamate and GABA neurotransmission which primarily regulate the b-wave formation. Abnormalities in the b-wave amplitude could provisionally serve as a biomarker for both neurodevelopmental conditions.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s11689-022-09440-2.

Artificial intelligence-based early detection of acute kidney injury after cardiac surgery

OBJECTIVES

This study aims to improve early detection of cardiac surgery-associated acute kidney injury using artificial intelligence-based algorithms.

METHODS

Data from consecutive patients undergoing cardiac surgery between 2008 and 2018 in our institution served as the source for artificial intelligence-based modeling. Cardiac surgery-associated acute kidney injury was defined according to the Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes criteria. Different machine learning algorithms were trained and validated to detect cardiac surgery-associated acute kidney injury within 12 hours after surgery. Demographic characteristics, comorbidities, preoperative cardiac status, intra- and postoperative variables including creatinine and hemoglobin values were retrieved for analysis.

RESULTS

From 7507 patients analyzed, 1699 patients (22.6%) developed cardiac surgery-associated acute kidney injury. The ultimate detection model, 'Detect-A(K)I', recognizes cardiac surgery-associated acute kidney injury within 12 hours with an area under the curve of 88.0%, sensitivity of 78.0%, specificity of 78.9%, and accuracy of 82.1%. The optimal parameter set includes serial changes of creatinine and hemoglobin, operative emergency, bleeding-associated variables, cardiac ischaemic time and cardiac function-associated variables, age, diuretics and active infection, chronic obstructive lung and peripheral vascular disease.

CONCLUSIONS

The 'Detect-A(K)I' model successfully detects cardiac surgery-associated acute kidney injury within 12 hours after surgery with the best discriminatory characteristics reported so far.

Multi-parametric MRI-based radiomics for the diagnosis of malignant soft-tissue tumor

PURPOSE

To develop and validate a multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging-based radiomics nomogram for differentiating malignant and benign soft-tissue tumors.

METHODS

A total of 91 patients with pathologically confirmed soft-tissue tumors were enrolled between January 2017 and October 2020. Forty-eight patients were consecutively enrolled between November 2020 and March 2022, as a time-independent cohort. All patients underwent contrast-enhanced T1-weighted and T2-weighted fat-suppression magnetic resonance scans at 3.0 T. Radiomics features were extracted and selected from the two modalities to develop the radiomics signature. Significant clinical/morphological characteristics were identified using a multivariate logistic regression analysis. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression were applied to identify discriminative features. A clinical-radiomics nomogram was constructed based on clinical/morphological characteristics and radiomics features. Finally, the performance of the nomogram was validated using the receiver operating characteristic and decision curve analysis (DCA).

RESULTS

Six features were selected to establish the combined RS. Size, margin, and peritumoral edema were identified as the most important clinical and morphological factors, respectively. The radiomics signature outperformed the clinical model in terms of AUC and sensitivity. The nomogram integrating the combined RS, size, margin, and peritumoral edema achieved favorable predictive efficacy, generating AUCs of 0.954 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.907-1.000, Sen = 0.861, Spe = 0.917), 0.962 (95% CI: 0.901-1.000, Sen = 0.944, Spe = 0.923), and 0.935 (95% CI: 0.871-0.998, Sen = 0.815, Spe = 0.952) in the training (n = 60), validation (n = 31) and time-independent (n = 48) cohorts, respectively. The DCA curve indicated good clinical usefulness of the nomogram.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study demonstrated the clinical potential of multiparametric MRI-based radiomics in distinguishing malignant from benign soft-tissue tumors, which can be considered as a noninvasive tool for individual treatment management.

Prediction of invasive adenocarcinomas manifesting as pure ground-glass nodules based on radiomic signature of low-dose CT in lung cancer screening

OBJECTIVE

To develop a radiomic model based on low-dose CT (LDCT) to distinguish invasive adenocarcinomas (IAs) from adenocarcinoma in situ/minimally invasive adenocarcinomas (AIS/MIAs) manifesting as pure ground-glass nodules (pGGNs) and compare its performance with conventional quantitative and semantic features of LDCT, radiomic model of standard-dose CT, and intraoperative frozen section (FS).

METHODS

A total of 147 consecutive pathologically confirmed pGGNs were divided into primary cohort (43 IAs and 60 AIS/MIAs) and validation cohort (19 IAs and 25 AIS/MIAs). Logistic regression models were built using conventional quantitative and semantic features, selected radiomic features of LDCT and standard-dose CT, and intraoperative FS diagnosis, respectively. The diagnostic performance was assessed by area under curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristic curve, sensitivity, and specificity.

RESULTS

The AUCs of quantitative-semantic model, radiomic model of LDCT, radiomic model of standard-dose CT, and FS model were 0.879 (95% CI, 0.801-0.935), 0.929 (95% CI, 0.862-0.971), 0.941 (95% CI, 0.876-0.978), and 0.884 (95% CI, 0.805-0.938) in the primary cohort and 0.897 (95% CI, 0.768-0.968), 0.933 (95% CI, 0.815-0.986), 0.901 (95% CI, 0.773-0.970), and 0.828 (95% CI, 0.685-0.925) in the validation cohort. No significant difference of the AUCs was found among these models in both the primary and validation cohorts (all p > 0.05).

CONCLUSION

The LDCT-based quantitative-semantic score and radiomic signature, with good predictive performance, can be pre-operative and non-invasive biomarkers for assessing the invasive risk of pGGNs in lung cancer screening.

ADVANCES IN KNOWLEDGE

The LDCT-based quantitative-semantic score and radiomic signature, with the equivalent performance to the radiomic model of standard-dose CT, can be pre-operative predictors for assessing the invasiveness of pGGNs in lung cancer screening and reducing excess examination and treatment.

Antibiotic use during pregnancy and the risk of preterm birth: a population-based Swedish cohort study

OBJECTIVES

To assess the impact of gestational antibiotics on the risk of preterm birth, since a healthy maternal microbiome may be protective.

METHODS

Population-based cohort study including all first pregnancies in Sweden (2006-16). The association between gestational and recent pre-conception systemic antibiotics and preterm birth was assessed by multivariable logistic regression presented as ORs and 95% CIs, adjusted for comorbidities (hypo- and hyperthyroidism, hypertension, or diabetes mellitus pre-gestation), trimester, antibiotic class and treatment duration.

RESULTS

Compared with non-users, antibiotic exposure was associated with increased risks of preterm birth in mothers with comorbidities (OR = 1.32, 95% CI 1.18-1.48) and without (OR = 1.09, 95% CI 1.06-1.13). Pre-conception use showed no association, while risk was increased for first and second trimester use and decreased for third trimester use. The increased risks were seen for the following antibiotic groups in mothers without and with comorbidities, respectively: macrolides, lincosamides and streptogramins (OR = 1.63, 95% CI 1.45-1.83; OR = 2.48, 95% CI 1.72-3.56); quinolones (OR = 1.60, 95% CI 1.32-1.94; OR = 2.11, 95% CI 1.12-4.03); non-penicillin β-lactams (OR = 1.15, 95% CI 1.07-1.24; OR = 1.39, 95% CI 1.07-1.83); other antibacterials (OR = 1.09, 95% CI 1.03-1.14; 1.38, 95% CI 1.16-1.63); and penicillins (OR = 1.04, 95% CI 1.01-1.08; 1.23, 95% CI 1.09-1.40). Antibiotic indications were not available, which could also affect preterm birth.

CONCLUSIONS

Antibiotic use during pregnancy was associated with an increased risk of preterm birth, especially in mothers with chronic diseases.

Variable selection in semiparametric regression models for longitudinal data with informative observation times

A common issue in longitudinal studies is that subjects' visits are irregular and may depend on observed outcome values which is known as longitudinal data with informative observation times (follow-up). Semiparametric regression modeling for this type of data has received much attention as it provides more flexibility in studying the association between regression factors and a longitudinal outcome. An important problem here is how to select relevant variables and estimate their coefficients in semiparametric regression models when the number of covariates at baseline is large. The current penalization procedures in semiparametric regression models for longitudinal data do not account for informative observation times. We propose a variable selection procedure that is suitable for the estimation methods based on pseudo-score functions. We investigate the asymptotic properties of penalized estimators and conduct simulation studies to illustrate the theoretical results. We also use the procedure for variable selection in semiparametric regression models for the STAR*D dataset from a multistage randomized clinical trial for treating major depressive disorder.

Immediate Ocular Changes After Light-Emitting Diode Displays Exposure-A Preliminary Study

Purpose

Computer vision syndrome (CVS) is one of the most frequently encountered problems among video display terminals (VDT) users, but little is known regarding the short-term effect after exposure to light-emitting diodes (LED). The purpose of this study was to determine if short-term exposure to LED leads to changes in corrected distance visual acuity (CDVA), lipid layer thickness (LLT), blink rates, partial blink ratio, and computer vision syndrome questionnaire (CVS-Q) score.

Design

Prospective, cross-sectional study.

Methods

In this study, participants were recruited at the National Cheng-Kung University Hospital, a tertiary referral center in southern Taiwan, for examination. Participants were asked to complete the CVS-Q and undergo a series of ocular examinations, including CDVA, LLT, blink rates and partial blink ratio before and after watching an LED display for 15 min. Main Outcome Measures were changes in CDVA, LLT, blink rates, partial blink ratio, and CVS-Q measurements.

Results

In total, 120 eyes from 60 participants (mean age: 35.7 ± 9.4 years) were included; 31 participants were men (51.7%), and 29 were women (48.3%). The CDVA, LLT, blink rates, and partial blink ratio did not change after watching the LED display. The CVS-Q score significantly improved after short-term LED exposure (P < 0.001). A subgroup analysis of subjects with a baseline LLT of <60 nm or ≥60 nm determined that LLT significantly decreased in individuals with a baseline LLT of ≥60 nm (P = 0.016).

Conclusion

Short-term use of LED displays reduced LLT in individuals with a baseline LLT of ≥60 nm, despite the visual symptoms of CVS improved subjectively. Therefore, digital device users should be aware of the potential negative effects of LED exposure on the eyes.

Smoking Quit Rates Among Menthol vs Non-Menthol Smokers: Implications Regarding a US Ban on the Sale of Menthol Cigarettes

BACKGROUND

A ban on the sale of menthol cigarettes in the United States is currently under consideration. A justification is that menthol cigarettes are harder to quit, particularly for African American smokers who use menthols much more frequently than White smokers, but epidemiologic data are limited.

METHODS

In a cohort of 16,425 mostly low income African American and White current cigarette smokers enrolled during 2002-2009, we computed smoking quit and re-uptake rates at three follow ups conducted means of 4.6, 7.7 and 11 years after entry. Generalized estimation equations were used to compute odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for quitting and resuming smoking for menthol vs non-menthol smokers adjusted for race, age, education, income, and smoking pack years.

RESULTS

Crude annual quit rates among current smokers were 4.3% for menthol and 4.5% for non-menthol smokers, with adjusted ORs of quitting for menthol vs non-menthol smokers of 1.01 (95% CI = 0.91-1.11) overall, 0.99 (95% CI = 0.87-1.12) among African American and 1.02 (95% CI = 0.88-1.20) among White smokers. Crude annual smoking re-uptake rates were somewhat higher among menthol (8.4%) than non-menthol smokers (7.1%), with an adjusted OR of 1.19 (95% CI = 0.97-1.47), but net quit rates remained similar (OR = 1.01 [95% CI = 0.90-1.13] overall; OR = 1.00 [95% CI = 0.86-1.15] among African American participants; and OR = 1.04 [95% CI = 0.87-1.24] among White participants).

CONCLUSIONS

This large-scale prospective survey revealed similar quit rates among menthol and non-menthol smokers. Results contribute to policy discussions, especially if, as a meta analysis suggests, lung cancer risk is higher for non-menthol smokers and a ban leads menthol smokers to switch to non-menthol cigarettes.

Genome-Wide Association Study of Fluorescent Oxidation Products Accounting for Tobacco Smoking Status in Adults from the French EGEA Study

Oxidative stress (OS) is the main pathophysiological mechanism involved in several chronic diseases, including asthma. Fluorescent oxidation products (FlOPs), a global biomarker of damage due to OS, is of growing interest in epidemiological studies. We conducted a genome-wide association study (GWAS) of the FlOPs level in 1216 adults from the case-control and family-based EGEA study (mean age 43 years old, 51% women, and 23% current smokers) to identify genetic variants associated with FlOPs. The GWAS was first conducted in the whole sample and then stratified according to smoking status, the main exogenous source of reactive oxygen species. Among the top genetic variants identified by the three GWAS, those located in BMP6 (p = 3 × 10⁻⁶), near BMPER (p = 9 × 10⁻⁶), in GABRG3 (p = 4 × 10⁻⁷), and near ATG5 (p = 2 × 10⁻⁹) are the most relevant because of both their link to biological pathways related to OS and their association with several chronic diseases for which the role of OS in their pathophysiology has been pointed out. BMP6 and BMPER are of particular interest due to their involvement in the same biological pathways related to OS and their functional interaction. To conclude, this study, which is the first GWAS of FlOPs, provides new insights into the pathophysiology of chronic OS-related diseases.

Tweedie Model for Predicting Factors Associated with Distance Traveled to Access Inpatient Services in Kenya

Aim. This study aims to examine which factors influence the distance traveled by patients for inpatient care in Kenya. Methods. We used data from the fourth round of the Kenya Household Health Expenditure and Utilization survey. Our dependent variable was the self-reported distance traveled by patients to access inpatient care at public health facilities. As the clustered data were correlated, we used the generalized estimating equations approach with an exchangeable correlation under a Tweedie distribution. To select the best-fit covariates for predicting distance, we adopted a variable selection technique using the $QI{C}_u$ and $R^2$ criteria, wherein the lowest (highest) value for the former (latter) is preferred. Results. Using data for 451 participants from 47 counties, we found that three-fifths were admitted between 1 and 5 days, two-thirds resided in rural areas, and 90% were satisfied with the facilities’ service. Wealth quintiles were evenly distributed across respondents. Most admissions (81%) comprised $<$ 15, $>$ 65, and 25–54 years. Many households were of medium size (4–6 members) and had low education level (48%), and nine-tenths had no access to insurance. While two-thirds reported employment-based income, the same number reported not having cash to pay for inpatient services; 6 out of 10 paid over 3000 KES. Thus, differences in employment, ability to pay, and household size influence the distance traveled to access government healthcare facilities in Kenya. Interpretation. Low-income individuals more likely have large households and live in rural areas and, thus, are forced to travel farther to access inpatient care. Unlike the unemployed, the employed may have better socioeconomic status and possibly live near inpatient healthcare facilities, thereby explaining their short distances to access these services. Policymakers must support equal access to inpatient services, prioritize rural areas, open job opportunities, and encourage smaller families.

Application of gap time analysis with flexible hazards to pulmonary exacerbations in the EPIC observational study

Cystic fibrosis and other chronic lung disease clinical trials often use time to first pulmonary exacerbation (PEx) or total PEx count as endpoints. The use of these outcomes may fail to capture patterns or timing of multiple exacerbations and how covariates influence the risk of future exacerbations. Analysis of gap times between PEx provides a useful framework to understand risks of subsequent events, particularly to assess if there is a temporary increase in a hazard of a subsequent PEx following the occurrence of a PEx. This may be useful for estimating the amount of time needed to follow patients after a PEx and predicting which patients are more likely to have multiple PEx. We propose a smoothed hazard for gap times to account for elevated hazards after exacerbations. A simulation study was conducted to explore model performance and was able to appropriately estimate parameters in all situations with an underlying change point with independent or correlated recurrent events. Models with different change-point structures and trends are compared using Early Pseudomonas Infection Control (EPIC) observational study data, using a quasi-likelihood modification of the Akaike information criterion; a model with a change-point provided a better fit than a model without one. The analysis suggests that the change point may be 1.8 years (SE 0.09) after the end of a PEx. Models including covariates in the hazard function revealed that having one or two copies of the Δ $\Delta$ F508 mutation, female sex, and higher numbers of previous PEx were significantly associated with increased risk of another PEx.

Physical activity estimated by osteogenic potential and energy expenditure has differing associations with bone mass in young adults: the raine study

Ground impacts during physical activity may be important for peak bone mass. We found differences in how energy expenditure and impact scores estimated from a physical activity questionnaire related to bone health in young adults. Using both estimate types can improve our understanding of the skeletal benefits of physical activity.

PURPOSE

It is unclear whether mechanical loading during physical activity, estimated from physical activity questionnaires which assess metabolic equivalents of task (METs), is associated with skeletal health. This longitudinal study investigated how physical activity loading scores, assessed at ages 17 and 20 years, (a) compares with physical activity measured in METs, and (b) is associated with bone mass at age 20 years.

METHODS

A total of 826 participants from the Raine Study Gen2 were assessed for physical activity energy expenditure via the International Physical Activity Questionnaire (IPAQ) at age 17 and 20 years. Loading scores (the product of peak force and application rate) per week were subsequently estimated from the IPAQ. Whole-body and appendicular bone mineral density (BMD) at age 20 years were assessed by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry.

RESULTS

Bland-Altman minimal detectable difference for physical activity Z- scores at age 17 and 20 years were 1.59 standard deviations (SDs) and 1.33 SDs, respectively, greater than the a priori minimal clinically important change of 0.5 SDs. Loading score, but not IPAQ score, had significant positive associations with whole-body and leg BMD after adjustment for covariates (β = 0.008 and 0.012 g/cm², respectively, for age 17 and 20 years loading scores). IPAQ score at age 20 years, but not loading score, had a significant positive association with arm BMD (β = 0.007 g/cm²).

CONCLUSION

This study revealed disagreement in associations of self-reported METs and loading score estimates with bone health in young adults. Coupling traditional energy expenditure questionnaire outcomes with bone-loading estimates may improve understanding of the location-specific skeletal benefits of physical activity in young adults.

Predictors of influenza severity among hospitalized adults with laboratory confirmed influenza: Analysis of nine influenza seasons from the Valencia region, Spain

Purpose

Influenza hospitalizations contribute substantially to healthcare disruption. We explored the impact of ageing, comorbidities and other risk factors to better understand associations with severe clinical outcomes in adults hospitalized with influenza.

Methods

We analysed multi‐season data from adults ≥18 years, hospitalized with laboratory‐confirmed influenza in Valencia, Spain. Severity was defined as intensive care unit (ICU) admission, assisted ventilation and/or death. Generalized estimating equations were used to estimate associations between risk factors and severity. Rate of hospital discharge was analysed with a cumulative incidence function.

Results

Only 26% of influenza patients had their primary discharge diagnosis coded as influenza. Comorbidities were associated with severity among adults aged 50–79 years, with the highest odds ratio (OR) in patients with ≥3 comorbidities aged 50–64 years (OR = 6.7; 95% CI: 1.0–44.6). Morbid obesity and functional dependencies were also identified risk factors (ORs varying from 3 to 5 depending on age). The presence of increasing numbers of comorbidities was associated with prolonged hospital stay.

Conclusions

Influenza clinical outcomes are aggravated by the presence of comorbidities and ageing. Increased awareness of influenza among hospitalized patients could prompt clinical and public health interventions to reduce associated burden.

Parameterizing animal sounds and motion with animal-attached tags to study acoustic communication

Abstract

Stemming from the traditional use of field observers to score states and events, the study of animal behaviour often relies on analyses of discrete behavioural categories. Many studies of acoustic communication record sequences of animal sounds, classify vocalizations, and then examine how call categories are used relative to behavioural states and events. However, acoustic parameters can also convey information independent of call type, offering complementary study approaches to call classifications. Animal-attached tags can continuously sample high-resolution behavioural data on sounds and movements, which enables testing how acoustic parameters of signals relate to parameters of animal motion. Here, we present this approach through case studies on wild common bottlenose dolphins (Tursiops truncatus). Using data from sound-and-movement recording tags deployed in Sarasota (FL), we parameterized dolphin vocalizations and motion to investigate how senders and receivers modified movement parameters (including vectorial dynamic body acceleration, “VeDBA”, a proxy for activity intensity) as a function of signal parameters. We show that (1) VeDBA of one female during consortships had a negative relationship with centroid frequency of male calls, matching predictions about agonistic interactions based on motivation-structural rules; (2) VeDBA of four males had a positive relationship with modulation rate of their pulsed vocalizations, confirming predictions that click-repetition rate of these calls increases with agonism intensity. Tags offer opportunities to study animal behaviour through analyses of continuously sampled quantitative parameters, which can complement traditional methods and facilitate research replication. Our case studies illustrate the value of this approach to investigate communicative roles of acoustic parameter changes.

Significance statement

Studies of animal behaviour have traditionally relied on classification of behavioural patterns and analyses of discrete behavioural categories. Today, technologies such as animal-attached tags enable novel approaches, facilitating the use of quantitative metrics to characterize behaviour. In the field of acoustic communication, researchers typically classify vocalizations and examine usage of call categories. Through case studies of bottlenose dolphin social interactions, we present here a novel tag-based complementary approach. We used high-resolution tag data to parameterize dolphin sounds and motion, and we applied continuously sampled parameters to examine how individual dolphins responded to conspecifics’ signals and moved while producing sounds. Activity intensity of senders and receivers changed with specific call parameters, matching our predictions and illustrating the value of our approach to test communicative roles of acoustic parameter changes. Parametric approaches can complement traditional methods for animal behaviour and facilitate research replication.

Laugh before You Study: Does Watching Funny Videos before Study Facilitate Learning?

Emotions exist widely in the entire process of learning and affect students' motivation as well as academic performance. In multimedia learning, academics usually focus on the impact of teachers' emotions or the emotional design of multimedia learning materials on students' emotions and learning results. Few studies have investigated how to enhance learning by regulating students' pre-learning emotions. This study focused on whether playing funny videos before learning could promote students' positive emotions to enhance their motivation, satisfaction, and learning outcomes. We randomly divided 81 elementary school students into two groups: experimental group and control group. While the experimental group watched funny video clips, the control group watched neutral video clips before starting the video learning. The experimental group had more positive pre-learning emotions than the control group. After the course, the emotion of the experimental group declined while that of the control group enhanced. However, positive pre-learning emotions still promoted students' understanding and transfer of learning materials. Moreover, no significant differences were observed between the two groups in learning motivation, satisfaction, and retention tests. Furthermore, this paper analyzed the causes of the experimental results and discussed the insights for teaching.