'Mendelian randomization': can genetic epidemiology contribute to understanding environmental determinants of disease?

Socioeconomic position and hormone replacement therapy use: explaining the discrepancy in evidence from observational and randomized controlled trials

OBJECTIVES

We assessed the association between life-course socioeconomic status or position (SEP) and hormone replacement therapy (HRT).

METHODS

We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of 4286 women aged 60 to 79 years.

RESULTS

Women experiencing adverse socioeconomic circumstances across the life course were less likely to have used HRT. The associations of childhood socioeconomic measures with HRT use were independent of adult SEP, behavioral risk factors, and physiological risk factors for heart disease.

CONCLUSIONS

SEP from across the life course is associated with HRT use. Because the association between early life SEP and HRT is not fully explained by adult risk factors, residual confounding (which is not captured by adjustment for adult variables only) may explain some of the disparity between observational studies and randomized controlled trials in this area.

Problems with using biomarkers as surrogate end points for cancer: a cautionary tale

Investigations employing surrogate cancer end points are especially attractive because they may be smaller, shorter, and cheaper than comparable studies with explicit cancer outcomes. For many potential surrogate end points--epithelial cell proliferation will be taken as an example--inferences are problematic because of the existence of alternative causal pathways to cancer that bypass the surrogate end point. Evaluating potential surrogates requires information on the following three questions: (1) What is the relation of the surrogate end point to cancer? (2) What is the relation of the intervention (or exposure) to the surrogate? (3) To what extent does the surrogate end point mediate the relation between intervention (exposure) and cancer? Data for these questions may derive from animal experiments, human metabolic studies, observational epidemiologic investigations (including ecologic studies), and randomized trials. Inferences to cancer from such downstream markers as colorectal adenomatous polyps and persistent human papillomavirus infection of the cervix are strong, though not absolutely unassailable. For all but these very-close-to-cancer markers, considerable caution is warranted in extrapolating from surrogate effects or associations to cancer.

The Epidemiologic Approach to Pharmacogenomics

The epidemiologic approach enables the systematic evaluation of potential improvements in the safety and efficacy of drug treatment which might result from targeting treatment on the basis of genomic information. The main epidemiologic designs are the randomized control trial, the cohort study, and the case-control study, and derivatives of these proposed for investigating gene-environment interactions. However, no one design is ideal for every situation, and methodological issues, notably selection bias, information bias, confounding and chance, all play a part in determining which study design is best for a given situation. There is also a need to employ a range of different designs to establish a portfolio of evidence about specific gene-drug interactions. In view of the complexity of gene-drug interactions, pooling of data across studies is likely to be needed in order to have adequate statistical power to test hypotheses. We suggest that there may be opportunities (i) to exploit samples from trials already completed to investigate possible gene-drug interactions; (ii) to consider the use of the case-only design nested within randomized controlled trials as a possible means of reducing genotyping costs when dichotomous outcomes are being investigated; and (iii) to make use of population-based disease registries that can be linked with tissue samples, treatment information and death records, to investigate gene-treatment interactions in survival.

Mitochondrial mechanism of oxidative stress and systemic hypertension in hyperhomocysteinemia

Formation of homocysteine (Hcy) is the constitutive process of gene methylation. Hcy is primarily synthesized by de-methylation of methionine, in which s-adenosyl-methionine (SAM) is converted to s-adenosyl-homocysteine (SAH) by methyltransferase (MT). SAH is then hydrolyzed to Hcy and adenosine by SAH-hydrolase (SAHH). The accumulation of Hcy leads to increased cellular oxidative stress in which mitochondrial thioredoxin, and peroxiredoxin are decreased and NADH oxidase activity is increased. In this process, Ca2+-dependent mitochondrial nitric oxide synthase (mtNOS) and calpain are induced which lead to cytoskeletal de-arrangement and cellular remodeling. This process generates peroxinitrite and nitrotyrosine in contractile proteins which causes vascular dysfunction. Chronic exposure to Hcy instigates endothelial and vascular dysfunction and increases vascular resistance causing systemic hypertension. To compensate, the heart increases its load which creates adverse cardiac remodeling in which the elastin/collagen ratio is reduced, causing cardiac stiffness and diastolic heart failure in hyperhomocysteinemia.

Methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase C677T and A1298C polymorphisms and colorectal cancer: the Fukuoka Colorectal Cancer Study

Methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase (MTHFR) is a key enzyme regulating folate metabolism, which affects DNA synthesis and methylation. This study investigated the relation of MTHFR C677T and A1298C polymorphisms to colorectal cancer in a case-control study in Fukuoka, Japan. The subjects comprised 685 incident cases of histologically confirmed colorectal adenocarcinomas and 778 community controls selected randomly in the study area. The genotype was determined by the PCR-RFLP method using genomic DNA extracted from buffy coat. Alcohol use was ascertained by in-person interview. Statistical adjustment was made for gender, age class, area, and alcohol use. The MTHFR 677TT genotype was associated with a statistically significant decrease in the risk with an adjusted odds ratio of 0.69 (95% confidence interval 0.51-0.93) compared with the 677CC and 677CT combined, and the decrease was most evident in individuals with no alcohol consumption. While the A1298C polymorphism showed no measurable association with the overall risk of colorectal cancer, the 1298CC genotype was associated with a statistically significant increase in the risk when alcohol consumption was high, and was also associated with an approximately 2-fold increase in the risk of each of proximal and distal colon cancer. The findings add to evidence that individuals with the MTHFR 677TT genotype have a decreased risk of colorectal cancer in the absence of folate depletion, suggesting a protective role of folate by ensuring a sufficient thymidylate pool for DNA synthesis. Because very few individuals had the 1298CC genotype, the findings regarding the A1298C polymorphism need careful interpretation and confirmation in larger studies.

Phenotypic expression of the methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase 677C-->T polymorphism and flavin cofactor availability in thyroid dysfunction

BACKGROUND

The 5,10-methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase gene (MTHFR) 677C-->T polymorphism modifies the risk of coronary artery disease and colon cancer and is related to plasma concentrations of total homocysteine (tHcy). Riboflavin status modifies the metabolic effect of the polymorphism, and thyroid hormones increase the synthesis of flavin cofactors.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the study was to investigate the phenotypic expression of the MTHFR 677C-->T polymorphism in terms of plasma tHcy concentrations in patients with thyroid dysfunction.

DESIGN

The study population consisted of 182 patients with hyperthyroidism. We studied plasma tHcy in relation to MTHFR genotype, riboflavin, and folate before and during 6 mo of treatment with antithyroid drugs.

RESULTS

Before treatment, tHcy was higher in patients with the mutant enzyme than in those with the wild-type enzyme. A genotype effect was observed only at low riboflavin or folate concentrations (P </= 0.05). During treatment, concentrations of flavin cofactors in plasma decreased (P < 0.001), and tHcy increased (P < 0.001). The overall tHcy increase was greatest in patients with the T allele, particularly at low riboflavin concentrations (P = 0.004).

CONCLUSION

Thyroid status affects the phenotypic expression of the MTHFR 677C-->T polymorphism, possibly by modifying the availability of flavin cofactors.

Public health nutrition and genetics: implications for nutrition policy and promotion

The unravelling of the human genome has the potential to radically extend many of the strategies used in public health nutrition to improve health and to increase food availability, accessibility and utilization. The present paper divides nutrigenomics into two broad but differing areas in asking about possible public health applications: (1) the increasing mismatch between population growth and global food security, on top of the already approximately 800 million of the world population who are food insecure; (2) possible responses to the rising prevalence of non-communicable diseases as the Western diet becomes increasingly inappropriate to the needs of those consuming it. It is clear that complex interactions of multiple polymorphisms play a role in how individuals and sub-populations respond to dietary interventions. All these applications present public health and ethical challenges, particularly in ensuring that any benefits that do come from nutrigenomics are not restricted to the wealthy minority of only the affluent nations. The present paper concludes that the public health applications of nutrigenomics are probably at least a decade away, especially for developing countries. Clinical applications are likely to be more immediate, probably resulting in 'designer diets' for individuals with particular polymorphisms, but unless governments take on the role of ensuring some extent of equity in access, any benefits are most likely to go to those who can afford the screening, tests and treatment. At the same time, greatly increased international efforts are needed towards the continuing, and in some cases worsening, global malnutrition, as genetic manipulation of crops is unlikely to provide more than part of the solution.

Genetic epidemiological approaches in the study of risk factors for cardiovascular disease

The importance of genetic factors for the susceptibility to disease has been widely recognized in the last years. Genes have been identified for monogenic diseases and the challenge lying ahead is the identification of genetic components of importance and the environments in which they are expressed for complex diseases, that is, multiple genetic factors act and interact with each other or environmental factors to add to the complexity. This paper gives a brief overview of some genetic epidemiological approaches, concepts and recent methodological developments related to the study of risk factors for cardiovascular disease in twin and family studies.

The association of the PON1 Q192R polymorphism with coronary heart disease: findings from the British Women's Heart and Health cohort study and a meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

There have been inconsistent results from case-control studies assessing the association of the PON1 Q192R polymorphism with coronary heart disease (CHD). Most studies have included predominantly men and the association in women is unclear. Since lipid levels vary between the sexes the antioxidant effect of PON1 and any genes associated with it may also vary by sex. We have examined the association of the PON1 Q192R polymorphism with CHD in a large cohort of British women and combined the results from our cohort study with those from all other published studies.

RESULTS

The distribution of genotypes was the same among women with CHD and those without disease. The odds ratio (95% confidence interval) of having CHD comparing those with either the QR or RR genotype to those with QQ genotype (dominant model of association) was 1.03 (0.89, 1.21) and the per allele odds ratio was 0.98 (0.95, 1.01). In a meta-analysis of this and 38 other published studies (10,738 cases and 17,068 controls) the pooled odds ratio for the dominant effect was 1.14 (1.08, 1.20) and for the per allele effect was 1.10 (1.06, 1.13). There was evidence of small study bias in the meta-analyses and the dominant effect among those studies with 500 or more cases was 1.05 (0.96, 1.15). Ethnicity and reporting of whether the genotyping was done blind to the participants clinical status also contributed to heterogeneity between studies, but there was no difference in effect between studies with 50% or more women compared to those with fewer women and no difference between studies of healthy populations compared to those at high risk (with diabetes, renal disease of familial hypercholesterolaemia).

CONCLUSION

There is no robust evidence that the PON1 Q192R polymorphism is associated with CHD risk in Caucasian women or men.

Psychological and social sequelae of cannabis and other illicit drug use by young people: a systematic review of longitudinal, general population studies

BACKGROUND

Use of illicit drugs, particularly cannabis, by young people is widespread and is associated with several types of psychological and social harm. These relations might not be causal. Causal relations would suggest that recreational drug use is a substantial public health problem. Non-causal relations would suggest that harm-reduction policy based on prevention of drug use is unlikely to produce improvements in public health. Cross-sectional evidence cannot clarify questions of causality; longitudinal or interventional evidence is needed. Past reviews have generally been non-systematic, have often included cross-sectional data, and have underappreciated the extent of methodological problems associated with interpretation.

METHODS

We did a systematic review of general population longitudinal studies reporting associations between illicit drug use by young people and psychosocial harm.

FINDINGS

We identified 48 relevant studies, of which 16 were of higher quality and provided the most robust evidence. Fairly consistent associations were noted between cannabis use and both lower educational attainment and increased reported use of other illicit drugs. Less consistent associations were noted between cannabis use and both psychological health problems and problematic behaviour. All these associations seemed to be explicable in terms of non-causal mechanisms.

INTERPRETATION

Available evidence does not strongly support an important causal relation between cannabis use by young people and psychosocial harm, but cannot exclude the possibility that such a relation exists. The lack of evidence of robust causal relations prevents the attribution of public health detriments to illicit drug use. In view of the extent of illicit drug use, better evidence is needed.

Genetics, race, ethnicity, and health

Genetics plays only a small part in ethnic differences in health, and other factors are often more amenable to change

Secular trend of colon cancer incidence and mortality in relation to fat and meat intake in Japan

Mortality from colon cancer has rapidly increased in the past decades in Japan, and the increase has generally been ascribed to the Westernized diet, characterized by a high intake of fat and meat. However, fat and meat consumption in Japan stopped increasing in the 1970s. The secular trend of colon cancer incidence and mortality was examined in relation to changing patterns of the consumption of selected foods and nutrients and other related factors in Japan, focusing on the relationship with fat and meat consumption. The incidence and mortality rates of colon cancer both increased almost linearly on a log scale until the early 1990s, the increase then ceasing. The temporal change in fat and meat intake coincided with the incidence of colon cancer approximately 20 years later. Although figures for the consumption of red meat was not available in the early years, red meat accounted for 70-80% of the total meat intake in the mid 1960s and thereafter. Cereal consumption showed a continuous decrease even after the 1970s, that of vegetables showing no marked change. The current observation adds to evidence that red meat intake is an important determinant of colon cancer risk.

Inverse Association Between Birth Weight and C-Reactive Protein Concentrations in the MIDSPAN Family Study

Objective— Inflammation markers and low birth weight each predict elevated risk of cardiovascular events and type 2 diabetes. However, potential associations between the low-grade inflammatory response as represented by C-reactive protein (CRP) concentrations and low birth weight have been sparsely examined.

Methods and results— In the MIDSPAN Family Study, 1663 individuals had birth weight data and CRP concentrations measured as adults (age 30 to 59). The relationship between these parameters was examined after adjusting for factors known to influence CRP concentrations inclusive of age, body mass index, smoking, socio-economic deprivation, and hormone use in women. After adjusting for potential confounders, there was a negative association between birth weight and CRP, whereby a 1-kg increase in birth weight is associated with a 10.7% decrease in CRP (95% CI: 3.0% to 17.8% decrease). There was no strong evidence that the effects differed in men and women ( P =0.32).

Conclusion— Low birth weight contributes to elevated CRP concentration in adult life. Future studies are required to determine to what extent this association reflects catch-up centile crossing, in utero programming, or genetic factors.

Nutritional genomics

The integration of genomics into nutritional sciences has illuminated the complexity of genome responses to nutritional exposures while offering opportunities to increase the effectiveness of nutritional interventions, both clinical and population based. Nutrients elicit multiple physiological responses that affect genome stability, imprinting, expression, and viability. These effects confer both health benefits and risks, some of which may not become apparent until later in life. Nutritional genomics challenges us to understand the reciprocal and complex interactions among the human genome and dietary components in normal physiology and pathophysiology. Understanding these interactions will refine current definitions of benefit and risk and lead to the establishment of dietary recommendations that have a high predictive value, minimize the risk of unintended consequences, and account for the modifying effects of human genetic variation. Furthermore, nutritional genomics will enable the design of effective dietary regimens for the prevention and management of complex chronic disease. This review focuses on new perspectives that have been presented to the nutritional sciences by the advent of genomics, and new challenges that demand attention because of their potential impact on, and immediate translation into, current public health nutrition recommendations and interventions.

Vitamin supplements and the risk for congenital anomalies other than neural tube defects

Randomized trials, supported by many observational studies, have shown that periconceptional use of folic acid, alone or in multivitamin supplements, is effective for the primary prevention of neural tube defects (NTDs). Whether this is true also for other congenital anomalies is a complex issue and the focus of this review. It is useful to consider the evidence not only for specific birth defects separately but, importantly, also for all birth defects combined. For the latter, the Hungarian randomized clinical trial indicated, for periconceptional multivitamin use, a reduction in the risk for all birth defects (odds ratio (OR) = 0.53, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.35-0.70), even after excluding NTDs (OR = 0.53, 95% CI = 0.38-0.75). The Atlanta population-based case-control study, the only large observational study to date on all major birth defects, also found a significant risk reduction for all birth defects (OR = 0.80, 95% CI = 0.69-0.93) even after excluding NTDs (OR = 0.84, 95% CI = 0.72-0.97). These and other studies also evaluated specific anomalies, including those of the heart, limb, and urinary tract, as well as orofacial clefts, omphalocele, and imperforate anus. For cardiovascular anomalies, two studies were negative, whereas three, including the randomized clinical trial, suggest a possible 25-50% overall risk reduction, more marked for some conotruncal and septal defects. For orofacial clefts, six of seven case-control studies suggest an apparent reduced risk, which could vary by cleft type and perhaps, according to some investigators, by pill dosage. For limb deficiencies, three case-control studies and the randomized trial estimated approximately a 50% reduced risk. For urinary tract defects, three case-control studies and the randomized trial reported reduced risks, as did one study of nonsyndromic omphalocele. All these studies examined multivitamin supplement use. With respect to folic acid alone, a reduced rate of imperforate anus was observed among folic acid users in China. We discuss key gaps in knowledge, possible avenues for future research, and counseling issues for families concerned about occurrence or recurrence of these birth defects.

Colon cancer and genetic variation in folate metabolism: the clinical bottom line

So far, evidence for the relation between folate intake and colorectal cancer has been insufficient to lead to specific public health interventions. In principle, data on the relation between genetic variation in folate metabolism and colorectal neoplasia could be used to corroborate the data on the relation between folate intake or status and the disease, strengthening the evidence base for primary prevention. Issues in considering the relation between a health outcome and genetic variation in metabolism of nutrients or other food components include knowledge of gene function, linkage disequilibrium, population stratification, study size and quality, and gene-environment interaction. Overall homozygosity for MTHFR variant genotypes is associated with a reduced risk of colorectal cancer, the opposite of what might have been expected a priori. This has led investigators to place greater emphasis on the functions of folate and methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase in DNA synthesis. Folate and related nutrients may be important after adenoma formation. A challenge for the future is to characterize the effects of multiple genes influencing folate metabolism. Limited data for colorectal cancer suggest that the effect of a low folate diet overrides the effect of genotype, but two studies of adenomas suggested the opposite. Another potential role of information on genetic variation in folate metabolism is in the management of colorectal cancer but most studies have been small, have included selected patient groups, and have made limited adjustment for potentially important factors.

Human CRP gene polymorphism influences CRP levels: implications for the prediction and pathogenesis of coronary heart disease

OBJECTIVE

C-reactive protein (CRP) concentrations are predictive of cardiovascular disease, and levels are heritable, in part. We identified novel polymorphisms in the CRP gene and assessed their influence on CRP level.

METHODS AND RESULTS

CRP was measured in 250 male army recruits before and after strenuous exercise and perioperatively in 193 coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) patients. Two novel polymorphisms were identified in the CRP gene, -717G>A in the promoter and +1444C>T in the 3'UTR. Among army recruits, CRP was higher in +1444TT homozygotes than +1444 C-allele carriers at baseline (1.04+/-0.38 versus 0.55+/-0.06, P=0.014) and at all time points after exercise (2.35+/-0.68 versus 1.07+/-0.12, 2.11+/-0.53 versus 0.88+/-0.09, and 1.77+/-0.44 versus 0.71+/-0.09, P=0.034, P=0.007, and P=0.013, at 2, 48, and 96 hours after exercise, respectively). In the CABG patients, mean CRP (mg/L) rose from 1.97+/-0.36 at baseline to 167.2+/-5.0 72 hours postoperatively. Genotype did not influence CRP at baseline; however, peak post-CABG CRP levels were higher in +1444TT homozygotes compared with +1444C-allele carriers (198+/-17 versus 164+/-5, P=0.03).

CONCLUSIONS

The CRP gene +1444C>T variant influences basal and stimulated CRP level. These findings have implications both for the prediction and pathogenesis of coronary heart disease.

Should Aspirin be Used to Counteract ‘Salicylate Deficiency’?

Aspirin (acetylsalicylate) is an inexpensive drug that is used extensively to reduce cardiovascular disease risk. Emerging evidence suggests that aspirin reduces the risk of other chronic diseases such as certain forms of cancer. Salicylate may contribute to the disease reduction effects. It is present naturally in fruits and vegetables and individuals with a low intake of these foods may be 'salicylate deficient'. This deleterious state may constitute a significant public health threat. Interventions to prevent deficiency, such as low-dose aspirin programmes, could have substantial beneficial health impacts around the world.

Flavonoid intake and breast cancer risk: a case--control study in Greece

Flavonoids have been investigated for possible inverse associations with various chronic degenerative diseases, but there are no epidemiologic data concerning a possible association between several of the main flavonoid categories and breast cancer risk. We have applied recently published data on the flavonoid content of several foods and beverages on dietary information collected in the context of a large case-control study of 820 women with breast cancer and 1548 control women, conducted in Greece. We found a strong, statistically significant inverse association of flavone intake with breast cancer. The odds ratio for an increment equal to one standard deviation of daily flavone intake (i.e. 0.5 mg day(-1)) was 0.87, with 95% confidence interval 0.77-0.97. The association persisted after controlling for fruit and vegetable consumption, or for other flavonoid intake. This inverse association is compatible with and may explain the reported inverse association of breast cancer with consumption of vegetables, particularly leafy vegetables. After controlling for dietary confounding, there was no association of breast cancer risk with flavanones, flavan-3-ols, flavonols, anthocyanidins or isoflavones.

Psychosocial factors and public health: a suitable case for treatment?

Adverse psychosocial exposure or "misery" is associated with physical disease. This association may not be causal. Rather it may reflect issues of reverse causation, reporting bias, and confounding by aspects of the material environment typically associated with misery. A non-causal relation will not form the basis of effective public health interventions. This may be why psychosocial interventions have, so far, showed little effect on objective physical health outcomes. This paper reviews evidence for the "psychosocial hypothesis" and suggests strategies for clarifying these issues. It concludes that, although misery is clearly a bad thing as it erodes people's quality of life, there is little evidence that psychosocial factors cause physical disease. In the absence of better evidence, suggestions that psychosocial interventions are needed to improve population physical health, in both absolute and relative terms, seem premature.

Hyperhomocysteinaemia as a Risk Factor for Venous Thrombosis: An Update of the Current Evidence

Classical homocystinuria is associated with arterial vascular diseases and venous thrombosis. In the last decade, many studies, including some prospective studies, have been published indicating that moderate hyperhomocysteinaemia is also a risk factor for venous thrombosis. The 677C>T mutation in the methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase (MTHFR) gene is an important cause of mild hyperhomocysteinaemia. Recent metaanalyses show an elevated risk of venous thrombosis for subjects with the TT-genotype. Based on the concept of 'Mendelian randomisation', this observation supports the hypothesis that hyperhomocysteinaemia is a causal risk factor for venous thrombosis. The results of one homocysteine-lowering trial regarding venous thrombosis are awaited at the end of 2003. In this paper the current evidence for hyperhomocysteinaemia as a risk factor for venous thrombosis is being discussed.