Association Between State-Mandated Protocolized Sepsis Care and In-hospital Mortality Among Adults With Sepsis

Association between timing of operative interventions and mortality in emergency general surgery

ABSTRACT

Background

Emergency general surgery (EGS) often demands timely interventions, yet data for triage and timing are limited. This study explores the relationship between hospital arrival-to-operation time and mortality in EGS patients.

Study design

We performed a retrospective cohort study using an EGS registry at four hospitals, enrolling adults who underwent operative intervention for a primary American Association for the Surgery of Trauma-defined EGS diagnosis between 2021 and 2023. We excluded patients undergoing surgery more than 72 hours after admission as non-urgent and defined our exposure of interest as the time from the initial vital sign capture to the skin incision timestamp. We assessed the association between operative timing quintiles and in-hospital mortality using a mixed-effect hierarchical multivariable model, adjusting for patient demographics, comorbidities, organ dysfunction, and clustering at the hospital level.

Results

A total of 1199 patients were included. The median time to operating room (OR) was 8.2 hours (IQR 4.9-20.5 hours). Prolonged time to OR increased the relative likelihood of in-hospital mortality. Patients undergoing an operation between 6.7 and 10.7 hours after first vitals had the highest odds of in-hospital mortality compared with operative times <4.2 hours (reference quintile) (adjusted OR (aOR) 68.994; 95% CI 4.608 to 1032.980, p=0.002). A similar trend was observed among patients with operative times between 24.4 and 70.9 hours (aOR 69.682; 95% CI 2.968 to 1636.038, p=0.008).

Conclusion

Our findings suggest that prompt operative intervention is associated with lower in-hospital mortality rates among EGS patients. Further work to identify the most time-sensitive populations is warranted. These results may begin to inform benchmarking for triaging interventions in the EGS population to help reduce mortality rates.

Level of evidence

IV.

Association Between Medicare's Sepsis Reporting Policy (SEP-1) and the Documentation of a Sepsis Diagnosis in the Clinical Record

STUDY DESIGN

Interrupted time series analysis of a retrospective, electronic health record cohort.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the association between the implementation of Medicare's sepsis reporting measure (SEP-1) and sepsis diagnosis rates as assessed in clinical documentation.

BACKGROUND

The role of health policy in the effort to improve sepsis diagnosis remains unclear.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Adult patients hospitalized with suspected infection and organ dysfunction within 6 hours of presentation to the emergency department, admitted to one of 11 hospitals in a multi-hospital health system from January 2013 to December 2017. Clinician-diagnosed sepsis, as reflected by the inclusion of the terms "sepsis" or "septic" in the text of clinical notes in the first two calendar days following presentation.

RESULTS

Among 44,074 adult patients with sepsis admitted to 11 hospitals over 5 years, the proportion with sepsis documentation was 32.2% just before the implementation of SEP-1 in the third quarter of 2015 and increased to 37.3% by the fourth quarter of 2017. Of the 9 post-SEP-1 quarters, 8 had odds ratios for a sepsis diagnosis >1 (overall range: 0.98-1.26; P value for a joint test of statistical significance = 0.005). The effects were clinically modest, with a maximum effect of an absolute increase of 4.2% (95% CI: 0.9-7.8) at the end of the study period. The effect was greater in patients who did not require vasopressors compared with patients who required vasopressors ( P value for test of interaction = 0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

SEP-1 implementation was associated with modest increases in sepsis diagnosis rates, primarily among patients who did not require vasoactive medications.

Reducing the burden of preventable deaths from sepsis in Canada: A need for a national sepsis action plan

Sepsis is a global health threat with significant morbidity and mortality. Despite clinical practice guidelines and developed health systems, sepsis is often unrecognized or misdiagnosed, leading to preventable harm. In Canada, sepsis is responsible for 1 in 20 deaths and is a significant driver of health system costs. Despite being a signatory to the World Health Organization's Resolution WHA 70.7, adopted in 2017, Canada has not lived up to its commitment. Many existing sepsis policies were developed in response to a specific tragedy, and there is no national sepsis action plan. In this article, we describe the burden of sepsis, provide examples of existing, context-specific, reactionary sepsis policies, and urge a coordinated, proactive Canadian sepsis action plan to reduce the burden of sepsis.

Understanding the biases to sepsis surveillance and quality assurance caused by inaccurate coding in administrative health data

PURPOSE

Timely and accurate data on the epidemiology of sepsis are essential to inform policy decisions and research priorities. We aimed to investigate the validity of inpatient administrative health data (IAHD) for surveillance and quality assurance of sepsis care.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective validation study in a disproportional stratified random sample of 10,334 inpatient cases of age ≥ 15 years treated in 2015-2017 in ten German hospitals. The accuracy of coding of sepsis and risk factors for mortality in IAHD was assessed compared to reference standard diagnoses obtained by a chart review. Hospital-level risk-adjusted mortality of sepsis as calculated from IAHD information was compared to mortality calculated from chart review information.

RESULTS

ICD-coding of sepsis in IAHD showed high positive predictive value (76.9-85.7% depending on sepsis definition), but low sensitivity (26.8-38%), which led to an underestimation of sepsis incidence (1.4% vs. 3.3% for severe sepsis-1). Not naming sepsis in the chart was strongly associated with under-coding of sepsis. The frequency of correctly naming sepsis and ICD-coding of sepsis varied strongly between hospitals (range of sensitivity of naming: 29-71.7%, of ICD-diagnosis: 10.7-58.5%). Risk-adjusted mortality of sepsis per hospital calculated from coding in IAHD showed no substantial correlation to reference standard risk-adjusted mortality (r = 0.09).

CONCLUSION

Due to the under-coding of sepsis in IAHD, previous epidemiological studies underestimated the burden of sepsis in Germany. There is a large variability between hospitals in accuracy of diagnosing and coding of sepsis. Therefore, IAHD alone is not suited to assess quality of sepsis care.

Improving Sepsis Outcomes in the Era of Pay-for-Performance and Electronic Quality Measures: A Joint IDSA/ACEP/PIDS/SHEA/SHM/SIDP Position Paper

The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) introduced the Severe Sepsis/Septic Shock Management Bundle (SEP-1) as a pay-for-reporting measure in 2015 and is now planning to make it a pay-for-performance measure by incorporating it into the Hospital Value-Based Purchasing Program. This joint IDSA/ACEP/PIDS/SHEA/SHM/SIPD position paper highlights concerns with this change. Multiple studies indicate that SEP-1 implementation was associated with increased broad-spectrum antibiotic use, lactate measurements, and aggressive fluid resuscitation for patients with suspected sepsis but not with decreased mortality rates. Increased focus on SEP-1 risks further diverting attention and resources from more effective measures and comprehensive sepsis care. We recommend retiring SEP-1 rather than using it in a payment model and shifting instead to new sepsis metrics that focus on patient outcomes. CMS is developing a community-onset sepsis 30-day mortality electronic clinical quality measure (eCQM) that is an important step in this direction. The eCQM preliminarily identifies sepsis using systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) criteria, antibiotic administrations or diagnosis codes for infection or sepsis, and clinical indicators of acute organ dysfunction. We support the eCQM but recommend removing SIRS criteria and diagnosis codes to streamline implementation, decrease variability between hospitals, maintain vigilance for patients with sepsis but without SIRS, and avoid promoting antibiotic use in uninfected patients with SIRS. We further advocate for CMS to harmonize the eCQM with the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's (CDC) Adult Sepsis Event surveillance metric to promote unity in federal measures, decrease reporting burden for hospitals, and facilitate shared prevention initiatives. These steps will result in a more robust measure that will encourage hospitals to pay more attention to the full breadth of sepsis care, stimulate new innovations in diagnosis and treatment, and ultimately bring us closer to our shared goal of improving outcomes for patients.

Temporal Trends in Mortality of Critically Ill Patients with Sepsis in the United Kingdom, 1988-2019

Rationale: Sepsis is a frequent cause of ICU admission and mortality. Objectives: To evaluate temporal trends in the presentation and outcomes of patients admitted to the ICU with sepsis and to assess the contribution of changing case mix to outcomes. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of patients admitted to 261 ICUs in the United Kingdom during 1988-1990 and 1996-2019 with nonsurgical sepsis. Measurements and Main Results: A total of 426,812 patients met study inclusion criteria. The patients had a median (interquartile range) age of 66 (53-75) years, and 55.6% were male. The most common sites of infection were respiratory (60.9%), genitourinary (11.5%), and gastrointestinal (10.3%). Compared with patients in 1988-1990, patients in 2017-2019 were older (median age, 66 vs. 63 yr), were less acutely ill (median Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II acute physiology score, 14 vs. 20), and more often had genitourinary sepsis (13.4% vs. 2.0%). Hospital mortality decreased from 54.6% (95% confidence interval [CI], 51.0-58.1%) in 1988-1990 to 32.4% (95% CI, 32.1-32.7%) in 2017-2019, with an adjusted odds ratio of 0.64 (95% CI, 0.54-0.75). The adjusted absolute hospital mortality reduction from 1988-1990 to 2017-2019 was 8.8% (95% CI, 5.6-12.1). Thus, of the observed 22.2-percentage point reduction in hospital mortality, 13.4 percentage points (60% of total reduction) were explained by case mix changes, whereas 8.8 percentage points (40% of total reduction) were not explained by measured factors and may be a result of improvements in ICU management. Conclusions: Over a 30-year period, mortality for ICU admissions with sepsis decreased substantially. Although changes in case mix accounted for the majority of observed mortality reduction, there was an 8.8-percentage point reduction in mortality not explained by case mix.

Sepsis policy, guidelines and standards in Canada: a jurisdictional scoping review protocol

INTRODUCTION

To our knowledge, this study is the first to identify and describe current sepsis policies, clinical practice guidelines, and health professional training standards in Canada to inform evidence-based policy recommendations.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

This study will be designed and reported according to the Arksey and O'Malley framework for scoping reviews and the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-Analyses Extension for Scoping Reviews. EMBASE, CINAHL, Medline, Turning Research Into Practice and Policy Commons will be searched for policies, clinical practice guidelines and health professional training standards published or updated in 2010 onwards, and related to the identification, management or reporting of sepsis in Canada. Additional sources of evidence will be identified by searching the websites of Canadian organisations responsible for regulating the training of healthcare professionals and reporting health outcomes. All potentially eligible sources of evidence will be reviewed for inclusion, followed by data extraction, independently and in duplicate. The included policies will be collated and summarised to inform future evidence-based sepsis policy recommendations.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

The proposed study does not require ethics approval. The results of the study will be submitted for publication in a peer-reviewed journal and presented at local, national and international forums.

Focused Cardiac Ultrasound Findings of Fluid Tolerance and Fluid Resuscitation in Septic Shock

OBJECTIVES

Compliance with the fluid bonus component of the SEP-1 (severe sepsis and septic shock management) bundle remains poor due to concerns for iatrogenic harm from fluid overload. We sought to assess whether patients who received focused cardiac ultrasound (FCU) and were found to be fluid tolerant (FT) were more likely to receive the recommended 30 mL/kg fluid bolus within 3 hours of sepsis identification.

DESIGN

Retrospective, observational cohort study.

SETTING

University-affiliated, tertiary-care hospital in the United States.

PATIENTS

Emergency department patients presenting with septic shock from 2018 to 2021. The primary exposure was receipt of FCU with identification of fluid tolerance 3 hours from onset of septic shock.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

Two hundred ninety-two of 1,024 patients with septic shock received FCU within 3 hours of sepsis onset. One hundred seventy-seven were determined to be FT. One hundred fifteen patients were determined to have poor fluid tolerance (pFT). FT patients were more likely to reach the recommended 30 mL/kg fluid bolus amount compared with pFT (FT 52.0% vs. pFT 31.3%, risk difference: 20.7%, [95% CI, 9.4-31.9]). Patients who did not receive FCU met the bolus requirement 34.3% of the time. FT patients received more fluid within 3 hours (FT 2,271 mL vs. pFT 1,646 mL, mean difference 625 mL [95% CI, 330-919]). Multivariable logistic regression was used to estimate the association between fluid tolerance FCU findings and compliance with 30 mL/kg bolus after adjustment for patient characteristics and markers of hemodynamic instability. FT with associated with a higher likelihood of meeting bolus requirement (odds ratio 2.17 [1.52-3.12]).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients found to be FT by FCU were more likely to receive the recommended 30 mL/kg bolus in the SEP-1 bundle when compared with patients found with pFT or those that did not receive FCU. There was no difference between groups in 28-day mortality, vasopressor requirement, or need for mechanical ventilation.

Timing, triage, and mode of emergency general surgery interfacility transfers in the United States: A scoping review

ABSTRACT

Interfacility transfer of emergency general surgery (EGS) patients continues to rise, especially in the context of ongoing system consolidation. This scoping review aims to identify and summarize the literature on triage, timing, and mode of interfacility emergency general surgery transfer. While common, EGS transfer systems are not optimized to improve outcomes or ensure value-based care. We identified studies investigating emergency general surgery interfacility transfer using Ovid Medline, EMBASE, and Cochrane Library between 1990 and 2022. English studies that evaluated EGS interfacility timing, triage or transfer mode were included. Studies were assessed by two independent reviewers. Studies were limited to English-language articles in the United States. Data were extracted and summarized with a narrative synthesis of the results and gaps in the literature. There were 423 articles identified, of which 66 underwent full-text review after meeting inclusion criteria. Most publications were descriptive studies or outcomes investigations of interfacility transfer. Only six articles described issues related to the logistics behind the interfacility transfer and were included. The articles were grouped into the predefined themes of transfer timing, triage, and mode of transfer. There were mixed results for the impact of transfer timing on outcomes with heterogeneous definitions of delay and populations. Triage guidelines for EGS transfer were consensus or expert opinion. No studies were identified addressing the mode of interfacility EGS transfer. Further research should focus on better understanding which populations of patients require expedited transfer and by what mode. The lack of high-level data supports the need for robust investigations into interfacility transfer processes to optimize triage using scarce resources and optimized value-based care.

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Hospital Sepsis Program Core Elements

This Viewpoint discusses Hospital Sepsis Program Core Elements, a set of guidance provided by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention to help hospitals develop multiprofessional programs that monitor and optimize management and outcomes of sepsis.

Management of Sepsis and Septic Shock: What Have We Learned in the Last Two Decades?

Sepsis is a clinical syndrome encompassing physiologic and biological abnormalities caused by a dysregulated host response to infection. Sepsis progression into septic shock is associated with a dramatic increase in mortality, hence the importance of early identification and treatment. Over the last two decades, the definition of sepsis has evolved to improve early sepsis recognition and screening, standardize the terms used to describe sepsis and highlight its association with organ dysfunction and higher mortality. The early 2000s witnessed the birth of early goal-directed therapy (EGDT), which showed a dramatic reduction in mortality leading to its wide adoption, and the surviving sepsis campaign (SSC), which has been instrumental in developing and updating sepsis guidelines over the last 20 years. Outside of early fluid resuscitation and antibiotic therapy, sepsis management has transitioned to a less aggressive approach over the last few years, shying away from routine mixed venous oxygen saturation and central venous pressure monitoring and excessive fluids resuscitation, inotropes use, and red blood cell transfusions. Peripheral vasopressor use was deemed safe and is rising, and resuscitation with balanced crystalloids and a restrictive fluid strategy was explored. This review will address some of sepsis management's most important yet controversial components and summarize the available evidence from the last two decades.

Evaluation of evolving sepsis screening criteria in discriminating suspected sepsis and mortality among adult patients admitted to the intensive care unit

BACKGROUND

Institutions struggle with successful use of sepsis alerts within electronic health records.

OBJECTIVE

Test the association of sepsis screening measurement criteria in discrimination of mortality and detection of sepsis in a large dataset.

DESIGN

Retrospective, cohort study using a large United States (U.S.) intensive care database. The Institutional Review Board exempt status was obtained from Kansas University Medical Center Human Research Protection Program (10-1-2015).

SETTING

334 U.S. hospitals participating in the eICU Research Institute.

PARTICIPANTS

Nine hundred twelve thousand five hundred and nine adult intensive care admissions from 183 hospitals.

METHODS

Exposures included: systemic inflammatory response syndrome criteria ≥ 2 (Sepsis-1); systemic inflammatory response syndrome criteria with organ failure criteria ≥ 3.5 points (Sepsis-2); and sepsis-related organ failure assessment score ≥ 2 and quick score ≥ 2 (Sepsis-3). Discrimination of outcomes was determined with/without (adjusted/unadjusted) baseline risk exposure to a model. The receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and odds ratios (ORs) for each decile of baseline risk of sepsis or death were assessed.

RESULTS

Within the eligible cohort of 912,509, a total of 86,219 (9.4 %) patients did not survive their hospital stay and 186,870 (20.5 %) met the definition of suspected sepsis. For suspected sepsis discrimination, Sepsis-2 (unadjusted AUROC 0.67, 99 % CI: 0.66-0.67 and adjusted AUROC 0.77, 99 % CI: 0.77-0.77) outperformed Sepsis-3 (SOFA unadjusted AUROC 0.61, 99 % CI: 0.61-0.61 and adjusted AUROC 0.74, 99 % CI: 0.74-0.74) (qSOFA unadjusted AUROC 0.59, 99 % CI: 0.59-0.60 and adjusted AUROC 0.73, 99 % CI: 0.73-0.73). Sepsis-2 also outperformed Sepsis-1 (unadjusted AUROC 0.58, 99 % CI: 0.58-0.58 and adjusted AUROC 0.73, 99 % CI: 0.73-0.73). In between differences of AUROCs were statistically significantly different. Sepsis-2 ORs were higher for the outcome of suspected sepsis when considering deciles of risk than the other measurement systems.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Sepsis-2 outperformed other systems in suspected sepsis detection and was comparable to SOFA in prognostic accuracy of mortality in adult intensive care patients.

SEPSIS UNIT IN THE EMERGENCY DEPARTMENT: IMPACT ON MANAGEMENT AND OUTCOME OF SEPTIC PATIENTS

ABSTRACT

Study hypothesis : Implementation of a new pathway dedicated to septic patients within the emergency department (ED) would improve early management, organ dysfunction, and outcome. Methods: During phase 1, all consecutive adult patients with infection and qualifying quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) score upon ED admission were managed according to standards of care. A multifaceted intervention was then performed (implementation phase): educational program, creation of a sepsis alert upon ED admission incorporated in the professional software, together with severity scores and Surviving Sepsis Campaign (SSC) bundle reminders, and dedication of two rooms to the management of septic patients (sepsis unit). During phase 2, patients were managed according to this new organization. Results: Of the 89,040 patients admitted to the ED over the two phases, 2,643 patients (3.2%) had sepsis including 277 with a qualifying qSOFA score on admission (phase 1, 141 patients; phase 2, 136 patients). Recommendations of SSC 3-h bundle significantly improved between the two periods regarding lactate measurement (87% vs. 96%, P = 0.006), initiation of fluid resuscitation (36% vs. 65%, P < 0.001), blood cultures sampling (83% vs. 93%, P = 0.014), and administration of antibiotics (18% vs. 46%, P < 0.001). The Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score between H0 and H12 varied significantly more during phase 2 (1.9 ± 1.9 vs. 0.8 ± 2.6, P < 0.001). Mortality significantly decreased during the second phase, on day 3 (28% vs. 15%, P = 0.008) and on day 28 (40% vs. 28%, P = 0.013). Conclusion: Systematic detection, education, and per protocol organization with a sepsis unit dedicated to the early management of septic patients appear to improve compliance with SSC bundles, organ dysfunction, and short-term mortality. These results warrant to be confirmed by prospective studies.

Time to treatment and mortality for clinical sepsis subtypes

BACKGROUND

Sepsis is common, deadly, and heterogenous. Prior analyses of patients with sepsis and septic shock in New York State showed a risk-adjusted association between more rapid antibiotic administration and bundled care completion, but not an intravenous fluid bolus, with reduced in-hospital mortality. However, it is unknown if clinically identifiable sepsis subtypes modify these associations.

METHODS

Secondary analysis of patients with sepsis and septic shock enrolled in the New York State Department of Health cohort from January 1, 2015 to December 31, 2016. Patients were classified as clinical sepsis subtypes (α, β, γ, δ-types) using the Sepsis ENdotyping in Emergency CAre (SENECA) approach. Exposure variables included time to 3-h sepsis bundle completion, antibiotic administration, and intravenous fluid bolus completion. Then logistic regression models evaluated the interaction between exposures, clinical sepsis subtypes, and in-hospital mortality.

RESULTS

55,169 hospitalizations from 155 hospitals were included (34% α, 30% β, 19% γ, 17% δ). The α-subtype had the lowest (N = 1,905, 10%) and δ-subtype had the highest (N = 3,776, 41%) in-hospital mortality. Each hour to completion of the 3-h bundle (aOR, 1.04 [95%CI, 1.02-1.05]) and antibiotic initiation (aOR, 1.03 [95%CI, 1.02-1.04]) was associated with increased risk-adjusted in-hospital mortality. The association differed across subtypes (p-interactions < 0.05). For example, the outcome association for the time to completion of the 3-h bundle was greater in the δ-subtype (aOR, 1.07 [95%CI, 1.05-1.10]) compared to α-subtype (aOR, 1.02 [95%CI, 0.99-1.04]). Time to intravenous fluid bolus completion was not associated with risk-adjusted in-hospital mortality (aOR, 0.99 [95%CI, 0.97-1.01]) and did not differ among subtypes (p-interaction = 0.41).

CONCLUSION

Timely completion of a 3-h sepsis bundle and antibiotic initiation was associated with reduced risk-adjusted in-hospital mortality, an association modified by clinically identifiable sepsis subtype.

The Importance of Shifting Sepsis Quality Measures From Processes to Outcomes

This Viewpoint discusses the failure of the Centers for Medicare &amp;amp; Medicaid Services’ SEP-1 sepsis outcome improvement initiative to improve patients’ sepsis outcomes and suggests changing the focus of sepsis quality metrics from processes to outcomes.

Recombinant human angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 plays a protective role in mice with sepsis-induced cardiac dysfunction through multiple signaling pathways dependent on converting angiotensin II to angiotensin 1-7

Background

Sepsis-induced cardiac dysfunction (SICD) is a common complication of sepsis and contributes to mortality and the complexity of management in patients with sepsis. Recombinant human angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (rhACE2) has been reported to protect the heart from injury and dysfunction in conditions which involve increased angiotensin II (Ang II). In this study, we aimed to detect the effects of rhACE2 on SICD.

Methods

A SICD model was developed in male C57/B6 mice by lipopolysaccharide (LPS) intraperitoneal injection. When cardiac dysfunction was confirmed by echocardiography 3 hours after LPS administration, mice were treated with either saline, rhACE2, or rhACE2 + A779. All mice received echocardiographic examination at 6 hours after LPS injection and then were sacrificed for serum and myocardial tissues collection. Angiotensin, cardiac troponin I (cTnI), and inflammatory markers in serum were measured. Histopathology features were examined by hematoxylin and eosin (HE) and terminal deoxynucleotidyl transferase (TdT) dUTP nick-end labeling (TUNEL) staining to evaluate structure injury and cell pyroptosis rate in heart tissue respectively. Pyroptosis-related proteins and signaling pathways involved in nucleotide binding and oligomerization domain-like receptor family pyrin domain-containing 3 (NLRP3) inflammasome activation in heart tissue were investigated by western blot (WB).

Results

RhACE2 relieved myocardial injury and improved cardiac function in mice with SICD accompanied by decrease of Ang II and increase of angiotensin 1-7 (Ang 1-7) in serum. RhACE2 diminished activation of NLRP3 inflammasome, inflammatory response, and cell pyroptosis induced by LPS. In addition, rhACE2 partly inhibited activation of nuclear factor κB (NF-κB), the p38 mitogen-activated protein kinase (MAPK) pathway, and promoted activation of the AMP-activated protein kinase-α1 (AMPK-α1) pathway in heart tissue. Administration of A779 offset the inhibitive effects of rhACE2 on NLRP3 expression and protective role on cardiac injury and dysfunction in mice with SICD.

Conclusions

RhACE2 plays a protective role in SICD, ameliorating cardiac injury and dysfunction through NF-κB, p38 MAPK, and the AMPK-α1/NLRP3 inflammasome pathway dependent on converting Ang II to Ang 1-7.

Development and validation of risk-adjusted quality indicators for the long-term outcome of acute sepsis care in German hospitals based on health claims data

Background

Methods for assessing long-term outcome quality of acute care for sepsis are lacking. We investigated a method for measuring long-term outcome quality based on health claims data in Germany.

Materials and methods

Analyses were based on data of the largest German health insurer, covering 32% of the population. Cases (aged 15 years and older) with ICD-10-codes for severe sepsis or septic shock according to sepsis-1-definitions hospitalized in 2014 were included. Short-term outcome was assessed by 90-day mortality; long-term outcome was assessed by a composite endpoint defined by 1-year mortality or increased dependency on chronic care. Risk factors were identified by logistic regressions with backward selection. Hierarchical generalized linear models were used to correct for clustering of cases in hospitals. Predictive validity of the models was assessed by internal validation using bootstrap-sampling. Risk-standardized mortality rates (RSMR) were calculated with and without reliability adjustment and their univariate and bivariate distributions were described.

Results

Among 35,552 included patients, 53.2% died within 90 days after admission; 39.8% of 90-day survivors died within the first year or had an increased dependency on chronic care. Both risk-models showed a sufficient predictive validity regarding discrimination [AUC = 0.748 (95% CI: 0.742; 0.752) for 90-day mortality; AUC = 0.675 (95% CI: 0.665; 0.685) for the 1-year composite outcome, respectively], calibration (Brier Score of 0.203 and 0.220; calibration slope of 1.094 and 0.978), and explained variance (R ² = 0.242 and R ² = 0.111). Because of a small case-volume per hospital, applying reliability adjustment to the RSMR led to a great decrease in variability across hospitals [from median (1st quartile, 3rd quartile) 54.2% (44.3%, 65.5%) to 53.2% (50.7%, 55.9%) for 90-day mortality; from 39.2% (27.8%, 51.1%) to 39.9% (39.5%, 40.4%) for the 1-year composite endpoint]. There was no substantial correlation between the two endpoints at hospital level (observed rates: ρ = 0, p = 0.99; RSMR: ρ = 0.017, p = 0.56; reliability-adjusted RSMR: ρ = 0.067; p = 0.026).

Conclusion

Quality assurance and epidemiological surveillance of sepsis care should include indicators of long-term mortality and morbidity. Claims-based risk-adjustment models for quality indicators of acute sepsis care showed satisfactory predictive validity. To increase reliability of measurement, data sources should cover the full population and hospitals need to improve ICD-10-coding of sepsis.

Swiss Sepsis National Action Plan: A coordinated national action plan to stop sepsis-related preventable deaths and to improve the support of people affected by sepsis in Switzerland

Background

Sepsis is a devastating disease which causes yearly over 10 million deaths worldwide. In 2017, the World Health Organization (WHO) issued a resolution prompting member states to improve the prevention, recognition, and management of sepsis. The 2021 European Sepsis Report revealed that-contrary to other European countries-Switzerland had not yet actioned the sepsis resolution.

Methods

A panel of experts convened at a policy workshop to address how to improve awareness, prevention, and treatment of sepsis in Switzerland. Goal of the workshop was to formulate a set of consensus recommendations toward creating a Swiss Sepsis National Action Plan (SSNAP). In a first part, stakeholders presented existing international sepsis quality improvement programs and national health programs relevant for sepsis. Thereafter, the participants were allocated into three working groups to identify opportunities, barriers, and solutions on (i) prevention and awareness, (ii) early detection and treatment, and (iii) support for sepsis survivors. Finally, the entire panel summarized the findings from the working groups and identified priorities and strategies for the SSNAP. All discussions during the workshop were transcribed into the present document. All workshop participants and key experts reviewed the document.

Results

The panel formulated 14 recommendations to address sepsis in Switzerland. These focused on four domains, including (i) raising awareness in the community, (ii) improving healthcare workforce training on sepsis recognition and sepsis management; (iii) establishing standards for rapid detection, treatment and follow-up in sepsis patients across all age groups; and (iv) promoting sepsis research with particular focus on diagnostic and interventional trials.

Conclusion

There is urgency to tackle sepsis. Switzerland has a unique opportunity to leverage from lessons learnt during the COVID-19 pandemic to address sepsis as the major infection-related threat to society. This report details consensus recommendations, the rationale thereof, and key discussion points made by the stakeholders on the workshop day. The report presents a coordinated national action plan to prevent, measure, and sustainably reduce the personal, financial and societal burden, death and disability arising from sepsis in Switzerland.

Machine-learning-derived sepsis bundle of care

PURPOSE

Compliance to the Surviving Sepsis Campaign (SSC) guidelines is limited. This is known to be associated with increased mortality. The aim of this retrospective cohort study was to identify among the SCC guidelines the optimal bundle of recommendations that minimize 28-day mortality.

METHODS

We used a training cohort to identify, using a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator penalized machine learning model, this bundle. Patients with sepsis/septic shock admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) were extracted from two US databases, the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-IV (MIMIC-IV) database (training and internal validation cohorts) and the eICU Collaborative Research Database (eICU-CRD) (external validation cohort). In the validation cohorts, we defined a bundle group that includes patients who were treated with at least all the recommendations selected in our bundle and a no-bundle group that includes patients in whom at least one recommendation from our bundle was omitted.

RESULTS

All-cause 28-day mortality was the primary outcome measure. A total of 42,735 patients were included. Six recommendations (antimicrobials, balanced crystalloid, insulin therapy, corticosteroids, vasopressin, and bicarbonate therapy) were identified from the training cohort to be included in our bundle. In the propensity score-(PS)-matched internal validation cohort, the bundle group was associated with a lower mortality (OR 0.41 [0.33-0.53]; p < 0.001) compared to the no-bundle group. This was confirmed in the PS-matched external validation cohort (OR 0.75 [0.60-0.94]; p 0.02).

CONCLUSION

Our bundle of six recommendations is associated with a dramatic reduction in mortality in sepsis and septic shock. This bundle needs to be evaluated prospectively.

Identification of heptapeptides targeting a lethal bacterial strain in septic mice through an integrative approach

Effectively killing pathogenic bacteria is key for the treatment of sepsis. Although various anti-infective drugs have been used for the treatment of sepsis, the therapeutic effect is largely limited by the lack of a specific bacterium-targeting delivery system. This study aimed to develop antibacterial peptides that specifically target pathogenic bacteria for the treatment of sepsis. The lethal bacterial strain Escherichia coli MSI001 was isolated from mice of a cecal ligation and puncture (CLP) model and was used as a target to screen bacterial binding heptapeptides through an integrative bioinformatics approach based on phage display technology and high-throughput sequencing (HTS). Heptapeptides binding to E. coli MSI001 with high affinity were acquired after normalization by the heptapeptide frequency of the library. A representative heptapeptide VTKLGSL (VTK) was selected for fusion with the antibacterial peptide LL-37 to construct the specific-targeting antibacterial peptide VTK-LL37. We found that, in comparison with LL37, VTK-LL37 showed prominent bacteriostatic activity and an inhibitive effect on biofilm formation in vitro. In vivo experiments demonstrated that VTK-LL37 significantly inhibited bacterial growth, reduced HMGB1 expression, alleviated lesions of vital organs and improved the survival of mice subjected to CLP modeling. Furthermore, membrane DEGP and DEGQ were identified as VTK-binding proteins by proteomic methods. This study provides a novel strategy for targeted pathogen killing, which is helpful for the treatment of sepsis in the era of precise medicine.

Improving Sepsis Management Through the Emergency Quality Network Sepsis Initiative

BACKGROUND

Public reporting of the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid (CMS) SEP-1 sepsis quality measure is often too late and without the data granularity to inform real-time quality improvement (QI). In response, the American College of Emergency Physicians (ACEP) Emergency Quality Network (E-QUAL) Sepsis Initiative sought to support QI efforts through benchmarking of preliminary draft SEP-1 scores for emergency department (ED) patients. This study sought to determine the anticipatory value of these preliminary SEP-1 benchmarking scores and publicly reported performance.

METHODS

Cross-sectional analysis was performed on QI data collected from hospital-based ED sites participating in the E-QUAL Sepsis Collaborative in 2017 and 2018. Participating EDs submitted SEP-1 benchmarking scores semiannually, which were compared to publicly reported CMS SEP-1 data. EDs also reported implementation data on a variety of sepsis-related QI activities for comparison based on SEP-1 performance.

RESULTS

Among 220 EDs participating in E-QUAL, SEP-1 benchmarking scores showed weak but statistically significant correlation with CMS SEP-1 scores (r = 0.189, p = 0.01). Mean E-QUAL SEP-1 benchmarking scores were higher than mean CMS SEP-1 scores (74.1% vs. 57.2%), with 83.2% of sites reporting a benchmarking score higher than the CMS SEP-1 score. EDs with SEP-1 scores in the bottom 20% reported completion of more sepsis-related QI activities than EDs with average or top 20% SEP-1 scores.

CONCLUSION

Preliminary benchmarking results demonstrate a weak, statistically significant correlation with subsequent publicly reported CMS SEP-1 scores and suggest that ED performance in sepsis care may exceed overall hospital performance inclusive of all inpatients. Sepsis quality measurement and sepsis QI efforts may be best guided by separating ED sepsis cases from in-hospital sepsis cases as is done for other acute time-sensitive conditions.

International trends in esophageal cancer incidence rates by histological subtype (1990-2012) and prediction of the rates to 2030

BACKGROUND

We provide an up-to-date overview of recent international trends (1990-2012) and predicted trends (2013-2030) in the incidence rates of esophageal cancer.

METHODS

We used data from the Cancer Incidence in Five Continents (CI5plus) database that contains annual incidence data by cancer site, age, and sex as well as corresponding populations. The age-standardized esophageal cancer incidence rates of each country were calculated and plotted from 1990 through 2012 and were predicted to 2030 using a Bayesian age-period-cohort model.

RESULTS

Globally, esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) and esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) showed opposing trends between 1990 and 2012; ESCC showed a decreasing trend, with an AAPC of - 1.5 (95% CI - 2.4, - 0.7), yet EAC showed an increasing trend, with an AAPC of 5.2 (95% CI 4.2, 6.2). The increasing trend in EAC was commonly observed in high-income countries. The predicted trend to 2030 indicated that most countries will continue to experience a decreasing trend or a stable trend in esophageal cancer incidence, except Denmark, the Netherlands, and the UK, where the overall esophageal cancer incidence rates, mainly driven by EAC, are predicted to increase.

CONCLUSIONS

Decreasing trends in ESCC have been observed worldwide in both low- and middle-income countries and high-income countries, which may have been offset by increasing trends in EAC in high-income countries. The changing patterns of these two main subtypes of esophageal cancer may call for interventions, especially innovative interventions, to address obesity, GERD, and Barrett's esophagus.

Racial Variations in Pain Management and Outcomes in Hospitalized Patients With Acute Pancreatitis

OBJECTIVES

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a common cause of hospitalization. Black AP patients have higher risk for alcoholic etiology and hospitalization than White patients. We evaluated outcomes and treatment disparities by race in hospitalized AP patients.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed Black and White AP patients admitted 2008-2018. Primary outcomes were length of stay, intensive care unit admission, 30-day readmissions, and mortality. Secondary outcomes included pain scores, opioid dosing, and complications.

RESULTS

We identified 630 White and 186 Black AP patients. Alcoholic AP (P < 0.001), tobacco use (P = 0.013), and alcohol withdrawal (P < 0.001) were more common among Blacks. There were no differences in length of stay (P = 0.113), intensive care unit stay (P = 0.316), 30-day readmissions (P = 0.797), inpatient (P = 0.718) or 1-year (P = 0.071) mortality, complications (P = 0.080), or initial (P = 0.851) and discharge pain scores (P = 0.116). Discharge opioids were prescribed more frequently for Whites (P = 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Hospitalized Black and White AP patients had similar treatment and outcomes. Standardized protocols used to manage care may eliminate racial biases. Disparities in discharge opioid prescriptions may be explained by higher alcohol and tobacco use by Black patients.

Association Between Time to Source Control in Sepsis and 90-Day Mortality

Importance

Rapid source control is recommended to improve patient outcomes in sepsis. Yet there are few data to guide how rapidly source control is required.

Objective

To determine the association between time to source control and patient outcomes in community-acquired sepsis.

Design, Setting, and Particpants

Multihospital integrated health care system cohort study of hospitalized adults (January 1, 2013, to December 31, 2017) with community-acquired sepsis as defined by Sepsis-3 who underwent source control procedures. Follow-up continued through January 1, 2019, and data analyses were completed March 17, 2022.

Exposures

Early (<6 hours) compared with late (6-36 hours) source control as well as each hour of source control delay (1-36 hours) from sepsis onset.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Multivariable models were clustered at the level of hospital with adjustment for patient factors, sepsis severity, resource availability, and the physiologic stress of procedures generating adjusted odds ratios (aOR) and 95% CI.

Results

Of 4962 patients with sepsis (mean [SD] age, 62 [16] years; 52% male; 85% White; mean [SD] Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score, 3.8 [2.5]), source control occurred at a median (IQR) of 15.4 hours (5.5-21.7) after sepsis onset, with 1315 patients (27%) undergoing source control within 6 hours. The crude 90-day mortality was similar for early and late source control (n = 177 [14%] vs n = 529 [15%]; P = .35). In multivariable models, early source control was associated with decreased risk-adjusted odds of 90-day mortality (aOR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.63-0.80). This association was greater among gastrointestinal and abdominal (aOR, 0.56; 95% CI, 0.43-0.80) and soft tissue interventions (aOR, 0.72; 95% CI, 0.55-0.95) compared with orthopedic and cranial interventions (aOR, 1.33; 95% CI, 0.96-1.83; P < .001 for interaction).

Conclusions and Relevance

Source control within 6 hours of community-acquired sepsis onset was associated with a reduced risk-adjusted odds of 90-day mortality. Prioritizing the rapid identification of septic foci and initiation of source control interventions can reduce the number of avoidable deaths among patients with sepsis.

Association of annual hospital septic shock case volume and hospital mortality

Background

The burden of sepsis remains high in China. The relationship between case volume and hospital mortality among patients with septic shock, the most severe complication of sepsis, is unknown in China.

Methods

In this retrospective cohort study, we analyzed surveillance data from a national quality improvement program in intensive care units (ICUs) in China in 2020. Association between septic shock case volume and hospital mortality was analyzed using multivariate linear regression and restricted cubic splines.

Results

We enrolled a total of 134,046 septic shock cases in ICUs from 1902 hospitals in China during 2020. In this septic shock cohort, the median septic shock volume per hospital was 33 cases (interquartile range 14–76 cases), 41.4% were female, and more than half of the patients were over 61 years old, with average hospital mortality of 21.2%. An increase in case volume was associated with improved survival among septic shock cases. In the linear regression model, the highest quartile of septic shock volume was associated with lower hospital mortality compared with the lowest quartile (β − 0.86; 95% CI − 0.98, − 0.74; p < 0.001). Similar differences were found in hospitals of respective geographic locations and hospital levels. With case volume modeled as a continuous variable in a restricted cubic spline, a lower volume threshold of 40 cases before which a substantial reduction of the hospital mortality rate was observed.

Conclusions

The findings suggest that hospitals with higher septic shock case volume have lower hospital mortality in China. Further research is needed to explain the mechanism of this volume–outcome relationship.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13054-022-04035-8.

The Levels of Oxidized Phospholipids in High-Density Lipoprotein During the Course of Sepsis and Their Prognostic Value

Purpose

To examine the levels of 1-palmitoyl-2-(5-oxovaleroyl)-sn-glycero phosphatidylcholine (POVPC) and 1-palmitoyl-2-glutaroyl-sn-glycero-phosphatidylcholine (PGPC) (the oxidized phosphatidylcholines) in HDL during the course of sepsis and to evaluate their prognostic value.

Materials and Methods

This prospective cohort pilot study enrolled 25 septic patients and 10 healthy subjects from 2020 to 2021. The HDLs were extracted from patient plasmas at day 1, 3 and 7 after sepsis onset and from healthy plasmas (total 81 plasma samples). These HDLs were then subjected to examining POVPC and PGPC by using an ultra-high performance liquid chromatography coupled with tandem mass spectrometry (UHPLC-MS/MS) system. We further measured the levels of 38 plasma cytokines by Luminex and evaluated the correlation of HDL-POVPC level with these cytokines. Patients were further stratified into survivors and non-survivors to analyze the association of HDL-POVPC level with 28-day mortality.

Results

Septic patients exhibited significant increase of HDL-POVPC at day 1, 3 and 7 after sepsis onset (POVPC-D1, p=0.0004; POVPC-D3, p=0.033; POVPC-D7, p=0.004, versus controls). HDL-PGPC was detected only in some septic patients (10 of 25) but not in healthy controls. Septic patients showed a significant change of the plasma cytokines profile. The correlation assay showed that IL-15 and IL-18 levels were positively correlated with HDL-POVPC level, while the macrophage-derived chemokine (MDC) level was negatively correlated with HDL-POVPC level. Furthermore, HDL-POVPC level in non-survivors was significantly increased versus survivors at day 1 and 3 (POVPC-D1, p=0.002; POVPC-D3, p=0.003). Area under ROC curves of POVPC-D1 and POVPC-D3 in predicting 28-day mortality were 0.828 and 0.851. POVPC-D1and POVPC-D3 were the independent risk factors for the death of septic patients (p=0.046 and 0.035).

Conclusions

HDL-POVPC was persistently increased in the course of sepsis. POVPC-D1 and POVPC-D3 were significantly correlated with 28-mortality and might be valuable to predict poor prognosis.

Association of immediate reinsertion of new catheters with subsequent mortality among patients with suspected catheter infection: a cohort study

Background

Central venous catheter (CVC) insertion complications are a prevalent and important problem in the intensive care unit (ICU), and source control by immediate catheter removal is considered urgent in patients with septic shock suspected to be caused by catheter-related bloodstream infection (CRBSI). We sought to determine the impact of immediate reinsertion of a new catheter (IRINC) on mortality among patients after CVC removal for suspected CRBSI.

Methods

A propensity score-matched cohort of patients with suspected CRBSI who underwent IRINC or no IRINC in a 32-bed ICU in a university hospital in China from January 2009 through April 2021. Catheter tip culture and clinical symptoms were used to identify patients with suspected CRBSI. The Kaplan–Meier method was used to analyse 30-day mortality before and after propensity score matching, and adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for mortality in the matched cohort were estimated with Cox proportional hazards models.

Results

In total, 1,238 patients who had a CVC removed due to suspected CRBSI were identified. Among these patients, 877 (70.8%) underwent IRINC, and 361 (29.2%) did not. Among 682 propensity score-matched patients, IRINC was associated with an increased risk of 30-day mortality (HR, 1.481; 95% CI, 1.028 to 2.134) after multivariable, multilevel adjustment. Kaplan–Meier analysis found that IRINC was associated with the risk of mortality both before matching (P = 0.00096) and after matching (P = 0.018). A competing risk analysis confirmed the results of the propensity score-matched analysis. The attributable risk associated with bloodstream infection was not significantly different (HR, 1.081; 95% CI 0.964 to 1.213) among patients with suspected CRBSI in terms of 30-day mortality compared with that associated with other infections.

Conclusions

In this cohort study, IRINC was associated with higher 30-day mortality compared to delayed CVC or no CVC among patients with suspected CRBSI. A large-sample randomized controlled trial is needed to define the best management for CVC in cases of suspected CRBSI because IRINC may also be associated with noninfectious complications.

Trial registration This study was registered with the China Clinical Trials Registry (URL: http://www.chictr.org.cn/index.aspx) under the following registration number: ChiCTR1900022175.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13613-022-01014-8.

[Resuscitation strategy for patients with sepsis and septic shock]

Fluid and vasopressor resuscitation is, along with antimicrobial therapy and control of the focus of infection, a basic issue of the treatment of sepsis and septic shock. There is currently no accepted protocol that we can follow for the resuscitation of these patients and the Surviving Sepsis Campaign proposes controversial measures and without sufficient evidence support to establish firm recommendations. We propose a resuscitation strategy adapted to the situation of each patient: in the patient in whom community sepsis is suspected, we consider that the early administration of 30mL/kg of crystalloids is effective and safe; in the patient with nosocomial sepsis, we must carry out a more in-depth evaluation before initiating aggressive resuscitation. In patients who do not respond to initial resuscitation, it is necessary to increase monitoring level and, depending on the hemodynamic profile, administer more fluids, a second vasopressor or inotropes.

Identifying Prokineticin2 as a Novel Immunomodulatory Factor in Diagnosis and Treatment of Sepsis

OBJECTIVES

Sepsis remains a highly lethal disease, whereas the precise reasons for death remain poorly understood. Prokineticin2 is a secreted protein that regulates diverse biological processes. Whether prokineticin2 is beneficial or deleterious to sepsis and the underlying mechanisms remain unknown.

DESIGN

Prospective randomized animal investigation and in vitro studies.

SETTING

Research laboratory at a medical university hospital.

SUBJECTS

Prokineticin2 deficiency and wild-type C57BL/6 mice were used for in vivo studies; sepsis patients by Sepsis-3 definitions, patient controls, and healthy controls were used to obtain blood for in vitro studies.

INTERVENTIONS

Prokineticin2 concentrations were measured and analyzed in human septic patients, patient controls, and healthy individuals. The effects of prokineticin2 on sepsis-related survival, bacterial burden, organ injury, and inflammation were assessed in an animal model of cecal ligation and puncture-induced polymicrobial sepsis. In vitro cell models were also used to study the role of prokineticin2 on antibacterial response of macrophages.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

Prokineticin2 concentration is dramatically decreased in the patients with sepsis and septic shock compared with those of patient controls and healthy controls. Furthermore, the prokineticin2 concentration in these patients died of sepsis or septic shock is significantly lower than those survival patients with sepsis or septic shock, indicating the potential value of prokineticin2 in the diagnosis of sepsis and septic shock, as well as the potential value in predicting mortality in adult patients with sepsis and septic shock. In animal model, recombinant prokineticin2 administration protected against sepsis-related deaths in both heterozygous prokineticin2 deficient mice and wild-type mice and alleviated sepsis-induced multiple organ damage. In in vitro cell models, prokineticin2 enhanced the phagocytic and bactericidal functions of macrophage through signal transducers and activators of transcription 3 pathway which could be abolished by signal transducers and activators of transcription 3 inhibitors S3I-201. Depletion of macrophages reversed prokineticin2-mediated protection against polymicrobial sepsis.

CONCLUSIONS

This study elucidated a previously unrecognized role of prokineticin2 in clinical diagnosis and treatment of sepsis. The proof-of-concept study determined a central role of prokineticin2 in alleviating sepsis-induced death by regulation of macrophage function, which presents a new strategy for sepsis immunotherapy.

Hospital nurse staffing and sepsis protocol compliance and outcomes among patients with sepsis in the USA: a multistate cross-sectional analysis

OBJECTIVES

Sepsis is a serious inflammatory response to infection with a high death rate. Timely and effective treatment may improve sepsis outcomes resulting in mandatory sepsis care protocol adherence reporting. How the impact of patient-to-nurse staffing compares to sepsis protocol compliance and patient outcomes is not well understood. This study aimed to determine the association between hospital sepsis protocol compliance, patient-to-nurse staffing ratios and patient outcomes.

DESIGN

A cross-sectional study examining hospital nurse staffing, sepsis protocol compliance and sepsis patient outcomes, using linked data from nurse (2015-2016, 2020) and hospital (2017) surveys, and Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services Hospital Compare (2017) and corresponding MedPAR patient claims.

SETTING

537 hospitals across six US states (California, Florida, Pennsylvania, New York, Illinois and New Jersey).

PARTICIPANTS

252 699 Medicare inpatients with sepsis present on admission.

MEASURES

The explanatory variables are nurse staffing and SEP-1 compliance. Outcomes are mortality (within 30 and 60 days of index admission), readmissions (within 7, 30, and 60 days of discharge), admission to the intensive care unit (ICU) and lengths of stay (LOS).

RESULTS

Sepsis protocol compliance and nurse staffing vary widely across hospitals. Each additional patient per nurse was associated with increased odds of 30-day and 60-day mortality (9% (OR 1.09, 95% CI 1.05 to 1.13) and 10% (1.10, 95% CI 1.07 to 1.14)), 7-day, 30-day and 60-day readmission (8% (OR 1.08, 95% CI 1.05 to 1.11, p<0.001), 7% (OR 1.07, 95% CI 1.05 to 1.10, p<0.001), 7% (OR 1.07, 95% CI 1.05 to 1.10, p<0.001)), ICU admission (12% (OR 1.12, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.22, p=0.007)) and increased relative risk of longer LOS (10% (OR 1.10, 95% CI 1.08 to 1.12, p<0.001)). Each 10% increase in sepsis protocol compliance was associated with shorter LOS (2% ([OR 0.98, 95% CI 0.97 to 0.99, p<0.001)) only.

CONCLUSIONS

Outcomes are more strongly associated with improved nurse staffing than with increased compliance with sepsis protocols.

A multifaceted educational intervention improved anti-infectious measures but had no effect on mortality in patients with severe sepsis

Sepsis is a major reason for preventable hospital deaths. A cluster-randomized controlled trial on an educational intervention did not show improvements of sepsis management or outcome. We now aimed to test an improved implementation strategy in a second intervention phase in which new intervention hospitals (former controls) received a multifaceted educational intervention, while controls (former intervention hospitals) only received feedback of quality indicators. Changes in outcomes from the first to the second intervention phase were compared between groups using hierarchical generalized linear models controlling for possible confounders. During the two phases, 19 control hospitals included 4050 patients with sepsis and 21 intervention hospitals included 2526 patients. 28-day mortality did not show significant changes between study phases in both groups. The proportion of patients receiving antimicrobial therapy within one hour increased in intervention hospitals, but not in control hospitals. Taking at least two sets of blood cultures increased significantly in both groups. During phase 2, intervention hospitals showed higher proportion of adequate initial antimicrobial therapy and de-escalation within 5 days. A survey among involved clinicians indicated lacking resources for quality improvement. Therefore, quality improvement programs should include all elements of sepsis guidelines and provide hospitals with sufficient resources for quality improvement.

Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT01187134. Registered 23 August 2010, https://www.clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/study/NCT01187134.

Improving sepsis care in Africa: an opportunity for change?

Sepsis is common and represents a major public health burden with significant associated morbidity and mortality. However, despite substantial advances in sepsis recognition and management in well-resourced health systems, there remains a distinct lack of research into sepsis in Africa. The lack of evidence affects all levels of healthcare delivery from individual patient management to strategic planning at health-system level. This is particular pertinent as African countries experience some of the highest global burden of sepsis. The 2017 World Health Assembly resolution on sepsis and the creation of the Africa Sepsis Alliance provided an opportunity for change. However, progress so far has been frustratingly slow. The recurrent Ebola virus disease outbreaks and the COVID-19 pandemic on the African continent further reinforce the need for urgent healthcare system strengthening. We recommend that African countries develop national action plans for sepsis which should address the needs of all critically ill patients.

Assessing Fluid Intolerance with Doppler Ultrasonography: A Physiological Framework

Ultrasonography is becoming the favored hemodynamic monitoring utensil of emergentologists, anesthesiologists and intensivists. While the roles of ultrasound grow and evolve, many clinical applications of ultrasound stem from qualitative, image-based protocols, especially for diagnosing and managing circulatory failure. Often, these algorithms imply or suggest treatment. For example, intravenous fluids are opted for or against based upon ultrasonographic signs of preload and estimation of the left ventricular ejection fraction. Though appealing, image-based algorithms skirt some foundational tenets of cardiac physiology; namely, (1) the relationship between cardiac filling and stroke volume varies considerably in the critically ill, (2) the correlation between cardiac filling and total vascular volume is poor and (3) the ejection fraction is not purely an appraisal of cardiac function but rather a measure of coupling between the ventricle and the arterial load. Therefore, management decisions could be enhanced by quantitative approaches, enabled by Doppler ultrasonography. Both fluid ‘responsiveness’ and ‘tolerance’ are evaluated by Doppler ultrasound, but the physiological relationship between these constructs is nebulous. Accordingly, it is argued that the link between them is founded upon the Frank–Starling–Sarnoff relationship and that this framework helps direct future ultrasound protocols, explains seemingly discordant findings and steers new routes of enquiry.

Comparison of Two Predictive Models of Sepsis in Critically Ill Patients Based on the Combined Use of Inflammatory Markers

Background

Sepsis is a systemic inflammatory response due to infection, resulting in organ dysfunction. Timely targeted interventions can improve prognosis. Inflammation plays a crucial role in the process of sepsis. To identify potential sepsis early, we developed and validated a nomogram model and a simple risk scoring model for predicting sepsis in critically ill patients.

Methods

The medical records of adult patients admitted to our intensive care unit (ICU) from August 2017 to December 2020 were analyzed. Patients were randomly divided into a training cohort (70%) and a validation cohort (30%). A nomogram model was developed through multivariate logistic regression analysis. The continuous variables included in nomogram model were transformed into dichotomous variables. Then, a multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed based on these dichotomous variables, and the odds ratio (OR) for each variable was used to construct a simple risk scoring model. The receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC) were constructed, and the area under the curve (AUC) was calculated.

Results

A total of 2074 patients were enrolled. Finally, white blood cell (WBC), C-reactive protein (CRP), interleukin-6 (IL-6), procalcitonin (PCT) and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) were included in our models. The AUC of the nomogram model and the simple risk scoring model were 0.854 and 0.842, respectively. The prediction performance of the two models on sepsis is comparable (p = 0.1298).

Conclusion

This study combining five commonly available inflammatory markers (WBC, CRP, IL-6, PCT and NLR) developed a nomogram model and a simple risk scoring model to predict sepsis in critically ill patients. Although the prediction performance of the two models is comparable, the simple risk scoring model may be simpler and more practical for clinicians to identify potential sepsis in critically ill patients at an early stage and strategize treatments.

Is intensive care unit mortality a valid survival outcome measure related to critical illness?

RATIONALE

Use of death as an outcome of intensive care unit (ICU) admission may be biased by differential discharge decisions.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the validity of ICU survival status as an outcome measure of all cause case-fatality.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort of first admissions among adults to four ICUs in North Brisbane, Australia was assembled. Death in ICU (censored at discharge or 30 days) was compared with 30-day overall case-fatality.

RESULTS

The 30-day overall case-fatality was 8.1% (2436/29,939). One thousand six hundred and thirty-one deaths occurred within the ICU stay and 576 subsequent during hospital post-ICU discharge within 30-days; ICU and hospital case-fatality rates were 5.4% and 7.4%, respectively. An additional 229 patients died after hospital separation within 30 days of ICU admission of which 110 (48.0%) were transferred to another acute care hospital, 80 (34.9%) discharged home, and 39 (17.0%) transferred to an aged care/chronic care/rehabilitation facility. Patients who died after ICU discharge were older, had higher APACHE III scores, were more likely to be elective surgical patients, and were less likely to be out of state residents or managed in a tertiary referral hospital. Limiting determination of case-fatality to ICU information alone would correctly detect 95% (780/821) of all-cause mortality at day 3, 90% (1093/1213) at day 5, 75% (1524/2019) at day 15, 72% (1592/2244) at day 21, and 67% (1631/2436) at day 30 of follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS

Use of ICU case-fatality significantly underestimates the true burden and biases assessment of determinants of critical illness-related mortality in our region.

Association Between Implementation of the Severe Sepsis and Septic Shock Early Management Bundle Performance Measure and Outcomes in Patients With Suspected Sepsis in US Hospitals

IMPORTANCE

In October 2015, the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services began requiring US hospitals to report adherence to the Severe Sepsis and Septic Shock Early Management Bundle (SEP-1).

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the association of SEP-1 implementation with sepsis treatment patterns and outcomes in diverse hospitals.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This retrospective cohort study with interrupted time-series analysis and logistic regression models was conducted among adults admitted to 114 hospitals from October 2013 to December 2017 with suspected sepsis (blood culture orders, ≥2 systemic inflammatory response syndrome criteria, and acute organ dysfunction) within 24 hours of hospital arrival. Data analysis was conducted from September 2020 to September 2021.

EXPOSURES

SEP-1 implementation in the fourth quarter (Q4) of 2015.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

The primary outcome was quarterly rates of risk-adjusted short-term mortality (in-hospital death or discharge to hospice). Secondary outcomes included lactate testing and administration of anti-methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) or antipseudomonal β-lactam antibiotics within 24 hours of hospital arrival. Generalized estimating equations with robust sandwich variances were used to fit logistic regression models to assess for changes in level or trends in these outcomes, adjusting for baseline characteristics and severity of illness.

RESULTS

The cohort included 117 510 patients (median [IQR] age, 67 years [55-78] years; 60 530 [51.5%] men and 56 980 [48.5%] women) with suspected sepsis. Lactate testing rates increased from 55.1% (95% CI, 53.9%-56.2%) in Q4 of 2013 to 76.7% (95% CI, 75.4%-78.0%) in Q4 of 2017, with a significant level change following SEP-1 implementation (odds ratio [OR], 1.34; 95% CI, 1.04-1.74). There were increases in use of anti-MRSA antibiotics (19.8% [95% CI, 18.9%-20.7%] in Q4 of 2013 to 26.3% [95% CI, 24.9%-27.7%] in Q4 of 2017) and antipseudomonal antibiotics (27.7% [95% CI, 26.7%-28.8%] in Q4 of 2013 to 40.5% [95% CI, 38.9%-42.0%] in Q4 of 2017), but these trends preceded SEP-1 and did not change with SEP-1 implementation. Unadjusted short-term mortality rates were similar in the pre-SEP-1 period (Q4 of 2013 through Q3 of 2015) vs the post-SEP-1 period (Q1 of 2016 through Q4 of 2017) (20.3% [95% CI, 20.0%-20.6%] vs 20.4% [95% CI, 20.1%-20.7%]), and SEP-1 implementation was not associated with changes in level (OR, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.68-1.29) or trend (OR, 1.00; 95% CI, 0.97-1.04) for risk-adjusted short-term mortality rates.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In this cohort study, SEP-1 implementation was associated with an immediate increase in lactate testing rates, no change in already-increasing rates of broad-spectrum antibiotic use, and no change in short-term mortality rates for patients with suspected sepsis. Other approaches to decrease sepsis mortality may be warranted.

Validity of a model using routinely collected data for identifying infections following gastric, colorectal, and liver cancer surgeries

PURPOSE

Validating outcome measures is a prerequisite for using administrative databases for comparative effectiveness research. Although the Japanese Diagnosis Procedure Combination database is widely used in surgical studies, the outcome measure for postsurgical infection has not been validated. We developed a model to identify postsurgical infections using the routinely-collected Diagnosis Procedure Combination data.

METHODS

We retrospectively identified inpatients who underwent surgery for gastric, colorectal, or liver cancer between April 2016 and March 2018 at four hospitals. Chart reviews were conducted to identify postsurgical infections. We used bootstrap analysis with backwards variable elimination to select independent variables from routinely-collected diagnosis and procedure data. Selected variables were used to create a score predicting the chart review-identified infections, and the performance of the score was tested.

RESULTS

Among the 756 eligible patients, 102 patients (13%) had postoperative infections. Three variables were identified as predictors: diagnosis of infectious disease recorded as a complication arising after admission, addition of an intravenous antibiotic, and bacterial microscopy or culture. The prediction model had a C-statistic of 0.891 and pseudo-R² of 0.380. A cut-off of 1 point of the score showed a sensitivity of 92% and specificity of 71%, and a cut-off of 2 points showed a sensitivity of 77% and specificity of 91%.

CONCLUSIONS

Our model using routinely-collected administrative data accurately identified postoperative infections. Further external validation would lead to the application of the model for research using administrative databases. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

Evaluation of Incident 7-Day Infection and Sepsis Hospitalizations in an Integrated Health System

RATIONALE

Pre-hospital opportunities to predict infection and sepsis hospitalization may exist, but little is known about their incidence following common healthcare encounters.

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the incidence and timing of infection and sepsis hospitalization within 7 days of living hospital discharge, emergency department discharge, and ambulatory visit settings.

METHODS

In each setting, we identified patients in clinical strata based on the presence of infection and severity of illness. We estimated number needed to evaluate values with hypothetical predictive model operating characteristics.

RESULTS

We identified 97,614,228 encounters including 1,117,702 (1.1 %) hospital discharges, 4,635,517 (4.7%) emergency department discharges, and 91,861,009 (94.1 %) ambulatory visits between 2012 and 2017. The incidence of 7-day infection hospitalization varied from 37,140 (3.3%) following inpatient discharge, 50,315 (1.1%) following emergency department discharge, and 277,034 (0.3%) following ambulatory visits. The incidence of 7-day infection hospitalization was increased for inpatient discharges with high readmission risk (10.0%), emergency department discharges with increased acute or chronic severity of illness (3.5% and 4.7%, respectively), and ambulatory visits with acute infection (0.7%). The timing of 7-day infection and sepsis hospitalizations differed across settings with an early rise following ambulatory visits, a later peak following emergency department discharges, and a delayed peak following inpatient discharge. Theoretical number needed to evaluate values varied by strata, but following hospital and emergency department discharge, were as low as 15 to 25.

CONCLUSIONS

Incident 7-day infection and sepsis hospitalizations following encounters in routine healthcare settings were surprisingly common and may be amenable to clinical predictive models.

Evidence for the Application of Sepsis Bundles in 2021

Sepsis represents a severe condition that predisposes patients to a high risk of death if its progression is not ended. As with other time-dependent conditions, the performance of determinant interventions has led to significant survival benefits and quality-of-care improvements in acute emergency care. Thus, the initial interventions in sepsis are a cornerstone for prognosis in most patients. Even though the evidence supporting the hour-1 bundle is perfectible, real-life application of thoughtful and organized sepsis care has improved survival and quality of care in settings promoting compliance to evidence-based treatments. Current evidence for implementing the Surviving Sepsis Campaign bundles for early sepsis management is moving forward to better approaches as more substantial evidence evolves.