Diabetes, Weight Change, and Pancreatic Cancer Risk

Five-year recurrence/survival after pancreatoduodenectomy for pancreatic adenocarcinoma: does pre-existing diabetes matter? Results from the Recurrence After Whipple's (RAW) study

BACKGROUND

Diabetes mellitus (DM) has a complex relationship with pancreatic cancer. This study examines the impact of preoperative DM, both recent-onset and pre-existing, on long-term outcomes following pancreatoduodenectomy (PD) for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC).

METHODS

Data were extracted from the Recurrence After Whipple's (RAW) study, a multi-centre cohort of PD for pancreatic head malignancy (2012-2015). Recurrence and five-year survival rates of patients with DM were compared to those without, and subgroup analysis performed to compare patients with recent-onset DM (less than one year) to patients with established DM.

RESULTS

Out of 758 patients included, 187 (24.7%) had DM, of whom, 47 of the 187 (25.1%) had recent-onset DM. There was no difference in the rate of postoperative pancreatic fistula (DM: 5.9% vs no DM 9.8%; p = 0.11), five-year survival (DM: 24.1% vs no DM: 22.9%; p = 0.77) or five-year recurrence (DM: 71.7% vs no DM: 67.4%; p = 0.32). There was also no difference between patients with recent-onset DM and patients with established DM in postoperative outcomes, recurrence, or survival.

CONCLUSION

We found no difference in five-year recurrence and survival between diabetic patients and those without diabetes. Patients with pre-existing DM should be evaluated for PD on a comparable basis to non-diabetic patients.

Machine Learning Predicts Patients With New-onset Diabetes at Risk of Pancreatic Cancer

BACKGROUND

New-onset diabetes represent a high-risk cohort to screen for pancreatic cancer.

GOALS

Develop a machine model to predict pancreatic cancer among patients with new-onset diabetes.

STUDY

A retrospective cohort of patients with new-onset diabetes was assembled from multiple health care networks in the United States. An XGBoost machine learning model was designed from a portion of this cohort (the training set) and tested on the remaining part of the cohort (the test set). Shapley values were used to explain the XGBoost's model features. Model performance was compared with 2 contemporary models designed to predict pancreatic cancer among patients with new-onset diabetes.

RESULTS

In the test set, the XGBoost model had an area under the curve of 0.80 (0.76 to 0.85) compared with 0.63 and 0.68 for other models. Using cutoffs based on the Youden index, the sensitivity of the XGBoost model was 75%, the specificity was 70%, the accuracy was 70%, the positive predictive value was 1.2%, and the negative predictive value was >99%. The XGBoost model obtained a positive predictive value of at least 2.5% with a sensitivity of 38%. The XGBoost model was the only model that detected at least 50% of patients with cancer one year after the onset of diabetes. All 3 models had similar features that predicted pancreatic cancer, including older age, weight loss, and the rapid destabilization of glucose homeostasis.

CONCLUSION

Machine learning models isolate a high-risk cohort from those with new-onset diabetes at risk for pancreatic cancer.

The Added Value of Blood Glucose Monitoring in High-Risk Individuals Undergoing Pancreatic Cancer Surveillance

OBJECTIVES

The study aimed to investigate the added value of blood glucose monitoring in high-risk individuals (HRIs) participating in pancreatic cancer surveillance.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

High-risk individuals with a CDKN2A/p16 germline pathogenic variant participating in pancreatic cancer surveillance were included in this study. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to assess the relationship between new-onset diabetes (NOD) and pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). To quantify the diagnostic performance of NOD as a marker for PDAC, receiver operating characteristic curve with area under the curve was computed.

RESULTS

In total, 220 HRIs were included between 2000 and 2019. Median age was 61 (interquartile range. 53-71) years and 62.7% of participants were female. During the study period, 26 (11.8%) HRIs developed NOD, of whom 5 (19.2%) later developed PDAC. The other 23 (82.1%) PDAC cases remained NOD-free. Multivariable analysis showed no statistically significant relationship between NOD and PDAC (odds ratio, 1.21; 95% confidence interval, 0.39-3.78) and 4 of 5 PDAC cases seemed to have NOD within 3 months before diagnosis. Furthermore, NOD did not differentiate between HRIs with and without PDAC (area under the curve, 0.54; 95% confidence interval, 0.46-0.61).

CONCLUSIONS

In this study, we found no added value for longitudinal glucose monitoring in CDKN2A pathogenic variant carriers participating in an imaging-based pancreatic cancer surveillance program.

Overcoming underestimation of the association of excess weight with pancreatic cancer due to prediagnostic weight loss: Umbrella review of systematic reviews, meta-analyses, and pooled-analyses

Elevated body mass index (BMI) is linked to increased pancreatic cancer (PC) risk. Cancer-associated weight loss can occur years before the malignancy is diagnosed. This might have led to underestimation of the BMI-PC association. However, it is unknown if and to what extent this issue has been considered in previous epidemiological studies. We searched two databases through February 19, 2024 for systematic reviews, meta-analyses, and pooled analyses examining the BMI-PC association. We extracted information on study design with a special focus on the article's examination of prediagnostic weight loss as a potential source of bias, as well as how included cohort studies addressed this concern. Thirteen review articles, meta-analyses, and pooled analyses were identified. Only five (four pooled analyses, one systematic review) considered prediagnostic weight loss in their analyses. Twenty-four of 32 identified cohort studies reported having excluded initial years of follow-up. However, only 13 studies reported results after such exclusions, and effect estimates generally increased with longer periods of exclusion. We conclude that the association of overweight and obesity with PC risk is likely larger than suggested by published epidemiological evidence. Future studies should pay careful attention to avoid or minimize potential bias resulting from prediagnostic weight loss.

Combined ultrasound endoscopy-guided fine-needle aspiration with DNA methylation of SHOX2 and RASSF1A genes to enhance the auxiliary diagnostic precision of pancreatic cancer

The purpose of this study was to assess the influence and the clinical effectiveness of the short stature homeobox 2 (SHOX2) and ras association domain family 1A (RASSF1A) genes by tissue sampling through ultrasound endoscopy-guided fine-needle aspiration (EUS-FNA) as auxiliary diagnostic tools for pancreatic cancer (PC). Methylation markers were detected in 96 patients using real-time fluorescence quantitative PCR (qPCR), and the performance of this diagnostic assay was compared with CA19-9, CEA, and puncture fluid-based exfoliative cytology using receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis. The PC group exhibited higher methylation rates for SHOX2, RASSF1A, and the combined assay of both genes compared to the control group (95.7 % vs. 54.0 %, 78.3 % vs. 36.0 %, and 73.9 % vs. 16.0 %, P < 0.05). The areas under the ROC curve (AUC) for CA19-9, CEA, liquid-based exfoliative cytology, SHOX2, RASSF1A, the combination of SHOX2 and RASSF1A, the combination assay with CEA, CA19-9, and liquid-based exfoliative cytology were 0.827, 0.692, 0.767, 0.770, 0.732, 0.870, 0.870, 0.933, and 0.900, respectively. Therefore, the methylation assay based on the combined SHOX2 and RASSF1A genes in EUS-FNA puncture fluid is more effective than using a single gene, liquid-based exfoliative cytology, or intravenous tumor markers for diagnosing PC. Combining the conventional marker CA19-9 enhances the diagnostic value, making it a promising approach to complement histology and cytology.

Pancreatic cancer mortality trends attributable to high fasting blood sugar over the period 1990-2019 and projections up to 2040

Background

Pancreatic cancer (PC) is a prevalent malignancy within the digestive system, with diabetes recognized as one of its well-established risk factors.

Methods

Data on PC mortality attributed to high fasting blood sugar were retrieved from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study 2019 online database. To assess the temporal trends of PC burden attributable to high fasting plasma glucose (HFPG), estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) for age-standardized death rates (ASDRs) between 1990 and 2019 were determined using a generalized linear model. Furthermore, a Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) model using the integrated nested Laplacian approximation algorithm was employed to project the disease burden over the next 20 years.

Results

Globally, the crude death number of PC attributable to HFPG almost tripled (from 13,065.7 in 1990 to 48,358.5 in 2019) from 1990 to 2019, and the ASDR increased from 0.36/100,000 to 0.61/100,000 with an EAPC of 2.04 (95% CI 1.91-2.16). The population aged ≥70 years accounted for nearly 60% of total deaths in 2019 and experienced a more significant increase, with the death number increasing approximately fourfold and the ASDR increasing annually by 2.65%. In regions with different sociodemographic indexes (SDIs), the highest disease burden was observed in the high-SDI region, whereas more pronounced increasing trends in ASDR were observed in the low to middle-SDI, low-SDI, and middle-SDI regions. Additionally, a significantly negative association was found between EAPCs and ASDRs of PC attributable to HFPG from 1990 to 2019. Moreover, the BAPC model predicts that ASDR and age-standardized disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) rate for PC attributed to HFPG was projected to increase obviously for men and women from 2019 to 2040.

Conclusions

The burden of PC attributed to HFPG has increased globally over the past three decades, with the elderly population and high-SDI regions carrying a relatively greater disease burden, but more adverse trends observed in low-SDI areas. Furthermore, the burden is projected to continue increasing over the next 20 years. Hence, more tailored prevention methodologies should be established to mitigate this increasing trend.

Findings on Age at Onset of Cancer in Diabetic and Non-diabetic Populations

Background Diabetes mellitus and cancer are two associated chronic diseases. Despite being a widely researched topic, the underlying mechanisms of this association remain unclear. One of the poorly explored topics regarding diabetes and cancer is the relation between the age of cancer onset and diabetes mellitus status; therefore, this research exposes the difference in the age of cancer diagnosis in both groups. Methods We conducted a retrospective study by reviewing the clinical files on a secondary care hospital's database. Files from first-time consultations of patients over 18 diagnosed using a histopathological report were included. The present study aimed to determine whether there is a difference in age at the onset of cancer in diabetic and non-diabetic individuals. Moreover, we calculated the average BMI at the onset for both populations. Results Our study included 8,741 patients; 1,551 (17.8%) were diabetic, and 7,190 (82.2%) were non-diabetic. From 28 types of cancer, 27 showed a difference in the age at the onset of cancer when diabetic and non-diabetic subjects were compared. This difference is significant as it suggests a potential link between diabetes and cancer, which could have implications for early detection and prevention strategies. Out of the 27 types, 17 showed statistical significance with p-values ranging from 0.048 to <0.0001 considering a 95% CI. Among those, the most significant types of cancer were breast, cervical, lung, ovarian, rectal, thyroid, and sarcoma, reporting p-values <0.0001. The mean age at onset of cancer in diabetic and non-diabetic populations was 62.7 years (SD ± 3.9) and 55.3 years (SD ± 7.9), respectively, showing a difference of 7.4 years in both groups. The BMI was statistically significant in patients with breast (p = 0.006), endometrial (p = 0.007), head and neck (p=0.014), and thyroid (p = 0.022) cancer types. Conclusion  The data offer a critical view of the relationship between cancer and diabetes. Since virtually no one has produced a similar report, there is a broad field for researching the causal factors implicated in the pathway of diabetic and non-diabetic individuals who develop cancer. Research regarding metformin, diabetic neuropathy, and other possible causes must be addressed to determine whether they are involved in this process.

Predicting the risk of pancreatic cancer in adults with new-onset diabetes: development and internal-external validation of a clinical risk prediction model

BACKGROUND

The National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) recommends that people aged 60+ years with newly diagnosed diabetes and weight loss undergo abdominal imaging to assess for pancreatic cancer. More nuanced stratification could lead to enrichment of these referral pathways.

METHODS

Population-based cohort study of adults aged 30-85 years at type 2 diabetes diagnosis (2010-2021) using the QResearch primary care database in England linked to secondary care data, the national cancer registry and mortality registers. Clinical prediction models were developed to estimate risks of pancreatic cancer diagnosis within 2 years and evaluated using internal-external cross-validation.

RESULTS

Seven hundred and sixty-seven of 253,766 individuals were diagnosed with pancreatic cancer within 2 years. Models included age, sex, BMI, prior venous thromboembolism, digoxin prescription, HbA1c, ALT, creatinine, haemoglobin, platelet count; and the presence of abdominal pain, weight loss, jaundice, heartburn, indigestion or nausea (previous 6 months). The Cox model had the highest discrimination (Harrell's C-index 0.802 (95% CI: 0.797-0.817)), the highest clinical utility, and was well calibrated. The model's highest 1% of predicted risks captured 12.51% of pancreatic cancer cases. NICE guidance had 3.95% sensitivity.

DISCUSSION

A new prediction model could have clinical utility in identifying individuals with recent onset diabetes suitable for fast-track abdominal imaging.

Severe insulin resistance in a patient with diabetes after treatment with brentuximab vedotin

A man in his late 60s with a history of well-controlled type 2 diabetes and hepatic cirrhosis presented to the emergency department due to uncontrollable hyperglycaemia following the initial brentuximab vedotin (BV) infusion. BV was initiated as a treatment for mycosis fungoides, a form of cutaneous T-cell lymphoma. The patient was diagnosed with severe hyperglycaemia with ketosis. Empiric treatment with amoxicillin-clavulanic acid, hydration and intravenous insulin infusion was initiated. Hyperglycaemia persisted despite receiving massive amounts of insulin and was corrected only after treatment with high-dose methylprednisolone for suspected type B insulin resistance. Extremely high and difficult-to-treat hyperglycaemia is a rare side effect of BV. Unfortunately, the patient died of upper gastrointestinal bleeding 22 days after discharge. In patients with obesity and/or diabetes mellitus, the blood glucose levels should be carefully monitored when treated with BV.

Protein biomarkers and alternatively methylated cell-free DNA detect early stage pancreatic cancer

OBJECTIVE

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is commonly diagnosed at an advanced stage. Liquid biopsy approaches may facilitate detection of early stage PDAC when curative treatments can be employed.

DESIGN

To assess circulating marker discrimination in training, testing and validation patient cohorts (total n=426 patients), plasma markers were measured among PDAC cases and patients with chronic pancreatitis, colorectal cancer (CRC), and healthy controls. Using CA19-9 as an anchor marker, measurements were made of two protein markers (TIMP1, LRG1) and cell-free DNA (cfDNA) pancreas-specific methylation at 9 loci encompassing 61 CpG sites.

RESULTS

Comparative methylome analysis identified nine loci that were differentially methylated in exocrine pancreas DNA. In the training set (n=124 patients), cfDNA methylation markers distinguished PDAC from healthy and CRC controls. In the testing set of 86 early stage PDAC and 86 matched healthy controls, CA19-9 had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.88 (95% CI 0.83 to 0.94), which was increased by adding TIMP1 (AUC 0.92; 95% CI 0.88 to 0.96; p=0.06), LRG1 (AUC 0.92; 95% CI 0.88 to 0.96; p=0.02) or exocrine pancreas-specific cfDNA methylation markers at nine loci (AUC 0.92; 95% CI 0.88 to 0.96; p=0.02). In the validation set of 40 early stage PDAC and 40 matched healthy controls, a combined panel including CA19-9, TIMP1 and a 9-loci cfDNA methylation panel had greater discrimination (AUC 0.86, 95% CI 0.77 to 0.95) than CA19-9 alone (AUC 0.82; 95% CI 0.72 to 0.92).

CONCLUSION

A combined panel of circulating markers including proteins and methylated cfDNA increased discrimination compared with CA19-9 alone for early stage PDAC.

Elucidating the role of blood metabolites on pancreatic cancer risk using two-sample Mendelian randomization analysis

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is an uncommon but highly fatal malignancy. Identifying causal metabolite biomarkers offers an opportunity to facilitate effective risk assessment strategies for PDAC. In this study, we performed a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) study to characterize the potential causal effects of metabolites in plasma on PDAC risk. Genetic instruments were determined for a total of 506 metabolites from one set of comprehensive genome-wide association studies (GWAS) involving 913 individuals of European ancestry from the INTERVAL/EPIC-Norfolk cohorts. Another set of genetic instruments was developed for 483 metabolites from an independent GWAS conducted with 8299 individuals of European ancestry from the Canadian Longitudinal Study on Aging (CLSA) cohort. We analyzed GWAS data of the Pancreatic Cancer Cohort Consortium (PanScan) and the Pancreatic Cancer Case-Control Consortium (PanC4), comprising 8275 PDAC cases and 6723 controls of European ancestry. The association of metabolites with PDAC risk was assessed using the inverse-variance weighted (IVW) method, and complemented with sensitivity analyses of MR-Egger and MR-PRESSO tests. Potential side effects of targeting the identified metabolites for PDAC intervention were further evaluated by a phenome-wide MR (Phe-MR) analysis. Forty-four unique metabolites were identified to be significantly associated with PDAC risk, of which four top-ranking metabolites (X: 12798, X: 11787, X: 11308 and X: 19141) showed replication evidence when using instruments developed from both two cohorts. Our results highlight novel blood metabolites related to PDAC risk, which may help prioritize metabolic features for PDAC mechanistic research and further evaluation of their potential role in PDAC risk assessment.

[Early detection of sporadic pancreatic cancer]

The incidence of pancreatic cancer is rising. At present, pancreatic cancer is the third most common cancer-causing death in Germany, but it is expected to become the second in 2030 and finally the leading cause of cancer death in 2050. Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PC) is generally diagnosed at advanced stages, and 5-year-survival has remained poor. Early detection of sporadic PC at stage IA, however, can yield a 5-year-survival rate of about 80%. Early detection initiatives aim at identifying persons at high risk. People with new-onset diabetes at age 50 or older have attracted much interest. Novel strategies regarding how to detect sporadic PC at an early stage are being discussed.

Cancer Diagnoses After Recent Weight Loss

Importance

Weight loss is common in primary care. Among individuals with recent weight loss, the rates of cancer during the subsequent 12 months are unclear compared with those without recent weight loss.

Objective

To determine the rates of subsequent cancer diagnoses over 12 months among health professionals with weight loss during the prior 2 years compared with those without recent weight loss.

Design, Setting, and Participants

Prospective cohort analysis of females aged 40 years or older from the Nurses' Health Study who were followed up from June 1978 until June 30, 2016, and males aged 40 years or older from the Health Professionals Follow-Up Study who were followed up from January 1988 until January 31, 2016.

Exposure

Recent weight change was calculated from the participant weights that were reported biennially. The intentionality of weight loss was categorized as high if both physical activity and diet quality increased, medium if only 1 increased, and low if neither increased.

Main Outcome and Measures

Rates of cancer diagnosis during the 12 months after weight loss.

Results

Among 157 474 participants (median age, 62 years [IQR, 54-70 years]; 111 912 were female [71.1%]; there were 2631 participants [1.7%] who self-identified as Asian, Native American, or Native Hawaiian; 2678 Black participants [1.7%]; and 149 903 White participants [95.2%]) and during 1.64 million person-years of follow-up, 15 809 incident cancer cases were identified (incident rate, 964 cases/100 000 person-years). During the 12 months after reported weight change, there were 1362 cancer cases/100 000 person-years among all participants with recent weight loss of greater than 10.0% of body weight compared with 869 cancer cases/100 000 person-years among those without recent weight loss (between-group difference, 493 cases/100 000 person-years [95% CI, 391-594 cases/100 000 person-years]; P < .001). Among participants categorized with low intentionality for weight loss, there were 2687 cancer cases/100 000 person-years for those with weight loss of greater than 10.0% of body weight compared with 1220 cancer cases/100 000 person-years for those without recent weight loss (between-group difference, 1467 cases/100 000 person-years [95% CI, 799-2135 cases/100 000 person-years]; P < .001). Cancer of the upper gastrointestinal tract (cancer of the esophagus, stomach, liver, biliary tract, or pancreas) was particularly common among participants with recent weight loss; there were 173 cancer cases/100 000 person-years for those with weight loss of greater than 10.0% of body weight compared with 36 cancer cases/100 000 person-years for those without recent weight loss (between-group difference, 137 cases/100 000 person-years [95% CI, 101-172 cases/100 000 person-years]; P < .001).

Conclusions and Relevance

Health professionals with weight loss within the prior 2 years had a significantly higher risk of cancer during the subsequent 12 months compared with those without recent weight loss. Cancer of the upper gastrointestinal tract was particularly common among participants with recent weight loss compared with those without recent weight loss.

Unique Biology of Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma Accompanied by Rapidly Impaired Diabetes: A Favorable Long-Term Survival Following Curative Resection

BACKGROUND

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinomas (PDACs) are sometimes diagnosed accompanied by rapidly impaired diabetes (PDAC-RID). Although this type of PDAC may have unusual biological features, these features have not been explained.

METHODS

Patients with PDAC who underwent upfront pancreatectomy between 2010 and 2018 were retrospectively reviewed. PDAC-RID was defined as a glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) value of ≥ 8.0% of newly diagnosed diabetes, and acute exacerbation of previously diagnosed diabetes. Other patients were classified as PDAC with stable glycometabolism (PDAC-SG). Clinicopathological factors, long-term survival rates, and recurrence patterns were evaluated.

RESULTS

Of the 520 enrolled patients, 104 were classified as PDAC-RID and 416 as PDAC-SG. There was no significant difference regarding TNM staging, resectability, or adjuvant chemotherapy rate between the groups. However, 5-years cancer-specific survival (CSS) was significantly higher in the PDAC-RID group than in the PDAC-SG group (45.3% vs. 31.1%; p = 0.02). This survival difference was highlighted in relatively early-stage PDAC (≤ pT2N1) (CSS: 60.8% vs. 43.6%; p = 0.01), but the difference was not significant for advanced-stage PDAC. A multivariate analysis of early-stage PDAC showed that PDAC-SG was an independent risk factor of shorter CSS (hazard ratio 1.76; p = 0.02). The hematogenous metastatic rate in early-stage PDAC was lower in the PDAC-RID group than in the PDAC-SG group (18.3% vs. 35.8%; p = 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

PDAC-RID showed a favorable long-term survival rate after curative resection with low hematogenous metastases, which may be due to its unique biology.

Improving the prognosis of pancreatic cancer: insights from epidemiology, genomic alterations, and therapeutic challenges

Pancreatic cancer, notorious for its late diagnosis and aggressive progression, poses a substantial challenge owing to scarce treatment alternatives. This review endeavors to furnish a holistic insight into pancreatic cancer, encompassing its epidemiology, genomic characterization, risk factors, diagnosis, therapeutic strategies, and treatment resistance mechanisms. We delve into identifying risk factors, including genetic predisposition and environmental exposures, and explore recent research advancements in precursor lesions and molecular subtypes of pancreatic cancer. Additionally, we highlight the development and application of multi-omics approaches in pancreatic cancer research and discuss the latest combinations of pancreatic cancer biomarkers and their efficacy. We also dissect the primary mechanisms underlying treatment resistance in this malignancy, illustrating the latest therapeutic options and advancements in the field. Conclusively, we accentuate the urgent demand for more extensive research to enhance the prognosis for pancreatic cancer patients.

Pancreatic cancer symptom trajectories from Danish registry data and free text in electronic health records

Pancreatic cancer is one of the deadliest cancer types with poor treatment options. Better detection of early symptoms and relevant disease correlations could improve pancreatic cancer prognosis. In this retrospective study, we used symptom and disease codes (ICD-10) from the Danish National Patient Registry (NPR) encompassing 6.9 million patients from 1994 to 2018,, of whom 23,592 were diagnosed with pancreatic cancer. The Danish cancer registry included 18,523 of these patients. To complement and compare the registry diagnosis codes with deeper clinical data, we used a text mining approach to extract symptoms from free text clinical notes in electronic health records (3078 pancreatic cancer patients and 30,780 controls). We used both data sources to generate and compare symptom disease trajectories to uncover temporal patterns of symptoms prior to pancreatic cancer diagnosis for the same patients. We show that the text mining of the clinical notes was able to complement the registry-based symptoms by capturing more symptoms prior to pancreatic cancer diagnosis. For example, 'Blood pressure reading without diagnosis', 'Abnormalities of heartbeat', and 'Intestinal obstruction' were not found for the registry-based analysis. Chaining symptoms together in trajectories identified two groups of patients with lower median survival (<90 days) following the trajectories 'Cough→Jaundice→Intestinal obstruction' and 'Pain→Jaundice→Abnormal results of function studies'. These results provide a comprehensive comparison of the two types of pancreatic cancer symptom trajectories, which in combination can leverage the full potential of the health data and ultimately provide a fuller picture for detection of early risk factors for pancreatic cancer.

A blood-based metabolomic signature predictive of risk for pancreatic cancer

Emerging evidence implicates microbiome involvement in the development of pancreatic cancer (PaCa). Here, we investigate whether increases in circulating microbial-related metabolites associate with PaCa risk by applying metabolomics profiling to 172 sera collected within 5 years prior to PaCa diagnosis and 863 matched non-subject sera from participants in the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian (PLCO) cohort. We develop a three-marker microbial-related metabolite panel to assess 5-year risk of PaCa. The addition of five non-microbial metabolites further improves 5-year risk prediction of PaCa. The combined metabolite panel complements CA19-9, and individuals with a combined metabolite panel + CA19-9 score in the top 2.5th percentile have absolute 5-year risk estimates of >13%. The risk prediction model based on circulating microbial and non-microbial metabolites provides a potential tool to identify individuals at high risk of PaCa that would benefit from surveillance and/or from potential cancer interception strategies.

Diabetes Mellitus in Pancreatic Cancer: A Distinct Approach to Older Subjects with New-Onset Diabetes Mellitus

BACKGROUND

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is associated with a very poor prognosis, with near-identical incidence and mortality. According to the World Health Organization Globocan Database, the estimated number of new cases worldwide will rise by 70% between 2020 and 2040. There are no effective screening methods available so far, even for high-risk individuals. The prognosis of PDAC, even at its early stages, is still mostly unsatisfactory. Impaired glucose metabolism is present in about 3/4 of PDAC cases.

METHODS

Available literature on pancreatic cancer and diabetes mellitus was reviewed using a PubMed database. Data from a national oncology registry (on PDAC) and information from a registry of healthcare providers (on diabetes mellitus and a number of abdominal ultrasound investigations) were obtained.

RESULTS

New-onset diabetes mellitus in subjects older than 60 years should be an incentive for a prompt and detailed investigation to exclude PDAC. Type 2 diabetes mellitus, diabetes mellitus associated with chronic non-malignant diseases of the exocrine pancreas, and PDAC-associated type 3c diabetes mellitus are the most frequent types. Proper differentiation of particular types of new-onset diabetes mellitus is a starting point for a population-based program. An algorithm for subsequent steps of the workup was proposed.

CONCLUSIONS

The structured, well-differentiated, and elaborately designed approach to the elderly with a new onset of diabetes mellitus could improve the current situation in diagnostics and subsequent poor outcomes of therapy of PDAC.

Adipose tissue and skeletal muscle wasting precede clinical diagnosis of pancreatic cancer

Patients with pancreatic cancer commonly develop weight loss and muscle wasting. Whether adipose tissue and skeletal muscle losses begin before diagnosis and the potential utility of such losses for earlier cancer detection are not well understood. We quantify skeletal muscle and adipose tissue areas from computed tomography (CT) imaging obtained 2 months to 5 years before cancer diagnosis in 714 pancreatic cancer cases and 1748 matched controls. Adipose tissue loss is identified up to 6 months, and skeletal muscle wasting is identified up to 18 months before the clinical diagnosis of pancreatic cancer and is not present in the matched control population. Tissue losses are of similar magnitude in cases diagnosed with localized compared with metastatic disease and are not correlated with at-diagnosis circulating levels of CA19-9. Skeletal muscle wasting occurs in the 1-2 years before pancreatic cancer diagnosis and may signal an upcoming diagnosis of pancreatic cancer.

Lipidomics and pancreatic cancer risk in two prospective studies

Pancreatic ductal carcinoma (PDAC) is highly fatal with limited understanding of mechanisms underlying its carcinogenesis. We comprehensively investigated whether lipidomic measures were associated with PDAC in two prospective studies. We measured 904 lipid species and 252 fatty acids across 15 lipid classes in pre-diagnostic serum (up to 24 years) in a PDAC nested-case control study within the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial (PLCO, NCT00002540) with 332 matched case-control sets including 272 having serial blood samples and Alpha-Tocopherol, Beta-Carotene Cancer Prevention Study (ATBC, NCT00342992) with 374 matched case-control sets. Controls were matched to cases by cohort, age, sex, race, and date at blood draw. We used conditional logistic regression to calculate odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) per one-standard deviation increase in log-lipid concentrations within each cohort, and combined ORs using fixed-effects meta-analyses. Forty-three lipid species were associated with PDAC (false discovery rate, FDR ≤ 0.10), including lysophosphatidylcholines (LPC, n = 2), phosphatidylethanolamines (PE, n = 17), triacylglycerols (n = 13), phosphatidylcholines (PC, n = 3), diacylglycerols (n = 4), monoacylglycerols (MAG, n = 2), cholesteryl esters (CE, n = 1), and sphingomyelins (n = 1). LPC(18:2) and PE(O-16:0/18:2) showed significant inverse associations with PDAC at the Bonferroni threshold (P value < 5.5 × 10-5). The fatty acids LPC[18:2], LPC[16:0], PC[15:0], MAG[18:1] and CE[22:0] were significantly associated with PDAC (FDR < 0.10). Similar associations were observed in both cohorts. There was no significant association for the differences between PLCO serial lipidomic measures or heterogeneity by follow-up time overall. Results support that the pre-diagnostic serum lipidome, including 43 lipid species from 8 lipid classes and 5 fatty acids, is associated with PDAC.

[Type-2-diabetes and gastrointestinal cancer screening]

More than 8000000 Germans suffer from diabetes. People with type-2-diabetes (T2D) are at increased risk of gastrointestinal adenocarcinomas. They often develop cancer at younger age and their tumor-specific 5-year-survival is generally shorter. Cancer has become the leading cause of death of T2D-patients. Both chronic hyperglycemia and insulin resistance can stimulate gastrointestinal (GI) tumor growth. T2D can cause colorectal, pancreatic, hepatocellular, biliary and gastric cancer as well as esophageal adenocarcinoma. Both low-risk lifestyle and gastrointestinal cancer screening are effective and reduce GI cancer risk and GI cancer mortality of T2D-patients.

A deep learning algorithm to predict risk of pancreatic cancer from disease trajectories

Pancreatic cancer is an aggressive disease that typically presents late with poor outcomes, indicating a pronounced need for early detection. In this study, we applied artificial intelligence methods to clinical data from 6 million patients (24,000 pancreatic cancer cases) in Denmark (Danish National Patient Registry (DNPR)) and from 3 million patients (3,900 cases) in the United States (US Veterans Affairs (US-VA)). We trained machine learning models on the sequence of disease codes in clinical histories and tested prediction of cancer occurrence within incremental time windows (CancerRiskNet). For cancer occurrence within 36 months, the performance of the best DNPR model has area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve = 0.88 and decreases to AUROC (3m) = 0.83 when disease events within 3 months before cancer diagnosis are excluded from training, with an estimated relative risk of 59 for 1,000 highest-risk patients older than age 50 years. Cross-application of the Danish model to US-VA data had lower performance (AUROC = 0.71), and retraining was needed to improve performance (AUROC = 0.78, AUROC (3m) = 0.76). These results improve the ability to design realistic surveillance programs for patients at elevated risk, potentially benefiting lifespan and quality of life by early detection of this aggressive cancer.

Pancreatic cancer is associated with medication changes prior to clinical diagnosis

Patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) commonly develop symptoms and signs in the 1-2 years before diagnosis that can result in changes to medications. We investigate recent medication changes and PDAC diagnosis in Nurses' Health Study (NHS; females) and Health Professionals Follow-up Study (HPFS; males), including up to 148,973 U.S. participants followed for 2,994,057 person-years and 991 incident PDAC cases. Here we show recent initiation of antidiabetic (NHS) or anticoagulant (NHS, HFS) medications and cessation of antihypertensive medications (NHS, HPFS) are associated with pancreatic cancer diagnosis in the next 2 years. Two-year PDAC risk increases as number of relevant medication changes increases (P-trend <1 × 10^-5), with participants who recently start antidiabetic and stop antihypertensive medications having multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio of 4.86 (95%CI, 1.74-13.6). These changes are not associated with diagnosis of other digestive system cancers. Recent medication changes should be considered as candidate features in multi-factor risk models for PDAC, though they are not causally implicated in development of PDAC.

Multiplexed analysis of EV reveals specific biomarker composition with diagnostic impact

Exosomes and extracellular vesicles (EV) are increasingly being explored as circulating biomarkers, but their heterogenous composition will likely mandate the development of multiplexed EV technologies. Iteratively multiplexed analyses of near single EVs have been challenging to implement beyond a few colors during spectral sensing. Here we developed a multiplexed analysis of EV technique (MASEV) to interrogate thousands of individual EVs during 5 cycles of multi-channel fluorescence staining for 15 EV biomarkers. Contrary to the common belief, we show that: several markers proposed to be ubiquitous are less prevalent than believed; multiple biomarkers concur in single vesicles but only in small fractions; affinity purification can lead to loss of rare EV subtypes; and deep profiling allows detailed analysis of EV, potentially improving the diagnostic content. These findings establish the potential of MASEV for uncovering fundamental EV biology and heterogeneity and increasing diagnostic specificity.

Temporality of body mass index, blood tests, comorbidities and medication use as early markers for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC): a nested case-control study

OBJECTIVE

Prior studies identified clinical factors associated with increased risk of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). However, little is known regarding their time-varying nature, which could inform earlier diagnosis. This study assessed temporality of body mass index (BMI), blood-based markers, comorbidities and medication use with PDAC risk .

DESIGN

We performed a population-based nested case-control study of 28 137 PDAC cases and 261 219 matched-controls in England. We described the associations of biomarkers with risk of PDAC using fractional polynomials and 5-year time trends using joinpoint regression. Associations with comorbidities and medication use were evaluated using conditional logistic regression.

RESULTS

Risk of PDAC increased with raised HbA1c, liver markers, white blood cell and platelets, while following a U-shaped relationship for BMI and haemoglobin. Five-year trends showed biphasic BMI decrease and HbA1c increase prior to PDAC; early-gradual changes 2-3 years prior, followed by late-rapid changes 1-2 years prior. Liver markers and blood counts (white blood cell, platelets) showed monophasic rapid-increase approximately 1 year prior. Recent diagnosis of pancreatic cyst, pancreatitis, type 2 diabetes and initiation of certain glucose-lowering and acid-regulating therapies were associated with highest risk of PDAC.

CONCLUSION

Risk of PDAC increased with raised HbA1c, liver markers, white blood cell and platelets, while followed a U-shaped relationship for BMI and haemoglobin. BMI and HbA1c derange biphasically approximately 3 years prior while liver markers and blood counts (white blood cell, platelets) derange monophasically approximately 1 year prior to PDAC. Profiling these in combination with their temporality could inform earlier PDAC diagnosis.

[Prevention of pancreatic cancer]

The incidence of pancreatic cancer is rising in Germany. At present pancreatic cancer is the third commonest cause of cancer death but is expected to become the second in 2030 and finally the leading cause of cancer death in 2050. Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PC) is generally diagnosed at far advanced stages and 5-year-survival has remained poor. Modifiable risk factors of PC are tobacco smoking, excess body weight, alcohol use, type 2-diabetes and the metabolic syndrome. Smoking cessation and -in case of obesity- intentional weight loss can reduce PC risk by as much as 50 %. Early detection of asymptomatic sporadic PC at stage IA - stage IA-PC now has a 5-year-survival rate of about 80 %- has become a realistic chance for people older than 50 years with new-onset diabetes.

Associations between genetically predicted levels of blood metabolites and pancreatic cancer risk

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is one of the most aggressive solid malignancies, which is featured by systematic metabolism. Thus, a better understanding of metabolic dysregulation in PDAC is important to better characterize its etiology. Here, we performed a large metabolome-wide association study (MWAS) to systematically explore associations between genetically predicted metabolite levels in blood and PDAC risk. Using data from 881 subjects of European descent in the TwinsUK Project, comprehensive genetic models were built to predict serum metabolite levels. These prediction models were applied to the genetic data of 8275 cases and 6723 controls included in the PanScan (I, II and III) and PanC4 consortia. After assessing the metabolite-PDAC risk associations by a slightly modified TWAS/FUSION framework, we identified five metabolites (including two dipeptides) showing significant associations with PDAC risk at false discovery rate (FDR) <0.05. Integrated with gut microbial information, two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses were further performed to investigate the relationship among serum metabolites, gut microbiome features and PDAC. The flavonoid-degrading bacteria Flavonifractor sp90199495 was found to be associated with metabolite X-21849 and it was also shown to be associated with PDAC risk. Collectively, our study identified novel candidate metabolites for PDAC risk, which could lead to new insights into the etiology of PDAC and improved treatment options.

Risk Assessment and Pancreatic Cancer: Diagnostic Management and Artificial Intelligence

Pancreatic cancer (PC) is one of the deadliest cancers, and it is responsible for a number of deaths almost equal to its incidence. The high mortality rate is correlated with several explanations; the main one is the late disease stage at which the majority of patients are diagnosed. Since surgical resection has been recognised as the only curative treatment, a PC diagnosis at the initial stage is believed the main tool to improve survival. Therefore, patient stratification according to familial and genetic risk and the creation of screening protocol by using minimally invasive diagnostic tools would be appropriate. Pancreatic cystic neoplasms (PCNs) are subsets of lesions which deserve special management to avoid overtreatment. The current PC screening programs are based on the annual employment of magnetic resonance imaging with cholangiopancreatography sequences (MR/MRCP) and/or endoscopic ultrasonography (EUS). For patients unfit for MRI, computed tomography (CT) could be proposed, although CT results in lower detection rates, compared to MRI, for small lesions. The actual major limit is the incapacity to detect and characterize the pancreatic intraepithelial neoplasia (PanIN) by EUS and MR/MRCP. The possibility of utilizing artificial intelligence models to evaluate higher-risk patients could favour the diagnosis of these entities, although more data are needed to support the real utility of these applications in the field of screening. For these motives, it would be appropriate to realize screening programs in research settings.

Post-meal endogenous insulin secretion was significantly lower in head than in body/tail cancer of the pancreas

THE AIM

Pancreatic cancer, a rapidly progressive malignancy, is often diagnosed in patients with diabetes. The incidence of pancreatic cancer has risen dramatically over recent decades. Early diagnosis of this malignancy is generally difficult because the symptoms do not become apparent until the disease has progressed, generally leading to a poor outcome. To achieve earlier diagnosis, we analyzed the clinical characteristics of pancreatic cancer patients showing deterioration of plasma glucose levels while hospitalized.

METHOD

Thirty-six cases were divided into 2 groups;those diagnosed with diabetes more than a year prior to identification of pancreatic cancer and diabetes secondary to pancreatic cancer. These 2 groups were further subdivided according to the tumor site (head or body/tail), allowing analysis of 4 subgroups. Anthropometric measurements, laboratory values were determined.

RESULTS

Both groups with diabetes lost at least 4 kg and showed HbA1c deterioration of at least 1% within 5 months of the pancreatic cancer diagnosis. The post-meal elevation of serum C-peptide immunoreactivity (CPR) was significantly decreased in the group with cancer of the pancreatic head, and this was unrelated to tumor size.

CONCLUSION

Characteristically, pancreatic head cancer was associated with decreased endogenous insulin secretion as compared to body/tail cancer. J. Med. Invest. 70 : 350-354, August, 2023.

Obesity, diabetes mellitus, and pancreatic carcinogenesis: Correlations, prevention, and diagnostic implications

The prevalence of obesity, diabetes mellitus (DM), and pancreatic cancer (PC) has been consistently increasing in the last two decades worldwide. Sharing various influential risk factors in genetics and environmental inducers in pathogenesis, the close correlations of these three diseases have been demonstrated in plenty of clinical studies using multiple parameters among different populations. On the contrary, most measures aimed to manage and treat obesity and DM effectively reduce the risk and prevent PC occurrence, yet certain drugs can inversely promote pancreatic carcinogenesis instead. Most importantly, an elevation of blood glucose with or without a reduction in body weight, along with other potential tools, may provide valuable clues for detecting PC at an early stage in patients with obesity and DM, favoring a timely intervention and prolonging survival. Herein, the epidemiological and etiological correlations among these three diseases and the supporting clinical evidence of their connections are first summarized to favor a better and more thorough understanding of obesity- and DM-related pancreatic carcinogenesis. After comparing the distinct impacts of different weight-lowering and anti-diabetic treatments on the risk of PC, the possible diagnostic implications of hyperglycemia and weight loss in PC screening are also addressed in detail.

Association between age at diabetes onset or diabetes duration and subsequent risk of pancreatic cancer: Results from a longitudinal cohort and mendelian randomization study

BACKGROUND

The aim of the study is to estimate the incidence of pancreatic cancer among individuals with new-onset type 2 Diabetes (T2DM) and evaluate the relationship of pancreatic cancer risk with age at diabetes onset and diabetes duration.

METHODS

This longitudinal cohort study included 428,362 new-onset T2DM patients in Shanghai and Mendelian randomization (MR) in the east-Asian population were used to investigate the association. Incidence rates of pancreatic cancer in all patients and by subgroups were calculated and compared to the general population.

FINDINGS

A total of 1056 incident pancreatic cancer cases were identified during eight consecutive years of follow-up. The overall pancreatic cancer annual incidence rate was 55·28/100,000 person years in T2DM patients, higher than that in the general population, with a standardized incidence ratio (SIR) of 1·54 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1·45-1·64). The incidence of pancreatic cancer increased with age and a significantly higher incidence was observed in the older groups with T2DM. However, the relative pancreatic cancer risk was inversely related to age of T2DM onset, and a higher SIR of 5·73 (95%CI, 4·49-7·22) was observed in the 20-54 years old group. The risk of pancreatic cancer was elevated at any diabetes duration. Fasting blood glucose ≥10·0 mmol/L was associated with increased risk of pancreatic cancer. MR analysis indicated a positive association between T2DM and pancreatic cancer risk.

INTERPRETATION

Efforts toward early and close follow-up programs, especially in individuals with young-onset T2DM, and the improvement of glucose control might represent effective strategies for improving the detection and results of treatment of pancreatic cancer.

FUNDING

Chinese National Natural Science Foundation.

Diabetogenic liver metastasis from pancreatic cancer: a case report

BACKGROUND

Although new-onset diabetes has been described in up to 20% of patients with newly diagnosed pancreatic cancer, reports regarding new-onset diabetes associated with newly developed liver metastasis from pancreatic cancer are limited.

CASE PRESENTATION

A 60-year-old man was diagnosed with pancreatic tail cancer without impaired glycemic control. A curative-intent distal pancreatectomy with adjuvant S-1 chemotherapy was performed. Two years after surgery, a high HbA1c concentration and solitary liver metastasis were identified on follow-up examination. Two major chemotherapy regimens, gemcitabine/nab-paclitaxel and modified FOLFIRINOX, were sequentially administered to the patient; however, his carbohydrate 19-9 concentration continued to increase. Because the patient's glycemic control rapidly worsened in synchrony with the tumor growth, insulin therapy was initiated. Although the liver metastasis was refractory to chemotherapy, curative-intent left hepatectomy was performed because only one tumor remained. His impaired glycemic control improved immediately after surgery, and insulin therapy was terminated. When writing this report (2 years after hepatectomy), the patient was alive and recurrence-free.

CONCLUSIONS

New-onset diabetes appeared with the progression of metachronous liver metastasis from pancreatic cancer, without recurrence at any other site. The patient's diabetic state was improved by resection of the liver tumor, and liver metastasis itself was proven to have caused the glucometabolic disorder by increasing insulin resistance.

IDO1 Is a Therapeutic Target for Pancreatic Cancer-Associated Depression

Metabolites of tryptophan degradation are known to alter mood. Their effects have only been superficially examined in the context of pancreatic cancer. Herein, we study the role of indoleamine 2,3-dioxygenase 1 (IDO1), an enzyme important in the conversion of tryptophan to kynurenine, in a murine model of pancreatic cancer-associated depression. Behavioral tests (open field, forced swim, tail suspension, and elevated plus maze) and biochemical assays (LC-MS metabolomics) were used to characterize a depressive-phenotype in tumor-bearing mice (relative to non-tumor-bearing mice). In addition, we determine whether pharmacologic blockade of IDO1 affects mood in tumor-bearing mice. Immunocompetent mice bearing orthotopic pancreatic tumors exhibit depressive-like behavior relative to non-tumor-bearing mice. Pancreatic tumors strongly express IDO1. Consequently, serum kynurenine levels in tumor-bearing mice are elevated relative to non-tumor-bearing mice. Tumor-bearing mice treated with epacadostat, an IDO1 inhibitor, exhibited improved mood relative to mice receiving vehicle. There was a 95% reduction in serum kynurenine levels in mice receiving epacadostat relative to mice treated with vehicle. As confirmatory evidence of on-target activity, tumors of mice treated with epacadostat exhibited a compensatory increase in IDO1 protein levels. Escitalopram, an approved antidepressant, was ineffective at improving mood in tumor-bearing mice as measured by behavioral assays and did not affect kynurenine levels. Neither epacadostat, nor escitalopram, affected overall survival relative to vehicle. Mice with pancreatic cancer exhibit depressive-like behavior. Epacadostat was effective as an antidepressant for pancreatic cancer-associated depression in mice. These data offer a rationale to consider IDO1 inhibition as a therapeutic strategy to mitigate depressive symptoms in patients with pancreatic cancer.

Assessment of main pancreatic duct cutoff with dilatation, but without visible pancreatic focal lesion on MDCT: a novel diagnostic approach for malignant stricture using a CT-based nomogram

OBJECTIVES

To identify useful features to predict hidden pancreatic malignancies in patients with main pancreatic duct (MPD) abrupt cutoff and dilatation, but without visible focal pancreatic lesions on CT.

METHODS

This retrospective study included 92 patients (mean age, 63.4 ± 10.6 years, 63 men and 29 women) with MPD abrupt cutoff and dilatation, but without visible focal pancreatic lesion on contrast-enhanced CT between 2009 and 2021. Two radiologists independently evaluated the CT imaging features. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to identify clinical and CT imaging features for hidden pancreatic malignancies. A nomogram was developed based on these results and assessed its performance.

RESULTS

Thirty-eight (41.3%) and 54 (58.7%) were classified into the malignant and benign groups, respectively. In the multivariable analysis, CA19-9 elevation (odds ratio [OR] 7.5, p = 0.003), duct cutoff site at the head/neck (OR 7.6, p = 0.006), parenchymal contour abnormality at the duct cutoff site (OR 13.7, p < 0.001), and presence of acute pancreatitis (OR 11.5, p = 0.005) were independent predictors of pancreatic malignancy. A combination of any two significant features showed an accuracy of 77.2%, and a combination of any three features exhibited a specificity of 100%. The CT-based nomogram showed an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.84 (95% confidence interval, 0.77-0.90).

CONCLUSIONS

The three CT imaging features and CA19-9 elevation translated into a nomogram permit a reliable estimation of hidden pancreatic malignancies in patients with MPD abrupt cutoff without visible focal pancreatic lesion. It may facilitate determining whether to proceed to further diagnostic tests.

KEY POINTS

• Isoattenuating pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma can manifest only as an isolated main pancreatic duct (MPD) dilatation with abrupt cutoff, making it difficult to distinguish from benign strictures. • Along with the serum CA 19-9 elevation, MPD cutoff site at the pancreas head or neck, parenchymal contour abnormality at the duct cutoff site, and associated acute pancreatitis indicated a higher probability of the malignant MPD strictures. • The CT-based nomogram provided excellent diagnostic performance (AUC of 0.84) for hidden pancreatic malignancies in patients with MPD abrupt cutoff and dilatation.

Diabetic Ferroptosis and Pancreatic Cancer: Foe or Friend?

Significance: Pancreatic cancer and diabetes have a reciprocal causation relationship. As a potential risk factor, diabetes increases morbidity and promotes pancreatic cancer progression. The main mechanisms include islet dysfunction-induced systemic metabolic disorder, pancreatic stellate cell activation, and immunosuppression. Ferroptosis is regarded as regulated cell death, which participates in chemotherapy resistance and is refractory to radiation therapy and immunotherapy. Diabetes-induced ferroptosis causes many complications, but the underlying mechanism of diabetes-related ferroptosis in pancreatic cancer has not been discussed. Recent Advances: Ferroptosis alleviates pancreatic intraepithelial neoplasia (PanIN) progression by activating chronic inflammation. The specific drugs that cause ferroptosis achieve tumor suppression by inducing lipid peroxidation. Ferroptosis plays pro and con roles in cancer. Both the ferroptosis inhibitor and inducer exhibit antitumor effects through killing cancer cells or directly affecting tumor growth. Diabetes-induced ferroptosis contributes to tumor cell death by different components, including tumor cells, fibroblasts, immune cells, and adipocytes. A better understanding of its role in modulating the tumor microenvironment will reveal diabetes-associated ferroptotic features in cancer development, which can be used to figure out possible treatment strategies for cancer patients with hyperglycemia. Critical Issues: We demonstrate the potential roles of diabetes-related ferroptosis in pancreatic cancer progression and discuss ferroptosis-related antitumor effects and therapeutics for pancreatic cancer treatment. Future Directions: Further studies are required to highlight mechanisms of diabetes-mediated ferroptosis in pancreatic cancer tumorigenesis and progression. The antitumor effects of ferroptosis regulators combined with chemotherapy, targeted therapy, or immunotherapy in diabetic patients should be investigated. We hope that pancreatic cancer patients with diabetes will benefit from ferroptosis-related therapies. Antioxid. Redox Signal. 37, 1206-1221.

Preoperative Rapid Weight Loss as a Prognostic Predictor After Surgical Resection for Pancreatic Cancer

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the study is to evaluate the influence of cachexia at the time of diagnosis of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) on prognosis in patients undergoing surgical resection.

METHODS

Patients with data on preoperative body weight (BW) change followed by surgical resection during 2008-2017 were selected. Large BW loss was defined as weight loss >5% or >2% in individuals with body mass index less than 20 kg/m2 within 1 year preoperatively. Influence of large BW loss, ΔBW defined as preoperative BW change (%) per month, prognostic nutrition index, and indices of sarcopenia.

RESULTS

We evaluated 165 patients with PDAC. Preoperatively, 78 patients were categorized as having large BW loss. ΔBW was ≤ -1.34% per month (rapid) and > -1.34% per month (slow) in 95 and 70 patients, respectively. The median postoperative overall survival of rapid and slow ΔBW groups was 1.4 and 4.4 years, respectively (P < 0.001). In multivariate analyses rapid ΔBW (hazard ratio [HR], 3.88); intraoperative blood loss ≥430 mL (HR, 1.89); tumor size ≥2.9 cm (HR, 1.74); and R1/2 resection (HR, 1.77) were independent predictors of worse survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Preoperative rapid BW loss ≥1.34% per month was an independent predictor of worse survival of patients with PDAC.

Radiomics-based Machine-learning Models Can Detect Pancreatic Cancer on Prediagnostic Computed Tomography Scans at a Substantial Lead Time Before Clinical Diagnosis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Our purpose was to detect pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) at the prediagnostic stage (3-36 months before clinical diagnosis) using radiomics-based machine-learning (ML) models, and to compare performance against radiologists in a case-control study.

METHODS

Volumetric pancreas segmentation was performed on prediagnostic computed tomography scans (CTs) (median interval between CT and PDAC diagnosis: 398 days) of 155 patients and an age-matched cohort of 265 subjects with normal pancreas. A total of 88 first-order and gray-level radiomic features were extracted and 34 features were selected through the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator-based feature selection method. The dataset was randomly divided into training (292 CTs: 110 prediagnostic and 182 controls) and test subsets (128 CTs: 45 prediagnostic and 83 controls). Four ML classifiers, k-nearest neighbor (KNN), support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RM), and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), were evaluated. Specificity of model with highest accuracy was further validated on an independent internal dataset (n = 176) and the public National Institutes of Health dataset (n = 80). Two radiologists (R4 and R5) independently evaluated the pancreas on a 5-point diagnostic scale.

RESULTS

Median (range) time between prediagnostic CTs of the test subset and PDAC diagnosis was 386 (97-1092) days. SVM had the highest sensitivity (mean; 95% confidence interval) (95.5; 85.5-100.0), specificity (90.3; 84.3-91.5), F1-score (89.5; 82.3-91.7), area under the curve (AUC) (0.98; 0.94-0.98), and accuracy (92.2%; 86.7-93.7) for classification of CTs into prediagnostic versus normal. All 3 other ML models, KNN, RF, and XGBoost, had comparable AUCs (0.95, 0.95, and 0.96, respectively). The high specificity of SVM was generalizable to both the independent internal (92.6%) and the National Institutes of Health dataset (96.2%). In contrast, interreader radiologist agreement was only fair (Cohen's kappa 0.3) and their mean AUC (0.66; 0.46-0.86) was lower than each of the 4 ML models (AUCs: 0.95-0.98) (P < .001). Radiologists also recorded false positive indirect findings of PDAC in control subjects (n = 83) (7% R4, 18% R5).

CONCLUSIONS

Radiomics-based ML models can detect PDAC from normal pancreas when it is beyond human interrogation capability at a substantial lead time before clinical diagnosis. Prospective validation and integration of such models with complementary fluid-based biomarkers has the potential for PDAC detection at a stage when surgical cure is a possibility.

Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma: Trends in Epidemiology, Risk Factors, and Outcomes

Pancreatic cancer is one of the most lethal cancers in the world; it is a silent disease in which symptoms do not present until advanced stages, thereby reducing the 5-year survival rate to 10%. The global burden of pancreatic cancer has doubled over the past 25 years despite advancements in medicine. This review aims to discuss the global trends and disparities in pancreatic cancer, as well as the up-to-date literature on the known risk factors. A better understanding of these risk factors will reduce mortality by providing opportunities to screen these patients as well as counseling on lifestyle modifications.

Risk Factors for Pancreatic Cancer in Patients with New-Onset Diabetes: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

(1) Background: Patients with new-onset diabetes (NOD) are at risk of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), but the most relevant additional risk factors and clinical characteristics are not well established. (2) Objectives: To compare the risk for PDAC in NOD patients to persons without diabetes. Identify risk factors of PDAC among NOD patients. (3) Methods: Medline, Embase, and Google Scholar were last searched in June 2022 for observational studies on NOD patients and assessing risk factors for developing PDAC. Data were extracted, and Meta-Analysis was performed. Pooled effect sizes with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated with DerSimonian & Laird random effects models. (4) Findings: Twenty-two studies were included, and 576,210 patients with NOD contributed to the analysis, of which 3560 had PDAC. PDAC cases were older than controls by 6.14 years (CI 3.64–8.65, 11 studies). The highest risk of PDAC involved a family history of PDAC (3.78, CI 2.03–7.05, 4 studies), pancreatitis (5.66, CI 2.75–11.66, 9 studies), cholecystitis (2.5, CI 1.4–4.45, 4 studies), weight loss (2.49, CI 1.47–4.22, 4 studies), and high/rapidly increasing glycemia (2.33, CI 1.85–2.95, 4 studies) leading to more insulin use (4.91, CI 1.62–14.86, 5 studies). Smoking (ES 1.20, CI 1.03–1.41, 9 studies) and alcohol (ES 1.23, CI 1.09–1.38, 9 studies) have a smaller effect. (5) Conclusion: Important risk factors for PDAC among NOD patients are age, family history, and gallstones/pancreatitis. Symptoms are weight loss and rapid increase in glycemia. The identified risk factors could be used to develop a diagnostic model to screen NOD patients.

Risk Factors for Pancreatic Cancer in Patients with New-Onset Diabetes: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

(1) Background: Patients with new-onset diabetes (NOD) are at risk of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), but the most relevant additional risk factors and clinical characteristics are not well established. (2) Objectives: To compare the risk for PDAC in NOD patients to persons without diabetes. Identify risk factors of PDAC among NOD patients. (3) Methods: Medline, Embase, and Google Scholar were last searched in June 2022 for observational studies on NOD patients and assessing risk factors for developing PDAC. Data were extracted, and Meta-Analysis was performed. Pooled effect sizes with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated with DerSimonian & Laird random effects models. (4) Findings: Twenty-two studies were included, and 576,210 patients with NOD contributed to the analysis, of which 3560 had PDAC. PDAC cases were older than controls by 6.14 years (CI 3.64–8.65, 11 studies). The highest risk of PDAC involved a family history of PDAC (3.78, CI 2.03–7.05, 4 studies), pancreatitis (5.66, CI 2.75–11.66, 9 studies), cholecystitis (2.5, CI 1.4–4.45, 4 studies), weight loss (2.49, CI 1.47–4.22, 4 studies), and high/rapidly increasing glycemia (2.33, CI 1.85–2.95, 4 studies) leading to more insulin use (4.91, CI 1.62–14.86, 5 studies). Smoking (ES 1.20, CI 1.03–1.41, 9 studies) and alcohol (ES 1.23, CI 1.09–1.38, 9 studies) have a smaller effect. (5) Conclusion: Important risk factors for PDAC among NOD patients are age, family history, and gallstones/pancreatitis. Symptoms are weight loss and rapid increase in glycemia. The identified risk factors could be used to develop a diagnostic model to screen NOD patients.

Early diagnosis of pancreatic cancer: What strategies to avoid a foretold catastrophe

While great strides in improving survival rates have been made for most cancers in recent years, pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) remains one of the solid tumors with the worst prognosis. PDAC mortality often overlaps with incidence. Surgical resection is the only potentially curative treatment, but it can be performed in a very limited number of cases. In order to improve the prognosis of PDAC, there are ideally two possible ways: the discovery of new strategies or drugs that will make it possible to treat the tumor more successfully or an earlier diagnosis that will allow patients to be operated on at a less advanced stage. The aim of this review was to summarize all the possible strategies available today for the early diagnosis of PDAC and the paths that research needs to take to make this goal ever closer. All the most recent studies on risk factors and screening modalities, new laboratory tests including liquid biopsy, new imaging methods and possible applications of artificial intelligence and machine learning were reviewed and commented on. Unfortunately, in 2022 the results for this type of cancer still remain discouraging, while a catastrophic increase in cases is expected in the coming years. The article was also written with the aim of highlighting the urgency of devoting more attention and resources to this pathology in order to reach a solution that seems more and more unreachable every day.

Time to Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy Initiation Is not Associated With Survival in Pancreatic Cancer

INTRODUCTION

Not all patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PDAC) tolerate multiagent neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC). We utilized institutional data and the National Cancer Database (NCDB) to investigate if time from diagnosis to NAC initiation is associated with survival.

METHODS

Patients who received NAC and underwent pancreatectomy at our institution (2010-2021) or within the NCDB (2010-2016) were identified. Time from diagnosis to NAC was grouped: <21, 21-35, and >35 d. Recurrence-free (RFS) and overall survival (OS) was compared.

RESULTS

At our institution, 122 patients received NAC before pancreatectomy (<21 d: n = 36; 21-35 d: n = 61; >35 d: n = 25). Demographics, performance status, and anatomic resectability were similar. There was no difference in RFS (13.3 versus 12.4 versus 11.9 mo) or OS (26.7 versus 25.8 versus 26.1 mo) based on NAC timing. Patients who received FOLFIRINOX had an improvement in RFS (14.4 versus 12.2 versus 6.8 mo, P = 0.05) and OS (39.2 versus 21.4 versus 17.3 mo, P = 0.01) compared to gemcitabine with nab-paclitaxel or other regimens. Within the NCDB, 6713 patients were included (<21 d: n = 2087; 21-35 d: n = 2656; >35 d: n = 1970). There was no difference in OS (21.6 versus 20.9 versus 22.2 mo). Multiagent NAC was associated with improved OS compared to single-agent (22.6 versus 18.8 mo, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Delay in NAC initiation for PDAC is not associated with survival. Patient optimization could be considered with the goal of improving tolerance of multiagent chemotherapy.

The timing of adiposity and changes in the life course on the risk of cancer

Excess body weight has been established as a risk factor for at least twelve cancer sites, though questions remain as to the timing of associations for adiposity and cancer risk throughout the life course. We conducted a narrative review summarizing existing evidence to provide insights into the complex timing relationship between adiposity and risk of seven common obesity-related cancers. We considered five types of studies, including traditional epidemiologic studies examining adiposity at different time points, studies examining weight gain in specific life phases, studies examining weight loss over a period including from bariatric surgery, life course trajectory analysis, and Mendelian randomization studies. The results showed that lifetime excess body weight is associated with increased risk of cancers of endometrium, colorectum, liver, kidney, and pancreas. Early life obesity is one of the strongest risk factors for pancreatic cancer but less directly important than adult obesity for endometrial and kidney cancer. Interestingly, heavy weight during childhood, adolescence, and early adulthood is protective against pre- and postmenopausal breast cancer and possibly advanced prostate cancer. It is apparent that preventing weight gain later in adulthood would likely reduce risk of many cancers, including postmenopausal breast cancer, endometrial cancer, colorectal cancer (especially in men), liver cancer, kidney cancer, and probably advanced prostate cancer. Furthermore, weight loss even late in life may confer benefits for cancers of breast, endometrium, colorectum, and liver among patients with obesity, as mostly demonstrated by studies of bariatric surgery. Overall, maintaining a healthy weight throughout the life course will help prevent a large number of cancers.

Association between Temporal Glycemic Change and Risk of Pancreatic Cancer in Men: A Prospective Cohort Study

Hyperglycemia has been reported to increase the risk of pancreatic cancer (PC), while the association between glycemic change and PC risk has rarely been explored. Using data from a prospective cohort study conducted in China since 2006, 138,870 males with available fasting blood glucose (FBG) levels, including 106,632 males with at least two FBG measurements, were analyzed. The associations between FBG (level, change, and stability) and PC incidence were evaluated using Cox proportional hazard regression and restricted cubic splines. Baseline (p = 0.109) and recent (p = 0.070) FBG levels and incident PC were not significantly associated. U-shaped associations were observed between the annual FBG change and PC risk. Compared with stable FBG, participants with annual FBG change rates <−0.05 mmol/L or >0.15 mmol/L had about four-fold (HR, 4.010; 95% CI: 1.920−8.375) and six-fold (HR, 5.897; 95% CI: 2.935−11.848) higher PC risks, respectively. The PC risk increased by 2.5% (HRlinear = 1.025, 95% CI:1.009−1.042) for every 1% increase in the coefficient of variation for FBG. A subgroup analysis of males without diabetes at baseline showed stronger associations. Temporal FBG changes may be an important factor for identifying populations with high PC risks.

The age-dependent association of risk factors with pancreatic cancer

BACKGROUND

Pancreatic cancer presents as advanced disease in >80% of patients; yet, appropriate ages to consider prevention and early detection strategies are poorly defined. We investigated age-specific associations and attributable risks of pancreatic cancer for established modifiable and non-modifiable risk factors.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We included 167 483 participants from two prospective US cohort studies with 1190 incident cases of pancreatic cancer during >30 years of follow-up; 5107 pancreatic cancer cases and 8845 control participants of European ancestry from a completed multicenter genome-wide association study (GWAS); and 248 893 pancreatic cancer cases documented in the US Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program. Across different age categories, we investigated cigarette smoking, obesity, diabetes, height, and non-O blood group in the prospective cohorts; weighted polygenic risk score of 22 previously identified single nucleotide polymorphisms in the GWAS; and male sex and black race in the SEER Program.

RESULTS

In the prospective cohorts, all five risk factors were more strongly associated with pancreatic cancer risk among younger participants, with associations attenuated among those aged >70 years. The hazard ratios comparing participants with three to five risk factors with those with no risk factors were 9.24 [95% confidence interval (CI) 4.11-20.77] among those aged ≤60 years, 3.00 (95% CI 1.85-4.86) among those aged 61-70 years, and 1.46 (95% CI 1.10-1.94) among those aged >70 years (Pheterogeneity = 3×10-5). These factors together were related to 65.6%, 49.7%, and 17.2% of incident pancreatic cancers in these age groups, respectively. In the GWAS and the SEER Program, the associations with the polygenic risk score, male sex, and black race were all stronger among younger individuals (Pheterogeneity ≤0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Established risk factors are more strongly associated with earlier-onset pancreatic cancer, emphasizing the importance of age at initiation for cancer prevention and control programs targeting this highly lethal malignancy.

Integrated US-OCT-NIRF Tri-Modality Endoscopic Imaging System for Pancreaticobiliary Duct Imaging

Pancreaticobiliary carcinomas is a highly malignant gastrointestinal tumor. Most pancreaticobiliary cancers arise from epithelial proliferation within the pancreaticobiliary ducts, referred to as pancreatic intraepithelial neoplasias (PanINs). Some PanINs are benign metaplasia, while others progress to invasive duct adenocarcinoma (IDAC). However, there is no standard program to diagnose the progression from PanINs to IDAC. In this study, we present a tri-modality imaging system, which integrates ultrasound (US), optical coherence tomography (OCT), and near-infrared fluorescence (NIRF) for pancreaticobiliary duct imaging. This system can obtain OCT, US, and NIRF images in real-time with a frame rate of 30 frames per second. For the endoscopy probe with an outer diameter of 0.9 mm, the US transducer and fiber ball lens were placed back to back. In vivo experiments were performed on the rectums of Sprague-Dawley rats to demonstrate the imaging performance of US, OCT, and fluorescence angiography. An ex vivo experiment on a human pancreatic duct was performed for a more accurate assessment of the pancreaticobiliary duct. The tomography images of rat rectums and human pancreatic ducts were correlated with hematoxylin and eosin (H&E) histology to check the measurement accuracy. The integrated tri-modality system has great clinical potential in mechanism studies, early diagnosis, and prognosis evaluation of malignant pancreaticobiliary carcinomas.

The Role of Diabetes Mellitus in the Malignant Pancreatic Cyst Neoplasm Diagnosis and Prognosis

Purpose

Pancreatic cyst neoplasm (PCN) is a precursor of pancreatic cancer. Previous studies reported PCN was often concurrent with diabetes. We aim to examine the association between diabetes with PCN malignancy and to detect the potential role of diabetes in PCN management and treatment.

Patients and Methods

A total of 224 patients who were diagnosed with the three major types of PCN (IPMN, MCN, and SCN) and underwent surgical resection were selected. Patients were divided into three groups (normal group, new-onset diabetes group (NODM) (<4years), and long-standing diabetes group (LSDM) (>4years)) according to diabetic history and diagnostic time interval. Diabetes, fast blood glucose level, HbA1c, and insulin resistance level were measured. Malignant PCN (mPCN) radiological features (worrisome features and high-risk stigmata) were analyzed. Pathological features (PCN type, dysplasia grade, tumor stage, and tumor volume) and immunohistology of Ki67 and SMAD4 were performed. Diagnostic efficacy of each variable was determined by the ROC curve. mPCN diagnosis was the main outcome in diagnostic prediction and overall survival as the glucose controlling outcome variables.

Results

Diabetes groups (NODM and LSDM) showed difference with the normal group in age, weight loss, malignancy, CA19-9 value, CEA value, Ki-67 value, tumor volume, pathological grade, and a lowered pancreatic fistula risk. NODM was related to insulin resistance, weight loss, and SMAD4 mutation. NODM (87.3%) and high insulin resistance rate (93.6%) significantly increased the sensitivity of radiological evidence-based mPCN diagnosis. Moreover, long-standing diabetes and elevated HbA1c led to reduced survival in mPCN patients than the normal PCN group. Anti-diabetic drugs showed limited influence on PCN malignancy and tumor volume.

Conclusion

NODM in PCN patients was associated with malignancy, insulin resistance, weight loss, and SMAD4 mutation. Prediabetic status and NODM diagnosis enhanced the diagnostic accuracy of radiological standards (worrisome features and high-risk stigmata). Stable glucose surveillance is necessary for mPCN patients’ survival.

Weight Tracking as a Novel Prognostic Marker After Pancreatectomy

BACKGROUND

Objective measures of post-pancreatectomy weight change for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) have not been extensively studied for long-term outcomes. We used weight measurements in our institutional medical record to analyze trends in post-pancreatectomy weight and determine the association with disease status.

METHODS

Pancreatectomies for PDAC (n = 315) and benign indications (n = 111) were identified. Preoperative baseline, minimum postoperative (Min #1), and subsequent postoperative maximum (Max) weights were abstracted. Multivariable Cox hazards regression was conducted to analyze the association between weight change and survival.

RESULTS

Median weight loss postoperatively in each group was > 20 lbs. PDAC patients gained 10 lbs after Min #1 compared to 15 lbs in the benign cohort (p < 0.001). Few patients returned to their preoperative weight (29.8% PDAC vs. 40.5% benign, p = 0.04). Patients with early PDAC recurrence (< 13 months) lost more weight (18.0% vs. 13.3% vs. 10.9%, p < 0.001) and gained less weight (2.1% vs. 12.0% vs. 7.9%, p < 0.001) compared with those with late cancer recurrence (≥ 13 months) or no evidence of active disease, respectively. PDAC patients lost 11.2 lbs in the year preceding recurrence diagnosis. Weight loss was not associated with survival; however, weight gain was associated with improved survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Resections for PDAC are complicated by a similar degree of weight loss as patients with benign disease, and there is no association with survival. However, failure to gain weight is especially ominous. Weight loss after weight recovery foreshadows disease recurrence. These data suggest that rigorous weight tracking is an untapped surveillance strategy in patients with PDAC.

Krebsrisiko bei Prädiabetes und Typ-2-Diabetes mellitus

Krebs ist nun die führende Todesursache bei Typ-2-Diabetes mellitus (T2D). Prädiabetes und T2D erhöhen das Risiko für bestimmte Tumoren. Zu den Prädiabetes- bzw. T2D-assoziierten Malignomen zählen gastrointestinale, gynäkologische, urologische und endokrine Karzinome aber auch Leukämien. Prädiabetes und T2D bedingen eine 1,2- bis 2,7-fach erhöhte Krebssterblichkeit. Zugrundeliegende Mechanismen der Assoziation zwischen T2D und Krebs beinhalten die chronische Hyperglykämie, einen chronischen systemischen Entzündungszustand, oxidativen Stress, Dyslipidämie, die Insulinresistenz sowie chronisch erhöhte Spiegel von insulin-like growth factor 1 (IGF-1) und von Insulin. Eine dauerhafte Gewichtsreduktion kann das Krebsrisiko adipöser T2D-Patienten signifikant senken. Ein gesunder Lebensstil und die regelmäßige Teilnahme an Vorsorgeuntersuchungen sind wichtig und können die Krebsmortalität von Diabetespatienten erheblich verringern.