Increased non-AIDS mortality among persons with AIDS-defining events after antiretroviral therapy initiation

Health-Related Quality of Life in People with Advanced HIV Disease, from 1996 to 2021: Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

The purpose of the study was to assess the effects of advanced HIV disease (AHD) on health-related quality of life (HRQoL) in PLHIV, the changes in HRQoL outcomes over the last 25 years, and the differences between countries according to level of economic development. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis. The search was conducted in PubMed and Web of Science using the terms: "health-related quality of life", "HQRoL", "HIV", "AIDS", "advanced HIV disease" and "low CD4 cells". Studies inclusion criteria were: adult population; initiated after 1996 and published before July 2021; clinical trials, cross-sectional, cohort, and case-control studies; studies analyzing the relationship between AHD and HRQoL; English or Spanish language. Standardized mean differences (d+) were calculated to estimate the effect size for the meta-analyses. Summary statistics were calculated using a random-effects model, and analyses of effect moderators, using mixed-effects models. The meta-analysis included 38 studies. The results indicated that HRQoL is worse in patients with AHD compared to those without. The main HRQoL domains affected were overall health perception and concern and physical and functional health and symptoms. We found a moderate impact for age and gender on some HRQoL domains. There were no differences in relation to socioeconomic inequities, country of residence, or time period analyzed. In conclusion, advanced HIV disease has a negative impact on health and well-being in PLHIV. Our results show that despite all the advances in antiretroviral treatments over the last 25 years, AHD persists as a source of extreme vulnerability, regardless of where PLHIV live.

HLA-C*07 is associated with symptomatic HIV-1-associated neurocognitive disorders (HAND) and immune dysregulation

BACKGROUND

HIV-1-associated neurocognitive disorders (HAND) in stable patients undergoing antiretroviral therapy (ART) may result from ongoing immune dysregulation and chronic inflammation. A contributing factor may result from the unstable HLA class I allele, HLA-C*07.

OBJECTIVE

To assess the genetic profile of killer-cell immunoglobulin-like receptors (KIR), human leukocyte antigens (HLA), and immune activation or senescence markers and their association with HAND in stable HIV-1 patients receiving ART.

METHODS

An observational cross-sectional study was carried out with 96 patients with asymptomatic or symptomatic HAND. HLA and KIR as well as immune activation/senescence biomarkers in peripheral blood cells were assessed by SSO-Luminex typing and flow cytometry, respectively.

RESULTS

HLA-C*07 is associated with symptomatic HAND. The frequency of two copies of HLA-C*07 was higher in patients with symptomatic than with asymptomatic HAND (12.0 vs. 2.2%, ρ < 0.001). The percentage of senescent CD8+CD28- T-cells was higher in patients with two copies of HLA-C*07 (ρ < 0.05). In patients with symptomatic HAND, the percentages of non-senescent CD8+CD28+ T cells were inversely proportional to the number of copies of the HLA-C*07 (ρ < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Patients with symptomatic HAND showed a higher frequency of the homozygotic unstable HLA-C*07 allotype, which could be associated with neurocognitive complications. Two copies of HLA-C*07 were associated with immune senescent T lymphocyte profiles characterized by the loss of CD28 expression.

Evolving AIDS- and non-AIDS Mortality and Predictors in the PISCIS Cohort of People Living With HIV in Catalonia and the Balearic Islands (Spain), 1998-2020

Background

Effective antiretroviral therapy (ART) has substantially reduced acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS)-related deaths, shifting the focus to non-AIDS conditions in people living with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) (PLWH). We examined mortality trends and predictors of AIDS- and non-AIDS mortality in the Population HIV Cohort from Catalonia and Balearic Islands (PISCIS) cohort of PLWH from 1998 to 2020.

Methods

We used a modified Coding Causes of Death in HIV protocol, which has been widely adopted by various HIV cohorts to classify mortality causes. We applied standardized mortality rates (SMR) to compare with the general population and used competing risks models to determine AIDS-related and non-AIDS-related mortality predictors.

Results

Among 30 394 PLWH (81.5% male, median age at death 47.3), crude mortality was 14.2 per 1000 person-years. All-cause standardized mortality rates dropped from 9.6 (95% confidence interval [CI], 8.45-10.90) in 1998 through 2003 to 3.33 (95% CI, 3.14-3.53) in 2015 through 2020, P for trend = .0001. Major causes were AIDS, non-AIDS cancers, cardiovascular disease, AIDS-defining cancers, viral hepatitis, and nonhepatitis liver disease. Predictors for AIDS-related mortality included being aged ≥40 years, not being a man who have sex with men, history of AIDS-defining illnesses, CD4 < 200 cells/µL, ≥2 comorbidities, and nonreceipt of ART. Non-AIDS mortality increased with age, injection drug use, heterosexual men, socioeconomic deprivation, CD4 200 to 349 cells/µL, nonreceipt of ART, and comorbidities, but migrants had lower risk (adjusted hazard risk, 0.69 [95% CI, .57-.83]).

Conclusions

Mortality rates among PLWH have significantly decreased over the past 2 decades, with a notable shift toward non-AIDS-related causes. Continuous monitoring and effective management of these non-AIDS conditions are essential to enhance overall health outcomes.

Suicide Ideation and Attempt Among People With HIV: A Statewide Population-level Cohort Analysis Between 2005 and 2020

BACKGROUND

Risk factors for suicidality among people with HIV (PWH) may evolve over their disease course, particularly as they develop comorbidities such as mental health disorders over time.

SETTING

This study compared the leading risk factors of suicide ideation/attempt among PWH in South Carolina across different combination antiretroviral therapy (cART) eras.

METHODS

A statewide cohort of PWH who were diagnosed between 2005 and 2016, with a follow-up record until 2020, was involved in the study. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to examine the association of suicide ideation/attempt and predictors, including demographics, HIV-related characteristics, and mental health conditions.

RESULTS

Among 8567 PWH, the incidence of suicide ideation/attempt increased from 537.7 per 100,000 person-years [95% confidence interval (CI): 460.2 to 615.1] in the early cART cohort (2005-2008) to 782.5 (95% CI: 697.6 to 867.4) in the late cART cohort (2009-2016). Leading risk factors of suicide ideation/attempt changed across the cART cohort. In the early cART cohort, PWH with suicide ideation/attempt were more likely to be White and diagnosed with bipolar disorder ( P' s < 0.05). In the late cART cohort, suicide ideation/attempt was positively associated with transmission through injection drug use, anxiety, posttraumatic stress disorder, schizophrenia, and personality disorder ( P' s < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Mental health conditions have emerged as more prominent risk factors for suicide ideation/attempt in the late cART cohort. Enhanced access to psychiatric care could facilitate the early identification of mental health conditions, enabling timely counseling or psychosocial interventions that may mitigate mental health issues and, consequently, reduce the likelihood of suicide ideation/attempts among PWH.

Estimation of Improvements in Mortality in Spectrum Among Adults With HIV Receiving Antiretroviral Therapy in High-Income Countries

INTRODUCTION

Mortality rates for people living with HIV (PLHIV) on antiretroviral therapy (ART) in high-income countries continue to decline. We compared mortality rates among PLHIV on ART in Europe for 2016-2020 with Spectrum's estimates.

METHODS

The AIDS Impact Module in Spectrum is a compartmental HIV epidemic model coupled with a demographic population projection model. We used national Spectrum projections developed for the 2022 HIV estimates round to calculate mortality rates among PLHIV on ART, adjusting to the age/country distribution of PLHIV starting ART from 1996 to 2020 in the Antiretroviral Therapy Cohort Collaboration (ART-CC)'s European cohorts.

RESULTS

In the ART-CC, 11,504 of 162,835 PLHIV died. Between 1996-1999 and 2016-2020, AIDS-related mortality in the ART-CC decreased from 8.8 (95% CI: 7.6 to 10.1) to 1.0 (0.9-1.2) and from 5.9 (4.4-8.1) to 1.1 (0.9-1.4) deaths per 1000 person-years among men and women, respectively. Non-AIDS-related mortality decreased from 9.1 (7.9-10.5) to 6.1 (5.8-6.5) and from 7.0 (5.2-9.3) to 4.8 (4.3-5.2) deaths per 1000 person-years among men and women, respectively. Adjusted all-cause mortality rates in Spectrum among men were near ART-CC estimates for 2016-2020 (Spectrum: 7.02-7.47 deaths per 1000 person-years) but approximately 20% lower in women (Spectrum: 4.66-4.70). Adjusted excess mortality rates in Spectrum were 2.5-fold higher in women and 3.1-3.4-fold higher in men in comparison to the ART-CC's AIDS-specific mortality rates.

DISCUSSION

Spectrum's all-cause mortality estimates among PLHIV are consistent with age/country-controlled mortality observed in ART-CC, with some underestimation of mortality among women. Comparing results suggest that 60%-70% of excess deaths among PLHIV on ART in Spectrum are from non-AIDS causes.

Comparison of dolutegravir+Lamivudine and bictegravir/emtricitabine/tenofovir alafenamide in antiretroviral therapy-naïve patients infected with HIV: preliminary results from clinical practice

BACKGROUND

The efficacy and safety of dolutegravir+lamivudine (DTG +3TC) and bictegravir/emtricitabine/tenofovir alafenamide (BIC/FTC/TAF) have been demonstrated in clinical trials of treatment-naïve therapy. However, real-life data are lacking. We investigated and compared the virological outcomes and safety of DTG + 3TC with BIC/FTC/TAF in an adult cohort of people living with HIV (PLWH).

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We performed a retrospective cohort analysis of PLWH who were naïve to antiretroviral therapy and initiated the antiretroviral regimen of DTG + 3TC or BIC/FTC/TAF from January 2020 to March 2022. Treatment effectiveness, defined as the capability of treatment to achieve viral suppression (viral load < 50 copies/mL), was analyzed. Changes in immunology, metabolism, liver and renal function after 48 weeks of treatment were evaluated.

RESULTS

At 48 weeks, both groups showed high viral suppression, with 82.4% (108/131) and 89% (129/145) of the patients in the BIC/FTC/TAF and DTG + 3TC groups, respectively, having viral suppression (OR = 0.58, 95% CI: 0.29-1.15, P = 0.3). No differences existed in immunology, metabolism, liver and renal function; however, BIC/FTC/TAF led to greater weight gain.

CONCLUSIONS

Both optimization strategies showed high tolerability in antiretroviral therapy-naïve patients, with no differences in virological efficacy; however, BIC/FTC/TAF may be related to the risk of weight gain risk. Further research is required to evaluate this problem.

Incidence of cardiometabolic outcomes among people living with HIV-1 initiated on integrase strand transfer inhibitor versus non-integrase strand transfer inhibitor antiretroviral therapies: a retrospective analysis of insurance claims in the United States

INTRODUCTION

Integrase strand transfer inhibitor (INSTI)-containing antiretroviral therapy (ART) has been associated with weight gain, though there is limited information on associations between ART-related weight gain and cardiometabolic outcomes among people living with HIV-1 (PLWH). We, therefore, evaluated risks of incident cardiometabolic outcomes following INSTI versus non-INSTI-based ART initiation in the United States.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective study using IBM MarketScan Research Databases (12 August 2012-31 January 2021). Treatment-naïve PLWH initiating ART (index date) on/after 12 August 2013 (approval date of the first second-generation INSTI, dolutegravir) were included and censored at regimen switch/discontinuation, end of insurance eligibility or end of data availability. We used inverse probability of treatment weights constructed with baseline (12 months pre-index) characteristics to account for differences between INSTI- and non-INSTI-initiating cohorts. Doubly robust hazard ratios (HRs) obtained from weighted multivariable Cox regression were used to compare time to incident cardiometabolic outcomes (congestive heart failure [CHF], coronary artery disease, myocardial infarction, stroke/transient ischemic attack, hypertension, type II diabetes, lipid disorders, lipodystrophy and metabolic syndrome) by INSTI-initiation status.

RESULTS

Weighted INSTI (mean age = 39 years, 23% female, 70% commercially insured, 30% Medicaid insured) and non-INSTI (mean age = 39 years, 24% female, 71% commercially insured, 29% Medicaid insured) cohorts included 7059 and 7017 PLWH, respectively. The most common INSTI-containing regimens were elvitegravir-based (43.4%), dolutegravir-based (33.3%) and bictegravir-based (18.4%); the most common non-INSTI-containing regimens were darunavir-based (31.5%), rilpivirine-based (30.4%) and efavirenz-based (28.3%). Mean±standard deviation follow-up periods were 1.5±1.5 and 1.1±1.2 years in INSTI- and non-INSTI-initiating cohorts, respectively. INSTI initiators were at a clinically and significantly increased risk of experiencing incident CHF (HR = 2.12, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.08-4.05; p = 0.036), myocardial infarction (HR = 1.79, 95% CI = 1.03-5.65; p = 0.036) and lipid disorders (HR = 1.26, 95% CI = 1.04-1.58; p = 0.020); there was no evidence of an increased risk for other individual or composite outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

Over a short average follow-up period of <2 years, INSTI use among treatment-naïve PLWH was associated with an increased risk of several cardiometabolic outcomes, such as CHF, myocardial infarction and lipid disorders, compared to non-INSTI use. Further research accounting for additional potential confounders and with longer follow-up is warranted to more accurately and precisely quantify the impact of INSTI-containing ART on long-term cardiometabolic outcomes.

Survival and predictors of mortality after completion of TB treatment among people living with HIV: a 5-year analytical cohort

BACKGROUND

After completion of TB treatment patients may remain at risk of co-morbidity and mortality. We determined the survival and predictors of all-cause mortality after completing TB treatment among ART-experienced patients.

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort analysis of all ART experienced patients who completed TB treatment at a specialist HIV clinic in Uganda, between 2009 and 2014. The patients were followed for five years after TB treatment. We determined the cumulative probability of death, and predictors of mortality using Kaplan-Meier methods and Cox proportional hazard models, respectively.

RESULTS

A total 1,287 patients completed TB treatment between 2009 and 2014, of which 1,111 were included in the analysis. At TB treatment completion, the median age was 36 years (IQR: 31-42), 563 (50.7%) were males, and median CD4 cell count was 235 cells/mL (IQR: 139-366). The person-time at risk was 4410.60 person-years. The all-cause mortality rate was 15.42 (95% CI: 12.14-19.59) per 1000 person-years. The probability of death at five years was 6.9% (95%CI: 5.5- 8.8). In the multivariable analysis, CD4 count < 200 cells/mL was a predictor of all-cause mortality (aHR = 1.81, 95%CI:1.06-3.11, p = 0.03) alongside history of retreatment (aHR = 2.12, 95%CI: 1.16-3.85, p = 0.01).

CONCLUSION

Survival post TB treatment in ART experienced PLHIV is reasonably good. Most deaths occur within two years after TB treatment completion. Patients with a low CD4 count and those with a history of retreatment have an increased risk of mortality which underscores the need for TB prophylaxis, detailed assessment, and close monitoring after completion of TB treatment.

Incidence and risk factors for suicide, death due to substance use, and violent/accidental death in people with HIV

OBJECTIVE

Deaths due to suicide, substance use and violence/accident may reflect similar risk factors and overlap in their classification. This study aimed to investigate incidence and risk factors of mortality among people with HIV (PWH) due to these three related causes.

DESIGN

Prospectively collected data from PWH at least 18 years old and under active follow-up in the EuroSIDA study from 2007 to 2019 were analysed.

METHODS

Cause-specific Cox regression analysis was used to assess risk factors.

RESULTS

A total of 17 881 participants were included, comprising 149 327 person-years of follow-up (PYFU). Forty participants died by suicide {incidence rate [IR] [95% confidence interval (CI)]: 0.3/1000 PYFU (0.2, 0.4)} 93 from substance use [IR (95% CI): 0.6/1000 PYFU (0.5, 0.8)], and 57 by violence/accident [IR (95% CI): 0.4/1000 PYFU (0.3, 0.5)]. An AIDS diagnosis within the last 12 months was associated with nine-fold increased risk of suicide vs. no history of AIDS [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR): 9.06; 95% CI: 2.07, 39.7]. Male gender was associated with double the risk of violent/accidental death (aHR: 2.28; 95% CI: 1.09, 4.78). PWH in Eastern Europe and those who acquired HIV by injection drug use (IDU) demonstrated a greater risk of death due to substance use or violence/accident.

CONCLUSIONS

The association between a recent diagnosis of AIDS and suicide highlights a critical period for intervention. HIV infection acquired through IDU demonstrated an expected relationship with death due to substance use and violent/accidental deaths. Increased risk of death due to substance use and violence/accident in Eastern Europe demands investigation into specific differences that may drive that association.

Trends in Cause-Specific Mortality Among Veterans With HIV: A 35-Year (1982-2016) Analysis of the HIV Atlanta VA Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Causes of death and their trends among veterans with HIV (VWH) are different than those in the general population with HIV, but this has not been fully described. The objective was to understand the trends in, and risk factors for, all-cause and cause-specific mortality across eras of combination antiretroviral therapy (cART) among VWH.

SETTING

The HIV Atlanta VA Cohort Study includes all VWH who ever sought care at the Atlanta VA Medical Center.

METHODS

Age-adjusted all-cause and cause-specific mortality rates were calculated annually and compared between pre-cART (1982-1996), early-cART (1997-2006), and late-cART (2007-2016) eras. Trends were assessed using Kaplan-Meier curves, cumulative incidence functions, and joinpoint regression models. Risk factors were identified by Cox proportional hazards models.

RESULTS

Of the 4674 VWH in the HIV Atlanta VA Cohort Study, 1752 died; of whom, 1399 (79.9%), 301 (17.2%), and 52 (3.0%) were diagnosed with HIV in the pre-cART, early-cART, and late-cART eras, respectively. Significant increases were observed in rates of all-cause, AIDS-related, and non-AIDS-related mortality in the pre-cART era, followed by declines in the early-cART and late-cART eras. All-cause, AIDS-related, and non-AIDS-related mortality rates plummeted by 65%, 81%, and 45%, respectively, from the pre-cART to late-cART eras. However, VWH continue to die at higher rates due to AIDS-related infections, non-AIDS-related malignancies, respiratory disease, cardiovascular disease, and renal failure than those in the general population with HIV.

CONCLUSIONS

In older populations with HIV, it is important that providers not only monitor for and treat diseases associated with aging but also intervene and address lifestyle risk factors.

SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19: Clinical Course Among Subjects HIV-1-Infected in Sao Paulo

INTRODUCTION

People living with Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) are under risk for co-infection with SARS-CoV-2. This population may be more prone to complications from COVID-19 due to persistent inflammation caused by HIV and higher incidence of metabolic syndromes, cardiovascular diseases, and malignancies, as well as being considered elderly at 50 years of age. The objective of this study was to report SARS-CoV-2 infection frequency, clinical evolution, and mortality in HIV-positive patients on antiretroviral therapy.

METHODS

The period of inquiry ranged from January to September 2020. Due to the social distance and the suspension of in-person medical care during the time of the investigation, we sent electronic questions about demographic, epidemiological, and clinical data to 403 HIV-infected patients.

RESULTS

Among 260 patients who answered the questionnaire, thirty-nine patients (15%) had suggestive symptoms and were tested for SARS-CoV-2 infection. Of this, 11 had positive results (32.4%) and no patient died of COVID-19 complications. Nine were male (3.4%), and the mean age of the patients with positive results was 43.2 years (± 9.6). 107 patients (41.1%) were over 50 years of age and their mean T-CD4+ cell count was 768. Eleven patients (4.2%) had a detectable HIV RNA viral load and 127 (48.8%) had comorbidities. These variables were not associated with an increased risk for infection.

CONCLUSION

The frequency of SARS-COV2 infection among HIV-infected is similar to the general population, and the clinical course is associated with the presence of comorbidities and not due to the HIV infection. However, new studies should be done to assess if this vulnerable population could answer the vaccine anti-SARS-Cov2.

Increased kidney disease mortality among people with AIDS versus the general population: a population-based cohort study in Italy, 2006-2018

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to assess whether an excess mortality related to kidney and other urinary tract diseases exists among Italian people with AIDS (PWA), as compared with the general population without AIDS (non-PWA).

DESIGN

Population-based, retrospective cohort study.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

We conducted a nationwide study including 9481 Italian PWA, aged 15-74 years, reported to the National AIDS Registry between 2006 and 2018.

METHODS

Vital status and causes of death were retrieved by record linkage with the National Register of Causes of Death up to 2018. Excess mortality for PWA versus non-PWA was estimated through sex-standardised and age-standardised mortality ratios (SMRs) with corresponding 95% CIs.

RESULTS

Among 2613 deceased PWA, 262 (10.0%) reported at least one urinary tract disease at death, including 254 (9.7%) non-cancer diseases-mostly renal failures (225 cases, 8.6%)-and 9 cancers (0.3%). The overall SMR for non-cancer urinary tract diseases was 15.3 (95% CI 13.4 to 17.3) with statistically significant SMRs for acute (SMR=22.3, 95% CI 18.0 to 27.4), chronic (SMR=8.4, 95% CI 6.0 to 11.3), and unspecified renal failure (SMR=13.8, 95% CI 11.2 to 16.8). No statistically significant excess mortality was detected for urinary tract cancers (SMR=1.7, 95% CI 0.8 to 3.3). The SMRs were particularly elevated among PWA aged <50 years, injecting drug users, or those with the first HIV-positive test >6 months before AIDS diagnosis.

CONCLUSIONS

The excess mortality related to non-cancer kidney and other urinary tract diseases reported among PWA highlights the importance of implementing the recommendation for screening, diagnosis and management of such conditions among this population.

Incidence of and risk factors for liver damage in patients with HIV-1 mono-infection receiving antiretroviral therapy

OBJECTIVES

The study aimed to investigate the incidence of and risk factors for liver damage in patients with human immunodeficiency virus type-1 (HIV-1) mono-infection receiving antiretroviral therapy (ART).

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed the clinical data of patients who were diagnosed with HIV-1 infection and initiated ART from January to December 2017. Among them, 382 patients with HIV-1 mono-infection and normal baseline liver function were included in the analysis. The incidence of liver damage at each follow-up point, and possible risk factors for liver damage were evaluated via COX regression survival analyses.

RESULTS

The overall incidence of liver damage (grade I-IV) was 27.23% (interquartile range [IQR]: 26.38%-28.72%). Grade I liver damage was most common and accounted for 22.13% of cases (IQR: 21.06%-24.04%), while grade II liver damage accounted for 3.40% of cases (IQR: 3.19%-4.26%). COX regression and survival analyses revealed that baseline body mass index (BMI), alanine aminotransferase (ALT) level, CD4⁺ T cell count, HIV-1 viral load, and the antiretroviral regimen were significantly correlated with the occurrence of liver damage. Moreover, baseline ALT levels and HIV-1 viral load were identified as independent risk factors for liver damage in patients with HIV-1 mono-infection.

CONCLUSION

Liver damage is common in patients with HIV-1 mono-infection undergoing ART. Patients with risk factors for liver damage should be well-informed before the initiation of ART, and liver function should be closely monitored during ART even in patients with normal liver function before ART.

A Systematic Review of Risk Factors for Suicide Among Persons Living with HIV (1996-2020)

Persons living with HIV (PWH) are at elevated risk for suicide. We conducted a systematic literature review following PRISMA-P guidelines to examine risk factors associated with suicide as a cause of morbidity among PWH. We searched six electronic databases using search terms (suicide, suicide attempt, self-harm, self-injurious behavior, HIV, AIDS, PWH). We focused on factors that were specific to HIV infection (CD4 count, HIV-1 RNA, and antiretroviral therapy [ART]). The initial search yielded N = 2657 studies. Eligible studies included suicide as an outcome, quantitative study design, and publication in peer-reviewed journals from 1996 through 2020. Fourteen studies met inclusion criteria. PWH share risk factors for suicide found in the general population: psychiatric illness, previous suicide attempt, drug and alcohol misuse. PWH also have HIV-specific risk factors for suicide. HIV diagnosis in the past two years and transmission related to injection drug use were associated with increased risk; HIV-1 RNA, ART, and AIDS-defining illness were not.

In-hospital Mortality and Causes of Death in People Diagnosed With HIV in a General Hospital in Shenyang, China: A Cross-Sectional Study

Background: Acquired immune deficiency syndrome (AIDS), caused by human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection, is a serious public health issue. This study investigated the correlated factors and possible changing trend of in-hospital death in patients diagnosed with HIV in the past decade in our hospital.

Methods: We retrospectively collected data of firstly hospitalized patients with HIV in the Department of Infectious Disease in the First Affiliated Hospital of China Medical University from January 1, 2010 to December 31, 2019, and compared various factors that correlated with in-hospital death, including age, sex, opportunistic infections, and antiretroviral therapy (ART) status. Cox regression analysis was used to identify the risk factors for death.

Results: In total, 711 patients were recruited for this study, and 62 patients died in the hospital. The in-hospital mortality rate was 8.72%. Tuberculosis (TB), malignancies, and thrombocytopenia were associated with mortality. Antiviral treatment before admission was found to be a protective factor. There was a declining trend in in-hospital mortality from 19.2% in 2010 to 6.3% in 2019 (linear-by-linear association test, p < 0.001), partly due to intensified medical care strategy.

Conclusions: Till date, AIDS-defining illnesses remain the major cause of hospital admission and in-hospital mortality. TB and malignancies were correlated risk factors for in-hospital mortality. ART before admission was found to be beneficial, and considering the decreasing rate of in-hospital mortality, the implementation of intensified medical care strategy requires further effort.

The Effect of Rosuvastatin on Plasma/Serum Levels of High-Sensitivity C-Reactive Protein, Interleukin-6, and D-Dimer in People Living with Human Immunodeficiency Virus: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Rosuvastatin therapy might have an effect on the inflammatory and coagulation biomarkers. However, the evidence about the effect of rosuvastatin therapy on the high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP), interleukin-6 (IL-6), and D-dimer levels among people living with human immunodeficiency virus (PLHIV) is still unclear. Therefore, this study investigated the relational effect of rosuvastatin therapy on serum/plasma hsCRP, IL-6 and D-dimer levels in PLHIV. The literature search was done from Embase, PubMed, and Web of Science databases. The review and meta-analysis included studies written in English language up to January 4, 2020. Random effects model was used to evaluate the pooled standard mean difference with 95% confidence interval. A meta-analysis was performed using nine articles with 392 PLHIV. The result revealed that the plasma/serum levels of IL-6 were significantly reduced after the intervention. However, hsCRP and D-dimer levels showed no significant difference (p > .05) between before and after the intervention. The subgroup analysis showed that there was significant association between PLHIV ages <45 years and cohort studies with IL-6 levels. The current CD4⁺ counts ≥350 cells/mm³ correlated with hsCRP as well as IL-6. Similarly, nadir CD4⁺ counts ≥200 cells/mm³ and duration of HIV diagnosis <10 years also showed significant association with IL-6 and D-dimer levels. It was also indicated that participants who were under antiretroviral drug for <7 years were significantly associated with hsCRP levels. This study established that IL-6 levels were significantly reduced after the intervention while hsCRP and D-dimer levels showed no significant difference between before and after the intervention.

Long-term mortality after tuberculosis treatment among persons living with HIV in Haiti

INTRODUCTION

Long-term mortality among TB survivors appears to be higher than control populations without TB in many settings. However, data are limited among persons with HIV (PWH). We assessed the association between cured TB and long-term mortality among persons with PWH in Haiti.

METHODS

A prospective cohort of PWH from the CIPRA HT-001 trial was followed from study enrolment (August 2005 to July 2008) to study closure (December 2018) to compare mortality between participants with and without TB. The index date for the survival analysis was defined as 240 days after TB diagnosis or randomization date. Time to death was described using Kaplan-Meier curves, and log-rank tests were used to compare time to death between the TB and no-TB cohorts. The association between TB and long-term mortality was estimated with multivariable Cox models.

RESULTS

Of the 816 participants in the CIPRA HT-001 trial, 77 were excluded for a history of TB prior to study enrolment and 31 were excluded due to death or attrition prior to the index date, leaving 574 in the no-TB and 134 in the TB cohort. Twenty-four (17.9%) participants in the TB and 48 (8.4%) in the no-TB cohort died during follow-up. Five and 10-year mortality rates were 14.2% and 17.9% respectively, in the TB cohort, and 6.1% and 8.4% in the no-TB cohort. In Kaplan-Meier analysis, participants in the TB cohort had a significantly shorter time to death (log-rank p < 0.001). In multivariable analysis, TB treatment was the only predictor of mortality (HR: 2.78; 95% CI: 1.61, 4.79). Sensitivity analyses, which included only baseline TB cases, an index date of two years after TB diagnosis, and study enrolment and case-control matching yielded results that were consistent with primary analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

PWH who are successfully treated for TB have higher long-term mortality than those who are never diagnosed with TB, even after accounting for acute TB-related mortality. A better understanding of the underlying mechanisms associated with TB sequelae is critically needed to guide specific interventions. Until then, more aggressive measures for health promotion and disease prevention are essential to improve long-term survival for PWH after TB treatment.

Increased Mortality After Tuberculosis Treatment Completion in Persons Living With Human Immunodeficiency Virus in Latin America

We assessed the association between cured tuberculosis (TB) and mortality among persons living with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) in Latin America. We compared survival among persons with and without TB at enrollment in HIV care, starting 9 months after clinic enrollment. In multivariable analysis, TB was associated with higher long-term mortality (hazard ratio, 1.57; 95% confidence interval, 1.25-1.99).

Monocyte activation in persons living with HIV and tuberculosis coinfection

OBJECTIVES

To characterize monocyte subsets and activation in persons living with HIV (PLWH) with tuberculosis coinfection.

DESIGN

Cross-sectional study within a cohort of PLWH and HIV-uninfected participants at the Joint Clinical Research Centre in Kampala, Uganda.

METHODS

Participants were at least 45 years old with at least one cardiovascular risk factor. PLWH had an HIV viral load 1000 copies/ml or less on stable antiretroviral therapy prior to cohort entry. QuantiFERON-TB testing was performed to define latent tuberculosis infection (LTBI). Prior active TB was defined by self-report and verified by medical records. Blood was stained with monocyte subset markers (CD14+, CD16), CD62p, CD69, CX3CR1, HLA-DR, and tissue factor, and examined with flow cytometry.

RESULTS

One hundred and twenty-five participants (83 PLWH and 42 without HIV) were included. Median CD4+ count was 582 cells/μl in PLWH. PLWH had a higher frequency of total monocytes (4.3% vs. 3.2%; P < 0.001) and inflammatory monocyte subset (15.5% vs. 11.7%; P = 0.016) compared with HIV-uninfected individuals. No differences in the frequency of monocyte subsets were observed by TB status. Among PLWH, prior active TB was associated with increased frequency of total monocytes compared with LTBI (5.1% vs. 3.7%; P = 0.013). HLA-DR density on monocytes was three-fold higher in PLWH with LTBI or prior TB compared with PLWH without LTBI (P = 0.002). In multivariate analysis, a higher monocyte HLA-DR density remained associated with LTBI or prior TB in PLWH (log-MFI; b = 1.17; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Our findings indicate enhanced monocyte activation in PLWH with LTBI or prior active TB, which may contribute to the pathogenesis of noncommunicable diseases in HIV.

Impact of Advanced HIV Disease on Quality of Life and Mortality in the Era of Combined Antiretroviral Treatment

Currently, AIDS or severe immunodeficiency remains as a challenge for people with HIV (PWHIV) and healthcare providers. Our purpose was to analyze the impact of advanced HIV disease (AHD) on mortality, life expectancy and health-related quality of life (HRQoL). We reviewed cohort studies and meta-analyses conducted in middle- and high-income countries. To analyze HRQoL, we selected studies that reported overall health and/or physical/mental health scores on a validated HRQoL instrument. AIDS diagnosis supposes a higher risk of mortality during the first six months, remaining higher for 48 months. It has been reported that cancer and cardiovascular disease persist as frequent causes of mortality in PWHIV, especially those with previous or current AHD. PWHIV who initiate combination antiretroviral therapy (cART) with CD4 < 200 cells/µL have significantly lower estimated life expectancy than those with higher counts. AHD is associated with lower HRQoL, and a worse physical health or mental health status. AIDS and non-AIDS defining events are significant predictors of a lower HRQoL, especially physical health status. AHD survivors are in risk of mortality and serious comorbidities, needing special clinical attention and preventive programs for associated comorbidities. Their specific needs should be reflected in HIV guidelines.

Pancreatogenic Diabetes: Triggering Effects of Alcohol and HIV

Multiorgan failure may not be completely resolved among people living with HIV despite HAART use. Although the chances of organ dysfunction may be relatively low, alcohol may potentiate HIV-induced toxic effects in the organs of alcohol-abusing, HIV-infected individuals. The pancreas is one of the most implicated organs, which is manifested as diabetes mellitus or pancreatic cancer. Both alcohol and HIV may trigger pancreatitis, but the combined effects have not been explored. The aim of this review is to explore the literature for understanding the mechanisms of HIV and alcohol-induced pancreatotoxicity. We found that while premature alcohol-inducing zymogen activation is a known trigger of alcoholic pancreatitis, HIV entry through C-C chemokine receptor type 5(CCR5)into pancreatic acinar cells may also contribute to pancreatitis in people living with HIV (PLWH). HIV proteins induce oxidative and ER stresses, causing necrosis. Furthermore, infiltrative immune cells induce necrosis on HIV-containing acinar cells. When necrotic products interact with pancreatic stellate cells, they become activated, leading to the release of both inflammatory and profibrotic cytokines and resulting in pancreatitis. Effective therapeutic strategies should block CCR5 and ameliorate alcohol's effects on acinar cells.

Post-tuberculosis mortality risk among immigrants to British Columbia, Canada, 1985-2015: a time-dependent Cox regression analysis of linked immigration, public health, and vital statistics data

OBJECTIVE

To compare non-tuberculosis (non-TB)-cause mortality risk overall and cause-specific mortality risks within the immigrant population of British Columbia (BC) with and without TB diagnosis through time-dependent Cox regressions.

METHODS

All people immigrating to BC during 1985-2015 (N = 1,030,873) were included with n = 2435 TB patients, and the remaining as non-TB controls. Outcomes were time-to-mortality for all non-TB causes, respiratory diseases, cardiovascular diseases, cancers, and injuries/poisonings, and were ascertained using ICD-coded vital statistics data. Cox regressions were used, with a time-varying exposure variable for TB diagnosis.

RESULTS

The non-TB-cause mortality hazard ratio (HR) was 4.01 (95% CI 3.57-4.51) with covariate-adjusted HR of 1.69 (95% CI 1.50-1.91). Cause-specific covariate-adjusted mortality risk was elevated for respiratory diseases (aHR = 2.96; 95% CI 2.18-4.00), cardiovascular diseases (aHR = 1.63; 95% CI 1.32-2.02), cancers (aHR = 1.40; 95% CI 1.13-1.75), and injuries/poisonings (aHR = 1.85; 95% CI 1.25-2.72).

CONCLUSIONS

In any given year, if an immigrant to BC was diagnosed with TB, their risk of non-TB mortality was 69% higher than if they were not diagnosed with TB. Healthcare providers should consider multiple potential threats to the long-term health of TB patients during and after TB treatment. TB guidelines in high-income settings should address TB survivor health.

The burden of serious non-AIDS-defining events among admitted cART-naive AIDS patients in China: An observational cohort study

The objective of this study was to elucidate the burden, risk factors, and prognosis of serious non-AIDS-defining events among admitted cART-naive AIDS patients in China. The evaluation of the burden, risk factors and prognosis of serious NADEs was carried out among 1309 cART-naive AIDS patients (median age: 38.2 years, range: 18–78 years) admitted in Beijing Ditan Hospital between January 2009 and December 2018. Among 1309 patients, 143 patients (10.9%) had at least one serious NADEs, including 49 (3.8%) with cerebrovascular diseases, 37 (2.8%) with non-AIDS-defining cancers, 28 (2.1%) with chronic kidney diseases, 26 (2.0%) with cardiovascular diseases, and 18 (1.4%) with liver cirrhosis. Serious NADEs distributed in different age and CD4 levels, especially with age ≥50 years and CD4 ≤350 cells/ul. Other traditional risk factors, including cigarette smoking (OR = 1.9, 95%CI = 1.3–2.8, p = 0.002), hypertension (OR = 2.5, 95%CI = 1.7–3.7, p<0.001), chronic HCV infection (OR = 2.8, 95%CI = 1.4–5.6, p = 0.004), and hypercholesterolemia (OR = 4.1, 95% CI = 1.2–14.1, p = 0.026), were also associated with serious NADEs. Seventeen cases (1.3%) with serious NADEs died among hospitalized cART-naive AIDS patients, and severe pneumonia (HR = 5.5, 95%CI = 1.9–15.9, p<0.001) and AIDS-defining cancers (HR = 3.8, 95%CI = 1.1–13.2, p = 0.038) were identified as risk factors associated with an increased hazard of mortality among these patients with serious NADEs. Serious NADEs also occurred in cART-naive AIDS patients in China with low prevalence. Our results reminded physicians that early screening of serious NADEs, timely intervention of their risk factors, management of severe AIDS-defining events, multi-disciplinary cooperation, and early initiation of cART were essential to reduce the burden of serious NADEs.

Anti-Retroviral Protease Inhibitors Regulate Human Papillomavirus 16 Infection of Primary Oral and Cervical Epithelium

Simple Summary

In 2016, globally, 36.7 million people were living with Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV), of which 53% had access to anti-retroviral therapy (ART) (UNAIDS 2017 Global HIV Statistics). The risk of Human Papillomavirus (HPV) associated oropharyngeal, cervical and anal cancers are higher among patients infected with HIV in the era of ART. Generally, HPV infections are self-limiting, however, persistent HPV infection is a major risk to carcinogenic progression. Long intervals between initial infection and cancer development imply cofactors are involved. Co-factors that increase infectivity, viral load, and persistence increase risk of cancer. We propose that the ART Protease Inhibitors (PI) class of drugs are novel co-factors that regulate HPV infection in HIV-infected patients. We developed a model system of organotypic epithelium to study impact of PI treatment on HPV16 infection. Our model could be used to study mechanisms of HPV infection in context of ART, and for developing drugs that minimize HPV infections.

Abstract

Epidemiology studies suggest that Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV)-infected patients on highly active anti-retroviral therapy (HAART) may be at increased risk of acquiring opportunistic Human Papillomavirus (HPV) infections and developing oral and cervical cancers. Effective HAART usage has improved survival but increased the risk for HPV-associated cancers. In this manuscript, we report that Protease Inhibitors (PI) treatment of three-dimensional tissues derived from primary human gingiva and cervical epithelial cells compromised cell-cell junctions within stratified epithelium and enhanced paracellular permeability of HPV16 to the basal layer for infection, culminating in de novo biosynthesis of progeny HPV16 as determined using 5-Bromo-2′-deoxyuridine (BrdU) labeling of newly synthesized genomes. We propose that HAART/PI represent a novel class of co-factors that modulate HPV infection of the target epithelium. Our in vitro tissue culture model is an important tool to study the mechanistic role of anti-retroviral drugs in promoting HPV infections in HAART-naïve primary epithelium. Changes in subsequent viral load could promote new infections, create HPV reservoirs that increase virus persistence, and increase the risk of oral and cervical cancer development in HIV-positive patients undergoing long-term HAART treatment.

Excess liver-related mortality among people with AIDS compared to the general population: an Italian nationwide cohort study using multiple causes of death

OBJECTIVES

Liver diseases have become a leading cause of death among people with AIDS (PWA). This study aimed to investigate whether PWA experienced excess mortality related to liver diseases as compared to the general population (non-PWA), using a multiple cause of death (MCoD; i.e. all conditions reported on death certificates) approach.

METHODS

A population-based, nationwide, retrospective cohort study was conducted among Italian people, aged 15-74 years, who had been diagnosed with AIDS since 2006. Date of death and MCoD data were retrieved, up to December 2015, by individual record linkage with national mortality data. Sex- and age-standardized mortality ratios (SMRs), with 95% confidence intervals (CIs), were estimated by dividing the observed number of deaths related to a specific condition among PWA to the expected number, based on non-PWA mortality rates.

RESULTS

Among 7912 PWA (34 184 person-years), 2076 deaths occurred. The number of death certificates reporting liver diseases among MCoDs was 583 (28.1%), including 382 (18.4%) reporting viral hepatitis, 370 (17.8%) reporting nonviral liver diseases, and 41 (2.0%) reporting liver cancers. The corresponding SMRs were 40.4 (95% CI 37.2-43.8) for all liver diseases, 131.1 (95% CI 118.3-145.0) for viral hepatitis, 29.9 (95% CI 27.0-33.1) for nonviral liver diseases, and 11.2 (95% CI 8.1-15.3) for liver cancers. Particularly elevated SMRs emerged among PWA aged 15-49 years and those infected by injecting drug use.

CONCLUSIONS

The high excess liver-related mortality observed among PWA warrants preventive actions to limit the burden of viral hepatitis coinfections, alcohol abuse, and metabolic disorders, especially among younger PWA and injecting drug users.

Effect of AIDS-defining events at initiation of antiretroviral therapy on long-term mortality of HIV/AIDS patients in Southwestern China: a retrospective cohort study

Objective

To evaluate the impact of AIDS-defining events (ADE) on long-term mortality of HIV positive individuals on antiretroviral therapy (ART), a retrospective HIV/AIDS treatment cohort study performed in Southwestern China.

Methods

The retrospective cohort was conducted among 6757 HIV/AIDS patients on ART (2NRTIs + 1NNRTI, 2NRTIs + 1PI and Single or two drugs) recruited in Guigang city, Guangxi, China, from January 2004 to December 2018. Participants were divided into ADE and non-ADE groups, and were followed-up every six months to observe treatment outcomes. Comparison of mortality between groups was performed using the log-rank test and Kaplan–Meier analysis. Cox proportional hazard regression was used to explore the risk factors of mortality. 1:1 propensity score matching (PSM) was used to balance confounding factors and adjust the mortality risk.

Results

Of 6757 participants with 29,096.06 person-years of follow-up, 16.86% (1139/6757) belonged to ADE group while the others (83.14%) belonged to the non-ADE group. The most common cause of death by ADE was disseminated mycosis (31.65%), followed by recurrent severe bacterial pneumonia (28.48%), herpes zoster (17.72%), and extra-pulmonary tuberculosis (8.86%). The mortality of the ADE group was significantly higher than that of the non-ADE group [3.45/100 person-years (95% CI 2.92–3.97) vs. 2.34/100 person-years (95% CI 2.15–2.52), P<0.001]. The death risk of the ADE group was also higher than that of the non- ADE group [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) = 1.291, 95% CI 1.061–1.571, P = 0.011], which was confirmed by PSM analysis (aHR = 1.581, 95% CI 1.192–2.099, P = 0.002). Cox analysis indicated that ADE, older age, male gender, previous non-use of cotrimoxazole, advanced WHO clinical stage, and low baseline CD4⁺ cell count were the risk factors for death.

Conclusions

Even on ART, the mortality risk of HIV positive individuals with ADE was higher than those without ADE. Active testing, earlier diagnosis, and timely therapy with ART may reduce the death risk of ADE.

Cardiovascular morbidity and mortality among persons diagnosed with tuberculosis: A systematic review and meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION

The emerging epidemiological evidence of increased cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk among persons diagnosed with tuberculosis (TB) has not been systematically reviewed to date. Our aim was to review the existing epidemiological evidence for elevated risk of CVD morbidity and mortality among persons diagnosed with TB compared to controls.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

EMBASE, MEDLINE, and Cochrane databases were searched (inception to January 2020) for terms related to "tuberculosis" and "cardiovascular diseases". Inclusion criteria: trial, cohort, or case-control study design; patient population included persons diagnosed with TB infection or disease; relative risk (RR) estimate and confidence interval reported for CVD morbidity or mortality compared to suitable controls. Exclusion criteria: no TB or CVD outcome definition; duplicate study; non-English abstract; non-human participants. Two reviewers screened studies, applied ROBINS-I tool to assess risk of bias, and extracted data independently. Random effects meta-analysis estimated a pooled RR of CVD morbidity and mortality for persons diagnosed with TB compared to controls.

RESULTS

6,042 articles were identified, 244 full texts were reviewed, and 16 were included, meta-analyzing subsets of 8 studies' RR estimates. We estimated a pooled RR of 1.51 (95% CI: 1.16-1.97) for major adverse cardiac events among those diagnosed with TB compared to non-TB controls (p = 0.0024). A 'serious' pooled risk of bias was found across studies with between-study heterogeneity (I2 = 75.3%).

CONCLUSIONS

TB appears to be a marker for increased CVD risk; however, the literature is limited and is accompanied by serious risk of confounding bias and evidence of publication bias. Further retrospective and prospective studies are needed. Pending this evidence, best practice may be to consider persons diagnosed with TB at higher risk of CVD as a precautionary measure.

Trends and causes of mortality in a population-based cohort of HIV-infected adults in Spain: comparison with the general population

Combination antiretroviral therapy reduces mortality of HIV-infected persons. In Spain, where this therapy is widely available, we aim to evaluate mortality trends and causes of death in HIV-infected adults, and to estimate the excess mortality compared to the general population. From 1999 to 2018 mortality by causes was analyzed in a population-based cohort of adults aged 25 to 74 years diagnosed with HIV infection in Spain. Observed deaths and expected deaths according mortality in the general population of the same sex and age were compared using standardized mortality ratios (SMRs). HIV-infected people increased from 839 in 1999–2003 to 1059 in 2014–2018, median age increased from 37 to 47 years, the annual mortality rate decreased from 33.5 to 20.7 per 1000 person-years and the proportion of HIV-related deaths declined from 64% to 35%. HIV-related mortality declined from 21.4 to 7.3 (p < 0.001), while non-HIV-related mortality remained stable: 12.1 and 13.4 per 1000, respectively. Mortality decreased principally in persons diagnosed with AIDS-defining events. In the last decade, 2009–2018, mortality was still 8.1 times higher among HIV-infected people than in the general population, and even after excluding HIV-related deaths, remained 4.8 times higher. Excess mortality was observed in non-AIDS cancer (SMR = 3.7), cardiovascular disease (SMR = 4.2), respiratory diseases (SMR = 7.9), liver diseases (SMR = 8.8), drug abuse (SMR = 47), suicide (SMR = 5.3) and other external causes (SMR = 6). In conclusion, HIV-related mortality continued to decline, while non-HIV-related mortality remained stable. HIV-infected people maintained important excess mortality. Prevention of HIV infections in the population and promotion of healthy life styles in HIV-infected people must be a priority.

Mortality of People Living with HIV in Paris Area from 2011 to 2015

In high-income countries, causes of death in people living with HIV (PLHIV) have changed. Three French national surveys from 2000 to 2010 showed a decrease in AIDS-related and an increase in non-AIDS-related deaths. Deaths notified in PLHIV followed between January 1, 2011 and December 31, 2015 in 1 of 13 participating hospitals northeast of Paris area were described. Risk factors for death were assessed, using a multivariable logistic regression model. Of 14,403 individuals, 295 died. Median age at death was 52 years (interquartile range = 47-60) and 77% were men. Sixty-seven individuals (23%) died from non-AIDS-defining nonviral hepatitis-related (NaNH) malignancy, 40 (14%) from AIDS, 34 (12%) from cardiovascular disease (CVD), 33 (11%) from non-AIDS infection, 21 (7%) from liver disease, and 12 (4%) from suicide. Men and women born in sub-Saharan Africa had a lower adjusted odds ratio (aOR) of dying than men having sex with men (MSM) born in France (0.70, 95% confidence interval = 0.45-1.09; and 0.45, 0.28-0.73, respectively). Risk factors for death were older age (aOR = 2.26, 1.36-3.77 for 40-49 years and 2.91, 1.75-4.84 for >50 years vs. 18-39 years), male intravenous drug users (IVDU) transmission (2.24, 1.42-3.54 vs. MSM born in France), AIDS (2.75, 2.10-3.59), antiretroviral therapy initiation in earlier periods, time since HIV diagnosis <1 year, low CD4 cell count nadir, hepatitis B virus and/or hepatitis C virus coinfection (1.69, 1.23-2.30), and psychiatric disorders (1.73, 1.27-2.38). Our study confirms the increasing frequency of non-AIDS-related deaths, mainly NaNH malignancies and CVD, in PLHIV, justifying overall and in some specific populations (psychiatric and IVDU) prevention and screening.

Methods of competing risks flexible parametric modeling for estimation of the risk of the first disease among HIV infected men

Background

Patients infected with the Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) are susceptible to many diseases. In these patients, the occurrence of one disease alters the chance of contracting another. Under such circumstances, methods for competing risks are required. Recently, competing risks analyses in the scope of flexible parametric models have risen to address this requirement. These lesser-known analyses have considerable advantages over conventional methods.

Methods

Using data from Multi Centre AIDS Cohort Study (MACS), this paper reviews and applies methods of competing risks flexible parametric models to analyze the risk of the first disease (AIDS or non-AIDS) among HIV-infected patients. We compared two alternative subdistribution hazard flexible parametric models (SDH_FPM1 and SDH_FPM2) with the Fine & Gray model. To make a complete inference, we performed cause-specific hazard flexible parametric models for each event separately as well.

Results

Both SDH_FPM1 and SDH_FPM2 provided consistent results regarding the magnitude of coefficients and risk estimations compared with estimations obtained from the Fine & Gray model, However, competing risks flexible parametric models provided more efficient and smoother estimations for the baseline risks of the first disease. We found that age at HIV diagnosis indirectly affected the risk of AIDS as the first event by increasing the number of patients who experience a non-AIDS disease prior to AIDS among > 40 years. Other significant covariates had direct effects on the risks of AIDS and non-AIDS.

Discussion

The choice of an appropriate model depends on the research goals and computational challenges. The SDH_FPM1 models each event separately and requires calculating censoring weights which is time-consuming. In contrast, SDH_FPM2 models all events simultaneously and is more appropriate for large datasets, however, when the focus is on one particular event SDH_FPM1 is more preferable.

Increased non-AIDS mortality among persons with AIDS-defining events after antiretroviral therapy initiation

INTRODUCTION

HIV-1 infection leads to chronic inflammation and to an increased risk of non-AIDS mortality. Our objective was to determine whether AIDS-defining events (ADEs) were associated with increased overall and cause-specific non-AIDS related mortality after antiretroviral therapy (ART) initiation.

METHODS

We included HIV treatment-naïve adults from the Antiretroviral Therapy Cohort Collaboration (ART-CC) who initiated ART from 1996 to 2014. Causes of death were assigned using the Coding Causes of Death in HIV (CoDe) protocol. The adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) for overall and cause-specific non-AIDS mortality among those with an ADE (all ADEs, tuberculosis (TB), Pneumocystis jiroveci pneumonia (PJP), and non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (NHL)) compared to those without an ADE was estimated using a marginal structural model.

RESULTS

The adjusted hazard of overall non-AIDS mortality was higher among those with any ADE compared to those without any ADE (aHR 2.21, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.00 to 2.43). The adjusted hazard of each of the cause-specific non-AIDS related deaths were higher among those with any ADE compared to those without, except metabolic deaths (malignancy aHR 2.59 (95% CI 2.13 to 3.14), accident/suicide/overdose aHR 1.37 (95% CI 1.05 to 1.79), cardiovascular aHR 1.95 (95% CI 1.54 to 2.48), infection aHR (95% CI 1.68 to 2.81), hepatic aHR 2.09 (95% CI 1.61 to 2.72), respiratory aHR 4.28 (95% CI 2.67 to 6.88), renal aHR 5.81 (95% CI 2.69 to 12.56) and central nervous aHR 1.53 (95% CI 1.18 to 5.44)). The risk of overall and cause-specific non-AIDS mortality differed depending on the specific ADE of interest (TB, PJP, NHL).

CONCLUSIONS

In this large multi-centre cohort collaboration with standardized assignment of causes of death, non-AIDS mortality was twice as high among patients with an ADE compared to without an ADE. However, non-AIDS related mortality after an ADE depended on the ADE of interest. Although there may be unmeasured confounders, these findings suggest that a common pathway may be independently driving both ADEs and NADE mortality. While prevention of ADEs may reduce subsequent death due to NADEs following ART initiation, modification of risk factors for NADE mortality remains important after ADE survival.

Cause-specific mortality among HIV-infected people in Ontario, 1995-2014: a population-based retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Risk factors for cause-specific mortality have not been widely studied among people with HIV infection. Our objectives were to estimate rates of and risk factors for all-cause and cause-specific mortality from 1995 to 2014 among HIV-infected people in Ontario.

METHODS

We conducted a population-based retrospective cohort study using provincial health databases of people with HIV infection who were aged 16 years or more, were residents of Ontario between 1995 and 2014, and had HIV infection according to a previously validated algorithm. We used International Classification of Diseases codes to classify the underlying cause of death and estimated age-adjusted mortality rates per 100 person-years for 1995 to 2014. We used descriptive statistics to characterize the cohort at baseline and calculated adjusted mortality rate ratios (RRs) using generalized estimating equations.

RESULTS

Among 23 043 people, the all-cause mortality rate declined from 6.69 to 1.53 per 100 person-years over the study period, and the rate of death from HIV/AIDS declined from 4.75 to 0.46 per 100 person-years. Concomitantly, the proportions of deaths due to cancer, cardiovascular disease and other noncommunicable diseases rose; however, rates remained constant or declined. Compared to males, females had higher mortality due to cardiovascular disease (adjusted RR 1.36, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.04-1.77), noncommunicable causes (adjusted RR 1.75, 95% CI 1.39-2.20) and, by 2010-2014, any cause (adjusted RR 1.19, 95% CI 1.02-1.38). Residing in a low-income neighbourhood was associated with increased risk for most causes, including HIV/AIDS (adjusted RR in 2010-2014 1.86, 95% CI 1.49-2.31). Rural residence was associated with increased mortality due to malignant disease (adjusted RR 1.60, 95% CI 1.10-2.34) and noncommunicable disease (adjusted RR 1.86, 95% CI 1.25-2.77). Being an immigrant was associated with lower risk of death from all causes.

INTERPRETATION

Over the study period, death was increasingly due to common chronic conditions rather than to HIV infection itself. Care should incorporate the prevention and management of these conditions, especially among females and those residing in rural and low-income areas.