Development and validation of a prediction model for diagnosing blood stream infections in febrile, non-neutropenic children with cancer

Pathogenic spectrum and drug resistance of bloodstream infection in patients with acute myeloid leukaemia: a single centre retrospective study

Background

Bloodstream infection (BSI) represent a prevalent complication in haematological malignancies (HMs). Typically, Patients with BSI usually undergo empirical treatment pending pathogen identification. The timely and effective management of BSIs significantly influences patient prognosis. However, pathogen distribution in BSIs exhibits regional variation. In this study, we investigated the clinical characteristics, pathogen spectrum, drug resistance, risk factors of short-term prognosis and long-term prognostic factors of acute myeloid leukemia (AML) patients with BSI at Zhejiang Provincal People's Hospital.

Methods

From 2019 to 2021, a total of 56 AML patients with BSI were treated in the Department of Haematology at Zhejiang Province People's Hospital. Data regarding pathogen spectrum and drug resistance were collected for analysis. The patients were stratified into non-survivor cohort and survivor cohort within 30 days after BSI, and the predictors of 30-days mortality were identified through both univariate and multivariate Logistic regression analyses. Furthermore, Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and Cox regression analysis were employed to ascertain the risk factors associated with poor prognosis in AML patients complicated by BSI.

Results

A total of 70 strains of pathogenic bacteria were isolated from 56 AML patients with BSI. Gram-negative bacteria constituted the predominant pathogens (71.4%), with Klebsiella pneumoniae being the most prevalent (22.9%). Gram-positive bacteria and fungi accounted for 22.9% and 5.7%, respectively. Univariate and multivariate analyses revealed significant differences in total protein, albumin levels, and the presence of septic shock between the non-survivor cohort and the survior cohort 30 days post-BSI. COX regression analysis showed that agranulocytosis duration exceeding 20 days (HR:3.854; 95% CI: 1.451-10.242) and septic shock (HR:3.788; 95% CI: 1.729-8.299) were independent risk factors for poor prognosis in AML patients complicated by BSI. Notably, the mortality rate within 30 days after Stenotrophomonas maltophilia infection was up to 71.4%.

Conclusions

In this study, Gram-negative bacteria, predominantly Klebsiella pneumoniae, constituted the primary pathogens among AML patients with BSIs. Serum albumin levels and the presence of septic shock emerged as independent risk factors for mortality within 30 days among AML patients with BSI. In terms of long-term prognosis, extended agranulocytosis duration exceeding 20 days and septic shock were associated with elevated mortality rates in AML patients with BSI. Additionally, in our centre, Stenotrophomonas maltophilia infection was found to be associated with a poor prognosis. Early intervention for Stenotrophomonas maltophilia infection in our centre could potentially improve patient outcomes.

Carbapenem-resistant Gram-negative bacteria (CR-GNB) in ICUs: resistance genes, therapeutics, and prevention - a comprehensive review

Intensive care units (ICUs) are specialized environments dedicated to the management of critically ill patients, who are particularly susceptible to drug-resistant bacteria. Among these, carbapenem-resistant Gram-negative bacteria (CR-GNB) pose a significant threat endangering the lives of ICU patients. Carbapenemase production is a key resistance mechanism in CR-GNB, with the transfer of resistance genes contributing to the extensive emergence of antimicrobial resistance (AMR). CR-GNB infections are widespread in ICUs, highlighting an urgent need for prevention and control measures to reduce mortality rates associated with CR-GNB transmission or infection. This review provides an overview of key aspects surrounding CR-GNB within ICUs. We examine the mechanisms of bacterial drug resistance, the resistance genes that frequently occur with CR-GNB infections in ICU, and the therapeutic options against carbapenemase genotypes. Additionally, we highlight crucial preventive measures to impede the transmission and spread of CR-GNB within ICUs, along with reviewing the advances made in the field of clinical predictive modeling research, which hold excellent potential for practical application.

Prospective External Validation of the Esbenshade Vanderbilt Models Accurately Predicts Bloodstream Infection Risk in Febrile Non-Neutropenic Children With Cancer

PURPOSE

The optimal management of fever without severe neutropenia (absolute neutrophil count [ANC] ≥500/µL) in pediatric patients with cancer is undefined. The previously proposed Esbenshade Vanderbilt (EsVan) models accurately predict bacterial bloodstream infections (BSIs) in this population and provide risk stratification to aid management, but have lacked prospective external validation.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Episodes of fever with a central venous catheter and ANC ≥500/µL occurring in pediatric patients with cancer were prospectively collected from 18 academic medical centers. Variables included in the EsVan models and 7-day clinical outcomes were collected. Five versions of the EsVan models were applied to the data with calculation of C-statistics for both overall BSI rate and high-risk organism BSI (gram-negative and Staphylococcus aureus BSI), as well as model calibration.

RESULTS

In 2,565 evaluable episodes, the BSI rate was 4.7% (N = 120). Complications for the whole cohort were rare, with 1.1% (N = 27) needing intensive care unit (ICU) care by 7 days, and the all-cause mortality rate was 0.2% (N = 5), with only one potential infection-related death. C-statistics ranged from 0.775 to 0.789 for predicting overall BSI, with improved accuracy in predicting high-risk organism BSI (C-statistic 0.800-0.819). Initial empiric antibiotics were withheld in 14.9% of episodes, with no deaths or ICU admissions attributable to not receiving empiric antibiotics.

CONCLUSION

The EsVan models, especially EsVan2b, perform very well prospectively across multiple academic medical centers and accurately stratify risk of BSI in episodes of non-neutropenic fever in pediatric patients with cancer. Implementation of routine screening with risk-stratified management for non-neutropenic fever in pediatric patients with cancer could safely reduce unnecessary antibiotic use.

The Yield, Safety, and Cost-effectiveness of Decreasing Repeat Blood Cultures Beyond 48 Hours in a Pediatric Hematology-Oncology Unit

Clear recommendations are needed on when repeat blood cultures (BCxs) in hospitalized children with cancer should be obtained. We reviewed all BCx obtained on the Hematology-Oncology Unit at Riley Hospital for Children, regardless of reason for patient admission or neutropenia status, between January 2015 and February 2021. Patients with positive BCx within 48 hours of initial cultures, history of stem cell transplant, or admitted to the intensive care unit were excluded. Medical records of patients with new positive BCx drawn >48 hours after initial BCx were reviewed. Seven (1.2%) hospitalization episodes grew new pathogens, or commensals treated as pathogens, on cultures beyond 48 hours. All patients with new, true pathogens were hemodynamically unstable or had recurrent fever when the new positive BCx was obtained. Twenty-three (4.0%) hospitalization episodes had contaminant cultures beyond 48 hours, with 74 (5.4%) of 1362 BCx collected beyond 48 hours being contaminated, resulting in an additional cost of $210,519 from increased length of stay. In conclusion, repeat BCx beyond 48 hours in pediatric hematology-oncology patients with negative initial cultures are low yield and costly. Repeat BCx can be safely and cost-effectively ceased after 48 hours of negative cultures in hemodynamically and clinically stable patients.

Applying a risk prediction model for bloodstream infection in a febrile, nonseverely neutropenic cohort of pediatric stem cell transplant patients

BACKGROUND

The optimal management of febrile stem cell transplant (SCT) patients presenting without severe neutropenia (absolute neutrophil count [ANC] ≥ 500/µL) is unclear. The authors have developed iterative risk prediction models (Esbenshade Vanderbilt [EsVan] models) that reliably predict bloodstream infections (BSIs) in the febrile general pediatric oncology population without severe neutropenia, but SCT-specific data are limited.

METHODS

All SCTs occurring from May 2005 to November 2019 at a single institution were identified. Episodes of fever with a central venous catheter and ANC values ≥ 500/µL were abstracted. All previous versions of the EsVan model were applied to the SCT data, and c-statistics were generated. The models were additionally applied to each type of transplant (autologous/allogeneic), and a new allogeneic model that further adjusted for metrics of immunosuppression, Esbenshade Vanderbilt Allogeneic SCT Model (EsVanAlloSCT), was developed and internally validated.

RESULTS

For 429 SCT episodes (221 autologous and 208 allogeneic), the BSI incidence was 19.6% (84 of 429), and it was higher in allogeneic transplant patients (25.5%) than autologous transplant patients (14.0%; p < .01). All versions of the EsVan model performed well for the overall SCT cohort (c-statistics, 0.759-0.795). The EsVan models performed better for the autologous episodes (c-statistics, 0.869-0.881) than the allogeneic SCT episodes (c-statistics, 0.678-0.717). The new allogeneic transplant-specific model, EsVanAlloSCT, which added an adjustment for the extent of immunosuppression, yielded a c-statistic of 0.792 (bootstrap-corrected, 0.750).

CONCLUSIONS

The EsVan models work exceptionally well when they are applied to autologous SCT, but they work less well for allogeneic SCT. EsVanAlloSCT appears to improve the predictive ability in allogeneic SCT, but it will need additional external validation.

Infectious events in pediatric patients with acute lymphoblastic leukemia/lymphoma undergoing evaluation for fever without severe neutropenia

BACKGROUND

Infections cause significant treatment-related morbidity during pediatric acute lymphoblastic leukemia/lymphoma (ALL/LLy) therapy. Fevers during periods without severe neutropenia are common, but etiologies are not well-described. This study sought to describe the bloodstream infection (BSI) and non-BSI risk in children undergoing therapy for ALL/LLy.

METHODS

Demographic and clinical data were abstracted for febrile episodes without severe neutropenia at two children's hospitals. Treatment courses were stratified by intensity. Multivariate logistic regression evaluated characteristics associated with infection.

RESULTS

There were 1591 febrile episodes experienced by 524 patients. Of these, 536 (34%) episodes had ≥1 infection; BSI occurred in 30 (1.9%) episodes. No BSIs occurred in episodes with a recent procedural sedation or cytarabine exposure. Presence of hypotension, chills/rigors, higher temperature, and infant phenotype were independently associated with BSI (p < .05). Of the 572 non-BSIs, the most common was upper respiratory infection (URI) (n = 381, 67%). Compared to episodes without infection, URI symptoms, higher temperature, absolute neutrophil count 500-999/μl, and evaluation during a low-intensity treatment course were more likely to be associated with a non-BSI (p < .05) and inpatient status was less likely to be associated with a non-BSI (p < .05).

CONCLUSIONS

The BSI rate in pediatric patients with ALL/LLy and fever without severe neutropenia is low, but one-third of the time, patients have a non-BSI. Future research should test if the need for empiric antibiotics can be tailored based on the associations identified in this study.

Non-neutropenic fever in children with cancer: Management, outcomes and clinical decision rule validation

INTRODUCTION

Fever and infection are an important complication of childhood cancer therapy. Most research and guideline development has focussed on febrile neutropenia, with a paucity directed at non-neutropenic fever (NNF). We describe the clinical presentation, management and outcomes of NNF in children with cancer, and externally validate the Esbenshade Vanderbilt (EsVan) clinical decision rules (CDR) to predict bacteraemia.

METHOD

Using a prospective database, retrospective data were collected on consecutive NNF episodes (fever ≥38.0°C and absolute neutrophil count >1.0 cells/mm³ ). Sensitivity, specificity and area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC-ROC) of the CDR were compared to derivation study.

RESULTS

There were 203 NNF episodes occurring in 125 patients. Severe sepsis was uncommon (n = 2, 1%) and bacteraemia occurred in 10 (4.9%, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.7%-8.8%) episodes. A confirmed or presumed bacterial infection requiring antibiotics occurred in 31 (15%) patients. Total 202 (99%) episodes received at least one dose of intravenous broad-spectrum antibiotic and 141 (70%) episodes were admitted to hospital. Six (3%) episodes required intensive care unit (ICU)-level care and there were no infection-related deaths. The EsVan 1 rule had an AUC-ROC of 0.67, 80% were identified as low risk, and sensitivity and specificity were 50% and 81.5%, respectively, for a risk threshold of 10%.

CONCLUSIONS

Serious infection and adverse outcome are uncommon in children with NNF. Many children did not have a bacterial cause of infection identified, but were still treated with broad-spectrum antibiotics and admitted to hospital. National clinical practice guidelines should be developed for this important cohort to enable risk stratification and optimise antibiotic management. Further research is required to determine appropriateness of EsVan CDR in our cohort.

Infections during Non-Neutropenic Episodes in Pediatric Cancer Patients—Results from a Prospective Study in Two Major Large European Cancer Centers

Whereas the clinical approach in pediatric cancer patients with febrile neutropenia is well established, data on non-neutropenic infectious episodes are limited. We therefore prospectively collected over a period of 4 years of data on all infectious complications in children treated for acute lymphoblastic or myeloid leukemia (ALL or AML) and non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL) at two major pediatric cancer centers. Infections were categorized as fever of unknown origin (FUO), and microbiologically or clinically documented infections. A total of 210 patients (median age 6 years; 142 ALL, 23 AML, 38 NHL, 7 leukemia relapse) experienced a total of 776 infectious episodes (571 during neutropenia, 205 without neutropenia). The distribution of FUO, microbiologically and clinically documented infections, did not significantly differ between neutropenic and non-neutropenic episodes. In contrast to neutropenic patients, corticosteroids did not have an impact on the infectious risk in non-neutropenic children. All but one bloodstream infection in non-neutropenic patients were due to Gram-positive pathogens. Three patients died in the context of non-neutropenic infectious episodes (mortality 1.4%). Our results well help to inform clinical practice guidelines in pediatric non-neutropenic cancer patients presenting with fever, in their attempt to safely restrict broad-spectrum antibiotics and improve the quality of life by decreasing hospitalization.

From "More is Better" to "Less is More": A Commentary on Antimicrobial Use in Pediatric Oncology

Reducing avoidable antimicrobial exposure to pediatric patients with cancer is achievable and necessary to promote optimal short- and long-term outcomes. Multiple evidence-based practices are already well established but should be more consistently implemented. Important opportunities exist to further improve the evidence to guide selective antimicrobial use in pediatric oncology.

Clinical decision rule for obtaining peripheral blood cultures in febrile oncology patients

BACKGROUND

The utility of peripheral blood cultures in pediatric oncology patients presenting with fever is controversial. A recent systematic review showed that about one in 40 bloodstream infections (BSIs) would be missed if only central venous line (CVL) cultures are obtained.

OBJECTIVE

To derive a clinical decision rule for obtaining peripheral blood cultures in pediatric oncology patients presenting to a pediatric emergency department (PED) with fever and a CVL.

DESIGN/METHOD

A retrospective chart review was performed on pediatric oncology patients referred to the PED for fever while on therapy. Logistic regression with a random intercept was used to determine independent predictors of BSI and generate a prediction model for obtaining peripheral blood cultures. The decision rule was generated from the best performance as measured by a receiver operator curve. Bootstrapping analysis was performed for internal validation.

RESULTS

Predictors that were significant and independently associated with positive peripheral blood cultures included vasopressor support (odds ratio [OR] 16.5, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.80-97.71), acute myeloid leukemia (AML) diagnosis (OR 6.9, 95% CI: 1.81-25.98), hypotension (OR 4.0, 95% CI: 1.05-15.17), mucositis (OR 8.2, 95% CI: 2.48-27.01), and maximum temperature in PED ≥39°C (OR 6.6, 95% CI: 2.36-18.20). The area under the curve (AUC) for this model was 0.90 (95% CI: 0.82-0.97) in the derivation cohort and 0.90 (95% CI: 0.81-0.98) after the internal validation.

CONCLUSIONS

We derived a clinical prediction model for deciding when to obtain peripheral blood cultures in febrile oncology patients with CVLs on active therapy. Future studies should focus on prospective and external validation of this diagnostic prediction tool.

Life-threatening infections during treatment for acute lymphoblastic leukemia on the Malaysia-Singapore 2003 and 2010 clinical trials: A risk prediction model

AIM

Life-threatening infections significantly impact the care of children undergoing therapy for acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) who are at risk of severe sepsis due to both host and treatment factors. Our aim was to develop a life-threatening infection risk prediction model that would allow remote rapid triage of patients to reduce time to first dose of antibiotics and sepsis-related mortality.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of 2068 fever episodes during ALL therapy was used for model building and subsequent internal validation.

RESULTS

Three hundred and seventy-seven patients were treated for ALL in two institutions with comparable critical and supportive care resources. A total of 55 patients accounted for 71 admissions to the critical care unit for sepsis that led to eight septic deaths during a 16-year study period. A retrospective analysis of risk factors for sepsis enabled us to build a model focused on 13 variables that discriminated admissions requiring critical care well: area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of .82; 95% CI .76-.87, p<.001, and Brier score of .033. Significant univariate predictors included neutropenia, presence of symptoms of abdominal pain, diarrhea, fever during induction or steroid-based phases, and the lack of any localizing source of infection at time of presentation.

CONCLUSION

We have developed a risk prediction model that can reliably identify ALL patients undergoing treatment who are at a higher risk of life-threatening sepsis. Clinical applicability can potentially be extended to low-middle income settings, and its utility should be further studied in real-world settings.

Bacteremia in Febrile, Non-neutropenic, and Well-appearing Children With Cancer

Fever in a neutropenic pediatric oncology patient requires prompt assessment due to the risk of infectious complications. The appropriate management of fever in non-neutropenic patients, however, is not well-established. We describe the rate of bacteremia in a cohort of non-neutropenic pediatric oncology patients with fever at a large institution. Patients were included if they presented to the emergency department or outpatient clinic between 2009 and 2014 with fever, had a central venous catheter (CVC), and were not neutropenic. Three hundred eighty-six episodes of fever occurring in 159 patients were included in the data analysis. Fifty-nine percent of patients were male, 41% had a diagnosis of acute lymphoblastic leukemia, and 90% had a port-a-cath as CVC. The rate of bacteremia was 3.4%; presence of a port-a-cath was protective against bacteremia whereas a white blood cell count >20,000/mm3 was associated with a higher likelihood of bacteremia. Gram-positive microorganisms were most commonly isolated (64.3%) and frequently resistant to cephalosporins. In summary, in our study, the rate of bacteremia was low among non-neutropenic, well-appearing pediatric cancer patients with a CVC and was not associated with any serious medical complications. Prospective research is needed to determine the most appropriate management of these patients.

Outcomes of Children Who Present to the Emergency Department After Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation

OBJECTIVES

Our primary objective was to describe emergency department (ED) presentation, treatment, and outcomes for children after hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT). Our secondary objective was to identify factors associated with serious infection in this population.

METHODS

This is a retrospective review of HCT patients who presented to our university children's hospital ED from January 1, 2011, to June 30, 2013. Emergency department presentation, treatment, and outcomes were described. Descriptive statistics were used to compare children with definite serious infection with those without serious infection. Multiple binary logistic regression was performed for risk factors associated with definite serious infection.

RESULTS

Fifty-four HCT patients (132 encounters) presented to our ED. Most were transplanted for a malignant (46%) or metabolic (36%) diagnosis and were recipients of bone marrow (51%) or umbilical cord blood (45%). Fever was the most common complaint (25%). Emergency department laboratory (64%) or imaging (58%) studies were frequently obtained. Admission was common (n = 70/132, 53%), with 79% (n = 55) of admissions to intensive care or bone marrow transplant units. Thirty-five encounters had definite serious infection, 5 had probable serious infection, and 92 had no serious infection. Fever (P < 0.001) and high-risk white blood cell (WBC) count of less than 5 or greater than 15 k/μL (P < 0.001) were associated with definite serious infection. Fever (odds ratio = 8.84, 95% confidence interval = 2.92-26.73) and high-risk WBC (odds ratio = 6.67, 95% confidence interval = 2.24-19.89) remained significantly associated with definite serious infection in our regression model.

CONCLUSIONS

Children presenting to the ED after HCT require extensive support and resources, with more than half requiring admission. Fever and high-risk WBC are associated with serious infection.

Shivering has little diagnostic value in diagnosing serious bacterial infection in children: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Early diagnosis of serious bacterial infections (SBI) is important for improving outcome of morbidity and mortality in children. A systematic review was conducted to examine if shivering had any value in diagnosing serious bacterial infection. We split our population (0-18 years old) into two categories depending on the presence of a known malignancy. The databases of Medline, Embase, Cinahl, and Web of Science were searched from inception until July 2019. The quality was assessed with the QUADAS-2 tool. Two by two tables were created, extracting the number of true positive (TP), true negative (TN), false positive (FP), and false negative (FN) regarding shivering and SBI, by 2 authors independently. Sensitivity, specificity, likelihood ratios, and their 95% confidence intervals were calculated using the MetaDATA Shiny app. In a population with known malignancy, we found a +LR of 3.47 (95% CI 2.58-4.36) for a serious bacterial infection when shivering was present, implying an increase of 25-30% possibility for a serious bacterial infection. In children without malignancy, diagnostic accuracy of shivering was poor.Conclusion: Shivering is of limited use to diagnose serious bacterial infection in children without malignancy. Nevertheless, in children with known malignancy, it can be useful as an alarm signal. What is Known: • In the NICE guidelines for febrile illness in children, "shivering" is considered as an intermediate risk factor ("amber" sign) for a serious illness. • A systematic literature search conducted in 2007 investigating the correlation between shivering in a febrile child and the presence of a serious bacterial infection could include only one study. What is New: • Based on the results of this systematic review, shivering has little diagnostic value in children without malignancy but can be useful as an alarm sign of serious bacterial infection in children with known malignancy. • In case of absence of shivering, serious bacterial infection cannot be ruled out.

Outcomes and Disposition of Oncology Patients With Non-neutropenic Fever and Positive Blood Cultures

Children with cancer and non-neutropenic fever (NNF) episodes are often treated as outpatients if they appear well. However, a small subset have bloodstream infections (BSIs) and must return for further evaluation. These patients may be directly admitted to inpatient units, whereas others are first evaluated in outpatient settings before admission. The best practice for securing care for patients discovered to have outpatient bacteremia are unclear. To determine outcomes and compare time to antibiotics between the 2 disposition, we retrospectively reviewed all NNF initially treated as outpatients and later had positive blood cultures from 2012 to 2016. Of 845 NNF cases initially treated in outpatient settings, 48 episodes (n=43 patients) had BSIs. Of those, 77.1% (n=37) were re-evaluated as outpatients and admitted; 14.6% (n=7) were direct admissions. The median time to antibiotic did not significantly differ between outpatient re-evaluations (119 min) and direct admissions (191 min), P=0.11. One patient met sepsis criteria upon return and required intensive care unit admission for vasopressor support. No patient died within 1 week of the febrile episode. Most patients with NNF and BSIs initially discharged are stable upon return. Institutions should evaluate their patient flows to ensure that patients receive timely care.

Impact of respiratory viral panel testing on length of stay in pediatric cancer patients admitted with fever and neutropenia

BACKGROUND

Polymerase chain reaction (PCR) respiratory viral panel (RVP) testing is often used in evaluation of pediatric cancer patients with febrile neutropenia (FN), but correlation with adverse outcomes has not been well characterized.

PROCEDURE

A retrospective cohort of all children ages 0-21 years with cancer admitted to Children's Healthcare of Atlanta for FN from January 2013 to June 2016 was identified. Patient demographic and clinical variables such as age, RVP results, length of stay (LOS), and deaths were abstracted. Relationship between RVP testing and positivity and LOS, highest temperature (Tmax), hypotension and intensive care unit (ICU) admission were compared using Wilcoxon rank sums, chi-square, or Fisher's exact tests adjusting for age, sex, bacteremia, and diagnosis.

RESULTS

The 404 patients identified had 787 total FN admissions. RVPs were sent in 38% of admissions and were positive in 59%. Patients with RVPs sent were younger (median 5.5 vs 8.0 years, P < .0001) with higher Tmax (39.2° vs 39.1°, P = .016). The most common virus identified was rhinovirus/Enterovirus (61%). There were no significant differences in highest temperature or lowest blood pressure based on RVP positivity. Patients admitted to the ICU were more likely to have RVPs sent (odds ratio [OR] = 3.19, P < .002); however, neither having RVP testing nor RVP positivity were significantly associated with increased LOS or death. Coinfection with bacteremia and a respiratory virus was identified in 9.1% of patients.

CONCLUSIONS

These data raise the question of the utility of sending potentially costly RVP testing as RVP positivity during febrile neutropenia does not impact LOS, degree of hypotension, or ICU admission.

Prospective Implementation of a Risk Prediction Model for Bloodstream Infection Safely Reduces Antibiotic Usage in Febrile Pediatric Cancer Patients Without Severe Neutropenia

PURPOSE

Management of febrile pediatric patients with cancer with an absolute neutrophil count of 500/µL or greater is unclear. The Esbenshade Vanderbilt (EsVan) risk prediction models have been shown to predict bloodstream infection (BSI) likelihood in this population, and this study sought to prospectively validate and implement these models in clinical practice.

METHODS

Data were prospectively collected on febrile pediatric patients with cancer with a central venous catheter from April 2015 to August 2019 at a single site, at which the models (EsVan: 2015 to 2017; EsVan2: October 2017 to 2019) were initially developed and subsequently implemented for clinical management in well-appearing nonseverely neutropenic individuals. It was recommended that patients with low BSI risk (< 10%) be discharged home without antibiotics, those with intermediate BSI risk (10%-39.9%) be administered an antibiotic before discharge, and those with high BSI risk (> 40%) be admitted on broad-spectrum antibiotics. Seven-day outcomes were then collected and EsVan models were prospectively validated and C-statistics estimated.

RESULTS

In 937 febrile, nonsevere neutropenia episodes, frequencies of low-, intermediate-, and high-risk episodes were 88.9%, 8.6%, and 2.3% respectively. BSI incidence was 4.2% (39 of 937). Within risk groups, low-risk BSI incidence was 1.9% (16 of 834) with BSI incidence of 13.6% and 54.5% for intermediate- and high-risk episodes, respectively. Empirical intravenous antibiotics were administered in 21.1% of low-risk episodes at presentation and at 7 days postpresentation, 72.3% of episodes never required intravenous antibiotics. There were no deaths or clinical decompensations attributable to antibiotic delay. For BSI detection, EsVan and EsVan2 models applied to the new cohort achieved C-statistics of 0.802 and 0.824, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Prospective, real-time clinical utilization of the EsVan models accurately predicts BSI risk and safely reduces unnecessary antibiotic use in febrile, nonseverely neutropenic pediatric patients with cancer.

Microbiological Profile of Blood Stream Infections in Febrile Neutropenic Patients at a Tertiary Care Teaching Hospital in Rishikesh, Uttarakhand

Context  Febrile neutropenia is a serious complication of chemotherapy affecting patients with both hematological and solid malignancies, respectively. To the best of our knowledge, there is paucity of literature from Uttarakhand, India on microbiological profile of blood stream infections (BSIs) in febrile neutropenic patients. Aims  The study aims to generate preliminary data on microbiological profile and antibiotic resistance pattern of BSIs in febrile neutropenic patients. Settings and Design   The design involved cross-sectional study from January 1, 2019 to July 31, 2019. Methods and Materials  Data of nonrepetitive paired peripheral blood samples obtained from 306 consecutive febrile neutropenic cancer patients of all age groups and both sexes, for culture and sensitivity testing, were retrospectively analyzed. All blood samples were subjected to aerobic culture using BACT/ALERT three-dimensional microbial detection system. Growth obtained in culture was identified by conventional biochemical methods. Antibiotic susceptibility testing of bacterial isolates was performed using modified Kirby Bauer disk diffusion method. Statistical Analysis Used   Fisher's exact test was used for the analysis. Results  Mean age ± SD of the study population was 32.39 ± 10.56 years with a male to female ratio of 1.55:1. 74.18% of the blood samples were received from patients suffering from hematological malignancies. Microbiologically confirmed BSIs were observed in 27.1% patients. Gram-negative bacilli were predominantly isolated in culture with Klebsiella spp . being the most common. Percentage resistance values of gram-negative bacilli to aminoglycosides, β-lactam/β-lactamase inhibitor combinations, fluoroquinolones, cephalosporins, carbapenems, chloramphenicol, ampicillin, co-trimoxazole, and doxycycline were 26.6 to 91.7%, 8.3 to 86.6%, 10 to 66.7%, 13.3 to 73.3%, 8.3 to 73.3%, 80 to 93.3%, 13.3 to 20%, 16.7 to 66.6%, and 13.3 to 16.7%, respectively. Conclusion  Implementation of antimicrobial stewardship program along with hospital infection control practices is needed for preventing BSIs due to MDR organisms.

A clinical approach to non-neutropenic fever in children with cancer

BACKGROUND

There are a limited number of studies that address non-neutropenic fever episodes in children with cancer, and no standard approach exists.

METHOD

We opt to retrospectively analyze the efficacy of the current clinical approach for management of non-neutropenic fever episodes and the associated risk factors among children with cancer at the Princess Noorah Oncology Center from May 2016 through December 2017.

RESULTS

A total of 480 non-neutropenic fever episodes were identified in 131 children, of which 62 episodes were triaged as high-risk non-neutropenic fever and 418 as low-risk non-neutropenic fever. Of those 480 non-neutropenic fever, 361 episodes (75.2%) were associated with the presence of central venous catheters. The overall failure rate of ceftriaxone mono-therapy was observed in 75.6% (11.7% in high-risk non-neutropenic fever with a mean C-reactive protein level of 21.1 (±23.2) mmol/L and 63.9% in low-risk non-neutropenic fever with a mean C-reactive protein level of 17.6 (±53.9) mmol/L). The overall bacteremia rate was 14.4%. The type of organisms isolated was mainly high-risk organisms in 59 non-neutropenic fever episodes (85.5%), OR 1.78 (95% CI: 0.45-7.04) p = 0.41. Of note, all bacteremia were associated with the presence of central venous catheter (100%). Of all the examined risk factors of outpatient treatment failure in low-risk non-neutropenic fever, only prolonged fever of more than three days were significantly associated with bacteremia OR 8.107 [95% CI: 1.744-37.691], p = 0.008. Noteworthy is that almost 43% of non-neutropenic fever episodes were associated with respiratory symptoms. This study provides a baseline for future prospective research assessing the pattern of non-neutropenic fever by focusing on associated risk factors.

Individual participant data validation of the PICNICC prediction model for febrile neutropenia

BACKGROUND

Risk-stratified approaches to managing cancer therapies and their consequent complications rely on accurate predictions to work effectively. The risk-stratified management of fever with neutropenia is one such very common area of management in paediatric practice. Such rules are frequently produced and promoted without adequate confirmation of their accuracy.

METHODS

An individual participant data meta-analytic validation of the 'Predicting Infectious ComplicatioNs In Children with Cancer' (PICNICC) prediction model for microbiologically documented infection in paediatric fever with neutropenia was undertaken. Pooled estimates were produced using random-effects meta-analysis of the area under the curve-receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC), calibration slope and ratios of expected versus observed cases (E/O).

RESULTS

The PICNICC model was poorly predictive of microbiologically documented infection (MDI) in these validation cohorts. The pooled AUC-ROC was 0.59, 95% CI 0.41 to 0.78, tau²=0, compared with derivation value of 0.72, 95% CI 0.71 to 0.76. There was poor discrimination (pooled slope estimate 0.03, 95% CI -0.19 to 0.26) and calibration in the large (pooled E/O ratio 1.48, 95% CI 0.87 to 2.1). Three different simple recalibration approaches failed to improve performance meaningfully.

CONCLUSION

This meta-analysis shows the PICNICC model should not be used at admission to predict MDI. Further work should focus on validating alternative prediction models. Validation across multiple cohorts from diverse locations is essential before widespread clinical adoption of such rules to avoid overtreating or undertreating children with fever with neutropenia.

Risk stratification in children with cancer and febrile neutropenia: A national, prospective, multicentre validation of nine clinical decision rules

BACKGROUND

Reduced intensity treatment of low-risk febrile neutropenia (FN) in children with cancer is safe and improves quality of life. Identifying children with low-risk FN using a validated risk stratification strategy is recommended. This study prospectively validated nine FN clinical decision rules (CDRs) designed to predict infection or adverse outcome.

METHODS

Data were collected on consecutive FN episodes in this multicentre, prospective validation study. The reproducibility and discriminatory ability of each CDR in the validation cohort was compared to the derivation dataset and details of missed outcomes were reported.

FINDINGS

There were 858 FN episodes in 462 patients from eight hospitals included. Bacteraemia occurred in 111 (12·9%) and a non-bacteraemia microbiological documented infection in 185 (21·6%). Eight CDRs exhibited reproducibility and sensitivity ranged from 64% to 96%. Rules that had >85% sensitivity in predicting outcomes classified few patients (<20%) as low risk. For three CDRs predicting a composite outcome of any bacterial or viral infection, the sensitivity and discriminatory ability improved for prediction of bacterial infection alone. Across all CDRs designed to be implemented at FN presentation, the sensitivity improved at day 2 assessment.

INTERPRETATION

While reproducibility was observed in eight out of the nine CDRs, no rule perfectly differentiated between children with FN at high or low risk of infection. This is in keeping with other validation studies and highlights the need for additional safeguards against missed infections or adverse outcomes before implementation can be considered.

Etiology, drug sensitivity profiles and clinical outcome of bloodstream infections: A retrospective study of 784 pediatric patients with hematological and neoplastic diseases

Bloodstream infections (BSI) represent one of the most serious complications in patients in the hematology-oncology unit. In this study, the prevalence, distribution, drug sensitivity profiles, and clinical outcome of BSI were analyzed in pediatric patients with hematological malignancies. Patients admitted to the pediatric hematology-oncology unit at Shenzhen Children's Hospital (Shenzen, China) between January 2016 and December 2017 were enrolled. Their medical records, including gender, age, primary diseases, and microbiology results of all clinical specimens, were reviewed. The incidence of BSI, microbiology characteristics, and effectiveness of antimicrobial therapy were analyzed. A total of 125 BSI cases in 108 patients (mean age, 5.5 years) were recorded, of which 69 (55.2%) were nosocomial BSI cases. The overall rate of BSI was 18.8% in the hematology-oncology unit, of which 75 (75.2%) episodes were neutropenic patients. Patients with nosocomial BSIs and the neutropenic group were older (p#.02, p#.03). HSCTs and AML were more often observed in nosocomial BSIs, while solid tumors were more found in nonnosocomial and non-neutropenic BSIs. BSIs were dominated by Gram-negative pathogens (49.6%) in the hematology-oncology unit compared with Gram-positive pathogens (39.2%). The most common pathogens were coagulase-negative Staphylococcus (24.2%) followed by Klebsiella pneumonia (15.2%), Escherichia coli (12.5%), viridans streptococci (8.2%), and Candida species (7.8%). The antibiotic therapy success rate in patients was 93.5%. Based on our center's experience, Gram-negative pathogens were commonly observed among pediatric hematology-oncology patients with BSI. Coagulase-negative Staphylococcus and K. pneumoniae predominated and antibiotic therapy was effective in these patients.

Nonneutropenic fever in children with cancer: A scoping review of management and outcome

To date, very few studies have addressed nonneutropenic fever (NNF) in children with cancer, and there are no consensus guidelines. This scoping review aims to describe the rate of bacteremia, risk factors for infection and management, and outcomes of NNF in this population. Across 15 studies (n = 4106 episodes), the pooled-average bacteremia rate was 8.2%, and risk factors included tunneled external central venous catheter, clinical instability, and higher temperature. In two studies, antibiotics were successfully withheld in a subset of low-risk patients. Overall outcomes of NNF appear favorable; however, further research is required to determine its true clinical and economic impact.

Outcomes of observation without empiric intravenous antibiotics in febrile, nonneutropenic pediatric oncology patients

There are no consensus guidelines for management of pediatric oncology patients presenting with fever and nonneutropenia, with limited research into the outcomes of withholding empiric i.v. antibiotics. We conducted a prospective cohort study assessing the safety and efficacy of observing well-appearing patients presenting with fever and nonneutropenia (absolute neutrophil count ≥ 500 cells/mm³ ). Of 238 episodes, 82.7% patients were observed with no infectious complications and low overall incidence of bacteremia (3.4%). There were no significant differences in individual clinical variables. We propose that observation alone in some well-appearing febrile pediatric oncology patients is safe and limits the use of unnecessary empiric antibiotics.

Multisite external validation of a risk prediction model for the diagnosis of blood stream infections in febrile pediatric oncology patients without severe neutropenia

BACKGROUND

Pediatric oncology patients are at an increased risk of invasive bacterial infection due to immunosuppression. The risk of such infection in the absence of severe neutropenia (absolute neutrophil count ≥ 500/μL) is not well established and a validated prediction model for blood stream infection (BSI) risk offers clinical usefulness.

METHODS

A 6-site retrospective external validation was conducted using a previously published risk prediction model for BSI in febrile pediatric oncology patients without severe neutropenia: the Esbenshade/Vanderbilt (EsVan) model. A reduced model (EsVan2) excluding 2 less clinically reliable variables also was created using the initial EsVan model derivative cohort, and was validated using all 5 external validation cohorts. One data set was used only in sensitivity analyses due to missing some variables.

RESULTS

From the 5 primary data sets, there were a total of 1197 febrile episodes and 76 episodes of bacteremia. The overall C statistic for predicting bacteremia was 0.695, with a calibration slope of 0.50 for the original model and a calibration slope of 1.0 when recalibration was applied to the model. The model performed better in predicting high-risk bacteremia (gram-negative or Staphylococcus aureus infection) versus BSI alone, with a C statistic of 0.801 and a calibration slope of 0.65. The EsVan2 model outperformed the EsVan model across data sets with a C statistic of 0.733 for predicting BSI and a C statistic of 0.841 for high-risk BSI.

CONCLUSIONS

The results of this external validation demonstrated that the EsVan and EsVan2 models are able to predict BSI across multiple performance sites and, once validated and implemented prospectively, could assist in decision making in clinical practice. Cancer 2017;123:3781-3790. © 2017 American Cancer Society.

Bacteremia in nonneutropenic pediatric oncology patients with central venous catheters in the ED

OBJECTIVE

To examine clinical characteristics associated with bacteremia in febrile nonneutropenic pediatric oncology patients with central venous catheters (CVCs) in the emergency department (ED).

BACKGROUND

Fever is the primary reason pediatric oncology patients present to the ED. The literature states that 0.9% to 39% of febrile nonneutropenic oncology patients are bacteremic, yet few studies have investigated infectious risk factors in this population.

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study in a pediatric ED, reviewing medical records from 2002 to 2014. Inclusion criteria were patients with cancer, temperature at least 38°C, presence of a CVC, absolute neutrophil count greater than 500 cells/μL, and age less than 22 years. Exclusion criteria were repeat ED visits within 72 hours, bloodwork results not reported by the laboratory, and patients without oncologic history documented at the study hospital. The primary outcome measure is a positive blood culture (+BC). Other variables include age, sex, CVC type, cancer diagnosis, absolute neutrophil count, vital signs, upper respiratory infection (URI) symptoms, and amount of intravenous (IV) normal saline (NS) administered in the ED. Data were analyzed using descriptive statistics and a multiple logistic regression model.

RESULTS

A total of 1322 ED visits were sampled, with 534 enrolled, and 39 visits had +BC (7.3%). Variables associated with an increased risk of +BC included the following: absence of URI symptoms (odds ratio [OR], 2.30; 95% CI, 1.13-4.69), neuroblastoma (OR, 3.65; 95% CI, 1.47-9.09), "other" cancer diagnosis (OR, 4.56; 95% CI, 1.93-10.76), tunneled externalized CVC (OR, 5.04; 95% CI, 2.25-11.28), and receiving at least 20 mL/kg IV NS (OR, 2.34; 95% CI, 1.2-4.55). The results of a multiple logistic regression model also showed these variables to be associated with +BC.

CONCLUSION

The absence of URI symptoms, presence of an externalized CVC, neuroblastoma or other cancer diagnosis, and receiving at least 20 mL/kg IV NS in the ED are associated with increased risk of bacteremia in nonneutropenic pediatric oncology patients with a CVC.

Approach to Non-Neutropenic Fever in Pediatric Oncology Patients-A Single Institution Study

BACKGROUND

Pediatric oncology patients with fever, even when not neutropenic, are known to be at an increased risk of bloodstream infections. However, there are no standard guidelines for management of fever in non-neutropenic patients, resulting in variability in practice across institutions.

PROCEDURE

We retrospectively analyzed the clinical characteristics, management, and outcome of all febrile non-neutropenic episodes in pediatric oncology patients at a single institution over the two-year period 2011-2012, to identify predictors of bloodstream infections. We assessed the efficacy of a uniform approach to outpatient management of a defined subset of patients at low risk of invasive infections.

RESULTS

A total of 254 episodes in 83 patients were identified. All patients had implanted central venous catheters (port). Sixty-two episodes (24%) were triaged as high-risk and admitted for inpatient management; five (8%) had positive blood cultures. The remaining 192 episodes were triaged as low risk and managed with once daily outpatient intravenous ceftriaxone; three (1.6%) were associated with bacteremia, and 10% required eventual inpatient management. Of all the factors analyzed, only signs of sepsis (lethargy, chills, hypotension) were associated with positive bloodstream infection.

CONCLUSIONS

Treatment of a defined subset of patients with outpatient intravenous ceftriaxone was safe and effective. Signs of sepsis were the only factor significantly associated with bloodstream infection. This study provides a baseline for future prospective studies assessing the safety of withholding antibiotics in this subset of patients.