Burden of lower respiratory infections in the Eastern Mediterranean Region between 1990 and 2015: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study

Emerging pneumococcal serotypes in Iraq: scope for improved vaccine development

Pneumococcal disease is a global public health concern as it affects the young, aged and the immunocompromised. The development of pneumococcal vaccines and their incorporation in the immunization programs has helped to reduce the global burden of disease. However, serotype replacement and the emergence of non-vaccine serotypes as well as the persistence of a few vaccine serotypes underscores the need for development of new and effective vaccines against such pneumococcal serotypes. In the Middle East, places of religious mass gatherings are a hotspot for disease transmission in addition to the global risk factors. Therefore, the periodic surveillance of pneumococcal serotypes circulating in the region to determine the effectiveness of existing prevention strategies and develop improved vaccines is warranted. Currently, there is a lack of serotype prevalence data for Iraq due to inadequate surveillance in the region. Thus, this review aims to determine the pneumococcal serotypes circulating in Iraq which may help in the development and introduction of improved pneumococcal vaccines in the country.

Global burden of influenza lower respiratory tract infections in older people from 1990 to 2019

BACKGROUND

Infections with influenza viruses cause severe illness, substantial number of hospitalization and death, especially in older adults. However, few studies have focused on the burden of influenza lower respiratory tract infections (LRTIs) solely in older adults, particularly in low-resource settings.

AIMS

We aimed to estimate the mortality and DALYs of influenza LRTIs for people aged 55 years and older in 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019.

METHODS

The Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 study was used to obtain data on mortality and DALYs of influenza LRTIs at the global, regional, and country levels.

RESULTS

In 2019, the global rates for mortality and DALYs of influenza LRTIs were 6.46 per 100,000 [95% uncertainty interval (UI): 2.37-12.62] and 97.39 per 100,000 (95% UI: 34.70-187.03). Although the rates for mortality and DALYs in people aged 55 years and older decreased from 1990 to 2019, the absolute numbers for both increased by 85.84% and 66.56%, respectively. Both the absolute numbers and rates of deaths and DALYs of influenza LRTIs were higher in male than in female in all age groups. Although low-socio-demographic index (SDI) regions experienced the largest declines for the rates of mortality and DALYs of influenza LRTIs over the past three decades, they still had the highest rates for mortality and DALYs in all age groups. Moreover, the absolute numbers and rates of deaths and DALYs of influenza LRTIs showed an increasing trend with age, reaching the peak in the people over 85 years old.

DISCUSSION

Burden of influenza LRTIs in older adults is still high and could continue to grow along with global aging.

CONCLUSION

Efforts to improve vaccination for influenza are needed for preparedness of another influenza pandemic, especially in low-SDI regions.

Burden of lower respiratory infections and associated risk factors across regions in Ethiopia: a subnational analysis of the Global Burden of Diseases 2019 study

OBJECTIVE

This analysis is to present the burden and trends of morbidity and mortality due to lower respiratory infections (LRIs), their contributing risk factors, and the disparity across administrative regions and cities from 1990 to 2019.

DESIGN

This analysis used Global Burden of Disease 2019 framework to estimate morbidity and mortality outcomes of LRI and its contributing risk factors. The Global Burden of Disease study uses all available data sources and Cause of Death Ensemble model to estimate deaths from LRI and a meta-regression disease modelling technique to estimate LRI non-fatal outcomes with 95% uncertainty intervals (UI).

STUDY SETTING

The study includes nine region states and two chartered cities of Ethiopia.

OUTCOME MEASURES

We calculated incidence, death and years of life lost (YLLs) due to LRIs and contributing risk factors using all accessible data sources. We calculated 95% UIs for the point estimates.

RESULTS

In 2019, LRIs incidence, death and YLLs among all age groups were 8313.7 (95% UI 7757.6-8918), 59.4 (95% UI 49.8-71.4) and 2404.5 (95% UI 2059.4-2833.3) per 100 000 people, respectively. From 1990, the corresponding decline rates were 39%, 61% and 76%, respectively. Children under the age of 5 years account for 20% of episodes, 42% of mortalities and 70% of the YLL of the total burden of LRIs in 2019. The mortality rate was significantly higher in predominantly pastoralist regions-Benishangul-Gumuz 101.8 (95% UI 84.0-121.7) and Afar 103.7 (95% UI 86.6-122.6). The Somali region showed the least decline in mortality rates. More than three-fourths of under-5 child deaths due to LRIs were attributed to malnutrition. Household air pollution from solid fuel attributed to nearly half of the risk factors for all age mortalities due to LRIs in the country.

CONCLUSION

In Ethiopia, LRIs have reduced significantly across the regions over the years (except in elders), however, are still the third-leading cause of mortality, disproportionately affecting children younger than 5 years old and predominantly pastoralist regions. Interventions need to consider leading risk factors, targeted age groups and pastoralist and cross-border communities.

The burden of lower respiratory infections and their underlying etiologies in the Middle East and North Africa region, 1990-2019: results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

BACKGROUND

Lower respiratory infections (LRIs) cause substantial mortality and morbidity. The present study reported and analysed the burden of LRIs in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region between 1990 and 2019, by age, sex, etiology, and socio-demographic index (SDI).

METHODS

The data used in this study were sourced from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study 2019. The annual incidence, deaths, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) due to LRIs were presented as counts and age-standardised rates per 100,000 population, along with their 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs). The average annual percent changes (AAPC) in the age-standardised incidence, death and DALYs rates were calculated using Joinpoint software and correlations (Pearson's correlation coefficient) between the AAPCs and SDIs were calculated using Stata software.

RESULTS

In 2019, there were 34.1 million (95% UI 31.7-36.8) incident cases of LRIs in MENA, with an age-standardised rate of 6510.2 (95% UI 6063.6-6997.8) per 100,000 population. The number of regional DALYs was 4.7 million (95% UI 3.9-5.4), with an age-standardised rate of 888.5 (95% UI 761.1-1019.9) per 100,000 population, which has decreased since 1990. Furthermore, Egypt [8150.8 (95% UI 7535.8-8783.5)] and Afghanistan [61.9 (95% UI 52.1-72.6)] had the highest age-standardised incidence and death rates, respectively. In 2019, the regional incidence and DALY rates were highest in the 1-4 age group, in both females and males. In terms of deaths, pneumococcus and H. influenza type B were the most and least common types of LRIs, respectively. From 1990 to 2019, the burden of LRIs generally decreased with increasing SDI. There were significant positive correlations between SDI and the AAPCs for the age-standardised incidence, death and DALY rates (p < 0.05). Over the 1990-2019 period, the regional incidence, deaths and DALYs attributable to LRIs decreased with AAPCs of - 1.19% (- 1.25 to - 1.13), - 2.47% (- 2.65 to - 2.28) and - 4.21% (- 4.43 to - 3.99), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The LRI-associated burden in the MENA region decreased between 1990 and 2019. SDI had a significant positive correlation with the AAPC and pneumococcus was the most common underlying cause of LRIs. Afghanistan, Yemen and Egypt had the largest burdens in 2019. Further studies are needed to investigate the effectiveness of healthcare interventions and programs to control LRIs and their risk factors.

Syndromic surveillance of respiratory infections during protracted conflict: experiences from northern Syria 2016-2021

OBJECTIVE

Northern Syria faces a large burden of influenza-like illness (ILI) and severe acute respiratory illness (SARI). This study aimed to investigate the trends of Early Warning and Response Network (EWARN) reported ILI and SARI in northern Syria between 2016 and 2021 and the potential impact of SARS-CoV-2.

METHODS

We extracted weekly EWARN data on ILI/ SARI and aggregated cases and consultations into 4-week intervals to calculate case positivity. We conducted a seasonal-trend decomposition to assess case trends in the presence of seasonal fluctuations.

RESULTS

It was observed that 4-week aggregates of ILI cases (n = 5,942,012), SARI cases (n = 114,939), ILI case positivity, and SARI case positivity exhibited seasonal fluctuations with peaks in the winter months. ILI and SARI cases in individuals aged ≥5 years surpassed those in individuals aged <5 years in late 2019. ILI cases clustered primarily in Aleppo and Idlib, whereas SARI cases clustered in Aleppo, Idlib, Deir Ezzor, and Hassakeh. SARI cases increased sharply in 2021, corresponding with a severe SARS-CoV-2 wave, compared with the steady increase in ILI cases over time.

CONCLUSION

Respiratory infections cause widespread morbidity and mortality throughout northern Syria, particularly with the emergence of SARS-CoV-2. Strengthened surveillance and access to testing and treatment are critical to manage outbreaks among conflict-affected populations.

Distribution and Drug Resistance of Bacterial Pathogens Associated with Lower Respiratory Tract Infection in Children and the Effect of COVID-19 on the Distribution of Pathogens

By studying the distribution and drug resistance of bacterial pathogens associated with lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI) in children in Chengdu and the effect of the COVID-19 on the distribution of pathogens and by analyzing the epidemic trend and drug resistance changes of the main pathogens of LRTI, this research is supposed to provide a useful basis for the prevention of LRTI in children and the rational use of drugs in clinical practice. Hospitalized children clinically diagnosed with LRTI in Chengdu Women and Children's Central Hospital from 2011 to 2020 were selected as the study subjects. The pathogens of LRTI in children and the distribution of pathogens in different ages, genders, seasons, years, and departments and before and after the pandemic situation of COVID-19 were counted. The drug resistance distribution of the top six pathogens with the highest infection rate in the past three years and the trend of drug resistance in the past decade were analyzed. A total of 26,469 pathogens were isolated. Among them, 6240 strains (23.6%) were Gram-positive bacteria, 20152 strains (76.1%) were Gram-negative bacteria, and 73 strains (0.3%) were fungi. Klebsiella pneumoniae, Escherichia coli, Enterobacter cloacae, and Staphylococcus aureus were highly isolated in the group of infants aged 0-1 (P < 0.01), Moraxella catarrhalis and Streptococcus pneumoniae were highly isolated in children aged 1–6 (P < 0.01), and Haemophilus influenzae was highly isolated in children over 1 (P < 0.01). The isolation rates of Enterobacteriaceae, Acinetobacter baumannii, Pseudomonas aeruginosa, Stenotrophomonas maltophilia, Staphylococcus aureus, and Candida albicans in the lower respiratory tract of 0-1 year-old male infants were higher than those of female infants (p < 0.05). Haemophilus influenzae was highly isolated in spring and summer, and Moraxella catarrhalis was highly isolated in autumn and winter, while the infection of Streptococcus pneumoniae was mainly concentrated in winter. This difference was statistically significant (P < 0.01). Affected by the COVID-19 pandemic, the isolation rates of Haemophilus influenzae and Streptococcus pneumoniae were significantly lower than those before the pandemic, and the isolation rate of Moraxella catarrhalis was significantly higher. The difference was statistically significant (P < 0.01). The proportion of isolated negative bacteria in NICU and PICU was higher than that in positive bacteria, and the infection rates of Klebsiella pneumoniae, Escherichia coli, Enterobacter cloacae, and Acinetobacter baumannii were higher than those in other departments. The differences were statistically significant (P < 0.01). The results of drug sensitivity test showed that the drug resistance of Haemophilus influenzae and Moraxella catarrhalis was mainly concentrated in Ampicillin, First- and Second-generation cephalosporins, and Cotrimoxazole, with stable sensitivity to Third-generation cephalosporins, while the drug resistance of Streptococcus pneumoniae was concentrated in Macrolides, Sulfonamides, and Tetracyclines, with stable sensitivity to Penicillin. Staphylococcus aureus is highly resistant to penicillins and macrolides and susceptible to vancomycin. Enterobacteriaceae resistance is concentrated in cephalosporins, with a low rate of carbapenem resistance. From 2018 to 2020, 1557 strains of Staphylococcus aureus were isolated, of which 416 strains were MRSA, accounting for 27% of the isolates; 1064 strains of Escherichia coli were isolated, of which 423 strains were ESBL and 23 strains were CRE, accounting for 40% and 2% of the isolates, respectively; and 1400 strains of Klebsiella pneumoniae were isolated, of which 385 strains were ESBL and 402 strains were CRE, accounting for 28% and 29% of the isolates, respectively. Since 2011, the resistance of Escherichia coli and Klebsiella pneumoniae to Third-generation cephalosporins has increased, peaking in 2017, and has decreased after 2018, years after which carbapenem resistance has increased significantly, corresponding to an increase in the detection rate of Carbapenem-resistant Enterobacteriaceae CRE. Findings from this study revealed that there are significant differences in community-associated infectious pathogens before and after the COVID-19 pandemic, and there are significant age differences, seasonal epidemic trends, and high departmental correlation of pathogens related to lower respiratory tract disease infection in children. There was a significant gender difference in the isolation rate of pathogens associated with LRTI in infants under one year. Vaccination, implementation of isolation measures and social distance, strengthening of personal protective measures, aseptic operation of invasive medical treatment, hand hygiene, and environmental disinfection are beneficial to reducing community-associated pathogen infection, opportunistic pathogen infection, and an increase in resistant bacteria. The strengthening of bacterial culture of lower respiratory tract samples by pediatricians is conducive to the diagnosis of respiratory tract infections caused by different pathogens, contributing to the selection of effective drugs for treatment according to drug susceptibility results, which is important for the rational use of antibiotics and curbing bacterial resistance.

Loss of life expectancy due to respiratory infectious diseases: findings from the global burden of disease study in 195 countries and territories 1990–2017

Understanding of the patterns of and changes in mortality from respiratory infectious diseases (RID) and its contribution to loss of life expectancy (LE) is inadequate in the existing literature. With rapid sociodemographic changes globally, and the current COVID-19 pandemic, it is timely to revisit the disease burden of RID. Using the approaches of life table and cause-eliminated life table based on data from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD), the study analyses loss of LE due to RID in 195 countries/territories and its changes during the period 1990–2017. Results indicate that loss of LE due to RID stood at 1.29 years globally in 2017 globally and varied widely by age, gender, and geographic location, with men, elderly people, and populations in middle/low income countries/territories suffering a disproportionately high loss of LE due to RID. Additionally, loss of LE due to RID decreased remarkably by 0.97 years globally during the period 1990–2017 but increased slightly among populations older than 70 years and in many high income countries/territories. Results suggest that RID still pose a severe threat for population and public health, and that amid dramatic sociodemographic changes globally, the disease burden of RID may resurge. The study presents the first examination of the life-shortening effect of RID at the global and country/territory levels, providing new understanding of the changing disease burden of RID and shedding light on the potential consequences of the current COVID-19 pandemic.

Acute respiratory infections (ARIs) and factors associated with their poor clinical outcome among children under-five years attending pediatric wards of public hospital in Southwest district of Ethiopia: A prospective observational cohort study

This study was designed to assess the prevalence and factors associated with poor clinical outcome of acute respiratory infections (ARIs) among children less than five years of age at Mizan-Tepi university teaching public hospital in southwest district of Ethiopia. A prospective observational cohort study design was conducted from 01 June to August 30, 2020. Data related to socio-demographics, child nutritional status, clinical and environmental characteristics of patients were collected with structured questionnaire. Follow-up data were gathered from patient’s medical records using standard data collection tool. The data were analyzed using SPSS versions 25.0. In this study, 305 children of age less than five years were included. Of these, 124 (40.7%) of children were diagnosed with ARIs, of which 66 (53.2%) were female and 69 (55.6%) were age of 24–59 months. Of children diagnosed with ARIs, 21 (16.9%) were ended with poor clinical outcomes after completion of their treatment. In the multivariate analysis, age of children and presence of any other disease conditions (OR = 0.331; 95% CI: 0.123– 0.880; p= 0.024), exposure to indoor air pollution (OR = 0.344; 95% CI: 0.128– 0.925; p= 0.030),  malnutrition (OR = 0.175; 95% CI: 0.058– 0.523; p= 0.002) and end point pneumonia (OR = 0.305; 95% CI: 0.113–0.821; p= 0.015) were found to be independent factors for poor outcome of under-five children with ARIs. Our findings highlight that timely detection, proper management and treatments as well as addressing other contributing factors are essentials in order to reduce prevalence and poor clinical outcomes of under five children with ARIs.

Clinical outcome and risk factors of patients with suspected pneumonia in Southwest district of Ethiopia, 2020: A retrospective study

Acute respiratory infections (ARIs), especially pneumonia, remain the leading cause of childhood mortality and the most common reason for adult hospitalization in low- and middle-income countries, despite advances in preventative and management strategies. This study was conducted to assess factors associated with poor clinical outcome of suspected pneumonia cases among hospitalized patients at the three public health hospitals in Southwest district of Ethiopia. A cross-sectional study was conducted from May to July, 2020. Those patients admitted with suspected pneumonia were followed up during their hospital stay, and data on outcomes were captured by study nurses. Socio-demographics, clinical features, and follow-up data were gathered, and analyzed using SPSS versions 20.0. The differences in patients’ outcome in relation to their clinical features and epidemiologically linked exposures were described and compared using chi-square tests at 95% confident intervals. In this study, 742 patients with suspected pneumonia were analyzed. Of these, 473 (62.8%) of them were male, and 264 (35.6%) were of age 1–4 years. About 533 (71.8%) patients with suspected pneumonia were presented with irregular respiratory signs/symptoms (more than one symptoms) and 132 (17.9%) had underline illnesses. About 633 (85.4%) of patients were improved after treatment, and 109 (14.7%) of them ended with poor clinical outcome after completion of their treatment. Age of the patients and presence of comorbid conditions such as HIV/AIDS infections and bronchial asthma were identified as the risk factors for poor outcome of patients with suspected pneumonia. The clinical outcome of patients with suspected pneumonia at the three hospitals in Southwest district of Ethiopia was not satisfactory. Our findings highlight that in order to reduce poor clinical outcome related to suspected pneumonia, the efforts should be focused on some factors like management and prevention of chronic comorbidities. Increasing clinicians’ awareness on early management of suspected pneumonia cases is also essential in reducing the burden of the disease .

Bacterial profile and drug susceptibility among adult patients with community acquired lower respiratory tract infection at tertiary hospital, Southern Ethiopia

BACKGROUND

Lower respiratory tract infection is a global problem accounting over 50 million deaths annually. Here, we determined the bacterial profile and antimicrobial susceptibility pattern of lower respiratory tract infections among adult patients attending at Tertiary Hospital, Southern Ethiopia.

METHODS

A cross sectional study was conducted among adult patients with lower respiratory infection at the medical outpatient department of the Hospital. A sputum sample was collected and processed for bacterial culture and antimicrobial susceptibility test. Semi structured questionnaires were used to collect data. SPSS version 22 software was used for statistical analysis and a p value of < 0.05 was considered as statistically significant.

RESULTS

Out of 406 sputum samples of participants 136(33.5%) were culture positive for 142 bacterial isolates. Klebsiella pneumoniae 36(25.4%) was the predominant isolate followed by Pseudomonas species 25(17.6%). Gram-negative bacteria were sensitive to cefepime (86.0%) and ciprofloxacin (77.8%) antibiotics while gram-positive (76.5%) to clindamycin.

CONCLUSION

Community acquired lower respiratory tract Infection was highly prevalent in the study area and the isolates showed resistant to common antibiotics such as ampicillin, augmentin, ceftazidime and tetracycline. Therefore, culture and susceptibility test is vital for appropriate management of lower respiratory tract infection in the study area.

Unintentional exposure and incidental findings during conventional chest radiography in the pediatric intensive care unit

Radiation overexposure is common in chest X-ray (CXRs) of pediatric patients. However, overexposure may reveal incidental findings that can help to guide patient management or warrant quality improvement.To assess the prevalence of overexposure in CXRs in pediatric intensive care unit (PICU); and identify the incidental findings within overexposed areas, we conducted a retrospective cohort study of children who were admitted to PICU. Two independent evaluators reviewed patient's charts and digital CXRs according to the American College of Radiology standards; to evaluate overexposure of the anatomical parameters and incidental findings.A total of 400 CXRs of 85 patients were reviewed. The mean number of CXRs per patient was 4.7. Almost all (99.75%) CXRs met the criteria for overexposure, with the most common being upper abdomen (99.2%), upper limbs (97%) and neck (95.7%). In addition, 43% of these X-rays were cropped by the radiology technician to appear within the requested perimeter. There was a significant association between field cropping and overexposure (t-test: t = 9.8, P < .001). Incidental findings were seen in 41.5% of the radiographs; with the most common being gaseous abdominal distension (73.1%), low-positioned nasogastric tube (24.6%), and constipation (10.3%).Anatomical overexposure in routine CXRs remains high and raises a concern in PICU practice. Appropriate collimation of the X-ray beam, rather than electronically cropping the image, is highly recommended to minimize hiding incidental findings in the cropped-out areas. Redefining the anatomic boundaries of CXR in critically ill infants and children may need further studies and consideration. Quality improvement initiatives to minimize radiation overexposure in PICU are recommended, especially in younger children and those with more severe illness upon PICU admission.

Betulin attenuates pneumolysin-induced cell injury and DNA damage

AIMS

Pneumolysin, a pore-forming toxin, is an important virulence factor of Streptococcus pneumoniae with multiple biological activity, such as cell lysis and DNA damage. Thus, targeting this toxin is alternative strategy for the treatment of S. pneumoniae infection.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Haemolysin assay was performed to identify the potential PLY inhibitor. The mechanism by which betulin, a natural compound from birch bark, against PLY was determined via MICs determination, western blot analysis and oligomerization analysis. Cytotoxicity and Immunofluorescence assays were further used to evaluate the protection of betulin against PLY-induced cell injury and DNA damage. Here, betulin, a natural compound from birch bark, was indentified as an effective inhibitor of PLY. Importantly, at the concentrations required for such inhibition, betulin has no influence on S. pneumoniae viability or PLY production. The interaction of betulin with PLY restrict the olgomerizaiton of this toxin and, thus, directly neutralizing the activity of PLY. Additionally, betulin treatment alleviate PLY induced cells injury and DNA damage in the co-culture system of PLY and A549 cells.

CONCLUSIONS

Betulin could be used as a promising leading compound against S. pneumoniae virulence by directly targeting PLY without antibacterial activity.

SIGNIFICANCE AND IMPACT OF THE STUDY

The results presented in this work provided a novel strategy and candidate for S. pneumoniae infection.

Platelets and Their Role in the Pathogenesis of Cardiovascular Events in Patients With Community-Acquired Pneumonia

Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) remains an important cause of morbidity and mortality throughout the world with much recent and ongoing research focused on the occurrence of cardiovascular events (CVEs) during the infection, which are associated with adverse short-term and long-term survival. Much of the research directed at unraveling the pathogenesis of these events has been undertaken in the settings of experimental and clinical CAP caused by the dangerous, bacterial respiratory pathogen, Streptococcus pneumoniae (pneumococcus), which remains the most common bacterial cause of CAP. Studies of this type have revealed that although platelets play an important role in host defense against infection, there is also increasing recognition that hyperactivation of these cells contributes to a pro-inflammatory, prothrombotic systemic milieu that contributes to the etiology of CVEs. In the case of the pneumococcus, platelet-driven myocardial damage and dysfunction is exacerbated by the direct cardiotoxic actions of pneumolysin, a major pore-forming toxin of this pathogen, which also acts as potent activator of platelets. This review is focused on the role of platelets in host defense against infection, including pneumococcal infection in particular, and reviews the current literature describing the potential mechanisms by which platelet activation contributes to cardiovascular complications in CAP. This is preceded by an evaluation of the burden of pneumococcal infection in CAP, the clinical features and putative pathogenic mechanisms of the CVE, and concludes with an evaluation of the potential utility of the anti-platelet activity of macrolides and various adjunctive therapies.

Environmental Health Research in Africa: Important Progress and Promising Opportunities

The World Health Organization in 2016 estimated that over 20% of the global disease burden and deaths were attributed to modifiable environmental factors. However, data clearly characterizing the impact of environmental exposures and health endpoints in African populations is limited. To describe recent progress and identify important research gaps, we reviewed literature on environmental health research in African populations over the last decade, as well as research incorporating both genomic and environmental factors. We queried PubMed for peer-reviewed research articles, reviews, or books examining environmental exposures and health outcomes in human populations in Africa. Searches utilized medical subheading (MeSH) terms for environmental exposure categories listed in the March 2018 US National Report on Human Exposure to Environmental Chemicals, which includes chemicals with worldwide distributions. Our search strategy retrieved 540 relevant publications, with studies evaluating health impacts of ambient air pollution (n=105), indoor air pollution (n = 166), heavy metals (n = 130), pesticides (n = 95), dietary mold (n = 61), indoor mold (n = 9), per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFASs, n = 0), electronic waste (n = 9), environmental phenols (n = 4), flame retardants (n = 8), and phthalates (n = 3), where publications could belong to more than one exposure category. Only 23 publications characterized both environmental and genomic risk factors. Cardiovascular and respiratory health endpoints impacted by air pollution were comparable to observations in other countries. Air pollution exposures unique to Africa and some other resource limited settings were dust and specific occupational exposures. Literature describing harmful health effects of metals, pesticides, and dietary mold represented a context unique to Africa. Studies of exposures to phthalates, PFASs, phenols, and flame retardants were very limited. These results underscore the need for further focus on current and emerging environmental and chemical health risks as well as better integration of genomic and environmental factors in African research studies. Environmental exposures with distinct routes of exposure, unique co-exposures and co-morbidities, combined with the extensive genomic diversity in Africa may lead to the identification of novel mechanisms underlying complex disease and promising potential for translation to global public health.

The rate of viral transfer between upper and lower respiratory tracts determines RSV illness duration

Respiratory syncytial virus can lead to serious lower respiratory infection (LRI), particularly in children and the elderly. LRI can cause longer infections, lingering respiratory problems, and higher incidence of hospitalization. In this paper, we use a simplified ordinary differential equation model of viral dynamics to study the role of transport mechanisms in the occurrence of LRI. Our model uses two compartments to simulate the upper respiratory tract and the lower respiratory tract (LRT) and assumes two distinct types of viral transfer between the two compartments: diffusion and advection. We find that a range of diffusion and advection values lead to long-lasting infections in the LRT, elucidating a possible mechanism for the severe LRI infections observed in humans.

Danger ahead: the burden of diseases, injuries, and risk factors in the Eastern Mediterranean Region, 1990-2015

OBJECTIVES

The Eastern Mediterranean Region faces several health challenges at a difficult time with wars, unrest, and economic change.

METHODS

We used the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study to present the burden of diseases, injuries, and risk factors in the Eastern Mediterranean Region from 1990 to 2015.

RESULTS

Ischemic heart disease was the leading cause of death in the region in 2015, followed by cerebrovascular disease. Changes in total deaths ranged from a reduction of 25% for diarrheal diseases to an increase of about 42% for diabetes and tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer. Collective violence and legal intervention increased by 850% during the time period. Diet was the leading risk factor for disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for men compared to maternal malnutrition for females. Childhood undernutrition was the leading risk factor for DALYs in 1990 and 2005, but the second in 2015 after high blood pressure.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study shows that the region is facing several health challenges and calls for global efforts to stabilise the region and to address the current and future burden of disease.

The effects of interaction between particulate matter and temperature on mortality in Beijing, China

BACKGROUND

the effects of interaction between temperature and inhalable particulate matter (aerodynamic diameter < 10 μm, PM₁₀) on mortality have been examined in some previous studies, but the results were inconsistent. This study aims to explore whether the effects of PM₁₀ on daily non-accidental, cardiovascular and respiratory mortality were modified by temperature levels in Beijing from 2006 to 2009.

METHODS

we applied a bivariate response surface model and temperature-stratified model based on time-series Poisson generalized additive models (GAMs) to examine the interactive effects in single- and two-pollutant models. The modification of age and gender was examined in subgroup analyses.

RESULTS

the median of temperature (15.9 °C) and visualized turning point (20 °C) were chosen as cut-offs to define the temperature strata as two levels (low and high). Results showed that the effect estimates of PM₁₀ were stronger at the high temperature level for non-accidental, cardiovascular and respiratory mortality than at the low temperature level. When controlling the moving average lag of temperature for 14 days, the effect estimates per 10 μg m^-3 increase in PM₁₀ for non-accidental, cardiovascular and respiratory mortality increased 0.14% (95% CI: 0.05, 0.22), 0.12% (95% CI: 0.02, 0.23) and 0.14% (95% CI: -0.06, 0.34) when the temperature was low and 0.24% (95% CI: 0.12, 0.35), 0.17% (95% CI: 0.01, 0.34) and 0.45% (95% CI: 0.13, 0.78) at the high temperature level, respectively. In the two-pollutant model, the effects of PM₁₀ were attenuated at both high and low temperatures at all lags after adjusting SO₂ and NO₂. The PM₁₀ effects were stronger at the high temperature level for females and elderly people (≥65 years old).

CONCLUSION

the findings suggest that daily mortality attributed to PM₁₀ might be modified by temperature. The interaction between air pollution and global climate change has potential strategy and policy implications.