Temporal trends in the incidence rates of keratinocyte carcinomas from 1978 to 2018 in Tasmania, Australia: a population-based study

Prior nonmelanoma skin cancer is associated with fewer fractures, more vitamin D sufficiency, greater bone mineral density and improved bone microarchitecture in older adults

INTRODUCTION

Prior nonmelanoma skin cancer (NMSC), a biomarker of cumulative lifetime sun exposure, is associated with reduced fracture risk later in life. The mechanism is unknown.

METHODS

Prospective cohort analysis of 1,099 community-dwelling adults aged 50-80 years with baseline and 10 year follow up assessments. Histopathologically-confirmed NMSC diagnosis was established by linkage with the Tasmanian Cancer Registry. Bone mineral density (BMD) and vertebral deformity were quantified by DXA, 25(OH)D by radioimmunoassay, bone microarchitecture by high resolution peripheral quantitative CT, melanin density by spectrophotometry and skin photosensitivity and clinical fracture by questionnaire. 25(OH)D <50 nmol/L was considered deficient.

RESULTS

Participants with a NMSC reported prior to baseline were less likely to sustain an incident vertebral deformity over 10 years (RR=0.74, p=0.036). There were similar reductions for other fracture types but these did not reach significance. Prior NMSC was associated with baseline (RR=1.23, p=0.005) and 10 year longitudinal (RR=5.9, p=0.014) vitamin D sufficiency and greater total body BMD (β=0.021g/cm2, p=0.034), but not falls risk or muscle strength. The relationship between prior NMSC and bone microarchitecture was age dependent (pinteraction<0.05). In the oldest age tertile, prior NMSC was associated with greater volumetric BMD (β=57.8-62.6, p=0.002-0.01) and less porosity (β= -4.6 - -5.2, p=0.002-0.009) at cortical, compact cortical and outer transitional zones.

CONCLUSION

Prior NMSC was associated with fewer incident fractures in community-dwelling older adults. This protective association is most likely mediated by modifiable fracture risk factors associated with an outdoor lifestyle, including 25(OH)D, BMD and bone microarchitecture.

Continuing benefits of the Montreal Protocol and protection of the stratospheric ozone layer for human health and the environment

The protection of Earth's stratospheric ozone (O3) is an ongoing process under the auspices of the universally ratified Montreal Protocol and its Amendments and adjustments. A critical part of this process is the assessment of the environmental issues related to changes in O3. The United Nations Environment Programme's Environmental Effects Assessment Panel provides annual scientific evaluations of some of the key issues arising in the recent collective knowledge base. This current update includes a comprehensive assessment of the incidence rates of skin cancer, cataract and other skin and eye diseases observed worldwide; the effects of UV radiation on tropospheric oxidants, and air and water quality; trends in breakdown products of fluorinated chemicals and recent information of their toxicity; and recent technological innovations of building materials for greater resistance to UV radiation. These issues span a wide range of topics, including both harmful and beneficial effects of exposure to UV radiation, and complex interactions with climate change. While the Montreal Protocol has succeeded in preventing large reductions in stratospheric O3, future changes may occur due to a number of natural and anthropogenic factors. Thus, frequent assessments of potential environmental impacts are essential to ensure that policies remain based on the best available scientific knowledge.

Age group-specific changes in keratinocyte cancer treatment rates in Australia, 2012-2021: a retrospective cohort study based on MBS claims data

OBJECTIVES

To examine recent changes in the numbers of Medicare-subsidised keratinocyte cancer excisions, particularly for younger people exposed to primary prevention campaigns since the early 1980s.

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study; analysis of administrative data.

SETTING, PARTICIPANTS

Analysis of Medicare Benefits Schedule (MBS) claims data for procedures related to the diagnosis and treatment of keratinocyte cancer in Australia, 2012-2021.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Age-standardised rates for MBS-subsidised claims for first surgical squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) and basal cell carcinoma (BCC) excisions, Mohs surgery, surgical excisions of benign lesions, skin biopsies, and cryotherapy or serial curettage of premalignant and malignant lesions, overall, and by sex, state/territory, and age group; average annual percentage change in rate for time intervals determined by joinpoint regression.

RESULTS

In men, the age-standardised rate of BCC/SCC excisions increased by 1.9% (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.4-2.4%) per year during 2012-2019 (from 2931 to 3371 per 100 000 men) and then declined by 3.8% (95% CI, 0.5-7.0%) per year during 2019-2021 (to 3152 per 100 000). In women, the age-standardised rate increased by 2.2% (95% CI, 1.7-2.8%) per year during 2012-2019 (from 1798 to 2093 per 100 000 women); the decline to 1967 excisions per 100 000 women in 2021 was not statistically significant. BCC/SCC excision rates declined for men under 55 years of age (by 1.0-3.4% per year) and women under 45 years of age (by 1.7-2.3% per year). Age-standardised biopsy rates increased during 2012-2021 in all age groups (by 2.8-6.9% per year).

CONCLUSIONS

Rates of MBS-subsidised treatment for keratinocyte cancers increased during 2012-2019, but BCC/SCC treatment rates declined among younger Australians, who have probably been exposed to less sunlight than earlier generations because of public health interventions and population-wide lifestyle changes related to technology use.

Keratinocyte carcinomas, area-level socioeconomic status and geographic remoteness in Tasmania: cross-sectional associations and temporal trends

OBJECTIVE

This article aims to examine cross-sectional associations and assess temporal trends in keratinocyte carcinoma (KC) incidence by area-level socioeconomic status (SES) and geographic remoteness in Tasmania, Australia.

METHODS

KCs - basal cell carcinoma (BCC) and cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) - registered by the Tasmanian Cancer Registry were assigned to area-level SES and remoteness area. Incidence rate ratios (2014-2018) were estimated using Poisson regression. Average annual percentage changes (2001-2018) were estimated using the Joinpoint Regression Program.

RESULTS

BCC incidence increased with increasing area-level advantage (p-value for trend <0.001), but no trend was found for SCC. SCC incidence was higher in rural than urban areas (p-value <0.001), and BCC incidence was slightly higher in rural than urban areas for females (p-value = 0.009), but not for males (p-value = 0.373). BCC and SCC incidence increased between 2001 and the mid-2010s, when it peaked across most areas.

CONCLUSIONS

Associations were found between BCC and higher area-level SES, and between SCC and geographic remoteness. The findings suggest differences in sun exposure behaviours, skin cancer awareness and access to services, or ascertainment bias.

IMPLICATIONS FOR PUBLIC HEALTH

Efforts to control and deliver KC services in Tasmania should consider targeting populations with specific area-level characteristics.

International patterns and trends in the incidence of melanoma and cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma, 1989-2020

BACKGROUND

Cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (cSCC) and melanoma have different associations with sun exposure.

OBJECTIVES

To compare trends in the incidence rates of cSCC and melanoma, to provide insight into changing patterns of exposure to ultraviolet radiation (UVR).

METHODS

We compared trends in the incidence of cSCC and melanoma in seven susceptible populations residing at mid-to-high latitudes: Finland, Norway, Sweden, Denmark, Scotland, the Netherlands and Tasmania (Australia). We fitted Joinpoint models to describe trends in age-standardized incidence rates for melanoma and cSCC and calculated the average annual percentage rate of change for the period 1989-2020 (1989-2018 for Tasmania). We calculated the incident rate ratio (IRR) as the ratio of the age-standardized rates (European Standard Population) for cSCC to melanoma and conducted age-period-cohort modelling to compare age, period and cohort effects.

RESULTS

The ratio of cSCC-to-melanoma incidence increased with proximity to the equator and over time. In the most recent time period, the incidence of cSCC was higher than the incidence of melanoma for men and women in all seven populations. While the ratio of cSCC-to-melanoma incidence was higher for men vs. women, in most countries the cSCC-to-melanoma IRR increased over time to a greater extent in women than in men. Melanoma incidence was higher among younger people and cSCC incidence was higher among older people; the age at which the incidence of cSCC overtook the incidence of melanoma was progressively younger with proximity to the equator.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite concerted international efforts to preserve the ozone layer over the past four decades resulting in significant reductions in surface ultraviolet B at mid-latitudes, the incidence of skin cancer, particularly cSCC, continues to rise in those regions. Our findings are consistent with a stronger association with age-associated cumulative sun exposure for cSCC vs. melanoma and suggest that women are currently receiving greater UV radiation exposure than in the past.

Mortality from Nonmelanoma Skin Cancer in Australia from 1971 to 2021

The number of non-melanoma skin cancers (NMSC) removed from Australians is increasing every year. The number of deaths from NMSC is increasing but so is the population. However, the population has greatly changed with many dark-skinned people migrating to Australia. These people are at low risk for skin cancer even if they live all their lives in Australia. The susceptible population is the rest of the population. The death rate from NMSC for the entire population and susceptible populations since 1971 is examined in this article.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Data on the Australian population were obtained from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). Every five years a census is held in Australia and detailed information of the population is provided. The ABS also provided yearly data on the causes of death in Australia.

RESULTS

The total population increased from 12,755,638 in 1971 to 25,738,140 in 2021. However, the susceptible population increased by far less, from 12,493,780 to 19,773,783. The number of deaths from NMSC increased from 143 to 765. The crude death rate for the susceptible population increased from 1.1 per 100,000 to 3.9 per 100,000. The crude death rate in the susceptible population aged 65 or more increased from 9.4 to 18.2 per 100,000.

CONCLUSION

Deaths from NMSC are increasing despite public health campaigns to prevent skin cancer. According to current trends, NMSC will cause more deaths than melanoma in Australia.

Long-term cost-effectiveness of a melanoma prevention program using genomic risk information compared with standard prevention advice in Australia

PURPOSE

Evidence indicates that a melanoma prevention program using personalized genomic risk provision and genetic counseling can affect prevention behaviors, including reducing sunburns in adults with no melanoma history. This analysis evaluated its longer-term cost-effectiveness from an Australian health system perspective.

METHODS

The primary outcome was incremental cost effectiveness ratio (ICER) of genomic risk provision (intervention) compared with standard prevention advice. A decision-analytic Markov model was developed using randomized trial data to simulate lifetime cost-effectiveness. All costs were presented in 2018/19 Australian dollars (AUD). The intervention effect on reduced sunburns was stratified by sex and traditional risk, which was calculated through a validated prediction model. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were undertaken for robustness checks.

RESULTS

The per participant cost of intervention was AUD$189. Genomic risk provision targeting high-traditional risk individuals produced an ICER of AUD$35,254 (per quality-adjusted life year gained); sensitivity analyses indicated the intervention would be cost-effective in more than 50% of scenarios. When the intervention was extended to low-traditional risk groups, the ICER was AUD$43,746 with a 45% probability of being cost-effective.

CONCLUSION

Genomic risk provision targeted to high-traditional melanoma risk individuals is likely a cost-effective strategy for reducing sunburns and will likely prevent future melanomas and keratinocyte carcinomas.

Keratinocyte carcinomas, area-level socioeconomic status and geographic remoteness in Tasmania: cross-sectional associations and temporal trends

OBJECTIVE

This article aims to examine cross-sectional associations and assess temporal trends in keratinocyte carcinoma (KC) incidence by area-level socioeconomic status (SES) and geographic remoteness in Tasmania, Australia.

METHODS

KCs-basal cell carcinoma (BCC) and cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (SCC)-registered by the Tasmanian Cancer Registry were assigned to area-level SES and remoteness area. Incidence rate ratios (2014-2018) were estimated using Poisson regression. Average annual percentage changes (2001-2018) were estimated using the Joinpoint Regression Program.

RESULTS

BCC incidence increased with increasing area-level advantage (p value for trend <0.001), but no trend was found for SCC. SCC incidence was higher in rural than urban areas (p value <0.001), and BCC incidence was slightly lower in rural than urban areas for males (p value = 0.026), but not for females (p value = 0.381). BCC and SCC incidence increased between 2001 and the mid-2010s, when it peaked across most areas.

CONCLUSIONS

Associations were found between BCC and higher area-level SES, and between SCC and geographic remoteness. The findings suggest differences in sun exposure behaviours, skin cancer awareness and access to services, or ascertainment bias.

IMPLICATIONS FOR PUBLIC HEALTH

Efforts to control and deliver KC services in Tasmania should consider targeting populations with specific area-level characteristics.

Skin cancer-related conditions managed in general practice in Australia, 2000-2016: a nationally representative, cross-sectional survey

OBJECTIVE

Skin cancer is Australia's most common and costly cancer. We examined the frequency of Australian general practice consultations for skin cancer-related conditions, by patient and general practitioner (GP) characteristics and by time period.

DESIGN

Nationally representative, cross-sectional survey of general practice clinical activity.

SETTING, PARTICIPANTS

Patients aged 15 years or older having a skin cancer-related condition managed by GPs in the Bettering the Evaluation And Care of Health study between April 2000 and March 2016.

PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURES

Proportions and rates per 1000 encounters.

RESULTS

In this period, 15 678 GPs recorded 1 370 826 patient encounters, of which skin cancer-related conditions were managed 65 411 times (rate of 47.72 per 1000 encounters, 95% CI 46.41 to 49.02). Across the whole period, 'skin conditions' managed were solar keratosis (29.87%), keratinocyte cancer (24.85%), other skin lesion (12.93%), nevi (10.98%), skin check (10.37%), benign skin neoplasm (8.76%) and melanoma (2.42%). Over time, management rates increased for keratinocyte cancers, skin checks, skin lesions, benign skin neoplasms and melanoma; but remained stable for solar keratoses and nevi. Skin cancer-related encounter rates were higher for patients aged 65-89 years, male, living in Queensland or in regional or remote areas, with lower area-based socioeconomic status, of English-speaking background, Veteran card holders and non-healthcare card holders; and for GPs who were aged 35-44 years or male.

CONCLUSION

These findings show the spectrum and burden of skin cancer-related conditions managed in general practice in Australia, which can guide GP education, policy and interventions to optimise skin cancer prevention and management.

Measuring the quality of skin cancer management in primary care: A scoping review

Skin cancer is a growing global problem and a significant health and economic burden. Despite the practical necessity for skin cancer to be managed in primary care settings, little is known about how quality of care is or should be measured in this setting. This scoping review aimed to capture the breadth and range of contemporary evidence related to the measurement of quality in skin cancer management in primary care settings. Six databases were searched for relevant texts reporting on quality measurement in primary care skin cancer management. Data from 46 texts published since 2011 were extracted, and quality measures were catalogued according to the three domains of the Donabedian model of healthcare quality (structure, process and outcome). Quality measures within each domain were inductively analysed into 13 key emergent groups. These represented what were deemed to be the most relevant components of skin cancer management as related to structure, process or outcomes measurement. Four groups related to the structural elements of care provision (e.g. diagnostic tools and equipment), five related to the process of care delivery (e.g. diagnostic processes) and four related to the outcomes of care (e.g. poor treatment outcomes). A broad range of quality measures have been documented, based predominantly on articles using retrospective cohort designs; systematic reviews and randomised controlled trials were limited.

Serine and one-carbon metabolism sustain non-melanoma skin cancer progression

Non-melanoma skin cancer (NMSC) is a tumor that arises from human keratinocytes, showing abnormal control of cell proliferation and aberrant stratification. Cutaneous basal cell carcinoma (cBCC) and cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (cSCC) are the most common sub-types of NMSC. From a molecular point of view, we are still far from fully understanding the molecular mechanisms behind the onset and progression of NMSC and to unravel targetable vulnerabilities to leverage for their treatment, which is still essentially based on surgery. Under this assumption, it is still not elucidated how the central cellular metabolism, a potential therapeutical target, is involved in NMSC progression. Therefore, our work is based on the characterization of the serine anabolism/catabolism and/or one-carbon metabolism (OCM) role in NMSC pathogenesis. Expression and protein analysis of normal skin and NMSC samples show the alteration of the expression of two enzymes involved in the serine metabolism and OCM, the Serine Hydroxy-Methyl Transferase 2 (SHMT2) and Methylen-ThetraHydroFolate dehydrogenase/cyclohydrolase 2 (MTHFD2). Tissues analysis shows that these two enzymes are mainly expressed in the proliferative areas of cBCC and in the poorly differentiated areas of cSCC, suggesting their role in tumor proliferation maintenance. Moreover, in vitro silencing of SHMT2 and MTHFD2 impairs the proliferation of epidermoid cancer cell line. Taken together these data allow us to link the central cellular metabolism (serine and/or OCM) and NMSC proliferation and progression, offering the opportunity to modulate pharmacologically the involved enzymes activity against this type of human cancer.

Distinct interactors define the p63 transcriptional signature in epithelial development or cancer

The TP63 is an indispensable transcription factor for development and homeostasis of epithelia and its derived glandular tissue. It is also involved in female germline cell quality control, muscle and thymus development. It is expressed as multiple isoforms transcribed by two independent promoters, in addition to alternative splicing occurring at the mRNA 3′-UTR. Expression of the TP63 gene, specifically the amino-deleted p63 isoform, ΔNp63, is required to regulate numerous biological activities, including lineage specification, self-renewal capacity of epithelial stem cells, proliferation/expansion of basal keratinocytes, differentiation of stratified epithelia. In cancer, ΔNp63 is implicated in squamous cancers pathogenesis of different origin including skin, head and neck and lung and in sustaining self-renewal of cancer stem cells. How this transcription factor can control such a diverse set of biological pathways is central to the understanding of the molecular mechanisms through which p63 acquires oncogenic activity, profoundly changing its down-stream transcriptional signature. Here, we highlight how different proteins interacting with p63 allow it to regulate the transcription of several central genes. The interacting proteins include transcription factors/regulators, epigenetic modifiers, and post-transcriptional modifiers. Moreover, as p63 depends on its interactome, we discuss the hypothesis to target the protein interactors to directly affect p63 oncogenic activities and p63-related diseases.

Systematic development of quality indicators for skin cancer management in primary care: a mixed-methods study protocol

INTRODUCTION

Australia has the highest incidence of skin cancer in the world, with two out of three Australians expected to be diagnosed with skin cancer in their lifetime. Such incidence necessitates large-scale, effective skin cancer management practices. General practitioners (in mainstream practice and in skin cancer clinics) play an important role in skin cancer care provision, making decisions based on relevant evidence-based guidelines, protocols, experience and training. Diversity in these decision-making practices can result in unwarranted variation. Quality indicators are frequently implemented in healthcare contexts to measure performance quality at the level of the clinician and healthcare practice and mitigate unwarranted variation. Such measurements can facilitate performance comparisons between peers and a standard benchmark, often resulting in improved processes and outcomes. A standardised set of quality indicators is yet to be developed in the context of primary care skin cancer management.

AIMS

This research aims to identify, develop and generate expert consensus on a core set of quality indicators for skin cancer management in primary care.

METHODS

This mixed-methods study involves (1) a scoping review of the available evidence on quality indicators in skin cancer management in primary care, (2) identification and development of a core set of quality indicators through interviews/qualitative proforma surveys with participants, and (3) a focus group involving discussion of quality indicators according to Nominal Group Technique. Qualitative and quantitative data will be collected and analysed using thematic and descriptive statistical analytical methods.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

Approval was granted by the university's Research Ethics Committee (HREC no. 520211051532420). Results from this study will be widely disseminated in publications, study presentations, educational events and reports.

Defining the incidence of cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma in coastal NSW Australia

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

To describe the incidence of primary cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma in coastal NSW Australia.

METHODS

The design is a case-controlled study of reported cSCC from 2016 to 2019 within a defined region of coastal southern NSW. Participants include all reported pathological diagnoses of cSCC in patients greater than 20 years of age. The main outcome measures the incidence and relative risk of cSCC.

RESULTS

The overall age-adjusted incidence rate of primary cSCC was 856//year. Men over 60 years of age had an age-adjusted incidence rate of 2875/10⁶ /year. Histologically diagnosed invasive SCC samples were included using SNOMED clinical term codes. Keratoacanthomas and SCC in situ SNOWMED codes were not included. SCC in situ results was found within the sample analysis and was offset by including one SCC per annum per person.

CONCLUSIONS

The rates of cSCC are far higher than previously reported and demand a reappraisal of our national management of this disease.