Cockcroft-Gault is better than the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease study formula at predicting outcome after a myocardial infarction: data from the Swedish Web-system for Enhancement and Development of Evidence-based care in Heart disease Evaluated According to Recommended Therapies (SWEDEHEART)

Prognostic value of glomerular function estimated by Cockcroft-Gault creatinine clearance, MDRD-4, CKD-EPI and European Kidney Function Consortium equations in patients with acute coronary syndromes

BACKGROUND

It remains unknown which equation used to assess the glomerular function is better for risk stratification in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS).

METHODS

This study included 3985 patients with ACS. Glomerular function was assessed using 4 equations: the Cockcroft-Gault creatinine clearance (C-G_CrCl), Modification of Diet in Renal Disease-4 (MDRD-4), Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) and European Kidney Function Consortium (EKFC) equations. The primary outcome was one-year all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

For each 30 ml/min decrement, the adjusted hazard ratio [HR] with 95% confidence interval [CI] for one-year mortality was 1.67 [1.27-2.25] for C-G_CrCl, 1.45 [1.16-1.81] for MDRD-4, 1.76 [1.35-2.30] for CKD-EPI and 1.94 [1.44-2.63] for EKFC equation. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) for one-year mortality was 0.748 [0.709-0.788] for C-G_CrCl, 0.670 [0.621-0.718] for estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) calculated by MDRD-4 equation, 0.725 [0.684-0.765] for eGFR calculated by CKD-EPI equation and 0.741 [0.703-0.779] for eGFR calculated by EKFC equation (P = 0.342 for C-G_CrCl, vs. EKFC equation and P ≤ 0.009 for all other AUC comparisons).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with ACS, C-G_CrCl and EKFC equations showed a similar discriminatory power regarding prediction of one-year mortality. Both equations were better than MDRD-4 and CKD-EPI equations for risk discrimination for mortality.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

NCT01944800.

Temporal Trends in Invasive Management and In-Hospital Mortality of Patients With Non-ST Elevation Acute Coronary Syndromes and Chronic Kidney Disease

We analyzed data from 4 nationwide prospective registries of consecutive patients with acute coronary syndromes (ACS) admitted to the Italian Intensive Cardiac Care Unit network between 2005 and 2014. Out of 26 315 patients with ACS enrolled, 13 073 (49.7%) presented a diagnosis of non-ST elevation (NSTE)-ACS and had creatinine levels available at hospital admission: 1207 (9.2%) had severe chronic kidney disease (CKD) (estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] <30), 3803 (29.1%) mild to moderate CKD (eGFR 31-59), and 8063 (61.7%) no CKD (eGFR > 60 mL/min/1.73 m²). Patients with severe CKD had worse clinical characteristics compared with those with mild-moderate or no kidney dysfunction, including all the key predictors of mortality (P < .0001) which became worse over time (all P < .0001). Over the decade of observation, a significant increase in percutaneous coronary intervention rates was observed in patients without CKD (P for trend = .0001), but not in those with any level of CKD. After corrections for significant mortality predictors, severe CKD (odds ratio, OR: 5.49; 95% CI: 3.24-9.29; P < .0001) and mild-moderate CKD (OR: 2.33; 95% CI: 1.52-3.59; P < .0001) remained strongly associated with higher in-hospital mortality. The clinical characteristics of patients with NSTE-ACS and CKD remain challenging and their mortality rate is still higher compared with patients without CKD.

Prognostic of different glomerular filtration rate formulas in patients receiving percutaneous coronary intervention: insights from a multicenter observational cohort

Background

The relationships of renal dysfunction (RD) and chronic kidney disease (CKD) with prognosis have been well established among non-ST elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS) patients who receive percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), but the efficacy of different estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) formulas for predicting the prognosis is unknown.

Methods

The cohort originated from a retrospective data, which consecutively enrolled 8197 patients. The eGFR was calculated by the Cockcroft-Gault, Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD), CKD Epidemiology Collaboration-creatinine, CKD Epidemiology Collaboration-Cys-C, CKD Epidemiology Collaboration-Cys-C-creatinine and a modified abbreviated MDRD (c-aGFR) equations in Chinese CKD patients. Patients were excluded if the eGFR could not be obtained by one of the formulas. Patients were categorized as having normal renal function, mild RD, moderate RD, severe RD, or kidney failure to compare prognosis. The primary outcome was the in-hospital net adverse clinical events (NACE). The secondary outcomes were NACE and all-cause death during follow-up.

Results

In total, 2159 NSTE-ACS patients (age: 64.23 ± 10.25 years; males: 73.7%) were enrolled. 39 (1.8%) patients with in-hospital NACE were observed. During the 3.23 ± 1.55-year follow-up, 1.7% death and 4.2% NACE were observed in 1 year. The percentage of severe RD patients ranged from 15.4 to 39.2% according to different calculation formulas. A high prevalence of in-hospital NACE was observed in the severe RD groups (ranging from 8 to 14.3% for different formulas). Multiple regression analysis showed that a high eGFR is a protect factor against NACE and all-cause death regardless of the formula use. Receiver operating characteristic curves showed similar predictive performance of the c-aGFR when compared to other formulas (in-hospital NACE: AUC = 0.612, follow-up NACE: AUC = 0.622, and follow-up death: AUC = 0.711).

Conclusions

Severe RD results in a high prevalence of in-hospital NACE in NSTE-ACS patients after PCI regardless of the formulas use. Different formulas have a similar ability to predict in-hospital and long-term prognosis in NSTE-ACS patients. The c-aGFR formula is the simplest and a more convenient formula for use in practice.

Prognostic Values of Three Equations in Estimating Glomerular Filtration Rates of Patients Undergoing Off-Pump Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting

Background

Renal dysfunction is independently associated with both short-term and long-term mortality after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG). The estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) is a convenient and effective indicator of renal function. However, the ability of eGFR calculated by various equations to predict the outcomes of patients undergoing off-pump CABG (OPCABG) is still unclear. This study was aimed to compare the predictive ability of in-hospital and long-term mortality in three equations of estimating renal functions after OPCABG.

Methods

Totally, 1362 patients undergoing OPCABG were retrospectively reviewed. Preoperative and postoperative serum creatinine (Scr) levels were detected. The renal function was evaluated by the Cockcroft-Gault (CG) equation, the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equation, and the full-age spectrum (FAS) equation. The endpoints were in-hospital and long-term all-cause mortality rates. Receiver operating characteristic curves, net reclassification index, decision curve analysis (DCA), multivariable logistic model, and Cox regression model were used for comparisons.

Results

The CG equation had the significantly highest discriminatory power to predict in-hospital mortality (area under the curve=0.815). Valuable clinical net benefits of the CG equation were greater than the other two equations regardless of before or after operation by DCA. Multivariable logistic and Cox regression analysis illustrated that the eGFR calculated by the CG equation was a significant independent risk factor of both in-hospital mortality (odds ratio=3.390) and long-term mortality (hazard ratio=1.553).

Conclusion

The CG equation outperformed the FAS and CKD-EPI equations in predicting the mortality of patients after OPCABG. Postoperative renal function was more efficiently predicted compared with the preoperative one.

SWEDEHEART-1-year data show no benefit of newer generation drug-eluting stents over bare-metal stents in patients with severe kidney dysfunction following percutaneous coronary intervention

BACKGROUND

We hypothesized that the transition from bare-metal stents (BMS) to newer generation drug-eluting stents (n-DES) in clinical practice may have reduced the risk also in patients with kidney dysfunction.

METHODS

Observational study in the national SWEDEHEART registry, that compared the 1-year risk of in-stent restenosis (RS) and stent thrombosis (ST) in all percutaneous coronary intervention treated patients(n = 92 994) during 2007-2013.

RESULTS

N-DES patients were younger than BMS, but had more often diabetes, previous myocardial infarction, previous revascularization and were more often treated with potent platelet inhibition. N-DES versus BMS, was associated with lower 1-year risk of RS in patients with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) >60 with a cumulative probability of 2.1% versus 5.3%, adjusted hazard ratio 0.30, 95% CI (0.27-0.34) and with eGFR 30-60: 3.0% versus 4.9%; hazard ratio 0.46 (0.36-0.60) but not in patients with eGFR <30: 8.1% versus 6.0%; hazard ratio 1.32 (0.71-2.45) (pinteraction = 0.009) as well as lower risk of ST for eGFR >60 and eGFR 30-60: 0.5% versus 0.9%; hazard ratio 0.52 (0.40-0.68) and 0.6% versus 1.3%; hazard ratio 0.54 (0.54-0.72) but not for eGFR <30; 2.1% versus 1.1%; hazard ratio 1.49 (0.56-3.98) (pinteraction = 0.027).

CONCLUSION

N-DES is associated with lower 1-year risk of in-stent restenosis and stent thrombosis in patients with normal or moderately reduced kidney function but not in patients with severe kidney dysfunction, where stenting is associated with worse outcomes regardless of stent type.

Comparison of five glomerular filtration rate estimating equations as predictors of acute kidney injury after cardiovascular surgery

We aimed to compare the ability of preoperative estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), calculated using five different equations, to predict adverse renal outcomes after cardiovascular surgery. Cohorts of 4,125 adult patients undergoing elective cardiovascular surgery were evaluated. Preoperative eGFR was calculated using the Cockcroft-Gault, Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) II, re-expressed MDRD II, Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration, and Mayo quadratic (Mayo) equations. The primary outcome was postoperative acute kidney injury (AKI), defined by Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes Definition and Staging criteria based on changes in serum creatinine concentrations within 7 days. The MDRD II and Cockcroft-Gault equations yielded the highest (88.1 ± 26.7 ml/min/1.73 m2) and lowest (79.6 ± 25.5 ml/min/1.73 m2) mean eGFR values, respectively. Multivariable analysis showed that a preoperative decrease in renal function according to all five equations was independently associated with an increased risk of postoperative AKI. The area under the receiver operating characteristics curve for predicting postoperative AKI was highest for the Mayo equation (0.713). Net improvements in reclassification and integrated discrimination were higher for the Mayo equation than for the other equations. The Mayo equation was the most accurate in predicting postoperative AKI in patients undergoing cardiovascular surgery.

Vitamin D and Calcimimetics in Cardiovascular Disease

Cardiovascular disease has earned its place as one of the leading noncommunicable diseases that has become a modern-day global epidemic. The increasing incidence and prevalence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) has added to this enormous burden, given that CKD is now recognized as an established risk factor for accelerated cardiovascular disease. In fact, cardiovascular disease remains the leading cause of death in the CKD population, with significant prognostic implications. Alterations in vitamin D levels as renal function declines has been linked invariably to the development of cardiovascular disease beyond a mere epiphenomenon, and has become an important focus in recent years in our search for new therapies. Another compound, cinacalcet, which belongs to the calcimimetic class of agents, also has taken center stage over the past few years as a potential cardiovasculoprotective agent. However, given limited well-designed randomized trials to inform us, our clinical practice for the management of cardiovascular disease in CKD has not been adequately refined. This article considers the biological mechanisms, regulation, and current experimental, clinical, and trial data available to help guide the therapeutic use of vitamin D and calcimimetics in the setting of CKD and cardiovascular disease.

Impact of Chronic Renal Failure on Ischemic and Bleeding Events at 1 Year in Patients With Acute Coronary Syndrome (from the Multicenter START ANTIPLATELET Registry)

Chronic renal failure (CRF) impairs prognosis in patients with acute coronary syndromes (ACS); the differential impact of CRF on ischemic and bleeding events in the setting of ACS is unclear. We explored the predictive role of CRF, identified by different equations for the glomerular filtration rate estimation, on the occurrence of the composite end point, including both ischemic cardiovascular and major bleeding (major adverse cardiovascular and bleeding events [MACBE]) at 1 year, and its components. We accessed each patients data from 718 participants in the prospective, multicenter, and START ANTIPLATELET registry, performed on patients with ACS. The ability to predict the risk of MACBE was modest and similar for Cockcroft-Gault, MDRD, and CKD-EPI equations (area under the curves: 0.55, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.47 to 0.63; 0.53, 95% CI 0.45 to 0.61; 0.54, 95% CI 0.46 to 0.62; respectively, overall p = 0.63). The incidence of MACBE in patients with CRF was 12.6 versus 7.4 per 100 patients/year in those with preserved renal function (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 1.80, 1.02 to 3.20, p = 0.045); the absolute excess in events rate due to CRF was higher for ischemic events (3.5%) than for major bleeding (2.6%). The increased occurrence of MACBE was even greater in patients with CRF and concomitant anemia (OR 2.16) and in patients with severe CRF (OR 2.78). In conclusion, our study indicates that, in patients with ACS, CRF impairs the clinical outcome at 1 year, especially when severe and when is concomitant with anemia. CRF is associated with greater absolute increase of ischemic events than major bleeding.

Kidney function is associated with short-term, mid-term and long-term clinical outcome after coronary angiography and intervention

BACKGROUND

Patients with kidney dysfunction are at risk of developing ischaemic heart disease. We investigated the association between eGFR and early-, mid- and long-term clinical outcome in patients undergoing coronary angiography and intervention.

METHODS

Retrospective study on 4968 patients with complete data on eGFR, 65% male and aged 32-80 years, admitted to Danderyd University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden for coronary angiography and intervention from 2006 to 2008. Data were censored at 0-30 days, 31-365 days and 366-1825 days of follow-up.

RESULTS

Baseline eGFR was strongly associated with all-cause mortality at all three time periods studied with each 10 ml/min per 1.73 m² increase in eGFR being associated with a ∼30% (p < .001), 25% (p = .002) and 20% (p < .001) decrease in all-cause mortality at 30, 365 and 1825 days respectively. Each 10 ml/min per 1.73 m² increase in eGFR was associated with a ∼21% (p < .001) decrease in re-hospitalisation for MI at 365 days and a 6% decrease (p = .03) at day 30 for re-vascularisation.

CONCLUSIONS

We report a strong association between kidney function and all-cause mortality at both early, mid- and long-term follow-up in patients undergoing coronary angiography and intervention, with eGFR significantly associated with MI-related mortality after one month of follow-up. Kidney function was also shown to be associated with risk for re-vascularisation at one month, indicating mostly procedural-related risk and with new MI at mid-term follow-up. Further research is warranted to explore the mechanisms linking kidney function and cardiovascular disease to improve both the short- and long-term care of these patients.

One-year mortality of patients with ST-Elevation myocardial infarction: Prognostic impact of creatinine-based equations to estimate glomerular filtration rate

BACKGROUND

Renal dysfunction is associated with worse outcomes after primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). However, whether glomerular filtration rate (GFR) estimated with various equations can equally predict outcomes after ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction (STEMI) is still debated.

METHODS

We compared the clinical impact of 3 different creatinine-based equations (Cockcroft and Gault (CG), CKD-epidemiology (CKD-EPI) and Full Age Spectrum (FAS)) to predict 1-year mortality in STEMI patients.

RESULTS

Among 1755 consecutive STEMI patients who had undergone primary PCI included between 2006 and 2011, median estimated GFR was 79 (61;96) with the CG, 81 (65;95) with CKD-EPI and 75 (60;91) mL/min/1.73 m2 with FAS equation. Reduced GFR values were independently associated with 1-year mortality risk with the 3 equations. Receiver operating curves (ROC) of CG and FAS equations were significantly superior to the CKD-EPI equation, p = 0.03 and p = 0.01, respectively. Better prediction with FAS and CG equations was confirmed by net reclassification index.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggest that in STEMI patients who have undergone primary PCI, 1-year mortality is better predicted by CG or FAS equations compared to CKD-EPI.

Early prediction of contrast-induced acute kidney injury by a "bedside" assessment of Neutrophil Gelatinase-Associated Lipocalin during elective percutaneous coronary interventions

Contrast-induced acute kidney injury (CI-AKI) is a serious complication during percutaneous coronary interventions (PCI). Currently, the diagnosis of CI-AKI relies on serum creatinine (SCr) that is however affected by several limitations potentially leading to delayed or missed diagnoses. In this study we examined the diagnostic accuracy of a “bedside” measurement of plasma Neutrophil Gelatinase-Associated Lipocalin (NGAL) in the early detection of CI-AKI in 97 patients undergoing elective PCI. The overall incidence of CI-AKI was 3%. A significant positive correlation was observed between 6-hours NGAL and post-PCI SCr (r = 0.339, p = 0.004) and a significant negative correlation between 6-hours NGAL and post-PCI CrCl (r = -0.303, p = 0.010). In patients with post-PCI SCr increase > 0.24 mg/dl (median SCr absolute increase), delta NGAL 0–6 hours and 6-hours NGAL values were higher compared with patients with SCr elevation below the defined threshold (p = 0.049 and p = 0.056). The ROC analysis showed that a 6 hours NGAL value > 96 ng/ml significantly predicted an absolute SCr increase > 0.24 mg/dl after contrast exposure with sensitivity of 53% and specificity of 74% (AUC 0.819, 95% CI: 0.656 to 0.983, p = 0.005). The use of bedside NGAL assessment may significantly hasten diagnosis and treatment of CI-AKI, with remarkable clinical prognostic consequences.

Disparities in the Estimation of Glomerular Filtration Rate According to Cockcroft-Gault, Modification of Diet in Renal Disease-4, and Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration Equations and Relation With Outcomes in Patients With Acute Coronary Syndrome

BACKGROUND

A simple method to assess renal function is the estimated glomerular filtration rate, and it shows prognostic implications. However, it remains unknown which equation should be used in patients with acute coronary syndrome. We compared the ability and correlation of the Cockcroft-Gault, Modification of Diet in Renal Disease-4 (MDRD-4), and Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equations and their predictive performance for major adverse cardiovascular events, all-cause mortality, and major bleeding in a cohort of patients with acute coronary syndrome.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Multicenter prospective registry involving 1699 consecutive patients with acute coronary syndrome from 3 tertiary institutions. At entry, renal function was assessed using the Cockcroft-Gault, MDRD-4, and CKD-EPI-creatinine equations. During 12 months of follow-up, we recorded all major adverse cardiovascular events (composite of cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and nonfatal ischemic stroke), bleeding events (Bleeding Academic Research Consortium classification), and all-cause mortality. Receiver operating characteristic curve comparisons demonstrated that Cockcroft-Gault equation had higher predictive ability compared with MDRD-4 equation for major adverse cardiovascular events (0.651 versus 0.616; P=0.023), major bleeding (0.600 versus 0.551; P=0.005), and all-cause mortality (0.754 versus 0.717; P=0.033), as well as higher predictive ability compared with CKD-EPI equation for major bleeding (0.600 versus 0.564; P=0.018). Integrated discrimination improvement and net reclassification improvement analyses showed superior discrimination and reclassification of Cockcroft-Gault equation. Decision curve analyses graphically demonstrated higher net benefit and clinical usefulness of the Cockcroft-Gault equation in comparison with MDRD-4 and CKD-EPI equations.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with acute coronary syndrome, the Cockcroft-Gault equation presented superior predictive ability for major adverse cardiovascular events, major bleeding, and all-cause mortality compared with MDRD-4 equation, and superior predictive ability for major bleeding compared with CKD-EPI equation. The Cockcroft-Gault equation also showed higher net benefit and clinical usefulness.

Novel combined management approaches to patients with diabetes, chronic kidney disease and cardiovascular disease

Most patients we care for today suffer from more than one chronic disease, and multimorbidity is a rapidly growing challenge. Concomitant cardiovascular disease, renal dysfunction and diabetes represent a large proportion of all patients in cardiology, nephrology and diabetology. These entities commonly overlap due to their negative effects on vascular function and an accelerated atherosclerosis progression. At the same time, a progressive subspecialisation has caused the cardiologist to treat 'only' the heart, nephrologists 'only' the kidneys and endocrinologists' 'only' diabetes. Studies and guidelines follow the same pattern. This often requires patients to visit specialists for each field, with a risk of both under-diagnosis and under-treatment. From the patient's perspective, there is a great need for coordination and facilitation of the care, not only to reduce disease progression but also to improve quality of life. Person-centred integrated clinics for patients with cardiovascular disease, renal dysfunction and diabetes are a promising approach for complex chronic disease management.

Is delayed surgical revascularization in acute myocardial infarction useful or dangerous? New insights into an old problem

OBJECTIVES

Haemodynamically stable patients admitted for coronary artery bypass grafting in acute myocardial infarction often undergo delayed surgery in order to avoid the risks of emergency surgery. However, initially stable patients undergoing delayed surgery may develop low cardiac output syndrome (LCOS) during the waiting period, which might be a major drawback of this strategy. We aim to define risk factors and clinical consequences of LCOS during the waiting period.

METHODS

A total of 530 consecutive patients with acute myocardial infarction (33% non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction and 67% ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction) underwent isolated coronary artery bypass grafting between 2008 and 2013. Outcomes after either immediate (<48 h after onset of symptoms) or delayed (>48 h after onset of symptoms) therapy were compared. Predictors of preoperative development of LCOS were identified using multivariate regression analysis.

RESULTS

Of the 327 patients undergoing delayed therapy, 39 (12%) developed preoperative LCOS, resulting in increased mortality compared with patients who remained stable (21 vs 7.6%, P < 0.001). Immediate therapy resulted in similar mortality compared with delayed therapy (6.4 vs 7.6%; P = 0.68) and better 7-year survival (70 vs 55%; P < 0.001). Predictors of developing LCOS were reduced left ventricular function (odds ratio 4.4), renal impairment (odds ratio 3.0), acute pulmonary infection (odds ratio 3.4) and the extent of troponin elevation at admission (odds ratio 1.01 per increase by 1 µg/l).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with acute myocardial infarction undergoing delayed coronary artery bypass grafting, preoperative LCOS is a relevant and dangerous condition that can be avoided by operating immediately or by carefully selecting patients to be delayed according to the risk parameters identified preoperatively.

Prognostic comparison between creatinine-based glomerular filtration rate formulas for the prediction of 10-year outcome in patients with non-ST elevation acute coronary syndrome treated by percutaneous coronary intervention

Background:

Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) is a predictor of outcome among patients with non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS), but which estimation formula provides the best long-term risk stratification in this setting is still unclear. We compared the prognostic performance of four creatinine-based formulas for the prediction of 10-year outcome in a NSTE-ACS population treated by percutaneous coronary intervention.

Methods:

In 222 NSTE-ACS patients submitted to percutaneous coronary intervention, eGFR was calculated using four formulas: Cockcroft–Gault, re-expressed modification of diet in renal disease (MDRD), chronic kidney disease epidemiology collaboration (CKD-Epi), and Mayo-quadratic. Predefined endpoints were all-cause death and a composite of cardiovascular death, non-fatal reinfarction, clinically driven repeat revascularisation, and heart failure hospitalisation.

Results:

The different eGFR values showed poor agreement, with prevalences of renal dysfunction ranging from 14% to 35%. Over a median follow-up of 10.2 years, eGFR calculated by the CKD-Epi and Mayo-quadratic formulas independently predicted outcome, with an increase in the risk of death and events by up to 17% and 11%, respectively, for each decrement of 10 ml/min/1.73 m2. The Cockcroft–Gault and MDRD equations showed a borderline association with mortality and did not predict events. When compared in terms of goodness of fit, discrimination and calibration, the Mayo-quadratic outperformed the other formulas for the prediction of death and the CKD-Epi showed the best performance for the prediction of events (net reclassification improvement values 0.33–0.35).

Conclusions:

eGFR is an independent predictor of long-term outcome in patients with NSTE-ACS treated by percutaneous coronary intervention. The Mayo-quadratic and CKD-Epi equations might be superior to classic eGFR formulas for risk stratification in these patients.

Renal function estimation and Cockroft-Gault formulas for predicting cardiovascular mortality in population-based, cardiovascular risk, heart failure and post-myocardial infarction cohorts: The Heart 'OMics' in AGEing (HOMAGE) and the high-risk myocardial infarction database initiatives

BACKGROUND

Renal impairment is a major risk factor for mortality in various populations. Three formulas are frequently used to assess both glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) or creatinine clearance (CrCl) and mortality prediction: body surface area adjusted-Cockcroft-Gault (CG-BSA), Modification of Diet in Renal Disease Study (MDRD4), and the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equation. The CKD-EPI is the most accurate eGFR estimator as compared to a "gold-standard"; however, which of the latter is the best formula to assess prognosis remains to be clarified. This study aimed to compare the prognostic value of these formulas in predicting the risk of cardiovascular mortality (CVM) in population-based, cardiovascular risk, heart failure (HF) and post-myocardial infarction (MI) cohorts.

METHODS

Two previously published cohorts of pooled patient data derived from the partners involved in the HOMAGE-consortium and from four clinical trials - CAPRICORN, EPHESUS, OPTIMAAL and VALIANT - the high risk MI initiative, were used. A total of 54,111 patients were included in the present analysis: 2644 from population-based cohorts; 20,895 from cardiovascular risk cohorts; 1801 from heart failure cohorts; and 28,771 from post-myocardial infarction cohorts. Participants were patients enrolled in the respective cohorts and trials. The primary outcome was CVM.

RESULTS

All formulas were strongly and independently associated with CVM. Lower eGFR/CrCl was associated with increasing CVM rates for values below 60 mL/min/m². Categorical renal function stages diverged in a more pronounced manner with the CG-BSA formula in all populations (higher χ² values), with lower stages showing stronger associations. The discriminative improvement driven by the CG-BSA formula was superior to that of MDRD4 and CKD-EPI, but remained low overall (increase in C-index ranging from 0.5 to 2 %) while not statistically significant in population-based cohorts. The integrated discrimination improvement and net reclassification improvement were higher (P < 0.05) for the CG-BSA formula compared to MDRD4 and CKD-EPI in CV risk, HF and post-MI cohorts, but not in population-based cohorts. The CKD-EPI formula was superior overall to MDRD4.

CONCLUSIONS

The CG-BSA formula was slightly more accurate in predicting CVM in CV risk, HF, and post-MI cohorts (but not in population-based cohorts). However, the CG-BSA discriminative improvement was globally low compared to MDRD4 and especially CKD-EPI, the latter offering the best compromise between renal function estimation and CVM prediction.

Glomerular filtration rate (GFR) during and after STEMI: a single-centre, methodological study comparing estimated and measured GFR

OBJECTIVES

To validate the performance of the most commonly used formulas for estimation of glomerular filtration rate (GFR) against measured GFR during the index hospitalisation for ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI).

SETTING

Single centre, methodological study.

PARTICIPANTS

40 patients with percutaneous coronary intervention-treated STEMI were included between November 2011 and February 2013. Patients on dialysis, cardiogenic shock or known allergy to iodine were excluded.

OUTCOME MEASURES

Creatinine and cystatin C were determined at admission and before discharge in 40 patients with STEMI. Clearance of iohexol was measured (mGFR) before discharge. We evaluated and compared the Cockcroft-Gault (CG), the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD-IDMS), the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology (CKD-EPI) and the Grubb relative cystatin C (rG-CystC) with GFR regarding correlation, bias, precision and accuracy (P30). Agreement between eGFR and mGFR to discriminate CKD was assessed by Cohen's κ statistics.

RESULTS

MDRD-IDMS and CKD-EPI demonstrated good performance to estimate GFR (correlation 0.78 vs 0.81%, bias -1.3% vs 1.5%, precision 17.9 vs 17.1 mL/min 1.73 m(2) and P30 82.5% vs 82.5% for MDRD-IDMS vs CKD-EPI). CKD was best classified by CKD-EPI (κ 0.83). CG showed the worst performance (correlation 0.73%, bias -1% to 3%, precision 22.5 mL/min 1.73 m(2) and P30 75%). The rG-CystC formula had a marked bias of -17.8% and significantly underestimated mGFR (p=0.03). At arrival, CKD-EPI and rG-CystC had almost perfect agreement in CKD classification (κ=0.87), whereas at discharge agreement was substantially lower (κ=0.59) and showed a significant discrepancy in CKD classification (p=0.02). Median cystatin C concentration increased by 19%.

CONCLUSIONS

In acute STEMI, CKD-EPI showed the best CKD-classification ability followed by MDRD-IDMS, whereas CG performed the worst. STEMI altered the performance of the cystatin C equation during the acute phase, suggesting that other factors might be involved in the rise of cystatin C.

Choice of Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate Equation Impacts Drug-Dosing Recommendations and Risk Stratification in Patients With Chronic Kidney Disease Undergoing Percutaneous Coronary Interventions

BACKGROUND

Multiple equations exist to estimate glomerular filtration rate (GFR); however, there is no consensus on which is superior for risk classification in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).

OBJECTIVES

The goals of this study were to identify which equation to estimate GFR is superior for predicting adverse outcomes after PCI and to examine how equation selection would impact drug-dosing recommendations.

METHODS

Estimated GFR (eGFR) was calculated with the Cockcroft-Gault, Modification of Diet in Renal Disease Study (MDRD), and Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equations for 128,805 patients undergoing PCI in the state of Michigan. Agreement between patient pre-PCI eGFR estimates and resultant CKD stage classifications, their ability to discriminate post-procedural in-hospital clinical outcomes, and the impact of equation choice on dosing recommendations for commonly used antiplatelet and antithrombotic medications were investigated.

RESULTS

CKD-EPI best discriminated post-PCI mortality by receiver operator characteristic analysis. There was wide variability in eGFR, which persisted after grouping by CKD stages. Reclassification by CKD-EPI resulted in net reclassification index improvement for acute kidney injury and new requirement for dialysis. Equation choice affected drug-dosing recommendations, with the formulas agreeing for only 50.3%, 40.0%, and 34.3% of potentially impacted patients for eGFR cutoffs of <60, <50, and <30 ml/min/1.73 m(2), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Different eGFR equations result in CKD stage reclassification that has major clinical implications for predicting adverse outcomes after PCI and drug-dosing recommendations. Our results support the use of CKD-EPI for risk stratification among patients undergoing PCI.

Prevalence and prognostic impact of chronic kidney disease in STEMI from a gender perspective: data from the SWEDEHEART register, a large Swedish prospective cohort

OBJECTIVES

Gender differences in prevalence and prognostic impact of chronic kidney disease (CKD) in ST segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) have been poorly evaluated. In STEMI, female gender has been independently associated with an increased risk of mortality. CKD has been found to be an important prognostic marker in myocardial infarction. The aim of this study was to evaluate gender differences in prevalence and prognostic impact of CKD on short-term and long-term mortality.

DESIGN

Prospective observational cohort study.

SETTING

The national quality register SWEDEHEART was used. In the beginning of the study period, 94% of the Swedish coronary care units contributed data to the register, which subsequently increased to 100%. The glomerular filtration rate was estimated (eGFR) according to Modification of Diet in Renal Disease Study (MDRD) and Cockcroft-Gault (CG).

PARTICIPANTS

All patients with STEMI registered in SWEDEHEART from the years 2003-2009 were included (37,991 patients, 66% men).

MAIN RESULTS

Women had 1.6 (MDRD) to 2.2 (CG) times higher multivariable adjusted risk of CKD. Half of the women had CKD according to CG. CKD was associated with 2-2.5 times higher risk of in-hospital mortality and approximately 1.5 times higher risk of long-term mortality in both genders. Each 10 mL/min decline of eGFR was associated with an increased risk of in-hospital and long-term mortality (22-33% and 9-16%, respectively) and this did not vary significantly by gender. Both in-hospital and long-term mortality were doubled in women. After multivariable adjustment including eGFR, there was no longer any gender difference in early outcome and the long-term outcome was better in women.

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients with STEMI, female gender was independently associated with CKD. Reduced eGFR was a strong independent risk factor for short-term and long-term mortality without a significant gender difference in prognostic impact and seems to be an important reason why women have higher mortality than men with STEMI.

The proxy of renal function that most accurately predicts short- and long-term outcome after acute coronary syndrome

AIMS

The aim of this study is to determine the most accurate renal function formula that predicts short- and long-term mortality in a wide spectrum of acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We analyzed 8,726 consecutive patients (46.3% ST-elevation myocardial infarction [STEMI] and 53.7% non-ST-elevation ACS [NSTE-ACS]) enrolled in the ACS survey in Israel. Renal function, assessed using 5 formulas as proxies of creatinine clearance or estimated glomerular filtration rate (Cockcroft-Gault, modification of diet in renal disease [MDRD], Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration, Mayo quadratic, and inulin clearance based), varied in applying the different formulas. For both STEMI and NSTE-ACS patients, the Mayo formula yielded the highest mean value (88.9 ± 27.7 and 81.4 ± 29.2 mL/min per 1.73 m(2), respectively) and Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration the lowest (73.0 ± 23.1 and 67.0 ± 24.1 mL/min per 1.73 m(2), respectively). Using multivariate analysis, worse renal function was independently associated with increased mortality risk by 30% to 40% for each decrement of 10 U of creatinine clearance or estimated glomerular filtration rate in STEMI patients and by 25% to 30% for NSTE-ACS patients, using all 5 formulas. The only formula that more accurately predicted 1-year mortality than the MDRD formula was the Mayo quadratic formula with a 1-year net reclassification index of 0.26 and 0.14 for STEMI and NSTE-ACS patients, respectively, after multivariable adjustment.

CONCLUSION

Worse renal function was an independent predictor for short- and long-term mortality using all 5 formulas in a broad spectrum of ACS patients, but only the Mayo quadratic formula had better accuracy in predicting mortality relative to the MDRD, suggesting that it may be the preferred prognosticator among ACS patients.

Compound danshen dripping pill pretreatment to prevent contrast-induced nephropathy in patients with acute coronary syndrome undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention

Background. Contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN) limits the outcome of percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Objective. To investigate whether pretreatment with Compound Danshen Dripping Pills (CDDP) will decrease the incidence of CIN after PCI. Methods. A total of 229 patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) undergoing PCI were divided into the control group (n = 114) and the CDDP (containing salvia miltiorrhiza and sanqi) group (n = 115; given 20 CDDP pills, three times daily before PCI). Serum creatinine, creatinine clearance (CrCl), high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP), P-selectin, and intercellular adhesion molecule-1 (ICAM-1) were measured at admission and 24 and 48 h after PCI. Results. CrCl decreased after PCI but recovered after 48 h. In the CDDP group, CrCl recovered more rapidly (P < 0.05). The procedure increased the hsCRP, P-selectin, and ICAM-1 levels, but these levels were less in the CDDP group (P < 0.05). Conclusions. Pretreatment with CDDP can decrease the occurrence of CIN in patients undergoing PCI, suggesting that the early use of CDDP is an appropriate adjuvant pharmacological therapy before PCI.

Relative performance of three formulas to assess renal function at predicting in-hospital hemorrhagic complications in an acute coronary syndrome population. What does the new CKD-EPI formula provide?

AIMS

Assessment of renal function is important for bleeding risk stratification in acute coronary syndrome (ACS). There are three formulas routinely used to assess renal function: the Cockroft-Gault (C-G) formula, the MDRD-4 formula and the new Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equation. Our aim was to compare the ability of these formulas to predict the risk of in-hospital bleeding in patients with ACS.

METHODS

The study included 3270 patients with ACS. The performance of each formula with respect to in-hospital TIMI (Thrombolysis In Myocardial Infarction) major or TIMI minor bleeding were assessed using continuous data and by dividing patients into four subgroups according to the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR): ≥90, 89-60, 30-59 and <30 ml/min/1.73 m(2).

RESULTS

Bleeding predictive ability was significantly higher for the C-G formula than for MDRD-4 and CKD-EPI formulas, as evaluated by the area under the curve (AUC); continuous eGFR AUCs: 0.73, 0.69 and 0.71, respectively; categorical eGFR AUCs: 0.71, 0.66 and 0.68, respectively. Net reclassification improvement based on the eGFR categories was significantly positively favored C-G: 9.5% (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.8-17.2%) and 19.1% (95% CI 11.3-26.9%) compared with CKD-EPI and MDRD-4, respectively. After multivariable adjustment, the C-G formula predicted in-hospital bleeding better than MDRD-4 formula (severe renal dysfunction vs. normal renal function: odds ratio 7.98, 95% CI 2.61-24.38 with C-G; odds ratio 3.76, 95% CI 1.63-8.69 with MDRD-4; and odds ratio 5.77, 95% CI 2.18-15.24 with CKD-EPI.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that the C-G eGFR may improve risk prediction of in-hospital bleeding more than the MDRD-4 equation and the new CKD-EPI equation in patients with ACS.

Regression of vascular calcification in chronic kidney disease - feasible or fantasy? a review of the clinical evidence

The complex relationships between cardiovascular, renal, and bone disease are increasingly recognized but not yet clearly understood. Vascular calcification (VC) represents a common end point between these interlinked systems. It is highly prevalent in chronic kidney disease (CKD) and may be responsible for some of the excess cardiovascular events seen in this condition. There is much interest in developing therapeutic agents to stop its development or reverse its progression. Traditionally considered to be due to abnormalities in calcium and phosphate metabolism alone, VC is now known to be the product of active, dynamic processes within the vessel wall. Primary prevention of VC is possible through successful prevention or reversal of progressive renal dysfunction, hypertension and hyperlipidaemia, but is challenging given the increasing global prevalence of these risk factors. Secondary prevention of VC through tight control of calcium and phosphate, can be achieved by dietary or pharmacological means. Both the modification of haemodialysis duration or methods and the use of renal transplantation have an effect. Novel drugs such as cinacalcet were hoped to halt calcification but results have been mixed, and no intervention has yet been shown to reverse calcification reliably. A new range of experimental targets involved in the putative mediatory pathways between bone and vascular disease has emerged. Aiming to manipulate the active mechanisms involved in calcium deposition, these hold hope for reversal of calcification, but are still theoretical or in early animal or human experimentation.

Performance of the Cockcroft-Gault, MDRD and CKD-EPI Formulae in Non-Valvular Atrial Fibrillation: Which one Should be Used for Risk Stratification?

Background: Renal dysfunction is a strong predictor of adverse events in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). The Cokcroft-Gault, Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) and Chronic Kidney Disease-Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equations are available for estimating the glomerular filtration rate (GFR). No comparisons between these equations have yet been performed in patients with non-valvular AF concerning their mid-term prognostic performance. Methods: Cross-sectional study of 555 consecutive patients with non-valvular AF undergoing transesophageal echocardiogram. We tested the prognostic performance of the aforementioned GFR estimation formulae, namely their ability to predict all-cause mortality (primary endpoint) and major cardiac adverse or ischemic cerebrovascular events (secondary endpoints) during an average follow-up of 24 months. Results: Regarding the primary endpoint, Cockcroft-Gault (AUC=0.749±0.028) was superior to both MDRD (AUC=0.624±0.039) and CKD-EPI (AUC=0.641±0.034) [p<0.001 both comparisons] while CKD-EPI was superior to MDRD (p=0.011). Cockcroft-Gault was marginally superior to both MDRD (AUC=0.673±0.049 vs. AUC=0.586±0.054, p=0.041) and CKD-EPI (AUC=0.673±0.049 vs. AUC=0.604±0.054, p=0.063) in the prediction of ischemic cerebrovascular events, while no difference was found between CKD-EPI and MDRD. Concerning AUC for prediction of MACE, Cockcroft-Gault was superior to MDRD (p=0.009) and CKD-EPI (p=0.012), while CKD-EPI was similar to MDRD (p=0.215). Multivariate predictive models consistently included Cockcroft-Gault formula along with CHADS₂, excluding the other two equations. Measures of reclassification revealed a significant improvement in risk stratification for all studied endpoints with Cockcroft-Gault instead of CKD-EPI. Conclusions: In patients with non-valvular AF, the Cockcroft-Gault more appropriately classified individuals with respect to risk of all-cause mortality, ischaemic cerebrovascular event and major adverse cardiac event.

Comparison of Cockcroft-Gault and Modification of Diet in Renal Disease Formulas as Predictors of Cardiovascular Outcomes in Patients With Myocardial Infarction Treated With Primary Percutaneous Coronary Intervention

We prospectively assessed the value of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) by the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) and Cockcroft-Gault (C-G) equations in predicting inhospital adverse outcomes after primary coronary intervention for acute ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction. We classified 647 patients into 3 categories according to eGFR, <60, 60 to 90, and >90 mL/min/1.73 m2. The eGFRC-G classified 17 patients in the >90 mL/min/1.73 m2 subgroup and 6 and 11 patients in the 60 to 90 and <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 subgroups, respectively. In multivariate analysis, patients with eGFRC-G < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 had 19.5-fold (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.55-178) higher mortality risk and 5.48-fold (95% CI 1.75-24.21) higher major adverse cardiac events risk compared to patients with eGFRC-G >90 mL/min/1.73 m2 ( P = .01 and P = .01, respectively); the eGFRMDRD was not predictive. Although the MDRD equation more accurately estimates GFR in certain populations, the CG formula may be a better predictor of adverse events.

Cardiac structure and function and renal insufficiency in the oldest old

BACKGROUND

People over the age of 85 years have a high incidence of cardiovascular disease and chronic kidney disease.

HYPOTHESIS

There is an association between renal function and cardiac structure and function in subjects 85 years of age.

METHODS

Subjects born in the years 1920 and 1921 were recruited from the Jerusalem Longitudinal Cohort Study. Echocardiography was performed at the subject's home with assessment of cardiac structure and function. Glomerular filtration rate (GFR) was assessed by the Cockroft-Gault formula, with abnormal GFR defined as ≤60 mL/min/1.73 m(2).

RESULTS

There were 310 subjects who were enrolled. When GFR was examined as a continuous variable, linear regression showed a small although statistically significant relationship between GFR and left atrial volume (r = 0.15, P < 0.014), left ventricular mass index (r = 0.12, P < 0.04), and ejection fraction (r = 0.19, P < 0.03) but not with indices of diastolic function (r = 0.02, P < 0.72). However, using the accepted clinical cutoff of 60 mL/min/1.73 m(2), there were no significant differences between subjects with normal and abnormal GFR in indices of cardiac structure. Ejection fraction (57.0 ± 10.4% vs 54.4 ± 10.3%; P = 0.08) and indices of diastolic function (E/e' 12.4 ± 5.0 vs 12.3 ± 4.6; P = 0.89) were not significantly different between the 2 groups.

CONCLUSIONS

A weak and clinically insignificant association was found between GFR as a continuous variable and indices of cardiac function. However, using the clinically accepted cutoff, no association between abnormal GFR and cardiac structure or function was observed.

Comparison of safety and efficacy of bivalirudin versus unfractionated heparin in high-risk patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (from the Anti-Thrombotic Strategy for Reduction of Myocardial Damage During Angioplasty-Bivalirudin vs Heparin study)

Bivalirudin, a direct thrombin inhibitor, is as effective as unfractionated heparin (UFH), with decreased bleeding in patients with acute coronary syndromes who undergo percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). The aim of this study was to evaluate the effectiveness of bivalirudin versus UFH in selected PCI patients at high bleeding risk. Four hundred one consecutive patients who underwent PCI fulfilling ≥ 1 enrollment criterion (age >75 years, chronic renal failure, and diabetes mellitus) were randomized to bivalirudin (bolus 0.75 mg/kg followed by infusion during the procedure; n = 198) or UFH (75 IU/kg; n = 203). In the overall population, 39% were aged >75 years, 22% had renal failure, 63% had diabetes, and 29% had acute coronary syndromes. The primary efficacy end point was the 30-day incidence of major adverse cardiac events (cardiac death, myocardial infarction, stent thrombosis, or target vessel revascularization). The primary safety end point was the occurrence of any bleeding or entry-site complications after PCI. All patients were preloaded with clopidogrel 600 mg. Glycoprotein IIb/IIIa inhibitors were used at the operators' discretion. Thirty-day major adverse cardiac event rates were 11.1% in the bivalirudin group and 8.9% in the UFH group (p = 0.56); the primary efficacy end point was reached mainly because of periprocedural myocardial infarction; 1 patient in the bivalirudin group had stent thrombosis. Occurrence of the primary safety end point was 1.5% in the bivalirudin group and 9.9% in the UFH group (p = 0.0001); this benefit was essentially driven by the prevention of entry-site hematomas >10 cm (0.5% vs 6.9%, p = 0.002). In conclusion, Anti-Thrombotic Strategy for Reduction of Myocardial Damage During Angioplasty-Bivalirudin vs Heparin (ARMYDA-7 BIVALVE) indicates that bivalirudin, compared with UFH, causes significantly lower bleeding and has a similar incidence of major adverse cardiac events in patients with older age, diabetes mellitus, or chronic renal failure who undergo PCI.

Predicting outcomes after myocardial infarction by using the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration equation in comparison with the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease study equation: results from the Korea Acute Myocardial Infarction Registry

BACKGROUND

The presence of chronic kidney disease is an independent prognostic factor in patients with myocardial infarction (MI). We compared the Chronic Kidney Disease-Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equation and the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) study equation with regard to prognostic value in patients with MI.

METHODS

This study analyzed a retrospective cohort of 11 050 consecutive patients who had MI and were enrolled in the Korea Acute Myocardial Infarction Registry from November 2005 to August 2008. We applied the CKD-EPI equation and the MDRD study equation to determine the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) in a cohort of patients with MI.

RESULTS

The mean eGFR(CKD-EPI) was slightly higher than that of eGFR(MDRD) (73.16 versus 72.23 mL/min/1.73 m(2); P < 0.001). The prevalence of eGFR(CKD-EPI) <60 mL/min/1.73 m(2) was 26.9%, whereas that of eGFR(MDRD) was 28.5%. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was significantly larger for predicting the 1-year major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE) and 1-year all-cause mortality with CKD-EPI equation (0.648 versus 0.641, 0.768 versus 0.753, respectively; P < 0.001). The net reclassification index for improvement in risk of 1-year MACE and 1-year all-cause mortality were 4.09% (P< 0.001) and 9.25% (P< 0.001), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The application of the eGFR(CKD-EPI) demonstrated better predictive values for clinical outcomes than eGFR(MDRD) in a cohort of patients with MI.

Which method of GFR estimation has the best prognostic value in patients treated with primary PCI: Cockcroft-Gault formula, MDRD, or CKD-EPI equation?--A 6-year follow-up

BACKGROUND/AIMS

The aim of this study was to determine the correlation between renal function and 6-year mortality in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI), treated successfully with primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), and to examine whether Cockcroft-Gault (C-G) formula or Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) study equation or CKD-EPI (Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration) equation is the best predictor of very late mortality.

METHODS

A prospective cohort study with 6-year follow-up of a homogenous group of 193 patients, with ST-segment elevation AMI treated with successful primary PCI. Glomerular filtration rate (GFR) estimated by C-G formula, MDRD, and CKD-EPI equation were analyzed.

RESULTS

The patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) had a much lower cumulative survival rate than those without it (p < 0.05). A larger area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve for death with respect to GFR for C-G formula was observed. In the multivariate analysis, only GFR ≥ 55 mL/min according to C-G formula was independently associated with lower mortality.

CONCLUSION

CKD is associated with higher mortality after a successful primary PCI during a 6-year follow-up. C-G formula is better than MDRD and CKD-EPI equations at predicting mortality after AMI.

Cystatin C and estimated glomerular filtration rate as predictors for adverse outcome in patients with ST-elevation and non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndromes: results from the Platelet Inhibition and Patient Outcomes study

BACKGROUND

We evaluated the predictive ability of cystatin C and creatinine-based estimations of glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), including the Chronic Kidney Disease-Epidemiology (CKD-EPI) equation, in acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients with (STE-ACS) or without (NSTE-ACS) ST elevation in a large contemporary ACS population.

METHODS

Concentrations of cystatin C and creatinine, as well as eGFR at randomization, were measured in 16 401 patients in the Platelet Inhibition and Patient Outcomes (PLATO) study and evaluated as predictors of the composite end point of cardiovascular death or myocardial infarction within 1 year. Two Cox proportional hazards models were used, the first adjusting for clinical characteristics and the second for clinical characteristics plus the biomarkers N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, troponin I, and C-reactive protein.

RESULTS

The median cystatin C value was 0.83 mg/L. Increasing quartiles of cystatin C were strongly associated with poor outcome (6.9%, 7.1%, 9.5%, and 16.2%). The fully adjusted hazard ratios per SD of cystatin C in the NSTE-ACS and STE-ACS populations were 1.12 (95% CI 1.04-1.20) (n=8053) and 1.06 (95% CI 0.97-1.17) (n=5278), respectively. There was no significant relationship of cystatin C with type of ACS (STE or NSTE). c Statistics ranged from 0.6923 (cystatin C) to 0.6941 (CKD-EPI).

CONCLUSIONS

Cystatin C concentration contributes independently in predicting the risk of cardiovascular death or myocardial infarction in NSTE-ACS, with no interaction by type of ACS. CKD-EPI exhibited the largest predictive value of all renal markers. Nevertheless, the additive predictive value of cystatin C or creatinine-based eGFR measures in the unselected ACS patient is small.

Short-term, high-dose Atorvastatin pretreatment to prevent contrast-induced nephropathy in patients with acute coronary syndromes undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (from the ARMYDA-CIN [atorvastatin for reduction of myocardial damage during angioplasty--contrast-induced nephropathy] trial

Contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN) impairs clinical outcome in patients undergoing angiographic procedures. The aim of this study was to investigate whether short-term high-dose atorvastatin load decreases the incidence of CIN after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Statin-naive patients with acute coronary syndrome undergoing PCI (n = 241) randomly received atorvastatin (80 mg 12 hours before intervention with another 40-mg preprocedure dose, n = 120) or placebo (n = 121). All patients had long-term atorvastatin treatment thereafter (40 mg/day). Primary end point was incidence of CIN defined as postintervention increase in serum creatinine ≥0.5 mg/dl or >25% from baseline. Five percent of patients in the atorvastatin arm developed CIN versus 13.2% of those in the placebo arm (p = 0.046). In the atorvastatin group, postprocedure serum creatinine was significantly lower (1.06 ± 0.35 vs 1.12 ± 0.27 mg/dl in placebo, p = 0.01), creatinine clearance was decreased (80.1 ± 32.2 vs 72.0 ± 26.6 ml/min, p = 0.034), and C-reactive protein peak levels after intervention were decreased (8.4 ± 10.5 vs 13.1 ± 20.8 mg/l, p = 0.01). Multivariable analysis showed that atorvastatin pretreatment was independently associated with a decreased risk of CIN (odds ratios 0.34, 95% confidence interval 0.12 to 0.97, p = 0.043). Prevention of CIN with atorvastatin was paralleled by a shorter hospital stay (p = 0.007). In conclusion, short-term pretreatment with high-dose atorvastatin load prevents CIN and shortens hospital stay in patients with acute coronary syndrome undergoing PCI; anti-inflammatory effects may be involved in this renal protection. These results lend further support to early use of high-dose statins as adjuvant pharmacologic therapy before percutaneous coronary revascularization.

Renal function at the time of a myocardial infarction maintains prognostic value for more than 10 years

Background

Renal function is an important predictor of mortality in patients with myocardial infarction (MI), but changes in the impact over time have not been well described.

We examined the importance of renal function by estimated GFR (eGFR) and se-creatinine as an independent long-term prognostic factor.

Methods

Prospective follow-up of 6653 consecutive MI patients screened for entry in the Trandolapril Cardiac Evaluation (TRACE) study. The patients were analysed by Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, landmark analysis and Cox proportional hazard models. Outcome measure was all-cause mortality.

Results

An eGFR below 60 ml per minute per 1.73 m², consistent with chronic renal disease, was present in 42% of the patients. We divided the patients into 4 groups according to eGFR. Overall, Cox proportional-hazards models showed that eGFR was a significant prognostic factor in the two groups with the lowest eGFR, hazard ratio 1,72 (confidence interval (CI) 1,56-1,91) in the group with the lowest eGFR. Using the eGFR group with normal renal function as reference, we observed an incremental rise in hazard ratio. We divided the follow-up period in 2-year intervals. Landmark analysis showed that eGFR at the time of screening continued to show prognostic effect until 16 years of follow-up. By multivariable Cox regression analysis, the prognostic effect of eGFR persisted for 12 years and of se-creatinine for 10 years. When comparing the lowest group of eGFR with the group with normal eGFR, prognostic significance was present in the entire period of follow-up with a hazard ratio between 1,97 (CI 1,65-2,35) and 1,35 (CI 0,99-1,84) in the 2-year periods.

Conclusions

One estimate of renal function is a strong and independent long-term prognostic factor for 10-12 years following a MI.

Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate in Short-Risk Stratification in Acute Myocardial Infarction

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Renal dysfunction is associated with a higher risk of cardiovascular disease in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI). The aim of this study was to investigate the independent prognostic value of renal dysfunction and its incremental predictability risk after adjusting for well-known clinical factors in patients with AMI.

METHODS

751 consecutive patients with AMI admitted to the Coronary Care Unit (CCU) were included. Patients were grouped into 2 categories according to the baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) on admission (eGFR <60 vs. eGFR ≧60 ml/min/1.73 m2). C-reactive protein and white blood cell count (WBC) as well as clinical prognostic variables were assessed. The endpoint was mortality during CCU stay. The discriminatory power was estimated by the C-index.

RESULTS

The patient group with an eGFR <60 ml/min/1.73 m2 was older, had more cardiovascular risk factors, a lower left ventricular ejection fraction and higher cardiovascular mortality during CCU stay (13 vs. 3%). Logistic regression analysis revealed the following predictors of mortality: degree of renal impairment (eGFR <60 ml/min/1.73 m2), hazard ratio (HR) = 2.2 (95% CI 1.1-4.3; p = 0.028); WBC >11,000 × 106/l, HR = 2.3 (95% CI 1.2-4.5; p = 0.017); Killip class on admission, HR = 3.8 (95% CI 1.7-8.5; p = 0.001), and New York Heart Association Functional Classification, HR = 3.6 (95% CI 1.7-7.4; p = 0.001). The adjusted C-index was 0.78 for baseline clinical variables and 0.84 for eGFR.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with AMI, decreased eGFR is an important prognostic factor for impaired cardiac function and mortality in the short-term follow-up. The eGFR may be reliably used in the risk stratification of patients with AMI.