The short-term prediction of preterm birth: a systematic review and diagnostic metaanalysis

Cervical elastography using E-Cervix™ for prediction of preterm birth in twin pregnancies with threatened preterm labor

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the prediction performance of E-Cervix™ for preterm birth in twin pregnancies with threatened preterm labor.

METHODS

This was a single-center retrospective cohort study of twin pregnancies presenting to obstetrics triage for threatened preterm labor (PTL) between 23 0/7 - 33 6/7 weeks who received screening for PTL with transvaginal ultrasound cervical length (TVU CL) and cervical elastography with E-Cervix™ at the time of triage. Cervical elastography parameters were examined and compared between women who delivered preterm and those who did not. The quantification of cervical strain was calculated by a data analysis system that directly analyzes raw data from the region of interest (ROI) and described as hardness ratio (HR), mean strain level within 1 cm from internal (IOS) and external (EOS) os.

RESULTS

63 twin gestations without prior preterm birth and with threatened PTL between 23 0/7 - 33 6/7 weeks of gestation were included in the study. 27 (42.9 %) had cervical length < 25 mm, and were admitted for true PLT. Out of the 36 women with cervical length ≥ 25 mm, 6 (16.7 %) were admitted. Women with threatened PTL had significantly higher HR compared to those with true PTL (p < 0.01), and significantly lower IOS and EOS. Women who delivered preterm had significantly higher HR compared to those who did not delivery preterm and significantly lower IOS and EOS, in overall cohort, and in the subset of women with true PTL. Incidences of HR < 50 % and < 35 % were statistically significantly higher in women who delivered preterm compared to those who did not (p < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

Cervical elastography with E-Cervix™ may be useful for assessment of twin gestations presenting to obstetrics triage for threatened PTL.

Vaginal Progesterone for Pregnancy Prolongation After Arrested Preterm Labor: A Randomized Clinical Trial

Importance

Women with arrested preterm labor (APTL) are at very high risk for spontaneous preterm delivery (SPTD), the leading cause of neonatal mortality and morbidity. To date, no maintenance therapy has been found to be effective for pregnancy prolongation. A few clinical trials with considerable methodological limitations have demonstrated some efficacy for 400 mg vaginal micronized progesterone (VMP) in women with APTL.

Objective

To investigate the effectiveness of daily 400 mg VMP for the prolongation of pregnancy after APTL.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This randomized clinical trial was conducted between December 19, 2018, and February 27, 2023, in 3 university-affiliated medical centers in Israel. Participants included women with singleton and twin pregnancies after APTL following tocolysis at 24 weeks 0 days to 34 weeks 0 days' gestation. Women with a history of preterm delivery or asymptomatic cervical shortening in the current pregnancy were excluded.

Interventions

Participants were randomly allocated to receive VMP 200 mg twice a day or no treatment until 36 weeks 6 days' gestation.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary end points were mean number of days from study enrollment to delivery and the rate of SPTD prior to 37 weeks' gestation.

Results

A total of 129 participants were enrolled (65 in the VMP group and 64 in the no-treatment group). Mean (SD) age was 27.6 (5.1) years. Between the VMP and no-treatment groups, there was no difference in pregnancy prolongation (mean [SD], 40.0 [17.8] vs 37.4 [20.3] days; P = .44) and the rate of SPTD (16 [25%] vs 19 [30%]; relative risk, 0.8; 95% CI, 0.5-1.5; P = .52). In twin pregnancies, including 12 and 15 pairs in the VMP and no-treatment groups, respectively, VMP prolonged pregnancy (mean [SD], 43.7 [18.1] vs 26.1 [15.2] days; P = .02), postponed the delivery week (36.5 [1.4] vs 34.7 [2.2] weeks; P = .01), shortened the length of stay in the neonatal intensive care unit (4.9 [10.6] vs 13.2 [18.5] days; P = .03) and overall hospital stay (8.3 [9.6] vs 15.1 [17.2] days; P = .03), and was associated with a higher birth weight (2444 [528] vs 2018 [430] g; P = .01).

Conclusions and Relevance

These findings show that VMP given in a dosage of 200 mg twice a day following APTL is not an effective treatment to prolong pregnancy or prevent SPTD. However, VMP demonstrated beneficial effects in twin pregnancies, warranting further investigation.

Trial Registration

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02430233.

Cervical Length Ultrasound for the Evaluation of Preterm Labor: A Survey of National Use and Review of Evidence

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study was to survey national utilization of cervical length (CL) ultrasound on labor and delivery (L&D) for the evaluation of preterm labor (PTL) and identify provider attitudes and barriers to utilization.

STUDY DESIGN

Survey was emailed to Obstetrics and Gynecology Residency and Maternal-Fetal Medicine Fellowship program and advertised via links on obstetric-related Facebook interest groups. The survey was open from August 4, 2020 to January 4, 2021. Characteristics between respondents who did and did not report the use of CL ultrasound for PTL evaluation were compared with chi-square analysis.

RESULTS

There were 214 respondents across 42 states. One hundred and thirty-four respondents (63%) reported any use of CL in the evaluation of PTL and eighty (37%) denied it. There was a significant difference in practice location, practice type, delivery volume, and region between those who did and did not utilize CL ultrasound on L&D. Those who did use CL ultrasound were more likely to report no barriers to use (40 vs. 4%, p < 0.001). The most common barriers involved the availability of transvaginal ultrasound (31%), sterilization of transvaginal ultrasound probe (32%), limited availability of persons able to perform/interpret CL imaging (38%). Nineteen percent believed CL ultrasound had little/no utility in clinical practice. Those who did not use CL ultrasound in the evaluation of PTL were significantly more likely to report the feeling that there was little/no utility of CL ultrasound in clinical practice (37 vs. 7%, p < 0.001) and to report transvaginal ultrasound availability as barriers to use (63 vs. 12%, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

CL ultrasound is used nationally in PTL evaluation. However, significant barriers limit widespread adoption. These barriers can be addressed through the dissemination of information and practice guidelines, addition of CL ultrasound education in residency training and through CME opportunities after training, and providing support/resources/access for those looking to add this tool to their practice environment.

KEY POINTS

· In a national survey, 63% of obstetricians endorsed any use of cervical length (CL) ultrasound for preterm labor evaluation on labor and delivery.. · The most common barriers involved the availability of transvaginal ultrasound (31%), sterilization of transvaginal ultrasound probe (32%), limited availability of persons able to perform/interpret CL imaging (38%).. · Those who did not use CL ultrasound in the evaluation of PTL were significantly more likely to report the feeling that there was little/no utility of CL ultrasound in clinical practice and to report transvaginal ultrasound availability as barriers to utilization.. · Barriers to utilization of CL ultrasound for preterm labor evaluation can be addressed through practice guidelines, ultrasound education, and support for equipment/training necessary for use..

Prediction of Preterm Delivery Using Serum Ischemia Modified Albumin, Biglycan, and Decorin Levels in Women with Threatened Preterm Labor

OBJECTIVE

 The serum ischemia modified albumin (IMA), biglycan, and decorin levels of pregnant women who were hospitalized for threatened preterm labor were measured.

METHODS

 Fifty-one consecutive pregnant women with a single pregnancy between the 24th and 36th weeks with a diagnosis of threatened preterm labor were included in the present prospective cohort study.

RESULTS

 As a result of multivariate logistic regression analysis for predicting preterm delivery within 24 hours, 48 hours, 7 days, 14 days, ≤ 35 gestational weeks, and ≤ 37 gestational weeks after admission, area under the curve (AUC) (95% confidence interval [CI[) values were 0.95 (0.89-1.00), 0.93 (0.86-0.99), 0.91 (0.83-0.98), 0.92 (0.85-0.99), 0.82 (0.69-0.96), and 0.89 (0.80-0.98), respectively. In the present study, IMA and biglycan levels were found to be higher and decorin levels lower in women admitted to the hospital with threatened preterm labor and who gave preterm birth within 48 hours compared with those who gave birth after 48 hours.

CONCLUSION

 In pregnant women admitted to the hospital with threatened preterm labor, the prediction preterm delivery of the combined model created by adding IMA, decorin, and biglycan in addition to the TVS CL measurement was higher than the TVS CL measurement alone.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

 The present trial was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT04451928.

A nomogram to optimize the timing of antenatal corticosteroids in threatened preterm delivery

BACKGROUND

Recent observational studies reported a high rate of suboptimal use of antenatal corticosteroids (too anticipated or retrospectively not indicated) for women at risk of preterm delivery despite a recommended use within 7 days before delivery.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to elaborate a nomogram aiming at optimizing the timing of administration of antenatal corticosteroids in case of threatened preterm labor, asymptomatic short cervix, or uterine contractions.

STUDY DESIGN

This was an observational retrospective study conducted in a tertiary hospital. All women between 24 and 34 weeks of gestation who received corticosteroids during hospitalization for threatened preterm delivery, asymptomatic short cervix, or uterine contractions requiring tocolysis between 2015 and 2019 were included. Clinical, biological, and sonographic data of women were used to construct logistic regression models for predicting delivery within 7 days. The model was validated on an independent series of women hospitalized in 2020.

RESULTS

Among the 1343 women included in this study, the risk factors independently associated with a delivery within 7 days in multivariate analysis were vaginal bleeding (odds ratio, 14.47; 95% confidence interval, 7.81-26.81; P<.001); need for a second-line tocolysis, such as atosiban (odds ratio, 5.66; 95% confidence interval, 3.39-9.45; P<.001); C-reactive protein level (per 1 mg/L increase; odds ratio, 1.03; 95% confidence interval, 1.02-1.04; P<.001); cervical length (per 1 mm increase; odds ratio, 0.84; 95% confidence interval, 0.82-0.87; P<.001); uterine scar (odds ratio, 2.98; 95% confidence interval, 1.33-6.65; P=.008), and gestational age at admission (per week of amenorrhea increase; odds ratio, 1.10; 95% confidence interval, 1.00-1.20; P=.041). Based on these results, a nomogram was developed that, in retrospect, would have allowed physicians to avoid or delay antenatal corticosteroids in 57% of cases in our population. The discrimination of the predictive model was good when applied to the validation set of 232 women hospitalized in 2020. It would have enabled physicians to avoid or delay antenatal corticosteroids in 52% of cases.

CONCLUSION

This study developed a simple use, accurate prognostic score to identify women at risk of delivery within 7 days in cases of threatened preterm delivery, asymptomatic short cervix, or uterine contractions and thereby optimized the use of antenatal corticosteroids.

Antenatal Corticosteroid Prophylaxis at Late Preterm Gestation: Clinical Guidelines vs Clinical Practice

OBJECTIVES

We investigated how the Antenatal Late Preterm Steroids (ALPS) trial findings have been translated into clinical practice in Canada and the United States (U.S.).

METHODS

The study included all live births in Nova Scotia, Canada and the United States from 2007 to 2020. ACS administration within specific categories of gestational age was assessed by calculating rates per 100 live births, and temporal changes were quantified using odds ratios (OR) and 95% CI. Temporal trends in optimal and suboptimal ACS use were also assessed.

RESULTS

In Nova Scotia, the rate of any ACS administration increased significantly among women delivering at 35⁰ to 36⁶ weeks, from 15.2% in 2007-2016 to 19.6% in 2017-2020 (OR 1.36, 95% CI 1.14-1.62). Overall, the U.S. rates were lower than the rates in Nova Scotia. In the U.S., rates of any ACS administration increased significantly across all gestational age categories: among live births at 35⁰ to 36⁶ weeks gestation, any ACS use increased from 4.1% in 2007-2016 to 18.5% in 2017-2020 (OR 5.33, 95% CI 5.28-5.38). Among infants between 24⁰ and 34⁶ weeks gestation in Nova Scotia, 32% received optimally timed ACS, while 47% received ACS with suboptimal timing. Of the women who received ACS in 2020, 34% in Canada and 20% in the U.S. delivered at ≥37 weeks.

CONCLUSION

Publication of the ALPS trial resulted in increased ACS administration at late preterm gestation in Nova Scotia, Canada and the U.S. However, a significant fraction of women receiving ACS prophylaxis delivered at term gestation.

Developing a risk profile for spontaneous preterm birth and short interval to delivery among patients with threatened preterm labor

BACKGROUND

Threatened preterm birth is the most common reason for antepartum hospitalization in the United States, accounting for approximately 50% of these admissions. However, fewer than 10% of patients with inpatient evaluation for signs or symptoms of preterm labor ultimately deliver before term.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to generate predictive models to assess the risk of preterm delivery and time to delivery based on clinical signs and symptoms of patients evaluated in our institution for preterm labor concerns.

STUDY DESIGN

This was a retrospective cohort study of singleton pregnancies evaluated for signs and/or symptoms of preterm labor, including contractions, abdominal pain, vaginal bleeding, and short cervix, between 22 0/7 and 33 6/7 weeks of gestation. Inpatient evaluations were classified by patient presentation: (1) symptomatic with cervical findings (transvaginal cervical length of <2.5 cm or cervical dilation of ≥2.0 cm), (2) asymptomatic with cervical findings, and (3) symptomatic without cervical findings. The primary outcomes included incidence of spontaneous preterm birth and interval from presentation to delivery, compared between groups. The risk of preterm delivery was evaluated using log-binomial regression, and presentation to delivery timing was assessed by survival analysis and Cox proportional hazards modeling.

RESULTS

Of 631 patients with preterm labor concerns, 96 (16%) were symptomatic with cervical findings on evaluation, 51 (8%) were asymptomatic with cervical findings, and 466 (76%) were symptomatic without cervical findings. The occurrence of preterm birth was significantly higher among symptomatic patients with cervical findings (49%) than among those with cervical findings alone (31%) or symptoms alone (11%) (P<.0001). In addition, symptomatic patients with cervical findings were significantly more likely to deliver within 48 hours (20%), 1 week (30%), 2 weeks (33%), and 1 month (43%) of presentation than patients with cervical findings alone (2%, 2%, 6%, and 10%, respectively) or symptoms alone (0.4%, 1%, 1.5%, and 5%, respectively) (P value for trend<.0001). Adjusted for gestational age at presentation and previous preterm birth, the overall risk of preterm delivery was significantly higher among patients with symptoms and cervical findings than among patients with cervical findings alone (relative risk, 2.81; 95% confidence interval, 1.74-4.54) or symptoms alone (relative risk, 4.39; 95% confidence interval, 3.16-6.09). Adjusted for the same variables, symptomatic patients with cervical findings were also at higher risk of delivery over time after assessment than patients with cervical findings alone (hazard ratio, 2.06; 95% confidence interval, 1.47-2.90) or symptoms alone (hazard ratio, 2.16; 95% confidence interval, 1.74-2.70). The negative predictive value of these models suggested that only 1% of patients with isolated symptoms or cervical findings are at risk of preterm delivery within 1 week of initial presentation.

CONCLUSION

Symptomatic patients with cervical findings suggestive of preterm labor were at the greatest risk of preterm birth and a shorter interval from presentation to delivery. The study findings supported a risk profile that may facilitate the selection of patients most appropriate for admission and targeted management. Nonetheless, as nearly 50% of patients meeting this risk profile subsequently deliver at term, future research is needed to identify which of these patients will require intervention.

Identifying the Early Signs of Preterm Birth from U.S. Birth Records Using Machine Learning Techniques

Preterm birth (PTB) is the leading cause of infant mortality in the U.S. and globally. The goal of this study is to increase understanding of PTB risk factors that are present early in pregnancy by leveraging statistical and machine learning (ML) techniques on big data. The 2016 U.S. birth records were obtained and combined with two other area-level datasets, the Area Health Resources File and the County Health Ranking. Then, we applied logistic regression with elastic net regularization, random forest, and gradient boosting machines to study a cohort of 3.6 million singleton deliveries to identify generalizable PTB risk factors. The response variable is preterm birth, which includes spontaneous and indicated PTB, and we performed a binary classification. Our results show that the most important predictors of preterm birth are gestational and chronic hypertension, interval since last live birth, and history of a previous preterm birth, which explains 10.92, 5.98, and 5.63% of the predictive power, respectively. Parents' education is one of the influential variables in predicting PTB, explaining 7.89% of the predictive power. The relative importance of race declines when parents are more educated or have received adequate prenatal care. The gradient boosting machines outperformed with an AUC of 0.75 (sensitivity: 0.64, specificity: 0.73) for the validation dataset. In this study, we compare our results with seminal and most related studies to demonstrate the superiority of our results. The application of ML techniques improved the performance measures in the prediction of preterm birth. The results emphasize the importance of socioeconomic factors such as parental education as one of the most important indicators of preterm birth. More research is needed on these mechanisms through which socioeconomic factors affect biological responses.

Prediction of Spontaneous Preterm Birth in At-risk Women Using Thrombospondin 1 from Cervicovaginal Fluid: A Prospective Observational Study

Introduction Thrombospondin 1, desmoplakin and stratifin are putative biomarkers for the prediction of preterm birth. This study aimed to validate the predictive capability of these biomarkers in patients at risk of preterm birth.

Materials and Methods We included 109 women with symptoms of threatened spontaneous preterm birth between weeks 20 0/7 and 31 6/7 of gestation. Inclusion criteria were uterine contractions, cervical length of less than 25 mm, or a personal history of spontaneous preterm birth. Multiple gestations were also included. Samples of cervicovaginal fluid were taken before performing a digital examination and transvaginal ultrasound. Levels of cervicovaginal thrombospondin 1, desmoplakin and stratifin were quantified by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays. The primary endpoint was spontaneous preterm birth before 34 + 0 weeks of gestation.

Results Sixteen women (14.7%) delivered before 34 + 0 weeks. Median levels of thrombospondin 1 were higher in samples where birth occurred before 34 weeks vs. ≥ 34 weeks of gestation (4904 vs. 469 pg/mL, p < 0.001). Receiver operator characteristics analysis resulted in an area under the curve of 0.86 (p < 0.0001). At an optimal cut-off value of 2163 pg/mL, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value were 0.94, 0.77, 0.42 and 0.99, respectively, with an adjusted odds ratio of 32.9 (95% CI: 3.1 – 345, p = 0.004). Multiple gestation, cervical length, and preterm labor had no impact on the results. Survival analysis revealed a predictive period of more than eight weeks. Levels of desmoplakin and stratifin did not differ between groups.

Conclusion Thrombospondin 1 allowed long-term risk estimation of spontaneous preterm birth.

A novel technique for prediction of preterm birth: fetal nasal flow Doppler

OBJECTIVES

Absence of fetal breathing movements (FBM) has been found to be a good predictor of preterm delivery in symptomatic patients. However, analysis of FBM patterns and Doppler measurement of them for preterm birth prediction have not been performed before. In this study, we aimed to investigate and analyze FBM patterns in symptomatic preterm labor patients by fetal ultrasonography and nasal Doppler.

METHODS

This was a multicenter, prospective cohort study. Singleton pregnant patients between 24 and 37 gestational weeks diagnosed with preterm labor were included in the study. Patients were evaluated in three groups: no FBM (Group 1), regular FBM (Group 2), irregular FBM (Group3).

RESULTS

Seventy-three patients were available for the final analysis after exclusion. Preterm delivery rate in 24 h in groups were 91.7, 32.7 and 100%, respectively. The absence of FBM (Group 1) was statistically significant for preterm delivery in for both 24 (91.7 vs. 42.6%, p=0.002) and 48 h (91.7 vs. 49.2%, p=0.006) when compared with fetal breathing positive Group 2 and 3. In fetal nasal Doppler analyses in Group 2, the inspiration/expiration number rate was significantly lower in the patients who delivered in 24 h (0.98±0.2 vs. 1.25±0.57, p=0.015). By using fetal nasal Doppler, combination of absence of FBM or irregular FBM or regular FBM with inspiration number/expiration number (I/E) <1.25 detects 94.6% of patients who will eventually deliver in the first 24 h after admission.

CONCLUSIONS

Examining FBM patterns and using nasal Doppler may help the clinician to differentiate those who will deliver preterm and may be an invaluable tool for managing preterm labor patients.

Atosiban Combined with Ritodrine for Late Threatened Abortion or Threatened Premature Labor Patients with No Response to Ritodrine: A Clinical Trial

Background

Premature labor is an important cause of infant death and long-term disability. This study aimed to explore the safety and effectiveness of combining the tocolytic agents atosiban and ritodrine to extend gestation.

Material/Methods

The study included 52 patients with late threatened abortion and threatened premature labor between 20^0/7 and 33^6/7 weeks’ gestation who were administrated continuous tocolytic agents for 48 h. Patients were divided into a research group receiving ritodrine combined with atosiban, owing to having no response to ritodrine alone (n=30), and a control group receiving ritodrine alone (n=22). The mean infusion rate and duration of tocolytic administration, gestation extension, pregnancy outcomes, and adverse effects were recorded. Routine blood tests, including C-reactive protein, and cultures for leukorrhea, candida, and mycoplasma were performed before and 1 week after treatment.

Results

Patients receiving ritodrine with atosiban had a mean gestation extension of 42.53±31.70 days. The extension of gestation of the research group was statistically shorter than that of the control group (P<0.05). The fetal loss rate, newborn birth weight, and Apgar score at 1 min were similar between the 2 groups (all, P>0.05). The research group had a lower incidence of palpitations than the control group (P<0.05).

Conclusions

For patients with late threatened abortion or threatened premature labor not controlled with ritodrine alone, ritodrine combined with atosiban extends gestation and improves pregnancy outcomes. For patients with abnormal uterine contractions, routine testing for reproductive tract infection should be performed. When infection is present, anti-infective therapy should be administered.

Does Assessment of Cervical Phosphorylated Insulin-like Growth Factor Binding Protein-1 by Bedside Vaginal Swab Test Really Predict Preterm Birth?

Preterm birth is the first cause of neonatal mortality and is associated with elevated risks of long-term complications such as neurodevelopmental impairment. Prediction of spontaneous preterm birth, one of the biggest challenges in obstetrics, aims at delaying birth in order to allow corticosteroid therapy and, if necessary, transfer of patient to a higher-level maternity care unit. We aimed to assess the predictive role of phIGFBP-1 (Actim® Partus) diagnostic test on patients at risk of preterm labor, routinely used in our institution. We conducted a retrospective cohort study on 99 patients admitted in the high-risk pregnancy unit of our institution from June 2012 to November 2014. The primary outcome measures were delivery before 34⁺⁰ and 37⁺⁰ weeks. Data analysis allowed measure of Actim® Partus test sensitivity (Se), specificity (Sp), positive and negative predictive values (PPV and NPV), diagnostic efficiency as well as positive and negative likelihood ratios. Actim® Partus test features (Se, Sp, PPV and NPV) were 53.3, 67.9, 23.5 and 88.7% respectively for deliveries occurring ≤ 34⁺⁰ weeks and 54.2, 75.4, 55.8, and 74.2%, respectively, for deliveries occurring ≤ 37⁺⁰ weeks. Diagnostic efficiency of the test was 65.7% (≤ 34⁺⁰ weeks) and 67.7% (≤ 37⁺⁰ weeks). Positive likelihood ratios were 1.6 (≤ 34⁺⁰ weeks) and 2.2 (≤ 37⁺⁰ weeks). Negative likelihood ratios were 0.7 (≤ 34⁺⁰ weeks) and 0.6 (≤ 37⁺⁰ weeks). Results of our study show that phIGFBP-1 diagnostic test is not accurate enough in predicting preterm birth before 34⁺⁰ or 37⁺⁰ weeks, and therefore, there is little clinical interest in its everyday use.

Do nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR)-based metabolomics improve the prediction of pregnancy-related disorders? Findings from a UK birth cohort with independent validation

BACKGROUND

Prediction of pregnancy-related disorders is usually done based on established and easily measured risk factors. Recent advances in metabolomics may provide earlier and more accurate prediction of women at risk of pregnancy-related disorders.

METHODS

We used data collected from women in the Born in Bradford (BiB; n = 8212) and UK Pregnancies Better Eating and Activity Trial (UPBEAT; n = 859) studies to create and validate prediction models for pregnancy-related disorders. These were gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM), hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP), small for gestational age (SGA), large for gestational age (LGA) and preterm birth (PTB). We used ten-fold cross-validation and penalised regression to create prediction models. We compared the predictive performance of (1) risk factors (maternal age, pregnancy smoking, body mass index (BMI), ethnicity and parity) to (2) nuclear magnetic resonance-derived metabolites (N = 156 quantified metabolites, collected at 24-28 weeks gestation) and (3) combined risk factors and metabolites. The multi-ethnic BiB cohort was used for training and testing the models, with independent validation conducted in UPBEAT, a multi-ethnic study of obese pregnant women.

RESULTS

Maternal age, pregnancy smoking, BMI, ethnicity and parity were retained in the combined risk factor and metabolite models for all outcomes apart from PTB, which did not include maternal age. In addition, 147, 33, 96, 51 and 14 of the 156 metabolite traits were retained in the combined risk factor and metabolite model for GDM, HDP, SGA, LGA and PTB, respectively. These include cholesterol and triglycerides in very low-density lipoproteins (VLDL) in the models predicting GDM, HDP, SGA and LGA, and monounsaturated fatty acids (MUFA), ratios of MUFA to omega 3 fatty acids and total fatty acids, and a ratio of apolipoprotein B to apolipoprotein A-1 (APOA:APOB1) were retained predictors for GDM and LGA. In BiB, discrimination for GDM, HDP, LGA and SGA was improved in the combined risk factors and metabolites models. Risk factor area under the curve (AUC 95% confidence interval (CI)): GDM (0.69 (0.64, 0.73)), HDP (0.74 (0.70, 0.78)) and LGA (0.71 (0.66, 0.75)), and SGA (0.59 (0.56, 0.63)). Combined risk factor and metabolite models AUC 95% (CI): GDM (0.78 (0.74, 0.81)), HDP (0.76 (0.73, 0.79)) and LGA (0.75 (0.70, 0.79)), and SGA (0.66 (0.63, 0.70)). For GDM, HDP and LGA, but not SGA, calibration was good for a combined risk factor and metabolite model. Prediction of PTB was poor for all models. Independent validation in UPBEAT at 24-28 weeks and 15-18 weeks gestation confirmed similar patterns of results, but AUCs were attenuated.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggest a combined risk factor and metabolite model improves prediction of GDM, HDP and LGA, and SGA, when compared to risk factors alone. They also highlight the difficulty of predicting PTB, with all models performing poorly.

Association between Maternal Serum Hormones along the Maternal-Fetal Hypothalamic-Pituitary-Adrenal Axis and Successful Vaginal Delivery Measured Prior to Labor Induction

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to evaluate if maternal serum hormones along the maternal-fetal hypothalamic-pituitary-adrenal (HPA) axis, when drawn prior to labor induction, differed between women who delivered vaginally and those who underwent cesarean.

STUDY DESIGN

This was a prospective observational study at a single perinatal center performed from August 2017 to May 2018. Nulliparous women with uncomplicated singleton pregnancies ≥39 weeks had maternal serum collected prior to induction. Corticotrophin-releasing hormone (CRH) was measured by ELISA; dehydroepiandrosterone sulfate (DHEA-S), cortisol, estriol (E₃) estradiol (E₂), and progesterone (P₄) were measured by chemiluminescent reaction. Mean analyte concentrations as well as three ratios (E₂/P₄, E₃/P_4, and E₂/E₃) were compared between women who had a vaginal versus cesarean delivery. Logistic regression was used to model the relationship between CRH and the odds of vaginal birth. We estimated that a sample size of 66 would have 90% power to detect a 25% difference in mean CRH levels assuming a vaginal:cesarean ratio of 2:1 with a baseline CRH concentration of 140 (standard deviation = 36) pg/mL.

RESULTS

Of the 88 women who had their serum analyzed, 27 (31%) underwent cesarean. Mean maternal serum CRH levels were similar between the vaginal delivery and cesarean groups (122.6 ± 95.2 vs. 112.3 ± 142.4, p = 0.73). Similarly, there were no significant differences in any other maternal serum analytes or ratios. Logistic regression showed a nonsignificant odds ratio for successful vaginal birth (p = 0.69) even when evaluating only the 16 women who had a cesarean for an arrest disorder (p = 0.08).

CONCLUSION

In low-risk nulliparous women undergoing full-term labor induction, there were no differences noted in a broad array of other maternal-fetal HPA-axis hormones between women who had a vaginal or cesarean delivery.

Three biomarker tests to help diagnose preterm labour: a systematic review and economic evaluation

BACKGROUND

Preterm birth may result in short- and long-term health problems for the child. Accurate diagnoses of preterm births could prevent unnecessary (or ensure appropriate) admissions into hospitals or transfers to specialist units.

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this report is to assess the test accuracy, clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of the diagnostic tests PartoSure™ (Parsagen Diagnostics Inc., Boston, MA, USA), Actim^® Partus (Medix Biochemica, Espoo, Finland) and the Rapid Fetal Fibronectin (fFN)^® 10Q Cassette Kit (Hologic, Inc., Marlborough, MA, USA) at thresholds ≠50 ng/ml [quantitative fFN (qfFN)] for women presenting with signs and symptoms of preterm labour relative to fFN at 50 ng/ml.

METHODS

Systematic reviews of the published literature were conducted for diagnostic test accuracy (DTA) studies of PartoSure, Actim Partus and qfFN for predicting preterm birth, the clinical effectiveness following treatment decisions informed by test results and economic evaluations of the tests. A model-based economic evaluation was also conducted to extrapolate long-term outcomes from the results of the diagnostic tests. The model followed the structure of the model that informed the 2015 National Institute for Health and Care Excellence guidelines on preterm labour diagnosis and treatment, but with antenatal steroids use, as opposed to tocolysis, driving health outcomes.

RESULTS

Twenty studies were identified evaluating DTA against the reference standard of delivery within 7 days and seven studies were identified evaluating DTA against the reference standard of delivery within 48 hours. Two studies assessed two of the index tests within the same population. One study demonstrated that depending on the threshold used, qfFN was more or less accurate than Actim Partus, whereas the other indicated little difference between PartoSure and Actim Partus. No study assessing qfFN and PartoSure in the same population was identified. The test accuracy results from the other included studies revealed a high level of uncertainty, primarily attributable to substantial methodological, clinical and statistical heterogeneity between studies. No study compared all three tests simultaneously. No clinical effectiveness studies evaluating any of the three biomarker tests were identified. One partial economic evaluation was identified for predicting preterm birth. It assessed the number needed to treat to prevent a respiratory distress syndrome case with a 'treat-all' strategy, relative to testing with qualitative fFN. Because of the lack of data, our de novo model involved the assumption that management of pregnant women fully adhered to the results of the tests. In the base-case analysis for a woman at 30 weeks' gestation, Actim Partus had lower health-care costs and fewer quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) than qfFN at 50 ng/ml, reducing costs at a rate of £56,030 per QALY lost compared with qfFN at 50 ng/ml. PartoSure is less costly than Actim Partus while being equally effective, but this is based on diagnostic accuracy data from a small study. Treatment with qfFN at 200 ng/ml and 500 ng/ml resulted in lower cost savings per QALY lost relative to fFN at 50 ng/ml than treatment with Actim Partus. In contrast, qfFN at 10 ng/ml increased QALYs, by 0.002, and had a cost per QALY gained of £140,267 relative to fFN at 50 ng/ml. Similar qualitative results were obtained for women presenting at different gestational ages.

CONCLUSION

There is a high degree of uncertainty surrounding the test accuracy and cost-effectiveness results. We are aware of four ongoing UK trials, two of which plan to enrol > 1000 participants. The results of these trials may significantly alter the findings presented here.

STUDY REGISTRATION

The study is registered as PROSPERO CRD42017072696.

FUNDING

The National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment programme.

Periodontal diseases and adverse pregnancy outcomes: Mechanisms

Adverse pregnancy outcomes (APOs) have been defined as (a) pre-term birth, when there is a delivery before 37 completed weeks (<259 days); (b) pre-eclampsia, which is a multisystem disorder of pregnancy characterized by maternal hypertension and proteinuria after the 20th gestational week; (c) low and very low birthweight, depending on whether the weight of the baby is less of 2500 g or <1500 g and (d) the spontaneous death of the fetus with <20 weeks (miscarriage) or between 20 and 36 weeks (stillbirth). In 2012, during the Consensus Report from the Joint EFP/AAP workshop on periodontitis and systematic diseases the role of periodontal diseases on APOs was reviewed. Some years later, this evidence has grown, and an update on the literature regarding the mechanisms related to this potential association (APOs and periodontal diseases) needs to be presented. The two major pathways (direct and indirect) already accepted in 2012 are still valid nowadays. Most evidence published in the last 5 years deals with a strong and solid evidence coming from the direct pathway while there is as scarce new evidence regarding indirect pathway. In this direct pathway, the haematological dissemination of oral microorganisms and their products, would later induce an inflammatory/Immune response in the foetal-placental unit. The most plausible route for this direct pathway is the hematogenous transmission through dental bacteremia, although not many new studies dealing with bacteremia has been performed lately.

Combined insulin-like growth factor binding protein-1/interleukin-6 (Premaquick) versus fetal fibronectin for predicting preterm delivery among women with preterm contractions

OBJECTIVES

To compare accuracy between Premaquick (combined test for native insulin-like growth factor binding protein-1 (IGFBP-1), total IGFBP-1, and interleukin-6) and fetal fibronectin (Ffn) in predicting preterm delivery.

METHODS

Prospective study among women at 28-36⁺⁶ gestational weeks with threatened preterm labor attending Federal Medical Center, Owerri, Nigeria, from August 2017 to February 2019. Cervico-vaginal fluids were collected and tested by Premaquick and Ffn tests. The women were followed for 14 days. Sensitivity, specificity, and negative (NPV) and positive (PPV) predictive value for delivery were compared between the tests.

RESULTS

Among 213 women assessed for eligibility, 183 were enrolled and 175 completed the study. The sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, and accuracy of the Premaquick versus Ffn tests were, respectively, 96.3% versus 51.9%, 97.6% versus 98.4%, 89.7% versus 87.5%, 99.2% versus 90.3% and 97.3% versus 90.0% for preterm delivery within 14 days. Ffn had higher specificity (98.5% vs 97.8%; P>0.99), but Premaquick had higher PPV (92.7% vs 90.9%; P>0.99).

CONCLUSION

Both tests seem to have high utility in predicting preterm delivery, but Premaquick showed higher accuracy in terms of sensitivity and PPV. Premaquick might be a feasible alternative to Ffn for predicting preterm delivery among symptomatic women in a low-income setting.

Cervico-vaginal placental α-macroglobulin-1 combined with cervical length for the prediction of preterm birth in women with threatened preterm labor

INTRODUCTION

Preterm birth is a major cause of neonatal morbidity and mortality. There is an urgent need to accurately predict imminent delivery to enable necessary interventions such as tocolytic, glucocorticoid, and magnesium sulfate administration. We aimed to evaluate placental α-macroglobulin-1 as a new diagnostic marker in the prediction of preterm birth.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We performed a prospective observational trial in women with intact membranes between 24⁺⁰ and 36⁺⁶ weeks of gestation. We included both women with and without threatened preterm labor symptoms. We evaluated the test performance of placental α-macroglobulin-1 measurements in cervicovaginal fluid regarding three different presentation-to-delivery intervals: ≤2, ≤7, ≤14 days. In addition, we calculated placental α-macroglobulin-1 performance in combination with other prognostic factors such as ultrasonographic cervical length measurements.

RESULTS

We included 126 women in the study. We detected high specificity (97%-98%) and negative predictive value (89%-97%) for placental α-macroglobulin-1 at all time intervals. We assessed placental α-macroglobulin-1 in combination with cervical length measurements (≤15 mm) in the sub-group of women presenting with threatened preterm labor symptoms (n = 63) and detected high positive predictive values (100%) for 7- and 14-day presentation-to-delivery intervals.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study provides evidence that placental α-macroglobulin-1 testing in cervicovaginal fluid, in combination with cervical length measurements, accurately predicts preterm birth in women with preterm labor symptoms. This novel test combination may be used clinically to triage women presenting with threatened preterm labor, avoiding overtreatment and unnecessary hospitalizations.

Infection/inflammation-associated preterm delivery within 14 days of presentation with symptoms of preterm labour: A multivariate predictive model

Multi-marker tests hold promise for identifying symptomatic women at risk of imminent preterm delivery (PTD, <37 week’s gestation). This study sought to determine the relationship of inflammatory mediators and metabolites in cervicovaginal fluid (CVF) with spontaneous PTD (sPTD) and delivery within 14 days of presentation with symptoms of preterm labour (PTL). CVF samples from 94 (preterm = 19, term = 75) singleton women with symptoms of PTL studied between 19⁺⁰–36⁺⁶ weeks’ gestation were analysed for cytokines/chemokines by multiplexed bead-based immunoassay, while metabolites were quantified by enzyme-based spectrophotometry in a subset of 61 women (preterm = 16, term = 45). Prevalence of targeted vaginal bacterial species was determined for 70 women (preterm = 14, term = 66) by PCR. Overall, 10 women delivered within 14 days of sampling. Predictive capacities of individual biomarkers and cytokine-metabolite combinations for sPTD and delivery within 14 days of sampling were analysed by logistic regression models and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. Fusobacterium sp., Mubiluncus mulieris and Mycoplasma hominis were detected in more preterm-delivered than term women (P<0.0001), while, M. curtisii was found in more term-delivered than preterm women (P<0.0001). RANTES (0.91, 0.65–1.0), IL-6 (0.79, 0.67–0.88), and Acetate/Glutamate ratio (0.74, 0.61–0.85) were associated with delivery within 14 days of sampling (AUC, 95% CI). There were significant correlations between cytokines and metabolites, and several cytokine-metabolite combinations were associated with sPTD or delivery within 14 days of sampling (e.g. L/D-lactate ratio+Acetate/Glutamate ratio+IL-6: 0.84, 0.67–0.94). Symptomatic women destined to deliver preterm and within 14 days of sampling express significantly higher pro-inflammatory mediators at mid to late gestation. In this cohort, IL-6, Acetate/Glutamate ratio and RANTES were associated with delivery within 14 days of sampling, consistent with their roles in modulating infection-inflammation-associated preterm labour in women presenting with symptoms of preterm birth. Replication of these observations in larger cohorts of women could show potential clinical utility.

A high concentration of fetal fibronectin in cervical secretions increases the risk of intra-amniotic infection and inflammation in patients with preterm labor and intact membranes

Objective To determine whether the risk of intra-amniotic infection/inflammation and spontaneous preterm delivery (SPTD) varies as a function of the concentration of cervical fetal fibronectin (fFN) in patients with preterm labor and intact membranes. Methods This prospective study included 180 patients with preterm labor and intact membranes who had a sample collected for quantitative fFN measurement and underwent amniocentesis. Amniotic fluid was cultured for aerobic and anaerobic bacteria and genital mycoplasmas. Intra-amniotic inflammation was defined as an amniotic fluid matrix metalloproteinase-8 concentration >23 ng/mL. Results (1) The prevalence of intra-amniotic infection/inflammation and SPTD within 7 days was 32.2% (58/180) and 33.9% (61/178), respectively; (2) The higher the fFN concentration, the greater the risk of intra-amniotic infection/inflammation and SPTD within 7 days (P<0.001, respectively); (3) An fFN concentration 150 ng/mL had a better diagnostic performance than an fFN 50 ng/mL in the identification of intra-amniotic infection/inflammation and SPTD within 7 days; (4) Among the patients with an fFN <50 ng/mL, intra-amniotic infection/inflammation was identified in 7.6% (6/79) of patients and 66.7% (4/6) delivered within 7 days. Conclusion The higher the concentration of fFN, the greater the risk of intra-amniotic infection/inflammation and SPTD in patients with preterm labor and intact membranes.

Threatened preterm birth: Validation of a nomogram to predict the individual risk of very preterm delivery in a secondary care center

INTRODUCTION

Very preterm delivery (22-32 weeks of gestation) remains a major cause of neonatal morbidity and mortality. The objective of this study was to validate a statistical model allowing to predict the risk of preterm delivery to use as a clinical decision-making tool for in utero transfer from a secondary to a tertiary care center.

METHODS

Retrospective observational study in a secondary care center (approximately 2500 births) in Paris, France. 137 women were admitted for threatened preterm delivery between 22 and 32 weeks. Women were retrospectively allocated to the following groups based on medical decision: "transfer group" (in utero transfer to a tertiary care unit) and "no transfer group" (no in utero transfer). The risk of preterm delivery within 48 h and before 32 weeks gestation was assessed for each group using a nomogram previously validated in a tertiary care center. The primary objective of the study was to determine the accuracy of the prediction model.

RESULTS

The discrimination and calibration of the nomogram were excellent (preterm delivery risk within 48 h, ROC AUC: 0.98, 95% CI: 0.95-1.00; probability of preterm delivery before 32 weeks gestation, ROC AUC: 0.94, 95% CI: 0.89-0.99). A threshold set at 0.16 helped minimize the risk of unnecessary in utero transfers with an excellent negative predictive value of 0.99.

CONCLUSIONS

We validated nomograms to predict the individual probability of preterm birth after admission in a secondary care center. Those nomograms could be helpful when making decisions regarding an in utero transfer to a tertiary care unit.

Developmental trajectories of general and breathing movements in fetal twins

This study examined the developmental trajectories of general and breathing movements in fetal twins. Fetal movement patterns were assessed from real-time ultrasound recordings performed at 12-15, 20-23, and 28-32 weeks of gestation in 42 twin pairs. Results indicated that both general movements and breathing movements followed a curvilinear, inverted U-shaped curve. Developmental trajectories were unrelated within pairs of twins and were not associated with gestational age at birth and birth weight. However, sex differences were found for general movements with males displaying more time making general movements at 21 weeks and a steeper decline in time spent making general movements during the second half of pregnancy than females. These age-related changes in fetal movements may reflect CNS development. These findings also suggest that twins' behavioral development is largely independent of co-twin development, gestational age at birth, and birth weight, but not of fetal sex.

Effectiveness and Accuracy of Tests for Preterm Delivery in Symptomatic Women: A Systematic Review

This study systematically reviewed evidence on the effectiveness and accuracy of predictive tests for preterm delivery among symptomatic women. The study included English-language systematic reviews (SRs) on any predictive test for preterm delivery among symptomatic women and primary studies for placental alpha-microglobulin-1. PubMed, Wiley Cochrane Library, the Centre for Reviews and Dissemination Database, the National Guidelines Clearinghouse, and the TRIP database were searched for SRs, PubMed and PubMed Central via the Wiley Cochrane Library were searched for primary studies. One reviewer performed study selection, with input from a second reviewer when needed. One reviewer appraised study quality and extracted: study characteristics (i.e., country, funding source, study design [primary studies] or synthesis method [SRs], study appraisal method [SRs]), population characteristics, index test(s) and cut-off points used, comparator(s) or reference standard(s), and outcomes. A second reviewed a random 10% sample. The authors synthesized the findings narratively. Of 451 unique records, the review included 22 (17 SRs, five primary studies). For effectiveness, there was evidence for use of transvaginal sonographic cervical length assessment (15-25 mm cut point) in reducing incidence of preterm delivery at <37 weeks (relative risk 0.64; 95% CI 0.44-0.94, one SR of three trials; n = 287) but lack of support for cervicovaginal fetal fibronectin. In terms of accuracy, one high-quality study within a best-evidence SR showed that cervical length measurement was useful to predict delivery within 48 hours (LR+ 6.43, 95% CI 5.17-8.00; LR- 0.03, 95% CI 0.00-0.42; n = 510) and 7 days (LR+ 8.61, 95% CI 6.65-11.14; LR- 0.03, 95% CI 0.00-0.18; n = 510). Accuracy of placental alpha-microglobulin-1 testing was not supported for most end points. In conclusion, some evidence supports the effectiveness of cervical length as a predictor of preterm delivery in symptomatic women. Evidence for most tests is limited in quality and quantity.

The review of results of foetal fibronectin at the Royal Cornwall Hospital Treliske

The manufacturer of a popular qualitative fFN assay, changed to using a quantitative assay following results from EQUIPPE study. The objective of our study was to compare our hospital data collated from our qualitative fFN assay with EQUIPPE's data, with a view to establish its validity in our hospital. We undertook a retrospective study over a 22-month period to review the data of 432 preterm pregnant women at less than 34 weeks of gestation, who presented to the labour ward with symptoms of threatened preterm labour warranting a fFN test. None of the patient with results between 11 and 199 ng/mL delivered within 7 days. However, there was a rise in percentage of delivery at higher levels. For example, 73% of patients with levels greater or equal to 500 ng/mL delivered within 7 days. Our results are comparable with those of the EQUIPPE study. This has led to changes that could potentially save our hospital money. Impact statement What is already known on this subject? The fFN test is a well validated test used to diagnose a preterm delivery. Most units are changing from the qualitative assays that just show positive or negative results to quantitative assays that give specific numeric values. Manufacturers give a numeric range for positive and negative results. What do the results of this study add? Although our study is local to our population, our findings show that potentially more money could be saved and fewer women separated from their families, if the negative level of the fFN test is increased (following a review of their local practice). What are the implications of these findings for clinical practice and/or further research? More units should review or audit their fFN results and choose what levels to use as a cut off for the test locally. More importantly, a multicentre research is needed to validate if the negative level needs increasing from 49 ng/mL.

Prediction of preterm delivery in symptomatic women using PAMG-1, fetal fibronectin and phIGFBP-1 tests: systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To assess the accuracy of placental alpha microglobulin-1 (PAMG-1), fetal fibronectin (fFN) and phosphorylated insulin-like growth factor-binding protein-1 (phIGFBP-1) tests in predicting spontaneous preterm birth (sPTB) within 7 days of testing in women with symptoms of preterm labor, through a systematic review and meta-analysis of the literature. The test performance of each biomarker was also assessed according to pretest probability of sPTB ≤ 7 days.

METHODS

The Cochrane, MEDLINE, PubMed and ResearchGate bibliographic databases were searched from inception until October 2017. Cohort studies that reported on the predictive accuracy of PAMG-1, fFN and phIGFBP-1 for the prediction of sPTB within 7 days of testing in women with symptoms of preterm labor were included. Summary receiver-operating characteristics (ROC) curves and sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV) and positive (LR+) and negative (LR-) likelihood ratios were generated using indirect methods for the calculation of pooled effect sizes with a bivariate linear mixed model for the logit of sensitivity and specificity, with each diagnostic test as a covariate, as described by the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Diagnostic Test Accuracy.

RESULTS

Bivariate mixed model pooled sensitivity of PAMG-1, fFN and phIGFBP-1 for the prediction of sPTB ≤ 7 days was 76% (95% CI, 57-89%), 58% (95% CI, 47-68%) and 93% (95% CI, 88-96%), respectively; pooled specificity was 97% (95% CI, 95-98%), 84% (95% CI, 81-87%) and 76% (95% CI, 70-80%) respectively; pooled PPV was 76.3% (95% CI, 69-84%) (P < 0.05), 34.1% (95% CI, 29-39%) and 35.2% (95% CI, 31-40%), respectively; pooled NPV was 96.6% (95% CI, 94-99%), 93.3% (95% CI, 92-95%) and 98.7% (95% CI, 98-99%), respectively; pooled LR+ was 22.51 (95% CI, 15.09-33.60) (P < 0.05), 3.63 (95% CI, 2.93-4.50) and 3.80 (95% CI, 3.11-4.66), respectively; and pooled LR- was 0.24 (95% CI, 0.12-0.48) (P < 0.05), 0.50 (95% CI, 0.39-0.64) and 0.09 (95% CI, 0.05-0.16), respectively. The areas under the ROC curves for PAMG-1, fFN and phIGFBP-1 for sPTB ≤ 7 days were 0.961, 0.874 and 0.801, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

In the prediction of sPTB within 7 days of testing in women with signs and symptoms of preterm labor, the PPV of PAMG-1 was significantly higher than that of phIGFBP-1 or fFN. Other diagnostic accuracy measures did not differ between the three biomarker tests. As prevalence affects the predictive performance of a diagnostic test, use of a highly specific assay for a lower-prevalence syndrome such as sPTB may optimize management. Copyright © 2018 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

The fetal fibronectin test: 25 years after its development, what is the evidence regarding its clinical utility? A systematic review and meta-analysis

Background: The identification of women at risk for preterm birth should allow interventions which could improve neonatal outcome. Fetal fibronectin, a glycoprotein which acts normally as glue between decidua and amniotic membranes could be a good marker of impending labour when its concentration in cervicovaginal secretions between 22 and 36 weeks of gestation is ≥50 ng/mL. Many authors worldwide have tested this marker with many different methodologies and clinical settings, but conclusions about its clinical use are mixed. It is time for a comprehensive update through a systematic review and meta-analysis.Methods: We searched PubMed, Cochrane Library, and Embase, supplemented by manual search of bibliographies of known primary and review articles, international conference papers, and contact with experts from 1-1990 to 2-2018. We have selected all type of studies involving fetal fibronectin test accuracy for preterm delivery. Two authors independently extracted data about study characteristics and quality from identified publications. Contingency tables were constructed. Reference standards were preterm delivery before 37, 36, 35, 34, and 32 weeks, within 28, 21, 14, or 7 d and within 48 h. Data were pooled to produce summary likelihood ratios for positive and negative tests results.Results: One hundred and ninety-three primary studies were identified allowing analysis of 53 subgroups. In all settings, none of the summary likelihood ratios were >10 or <0.1, thus indicating moderate prediction, particularly in asymptomatic women and in multiple gestations.Conclusions: The fetal fibronectin test should not be used as a screening test for asymptomatic women. For high-risk asymptomatic women, and especially for women with multiple pregnancies, the performance of the fetal fibronectin test was also too low to be clinically relevant. Consensual use as a diagnostic tool for women with suspected preterm labor, the best use policy probably still depends on local contingencies, future cost-effectiveness analysis, and comparison with other more recent available biochemical markers.

Cost-effectiveness of diagnostic tests for threatened preterm labor in singleton pregnancy in France

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have showed that the early diagnosis of threatened preterm labor decreases neonatal morbidity and mortality, avoids maternal morbidity induced by antepartum bed rest and unnecessary treatment, and reduces costs. Although there are many diagnostic tests, none is clearly recommended by international guidelines. The aim of our study was to compare seven diagnostic methods in terms of effectiveness and cost using a decision analysis model in singleton pregnancy presenting threatened preterm labor, between 24 and 34 weeks of gestation.

METHODS

Seven diagnostic strategies based on individual or combined use of the following tests: cervical length, cervical fibronectin test, cervical interleukin test and protein in maternal serum, were compared using a decision analysis model. Effectiveness was expressed in terms of serious adverse neonatal events avoided (neonatal morbidity and mortality) at the hospital discharge. The economic analysis was performed from the health care system perspective. Deterministic and probabilistic analyses were performed to test the robustness of the model.

RESULTS

At 24-34 weeks of gestation, the association of cervical length and qualitative fibronectin was the most efficient strategy dominating all alternatives, reducing the perinatal death or severe neonatal morbidity rate up to 15% and the costs up to 31% according to the gestational age. This result was confirmed by the deterministic sensitivity analyses. The probabilistic analysis showed that the association of cervical length and qualitative fibronectin dominated cervical length < 15 mm in more than 90% of the simulations. The comparison with the other tests revealed more uncertainty.

CONCLUSIONS

A test using cervical length and qualitative fetal fibronectin appears to be the best diagnostic strategy. Decisions regarding its generalization and funding in France in this population of women should take into account the high, lifetime costs induced by prematurity.

Quantitative fetal fibronectin and cervical length in symptomatic women: results from a prospective blinded cohort study. J Matern Fetal Neonatal Med 2018;32:3792-3800. [PMID: 29727248 DOI: 10.1080/14767058.2018.1472227]

Objectives: Our objectives were to determine whether quantitative fetal fibronectin (fFN) and cervical length (CL) screening can be used alone or in combination as prognostic tests to identify symptomatic women at the highest or lowest risk for spontaneous preterm birth (sPTB). Methods: A prospective, blinded cohort study of women presenting with a singleton gestation to our triage unit between 22-33w6d with preterm labor symptoms was performed. Women with ruptured membranes, moderate/severe bleeding, and dilation >2 cm were excluded. The primary outcome was sPTB <37 weeks. We evaluated test characteristics of quantitative fFN and CL assessment, both separately and in combination, considering traditionally reported cut-points (fFN ≥50 and CL <25), as well as cut-points above and below these measures. We found interactions between fFN >50 and CL <25 and sPTB by parity and obstetric history (p < .05) and therefore stratified results. Test characteristics are presented with positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV). Results: Five hundred eighty women were enrolled and 537 women were available for analysis. Overall sPTB rate was 11.1%. Among nulliparous women, increasing levels of fFN were associated with increasing risk of sPTB, with PPV going from 26.5% at ≥20 ng/mL to 44.4% at ≥200 ng/mL. A cut-point of 20 ng/mL had higher sensitivity (69.2%) and higher NPV (96.8%) and therefore identified a "low-risk" group. fFN was not informative for multiparous women regardless of prior obstetrical history or quantitative level chosen. For all women, a shorter CL was associated with an increased sPTB risk. Among nulliparas and multiparas without a prior sPTB, a CL <20 mm optimized test characteristics (PPV 25 and 20%, NPV 95.5, and 92.7%, respectively). For multiparas with a prior sPTB, CL <25 mm was more useful. Using fFN and CL in combination for nulliparas did not improve test characteristics over using the individual fFN (p = .74) and CL (p = .31) components separately. Conclusions: This study identifies the importance of stratifying by parity and obstetrical history when using screening modalities for risk assessment in symptomatic women. For nulliparous women, either quantitative fFN or cervical length assessment can be utilized, depending on resources available, but a lower cut-point of 20 ng/mL should be used for quantitative fFN. For multiparous women, fFN is not useful and cervical length assessment should be the main screening tool utilized when there is clinical uncertainty. Regardless of parity, the PPV of fFN and CL is low and therefore the greatest clinical utility remains in its NPV.

Biomarkers for predicting spontaneous preterm birth: an umbrella systematic review

OBJECTIVE

To identify all systematic reviews investigating the role of maternal and fetal biomarkers for predicting spontaneous preterm birth (SPTB).

METHODS

Medline and Web of Sciences databases were searched electronically. Studies exploring the association between maternal biomarkers and spontaneous delivery were considered suitable for inclusion. A synthesis of the systematic reviews was performed with the umbrella methodology. Statistical measures of association (Odd ratio, OR, relative risk, RR) and predictive accuracy (sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative likelihood ratios were used to synthesize results of the included studies.

RESULTS

21,614 articles were identified, 542 were assessed with respect to their eligibility for inclusion and 14 systematic reviews included. Cervical fibronectin was the biomarkers which showed the highest strength of association with the occurrence of SPTB (delivery within 24 h OR 7, 95%CI 3-17; delivery <7 days (OR 12, 95%CI 8-16). Maternal serum alpha fetoprotein, was associated with an OR of 4 and 3 for early and late SPTB. C-reactive protein had an OR of 2 (95%CI 1-2) and 8 (95%CI 4-16) when detected in maternal plasma and amniotic fluid, respectively. Among cytokines, interleukin-6 had an OR and an LR + for SPTB of 2 and 12 when detected in maternal serum.

CONCLUSIONS

Cervical fetal fibronectin, alpha fetoprotein, C- reactive protein and interleukin 6 can have an overall good diagnostic accuracy in identifying pregnancies at risk of SPTB. Large prospective studies in different sub-set of women are needed to ascertain whether the combination of different serological and imaging marker can improve antenatal prediction of this condition.

The cytokine network in women with an asymptomatic short cervix and the risk of preterm delivery

PROBLEM

To characterize the amniotic fluid (AF) inflammatory-related protein (IRP) network in patients with a sonographic short cervix (SCx) and to determine its relation to early preterm delivery (ePTD).

METHOD OF STUDY

A retrospective cohort study included women with a SCx (≤25 mm; n=223) who had amniocentesis and were classified according to gestational age (GA) at diagnosis and delivery (ePTD <32 weeks of gestation).

RESULTS

(i) In women with a SCx ≤ 22 1/7 weeks, the concentration of most IRPs increased as the cervix shortened; those with ePTD had a higher rate of increase in MIP-1α, MCP-1, and IL-6 concentrations than those delivering later; and (ii) the concentration of most IRPs and the correlation between several IRP pairs were higher in the ePTD group than for those delivering later.

CONCLUSION

Women with a SCx at 16-22 1/7 weeks have a unique AF cytokine network that correlates with cervical length at diagnosis and GA at delivery. This network may aid in predicting ePTD.

Non-invasive prediction of preterm birth in women with cervical insufficiency or an asymptomatic short cervix (≤25 mm) by measurement of biomarkers in the cervicovaginal fluid

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether various proteins in the cervicovaginal fluid (CVF) known to be involved in immune regulation, alone or in combination with clinical risk factors, can predict spontaneous preterm delivery (SPTD) in women with cervical insufficiency or a short cervix (≤25 mm).

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included 62 asymptomatic women with cervical insufficiency (n = 27) or an asymptomatic short cervix (n = 35) at 18-27 weeks. CVF swab samples were taken for assays of vitamin D binding protein (VDBP), interleukin (IL)-8, matrix metalloproteinases (MMP)-9, tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinases (TIMP)-1, and Dickkopf-related protein 3 (DKK3) before cervical examination, and maternal blood was collected for the determination of the C-reactive protein (CRP) level. The primary outcome measurement was SPTD at <32 weeks of gestation. Logistic regression analysis and receiver operating characteristic curves were used for the statistical analyses.

RESULTS

The rate of SPTD at <32 weeks was 40.3% (25/62). The CVF levels of VDBP, TIMP-1, and DKK3, but not IL-8 and MMP-9, were significantly higher in the women who had SPTD at <32 weeks than in those who did not deliver spontaneously at <32 weeks. The women who had SPTD at <32 weeks had a significantly more advanced cervical dilatation at presentation and a higher level of serum CRP. Using the stepwise regression analysis, a prediction model was developed by combining various proteins in the CVF and clinical factors, resulting in the inclusion of cervical dilatation, CVF VDBP, and use of corticosteroids (area under curve, 0.909).

CONCLUSIONS

In women with cervical insufficiency or a short cervix, VDBP, TIMP-1, and DKK3 in the CVF may be useful as non-invasive predictors of SPTD at <32 weeks. A combination of these markers and clinical factors appears to improve the predictability of SPTD compared with the markers alone.

Timing of delivery in a high-risk obstetric population: a clinical prediction model

BACKGROUND

The efficacy of antenatal corticosteroid treatment for women with threatened preterm birth depends on timely administration within 7 days before delivery. We modelled the probability of delivery within 7 days of admission to hospital among women presenting with threatened preterm birth, using routinely collected clinical characteristics.

METHODS

Data from the Canadian Perinatal Network (CPN) were used, 2005-11, including women admitted to hospital with preterm labour, preterm pre-labour rupture of membranes, short cervix without contractions, or dilated cervix or prolapsed membranes without contractions at preterm gestation. Women with fetal anomaly, intrauterine fetal demise, twin-to-twin transfusion syndrome, and quadruplets were excluded. Logistic regression was undertaken to create a predictive model that was assessed for its calibration capacity, stratification ability, and classification accuracy (ROC curve).

RESULTS

We included 3012 women admitted at 24-28 weeks gestation, or readmitted at up to 34 weeks gestation, to 16 tertiary-care CPN hospitals. Of these, 1473 (48.9%) delivered within 7 days of admission. Significant predictors of early delivery included maternal age, parity, gestational age at admission, smoking, preterm labour, prolapsed membranes, preterm pre-labour rupture of membranes, and antepartum haemorrhage. The area under the ROC curve was 0.724 (95% CI 0.706-0.742).

CONCLUSION

We propose a useful tool to improve prediction of delivery within 7 days after admission among women with threatened preterm birth. This information is important for optimal corticosteroid treatment.

Evaluation of quantitative fFn test in predicting the risk of preterm birth

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate diagnostic accuracy of quantitative fetal fibronectin (qfFN) test in predicting preterm birth (PTB) risk <34 weeks' gestation or within 14 days from testing. We explored the predictive potential of the test in five-predefined PTB risk categories based on predefined qfFN thresholds (<10, 10-49, 50-199, 200-499 and ≥500 ng/mL).

METHODS

Measurement of cervicovaginal qfFN with Rapid fFN 10Q System (Hologic) in 126 women with singleton pregnancy (23-33 weeks' gestation) reporting signs and symptoms indicative of preterm labour (PTL).

RESULTS

For PTB prediction risk <34 weeks' gestation, sensitivity decreased from 100% to 41.7% and specificity increased from 0% to 99.1% with increasing fFN thresholds. Positive predictive value (PPV) increased from 9.5% to 83.3% with increasing qfFN thresholds, while negative predictive value (NPV) was higher than 90% among the fFN-predefined categories. Diagnostic accuracy results showed an area under a receiving operator characteristic (ROC) curve of 84.5% (95% CI, 0.770-0.903). For delivery prediction within 14 days from the testing, sensitivity decreased from 100% to 42.8% and specificity increased from 0% to 100% with increasing fFN thresholds. Diagnostic accuracy determined by the ROC curve was 66.1% (95% CI, 0.330-0.902).

CONCLUSIONS

The QfFN thresholds of tests are a useful tool to distinguish pregnant women for PTB prediction risk <34 weeks' gestation.

Development and Validation of an Algorithm to Determine Spontaneous versus Provider-Initiated Preterm Birth in US Vital Records

BACKGROUND

Determining whether initiation of preterm birth was spontaneous, or through labour induction or caesarean without labour or membrane rupture is critical in surveillance and aetiological research on preterm birth, although this information is not explicitly included on the US Birth Certificate. Algorithms combining several fields from birth certificates have been developed to infer the initiating event, but none has been validated against manual review of original obstetric records. Our objective was to develop a birth certificate-based algorithm to determine initiation of preterm birth and validate it by manual review of original records.

METHODS

We developed an algorithm from the 2003 US Standard Birth Certificate to determine spontaneous vs. indicated preterm birth. The algorithm was first tested on obstetrical records from 80 preterm (<37 weeks) births in Columbus OH (2006-12) abstracted by an obstetrics research nurse and reviewed by an obstetrician-gynecologist. Onset of delivery was spontaneous if the initiating event was premature rupture of membranes (PROM) or contractions, or indicated if the initiating event was induction or caesarean without labour or PROM. The algorithm was validated in an independent sample of 100 preterm births from four hospitals.

RESULTS

Codes for tocolysis, fetal intolerance of labour, and anaesthesia during labour did not predict labour and were dropped. The final algorithm correctly classified 73/80 cases, kappa = 0.83. In the validation, 86/100 cases were correctly classified. The kappa statistic was 0.68 (0.52, 0.83); predictive values for spontaneous and indicated onset were 85% (75%, 92%) and 89% (71%, 98%).

CONCLUSIONS

The algorithm distinguished spontaneous from indicated preterm birth, using birth certificates, with good accuracy.

The impact of fetal gender and ethnicity on the risk of spontaneous preterm delivery in women with symptoms of preterm labor

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study is to evaluate the relation among fetal gender, ethnicity, and preterm labor (PTL) and preterm delivery (PTD).

METHODS

A secondary analysis was performed of a prospective cohort study including women with symptoms of PTL between 24 and 34 weeks. The proportion of women carrying a male or female fetus at the onset of PTL was calculated. Gestational age at delivery and risk of PTD of both fetal genders was compared and interaction of fetal gender and maternal ethnicity on the risk of PTD was evaluated.

RESULTS

Of the 594 included women, 327 (55%) carried a male fetus. Median gestational age at delivery in women pregnant with a male fetus was 37 5/7 (IQR 34 4/7-39 1/7) weeks compared with 38 1/7 (IQR 36 0/7-39 5/7) weeks in women pregnant with a female fetus (p = 0.032). The risk of PTD did not differ significantly. In Caucasians, we did find an increased risk of PTD before 37 weeks in women pregnant with a male fetus (OR 1.9 (95% CI 1.2-3.0)).

CONCLUSIONS

The majority of women with PTL are pregnant with a male fetus and these women deliver slightly earlier. Race seems to affect this disparity.

Models of antenatal care to reduce and prevent preterm birth: a systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To assess the effectiveness of models of antenatal care designed to prevent and reduce preterm birth (PTB) in pregnant women.

METHODS

We conducted a search of seven electronic databases and reference lists of retrieved studies to identify trials from inception up to July 2014 where pregnant women, regardless of risk factors for pregnancy complications, were randomly allocated to receive an alternative model of antenatal care or routine care. We pooled risks of PTB to determine the effect of alternative care models in all pregnant women. We also assessed secondary maternal and infant outcomes, women's satisfaction and economic outcomes.

RESULTS

15 trials involving 22,437 women were included. Pregnant women in alternative care models were less likely to experience PTB (risk ratio 0.84, 95% CI 0.74 to 0.96). The subgroup of women randomised to midwife-led continuity models of antenatal care were less likely to experience PTB (0.78, 0.66 to 0.91) but there was no significant difference between this group and women allocated to specialised care (0.92, 0.76 to 1.12) (interaction test for subgroup differences p=0.20). Overall low-risk women in alternative care models were less likely to have PTB (0.74, 0.59 to 0.93), but this effect was not significantly different from that in mixed-risk populations (0.91, 0.79 to 1.05) (subgroup p=0.13).

CONCLUSIONS

Alternative models of antenatal care for all pregnant women are effective in reducing PTB compared with routine care, but no firm conclusions could be drawn regarding the relative benefits of the two models. Future research should evaluate the impact of antenatal care models which include more recent interventions and predictive tests, and which also offer continuity of care by midwives throughout pregnancy.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER

CRD42014007116.

Maternal plasma nitric oxide metabolites and cervical length assessment in predicting the tocolytic therapy in preterm labor in Isfahan

Background:

Preterm labor (PTL) is the main challenge in prenatal health care, leads to high rate of mortality and increases cost of health services. To evaluate the preterm delivery (PTD)-related risk factors, we decided to measure nitrite oxide metabolites and cervical length (CL) as the diagnostic and predictive tools for PTD in women and response to tocolytic therapy.

Materials and Methods:

In this case–control study, sixty women of 18–35 years with first pregnancy during the 24–34 gestational weeks with PTL in case group admitted to the delivery section of Beheshti Hospital, Isfahan, Iran were included. Sixty women in control group have the same specifications. NO and CL level were assessed, and the collected data were analyzed by SPSS software, version 20 and MedCalc software, version 15.1.

Results:

The two groups were similar regarding maternal and gestational age (P > 0.05). Lower level of NO was observed in PTL women with a mean of 35.30 ± 8.27 μmol/L compared to the normal gestation group with a mean of 39.05 ± 10.17 μmol/L (P = 0.035). In addition, the diagnostic accuracy of both PTL-predicting factors was determined (NO ≤31, sensitivity 99.7%, specificity 82.5% and CL ≤22, sensitivity 80%, specificity 99.9%).

Conclusion:

As the previous investigations stated, it can be claimed that NO might be the reliable marker for predicting the PTL, and administration of NO synthesis could be a candidate for the future therapeutic target.

Cervical phosphorylated insulin-like growth factor binding protein-1 test for the prediction of preterm birth: a systematic review and metaanalysis

OBJECTIVE

To assess the accuracy of the cervical phosphorylated insulin-like growth factor binding protein-1 (phIGFBP-1) test to predict preterm birth in women with and without symptoms of preterm labor through the use of formal methods for systematic reviews and metaanalytic techniques.

DATA SOURCES

PubMed, Embase, Cinahl, Lilacs, and Medion (all from inception to June 30, 2015), reference lists, conference proceedings, and Google scholar.

STUDY ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA

Cohort or cross-sectional studies that reported on the predictive accuracy of the cervical phIGFBP-1 test for preterm birth.

STUDY APPRAISAL AND SYNTHESIS METHODS

Two reviewers independently selected studies, assessed the risk of bias, and extracted the data. Summary receiver-operating characteristic curves, pooled sensitivities and specificities, and summary likelihood ratios were generated.

RESULTS

Forty-three studies met the inclusion criteria, of which 15 provided data on asymptomatic women (n = 6583) and 34 on women with an episode of preterm labor (n = 3620). Among asymptomatic women, the predictive accuracy of the cervical phIGFBP-1 test for preterm birth at <37, <34, and <32 weeks of gestation was minimal, with pooled sensitivities and specificities and summary positive and negative likelihood ratios ranging from 14% to 47%, 76% to 93%, 1.5 to 4.4, and 0.6 to 1.0, respectively. Among women with an episode of preterm labor, the test had a low predictive performance for delivery within 7 and 14 days of testing, and preterm birth at <34 and <37 weeks of gestation with pooled sensitivities and specificities and summary positive and negative likelihood ratios that varied between 60% and 68%, 77% and 81%, 2.7 and 3.5, and 0.4 and 0.5, respectively. A negative test result in women with an episode of preterm labor had a low to moderate accuracy to identify women who are not at risk for delivering within the next 48 hours (summary negative likelihood ratio of 0.28 in all women and 0.23 in women with singleton gestations).

CONCLUSION

Cervical phIGFBP-1 has the potential utility to identify patients with an episode of preterm labor who will not deliver within 48 hours. However, its overall predictive ability for the identification of symptomatic and asymptomatic women at risk for preterm birth is limited.

An elevated amniotic fluid prostaglandin F2α concentration is associated with intra-amniotic inflammation/infection, and clinical and histologic chorioamnionitis, as well as impending preterm delivery in patients with preterm labor and intact membranes

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether an elevated amniotic fluid concentration of prostaglandin F2α (PGF2α) is associated with intra-amniotic inflammation/infection and adverse pregnancy outcomes in patients with preterm labor and intact membranes.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The retrospective cohort study included 132 patients who had singleton pregnancies with preterm labor (< 35 weeks of gestation) and intact membranes. Amniotic fluid was cultured for aerobic and anaerobic bacteria as well as for genital mycoplasmas. Intra-amniotic inflammation was defined by an elevated amniotic fluid matrix metalloproteinase-8 (MMP-8) concentration (>23 ng/mL). PGF2α was measured with a sensitive and specific immunoassay. The amniotic fluid PGF2α concentration was considered elevated when it was above the 95th percentile among pregnant women at 15-36 weeks of gestation who were not in labor (≥170 pg/mL).

RESULTS

(1) The prevalence of an elevated amniotic fluid PGF2α concentration was 40.2% (53/132) in patients with preterm labor and intact membranes; (2) patients with an elevated amniotic fluid PGF2α concentration had a significantly higher rate of positive amniotic fluid culture [19% (10/53) versus 5% (4/79); p = 0.019], intra-amniotic inflammation/infection [49% (26/53) versus 20% (16/79); p = 0.001], spontaneous preterm delivery, clinical and histologic chorioamnionitis, and funisitis, as well as a higher median amniotic fluid MMP-8 concentration and amniotic fluid white blood cell count and a shorter amniocentesis-to-delivery interval than those without an elevated concentration of amniotic fluid PGF2α (p < 0.05 for each); and (3) an elevated amniotic fluid PGF2α concentration was associated with a shorter amniocentesis-to-delivery interval after adjustment for the presence of intra-amniotic inflammation/infection [hazard ratio 2.1, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.4-3.1; p = 0.001].

CONCLUSION

The concentration of PGF2α was elevated in the amniotic fluid of 40.2% of patients with preterm labor and intact membranes and is an independent risk factor for intra-amniotic inflammation/infection, impending preterm delivery, chorioamnionitis, and funisitis.

Prediction of impending preterm delivery based on sonographic cervical length and different cytokine levels in cervicovaginal fluid in preterm labor

AIMS

The aim of this study was to determine whether cervicovaginal interleukin (IL)-1β, IL-6 and IL-8 levels, and cervical length, alone or in combination, could predict impending preterm delivery in women with preterm labor and intact membranes.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Cervicovaginal swab samples for IL-1β, IL-6, and IL-8 assays were taken from 136 consecutive women with preterm labor (23-34 weeks) before the transvaginal ultrasonography examination to measure cervical length. The primary outcome measurement was spontaneous preterm delivery within 7 days of sampling.

RESULTS

Spontaneous preterm delivery within 7 days occurred in 28.6% (39/136) of patients. Receiver-operator characteristic (ROC) curves indicated that cervical length (P < 0.001), cervicovaginal IL-6 (P < 0.001) and IL-8 (P = 0.014), but not IL-1β, could predict delivery within 7 days. According to the logistic regression analysis, high cervicovaginal IL-8 (P = 0.008) and IL-6 (P = 0.038) levels and short cervical length (P < 0.001) were significantly associated with delivery within 7 days, even after controlling for baseline variables. A combination of cervix length and cervicovaginal IL-8 increased the specificity of detecting delivery within 7 days to 92.8%, which was superior to either test alone (P < 0.001), but the sensitivity was only 56.4%.

CONCLUSION

In women with preterm labor, among the parameters assessed, cervicovaginal IL-6 and IL-8 and cervical length are the most important parameters in predicting impending preterm delivery. A combination of cervix length and cervicovaginal IL-8 appeared to be the best for predicting impending preterm delivery, but the relatively low sensitivity of this test may limit its clinical usefulness.

Use of quality assessment tools in systematic reviews was varied and inconsistent

OBJECTIVES

To assess the use of quality assessment tools among a cross-section of systematic reviews (SRs) and to further evaluate whether quality was used as a parameter in the decision to include primary studies within subsequent meta-analysis.

STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING

We searched PubMed for SRs (interventional, observational, and diagnostic) published in Core Clinical Journals between January 1 and March 31, 2014.

RESULTS

Three hundred nine SRs were identified. Quality assessment was undertaken in 222 (71.8%) with isolated use of the Cochrane risk of bias tool (26.1%, n = 58) and the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (15.3%, n = 34) most common. A threshold level of primary study quality for subsequent meta-analysis was used in 12.9% (40 of 309) of reviews. Overall, fifty-four combinations of quality assessment tools were identified with a similar preponderance of tools used among observational and interventional reviews. Multiple tools were used in 11.7% (n = 36) of SRs overall.

CONCLUSION

We found that quality assessment tools were used in a majority of SRs; however, a threshold level of quality for meta-analysis was stipulated in just 12.9% (n = 40). This cross-sectional analysis provides further evidence of the need for more active or intuitive editorial processes to enhance the reporting of SRs.