Preoperative Frailty Increases Risk of Nonhome Discharge after Elective Vascular Surgery in Home-Dwelling Patients

A Novel Preoperative Risk Score to Identify Patients at High Risk for Non-Home Discharge After Elective Open Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Repair

BACKGROUND

Non-home discharge (NHD) to a rehabilitation or skilled nursing facility after vascular surgery is poorly described despite its impact on patients. For home-dwelling patients undergoing elective surgery, the need for postoperative NHD can have meaningful implications on quality of life, long-term outcomes, and healthcare spending. Understanding post-surgical NHD risk is essential to preoperative counseling and shared decision making. This is particularly true for the treatment of abdominal aortic aneurysms as the postoperative course can vary between open and endovascular surgery. We aimed to identify independent predictors of NHD following elective open abdominal aortic aneurysm repair (OAR), and to create a clinically useful preoperative risk score.

METHODS

Elective OAR cases were queried from the SVS Vascular Quality Initiative from years 2013-2022. A risk score was created by splitting the data set into two-thirds for development and one-third for validation. A parsimonious stepwise hierarchical multivariable logistic regression controlling for hospital level variation was performed in the development dataset, and the beta-coefficients were used to assign points for a risk score. The score was then validated, and model performance assessed.

RESULTS

Overall, 8,274 patients were included and 1,502 (18.2%) required NHD. At baseline, patients who required NHD were more likely to be ≥ 80 years old (23.6% vs. 6.5%), female (35.9% vs. 23.1%), not independently ambulatory (14.6% vs. 4.3%), anemic (24.4% vs. 13.9%), have COPD (41.6% vs. 30.7%), ASA class ≥ 4 (41.0% vs. 32.5%), and a supraceliac proximal clamp (9.8% vs. 5.7%; all P<0.05). Multivariable analysis in the development group identified the following independent predictors of NHD: age ≥ 80 years, not independently ambulatory, proximal clamp location, hypogastric artery occlusion, anemia (Hb <12 g/dL), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, female sex, hypertension, and American Society of Anesthesiologists class ≥ 4. These were then used to create a 14-point risk score. Patients were stratified into three groups based upon their risk score: low risk (0-4 points; n=4,966) with an NHD rate of 9.9%, moderate risk (5-6 points; n=2,442) with an NHD rate of 25.5%, and high risk (≥ 7 points; n=886) with an NHD rate of 44.6%. The risk score had good predictive ability with c-statistic=0.73 for model development and c-statistic=0.72 in the validation dataset.

CONCLUSIONS

This novel risk score can predict NHD following elective OAR using characteristics that can be identified preoperatively. Utilization of this score may allow for improved risk assessment, preoperative counseling, and shared decision making.

Frailty Is Associated With Increased Care Dependence in Patients Following Major Vascular Surgery

OBJECTIVE

To assess if frailty scoring can predict increased frailty and care dependence requiring a change in living situation in patients with peripheral artery disease (PAD) following major vascular surgery.

DESIGN

A single center, retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

Fiona Stanley Hospital, a tertiary center located in Perth, Western Australia.

PARTICIPANTS

Seventy-nine patients with PAD who underwent major vascular surgery at the study hospital in 2022 were enrolled.

INTERVENTION

Baseline Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS) scores were assigned retrospectively. A quantitative analysis using two partitions, CFS 1-3 (not frail) versus 4-9 (frail) was used. Cases were screened for hospital-acquired complications, and records were reviewed to assess the level of care dependence at the time of discharge and 6 months following.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

The primary outcome was to assess if frailty predicts increased care dependence. Secondary outcomes included unplanned readmissions and hospital-acquired complications in this cohort. A logistic regression was performed to predict the effects of age and baseline, discharge, and 6-month CFS on the likelihood of change in living situation. Baseline frailty was associated with a higher frailty score at discharge (p = 0.001), which persisted at 6 months (p = 0.001). There was no difference in American Society of Anesthesiologists classification, sex, age, 30-day mortality, or in-hospital complications between groups. After correcting for age, a lower baseline CFS (odds ratio 0.19, confidence interval 0.04-0.84, p = 0.028) and discharge CFS (odds ratio 34.00, confidence interval 3.88-298.42, p = 0.001) predicts the likelihood of patients having a change in living situation after surgery.

CONCLUSIONS

Frail patients with PAD undergoing major vascular surgery are at significant risk of functional decline, necessitating a change in living situation to meet their increased care needs. This increased care dependence persisted 6 months following discharge.

Preoperative frailty and postoperative complications after non-cardiac surgery: a systematic review

OBJECTIVE

Many tools have been used to assess frailty in the perioperative setting. However, no single scale has been shown to be the most effective in predicting postoperative complications. We evaluated the relationship between several frailty scales and the occurrence of complications following different non-cardiac surgeries.

METHODS

This systematic review was registered in PROSPERO (CRD42023473401). The search strategy included PubMed, Google Scholar, and Embase, covering manuscripts published from January 2000 to July 2023. We included prospective and retrospective studies that evaluated frailty using specific scales and tracked patients postoperatively. Studies on cardiac, neurosurgical, and thoracic surgery were excluded because of the impact of underlying diseases on patients' functional status. Narrative reviews, conference abstracts, and articles lacking a comprehensive definition of frailty were excluded.

RESULTS

Of the 2204 articles identified, 145 were included in the review: 7 on non-cardiac surgery, 36 on general and digestive surgery, 19 on urology, 22 on vascular surgery, 36 on spinal surgery, and 25 on orthopedic/trauma surgery. The reviewed manuscripts confirmed that various frailty scales had been used to predict postoperative complications, mortality, and hospital stay across these surgical disciplines.

CONCLUSION

Despite differences among surgical populations, preoperative frailty assessment consistently predicts postoperative outcomes in non-cardiac surgeries.

Readmissions Following Endovascular Thoracic and Thoracoabdominal Aortic Repairs in the Vascular Implant Surveillance and Interventional Outcomes Network (VISION)

BACKGROUND

Investigate readmission rates, diagnoses associated with readmission, and associations with mortality through 90 days postoperatively after elective endovascular thoracic and thoracoabdominal aortic repair overall and by extent of coverage.

METHODS

A cohort of index elective nontraumatic endovascular thoracic and thoracoabdominal aortic cases from 2010 to 2018 was derived from the Vascular Implant Surveillance and Interventional Outcomes Network. Cohort readmissions within 90 days postoperative were examined both overall and by Crawford extent (CE) of aortic coverage. Postoperative mortality was examined by reason for readmission and CE.

RESULTS

The cohort consisted of 2,105 patients who underwent endovascular thoracic and thoracoabdominal aortic repair (1,550 CE 0A/0B; 242 CE 1-3; 313 CE 4-5). Cumulative risk for 90-day readmission was 34.3% in CE 0A/0B repairs, 33.4% in CE 4-5 repairs, and 47.4% in CE 1-3 repairs. Compared with CE 0A/B, patients with CE 1-3 repairs experienced an increased risk of readmission within 90 days postoperatively after adjusting for preoperative factors (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1.27 [1.00, 1.61]), while the readmission risk for CE 4-5 repairs did not differ significantly (adjusted HR 0.83 [0.64, 1.06]). Significant risk factors for 90-day readmission included chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, dialysis dependence, limited ambulation, visceral/spinal ischemia, and in-hospital stroke. Discharge to home was protective against readmission (HR 0.65, confidence interval 0.54-0.79). Patients with a readmission within 90 days had a 7.89-fold increase in 90-day mortality (HR 7.84; 5.17, 11.9) compared with those not readmitted.

CONCLUSIONS

Increasing extent of endovascular thoracic and thoracoabdominal aortic repair was associated with higher 90-day readmission rates. Readmission for all CE was associated with near 8-fold increased risk of mortality. Risk factors associated with increased risk for readmission included pulmonary insufficiency, renal disease, and poor functional status. These findings can inform stakeholders about investment of resources to improve processes of care that both target prevention and mitigate risk of readmission after elective endovascular thoracic and thoracoabdominal aortic repair.

Decision making in the frail vascular surgery patient: A scoping review

Increasing evidence highlights the adverse impact of frailty and reduced physiologic reserve on surgical outcomes. Therefore, identification of frailty is essential for older adults being evaluated for vascular surgery procedures. Numerous frailty assessment tools are available to quantify the level of frailty and assist in preoperative decision making for these older patients. This review evaluates traditional and novel frailty metrics for their scientific validation, limitations, and clinical utility in vascular surgery decision-making.

Predicting Outcomes Following Lower Extremity Endovascular Revascularization Using Machine Learning

BACKGROUND

Lower extremity endovascular revascularization for peripheral artery disease carries nonnegligible perioperative risks; however, outcome prediction tools remain limited. Using machine learning, we developed automated algorithms that predict 30-day outcomes following lower extremity endovascular revascularization.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The National Surgical Quality Improvement Program targeted vascular database was used to identify patients who underwent lower extremity endovascular revascularization (angioplasty, stent, or atherectomy) for peripheral artery disease between 2011 and 2021. Input features included 38 preoperative demographic/clinical variables. The primary outcome was 30-day postprocedural major adverse limb event (composite of major reintervention, untreated loss of patency, or major amputation) or death. Data were split into training (70%) and test (30%) sets. Using 10-fold cross-validation, 6 machine learning models were trained using preoperative features. The primary model evaluation metric was area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. Overall, 21 886 patients were included, and 30-day major adverse limb event/death occurred in 1964 (9.0%) individuals. The best performing model for predicting 30-day major adverse limb event/death was extreme gradient boosting, achieving an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.93 (95% CI, 0.92-0.94). In comparison, logistic regression had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.72 (95% CI, 0.70-0.74). The calibration plot showed good agreement between predicted and observed event probabilities with a Brier score of 0.09. The top 3 predictive features in our algorithm were (1) chronic limb-threatening ischemia, (2) tibial intervention, and (3) congestive heart failure.

CONCLUSIONS

Our machine learning models accurately predict 30-day outcomes following lower extremity endovascular revascularization using preoperative data with good discrimination and calibration. Prospective validation is warranted to assess for generalizability and external validity.

Outcomes of Women Undergoing Noncardiac Surgery in Veterans Affairs Compared With Non-Veterans Affairs Care Settings

Importance

Recent legislation facilitates veterans' ability to receive non-Veterans Affairs (VA) surgical care. Although veterans are predominantly male, the number of women receiving care within the VA has nearly doubled to 10% over the past decade and recent data comparing the surgical care of women in VA and non-VA care settings are lacking.

Objective

To compare postoperative outcomes among women treated in VA hospitals vs private-sector hospitals.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This coarsened exact-matched cohort study across 9 noncardiac specialties in the Veterans Affairs Surgical Quality Improvement Program (VASQIP) and American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) took place from January 1, 2016, to December 31, 2019. Multivariable Poisson models with robust standard errors were used to evaluate the association between VA vs private-sector care settings and 30-day mortality. Hospitals participating in American College of Surgeons NSQIP and VASQIP were included. Data analysis was performed in January 2023. Participants included female patients 18 years old or older.

Exposures

Surgical care in VA or private-sector hospitals.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Postoperative 30-day mortality and failure to rescue (FTR).

Results

Among 1 913 033 procedures analyzed, patients in VASQIP were younger (VASQIP: mean age, 49.8 [SD, 13.0] years; NSQIP: mean age, 55.9 [SD, 16.9] years; P < .001) and although most patients in both groups identified as White, there were significantly more Black women in VASQIP compared with NSQIP (29.6% vs 12.7%; P < .001). The mean risk analysis index score was lower in VASQIP (13.9 [SD, 6.4]) compared with NSQIP (16.3 [SD, 7.8]) (P < .001 for both). Patients in the VA were more likely to have a preoperative acute serious condition (2.4% vs 1.8%: P < .001), but cases in NSQIP were more frequently emergent (6.9% vs 2.6%; P < .001). The 30-day mortality, complications, and FTR were 0.2%, 3.2%, and 0.1% in VASQIP (n = 36 762 procedures) as compared with 0.8%, 5.0%, and 0.5% in NSQIP (n = 1 876 271 procedures), respectively (all P < .001). Among 1 763 540 matched women (n = 36 478 procedures in VASQIP; n = 1 727 062 procedures in NSQIP), these rates were 0.3%, 3.7%, and 0.2% in NSQIP and 0.1%, 3.4%, and 0.1% in VASQIP (all P < .01). Relative to private-sector care, VA surgical care was associated with a lower risk of death (adjusted risk ratio [aRR], 0.41; 95% CI, 0.23-0.76). This finding was robust among women undergoing gynecologic surgery, inpatient surgery, and low-physiologic stress procedures. VA surgical care was also associated with lower risk of FTR (aRR, 0.41; 95% CI, 0.18-0.92) for frail or Black women and inpatient and low-physiologic stress procedures.

Conclusions and Relevance

Although women comprise the minority of veterans receiving care within the VA, in this study, VA surgical care for women was associated with half the risk of postoperative death and FTR. The VA appears better equipped to meet the unique surgical needs and risk profiles of veterans, regardless of sex and health policy decisions, including funding, should reflect these important outcome differences.

Preoperative predictors of nonhome discharge after fenestrated-branched endovascular repair of complex abdominal and thoracoabdominal aortic aneurysms

BACKGROUND

Nonhome discharge (NHD) has significant implications for patient counseling and discharge planning and is frequently required following fenestrated-branched endovascular aortic repair (FB-EVAR) of complex abdominal aortic aneurysms (CAAA) and thoracoabdominal aortic aneurysms (TAAA). We aimed to identify preoperative predictors of NHD after elective FB-EVAR for CAAA and TAAA and develop a risk calculator able to predict NHD.

METHODS

A retrospective review of prospectively collected data on all patients undergoing FB-EVAR between January 2007 and December 2021 at a single institution was performed. Exclusion criteria were admission from a nonhome setting, emergency and repeat FB-EVAR, and discharge to an unknown destination. The cohort was randomly split into separate development (70% of patients) and validation (30%) cohorts to develop a predictive calculator for NHD. Independent variables associated with NHD were assessed in a series of logistic regression analyses from 100 bootstrapped samples of the development set, and a model was developed using the most predictive variables. Resulting parameter estimates were applied to data in the validation set to assess model discrimination and calibration.

RESULTS

From the initial cohort of 712 FB-EVAR patients, 644 were included in the study (74% male; mean age, 75.4 ± 7.6 years), including 452 with CAAA (70%) and 192 with TAAA (30%). Early mortality occurred in eight patients (1.2%; 5 in CAAA and 3 in TAAA) and the median hospital stay was 5 days (4 for CAAA and 7 for TAAA). Ninety-seven patients (15%) had a NHD. On multivariable analysis, older age (per year, odds ratio [OR], 1.08; P < .001), female gender (OR, 3.03; P < .001), smoking (OR, 2.86; P = .01), congestive heart failure (OR, 3.05; P = .004), peripheral artery disease (OR, 1.81; P = .07), and extent I (OR, 3.17), II (OR, 2.84), and III (OR, 2.52; all P = .08) TAAAs were associated with an increased likelihood of NHD in the development set. Based on these factors, the risk calculator was developed which accurately predicts NHD in the validation set with an area under the curve of 0.7.

CONCLUSIONS

Older, female smokers with congestive heart failure and peripheral artery disease and more extensive aneurysms are at highest risk of NHD after FB-EVAR. Using only preoperative factors, our risk calculator can predict accurately who will have a NHD, allowing enhanced preoperative patient counselling and accelerated hospital discharge.

Trends, outcomes, and factors associated with in-hospital opioid overdose following major surgery

Background

With the growing opioid epidemic across the US, in-hospital utilization of opioids has garnered increasing attention. Using a national cohort, this study sought to characterize trends, outcomes, and factors associated with in-hospital opioid overdose (OD) following major elective operations.

Methods

We identified all adult (≥18 years) hospitalizations entailing select elective procedures in the 2016-2020 National Inpatient Sample. Patients who experienced in-hospital opioid overdose were characterized as OD (others: Non-OD). The primary outcome of interest was in-hospital OD. Multivariable logistic and linear regression models were developed to evaluate the association between in-hospital OD and mortality, length of stay (LOS), hospitalization costs, and non-home discharge.

Results

Of an estimated 11,096,064 hospitalizations meeting study criteria, 5375 (0.05 %) experienced a perioperative OD. Compared to others, OD were older (66 [57-73] vs 64 [54-72] years, p < 0.001), more commonly female (66.3 vs 56.7 %, p < 0.001), and in the lowest income quartile (26.4 vs 23.2 %, p < 0.001). After adjustment, female sex (Adjusted Odds Ratio [AOR] 1.68, 95 % Confidence Interval [CI] 1.47-1.91, p < 0.001), White race (AOR 1.19, CI 1.01-1.42, p = 0.04), and history of substance use disorder (AOR 2.51, CI 1.87-3.37, p < 0.001) were associated with greater likelihood of OD. Finally, OD was associated with increased LOS (β +1.91 days, CI [1.60-2.21], p < 0.001), hospitalization costs (β +$7500, CI [5900-9100], p < 0.001), and greater odds of non-home discharge (AOR 2.00, CI 1.61-2.48, p < 0.001).

Conclusion

Perioperative OD remains a rare but costly complication after elective surgery. While pain control remains a priority postoperatively, protocols and recovery pathways must be re-examined to ensure patient safety.

Development and Validation of a Novel Preoperative Risk Score to Identify Patients at Risk for Nonhome Discharge after Elective Endovascular Aortic Aneurysm Repair (EVAR)

BACKGROUND

Nonhome discharge (NHD) to a rehabilitation or skilled nursing facility after elective endovascular aortic repair (EVAR) is uncommon. However, NHD after surgery has an important impact on patient quality of life and postdischarge outcomes. Understanding factors that put patients undergoing EVAR at high risk for NHD is essential to providing adequate preoperative counseling and shared decision making. This study aimed to identify independent predictors of NHD following elective EVAR and to create a clinically useful preoperative risk score.

METHODS

Elective EVAR cases were queried from the Society for Vascular Surgery Vascular Quality Initiative 2014-2018. A risk score was created by splitting the data set into two-thirds for development and one-third for validation. A parsimonious stepwise hierarchical multivariable logistic regression controlling for hospital level variation was performed in the development dataset, and the beta-coefficients were used to assign points for a risk score. The score was then validated, and model performance assessed.

RESULTS

Overall, 24,426 patients were included and 932 (3.8%) required NHD. Multivariable analysis in the development group identified independent predictors of NHD, which were used to create a 20-point risk score. Patients were stratified into 3 groups based upon their risk score: low risk (0-7 points; n = 16,699) with an NHD rate of 1.8%, moderate risk (8-13 points; n = 7,315) with an NHD rate of 7.3%, and high risk (≥14 points; n = 412) with an NHD rate of 21.8%. The risk score had good predictive ability with c-statistic = 0.75 for model development and c-statistic = 0.73 in the validation dataset.

CONCLUSIONS

This novel risk score can predict NHD following EVAR using characteristics that can be identified preoperatively. Utilization of this score may allow for improved risk assessment, preoperative counseling, and shared decision making.

Frailty is a Predictor of Increased Readmissions and Increased Postoperative Complications After Elective Treatment of Unruptured Aneurysms

INTRODUCTION

Frailty is a state of decreased physiologic reserve associated with adverse treatment outcomes across surgical specialties. We sought to determine whether frailty affected patient outcomes after elective treatment (open microsurgical clipping or endovascular therapy [EVT]) of unruptured cerebral aneurysms (UCAs).

METHODS

The National Readmissions Database was queried from 2010 to 2014 to identify patients who had a known UCA and underwent elective clipping or EVT. Frailty was assessed using the Johns Hopkins Adjusted Clinical Groups frailty indicator tool. Multivariable exact logistic regression analyses were conducted to assess the associations between frailty and the primary outcome variables of 30- and 90-day readmissions, complications, length of stay (LOS), and patient disposition.

RESULTS

Of 18,483 patients who underwent elective treatment for UCAs, 358 (1.9%) met the criteria for frailty. After adjusting for patient- and hospital-based factors, frailty (30-day: odds ratio [OR], 1.55; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.11-2.17; P = 0.01; 90-day: OR, 1.47; 95% CI, 1.05-2.06; P = 0.02) and clipping versus EVT (30-day: OR, 2.12; 95% CI, 1.85-2.43; P < 0.000; 90-day: OR, 1.80; 95% CI, 1.59-2.03; P < 0.0001) were associated with increased readmission rates. Furthermore, frailty was associated with an increased rate of complications (surgical: OR, 2.91; 95% CI, 2.27-3.72; P < 0.0001; neurological: OR, 3.04; 95% CI, 2.43-3.81; P < 0.0001; major: OR, 2.75; 95% CI, 1.96-3.84; P < 0.0001), increased LOSs (incidence rate ratio, 3.08; 95% CI, 2.59-3.66; P < 0.0001), and an increased rate of nonroutine disposition (OR, 3.94; 95% CI, 2.91-5.34; P < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

Frailty was associated with an increased likelihood of 30- and 90-day readmissions after elective treatment of UCAs. Frailty was notably associated with several postoperative complications, longer LOSs, and nonroutine disposition in the treatment of UCAs.

Automated Electronic Frailty Index is Associated with Non-home Discharge in Patients Undergoing Open Revascularization for Peripheral Vascular Disease

BACKGROUND

Frailty is associated with adverse surgical outcomes including post-operative complications, needs for post-acute care, and mortality. While multiple frailty screening tools exist, most are time and resource intensive. Here we examine the association of an automated electronic frailty index (eFI), derived from routine data in the Electronic Health Record (EHR), with outcomes in vascular surgery patients undergoing open, lower extremity revascularization.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis at a single academic medical center from 2015 to 2019 was completed. Information extracted from the EHR included demographics, eFI, comorbidity, and procedure type. Frailty status was defined as fit (eFI≤0.10), pre-frail (0.100.21). Outcomes included length of stay (LOS), 30-day readmission, and non-home discharge.

RESULTS

We included 295 patients (mean age 65.9 years; 31% female), with the majority classified as pre-frail (57%) or frail (32%). Frail patients exhibited a higher degree of comorbidity and were more likely to be classified as American Society of Anesthesiologist class IV (frail: 46%, pre-frail: 27%, and fit: 18%, P = 0.0012). There were no statistically significant differences in procedure type, LOS, or 30-day readmissions based on eFI. Frail patients were more likely to expire in the hospital or be discharged to an acute care facility (31%) compared to pre-frail (14%) and fit patients (15%, P = 0.002). Adjusting for comorbidity, risk of non-home discharge was higher comparing frail to pre-frail patients (OR 3.01, 95% CI 1.40-6.48).

DISCUSSION

Frail patients, based on eFI, undergoing elective, open, lower extremity revascularization were twice as likely to not be discharged home.

Automated Electronic Frailty Index-Identified Frailty Status and Associated Postsurgical Adverse Events

Importance

Electronic frailty index (eFI) is an automated electronic health record (EHR)-based tool that uses a combination of clinical encounters, diagnosis codes, laboratory workups, medications, and Medicare annual wellness visit data as markers of frailty status. The association of eFI with postanesthesia adverse outcomes has not been evaluated.

Objective

To examine the association of frailty, calculated as eFI at the time of the surgical procedure and categorized as fit, prefrail, or frail, with adverse events after elective noncardiac surgery.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This cohort study was conducted at a tertiary care academic medical center in Winston-Salem, North Carolina. The cohort included patients 55 years or older who underwent noncardiac surgery of at least 1 hour in duration between October 1, 2017, and June 30, 2021.

Exposure

Frailty calculated by the eFI tool. Preoperative eFI scores were calculated based on available data 1 day prior to the procedure and categorized as fit (eFI score: ≤0.10), prefrail (eFI score: >0.10 to ≤0.21), or frail (eFI score: >0.21).

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary outcome was a composite of the following 8 adverse component events: 90-item Patient Safety Indicators (PSI 90) score, hospital-acquired conditions, in-hospital mortality, 30-day mortality, 30-day readmission, 30-day emergency department visit after surgery, transfer to a skilled nursing facility after surgery, or unexpected intensive care unit admission after surgery. Secondary outcomes were each of the component events of the composite.

Results

Of the 33 449 patients (median [IQR] age, 67 [61-74] years; 17 618 females [52.7%]) included, 11 563 (34.6%) were classified as fit, 15 928 (47.6%) as prefrail, and 5958 (17.8%) as frail. Using logistic regression models that were adjusted for age, sex, race and ethnicity, and comorbidity burden, patients with prefrail (odds ratio [OR], 1.24; 95% CI, 1.18-1.30; P < .001) and frail (OR, 1.71; 95% CI, 1.58-1.82; P < .001) statuses were more likely to experience postoperative adverse events compared with patients with a fit status. Subsequent adjustment for all other potential confounders or covariates did not alter this association. For every increase in eFI of 0.03 units, the odds of a composite of postoperative adverse events increased by 1.06 (95% CI, 1.03-1.13; P < .001).

Conclusions and Relevance

This cohort study found that frailty, as measured by an automatically calculated index integrated within the EHR, was associated with increased risk of adverse events after noncardiac surgery. Deployment of eFI tools may support screening and possible risk modification, especially in patients who undergo high-risk surgery.

The association of racial and ethnic disparities and frailty in geriatric patients undergoing revascularization for peripheral artery disease

Frailty is defined as a state of decreased physiologic reserve contributing to functional decline and adverse outcomes. Racial disparities in frail patients have been described sparsely in the literature. We aimed to assess whether race influences frailty status in geriatric patients undergoing revascularization for peripheral artery disease (PAD) with chronic limb-threatening ischemia (CLTI). A 5-year analysis of the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database included all geriatric (65 years and older) patients who underwent revascularization for lower extremity PAD with CLTI. The frailty index was calculated using a 11-variable modified frailty index and a cutoff of 0.27 indicated frail status. The primary outcome was an association of race or ethnicity with frailty status. We included 7,837 geriatric patients who underwent a surgical procedure (open: 55.2%) for PAD with CLTI. Mean age of patients was 75.4 years, 63.8% were male, 24.1% (n = 1,889) were frail, and 21.8% (n = 1,710) were African American (AA). Overall complication rate was 11.2% (n = 909) and overall mortality rate was 1.9% (n = 148). AA patients were more likely to be frail than White patients (29.6% v 23.9%; P = .03). AA and Hispanic patients were more likely to have complications (P = .03 and P = .001) and require readmission (P = .015 and P = .001) compared with White and non-Hispanic patients, respectively. Frail AA and frail Hispanic patients were more likely to have 30-day complications and readmission compared with frail White and frail non-Hispanic patients, respectively. Race and ethnicity influence frailty status in geriatric patients with PAD and CLTI. These disparities exist regardless of age, sex, comorbid conditions, and type of operative procedure. Additional studies are needed to highlight disparities by race and ethnicity to identify potentially modifiable risk factors to improve outcomes.

Frailty score and outcomes of patients undergoing vascular surgery and amputation: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Introduction

Frailty is associated with adverse postoperative health outcomes, including increased mortality, longer length of stay, higher rehospitalization, and other complications. There are many frailty assessment tools are to assess the level of frailty in vascular surgery patients. The aim of this study was to perform a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess the association between the frailty levels described by different frailty scores and adverse postoperative health outcomes among hospitalized vascular surgery patients and patients undergoing amputation.

Methods

Studies utilizing frailty scores and similar frailty assessment tools to describe frailty and investigate the association between frailty and health outcomes were searched. The primary outcomes of this study were in-hospital mortality, postdischarge mortality, length of hospital stay, rehospitalization, and discharge location. Additional outcomes included postoperative myocardial infarction, postoperative renal failure, cerebrovascular accident and stroke, comorbidities, and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) levels. Joanna Briggs Institute (JBI) Critical Appraisal Tools were used for quality assessment.

Results

In total, 24 studies with 1,886,611 participants were included in the final analysis. The overall results found that higher in-hospital mortality and postdischarge mortality were significantly associated with frailty. Frailty was also found to be significantly associated with a longer length of hospital stay, higher rehospitalization, and higher likelihood of non-home discharge. In addition, the results also showed that frailty was significantly associated with all kinds of comorbidities investigated, except chronic kidney disease. However, lower eGFR levels were significantly associated with frailty.

Conclusion

Among patients who underwent all types of vascular surgery and those who underwent amputations, assessment of frailty was significantly associated with adverse postoperative outcomes and multiple comorbidities.

Systematic review registration

https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/display_record.php?RecordID=336374, identifier CRD42022336374.

Frailty as a predictor of neurosurgical outcomes in brain tumor patients: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Patients with frailty are at a high risk of poor health outcomes, and frailty has been explored as a predictor of adverse events, such as perioperative complications, readmissions, falls, disability, and mortality in the neurosurgical literature. However, the precise relationship between frailty and neurosurgical outcomes in patients with brain tumor has not been established, and thus evidence-based advancements in neurosurgical management. The objectives of this study are to describe existing evidence and conduct the first systematic review and meta-analysis of the relationship between frailty and neurosurgical outcomes among brain tumor patients.

METHODS

Seven English databases and four Chinese databases were searched to identify neurosurgical outcomes and the prevalence of frailty among patients with a brain tumor, with no restrictions on the publication period. According to the Joanna Briggs Institute (JBI) Manual for Evidence Synthesis and the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) guidelines, two independent reviewers employed the Newcastle-Ottawa scale in cohort studies and JBI Critical Appraisal Checklist for Cross-sectional Studies to evaluate the methodological quality of each study. Then random-effects or fixed-effects meta-analysis was used in combining odds ratio (OR) or hazard ratio (RR) for the categorical data and continuous data of neurosurgical outcomes. The primary outcomes are mortality and postoperative complications, and secondary outcomes include readmission, discharge disposition, length of stay (LOS), and hospitalization costs.

RESULTS

A total of 13 papers were included in the systematic review, and the prevalence of frailty ranged from 1.48 to 57%. Frailty was significantly associated with increased risk of mortality (OR = 1.63; CI = 1.33-1.98; p < 0.001), postoperative complications (OR = 1.48; CI = 1.40-1.55; p < 0.001; I ² = 33%), nonroutine discharge disposition to a facility other than home (OR = 1.72; CI = 1.41-2.11; p < 0.001), prolonged LOS (OR = 1.25; CI = 1.09-1.43; p = 0.001), and high hospitalization costs among brain tumor patients. However, frailty was not independently associated with readmission (OR = 0.99; CI = 0.96-1.03; p = 0.74).

CONCLUSION

Frailty is an independent predictor of mortality, postoperative complications, nonroutine discharge disposition, LOS, and hospitalization costs among brain tumor patients. In addition, frailty plays a significant potential role in risk stratification, preoperative shared decision making, and perioperative management.

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION

PROSPERO CRD42021248424.

Frailty scoring in vascular and endovascular surgery: A systematic review

One in 10 independently living adults aged 65 years old and older is considered frail, and frailty is associated with poor postoperative outcomes. This systematic review aimed to examine the association between frailty assessments and postoperative outcomes in patients with vascular disease. Electronic databases - MEDLINE, Embase, and the Cochrane Library - were searched from inception until January 2022, resulting in 648 articles reviewed for potential inclusion and 16 studies selected. Demographic data, surgery type, frailty measure, and postoperative outcomes predicted by frailty were extracted from the selected studies. The risk of bias was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. The selected studies (mean age: 56.1-76.3 years) had low-to-moderate risk of bias and included 16 vascular (elective and nonelective) surgeries and eight frailty measures. Significant associations (p < 0.05) were established between mortality (30-day, 90-day, 1-year, 5-year), 30-day morbidity, nonhome discharge, adverse events, failure to rescue, patient requiring care after discharge, and amputation following critical limb ischaemia. The strongest evidence was found between 30-day mortality and frailty. Composite 30-day morbidity and mortality, functional status at discharge, length of stay, spinal cord deficit, and access site complications were found to be nonsignificantly associated with frailty. With frailty being significantly associated with several adverse postoperative outcomes, preoperative frailty assessments can potentially be clinically useful in helping practitioners predict and guide the pre-, peri-, and postoperative management of frail with vascular disease.

Development and validation of risk stratification tool for prediction of increased dependence using preoperative frailty after hepatopancreatic surgery

BACKGROUND

Despite the known association between frailty and postoperative morbidity, the use of preoperative frailty in surgical practice remains limited. We sought to develop a risk tool to predict postoperative increase in functional dependence.

METHODS

Patients of ≥65 years in the National Surgical Quality Improvement Project database who had a primary hepatopancreatic surgery between 2015 and 2019 were used to identify predictors of increased dependence and development of a simplified tool to calculate the risk stratification score for increased discharge care level (https://ktsahara.shinyapps.io/care_discharge/).

RESULTS

Among 31,338 patients who underwent primary hepatopancreatic surgery, 4,259 (13.6%) had an increased level of care at discharge compared to their preadmission care. Patients with increased discharge care had a higher proportion of patients with a modified frailty index of at least 2 (n = 1496; 35.1%) compared with individuals with unchanged care (n = 6,760; 25.0%). In addition, 12.3% (n = 3,858) were discharged to a skilled nursing or rehabilitation facility. Of note, the odds of increased care at discharge were increased by 1.41 (95% confidence interval: 1.32-1.50), 1.11 (95% confidence interval :1.11-1.12), and 1.95 (95% confidence interval:1.86-2.04) times with every unit increase in modified frailty index, age beyond 65 years, and the number of in-hospital complications, respectively. Area under receiver operative curve for the parsimonious model used to develop the risk calculator was 0.7486 (95% confidence interval: 0.7405-0.7566) (all P < .001).

CONCLUSION

Approximately, 1 in 7 patients required an increased level of care at the time of discharge compared with their preadmission status. A simplified web-based risk tool can be used in clinical practice as a surgical decision aid in post-discharge planning after complex elective surgery.

Elevated Risk Analysis Index (RAI) Frailty Scores Are Independently Associated with Adverse Outcomes in Lower Extremity Surgical Revascularizations Similarly Across Genders

INTRODUCTION

The Risk Analysis Index (RAI) frailty scoring system, developed in a predominantly male Veteran sample, has recently undergone revision and external validation to become the RAI-rev using a general surgical sample from the American College of Surgeons' National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) database. We set forth to evaluate the application of RAI-rev scoring to lower extremity surgical revascularization outcomes in the NSQIP database while verifying that similar associations with outcomes persist in this subset across genders.

METHODS

All elective cases in the NSQIP Targeted Lower Extremity Open (LEO) database recorded from 2015-2019 were paired with the NSQIP Participant User File using Case IDs. Groups were defined by EMR-recorded gender. Extended length of stay was defined as top quartile postoperative stays. Aggregate demographics, perioperative factors, and 30-day outcomes were compared between groups using unpaired t-test and Fisher's exact test. Adjusted odds-ratios (aOR) for each outcome were generated by applying a multivariate binary logistic regression model in IBM SPSS^TM for five-point RAI-rev score increments from 25-45 and a most-frail group with scores >45. Covariates included surgical indication, prior ipsilateral surgical revascularization versus percutaneous intervention, graft utilization, presence of dirty/infected wound, smoking, hypertension, diabetes, and steroid use. A non-frail group with RAI-rev scores <25 was utilized as the reference for generating adjusted odds ratios.

RESULTS

8,155 cases were recorded in the NSQIP LEO database from 2015-2019, including 2,498 (31%) performed in women who had slightly lower RAI-rev scores on average (22.1±5.8 vs 24.2±5.1; p=0.0001). Univariate trends demonstrated dose-dependent increases in frequency of most outcomes with rising frailty score ranges, with the most substantial changes over mortality (0.4% of non-frail to 14.7% most-frail), disposition to a skilled nursing facility (8% of non-frail to 27% most-frail), and extended length of stay (16% of non-frail to 44% most-frail). After adjusting for co-variates, patients with RAI-rev scores of 26-30 had aOR of 1.4 (95% CI: 1.2-1.6; p<0.001), 1.9 (95% CI: 1.6-2.2; p<0.001), and 2.4 (95% CI: 1.3-4.4; p<0.001) for extended stay, disposition to skilled nursing, and mortality respectively as compared to those with RAI-rev scores <25. Despite more non-significant aOR for women than men, trends were similar across genders in both univariate and multivariate analyses.

CONCLUSION

Our study is the first to find that outcomes other than mortality are significantly predicted by RAI-rev score ranges in lower extremity surgical revascularizations with similar associations regardless of gender. RAI-rev frailty scores >30 may help to identify frail patients at a higher risk of mortality, extended stay, and increased rehabilitation needs prior to lower extremity surgical revascularization to inform risk assessment and optimize patient recovery.

Impact of Frailty on Postoperative Outcomes in Patients undergoing TransCarotid Artery Revascularization (TCAR)

BACKGROUND

Frailty is a clinical syndrome characterized by reduction in metabolic reserves leading to increased susceptibility to adverse outcomes following invasive surgical interventions. The 5-item modified frailty index (mFI-5) validated in prior studies has shown high predictive accuracy for all surgical specialties including vascular procedures. In this study we aim to utilize the mFI-5 to predict outcomes in Transcarotid Revascularization (TCAR).

METHODS

All patient who underwent TCAR from November 2016 to April 2021 in the Vascular Quality Initiative (VQI) Database were included. The mFI-5 was calculated as a cumulative score divided by 5 with 1 point each for poor functional status, presence of diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), congestive heart failure (CHF), and hypertension. Patients were stratified into two groups based on prior studies: low mFI-5 (0.6) and high (≥0.6). Primary outcomes included in-hospital death, extended length of postoperative stay (> 1 day), and non-home discharge. Secondary outcomes included in-hospital stroke, transient ischemic attack (TIA), myocardial infarction (MI), and composite endpoint of stroke/death, stroke/TIA and stroke/death/MI. Univariate and multivariable logistic regression were used to assess the association between mFI-5 and postoperative outcomes. Secondary analysis stratified by symptomatic status was performed.

RESULTS

Out of the 17,983 patients who underwent TCAR, 4526(25.2%) had mFI-5 score of ≥0.6 and considered clinically frail. Compared to the non-frail group, frail patients were more likely to be female (38.7% vs 35.6%, p<0.001), have poor functional status (43.6 vs 8.3%, p<0.001), and present with significant comorbidities including diabetes (75.3% vs 26.1%, p<0.001), hypertension (98.9% vs 88.5%, p<0.001), CHF (52.2% vs 5.6, p<0.001), and COPD (60.3% vs 14.2%, p<0.001). They were also more likely to be active smokers (25.4% vs 20.4%, p<0.001) and symptomatic prior to intervention (28.7% vs 25.3%, p<0.001). On univariate analysis, frail patients were at significantly higher risk to experience adverse outcomes including in-hospital mortality, TIA, MI, stroke/death, stroke/TIA, stroke/death/MI, discharge to non-home facility, and extended LOS. After adjusting for potential confounders, frail patients remained at significantly higher risk of in-hospital mortality [aOR 2.26(1.41,3.61), p=0.001], TIA [aOR 1.65(1.08, 2.54), p=0.040], non-home discharge [aOR 1.99(1.71,2.32) p<0.001], and extended LOS [aOR 1.41(1.27, 1.55) p<0.001]. On further stratified analysis based on symptomatic status, the increased risk of stroke/death, TIA, and death was observed only in symptomatic patients.

CONCLUSION

Modified Frailty Index is a reliable tool that can be used to identify high risk patients for TCAR prior to intervention. This could help vascular surgeons, patients, and families in informed decision making to further optimize perioperative care and medical management in frail patients.

Comparing Veterans Affairs and Private Sector Perioperative Outcomes After Noncardiac Surgery

Importance

Recent legislation facilitates veterans' ability to receive non-Veterans Affairs (VA) surgical care. However, contemporary data comparing the quality and safety of VA and non-VA surgical care are lacking.

Objective

To compare perioperative outcomes among veterans treated in VA hospitals with patients treated in private-sector hospitals.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This cohort study took place across 8 noncardiac specialties in the Veterans Affairs Surgical Quality Improvement Program (VASQIP) and American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) from January 1, 2015, through December 31, 2018. Multivariable log-binomial modeling was used to evaluate the association between VA vs private sector care settings and 30-day mortality. Unmeasured confounding was quantified using the E-value. Patients 18 years and older undergoing a noncardiac procedures were included.

Exposures

Surgical care in either a VA or private sector setting.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Primary outcome was 30-day postoperative mortality. Secondary outcome was failure to rescue, defined as a postoperative death after a complication.

Results

Of 3 910 752 operations (3 174 274 from NSQIP and 736 477 from VASQIP), 1 498 984 (92.1%) participants in NSQIP were male vs 678 382 (47.2%) in VASQIP (mean difference, -0.449 [95% CI, -0.450 to -0.448]; P < .001), and 441 894 (60.0%) participants in VASQIP were frail or very frail vs 676 525 (21.3%) in NSQIP (mean difference, -0.387 [95% CI, -0.388 to -0.386]; P < .001). Overall, rates of 30-day mortality, complications, and failure to rescue were 0.8%, 9.5%, and 4.7%, respectively, in NSQIP (n = 3 174 274 operations) and 1.1%, 17.1%, and 6.7%, respectively in VASQIP (736 477) (differences in proportions, -0.003 [95% CI, -0.003 to -0.002]; -0.076 [95% CI, -0.077 to -0.075]; 0.020 [95% CI, 0.018-0.021], respectively; P < .001). Compared with private sector care, VA surgical care was associated with a lower risk of perioperative death (adjusted relative risk, 0.59 [95% CI, 0.47-0.75]; P < .001). This finding was robust in multiple sensitivity analyses performed, including among patients who were frail and nonfrail, with or without complications, and undergoing low and high physiologic stress procedures. These findings were also consistent when year was included as a covariate and in nonparsimonious modeling for patient-level factors. Compared with private sector care, VA surgical care was also associated with a lower risk of failure to rescue (adjusted relative risk, 0.55 [95% CI, 0.44-0.68]). An unmeasured confounder (present disproportionately in NSQIP data) would require a relative risk of 2.78 [95% CI, 2.04-3.68] to obviate the main finding.

Conclusions and Relevance

VA surgical care is associated with lower perioperative mortality and decreased failure to rescue despite veterans having higher-risk characteristics. Given the unique needs and composition of the veteran population, health policy decisions and budgetary appropriations should reflect these important differences.

Perioperative care in open aortic vascular surgery: A Consensus Statement by the Enhanced Recovery after Surgery (ERAS®) Society and Society for Vascular Surgery

The Society for Vascular Surgery and the Enhanced Recovery After Surgery (ERAS®) Society formally collaborated and elected an international, multi-disciplinary panel of experts to review the literature and provide evidence-based recommendations related to all of the health care received in the perioperative period for patients undergoing open abdominal aortic operations (both transabdominal and retroperitoneal approaches, including supraceliac, suprarenal, and infrarenal clamp sites, for aortic aneurysm and aortoiliac occlusive disease). Structured around the ERAS® core elements, 36 recommendations were made and organized into preadmission, preoperative, intraoperative, and postoperative recommendations.

Perspectives on Home Time and Its Association With Quality of Life After Inpatient Surgery Among US Veterans

IMPORTANCE

Home time, defined as time spent at home after hospital discharge, is emerging as a novel, patient-oriented outcome in stroke recovery and end-of-life care. Longer home time is associated with lower mortality and higher patient satisfaction. However, a knowledge gap exists in the measurement and understanding of home time in the population undergoing surgery.

OBJECTIVES

To examine the association between postoperative home time and quality of life (QoL), functional status, and decisional regret and to identify themes regarding the meaning of time spent at home after surgery.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This mixed-methods study including a survey and qualitative interviews used an explanatory sequential design involving 152 quantitative surveys followed by in-depth interviews with 12 participants from February 26, 2020, to December 17, 2020. US veterans older than 65 years who underwent inpatient surgery at a single-center veterans hospital within the prior 6 to 12 months were studied.

EXPOSURES

Quality of life, measured by the Veterans RAND 12-item Health Survey and 19-item Control, Autonomy, Self-realization, and Pleasure scale; functional status, measured by activities of daily living (ADL) and instrumental ADL scales; and regret, measured by the Decision Regret Scale.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Home time, standardized as percentage of total time spent at home from the time of surgery to the time of survey administration. Associations between home time and QoL, function, and decisional regret in the survey data were analyzed using Spearman correlation in the overall cohort and in operative stress score subcohorts (1-2 [low] vs 3-5 [high]) in a stratified analysis. The 12 semistructured interviews were analyzed to elicit patients' perspectives on home time in postoperative recovery. Qualitative data were coded and analyzed using content and thematic analysis and integrated with quantitative data in joint displays.

RESULTS

A total of 152 patients (mean [SD] age, 72.3 [4.4] years; 146 [96.0%] male) were surveyed, and 12 patients (mean [SD] age, 72.3 [4.8] years; 11 [91.7%] male) were interviewed. The median time to survey completion was 307 days (IQR, 265-344 days). The median home time was 97.8% (IQR, 94.6%-98.6%; range, 22.2%-99.5%). Increased home time was associated with better physical health-related QoL in the Veterans RAND 12-item Health Survey (r = 0.33; 95% CI, 0.18-0.47; P < .001) and higher ADL scores (r = 0.21; 95% CI, 0.06-0.36; P = .008) and instrumental ADL functional scores (r = 0.21; 95% CI, 0.04-0.37; P = .009). Decisional regret was inversely associated with home time in only the high operative stress score subcohort (r = -0.22; 95% CI, -0.47 to -0.04; P = .047). Home was perceived as a safe and familiar environment that accelerated recovery through nurturing support of loved ones.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In this mixed-methods study including a survey and qualitative interviews, increased home time in the first year after major surgery was associated with improved daily function and physical QoL among US veterans. Interviewees considered the transition to home to be an indicator of recovery, suggesting that home time may be a promising, patient-oriented quality outcome measure for surgical recovery that warrants further study.

The future of frailty: Opportunity is knocking

This editorial comments on the article by Cooper et al. in this issue.

Current Clinical Implications of Frailty and Sarcopenia in Vascular Surgery: A Comprehensive Review of the Literature and Consideration of Perioperative Management

Frailty is a well-known geriatric syndrome of impaired physiological reserve and increased vulnerability to stressors. Sarcopenia is also used as a parameter of physical impairment characterized by muscle weakness. As population aging has become more prominent in recent years, both modalities are now regarded as clinically important prognostic tools defined by multidimensional factors that may affect clinical outcomes in various clinical settings. A preoperative surgical risk analysis is mandatory to predict clinical and surgical outcomes in all surgical practices, particularly in high-risk surgical patients. In vascular surgical settings, frailty and sarcopenia have been accepted as useful prognostic tools to evaluate patient characteristics before surgery, as these may predict perioperative clinical and surgical outcomes. Although minimally invasive surgical approaches, such as endovascular therapy, and hybrid approaches have been universally developed, achieving good vascular surgical outcomes for high-risk cohorts remains to be challenge due to the increasing prevalence of elderly patients and multiple preoperative co-morbidities in addition to frailty and sarcopenia. Therefore, to further improve clinical and surgical outcomes, these preoperative geriatric prognostic factors will be of great importance and interest in vascular surgical settings for both physicians and surgeons.

The modified 5-item frailty index is a predictor of perioperative risk in head and neck microvascular reconstruction: An analysis of 3795 cases

BACKGROUND

The modified frailty index 5 (mFI-5)-a scale based on the five variables diabetes, hypertension, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, congestive heart failure, and functional dependency-has been shown to be a valid predictor of surgical outcomes. In this study we sought to evaluate the ability of the mFI-5 to predict the postoperative outcomes of head and neck microvascular reconstruction.

METHODS

Review of the 2015-2019 American College of Surgeons, National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS NSQIP) database identified 5323 cases of microvascular reconstruction, of which 3795 were head and neck cases that provided parameters necessary to calculate the mFI-5. The groups were compared in terms of demographics and comorbidities. Post-operative outcomes assessed included mortality, average operative time and length of hospital stay, surgical and medical complications, and non-home discharge.

RESULTS

Increases in the mFI were associated with longer hospitalization periods (10.5 ± 7.5 days in mFI 0 vs 14.9 ± 15.4 in mFI ≥ 3; p < 0.0001) higher rates of mortality (1% in mFI 0 vs 3.1% in mFI ≥ 3; p = 0.02), reoperation (15.4% in mFI 0 vs 17.2% in mFI ≥ 3; p = 0.002) and unplanned readmission (7.6% in mFI 0 vs 18.8% in mFI ≥ 3; p = 0.001). Rates of any complications (p < 0.0001), as well as surgical (p < 0.002) and medical (p < 0.0001) complications specifically were higher with greater mFI scores. Higher mFI scores also predicted decreased home discharge (p < 0.0001). Differences remained significant on multivariate analysis and subgroup analysis by age.

CONCLUSION

The mFI-5 is a significant predictor of risk in microvascular head and neck reconstruction. Subgroup analysis by age highlights that the tool can help identify younger patients who are frail and hence at risk. Through appropriate pre-operative identification of frail patients surgeons can prospectively modify their operative and discharge planning as well as post-operative support.

Outcome Analysis Using the Modified Frailty Index-5 in Patients With Complex Aortoiliac Disease

OBJECTIVES

Vascular surgery patients commonly have several comorbidities that cumulatively lead to a frailty status. The cumulative comorbidities disproportionately increase the risk of adverse events and are also associated with worsened long-term prognosis. In recent years, several tools have been elaborated with the objective of quantifying a patient's frailty. One of them is the modified frailty index-5 (mFI-5), a simplified and easy to use index. There is scarce data regarding its value as a prognostic factor in aortoiliac occlusive disease. The aim of this work is to validate mFI-5 as a potential postoperative prognostic indicator in this population.

METHODS

From January 2013 to January 2020, 109 patients who underwent elective revascularizations, either endovascular or open surgery, having Trans-Atlantic Inter-Society Consensus II type D aortoiliac lesions in a tertiary and a regional hospital were selected from a prospective vascular registry. Demographic data was collected including diabetes mellitus, chronic heart failure, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, arterial hypertension requiring medication and functional status. The 30-d and subsequent long-term surveillance outcomes were also collected including major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), major adverse limb events (MALE) and all-cause mortality were assessed in the 30-d post-procedure and in the subsequent long-term surveillance period. The mFI-5 was applied to this population to evaluate the prognostic impact of this frailty marker on mortality and morbidity.

RESULTS

In the long-term follow-up, mFI-5 was significantly associated with MACE (hazard ratio [HR] 2.469; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.267-4.811; P = .008) and all-cause mortality (HR 2.585; 95% CI: 1.270-5.260; P = .009). However, there was no significant association with 30-day outcomes. Along with the presence of chronic kidney disease, mFI-5 was the prognostic factor better able of predicting MACE. No prognostic value was found regarding short-term outcomes.

CONCLUSION

The mFI-5 index may have a role in predicting long term outcomes, namely MACE and all-cause mortality, in the subset of patients with extensive aortoiliac occlusive disease. Its ease of use can foster its application in risk stratification and contribute for the decision-making process.

Role of pre-operative frailty status in relation to outcome after carotid endarterectomy: a systematic review

Carotid endarterectomy (CEA) is a surgical treatment option to prevent ischemic cerebrovascular accidents. Patients that present with pre-operative frailty might have an elevated risk for unfavorable outcomes after the CEA. A systematic search, using Medline, Embase, Web of Science and Cochrane Database, was performed for relevant literature on frailty in patients undergoing CEA. The study protocol was registered with PROSPERO (CRD42020190345). Eight articles were included. The pooled prevalence for pre-operative frailty was 23.9% (95% CI: 12.98-34.82). A difference in the incidence of complications between frail and non-frail patients (6.4% vs. 5.2%, respectively) and a difference in hospital length of stay [2 (IQR: 2-3) days vs. 1 (IQR: 1-2) day, respectively] were described. The 30-day mortality after CEA was 0.6% for non-frail patients, 2.6% for frail patients, and 4.9% for very frail patients (P<0.001). For 3-year mortality, a >1.5-fold increased risk was found for frail patients (OR 1.7, 95% CI: 1.4-2.0) and a >2.5-fold increased risk for very frail patients (OR 2.6, 95% CI: 2.2-3.1). In conclusion, this review shows the impact of frailty on outcome after CEA. Pre-operative frailty assessment with a validated, multi-domain tool should be implemented in the clinical setting as it will provide information on post-operative surgical outcomes and mortality risk but also frailty trajectory and cognitive decline.

Impacts of Frailty on Prognosis in Lung Cancer Patients: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background: Frailty is a common geriatric syndrome and is described as a limited ability to compensate and recover from stressors. Lung cancer is largely diagnosed in old age, when frailty is common and might have predictive value on prognosis. Therefore, we performed a systematic review to evaluate the prognostic role of frailty in lung cancer.

Methods: The online PubMed, Web of Science, CNKI and Wanfang literature databases were searched to identify all related articles that reported the predictive value of frailty for mortality and therapeutic toxicity. Review Manager 5.3 was used to analyze results by standard meta-analysis methodology.

Results: Seven studies were included in this review, and only six studies with 2,359 patients were enrolled in meta-analysis. Patients in two studies received chemotherapy, two studies radiotherapy, two studies surgery, one study not reported. Compared to non-frail patients, frail patients had a higher risk of overall mortality [Hazard Ratio (HR) = 1.57, 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.32–1.87], and therapeutic toxicity [Odds Ratio (OR) = 2.60, 95% CI, 0.82–8.24]. Prefrail patients also showed higher overall mortality and therapeutic toxicity than non-frail patients (HR = 1.20, 95% CI, 1.05–1.38; OR = 1.72, 95% CI, 1.18–2.51, respectively).

Conclusions: Frailty is a powerful predictor of overall mortality and therapeutic toxicity in lung cancer patients.

Non-guideline-compliant endovascular abdominal aortic aneurysm repair in women is associated with increased mortality and reintervention compared with men

OBJECTIVE

Sex-based disparities in surgical outcomes have emerged as an important focus in contemporary healthcare delivery. Likewise, the appropriate usage of endovascular abdominal aortic aneurysm repair (EVAR) in the United States remains a subject of ongoing controversy, with a significant number of U.S. EVARs failing to adhere to the Society for Vascular Surgery (SVS) clinical practice guideline (CPG) diameter thresholds. The purpose of the present study was to determine the effect of sex among patients undergoing EVAR that was not compliant with the SVS CPGs.

METHODS

All elective EVAR procedures for abdominal aortic aneurysms without a concomitant iliac aneurysm (≥3.0 cm) in the SVS Vascular Quality Initiative were analyzed (2015-2019; n = 25,112). SVS CPG noncompliant repairs were defined as a size of <5.5 cm for men and <5.0 cm for women. The primary endpoint was 30-day mortality. The secondary endpoints were all-cause mortality, complications, and reintervention. Logistic regression was performed to control for surgeon- and patient-level factors. Freedom from the endpoints was determined using the Kaplan-Meier method.

RESULTS

Noncompliant EVAR was performed in 9675 patients (38.5%). Although men were significantly more likely to undergo such procedures (90% vs 10%; odds ratio [OR], 3.1; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.9-3.4; P < .0001), the 30-day mortality was greater for the women than the men (1.8% vs 0.5%; P = .0003). Women also experienced significantly higher rates of multiple complications, including postoperative myocardial infarction (1% vs 0.3%; P = .006), respiratory failure (1.4% vs 0.6%; P = .01), intestinal ischemia (0.7% vs 0.2%; P = .003), access vessel hematoma (3% vs 1.2%; P = .0006), and iliac access vessel injury (2.4% vs 0.8%; P < .0001). Additionally, women experienced increased overall 1-year reintervention rates (11.5% vs 5.8%; P < .0001). In the adjusted analysis, 30-day mortality and any in-hospital complication risk remained significantly greater for the women (30-day death: OR, 3.1; 95% CI, 1.6-5.8; P = .0005; in-hospital complication: OR, 1.9; 95% CI, 1.4-2.6; P < .0001). Women also experienced increased reintervention rates over time compared with men (OR, 1.5; 95% CI, 1.1-2.2; P = .02).

CONCLUSIONS

Although men were more likely to undergo non-CPG compliant EVAR, women experienced increased short-term morbidity and 30-day mortality and higher rates of reintervention when undergoing non-CPG compliant EVAR. These unanticipated findings necessitate increased scrutiny of current U.S. sex-based EVAR practice and should caution against the use of non-CPG compliant EVAR for women.

Multidisciplinary quality improvement programme for older patients admitted to a vascular surgery ward

BACKGROUND

Older vascular surgical patients are at high risk of hospital-associated complications and prolonged stays.

AIMS

To implement a multidisciplinary co-management model for older vascular patients and evaluate impact on length of stay (LOS), delirium incidence, functional decline, medical complications and discharge destination.

METHODS

Prospective pre-post evaluation of a quality improvement intervention, enrolling pre-intervention (August 2012-January 2013) and post-intervention cohort (September 2013-March 2014). Participants were consenting patients aged 65 years and over admitted to the vascular surgical ward of a metropolitan teaching hospital for at least 3 days. Intervention was physician-led co-management plus a multidisciplinary improvement programme targeting delirium and functional decline. Primary outcomes were LOS, delirium and functional decline. Secondary outcomes were medical complications and discharge destination. Process measures included documented consultation patterns. Administrative data were also compared for all patients aged 65 and older for 12 months pre- and post-intervention.

RESULTS

We enrolled 112 participants pre-intervention and 123 participants post-intervention. LOS was reduced post-intervention (geometric mean 7.6 days vs 9.3 days; ratio of geometric means 0.82 (95% confidence interval CI0.68-1.00), P = 0.04). There was a trend to less delirium (18 (14.6%) vs 24 (21.4%), P = 0.17) and functional decline (18 (14.6%) vs 27 (24.3%), P = 0.06), with greatest reductions in the urgently admitted subgroup. Administrative data showed reduced median LOS (5.2 days vs 6 days, P = 0.03) and greater discharge home (72% vs 50%, P < 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Physician-led co-management plus a multidisciplinary improvement programme may reduce LOS and improve functional outcomes in older vascular surgical patients.

A Wrist-Worn Sensor-Derived Frailty Index Based on an Upper-Extremity Functional Test in Predicting Functional Mobility in Older Adults

INTRODUCTION

Preoperative frailty is an independent risk factor for postoperative complications across surgical specialties. Functional mobility such as gait, timed up and go (TUG), and 5 times sit-to-stand (5-STS) are popular preoperative frailty measurements but are not suitable for patients with severe mobility impairment. A wrist-worn sensor-derived frailty index based on an upper-extremity functional test (20-s repetitive elbow flexion-extension task; UEFI) was developed previously; however, its association with functional mobility remained unexplored. We aimed to investigate the predictive power of the UEFI in predicting functional mobility.

METHODS

We examined correlation between the UEFI and gait speed, TUG duration, and 5-STS duration in 100 older adults (≥ 65 years) using multivariate regression analysis. The UEFI was calculated using slowness, weakness, exhaustion, and flexibility of the sensor-based 20-s repetitive elbow flexion-extension task.

RESULTS

The UEFI was a significant predictor for gait speed and TUG duration and 5-STS duration (all R ≥ 0.60; all p < 0.001) with the variance (adjusted R2) of 35-37% for the dependent variables. The multivariate regression analysis revealed significant associations between the UEFI and gait speed (β = -0.84; 95% confidence interval [95% CI] = [-1.19, -0.50]; p < 0.001) and TUG duration (β = 16.2; 95% CI = [9.59, 22.8]; p < 0.001) and 5-STS duration (β = 33.3; 95% CI = [23.6, 43.2]; p < 0.001), found after accounting for confounding variables (e.g., age and fear of falling scale).

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that the UEFI can be performed with a wrist-worn sensor and has been validated with other established measures of preoperative frailty. The UEFI can be applied in a wide variety of patients, regardless of mobility limitations, in an outpatient setting.

Preoperative functional status is associated with discharge to nonhome in geriatric individuals

INTRODUCTION

Discharging older individuals to rehabilitation facilities is associated with adverse outcomes, including readmission or increased mortality rate. As preoperative functional status is an important factor impacting patient outcome, we hypothesized that this would be associated with patient disposition to nonhome locations.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A retrospective analysis was performed using data from the 2013-2018 American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program, including targeted variables from the Geriatric Pilot Project. Patients aged 65 and older in 33 institutions across the nation were included (n = 44,219). Preoperative functional status was categorized as independent, partially dependent, and dependent. The primary outcome was home versus nonhome disposition. Nonhome was defined as rehabilitation facility and nursing home. Descriptive analyses were performed. Variables associated with postoperative discharge to nonhome were identified using logistic regression.

RESULTS

The largest percentage of operations was orthopedics (40.8%), followed by general surgery (29.2%) and vascular operations (10.0%). The majority of the patients were independent before operations (93.1% independent, 6% partially dependent, and 0.9% totally dependent). In regression analyses, patients who were partially dependent preoperatively had five times higher odds of discharging to nonhome, compared to patients who were independent (odds ratio [OR] 5.04, p < 0.01). Similarly, patients who were totally dependent had 3.2 higher odds of discharging to nonhome than patients who were independent (OR 3.22, p < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

Better preoperative functional status is associated with patient discharge to home in older adults. Preoperative interventions aimed at improving functional status, such as prehabilitation, may be beneficial in improving patient outcomes.

Preoperative Cognitive Impairment as a Perioperative Risk Factor in Patients Undergoing Total Knee Arthroplasty

Background:

The study assessed whether pre-existing cognitive impairment (CI) prior to elective total knee arthroplasty (TKA) is associated with worse postoperative outcomes such as delirium, in-hospital medical complications, 30-day mortality, hospital length of stay and non-home discharge.

Methods:

A retrospective database analysis from the NSQIP Geriatric Surgery Pilot Project was used. There was an initial cohort of 6350 patients undergoing elective TKA, 104 patients with CI were propensity score matched to 104 patients without CI.

Results:

Analysis demonstrated a significantly increased incidence of post-operative delirium (POD) in the cohort with pre-op CI (p = < .001), a worsened functional status (p = < .001) and increased nonhome discharge postoperatively compared to the group without CI (p = 0.029). Other post-operative outcomes included 30-day mortality of 0% in both groups, and low rate of complications such as infection (2.88% vs 0.96%), pneumonia (1.92% vs 0%), failure to wean (0.96% vs 0%), and reintubation (0.96% vs 0%). Some other differences between the CI group and non-CI group, although not statistically significant, included increased rate of transfusion (10.58% vs 6.73%), and sepsis (1.92% vs 0%). The length of stay was increased in the non-CI group (4.28% vs 2.32%, p = 0.122).

Conclusion:

CI in patients undergoing TKA is associated with an increased risk of POD, worsened postoperative functional status, and discharge to non-home facility.

Frailty is a Poor Predictor of Postoperative Morbidity and Mortality After Ruptured Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm

BACKGROUND

Frailty has gained prominence as a predictor of postoperative outcomes across a number of surgical specialties, vascular surgery included. The role of frailty is less defined in the acute surgical setting. We assessed the prognostic value of frailty for patients undergoing surgery for a ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm (rAAA).

METHODS

A single-institution retrospective chart review of all patients undergoing surgical intervention for rAAA between January 1, 2011 and November 27, 2019 was performed. Frailty was assessed for each patient using the modified frailty index (mFI), a validated frailty metric based on the Canadian Study of Health and Aging. Frailty was defined as an mFI ≥0.27. The performance of the mFI was compared to that of the Vascular Study Group of New England (VSGNE) rAAA mortality risk score. Chi square, Fisher's exact, and t tests, were used to evaluate for associations between frailty and in-hospital outcomes. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression were used to obtain odds ratios for in-hospital mortality. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was generated to compare the predictive value of the mFI and VSGNE score for in-hospital mortality.

RESULTS

Sixty patients were identified during the study period with an in-hospital mortality rate of 37%. Twenty-one patients were deemed frail by mFI metric and included all patients with known myocardial infarction, stroke with a neurologic deficit or dependent functional status, however the mortality rate did not differ significantly based on frailty status (33% nonfrail vs. 43% frail, P= 0.47). Frailty status was not significantly different for patients with acute kidney injury (10% nonfrail vs. 10% frail), prolonged intubation (13% vs. 5%), abdominal compartment syndrome (8% vs. 10%), and Type I or Type III endoleak (8% vs. 19%). On multivariate analysis controlling for systolic blood pressure <70 mm Hg, suprarenal aortic control, and creatinine >2.0 mg/dl, the mFI produced an adjusted odds ratio (aOR) of 0.7 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.2-3.0). The ROC curve for the mFI produced an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.55 (P= 0.55) for in-hospital mortality while that of the VSGNE score produced an AUC of 0.69 (P= 0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

The mFI did not significantly predict in-hospital outcomes after rAAA in this cohort. This suggests that the baseline health status of a patient with rAAA may play a less significant role in their postoperative prognosis than their acuity on presentation.

Randomised controlled trial protocol for the PROTECT-CS Study: PROTein to Enhance outComes of (pre)frail paTients undergoing Cardiac Surgery

INTRODUCTION

In the past 20 years, the increasing burden of heart disease in an ageing population has resulted in cardiac surgery (CS) being offered to more frail and older patients with multiple comorbidities. Frailty and malnutrition are key geriatric syndromes that impact postoperative outcomes, including morbidity, mortality and prolonged hospital length of stay. Enhanced recovery protocols (ERPs), such as prehabilitation, have been associated with a reduction in complications after CS in vulnerable patients. The use of nutritional ERPs may enhance short-term and long-term recovery and mitigate frailty progression while improving patient-reported outcomes.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

This trial is a two-centre, double-blinded, placebo, randomised controlled trial with blinded endpoint assessment and intention-to-treat analysis. One-hundred and fifty CS patients will be randomised to receive either a leucine-rich protein supplement or a placebo with no supplemented protein. Patients will consume their assigned supplement two times per day for approximately 2 weeks pre-procedure, during in-hospital postoperative recovery and for 8 weeks following discharge. The primary outcome will be the Short Physical Performance Battery score. Data collection will occur at four time points including baseline, in-hospital (pre-discharge), 2-month and 6-month time points post-surgery.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

The University of Manitoba Biomedical Research Ethics Board (20 March 2018) and the St Boniface Hospital Research Review Committee (28 June 2019) approved the trial protocol for the primary site in Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada. The second site's (Montreal, Quebec) ethics has been submitted and pending approval from the Research Ethics and New Technology Development Committee for the Montreal Heart Institute (December 2020). Recruitment for the primary site started February 2020 and the second site will begin January 2021. Data gathered from the PROTein to Enhance outComes of (pre)frail paTients undergoing Cardiac Surgery Study will be published in peer-reviewed journals and presented at national and international conferences. Knowledge translation strategies will be created to share findings with stakeholders who are positioned to implement evidence-informed change.

POTENTIAL STUDY IMPACT

Malnutrition and frailty play a crucial role in post-CS recovery. Nutritional ERPs are increasingly being recognised as a clinically relevant aspect of perioperative care. As such, this trial is to determine if leucine-rich protein supplementation at key intervals can mitigate frailty progression and facilitate enhanced postoperative recovery.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

ClinicalTrials.gov Registry (NCT04038294).

Precision Health Analytics With Predictive Analytics and Implementation Research: JACC State-of-the-Art Review

Emerging data science techniques of predictive analytics expand the quality and quantity of complex data relevant to human health and provide opportunities for understanding and control of conditions such as heart, lung, blood, and sleep disorders. To realize these opportunities, the information sources, the data science tools that use the information, and the application of resulting analytics to health and health care issues will require implementation research methods to define benefits, harms, reach, and sustainability; and to understand related resource utilization implications to inform policymakers. This JACC State-of-the-Art Review is based on a workshop convened by the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute to explore predictive analytics in the context of implementation science. It highlights precision medicine and precision public health as complementary and compelling applications of predictive analytics, and addresses future research and training endeavors that might further foster the application of predictive analytics in clinical medicine and public health.

Predictive Effect of Frailty on Amputation, Mortality, and Ambulation in Patients Undergoing Revascularization for Acute Limb Ischemia

BACKGROUND

Frailty is a common, age-associated syndrome that has been used to predict postoperative outcomes in vascular surgery. This study examines if standard measures of frailty correlate with postoperative outcomes for patients undergoing revascularization for acute limb ischemia (ALI).

METHODS

A retrospective study was conducted on all adult patients undergoing revascularization for ALI at an academic medical center between January 2016 and June 2019. Frailty was calculated with the 11-factor modified frailty index (mFI-11), derived from the Canadian Study of Health and Aging Frailty Index. Outcomes examined included in-hospital mortality, major amputation, site of discharge, and ambulatory status at follow-up.

RESULTS

Fifty-three ambulatory patients presented with ALI during the study time period, with 13.2% deemed not frail (mFI-11 < 3) and 86.8% deemed frail (mFI-11 ≥ 3). Frailty was significantly correlated with discharge to a skilled nursing facility (P = 0.028) and nonambulation at follow-up (P = 0.002). There was no significant correlation with other outcomes, including mortality and amputation. On multivariate analysis, frailty was the only factor contributing to nonambulation at follow-up (P = 0.012). Endovascular treatment did not mitigate the effects of frailty on discharge site and ambulatory status.

CONCLUSIONS

Frailty is exceedingly common in patients with ALI. Although frailty predicts discharge site and nonambulation at follow-up, it is not associated with amputation or death. Therefore, frail patients should not be denied open or endovascular revascularization for ALI.

Association Between Wearable Device-Based Measures of Physical Frailty and Major Adverse Events Following Lower Extremity Revascularization

IMPORTANCE

Physical frailty is a key risk factor associated with higher rates of major adverse events (MAEs) after surgery. Assessing physical frailty is often challenging among patients with chronic limb-threatening ischemia (CLTI) who are often unable to perform gait-based assessments because of the presence of plantar wounds.

OBJECTIVE

To test a frailty meter (FM) that does not rely on gait to determine the risk of occurrence of MAEs after revascularization for patients with CLTI.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This cohort study included 184 consecutively recruited patients with CLTI at 2 tertiary care centers. After 32 individuals were excluded, 152 participants were included in the study. Data collection was conducted between May 2018 and June 2019.

EXPOSURES

Physical frailty measurement within 1 week before limb revascularization and incidence of MAEs for as long as 1 month after surgery.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

The FM works by quantifying weakness, slowness, rigidity, and exhaustion during a 20-second repetitive elbow flexion-extension exercise using a wrist-worn sensor. The FM generates a frailty index (FI) ranging from 0 to 1; higher values indicate progressively greater severity of physical frailty.

RESULTS

Of 152 eligible participants (mean [SD] age, 67.0 [11.8] years; 59 [38.8%] women), 119 (78.2%) were unable to perform the gait test, while all could perform the FM test. Overall, 53 (34.9%), 58 (38.1%), and 41 (27.0%) were classified as robust (FI <0.20), prefrail (FI ≥0.20 to <0.35), or frail (FI ≥0.35), respectively. Within 30 days after surgery, 24 (15.7%) developed MAEs, either major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE; 8 [5.2%]) or major adverse limb events (MALE; 16 [10.5%]). Baseline demographic characteristics were not significantly different between frailty groups. In contrast, the FI was approximately 30% higher in the group that developed MAEs (mean [SD] score, 0.36 [0.14]) than those who were MAE free (mean [SD] score, 0.26 [0.13]; P = .001), with observed MAE rates of 4 patients (7.5%), 7 patients (12.1%), and 13 patients (31.7%) in the robust, prefrail and frail groups, respectively (P = .004). The FI distinguished individuals who developed MACE and MALE from those who were MAE free (MACE: mean [SD] FI score, 0.38 [0.16]; P = .03; MALE: mean [SD] FI score, 0.35 [0.13]; P = .004) after adjusting by body mass index.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In this cohort study, measuring physical frailty using a wrist-worn sensor during a short upper extremity test was a practical method for stratifying the risk of MAEs following revascularization for CLTI when the administration of gait-based tests is often challenging.

Frailty as measured by the Risk Analysis Index is associated with long-term death after carotid endarterectomy

OBJECTIVE

The role of carotid endarterectomy (CEA) continues to be debated in the age of optimal medical therapy, particularly for patients with limited life expectancy. The Risk Analysis Index (RAI) measures frailty, a syndrome of decreased physiologic reserve, which increases vulnerability to adverse outcomes. The RAI better predicts surgical complications, nonhome discharge, and death than age or comorbidities alone. We sought to measure the association of frailty, as measured by the RAI, with postoperative in-hospital stroke, long-term stroke, and long-term survival after CEA. We also sought to determine how postoperative stroke interacts with frailty to alter survival trajectory after CEA.

METHODS

We queried the Vascular Quality Initiative CEA procedure and long-term data sets (2003-2017) for elective CEAs with complete RAI case information. For all analyses, the cohort was divided into asymptomatic and symptomatic carotid stenosis. Scoring was defined as not frail (RAI <30), frail (RAI 30-34), and very frail (RAI ≥35). Mortality information through December 2017 was obtained from the Social Security Death Index. Multivariable models (logistic and Cox proportional hazards regressions) were used to study the association of frail and very frail patients with the outcomes of interest. In a post hoc analysis, we created Kaplan-Meier curves to analyze patient mortality after CEA as well as after postoperative stroke.

RESULTS

Of the 42,869 included patients, 17,092 (39.9%) were female, and 38,395 (89.6%) were white. There were 25,673 (59.9%) patients assigned to the asymptomatic stenosis group and 17,196 (40.1%) patients in the symptomatic stenosis group. Frailty was not associated with perioperative or long-term postoperative stroke. The risk of long-term mortality was significantly higher for frail (hazard ratio, 1.9 [1.7-2.3]) and very frail (hazard ratio, 3.1 [2.6-3.7]) asymptomatic patients; symptomatic frail and very frail patients also had a two to three times increased risk of long-term mortality. Frail and very frail patients had two to three times the risk for long-term mortality compared with patients who were not frail. Postoperative stroke negatively affected the mortality trajectory for all patients in the cohort, regardless of frailty status.

CONCLUSIONS

RAI score is not associated with postoperative stroke; however, frail and very frail status is associated with decreased long-term survival in an incremental fashion based on increasing RAI. RAI assessment should be considered in the preoperative decision-making for patients undergoing CEA to ensure long-term survival and optimal surgical outcomes vs medical management.

A novel preoperative risk score for nonhome discharge after elective thoracic endovascular aortic repair

BACKGROUND

Nonhome discharge (NHD) to a rehabilitation or skilled nursing facility after vascular surgery is poorly described despite its large impact on patients. Understanding postsurgical NHD risk is essential to providing adequate preoperative counseling and shared decision making, particularly for elective surgeries. We aimed to identify independent predictors of NHD after elective thoracic endovascular aortic repair (TEVAR) for thoracic aortic aneurysms (TAA) and to create a clinically useful preoperative risk score.

METHODS

Elective TEVAR cases for descending TAA were queried from the Society for Vascular Surgery Vascular Quality Initiative from 2014 to 2018. A risk score was created by splitting the dataset into two-thirds for model development and one-third for validation. A parsimonious stepwise hierarchical multivariable logistic regression controlling for hospital level variation was performed in the development dataset, and the beta-coefficients were used to assign points for a risk score. This score was then cross-validated and model performance assessed.

RESULTS

Overall, 1469 patients were included and 213 (14.5%) required NHD. At baseline, patients who required NHD were more likely to be ≥80 years old (35.2% vs 19.4%), female (58.7% vs 40.6%), functionally dependent (42.3% vs 24.0%), and anemic (46.5% vs 27.8%), and to have chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (41.3% vs 33.4%), congestive heart failure (18.8% vs 11.1%), and American Society of Anesthesiologists class ≥4 (51.6% vs 39.8%; all P < .05). Multivariable analysis in the development group identified independent predictors of NHD that were used to create an 18-point risk score. Patients were stratified into three groups based upon their risk score: low risk (0-7 points; n = 563) with an NHD rate of 4.3%, moderate risk (8-11 points; n = 701) with an NHD rate of 17.0%, and high risk (≥12 points; n = 205) with an NHD rate of 34.2%. The risk score had good predictive ability with a c-statistic of 0.75 for model development and a c-statistic of 0.72 in the validation dataset.

CONCLUSIONS

This novel risk score can predict NHD after TEVAR for TAA using characteristics that can be identified preoperatively. The use of this score may allow for improved risk assessment, preoperative counseling, and shared decision making.

Modified frailty index as an indicator for outcomes, discharge status, and readmission after lower extremity bypass surgery for critical limb ischemia

Frailty has been associated with poor postoperative outcomes. This study evaluated the 5-factor modified frailty index (mFI-5) to assess complications, mortality, discharge disposition, and readmission in patients undergoing lower extremity (LE) bypass for critical limb ischemia (CLI).The National Surgical Quality Improvement Program vascular module (2011-2017) was utilized to identify patients undergoing LE bypass for CLI. Adverse events included infectious complications, bleeding complications, prolonged ventilation, amputation, readmission, and death. Patients were divided into groups based on mFI-5 scores: mFI1 (0), mFI2 (0.2), mFI3 (0.4), and mFI4 (0.6-1). Data were analyzed using the Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel statistic for general association and multivariable logistic regression. About 11,530 patients undergoing bypass for CLI were identified (42% rest pain and 58% tissue loss; 23% mFI1, 31% mFI2, 27% mFI3, and 19% mFI4; 64% men and 36% women). An increase in mFI-5 was associated with higher 30-day mortality (mFI1 = 0.62%; mFI12 = 1.45%; mFI13 = 1.35%; and mFI14 = 3.09%; P < .0001). After adjustment for age, mFI4 was associated with increased mortality compared with mFI1 (odds ratio, 3.80; 95% confidence interval, 1.69-8.54). Increased mFI-5 was associated with bleeding complications, wound infections, urinary tract infections, prolonged ventilation, sepsis, unplanned reoperations, and discharge to nonhome destination (all P < .01). Compared with mFI1 (13.5%), mFI4 was associated with increased 30-day readmission (24.8%, P < .0001). In patients undergoing LE bypass for CLI, higher mFI-5 was associated with increased postoperative complications, in-hospital and 30-day mortality, nonhome discharge, and 30-day readmission. The mFI-5 as an easily calculated tool can identify patients at high risk for inferior outcomes. It should be incorporated into discharge planning after LE bypass for CLI.

Risk Factors for Nonhome Discharge After Esophagectomy for Neoplastic Disease

BACKGROUND

Esophagectomies are known to be technically challenging operations that create significant physiologic changes. These patients often require assisted care postoperatively that necessitates a nonhome discharge. The purpose of this study was to assess factors associated with nonhome discharge after esophagectomy for neoplastic disease.

METHODS

The 2016 to 2017 American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program Esophagectomy database was queried to identify patients who underwent esophagectomy for a neoplasm. Patients were excluded if they died within 30 days of their operation, the index operation was considered emergent, or had missing data for the variables of interest. Multivariable analysis was performed to identify which factors were predictive of nonhome discharge.

RESULTS

One thousand seven patients were included. Of those, 121 (12.0%) had a nonhome discharge. Multivariable analysis showed that the following factors were associated with nonhome discharge: Modified Charlson comorbidity index (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 2.04; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.49-2.86), partially dependent preoperative functional status (aOR, 13.18; 95% CI, 1.07-315.67), urinary tract infection (aOR, 5.25; 95% CI, 1.32-20.41), and length of stay (aOR, 1.12; 95% CI, 1.08-1.16).

CONCLUSIONS

We identified various factors associated with nonhome discharge. Early identification of patients who are at risk for nonhome discharge is important for early discharge planning, which may decrease nonmedical delays and healthcare costs.

Frailty Factors and Outcomes in Vascular Surgery Patients: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To describe and critique tools used to assess frailty in vascular surgery patients, and investigate its associations with patient factors and outcomes.

BACKGROUND

Increasing evidence shows negative impacts of frailty on outcomes in surgical patients, but little investigation of its associations with patient factors has been undertaken.

METHODS

Systematic review and meta-analysis of studies reporting frailty in vascular surgery patients (PROSPERO registration: CRD42018116253) searching Medline, Embase, CINAHL, PsycINFO, and Scopus. Quality of studies was assessed using Newcastle-Ottawa scores (NOS) and quality of evidence using Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation criteria. Associations of frailty with patient factors were investigated by difference in means (MD) or expressed as risk ratios (RRs), and associations with outcomes expressed as odds ratios (ORs) or hazard ratios (HRs). Data were pooled using random-effects models.

RESULTS

Fifty-three studies were included in the review and only 8 (15%) were both good quality (NOS ≥ 7) and used a well-validated frailty measure. Eighteen studies (62,976 patients) provided data for the meta-analysis. Frailty was associated with increased age [MD 4.05 years; 95% confidence interval (CI) 3.35, 4.75], female sex (RR 1.32; 95% CI 1.14, 1.54), and lower body mass index (MD -1.81; 95% CI -2.94, -0.68). Frailty was associated with 30-day mortality [adjusted OR (AOR) 2.77; 95% CI 2.01-3.81), postoperative complications (AOR 2.16; 95% CI 1.55, 3.02), and long-term mortality (HR 1.85; 95% CI 1.31, 2.62). Sarcopenia was not associated with any outcomes.

CONCLUSION

Frailty, but not sarcopenia, is associated with worse outcomes in vascular surgery patients. Well-validated frailty assessment tools should be preferred clinically, and in future research.

Preoperative Evaluation of the Frail Patient

Perioperative management of older adults is a complex field that is heavily influenced by the clinical heterogeneity of older adults. Frailty-a geriatric syndrome in which a patient is more vulnerable to stressors due to decreases in physical function and reserve-has been indicative of adverse postoperative outcomes. Many tools have been developed to measure frailty that incorporate a variety of factors including physical and cognitive function, comorbidities, self-reported measures of health, and clinical judgment. Most of these frailty assessment tools are able to identify a subset of patients at risk of adverse outcomes including postoperative complications, longer hospital length of stay, discharge to a higher level of care, and mortality. Frailty assessment before surgical interventions can also guide discussions among patients, their families, anesthesiologists, and surgeons to tailor operative plans for patients to mitigate this increased risk. Studies are ongoing to identify interventions in frail patients that can improve postoperative outcomes, but high-quality data in the form of randomized controlled trials are lacking at this time.

Outpatient grip strength measurement predicts survival, perioperative adverse events, and nonhome discharge among patients with vascular disease

OBJECTIVES

Frailty is associated with adverse outcomes among patients with vascular disease. Grip strength measurement is a comparatively simple, quick, and inexpensive screening test for weakness (a component of frailty) that is potentially applicable to clinical practice. We hypothesized that grip strength and categorical weakness are associated with clinical outcomes among patients with vascular disease. To test this hypothesis, we conducted a longitudinal cohort study evaluating associations between grip strength measured during outpatient clinic visits for vascular disease and clinical outcomes, including survival and perioperative outcomes.

METHODS

Adult patients recruited from outpatient vascular surgery and/or vascular medicine clinics underwent dominant hand grip strength measurement using a hand dynamometer. Participants were categorized as weak based on grip strength, sex, and body mass index. Multivariable logistic models were used to evaluate perioperative outcomes. Mortality was evaluated using Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for sex, age, and operative intervention during follow-up.

RESULTS

We enrolled 321 participants. The mean patients age was 69.0 ± 9.4 years, and 33% were women. Mean grip strength was 32.0 ± 12.1 kg, and 92 participants (29%) were categorized as weak. The median follow-up was 24.0 months. Adverse perioperative events occurred in 32 of 84 patients undergoing procedures. Grip strength was associated with decreased risk of perioperative adverse events (hazard ratio [HR], 0.41 per 12.7 kg increase; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.20-0.85; P = .0171) in a model adjusted for open versus endovascular procedure (HR, 12.75 for open; 95% CI, 2.54-63.90; P = .0020) and sex (HR, 3.05 for male; 95% CI, 0.75-12.4; P = .120). Grip strength was also associated with a lower risk of nonhome discharge (HR, 0.34 per 12.7 kg increase; 95% CI, 0.14-0.82; P = .016) adjusted for sex (HR, 2.14 for male; 95% CI, 0.48-9.50; P = .31) and open versus endovascular procedure (HR, 10.36 for open; 95% CI, 1.20-89.47; P = .034). No associations between grip strength and length of stay were observed. Mortality occurred in 48 participants (14.9%) during follow-up. Grip strength was inversely associated with mortality (HR, 0.46 per 12.5 kg increase; 95% CI, 0.29-0.73; P = .0009) in a model adjusted for sex (HR, 5.08 for male; 95% CI, 2.1-12.3; P = .0003), age (HR, 1.04 per year; 95% CI, 1.01-1.08), and operative intervention during follow-up (HR, 1.23; 95% CI, 0.71-2.52). Categorical weakness was also associated with mortality (HR, 1.81 vs nonfrail; P = .048) in a model adjusted for age (HR, 1.06 per year; P = .002) and surgical intervention (HR, 1.36; 95% CI, 1.02-0.09; P = .331).

CONCLUSIONS

Grip strength is associated with all-cause mortality, perioperative adverse events, and nonhome discharge among patients with vascular disease. These observations support the usefulness of grip strength as a simple and inexpensive risk screening tool for patients with vascular disease.

Simplified preoperative tool predicting discharge destination after major oncologic gastrointestinal surgery

BACKGROUND

Preoperatively identifying patients who will require discharge to extended care facilities (ECFs) after major cancer surgery is valuable. This study compares existing models and derives a simple, preoperative tool for predicting discharge destination after major oncologic gastrointestinal surgery.

METHODS

The American College of Surgeon National Surgical Quality Improvement datasets were used to evaluate existing risk stratification and frailty assessment tools between the years 2011 and 2015. A novel tool for predicting discharge to ECF was developed in the 2011-2015 dataset and subsequently validated in the 2016 dataset.

RESULTS

Major resections were analyzed for 61 683 malignancies: 6.9% esophagus, 5.3% stomach, 20.0% liver, 21.0% pancreas, and 46.8% colon/rectum. The overall ECF discharge rate was 9.1%. The American Society of Anesthesiologist score, 11-point modified frailty index (mFI), and 5-point abbreviated modified frailty index (amFI) demonstrated only moderate discrimination in predicting ECF discharge (c-statistic: 0.63-0.65). In contrast, our weighted cancer cancer abbreviated modified frailty index (camFI) score demonstrated improved discrimination with c-statistic of 0.73. The camFI displayed >90% negative predictive value for ECF discharge at every operative site.

CONCLUSION

The camFI is a simple tool that can be used preoperatively to counsel patients on their risk of ECF discharge, and to identify patients with the least need for ECF discharge after major oncologic gastrointestinal surgery.

Impact of frailty on short-term outcomes in patients undergoing transsphenoidal pituitary surgery

OBJECTIVE

Frailty, a state of decreased physiological reserve, has been shown to significantly impact outcomes of surgery. The authors sought to examine the impact of frailty on the short-term outcomes of patients undergoing transsphenoidal pituitary surgery.

METHODS

Weighted data from the 2000-2014 National (Nationwide) Inpatient Sample were studied. Patients diagnosed with pituitary tumors or disorders who had undergone transsphenoidal pituitary surgery were identified. Frailty was determined using the Johns Hopkins Adjusted Clinical Groups (ACG) frailty-defining diagnoses indicator. Standard descriptive techniques and matched propensity score analyses were used to explore the odds ratios of postoperative complications, discharge dispositions, and costs.

RESULTS

A total of 115,317 cases were included in the analysis. Frailty was present in 1.48% of cases. The mean age of frail versus non-frail patients was 57.14 ± 16.96 years (mean ± standard deviation) versus 51.91 ± 15.88 years, respectively (p < 0.001). A greater proportion of frail compared to non-frail patients had an age ≥ 65 years (37.08% vs 24.08%, respectively, p < 0.001). Frail patients were more likely to be black or Hispanic (p < 0.001), possess Medicare or Medicaid insurance (p < 0.001), belong to lower-median-income groups (p < 0.001), and have greater comorbidity (p < 0.001). Results of propensity score-matched multivariate analysis revealed that frail patients were more likely to develop fluid and electrolyte disorders (OR 1.61, 95% CI 1.07-2.43, p = 0.02), intracranial vascular complications (OR 2.73, 95% CI 1.01-7.49, p = 0.04), mental status changes (OR 3.60, 95% CI 1.65-7.82, p < 0.001), and medical complications including pulmonary insufficiency (OR 2.01, 95% CI 1.13-4.05, p = 0.02) and acute kidney failure (OR 4.70, 95% CI 1.88-11.74, p = 0.01). The mortality rate was higher among frail patients (1.46% vs 0.37%, p < 0.001). Frail patients also demonstrated a greater likelihood for nonroutine discharges (p < 0.001), higher mean total charges ($109,614.33 [95% CI $92,756.09-$126,472.50] vs $56,370.35 [95% CI $55,595.72-$57,144.98], p < 0.001), and longer hospitalizations (9.27 days [95% CI 7.79-10.75] vs 4.46 days [95% CI 4.39-4.53], p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Frailty in patients undergoing transsphenoidal pituitary surgery is associated with worse postoperative outcomes and higher costs, indicating that state's potential role in routine preoperative risk stratification.