Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Survival Among Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma in the United States: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

A machine learning clinic scoring system for hepatocellular carcinoma based on the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database

Background

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) poses a global threat to life; however, numerical tools to predict the clinical prognosis of these patients remain scarce. The primary objective of this study is to establish a clinical scoring system for evaluating the overall survival (OS) rate and cancer-specific survival (CSS) rate in HCC patients.

Methods

From the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program, we identified 45,827 primary HCC patients. These cases were randomly allocated to a training cohort (22,914 patients) and a validation cohort (22,913 patients). Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses, coupled with Kaplan-Meier methods, were employed to evaluate prognosis-related clinical and demographic features. Factors demonstrating prognostic significance were used to construct the model. The model's stability and accuracy were assessed through C-index, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and clinical decision curve analysis (DCA), while comparisons were made with the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging. Ultimately, machine learning (ML) quantified the variables in the model to establish a clinical scoring system.

Results

Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses identified 11 demographic and clinical-pathological features as independent prognostic indicators for both CSS and OS using. Two models, each incorporating the 11 features, were developed, both of which demonstrated significant prognostic relevance. The C-index for predicting CSS and OS surpassed that of the AJCC staging system. The area under the curve (AUC) in time-dependent ROC consistently exceeded 0.74 in both the training and validation sets. Furthermore, internal and external calibration plots indicated that the model predictions aligned closely with observed outcomes. Additionally, DCA demonstrated the superiority of the model over the AJCC staging system, yielding greater clinical net benefit. Ultimately, the quantified clinical scoring system could efficiently discriminate between high and low-risk patients.

Conclusions

A ML clinical scoring system trained on a large-scale dataset exhibits good predictive and risk stratification performance in the cohorts. Such a clinical scoring system is readily integrable into clinical practice and will be valuable in enhancing the accuracy and efficiency of HCC management.

Effectiveness of mailed outreach and patient navigation to promote HCC screening process completion: a multicentre pragmatic randomised clinical trial

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is plagued by failures across the cancer care continuum, leading to frequent late-stage diagnoses and high mortality. We evaluated the effectiveness of mailed outreach invitations plus patient navigation to promote HCC screening process completion in patients with cirrhosis.

METHODS

Between April 2018 and September 2021, we conducted a multicentre pragmatic randomised clinical trial comparing mailed outreach plus patient navigation for HCC screening (n=1436) versus usual care with visit-based screening (n=1436) among patients with cirrhosis at three US health systems. Our primary outcome was screening process completion over a 36-month period, and our secondary outcome was the proportion of time covered (PTC) by screening. All patients were included in intention-to-screen analyses.

RESULTS

All 2872 participants (median age 61.3 years; 32.3% women) were included in intention-to-screen analyses. Screening process completion was observed in 6.6% (95% CI: 5.3% to 7.9%) of patients randomised to outreach and 3.3% (95% CI: 2.4% to 4.3%) of those randomised to usual care (OR 2.05, 95% CI: 1.44 to 2.92). The intervention increased HCC screening process completion across most subgroups including age, sex, race and ethnicity, Child-Turcotte-Pugh class and health system. PTC was also significantly higher in the outreach arm than usual care (mean 37.5% vs 28.2%; RR 1.33, 95% CI: 1.31 to 1.35). Despite screening underuse, most HCC in both arms were detected at an early stage.

CONCLUSION

Mailed outreach plus navigation significantly increased HCC screening process completion versus usual care in patients with cirrhosis, with a consistent effect across most examined subgroups. However, screening completion remained suboptimal in both arms, underscoring a need for more intensive interventions.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT02582918.

Clinician-Level Knowledge and Barriers to Hepatocellular Carcinoma Surveillance

Importance

Surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with cirrhosis is underused. Identifying potentially modifiable factors to address barriers in HCC surveillance is critical to improve patient outcomes.

Objective

To evaluate clinician-level factors contributing to underuse of HCC surveillance in patients with cirrhosis.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This survey study included primary care clinicians (PCCs) and gastroenterology and hepatology clinicians at 5 safety-net health systems in the US. Clinicians were surveyed from March 15 to September 15, 2023, to assess knowledge, attitudes, beliefs, perceived barriers, and COVID-19-related disruptions in HCC surveillance in patients with cirrhosis. Data were analyzed from October to November 2023.

Main Outcome and Measures

HCC surveillance knowledge was assessed with 6 questions querying the respondent's ability to correctly identify appropriate use of HCC surveillance. Attitudes, perceived barriers, and beliefs regarding HCC surveillance and perceived impact of the COVID-19 pandemic-related disruptions with HCC surveillance were assessed with a series of statements using a 4-point Likert scale and compared PCCs and gastroenterology and hepatology clinicians.

Results

Overall, 347 of 1362 clinicians responded to the survey (25.5% response rate), among whom 142 of 237 (59.9%) were PCCs, 48 of 237 (20.3%) gastroenterology and hepatology, 190 of 236 (80.5%) were doctors of medicine and doctors of osteopathic medicine, and 46 of 236 (19.5%) were advanced practice clinicians. On HCC knowledge assessment, 144 of 270 (53.3%) scored 5 or more of 6 questions correctly, 37 of 48 (77.1%) among gastroenterology and hepatology vs 65 of 142 (45.8%) among PCCs (P < .001). Those with higher HCC knowledge scores were less likely to report barriers to HCC surveillance. PCCs were more likely to report inadequate time to discuss HCC surveillance (37 of 139 [26.6%] vs 2 of 48 [4.2%]; P = .001), difficulty identifying patients with cirrhosis (82 of 141 [58.2%] vs 5 of 48 [10.4%]; P < .001), and were not up-to-date with HCC surveillance guidelines (87 of 139 [62.6%] vs 5 of 48 [10.4%]; P < .001) compared with gastroenterology and hepatology clinicians. While most acknowledged delays during the COVID-19 pandemic, 62 of 136 PCCs (45.6%) and 27 of 45 gastroenterology and hepatology clinicians (60.0%) reported that patients with cirrhosis could currently complete HCC surveillance without delays.

Conclusions and Relevance

In this survey study, important gaps in knowledge and perceived barriers to HCC surveillance were identified. Effective delivery of HCC education to PCCs and health system-level interventions must be pursued in parallel to address the complex barriers affecting suboptimal HCC surveillance in patients with cirrhosis.

Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treatment Receipt in the United States: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Racial and ethnic disparities in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) prognosis exist, partly related to differential failures along the cancer care continuum. We characterized racial and ethnic disparities in treatment receipt among patients with HCC in the United States.

METHODS

We searched Medline, Embase, and CINAHL databases to identify studies published between January 2012 and March 2022 reporting HCC treatment receipt among adult patients with HCC, stratified by race or ethnicity. We calculated pooled odds ratios for HCC treatment using random effects models.

RESULTS

We identified 15 studies with 320,686 patients (65.8% White, 13.9% Black, 10.4% Asian, and 8.5% Hispanic). Overall, 33.2% of HCC patients underwent any treatment, and 22.7% underwent curative treatment. Compared with White patients, Black patients had lower odds of any treatment (OR 0.67, 95% CI 0.55-0.81) and curative treatment (OR 0.74, 95% CI 0.71-0.78). Similarly, Hispanic patients had lower pooled odds of curative treatment (OR 0.79, 95% CI 0.73-0.84).

CONCLUSIONS

There were significant racial and ethnic disparities in HCC treatment receipt, with Black patients having lower odds of receiving any and curative treatment while Hispanic patients having lower odds of curative treatment.

IMPACT

Racial and ethnic differences in treatment receipt serve as an intervention target to reduce disparities in HCC prognosis.

Disparities in outcomes and access to therapy options in hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) disproportionately impacts racial and ethnic minorities and patients with lower socioeconomic status. These social determinants of health (SDH) lead to disparities in access to care and outcomes. We aim to understand the relationship between SDH and survival and locoregional treatment options in HCC.

METHODS

Using the National Cancer Database, we evaluated survival and access locoregional treatments including non-transplant surgery, liver transplant (LT), and liver-directed radiation therapy (LDRT) in patients with HCC diagnosed between 2004 and 2017. Variables including clinical stage, age, sex, race, income, rurality, year of diagnosis, facility type (FT), Charlson-Deyo score (CD), and insurance were evaluated. Cox proportional hazards multivariable regression and dominance analyses were used for analyses.

RESULTS

In total, 140 340 patients were included. Worse survival was seen with advanced stage, older age, Black race, rurality, public insurance, treatment at a nonacademic center, and lower income. The top predictors for survival included stage, age, and income. Completion of non-transplant surgery was best predicted by stage, FT, and insurance type, whereas LT was predicted by age, year of diagnosis, and CD score. LDRT utilization was most associated with year of diagnosis, FT, and CD score.

CONCLUSION

For patients with HCC, survival was predicted primarily by stage, age, and income. The primary sociodemographic factors associated with access to surgical treatments, in addition to FT, were insurance and income, highlighting the financial burdens of health care. Work is needed to address disparities in access to care, including improved insurance access, addressing financial inequities and financial toxicities of treatments, and equalizing care opportunities in community centers.

Community-Level Factors Associated with Hepatocellular Carcinoma Incidence and Mortality: An Observational Registry Study

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) incidence and outcomes vary across populations in the United States, but few studies evaluate local drivers of observed disparities. We measured HCC incidence at the community level and assessed community-level HCC risk factors with the goal of informing resource allocation to improve early case detection, which is associated with improved outcomes.

METHODS

Clinical and demographic data including census tract of residence for all adults diagnosed with HCC in the Connecticut Tumor Registry between 2008 and 2019 were combined with publicly available U.S. Census and Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) data at the ZIP Code tabulation area (ZCTA) level. The average annual incidence of HCC was calculated for each ZCTA and associations between community-level characteristics, HCC incidence, stage at diagnosis, and survival were evaluated.

RESULTS

Average annual HCC incidence during the study period was 8.9/100,000 adults and varied from 0 to 97.7 per 100,000 adults by ZCTA. At the community level, lower rates of high school graduation, higher rates of poverty, and rural community type were associated with higher HCC incidence. Persons with HCC living in the highest incidence ZCTAs were diagnosed at a younger age and were less likely to be alive at 1, 2, and 5 years after diagnosis.

CONCLUSIONS

Community-level socioeconomic factors are strongly associated with HCC incidence and survival in Connecticut.

IMPACT

This reproducible geo-localization approach using cancer registry, Census, and CDC data can be used to identify communities most likely to benefit from health system investments to reduce disparities in HCC.

Advance Care Planning Engagement Strategies for Primary Care Providers Seeing Diverse Patient Populations: A Scoping Review

Diverse patients are less likely than Whites to have advance care planning. The primary purpose of this scoping review was to summarize recent evidence about advance care planning engagement interventions for primary care providers working with diverse patients. The Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses-extension for Scoping Reviews (PRISMA-ScR) Checklist was followed. Peer-reviewed articles published in English since 2000 reporting the results of studies testing intervention programs in primary care to improve advance care planning with adult, racially diverse populations were included. Searches were conducted in 5 online databases and yielded 72 articles. Gray literature yielded 23 articles. Two authors independently reviewed the abstracts of 72 articles determining that 9 articles met the aim of this review. These studies were analyzed by communication tools and other resources, population, intervention, primary outcomes, instruments, and primary findings and organized into 3 categories: ( a ) provider-focused interventions, ( b ) patient-focused interventions, and ( c ) multilevel interventions. Improvement in advance care planning outcomes can be achieved for racially diverse populations by implementing targeted advance care planning engagement interventions for both providers and patients. These interventions can be used in primary care to increase advance care planning for diverse patients. More research is needed that evaluates best practices for integrating advance care planning into primary care workflows.

The adverse characteristics of hepatocellular carcinoma in the non-cirrhotic liver disproportionately disadvantage Black patients

BACKGROUND

Black patients have higher hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC)-related mortality than White patients and more often develop HCC in non-cirrhotic liver. HCC surveillance is primarily directed toward cirrhotic patients. We aimed to characterize HCC in non-cirrhotic patients and to identify factors associated with HCC beyond Milan criteria.

METHODS

Demographic, imaging, laboratory, and pathology data of HCC patients at our institution, 2003-2018, were reviewed, retrospectively. Race/ethnicity were self-reported. Cirrhosis was defined as a Fibrosis-4 score ≥3.25.

RESULTS

Compared to 1146 cirrhotic patients, 411 non-cirrhotic patients had larger tumors (median 4.7 cm vs. 3.1 cm, p < 0.01) and were less likely to be within Milan criteria (42.6% vs. 57.7%, p < 0.01). Among non-cirrhotic patients, Black patients had larger tumors (4.9 cm vs. 4.3 cm, p < 0.01) and a higher percentage of poorly differentiated tumors (39.4% vs. 23.1%, p = 0.02). Among cirrhotic patients, Black patients had larger tumors (3.3 cm vs. 3.0 cm, p = 0.03) and were less likely to be within Milan criteria (52.3% vs. 83.2%, p < 0.01). In multivariable analysis, lack of commercial insurance (OR 1.45 [CI 95% 1.19-1.83], p < 0.01), male sex (OR 1.34 [CI 95% 1.05-1.70], p < 0.01), absence of cirrhosis (OR 1.58 [CI 95% 1.27-1.98], p < 0.01) and Black race/ethnicity (OR 1.34 [CI 95% 1.09-1.66], p = 0.01) were associated with HCC beyond Milan criteria. Black patients had lower survival rates than other patients (p < 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Non-cirrhotic patients had more advanced HCC than cirrhotic patients. Black patients (with or without cirrhosis) had more advanced HCC than comparable non-Black patients and higher mortality rates. Improved access to healthcare (commercial insurance) may increase early diagnosis (within Milan criteria) and reduce disparities.

Treatment rates and factors associated with direct-acting antiviral therapy for insured patients with hepatitis C-related hepatocellular carcinoma - A real-world nationwide study

BACKGROUND

Since the inception of the interferon-free direct-acting antiviral agents (DAAs) for hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, guidelines as to who should receive this potentially curative treatment have evolved. Treatment with DAAs is now considered for all patients except for those considered moribund.

AIM

To determine the DAA treatment rate for patients with HCV-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

This was a retrospective study from January 2015 to March 2021 of a national sample of privately insured patients with HCV-related HCC using Optum's Clinformatics® Data Mart (CDM) Database - a large, de-identified, adjudicated claims database.

RESULTS

We identified 3922 patients with HCV-related HCC: 922 (23.5%) received DAA. Compared to untreated patients, DAA-treated patients were younger (65.2 ± 7.5 vs. 66.4 ± 7.5 years, p < 0.001), more frequently saw a gastroenterology/infectious disease (GI/ID) physician (41.2% vs. 34.2%), and had decompensated cirrhosis (56% vs. 53%, p = 0.001). In multivariable analysis, younger age (HR: 0.98, 95% CI: 0.97-0.99, p < 0.001), GI/ID care (HR: 3.06, 95% CI: 2.13-4.51, p < 0.001), and having cirrhosis (compensated: HR: 1.60, 95% CI: 1.18-2.21, p = 0.003; decompensated: HR: 1.45, 95% CI: 1.07-1.98, p = 0.02) were associated with receiving DAA treatment, but not sex, race, or ethnicity. DAA-treated patients had significantly higher 5-year survival than untreated patients (47.2% vs. 35.2%, p < 0.001). Following adjustment for age, sex, race/ethnicity, Charlson Comorbidity Index, and HCC treatment, receiving DAA treatment was associated with lower mortality (aHR: 0.61, 95% CI: 0.53-0.69, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

DAA treatment remains underutilised in insured patients with HCV-related HCC; fewer than one in four patients received treatment. Seeing a specialist and having decompensated cirrhosis were predictors for DAA treatment; additional efforts are needed to increase awareness of HCV treatment.

Changing Epidemiology of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Within the United States and Worldwide

Globally, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a major cause of cancer-related death and a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in patients with chronic liver disease and cirrhosis. The predominant cause of HCC is shifting from viral to nonviral causes, in parallel with the high global prevalence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and increasing alcohol consumption in many countries. There have been promising recent advances in the treatment of all stages of HCC; however, improvements in early detection, increased utilization of HCC surveillance, and equitable access to HCC therapies are needed to curb increases in HCC mortality.

Hepatocellular Carcinoma Surveillance: Evidence-Based Tailored Approach

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance is recommended by professional society guidelines given a consistent association with reduced HCC-related mortality. HCC surveillance should be performed using semiannual abdominal ultrasound and alpha-fetoprotein, although this combination has suboptimal sensitivity and can miss more than one-third of HCC at an early stage. There are promising emerging blood-based and imaging-based strategies, including abbreviated MRI and biomarker panels; however, these require further validation before routine use in clinical practice. HCC surveillance is underused in clinical practice due to patient-related and provider-related barriers, highlighting a need for interventions to improve surveillance utilization in clinical practice.

Global trends in hepatocellular carcinoma epidemiology: implications for screening, prevention and therapy

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) mortality rates are increasing globally, and particularly in the Western world. Cirrhosis remains the predominant risk factor for HCC. However, epidemiological shifts in the incidence of HCC from patients with virus-related liver disease to those with non-viral aetiologies, including alcohol-associated and metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease, have important implications for prevention, surveillance and treatment. Hepatitis B vaccination and antiviral therapy for hepatitis B and C are effective for primary prevention of virus-related HCCs, but chemoprevention strategies for non-viral liver disease remain an unmet need. Emerging data suggest associations between aspirin, statins, metformin and coffee and reduced HCC incidence, although none has been proved to be causally related. Secondary prevention of HCC via semi-annual surveillance is associated with improvements in early detection and thus reduced mortality; however, current tools, including abdominal ultrasonography, have suboptimal sensitivity for the detection of early stage HCC, particularly in patients with obesity and/or non-viral liver disease. Promising blood-based or imaging-based surveillance strategies are emerging, although these approaches require further validation before adoption in clinical practice. In the interim, efforts should be focused on maximizing use of the existing surveillance tools given their prevalent underuse globally. Remarkable advances have been made in the treatment of HCC, including expanded eligibility for surgical therapies, improved patient selection for locoregional treatments and increased systemic treatment options, including immune-checkpoint inhibitors. In this Review, we discuss trends in the epidemiology of HCC and their implications for screening, prevention and therapy.

Trends in hepatocellular carcinoma stage by racial/ethnic group in the United States, 1992-2019

Background & Aims

Although incidence rates of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) began to decline in the United States in the past decade, disparities in rates among racial/ethnic groups have persisted. Whether disparities in stage at diagnosis have remained over time, however, is unclear.

Methods

National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) program has created a new staging-over-time variable that facilitates the examination of trends in HCC stage. Thus, the proportions of HCCs diagnosed by stage between 1992 and 2019 were examined among non-Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black (NHB), Hispanic, Asian/Pacific Islander, and American Indian/Alaska Native (AI/AN) individuals. HCC incidence between 1992 and 2019 was also analysed using Joinpoint regression.

Results

Between 1992 and 2019, the proportion of stage 1 HCCs increased and the proportion of stage 4 HCCs decreased among non-Hispanic White, NHB, Hispanic, and Asian/Pacific Islander individuals. Among AI/AN persons, the proportion of stage 1 tumours remained stable, and the proportion of stage 4 tumours declined. In the most recent time period, NHB individuals had the lowest proportions of stage 1 HCCs (32%) and the highest proportion of stage 4 HCCs (20%) of any group. Joinpoint analysis found that HCC incidence began to decline by 2013 among all groups except AI/AN individuals, the only group that had an increase in incidence.

Conclusions

Despite generally favourable trends in HCC stage and incidence rates, disparities remain. NHB persons continue to have less favourable stages at diagnosis, and incidence rates continue to increase among AI/AN persons.

Impact and implications

HCC incidence rates among most United States racial/ethnic groups began to decline in recent years, but whether stage at diagnosis also improved was unclear. As a result, a new SEER stage variable was used to examine stage trends by race/ethnicity. Although the finding of generally favourable trends in stage as well as incidence is encouraging, continuity disparities in both stage and incidence require serious attention.

Nucleus-localized circSLC39A5 suppresses hepatocellular carcinoma development by binding to STAT1 to regulate TDG transcription

Accumulating evidence indicates that circular RNAs (circRNAs) are inextricably linked to cancer development. However, the function and mechanism of nucleus-localized circRNAs in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) still require investigation. Here, qRT-PCR and receiver-operating characteristic curve were used to detect the expression and diagnostic potential of circSLC39A5 for HCC. The biological function of circSLC39A5 in HCC was investigated in vitro and in vivo. Nucleoplasmic separation assay, fluorescence in situ hybridization, RNA pulldown, RNA immunoprecipitation, the HDOCK Server, the NucleicNet Webserver, crosslinking-immunoprecipitation, MG132 treatment, and chromatin immunoprecipitation were utilized to explore the potential molecular mechanism of circSLC39A5 in HCC. The results showed that circSLC39A5 was downregulated in both HCC tissues and plasma and was associated with satellite nodules and lymph node metastasis/vascular invasion. CircSLC39A5 was stably expressed in plasma samples under different storage conditions, showing good diagnostic potential for HCC (AUC = 0.915). CircSLC39A5 inhibited proliferation, migration, and invasion, facilitated the apoptosis of HCC cells, and was associated with low expression of Ki67 and CD34. Remarkably, circSLC39A5 is mainly localized in the nucleus and binds to the transcription factor signal transducer and activator of transcription 1 (STAT1), affecting its stabilization and expression. STAT1 binds to the promoter of thymine DNA glycosylase (TDG). Overexpression of circSLC39A5 elevates TDG expression and reverses the increase of proliferating cell nuclear antigen (PCNA) expression and the overactive cell proliferation caused by TDG silencing. Our findings uncovered a novel plasma circRNA, circSLC39A5, which may be a potential circulating diagnostic marker for HCC, and the mechanism by which nucleus-localized circSLC39A5 exerts a transcriptional regulatory role in HCC by affecting STAT1/TDG/PCNA provides new insights into the mechanism of circRNAs.

Racial, ethnic, and socioeconomic disparities impact post-liver transplant survival in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

Liver transplantation can be a curative treatment for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC); however, the morbidity and mortality associated with HCC varies by socioeconomic status and race and ethnicity. Policies like Share 35 were implemented to ensure equitable access to organ transplants; however, their impacts are unclear. We aimed to characterize differences in post-liver transplant (LT) survival among patients with HCC, when considering race and ethnicity, income, and insurance type, and understand if these associations were impacted by Share 35.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 30,610 adult LT recipients with HCC. Data were obtained from the UNOS database. Survival analysis was carried out using Kaplan-Meier curves, and multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to calculate hazard ratios.

RESULTS

Men (HR: 0.90 (95% CI: 0.85-0.95)), private insurance (HR: 0.91 (95% CI: 0.87-0.92)), and income (HR: 0.87 (95% CI: 0.83-0.92)) corresponded with higher post-LT survival, when adjusted for over 20 demographic and clinical characteristics (Table 2). African American or Black individuals were associated with lower post-LT survival (HR: 1.20 (95% CI: 1.12-1.28)), whereas. Asian (HR: 0.79 (95% CI: 0.71-0.88)) or Hispanic (HR: 0.86 (95% CI: 0.81-0.92)) individuals were associated with higher survival as compared with White individuals (Table 2). Many of these patterns held in the pre-Share 35 and Share 35 periods.

CONCLUSIONS

Racial, ethnic, and socioeconomic disparities at time of transplant, such as private insurance and income, influence post-LT survival in patients with HCC. These patterns persist despite the passage of equitable access policies, such as Share 35.

Prevention of Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC). White Paper of the Texas Collaborative Center for Hepatocellular Cancer (TeCH) Multi-stakeholder Conference

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Texas has the highest age-adjusted incidence rate of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in the United States. The Cancer Prevention and Research Institute of Texas has funded the Texas Collaborative Center for Hepatocellular Cancer (TeCH) to facilitate HCC research, education, and advocacy activities with the overall goal of reducing HCC mortality in Texas through coordination, collaboration, and advocacy.

METHODS

On September 17, 2022, TeCH co-sponsored a multi-stakeholder conference on HCC with the Baker Institute Center for Health and Biosciences. This conference was attended by HCC researchers, policy makers, payers, members from pharmaceutical industry and patient advocacy groups in and outside of Texas. This report summarizes the results of the conference.

RESULTS

The goal of this meeting was to identify different strategies for preventing HCC and evaluate their readiness for implementation.

CONCLUSIONS

We call for a statewide (1) viral hepatitis elimination program; (2) program to increase nonalcoholic steatohepatitis and obesity awareness; (3) research program to develop health care models that integrate alcohol associated liver disease treatment and treatment for alcohol use disorder; and (4) demonstration projects to evaluate the effectiveness of identifying and linking patient with advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis to clinical care.

Molecular and immune landscape of hepatocellular carcinoma to guide therapeutic decision-making

Liver cancer, primarily HCC, exhibits highly heterogeneous histological and molecular aberrations across tumors and within individual tumor nodules. Such intertumor and intratumor heterogeneities may lead to diversity in the natural history of disease progression and various clinical disparities across the patients. Recently developed multimodality, single-cell, and spatial omics profiling technologies have enabled interrogation of the intertumor/intratumor heterogeneity in the cancer cells and the tumor immune microenvironment. These features may influence the natural history and efficacy of emerging therapies targeting novel molecular and immune pathways, some of which had been deemed undruggable. Thus, comprehensive characterization of the heterogeneities at various levels may facilitate the discovery of biomarkers that enable personalized and rational treatment decisions, and optimize treatment efficacy while minimizing the risk of adverse effects. Such companion biomarkers will also refine HCC treatment algorithms across disease stages for cost-effective patient management by optimizing the allocation of limited medical resources. Despite this promise, the complexity of the intertumor/intratumor heterogeneity and ever-expanding inventory of therapeutic agents and regimens have made clinical evaluation and translation of biomarkers increasingly challenging. To address this issue, novel clinical trial designs have been proposed and incorporated into recent studies. In this review, we discuss the latest findings in the molecular and immune landscape of HCC for their potential and utility as biomarkers, the framework of evaluation and clinical application of predictive/prognostic biomarkers, and ongoing biomarker-guided therapeutic clinical trials. These new developments may revolutionize patient care and substantially impact the still dismal HCC mortality.

Ethnic disparities in the epidemiology, treatment, and outcome of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma in the United States

There are significant ethnic disparities in incidence, tumor stage, curative therapy receipt, and survival among patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in the US. While previous models had predicted an increasing trend in the incidence rate of HCC until 2030 in the US, recent studies have shown that HCC incidence plateaued in 2013 and then started to decline in 2015. The decreasing trend has been observed in all ethnicities except for American Indians/Alaska Natives, whose incidence rates of HCC continue to rise. Current evidence shows that African-Americans and Hispanics are two groups that are more likely to be diagnosed with late-stage HCC, and this finding has been consistent in different socioeconomic statuses of the patients. These two ethnic minority groups are also among those who are less likely to have curative therapy for early-stage HCC. Finally, advances in early diagnosis and treatment approaches have led to an improvement in HCC survival for all ethnicities; however, African-Americans continue to have the worst survival. More studies to find the causes of these disparities and interventions to eliminate them are urgently needed.

Racial, Ethnic, and Socioeconomic Disparities in Treatment Delay Among Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma in the United States

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Failures have been reported across the cancer care continuum in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC); however, the impact of treatment delays on outcomes has not been well-characterized. We described the prevalence of treatment delays in a racially and ethnically diverse cohort of patients and its association with overall survival.

METHODS

Using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results-Medicare database, we identified patients diagnosed with HCC between 2001 and 2015. We performed multivariable logistic regression analysis to identify factors associated with treatment delay (ie, receipt of HCC-directed therapy >3 months after diagnosis). Cox proportional hazards regression analysis with a 5-month landmark was used to characterize the association between treatment delay and overall survival, accounting for immortal time bias.

RESULTS

Of 8450 patients with treatment within 12 months of HCC diagnosis, 1205 (14.3%) experienced treatment delays. The proportion with treatment delays ranged from 6.8% of patients undergoing surgical resection to 21.6% of those undergoing liver transplantation. In multivariable analysis, Black patients (odds ratio, 1.96; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.21-3.15) and those living in high poverty neighborhoods (odds ratio, 1.55; 95% CI, 1.25-1.92) were more likely to experience treatment delays than white patients and those living in low poverty neighborhoods, respectively. Treatment delay was independently associated with worse survival (hazard ratio 1.15, 95% CI, 1.05-1.25).

CONCLUSIONS

Nearly 1 in 7 patients with HCC experience treatment delays, with higher odds in Black patients and those living in high poverty neighborhoods. Treatment delays are associated with worse survival, highlighting a need for interventions to improve time-to-treatment.

Health disparities in chronic liver disease

The syndemic of hazardous alcohol consumption, opioid use, and obesity has led to important changes in liver disease epidemiology that have exacerbated health disparities. Health disparities occur when plausibly avoidable health differences are experienced by socially disadvantaged populations. Highlighting health disparities, their sources, and consequences in chronic liver disease is fundamental to improving liver health outcomes. There have been large increases in alcohol use disorder in women, racial and ethnic minorities, and those experiencing poverty in the context of poor access to alcohol treatment, leading to increasing rates of alcohol-associated liver diseases. Rising rates of NAFLD and associated fibrosis have been observed in Hispanic persons, women aged > 50, and individuals experiencing food insecurity. Access to viral hepatitis screening and linkage to treatment are suboptimal for racial and ethnic minorities and individuals who are uninsured or underinsured, resulting in greater liver-related mortality and later-stage diagnoses of HCC. Data from more diverse cohorts on autoimmune and cholestatic liver diseases are lacking, supporting the need to study the contemporary epidemiology of these disorders in greater detail. Herein, we review the existing literature on racial and ethnic, gender, and socioeconomic disparities in chronic liver diseases using a social determinants of health framework to better understand how social and structural factors cause health disparities and affect chronic liver disease outcomes. We also propose potential solutions to eliminate disparities, outlining health-policy, health-system, community, and individual solutions to promote equity and improve health outcomes.

Nomogram to predict the prognosis of patients with AFP-negative hepatocellular carcinoma undergoing chemotherapy: A SEER based study

This study aimed to formulate reliable nomograms for predicting the outcomes of α-fetoprotein (AFP)-negative hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients after chemotherapy. HCC patients with normal AFP expression who received chemotherapy were screened and evaluated from the surveillance, epidemiology, and end results database. The prognostic factors for predicting outcomes of HCC patients undergoing chemotherapy were chosen by analyzing the results of Cox analyses. Then, a nomogram integrating the prognostic factors was established. The discrimination ability of the nomogram was evaluated with computation of area under the curve (AUC) and calibration curve. A total of 2424 patients with AFP-negative HCC undergoing chemotherapy were identified. The median overall survival (OS) for HCC patients undergoing chemotherapy was 33 months. Age, race, pathologic grade, N stage, M stage, surgery, and lung metastases were significantly linked to OS. These relevant factors were incorporated into the nomogram. AUC values of the prognostic nomogram for 3- and 5-year OS were 0.696 and 0.706 in the training groups, which were superior to those of the tumor node metastasis (TNM) stage (0.641 and 0.671) in training groups. The calibration curves indicated a high consistency between the predicted probability of nomograms and the actual observation. The validation groups produced AUC values of 0.674 and 0.736 for 3- and 5-year OS, which were superior to those of the TNM stage (0.601 and 0.637) in validation groups. The results revealed significantly unfavorable OS in the high-risk group (P < .001). Nomograms to accurately predict the OS for AFP-negative HCC patients after chemotherapy were established and exhibited a more accurate predication than the conventional TNM staging system.

A web-based nomogram model for predicting the overall survival of hepatocellular carcinoma patients with external beam radiation therapy: A population study based on SEER database and a Chinese cohort

BACKGROUND

External beam radiation therapy (EBRT) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is rarely used in clinical practice. This study aims to develop and validate a prognostic nomogram model to predict overall survival (OS) in HCC patients treated with EBRT.

METHOD

We extracted eligible data of HCC patients between 2004 and 2015 from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Those patients were randomly divided into a training cohort (n=1004) and an internal validation cohort (n=429), and an external validation cohort composed of a Chinese cohort (n=95). A nomogram was established based on the independent prognostic variables identified from univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. The effective performance of the nomogram was evaluated using the concordance index (C-index), receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), and calibration curves. The clinical practicability was evaluated using decision curve analysis (DCA).

RESULTS

T stage, N stage, M stage, AFP, tumor size, surgery, and chemotherapy were independent prognostic risk factors that were all included in the nomogram to predict OS in HCC patients with EBRT. In the training cohort, internal validation cohort, and external validation cohort, the C-index of the prediction model was 0.728 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.716-0.740), 0.725 (95% CI:0.701-0.750), and 0.696 (95% CI:0.629-0.763), respectively. The 6-, 12-,18- and 24- month areas under the curves (AUC) of ROC in the training cohort were 0.835 、0.823 、0.810, and 0.801, respectively; and 0.821 、0.809 、0.813 and 0.804 in the internal validation cohort, respectively; and 0.749 、0.754 、0.791 and 0.798 in the external validation cohort, respectively. The calibration curves indicated that the predicted value of the prediction model performed well. The DCA curves showed better clinical practicability. In addition, based on the nomogram, we established a web-based nomogram to predict the OS of these patients visually.

CONCLUSION

Based on the SEER database and an independent external cohort from China, we established and validated a nomogram to predict OS in HCC patients treated with EBRT. In addition, for the first time, a web-based nomogram model can help clinicians judge the prognoses of these patients and make better clinical decisions.

Understanding the Changing Landscape of Health Disparities in Chronic Liver Diseases and Liver Cancer

Liver disease and liver cancer disparities in the U.S. are reflective of complex multiple determinants of health. This review describes the disproportionate burden of liver disease and liver cancer among racial, ethnic, sexual, and gender minority, rural, low socioeconomic status (SES) populations, and place-based contexts. The contributions of traditional and lifestyle-related risk factors (e.g., alcohol consumption, evitable toxin exposure, nutrition quality) and comorbid conditions (e.g., viral hepatitis, obesity, type II diabetes) to disparities is also explored. Biopsychosocial mechanisms defining the physiological consequences of inequities underlying these health disparities, including inflammation, allostatic load, genetics, epigenetics, and social epigenomics are described. Guided by the National Institute on Minority Health and Health Disparities (NIMHD) framework, integrative research of unexplored social and biological mechanisms of health disparities, appropriate methods and measures for early screening, diagnosis, assessment, and strategies for timely treatment and maintaining multidisciplinary care should be actively pursued. We review emerging research on adverse social determinants of liver health, such as structural racism, discrimination, stigma, SES, rising care-related costs, food insecurity, healthcare access, health literacy, and environmental exposures to pollutants. Limited research on protective factors of liver health is also described. Research from effective, multilevel, community-based interventions indicate a need for further intervention efforts that target both risk and protective factors to address health disparities. Policy-level impacts are also needed to reduce disparities. These insights are important, as the social contexts and inequities that influence determinants of liver disease/cancer have been worsened by the coronavirus disease-2019 pandemic and are forecasted to amplify disparities.

Racial and ethnic disparities in early treatment with immunotherapy for advanced HCC in the United States

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Immunotherapy has emerged as an effective treatment for patients with advanced-stage HCC. We aimed to investigate the efficacy of immunotherapy for advanced HCC in a nationwide cohort and racial and ethnic disparities in access to immunotherapy.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

We used the US National Cancer Database to identify patients with tumor-node-metastasis stage 3 or 4 HCC between 2017 and 2018. We performed multivariable Cox regression to identify factors associated with overall survival (OS) and logistic regression to identify factors associated with receipt of immunotherapy. Of the 3,990 patients treated for advanced HCC, 3,248 (81.4%) patients received chemotherapy and 742 (18.6%) patients received immunotherapy as a first-line treatment. Immunotherapy was associated with improved OS compared with chemotherapy (adjusted HR: 0.76, 95% CI: 0.65-0.88) after adjusting for covariates. There were racial and ethnic disparities in access to immunotherapy, with Hispanic (adjusted OR [aOR]: 0.63, 95% CI: 0.46-0.83) and Black patients (aOR: 0.71, 95% CI: 0.54-0.89) less likely to receive immunotherapy compared with White patients. There was a significant interaction between race-ethnicity and facility type, with higher disparity observed in nonacademic centers (interaction p = 0.004).

CONCLUSIONS

Immunotherapy was associated with improved OS compared with chemotherapy in advanced HCC. There are significant disparities in early access to immunotherapy, likely due to differential access to clinical trials and experimental therapies. A comprehensive approach to monitoring and eliminating racial-ethnic disparities in the management of advanced HCC is urgently needed.

An Open-Access, Interactive Decision-Support Tool to Facilitate Guideline-Driven Care for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is increasing in incidence and is a leading cause of cancer-related mortality worldwide. Adherence to HCC surveillance guidelines and appropriate treatment triage of liver lesions may improve receipt of curative-intent treatment and improved survival. Late-stage HCC diagnosis reflects sub-optimal implementation of effective HCC surveillance, whereas inappropriate treatment triage or linkage to care accounts for the non-receipt of curative-intent in close to half of early-stage HCC in the USA. A free, open-access decision-support tool for liver lesions that incorporates current guideline recommendations in a user-friendly interface could improve appropriate and timely triage of patients to appropriate care. This review provides a summary of gaps and disparities in linkage to HCC care and introduces a free, internet-based, interactive decision-support tool for managing liver lesions. This tool has been developed by the HCC Steering Committee of the Chronic Liver Disease Foundation and is targeted toward clinicians across specialties who may encounter liver lesions during routine care or as part of dedicated HCC surveillance.

Early detection of hepatocellular carcinoma: roadmap for improvement

INTRODUCTION

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has a poor prognosis, related, in part, to frequent late-stage diagnosis. Improved implementation of effective HCC surveillance is critical to reduce HCC mortality.

AREAS COVERED

We performed a targeted literature review to identify intervention targets for improving HCC surveillance effectiveness, including enriched risk stratification tools, improved surveillance tools with higher accuracy for early HCC detection, and increasing surveillance adherence.

EXPERT OPINION

HCC surveillance has been demonstrated to be efficacious in several cohort studies but has lower surveillance effectiveness in clinical practice. HCC surveillance is currently recommended in all patients with cirrhosis, and improved risk stratification using clinical risk scores, genetic scores, and novel biomarkers are important to move from a 'one-size-fits-all' strategy to one more aligned with values of precision medicine. Current surveillance modalities, ultrasound, and AFP, miss over one-third of HCC at an early stage and are associated with potential surveillance harms, underscoring a need for alternative surveillance strategies with higher accuracy. MRI- and biomarker-based surveillance strategies have promising early data in phase II studies but require validation in phase III cohorts before routine use in practice. Finally, surveillance is underused in clinical practice, highlighting a need for intervention strategies to increase utilization.

Racial, Ethnic, and Socioeconomic Disparities in Curative Treatment Receipt and Survival in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) disproportionately affects racial, ethnic, and low socioeconomic status (SES) populations. However, the interaction between race, ethnicity, and neighborhood SES in HCC prognosis is not well explored. This study evaluates the interaction between race and ethnicity and neighborhood SES on curative treatment utilization and overall survival among patients with HCC in the United States. We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 13,874 patients aged ≥65 years diagnosed with HCC from 2001 through 2015 using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Medicare-linked database. We performed multivariable logistic regression to examine the association between race, ethnicity, and curative treatment receipt across SES. We also evaluated the association between curative treatment receipt and overall survival using a Cox proportional hazards model. Among 13,874 patients, only 2,617 (18.9%) patients received curative treatment. Overall, Black patients had lower odds of receiving curative treatment than White patients (odds ratio [OR], 0.76; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.64-0.91). When stratified by neighborhood SES, Black patients living in high-poverty neighborhoods had lower odds of curative treatment receipt (OR, 0.64; 95% CI, 0.49-0.84) and worse survival (hazard ratio, 1.13; 95% CI, 1.02-1.25). Conversely, Hispanic and Asian patients had similar curative treatment receipt compared to White patients across all socioeconomic levels. Conclusion: Disparities in curative treatment receipt and overall survival are pronounced between Black and White patients. Black-White disparities appear to be moderated by neighborhood SES and are particularly evident among those living in high-poverty neighborhoods.

Association of County-Level Upward Economic Mobility with Stage at Diagnosis and Receipt of Curative-Intent Treatment among Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Upward economic mobility represents the ability of children to surpass their parents financially and improve their economic status. The extent to which it contributes to socioeconomic disparities in health outcomes remains largely unknown.

METHODS

Patients diagnosed with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in 2004-2015 were identified from the SEER-Medicare linked database. Information on county-level upward economic mobility was obtained from the Opportunity Atlas, and its impact on early-stage diagnosis (tumor size ≤ 5 cm, no nodal involvement or distant metastases, no major vascular invasion or extrahepatic extension) and receipt of curative-intent treatment (resection, transplantation, or ablation) was examined.

RESULTS

Among 9190 Medicare beneficiaries diagnosed with HCC, the majority were White (64.9%, n = 5965). Overall, 44.7% (n = 4105) of patients were diagnosed with early-stage HCC and 29.7% (n = 2731) underwent curative-intent treatment. While higher upward economic mobility was not associated with HCC diagnosis at an early stage (OR 0.94, 95% CI 0.83-1.06), patients with early-stage HCC from areas of high upward economic mobility had increased odds of undergoing curative-intent treatment (OR 1.25, 95% CI 1.03-1.51). Upward economic mobility had no impact on the likelihood to undergo curative-intent treatment for early-stage HCC among White (OR 1.15, 95% CI 0.91-1.45), Black (OR 1.94, 95% CI 0.85-4.45) or Asian patients (OR 0.77, 95% CI 0.44-1.36). In contrast, non-White patients other than Blacks or Asians diagnosed with early-stage HCC had markedly higher odds of receiving curative-intent treatment if the individual resided in an area characterized by higher versus lower upward economic mobility (OR 2.58, 95% CI 1.50-4.46).

CONCLUSIONS

While community-level economic mobility was not associated with stage of diagnosis, it affected the likelihood of undergoing curative-intent treatment for early-stage HCC, especially among minority patients other than Black or Asian patients.

Development and Validation of a Nomogram to Predict Cancer-Specific Survival for Middle-Aged Patients With Early-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Background

Hepatocellular carcinoma is a common cause of death in middle-aged patients. We aimed to construct a new nomogram to predict cancer-specific survival (CSS) in middle-aged patients with hepatocellular carcinoma at an early stage.

Method

We collected clinicopathological information on early middle-aged patients with hepatocellular carcinoma from the SEER database. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression models were used to screen the independent risk factors for prognosis. These risk factors were used to construct predictions of CSS in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma. Consistency index (C- index), calibration curve, area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) were used. A decision analysis curve (DCA) was used to evaluate the clinical utility of the predictive model.

Results

A total of 6,286 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma in early middle age were enrolled. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that sex, marriage, race, histological tumor grade, T stage, surgery, chemotherapy, AFP, and tumor size were independent risk factors for prognosis. All independent risk factors were included in the nomogram to predict CSS at 1-, 3-, and 5-years in early middle age patients with hepatocellular carcinoma. In the training cohort and validation cohort, the C-index of the prediction model was 0.728 (95%CI: 0.716–0.740) and 0.733 (95%CI: 0.715–0.751), respectively. The calibration curve showed that the predicted value of the prediction model is highly consistent with the observed value. AUC also suggested that the model has good discrimination. DCA suggested that the nomogram had better predictive power than T staging.

Conclusion

We constructed a new nomogram to predict CSS in middle-aged patients with early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma. This prediction model has good accuracy and reliability, which can help patients and doctors to judge prognosis and make clinical decisions.

Racial disparities in the utilization of parathyroidectomy among patients with primary hyperparathyroidism: Evidence from a nationwide analysis of Medicare claims

BACKGROUND

Among patients with primary hyperparathyroidism, parathyroidectomy offers a chance of cure and mitigation of disease-related complications. The impact of race/ethnicity on referral and utilization of parathyroidectomy has not been fully explored.

METHODS

Population-based, retrospective cohort study using 100% Medicare claims from beneficiaries with primary hyperparathyroidism from 2006 to 2016. Associations of race/ethnicity with disease severity, surgeon evaluation, and subsequent parathyroidectomy were analyzed using adjusted multivariable logistic regression models.

RESULTS

Among 210,206 beneficiaries with primary hyperparathyroidism, 63,136 (30.0%) underwent parathyroidectomy within 1 year of diagnosis. Black patients were more likely than other races/ethnicities to have stage 3 chronic kidney disease (10.8%) but had lower prevalence of osteoporosis and nephrolithiasis compared to White patients, Black and Hispanic patients were more likely to have been hospitalized for primary hyperparathyroidism-associated conditions (White 4.8%, Black 8.1%, Hispanic 5.8%; P < .001). Patients who were White and met operative criteria were more likely to undergo parathyroidectomy than Black, Hispanic, or Asian patients (White 30.5%, Black 23.0%, Hispanic 21.4%, Asian 18.7%; P < .001). Black and Hispanic patients had lower adjusted odds of being evaluated by a surgeon (odds ratios 0.71 [95% confidence interval 0.69-0.74], 0.68 [95% confidence interval 0.61-0.74], respectively) and undergoing parathyroidectomy if evaluated by a surgeon (odds ratios 0.72 [95% confidence interval 0.68-0.77], 0.82 [95% confidence interval 0.67-0.99]). Asian race was associated with lower adjusted odds of being evaluated by a surgeon (odds ratio 0.64 [95% confidence interval 0.57-0.71]), but no difference in odds of parathyroidectomy.

CONCLUSION

Racial/ethnic disparities exist in the management of primary hyperparathyroidism among older adults. Determining the factors that account for this disparity require urgent attention to achieve parity in the management of primary hyperparathyroidism.

Real-world evidence in hepatocellular carcinoma

Real-world evidence includes all health-related information, such as electronic health records, insurance claims, pharmacy records and wearables that are obtained outside of clinical trials. These data can provide critical insights into the natural history of disease and evaluate the safety and effectiveness of treatment regimens used in clinical practice. Real-world data have been applied to varying degrees by global regulatory agencies to inform and expedite many phases of drug development and help refine the use of therapeutic regimens after marketing, especially in populations that are under-represented in registration trials. For the management of hepatocellular carcinoma, early detection provides the best chance for curative therapies, whose success has been evaluated in numerous cohorts. The availability of novel systemic therapies, including kinase inhibitors and immunotherapies, has provided new treatment options and improved survival in patients with advanced stage hepatocellular carcinoma. Real-world longitudinal observational studies can help understand the long-term safety and effectiveness of these agents.

The Mortality and Overall Survival Trends of Primary Liver Cancer in the United States

BACKGROUND

Recent trends of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) mortality and outcome remain unknown in the United States (US). We investigated the recent trends of primary liver cancer (excluding intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma) mortality and HCC stage, treatment, and overall survival (OS) in the US.

METHODS

US Cancer Mortality database was analyzed to investigate the trend of primary liver cancer mortality. We analyzed the SEER 18 database to assess the temporal trend of tumor size, stage, treatment, and OS of HCC. Cox regression analysis investigated the association between HCC diagnosis year and OS. All statistical tests were 2-sided.

RESULTS

During 2000-2018, liver cancer mortality rates increased until 2013, plateaued during 2013-2016 (annual percent change [APC] = 0.1%/yr, 95% confidence interval [CI] = -2.1% to 2.4%; P=0.92), and started to decline during 2016-2018 (APC = -1.5%/yr, 95% CI= -3.2% to 0.2%; P=0.08). However, mortality continues to increase in American Indians/Alaska Natives, individuals aged 65 or older, and in 33 states. There was a 0.61% (95% CI = 0.53% to 0.69%; P<0.001) increase in localized stage HCC and 0.86 mm (95% CI= -1.10 to -0.62; P<0.001) decrease in median tumor size per year. One-year OS rate increased from 36.3% (95% CI = 34.3% to 38.3%) to 58.1% (95% CI = 56.9% to 59.4%) during 2000-2015, and five-year OS rate almost doubled from 11.7% (95% CI = 10.4% to 13.1%) to 21.3% (95% CI = 20.2% to 22.4%) during 2000-2011. Diagnosis year (per year) (adjusted hazard ratio = 0.96; 95% CI = 0.96 to 0.97) was independently associated with OS in multivariable analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Primary liver cancer mortality rates have started to decline in the US with demographic and state-level variation. With an increasing detection of localized HCC, the OS of HCC has improved over the past decades.