AGILE 3+ Score for the Diagnosis of Advanced Fibrosis and for Predicting Liver-related Events in NAFLD

Agile scores in MASLD and ALD: External validation and their utility in clinical algorithms

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Agile scores, including liver stiffness measurements (LSM) and routine clinical/laboratory biomarkers, have been developed for advanced fibrosis (F≥3) and cirrhosis (F4), respectively, in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). We independently validated the diagnostic accuracy of these scores in MASLD, alcohol-related liver disease (ALD) and chronic hepatitis B or C (CHB/C) and assessed them in clinical algorithms with FIB-4 and LSM.

METHODS

We included 4,243 patients (MASLD: 912, ALD: 386, CHB: 597, CHC: 2,348) with LSM, liver biopsy and laboratory tests within 6 months. FIB-4, Agile 3+ and Agile 4 scores were calculated.

RESULTS

For F≥3, the diagnostic accuracy of Agile 3+ and LSM were similar in MASLD (AUC: 0.86 vs. 0.86, p = 0.831) and ALD (0.92 vs. 0.94, p = 0.123). For cirrhosis, Agile 4 was similar to LSM in MASLD (0.89 vs. 0.90, p = 0.412) and ALD (0.94 vs. 0.95, p = 0.513). Agile 3+/4 performed worse than LSM in CHB/C. Using predefined dual thresholds of 90% sensitivity/specificity, correct classification rates in MASLD were 66% vs. 61% using Agile 3+ vs. LS dual cut-offs and 71% vs. 67% in ALD, respectively. When using Agile 3+ or LSM as a second step after FIB-4 >1.3, correct classification rates were higher with Agile 3+ than LSM, both for MASLD (75% vs. 71%) and ALD (76% vs. 72%), with fewer indeterminate results. Positive agreement of LSM and Agile 3+/4 significantly increased the specificity of a diagnosis of advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis.

CONCLUSION

Agile 3+ and Agile 4 have equal diagnostic accuracy with LSM in both MASLD and ALD but result in fewer indeterminate results. Sequential use of FIB-4 and Agile 3+/4 or concurrent Agile 3+/4 and LSM can be used to further optimize F≥3 diagnosis.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

As of today, it is accepted that there will be no single non-invasive test or an isolated cut-off for identifying patients with advanced chronic liver disease. Here, we confirmed that Agile 3+ and Agile 4 scores are useful alternatives to simple liver stiffness measurement in diagnosing advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis in steatotic liver disease, but they do not perform as well in chronic viral hepatitis. Agile scores can help optimize the diagnosis of advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis in a dual cut-off strategy by reducing the number of indeterminate results either alone or in a sequential strategy after FIB-4. The combination of Agile scores and liver stiffness measurement can further increase our confidence in a positive diagnosis of advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis. These novel combination strategies can be useful tools to predict the likelihood of advanced stages of liver disease with the highest possible accuracy in a secondary/tertiary healthcare setting.

Prognostic Accuracy of Transient Elastography-Based Predictors in Diabetes and Obesity: A Multicenter International Cohort Study

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) is recommended for risk stratification of patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). More recently, AGILE3 + and AGILE4 have combined LSM with clinical parameters to identify patients with advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis, respectively. However, there are limited data on prognostic performance of these scores in key at-risk subgroups such as those with diabetes and obesity compared to LSM alone.

METHODS

This is a retrospective cohort study including 1903 adult patients with NAFLD from tertiary care centers in the United States and Singapore undergoing VCTE between 2015 and 2022. Primary predictors were FAST, LSM, AGILE3 + , and AGILE4 scores and the primary outcome was liver-related events (LRE). Patients were further stratified by diabetes and obesity status. Prognostic performance was measured using the time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (tAUC) at 5 years.

RESULTS

In total, 25 LRE occurred and the overall incidence rate of LRE was 4.4 per 1000 person-years. tAUC for predicting LRE in the overall group was significantly higher with AGILE3 + (0.94 [95% CI: 0.90-0.98]) and AGILE4 (0.94 [95% CI: 0.90-0.98]) compared to LSM (0.87 [95% CI: 0.80-0.94]) (p = 0.001 and 0.009, respectively) and FAST (0.73 [95% CI: 0.59-0.86]) (p < 0.001 for both). Similarly, tAUC was significantly higher in those with T2D for AGILE3 + compared to LSM (0.92 vs 0.86, respectively) (p = 0.015) and FAST (0.92 vs 0.73, respectively) (p = 0.008). Among people with obesity, tAUC was significantly higher for AGILE3 + compared to LSM (0.95 vs 0.89, respectively) (p = 0.005) and FAST (0.95 vs 0.76, respectively) (p = 0.0035). Though AGILE4 had a higher tAUC in these subgroups compared to LSM, it did not reach statistical significance.

CONCLUSION

AGILE3 + significantly outperforms LSM and FAST for predicting LRE in patients with NAFLD including in those with diabetes or obesity.

Prevalence and risk factors of significant fibrosis in chronic hepatitis B patients with concurrent metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

Significant fibrosis is an indicator of clinical intervention for both chronic hepatitis B (CHB) and metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). There remains a paucity of data regarding the clinical impact of biopsy-defined MASLD on significant fibrosis in CHB patients. The current study aims to elucidate whether patients with concomitant MASLD are at higher risk of significant fibrosis in patients with CHB.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This retrospective research of two tertiary hospitals comprised 1818 patients between 2009 and 2021 with CHB and hepatic steatosis who had not received antiviral therapy. Pathologic findings by liver biopsy were contrasted between CHB group (n = 844) and CHB + MASLD (n = 974) group. METAVIR values of F≥2 were used to categorize significant fibrosis.

RESULTS

Patients with CHB + MASLD had more significant fibrosis (35.5 % vs. 23.5 %, p < 0.001) than CHB group. The presence of MASLD [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 2.055, 95 % confidence interval (CI) 1.635-2.584; p < 0.001] was strongly associated with significant fibrosis in all CHB patients. There was a trend for patients with more cardiometabolic risk factors (CMRFs) to have a higher prevalence of significant fibrosis: (25.7 % in CMRF1 subgroup v.s. 34.9 % in CMRF2 subgroup v.s. 53.7 % in CMRF≥ 3 subgroup, p < 0.001). Patients with CMRF≥3 had a three-fold higher significant fibrosis than those with just one CMRF.

CONCLUSIONS

MASLD was associated with higher fibrosis stage in patients with CHB. Early detection and intervention are crucial to patients with three or more cardiometabolic risk factors.

Sex and Race-Ethnic Disparities in Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease: An Analysis of 40,166 Individuals

BACKGROUND

To overcome the limitations of the term "non-alcoholic fatty liver disease" (NAFLD), the term metabolic-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) was introduced. While epidemiologic studies have been conducted on MASLD, there is limited evidence on its associated sex and ethnic variations.

AIMS

This study assesses the differences across sex and race-ethnicity on the prevalence, associated risk factors and adverse outcomes in individuals with MASLD.

METHODS

Data retrieved from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey between 1999 to 2018 was analyzed. Prevalence, clinical characteristics, and outcomes were evaluated according to sex and race-ethnicity. Adverse outcomes and mortality events were analyzed using multivariate analyses.

RESULTS

Of 40,166 individuals included, 37.63% had MASLD. There was a significant increase in MASLD prevalence from 1999 to 2018 among Mexican Americans (Annual Percentage Change [APC] + 1.889%, p < 0.001), other Hispanics (APC + 1.661%, p = 0.013), NH Whites (APC + 1.084%, p = 0.018), NH Blacks (APC + 1.108%, p = 0.007), and females (APC + 0.879%, p = 0.030), but not males. Females with MASLD were at lower risk of all-cause (HR: 0.766, 95%CI 0.711 to 0.825, p < 0.001), cardiovascular disease-related (CVD) (SHR: 0.802, 95% CI 0.698 to 0.922, p = 0.002) and cancer-related mortality (SHR: 0.760, 95% CI 0.662 to 0.873, p < 0.001). Significantly, NH Blacks have the highest risk of all-cause and CVD-related mortality followed by NH Whites then Mexican Americans.

CONCLUSION

There has been an increase in prevalence in most race-ethnicities over time. While the change in definition shows no significant differences in previous associations found in NAFLD, the increased mortality in NH Whites relative to Mexican Americans remains to be explored.

Point-of-Care Noninvasive Prediction of Liver-Related Events in Patients With Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Individual risk prediction of liver-related events (LRE) is needed for clinical assessment of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD)/nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) patients. We aimed to provide point-of-care validated liver stiffness measurement (LSM)-based risk prediction models for the development of LRE in patients with NAFLD, focusing on selecting patients for clinical trials at risk of clinical events.

METHODS

Two large multicenter cohorts were evaluated, 2638 NAFLD patients covering all LSM values as the derivation cohort and 679 more advanced patients as the validation cohort. We used Cox regression to develop and validate risk prediction models based on LSM alone, and the ANTICIPATE and ANTICIPATE-NASH models for clinically significant portal hypertension. The main outcome of the study was the rate of LRE in the first 3 years after initial assessment.

RESULTS

The 3 predictive models had similar performance in the derivation cohort with a very high discriminative value (c-statistic, 0.87-0.91). In the validation cohort, the LSM-LRE alone model had a significant inferior discrimination (c-statistic, 0.75) compared with the other 2 models, whereas the ANTICIPATE-NASH-LRE model (0.81) was significantly better than the ANTICIPATE-LRE model (0.79). In addition, the ANTICIPATE-NASH-LRE model presented very good calibration in the validation cohort (integrated calibration index, 0.016), and was better than the ANTICIPATE-LRE model.

CONCLUSIONS

The ANTICIPATE-LRE models, and especially the ANTICIPATE-NASH-LRE model, could be valuable validated clinical tools to individually assess the risk of LRE at 3 years in patients with NAFLD/NASH.

Noninvasive Assessment of Portal Hypertension

The progressive use of noninvasive tests (NITs) has changed the way hepatologists diagnose and manage patients with chronic liver disease, mainly because of their easiness to use and the ability to be repeated during follow-up. Liver stiffness measurement is the NIT with more scientific evidence. NITs have demonstrated to be useful to detect not only liver fibrosis but also the presence of clinically significant portal hypertension. Moreover, current evidence supports they can also be useful to evaluate the prognosis of patients with chronic liver disease.

Noninvasive Tests to Assess Fibrosis and Disease Severity in Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease

Risk of disease progression and clinical outcomes in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is associated with fibrosis stage and presence of "at-risk metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH)." Although liver biopsy is considered the gold standard to diagnose MASH and stage of fibrosis, biopsy is infrequently performed in clinical practice and has associated sampling error, lack of interrater reliability, and risk for procedural complications. Noninvasive tests (NITs) are routinely used in clinical practice for risk stratification of patients with MASLD. Several NITs are being developed for detecting "at-risk MASH" and cirrhosis. Clinical care guidelines apply NITs to identify patients needing subspecialty referral. With recently approved Food and Drug Administration treatment for MASH and additional emerging pharmacotherapy, NITs will identify patients who will most benefit from treatment, monitor treatment response, and assess risk for long-term clinical outcomes. In this review, we examine the performance of NITs to detect "at-risk MASH," fibrosis stage, response to treatment, and risk of clinical outcomes in MASLD and MASH.

A roadmap for clinical trials in MASH-related compensated cirrhosis

Although metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) is rapidly becoming a leading cause of cirrhosis worldwide, therapeutic options are limited and the number of clinical trials in MASH-related compensated cirrhosis is low as compared to those conducted in earlier disease stages. Moreover, designing clinical trials in MASH cirrhosis presents a series of challenges regarding the understanding and conceptualization of the natural history, regulatory considerations, inclusion criteria, recruitment, end points and trial duration, among others. The first international workshop on the state of the art and future direction of clinical trials in MASH-related compensated cirrhosis was held in April 2023 at Vall d'Hebron University Hospital in Barcelona (Spain) and was attended by a group of international experts on clinical trials from academia, regulatory agencies and industry, encompassing expertise in MASH, cirrhosis, portal hypertension, and regulatory affairs. The presented Roadmap summarizes important content of the workshop on current status, regulatory requirements and end points in MASH-related compensated cirrhosis clinical trials, exploring alternative study designs and highlighting the challenges that should be considered for upcoming studies on MASH cirrhosis.

Screening patients in general practice for advanced chronic liver disease using an innovative IT solution: The Liver Toolkit

BACKGROUND

Identifying patients with undiagnosed advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD) is a public health challenge. Patients with advanced fibrosis or compensated cirrhosis have much better outcomes than those with decompensated disease and may be eligible for interventions to prevent disease progression.

METHODS

A cloud-based software solution ("the Liver Toolkit") was developed to access primary care practice software to identify patients at risk of ACLD. Clinical history and laboratory results were extracted to calculate aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index and fibrosis 4 scores. Patients identified were recalled for assessment, including Liver Stiffness Measurement (LSM) via transient elastography. Those with an existing diagnosis of cirrhosis were excluded.

RESULTS

Existing laboratory results of more than 32,000 adults across nine general practices were assessed to identify 703 patients at increased risk of ACLD (2.2% of the cohort). One hundred seventy-nine patients (26%) were successfully recalled, and 23/179 (13%) were identified to have ACLD (LSM ≥10.0 kPa) (10% found at indeterminate risk [LSM 8.0-9.9 kPa] and 77% low risk of fibrosis [LSM <8.0 kPa]). In most cases, the diagnosis of liver disease was new, with the most common etiology being metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (n=20, 83%). Aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index ≥1.0 and fibrosis 4 ≥3.25 had a positive predictive value for detecting ACLD of 19% and 24%, respectively. Patients who did not attend recall had markers of more severe disease with a higher median aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index score (0.57 vs. 0.46, p=0.041).

CONCLUSIONS

This novel information technology system successfully screened a large primary care cohort using existing laboratory results to identify patients at increased risk ACLD. More than 1 in 5 patients recalled were found to have liver disease requiring specialist follow-up.

The grade of obesity affects the noninvasive diagnosis of advanced fibrosis in individuals with MASLD

OBJECTIVE

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is closely associated with obesity. We aimed to assess the impact of obesity on the performance of different noninvasive tests, including liver stiffness measurement (LSM) and Agile3+ (A3+), to detect advanced fibrosis (AF) in a population of patients with MASLD encompassing a wide range of BMI values.

METHODS

A total of 479 patients with MASLD were consecutively included (Lyon Hepatology Institute). Clinical data and noninvasive tests, including FibroTest, LSM, A3+, Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4), magnetic resonance elastography, and liver biopsies, were collected. AF was determined by a composite endpoint, i.e., histological stage ≥ F3, overt diagnosis of cirrhosis by magnetic resonance elastography, or concordant LSM ≥ 9.6 kPa and FibroTest ≥ F3.

RESULTS

The median BMI was 35.0 kg/m2, and the prevalence of AF was 28.6%. Patients with BMI ≥ 35 versus <35 had a lower proportion of AF, i.e., 19.3% versus 38.1% (p < 0.001), but higher indeterminate status for AF (34.2% vs. 15.4%; p < 0.001). In the case of BMI ≥ 35, LSM had lower specificity to rule in AF (77.9%) versus A3+ (90.4%), but A3+ had decreased sensitivity to rule out AF. A sequential LSM/A3+ strategy achieved high specificity to rule in AF and lowered the proportion of indeterminate cases in patients with BMI ≥ 35.

CONCLUSIONS

The grade of obesity affects the detection of MASLD-related AF. A sequential use of LSM/A3+ could improve AF detection in patients with BMI ≥ 35.

Monitoring disease progression in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease

BACKGROUND

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is the most common cause of chronic liver disease. Its prevalence is increasing with the epidemic of obesity and metabolic syndrome. MASLD progression into metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) and advanced fibrosis may lead to decompensated cirrhosis and development of liver-related events, hepatocellular carcinoma and death. Monitoring disease progression is critical in decreasing morbidity, mortality, need for transplant and economic burden. Assessing for treatment response once FDA-approved medications are available is still an unmet clinical need.

AIMS

To explore the most up-to-date literature on testing used for monitoring disease progression and treatment response METHODS: We searched PubMed from inception to 15 August 2023, using the following MeSH terms: 'MASLD', 'Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease', 'MASH', 'metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis', 'Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease', 'NAFLD', 'non-alcoholic steatohepatitis', 'NASH', 'Biomarkers', 'clinical trial'. Articles were also identified through searches of the authors' files. The final reference list was generated based on originality and relevance to this review's broad scope, considering only papers published in English.

RESULTS

We have cited 101 references in this review detailing methods to monitor MASLD disease progression and treatment response.

CONCLUSION

Various biomarkers can be used in different care settings to monitor disease progression. Further research is needed to validate noninvasive tests more effectively.

Prevalence and risk factors for impaired renal function among Asian patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

BACKGROUND

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is associated with impaired renal function, and both diseases often occur alongside other metabolic disorders. However, the prevalence and risk factors for impaired renal function in patients with NAFLD remain unclear. The objective of this study was to identify the prevalence and risk factors for renal impairment in NAFLD patients.

METHODS

All adults aged 18-70 years with ultrasound-diagnosed NAFLD and transient elastography examination from eight Asian centers were enrolled in this prospective study. Liver fibrosis and cirrhosis were assessed by FibroScan-aspartate aminotransferase (FAST), Agile 3+ and Agile 4 scores. Impaired renal function and chronic kidney disease (CKD) were defined by an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) with value of < 90 mL/min/1.73 m2 and < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2, respectively, as estimated by the CKD-Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equation.

RESULTS

Among 529 included NAFLD patients, the prevalence rates of impaired renal function and CKD were 37.4% and 4.9%, respectively. In multivariate analysis, a moderate-high risk of advanced liver fibrosis and cirrhosis according to Agile 3+ and Agile 4 scores were independent risk factors for CKD (P< 0.05). Furthermore, increased fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and blood pressure were significantly associated with impaired renal function after controlling for the other components of metabolic syndrome (P< 0.05). Compared with patients with normoglycemia, those with prediabetes [FPG ≥ 5.6 mmol/L or hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) ≥ 5.7%] were more likely to have impaired renal function (P< 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Agile 3+ and Agile 4 are reliable for identifying NAFLD patients with high risk of CKD. Early glycemic control in the prediabetic stage might have a potential renoprotective role in these patients.

Are we ready for genetic testing in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease?

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), with its steadily increasing prevalence, represents now a major problem in public health. A proper referral could benefit from tools allowing more precise risk stratification. To this end, in recent decades, several genetic variants that may help predict and refine the risk of development and progression of MASLD have been investigated. In this review, we aim to discuss the role genetics in MASLD plays in everyday clinical practice. We performed a comprehensive literature search of PubMed for relevant publications. Available evidence highlights the emergence of genetic-based noninvasive algorithms for diagnosing fatty liver, metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis, fibrosis progression and occurrence of liver-related outcomes including hepatocellular carcinoma. Nevertheless, their accuracy is not optimal and application in everyday clinical practice remains challenging. Furthermore, susceptible genetic markers have recently become subjects of great scientific interest as therapeutic targets in precision medicine. In conclusion, decisional algorithms based on genetic testing in MASLD to facilitate the clinician decisions on management and treatment are under growing investigation and could benefit from artificial intelligence methodology.

FAST and Agile-the MASLD drift: Validation of Agile 3+, Agile 4 and FAST scores in 246 biopsy-proven NAFLD patients meeting MASLD criteria of prevalent caucasian origin

BACKGROUND

MASLD is a prevalent chronic liver condition with substantial clinical implications. This study aimed to assess the effectiveness of three new, elastography-based, scoring systems for advanced fibrosis ≥F3 (Agile 3+), cirrhosis F4 (Agile 4), and fibrotic NASH: NASH + NAS ≥4 + F≥2 (FAST score), in a cohort of biopsy-proven NAFLD meeting MASLD criteria. Our secondary aim was to compare their diagnostic performances with those of other fibrosis prediction tools: LSM-VCTE alone, and common, easily available scores (FIB-4 or APRI).

METHODS

Single-center, retrospective study, on consecutive patients with baseline laboratory tests, liver biopsy, and reliable LSM-VCTE measurements. The discrimination between tests was evaluated by analyzing the AUROCs. Dual cut-off approaches were applied to rule-out and rule-in ≥F3, F4 and fibrotic NASH. We tested previously reported cut-off values and provided our best thresholds to achieve Se ≥85%, Se ≥90%, and Sp ≥90%, Sp ≥95%.

RESULTS

Among 246 patients, 113 (45.9%) were women, and 75 (30.5%) presented diabetes. Agile 3+ and Agile 4 demonstrated excellent performance in identifying ≥F3 and F4, achieving AUROCs of 0.909 and 0.968, while the FAST score yielded acceptable results in distinguishing fibrotic NASH. When compared to FIB-4 and LSM-VCTE, both Agile 3+ and Agile 4 performed better than FIB-4 and had a similar performance to LSM-VCTE, but with higher diagnostic accuracy, hence reducing the grey zone.

CONCLUSION

Agile 3+ and Agile 4 are reliable, non-invasive tests for identifying advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis in MASLD patients, while FAST score demonstrates moderate performance in identifying fibrotic NASH.

Diagnostic accuracy of AGILE 3+ score for advanced fibrosis in patients with NAFLD: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

A simple noninvasive score, the Agile 3+ score, combining liver stiffness measurement, aspartate aminotransferase/alanine aminotransferase ratio, platelet count, diabetes status, sex, and age, has been proposed for the identification of advanced fibrosis in patients with suspected NAFLD. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of the Agile 3+ score in identifying patients with NAFLD and advanced fibrosis. Recently, an International consensus changed the nomenclature of NAFLD into metabolic-associated steatotic liver disease, so currently, the two terms are interchangeable.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

We systematically searched MEDLINE, Ovid Embase, Scopus, and Cochrane Library electronic databases for full-text published articles in any language from the inception to the April 24, 2023. We included original articles reporting data on the sensitivity and specificity of the Agile 3+ score, according to previously described rule-out (≤ 0.451) and rule-in (≥ 0.679) cutoffs. We included 6 observational studies (total of 6955 participants) with biopsy-proven NAFLD [mean age 53 (SE 4) years, mean body mass index 30.9 (SE 2.3) kg/m 2 , 54.0% men, prevalence of diabetes 59.6%]. The pooled prevalence of advanced fibrosis (≥ F3) was 42.1%. By the rule-out cutoff, the overall sensitivity and specificity were 88% (95% CI: 81-93%; I2 = 89.2%) and 65% (95% CI: 54-75%; I2 = 97.6%), respectively. By the rule-in cutoff, the overall sensitivity and specificity were 68% (95% CI: 57-78%; I2 =91.1%) and 87% (95% CI: 80%-92%; I2 =96.7%), respectively. Meta-regression analyses reported that the diagnostic accuracy was partly mediated by age ( p < 0.01), body mass index ( p < 0.01), and, although not statistically significant, sex ( p = 0.06).

CONCLUSIONS

Our systematic review and meta-analysis suggests that Agile 3+ accurately diagnoses NAFLD with advanced fibrosis and can identify patients eligible for biopsy and emerging pharmacotherapies.

Vibration-Controlled Transient Elastography Scores to Predict Liver-Related Events in Steatotic Liver Disease

Importance

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is currently the most common chronic liver disease worldwide. It is important to develop noninvasive tests to assess the disease severity and prognosis.

Objective

To study the prognostic implications of baseline levels and dynamic changes of the vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE)-based scores developed for the diagnosis of advanced fibrosis (Agile 3+) and cirrhosis (Agile 4) in patients with MASLD.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This cohort study included data from a natural history cohort of patients with MASLD who underwent VCTE examination at 16 tertiary referral centers in the US, Europe, and Asia from February 2004 to January 2023, of which the data were collected prospectively at 14 centers. Eligible patients were adults aged at least 18 years with hepatic steatosis diagnosed by histologic methods (steatosis in ≥5% of hepatocytes) or imaging studies (ultrasonography, computed tomography or magnetic resonance imaging, or controlled attenuation parameter ≥248 dB/m by VCTE).

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary outcome was liver-related events (LREs), defined as hepatocellular carcinoma or hepatic decompensation (ascites, variceal hemorrhage, hepatic encephalopathy, or hepatorenal syndrome), liver transplant, and liver-related deaths. The Agile scores were compared with histologic and 8 other noninvasive tests.

Results

A total of 16 603 patients underwent VCTE examination at baseline (mean [SD] age, 52.5 [13.7] years; 9600 [57.8%] were male). At a median follow-up of 51.7 (IQR, 25.2-85.2) months, 316 patients (1.9%) developed LREs. Both Agile 3+ and Agile 4 scores classified fewer patients between the low and high cutoffs than most fibrosis scores and achieved the highest discriminatory power in predicting LREs (integrated area under the time-dependent receiver-operating characteristic curve, 0.89). A total of 10 920 patients (65.8%) had repeated VCTE examination at a median interval of 15 (IQR, 11.3-27.7) months and were included in the serial analysis. A total of 81.9% of patients (7208 of 8810) had stable Agile 3+ scores and 92.6% of patients (8163 of 8810) had stable Agile 4 scores (same risk categories at both assessments). The incidence of LREs was 0.6 per 1000 person-years in patients with persistently low Agile 3+ scores and 30.1 per 1000 person-years in patients with persistently high Agile 3+ scores. In patients with high Agile 3+ score at baseline, a decrease in the score by more than 20% was associated with substantial reduction in the risk of LREs. A similar trend was observed for the Agile 4 score, although it missed more LREs in the low-risk group.

Conclusions and Relevance

Findings of this study suggest that single or serial Agile scores are highly accurate in predicting LREs in patients with MASLD, making them suitable alternatives to liver biopsy in routine clinical practice and in phase 2b and 3 clinical trials for steatohepatitis.

Risk of liver-related events in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) patients with fibrosis: A comparative analysis of various risk stratification criteria

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

International regulatory agencies recommend testing drug therapy for patients with noncirrhotic high-risk metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) because they are at risk of liver-related events (LRE). We aimed to compare the risk of LRE in patients with MASLD stratified for F2-F4 fibrosis and MASH.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

Overall, 1938 consecutive patients with biopsy-proven MASLD were enrolled. High-risk MASH was defined as MASH with F2-F4 fibrosis. LSM was measured by transient elastography. LRE were recorded during follow-up. Cox multivariate models were used to assess the association between high-risk MASH or F2-F4 fibrosis without MASH, of LSM (≥8 or ≥10 Kpa), and of AGILE 3+ with LRE. The diagnostic performance for the prediction of LRE was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curves. The observed 5-year actuarial rate of LRE was 0.4%, 0.2%, 5.1%, and 6.6% in patients with F0-F1 fibrosis without MASH, F0-F1 fibrosis with MASH, F2-F4 fibrosis without MASH, and high-risk MASH, respectively. At multivariate Cox regression analysis using F0-F1 fibrosis without MASH as a reference, both F2-F4 fibrosis without MASH [adjusted HR (aHR) 9.96] and high-risk MASH (aHR 10.14) were associated with LRE. In the 1074 patients with available LSM, LSM ≥ 10 kPa (aHR 6.31) or AGILE 3+ > 0.67 (aHR 27.45) independently predicted the development of LRE and had similarly acceptable 5-year area under the receiver operating characteristic to high-risk MASH and F2-F4 fibrosis (0.772, 0.818, 0.739, and 0.780, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

The risk of LRE is similar in patients with high-risk MASH and with F2-F4 fibrosis without MASH. The use of LSM ≥ 10 kPa or AGILE 3+ > 0.67 could be an accurate option to identify patients with MASLD worthy to be included in clinical trials.

The effect of endoscopic gastric plication on portosystemic pressure gradient in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and compensated advanced chronic liver disease

BACKGROUND

 The goals of therapy for patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and compensated advanced chronic liver disease include weight loss and reduction of the portosystemic pressure gradient (PPG) to decrease the risk of hepatic decompensation. Endoscopic gastric plication (EGP) is an effective endoscopic weight loss procedure. This study aimed to assess the effect of EGP on PPG.

METHODS

 In this prospective pilot study, patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and compensated advanced chronic liver disease underwent endoscopic ultrasound-guided PPG measurement prior to and at 6 months following EGP. Primary outcomes were the change in PPG and proportion of patients experiencing ≥ 20 % reduction in PPG at 6 months. Secondary outcomes included percent total weight loss (TWL) and changes in noninvasive tests of fibrosis.

RESULTS

 20 patients were included. Baseline median body mass index and liver stiffness measurement were 40.2 kg/m2 (range 30.1-56.7) and 14.7 kPa (range 8.2-36), respectively. At 6 months, median PPG decreased from 5.4 mmHg (range 0.7-19.6) to 1.8 mmHg (range 0.4-17.6) (P = 0.002), with 79 % (11/14) experiencing ≥ 20 % reduction. Patients experienced 12.5 % (6.5 %-26.1 %) TWL (P < 0.001) at 6 months, with 89 % (17/19) achieving ≥ 7 % and 68 % (13/19) achieving ≥ 10 % TWL. There were significant improvements in noninvasive tests of fibrosis.

CONCLUSION

 EGP appeared to be effective at reducing PPG in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and compensated advanced chronic liver disease.

Diagnostic and prognostic performance of the SAFE score in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The steatosis-associated fibrosis estimator (SAFE) score was developed to detect clinically significant liver fibrosis in patients with NAFLD in the United States. We compare the performance of the SAFE score and other non-invasive tests to diagnose liver fibrosis and to correlate the scores with liver-related outcomes in patients with NAFLD in Hong Kong.

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study involving two data sets. The first cohort was a biopsy cohort of NAFLD patients (n = 279), and the second was a territory-wide cohort of NAFLD patients (n = 4603) retrieved from a territory-wide electronic healthcare database in Hong Kong.

RESULTS

In detecting significant fibrosis, liver stiffness measured by transient elastography had the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) (.844), followed by SAFE score (.773). SAFE score had the highest AUROC among blood-based algorithms (.773 vs. .746 for FIB-4, .697 for APRI). Based on cut-off values of SAFE score (0 and 100 points), 854 (18.6%), 1596 (34.6%) and 2153 (46.8%) were in the low-, intermediate- and high-risk groups, respectively, in the territory-wide cohort. Six (.7%), 15 (.9%) and 59 (2.7%) developed liver-related events in those three groups respectively. Among patients who had liver-related events at 5 years, using the high cut-off, SAFE score could predict 84.9% of patients accurately, compared to 40.9% for FIB-4 and 27.2% for APRI.

CONCLUSION

The SAFE score performed well and better than other blood-based markers in diagnosing significant fibrosis and predicting liver-related events in Asian patients with NAFLD.

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease in women - Current knowledge and emerging concepts

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a major cause of liver disease worldwide, affecting up to 30% of adults. Progression to non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is a key risk factor for cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma and cardiovascular events. Alterations in reproductive hormones are linked to the development and/or progression of NAFLD/NASH in women. Women with polycystic ovary syndrome and those with oestrogen deficiency are at increased risk of NAFLD/NASH, with higher mortality rates in older women compared to men of similar ages. NAFLD/NASH is currently the leading indication for liver transplantation in women without hepatocellular carcinoma. Therefore, a better understanding of NAFLD in women is needed to improve outcomes. In this review, we discuss the hormonal and non-hormonal factors that contribute to NAFLD development and progression in women. Furthermore, we highlight areas of focus for clinical practice and for future research.

Oesophageal varices predict complications in compensated advanced non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

Background & Aims

We aimed to evaluate the impact of oesophageal varices (OV) and their evolution on the risk of complications of compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) caused by non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). We also assessed the accuracy of non-invasive scores for predicting the development of complications and for identifying patients at low risk of high-risk OV.

Methods

We performed a retrospective assessment of 629 patients with NAFLD-related cACLD who had baseline and follow-up oesophagogastroduodenoscopy and clinical follow-up to record decompensation, portal vein thrombosis (PVT), and hepatocellular carcinoma.

Results

Small and large OV were observed at baseline in 30 and 15.9% of patients, respectively. The 4-year incidence of OV from absence at baseline, and that of progression from small to large OV were 16.3 and 22.4%, respectively. Diabetes and a ≥5% increase in BMI were associated with OV progression. Multivariate Cox regression revealed that small (hazard ratio [HR] 2.24, 95% CI 1.47-3.41) and large (HR 3.86, 95% CI 2.34-6.39) OV were independently associated with decompensation. When considering OV status and trajectories, small (HR 2.65, 95% CI 1.39-5.05) and large (HR 4.90, 95% CI 2.49-9.63) OV at baseline and/or follow-up were independently associated with decompensation compared with the absence of OV at baseline and/or follow-up. The presence of either small (HR 2.8, 95% CI 1.16-6.74) or large (HR 5.29, 95% CI 1.96-14.2) OV was also independently associated with incident PVT.

Conclusion

In NAFLD-related cACLD, the presence, severity, and evolution of OV stratify the risk of developing decompensation and PVT.

Impact and implications

Portal hypertension is the main driver of liver decompensation in chronic liver diseases, and its non-invasive markers can help risk prediction. The presence, severity, and progression of oesophageal varices stratify the risk of complications of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease. Easily obtainable laboratory values and liver stiffness measurement can identify patients at low risk for whom endoscopy may be withheld, and can also stratify the risk of liver-related complications.

Hepatic Involvement across the Metabolic Syndrome Spectrum: Non-Invasive Assessment and Risk Prediction Using Machine Learning

Metabolic-dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) and metabolic syndrome (MetS) are inextricably linked conditions, both of which are experiencing an upward trend in prevalence, thereby exerting a substantial clinical and economic burden. The presence of MetS should prompt the search for metabolic-associated liver disease. Liver fibrosis is the main predictor of liver-related morbidity and mortality. Non-invasive tests (NIT) such as the Fibrosis-4 index (FIB4), aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI), aspartate aminotransferase-to-alanine aminotransferase ratio (AAR), hepatic steatosis index (HIS), transient elastography (TE), and combined scores (AGILE3+, AGILE4) facilitate the detection of liver fibrosis or steatosis. Our study enrolled 217 patients with suspected MASLD, 109 of whom were diagnosed with MetS. We implemented clinical and biological evaluations complemented by transient elastography (TE) to discern the most robust predictors for liver disease manifestation patterns. Patients with MetS had significantly higher values of FIB4, APRI, HSI, liver stiffness, and steatosis parameters measured by TE, as well as AGILE3+ and AGILE4 scores. Machine-learning algorithms enhanced our evaluation. A two-step cluster algorithm yielded three clusters with reliable model quality. Cluster 1 contained patients without significant fibrosis or steatosis, while clusters 2 and 3 showed a higher prevalence of significant liver fibrosis or at least moderate steatosis as measured by TE. A decision tree algorithm identified age, BMI, liver enzyme levels, and metabolic syndrome characteristics as significant factors in predicting cluster membership with an overall accuracy of 89.4%. Combining NITs improves the accuracy of detecting patterns of liver involvement in patients with suspected MASLD.

Exploring Opportunities to Enhance the Screening and Surveillance of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease (NAFLD) through Risk Stratification Algorithms Incorporating Ultrasound Elastography

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), with its progressive form, non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), has emerged as a significant public health concern, affecting over 30% of the global population. Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), a complication associated with both cirrhotic and non-cirrhotic NAFLD, has shown a significant increase in incidence. A substantial proportion of NAFLD-related HCC occurs in non-cirrhotic livers, highlighting the need for improved risk stratification and surveillance strategies. This comprehensive review explores the potential role of liver ultrasound elastography as a risk assessment tool for HCC development in NAFLD and highlights the importance of effective screening tools for early, cost-effective detection and improved management of NAFLD-related HCC. The integration of non-invasive tools and algorithms into risk stratification strategies could have the capacity to enhance NAFLD-related HCC screening and surveillance effectiveness. Alongside exploring the potential advancement of non-invasive tools and algorithms for effectively stratifying HCC risk in NAFLD, we offer essential perspectives that could enable readers to improve the personalized assessment of NAFLD-related HCC risk through a more methodical screening approach.

Emerging concepts in the detection of liver fibrosis in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

INTRODUCTION

The non-invasive identification of liver fibrosis related to Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease is crucial for risk-stratification of patients. Currently, the reference standard to stage hepatic fibrosis relies on liver biopsy, but multiple approaches are developed to allow for non-invasive diagnosis and risk stratification. Non-invasive tests, including blood-based scores and vibration-controlled transient elastography, have been widely validated and represent a good surrogate for risk stratification according to recent European and American guidelines.

AREAS COVERED

Novel approaches are based on 'liquid' biomarkers of liver fibrogenesis, including collagen-derived markers (PRO-C3 or PRO-C6), or 'multi-omics' technologies (e.g. proteomic-based molecules or miRNA testing), bearing the advantage of tailoring the intrahepatic disease activity. Alternative approaches are based on 'dry' biomarkers, including magnetic resonance-based tools (including proton density fat fraction, magnetic resonance elastography, or corrected T1), which reach similar accuracy of liver histology and will potentially help identify the best candidates for pharmacological treatment of fibrosing non-alcoholic steatohepatitis.

EXPERT OPINION

In the near future, the sequential use of non-invasive tests, as well as the complimentary use of liquid and dry biomarkers according to the clinical need (diagnosis, risk stratification, and prognosis, or treatment response) will guide and improve the management of this liver disease.

Non-invasive diagnosis and monitoring of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a highly prevalent form of chronic liver disease that poses challenges in diagnosis and risk stratification. Non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), the more progressive form of NAFLD, is particularly challenging to diagnose in the absence of histology. Liver biopsy is infrequently performed due to its invasive nature, potential for sampling error, and lack of inter-rater reliability. Non-invasive tests that can accurately identify patients with at-risk NASH (ie, individuals with biopsy-proven NASH with NAFLD activity score [NAS] ≥4 and fibrosis stage ≥2) are key tools to identify candidates for pharmacologic therapy in registrational trials for the treatment of NASH-related fibrosis. With emerging pharmacotherapy, non-invasive tests are required to track treatment response. Lastly, there is an unmet need for non-invasive tests to assess risk for clinical outcomes including progression to cirrhosis, hepatic decompensation, liver-related mortality, and overall mortality. In this Review we examine advances in non-invasive tests to diagnose and monitor NAFLD and NASH.

Noninvasive Assessment of Liver Fibrosis in NAFLD

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has emerged as a leading cause of liver-related morbidity and mortality worldwide, afflicting approximately a billion individuals. NAFLD is a slowly progressive disease that may evolve in a subset of patients toward cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, and end-stage liver disease. Liver fibrosis severity is the strongest predictor of clinical outcomes. The emergence of effective therapeutics on the horizon highlights the need to identify among patients with NAFLD, those with severe fibrosis or cirrhosis, who are the most at risk of developing complications and target them for therapy. Liver biopsy has been the reference standard for this purpose. However, it is not suitable for large-scale population evaluation, given its well-known limitations (invasiveness, rare but severe complications, and sampling variability). Thus, there have been major efforts to develop simple noninvasive tools that can be used in routine clinical settings and in drug development. Noninvasive approaches are based on the quantification of biomarkers in serum samples or on the measurement of liver stiffness, using either ultrasound- or magnetic resonance-based elastography techniques. This review provides a roadmap for future development and integration of noninvasive tools in clinical practice and in drug development in NAFLD. We discuss herein the principles for their development and validation, their use in clinical practice, including for diagnosis of NAFLD, risk stratification in primary care and hepatology settings, prediction of long-term liver-related and non-liver-related outcomes, monitoring of fibrosis progression and regression, and response to future treatment.

Regression of Hepatic Fibrosis After Endoscopic Gastric Plication in Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

INTRODUCTION

Fibrosis stage is the strongest predictor of mortality in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). There is currently no approved therapy that specifically targets fibrosis. This study aims to assess the effect of endoscopic gastric plication on hepatic fibrosis in patients with underlying NAFLD.

METHODS

This is a retrospective analysis of prospectively collected registry of patients with obesity and NAFLD with clinically significant hepatic fibrosis (≥F2) who underwent endoscopic gastric plication. Full-thickness plications were placed in the gastric body using a commercially available platform to reduce the gastric volume. The primary outcome included various noninvasive tests (NITs) of hepatic fibrosis based on clinical chemistry and/or imaging. The secondary outcomes included NITs of hepatic steatosis, other metabolic outcomes, including hemoglobin A1c, insulin resistance, and total weight loss (TWL), and adverse events.

RESULTS

Forty-five patients (age 51 ± 13 years and body mass index 40.7 ± 6.9 kg/m 2 ) were included. All patients underwent endoscopic gastric plication successfully. At 6-12 months, there were significant reductions in biochemistries (alanine aminotransferase: 49.7 ± 36.8 U/L to 24.2 ± 12.0 U/L [ P < 0.0001], aspartate aminotransferase: 39.1 ± 24.1 U/L to 24.1 ± 10.0 U/L [ P < 0.0001]), composite fibrosis score (NAFLD fibrosis score: 0.48 ± 1.51 to -1.18 ± 1.56 [ P < 0.0001], fibrosis-4 index: 1.4 ± 1.2 to 1.2 ± 0.7 [ P = 0.03]), and imaging-based markers of fibrosis (vibration-controlled transient elastography: 13.9 ± 7.5 kPa to 8.9 ± 4.8 kPa ( P < 0.0001) and Agile 3+: 0.53 ± 0.28 to 0.37 ± 0.28 [ P = 0.001]). There were significant reductions in controlled attenuation parameter, Homeostatic Model Assessment for Insulin Resistance, and hemoglobin A1c ( P < 0.05 for all). At 12 months, patients experienced 15.5% ± 7.9% TWL, with 63% reaching at least 10% TWL.

DISCUSSION

Endoscopic gastric plication seems effective at treating NAFLD, with significant reduction in NITs of hepatic fibrosis even in patients with cirrhosis.

How to Identify Advanced Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease in the Primary Care Setting

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) affects 30 to 40% of the population globally and is increasingly considered the most common liver disease. Patients with type 2 diabetes, obesity, and cardiovascular diseases are at especially increased risk for NAFLD. Although most patients with NAFLD do not have progressive liver disease, some patients progress to cirrhosis, liver cancer, and liver mortality. Given the sheer number of patients with NAFLD, the burden of disease is enormous. Despite this large and increasing burden, identification of NAFLD patients at risk for progressive liver disease in the primary care and diabetology practice settings remains highly suboptimal. In this review, our aim is to summarize a stepwise approach to risk stratify patients with NAFLD which should help practitioners in their management of patients with NAFLD.

The Past, Present, and Future of Noninvasive Test in Chronic Liver Diseases

Chronic liver disease is a major global health threat and is the 11th leading cause of death globally. A liver biopsy is frequently required in assessing the degree of steatosis and fibrosis, information that is important in diagnosis, management, and prognostication. However, liver biopsies have limitations and carry a considerable risk, leading to the development of various modalities of noninvasive testing tools. These tools have been developed in recent years and have improved markedly in diagnostic accuracy. Moving forward, they may change the practice of hepatology.

Impairment of patient-reported outcomes among patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: a registry-based study

BACKGROUND

Patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and more advanced fibrosis tend to have more impairment in their health-related quality of life and other patient-reported outcomes (PROs).

AIM

To assess the association of PROs with select non-invasive tests (NITs) for fibrosis including FAST, Agile 3+ and Agile 4 scores METHODS: We enrolled patients with an established diagnosis of NAFLD who were seen in a tertiary care clinic into the NAFLD/NASH Registry. The FAST, Agile 3+ and Agile 4 scores were calculated using liver stiffness measurements by transient elastography and laboratory parameters. PROs were assessed using FACIT-F, CLDQ-NASH and WPAI instruments (total of 17 domain and summary scores).

RESULTS

There were 1509 patients with NAFLD (mean age: 49 ± 11 years, 50% men, 41% employed, 30% advanced fibrosis and 20% cirrhosis). The mean FAST, Agile 3+ and Agile 4 scores were 0.39 ± 0.26, 0.35 ± 0.31 and 0.12 ± 0.23, respectively. Subjects with lower FAST, Agile 3+ and Agile 4 scores had the highest scores in select domains of FACIT-F, CLDQ-NASH and WPAI (p < 0.05 in comparison to subjects with elevated or high-risk NIT scores). Correlations with continuous NITs were significantly negative for Emotional and Functional well-being (FACIT-F), Activity/energy, Systemic symptoms, Worry and total scores (CLDQ-NASH), and Activity of WPAI (p < 0.05); the strongest was for Worry (CLDQ-NASH) with FAST (R = -0.17, p < 0.0001). The PRO scores of patients with NAFLD were lower than those of matched patients with chronic hepatitis B (p < 0.05 for 9/17 domain and summary scores).

CONCLUSION

Patients with NAFLD and high FAST, Agile 3+ or Agile 4 scores experience impairment of health-related quality of life.