A Subnational Analysis of Mortality and Prevalence of COPD in China From 1990 to 2013: Findings From the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013

Prevalence and pattern of multimorbidity in China: a cross-sectional study of 224,142 adults over 60 years old

Aim

To examine the prevalence and potential risk factors of multimorbidity among older adult in China. In addition, we investigated the pattern of multimorbidity.

Methods

This study is based on data from the fourth Sample Survey of the Aged Population in Urban and Rural China (SSAPUR) in 2015, a comprehensive survey of individuals aged 60 years or older in China. We calculated baseline data and prevalence rates for comorbidities, stratified by household registration, age, sex, education, exercise, and health insurance. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were conducted to identify potential risk factors for comorbidities. Furthermore, we determined the prevalence rates for the three most frequent disease combinations.

Results

A total of 215,040 participants were included in our analysis. The prevalence of multimorbidity was 50.5% among the older adult in China. The prevalence rate was slightly higher in rural areas than in urban areas, with rates of 51.5 and 49.6%, respectively (p < 0.001). Moreover, the prevalence rate was higher in females than in males, with rates of 55.2 and 45.3%, respectively (p < 0.001). Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that individuals aged 70-79 years (OR:1.40, 95% CI: 1.38-1.43, p < 0.001) and over 80 years (OR:1.41, 95% CI: 1.38-1.45, p < 0.001) had a higher prevalence of multimorbidity than those aged 60-69 years. The most prevalent pair of comorbidities was hypertension and osteoarthropathy, with 19.6% of the participants having these two conditions, accounting for 5.4% of the total participants.

Conclusion

Our findings indicate a high prevalence of multimorbidity among the older adult in China. Increased expenditure on preventive health care, popularization of general medicine and popular medical education may be adopted by the Government to cope with the high prevalence of multimorbidity.

National trend in the prevalence and mortality of COPD in South Korea from 2008 to 2017

BACKGROUND

Existing studies on chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in Korea lack full population coverage, relying on small sample sizes. Therefore, this study aims to investigate the prevalence and mortality of COPD in the entire Korean population.

METHODS

This serial cross-sectional study used national databases, linking the National Health Information Database (2008-2017) with Causes of Death Statistics. Identification of individuals with COPD used diagnostic codes (International Classification of Diseases-10: J41-J44) or a history of COPD-related hospitalisation, focusing on adults aged 40 and above. Prevalence and mortality rates, calculated for 2008-2017, encompassed both crude and age-standardised and sex-standardised measures. A multivariate Poisson regression model estimated the association between COPD and all-cause and cause-specific mortality, presenting incidence rate ratios (IRRs) and 95% CIs, using data from the year 2017.

RESULTS

Age-adjusted COPD prevalence exhibited a notable increase from 2008 (7.9%) to 2017 (16.7%) in both sexes. The prevalences of diabetes mellitus, hypertension, dyslipidaemia, ischaemic heart disease, cancer, osteoporosis and tuberculosis were higher in the COPD group than in the group without COPD (p for all <0.001). The incidence of stroke and myocardial infarction (p for all <0.001) and overall mortality were higher in the COPD group (adjusted IRR 1.23, 95% CI 1.22 to 1.24, p<0.001). In particular, incidence rate and risk of mortality due to lung cancer were higher than that of those without COPD compared with other cancer types (adjusted IRR 2.51, 95% CI 2.42 to 2.60, p<0.001). It was significantly higher the incidence rate and risk of mortality among group with COPD than those without COPD in lower respiratory disease (adjusted IRR 16.62, 95% CI 15.07 to 18.33, p<0.001), asthma (adjusted IRR 6.41, 95% CI 5.47 to 7.51, p<0.001) and bronchiectasis (adjusted IRR 11.77, 95% CI 7.59 to 18.26, p<0.001), respectively.

DISCUSSION

Our study showed that the prevalence of COPD is gradually increasing from 9.2% in 2009 to 16.7% in 2018. Furthermore, in overall (all-cause) mortality, it was significantly higher in group with COPD than in group without COPD. The mortality rate of group with COPD was much higher than the overall mortality rate but is gradually decreasing.

MiRNA-210 is involved in cigarette smoke extract-induced apoptosis of MLE-12 via the Shh signaling pathway

INTRODUCTION

The aim of the study is the regulatory effect of MicroRNA-210 (MiR-210) on cigarette smoke extract (CSE)-induced mouse lung epithelial type II cells (MLE-12) apoptosis and determine whether the MiR-210 is involved in cigarette smoke extract-induced apoptosis of MLE-12 via Shh signaling pathway.

METHODS

Expression of MiR-210 in CSE-induced MLE-12 was assessed by qRT-PCR. The emphysema mouse model and MiR-210 knockdown mice were each established by inhaling cigarette smoke or intratracheal lentiviral vector instillation. The Sonic hedgehog (Shh), Ptch1, Gli1, B-cell lymphoma-2 (Bcl-2), and Caspase 3 protein expressions were detected by Western blotting. mRNA expressions of MiR-210, Shh, Ptch1, and Gli1 were measured using quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR). Apoptotic ratios in mice and CSE-induced HPVEC were assessed using TUNEL (terminal deoxynucleotidyl transferase dUTP nick end labeling) assays and flow cytometry.

RESULTS

Our results showed that MiR-210 mRNA levels were significantly down-regulated in the CSE-induced MLE 12. MLE 12 apoptosis with down-regulated Shh, Ptch1, Gli1, and Bcl-2 expression, increased Caspase 3 expression in the emphysema mouse model and CSE-induced MLE 12. Knockdown MiR-210 can facilitate cell apoptosis and emphysema via the Shh signaling pathway in mice. In vitro, MiR-210 can attenuate the apoptosis of CSE-exposed MLE 12. Moreover, MiR-210 regulated the Shh pathway and promoted its expression.

CONCLUSIONS

MiRNA-210 is involved in cigarette smoke extract-induced apoptosis of MLE-12 via the Shh signaling pathway. The present study reveals that MiRNA-210 may be a key regulator of cellular apoptosis and could be explored as a potential therapeutic target in the future.

Influencing factors of good quality of life among chronic obstructive pulmonary disease patients living in Zhejiang Province, China

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a chronic, progressive and debilitating disease that affects quality of life (QOL), especially among patients living in poor environments. This study aimed to determine the influencing factors of good QOL among COPD patients living in Zhejiang, China. A cross-sectional study was conducted to collect data from participants in six tertiary hospitals in Zhejiang Province by a simple random sampling method. A validated questionnaire was used to collect general information, environmental factors, and COPD stage. The standardized St. George's Respiratory Questionnaire (SGRQ) was used to assess QOL. Logistic regression was used to determine influencing factors of good QOL among COPD patients at a significance level of α = 0.05. A total of 420 participants were recruited for analysis. The overall prevalence of patients with good QOL was 25.7%. Six variables were found to be associated with good QOL in the multivariable analysis. Patients who were employed had 2.35 times (95% CI 1.03-5.34) greater odds of having good QOL than those who were unemployed. Those whose family income was higher than 100,000 CNY had 2.49 times (95% CI 1.15-5.39) greater odds of having good QOL than those whose family income was lower than 100,000 CNY. Those who had treatment expenses less than 5,000 CNY had 4.57 (95% CI 1.57-13.30) times greater odds of having good QOL than those who had treatment expenses of 5,000 CNY or higher. Those who had mild or moderate airflow limitation were 5.27 times (95% CI 1.61-17.26) more likely to have good QOL than those who were in a severe or very severe stage of COPD. Those who had a duration of illness less than 60 months had 5.57 times (95% CI 1.40-22.12) greater odds of having good QOL than those who had a duration of illness of 120 months or more. Those who were not hospitalized within the past 3 months had 9.39 times (95% CI 1.62-54.43) greater odds of having good QOL than those who were hospitalized more than twice over the past 3 months. Socioeconomic status, disease stage and accessibility were associated with good QOL among COPD patients in Zhejiang Province, China. Increasing family income and implementing measures to improve the accessibility of medical care, including developing a proper system to decrease the cost of treatment for COPD patients, can improve patients' QOL.

Efficacy and safety of caspofungin for the treatment of invasive pulmonary aspergillosis in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

OBJECTIVES

We assessed the efficacy of a 3-week primary or salvage caspofungin regimen in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and concomitant proven or suspected invasive pulmonary aspergillosis (IPA).

METHODS

Forty-four patients were treated with an initial loading caspofungin dose of 70 mg, followed by a daily dose of 50 mg for 20 days. The main efficacy endpoint was clinical effectiveness. Secondary endpoints included the clinical efficacy of caspofungin after 1 week, therapeutic efficacy based on the European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer and Mycoses Study Group Education and Research Consortium (EORTC/MSG) criteria, the sensitivity of different Aspergillus strains to caspofungin in vitro, and the safety of caspofungin.

RESULTS

An assessment of 42 patients in the intention-to-treat group revealed efficacy rates of 33.33% within 1 week and 38.10% within 3 weeks. According to the EORTC/MSG criteria, the treatment success rate was 38.10%. The success rate of first-line treatment was 54.76%, whereas salvage treatment had a success rate of 45.24%. No adverse events were reported among the participants.

CONCLUSIONS

Caspofungin is effective and safe as an initial or salvage treatment for patients with IPA and COPD.

Bufei Yishen formula protects the airway epithelial barrier and ameliorates COPD by enhancing autophagy through the Sirt1/AMPK/Foxo3 signaling pathway

OBJECT

Bufei Yishen formula (BYF), a traditional Chinese medicine alleviates COPD symptoms and suppresses airway epithelial inflammation. In this study, we determined whether BYF protects the airway epithelial barrier from destruction in COPD rats.

METHODS

The protective effects of BYF on the airway epithelial barrier were examined in a rat COPD model. BEAS-2B epithelial cells were exposed to cigarette smoke extract (CSE) to determine the effect of BYF on epithelial barrier function. Transcriptomic and network analyses were conducted to identify the protective mechanisms.

RESULTS

Oral BYF reduced the severity of COPD in rats by suppressing the decline in lung function, pathological changes, inflammation, and protected airway epithelial barrier function by upregulating apical junction proteins, including occludin (OCLN), zonula occludens (ZO)-1, and E-cadherin (E-cad). BYF treatment reduced epithelial permeability, and increased TEER as well as the apical junction proteins, OCLN, ZO-1, and E-cad in BEAS-2B cells exposed to CSE. Furthermore, 58 compounds identified in BYF were used to predict 421 potential targets. In addition, the expression of 572 differentially expressed genes (DEGs) was identified in CSE-exposed BEAS-2B cells. A network analysis of the 421 targets and 572 DEGs revealed that BYF regulates multiple pathways, of which the Sirt1, AMPK, Foxo3, and autophagy pathways may be the most important with respect to protective mechanisms. Moreover, in vitro experiments confirmed that nobiletin, one of the active compounds in BYF, increased apical junction protein levels, including OCLN, ZO-1, and E-cad. It also increased LC3B and phosphorylated AMPK levels and decreased the phosphorylation of FoxO3a.

CONCLUSIONS

BYF protects the airway epithelial barrier in COPD by enhancing autophagy through regulation of the SIRT1/AMPK/FOXO3 signaling pathway.

Effect of YuPingFeng granules on clinical symptoms of stable COPD: study protocol for a multicenter, double-blind, and randomized controlled trial

BACKGROUND

Reducing current clinical symptoms and the risks of future exacerbations is the main goal of stable COPD management. Traditional Chinese medicine has unique advantages in chronic disease management. YuPingFeng (YPF), as a classical prescription, has been proven to reduce the risk of exacerbations, but there is a lack of high-quality evidence for the assessment of clinical symptoms and quality of life, particularly for the assessment of treatment response of microecology and immunity.

METHODS/DESIGN

This is a prospective, multicentre, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trial. A total of 316 eligible subjects with moderate to severe COPD will be randomized 1:1 to receive YPF or placebo. Participants will receive either YPF or a placebo at 5 g three times daily for 52 weeks. The primary outcome will be the change in the COPD Assessment Test (CAT) score after 52 weeks of treatment. Secondary outcomes will include changes in the St George's Respiratory Questionnaire (SGRQ) score and clinical symptom score, among others. Outcomes will be measured at each visit. The study will continue for 52 weeks and will include six visits to each subject (at day 0 and weeks 4,12,24,36 and 52). In the event of exacerbations, subjects will be required to go back to the hospital once on the first day of exacerbation or when their condition permits.

DISCUSSION

This trial will provide research methods to evaluate the clinical efficacy, safety, and the possible mechanism of YPF in the treatment of stable moderate-to-severe COPD patients. In addition, we hope to provide more possibilities for TCM to participate in the management of stable COPD.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

The trial was registered at the Chinese Clinical Trials Registry on 3 June 2022 (ChiCTR2200060476; date recorded: 3/6/2022, https://www.chictr.org.cn/ ).

Socioeconomic inequalities in dementia burden related to high body mass index, 2005-2018: findings from 1.25 million Chinese adults

Background

Dementia has become a major public health concern worldwide, but comprehensive assessments of dementia burden attributable to high body mass index (BMI) in China have not been done.

Methods

We used a temporal-spatial Bayesian hierarchical model to estimated BMI levels based on 1.25 million Chinese. We estimated dementia burden attributable to high BMI by age, sex, year, and socioeconomic development in terms of deaths and years of life lost (YLLs) and assessed the effect of population ageing.

Findings

The average age-standardised BMI was 24.58 kg/m2 and 24.15 kg/m2 for men and women in 2018, respectively. 12,901 (95% UI, 10,617-15,420) dementia deaths were attributable to high BMI in China in 2018, with 5417 deaths from man and 7421 deaths from woman. The attributable age-standardised YLL rates for dementia increased 27% from 2005 to 2018. The attributable age-standardised mortality rates increased with human development index. People aged 80 years and older had the highest attributable mortality rate, and the rate decreased with decreasing age. Population ageing was an important component of the increase in dementia death.

Interpretation

The rapid increase and large inequality highlighted the urgent need for evidence-based policies and interventions. We therefore call for establishing stronger anti-dementia strategies to promote the healthy ageing.

Funding

China National Key Research and Development Program, China National Science & Technology Pillar Program, and National Health Commission of the People's Republic of China.

Rapid increasing burden of diabetes and cardiovascular disease caused by high body mass index in 1.25 million Chinese adults, 2005-2018

BACKGROUND

Temporal trends and geographical variations in disease burden for diabetes mellitus (DM) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) attributable to high body mass index (BMI) in China have not been fully elucidated.

METHODS

We estimated deaths and years of life lost (YLLs) for DM and CVD attributable to high BMI by age, sex, year, and region from 2005 to 2018 based on pooled data of 1.25 million adults.

FINDINGS

Approximately 497,430 (95% uncertainty interval [UI], 470,520-525,720) deaths for DM and CVD were attributable to high BMI in China in 2018, with 453,750 deaths from CVD and 43,700 deaths from DM. Between 2005 and 2018, there was a 17.35% increase in age-standardized mortality rate for DM and CVD attributable to high BMI. The high BMI-related DM and CVD YLL rates increased from 127.46 (95% UI 108.70-148.62) per 100,000 people aged 20-24 years to 5,735.54 (95% UI 4,844.16-6,713.53) per 100,000 people aged ≥80 years, respectively. The highest age-standardized mortality rate for high BMI-related DM and CVD in northeast, northwest, and circum-Bohai Sea regions of China.

CONCLUSION

The disease burden for DM and CVD attributable to high BMI increased substantially between 2005 and 2018. Urgent measures are required at both national and regional levels for resource mobilization to slow the growing burden.

FUNDING

The work was supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China, China National Science & Technology Pillar Program, and National Health Commission of the People's Republic of China.

Urban-rural difference in the lagged effects of PM2.5 and PM10 on COPD mortality in Chongqing, China

BACKGROUND

It is true that Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) will increase social burden, especially in developing countries. Urban-rural differences in the lagged effects of PM2.5 and PM10 on COPD mortality remain unclear, in Chongqing, China.

METHODS

In this study, a distributed lag non-linear model (DLNMs) was established to describe the urban-rural differences in the lagged effects of PM2.5, PM10 and COPD mortality in Chongqing, using 312,917 deaths between 2015 and 2020.

RESULTS

According to the DLNMs results, COPD mortality in Chongqing increases with increasing PM2.5 and PM10 concentrations, and the relative risk (RR) of the overall 7-day cumulative effect is higher in rural areas than in urban areas. High values of RR in urban areas occurred at the beginning of exposure (Lag 0 ~ Lag 1). High values of RR in rural areas occur mainly during Lag 1 to Lag 2 and Lag 6 to Lag 7.

CONCLUSION

Exposure to PM2.5 and PM10 is associated with an increased risk of COPD mortality in Chongqing, China. COPD mortality in urban areas has a high risk of increase in the initial phase of PM2.5 and PM10 exposure. There is a stronger lagging effect at high concentrations of PM2.5 and PM10 exposure in rural areas, which may further exacerbate inequalities in levels of health and urbanization.

Effect of the Lipoxin Receptor Agonist BML-111 on Cigarette Smoke Extract-Induced Macrophage Polarization and Inflammation in RAW264.7 Cells

Background

Macrophages are known to play a crucial role in the chronic inflammation associated with Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD). BML-111, acting as a lipoxin A4 (LXA4) receptor agonist, has shown to be effective in protecting against COPD. However, the precise mechanism by which BML-111 exerts its protective effect remains unclear.

Methods

In order to establish a cell model of inflammation, cigarette smoke extract (CSE) was used on the RAW264.7 cell line. Afterwards, an Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) kit was employed to measure concentrations of tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α), interleukin-1beta (IL-1β), interleukin-18 (IL-18), and interleukin-10 (IL-10) in the cell supernatants of the RAW264.7 cells.In this study, we examined the markers of macrophage polarization using two methods: quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR) and Western blot analysis. Additionally, we detected the expression of Notch-1 and Hes-1 through Western blotting.

Results

BML-111 effectively suppressed the expression of pro-inflammatory cytokines TNF-α, IL-1β, and IL-18, as well as inflammasome factors NLRP3 and Caspase-1, while simultaneously up-regulating the expression of the anti-inflammatory cytokine IL-10 induced by CSE. Moreover, BML-111 reduced the expression of iNOS, which is associated with M1 macrophage polarization, and increased the expression of Arg-1, which is associated with M2 phenotype. Additionally, BML-111 downregulated the expression of Hes-1 and the ratio of activated Notch-1 to Notch-1 induced by CSE. The effect of BML-111 on inflammation and macrophage polarization was reversed upon administration of the Notch-1 signaling pathway agonist Jagged1.

Conclusion

BML-111 has the potential to suppress inflammation and modulate M1/M2 macrophage polarization in RAW264.7 cells. The underlying mechanism may involve the Notch-1 signaling pathway.

Roles of autophagy-related genes in the therapeutic effects of Xuanfei Pingchuan capsules on chronic obstructive pulmonary disease based on transcriptome sequencing analysis

Objective: Autophagy plays an important role in the occurrence and development of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). We evaluated the effect of Xuanfei Pingchuan capsule (XFPC) on autophagy-related genes of COPD by a bioinformatics analysis and experimental verification. Methods: The best treatment duration was screened by CCK8 assays. HBE cells were divided into three groups: blank, CSE and XFPC. After intervened by XFPC, HBE cells were collected and sent to Shenzhen Huada Gene Company for transcriptome sequencing. Subsequently, differential expression analyses, target gene prediction, and function enrichment analyses were carried out. Expression changes were verified in HBE cells by real-time Quantitative PCR (RT-qPCR) and western blotting (WB). Results: The result of differential expression analysis displayed that 125 target genes of HBE cells were mainly related to mitogen-activated protein kinase (MKK) binding, interleukin 33 binding, 1-Pyrroline-5-carboxylate dehydrogenase activity, and the mitogen-activated protein kinase (MAPK) signal pathway. Among the target genes, the core genes related to autophagy obtained by maximum neighborhood component algorithm were CSF1, AREG, MAPK9, MAP3K7, and AKT3. RT-qPCR and WB methods were used to verify the result, it showed similar expression changes in CSF1, MAPK9, MAP3K7, and AKT3 in bronchial epithelial cells to those in the bioinformatics analysis. Conclusion: Through transcriptome sequencing and validation analysis, we predicted that CSF1, MAPK9, MAP3K7, and AKT3 may be the potential autophagy-related genes that play an important role in the pathogenesis of COPD. XFPC may regulate autophagy by down-regulating the expression of CSF1, MAPK9, MAP3K7, and AKT3, thus achieving the purpose of treating chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

Spatial association between green space and COPD mortality: a township-level ecological study in Chongqing, China

BACKGROUND

There are regional differences in the effect of green space on mortality of Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). We conduct an ecological study, using the administrative divisions of Chongqing townships in China as the basic unit, to investigate the association between COPD mortality and green space based on data of 313,013 COPD deaths in Chongqing from 2012 to 2020. Green space is defined by Fractional vegetation cover (FVC), which is further calculated based on the normalised vegetation index (NDVI) from satellite remote sensing imagery maps.

METHODS

After processing the data, the non-linear relationship between green space and COPD mortality is revealed by generalised additive models; the spatial differences between green space and COPD mortality is described by geographically weighted regression models; and finally, the interpretive power and interaction of each factor on the spatial distribution of COPD mortality is examined by a geographic probe.

RESULTS

The results show that the FVC local regression coefficients ranged from - 0.0397 to 0.0478, 63.0% of the regions in Chongqing have a positive correlation between green space and COPD mortality while 37.0% of the regions mainly in the northeast and west have a negative correlation. The interpretive power of the FVC factor on the spatial distribution of COPD mortality is 0.08.

CONCLUSIONS

Green space may be a potential risk factor for increased COPD mortality in some regions of Chongqing. This study is the first to reveal the relationship between COPD mortality and green space in Chongqing at the township scale, providing a basis for public health policy formulation in Chongqing.

Trends in the Burden of COPD Attributable to Ambient PM2.5 Exposure in China 1990-2019: An Age-Period-Cohort Analysis

Objective

Exposure to ambient particulate matter (PM_2.5) is the leading risk factor for developing chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in China. The present study aimed to investigate the trends in COPD mortality attributable to ambient PM_2.5 exposure in China from 1990 to 2019.

Methods

Data on COPD burden attributable to ambient PM_2.5 exposure in China were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study 2019. The estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) was used to assess COPD mortality from 1990 to 2019. The APC model was used to analyze the temporal trends in the rate of COPD mortality attributable to ambient PM_2.5 exposure according to age, period, and cohort.

Results

Exposure to ambient PM_2.5 contributed to 192.4 thousand deaths in 1990 and 263.6 thousand deaths in 2019. The age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) and the age-standardized disability-adjusted life year rate (ASDR) due to ambient PM_2.5 exposure showed a gradual downward trend, the ASMR and ASDR in 2019 decreased to 16.6 per 100,000 with an EAPC of -2.82 (95% CI: -8.61 to 3.34) and 278.6 per 100,000 with an EAPC of -2.02 (95% CI: -7.85 to 4.19), compared to those in 1990, respectively. The relative risk (RR) of COPD increased with age in females, while in males, mortality significantly increased from the levels among those in the 60-64 age group to that among those in the 90-94 age group. In the period group, the RR of COPD in males remained above 1.0 from the 2000 to 2004 period, but it gradually decreased in females. The cohort effect showed an overall downward trend.

Conclusion

Although the ASMR and ASDR are decreasing in Chinese patients with COPD, the number of deaths due to COPD is increasing. Ambient PM_2.5 exposure is more harmful in males and older people above 60 years of age.

Regional differences in the contribution of smoking, dietary and cooking behaviours to airflow obstruction in China: A population-based case-control study

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

The major contributing risk factors to airflow obstruction (AO) in China remain largely unknown. We examined the environmental and lifestyle risk factors of unrecognized AO in the baseline of a population-based cohort drawn from 115 urban and rural communities across 12 provinces in China.

METHODS

Amongst 46,285 adults recruited from 2005 to 2009, 3686 were identified with AO on spirometry (defined by the ratio of forced expiratory volume in the first second to forced vital capacity <0.7) and without known chronic lung disease. These cases were age- and sex-matched to 11,129 controls with normal spirometry and no chronic lung disease from the same community. Conditional multivariable adjusted OR and population attributable fraction (PAF) were calculated for each identified risk factor and their combined effect.

RESULTS

Compared to controls, smoking initiation age <20 years (OR 1.22 [95% CI 1.01-1.48]), smoking duration ≥40 years (OR 1.82 [1.50-2.22]), low vegetables (OR 1.86 [1.67-2.07]) and fruits (OR 1.14 [1.02-1.29]) intake, cooking with biomass fuels (OR 2.54 [2.32-2.78]) and poor kitchen ventilation (OR 1.37 [1.19-1.58]) were significantly associated with elevated risks of unrecognized AO. The combined effect of these lifestyle factors significantly elevated the odds by 25 fold (18.6-34.3). The addition of prior tuberculosis and low socioeconomic status further increased the odds to 40.1 (28.2-57.0) and the PAF to 66.7% (51.1-78.1).

CONCLUSION

Smoking, unhealthy diet, biomass cooking fuels and low socioeconomic status are strongly associated with AO. Addressing these risk factors could substantially reduce the burden of AO in China.

DALY trend and predictive analysis of COPD in China and its provinces: Findings from the global burden of disease study

Background

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is the most common chronic respiratory disease in the world, especially in China. Few studies have explored the trend of COPD in China and its provinces. This study aimed to demonstrate and predict the trend of COPD DALY in China and its provinces based on the global burden of disease (GBD) data.

Methods

The data on COPD disability-adjusted life year (DALY) were collected from GBD 2017, GBD 2019, and the National Bureau of Statistics of China. The age-standardized rate (ASR) was used to evaluate the trend of COPD DALY by gender, age, and risk factors in China and its provinces. In addition, the trend of COPD considering the aging population in the next 10 years was also predicted.

Results

In China, the COPD DALY was 20.4 million in 2017, which decreased to 24.16% from 1990 to 2017. Most provinces showed a downward trend, with the exception of Taiwan which increased by 127.78%. The ASR of DALY was 1445.53 per 100,000 people in 2017 and demonstrated a significant decrease. Among all provinces, only Taiwan (97.78%) and Hubei (2.21%) demonstrated an increased trend of ASR. In addition, Tibet ranked third with a decline of 56.95%, although its ASR was the highest in 1990. Smoking and air pollution were the main risk factors for COPD and varied with regions, gender, and age. The proportion of COPD DALY attributable to smoking was higher in the middle-aged and elderly male population and did not decrease in China. Moreover, the ASR attributable to air pollution of the elderly decreased significantly in China. Socio-demographic index (SDI) and educational level were also found to be related to ASR. By predicting the ASR trend in the next 10 years, we found that the ASR attributable to smoking might increase significantly among men. The ASR attributable to air pollution showed a significant decrease in women. Unfortunately, ASR attributable to second-hand smoke was found to increase in women.

Conclusion

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease is the leading contributor to the burden of global diseases. Although China and its provinces demonstrated a downward trend of COPD DALY, some provinces still faced challenges. Moreover, ASR attributable to risk factors was different in regions, gender, age, and years. The predicted trend of COPD was also different. Therefore, more targeted strategies should be formulated to reduce the burden of COPD in China and its provinces.

An observational study of the effects of smoking cessation earlier on the clinical characteristics and course of acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

Background

Previous studies have focused on the negative effects of continued smoking on chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). However, few studies have investigated the positive effects of long-term smoking cessation on patients suffering from acute exacerbations of COPD.

Methods

The study recruited and followed current or former smokers who had been hospitalized and diagnosed with AECOPD. An in-depth analysis of clinical and laboratory indicators was conducted.

Results

125 patients were covered, including 72 short-term quitters and 53 long-term quitters. The results showed that long-term smoking cessation may result in milder dyspnea and cough, a higher oxygenation index, a lower arterial partial pressure of carbon dioxide, and milder pulmonary hypertension, airflow restriction, and gas retention in patients with AECOPD. However, despite the lower treatment intensity for long-term quitters, improvement in dyspnea and an increase in oxygenation index were comparable to those achieved by short-term quitters. Furthermore, patients with mild phlegm, which accounted for 84% of all subjects, showed greater improvement in phlegm in AECOPD patients with long-term cessation of smoking.

Conclusion

It was found that in patients with AECOPD who quit smoking for a long period of time, there was a reduction in symptoms, improvement in lung function, reduction in treatment intensity, and better improvement in phlegm symptoms after therapy. It is beneficial and necessary to quit smoking early, even if you smoke a small amount of cigarettes.

Supplementary information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12890-022-02187-5.

A real-world cost-effectiveness analysis of nebulized budesonide and intravenous methylprednisolone in acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

Objective: To assess the cost-effectiveness of nebulized budesonide and intravenous methylprednisolone in the treatment of acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) in a real-world setting.

Materials and methods: Data from 291 patients with AECOPD were collected from the information system of a tertiary hospital in China. Patients were categorized into two groups: those treated with nebulized budesonide (n = 148) and those treated with intravenous methylprednisolone (n = 143). Clinical efficacy and the rate of no readmission within 1 year after discharge were used as effect indicators, and a cost-effectiveness analysis was conducted from the perspective of the Chinese healthcare system. Logistic regression, generalized linear regression, and bootstrap methods were used for sensitivity analyses.

Results: There was no statistical difference between the budesonide and methylprednisolone groups in clinical efficacy rates (94.6% vs. 93.7%). The cost-minimization analysis shows that budesonide is not cost-effective owing to higher total cost. In terms of readmission rates, budesonide was again not cost-effective, with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of 22276.62 CNY, which is higher than the willingness to pay (WTP) of 20206.20 CNY, the mean per admission expenditure in China. The sensitivity analyses confirm that these results are robust.

Conclusion: Compared with intravenous methylprednisolone, nebulized budesonide is not a cost-effective strategy for AECOPD patients in China.

Modeling the Health and Economic Burden of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease in China From 2020 to 2039: A Simulation Study

OBJECTIVES

Despite a growing prevalence of respiratory diseases in recent decades in China, limited evidence is available on the health and economic burden of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). We estimated the 20-year health and economic burden of COPD in China from 2020 to 2039.

METHODS

We created a probabilistic dynamic open-cohort Markov model of COPD for the Chinese population aged ≥40 years. Projections of population growth and urbanization rates were obtained from the United Nations Population Division. Other parameter inputs including smoking prevalence, COPD prevalence and severity distributions, disease-related costs, and utility weights were obtained from the most recent published literature. We modeled number of COPD patients, excess mortality due to COPD, exacerbations, COPD-attributable losses of quality-adjusted life-years, and direct and indirect COPD costs over the 20 years.

RESULTS

The number of COPD patients was projected to increase from 88.3 million in 2020 to 103.3 million in 2039. The projected total losses of quality-adjusted life-years and the excess mortality due to COPD were, respectively, estimated to be 253.6 million and 3.9 million over the 20 years. The projected 20-year total discounted direct and indirect costs of COPD were, respectively, $3.1 trillion and $360.5 billion. The projected health and economic burden was higher in males and urban areas.

CONCLUSIONS

COPD is projected to inflict a substantial burden to the society and the health care system in China. Effective strategies for prevention and early management of COPD are needed to mitigate the forthcoming disease burden.

The Efficacy and Safety of Xinjia Xuanbai Chengqi Granules in Acute Exacerbation of COPD: A Multicentre, Randomised, Double-Blind, Controlled Trial

Purpose

The study aimed to explore the efficacy and safety of Xinjia Xuanbai Chengqi granules (XJXBCQ) combined with conventional medicine in the treatment of acute exacerbation of chronic pulmonary disease (AECOPD). Patients and Methods. This multicentre, double-blind, parallel, placebo-controlled, randomised clinical trial conducted in China from January 2019 to February 2021 recruited 330 participants who were allocated into three groups. All participants underwent conventional basic treatment with oxygen therapy, antibiotics, and a bronchodilator. Besides, group A received XJXBCQ granules and budesonide suspension for inhalation; group B received XJXBCQ granules and half dosage of budesonide suspension; and group C received budesonide suspension and a placebo. All therapies lasted for 5 days, and participants were followed up for 30 days after discharge. The primary outcomes were efficacy, traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) syndrome score, and clinical symptom score. Secondary outcomes included the blood gas analysis, serum inflammatory markers, adverse events, mortality, theoretical discharge time, actual hospitalisation time, proportion of patients requiring invasive mechanical ventilation, proportion of patients transferred to an intensive care unit (ICU), and readmission rate within 30 days after discharge.

Results

XJXBCQ adjunct with conventional treatment could significantly improve the total efficacy (P < 0.05). Meanwhile, group A showed significantly better results than group C in the TCM syndrome score, phlegm score, and Wexner constipation score (P < 0.05). For modified British medical research council (mMRC), on day 3 (−0.17, 95% confidence interval [CI]: −0.33–−0.01) and day 4 (−0.20, 95% CI: −0.39–−0.02), group A performed statistically better than group C. No significant differences in other secondary outcomes were detected.

Conclusion

XJXBCQ is beneficial and safe for AECOPD treatment and could be considered an adjunctive therapy for promoting the relief of clinical symptoms. This trial is registered with ChiCTR1800016915.

Global disease burden of COPD from 1990 to 2019 and prediction of future disease burden trend in China

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to assess and predict the disease burden attributable to chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in a timely, comprehensive, and reliable manner, thereby mitigating the health hazards of COPD.

STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS

Data on the disease burden owing to COPD from 1990 to 2019 were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2019. Linear regression analysis was used to calculate the estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) in the age-standardized rates. Non-parametric tests were used for subgroup analysis. The Bayesian age-period-cohot (BAPC) model integrated nested Laplace approximations to predict the disease burden over the next 25 years. Sensitivity analysis was performed using the Norpred APC model.

RESULTS

Globally, the COPD-related age-standardized incidence rate decreased from 216.48/100,000 in 1990 to 200.49/100,000 in 2019, with an EAPC of -0.33. But the number of new cases increased from 8,722,966 in 1990 to 16, 214, 828 in 2019. Trends in prevalence, deaths, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) were the same as incidence. There were significant differences in disease burden between the genders and all age groups (P < 0.05) in China. The projections suggested that the COPD-related number of new cases and deaths in China would increase by approximately 1.5 times over the next 25 years.

CONCLUSIONS

The number of incidence, prevalence, deaths, and DALYs had all increased in China in the past and would continue to grow over the next 25 years. Therefore, measures should be taken to target risk factors and high-risk groups.

The Burden of COPD in China and Its Provinces: Findings From the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

In China, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) was accounted for a quarter of the global COPD population and has become a large economic burden. However, the comprehensive picture of the COPD burden, which could inform health policy, is not readily available for all of the provinces of China. Here, we aimed to describe the burden of COPD in China, providing an up-to-date and comprehensive analysis at the national and provincial levels, and time trends from 1990 to 2019. Following the methodology framework and general analytical strategies used in the GBD 2019, we analyzed the incidence, prevalence, mortality, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), years lived with disability (YLDs), and years with life lost (YLLs) attributable to COPD across China and the corresponding time trends from 1990 to 2019, stratified by age and province. In order to quantify the secular trends of the burden of COPD, the estimated annual percentage changes were calculated by the linear regression model of age-standardized rates (ASRs) and calendar years. We also presented the contribution of risk factors to COPD-related mortality and DALYs. The association between COPD burden and socio-demographic index (SDI) were also evaluated. From 1990 to 2019, the incidence and prevalence numbers of COPD increased by 61.2 and 67.8%, respectively, whereas the number of deaths and DALYs owing to COPD decreased. The ASRs of COPD burden, including incidence, prevalence, mortality, DALYs, YLDs, and YLLs continuously decreased from 1990 to 2019. The crude rates of COPD burden dramatically increased with age and reached a peak in the older than 95 years age group. In 2019, the leading risk factor for COPD mortality and DALYs was tobacco use in the whole population, but ambient particulate matter pollution was the most significant risk factor in females. At the provincial level, the ASRs of COPD burden was significantly associated with the SDIs, with the highest ASRs in the western provinces with low SDIs. Collectively, our study indicated that COPD remains an important public health problem in China. Geographically targeted considerations should be developed to enhance COPD health and reduce the COPD burden throughout China and in specific provinces.

Exploring influencing factors of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease based on elastic net and Bayesian network

This study aimed to construct Bayesian networks (BNs) to analyze the network relationships between COPD and its influencing factors, and the strength of each factor's influence on COPD was reflected through network reasoning. Elastic Net and Max-Min Hill-Climbing (MMHC) algorithm were adopted to screen the variables on the surveillance data of COPD among residents in Shanxi Province, China from 2014 to 2015, and construct BNs respectively. 10 variables finally entered the model after screening by Elastic Net. The BNs constructed by MMHC showed that smoking status, household air pollution, family history, cough, air hunger or dyspnea were directly related to COPD, and Gender was indirectly linked to COPD through smoking status. Moreover, smoking status, household air pollution and family history were the parent nodes of COPD, and cough, air hunger or dyspnea represented the child nodes of COPD. In other words, smoking status, household air pollution and family history were related to the occurrence of COPD, and COPD would make patients’ cough, air hunger or dyspnea worse. Generally speaking, BNs could reveal the complex network linkages between COPD and its relevant factors well, making it more convenient to carry out targeted prevention and control of COPD.

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in never-smokers: risk factors, pathogenesis, and implications for prevention and treatment

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) was traditionally thought to be caused by tobacco smoking. However, recognition of the importance of non-smoking-related risk factors for COPD has increased over the past decade, with evidence on the burden, risk factors, and clinical presentations of COPD in never-smokers. About half of all COPD cases worldwide are due to non-tobacco-related risk factors, which vary by geographical region. These factors include air pollution, occupational exposures, poorly controlled asthma, environmental tobacco smoke, infectious diseases, and low socioeconomic status. Impaired lung growth during childhood, caused by a range of early-life exposures, is associated with an increased risk of COPD. Potential mechanisms for the pathogenesis of COPD in never-smokers include inflammation, oxidative stress, airway remodelling, and accelerated lung ageing. Compared with smokers who develop COPD, never-smokers with COPD have relatively mild chronic respiratory symptoms, little or no emphysema, milder airflow limitation, and fewer comorbidities; however, exacerbations can still be frequent. Further research-including epidemiological, translational, clinical, and implementation studies-is needed to address gaps in understanding and to advance potential solutions to reduce the burden of COPD in never-smokers.

Severity distribution and treatment of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in China: baseline results of an observational study

Background

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) receives low awareness and is undertreated in China. Understanding the burden and treatment of COPD across the nation is important for improving quality of care for this disease. This study aims to reveal the current situation of COPD severity distribution and management across China.

Methods

Baseline data from REALizing and Improving Management of Stable COPD in China, a multicentre, prospective, longitudinal, observational study, were analysed. Patients diagnosed with COPD as per Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease 2016 (GOLD 2016) criteria were enrolled from 50 randomly selected hospitals (tertiary, 25; secondary, 25) across six geographical regions. Data were collected in routine clinical settings.

Results

Between 15 December 2017 and 6 August 2020, 5013 patients were enrolled and 4978 included in the full analysis set. Of these, 2459 (49.4%) reported ≥ 1 exacerbation within 12 months prior to study enrolment, with a mean annual rate of 0.9/patient, including 0.2/patient and 0.5/patient leading to emergency room visits and hospitalisation, respectively. Spirometry graded 458 (10.1%), 1886 (41.7%), 1558 (34.5%), and 616 (13.6%) were GOLD stage I–IV, and 536 (11.4%), 1034 (22.0%), 563 (12.0%), and 2566 (54.6%) were classified as GOLD 2016 Group A–D, respectively, without evident regional variations. Inhaled corticosteroids plus long-acting beta₂-agonist (ICS/LABA, 1316 [26.4%]), ICS/LABA plus long-acting muscarinic antagonist (ICS/LABA + LAMA, 871 [17.5%]), and LAMA (754 [15.1%]) were prescribed at high rates across all groups and regions. Medications not recommended by GOLD were commonly prescribed (TCM, 578 [11.6%]; others, 951 [19.1%]), and 681 (13.7%) were not given ICS or long-acting bronchodilators.

Conclusions

Disease burden among Chinese COPD outpatients is high. Improved guideline adherence for COPD treatment is needed.

Trial registration ClinicalTrials.gov identifier, NCT03131362.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12931-022-02021-w.

Cost-Effectiveness of Umeclidinium/Vilanterol versus Salmeterol/Fluticasone in Elderly Patients with Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Diseases in China

Background

Fixed dose dual bronchodilators such as long-acting muscarinic antagonists (LAMAs) plus long-acting β2-agonists (LABAs) are a new and important inhaled preparation for COPD treatment in China. Among these, umeclidinium/vilanterol (UMEC/VIL) is increasingly being used in China, especially among the elderly.

Purpose

This study aimed to assess the cost-effectiveness of maintenance treatment with UMEC/VIL compared with salmeterol/fluticasone (FSC) as one of the main therapeutic drugs for moderate to very severe COPD in China.

Methods

A Markov model was developed to estimate the costs and outcomes from a societal perspective in a 10-year time horizon. Patients with moderate-to-very severe COPD were treated with UMEC/VIL (62.5/25µg) or FSC (50/500ug). Data concerning clinical efficacy, costs, utilities, transition probability, exacerbation rate, and mortality were obtained from the published literature and official government datasets. The costs were presented in US dollars based on 2021 prices. The indicators of total costs, life years (LYs), quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and mortality were used as the model output. Costs and outcomes were discounted at a 5% annual rate. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios were calculated considering the threshold recommended by WHO. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess the stability of results.

Results

Compared with FSC, treatment with UMEC/VIL could save $1947.18, with a gain of 0.12 life-years and 0.05 QALYs. Further, 28.0% patients treated with UMEC/VIL and 29.2% patients treated with FSC were predicted to die after 10 years. Incremental cost effectiveness analysis showed that UMEC/VIL was dominant to FSC. Sensitivity analyses confirmed that the results were robust.

Conclusion

UMEC/VIL is a cost-effective treatment option compared with FSC among patients with moderate-to-very severe COPD.

The Gender Gap in Life Expectancy in Urban and Rural China, 2013–2018

Background

Gender differences in mortality are embedded within mortality transitions. Rural residents generally lag behind their urban counterparts in the transitions. The study objective is to identify major causes of death that drive gender differences in mortality in urban and rural China.

Methods

We use age-, gender-, urban-rural- and cause-specific mortality data (2013–2018) derived from the national mortality surveillance system that covered about 24% of the Chinese population. We apply Arriaga's method to decompose age- and cause-specific contributions to the gender gap in life expectancy at birth. Analyses are stratified by urban-rural residence.

Results

Women had a higher life expectancy at birth than men in both urban and rural areas. Cancers, cardiovascular disease, external causes, and respiratory disease accounted for more than 90% of the gender gap in both areas during 2013–2018. In urban areas, the gender gap decreased from 5.17 years in 2013–2015 to 4.98 years in 2016–2018. In rural areas, the gender gap stayed rather constant (2013–2015: 5.68 years; 2016–2018: 5.65 years). Traffic accidents, among external causes, contributed the most to decreasing the gender gap (urban: −0.07 years; rural: −0.10 years), especially in the 0–44 age group. However, the decrease in the gender gap was counteracted by an increase in the gender gap attributable to ischemic heart disease (urban: +0.05 years; rural: +0.08 years) and lung cancer (urban: +0.02 years; rural: +0.05 years) in older age groups. The gender gap attributable either to cerebrovascular disease or to chronic lower respiratory disease decreased in urban areas but increased in rural areas.

Conclusions

The urban-rural variations in the cause-specific contributions to the gender gap in China suggest the necessity of implementing urban-rural-specific interventions to improve population health and health equity.

Long noncoding RNA HOTAIR facilitates pulmonary vascular endothelial cell apoptosis via DNMT1 mediated hypermethylation of Bcl-2 promoter in COPD

BACKGROUND

To study the regulatory effect of Long non-coding RNA (LncRNA) HOX transcript antisense RNA (HOTAIR) on pulmonary vascular endothelial cell (HPVEC) apoptosis and determine whether the HOTAIR facilitate HPVEC apoptosis via DNMT1 mediated hypermethylation of Bcl-2 promoter in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD).

METHODS

LncRNA array was used to measure the differentially expressed lncRNAs in COPD and non-COPD lung tissues. Expression of HOTAIR in COPD patient lungs and cigarette smoke extract (CSE)-induced HPVEC was assessed by qRT-PCR. The location of HOTAIR was determined in COPD patient lungs and HPVEC by RNA in situ hybridization (RNA-ISH). The emphysema mouse model and HOTAIR knockdown mice were each established by inhaling cigarette smoke or intratracheal lentiviral vectors instillation. The dysregulation of DNA methyltransferase enzyme 1 (DNMT1), B-cell lymphoma-2 (Bcl-2), Bcl-2-associated X protein (Bax) and Cleaved-caspase 3 protein expression were detected by Western blotting. HOTAIR, DNMT1, Bcl-2 and Bax mRNA expression were measured by quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction. TUNEL (terminal deoxynucleotidyl transferase dUTP nick end labeling) assays were used to assess apoptotic ratio in mice and CSE-induced HPVEC. Methylation-specific PCR (MSP) assay was conducted to observe the alterations in the methylation of the Bcl-2 promoter in specimens. RNA pull-down assay was used for analysis of the correlation between HOTAIR and DNMT1.

RESULTS

The expression levels of the HOTAIR were up-regulated in COPD patient lungs and CSE-induced HPVEC. HPVEC apoptosis with down-regulated Bcl-2 expression, increased promoter methylation, DNMT1, Bax and Cleaved-caspase 3 expression was found in emphysema mouse model and CSE-induced HPVEC. Knockdown HOTAIR can attenuate cell apoptosis and emphysema via DNMT1 mediated hypermethylation of Bcl-2 promoter in mice. In vitro, HOTAIR can aggravate the apoptosis of CSE-exposed HPVEC. DNMT1 was a target of HOTAIR and had a positive correlation with HOTAIR.

CONCLUSION

HOTAIR facilitates HPVEC apoptosis via DNMT1 mediated hypermethylation of Bcl-2 promoter in COPD, and attenuating the expression of HOTAIR may be a new therapy to prevent COPD.

Temporal trend and attributable risk factors of stroke burden in China, 1990–2019: an analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

Background

Understanding the temporal trend of the disease burden of stroke and its attributable risk factors in China, especially at provincial levels, is important for effective prevention strategies and improvement. The aim of this analysis from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) is to investigate the disease burden of stroke and its risk factors at national and provincial levels in China from 1990 to 2019.

Methods

Following the methodology in the GBD 2019, the incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) of stroke cases in the Chinese population were estimated by sex, age, year, stroke subtypes (ischaemic stroke, intracerebral haemorrhage, and subarachnoid haemorrhage), and across 33 provincial administrative units in China from 1990 to 2019. Attributable mortality and DALYs of underlying risk factors were calculated by a comparative risk assessment.

Findings

In 2019, there were 3·94 million (95% uncertainty interval 3·43–4·58) new stroke cases in China. The incidence rate of stroke increased by 86·0% (73·2–99·0) from 1990, reaching 276·7 (241·3–322·0) per 100 000 population in 2019. The age-standardised incidence rate declined by 9·3% (3·3–15·5) from 1990 to 2019. Among 28·76 million (25·60–32·21) prevalent cases of stroke in 2019, 24·18 million (20·80–27·87) were ischaemic stroke, 4·36 million (3·69–5·05) were intracerebral haemorrhage, and 1·58 million (1·32–1·91) were subarachnoid haemorrhage. The prevalence rate increased by 106·0% (93·7–118·8) and age-standardised prevalence rate increased by 13·2% (7·7–19·1) from 1990 to 2019. In 2019, there were 2·19 million (1·89–2·51) deaths and 45·9 million (39·8–52·3) DALYs due to stroke. The mortality rate increased by 32·3% (8·6–59·0) from 1990 to 2019. Over the same period, the age-standardised mortality rate decreased by 39·8% (28·6–50·7) and the DALY rate decreased by 41·6% (30·7–50·9). High systolic blood pressure, ambient particulate matter pollution exposure, smoking, and diet high in sodium were four major risk factors for stroke burden in 2019. Moreover, we found marked differences of stroke burden and attributable risk factors across provinces in China from 1990 to 2019.

Interpretation

The disease burden of stroke is still severe in China, although the age-standardised incidence and mortality rates have decreased since 1990. The stroke burden in China might be reduced through blood pressure management, lifestyle interventions, and air pollution control. Moreover, because substantial heterogeneity of stroke burden existed in different provinces, improved health care is needed in provinces with heavy stroke burden.

Funding

National Key Research and Development Program of China and Taikang Yicai Public Health and Epidemic Control Fund.

Trend of Mortality and Years of Life Lost Due to Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease in China and Its Provinces, 2005-2020

Background

To examine trends in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) mortality and years of life lost (YLL) due to COPD for all provinces in China during 2005–2020.

Methods

Data for COPD mortality were derived from China National Mortality Surveillance System (NMSS). We analyzed the numbers and age-standardized rates of death and YLL due to COPD in China, during 2005–2020. We carried out decomposition analysis to analyze the drivers of change in COPD deaths during the study period.

Results

The age-standardized mortality rate of COPD in China decreased significantly from 99.5/100,000 in 2005 to 50.5/100,000 in 2020. Similar trend was seen in the age-standardized YLL rate. The mortality rate increased with age. During 2005–2020, the age-standardized mortality rate decreased in all provinces (except for Tibet) with the largest decline in Jilin (−77.8%), Henan (−68.4%) and Fujian (−67.1%). The decreased number of deaths was decomposed as population growth (8.5%) and population ageing (69.7%) with offset by decline of age-specific mortality (−87.5%).

Conclusion

COPD remains an important public health problem in China, though significant reductions of COPD mortality and YLL rate were observed. Vigorous prevention and control strategies should be enhanced to improve the quality of life of COPD patients and reduce the premature death caused by COPD in Chinese population.

Accuracy and cost-effectiveness of different screening strategies for identifying undiagnosed COPD among primary care patients (≥40 years) in China: a cross-sectional screening test accuracy study: findings from the Breathe Well group

OBJECTIVES

To examine the accuracy and cost-effectiveness of various chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) screening tests and combinations within a Chinese primary care population.

DESIGN

Screening test accuracy study.

SETTING

Urban and rural community health centres in four municipalities of China: Beijing (north), Chengdu (southwest), Guangzhou (south) and Shenyang (northeast).

PARTICIPANTS

Community residents aged 40 years and above who attended community health centres for any reason were invited to participate. 2445 participants (mean age 59.8 (SD 9.6) years, 39.1% (n=956) male) completed the study (February-December 2019), 68.9% (n=1684) were never-smokers and 3.6% (n=88) had an existing COPD diagnosis. 13.7% (n=333) of participants had spirometry-confirmed airflow obstruction.

INTERVENTIONS

Participants completed six index tests (screening questionnaires (COPD Diagnostic Questionnaire, COPD Assessment in Primary Care To Identify Undiagnosed Respiratory Disease and Exacerbation Risk (CAPTURE), Chinese Symptom-Based Questionnaire (C-SBQ), COPD-SQ), microspirometry (COPD-6), peak flow (model of peak flow meters used in the study (USPE)) and the reference test (ndd Easy On-PC).

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOMES

Cases were defined as those with forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV₁)/forced vital capacity (FVC) below the lower limit of normal (LLN-GLI) on the reference test. Performance of individual screening tests and their combinations was evaluated, with cost-effectiveness analyses providing cost per additional true case detected.

RESULTS

Airflow measurement devices (sensitivities 64.9% (95% CI 59.5% to 70.0%) and 67.3% (95% CI 61.9% to 72.3%), specificities 89.7% (95% CI 88.4% to 91.0%) and 82.6% (95% CI 80.9% to 84.2%) for microspirometry and peak flow, respectively) generally performed better than questionnaires, the most accurate of which was C-SBQ (sensitivity 63.1% (95% CI 57.6% to 68.3%) specificity 74.2% (95% CI 72.3% to 76.1%)). The combination of C-SBQ and microspirometry used in parallel maximised sensitivity (81.4%) (95% CI 76.8% to 85.4%) and had specificity of 68.0% (95% CI 66.0% to 70.0%), with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of £64.20 (CNY385) per additional case detected compared with peak flow.

CONCLUSIONS

Simple screening tests to identify undiagnosed COPD within the primary care setting in China is possible, and a combination of C-SBQ and microspirometry is the most sensitive and cost-effective. Further work is required to explore optimal cut-points and effectiveness of programme implementation.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

ISRCTN13357135.

Reference Values and Related Factors for Peak Expiratory Flow in Middle-Aged and Elderly Chinese

Background: Peak expiratory flow (PEF), as an essential index used for screening and monitoring asthma, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and respiratory mortality especially in the elderly, is recommended for low-resource settings in low- and middle-income countries. However, few studies have focused on the reference of PEF in China, especially in middle-aged and elderly people. Thus, this study aimed to determine age- and sex-specific reference values of PEF in the middle-aged and elderly Chinese population. Methods: There were 8,914 participants who were included for risk factor analysis and 5,498 participants included for reference value analysis. The PEF was measured using a peak flow meter in liters per minute. The distributions of standardized PEF terciles stratified by sex and age were reported. Multiple linear regression analysis was used to determine the associations between risk factors and PEF. Results: The PEF was higher in men than women across all age subgroups. The value of PEF decreased with age in both men and women. Height, weight, handgrip strength, and residence in rural were positively associated with PEF. Age and smoking status were negatively associated with PEF significantly in both men and women (P < 0.05). The mean PEF values were 367.10 and 253.00 L/min for men and women, respectively. Meanwhile, the prevalence of low PEF was 3.94 and 3.32% for men and women, respectively. Conclusions: Age- and sex-specific centiles of standardized PEF for the middle-aged and elderly Chinese population were estimated. The reference values for low PEF could provide reference standards for epidemiological studies and clinical practices in the future. Interventions to improve lung functions or to prevent respiratory disease should be paid more attention to factors associated with PEF.

A Trend Analysis of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Mortality in the United States by Race and Sex

Rationale: Chronic respiratory diseases, among which chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) remains the largest contributor, are the fourth leading cause of death in the United States. Updated mortality trends provide insight for targeted interventions. Objectives: To provide detailed insights into COPD mortality trends. Methods: This study used death certificate data collected from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control WONDER (Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiology Research) system between 2004 and 2018 among Americans 40 years of age and older. We used Joinpoint regression analysis to capture trends in annual age-adjusted COPD mortality rates and of the number of deaths caused by influenza or pneumococcal disease with COPD. To place mortality trends into perspective, we examined influenza and pneumococcal vaccination rates within the same time frame using population survey data. Results: Overall, mortality from COPD decreased, with an annual percentage change (APC) of -0.6% (95% confidence interval [CI], -0.9% to -0.3%) between 2004, at 72.9 deaths per population of 100,000, and 2018, at 67.4 deaths per population of 100,000. COPD mortality in men exceeded that in women; however, mortality in men continued to decline, with an APC of -1.2% (95% CI, -1.5% to -0.9%), unlike mortality in women, whose death rates were overall unchanged. Further stratifying sex by race, we found that African American women were the only sociodemographic group to have had an increase in COPD mortality, with an APC of 1.3% (95% CI, 0.9% to 1.6%). The number of deaths caused by influenza with COPD had increased over time, with an observed APC of 19.58% (95% CI, 6.9% to 33.8%) between 2004 and 2018. Increased influenza mortality paralleled trends of decreased influenza vaccination rates, wherein between 2011 and 2018, there was an APC of -5.1% (95% CI, -8.2% to -2.0%). This trend was also present for those with COPD; 451.4 per 1,000 respondents in 2011 were vaccinated against influenza compared with 352.1 per 1,000 respondents in 2018, resulting in an APC of -1.8% (95% CI, -3.3% to -0.2%). Pneumococcal vaccination rates between 2011 and 2018 remained unchanged; meanwhile, deaths caused by pneumococcal disease with COPD decreased, with an APC of -10.1% (95% CI, -16.6% to -3.1%). Conclusions: COPD mortality has decreased among Americans overall; however, there remain important sociodemographic groups that have not secured the same deceleration in death rates.

Current status and preventive strategies of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in China: a literature review

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a common respiratory disease that seriously threatens human health and wellbeing, thereby representing an important public health problem. At present, it is the fourth leading cause of death worldwide, and is estimated to become the third greatest cause of death by 2030. In China, the prevalence of COPD is increasing, secondary to an increase in smoking, air pollution and an aging population, resulting in a current the mortality of COPD in China which is higher than the global average. Moreover, the disability-adjusted life year (DALY) rate of COPD in China is still relatively high, with an associated heavy economic burden to patients, their families and society. Unfortunately, current measures for treatment and prevention of COPD in China are not optimal. This primarily results from limited public awareness of COPD and pulmonary function tests amongst residents of China, and the generally poor disease-specific knowledge of primary care doctors. In recent years, a series of preventative strategies have been introduced in China across at the level of national policy, societies and associations, and scientific research. This review focuses upon both the epidemiology of COPD and the current status of preventative and treatment strategies in China.

Potential clinical and economic impact of optimised maintenance therapy on discharged patients with COPD after hospitalisation for an exacerbation in China

OBJECTIVES

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) exacerbations requiring hospitalisation are a considerable burden, both clinically and economically. Although long-acting maintenance therapy is recommended in both the GOLD (Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease) and Chinese COPD guidelines, proper implementation is lacking. The objective of this study was to assess the clinical and economic impact of prescribing long-acting maintenance therapy to discharged patients with COPD after hospitalisation for an exacerbation in China by using an outcomes model.

DESIGN

This health economic analysis was conducted using a Markov cohort model from the Chinese healthcare payer perspective. Two health states (alive and dead) were modelled, and exacerbations were included as possible events.

SETTING

The target population was Chinese patients with COPD, >40 years of age, who were hospitalised for an exacerbation, with 1 year of follow-up. A recent COPD national prevalence study was referenced for population calculations.

INTERVENTION

A hypothetical future scenario, where 100% of patients would receive long-acting maintenance therapy after hospitalisation for an exacerbation, was compared with the current scenario, in which only 38.5% of patients are receiving long-acting maintenance therapy after hospitalisation.

OUTCOME MEASURES

Number of exacerbations, deaths and medical costs were measured.

RESULTS

We estimated that there were approximately 4 million Chinese patients with COPD who were hospitalised annually due to an exacerbation. By prescribing long-acting maintenance therapy, our model predicted that 917 360 exacerbations and 4034 deaths could be avoided, translating into cost savings of ¥3.5 billion (US$0.5 billion). Scenario analysis also showed that if the rate of exacerbations requiring hospitalisation was higher than our base case analysis, cost savings could reach up to ¥10.7 billion (US$1.5 billion).

CONCLUSION

Administering long-acting maintenance therapy to more patients with COPD at hospital discharge could considerably reduce exacerbations and healthcare spending in China.

The effect of consecutive ambient air pollution on the hospital admission from chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in the Chengdu region, China

Hospitalisation risks for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) have been attributed to ambient air pollution worldwide. However, a rise in COPD hospitalisations may indicate a considerable increase in fatality rate in public health. The current study focuses on the association between consecutive ambient air pollution (CAAP) and COPD hospitalisation to offer predictable early guidance towards estimates of COPD hospital admissions in the event of consecutive exposure to air pollution. Big data analytics were collected from 3-year time series recordings (from 2015 to 2017) of both air data and COPD hospitalisation data in the Chengdu region in China. Based on the combined effects of CAAP and unit increase in air pollutant concentrations, a quasi-Poisson regression model was established, which revealed the association between CAAP and estimated COPD admissions. The results show the dynamics and outbreaks in the variations in COPD admissions in response to CAAP. Cross-validation and mean squared error (MSE) are applied to validate the goodness of fit. In both short-term and long-term air pollution exposures, Z test outcomes show that the COPD hospitalisation risk is greater for men than for women; similarly, the occurrence of COPD hospital admissions in the group of elderly people (> 65 years old) is significantly larger than that in lower age groups. The time lag between the air quality and COPD hospitalisation is also investigated, and a peak of COPD hospitalisation risk is found to lag 2 days for air quality index (AQI) and PM₁₀, and 1 day for PM_2.5. The big data-based predictive paradigm would be a measure for the early detection of a public health event in post-COVID-19. The study findings can also provide guidance for COPD admissions in the event of consecutive exposure to air pollution in the Chengdu region.

Association Between Consecutive Ambient Air Pollution and Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Hospitalization: Time Series Study During 2015-2017 in Chengdu China

This paper investigates the association between consecutive ambient air pollution and Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) hospitalization in Chengdu China. The three-year (2015-2017) time series data for both ambient air pollutant concentrations and COPD hospitalizations in Chengdu are approved for the study. The big data statistic analysis shows that Air Quality Index (AQI) exceeded the lighted air polluted level in Chengdu region are mainly attributed to particulate matters (i.e., PM_2.5 and PM₁₀). The time series study for consecutive ambient air pollutant concentrations reveal that AQI, PM_2.5, and PM₁₀ are significantly positive correlated, especially when the number of consecutive polluted days is greater than nine days. The daily COPD hospitalizations for every 10 μg/m³ increase in PM_2.5 and PM₁₀ indicate that consecutive ambient air pollution can lead to an appearance of an elevation of COPD admissions, and also present that dynamic responses before and after the peak admission are different. Support Vector Regression (SVR) is then used to describe the dynamics of COPD hospitalizations to consecutive ambient air pollution. These findings will be further developed for region specific, hospital early notifications of COPD in responses to consecutive ambient air pollution.

Comparison of the Clinical Outcomes Between Nebulized and Systemic Corticosteroids in the Treatment of Acute Exacerbation of COPD in China (CONTAIN Study): A Post Hoc Analysis

Background and Objective

Although corticosteroids have been widely used in the treatment of acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD), few studies have evaluated the effectiveness of nebulized corticosteroids (NCS), systemic corticosteroids (SCS), and NCS plus SCS in the management of AECOPD in China. This study aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of NCS, SCS, and NCS plus SCS in Chinese patients with AECOPD.

Patients and Methods

This was a real-world study of AECOPD patients at 43 sites from January to September 2014. During hospitalization, patients treated with nebulized budesonide (NCS group, n=1091), SCS (SCS group, n=709), or both (NCS+SCS group, n=1846) were included. Propensity score matching (PSM) and subgroup analyses were performed. The primary outcomes were the length of hospital stay, mortality, and change in arterial blood gases from baseline.

Results

Multivariable analysis showed that the three treatments at the same severity of AECOPD were not significantly different regarding intubation rates, rates of pneumonia improvement at discharge, rates of new-onset pneumonia in hospital, and mortality. Following PSM, NCS+SCS was associated with greater length of hospital stay than both NCS and SCS (in patients without respiratory failure [RF, P<0.001] and with type I RF [P=0.022]), and more hospitalization costs than the other two treatments (in patients without RF [P<0.001]).

Conclusion

NCS is effective for patients with AECOPD, which may be an alternative treatment option. Further clinical trials are urgently needed to better understand the efficacy of NCS, SCS, and NCS+SCS in AECOPD management in China.

Enjoying Breathing Program: A National Prospective Study Protocol to Improve Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Management in Chinese Primary Health Care

Background

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is prevalent and poses a heavy burden worldwide. However, patients know little about COPD, and primary health care providers have poor therapy capability in China. Enjoying Breathing Program aims to establish a new comprehensive COPD patient management system, including early detection, standardized therapy, and follow-up in China. The goal of the study is to 1) describe the intervention for physicians and patients and 2) to assess the effectiveness of this program.

Methods

It is the first nationwide trial involving all levels of health care institutions from primary health care institutions to tertiary hospitals. It includes a series of structured but individualized intervention for both health care providers and COPD patients. Primary health care providers from pilot hospitals will take both online and face-to-face courses, including the procedure of COPD patients’ management and prevention, diagnosis and treatment. Once the patients are diagnosed with COPD, they will undertake standard therapy and self-management education program, perform rehabilitation exercises, and be followed up by primary health care providers every 3 months. The primary outcome will be exacerbation-related hospital/emergency admission and the change of patients’ awareness and primary health care providers’ knowledge of COPD within 36 months. Secondary outcome will include the change of pulmonary function test, structured COPD patients’ management, two-way referral, and standardized therapy.

Conclusion

A comprehensive COPD patient management model to promote the standardized therapy will be established; this will improve COPD patients’ awareness and health quality.

Trial Registration Number

This study has been registered at www.ClinicalTrials.gov (registration identifier: NCT04318912).

Pharmacokinetics and safety of tiotropium+olodaterol 5 μg/5 μg fixed-dose combination in Chinese patients with COPD

BACKGROUND

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is one of the major causes of morbidity and mortality worldwide and in China. For patients with more severe symptoms, initial treatment with long acting β2-agonists and long-acting muscarinic antagonists combination therapy is recommended. Tiotropium + olodaterol fixed-dose combination (Tio + Olo FDC) is an aqueous solution of tiotropium bromide and olodaterol delivered by the RESPIMAT® Soft Mist™ inhaler for patients with moderate to very severe COPD.

METHODS

This single site, open-label, phase Ib clinical study assessed the pharmacokinetic (PK) and safety profiles of once-daily Tio + Olo FDC (5 μg/5 μg) after single dose and at steady state in Chinese patients with moderate to severe COPD over 3 weeks. The PK and safety profiles of Japanese and Caucasian populations from 2 independent COPD studies were provided for comparison.

RESULTS

A total of 12 Chinese patients received Tio + Olo FDC. After multiple inhaled administration of Tio + Olo FDC, tiotropium and olodaterol were rapidly absorbed and reached peak plasma concentration at about 5 and 25 min, respectively. The accumulation ratios after multiple administrations were 1.3 and 1.6 for tiotropium and olodaterol in Chinese patients. Tio + Olo FDC was well-tolerated; all AEs were mild.

CONCLUSION

Tio + Olo FDC (5 μg/5 μg) was rapidly absorbed and had a good safety profile in Chinese patients with COPD.

Validation of the brief international classification of functioning, disability, and health core set for obstructive pulmonary disease in the Chinese context

In order to determine the validity of the International Classification of Functioning, Disability, and Health brief Core Set for Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (ICF-OPD) for the assessment of functioning and environmental factors in Chinese chronic OPD (COPD) patients, we conducted a cross-sectional study with a convenience sample of 100 COPD patients. Data were collected using common questionnaires for COPD patients (Modified British Medical Research Council Questionnaire, COPD Assessment Test, St George’s Respiratory Questionnaire (SGRQ)), the Brief ICF Core Set for OPD, and the comprehensive ICF checklist. All except one category of the Brief ICF-OPD Core Set were confirmed in our evaluation of its content validity, but there is a high prevalence of problems in 8 categories that were not considered in the Brief ICF-OPD Core Set. The functioning-related components of the Brief ICF-OPD Core Set largely performed similarly to SGRQ in terms of differentiating between patients with different disease severity. Moreover, high correlations between the Brief ICF-OPD Core Set overall score and component scores with the respective SGRQ scales and moderate correlations between ICF-OPD Core Set overall score and component scores and lung function parameters. This study largely confirmed content, known group, and convergent validity of the ICF-OPD.

Effects of genetic variations in Acads gene on the risk of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

Short-chain acyl-CoA dehydrogenase (SCAD), encoded by the Acads gene, functions in the mitochondrial β-oxidation of saturated short-chain fatty acids. SCAD deficiency results in mitochondrial dysfunction, which is one underlying biological mechanism of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) pathogenesis. In this case-control study, we aimed to examine the effects of Acads gene polymorphisms on the susceptibility to COPD. A total of 16 tagging single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in Acads gene region was identified and genotyped in 646 unrelated ethnic Chinese Han individuals including 279 patients with COPD and 367 healthy controls, their allelic and genotypic associations with COPD were determined by different genetic models. Furthermore, we estimated the linkage disequilibrium and haplotypes from these tested variants and determined the effects of haplotypes on the risk of COPD. The allelic and genotypic frequencies of SNPs rs2239686 and rs487915 in Acads gene were significantly different between COPD patients and controls, no statistically significant results were observed for other SNPs. Minor alleles A of rs2239686 and T of rs487915 were associated with a decreased pulmonary function and an increased COPD risk in a dominant manner. Functional analysis indicated that the risk allele A of rs2239686 could increase Acads expressions and the intracellular reactive oxygen species content. Haplotype analysis revealed that the haplotypes CTCCT in block 2 (rs3794216-rs3794215-rs34491494-rs558314-rs7312316) as well as GC in block 3 (rs2239686-rs487915) were protective against COPD, while haplotypes CTCGC in block 2 and AT in block 3 exhibited significant associations with the increased susceptibility to COPD. Our results suggest that Acads gene could potentially be a risk factor of COPD and thus its genetic variants might be as genetic biomarkers to predict the COPD susceptibility.

The association between cystatin C and COPD: a meta-analysis and systematic review

BACKGROUND

In recent years, many studies have discovered that cystatin C (Cys C) may play an important role in respiratory diseases, especially in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). However, the findings of these studies were inconsistent. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to assess the relationship between serum Cys C and COPD.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic literature search in PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, Wanfang databases, and the China National Knowledge Infrastructure. The standardized mean difference (SMD), Fisher's Z-value and 95% confidence interval (CI) were calculated to investigate the effect sizes. Subgroup analyses were performed on disease status, ethnicity, assay method, and study design. Sensitivity was performed, and publication bias was assessed.

RESULTS

A total of 15 studies, including 4079 COPD patients and 5949 controls, were included in this meta-analysis. The results showed that serum Cys C levels in patients with COPD were significantly higher than those in controls (SMD = 0.99, 95% CI =0.62-1.37, P < 0.001), especially in AECOPD (SMD = 1.59, 95% CI =1.05-2.13, P < 0.001), and there were statistically different among AECOPD and SCOPD (SMD = 0.35, 95% CI =0.10-0.59, P = 0.005). The serum Cys C levels were negatively correlated with FEV1%pre (Z = - 0.45, 95%CI = -0.58--0.32, P = 0.011) and FEV1/FVC (Z = - 0.32, 95%CI = -0.50--0.14, P = 0.006). The serum Cys C levels were independent of ethnicity, assay method, and study design.

CONCLUSION

Serum Cys C levels were associated with COPD and COPD exacerbation, and they were inversely correlated with FEV1%pre and FEV1/FVC.

Impacts of the zero mark-up drug policy on hospitalization expenses of COPD inpatients in Sichuan province, western China: an interrupted time series analysis

BACKGROUND

Since 1950, the hospitals had been permitted to take a 15% mark-up of drug purchase price to remedy the loss of public hospitals and doctors' salaries in China due to tight government budget. This policy resulted in an increasing over-prescriptions which increased burden for patients eventually. The soaring medical expenditures prompted Chinese government to launch the zero mark-up drug policy (ZMDP) in 2009, which aims to eliminate physicians' financial incentives and lighten patients' economic burden through cancelling the 15% mark-up. The purpose of this study is to assess the impacts of the ZMDP on hospitalization expenses for inpatients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in western China.

METHOD

An interrupted time series was used to assess the impact of the ZMDP in 25 tertiary hospitals of Sichuan province, in which the policy was implemented in 2017. Monthly average total hospitalization expenses including drug expenses, medical service expenses and diagnosis expenses of COPD inpatients were analyzed with segmented regression model developed from January 2015 to June 2018.

RESULTS

After the intervention of the ZMDP, the total hospitalization expenses of COPD patients significantly decreased immediately by 1022.06 CNY (P = .011). The post-policy long-term trend was decreasing by 125.32 CNY (P < .001) per month compared to the pre-policy period. The drug expenses kept downward trend both before and after the policy implementation. It had decreased by 46.42 CNY (P < .001) per month on average before the policy implementation and then dropped 1073.58 CNY (P < .001) immediately after the policy was implemented. Meanwhile, the medical service expenses had an increasing baseline trend of 14.93 CNY (P < .001) per month before the policy intervention, but it increased 197.75 CNY immediately after the policy was implemented (P = .011). The pre-policy period long-term trend of diagnosis expenses had increased by 25.78 CNY (P < .001) per month and decreased immediately by 310.78 CNY (P = .010). The post-policy trend was decreasing by 35.60 CNY (P = .001) per month compared to the pre-policy period.

CONCLUSION

Our study suggested that the ZMDP have been an effective intervention to curb the increase of hospitalization expenses for inpatients with COPD, especially the drug expenses in western region of China.

RC, Reitsma MB, Roever L, Ronfani L, Roro EM, Roshandel G, Rudd KE, Sabde YD, Sabour S, Saddik B, Safari S, Saleem K, Samy AM, Santric-Milicevic MM, Sao Jose BP, Sartorius B, Satpathy M, Savic M, Sawhney M, Sepanlou SG, Shaikh MA, Sheikh A, Shigematsu M, Shirkoohi R, Si S, Siabani S, Singh V, Singh JA, Soljak M, Somayaji R, Soofi M, Soyiri IN, Tefera YM, Temsah MH, Tesfay BE, Thakur JS, Toma AT, Tortajada-Girbés M, Tran KB, Tran BX, Tudor Car L, Ullah I, Vacante M, Valdez PR, van Boven JFM, Vasankari TJ, Veisani Y, Violante FS, Wagner GR, Westerman R, Wolfe CDA, Wondafrash DZ, Wondmieneh AB, Yonemoto N, Yoon SJ, Zaidi Z, Zamani M, Zar HJ, Zhang Y, Vos T. Prevalence and attributable health burden of chronic respiratory diseases, 1990-2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017

BACKGROUND

Previous attempts to characterise the burden of chronic respiratory diseases have focused only on specific disease conditions, such as chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) or asthma. In this study, we aimed to characterise the burden of chronic respiratory diseases globally, providing a comprehensive and up-to-date analysis on geographical and time trends from 1990 to 2017.

METHODS

Using data from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2017, we estimated the prevalence, morbidity, and mortality attributable to chronic respiratory diseases through an analysis of deaths, disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), and years of life lost (YLL) by GBD super-region, from 1990 to 2017, stratified by age and sex. Specific diseases analysed included asthma, COPD, interstitial lung disease and pulmonary sarcoidosis, pneumoconiosis, and other chronic respiratory diseases. We also assessed the contribution of risk factors (smoking, second-hand smoke, ambient particulate matter and ozone pollution, household air pollution from solid fuels, and occupational risks) to chronic respiratory disease-attributable DALYs.

FINDINGS

In 2017, 544·9 million people (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 506·9-584·8) worldwide had a chronic respiratory disease, representing an increase of 39·8% compared with 1990. Chronic respiratory disease prevalence showed wide variability across GBD super-regions, with the highest prevalence among both males and females in high-income regions, and the lowest prevalence in sub-Saharan Africa and south Asia. The age-sex-specific prevalence of each chronic respiratory disease in 2017 was also highly variable geographically. Chronic respiratory diseases were the third leading cause of death in 2017 (7·0% [95% UI 6·8-7·2] of all deaths), behind cardiovascular diseases and neoplasms. Deaths due to chronic respiratory diseases numbered 3 914 196 (95% UI 3 790 578-4 044 819) in 2017, an increase of 18·0% since 1990, while total DALYs increased by 13·3%. However, when accounting for ageing and population growth, declines were observed in age-standardised prevalence (14·3% decrease), age-standardised death rates (42·6%), and age-standardised DALY rates (38·2%). In males and females, most chronic respiratory disease-attributable deaths and DALYs were due to COPD. In regional analyses, mortality rates from chronic respiratory diseases were greatest in south Asia and lowest in sub-Saharan Africa, also across both sexes. Notably, although absolute prevalence was lower in south Asia than in most other super-regions, YLLs due to chronic respiratory diseases across the subcontinent were the highest in the world. Death rates due to interstitial lung disease and pulmonary sarcoidosis were greater than those due to pneumoconiosis in all super-regions. Smoking was the leading risk factor for chronic respiratory disease-related disability across all regions for men. Among women, household air pollution from solid fuels was the predominant risk factor for chronic respiratory diseases in south Asia and sub-Saharan Africa, while ambient particulate matter represented the leading risk factor in southeast Asia, east Asia, and Oceania, and in the Middle East and north Africa super-region.

INTERPRETATION

Our study shows that chronic respiratory diseases remain a leading cause of death and disability worldwide, with growth in absolute numbers but sharp declines in several age-standardised estimators since 1990. Premature mortality from chronic respiratory diseases seems to be highest in regions with less-resourced health systems on a per-capita basis.

FUNDING

Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Efficacy and Safety of Budesonide/Glycopyrrolate/Formoterol Fumarate Metered Dose Inhaler in Chinese Patients with COPD: A Subgroup Analysis of KRONOS

INTRODUCTION

This pre-specified subgroup analysis evaluated the efficacy and safety of budesonide/glycopyrrolate/formoterol fumarate metered dose inhaler (BGF MDI) triple therapy versus corresponding dual therapies in the China subgroup of the phase III, double-blind KRONOS study in patients with moderate to very severe chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD).

METHODS

Patients were randomized 2:2:1:1 to BGF MDI 320/18/9.6 μg, glycopyrrolate/formoterol fumarate (GFF) MDI 18/9.6 μg, budesonide/formoterol fumarate (BFF) MDI 320/9.6 μg, or budesonide/formoterol fumarate dry powder inhaler (BUD/FORM DPI) 400/12 μg twice daily for 24 weeks. The primary endpoint was change from baseline in morning pre-dose trough forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) over weeks 12-24. Secondary endpoints included symptoms, health-related quality of life, and safety. Rate of moderate/severe COPD exacerbations was an additional efficacy endpoint.

RESULTS

In the China subgroup (n = 432; 22.7% of the KRONOS population), BGF MDI demonstrated nominally significant improvements in the primary endpoint versus BFF MDI (least squares mean (LSM) difference 68 mL; P = 0.0035) and BUD/FORM DPI (LSM difference 78 mL; P = 0.0010) but not GFF MDI (LSM difference - 4 mL; P = 0.8316). BGF MDI demonstrated at least numerical improvements versus comparators in secondary lung function and symptom endpoints. BGF MDI reduced the rate of moderate/severe COPD exacerbations versus GFF MDI (rate ratio 0.41; P = 0.0030), with numerical benefits versus BFF MDI and BUD/FORM DPI. All treatments were well tolerated.

CONCLUSIONS

Results demonstrated that BGF MDI showed benefits on lung function (vs inhaled corticosteroid/long-acting β2-agonist), as well as symptoms and exacerbations relative to dual therapies. Findings support BGF MDI use in Chinese patients with moderate to very severe COPD.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov NCT02497001.

Effect of acupoint application on T lymphocyte subsets in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: A meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The development of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is related to the T lymphocyte mediated inflammatory immune response and immune imbalance. The purpose of this systematic review was to evaluate the clinical efficacy and safety of acupoint application on T lymphocyte subsets in patients with COPD.

METHODS

We searched CNKI, Wan fang, Chongqing VIP, China Biology Medicine disc, PubMed, the Cochrane Library, and EMBASE for studies published as of Oct. 31, 2019. All randomized controlled trials of acupoint application on COPD patients that met the inclusion criteria were included. The Cochrane bias risk assessment tool was used for literature evaluation. RevMan5.3 software was used for meta-analysis.

RESULTS

Eight studies (combined n = 524) qualified based on the inclusion criteria. Compared with routine treatment alone, acupoint application combined with routine treatment can significantly increase the T lymphocyte CD4/CD8 ratio (MD 0.12, 95% CI 0.03-0.21, P < .01, I = 49%), reduce CD8 T-cells (MD-0.99, 95% CI-1.70-0.28, P < .001, I = 37%), reduce the times of acute exacerbations (MD-0.28, 95% CI-0.35-0.21, P < .001, I = 0), and improve the clinical efficacy (MD 1.30, 95% CI 1.14-1.48, P < .001, I = 39%).

CONCLUSION

Acupoint application can improve the CD4/CD8 ratio and CD8 T-cells in patients with COPD and has an auxiliary effect in reducing the times of acute exacerbations and improving clinical efficacy.

Geographical Disparity and Associated Factors of COPD Prevalence in China: A Spatial Analysis of National Cross-Sectional Study

Purpose

COPD prevalence has rapidly increased in China, but the geographical disparities in COPD prevalence remain largely unknown. This study aimed to assess city-level disparities in COPD prevalence and identify the relative importance of COPD related risk factors in mainland China.

Patients and Methods

A nationwide cross-sectional study of COPD recruited 66,752 adults across the mainland China between 2014 and 2015. Patients with COPD were ascertained by a post-bronchodilator pulmonary function test. We estimated the city-specific prevalence of COPD by spatial kriging interpolation method. We detected spatial clusters with a significantly higher prevalence of COPD by spatial scan statistics. We determined the relative importance of COPD associated risk factors by a nonparametric and nonlinear classification and regression tree (CART) model.

Results

The three spatial clusters with the highest prevalence of COPD were located in parts of Sichuan, Gansu, and Shaanxi, etc. (relative risks (RRs)) ranging from 1.55 (95% CI 1.55-1.56) to 1.33 (95% CI 1.33-1.33)). CART showed that advanced age (≥60 years) was the most important factor associated with COPD in the overall population, followed by smoking. We estimated that there were about 28.5 million potentially avoidable cases of COPD among people aged 40 or older if they never smoked. PM2.5 was an important associated risk factor for COPD in the north, northeast, and southwest of China. After adjusting for age and smoking, the spatial cluster with the highest prevalence shifted to most of Sichuan, Gansu, Qinghai, and Ningxia, etc. (RR 1.65 (95% CI 1.63-1.67)).

Conclusion

The spatial clusters of COPD at the city level and regionally varied important risk factors for COPD would help develop tailored interventions for COPD in China. After adjusting for the main risk factors, the spatial clusters of COPD shifted, indicating that there would be other potential risk factors for the remaining clusters which call for further studies.