A randomized placebo-controlled trial of vitamin D supplementation for reduction of mortality and cancer: Statistical analysis plan for the D-Health Trial

Association of serum vitamin D with diagnosis and growth of abdominal aortic aneurysm

Objective

We examined the associations between 25-hydroxy vitamin D (25(OH)D3) concentration and the diagnosis and growth of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA).

Methods

AAA cases and healthy controls were recruited from vascular centers or the community. A subset of participants with AAA were monitored by repeat ultrasound examination to assess AAA growth. Serum 25(OH)D3 concentration was measured using a validated mass spectrometry method and categorized into guideline-recommended cut-points after deseasonalization. The associations between deseasonalized 25(OH)D3 concentration and AAA diagnosis and growth were examined using logistic regression and linear mixed effects modeling.

Results

A total of 4673 participants consisting of 873 (455 controls and 418 cases) from Queensland and 3800 (3588 controls and 212 cases) from Western Australia were recruited. For every 1 standard deviation increase in 25(OH)D3 concentration, odds of AAA diagnosis was significantly reduced in both Queensland (adjusted odds ratio: 0.81; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.69-0.95; P = .009) and Western Australia (adjusted odds ratio: 0.80; 95% CI: 0.68-0.94; P = .005) cohorts. A subset of 310 eligible participants with small AAA from both regions were followed for a median of 4.2 (interquartile range: 2.0-5.8) years. Compared with vitamin D sufficient participants (50 to ˂75 nmol/L), annual mean AAA growth was significantly greater in those with higher vitamin D (≥75 nmol/L) (adjusted mean difference: 0.1 mm/y, 95% CI: 0.1-0.2; P < .001).

Conclusions

High 25(OH)D3 concentration was paradoxically associated with a lower likelihood of AAA diagnosis and faster AAA growth. Further research is needed to resolve these conflicting findings.

The effect of three years of vitamin D supplementation on erectile dysfunction: Results from the randomized placebo-controlled D-Health Trial

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Erectile dysfunction is common among older men and has been associated with low serum 25-hydroxy vitamin D concentration. However, this association may be due to uncontrolled confounding, and there is a paucity of evidence from interventional studies. We aimed to examine the effect of vitamin D supplementation on the prevalence of erectile dysfunction, in an exploratory analysis using data from a large randomized controlled trial.

METHODS

The D-Health Trial recruited Australians aged 60-84 years between January 2014 and May 2015 and randomly assigned them to supplementation with 60,000 IU of vitamin D or placebo per month for up to 5 years. Blood samples were collected annually from randomly selected participants (total N = 3943). We assessed erectile dysfunction at the end of the third year of follow-up. We used log-binomial regression to examine the effect of vitamin D on the prevalence of erectile dysfunction overall, and within sub-groups.

RESULTS

Of the 11,530 men enrolled, 8920 (77.4 %) completed the erectile dysfunction question and were included in the analysis. After three years of supplementation, the mean serum 25-hydroxy vitamin D concentration was 76 nmol/L (standard deviation (SD) 24.94) in the placebo group and 106 nmol/L (SD 26.76) in the vitamin D group (p < 0.0001). The prevalence of erectile dysfunction was 58.8 % and 59.0 % in the vitamin D and placebo groups, respectively (prevalence ratio 1.00, 95 % CI 0.97, 1.03); there was no evidence of an effect of vitamin D in any subgroup analyses.

CONCLUSION

Supplementing older men with vitamin D is unlikely to prevent or improve erectile dysfunction.

CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRY

(ACTRN12613000743763).

The Effect of Vitamin D Supplementation on Hypothyroidism in the Randomized Controlled D-Health Trial

Background: Hypothyroidism is common, and in iodine-sufficient areas, it is primarily caused by autoimmune destruction of the thyroid gland. Observational studies have consistently shown an inverse association between serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentration and autoimmune diseases; however, there is a lack of evidence from randomized controlled trials to support a benefit of vitamin D supplementation, particularly for autoimmune thyroid diseases. We, therefore, aimed to assess the effect of vitamin D supplementation on the incidence of hypothyroidism. Methods: We analyzed data from the D-Health Trial (n = 21,315), a randomized double-blind placebo-controlled trial of 60,000 international units per month of supplemental vitamin D3 among Australians aged 60 years and over. Hypothyroidism, a tertiary outcome of the D-Health Trial, was defined by treatment with levothyroxine, ascertained through linkage with the Australian Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme. The outcome was time to first prescription of levothyroxine. We began follow-up at 12 months after randomization; people who had died or who had been dispensed levothyroxine during the first year were excluded. Flexible parametric survival models were used to assess the effect of vitamin D supplementation on hypothyroidism, overall and within strata defined by age, sex, body mass index, and predicted baseline vitamin D status. Results: We included 17,851 participants in the main analysis (vitamin D = 8939; placebo = 8912). During a median follow-up of 4.1 years (interquartile range 4.1-4.1), 293 participants developed hypothyroidism (vitamin D = 138 [1.5%]; placebo = 155 [1.7%]). Vitamin D supplementation did not significantly reduce the incidence of hypothyroidism (overall hazard ratio [HR] 0.89; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.71-1.12). There was some suggestion of an effect in females (overall HR 0.78; CI 0.58-1.06) but not in males (overall HR 1.06; CI 0.74-1.50; p interaction 0.20). Conclusions: Vitamin D supplementation did not reduce the incidence of hypothyroidism overall; however, the possible beneficial effect observed in females warrants further investigation. Clinical Trial Registration: Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry: ACTRN12613000743763.

No benefit of vitamin D on cognition in older adults

Overview of: Pham H, Waterhouse M, Rahman S, et al. Vitamin D supplementation and cognition- results from analyses of the D-Health trial. J Am Geriatr Soc 2023;7:1773-84.

Vitamin D supplementation and major cardiovascular events: D-Health randomised controlled trial

OBJECTIVE

To investigate whether supplementing older adults with monthly doses of vitamin D alters the incidence of major cardiovascular events.

DESIGN

Randomised, double blind, placebo controlled trial of monthly vitamin D (the D-Health Trial). Computer generated permuted block randomisation was used to allocate treatments.

SETTING

Australia from 2014 to 2020.

PARTICIPANTS

21 315 participants aged 60-84 years at enrolment. Exclusion criteria were self-reported hypercalcaemia, hyperparathyroidism, kidney stones, osteomalacia, sarcoidosis, taking >500 IU/day supplemental vitamin D, or unable to give consent because of language or cognitive impairment.

INTERVENTION

60 000 IU/month vitamin D₃ (n=10 662) or placebo (n=10 653) taken orally for up to five years. 16 882 participants completed the intervention period: placebo 8270 (77.6%); vitamin D 8552 (80.2%).

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The main outcome for this analysis was the occurrence of a major cardiovascular event, including myocardial infarction, stroke, and coronary revascularisation, determined through linkage with administrative datasets. Each event was analysed separately as secondary outcomes. Flexible parametric survival models were used to estimate hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals.

RESULTS

21 302 people were included in the analysis. The median intervention period was five years. 1336 participants experienced a major cardiovascular event (placebo 699 (6.6%); vitamin D 637 (6.0%)). The rate of major cardiovascular events was lower in the vitamin D group than in the placebo group (hazard ratio 0.91, 95% confidence interval 0.81 to 1.01), especially among those who were taking cardiovascular drugs at baseline (0.84, 0.74 to 0.97; P for interaction=0.12), although the P value for interaction was not significant (<0.05). Overall, the difference in standardised cause specific cumulative incidence at five years was -5.8 events per 1000 participants (95% confidence interval -12.2 to 0.5 per 1000 participants), resulting in a number needed to treat to avoid one major cardiovascular event of 172. The rate of myocardial infarction (hazard ratio 0.81, 95% confidence interval 0.67 to 0.98) and coronary revascularisation (0.89, 0.78 to 1.01) was lower in the vitamin D group, but there was no difference in the rate of stroke (0.99, 0.80 to 1.23).

CONCLUSIONS

Vitamin D supplementation might reduce the incidence of major cardiovascular events, although the absolute risk difference was small and the confidence interval was consistent with a null finding. These findings could prompt further evaluation of the role of vitamin D supplementation, particularly in people taking drugs for prevention or treatment of cardiovascular disease.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ACTRN12613000743763.

Vitamin D supplementation and cognition-Results from analyses of the D-Health trial

BACKGROUND

Observational studies have consistently found a link between low serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentration and higher risk of cognitive impairment. Results from randomized controlled trials have been mixed, and few have been conducted in the general population.

METHODS

We recruited 21,315 community-dwelling Australians aged between 60 and 84 years to participate in the D-Health Trial, a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial. The intervention was monthly oral doses of 60,000 international units of vitamin D or placebo for 5 years. We assessed cognitive function in a randomly sampled group of participants aged ≥70 years using the Telephone Interview for Cognitive Status (TICS) at 2 and 5 years after randomization. The primary outcome for this analysis was TICS score; the secondary outcome was the proportion of people who had cognitive impairment (defined as TICS score ≤25). We analyzed data using mixed models (linear and logistic).

RESULTS

We interviewed 3887 participants at year 2 and 3614 participants at year 5. The mean TICS score at these time points was 32.3 and 32.2, respectively. Vitamin D supplementation did not affect cognitive function as measured by TICS score (mean difference between vitamin D and placebo groups 0.04; 95% CI -0.14 to 0.23), or alter risk of cognitive impairment (odds ratio 1.00; 95% CI 0.75 to 1.33).

CONCLUSIONS

Monthly bolus doses of vitamin D supplementation neither enhanced nor hindered cognitive function among older adults. Population-wide vitamin D supplementation of older adults that are largely vitamin D replete is unlikely to substantially benefit cognition.

The effect of monthly vitamin D supplementation on fractures: a tertiary outcome from the population-based, double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled D-Health trial

BACKGROUND

Low serum 25-hydroxy vitamin D concentration is associated with increased fracture risk. It is uncertain whether vitamin D supplementation reduces fractures, or whether intermittent doses are harmful. We aimed to investigate if supplementing adults living in Australia with monthly doses of 60 000 international units (IU) vitamin D₃ for 5 years or less altered the rate of fractures.

METHODS

We did a population-based, double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled trial of oral vitamin D₃ supplementation (60 000 IU per month) for up to 5 years in adults aged 60-84 years living in Australia. We randomly assigned (1:1) 21 315 participants to either vitamin D or placebo. We ascertained fractures through linkage with administrative datasets. The main outcome was total fractures. Additional outcomes were non-vertebral, major osteoporotic (hip, wrist, proximal humerus, and spine), and hip fractures. We excluded participants (989 [4·6%]) without linked data, and estimated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs using flexible parametric survival models. The trial is registered with the Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry, ACTRN12613000743763, and the trial intervention ended in February, 2020.

FINDINGS

Between Feb 14, 2014, and June 17, 2015, we recruited 21 315 participants. For the current analysis, we included 20 326 participants (vitamin D 10 154 [50·0%]; placebo 10 172 [50·0%]). 9295 (45·7%) of 20 326 participants were women and the mean age was 69·3 years (SD 5·5). Over a median follow-up of 5·1 years (IQR 5·1-5·1), 568 (5·6%) participants in the vitamin D group and 603 (5·9%) in the placebo group had one or more fractures. There was no effect on fracture risk overall (HR 0·94 [95% CI 0·84-1·06]), and the interaction between randomisation group and time was not significant (p=0·14). However, the HR for total fractures appeared to decrease with increasing follow-up time. The overall HRs for non-vertebral, major osteoporotic, and hip fractures were 0·96 (95% CI 0·85-1·08), 1·00 (0·85-1·18), and 1·11 (0·86-1·45), respectively.

INTERPRETATION

These findings do not support concerns that bolus doses of vitamin D administered monthly increase fracture risk. Long-term supplementation might reduce the incidence of total fractures, but additional research is needed to clarify this effect.

FUNDING

Australian National Health and Medical Research Council.

Vitamin D Supplementation and the Incidence of Cataract Surgery in Older Australian Adults

PURPOSE

Observational studies suggest that higher serum 25-hydroxy vitamin D (25(OH)D) concentration may be associated with lower risk of cataract. However, no randomized controlled trials have assessed the effect of vitamin D supplementation on the incidence of cataract. We aimed to assess whether vitamin D supplementation reduces the incidence of cataract surgery.

DESIGN

We conducted an ancillary study of the D-Health Trial, a randomized, double-masked, placebo-controlled trial of monthly vitamin D conducted from 2014 through 2020 within the Australian general population.

PARTICIPANTS

We invited 421 207 men and women 60 to 84 years of age to participate; including an additional 1896 volunteers, 40 824 expressed interest. Those with hypercalcemia, hyperparathyroidism, kidney stones, osteomalacia, or sarcoidosis or those who were taking more than 500 international units (IU) supplemental vitamin D per day were excluded. A total of 21 315 were randomized, and 1390 participants did not fulfil the eligibility criteria for this analysis (linked data available, no cataract within first 6 months), leaving 19 925 included. The median follow-up was 5 years.

METHODS

Participants took 60 000 IU of vitamin D₃ (n = 10 662) or placebo (n = 10 653) orally once per month for a maximum of 5 years.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary outcome for this analysis was the first surgical treatment for cataract, ascertained through linkage to universal health insurance records and hospital data.

RESULTS

Among 19 925 participants eligible for this analysis (mean age, 69.3 years; 46% women) 3668 participants (18.4%) underwent cataract surgery during follow-up (vitamin D: n = 1841 [18.5%]; placebo: n = 1827 [18.3%] ). The incidence of cataract surgery was similar between the two groups (incidence rate, 41.6 and 41.1 per 1000 person-years in the vitamin D and placebo groups, respectively; hazard ratio, 1.02; 95% confidence interval, 0.95-1.09). In prespecified subgroup analyses, the effect of vitamin D supplementation on the incidence of cataract surgery was not modified by age, sex, body mass index, predicted serum 25(OH)D concentration, or ambient ultraviolet radiation.

CONCLUSIONS

Routinely supplementing older adults who live in an area with a low prevalence of vitamin D deficiency with high-dose vitamin D is unlikely to reduce the need for cataract surgery.

FINANCIAL DISCLOSURE(S)

Proprietary or commercial disclosure may be found after the references.

Vitamin D supplementation and hospitalization for infection in older adults: A post-hoc analysis of data from the Australian D-Health Trial

BACKGROUND

Evidence suggests that vitamin D influences the immune system. Recent studies indicate that vitamin D supplementation may reduce the severity of infections, but this has not been confirmed.

OBJECTIVES

The objective of this study was to assess the effect of vitamin D supplementation on hospitalization for infection.

METHODS

The D-Health Trial was a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial of monthly 60,000 international units of vitamin D₃ for 5 y among 21,315 Australians aged 60-84 y. Hospitalization for infection, ascertained through linkage with hospital admitted patient data, is a tertiary outcome of the trial. The primary outcome for this post-hoc analysis was hospitalization for any infection. Secondary outcomes were extended hospitalization for infection (length of stay >3 d and >6 d) and hospitalization for respiratory tract, skin, and gastrointestinal infections. We used negative binomial regression to estimate the effect of vitamin D supplementation on outcomes.

RESULTS

Participants (46% women, mean age: 69 y), were followed up for a median of 5 y. Vitamin D supplementation had little or no effect on the incidence of hospitalization for any infection [incidence rate ratio (IRR): 0.95; 95% CI: 0.86, 1.05], respiratory tract (IRR: 0.93; 95% CI: 0.81, 1.08), skin (IRR: 0.95; 95% CI: 0.76, 1.20), gastrointestinal infections (IRR: 1.03; 95% CI: 0.84, 1.26), or hospitalizations lasting >3 d (IRR: 0.94; 95% CI: 0.81, 1.09), with all CIs consistent with a null finding. People supplemented with vitamin D had fewer hospitalizations lasting >6 d (IRR: 0.80; 95% CI: 0.65, 0.99).

CONCLUSIONS

We did not find a protective effect of vitamin D on hospitalization for infection, but it reduced the number of extended hospitalizations. In populations where few people are vitamin D deficient, the effect of population-wide supplementation is likely to be small, but these findings support previous studies suggesting that vitamin D plays a role in infectious disease. The D-Health Trial is registered at the Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry as ACTRN12613000743763.

Effects of Vitamin D Supplementation on Telomere Length: An Analysis of Data from the Randomised Controlled D-Health Trial

OBJECTIVES

Observational studies have suggested that a higher 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentration may be associated with longer telomere length; however, this has not been investigated in randomised controlled trials. We conducted an ancillary study within a randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial of monthly vitamin D (the D-Health Trial) for the prevention of all-cause mortality, conducted from 2014 to 2020, to assess the effect of vitamin D supplementation on telomere length (measured as the telomere to single copy gene (T/S) ratio).

DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, AND INTERVENTION

Participants were Australians aged 60-84 years and we randomly selected 1,519 D-Health participants (vitamin D: n=744; placebo: n=775) for this analysis. We used quantitative polymerase chain reaction to measure the relative telomere length (T/S ratio) at 4 or 5 years after randomisation. We compared the mean T/S ratio between the vitamin D and placebo groups to assess the effect of vitamin D supplementation on relative telomere length, using a linear regression model with adjustment for age, sex, and state which were used to stratify the randomisation.

RESULTS

The mean T/S ratio was 0.70 for both groups (standard deviation 0.18 and 0.16 for the vitamin D and placebo groups respectively). The adjusted mean difference (vitamin D minus placebo) was -0.001 (95% CI -0.02 to 0.02). There was no effect modification by age, sex, body mass index, or predicted baseline 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentration.

CONCLUSION

In conclusion, routinely supplementing older adults, who are largely vitamin D replete, with monthly doses of vitamin D is unlikely to influence telomere length.

Effect of vitamin D supplementation on depression in older Australian adults

OBJECTIVES

To investigate whether vitamin D supplementation reduces depressive symptoms and incidence of antidepressant use.

METHODS

We used data from the D-Health Trial (N = 21,315), a randomized double-blind placebo-controlled trial of monthly vitamin D₃ for the prevention of all-cause mortality. Participants were Australians aged 60-84 years. Participants completed the Patient Health Questionnaire (PHQ-9) at 1, 2 and 5 years after randomization to measure depressive symptoms; national prescribing records were used to capture antidepressant use. We used mixed models and survival models.

RESULTS

Analyses of PHQ-9 scores included 20,487 participants (mean age 69·3 years, 46% women); the mean difference (MD) in PHQ-9 score (vitamin D vs. placebo) was 0·02 (95% CI -0·06, 0·11). There was negligible difference in the prevalence of clinically relevant depression (PHQ-9 score ≥10) (odds ratio 0·99; 95% CI 0·90, 1·08). We included 16,670 participants in the analyses of incident antidepressant use (mean age 69·4 years, 43% women). Incidence of antidepressant use was similar between the groups (hazard ratio [HR] 1·04; 95% CI 0·96, 1·12). In subgroup analyses, vitamin D improved PHQ-9 scores in those taking antidepressants at baseline (MD -0·25; 95% CI -0·49, -0·01; p-interaction = 0·02). It decreased risk of antidepressant use in participants with predicted 25(OH)D concentration <50 nmol/L (HR 0·88; 95% CI 0·75, 1·02; p-interaction = 0·01) and increased risk in those with predicted 25(OH)D ≥ 50 nmol/L (HR 1·10; 95% CI 1·01, 1·20).

CONCLUSION

Monthly supplementation with high-dose vitamin D₃ was not of benefit for measures of depression overall, but there was some evidence of benefit in subgroup analyses.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

The trial is registered on the Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry: ACTRN12613000743763. https://www.anzctr.org.au/.

The D-Health Trial: a randomised controlled trial of the effect of vitamin D on mortality

BACKGROUND

The effect of supplementing unscreened adults with vitamin D₃ on mortality is unclear. We aimed to determine whether monthly doses of vitamin D₃ influenced mortality in older Australians.

METHODS

We did a randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial of oral vitamin D₃ supplementation (60 000 IU per month) in Australians 60 years or older who were recruited across the country via the Commonwealth electoral roll. Participants were randomly assigned (1:1), using automated computer-generated permuted block randomisation, to receive one oral gel capsule of either 60 000 IU vitamin D₃ or placebo once a month for 5 years. Participants, staff, and investigators were blinded to study group allocation. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality assessed in all participants who were randomly assigned. We also analysed mortality from cancer, cardiovascular disease, and other causes. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs were generated using flexible parametric survival models. This trial is registered with the Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry, ACTRN12613000743763.

FINDINGS

Between Feb 14, 2014, and June 17, 2015, we randomly assigned 21 315 participants, including 10 662 to the vitamin D group and 10 653 to the placebo group. In 4441 blood samples collected from randomly sampled participants (N=3943) during follow-up, mean serum 25-hydroxy-vitamin D concentrations were 77 (SD 25) in the placebo group and 115 (SD 30) nmol/L in the vitamin D group. Following 5 years of intervention (median follow-up 5·7 years [IQR 5·4-6·7]), 1100 deaths were recorded (placebo 538 [5·1%]; vitamin D 562 [5·3%]). 10 661 participants in the vitamin D group and 10 649 participants in the placebo group were included in the primary analysis. Five participants (one in the vitamin D group and four in the placebo group) were not included as they requested to be withdrawn and their data to be destroyed. The HR of vitamin D₃ effect on all-cause mortality was 1.04 [95% CI 0·93 to 1·18]; p=0·47)and the HR of vitamin D₃ effect on cardiovascular disease mortality was 0·96 (95% CI 0·72 to 1·28; p=0·77). The HR for cancer mortality was 1·15 (95% CI 0·96 to 1·39; p=0·13) and for mortality from other causes it was 0·83 (95% CI 0·65 to 1·07; p=0·15). The odds ratio for the per-protocol analysis was OR 1·18 (95% CI 1·00 to 1·40; p=0·06). In exploratory analyses excluding the first 2 years of follow-up, those randomly assigned to receive vitamin D had a numerically higher hazard of cancer mortality than those in the placebo group (HR 1·24 [95% CI 1·01-1·54]; p=0·05).

INTERPRETATION

Administering vitamin D₃ monthly to unscreened older people did not reduce all-cause mortality. Point estimates and exploratory analyses excluding the early follow-up period were consistent with an increased risk of death from cancer. Pending further evidence, the precautionary principle would suggest that this dosing regimen might not be appropriate in people who are vitamin D-replete.

FUNDING

The D-Health Trial is funded by National Health and Medical Research Council.

Critical Appraisal of Large Vitamin D Randomized Controlled Trials

As a consequence of epidemiological studies showing significant associations of vitamin D deficiency with a variety of adverse extra-skeletal clinical outcomes including cardiovascular diseases, cancer, and mortality, large vitamin D randomized controlled trials (RCTs) have been designed and conducted over the last few years. The vast majority of these trials did not restrict their study populations to individuals with vitamin D deficiency, and some even allowed moderate vitamin D supplementation in the placebo groups. In these RCTs, there were no significant effects on the primary outcomes, including cancer, cardiovascular events, and mortality, but explorative outcome analyses and meta-analyses revealed indications for potential benefits such as reductions in cancer mortality or acute respiratory infections. Importantly, data from RCTs with relatively high doses of vitamin D supplementation did, by the vast majority, not show significant safety issues, except for trials in critically or severely ill patients or in those using very high intermittent vitamin D doses. The recent large vitamin D RCTs did not challenge the beneficial effects of vitamin D regarding rickets and osteomalacia, that therefore continue to provide the scientific basis for nutritional vitamin D guidelines and recommendations. There remains a great need to evaluate the effects of vitamin D treatment in populations with vitamin D deficiency or certain characteristics suggesting a high sensitivity to treatment. Outcomes and limitations of recently published large vitamin D RCTs must inform the design of future vitamin D or nutrition trials that should use more personalized approaches.

Vitamin D supplementation and risk of falling: outcomes from the randomized, placebo-controlled D-Health Trial

BACKGROUND

Falls cause considerable morbidity and mortality in older people. It is unclear how vitamin D supplementation affects falls risk, particularly when taken at high doses. We sought to determine whether monthly high-dose vitamin D supplementation reduces risk and incidence of falls.

METHODS

We used data from the randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled D-Health Trial conducted in Australia. Between February 2014 and May 2015, 21 315 participants aged 60-84 years were randomized (1:1) to monthly doses of either 60 000 IU of colecalciferol or placebo for a maximum of 5 years. People who reported a history of osteomalacia, sarcoidosis, hyperparathyroidism, hypercalcaemia or kidney stones or who were taking >500 IU/day supplementary vitamin D were ineligible. Each year, we collected blood samples from ~450 randomly sampled participants from each trial arm and measured 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D]. Falls, a prespecified tertiary outcome, were ascertained using annual surveys and, for a subset of participants, 3-month falls diaries. The primary outcome for this analysis was any fall in the month before completing an annual survey. As part of our process to maintain blinding, we used random samples of participants (surveys, n = 16 000; diaries, n = 2400), with equal numbers per group. Participants with no outcome data were excluded. Following an intention-to-treat approach, we analysed outcomes using logistic, ordinal and negative binomial regression. Registration: Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry (ACTRN12613000743763); registered 4 July 2013.

RESULTS

Mean treatment duration was 4.3 years (standard deviation [SD] = 1.4 years). Mean serum 25(OH)D concentrations during the trial were 114.8 (SD 30.3) nmol/L and 77.5 (SD 25.2) nmol/L in the vitamin D and placebo groups, respectively. Survey and diary analytic sets included 15 416 and 2200 participants, respectively; approximately half were randomized to vitamin D (surveys: 50.1%; diaries: 50.4%). Vitamin D had no effect on falling in the past month (odds ratio [OR] 1.02, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.95-1.10). There was an interaction with body mass index (BMI) (P-interaction = 0.001); vitamin D increased risk in participants with BMI < 25 kg/m² (OR 1.25, 95% CI 1.09-1.43), but there was no effect in those with BMI ≥ 25 kg/m² (OR 0.95, 95% CI 0.87-1.04). Analyses of diary data were consistent with these findings. The incidence of hypercalcaemia and kidney stones did not differ between groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Monthly high-dose vitamin D supplementation did not reduce risk of falling. A possible increased risk of falling with vitamin D supplementation in people with normal BMI warrants further investigation.

Vitamin D serum levels and non-melanoma skin cancer risk

Background

Skin cancer is one of the common malignancies. There is sufficient evidence that sunlight (ultraviolet radiation) contributes to the development of skin cancer, but there is also evidence that relates adequate serum levels of vitamin D produced on the skin by the action of ultraviolet radiation with the decreased risk of various types of cancers, including skin cancer. The aim of this study was to investigate the association of vitamin D serum levels among patients with non-melanoma skin cancers (basal cell carcinoma and squamous cell carcinoma) and controls.

Methods

A prospective observational case-control study was conducted in a sample of 84 subjects in Extremadura (Spain). Forty-one patients with histologically diagnosed basal cell carcinomas and squamous cell carcinomas and 43 healthy controls were randomly chosen to assess whether vitamin D (25(OH)D₃) serum level, age and sex were related to non-melanoma skin cancer and to determine the possible risk of this type of skin cancer for these variables.

Results

When analysing serum vitamin D levels, we ensured that all our subjects, both cases and controls, had normal or low serum vitamin D levels, even though the samples were taken during months with the highest solar irradiance in our region. It is striking in our results that there was a higher percentage of subjects with deficits of vitamin D who did not have skin cancer (66%) than patients with deficits with these types of skin cancers (34%). When adjusting the model for age and sex, vitamin D values above 18 ng/ml increased the risk of suffering from non-melanoma skin cancer by nearly 7-fold (aOR: 6.94, 95% CI [1.55-31.11], p = 0.01).

Conclusions

Despite the controversial data obtained in the literature, our results suggest that lower levels of vitamin D may be related to a reduced incidence of non-melanoma skin cancer.

The effect of vitamin D supplementation on acute respiratory tract infection in older Australian adults: an analysis of data from the D-Health Trial

BACKGROUND

Observational studies have linked vitamin D deficiency with acute respiratory tract infection, but results from randomised controlled trials are heterogeneous. We analysed data from the D-Health Trial to determine whether supplementing older Australian adults, recruited from the general population, with monthly doses of vitamin D reduced the risk, duration, and severity of acute respiratory tract infections.

METHODS

We used data from the D-Health Trial, a randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial of monthly vitamin D supplementation, for which acute respiratory infection was a pre-specified trial outcome. Participants were supplemented and followed for up to 5 years. The trial was set within the Australian general population, using the Commonwealth Electoral Roll as the sampling frame, but also allowing some volunteers to participate. Participants were men and women aged 60 to 79 years (with volunteers up to age 84 years). Participants were randomly assigned to receive either vitamin D or placebo (1:1) using computer-generated permuted block randomisation, which was stratified by age, sex, and state. This was an automated process and the assignment list was not visible to study staff or investigators. Active and placebo gel capsules, identical in appearance to ensure masking, were labelled A and B and the code was not available to study staff or investigators. Participants were asked to report occurrence of acute respiratory symptoms over the previous month via annual surveys, and a subset of participants completed 8-week respiratory symptom diaries in winter. As part of our process to maintain blinding, a random sample of participants was selected for analysis of survey data and a separate sample selected for analysis of diary data. Blood samples were obtained from a random sample of participants (about 450 per group per year) and serum 25-hydroxy vitamin D (25[OH]D) concentrations were measured to monitor adherence. We used regression models to estimate odds ratios (OR), rate ratios, and rate differences. The trial is registered with the Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry, ACTRN12613000743763.

FINDINGS

Between Jan 13, 2014, and May 26, 2015, 421 207 invitations were sent, 40 824 people were interested in participating, and 21 315 participants were recruited and randomised. Of the 16 000 participants selected for potential analysis of survey data, 15 373 were included in the analysis; 295 in the vitamin D group and 332 in the placebo group who were missing data for all five annual surveys were excluded from the analysis. Of the 3800 selected for potential analysis of diary data, 3070 were invited to complete the diaries because 730 had already withdrawn. 2598 people were included in the analysis; 218 people in the vitamin D group and 254 in the placebo group were missing data and were therefore excluded from the analysis. In blood samples collected from randomly sampled participants throughout the trial, the mean serum 25(OH)D concentration was 114·8 (SD 30·3) nmol/L in the vitamin D group and 77·5 (25·2) nmol/L in the placebo group. Vitamin D supplementation did not reduce the risk of acute respiratory tract infection (survey OR 0·98, 95% CI 0·93 to 1·02; diary OR 0·98, 0·83 to 1·15). Analyses of diary data showed reductions in the overall duration of symptoms and of severe symptoms, but these were small and unlikely to be clinically significant.

INTERPRETATION

Monthly bolus doses of 60 000 IU of vitamin D did not reduce the overall risk of acute respiratory tract infection, but could slightly reduce the duration of symptoms in the general population. These findings suggest that routine vitamin D supplementation of a population that is largely vitamin D replete is unlikely to have a clinically relevant effect on acute respiratory tract infection.

FUNDING

National Health and Medical Research Council.

Vitamin D in obesity and obesity-related diseases: an overview

Hypovitaminosis D and obesity represent two pandemic conditions sometimes associated with each other. Although it is known that there is a close relationship between these two health problems, the underlying pathophysiological mechanism has not yet been fully clarified. In fact, on the one hand, obesity per se seems to involve low circulating levels of vitamin D due to low sun exposure, physical activity, and intake of foods rich in vitamin D, volumetric dilution and sequestration in the adipose tissue. Conversely, since preadipocytes and adipocytes express the receptors and are involved in the metabolism of vitamin D it would seem that low levels of this vitamin may be involved in adipogenesis and therefore in the development of obesity. This connection is extremely important when considering obesity-related diseases. In fact, low vitamin D levels and severe obesity are significantly associated with some cardio-metabolic risk factors, including high Body Mass Index, waist circumference, blood pressure, impaired lipid and glycemic profile and insulin resistance, as they would seem associated with worse cardiovascular outcomes and higher cancer incidence and mortality. Therefore, the purpose of this review was to examine the recent evidence linking low vitamin D status, obesity and obesity-related diseases, highlighting the scientific achievements and the gaps to be filled with further investigations.

The effect of vitamin D supplementation on the risk of breast cancer: a trial sequential meta-analysis

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Observational studies suggest an inverse association between circulating vitamin D levels and risk of breast cancer. However, the potential benefits of vitamin D supplementation to reduce the risk of breast cancer remain controversial, based on the results of current randomized controlled trials (RCTs). The aim of this study was to evaluate the value of vitamin D supplementation on breast cancer prevention.

METHODS

PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane library were searched from inception to February 2020. We performed a trial sequential meta-analysis of RCTs reporting the effect of vitamin D supplementation, with or without calcium, on the risk of breast cancer. The effect was estimated using a relative risk reduction threshold of 30%.

RESULTS

Eight trials comprising 72,275 participants were included in this study, with a median follow-up period ranging from 1 to 11.9 years. The median dosage of vitamin D supplementation was 967 IU per day (range 400-3704 IU per day) across the trials. This study yielded a relative risk of 1.04 (95% CI 0.85-1.29, P = 0.68) for the effect of vitamin D supplementation (6 trials, 33,472 participants), and 0.99 (95% CI 0.91-1.07, P = 0.73) for co-administration of vitamin D and calcium (4 trials, 41,957 participants). The effect estimate for vitamin D with or without calcium on breast cancer risk lay within the futility boundary, indicating that vitamin D supplementation does not alter the relative risk by 30% or more.

CONCLUSION

Our analyses suggest that vitamin D supplementation, with or without calcium, does not reduce breast cancer risk by 30% or more. Future trials with similar designs are unlikely to alter this finding.

Vitamin D Supplementation for Extraskeletal Indications in Older Persons

Low levels of vitamin D have been implicated in a wide variety of conditions highly prevalent in the geriatric population, including fractures, functional limitations, cancer, cardiovascular disease, and depression. Vitamin D supplementation is often considered integral to the prevention of falls and fractures in the setting of osteoporosis. For other conditions, however, consensus is lacking, and the clinician may struggle to balance competing recommendations around screening, supplementation, and monitoring. This review seeks to provide an overview of the available evidence on the use of vitamin D supplementation to ameliorate sarcopenia, enhance cognition, treat depression, prevent cancer, and reduce mortality-outcomes that are common concerns in the geriatric population for which the merits of treatment are not always certain. Evidence suggests vitamin D supplementation may decrease mortality. Therefore, it may be reasonable to prescribe routine supplementation with oral cholecalciferol 800 to 1000 IU daily to all patients aged ≥65 years who do not have a contraindication. No screening or monitoring would be recommended for this population. We additionally recommend the use of oral cholecalciferol over ergocalciferol for any routine supplementation as this benefit was only observed with cholecalciferol. For patients with depression or cognitive disorders, we recommend screening for vitamin D deficiency, treating with oral cholecalciferol if present, and monitoring periodically to target a level of >30 ng/mL as an adjunct to usual care. The level of evidence certainly would not justify the use of vitamin D in place of more evidence-based therapies, but given the burden of these conditions in the geriatric population, we believe the potential benefit justifies the minimal risk.