A stomatal ozone flux-response relationship to assess ozone-induced yield loss of winter wheat in subtropical China

Ozone risk assessment with free-air controlled exposure (FACE) experiments: A critical revisit

Since risk assessments of tropospheric ozone (O3) are crucial for agricultural and forestry sectors, there is a growing body for realistic assessments by a stomatal flux-based approach in Free-Air Controlled Exposure (FACE) facilities. Ozone risks are normally described as relative risks (RRs), which are calculated by assuming the biomass or yield at zero O3 dose as "reference". However, the estimation of the reference biomass or yield is challenging due to a lack of O3-clean-air treatment at the FACEs and the extrapolation without data in a low O3 range increases the bias for estimating the reference values. Here, we reviewed a current methodology for the risk assessment at FACEs and presented a simple and effective way ("modified Paoletti's approach") of defining RRs just using biomass or yield data with a range of expected impacts under the FACE conditions hypothesizing three possible scenarios based on prediction limits using 95% credible intervals (CI) (1. Best fit using the intercept as reference, 2. Optimistic scenario using a lower CI and 3. Worst scenario using an upper CI). As a result, O3-sensitive species show a relatively narrow effect range (optimistic vs. worst scenario) whereas a wide range of response may be possibly taken in resistant species. Showing a possible effect range allows for a comprehensive understanding of the potential risks and its uncertainties related to a species sensitivity to O3. As a supporting approach, we also recommend to use scientifically relevant tools (i.e., ethylenediurea treatments; mechanistic plant models) for strengthening the obtained results for the RRs against O3. Interestingly, the moderately sensitive or resistant species showed non-linear rather than linear dose-response relationships, suggesting a need for the flexible functional form for the risk assessment to properly describe the complex plant response such as hormesis, which depends on their plasticity to O3 stress.

Reponses of morphological and biochemical traits of bamboo trees under elevated atmospheric O3 enrichment

Dwarf bamboo (Indocalamus decorus) is an O3-tolerant plant species. To identify the possible mechanism and response of leaf morphological, antioxidant, and anatomical characteristics to elevated atmospheric O3 (EO3) concentrations, we exposed three-year-old I. decorus seedlings to three O3 levels (low O3-LO: ambient air; medium O3-MO: Ambient air+70 ppb high O3-HO: Ambient air+140 ppb O3) over a growing season using open-top chambers. Leaf shape and stomatal characteristics, and leaf microscopic structure of I. decorus were examined. The results indicated that 1) the stomata O3 flux (Fst) of HO decreased more rapidly under EO3 as the exposure time increased. The foliar O3 injury of HO and MO occurred when AOT40 was 26.62 ppm h and 33.20 ppm h, respectively, 2) under EO3, leaf number, leaf mass per area, leaf area, and stomata length/width all decreased, while leaf thickness, stomatal density, width, and area increased compared to the control, 3) MDA and total soluble protein contents all showed significantly increase under HO (36.57% and 32.77%) and MO(31.91% and 19.52%) while proline contents only increased under HO(33.27%). 4) MO and HO increased bulliform cells numbers in the leaves by 6.28% and 23.01%, respectively. HO reduced the transverse area of bulliform cells by 13.73%, while MO treatments had no effect, and 5) the number of fusoid cells interspace, the transverse area of fusoid cells interspace, and mesophyll thickness of HO significantly increased by 11.16%, 28.58%, and 13.42%, respectively. In conclusion, I. decorus exhibits strong O3 tolerance characteristics, which stem from adaptions in the leaf's morphological, structural, antioxidant, and anatomical features. One critical attribute was the enlargement of the bulliform cell transverse area and the transverse area of fusoid cells interspace that drove this resistance to O3. Local bamboo species with high resistance to O3 pollution thus need to be promoted for sustained productivity and ecosystem services in areas with high O3 pollution.

Assessment of ozone pollution on rice yield reduction and economic losses in Sichuan province during 2015-2020

In recent years, there has been a significant increase in surface ozone (O3) concentrations in the troposphere. Ozone pollution has significant adverse effects on ecosystems, human health, and climate change, particularly on crop growth and yield. This study utilized the observational hourly O3 data, cumulative O3 concentration over 40 ppb per h (AOT40), and the mean daytime 7-h O3 concentration (M7) to analyze the spatiotemporal distributions of relative yield losses (RYLs) and evaluate the yield reduction and economic losses of rice in Sichuan province from 2015 to 2020. The results indicated that the average O3 concentration during the growing rice season ranged from 55.4 to 69.3 μg/m3, with the highest O3 concentration observed in 2017, and the AOT40 ranged from 4.5 to 8.7 ppm h from 2015 to 2020. At the county level, the O3 concentration, AOT40, and the relative yield loss (RYL) of rice based on AOT40 exhibited clear spatiotemporal differences in Sichuan. The RYLs of AOT40 were 4.9-9.2% from 2015 to 2020. According to AOT40 and M7 metrics, the yield loss and economic losses attributed to O3 pollution amounted to 78.75-150.36 (9.74-21.54) ten thousand tons, and 2079.08-4149.89 (257.25-594.45) million Yuan, respectively. Rice yield and economic losses were relatively large in the Chengdu Plain, southern Sichuan, and northeast Sichuan. These findings will contribute to a deeper understanding of the detrimental effects of elevated surface O3 concentrations on rice crops. It is imperative to implement more stringent O3 reduction measures aimed at lowering O3 concentrations, enhancing rice quality, and safeguarding food security in Sichuan.

Parsimonious estimation of hourly surface ozone concentration across China during 2015-2020

Surface ozone is an important air pollutant detrimental to human health and vegetation productivity, particularly in China. However, high resolution surface ozone concentration data is still lacking, largely hindering accurate assessment of associated environmental impacts. Here, we collected hourly ground ozone observations (over 6 million records), remote sensing products, meteorological data, and social-economic information, and applied recurrent neural networks to map hourly surface ozone data (HrSOD) at a 0.1° × 0.1° resolution across China during 2015-2020. The coefficient of determination (R2) values in sample-based, site-based, and by-year cross-validations were 0.72, 0.65 and 0.71, respectively, with the root mean square error (RMSE) values being 11.71 ppb (mean = 30.89 ppb), 12.81 ppb (mean = 30.96 ppb) and 11.14 ppb (mean = 31.26 ppb). Moreover, it exhibits high spatiotemporal consistency with ground-level observations at different time scales (diurnal, seasonal, annual), and at various spatial levels (individual sites and regional scales). Meanwhile, the HrSOD provides critical information for fine-resolution assessment of surface ozone impacts on environmental and human benefits.

Long-term trajectory of ozone impact on maize and soybean yields in the United States: A 40-year spatial-temporal analysis

Understanding the long-term change trends of ozone-induced yield losses is crucial for formulating strategies to alleviate ozone damaging effects, aiming towards achieving the Zero Hunger Sustainable Development Goal. Despite a wealth of experimental research indicating that ozone's influence on agricultural production exhibits marked fluctuations and differs significantly across various geographical locations, previous studies using global statistical models often failed to capture this spatial-temporal variability, leading to uncertainties in ozone impact estimation. To address this issue, we conducted a comprehensive assessment of the spatial-temporal variability of ozone impacts on maize and soybean yields in the United States (1981-2021) using a geographically and temporally weighted regression (GTWR) model. Our results revealed that over the past four decades, ozone pollution has led to average yield losses of -3.5% for maize and -6.1% for soybean, translating into an annual economic loss of approximately $2.6 billion. Interestingly, despite an overall downward trend in ozone impacts on crop yields following the implementation of stringent ozone emission control measures in 1997, our study identified distinct peaks of abnormally high yield reduction rates in drought years. Significant spatial heterogeneity was detected in ozone impacts across the study area, with ozone damage hotspots located in the Southeast Region and the Mississippi River Basin for maize and soybean, respectively. Furthermore, we discovered that hydrothermal factors modulate crop responses to ozone, with maize showing an inverted U-shaped yield loss trend with temperature increases, while soybean demonstrated an upward trend. Both crops experienced amplified ozone-induced yield losses with rising precipitation. Overall, our study highlights the necessity of incorporating spatiotemporal variability into assessments of crop yield losses attributable to ozone pollution. The insights garnered from our findings can contribute to the formulation of region-specific pollutant emission policies, based on the distinct profiles of ozone-induced agricultural damage across different regions.

Phytotoxic Ozone Dose-Response Relationships for Durum Wheat (Triticum durum, Desf.)

Ozone (O3) pollution poses a significant threat to global crop productivity, particularly for wheat, one of the most important staple foods. While bread wheat (Triticum aestivum) is unequivocally considered highly sensitive to O3, durum wheat (Triticum durum) was often found to be more tolerant. This study investigated the O3 dose-response relationships for durum wheat in the Mediterranean region, focusing mainly on grain yield losses, and utilizing the phytotoxic ozone dose (POD) metric to describe the intensity of the stressor. The results from two experiments with Open-Top Chambers performed in 2013 and 2014 on two relatively sensitive durum wheat cultivars confirmed that this wheat species is far more tolerant than bread wheat. The use of a local parameterization of a stomatal conductance model based on field measurements did not significantly improve the dose-response relationships obtained in comparison to the generic parameterization suggested by the Mapping Manual of the United Nations Economic Commission for Europe (UNECE). The POD6 critical level of 5 mmolO3 m-2 for 5% grain yield loss was remarkably higher than the one established for bread wheat with analogous experiments, highlighting that O3 risk assessments based on bread wheat may largely overestimate the damage in the Mediterranean region where durum wheat cultivation prevails.

Air quality improvements can strengthen China's food security

Air pollution exerts crucial influence on crop yields and impacts regional and global food supplies. Here we employ a statistical model using satellite-based observations and flexible functional forms to analyse the synergistic effects of reductions in ozone and aerosols on China's food security. The model consistently shows that ozone is detrimental to crops, whereas aerosol has variable effects. China's maize, rice and wheat yields are projected to increase by 7.84%, 4.10% and 3.43%, respectively, upon reaching two air quality targets (60 μg m-3 for peak-season ozone and 35 μg m-3 for annual fine particulate matter). Average calories produced from these crops would surge by 4.51%, potentially allowing China to attain grain self-sufficiency 2 years earlier than previously estimated. These results show that ozone pollution control should be a high priority to increase staple crop edible calories, and future stringent air pollution regulations would enhance China's food security.

Wheat yield response to elevated O3 concentrations differs between the world's major producing regions

Ground-level ozone (O3) concentration is rising in Asia, which accommodates the world's top-two wheat producers (China and India). Because wheat is among the species of high O3 sensitivity, yield loss due to rising O3 in Asia is a major threat to global wheat supply. We estimated the relationships between O3 dose on AOT40 (accumulated daytime O3 concentrations above 40 ppb for 90 days) and relative wheat yield for four wheat producing regions: China, India, Europe and North America using results of O3 elevation experiments conducted therein. When compared on the same AOT40, the estimated yield loss was greatest in China followed by India, Europe, and North America in this order. In China, Europe and North America, the yield loss was primarily due to the reduction of single grain weight, whereas in India reduction of the number of grains contributed more to the yield loss than single grain weight. The greater response of the number of grains to O3 in India can be explained by the earlier start of O3 elevation, but the seasonal change in O3 concentrations cannot explain the lower yield loss in North America than China and India. Referring to the past reports of lower yield sensitivity to O3 in older cultivars, we compared the year of release of cultivars between the regions. In North America, they used cultivars released in 1980s or earlier, whereas in China they used cultivars released in 2000s. In Europe and India, most cultivars were released between those in North America and China. The difference in cultivars could therefore be a cause the differential yield response among the regions. We argue that the O3-induced yield loss should be quantified using the dose-response relationships for each region accounting for the effects of seasonal change in O3 concentrations, cultivars and climate on the yield response.

Addressing ozone pollution to promote United Nations sustainable development goal 2: Ensuring global food security

Achieving global food security and ensuring sustainable agriculture, the dual objectives of the second Sustainable Development Goal (SDG 2), necessitate immediate and collaborative efforts from developing and developed nations. The adverse effects of ozone on crop yields have the potential to significantly undermine the United Nations' ambitious target of attaining food security and ending hunger by 2030. This review examines the causes of growing tropospheric ozone, especially in India and China which lead to a substantial reduction in crop yield and forest biomass. The findings show that a nexus of high population, rapid urbanization and regional pollution sources aggravates the problem in these countries. It elucidates that when plants are exposed to ozone, specific cellular pathways are triggered, resulting in changes in the expression of genes related to hormone production, antioxidant metabolism, respiration, and photosynthesis. Assessing the risks associated with ozone exposure involves using response functions that link exposure-based and flux-based measurements to variables like crop yield. Precisely quantifying the losses in yield and economic value in food crops due to current ozone levels is of utmost importance in comprehending the risks ozone poses to global food security. We conclude that policymakers should focus on implementing measures to decrease the emissions of ozone precursors, such as enhancing vehicle fuel efficiency standards and promoting the use of cleaner energy sources. Additionally, efforts should be directed toward mapping or developing crop varieties that can tolerate ozone, applying protective measures at critical stages of plant growth and establishing ozone-related vegetation protection standards.

Increased ground-level O3 during the COVID-19 pandemic in China aggravates human health risks but has little effect on winter wheat yield

In January 2020, the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak emerged in China, prompting the enforcement of stringent lockdown measures nationwide to contain its spread. Multiple studies have demonstrated that these measures successfully reduced the levels of air pollutants except for ozone (O3). However, the potential risks of nationwide O3 changes during this period remain uncertain. To address this gap, we evaluated the ecological and health effects of O3 using hourly O3 data from 1 January to 17 June in both 2020 and 2019. Our results indicated that all health and ecological indicators, except SUM06 (sum of all hourly O3 over 60 ppb), during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 increased most obviously in Stages 2 and 3 with the strictest control measures, compared to the same period in 2019. The national premature deaths due to short-term O3 exposure during Stages 2-3 in 2020 totaled 146,558 (95% CI: 79,386-213,730) for all non-accidental causes and 82,408 (95% CI: 30,522-134,295) for cardiovascular diseases, increasing by 18.78% and 18.76% in 2019, respectively. The most significant increase in health risks occurred in Hubei, followed by Jiangxi, Zhejiang, Hunan, and Shaanxi. In addition, the estimated national winter wheat production losses (WWPL) attributable to O3 amounted to 50.6 and 51.1 million metric tons for 2019 and 2020, respectively. Among the major winter wheat-producing provinces, Anhui and Jiangsu experienced a larger increase in WWPL, while Shandong and Hebei suffered a greater decrease in 2020 compared to 2019, resulting in little overall change in WWPL between the two years. These findings provided direct evidence of the harmful effects of O3 during the COVID-19 pandemic and serve as a valuable reference for future air pollution control.

Rebuilding high-quality near-surface ozone data based on the combination of WRF-Chem model with a machine learning method to better estimate its impact on crop yields in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region from 2014 to 2019

In recent years, the problem of surface ozone pollution in China has been of great concern. According to observation data from monitoring stations, the concentration of near-surface ozone (O3) in China has gradually increased in recent years, and ozone concentration often exceeds the contaminant limit standard, especially in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) region. High O3 concentration pollution will adversely affect crop growth, which can cause crop yield losses. Therefore, it is urgent to recognize the situation of ozone pollution in the BTH region and quantitatively evaluate the crop yield losses caused by ozone pollution to develop more effective pollution prevention and control policies. However, the monitoring of ozone concentration in China started relatively late compared with some developed countries, and currently, long-time series data covering the BTH region cannot be obtained, which makes it difficult to evaluate the impact of ozone on crop yield. Therefore, a new method (WRFC-XGB) was proposed in this study to establish a high-precision near-surface O3 concentration dataset covering the whole BTH region from 2014 to 2019 by integrating the Weather Research and Forecasting with Chemistry (WRF-Chem) model with the extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) machine learning algorithm. Through verification with ground observation station data, the results of WRFC-XGB are satisfactory, and R2 can reach 0.78-0.91. Compared with other algorithms, the accuracy of the near-surface ozone concentration dataset is greatly improved, which can be used to estimate the impact of surface ozone on crop yield. Based on this dataset, the yield loss of winter wheat, rice, and maize caused by O3 pollution was estimated by using the response equation of the relative yield and ozone dose index. The results showed that the total yield losses of winter wheat, rice and maize from 2014 to 2019 were 2659.21 million tons, 49.23 million tons and 1721.56 million tons due to ozone pollution in the BTH region, respectively, and the highest relative yield loss of crops caused by O3 pollution could be 29.37% during 2014-2019, which indicated that the impact of ozone pollution on crop yield cannot be ignored, and effective measures need to be developed to control ozone pollution, prevent crop production loss, and ensure people's food security.

Maize yield reduction and economic losses caused by ground-level ozone pollution with exposure- and flux-response relationships in the North China Plain

Ground-level ozone (O₃) has negative effects on agricultural crops. Maize is an important grain crop in China. The North China Plain (NCP) serves as the major crops' production area of China and experiences severe ozone pollution. Using the ground-level ozone simulated by an atmospheric chemistry transport model (WRF-Chem), we quantified the yield reduction and economic losses of maize during 2015-2018 over NCP based on exposure-response AOT40 (accumulation of hourly O₃ concentration exceed 40 ppb) and flux-response POD₆ (phytotoxic dose of ozone over 6 nmol m^-2 s^-1). Results showed that the ozone concentration, AOT40, and POD₆ clearly increased from 2015 to 2018 in growing season of maize over NCP. The four-year annual mean ozone concentration, AOT40, and POD₆ were 0.055 ppm, 18.02 ppm h, and 5.02 mmol m^-2, respectively. At county level, the relative loss of maize yield (MRYL) based on AOT40 and POD₆ had clearly spatio-temporal differences in NCP. The average MRYLs of AOT40 and of POD₆ from 2015 to 2018 were 10.4% and 21.4%, respectively, and these reductions were associated with 2399 million and 5637 million US dollars, respectively. This study suggests that surface ozone increased the yield losses of maize, and indicates that further reductions in ozone concentrations can enhance the food security in China.

Identifying and modelling key physiological traits that confer tolerance or sensitivity to ozone in winter wheat

Tropospheric ozone threatens crop production in many parts of the world, especially in highly populated countries in economic transition. Crop models suggest substantial global yield losses for wheat, but typically such models fail to address differences in ozone responses between tolerant and sensitive genotypes. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to identify physiological traits contributing to yield losses or yield stability under ozone stress in 18 contrasting wheat cultivars that had been pre-selected from a larger wheat population with known ozone tolerance. Plants were exposed to season-long ozone fumigation in open-top chambers at an average ozone concentration of 70 ppb with three additional acute ozone episodes of around 150 ppb. Compared to control conditions, average yield loss was 18.7 percent, but large genotypic variation was observed ranging from 2.7 to 44.6 percent. Foliar chlorophyll content represented by normalized difference vegetation index and net CO₂ assimilation rate of young leaves during grain filling were the physiological traits most strongly correlated with grain yield losses or stability. Accumulative effects of chronic ozone exposure on photosynthesis were more detrimental for grain yield than instantaneous effects of acute ozone shocks, or accelerated senescence of older leaves represented by changes in the ratio of brown leaf area/green leaf area index. We used experimental data of two selected tolerant or sensitive varieties, respectively, to parametrize the LINTULCC2 crop model expanded with an ozone response routine. By specifying parameters representing the distinct physiological responses of contrasting genotypes, we simulated yield losses of 7 percent (tolerant) or 33 percent (sensitive). By considering genotypic differences in ozone response models, this study helps to improve the accuracy of simulation studies, estimate the effects of adaptive breeding, and identify physiological traits for the breeding of ozone tolerant wheat varieties that could deliver stable yields despite ozone exposure.

Quantifying ecological and health risks of ground-level O3 across China during the implementation of the "Three-year Action Plan for Cleaner Air"

After China implemented the Air Pollution Prevention and Control Action Plan (APPCAP), PM_2.5 concentrations decreased but were still higher than national standards in major areas and ozone (O₃) concentration increased unintentionally. To further decrease PM_2.5 concentrations and reduce days with severe air pollution, the government promulgated the "Three-year (2018-2020) Action Plan for Cleaner Air" (the Three-year Action Plan) in 2018. During the three-year Action Plan, a few studies reported a continuous decline in PM_2.5, but it is unclear whether O₃ and its effects also increase with the decrease of PM_2.5 like during APPCAP. In this study, for the first time, we systematically assessed changes in ground-level O₃ concentrations and related ecological and health risks during the period of the Three-year Action Plan using nationwide O₃ measurements. The national MDA8, Exceedance, and SOMO35 indicators were reduced by 3.8%, 28.5%, and 12.6%, respectively, ecological risk indicators of M12, M7, SUM06, AOT40, and W126 were reduced by 5.4%, 5.6%, 19.5%, 15.4%, and 18.6%, respectively, from 2018 to 2020. Spatially, the greatest reduction in all the indicators except MDA8 occurred in Pearl River Delta, followed by Fen Wei Plains, while Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, Chengdu-Chongqing, and Yangtze River Delta presented relatively small reductions. Between 2018 and 2020, the production losses caused by O₃ for wheat and rice decreased by 21.4% and 17.6%, respectively. Long-term exposure to O₃ across China over 2020 was estimated to cause about 160,795 (95% CI: 81,515-312,983) for all-cause mortality, 107,128 (95% CI: 36,703-173,823) for cardiovascular mortality, and 34,444 (95% CI: 0-72,609) for respiratory mortality, indicating decreases of 9.93%, 9.86%, and 9.78%, respectively, compared to the year 2018. Taken together, our results provided the first direct evidence for China's efforts to control O₃ pollution in recent years.

Reductions in crop yields across China from elevated ozone

Exposure of crops to high concentrations of ozone can cause substantial reductions in yield that pose a serious threat to global food security. Here we provide comprehensive estimates of yield losses for key crops across China between 2014 and 2017 attributed to ozone using a number of new approaches. We use an air quality model at 5 km resolution and crop-specific dose-response functions developed for both concentration- and flux-based metrics. We bias correct modelled ozone concentrations and metrics using observations from more than 1000 locations. We find that on a 4-year average basis, production losses of key crops are 34-91 million metric tonnes (Mt/yr), dependent on the approach used, with highest losses in Henan province. At a national level, loss of winter wheat production derived using a China-specific dose-response function increased by 82% from 2014 to 2017, with large interannual variations in the North China Plain and in eastern China. Winter wheat losses estimated using flux-based functions, which require robust simulation of stomatal conductance and underlying vegetation physiology, are significantly lower, at 30 Mt/yr. We show that the definition of the growing season may have a greater impact on estimated losses than small biases in ozone surface concentrations. Although uncertainties remain, our findings demonstrate that increasing ozone concentrations have substantial adverse impacts on crop yields and threaten food security in China. It is important to control ozone concentrations to mitigate these negative impacts.

Ethylenediurea (EDU) protects inbred but not hybrid cultivars of rice from yield losses due to surface ozone

The rising concentration of ground-level ozone (O₃) reduces crop yield via increased oxidative stress. Application of ethylenediurea (EDU) protects plants from O₃ and could thereby serve as a means to estimate the crop yield losses due to ambient O₃ (AO₃). However, no study but a few exceptions has ever compared the yield loss estimates from EDU application with those from O₃ elevation experiments. Here, we estimated yield loss to AO₃ in rice cultivars across the 3 types, indica, japonica, and hybrid, by an EDU application in the field, and compared the yield losses with those estimated with dose-response relationships based on O₃ elevation experiments. Relative yield loss (RYL) in the EDU application was estimated at 16% across the rice types on an assumption of a 100% efficiency for protection of crop yield by EDU. This estimate of RYL was close to the 15% RYL estimated from the O₃ elevation experiments when a common sensitivity to O₃ is assumed across the cultivars. The rice yield loss due to AO₃ was thus consistent between the two approaches supporting the idea of EDU application for the yield loss estimation. When only hybrids are focused, however, the RYL from EDU application (16%) was much lower than the 34% RYL from the O₃ elevation experiments, which indicates only a 37% yield protection by EDU in the hybrid rice. The incomplete protection by EDU and its genetic variability indicates the need to quantify the efficiency of protection from AO₃-induced yield loss as estimated with O₃ manipulating experiments.

Estimating the impact of ground ozone concentrations on crop yields across China from 2014 to 2018: A multi-model comparison

Ground level ozone exerts a strong impact on crop yields, yet how to properly quantify ozone induced yield losses in China remains challenging. To this end, we employed a series of O₃-crop models to estimate ozone induced yield losses in China from 2014 to 2018. The outputs from all models suggested that the total Relative Yield Losses (RYL) of wheat in China from 2014 to 2018 was 18.4%-49.3% and the total RYL of rice was 6.2%-52.9%. Consequently, the total Crop Production Losses (CPL) of wheat and rice could reach 63.9-130.4 and 28.3-35.4 million tons, and the corresponding Total Economic Losses (TEL) could reach 20.5-44.7 and 11.0-15.3 billion dollars, stressing the great importance and urgency of national ozone management. Meanwhile, the estimation outputs highlighted the large variations between different regional O₃-crop models when applying to large scales. Instead of applying one unified O₃-crop models to all regions across China, we also explored the strategy of employing specific O₃-crop models in corresponding (and neighboring) regions to estimate ozone induced yield loss in China. The comparison of two strategies suggested that the mean value from multiple models may still present an inconsistent over/underestimation trend for different crops. Therefore, it is a preferable strategy to employ corresponding O₃-crop models in different regions for estimating the national crop losses caused by ozone pollution. However, the severe lack of regional O₃-crop models in most regions across China makes a robust estimation of national yield losses highly challenging. Given the large variations between O₃-crop interactions across regions, a systematic framework with massive regional O₃-crop models should be properly designed and implemented.

Novel ozone flux metrics incorporating the detoxification process in the apoplast: An application to Chinese winter wheat

A modified Ball-Berry-Leuning model of stomatal conductance was applied to data from fully open-air ozone (O₃)-enrichment experiments with winter wheat (Triticum aestivum L.). The O₃ fluxes reaching both surface of cell wall (F_cw) and plasmalemma (F_pl) were estimated considering apoplastic ascorbate, a major scavenger of O₃. The difference (D) between F_cw and F_pl was defined as detoxification capacity of O₃ by reaction with ascorbate in the leaf apoplast (ASC_apo). The accumulated stomatal O₃ flux above D nmol O₃ m^-2 s^-1 (AF_stD) and the accumulated F_pl (AF_pl) were calculated over the optimal integration period covering the whole reproductive development of wheat, and used to derive O₃AF_stD yield-response relationships in comparison with POD_Y (phytotoxic O₃ dose above a threshold of Y nmol m^-2 s^-1) and AOT40 (accumulated O₃ dose over a threshold of 40 ppb). There was a good agreement between the observed and modeled values of ASC_apo and stomatal conductance. AF_stD and AF_pl performed better than POD_Y and AOT40 in terms of R² and intercept. However, the AF_stD metric was more suitable for assessing grain yield loss due to lower sensitivity of the regression slope to variations in the input parameters, compared with AF_pl. The average critical level (CL) of four cultivars for 5% grain-yield reduction was 1.53 mmol m^-2 using POD₆ and 2.81 mmol m^-2 using AF_stD, with the latter being well above the POD₆-derived value for European cultivars (1.3 mmol m^-2). The minimum hourly averaged O₃ concentration contributed to CLs was below 20 ppb according to AF_stD, a value that is lower than that suggested by POD₆ (≈27 ppb). O₃ flux-response relationships and CLs on the basis of quantified detoxification capacity shall facilitate the understanding of the different degrees of susceptibility to O₃ among species or cultivars, and improve the assessments of O₃ impacts on plants.

Yield and economic losses of winter wheat and rice due to ozone in the Yangtze River Delta during 2014-2019

Ground-level ozone (O₃) is the main phytotoxic air pollutant causing crop yield reduction in China. As the main grain producing area in China, the Yangtze River Delta (YRD) is facing serious O₃ pollution. This study analyzed the hourly ground-level O₃ observation data of 158 stations from 2014 to 2019 in YRD, and grain production data of 193 districts and counties. The exposure-response relationships based on AOT40 (accumulated hourly O₃ concentration above 40 ppb) was used to estimate the yield loss and economic loss of two food crops (winter wheat and rice). This study used spatial interpolation and calculated the specific data values of each district and county in order to improve the assessment reliability. For years 2014-2019, averaged O₃ concentration during the 75 days growing period of rice and wheat were 33.1-50.6 ppb and 32.2-48.0 ppb, AOT40 value were 5.2-12.0 ppm h and 4.6-9.4 ppm h, and the averaged relative yield losses were 4.9%-11.4% and 9.4%-19.3%, respectively. The trend of O₃ in the YRD in a six-year period peaked in 2016 and 2017 for rice and winter wheat, respectively. During 2014-2017, the average estimated yield loss of rice was 2445 Mt. accounting for about 9.1% of the actual production, and the average estimated economic loss was about 1037 million USD; for winter wheat, it was 2025 Mt, 20.4% and 736 million USD, respectively. These results urge governments to provide effective policies and measures to control O₃ pollution.

Effects of ozone on agriculture, forests and grasslands

The damage and injury that ground level ozone (O3) causes vegetation has become increasingly evident over the past half century with a large body of observational and experimental evidence demonstrating a variety of effects at ambient concentrations on crop, forest and grassland species and ecosystems. This paper explores the use of experimental data to develop exposure-response relationships for use in risk assessment studies. These studies have typically identified the USA mid-West, much of Europe, the Indo Gangetic Plain in South Asia and the Eastern coastal region of China as global regions where O3 is likely to threaten food supply and other ecosystems. Global risk assessment modelling estimates yield losses of staple crops between 3 to 16% causing economic losses of between US$14 to 26 billion in the year 2000. Changes in anthropogenic emissions of O3 precursors in recent decades have modified O3 concentration profiles (peaks versus background O3) and global distributions with the Northern Hemisphere seeing increases in O3 levels of between 1 and 5 ppb/decade since the 1950s and the emergence of Asia as the region with the highest O3 concentrations. In the future, O3 mitigation could focus on methane (CH4) and nitrogen oxide (NOx) emissions; these will differentially influence global and local/regional O3 concentrations and influence daily and seasonal profiles. The consequent effects on vegetation will in part depend on how these changes in O3 profile alter the exceedance of detoxification thresholds for plant damage. Adaptation options may play an important role in enhancing food supply while mitigation strategies are being implemented. An improved understanding of the mechanisms by which O3 affects plants, and how this might influence detoxification thresholds and interactions with other environmental variables such as water stress and nutrients, would help develop O3 deposition and impact models to support the development of crop, land-surface exchange and ultimately earth system models for holistic assessments of global change. This article is part of a discussion meeting issue 'Air quality, past present and future'.

Quantifying determinants of ozone detoxification by apoplastic ascorbate in peach (Prunus persica) leaves using a model of ozone transport and reaction

Ascorbate in leaf apoplast (ASC_apo ) reacts with ozone (O₃ ) and thereby reduces O₃ flux reaching plasmalemma (F_pl ). Some studies have shown significant protection of cells from O₃ by ASC_apo , while others have questioned its efficacy. Hypothesizing that the protection by ASC_apo depends on other variables, we quantified determinants of O₃ detoxification with a model of O₃ transport and reaction in apoplast. The model determines ascorbic acid concentration in apoplast (AA_apo ) using measured values of O₃ concentration (c_o ), leaf tissue ascorbic acid concentration (AA_leaf ), cell wall thickness (L₃ ), apoplastic pH (pH_apo ), and stomatal conductance (G_sw ). We compared the measured and model-estimated AA_apo in leaves of peach (Prunus persica) grown in open-top chambers under non-filtered air (NF) and elevated (EO₃ : NF + 80 ppb) O₃ concentrations. The estimated AA_apo in individual leaves agreed well with the measured values (R²  = .91). Analyses of the simulation results yielded the following findings: (a) The efficacy of O₃ reduction with ASC_apo as quantified by fractional reduction (ϕ₃ ) of O₃ flux at the surface of plasmalemma (F_pl ) was lowered from 70% in NF to 40% in EO₃ due to the reduction of L₃ . The EO₃ reduced AA_apo , but the lower G_sw and L₃ in EO₃ increased AA_apo resulting in no significant change in AA_apo due to EO₃ . ϕ₃ can be calculated with measured values of AA_apo and L₃ , and F_pl can be estimated with the measurement-based ϕ₃ . (b) When c₀ is increased, F_pl increased curvilinearly with the increase of F_st : nominal O₃ flux via stomatal diffusion, exhibiting apparent threshold on F_st . The deviation of F_pl from F_st became greater when L₃ , pH_apo , and AA_leaf were increased. The quantification of ϕ₃ and F_pl using leaf traits shall facilitate the understanding of the mechanisms of differential plant sensitivity to O₃ and improve quantification of the O₃ impacts on plants.

Assessment of O3-induced yield and economic losses for wheat in the North China Plain from 2014 to 2017, China

Tropospheric ozone (O₃) is a pollutant of widespread concern in the world and especially in China for its negative effects on agricultural crops. For the first time, yield and economic losses of wheat between 2014 and 2017 were estimated for the North China Plain (NCP) using observational hourly O₃ data from 312 monitoring stations and exposure-response functions based on AOT40 index (accumulated hourly O₃ concentration above 40 ppb) from a Chinese study. AOT40 values from 2014 to 2017 during the wheat growing seasons (75-days, 44 before and 30 after mid-anthesis) ranged from 3.1 to 14.9 ppm h, 4.9-17.5 ppm h, 7.3-17.6 ppm h, and 0.5-18.6 ppm h, respectively. The highest AOT40 values were observed in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. The values of relative yield losses from 2014 to 2017 were in the ranges of 6.4-30.5%, 10.0-35.8%, 14.9-34.1%, and 21.6-38.2%, respectively. The total wheat production losses in NCP for 2014-2017 accounted for 18.5%, 22.7%, 26.2% and 30.8% in the whole production, while the economic losses amounted to 6,292 million USD, 8,524 million USD, 10,068 million USD, and 12,404 million USD, respectively. The important impact of O₃ in this area, which is of global importance, should be considered when assessing wheat yield production. Our results also show an increasing trend in AOT40, relative yield loss, total crop production loss and economic loss in the four consecutive years.

Evaluating the effects of surface O3 on three main food crops across China during 2015-2018

In order to tackle China's severe air pollution issue, the government has released the "Air Pollution Prevention and Control Action Plan" (known simply as the "Action Plan") since 2013. A recent study reported a decreased trend in PM_2.5 concentrations over 2013-2017, but O₃ pollution has become more serious. However, the effects of surface O₃ on crops are unclear after the implementation of the "Action Plan". Here, we evaluated the potential negative effects of surface O₃ on three main food crops (winter wheat, maize and rice) across China during 2015-2018 using nationwide O₃ monitoring data and AOT40-yield response functions. Results suggested that mean O₃ concentration, AOT40 and relative yield loss in China showed an overall upward trend from 2015 to 2018. During winter wheat, maize, single rice, double-early rice, and double-late rice growing seasons, mean O₃ concentration in recent years ranged from 38.6 to 46.9 ppb, 40.2-43.9 ppb, 39.3-42.2 ppb, 33.8-40.0 ppb, and 35.9-39.1 ppb, respectively, and AOT40 mean values ranged from 8.5 to 14.3 ppm h, 10.5-13.4 ppm h, 9.8-11.9 ppm h, 5.2-9.2 ppm h, and 8.0-9.5 ppm h, respectively. O₃-induced yield reductions were estimated to range from 20.1 to 33.3% for winter wheat, 5.0-6.3% for maize, 7.3-8.8% for single rice, 3.9-6.8% for double-early rice and 5.9-7.1% for double-late rice. O₃-induced production losses for winter wheat, maize, single rice, double-early rice, and double-late rice totaled 39.5-88.2 million metric tons, 12.6-21.0 million metric tons, 9.5-11.3 million metric tons, 1.2-1.8 million metric tons, and 2.2-2.7 million metric tons, respectively, and the corresponding economic losses totaled 14.3-32.0 billion US$, 3.9-6.5 billion US$, 3.9-4.6 billion US$, 0.5-0.7 billion US$, and 0.9-1.1 billion US$, respectively. Our results suggested that the government should take effective measures to reduce O₃ pollution and its effects on agricultural production.

O3-Induced Priming Defense Associated With the Abscisic Acid Signaling Pathway Enhances Plant Resistance to Bemisia tabaci

Elevated ozone (O₃) modulates phytohormone signals, which subsequently alters the interaction between plants and herbivorous insects. It has been reported that elevated O₃ activates the plant abscisic acid (ABA) signaling pathway, but its cascading effect on the performance of herbivorous insects remains unclear. Here, we used the ABA-deficient tomato mutant notabilis (not) and its wild type, Ailsa Craig (AC), to determine the role of ABA signaling in mediating the effects of elevated O₃ on Bemisia tabaci in field open-top chambers (OTCs). Our results showed that the population abundance and the total phloem-feeding duration of B. tabaci were decreased by O₃ exposure in AC plants compared with not plants. Moreover, elevated O₃ and B. tabaci infestation activated the ABA signaling pathway and enhanced callose deposition in AC plants but had little effect on those in not plants. The exogenous application of a callose synthesis inhibitor (2-DDG) neutralized O₃-induced resistance to B. tabaci, and the application of ABA enhanced callose deposition and exacerbated the negative effects of elevated O₃ on B. tabaci. However, the application of 2-DDG counteracted the negative effects of O₃ exposure on B. tabaci in ABA-treated AC plants. Collectively, this study revealed that callose deposition, which relied on the ABA signaling pathway, was an effective O₃-induced priming defense of tomato plants against B. tabaci infestation.

Ozone exposure- and flux-yield response relationships for maize

A stomatal ozone (O₃) flux-response relationship for relative yield of maize was established by parameterizing a Jarvis stomatal conductance model. For the function (f_VPD) describing the limitation of stomatal conductance by vapor pressure deficit (VPD, kPa), cumulative VPD during daylight hours was superior to hourly VPD. The latter function is proposed as a methodological improvement of this multiplicative model when stomatal conductance peaks during the morning and it is reduced later as it is the case of maize in this experiment. The model agreed relatively well with the measured stomatal conductance (R² = 0.63). Based on the comparison of R² values of the response functions, POD₆ (Phytotoxic Ozone Dose over an hourly threshold 6 nmol m^-2 s^-1) and AOT40 (accumulated hourly O₃ concentrations over a threshold of 40 ppb) performed similarly. The critical levels based on POD₆ and AOT40 for 5% reduction in maize yield were 1.17 mmol m^-2 PLA and 8.70 ppm h, respectively. In comparison with other important crops, the ranking of sensitivity of maize strongly differed depending on the O₃ metric used, AOT40 or POD₆. The newly proposed response functions are relevant for O₃ risk assessment for this crop in Asia.

Intraspecific variation in sensitivity of winter wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) to ambient ozone in northern China as assessed by ethylenediurea (EDU)

Wheat is a major staple food and its sensitivity to the gas pollutant ozone (O₃) depends on the cultivar. However, few chamber-less studies assessed current ambient O₃ effects on a large number of wheat cultivars. In this study, we used ethylenediurea (EDU), an O₃ protectant whose protection mechanisms are still unclear, to test photosynthetic pigments, gas exchange, antioxidants, and yield of 15 cultivars exposed to 17.4 ppm h AOT40 (accumulated O₃ over an hourly concentration threshold of 40 ppb) over the growing season at Beijing suburb, China. EDU significantly increased light-saturated photosynthesis rate (A_sat), photosynthetic pigments (i.e., chlorophyll and carotenoid), and total antioxidant capacity, while reduced malondialdehyde and reduced ascorbate contents. In comparison with EDU-treated plants (control), plants treated with water (no protection from ambient O₃) significantly decreased yield, weight of 1000 grains, and harvest index by 20.3%, 15.1%, and 14.2%, respectively, across all cultivars. There was a significant interaction between EDU and cultivars in all tested variables with exception of A_sat, chlorophyll, and carotenoid. The cultivar-specific sensitivity to O₃ was ranked from highly sensitive (> 25% change) to less sensitive (< 10% change) by comparing the difference of the average grain yield of plants applied with and without EDU. Neither stomatal conductance nor antioxidant capacity contributed to the different response of the cultivars to EDU, suggesting that another mechanism contributes to the large variation in response to O₃ among cultivars. Generally, the results indicate that present O₃ concentration is threatening wheat production in Northern China, highlighting the urgent need for policy-making actions to protect this critical staple food.

Comparison of crop yield sensitivity to ozone between open-top chamber and free-air experiments

Assessments of the impacts of ozone (O3 ) on regional and global food production are currently based on results from experiments using open-top chambers (OTCs). However, there are concerns that these impact estimates might be biased due to the environmental artifacts imposed by this enclosure system. In this study, we collated O3 exposure and yield data for three major crop species-wheat, rice, and soybean-for which O3 experiments have been conducted with OTCs as well as the ecologically more realistic free-air O3 elevation (O3 -FACE) exposure system; both within the same cultivation region and country. For all three crops, we found that the sensitivity of crop yield to the O3 metric AOT40 (accumulated hourly O3 exposure above a cut-off threshold concentration of 40 ppb) significantly differed between OTC and O3 -FACE experiments. In wheat and rice, O3 sensitivity was higher in O3 -FACE than OTC experiments, while the opposite was the case for soybean. In all three crops, these differences could be linked to factors influencing stomatal conductance (manipulation of water inputs, passive chamber warming, and cultivar differences in gas exchange). Our study thus highlights the importance of accounting for factors that control stomatal O3 flux when applying experimental data to assess O3 impacts on crops at large spatial scales.

Ozone exposure- and flux-based response relationships with photosynthesis of winter wheat under fully open air condition

Five winter wheat cultivars were exposed to ambient (A-O₃) and elevated (E-O₃, 1.5 ambient) O₃ in a fully open-air fumigation system in China. Ozone exposure- and flux based response relationships were established for seven physiological variables related to photosynthesis. The performance of the fitting of the regressions in terms of R² increased when second order regressions instead of first order ones were used, suggesting that effects of O₃ were more pronounced towards the last developmental stages of the wheat. The more robust indicators were those related with CO₂ assimilation, Rubisco activity and RuBP regeneration capacity (A_sat, J_max and Vc_max), and chlorophyll content (Chl). Flux-based metrics (POD_y, Phytotoxic O₃ Dose over a threshold ynmolO₃m^-2s^-1) predicted slightly better the responses to O₃ than exposure metrics (AOTX, Accumulated O₃ exposure over an hourly Threshold of X ppb) for most of the variables. The best performance was observed for metrics POD_{1 (}A_sat, J_max and Vc_max) and POD₃ (Chl). For this crop, the proposed response functions could be used for O₃ risk assessment based on physiological effects and also to include the influence of O₃ on yield or other variables in models with a photosynthetic component.

Relationships of CO2 assimilation rates with exposure- and flux-based O3 metrics in three urban tree species

The relationships of CO₂ assimilation under saturated-light conditions (A_sat) with exposure- (AOTX, Accumulated Ozone exposure over a hourly Threshold of X ppb) and flux-based (POD_Y, Phytotoxic Ozone Dose over a hourly threshold Y nmol·m^-2·s^-1) O₃ metrics was studied on three common urban trees, Fraxinus chinensis (FC), Platanus orientalis (PO) and Robinia pseudoacacia (RP). Parameterizations for a stomatal multiplicative model were proposed for the three species. RP was the species showing lower species-specific maximum stomatal conductance (g_max) and experiencing lower cumulative O₃ uptake along the experiment, but in contrast it was the most sensitive to O₃. POD_Y was slightly better than AOTX metric at estimating relative A_sat (R-A_sat)for PO and RB but not for FC. The best fittings obtained for the regressions between R-A_sat and AOTX for FC, PO and RP were 0.904, 0.868, and 0.876, when the thresholds of X were 60ppb, 55ppb and 30ppb, respectively. However, AOT40 performed also well for all of them, with R² always >0.83. For POD_Y, the highest R² values for FC, PO and RB were 0.863, 0.897 and 0.911 at thresholds Y=7, 5 and 1nmolO₃m^-2s^-1, respectively. Given the potentially higher O₃ removal capacity of FC and PO by stomatal uptake and their lower sensitivity to this pollutant than RP, the former two species would be appropriate for urban gardens and areas where O₃ levels are high. Parameterization and modeling of stomatal conductance for the main urban tree species may provide reliable estimations of the stomatal uptake of O₃ and other gaseous pollutants by vegetation, which may support decision making on the most suitable species for green urban planning in polluted areas.

Tropospheric ozone assessment report: Global ozone metrics for climate change, human health, and crop/ecosystem research

Assessment of spatial and temporal variation in the impacts of ozone on human health, vegetation, and climate requires appropriate metrics. A key component of the Tropospheric Ozone Assessment Report (TOAR) is the consistent calculation of these metrics at thousands of monitoring sites globally. Investigating temporal trends in these metrics required that the same statistical methods be applied across these ozone monitoring sites. The nonparametric Mann-Kendall test (for significant trends) and the Theil-Sen estimator (for estimating the magnitude of trend) were selected to provide robust methods across all sites. This paper provides the scientific underpinnings necessary to better understand the implications of and rationale for selecting a specific TOAR metric for assessing spatial and temporal variation in ozone for a particular impact. The rationale and underlying research evidence that influence the derivation of specific metrics are given. The form of 25 metrics (4 for model-measurement comparison, 5 for characterization of ozone in the free troposphere, 11 for human health impacts, and 5 for vegetation impacts) are described. Finally, this study categorizes health and vegetation exposure metrics based on the extent to which they are determined only by the highest hourly ozone levels, or by a wider range of values. The magnitude of the metrics is influenced by both the distribution of hourly average ozone concentrations at a site location, and the extent to which a particular metric is determined by relatively low, moderate, and high hourly ozone levels. Hence, for the same ozone time series, changes in the distribution of ozone concentrations can result in different changes in the magnitude and direction of trends for different metrics. Thus, dissimilar conclusions about the effect of changes in the drivers of ozone variability (e.g., precursor emissions) on health and vegetation exposure can result from the selection of different metrics.

Ozone exposure- and flux-based response relationships with photosynthesis, leaf morphology and biomass in two poplar clones

Poplar clones 546 (P. deltoides cv. '55/56'×P. deltoides cv. 'Imperial') and 107 (P. euramericana cv. '74/76') were exposed to five ozone concentrations in 15 open-top chambers (OTCs). Both ozone exposure (AOT40, Accumulation Over a Threshold hourly ozone concentration of 40ppb) and flux-based (POD₇, Phytotoxic Ozone Dose above an hourly flux threshold of 7nmol O₃ m^-2 PLA (projected leaf area) s^-1) response relationships were established with photosynthesis, leaf morphology and biomass variables. Increases in both metrics showed significant negative relationships with light-saturated photosynthesis rate, chlorophyll content, leaf mass per area, actual photochemical efficiency of PSII in the light and root biomass but not with stomatal conductance (g_s), leaf and stem biomass. Ozone had a greater impact on belowground than on aboveground biomass. The ranking of these indicators from higher to lower sensitivity to ozone was: photosynthetic parameters, morphological index, and biomass. Clone 546 had a higher sensitivity to ozone than clone 107. The coefficients of determination (R²) were similar between exposure- and flux-based dose-response relationships for each variable. The critical levels (CLs) for a 5% reduction in total biomass for the two poplar clones were 14.8ppmh for AOT40 and 9.8mmol O₃ m^-2 PLA for POD₇. In comparison, equivalent reduction occurred at much lower values in photosynthetic parameters (4ppmh for AOT40 and 3mmol O₃ m^-2 PLA for POD₇) and LMA (5.8ppmh for AOT40 and 4mmol O₃ m^-2 PLA for POD₇). While in recent decades different CLs have been proposed for several plant receptors especially in Europe, studies focusing on both flux-based dose-response relationships and CLs are still scarce in Asia. This study is therefore valuable for regional O₃ risk assessment in Asia.

Quantification of ozone exposure- and stomatal uptake-yield response relationships for soybean in Northeast China

High ground-level O3 is a new threat to agricultural production in Northeast China with the increasing ambient O3 concentration. Little is known about its impacts on soybean production in this key agricultural region. Accumulated O3 exposure-response and stomatal O3 flux-response relationships were developed during two continuous growing seasons to evaluate O3-induced yield reduction of four typical soybean cultivars in Northeast China. Results showed that critical levels of AOT40 (accumulated hourly O3 concentrations over a threshold of 40nmol·mol-1), SUM06 (sum of all hourly average O3 concentrations over 0.06μmol·mol-1) and W126 (sum of O3 concentrations weighted by a sigmoidal function) in relation to 5% reduction in relative seed yield were 4.2, 7.6 and 6.8μmol·mol-1·h, respectively. The effect of O3 on plants was influenced by leaf position in canopy. An improved Jarvis stomatal conductance model including leaf (node) position fitted well with field measurements. The best linear relationship between stomatal O3 flux and relative soybean yield was obtained when phytotoxic ozone dose was integrated over a threshold of 9.6nmol·m-2·s-1 (POD9.6) to represent the detoxification capacity of soybean. POD9.6 and the commonly used POD6 in relation to 5% reduction in relative seed yield of soybean were 0.9mmol·m-2 and 1.8mmol·m-2, respectively. O3 concentrations above ~38nmol·mol-1 contributed to POD9.6 and caused seed yield loss in soybean. Current annual yield loss of soybean at ambient O3 was estimated to range between 23.4% and 30.2%. The O3 dose-response relationships and corresponding thresholds obtained here will benefit regional O3 risk assessment on soybean production in Northeast China.

Understanding and improving global crop response to ozone pollution

Concentrations of ground-level ozone ([O3 ]) over much of the Earth's land surface have more than doubled since pre-industrial times. The air pollutant is highly variable over time and space, which makes it difficult to assess the average agronomic and economic impacts of the pollutant as well as to breed crops for O3 tolerance. Recent modeling efforts have improved quantitative understanding of the effects of current and future [O3 ] on global crop productivity, and experimental advances have improved understanding of the cellular O3 sensing, signaling and response mechanisms. This work provides the fundamental background and justification for breeding and biotechnological approaches for improving O3 tolerance in crops. There is considerable within-species variation in O3 tolerance in crops, which has been used to create mapping populations for screening. Quantitative trait loci (QTL) for O3 tolerance have been identified in model and crop species, and although none has been cloned to date, transcript profiling experiments have identified candidate genes associated with QTL. Biotechnological strategies for improving O3 tolerance are also being tested, although there is considerable research to be done before O3 -tolerant germplasm is available to growers for most crops. Strategies to improve O3 tolerance in crops have been hampered by the lack of translation of laboratory experiments to the field, and the lack of correlation between visual leaf-level O3 damage and yield loss to O3 stress. Future efforts to screen mapping populations in the field and to identify more promising phenotypes for O3 tolerance are needed.

Stomatal uptake of O3 in a Schima superba plantation in subtropical China derived from sap flow measurements

Canopy stomatal ozone (O3) flux (Fst,O3) in a plantation of Schima superba, an ecologically and economically important evergreen pioneer tree species in subtropical China, was quantified based on sap flow measurements during a 2-year period. Mean Fst,O3 and accumulated Fst,O3 (AFst0) were significantly higher in wet seasons from April to September (4.62 nmol m(-2) s(-1) and 35.37 mmol m(-2), respectively) than in dry seasons from October to March (3.90 nmol m(-2) s(-1) and 24.15 mmol m(-1), respectively), yet comparable between the 2 years of the experiment, being 4.23 nmol m(-2) s(-1) and 58.23 mmol m(-2) in April 2013-March 2014 and 4.29 nmol m(-2) s(-1) and 60.80 mmol m(-2) in April 2014-March 2015, respectively. At the diurnal scale, Fst,O3 generally peaked in the early to middle afternoon hours (13:00-15:00), while the maximum stomatal conductance (Gst,O3) typically occurred in the middle to late morning hours (09:00-11:00). Monthly integrated AFst0 reached the maximum in July, although accumulated O3 exposure (SUM0) was highest in October. Seasonally or yearly, the accumulated O3 doses, either exposure-based or flux-based, notably exceeded the currently adopted critical thresholds for the protection of forest trees. These results, on the one hand, demonstrated the decoupling between the stomatal uptake of O3 and its environmental exposure level; on the other hand, indicated the potential O3 risk for S. superba in the experimental site. Therefore, the present study endorses the use of sap flow measurements as a feasible tool for estimating Fst,O3, and the transition from the exposure-based toward flux-based metrics for assessing O3 risk for forest trees. Further studies are urgently needed to relate stomatal O3 uptake doses with tree growth reductions for an improved understanding of O3 effects on trees under natural conditions.

The Effect of Elevated Ozone Concentrations with Varying Shading on Dry Matter Loss in a Winter Wheat-Producing Region in China

Surface-level ozone pollution causes crop production loss by directly reducing healthy green leaf area available for carbon fixation. Ozone and its precursors also affect crop photosynthesis indirectly by decreasing solar irradiance. Pollutants are reported to have become even more severe in Eastern China over the last ten years. In this study, we investigated the effect of a combination of elevated ozone concentrations and reduced solar irradiance on a popular winter wheat Yangmai13 (Triticum aestivum L.) at field and regional levels in China. Winter wheat was grown in artificial shading and open-top-chamber environments. Treatment 1 (T1, i.e., 60% shading with an enhanced ozone of 100±9 ppb), Treatment 2 (T2, i.e., 20% shading with an enhanced ozone of 100±9 ppb), and Control Check Treatment (CK, i.e., no shading with an enhanced ozone of 100±9 ppb), with two plots under each, were established to investigate the response of winter wheat under elevated ozone concentrations and varying solar irradiance. At the field level, linear temporal relationships between dry matter loss and cumulative stomatal ozone uptake were first established through a parameterized stomatal-flux model. At the regional level, ozone concentrations and meteorological variables, including solar irradiance, were simulated using the WRF-CMAQ model (i.e., a meteorology and air quality modeling system). These variables were then used to estimate cumulative stomatal ozone uptake for the four major winter wheat-growing provinces. The regional-level cumulative ozone uptake was then used as the independent variable in field data-based regression models to predict dry matter loss over space and time. Field-level results showed that over 85% (T1: R(2) = 0.85 & T2: R(2) = 0.89) of variation in dry matter loss was explained by cumulative ozone uptake. Dry matter was reduced by 3.8% in T1 and 2.2% in T2 for each mmol O3·m(-2) of cumulative ozone uptake. At the regional level, dry matter loss in winter wheat would reach 50% under elevated ozone concentrations and reduced solar irradiance as determined in T1, and 30% under conditions as determined in T2. Results from this study suggest that a combination of elevated ozone concentrations and reduced solar irradiance could result in substantial dry matter loss in the Chinese wheat-growing regions.

Diurnal variation of apoplastic ascorbate in winter wheat leaves in relation to ozone detoxification

Besides stomatal closure, biological detoxification is an important protection mechanism for plants against ozone (O3). This study investigated the diurnal changes of ascorbate (a major detoxification agent) in the apoplast and leaf tissues of winter wheat grown under ambient air field conditions. Results showed the reduced ascorbate in the apoplast (ASCapo) exhibited a peak in late morning or midday, mismatching with either the maximum external O3 concentrations in mid-afternoon or the maximum stomatal O3 uptake between late morning and mid-afternoon. In contrast, the ASC in leaf tissues remained stable throughout the day. The investigations conducted in a Free-Air Concentration Elevation of O3 system confirmed that the diurnal variations of the ASCapo were induced more by the daily variations of O3 concentrations rather than the cumulative O3 effects. In conclusion, the O3-stress detoxification should be a dynamic variable rather than a fixed threshold as assumed in the stomatal flux-based O3 dose metrics.

Concentration- and flux-based ozone dose-response relationships for five poplar clones grown in North China

Concentration- and flux-based O3 dose-response relationships were developed for poplars in China. Stomatal conductance (gs) of five poplar clones was measured to parameterize a Jarvis-type multiplicative gs model. The maximum gs and other model parameters varied between clones. The strongest relationship between stomatal O3 flux and total biomass was obtained when phytotoxic ozone dose (POD) was integrated using an uptake rate threshold of 7 nmol m(-2) s(-1). The R(2) value was similar between flux-based and concentration-based dose-response relationships. Ozone concentrations above 28-36 nmol mol(-1) contributed to reducing the biomass production of poplar. Critical levels of AOT40 (accumulated O3 exposure over 40 nmol mol(-1)) and POD7 in relation to 5% reduction in total biomass for poplar were 12 μmol mol(-1) h and 3.8 mmol m(-2), respectively.

New flux based dose-response relationships for ozone for European forest tree species

To derive O3 dose-response relationships (DRR) for five European forest trees species and broadleaf deciduous and needleleaf tree plant functional types (PFTs), phytotoxic O3 doses (PODy) were related to biomass reductions. PODy was calculated using a stomatal flux model with a range of cut-off thresholds (y) indicative of varying detoxification capacities. Linear regression analysis showed that DRR for PFT and individual tree species differed in their robustness. A simplified parameterisation of the flux model was tested and showed that for most non-Mediterranean tree species, this simplified model led to similarly robust DRR as compared to a species- and climate region-specific parameterisation. Experimentally induced soil water stress was not found to substantially reduce PODy, mainly due to the short duration of soil water stress periods. This study validates the stomatal O3 flux concept and represents a step forward in predicting O3 damage to forests in a spatially and temporally varying climate.

Ozone concentrations, flux and potential effect on yield during wheat growth in the Northwest-Shandong Plain of China

Ozone (O3) concentration and flux (Fo) were measured using the eddy covariance technique over a wheat field in the Northwest-Shandong Plain of China. The O3-induced wheat yield loss was estimated by utilizing O3 exposure-response models. The results showed that: (1) During the growing season (7 March to 7 June, 2012), the minimum (16.1 ppbV) and maximum (53.3 ppbV) mean O3 concentrations occurred at approximately 6:30 and 16:00, respectively. The mean and maximum of all measured O3 concentrations were 31.3 and 128.4 ppbV, respectively. The variation of O3 concentration was mainly affected by solar radiation and temperature. (2) The mean diurnal variation of deposition velocity (Vd) can be divided into four phases, and the maximum occurred at noon (12:00). Averaged Vd during daytime (6:00-18:00) and nighttime (18:00-6:00) were 0.42 and 0.14 cm/sec, respectively. The maximum of measured Vd was about 1.5 cm/sec. The magnitude of Vd was influenced by the wheat growing stage, and its variation was significantly correlated with both global radiation and friction velocity. (3) The maximum mean Fo appeared at 14:00, and the maximum measured Fo was -33.5 nmol/(m(2)·sec). Averaged Fo during daytime and nighttime were -6.9 and -1.5 nmol/(m(2)·sec), respectively. (4) Using O3 exposure-response functions obtained from the USA, Europe, and China, the O3-induced wheat yield reduction in the district was estimated as 12.9% on average (5.5%-23.3%). Large uncertainties were related to the statistical methods and environmental conditions involved in deriving the exposure-response functions.

Ground-level O3 pollution and its impacts on food crops in China: a review

Ground-level ozone (O3) pollution has become one of the top environmental issues in China, especially in those economically vibrant and densely populated regions. In this paper, we reviewed studies on the O3 concentration observation and O3 effects on food crops throughout China. Data from 118 O3 monitoring sites reported in the literature show that the variability of O3 concentration is a function of geographic location. The impacts of O3 on food crops (wheat and rice) were studied at five sites, equipped with Open Top Chamber or O3-FACE (free-air O3 concentration enrichment) system. Based on exposure concentration and stomatal O3 flux-response relationships obtained from the O3-FACE experimental results in China, we found that throughout China current and future O3 levels induce wheat yield loss by 6.4-14.9% and 14.8-23.0% respectively. Some policies to reduce ozone pollution and impacts are suggested.

Effects of elevated O3 exposure on seed yield, N concentration and photosynthesis of nine soybean cultivars (Glycine max (L.) Merr.) in Northeast China

Nine soybean cultivars widely cultivated in Northeast China were investigated in present study to assess their O3 sensitivities on the basis of the response of photosynthesis and seed yield to ambient and future ozone (O3) concentrations, and determine whether the effects of O3 vary with the developmental stages (flowering and seed filling stages). Relative to charcoal-filtered air (CF), elevated O3 concentration (E-O3, ambient air+40 ppb) significantly reduced soybean yields by 40%, with a range of 32-46% among cultivars. E-O3 also induced significant decreases in pigment contents, net photosynthetic rate and chlorophyll a fluorescence at both flowering and seed filling stages in most cultivars. Except net photosynthetic rate and stomatal conductance (gs) at seed filling stage, all variables showed no significant interaction between O3 and cultivar, suggesting that all tested cultivars had similar sensitivities to O3. The responses of seed N content to E-O3 differed among cultivars. Ambient O3 concentration (mean of daily concentration of 19 ppb) did not induce any change relative to CF. Significant positive relationship between endogenous gs in CF and yield loss among cultivars was found only at seed filling stage. Positive correlation between effects of E-O3 on leaf N content and effects on light saturated photosynthetic rate (Asat) indicated that gs and leaf N content at seed filling stage contributes to yield loss and decreased photosynthesis by E-O3, respectively. It can be inferred that E-O3 had a larger negative effects on seed filling stage than flowering stage of soybean.

Evaluation of the effects of ozone on yield of Japanese rice (Oryza sativa L.) based on stomatal ozone uptake

To evaluate the negative impact of ozone (O3) on Japanese crop plant yield based on cumulative stomatal O3 flux, a Japanese rice cultivar, Koshihikari, was exposed to O3 in O3-exposure chambers. Stomatal diffusive conductance to water vapour were measured during the experimental period. We parameterized and improved a stomatal diffusive conductance model by considering seasonal changes in stomatal diffusive conductance, as well as the acute effects of O3 on this variable. Our adjusted model accounted for 64% of the variation within the data set. Based on the results of linear regression analyses of the relationship between relative yield and cumulative O3 uptake, the negative impact of O3 on the yield of Koshihikari can be evaluated using cumulative O3 uptake with a threshold of 10 nmol O3 m(-2) projected leaf area s(-1) and an integration period of -300 to 100 °C days from anthesis.

Chronic ozone exacerbates the reduction in photosynthesis and acceleration of senescence caused by limited N availability in Nicotiana sylvestris

Both elevated ozone (O(3)) and limiting soil nitrogen (N) availability negatively affect crop performance. However, less is known about how the combination of elevated O(3) and limiting N affect crop growth and metabolism. In this study, we grew tobacco (Nicotiana sylvestris) in ambient and elevated O(3) at two N levels (limiting and sufficient). Results at the whole plant, leaf, and cellular level showed that primary metabolism was reduced by growth in limiting N, and that reduction was exacerbated by exposure to elevated O(3). Limiting N reduced the rates of photosynthetic CO(2) uptake by 40.8% in ambient O(3)-exposed plants, and by 58.6% in elevated O(3)-exposed plants, compared with plants grown with sufficient N. Reductions in photosynthesis compounded to cause large differences in leaf and whole plant parameters including leaf number, leaf area, and leaf and root biomass. These results were consistent with our meta-analysis of all published studies of plant responses to elevated O(3) and N availability. In tobacco, N uptake and allocation was also affected by growth in limiting N and elevated O(3), and there was an O(3)-induced compensatory response that resulted in increased N recycling from senescing leaves. In addition, transcript-based markers were used to track the progress through senescence, and indicated that limiting N and elevated O(3), separately and in combination, caused an acceleration of senescence. These results suggest that reductions in crop productivity in growing regions with poor soil fertility will be exacerbated by rising background O(3).

A projection of ozone-induced wheat production loss in China and India for the years 2000 and 2020 with exposure-based and flux-based approaches

Using a high-resolution (40 × 40 km) chemical transport model coupled with the Regional Emission inventory in Asia (REAS), we simulated surface ozone concentrations ([O3 ]) and evaluated O3 -induced wheat production loss in China and India for the years 2000 and 2020 using dose-response functions based on AOT40 (accumulated [O3 ] above 40 ppb) and PODY (phytotoxic O3 dose, accumulated stomatal flux of O3 above a threshold of Y nmol m(-2) s(-1) ). Two O3 dose metrics (90 days AOT40 and POD6 ) were derived from European experiments, and the other two (75 days AOT40 and POD12 ) were adapted from Asian studies. Relative yield loss (RYL) of wheat in 2000 was estimated to be 6.4-14.9% for China and 8.2-22.3% for India. POD6 predicted greater RYL, especially for the warm regions of India, whereas the 90 days AOT40 gave the lowest estimates. For the future projection, all the O3 dose metrics gave comparable estimates of an increase in RYL from 2000 to 2020 in the range 8.1-9.4% and 5.4-7.7% for China and India, respectively. The lower projected increase in RYL for India may be due to conservative estimation of the emission increase in 2020. Sensitivity tests of the model showed that the PODY -based estimates of RYL are highly sensitive to perturbations in the meteorological inputs, but that the estimated increase in RYL from 2000 to 2020 is much more robust. The projected increase in wheat production loss in China and India in the near future is substantially larger than the uncertainties in the estimation and indicates an urgent need for curbing the rapid increase in surface [O3 ] in these regions.

Effects of ozone on crops in north-west Pakistan

Although ozone is well-documented to reduce crop yields in the densely populated Indo-Gangetic Plain, there is little knowledge of its effects in other parts of south Asia. We surveyed crops close to the city of Peshawar, in north-west Pakistan, for visible injury, linking this to passive measurements of ozone concentrations. Foliar injury was found on potato, onion and cotton when mean monthly ozone concentrations exceeded 45 ppb. The symptoms on onion were reproduced in ozone fumigation experiments, which also showed that daytime ozone concentrations of 60 ppb significantly reduce the growth of a major Pakistani onion variety. Aphid infestation on spinach was also reduced at these elevated ozone concentrations. The ozone concentrations measured in April-May in Peshawar, and used in the fumigation experiment, are comparable to those that have been modelled to occur over many parts of south Asia, where ozone may be a significant threat to sensitive crops.