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Liu Y, Yu S, Feng W, Mo H, Hua Y, Zhang M, Zhu Z, Zhang X, Wu Z, Zheng L, Wu X, Shen J, Qiu W, Lou J. A meta-analysis of diabetes risk prediction models applied to prediabetes screening. Diabetes Obes Metab 2024; 26:1593-1604. [PMID: 38302734 DOI: 10.1111/dom.15457] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/18/2023] [Revised: 12/26/2023] [Accepted: 12/27/2023] [Indexed: 02/03/2024]
Abstract
AIM To provide a systematic overview of diabetes risk prediction models used for prediabetes screening to promote primary prevention of diabetes. METHODS The Cochrane, PubMed, Embase, Web of Science and China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI) databases were searched for a comprehensive search period of 30 August 30, 2023, and studies involving diabetes prediction models for screening prediabetes risk were included in the search. The Quality Assessment Checklist for Diagnostic Studies (QUADAS-2) tool was used for risk of bias assessment and Stata and R software were used to pool model effect sizes. RESULTS A total of 29 375 articles were screened, and finally 20 models from 24 studies were included in the systematic review. The most common predictors were age, body mass index, family history of diabetes, history of hypertension, and physical activity. Regarding the indicators of model prediction performance, discrimination and calibration were only reported in 79.2% and 4.2% of studies, respectively, resulting in significant heterogeneity in model prediction results, which may be related to differences between model predictor combinations and lack of important methodological information. CONCLUSIONS Numerous models are used to predict diabetes, and as there is an association between prediabetes and diabetes, researchers have also used such models for screening the prediabetic population. Although it is a new clinical practice to explore, differences in glycaemic metabolic profiles, potential complications, and methods of intervention between the two populations cannot be ignored, and such differences have led to poor validity and accuracy of the models. Therefore, there is no recommended optimal model, and it is not recommended to use existing models for risk identification in alternative populations; future studies should focus on improving the clinical relevance and predictive performance of existing models.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yujin Liu
- Nursing Department, The second Hosiptal of Jinhua, Jinhua, China
- School of Medicine, Huzhou University, Huzhou, China
| | - Sunrui Yu
- Department of Anesthesiology, Jinhua Municipal Central Hospital, Jinhua, China
| | | | - Hangfeng Mo
- School of Medicine, Huzhou University, Huzhou, China
| | - Yuting Hua
- School of Medicine, Huzhou University, Huzhou, China
| | - Mei Zhang
- School of Medicine, Huzhou University, Huzhou, China
| | - Zhichao Zhu
- School of Medicine, Huzhou University, Huzhou, China
- Emergency Department, Jinhua Municipal Central Hospital Medical Group, Jinhua, China
| | - Xiaoping Zhang
- Nursing Department, The second Hosiptal of Jinhua, Jinhua, China
| | - Zhen Wu
- Nursing Department, The second Hosiptal of Jinhua, Jinhua, China
| | - Lanzhen Zheng
- Nursing Department, The second Hosiptal of Jinhua, Jinhua, China
| | - Xiaoqiu Wu
- Nursing Department, The second Hosiptal of Jinhua, Jinhua, China
| | - Jiantong Shen
- School of Medicine, Huzhou University, Huzhou, China
| | - Wei Qiu
- Department of Endocrinology, Huzhou Central Hospital, Huzhou, China
| | - Jianlin Lou
- Huzhou Key Laboratory of Precise Prevention and Control of Major Chronic Diseases, Huzhou University, Huzhou, China
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Nieto-Martinez R, Barengo NC, Restrepo M, Grinspan A, Assefi A, Mechanick JI. Large scale application of the Finnish diabetes risk score in Latin American and Caribbean populations: a descriptive study. Front Endocrinol (Lausanne) 2023; 14:1188784. [PMID: 37435487 PMCID: PMC10332265 DOI: 10.3389/fendo.2023.1188784] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/17/2023] [Accepted: 06/02/2023] [Indexed: 07/13/2023] Open
Abstract
Background The prevalence of type 2 diabetes (T2D) continues to increase in the Americas. Identifying people at risk for T2D is critical to the prevention of T2D complications, especially cardiovascular disease. This study gauges the ability to implement large population-based organized screening campaigns in 19 Latin American and Caribbean countries to detect people at risk for T2D using the Finnish Diabetes Risk Score (FINDRISC). Methods This cross-sectional descriptive analysis uses data collected in a sample of men and women 18 years of age or older who completed FINDRISC via eHealth during a Guinness World Record attempt campaign between October 25 and November 1, 2021. FINDRISC is a non-invasive screening tool based on age, body mass index, waist circumference, physical activity, daily intake of fruits and vegetables, history of hyperglycemia, history of antihypertensive drug treatment, and family history of T2D, assigning a score ranging from 0 to 26 points. A cut-off point of ≥ 12 points was considered as high risk for T2D. Results The final sample size consisted of 29,662 women (63%) and 17,605 men (27%). In total, 35% of subjects were at risk of T2D. The highest frequency rates (FINDRISC ≥ 12) were observed in Chile (39%), Central America (36.4%), and Peru (36.1%). Chile also had the highest proportion of people having a FINDRISC ≥15 points (25%), whereas the lowest was observed in Colombia (11.3%). Conclusions FINDRISC can be easily implemented via eHealth technology over social networks in Latin American and Caribbean populations to detect people with high risk for T2D. Primary healthcare strategies are needed to perform T2D organized screening to deliver early, accessible, culturally sensitive, and sustainable interventions to prevent sequelae of T2D, and reduce the clinical and economic burden of cardiometabolic-based chronic disease.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ramfis Nieto-Martinez
- Departments of Global Health and Population and Epidemiology, Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, United States
- Precision Care Clinic Corp., Saint Cloud, FL, United States
- Foundation for Clinic, Public Health, Epidemiology Research of Venezuela (FISPEVEN INC), Caracas, Venezuela
| | - Noël C. Barengo
- Department of Translational Medicine, Herbert Wertheim College of Medicine & Department of Global Health, Robert Stempel College of Public Health and Social Work, Florida International University, Miami, FL, United States
- Faculty of Medicine, Riga Stradiņš University, Riga, Latvia
| | - Manuela Restrepo
- Medical Affairs Latin America, Merck Kommanditgesellschaft auf Aktien (KGaA), Darmstadt, Germany
| | - Augusto Grinspan
- Medical Affairs Latin America, Merck Kommanditgesellschaft auf Aktien (KGaA), Darmstadt, Germany
| | - Aria Assefi
- Medical Affairs Latin America, Merck Kommanditgesellschaft auf Aktien (KGaA), Darmstadt, Germany
| | - Jeffrey I. Mechanick
- The Marie-Josée and Henry R. Kravis Center for Cardiovascular Health at Mount Sinai Heart, Division of Endocrinology, Diabetes and Bone Disease, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, United States
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González-Rivas JP, Infante-García MM, Nieto-Martinez R, Mechanick JI, Danaei G. Feasibility and Effectiveness of a Preventive Care Program during the Compound Humanitarian Crisis and COVID-19 Pandemic in Venezuela. Nutrients 2022; 14:nu14050939. [PMID: 35267915 PMCID: PMC8912706 DOI: 10.3390/nu14050939] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/07/2021] [Revised: 02/14/2022] [Accepted: 02/17/2022] [Indexed: 12/10/2022] Open
Abstract
Effective preventive care programs are urgently needed during humanitarian crises, as has been especially obvious during the COVID-19 pandemic. A pragmatic trial was designed: hybridized intervention (Diabetes Prevention Program [DPP] + medical nutrition therapy + liquid diet [LD]; LD group) vs. DPP only (DPP group). The participants were adults who were overweight/obese and at high risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). The LD consisted of a “homemade” milk- and fruit-juice-based beverage. Pandemic restrictions delayed the program by nine months, tripled the amount of time required for screening, and reduced the total sample to 60%. Eventually, 127 participants were randomized, and 94/127 participants (74.0%) completed the first phase. Participant dropout was influenced by migration, COVID-19 symptoms, education level, and socioeconomic status. In two months, the LD group lost 2.9 kg (p < 0.001) and the DPP group, 2.2 kg (p < 0.001) (between-group p = 0.170), with improvements in their cardiometabolic risk factors. At this stage, the DPP was shown to be feasible and effective, demonstrating weight loss with the improvement of cardiometabolic risk factors in a primary setting in Venezuela, a middle-income country with a chronic humanitarian crisis, during the COVID-19 pandemic.
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Affiliation(s)
- Juan P. González-Rivas
- Departments of Global Health and Population and Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA 02115, USA; (R.N.-M.); (G.D.)
- International Clinical Research Center (ICRC), St. Anne’s University Hospital (FNUSA) Brno, Pekařská 53, 656 91 Brno, Czech Republic;
- Foundation for Clinic, Public Health, and Epidemiological Research of Venezuela (FISPEVEN), Barquisimeto 3001, Venezuela
- Correspondence: ; Tel.: +420-735190316
| | - María M. Infante-García
- International Clinical Research Center (ICRC), St. Anne’s University Hospital (FNUSA) Brno, Pekařská 53, 656 91 Brno, Czech Republic;
- Foundation for Clinic, Public Health, and Epidemiological Research of Venezuela (FISPEVEN), Barquisimeto 3001, Venezuela
| | - Ramfis Nieto-Martinez
- Departments of Global Health and Population and Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA 02115, USA; (R.N.-M.); (G.D.)
- Foundation for Clinic, Public Health, and Epidemiological Research of Venezuela (FISPEVEN), Barquisimeto 3001, Venezuela
| | - Jeffrey I. Mechanick
- The Marie-Josée and Henry R. Kravis Center for Cardiovascular Health at Mount Sinai Heart, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY 10028, USA;
- Division of Endocrinology, Diabetes and Bone, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY 10028, USA
| | - Goodarz Danaei
- Departments of Global Health and Population and Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA 02115, USA; (R.N.-M.); (G.D.)
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Babagoli MA, Nieto-Martínez R, González-Rivas JP, Sivaramakrishnan K, Mechanick JI. Roles for community health workers in diabetes prevention and management in low- and middle-income countries. CAD SAUDE PUBLICA 2021; 37:e00287120. [PMID: 34730688 DOI: 10.1590/0102-311x00287120] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/01/2020] [Accepted: 01/12/2021] [Indexed: 11/22/2022] Open
Abstract
Diabetes prevalence is increasing worldwide, especially in low- and middle-income countries (LMIC), posing the need for improved detection and management strategies. Chronic disease models and lifestyle medicine provide structures for action. Community health workers (CHWs) can significantly contribute to chronic disease care if they are trained and integrated into low-resource health systems. Although most current CHWs worldwide are performing maternal/child health and infectious disease-related tasks, other programs involving CHWs for noncommunicable disease prevention and management are increasing. In this article, we discuss the advantages, challenges, and questions regarding possible roles assigned to CHWs in the prevention and management of diabetes. These roles include performing simple screening tests, implementing lifestyle/behavioral interventions, and connecting patients with alternatives to biomedicine. Specifically, CHWs can aid diabetes epidemiological surveillance by conducting risk score-based screening or capillary glucose testing, and they can facilitate diabetes self-management by delivering interventions described in the transcultural diabetes nutrition algorithm. Furthermore, while this role has not formally been assigned, CHWs can leverage their intimate knowledge of local practices to provide decision-making support to patients in environments with pluralistic health systems. Ethnocultural differences in CHW functions and transcultural adaptations of their roles in diabetes care should also be considered. In summary, CHWs can improve diabetes care by screening high-risk individuals and implementing lifestyle interventions, especially in LMIC.
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Affiliation(s)
- Masih A Babagoli
- Institute for Global Health Sciences, University of California, San Francisco, U.S.A.,Center for the History and Ethics of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, U.S.A
| | - Ramfis Nieto-Martínez
- LifeDoc Health, Memphis, U.S.A.,Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, U.S.A
| | - Juan P González-Rivas
- Foundation for the Clinic, Public Health, and Epidemiological Research of Venezuela, Caracas, Venezuela.,International Clinical Research Center, St Anne's University Hospital, Czech Republic
| | | | - Jeffrey I Mechanick
- Kravis Center for Clinical Cardiovascular Health at Mount Sinai Heart, New York, U.S.A.,Division of Endocrinology, Diabetes and Bone Disease, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, U.S.A
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Avilés-Santa ML, Monroig-Rivera A, Soto-Soto A, Lindberg NM. Current State of Diabetes Mellitus Prevalence, Awareness, Treatment, and Control in Latin America: Challenges and Innovative Solutions to Improve Health Outcomes Across the Continent. Curr Diab Rep 2020; 20:62. [PMID: 33037442 PMCID: PMC7546937 DOI: 10.1007/s11892-020-01341-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 51] [Impact Index Per Article: 12.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 09/10/2020] [Indexed: 02/06/2023]
Abstract
PURPOSE OF REVIEW Latin America is the scenario of great inequalities where about 32 million human beings live with diabetes. Through this review, we aimed at describing the current state of the prevalence, awareness, treatment, and control of diabetes mellitus and completion of selected guidelines of care across Latin America and identify opportunities to advance research that promotes better health outcomes. RECENT FINDINGS The prevalence of diabetes mellitus has been consistently increasing across the region, with some variation: higher prevalence in Mexico, Haiti, and Puerto Rico and lower in Colombia, Ecuador, Dominican Republic, Peru, and Uruguay. Prevalence assessment methods vary, and potentially underestimating the real number of persons with diabetes. Diabetes unawareness varies widely, with up to 50% of persons with diabetes who do not know they may have the disease. Glycemic, blood pressure, and LDL-C control and completion of guidelines to prevent microvascular complications are not consistently assessed across studies, and the achievement of control goals is suboptimal. On the other hand, multiple interventions, point-of-care/rapid assessment tools, and alternative models of health care delivery have been proposed and tested throughout Latin America. The prevalence of diabetes mellitus continues to rise across Latin America, and the number of those with the disease may be underestimated. However, some local governments are embedding more comprehensive diabetes assessments in their local national surveys. Clinicians and public health advocates in the region have proposed and initiated various multi-level interventions to address this enormous challenge in the region.
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Affiliation(s)
- M Larissa Avilés-Santa
- Division of Extramural Scientific Programs, Clinical and Health Services Research at the National Institute on Minority Health and Health Disparities, Bethesda, MD, USA.
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Conceição ALO, Corrêa NDC, Ferreira PR, Rêgo AS, Silva FB, de Carvalho STRF, Dias RDS, Paz BKB, Rocha VCDC, Bassi-Dibai D. Translation, cross-cultural adaptation and validation of the Finnish Diabetes Risk Score (FINDRISC) for use in Brazilian Portuguese: questionnaire validity study. SAO PAULO MED J 2020; 138:244-252. [PMID: 32556059 PMCID: PMC9671235 DOI: 10.1590/1516-3180.2019.0524.05032020] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/21/2019] [Accepted: 03/05/2020] [Indexed: 01/16/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The Finnish Diabetes Risk Score (FINDRISC) is a questionnaire that was developed by Finnish researchers to track the risk of diabetes. OBJECTIVE To translate, cross-culturally adapt and validate the FINDRISC for use in Brazilian Portuguese. DESIGN AND SETTING Questionnaire validity study conducted at a private university. METHODS The Brazilian version of the FINDRISC was developed through the processes of translation, back-translation, committee review and pre-testing. Test-retest reliability was measured using the intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC), kappa coefficient, standard error of measurement (SEM) and minimum detectable change (MDC). Internal consistency was measured using Cronbach's alpha. For construct validity, the total score of the FINDRISC was correlated with the Diabetes Knowledge Scale (DKN-A) and Diabetes Mellitus Risk Questionnaire (QRDM). Ceiling and floor effects were also evaluated in the present study. RESULTS For construct validity and floor and ceiling effect measurements, a total sample of 107 participants was used. For reliability, a subsample of 51 participants out of the total sample was used. We identified adequate values for reliability (kappa ≥ 0.79 and ICC = 0.98) and internal consistency (Cronbach's alpha = 0.84). Regarding the error inherent in the FINDRISC, we found SEM = 8.02% and MDC = 22.44%. There were significant correlations between the FINDRISC and the QRDM (r = 0.686) and DKN-A (r = -0.216). No ceiling or floor effects were found. CONCLUSION The Brazilian version of the FINDRISC has adequate psychometric properties that are in accordance with the best international recommendations.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Natália de Castro Corrêa
- Master’s Degree Student, Postgraduate Program on Program Management and Healthcare Services, Universidade Ceuma (UNICEUMA), São Luís (MA), Brazil.
| | | | - Adriana Sousa Rêgo
- PhD. Professor, Postgraduate Program on Program Management and Healthcare Services, Universidade Ceuma (UNICEUMA), São Luís (MA), Brazil.
| | - Fabricio Brito Silva
- PhD. Professor, Postgraduate Program on Environment, Universidade Ceuma (UNICEUMA), São Luís (MA), Brazil.
| | | | - Rosane da Silva Dias
- PhD. Coordinator, Postgraduate Program on Program Management and Healthcare Services, Universidade Ceuma (UNICEUMA), São Luís (MA), Brazil.
| | | | | | - Daniela Bassi-Dibai
- PhD. Professor, Postgraduate Program on Program Management and Healthcare Services, Universidade Ceuma (UNICEUMA), São Luís (MA), Brazil.
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Carrillo-Larco RM, Aparcana-Granda DJ, Mejia JR, Bernabé-Ortiz A. FINDRISC in Latin America: a systematic review of diagnosis and prognosis models. BMJ Open Diabetes Res Care 2020; 8:e001169. [PMID: 32327446 PMCID: PMC7202717 DOI: 10.1136/bmjdrc-2019-001169] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/31/2019] [Revised: 01/21/2020] [Accepted: 02/22/2020] [Indexed: 12/24/2022] Open
Abstract
This review aimed to assess whether the FINDRISC, a risk score for type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), has been externally validated in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC). We conducted a systematic review following the CHARMS (CHecklist for critical Appraisal and data extraction for systematic Reviews of prediction Modelling Studies) framework. Reports were included if they validated or re-estimated the FINDRISC in population-based samples, health facilities or administrative data. Reports were excluded if they only studied patients or at-risk individuals. The search was conducted in Medline, Embase, Global Health, Scopus and LILACS. Risk of bias was assessed with the PROBAST (Prediction model Risk of Bias ASsessment Tool) tool. From 1582 titles and abstracts, 4 (n=7502) reports were included for qualitative summary. All reports were from South America; there were slightly more women, and the mean age ranged from 29.5 to 49.7 years. Undiagnosed T2DM prevalence ranged from 2.6% to 5.1%. None of the studies conducted an independent external validation of the FINDRISC; conversely, they used the same (or very similar) predictors to fit a new model. None of the studies reported calibration metrics. The area under the receiver operating curve was consistently above 65.0%. All studies had high risk of bias. There has not been any external validation of the FINDRISC model in LAC. Selected reports re-estimated the FINDRISC, although they have several methodological limitations. There is a need for big data to develop-or improve-T2DM diagnostic and prognostic models in LAC. This could benefit T2DM screening and early diagnosis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rodrigo M Carrillo-Larco
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK
- CRONICAS Centre of Excellence in Chronic Diseases, Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, Lima, Peru
- Instituto de Investigación, Universidad Católica Los Ángeles de Chimbote, Chimbote, Peru
| | - Diego J Aparcana-Granda
- CRONICAS Centre of Excellence in Chronic Diseases, Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, Lima, Peru
| | - Jhonatan R Mejia
- Facultad de Medicina Humana, Universidad Nacional del Centro del Perú, Huancayo, Peru
| | - Antonio Bernabé-Ortiz
- CRONICAS Centre of Excellence in Chronic Diseases, Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, Lima, Peru
- Universidad Científica del Sur, Lima, Peru
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