The Patterns, Risk Factors, and Prediction of Progression in Chronic Kidney Disease: A Narrative Review

Ambient PM2.5 components and prevalence of chronic kidney disease: a nationwide cross-sectional survey in China

OBJECTIVES

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a global public health concern, and accumulating evidence has indicated that air pollution increases the odds of CKD. However, a limited number of studies have examined the long-term effects of ambient fine particulate matter (PM2.5) components on the risk of CKD among general population; thus, major knowledge gaps remain.

METHODS

Using data from a nationwide representative cross-sectional survey in China and a validated PM2.5 composition dataset, we established generalized linear models to quantify the association between five major components of PM2.5 and CKD prevalence.

RESULTS

There were significant associations between long-term exposure to three PM2.5 components [including black carbon (BC), sulfate (SO42-), organic matter (OM)] and increased odds of CKD prevalence. Along with an interquartile range (IQR) increment in BC (3.3 μg/m3), SO42- (9.7 μg/m3), and OM (16.2 μg/m3) at a 4-year moving average, the odds ratios (ORs) for CKD prevalence were 1.28 (95% CI 1.07, 1.54), 1.23 (95% CI 1.03, 1.45), and 1.23 (95% CI 1.02, 1.47), respectively. We did not detect any significant association of the other two PM2.5 components [nitrate (NO3-) or ammonium (NH4+)] with CKD prevalence. Stratified analyses revealed no differences (P ≥ 0.05) in the effect estimates of subgroups based on administrative region, sex, age, and other demographic characteristics. For instance, along with an IQR increment in BC at a 4-year moving average, the ORs of CKD prevalence among males and females were 1.30 (95% CI 0.98, 1.73) and 1.29 (95% CI 1.01, 1.65), respectively. The odds of CKD were generally higher with increasing PM2.5 composition concentration.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study demonstrated that long-term exposure to specific PM2.5 components including BC, SO42-, and OM increased CKD risk in the general population. This study could provide new insights into source-directed PM2.5 control and CKD prevention.

Biomechanical and histomorphological analysis of the mandible in rats with chronic kidney disease

The present study aimed to investigate the biomechanical and histomorphological features of mandibles in an adenine-induced chronic kidney disease-mineral and bone disorder (CKD-MBD) rat model of CKD. A total of 14 Sprague-Dawley rats were randomized into the following two groups: control group and CKD group. At the end of the sixth week, all rats were euthanized, and serum was collected for biochemical marker tests. Macroscopic bone growth and biomechanical parameters were measured in the right hemimandible, while the left hemimandible was used for bone histomorphometric analysis. Compared to the control group, the CKD group showed a significant increase in serum creatinine, blood urea nitrogen, and serum parathyroid hormone at the end of the sixth week. The biomechanical structural properties significantly decreased in the CKD group compared to the control group. Bone histomorphometric analysis indicated that the trabecular bone volume of rats in the CKD group was significantly lower than that of the control group. In the CKD groups, the bone formation parameters of the trabecular bone were significantly increased, while the bone mineralization apposition rates of both the trabecular bone and periosteal cortical bone were significantly increased. The rat CKD model showed deteriorated structural mechanics, low trabecular bone volume, high trabecular bone formation, increased trabecular bone mineralization apposition rate, and increased cortical bone mineralization apposition rate, which met the characteristics of osteitis fibrosa, indicating that this model is a useful tool for the study of mandible diseases in CKD patients.

Congenital anomalies of the kidney and urinary tract: defining risk factors of disease progression and determinants of outcomes

Congenital anomalies of the kidney and urinary tract (CAKUT) result from disruptions in normal kidney and urinary tract development during fetal life and collectively represent the most common cause of kidney failure in children worldwide. The antenatal determinants of CAKUT are diverse and include mutations in genes responsible for normal nephrogenesis, alterations in maternal and fetal environments, and obstruction within the normal developing urinary tract. The resultant clinical phenotypes are complex and depend on the timing of the insult, the penetrance of underlying gene mutations, and the severity and timing of obstruction related to the sequence of normal kidney development. Consequently, there is a broad spectrum of outcomes for children born with CAKUT. In this review, we explore the most common forms of CAKUT and those most likely to develop long-term complications of their associated kidney malformations. We discuss the relevant outcomes for the different forms of CAKUT and what is known about clinical characteristics across the CAKUT spectrum that are risk factors of long-term kidney injury and disease progression.

The ShGlomAssay Combines High-Throughput Drug Screening With Downstream Analyses and Reveals the Protective Role of Vitamin D3 and Calcipotriol on Podocytes

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a major public health burden affecting more than 500 million people worldwide. Podocytopathies are the main cause for the majority of CKD cases due to pathogenic morphological as well as molecular biological alterations of postmitotic podocytes. Podocyte de-differentiation is associated with foot process effacement subsequently leading to proteinuria. Since currently no curative drugs are available, high throughput screening methods using a small number of animals are a promising and essential tool to identify potential drugs against CKD in the near future. Our study presents the implementation of the already established mouse GlomAssay as a semi-automated high-throughput screening method-shGlomAssay-allowing the analysis of several hundreds of FDA-verified compounds in combination with downstream pathway analysis like transcriptomic and proteomic analyses from the same samples, using a small number of animals. In an initial prescreening we have identified vitamin D3 and its analog calcipotriol to be protective on podocytes. Furthermore, by using RT-qPCR, Western blot, and RNA sequencing, we found that mRNA and protein expression of nephrin, the vitamin D receptor and specific podocyte markers were significantly up-regulated due to vitamin D3- and calcipotriol-treatment. In contrast, kidney injury markers were significantly down-regulated. Additionally, we found that vitamin D3 and calcipotriol have had neither influence on the expression of the miR-21 and miR-30a nor on miR-125a/b, a miRNA described to regulate the vitamin D receptor. In summary, we advanced the established mouse GlomAssay to a semi-automated high-throughput assay and combined it with downstream analysis techniques by using only a minimum number of animals. Hereby, we identified the vitamin D signaling pathway as podocyte protective and to be counteracting their de-differentiation.

The Effects of Exercise Habit on Albuminuria and Metabolic Indices in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: A Cross-Sectional Study

Background and Objectives: Diabetes mellitus (DM) can cause macrovascular and microvascular complications, potentially resulting in further life-threatening complications. In general, the global prevalence of type 2 DM is increasing. To date, the care of DM comprises three aspects: diet, medication and exercise; among them, exercise is the most economical. Albuminuria is associated with renal injury and the progress of chronic kidney disease (CKD). The effects of habitual exercise in patients with new onset of diabetic kidney disease (DKD) have not been generally recognized. Our aim was to conduct an observational study regarding the effects of regular exercise on proteinuria and associated metabolic indices in patients with newly diagnosed type 2 DM. To investigate the effects of an exercise habit on albuminuria and the metabolic indices including renal function, blood glucose, and plasma lipids among patients with newly diagnosed type 2 DM. Materials and Methods: A cross-sectional study was conducted on newly diagnosed DM patients in two teaching hospitals in Taiwan from 1 June to 31 December 2020. The DM patients participated in the Diabetes Shared Care Network. According to the DM care mode, the patients’ blood biochemical results were analysed. Based on exercise duration, the patients were divided into two groups, i.e., the exercise group (≥150 min per week) and the non-exercise group (<150 min per week). Clinical demographic features and laboratory examination including blood and urine biochemistries were determined. Results: A total of 229 patients including 99 males (43.2%) and 130 females (56.8%) participated in the study. The proportion of DM patients with normoalbuminuria was higher (p < 0.05) in the exercise group (69.8%) than in the non-exercise group (53.7%), and the proportion of DM patients with micro or macroalbuminuria was lower in the exercise group (30.2%) than in the non-exercise group (46.3%). Levels of glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c), fasting plasma glucose (FPG), triglycerides (TG) and high-density lipoprotein (HDL) were significantly different in both groups. Compared with the non-exercise group, lower HbA1c (6.89 ± 0.69 vs. 7.16 ± 1.05%) (p < 0.05), lower FPG (121.9 ± 25.7 vs. 140.5 ± 42.4 mg/dL) (p < 0.05), lower TG (115.6 ± 53.6 vs. 150.2 ± 15.4 mg/dL) (p < 0.05), and higher HDL (50.3 ± 11.4 vs. 44.1 ± 9.26 mg/dL) (p < 0.05) levels were noted in the exercise group. Conclusions: Regular exercise remains imperative and may bear an impact on albuminuria, blood glucose, and plasma lipids among type 2 DM patients. Therefore, medical staff and healthcare providers should encourage patients to maintain an exercise duration ≥150 min per week for preventing and controlling DM progression.

Apolipoprotein L1 variability is associated with increased risk of renal failure in the Czech population

BACKGROUND

With stage 5 chronic kidney disease (CKD5) more prevalent in the Czech Republic than in most European countries, genetic susceptibility is potentially implicated.

METHODS

In a group of 1489 CKD5 kidney transplantation patients (93% with complete clinical characteristics; mean age 52.0 years, 37% females) and 2559 healthy controls (mean age 49.0 years, 51% females), we examined the prevalence of six APOL1 SNPs (rs73885319, rs71785313, rs13056427, rs136147, rs10854688 and rs9610473) and one newly detected 55-nucleotide insertion/deletion polymorphism.

RESULTS

The rs73885319 and rs71785313 variants were monomorphic in the Czech Caucasian population. Genotype frequencies of the three SNPs examined (rs13056427, rs136147 and rs9610473) were almost identical in patients and controls (all P values were between 0.39 and 0.91). Minor homozygotes of rs10854688 were more common between the patients (13.2%) than in controls (10.7%) (OR [95% CI]; 1.32 [1.08-1.64]; P < 0.01). Prevalence of the newly detected 55-bp APOL1 deletion was significantly higher in CKD5 patients (3.0% vs. 1.7%; OR [95% CI]; 1.80 [1.16-2.80]; P < 0.01) compared to controls. Frequencies of some individual APOL1 haplotypes were borderline different between patients and controls.

CONCLUSION

We found an association between rs10854688 SNP within the APOL1 gene and end-stage renal disease in the Czech Caucasian population. Further independent studies are required before a conclusive association between the newly detected APOL1 insertion/deletion polymorphism and CKD5 can be confirmed.

Association Between Higher Variability in Kidney Function and Long-term Mortality

AIM

We evaluated whether estimated glomerular filtration rate variability in the general population could be associated with all-cause mortality.

METHODS

Health examination data from 7,842 individuals aged >20 years who visited for health check-ups at least thrice at ≥6-month intervals between May 1, 1995 and November 30, 2010 were collected. Estimated glomerular filtration rate variability was defined as the coefficient of variation of the estimated glomerular filtration rate, i.e., standard deviation/mean value multiplied by 100. The study population was divided into three groups based on the coefficient of variation tertiles, and the mortality risks were compared across groups.

RESULTS

The mean duration from the final visit to the outcome was 10.3±2.9 years. The mean coefficient of variations of estimated glomerular filtration rate variability from the lowest to the highest variability group were 5.1±1.8%, 9.0±1.0%, and 14.4±3.9%, respectively. There was a 1.3 times higher risk of mortality in the group with the highest variability (hazard ratio: 1.300, 95% confidence interval: 1.013-1.669) after adjustment. The findings were similar in patients with diabetes and those >60 years old (hazard ratio: 1.635, 95% confidence interval: 1.076-2.483; hazard ratio: 1.585, 95% confidence interval: 1.107-2.269).

CONCLUSION

Higher estimated glomerular filtration rate variability was associated with increased 10-year mortality in the general population. This variability was very small, but considering the patients' long-term prognoses, it was significant. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

A randomized double-blind cross-over trial to study the effects of resistant starch prebiotic in chronic kidney disease (ReSPECKD)

Background

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is associated with a reduced quality of life and an increased risk of kidney failure, cardiovascular events, and all-cause mortality. Accumulation of nitrogen-based uremic toxins leads to worsening of symptoms in individuals with CKD. Many uremic toxins, such as indoxyl and p-cresol sulphate, are produced exclusively by the gut microbiome through the proteolytic digestion of aromatic amino acids. Strategies to reduce the production of these toxins by the gut microbiome in individuals with CKD may lessen symptom burden and delay the onset of dialysis. One such strategy is to change the overall metabolism of the gut microbiome so that less uremic toxins are produced. This can be accomplished by manipulating the energy source available to the microbiome. Fermentable carbohydrates which reach the gut microbiome, like resistant starch (RS), have been shown to inhibit or reduce bacterial amino acid metabolism. This study aims to investigate the effects of resistant potato starch (RPS) as a prebiotic in individuals with CKD before the onset of dialysis.

Methods

This is a double-blind, randomized two-period crossover trial. Thirty-six eligible participants will consent to follow a 26-week study regimen. Participants will receive 2 sachets per day containing either 15 g of RPS (MSPrebiotic, resistant potato starch treatment) or 15 g cornstarch (Amioca TF, digestible starch control). Changes in blood uremic toxins will be investigated as the primary outcome. Secondary outcomes include the effect of RPS consumption on symptoms, quality of life and abundance, and diversity and functionality of the gut microbiome.

Discussion

This randomized trial will provide further insight into whether the consumption of RPS as a prebiotic will reduce uremic toxins and symptoms in individuals who have CKD.

Trial registration

ClinicalTrials.govNCT04961164. Registered on 14 July 2021

Serum elabela and apelin levels during different stages of chronic kidney disease

PURPOSE

The association of serum elabela (ELA) and apelin with the progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD) is unknown. We determined if serum ELA and apelin levels were associated with CKD stage.

METHODS

This observational study involved 60 CKD patients and 20 healthy, age-, race-, and gender-matched controls. The participants were grouped according to renal function as follows: normal control group, CKD1 group (stage-1 CKD, 20 patients), CKD3 group (stage-3 CKD, 20 patients), and CKD5 group (stage-5 CKD, 20 patients) in accordance with the Kidney Disease Outcomes - Quality Initiative criteria. We recorded the demographic, clinical, and biochemical data of all participants. Serum ELA and apelin levels were measured using commercially available enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays.

RESULTS

Serum ELA levels gradually and significantly declined with decreases in the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Serum ELA showed significant negative correlations with serum creatinine (r = -0.529, p < .001), blood urea nitrogen (r = -0.575, p < .001), systolic blood pressure (r = -0.455, p < .001), and diastolic blood pressure (r = -0.450, p < .001), and significant positive correlations with hemoglobin (r = 0.523, p < .001) and eGFR (r = 0.728, p < .001). Multiple regression analysis showed that eGFR independently influenced serum ELA levels. No significant association was found between serum apelin levels and CKD progression.

CONCLUSION

In CKD patients, serum ELA levels decreased with decreasing eGFR. This finding may provide a new target for the prediction, diagnosis, and staging of CKD.

Adverse outcomes associated with rapid linear and non-linear patterns of chronic kidney disease progression

Background

Patients with rapidly declining renal function face the dual threat of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) and mortality prior to ESRD. What is less well characterised is whether the pattern of the renal trajectory, linear or non-linear, unmasks subgroups of rapidly progressing patients that face adverse outcomes in a differential manner.

Methods

An individual eGFR slope was applied to all outpatient estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) values for each patient in the Salford Kidney Study from 2002 to 2018 who had at least 2 years follow-up, ≥4 eGFR values and baseline eGFR 15 to < 60 ml/min/1.73m². Rapid progression was defined as an annual eGFR slope of ≤ − 3 ml/min/1.73m²/yr and patients were categorised as linear or non-linear progressors based on the nature of their eGFR-time graphs. A Fine-Gray competing risk hazard model was used to determine factors associated with progression to ESRD and with mortality prior to ESRD. Cumulative incidence function curves highlighted differences in outcomes between linear and non-linear patients.

Results

There were 211 rapidly deteriorating patients with linear eGFR trajectories and 61 rapid non-linear patients in the study cohort. Factors associated with ESRD included younger age, male gender, lower baseline eGFR and higher serum phosphate, whilst older age, history of myocardial infarction and anaemia predicted mortality prior to ESRD. Over a median follow-up of 3.7 years, linear progressors reached ESRD sooner whilst those with non-linear progression faced significantly higher rates of mortality prior to ESRD.

Conclusions

Patients with rapid eGFR decline have high rates of adverse outcomes that are differentially expressed in those progressing linearly and non-linearly as a result of differing phenotypic profiles. Consequently, addressing individual risk factor profiles is important to deliver optimal personalised patient care.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12882-021-02282-5.

A Paradigm to Discover Biomarkers Associated With Chronic Kidney Disease Progression

Biomarker discovery in the field of risk prediction in chronic kidney disease (CKD) embraces the prospect of improving our ability to risk stratify future adverse outcomes and thereby guide patient care in a new era of personalised medicine. However, many studies that report biomarkers predictive of CKD progression share a key methodological limitation: failure to characterise patients' renal progression precisely. This weakens any observable association between a biomarker and an outcome poorly defined by a patient's change in renal function over time. In this commentary, we discuss the need for a better approach in this research arena and describe a compelling strategy that has the advantage of offering robust and meaningful biomarker exploration relevant to CKD progression.

Dietary satisfaction and quality of life in chronic kidney disease patients on low-protein diets: a multicentre study with long-term outcome data (TOrino-Pisa study)

BACKGROUND

Concerns about adherence and quality of life (QoL) limit the diffusion of low-protein diets (LPDs) as a way to slow chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression and postpone dialysis. The aim of this multicentre study is to assess dietary satisfaction in stable CKD patients.

METHODS

This was a multicentre cross-sectional study with long-term follow-up data. Prevalent patients on LPD for at least 6 months were selected in four Italian centres. QoL was assessed using the World Health Organization Quality of Life questionnaire, and diet satisfaction with the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease satisfaction questionnaire. Comorbidity was assessed by Charlson Comorbidity Index, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was calculated by the CKD Epidemiology Collaboration equation and protein intake by Maroni-Mitch formula. Survival was analysed with Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox Proportional Hazard Model.

RESULTS

Four hundred and twenty-two CKD Stages 3-5 patients were enrolled. Over 95% were on moderately restricted diets (0.6 g/kg/day). Compliance was good (protein intake: 0.59 g/kg/day at baseline, 0.72 at the end of follow-up). Median dietary satisfaction was 4 on a 1-5 scale. QoL was not affected by the type of diet, but was influenced by age, comorbidity and setting of care. Two years later, at the end of follow-up, 66.6% of the patients were still on a diet; the main causes of discontinuation were dialysis and death. The dropout rate was low (5.5%); in Cox analysis, patient and renal survival were influenced by age and eGFR, but not by QoL, setting of care or type of diet.

CONCLUSIONS

LPDs are compatible with high dietary satisfaction and minimal dropout, at least in patients who are able to follow such a diet for at least 6 months.

Risk Prediction for Early Chronic Kidney Disease: Results from an Adult Health Examination Program of 19,270 Individuals

Developing effective risk prediction models is a cost-effective approach to predicting complications of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and mortality rates; however, there is inadequate evidence to support screening for CKD. In this study, four data mining algorithms, including a classification and regression tree, a C4.5 decision tree, a linear discriminant analysis, and an extreme learning machine, are used to predict early CKD. The study includes datasets from 19,270 patients, provided by an adult health examination program from 32 chain clinics and three special physical examination centers, between 2015 and 2019. There were 11 independent variables, and the glomerular filtration rate (GFR) was used as the predictive variable. The C4.5 decision tree algorithm outperformed the three comparison models for predicting early CKD based on accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve metrics. It is, therefore, a promising method for early CKD prediction. The experimental results showed that Urine protein and creatinine ratio (UPCR), Proteinuria (PRO), Red blood cells (RBC), Glucose Fasting (GLU), Triglycerides (TG), Total Cholesterol (T-CHO), age, and gender are important risk factors. CKD care is closely related to primary care level and is recognized as a healthcare priority in national strategy. The proposed risk prediction models can support the important influence of personality and health examination representations in predicting early CKD.

The CHA2DS2-VASc score predicts chronic kidney disease among patients with atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

It is unclear how the CHA2DS2-VASc score can predict subsequent chronic kidney disease (CKD) and end-stage renal disease (ESRD) among atrial fibrillation (AF) patients.

METHODS

We identified incident AF patients without CKD between 2000 and 2013 from the National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD) of Taiwan and calculated the CHA₂DS₂-VASc score for each patient. Adjusted hazard ratio (HR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) was estimated from multivariate cause-specific Cox models to assess the risk of CKD and ESRD associated with the CHA₂DS₂-VASc score.

RESULTS

A total of 8764 participants with AF who did not have CKD were included in the analysis. The mean age was 69.63 ± 13.48 years and 4800 (54.8%) were males. The adjusted HR of CKD displayed a stepwise increase with the increase in the CHA₂DS₂-VASc score. When compared with those with a CHA₂DS₂-VASc score of 0, the adjusted HRs of CKD were 1.57 (95% CI 1.09-2.26), 2.04 (95% CI 1.42-2.94), 2.48 (95% CI 1.70-3.62), 2.88 (95% CI 1.95-4.26), 3.29 (95% CI 2.18-4.95) and 4.00 (95% CI 2.61-6.13) for the AF patients with a CHA₂DS₂-VASc score of 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 and ≥ 6, respectively. Similarly, as the CHA₂DS₂-VASc score increased, the adjusted HR of ESRD showed a gradual increase.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with a higher CHA₂DS₂-VASc score were linked to a higher risk of CKD and ESRD in a dose-dependent effect, i.e. the incidence of CKD/ESRD increased with the increasing CHA₂DS₂-VASc score.

Markers and risk factors for chronic kidney disease in sub-Saharan Africans: baseline levels and 12-month trajectories in newly referred patients in Cameroon

Background

Little is known about the changes in disease makers and risk factors in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) under nephrological care in Africa. This study aimed to evaluate the baseline level of markers of CKD and their 12-month time-trend in newly referred patients in a tertiary hospital in Cameroon.

Methods

This was a retrospective cohort study including 420 patients referred for CKD between 2006 and 2012 to the nephrology unit of the Douala General Hospital in the littoral region of Cameroon. Their disease and risk profile was assessed at baseline and every 3 months for 1 year. Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was based on MDRD and Schwartz equations. CKD was diagnosed in the presence of eGFR< 60 ml/min/1.73 m² and/or proteinuria> 1+ and/or abnormal renal ultrasound persisting for ≥3 months. Data analysis used mixed linear regressions.

Results

Of the 420 patients included, 66.9% were men and mean age was 53.8 (15.1) years. At referral, 37.5% of the participants were at CKD Stage 3, 30.8% at stage 4 and 26.8% at stage 5. There was 168 (40%) diabetic and 319 (75.9%) hypertensive patients. After some improvement during the first 3 months, eGFR steadily decreased during the first year of follow-up, and this pattern was robust to adjustment for many confounders. Systolic and diastolic blood pressure levels significantly fluctuated during the first twelve months of follow-up. Changes in the levels of other risk factors and markers of disease severity over time were either borderline or non-significant.

Conclusion

Patients with CKD in African settings are referred to the nephrologist at advanced stages. This likely translates into a less beneficial effects of specialised care on the course of the disease.

Frailty Predicts an Increased Risk of End-Stage Renal Disease with Risk Competition by Mortality among 165,461 Diabetic Kidney Disease Patients

To examine the effect of frailty on diabetic kidney disease patients’ risk of progression to end-stage renal disease (ESRD), mortality, and adverse episodes, as whether frailty modifies their risk of developing ESRD and other adverse outcomes remains unclear. We identified 165,461 DKD patients from the Longitudinal Cohort of Diabetes Patients in Taiwan (n=840,000) between 2004 and 2010, classifying them into those without frailty or with 1, 2 and ≥3 frailty components based on a modified version of FRAIL scale. Using Cox proportional hazard regression analysis, we examined the long-term risk of developing ESRD along with their risk of mortality, supplemented by a competing risk analysis against mortality. Among all participants, 66.2% (n=109,586), 27.2% (n=44,986), 5.9% (n=9,799), and 0.7% (n=1090) patients did not have or had 1, 2, and ≥3 frailty components, respectively. After a 4.1-year follow-up, 4.2% patients developed ESRD and 18.5% died. Cox proportional hazard modeling revealed that patients with 1, 2, and ≥3 frailty components had increased risks of developing ESRD (for 1, 2, and ≥3 components, hazard ratio [HR] 1.13, 1.18, and 1.2, respectively) and mortality (HR 1.25, 1.41, and 1.34, respectively), with. 9% and 16% risk elevations for ESRD and mortality per component increase. Competing risk analysis showed that frailty-induced ESRD risk was attenuated partially by mortality in those with moderate frailty. The receipt of palliative care did not attenuate this risk. Frailty increased the risk of ESRD based on a dose-response relationship among DKD patients with risk competition by mortality.

c‑Jun N‑terminal kinase/transforming growth factor‑β/Smad3 pathway: Is it associated with endoplasmic reticulum stress‑mediated renal interstitial fibrosis?

The present study investigated the role of the c‑Jun N‑terminal kinase (JNK)/transforming growth factor‑β (TGF‑β)/Smad3 pathway in endoplasmic reticulum stress (ERS)‑mediated renal interstitial fibrosis, which would be beneficial for chronic kidney disease (CKD) therapy. In human renal biopsy tissue, the expression levels of glucose‑regulated protein 78 (GRP78) and phosphorylated (p)‑JNK were examined by immunohistochemical analysis. In renal tubular HK‑2 cells, tunicamycin (TM) was used to induce ERS, and the cells were then treated with the chemical ERS inhibitor 4‑phenylbutyrate (4‑PBA) or the chemical JNK pathway inhibitor SP600125, respectively. Western blotting was then performed in the cells to determine the expression levels of GRP78 and p‑JNK proteins, as well as TGF‑β/Smad3 pathway‑associated proteins, including TGF‑β1, p‑Smad3, connective tissue growth factor and α‑smooth muscle actin. The results revealed that GRP78 and p‑JNK were evidently expressed in the renal tissues of patients with CKD, and these expression levels were significantly higher in renal tissues with severe interstitial fibrosis compared with glomerular minor lesion tissues (P<0.01 and P<0.05, respectively). Furthermore, ERS and JNK pathway inhibition decreased the expression levels of TGF‑β/Smad3 pathway signals in cells incubated with TM. ERS pathway inhibition also attenuated the expression levels of p‑JNK in HK‑2 cells. In conclusion, ERS was observed to serve an important role in the pathogenesis of CKD and may induce renal interstitial fibrosis via the JNK/TGF‑β/Smad3 pathway.

Temporal validation of the CT-PIRP prognostic model for mortality and renal replacement therapy initiation in chronic kidney disease patients

Background

A classification tree model (CT-PIRP) was developed in 2013 to predict the annual renal function decline of patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) participating in the PIRP (Progetto Insufficienza Renale Progressiva) project, which involves thirteen Nephrology Hospital Units in Emilia-Romagna (Italy). This model identified seven subgroups with specific combinations of baseline characteristics that were associated with a differential estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) annual decline, but the model’s ability to predict mortality and renal replacement therapy (RRT) has not been established yet.

Methods

Survival analysis was used to determine whether CT-PIRP subgroups identified in the derivation cohort (n = 2265) had different mortality and RRT risks. Temporal validation was performed in a matched cohort (n = 2051) of subsequently enrolled PIRP patients, in which discrimination and calibration were assessed using Kaplan-Meier survival curves, Cox regression and Fine & Gray competing risk modeling.

Results

In both cohorts mortality risk was higher for subgroups 3 (proteinuric, low eGFR, high serum phosphate) and lower for subgroups 1 (proteinuric, high eGFR), 4 (non-proteinuric, younger, non-diabetic) and 5 (non-proteinuric, younger, diabetic). Risk of RRT was higher for subgroups 3 and 2 (proteinuric, low eGFR, low serum phosphate), while subgroups 1, 6 (non-proteinuric, old females) and 7 (non-proteinuric, old males) showed lower risk. Calibration was excellent for mortality in all subgroups while for RRT it was overall good except in subgroups 4 and 5.

Conclusions

The CT-PIRP model is a temporally validated prediction tool for mortality and RRT, based on variables routinely collected, that could assist decision-making regarding the treatment of incident CKD patients. External validation in other CKD populations is needed to determine its generalizability.

Dental caries and developmental defects of enamel in individuals with chronic kidney disease: Systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate studies assessing the prevalence of dental caries and developmental defects of enamel (DDE) in individuals with chronic kidney disease (CKD) in comparison with individuals without CKD.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Electronic searches were performed in PubMed, Web of Science, Scopus, Medline via Ovid, and ProQuest databases from their inception date until February 2018. Two review authors independently selected the studies, extracted data, and assessed the methodological quality. Meta-analysis was performed.

RESULTS

Twenty-seven studies were included in this study. For permanent teeth, 14 studies found that individuals without CKD had higher dental caries scores than those with CKD. However, only five studies presented results with a statistically significant difference between groups. Among the studies evaluating primary teeth, five showed that individuals without CKD had higher dental caries scores than those with CKD. Five studies showed that individuals with CKD had a significantly higher prevalence of DDE than individuals without CKD. The meta-analyses showed that individuals without CKD had significantly higher scores of dental caries teeth and surfaces than individuals with CKD. For DDE, no statistical difference between groups was observed.

CONCLUSIONS

Individuals with CKD present lower dental caries scores and a higher prevalence of DDE in comparison with individuals without CKD.

Time-Centered Approach to Understanding Risk Factors for the Progression of CKD

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Traditional approaches to modeling risk of CKD progression do not provide estimates of the time it takes for disease progression to occur, which could be useful in guiding therapeutic interactions between patients and providers. Our objective was to estimate median time spent in each of CKD stages 3a-5 and how the time differs according to risk factors associated with progression of disease.

DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS

We included 3682 participants of the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort in mixed models to estimate person-specific trajectories of function, and used these trajectories to estimate time spent in each CKD stage.

RESULTS

During 9.5 years of median follow-up, participants spent longer in earlier rather than later CKD stages, ranging from a median of 7.9 years (interquartile range, 2.3 to >12 years) in stage 3a to 0.8 years (interquartile range, 0.3-1.6) in stage 5. Known risk factors for CKD progression were also associated with larger differences in time until progression to the next CKD stage in earlier versus later stages of disease. For example, compared with systolic BP <140 mm Hg, systolic BP ≥140 mm Hg was associated with 6.1 years shorter time (95% confidence interval [95% CI], 4.5 to 7.5) spent in stage 3a, 3.3 years shorter time (95% CI, 2.7 to 4.0) in stage 3b, but only 2.4 months shorter time (95% CI, 0.8 to 3.6) in stage 5. Compared with those with proteinuria <1 g/g, proteinuria ≥1 g/g was associated with 8 years shorter time spent (95% CI, 6.8 to 9.6) in stage 3a, 5.6 years shorter time (95% CI, 5.0 to 6.4) in stage 3b, but only 6 months shorter time (95% CI, 3.8 to 8) in stage 5.

CONCLUSIONS

There are marked variations in the time spent in the different stages of CKD, according to risk factors and stage of disease.

Consistency of Multiple Renal Functional MRI Measurements Over 18 Months

BACKGROUND

Identification of patients with progressive chronic kidney disease (CKD) and those likely to respond to candidate therapeutics is urgently needed. Functional MRI measurements have shown promise. However, knowledge about the consistency of the measurements is essential to conduct longitudinal studies.

PURPOSE/HYPOTHESIS

To investigate the consistency of repeated functional MRI measurements in healthy subjects.

STUDY TYPE

Prospective, longitudinal study.

SUBJECTS

Seventeen healthy subjects were examined on two different occasions, 18 months apart.

FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE

Multiple gradient-recalled-echo, 2D navigator-gated flow-sensitive alternating inversion recovery True-FISP and spin-echo planar diffusion-weighted sequences were used on a 3T scanner. Images were acquired on two different scanner configurations.

ASSESSMENT

Blood oxygenation level-dependent (BOLD) R2*, arterial spin labeling (ASL) perfusion-derived blood flow (BF) and apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) maps were analyzed using a custom image processing toolbox. Regions of interest (ROIs) were placed on renal cortex, medulla, and whole kidney. Multiple researchers were involved in defining the ROIs.

STATISTICAL TESTS

Intra- and intersubject coefficients of variation (CV) and Bland-Altman plots were used to measure consistency and evaluate bias in the measurements. A nonparametric Wilcoxon test was used to compare differences between two timepoints.

RESULTS

The intrasubject CV for R2* and ADC were 6.8% and 5.3% with small (-3.8 and 5.3%) bias, respectively, comparing baseline and 18-month data. Intrasubject CV for renal cortex BF was higher (18.7%) compared to R2* and ADC, but comparable to prior literature values over shorter durations. It also exhibited a larger bias (-15.4%) between two timepoints and significantly lower values (P = 0.022) at 18-month data.

DATA CONCLUSION

All three MRI parameters over 18 months, even with a scanner upgrade and involving multiple observers, showed good consistency. These results are useful for the interpretation of longitudinal data and support the use of these methods to monitor progression in patients with CKD.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

1 Technical Efficacy: Stage 1 J. MAGN. RESON. IMAGING 2018;48:514-521.

Fast GFR decline and progression to CKD among primary care patients with preserved GFR

BACKGROUND

Fast glomerular filtration rate (GFR) decline is associated with adverse outcomes, but the associated risk factors among patients without chronic kidney disease (CKD) are not well defined.

METHODS

From a primary care registry of 37,796, we identified 2219 (6%) adults with at least three estimated (e)GFR values and a baseline eGFR between 60 and 119 ml/min/1.73 m² during an observation period of 8 years. We defined fast GFR decline as > 5 ml/min/1.73 m² per year. The outcome measure was incident CKD (eGFR < 60 ml/min/1.73 m²). Clinical and demographic characteristics were compared using Chi-square and independent-samples t tests.

RESULTS

Older age, African-American race, unmarried status, hypertension and type 2 diabetes were more common in both fast decliners and those who developed incident CKD (p < 0.0001 to < 0.05). Lower neighborhood socioeconomic status, current smoking and baseline eGFR 90-119 ml/min/1.73 m² were associated with fast decline (p < 0.01), while baseline eGFR 60-74 ml/min/1.73 m² with incident CKD (p < 0.05). In multivariate regression models, among fast decliners with mildly reduced baseline eGFR (60-89 ml/min/1.73 m²), older age was significantly associated with incident CKD [odds ratio (OR) 1.04; 95% CI 1.01-1.08], and among those with normal baseline eGFR (≥ 90-119 ml/min/1.73 m²), type 2 diabetes was significantly associated with incident CKD (OR 3.83; 95% CI 1.35-10.89).

CONCLUSIONS

Among primary care patients without CKD, GFR is checked infrequently. We have identified patients at high risk of progressive CKD, in whom we suggest a closer monitoring of renal function.

α-klotho and anemia in patients with chronic kidney disease patients: A new perspective

Normocytic normochromic anemia is a common complication of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and is associated with numerous adverse consequences. Certain symptoms previously attributed to CKD are now known to be a consequence of anemia. Anemia contributes to an increased cardiac output, and the development of left ventricular hypertrophy, angina and congestive heart failure, leading to high morbidity and mortality in patients with CKD. The multifunctional α-klotho (KL) protein, which is predominantly expressed in the kidneys, is associated with the occurrence of anemia in patients with CKD. The present review presents current evidence on the potential role of α-KL in renal anemia. Low expression of α-KL appears to improve anemia in patients with CKD, and has been hypothesized to be a compensatory mechanism to attenuate the effects of anemia in patients with CKD. Further understanding of the role of α-KL in renal anemia may offer novel insights into the treatment of patients with CKD complicated with anemia.

New perspectives on CKD-induced dyslipidemia

INTRODUCTION

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a world-wide health concern associated with a significantly higher cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. One of the principal cardiovascular risk factors is the lipid profile. CKD patients have a more frequent and progressive atheromatous disease that cannot be explained by the classical lipid parameters used in the daily clinical practice. Areas covered: The current review summarizes prevailing knowledge on the role of lipids in atheromathosis in CKD patients, including an overview of lipoprotein metabolism highlighting the CKD-induced alterations. Moreover, to obtain information beyond traditional lipid parameters, new state-of-the-art technologies such as lipoprotein subfraction profiling and lipidomics are also reviewed. Finally, we analyse the potential of new lipoprotein subclasses as therapeutic targets in CKD. Expert opinion: The CKD-induced lipid profile has specific features distinct from the general population. Besides quantitative alterations, renal patients have a plethora of qualitative lipid alterations that cannot be detected by routine determinations and are responsible for the excess of cardiovascular risk. New parameters, such as lipoprotein particle number and size, together with new biomarkers obtained by lipidomics will personalize the management of these patients. Therefore, nephrologists need to be aware of new insights into lipoprotein metabolism to improve cardiovascular risk assessment.

Rate of renal function decline, race and referral to nephrology in a large cohort of primary care patients

INTRODUCTION

Late nephrology referral is associated with adverse outcomes especially among minorities. Research on the association of the rate of chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression with nephrology referral in white versus black patients is lacking.

OBJECTIVES

Compute the odds of nephrology referral in primary care and their associations with race and the rate of CKD progression.

METHODS

Electronic health record data were obtained from 2170 patients in primary care clinics in the Saint Louis metropolitan area with at least two estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) values over a 7-year observation period. Fast CKD progression was defined as a decline in eGFR of ≥5 ml/min/1.73 m2/year. Logistic regression models were computed to measure the associations between eGFR progression, race and nephrology referral before and after adjusting for potential confounding factors.

RESULTS

Nephrology referrals were significantly more prevalent among those with fast compared to slow progression (5.6 versus 2.0%, P < 0.0001), however, a majority of fast progressors were not referred. Fast CKD progression and black race were associated with increased odds of nephrology referral (OR = 2.74; 95% CI: 1.60-4.72 and OR = 2.42; 95% CI: 1.28-4.56, respectively). The interaction of race and eGFR progression in nephrology referral was found to be non-significant.

CONCLUSION

Nephrology referrals are more common in fast CKD progression, but referrals are underutilized. Nephrology referral is more common among blacks but its' association with rate of decline does not differ by race. Further studies are required to investigate the benefit of early referral of patients at risk of fast CKD progression.

Patterns of progression of chronic kidney disease at later stages

Background

At later stages of chronic kidney disease (CKD), a pattern of linear and irreversible renal function decline is thought to be the most common. The objective of this study was to describe the characteristics of the different patterns of CKD progression, and to investigate potentially modifiable factors associated with the rate of decline of renal function.

Methods

This was a retrospective, observational study in a cohort of adult patients with CKD Stage 4 or 5 not on dialysis. Decline in renal function was estimated as the slope of the individual linear regression line of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) over time. The following patterns of CKD progression were considered: unidentifiable, linear, nonlinear (curvilinear) and positive (improvement of renal function).

Results

The study group consisted of 915 patients (mean ±SD age 65 ± 14 years, 48% females, median follow-up time 16 months). A linear pattern was observed in 38%, unidentifiable in 23%, nonlinear in 24% and positive in 15% of the study patients. The mean eGFR slope was: −3.35 ± 4.45 mL/min/year. Linear and unidentifiable patterns were associated with more rapid loss of renal function. By multiple linear and logistic regression analysis, the magnitude of proteinuria, the systolic blood pressure and the treatment with dual renin–angiotensin system blockade were associated with more rapid CKD progression. On the contrary, older age and discontinuation of commonly prescribed medication with potential influence on renal function or eGFR measurements were associated with slower CKD progression.

Conclusions

A majority of patients with advanced CKD show patterns of renal function decline different from linear, and several of the main determinants of CKD progression are potentially modifiable.

Stress Signal Network between Hypoxia and ER Stress in Chronic Kidney Disease

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is characterized by an irreversible decrease in kidney function and induction of various metabolic dysfunctions. Accumulated findings reveal that chronic hypoxic stress and endoplasmic reticulum (ER) stress are involved in a range of pathogenic conditions, including the progression of CKD. Because of the presence of an arteriovenous oxygen shunt, the kidney is thought to be susceptible to hypoxia. Chronic kidney hypoxia is induced by a number of pathogenic conditions, including renal ischemia, reduced peritubular capillary, and tubulointerstitial fibrosis. The ER is an organelle which helps maintain the quality of proteins through the unfolded protein response (UPR) pathway, and ER dysfunction associated with maladaptive UPR activation is named ER stress. ER stress is reported to be related to some of the effects of pathogenesis in kidney, particularly in the podocyte slit diaphragm and tubulointerstitium. Furthermore, chronic hypoxia mediates ER stress in blood vessel endothelial cells and tubulointerstitium via several mechanisms, including oxidative stress, epigenetic alteration, lipid metabolism, and the AKT pathway. In summary, a growing consensus considers that these stresses interact via complicated stress signal networks, which leads to the exacerbation of CKD (Figure 1). This stress signal network might be a target for interventions aimed at ameliorating CKD.