Colorectal Cancer and Subsequent Diabetes Risk: A Population-based Cohort Study in Taiwan

CONTEXT

The association between colorectal cancer (CRC) and new-onset diabetes mellitus remains unclear.

OBJECTIVE

To examine the association between CRC and the risk of subsequent diabetes mellitus and to further investigate the impact of chemotherapy on diabetes mellitus risk in CRC.

DESIGN

A nationwide cohort study.

METHODS

Using the Taiwan Cancer Registry Database (2007-2018) linked with health databases, 86,268 patients with CRC and an equal propensity score-matched cohort from the general population were enrolled. Among them, 37,277 CRC patients from the Taiwan Cancer Registry (2007-2016) were analyzed for diabetes mellitus risk associated with chemotherapy. Chemotherapy exposure within 3 years of diagnosis was categorized as no chemotherapy, <90 days, 90-180 days, and >180 days. Differences in diabetes mellitus risk were assessed across these categories.

RESULTS

Each group involved 86,268 participants after propensity score matching. The patients with CRC had a 14% higher risk of developing diabetes mellitus than the matched general population (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.14, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.09-1.20). The highest risk was observed within the first year after diagnosis followed by a sustained elevated risk. Long-term chemotherapy (>180 days within 3 years) was associated with a 60-70% increased risk of subsequent diabetes mellitus (HR: 1.64, 95% CI: 1.07-2.49).

CONCLUSION

Patients with CRC are associated with an elevated risk of diabetes mellitus, and long-term chemotherapy, particularly involving capecitabine, increases diabetes mellitus risk. Thus, monitoring blood glucose levels is crucial for patients with CRC, especially during extended chemotherapy.

Sodium Glucose Transporter 2 Inhibitors Versus Metformin on Cardiovascular and Renal Outcomes in Patients With Diabetes With Low Cardiovascular Risk: A Nationwide Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

This study investigated whether initial SGLT2 (sodium-glucose cotransporter 2) inhibitor-based treatment is superior to metformin-based regimens as a primary prevention strategy among low-risk patients with diabetes.

METHODS AND RESULTS

In this nationwide cohort study, a total of 38 496 patients with diabetes with low cardiovascular risk were identified (age 62.0±11.6 years, men 50%) from January 1 to December 31, 2016. Patients receiving SGLT2 inhibitors-based and metformin-based regimens were 1:2 matched by propensity score. Study outcomes included all-cause mortality, cardiovascular death, hospitalization for heart failure, stroke, and progression to end-stage renal disease. Compared with 1928 patients receiving metformin-based regimens, 964 patients receiving SGLT2 inhibitor-based regimens had similar all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 0.75 [95% CI, 0.51-1.12]), cardiovascular death (HR, 0.69 [95% CI, 0.25-1.89]), hospitalization for heart failure (HR, 1.06 [95% CI, 0.59-1.92]), stroke (HR, 0.78 [95% CI, 0.48-1.27]), and progression to end-stage renal disease (HR, 0.88 [95% CI, 0.32-2.39]). However, SGLT2 inhibitors were associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality (HR, 0.47 [95% CI, 0.23-0.99]; P for interaction=0.008) and progression to end-stage renal disease (HR, 0.22 [95% CI, 0.06-0.82]; P for interaction=0.04) in patients under the age of 65.

CONCLUSIONS

In comparison to metformin-based regimens, SGLT2 inhibitor-based regimens showed a similar risk of all-cause mortality and adverse cardiorenal events. SGLT2 inhibitors might be considered as first-line therapy in select low-risk patients, for example, younger patients with diabetes.

Outcomes with T-wave discordance of left bundle branch block and preserved or mildly reduced ejection fraction

AIMS

Left bundle branch block (LBBB) is associated with an increased risk of adverse outcomes for patients with heart failure. The prognosis of LBBB in patients with a preserved ejection fraction (EF) remains controversial. This study investigated the predictive value of T-wave discordance for the prognosis of patients with LBBB and preserved or mildly reduced EF.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We enrolled 707 patients with complete LBBB and left ventricular (LV) EF ≥ 40% observed using electrocardiograms (ECGs) and echocardiograms between January 2010 and December 2018. Their serial ECGs were reviewed during the follow-up period. The T-wave pattern was classified as discordant LBBB (dLBBB) or concordant LBBB (cLBBB) according to the 12-lead ECG T-wave morphology. The primary outcome was the composite of cardiovascular death or hospitalization for heart failure during a median follow-up period of 3.1 years. A multivariable Cox regression analysis was used to evaluate the independent predictors of the primary outcome. Patients with dLBBB had more comorbidities, a higher heart rate, a longer QRS and QTc duration, a larger LV end-systolic volume and left atrial dimension, a lower LVEF, and a higher mitral E/A ratio and E/e', compared with those with cLBBB. Older age [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.023, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.001-1.046, P = 0.023], history of heart failure (HR = 2.440, 95% CI = 1.524-3.905, P = 0.001), chronic kidney disease (HR = 1.917, 95% CI = 1.182-3.110, P = 0.008), larger LV end-systolic volume (HR = 1.046, 95% CI = 1.017-1.075, P = 0.002), lower LVEF (HR = 0.916, 95% CI = 0.885-0.948, P = 0.001), and presence of dLBBB (HR = 1.63, 95% CI = 1.011-2.628, P = 0.032) were independent predictors of the primary outcome in patients with LBBB and LVEF ≥ 40%. The discordant or concordant T-wave morphology of LBBB could transform from one subtype to the other in up to 23% of the study population during the follow-up period, and individuals with persistent or transformed dLBBB faced an increased risk of cardiovascular death or non-fatal heart failure hospitalization.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with LBBB and EF ≥ 40%, dLBBB serves as an independent predictor of a higher risk of cardiovascular death or non-fatal heart failure hospitalization.

The effect of statins on the risk of anti-tuberculosis drug-induced liver injury among patients with active tuberculosis: A cohort study

BACKGROUND

Tuberculosis (TB) remains prevalent worldwide, and anti-TB drugs are associated with drug-induced liver injury (DILI). Statins have pleiotropic effects which may decrease inflammation and achieve immunomodulation. However, few studies have investigated the pleiotropic effects of statins on the risk of DILI. The purpose of this study was to investigate whether statins prevent anti-tuberculosis DILI among active TB patients on standard anti-TB drug therapy.

METHODS

We conducted a hospital-based retrospective cohort study using claims data from the Integrated Medical Database of National Taiwan University Hospital (NTUH-iMD). Patients with a positive TB culture were included. The use of statins was defined as a daily equivalent dose >0.5 mg of pitavastatin. Deterioration in liver function was evaluated according to elevated liver enzyme levels. The primary and secondary endpoints were the DILI and the severe DILI. The prognostic value of statins was evaluated by Kaplan-Meier analysis, and Cox proportional hazards models.

RESULTS

A total of 1312 patients with a diagnosis of TB and receiving anti-TB treatment were included. During the study period, 193 patients had the DILI and 140 patients had the severe DILI. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed a significant difference between the usual statin users and controls in the DILI. In multivariable Cox proportional hazards analysis, statins showed a protective effect against the primary and secondary endpoints. In addition, the protective effect of statins showed a dose-response relationship against the DILI.

CONCLUSION

Statin treatment had a protective effect against the risk of anti-TB DILI with a positive dose-response relationship.

Systolic blood pressure as a critical mediator in the association between adult height and 25-year risk of stroke

BACKGROUND

Adult height is associated with the risk of stroke. However, the underlying mechanism remains unclear. We explored the mediating role of metabolic factors in the association between adult height and stroke incidence.

METHODS

We used data from 3306 community-dwelling participants with complete information on adult height, metabolic factors, and 25-year cardiovascular outcomes. Participants were classified into three adult height groups based on sex-specific height quartiles: short (Q1), average (Q2-Q3), and tall (Q4). The primary endpoint was the occurrence of cardiovascular disease, including coronary artery disease and stroke.

RESULTS

Taller adult height was associated with a lower risk of stroke. Compared with the short group the risk of stroke reduced with taller height with a hazard ratio (HR) of 0.68 in the average group (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.50-0.93), and 0.45 in the tall group (95% CI: 0.31-0.65). Low systolic blood pressure was considered as a protective mediator in the effect of adult height on the risk of stroke in the average (HR: 0.86; 95% CI: 0.82-0.93) and the tall group (HR: 0.85; 95% CI: 0.78-0.91). Systolic blood pressure significantly contributed to height-related stroke risk (proportion mediated: 0.41; 95% CI: 0.19-1.56).

CONCLUSIONS

This study found an inverse association between adult height and stroke risk, which is partly driven by lower systolic blood pressure. These findings highlight the importance of systolic blood pressure management as a potential preventive strategy against stroke.

Relationship Between Subjective Questionnaires and Videofluoroscopy of Dysphagia Evaluation: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Early detection of dysphagia is important for preventing aspiration pneumonia. Although videofluoroscopy is currently the primary diagnostic tool for dysphagia, access to this tool may be limited because of radiation exposure risk, high cost, and other factors.

PURPOSE

In this study, a meta-analysis was used to determine the strength of the correlation between dysphagia detection outcomes obtained using subjective questionnaires and videofluoroscopy.

METHODS

The PubMed and Embase databases were searched for original articles up to December 2022. Studies published in English that used cross-sectional designs to assess the correlation between subjective questionnaires and videofluoroscopy were considered eligible for inclusion. The search terms used included "dysphagia," "questionnaire," and "videofluoroscopy." Two reviewers critically appraised and extracted the correlation coefficient r values. In addition, a random-effects meta-analysis was conducted. The Q statistic was used to assess the heterogeneity among the included studies. Publication bias was checked using the funnel plot and Egger's tests. Multilevel analysis was used to determine sensitivity to consider within-study correlations. In addition, subgroup analyses were conducted based on type of questionnaire, head and neck cancer, and English-speaking regions.

RESULTS

The meta-analysis included five studies and 856 patients using the Eating Assessment Tool-10 and one study and 27 patients using the Sydney Swallow Questionnaire. The results of the random-effects meta-analysis showed a moderate relationship between the subjective questionnaires and videofluoroscopy ( r = .35, 95% CI [0.20, 0.48]). Similar results were also obtained using multilevel analysis ( r = .34, 95% CI [0.25, 0.42]). No publication bias was found for any of the studies ( p = .88). In the subgroup analyses, a moderate relationship between Eating Assessment Tool-10 and videofluoroscopy ( r = .31, 95% CI [0.19, 0.42]) and an ultrahigh relationship between Sydney Swallow Questionnaire and video-fluoroscopy ( r = .74, 95% CI [0.50, 0.87]) were found. Furthermore, moderate associations were observed within each head and neck cancer and English-speaking regions subgroup. However, no significant differences were found between these two subgroups.

CONCLUSIONS

These results indicate the subjective questionnaires considered in this study share a moderate relationship with videofluoroscopy. Subjective questionnaires may be used as an auxiliary tool by nurses and homecare givers for the early assessment of dysphagia risk in patients.

Associations of central precocious puberty with blood pressure trajectories: prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Sex differences in blood pressure (BP) appear during childhood and adolescence, but the role of central precocious puberty (CPP) remains unclear. In this study, we aimed to examine the association of CPP with the risk of early hypertension and BP trajectories in girls and boys.

METHODS

We analyzed trajectories of BP before and after puberty in girls aged 6-13 years (n = 305) and boys aged 10-15 years (n = 153) in the Taiwan Pubertal Longitudinal Study. The timing of puberty onset was defined as the month at which the children reached Tanner stage 2. We examined the association of CPP with the risk of early hypertension and BP trajectories before and after puberty onset.

RESULTS

Among boys, CPP was found to be associated with early hypertension (odds ratio, 7.45 [95% CI, 1.15-48.06]), whereas no such association was observed among girls. Boys with CPP had higher systolic BP than did those with normal puberty onset before puberty onset (mean difference, 6.51 [95% CI, 0.58-12.43]) and after puberty onset (mean difference, 8.92 [95% CI, 8.58-15.26]).

CONCLUSION

A large proportion of the higher systolic BP observed in boys with CPP compared with in those with normal puberty onset is accrued after puberty.

IMPACT

We examined the sex-specific association of central precocious puberty with blood pressure trajectories to better understand whether central precocious puberty was associated with early hypertension. Central precocious puberty was associated with differences in systolic blood pressure trajectories, especially after puberty onset in boys. For boys only, central precocious puberty was associated with early hypertension. A large proportion of the higher systolic blood pressure observed in boys with central precocious puberty compared with in those with normal puberty onset was accrued after puberty. Interventions targeting central precocious puberty are likely to influence systolic blood pressure in early adulthood.

Incidence and risk factors of postoperative pulmonary complications after oral cancer surgery with free flap reconstruction: A single center study

BACKGROUND

Postoperative pulmonary complications (PPCs) increase the risk of morbidity and mortality in patients who underwent oral cancer surgery with free flap reconstruction. The association between PPC and preoperative risk factors has been investigated; however, reports on intraoperative factors are limited. Therefore, we investigated PPC incidence and its associated preoperative and intraoperative risk factors in these patients.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed medical records of patients who underwent free flap reconstruction between 2009 and 2019. PPC was defined as presence of atelectasis, pneumonia, and respiratory failure based on radiological confirmation and clinical symptoms during hospitalization. Mortality, hospital stay, preoperative factors (including age and tumor stages), American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) classification, and intraoperative factors (including intraoperative fluids and medications) were recorded.

RESULTS

PPC incidence among the 993 patients included in this study was 25.8% (256 patients). Six patients with PPCs died; death was not observed among patients without PPCs (p < 0.001). Patients with PPCs had longer hospitalization than those without PPCs (30.3 vs 23.3 days; p < 0.001). Tumor stage (stage I: reference; stage II [OR]: 3.3, p = 0.019; stage III: 4.4, p = 0.002; stage IV: 4.8, p = 0.002), age (OR: 1.0; p < 0.001), and ASA grade >2 (OR: 1.4; p = 0.020) were independent risk factors of PPC; using labetalol was a borderline significant factor (OR: 1.4; p = 0.050).

CONCLUSION

The PPC incidence was 25.8% in patients undergoing oral cancer surgery with free flap reconstruction. Tumor stage, age, and ASA >2 were risk factors of developing PPC.

The impact of sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitors on dementia and cardiovascular events in diabetic patients with atrial fibrillation

AIMS

The effectiveness of sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) on incident dementia in patients with diabetes and atrial fibrillation (AF) remains unknown. This study aimed to investigate the association between SGLT2i and the risk of incident dementia in diabetic patients with AF, and to explore the interactions with oral anticoagulants or dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP4i).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We conducted a cohort study using Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database. Patients with diabetes and AFwithout a prior history of established cardiovascular diseases, were identified. Using propensity score matching, 810 patients receiving SGLT2i were matched with 1620 patients not receiving SGLT2i. The primary outcome was incident dementia, and secondary outcomes included composite cardiovascular events and mortality.

RESULTS

After up to 5 years of follow-up, SGLT2i use was associated with a significantly lower risk of incident dementia (hazard: 0.71, 95% confidence interval: 0.51-0.98), particularly vascular dementia (HR: 0.44, 95% CI: 0.24-0.82). SGLT2i was related to reduced risks of AF-related hospitalisation (HR: 0.72, 95% CI: 0.56-0.93), stroke (HR: 0.75, 95% CI: 0.60-0.94), and all-cause death (HR: 0.33, 95% CI: 0.24-0.44). The protective effects were consistent irrespective of the concurrent use of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) or DPP4i.

CONCLUSIONS

In diabetic patients with AF, SGLT2i was associated with reduced risks of incident dementia, AF-related hospitalisation, stroke, and all-cause death. The protective effects were independent of either concurrent use of NOACs or DPP4i.

The Risk of Cancer-Associated and Radiotherapy-Associated Cardiovascular Diseases among Patients with Breast Cancer

BACKGROUND

The cardio-related issues should be emphasized as the survival rates of breast cancer increased. We investigated the risk of coronary artery disease (CAD) and stroke due to breast cancer or radiotherapy.

METHODS

In this retrospective cohort study, breast cancer patients diagnosed between 2007 and 2016 were recruited from Taiwan Cancer Registry Database and were followed until the end of 2018 by linking with the Taiwan National Health Insurance Database. The general population was randomly selected from the whole population in 2007. Standardized incidence ratios (SIR) were calculated to compare the risk of CAD and stroke between patients and the general population. Within the cohort, we included the patients diagnosed between 2011 and 2016. Cox proportional hazards model and subdistribution hazard function were used to investigate the associations of radiotherapy with the risk of CAD and stroke.

RESULTS

Overall SIR of CAD was 0.82 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.78-0.86), while were 1.43 and 1.08 (95% CI: 1.30-1.55 and 1.00-1.16) 1 and 2 years after diagnosis, respectively. Overall SIR of stroke was 0.63 (95% CI: 0.60-0.67), the results were similar after considering the time since diagnosis. The adjusted hazard ratios (HR) for the associations of radiotherapy with CAD and stroke risk were 0.91 (95% [CI] = 0.76-1.09) and 0.84 (95% CI = 0.68-1.04), respectively. The results were similar by using subdistribution hazard function.

CONCLUSIONS

The risk of CAD was higher within the first 2 years of breast cancer diagnosis. We found no association between radiotherapy and the risk of CAD and stroke.

Peri-onset non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs use and organ failure in acute pancreatitis: A multicenter retrospective analysis

BACKGROUND

Organ failure (OF) of acute pancreatitis (AP) significantly contributes to AP-related mortality. Non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) have been associated with reduced complications of AP.

AIMS

We aimed to investigate whether NSAIDs ameliorates SIRS and OF in patients with AP.

METHODS

Eligible patients with AP were retrospectively identified in 4 hospitals between January 2015 and December 2018. Associations between peri-onset NSAIDs use (day -3 to day 3) and OF, persistent OF (POF), and SIRS within the first week were analyzed. Propensity score-matched (PSM) analysis and inverse probability of treatment-weighted (IPTW) analysis were used to estimate risk ratios.

RESULTS

Among 1,528 patients with AP (97 [6.3%] with NSAIDs use), 242 (15.8%) developed organ failure, 89 (5.8%) progressed to POF, and 27 (1.8%) died within 3 months. PSM analysis showed no association between peri-onset NSAIDs and OF (risk ratio [RR], 1.00; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.46 to 2.15) and POF (RR, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.21 to 2.98). IPTW analysis yielded similar results. Patients with and without peri-onset NSAIDs use were comparable with respect to OF, POF, and SIRS across subgroups defined by COX-2 selectivity and dose.

CONCLUSION

Peri-onset NSAIDs use was not significantly associated with reduced OF.

High left ventricular mass associated with increased risk of incident diabetes

Evidence for the role of electrocardiography or echocardiography in determining left ventricular hypertrophy for the risk of diabetes is still controversial. We aimed to explore whether left ventricular mass, as measured by these methods, is associated with the risk of diabetes in a community population. We recruited 2696 participants aged 35 years or older without diabetes who had undergone screening with electrocardiography and echocardiography. Left ventricular mass index (LVMI) was calculated using a formula, and participants were divided into tertiles based on their LVMI tertiles. During a median follow-up period of median, 8.9 years, a total of 405 participants developed diabetes. The incidence and risk of diabetes significantly increased with higher LVMI tertiles. Multivariate Cox regression analysis demonstrated that individuals in the highest LVMI tertile had a greater likelihood of developing incident diabetes, with a hazard ratio of 1.40 (95% CI 1.06-1.91), even after adjusting related covariates. The highest risk of diabetes was observed in the presence of both the uppermost LVMI tertile and electrocardiographically determined left ventricular hypertrophy for the Chinese population. Left ventricular hypertrophy identified by either electrocardiography or echo may serve as a surrogate marker for identifying the risk of diabetes in clinical practice.

Omega-3 Blood Levels and Stroke Risk: A Pooled and Harmonized Analysis of 183 291 Participants From 29 Prospective Studies

BACKGROUND

The effect of marine omega-3 PUFAs on risk of stroke remains unclear.

METHODS

We investigated the associations between circulating and tissue omega-3 PUFA levels and incident stroke (total, ischemic, and hemorrhagic) in 29 international prospective cohorts. Each site conducted a de novo individual-level analysis using a prespecified analytical protocol with defined exposures, covariates, analytical methods, and outcomes; the harmonized data from the studies were then centrally pooled. Multivariable-adjusted HRs and 95% CIs across omega-3 PUFA quintiles were computed for each stroke outcome.

RESULTS

Among 183 291 study participants, there were 10 561 total strokes, 8220 ischemic strokes, and 1142 hemorrhagic strokes recorded over a median of 14.3 years follow-up. For eicosapentaenoic acid, comparing quintile 5 (Q5, highest) with quintile 1 (Q1, lowest), total stroke incidence was 17% lower (HR, 0.83 [CI, 0.76-0.91]; P<0.0001), and ischemic stroke was 18% lower (HR, 0.82 [CI, 0.74-0.91]; P<0.0001). For docosahexaenoic acid, comparing Q5 with Q1, there was a 12% lower incidence of total stroke (HR, 0.88 [CI, 0.81-0.96]; P=0.0001) and a 14% lower incidence of ischemic stroke (HR, 0.86 [CI, 0.78-0.95]; P=0.0001). Neither eicosapentaenoic acid nor docosahexaenoic acid was associated with a risk for hemorrhagic stroke. These associations were not modified by either baseline history of AF or prevalent CVD.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher omega-3 PUFA levels are associated with lower risks of total and ischemic stroke but have no association with hemorrhagic stroke.

Diabetic severity and oncological outcomes of colorectal cancer following curative resection: A population-based cohort study in Taiwan

BACKGROUND

Although diabetes is a poor prognostic factor for colorectal cancer (CRC), whether diabetes severity provides an additional predictive value for CRC prognosis remains unclear. The study aimed to investigate the prognostic differences after curative CRC resection among patients with different diabetic severities.

METHODS

This population-based retrospective cohort study analyzed data registered between 2007 and 2015 in the Cancer Registry Database, which is linked to the National Health Insurance Research Database and National Death Registry. Patients with CRC who underwent curative radical resection for stage I-III disease were evaluated, with their diabetic status subdivided into no diabetes, diabetes without complication, and diabetes with complications. Cox regressions were applied to determine the association between diabetes severity and CRC survival, including overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS), time to recurrence, and cancer-specific survival (CSS).

RESULTS

A total of 59,202 patients with CRC were included. Compared with the no diabetes group, the diabetes without complication group has insignificantly worse OS (hazard ratio [HR], 1.05; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01-1.09), DFS (HR, 1.08; 95% CI, 1.04-1.12), and CSS (HR, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.93-1.03), whereas those with complicated diabetes had a significantly higher risk of poor survival (OS: HR, 1.85; 95% CI, 1.78-1.92; DFS: HR, 1.75; 95% CI, 1.69-1.82; CSS: HR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.33-1.49). Patients with CRC and diabetes also had a higher risk of recurrence than did those without diabetes. Sex and TNM staging were important effect modifiers.

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients with CRC who undergo curative resection, the severity of the diabetes is inversely correlated with long-term outcomes, especially in women and patients in the earlier stages of CRC.

PLAIN LANGUAGE SUMMARY

The prognostic impact of diabetes severity in colorectal cancer (CRC) is yet to be clarified. In this cohort study of 59,202 patients with CRC, compared with patients with CRC and without diabetes, those with uncomplicated diabetes had an insignificantly worse CRC survival, whereas those with complicated diabetes had a significantly higher risk of poor survival. Multidisciplinary medical care to prevent progression into diabetes with complications is needed to improve survival among patients with CRC and diabetes.

A competing risk predictive model for kidney failure in patients with advanced chronic kidney disease

BACKGROUND/PURPOSE

Predictive modeling aids in identifying patients at high risk of adverse events. Using routinely collected data, we report a competing risk prediction model for kidney failure.

METHODS

A total of 5138 patients with CKD stages 3b-5 were included and randomized into the development and validation cohorts at a ratio of 7:3. The outcome was end-stage kidney disease, defined as the initiation of dialysis or kidney transplantation. All patients were followed-up until December 31, 2020. A Fine and Gray model was applied to estimate the sub-hazard ratio of kidney failure, with death as a competing event.

RESULTS

In the development cohort, the mean age was 67.6 ± 13.9 years and 60 % were male. The mean index eGFR and median urinary protein-creatinine ratio (UPCR) were 26.5 ± 12.8 mL/min/1.73 m2 and 1051 mg/g, respectively. The median follow-up duration was 1051 days. The proportion of patients with kidney failure and death was 25.4 % and 14.1 %, respectively. Four models were applied, including eGFR, age, sex, UPCR, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, serum albumin, phosphate, uric acid, haemoglobin, and potassium levels had the best goodness of fit. All models had good discrimination with time-to-event c statistics of 0.89-0.95 in the development cohort and 0.86-0.95 in the validation cohort. The prediction models showed excellent and fairly good calibration at 2 and 5-year risk, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Using real-world data, our competing risk model can accurately predict progression to kidney failure over 2 years in patients with advanced CKD.

Predictors of Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction Improvement in Patients with Early-Stage Heart Failure with Reduced Ejection Fraction

Objectives

To identify the predictors of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) recovery in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) and compare the mortality rate between patients with HFrEF and heart failure with improved ejection fraction (HFimpEF).

Methods

Patients in a post-acute care program from 2018 to 2021 were enrolled. A series of echocardiograms were arranged during follow-up. Mortality, cardiovascular death and sudden cardiac death events were recorded. A total of 259 patients were enrolled and followed for at least 1 year; 158 (61%) patients fulfilled the criteria of HFimpEF, 87 (33.6%) were defined as having persistent HFrEF, and 14 (5.4%) were defined as having heart failure with mildly reduced ejection fraction. The patients with HFimpEF and persistent HFrEF were included for analysis.

Results

The mean follow-up duration was 1090 ± 414 days, and the median time to LVEF recovery was 159 days (IQR 112-289 days). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that beta-blocker prescription was the only independent predictor of HFimpEF [odds ratio (OR) 2.11, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.10-4.08, p = 0.03]. Diagnosis of ischemic cardiomyopathy (ICM) and QRS duration ≥ 110 ms were negative predictors of HFimpEF (OR 0.49, 95% CI 0.27-0.88, p = 0.02, and OR 0.4, 95% CI 0.21-0.77, p = 0.005, respectively). The patients with HfimpEF had a significantly better prognosis with lower mortality (hazard ratio 0.2, 95% CI 0.08-0.50, log-rank p < 0.001) than the patients with persistent HFrEF.

Conclusions

Beta-blocker prescription was an independent predictor of HFimpEF, while the diagnosis of ICM and QRS duration ≥ 110 ms were negative predictors of HFimpEF. Patients with HfimpEF had a significantly lower mortality rate compared to those with persistent HFrEF.

Examining the Long-term Spillover Effects of a Pay-for-Performance Program in a Healthcare System That Lacks Referral Arrangements

BACKGROUND

Several studies have examined the intended effects of pay-for-performance (P4P) programs, yet little is known about the unintended spillover effects of such programs on intermediate clinical outcomes. This study examines the long-term spillover effects of a P4P program for diabetes care.

METHODS

This study uses a nationwide population-based natural experimental design with a 3-year follow-up period under Taiwan's universal coverage healthcare system. The intervention group consisted of 7688 patients who enrolled in the P4P program for diabetes care in 2017 and continuously participated in the program for three years. The comparison group was selected by propensity score matching (PSM) from patients seen by the same group of physicians. Each patient had four records: one pertaining to one year before the index date of the P4P program and the other three pertaining to follow-ups spanning over the next three years. Generalized estimating equations (GEEs) with difference-in-differences (DID) estimations were used to consider the correlation between repeated observations for the same patients and patients within the same matched pairs.

RESULTS

Patients enrolled in the P4P program showed improvements in incentivized intermediate clinical outcomes that persisted over three years, including proper control of glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C). We found a slight positive spillover effect of the P4P program on the control of non-incentivized triglyceride [TG]). However, we found no such effects on the non-incentivized high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) control.

CONCLUSION

The P4P program has achieved its primary goal of improving the incentivized intermediate clinical outcomes. The commonality in production among a set of activities is crucial for generating the spillover effects of an incentive program.

The Impact of Glucose-Lowering Strategy on the Risk of Increasing Frailty Severity among 49,519 Patients with Diabetes Mellitus: A Longitudinal Cohort Study

Patients with diabetes mellitus (DM) have a higher risk of incident and aggravating frailty over time. Frailty-initiating risk factors have been identified, but modulators of frail severity over time remain poorly defined. We aimed to explore the influences of glucose-lowering drug (GLD) strategy on DM patients' risk of increasing frail severity. We retrospectively identified type 2 DM patients between 2008 and 2016, dividing them into "no GLD", oral GLD (oGLD) monotherapy, oGLD combination, and those receiving insulin without or with oGLD at baseline. Increasing frail severity, defined as ≥1 FRAIL component increase, was the outcome of interest. Cox proportional hazard regression was utilized to analyze the risk of increasing frail severity associated with GLD strategy, accounting for demographic, physical data, comorbidities, medication, and laboratory panel. After screening 82,208 patients with DM, 49,519 (no GLD, 42.7%; monotherapy, 24.0%; combination, 28.5%; and insulin user, 4.8%) were enrolled for analysis. After 4 years, 12,295 (24.8%) had increasing frail severity. After multivariate adjustment, oGLD combination group exhibited a significantly lower risk of increasing frail severity (hazard ratio (HR) 0.90, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.86 - 0.94), while the risk of insulin users increased (HR 1.11, 95% CI 1.02 - 1.21) than no GLD group. Users receiving more oGLD exhibited a trend of less risk reduction relative to others. In conclusion, we discovered that the strategy of oral glucose lowering drugs combination might reduce the risk of frail severity increase. Accordingly, medication reconciliation in frail diabetic older adults should take into account their GLD regimens.

Ultraviolet B phototherapy does not increase the risk of skin cancer among patients with atopic dermatitis: A population-based retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

UV-B phototherapy is a common treatment modality for patients with atopic dermatitis (AD), but its long-term safety in terms of cutaneous carcinogenic risk has not been studied.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the risk of skin cancer among patients with AD receiving UV-B phototherapy.

METHODS

We conducted a nationwide population-based cohort study from 2001 to 2018 to estimate the risk of UV-B phototherapy for skin cancer, nonmelanoma skin cancer, and cutaneous melanoma in patients with AD.

RESULTS

Among 6205 patients with AD, the risks of skin cancer (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 0.91; 95% CI, 0.35-2.35), nonmelanoma skin cancer (adjusted HR, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.29-2.26), and cutaneous melanoma (adjusted HR, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.08-7.64) did not increase among patients with AD treated with UV-B phototherapy, compared with those who did not receive UV-B phototherapy. Additionally, the number of UV-B phototherapy sessions was not associated with an increased risk of skin cancer (adjusted HR, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.96-1.02), nonmelanoma skin cancer (adjusted HR, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.96-1.03), or cutaneous melanoma (adjusted HR, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.77-1.15).

LIMITATIONS

Retrospective study.

CONCLUSION

Neither UV-B phototherapy nor the number of UV-B phototherapy sessions was associated with an increased risk of skin cancers among patients with AD.

Hypertension as a Novel Link for Shared Heritability in Age at Menarche and Cardiometabolic Traits

CONTEXT

Extremely early age at menarche, also called precocious puberty, has been associated with various cardiometabolic traits, but their shared heritability remains unclear.

OBJECTIVES

This work aimed to identify new shared genetic variants and their pathways for age at menarche and cardiometabolic traits and to investigate the influence of central precocious puberty on childhood cardiometabolic traits.

METHODS

Using the conjunction false discovery rate method, this study analyzed genome-wide association study data from the menarche-cardiometabolic traits among 59 655 females of Taiwanese ancestry and systemically investigated pleiotropy between age at menarche and cardiometabolic traits. To support the novel hypertension link, we used the Taiwan Puberty Longitudinal Study (TPLS) to investigate the influence of precocious puberty on childhood cardiometabolic traits.

RESULTS

We discovered 27 novel loci, with an overlap between age at menarche and cardiometabolic traits, including body fat and blood pressure. Among the novel genes discovered, SEC16B, CSK, CYP1A1, FTO, and USB1 are within a protein interaction network with known cardiometabolic genes, including traits for obesity and hypertension. These loci were confirmed through demonstration of significant changes in the methylation or expression levels of neighboring genes. Moreover, the TPLS provided evidence regarding a 2-fold higher risk of early-onset hypertension that occurred in girls with central precocious puberty.

CONCLUSION

Our study highlights the usefulness of cross-trait analyses for identifying shared etiology between age at menarche and cardiometabolic traits, especially early-onset hypertension. The menarche-related loci may contribute to early-onset hypertension through endocrinological pathways.

Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Is Associated With Decreased Bone Mineral Density in Adults: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to investigate the effect of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) on bone mineral density (BMD) and the risk of osteoporosis and osteoporotic fracture in adults. We searched PubMed, MEDLINE, Embase, CINAHL, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, and Scopus for observational studies published from inception to January 2023 that reported adjusted effect sizes of NAFLD on BMD, osteopenia/osteoporosis, and osteoporotic fracture. The data were synthesized using multilevel and random-effects models. A total of 19 studies were included; of these, nine (21,294 participants) evaluated the effect of NAFLD on BMD, six (133,319 participants) investigated the risk of osteoporosis, and five (227,901 participants) assessed the risk of osteoporotic fracture. This meta-analysis showed that NAFLD was associated with decreased BMD (mean difference -0.019 g/cm2 , 95% confidence interval [CI] -0.036 to -0.002, I2 = 93%) and increased risks of osteoporosis (adjusted risk ratio [RR] = 1.28, 95% CI 1.08 to 1.52, I2 = 84%) and osteoporotic fractures (adjusted RR = 1.17, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.37, I2 = 67%). Subgroup analyses revealed that NAFLD had a significantly detrimental effect on BMD in men and on the BMD of the femoral neck and total hip. Stratified analyses by ethnicity demonstrated that NAFLD was not associated with BMD, osteoporosis, or osteoporotic fracture in non-Asian populations. The publication bias of all included studies was low; however, there was considerable heterogeneity among the studies, warranting a careful interpretation of the findings. Overall, our results suggest that NAFLD is associated with decreased BMD and an increased risk of osteoporosis or osteoporotic fractures. Male sex and the BMD of the femoral neck and total hip may be potential risk factors for decreased BMD in adults with NAFLD. Additionally, ethnic disparities were observed between Asian and non-Asian populations regarding BMD and osteoporotic fractures. © 2023 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research (ASBMR).

Investigating the risk of metabolic and cardiovascular comorbidities among patients with parathyroid cancer: a nationwide representative cohort study in Taiwan

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to determine whether primary parathyroid cancer patients were associated with increased metabolic and cardiovascular comorbidities in comparison to the general population.

METHODS

We used the National Taiwan Cancer Registry Database to construct a cohort of patients with parathyroid cancer from January 1, 2004, to December 31, 2019. We compared the incidence of hypertension, diabetes mellitus, hyperlipidemia, atrial fibrillation, coronary heart disease, and heart failure with the general population matched based on a propensity score in a one-to-five fashion.

RESULTS

A total of 72 parathyroid cancer patients and 360 matched general population (mean age: 55 years; 59% women) were included, with different exclusive numbers for each metabolic and cardiovascular comorbidity cohort. The number of cases based on a total of 2347.7 person-years of observation included 53 deaths, 29 hypertension, 9 diabetes, 13 hyperlipidemia, 10 atrial fibrillation, 18 coronary artery disease, and 13 heart failure. According to multivariate analysis, parathyroid cancer remained significantly associated with diabetes [hazard ratio (HR): 9.28; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.72-50.07], hyperlipidemia (HR: 5.86; 95% CI: 1.61-21.31), and heart failure (HR: 4.46; 95% CI: 1.18-16.84). Sub-distribution of competing mortality events and subgroup analysis showed robust evidence of metabolic and cardiovascular comorbidities. This national cohort study demonstrated that adult parathyroid cancer patients had a significantly higher incidence of diabetes mellitus, hyperlipidemia, and heart failure than the general population.

CONCLUSIONS

An increased risk of metabolic and cardiac comorbidities among parathyroid cancer patients required great caution.

Cardiovascular Disease Burden Attributable to High Body Mass Index in Taiwan

Background

Studies on disease burden in Taiwan are lacking. We aimed to quantify the burden of cardiovascular disease (CVD) attributable to high body mass index (BMI) in Taiwan.

Methods

Using a comparative risk assessment approach from the Global Burden of Disease study, we estimated the population attributable fraction (PAF), attributable CVD burden, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) according to sex, age, and area of residence in Taiwan. The BMI distribution for the population was obtained from the National Health Interview Survey in 2013. CVD was defined as an ischemic heart disease or stroke.

Results

The attributable PAF for CVD from high BMI was 18.0% (19.6% in men and 15.6% in women), and it was highest (42.7%) in those aged 25-30 years. Adults aged 60-65 years had the highest absolute DALYs (11,546). The average relative age-standardized attributable burden was 314 DALYs per 100,000 person-years, and it was highest in those aged 75-80 years (1,407 DALYs per 100,000 person-years). Those living in Taitung County had the highest PAF of 21.9% and the highest age-standardized attributable burden (412 DALYs).

Conclusions

In Taiwan, an 18% reduction in CVDs could be achieved if obesity/overweight was prevented. Prevention was most effective in early adulthood. The absolute CVD burden from obesity/overweight was highest in middle-aged men, and the relative burden was highest in older adults. Resource allocation in targeted populations and specific areas to eliminate CVD and health inequities is urgently required.

Ablation of atrial fibrillation and dementia risk reduction during long-term follow-up: a nationwide population-based study

AIMS

This study investigated the epidemiological characteristics of new-onset dementia in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and the association of catheter ablation with different subtypes of dementia.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We conducted a population-based, retrospective cohort study using data from the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database. In total, 136 774 patients without a history of dementia were selected after 1:1 propensity score matching based on age (with AF vs. without AF). A competing risk model was used to investigate the three subtypes of dementia: Alzheimer's disease, vascular dementia, and other/mixed dementia. Inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) was performed to minimize the impact on dementia risk due to the imbalanced baseline characteristics. After a median follow-up period of 6.6 years, 8704 events of new-onset dementia occurred. Among all AF patients developing dementia, 73% were classified as having Alzheimer's disease, 16% as having vascular dementia, and 11% as having other/mixed dementia. The cumulative incidence of dementia in AF patients was higher than those without AF (log-rank test: P < 0.001 for both before and after IPTW). In patients with AF undergoing catheter ablation, the total dementia risk decreased significantly [P = 0.015, hazard ratio (HR): 0.74, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.58-0.94] after multivariable adjustment, but not for the subtype of vascular dementia (P = 0.59, HR: 0.86, 95% CI: 0.49-1.50).

CONCLUSION

Patients with AF have a higher incidence of all types of dementia, including Alzheimer's disease, vascular dementia, and a mixed type of dementia. Alzheimer's disease is less likely to occur in patients with AF undergoing catheter ablation.

High Mortality Risk of Type III Monomicrobial Gram-Negative Necrotizing Fasciitis: the Role of Extraintestinal Pathogenic Escherichia coli (ExPEC) and Klebsiella pneumoniae

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to investigate the prognostic value of reclassified new type III monomicrobial gram-negative necrotizing fasciitis (NF) and the microbial factors associated with an increased risk of mortality.

METHODS

This study included 235 NF cases treated at National Taiwan University Hospital. We compared the mortality risk of NF caused by different causal microorganisms and examined the bacterial virulence genes profile and antimicrobial susceptibility pattern associated with an increase in mortality risk.

RESULTS

Type III NF (n=68) had a mortality risk 2-fold higher than type I (polymicrobial, n=64) or type II (monomicrobial gram-positive, n=79) NF (42.6% vs. 23.4% or 19.0%, P= 0.019 and 0.002, respectively). Mortality differed by causal microorganism (Escherichia coli [61.5%], Klebsiella pneumoniae [40.0%], Aeromonas hydrophila [37.5%], Vibrio vulnificus [25.0%], polymicrobial [23.4%], group A streptococci [16.7%], and Staphylococcus aureus [16.2%], in decreasing rank, P < 0.001). Type III NF caused by E. coli, identified as extra-intestinal pathogenic E. coli (ExPEC) via virulence gene analyses, was associated with a particularly high mortality risk (adjusted odds ratio: 6.51, P = 0.003) after adjusting for age and comorbidities. Some (38.5%/7.7%) of the E. coli strains were non-susceptible to third/fourth-generation cephalosporins but remained susceptible to carbapenems.

CONCLUSION

Type III NF, especially cases caused by E. coli or K. pneumoniae, are associated with a comparatively high mortality risk than type I or type II NF. Wound gram stain-based rapid diagnosis of type III NF may inform empirical antimicrobial therapy to include a carbapenem.

Atrial fibrillation as a contributor to the mortality in patients with dementia: A nationwide cohort study

Background

Knowledge of the risk of death in patients with dementia is essential for planning preventive strategies. This study aimed to evaluate the effect of atrial fibrillation (AF) on death risks and other factors associated with death in patients with dementia and AF.

Methods

We conducted a nationwide cohort study using Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database. We identified subjects with dementia diagnosed for the first time and AF diagnosed concomitantly between 2013 and 2014. Subjects under the age of 18 years were excluded. Age, sex, and CHA2DS2-VASc scores were 1: 4 matched for AF patients (N = 1,679) and non-AF controls (N = 6,176) using the propensity score technique. The conditional Cox regression model and competing risk analysis were applied. The risk of mortality was tracked till 2019.

Results

AF history was associated with higher risks of all-cause death (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.208; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.142–1.277) and cardiovascular death (subdistribution HR: 1.210; 95% CI: 1.077–1.359) in dementia patients than patients without a diagnosis of AF. For patients with both dementia and AF, they had a higher risk of death due to higher age, diabetes mellitus, congestive heart failure, chronic kidney disease, and prior stroke. Anti-arrhythmic drugs and novel oral anticoagulants significantly reduced the risk of death in patients with AF and dementia.

Conclusion

This study found that AF is a risk factor for mortality in patients with dementia and explored several risk factors for AF-related mortality. This study highlights the importance of controlling AF especially in patients with dementia.

Association of omega 3 polyunsaturated fatty acids with incident chronic kidney disease: pooled analysis of 19 cohorts

OBJECTIVE

To assess the prospective associations of circulating levels of omega 3 polyunsaturated fatty acid (n-3 PUFA) biomarkers (including plant derived α linolenic acid and seafood derived eicosapentaenoic acid, docosapentaenoic acid, and docosahexaenoic acid) with incident chronic kidney disease (CKD).

DESIGN

Pooled analysis.

DATA SOURCES

A consortium of 19 studies from 12 countries identified up to May 2020.

STUDY SELECTION

Prospective studies with measured n-3 PUFA biomarker data and incident CKD based on estimated glomerular filtration rate.

DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS

Each participating cohort conducted de novo analysis with prespecified and consistent exposures, outcomes, covariates, and models. The results were pooled across cohorts using inverse variance weighted meta-analysis.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Primary outcome of incident CKD was defined as new onset estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 mL/min/1.73 m2. In a sensitivity analysis, incident CKD was defined as new onset estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 and <75% of baseline rate.

RESULTS

25 570 participants were included in the primary outcome analysis and 4944 (19.3%) developed incident CKD during follow-up (weighted median 11.3 years). In multivariable adjusted models, higher levels of total seafood n-3 PUFAs were associated with a lower incident CKD risk (relative risk per interquintile range 0.92, 95% confidence interval 0.86 to 0.98; P=0.009, I2=9.9%). In categorical analyses, participants with total seafood n-3 PUFA level in the highest fifth had 13% lower risk of incident CKD compared with those in the lowest fifth (0.87, 0.80 to 0.96; P=0.005, I2=0.0%). Plant derived α linolenic acid levels were not associated with incident CKD (1.00, 0.94 to 1.06; P=0.94, I2=5.8%). Similar results were obtained in the sensitivity analysis. The association appeared consistent across subgroups by age (≥60 v <60 years), estimated glomerular filtration rate (60-89 v ≥90 mL/min/1.73 m2), hypertension, diabetes, and coronary heart disease at baseline.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher seafood derived n-3 PUFA levels were associated with lower risk of incident CKD, although this association was not found for plant derived n-3 PUFAs. These results support a favourable role for seafood derived n-3 PUFAs in preventing CKD.

Targeted next-generation sequencing for genetic variants of left ventricular mass status among community-based adults in Taiwan

Background: Left ventricular mass is a highly heritable disease. Previous studies have suggested common genetic variants to be associated with left ventricular mass; however, the roles of rare variants are still unknown. We performed targeted next-generation sequencing using the TruSight Cardio panel, which provides comprehensive coverage of 175 genes with known associations to 17 inherited cardiac conditions. Methods: We conducted next-generation sequencing using the Illumina TruSight Cardiomyopathy Target Genes platform using the 5% and 95% extreme values of left ventricular mass from community-based participants. After removing poor-quality next-generation sequencing subjects, including call rate <98% and Mendelian errors, 144 participants were used for the analysis. We performed downstream analysis, including quality control, alignment, coverage length, and annotation; after setting filtering criteria for depths more than 60, we found a total of 144 samples and 165 target genes for further analysis. Results: Of the 12,287 autosomal variants, most had minor allele frequencies of <1% (rare frequency), and variants had minor allele frequencies ranging from 1% to 5%. In the multi-allele variant analyses, 16 loci in 15 genes were significant using the false discovery rate of less than .1. In addition, gene-based analyses using continuous and binary outcomes showed that three genes (CASQ2, COL5A1, and FXN) remained to be associated with left ventricular mass status. One single-nucleotide polymorphism (rs7538337) was enriched for the CASQ2 gene expressed in aorta artery (p = 4.6 × 10-18), as was another single-nucleotide polymorphism (rs11103536) for the COL5A1 gene expressed in aorta artery (p = 2.0 × 10-9). Among the novel genes discovered, CASQ2, COL5A1, and FXN are within a protein-protein interaction network with known cardiovascular genes. Conclusion: We clearly demonstrated candidate genes to be associated with left ventricular mass. Further studies to characterize the target genes and variants for their functional mechanisms are warranted.

Epidemiological Characteristics and Meteorological Factors of Sudden Death among General Population of Ethnic Chinese in Taiwan: An Eighteen-Year Follow-Up Report in a Community

Background

The epidemiological characteristics of sudden death may vary according to ethnicity and country. This study aimed to analyze the distribution of sudden deaths in Taiwan, as well as their epidemiological characteristics and the associated meteorological factors.

Methods

The Chin-Shan Community Cardiovascular Cohort is a longitudinal study conducted in a community in Taipei County since July 1990. A total of 3,602 individuals aged 35 years and older were included in the study. Sudden deaths were prospectively recorded and analyzed.

Results

Eighty-two (68.3% men) sudden deaths (8.56% of all deaths) were reported from July 1990 to December 2008, of which 87.8% were caused by cardiovascular disease. However, only 36.6% were attributed to coronary artery disease. There was a higher incidence of sudden death in the winter [incidence rate ratio (IRR): 1.91, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.42-2.56], compared to fall, and the highest peak of sudden death occurred between 16:00-20:00 (IRR: 3.00, 95% CI: 1.72-5.22) compared to 00:00-04:00 as the reference group. Additionally, a relatively higher mean temperature was associated with a lower risk of sudden death (IRR: 0.96, 95% CI: 0.93-0.98). On the other hand, higher humidity (IRR: 1.09, 95% CI: 1.02-1.16) and discomfort index (IRR: 1.03, 95% CI: 1.003-1.05) were associated with increased risks of sudden death.

Conclusions

Meteorological factors and circadian patterns were associated with sudden death among our Taiwanese cohort. Our study findings may support potential protective behavior for sudden death via weather forecasting.

Corrigendum: Systolic blood pressure as the mediator of the effect of early menarche on the risk of coronary artery disease: A Mendelian randomization study

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.3389/fcvm.2022.1023355.].

Association between thyroid cancer and cardiovascular disease: A meta-analysis

Objective

To determine the association between thyroid cancer and coronary artery disease, atrial fibrillation, cerebrovascular disease, and cardiovascular disease mortality.

Methods

The PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Library databases were searched for eligible studies from inception to September 22, 2022. Keywords included "thyroid cancer", "atrial fibrillation", "coronary artery disease", "cerebrovascular disease", and "mortality". Primary outcomes included the incidence of coronary artery disease, cerebrovascular disease, atrial fibrillation, and cardiovascular disease mortality among patients with thyroid cancer. Secondary outcomes included cardiovascular disease events among those with thyroid cancer that received or did not receive radioactive iodine or lenvatinib. Estimates were pooled using fixed- and random-effects meta-analysis.

Results

A total of 771,220 patients who underwent thyroidectomy in 15 studies were included. Risk for cerebrovascular disease (risk ratio [RR] 1.15 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.10-1.21]) and atrial fibrillation [RR 1.59 (95% CI: 1.45-1.73)] were significantly increased. Risk for coronary artery disease was significantly increased [RR 1.12 (95% CI: 1.08-1.17)] in the common effect model. Cardiovascular disease mortality associated with thyroid cancer was not significant [RR 0.93 (95% CI: 0.59-1.45)]. Radioactive iodine had a neutral effect on cardiovascular disease [RR 1.00 (95% CI: 0.87-1.16)], and there was no beneficial nor harmful effect among different RAI doses.

Conclusions

Thyroid cancer was significantly associated with a higher risk for cerebrovascular disease and atrial fibrillation; however, the hazard risk was not different between patients with and without radioactive iodine treatment. Thyroid cancer treatment should be individualized considering the potential harms and benefits to cardiovascular health.

Exploring the Risk Factors of Sudden Cardiac Death Using an Electrocardiography and Medical Ultrasonography for the General Population Without a History of Coronary Artery Disease or Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction <35% and Aged >35 Years - A Novel Point-Based Prediction Model Based on the Chin-Shan Community Cardiovascular Cohort

BACKGROUND

Most of the factors and prediction models of sudden cardiac death (SCD) have been developed without considering the Asia population. The purpose of this study is to construct a point-based prediction model for the general population in Asia.Methods and Results: Chin-Shan Community Cardiovascular Cohort (CCCC) is a community-based longitudinal cohort initiated between 1990 and 1991, enrolling participants aged ≥35 years and following them up until 2005. Participants with coronary artery disease (CAD) or a left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) of 35% were excluded from this study. The Framingham risk score function was used to derive a simple point-based prediction model. Based on bootstrapping, a novel model (CCCC-SCD-Score) was validated. A total of 2,105 participants were analyzed. The incidence rate of SCD was 0.406 per 1,000 person-years. The CCCC-SCD-Score score was calculated using age groups (maximal points=4), left ventricular hypertrophy, hypertension, left ventricular ejection fraction <40%, aortic flow rate >190 cm/s, and carotid plaque scores ≥5 (point=1 for each risk factor). The C-index of the CCCC-SCD-Score in predicting SCD risks was 0.888 (95% confidence interval: 0.807-0.969).

CONCLUSIONS

For the general Asian population without a history of CAD or a LVEF <35% and who are aged >35 years, the novel model-based scoring system effectively identifies the risk for SCD using the clinical factors, electrocardiographic and echocardiographic data.

Association between genetic risk score and tri-ponderal mass index growth trajectories among different dietary consumption adolescents in a prospective Taiwanese cohort

BACKGROUND

Single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in various genetic loci are associated with childhood obesity; however, their influence on adolescent growth patterns has rarely been explored. This study investigated whether genetic variants could predict tri-ponderal mass index (TMI)-derived growth trajectories and the interaction between genetic and dietary factors.

METHODS

We conducted Taiwan Puberty Longitudinal Study, a prospective cohort that recruited 1,135 children since 2018. Anthropometric measurements were recorded every three months, while dietary nutrition assessment and biological sampling for genotyping were collected during the first visit. TMI growth trajectory groups were identified using growth mixture modeling. A multinomial logistic regression model for different growth trajectories was used to examine the effect of candidate SNPs, and the most related SNPs were used to establish the genetic risk score. We then explored the effect of the genetic risk score in subgroup analysis according to dietary calories and different dietary consumption patterns.

RESULTS

Three TMI-based growth trajectory groups were identified among adolescents. The "increased weight" trajectory group accounted for approximately 9.7% of the participants. FTO/rs7206790 was associated with the increased weight growth trajectory after adjusting for the baseline TMI and other correlated covariates (OR: 2.13, 95% CI: 1.08-4.21). We generated the genetic risk score using 4 SNPs (FTO/rs7206790, ADCY9/rs2531995, TFAP2B/rs4715210, and TMEM18/rs6548238) and selected the threshold of 10 points to define risk categories. There were 11.66% and 3.24% of participants belonged to the increased weight trajectory in high- and low-risk groups, respectively; and the predictive ability of the genetic risk score was notable among low calories intake participants (OR: 1.90, 95% CI: 1.18-3.05 vs. OR: 1.17, 95% CI: 0.78-1.75 in high calories intake group).

CONCLUSION

Our results offer a new perspective on the genetic and dietary basis of changes in adolescent obesity status. Individualized interventions for obesity prevention may be considered among high-risk children.

Associations of Prolonged Occupational Sitting with the Spectrum of Kidney Disease: Results from a Cohort of a Half-Million Asian Adults

BACKGROUND

Kidney diseases are viewed as continuously progressing diseases from microalbuminuria and chronic kidney disease (CKD), to end-stage renal disease (ESRD) and its mortality including deaths. The report on the association between prolonged sitting and kidney diseases is limited.

METHODS

We examined a cohort of 455,506 participants in a screening program in Taiwan conducted between 1996 and 2017. Data on occupational sedentary behavior and physical activity were collected with a standardized questionnaire. The outcomes of ESRD and death were identified by linking with the Catastrophic Illness Dataset and Cause of Death Data. The association between prolonged sitting and CKD, the incidence of ESRD, and death were assessed using logistic regression models to compute odds ratios (ORs) and Cox proportional hazards models for hazard ratios (HRs).

RESULTS

More than half of the participants, i.e., 265,948 (58.4%), were categorized as "prolonged sitting" during their work. During a median of 13 years of follow-up, we identified 2227 individuals undergoing dialysis and 25,671 deaths. Prolonged occupational sitting was significantly associated with a higher risk of CKD (OR: 1.26, 95% confidence interval: 1.21, 1.31), ESRD (HR: 1.19, 95% CI 1.03, 1.38), and kidney-specific mortality (HR: 1.43, 95% CI 1.07, 1.91) compared to mostly standing participants after controlling for physical activity and other risk factors. Inactive prolonged sitting carries a significantly higher risk of ESRD than physically active mostly standing participants (HR: 1.34, 95% CI 1.04, 1.73). However, active prolonged sitting decreased the risk of ESRD (HR: 1.03, 95% CI 0.79, 1.34) compared to inactive prolonged sitting.

CONCLUSION

The results suggest that prolonged occupational sitting is associated with a greater risk of the spectrum of kidney disease, proteinuria, CKD, dialysis (ESRD), and mortality for all causes and kidney diseases. Physical activity, even at a minimal level of 15 min/day (90 min/week) of moderate-intensity exercise, was associated with a reduction in these risks.

Risk of cardiovascular diseases in cancer patients: A nationwide representative cohort study in Taiwan

BACKGROUND

The associations with cancer and cardiovascular diseases (CVD) had inconsistent results. The study aimed to investigate the risk of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) between populations with and without cancer.

METHODS

Patients with common cancers in Taiwan were enrolled in the study between 2007 and 2018 using the Taiwan Cancer Registry. We focused on colorectal cancer, women's breast cancer, lung cancer, liver cancer, oral cancer, prostate cancer, and thyroid cancers. The study endpoint was fatal and non-fatal CVD, which was defined as ischemic heart disease and ischemic stroke according to the National Health Insurance Research Database. We compared the risk of CVD between patients with cancer and age- and sex-matched (1:1 ratio) participants who did not have cancer or CVD. Multivariable adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were obtained from Cox regression analysis. To evaluate the chronological trend, we estimated the HRs and 95% CI yearly since the diagnosis.

RESULTS

Among the 552,485 cancer patients (mean age, 60.6 years; women, 47.7%) during the median follow-up period of 4.1 years, 32,634 cases of fatal and non-fatal CVD were identified. Compared with that noted in the non-cancer population, the overall fully adjusted HR with 95% CI was 1.28 (1.25, 1.30) in the cancer population. The CVD risk was the highest in the first year, the adjusted HR with 95% CI was 2.31 (2.23, 2.40), and this risk decreased yearly.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with cancer had a significantly higher risk of fatal or non-fatal CVD. The risk was the highest in the first year since diagnosis and decreased yearly.

Cardiovascular and renal efficacy and safety of sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors in patients without diabetes: a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised placebo-controlled trials

OBJECTIVES

To assess the cardiovascular and renal efficacy and safety of sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors in patients without diabetes.

METHODS

We searched PubMed, MEDLINE, Embase and Cochrane Library for publications up to 17 August 2022. Certainty of evidence was assessed using the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluation approach. Random-effects meta-analyses were performed to pool effect measures across studies. Risk ratios (RRs) with 95% CIs are expressed for composite cardiovascular outcome of cardiovascular death or hospitalisation for heart failure, cardiovascular death, hospitalisation for heart failure, all-cause mortality and composite renal outcome of ≥50% reduction in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), end-stage kidney disease or renal death. Annual rate of change in eGFR is expressed as the mean difference with 95% CI.

RESULTS

We identified four trials with 8927 patients with heart failure or chronic kidney disease (CKD). Compared with placebo, SGLT2 inhibitors showed favourable effects on the composite cardiovascular outcome (RR: 0.79, 95% CI: 0.71 to 0.87; moderate certainty), cardiovascular death (0.85, 0.74 to 0.99; moderate certainty), hospitalisation for heart failure (0.72, 0.62 to 0.82; moderate certainty), the composite renal outcome (0.64, 0.48 to 0.85; low certainty) and the annual rate of change in eGFR (mean difference: 0.99, 0.59 to 1.39 mL/min/1.73 m²/year; moderate certainty), while there was no significant difference in all-cause mortality (0.88, 0.77 to 1.01; very low certainty). Moderate certainty evidence indicated that SGLT2 inhibitors reduced the risk of serious adverse events and acute renal failure. Low certainty evidence suggested that SGLT2 inhibitors increased the risk of urinary tract infection and genital infection, while there were no differences in discontinuation due to adverse events, amputation, fracture, hypoglycaemia, ketoacidosis or volume depletion.

CONCLUSIONS

Evidence of low to moderate certainty suggests that SGLT2 inhibitors provide cardiorenal benefits but have increased risk for urinary tract infection and genital infection in patients without diabetes and with heart failure or CKD.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER

CRD42021239807.

Risks of Ventricular Tachyarrhythmia and Mortality in Patients with Amyloidosis - A Long-Term Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

The presence of ventricular tachycardia (VT) is associated with higher mortality. The annual incidence of VT after a diagnosis of amyloidosis and the associated cardiovascular (CV) outcomes have not been well assessed in a large cohort.

METHODS

A total of 12,139 amyloidosis patients were identified from the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database. Non-amyloidosis group was matched 1:1 for age, gender, hypertension, and diabetes mellitus (DM) to the amyloidosis group using a propensity score. Analysis of the risk of CV outcomes was conducted. We also analyzed the incidence of cardiac amyloidosis (CA).

RESULTS

The incidence rates of amyloidosis and CA were 6.54 and 0.61 per 100,000 person-years, respectively. Multivariable analysis revealed that the risk of VT was higher in both the amyloidosis [hazard ratio (HR): 7.90; 95% confidence interval (CI): 4.49-13.9] and CA (HR: 153.3, 95% CI: 54.3-432.7) groups. In the amyloidosis group, the risk of heart failure (HF)-related hospitalization, CV death, and all-cause death was also higher. Amyloidosis was associated with a higher CV mortality rate following VT (HR: 1.50; 95% CI: 1.07-2.12). The onset of a new VT event in patients with amyloidosis was associated with HF, DM, chronic liver disease, and anti-arrhythmic drug use.

CONCLUSIONS

In this nationwide cohort study, the incidence rates of amyloidosis and CA were 6.54 and 0.61 per 100,000 person-years, respectively. The long-term risks of VT and CV mortality were higher in the patients with amyloidosis and CA. The patients with amyloidosis had a poorer prognosis following VT events, highlighting the importance of continuous monitoring in these patients.

The Risk of Ischemic Stroke in Head and Neck Cancer Patients and Those Who Were Treated with Radiotherapy: A Population-Based Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

To investigate the standardized incidence ratios (SIR) of stroke in patients with head and neck cancer and their relationship to radiotherapy.

METHODS

Patients with head and neck cancer ages 20-85 years were enrolled from 2007 to 2016 using the Taiwan Cancer Registry. The study endpoint was fatal and non-fatal ischemic stroke, ascertained by the National Health Insurance Research Database. Age- and sex-adjusted SIRs, categorized by 10-year age standardization, were used to compare the patients with head and neck cancer with a randomly selected 2,000,000 general population. We compared the risk of stroke in patients with head and neck cancer who received radiotherapy or surgery alone. Multivariable adjusted hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were obtained from Cox regression analysis with competing risk.

RESULTS

Among 41,266 patients (mean age, 54.1 years; men, 90.6%) in the median follow-up period of 3.9 years, 1,407 strokes occurred. Compared with the general population, the overall SIR of stroke was 1.37 (95% CI, 1.30-1.44) in patients with head and neck cancer. In patients with head and neck cancer, the fully adjusted HR of stroke in those who received radiotherapy was 0.96 (95% CI, 0.83-1.10), compared with those who received surgery alone.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with head and neck cancer had a higher risk of fatal or non-fatal ischemic stroke. The risk of stroke was not higher in patients initially treated with radiotherapy.

IMPACT

Oncologists should emphasize stroke prevention in all patients with head and neck cancer, not only in those who received radiotherapy.

FC 125: Comparative Effectiveness of Dipeptidyl Peptidase-4 Inhibitors versus Sulfonylureas in Addition to Metformin: A Population-Based Cohort Study of Patients With Diabetes

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Effects of dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP4i) versus sulfonylureas (SU) in addition to metformin remain controversial in patients with type 2 diabetes. Some studies have shown that DPP4i provided cardioprotective effects, but some have reported that DPP4i showed neutral effects on cardiovascular outcomes. In addition, randomized clinical trials have reported inconsistent effects on heart failure among different types of DPP4i. This study aimed to clarify the conflicting cardiovascular effects of DPP4i and examine whether class effects exist among different types of DPP4i.

METHOD

We conducted a nationwide cohort study using claims data from the National Health Insurance in Taiwan from 2007 to 2013. We enrolled type 2 diabetes patients who received DPP4i or SU in addition to metformin. Participants who received DPP4i for at least three consecutive months were categorized as DPP4i users, and those who received SU for at least three consecutive months were categorized as SU users. DPP4i users were matched to SU users using propensity scores at a ratio of 1:1. The study outcomes were hospitalization for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs), heart failure, acute myocardial infarction, cerebrovascular disease, coronary revascularization and hypoglycemia. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) for study outcomes comparing DPP4i with SU.

RESULTS

There were 37 317 matched pairs of DPP4i and SU users with a mean follow-up of 2.1 years. Compared with SU users, DPP4i users showed a significantly lower risk of hospitalization for MACE (HR 0.79, 95% CI 0.75–0.82), heart failure (HR 0.86, 95% CI 0.79–0.93), acute myocardial infarction (HR 0.79, 95% CI 0.68–0.92) and cerebrovascular disease (HR 0.72, 95% CI 0.67–0.77) (Table 1). Both sitagliptin and vildagliptin showed significantly lower risks of hospitalization for MACE (sitagliptin: adjusted HR 0.89, 95% CI 0.85–0.94; vildagliptin: adjusted HR 0.77, 95% CI 0.60–0.99) and cerebrovascular disease (sitagliptin: adjusted HR 0.81, 95% CI 0.75–0.88; vildagliptin: adjusted HR 0.64, 95% CI 0.44–0.92) (Figure 1). All three types of DPP4i users showed a significantly lower risk of hospitalization for hypoglycemia (sitagliptin: adjusted HR 0.45, 95% CI 0.39–0.52; vildagliptin: adjusted HR 0.22, 95% CI 0.09–0.52; saxagliptin: adjusted HR 0.38, 95% CI 0.17–0.83), but saxagliptin showed a borderline significantly higher risk of hospitalization for heart failure (HR 1.59, 95% CI 1.00–2.55).

CONCLUSION

DPP4i showed better protective effects than SU in outcomes of MACE, heart failure, acute myocardial infarction, cerebrovascular disease and hypoglycemia. Sitagliptin and vildagliptin showed more prominent protective effects. Compared with SU, all three types of DPP4i lowered the risk of hypoglycemia in patients with type 2 diabetes.

Role of Physical Activity in Lowering Risk of End-Stage Renal Disease

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the association between the amount and intensity of leisure-time physical activity (LTPA) and the risk of end-stage renal disease (ESRD).

METHODS

The study examined a cohort of 543,667 participants aged 20 years and older who participated in a health screening program from January 1, 1996, through December 31, 2017. We identified 2520 individuals undergoing dialysis or who had a kidney transplant by linking participants' encrypted personal identification with the registry for ESRD with a median follow-up of 13 years. We classified participants into 5 categories measured by metabolic equivalent of tasks. Within each category, we analyzed the effect of moderate- and vigorous-intensity LTPA in reducing risk of ESRD. We used a Cox proportional hazards model to calculate hazard ratios (HRs).

RESULTS

We observed a dose-response relationship between LTPA and the risk of ESRD. The fully active group had a 12% lower hazard of ESRD compared with the no reported LTPA group (HR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.80 to 0.98) adjusting for covariates including baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate and proteinuria. Within the same category of LTPA, vigorous-intensity exercise carried a 35% lower HR for ESRD compared with moderate-intensity exercise (HR, 0.65; 95% CI, 0.52 to 0.81). The effect was observed stronger among men, younger participants, and participants with diabetes or hyperlipidemia.

CONCLUSION

Sustained LTPA (≥ 150 minutes per week), particularly with vigorous intensity, significantly lowered the ESRD risk, even among individuals with comorbidities such as diabetes or hyperlipidemia. This finding suggested that patients with no reported LTPA with cardiovascular risks should engage in more LTPA to lower their risk of ESRD.

A prediction model with lifestyle factors improves the predictive ability for renal replacement therapy: a cohort of 442,714 participants Asian adults

Background

There are limited renal replacement therapy (RRT) prediction models with good performance in the general population. We developed a model that includes lifestyle factors to improve predictive ability for RRT in the population at large.

Methods

We used data collected between 1996 and 2017 from a medical screening in a cohort comprising 442 714 participants aged 20 years or over. After a median follow-up of 13 years, we identified 2212 individuals with end-stage renal disease (RRT, n: 2091; kidney transplantation, n: 121). We built three models for comparison: model 1: basic model, Kidney Failure Risk Equation with four variables (age, sex, estimated glomerular filtration rate and proteinuria); model 2: basic model + medical history + lifestyle risk factors; and model 3: model 2 + all significant clinical variables. We used the Cox proportional hazards model to construct a points-based model and applied the C statistic.

Results

Adding lifestyle factors to the basic model, the C statistic improved in model 2 from 0.91 to 0.94 (95% confidence interval: 0.94, 0.95). Model 3 showed even better C statistic value i.e., 0.95 (0.95, 0.96). With a cut-off score of 33, model 3 identified 3% of individuals with RRT risk in 10 years. This model detected over half of individuals progressing to RRT, which was higher than the sensitivity of cohort participants with stage 3 or higher chronic kidney disease (0.53 versus 0.48).

Conclusions

Our prediction model including medical history and lifestyle factors improved the predictive ability for end-stage renal disease in the general population in addition to chronic kidney disease population.

Efficacy and Safety of Proprotein Convertase Subtilisin/Kexin Type 9 Inhibitors as Adjuvant Treatments for Patients with Hypercholesterolemia Treated with Statin: A Systematic Review and Network Meta-analysis

Background: The proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 (PCSK9) inhibitors are potent LDL-C lowering agents. However, few head-to-head studies evaluated the efficacy on the lowering in other atherogenic apolipoproteins and safety of PCSK9 inhibitors at different dosages as an add-on statins therapy in hypercholesterolemia patients.

Methods: This study is a systematic review and network meta-analysis of randomized control trials to compare the efficacy of lipid reduction and adverse events of PCSK9 inhibitors in statin-treated hypercholesterolemia patients. PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane Library databases were searched till April 20, 2021, for randomized controlled trials. Random-effect network meta-analyses were undertaken to compare the differences in the percent reduction in low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), apolipoprotein B (ApoB), and lipoprotein (a) [Lp(a)] levels and the risk of AEs among different PCSK9 inhibitors.

Results: A total of 22 articles with 42,786 patients were included. The lipid reductions in LDL-C, ApoB, and Lp(a) with add-on PCSK9 inhibitors vs. placebo in statin-treated patients across all trials were 50–63%, 43–52%, and 23–31%, respectively. Evolocumab 140 mg Q2W was ranked the best among all treatment strategies for lowering LDL-C, ApoB, and Lp(a) levels, and the treatment difference was 68.05% (95% confidence interval (CI), 62.43% to 73.67) in LDL-C reduction, 54.95% (95% CI, 49.55% to 60.35%) in ApoB reduction, and 34.25% (95% CI, 27.59% to 40.91%) in Lp(a) reduction compared with the placebo. No significant risk difference of adverse events between PCSK9 inhibitors and placebo was found.

Conclusion: PCSK9 inhibitors showed a significant effect on the reduction in LDL-C, ApoB, and Lp(a) levels in statin-treated patients. Evolocumab 140 mg Q2W showed significantly larger degrees of LDL-C, ApoB, and Lp(a) reduction.

Preserved Electroencephalogram Power and Global Synchronization Predict Better Neurological Outcome in Sudden Cardiac Arrest Survivors

Quantitative EEG (qEEG) delineates complex brain activities. Global field synchronization (GFS) is one multichannel EEG analysis that measures global functional connectivity through quantification of synchronization between signals. We hypothesized that preservation of global functional connectivity of brain activity might be a surrogate marker for good outcome in sudden cardiac arrest (SCA) survivors. In addition, we examined the relation of phase coherence and GFS in a mathematical approach. We retrospectively collected EEG data of SCA survivors in one academic medical center. We included 75 comatose patients who were resuscitated following in-hospital or out-of-hospital nontraumatic cardiac arrest between 2013 and 2017 in the intensive care unit (ICU) of National Taiwan University Hospital (NTUH). Twelve patients (16%) were defined as good outcome (GO) (CPC 1-2). The mean age in the GO group was low (51.6 ± 15.7 vs. 68.1 ± 12.9, p < 0.001). We analyzed standard EEG power, computed EEG GFS, and assessed the cerebral performance category (CPC) score 3 months after discharge. The alpha band showed the highest discrimination ability (area under curve [AUC] = 0.78) to predict GO using power. The alpha band of GFS showed the highest AUC value (0.8) to predict GO in GFS. Furthermore, by combining EEG power + GFS, the alpha band showed the best prediction value (AUC 0.86) in predicting GO. The sensitivity of EEG power + GFS was 73%, specificity was 93%, PPV was 0.67%, and NPV was 0.94%. In conclusion, by combining GFS and EEG power analysis, the neurological outcome of the nontraumatic cardiac arrest survivor can be well-predicted. Furthermore, we proved from a mathematical point of view that although both amplitude and phase contribute to obtaining GFS, the interference in phase variation drastically changes the possibility of generating a good GFS score.

Trans Fatty Acid Biomarkers and Incident Type 2 Diabetes: Pooled Analysis of 12 Prospective Cohort Studies in the Fatty Acids and Outcomes Research Consortium (FORCE)

OBJECTIVE

Trans fatty acids (TFAs) have harmful biologic effects that could increase the risk of type 2 diabetes (T2D), but evidence remains uncertain. We aimed to investigate the prospective associations of TFA biomarkers and T2D by conducting an individual participant-level pooled analysis.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We included data from an international consortium of 12 prospective cohorts and nested case-control studies from six nations. TFA biomarkers were measured in blood collected between 1990 and 2008 from 25,126 participants aged ≥18 years without prevalent diabetes. Each cohort conducted de novo harmonized analyses using a prespecified protocol, and findings were pooled using inverse-variance weighted meta-analysis. Heterogeneity was explored by prespecified between-study and within-study characteristics.

RESULTS

During a mean follow-up of 13.5 years, 2,843 cases of incident T2D were identified. In multivariable-adjusted pooled analyses, no significant associations with T2D were identified for trans/trans-18:2, relative risk (RR) 1.09 (95% CI 0.94-1.25); cis/trans-18:2, 0.89 (0.73-1.07); and trans/cis-18:2, 0.87 (0.73-1.03). Trans-16:1n-9, total trans-18:1, and total trans-18:2 were inversely associated with T2D (RR 0.81 [95% CI 0.67-0.99], 0.86 [0.75-0.99], and 0.84 [0.74-0.96], respectively). Findings were not significantly different according to prespecified sources of potential heterogeneity (each P ≥ 0.1).

CONCLUSIONS

Circulating individual trans-18:2 TFA biomarkers were not associated with risk of T2D, while trans-16:1n-9, total trans-18:1, and total trans-18:2 were inversely associated. Findings may reflect the influence of mixed TFA sources (industrial vs. natural ruminant), a general decline in TFA exposure due to policy changes during this period, or the relatively limited range of TFA levels.

Associations between fibrinogen levels and the risk of cardiovascular disease and all-cause death: a cohort study from the Chin-Shan community in Taiwan

OBJECTIVES

Although several studies have investigated the association between fibrinogen level and the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD), few studies have been conducted in Asia.

SETTING

We conducted a community-based prospective cohort study in the Chin-Shan community, Taiwan.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 2222 participants (54.6±11.9 years, 53.4% women, and 22.4 years of follow-up) who underwent plasma fibrinogen measurements and were without CVD at baseline were recruited, among which 735 participants with available C reactive protein (CRP) were included in the joint analysis of the association of fibrinogen and CRP levels with the risk of CVD.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES

Fibrinogen and CRP levels were measured by clotting and high-sensitivity immunoturbidimetric assays, respectively. The study outcomes were CVD events and all-cause death. Our definition of CVD included both coronary artery disease (CAD) and stroke cases. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to estimate the HRs and 95% CIs.

RESULTS

Compared with the lowest quartile, participants with higher fibrinogen levels tended to have a higher risk of CAD (adjusted HR for the highest quartile=1.48 (95% CI 0.90 to 2.44); test for trend p=0.037) regardless of CRP level (adjusted HR=2.12 (95% CI 1.24 to 3.63) and 2.17 (95% CI 1.06 to 4.44) for high fibrinogen/low CRP and high fibrinogen/high CRP, respectively). The association was not observed for stroke (adjusted HR for the highest quartile=0.99 (95% CI 0.62 to 1.60); test for trend p=0.99) and was only observed for all-cause death among participants <65 years of age (adjusted HR for the highest quartile=1.47 (95% CI 1.11 to 1.95); test for trend p=0.004).

CONCLUSIONS

Fibrinogen may be a potential risk factor for CAD but not for stroke. Further studies are necessary to clarify the differences in the role of fibrinogen levels on the risk of CVD between Asian and Western countries.

High sensitivity C-reactive protein and glycated hemoglobin levels as dominant predictors of all-cause dementia: a nationwide population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

Chronic inflammation might play a major role in the pathogenesis linking diabetes mellitus (DM) to cognition. In addition, DM might be the main driver of dementia risk. The purpose of the present study was to evaluate whether inflammation, glycation, or both are associated with the risk of developing all-cause dementia (ACD).

METHODS

A nationwide population-based cohort study was conducted with 4113 participants. The data were obtained from the Taiwanese Survey on Prevalence of Hypertension, Hyperglycemia, and Hyperlipidemia (TwSHHH) in 2007, which was linked with the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD). The markers of inflammation, expressed as hs-CRP, and glycation, presented as HbA1c, were measured. High levels of hs-CRP and HbA1c were defined as values greater than or equal to the 66th percentile. Developed ACD was identified based on the International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-9-CM) codes.

RESULTS

During 32,926.90 person-years, 106 individuals developed ACD in up to 8 years of follow-up. The study participants were separated into four categories by the top tertiles of hs-CRP and HbA1c based on the 66th percentile: high levels of both hs-CRP and HbA1c, only high levels of hs-CRP, only high levels of HbA1c, and non-high levels of hs-CRP nor HbA1c. Those who with a high level of only hs-CRP had the higher hazard for developing ACD (adjusted HR = 2.58; 95% CI = 1.29 ~ 5.17; P = 0.007), followed by the group with a high level of only HbA1c (adjusted HR = 2.52; 95% CI = 1.34 ~ 4.74; P = 0.004) and the group with high levels of both hs-CRP and HbA1c (adjusted HR = 2.36; 95% CI = 1.20 ~ 4.62; P = 0.012). Among those aged less than 65 years, hs-CRP was the only significant predictor of ACD risk (P = 0.046), whereas it did not yield any significant result in the elderly.

CONCLUSIONS

A higher risk of developing ACD was found not only in patients with high levels of inflammation but also high levels of glycated hemoglobin. Future studies should focus on the clinical implementation of hs-CRP or HbA1c to monitor cognitive deficits.

Identifying low-PM2.5 exposure commuting routes for cyclists through modeling with the random forest algorithm based on low-cost sensor measurements in three Asian cities

Cyclists can be easily exposed to traffic-related pollutants due to riding on or close to the road during commuting in cities. PM_2.5 has been identified as one of the major pollutants emitted by vehicles and associated with cardiopulmonary and respiratory diseases. As routing has been suggested to reduce the exposures for cyclists, in this study, PM_2.5 was monitored with low-cost sensors during commuting periods to develop models for identifying low exposure routes in three Asian cities: Taipei, Osaka, and Seoul. The models for mapping the PM_2.5 in the cities were developed by employing the random forest algorithm in a two-stage modeling approach. The land use features to explain spatial variation of PM_2.5 were obtained from the open-source land use database, OpenStreetMap. The total length of the monitoring routes ranged from 101.36 to 148.22 km and the average PM_2.5 ranged from 13.51 to 15.40 μg/m³ among the cities. The two-stage models had the standard k-fold cross-validation (CV) R² of 0.93, 0.74, and 0.84 in Taipei, Osaka, and Seoul, respectively. To address spatial autocorrelation, a spatial cross-validation approach applying a distance restriction of 100 m between the model training and testing data was employed. The over-optimistic estimates on the predictions were thus prevented, showing model CV-R² of 0.91, 0.67, and 0.78 respectively in Taipei, Osaka, and Seoul. The comparisons between the shortest-distance and lowest-exposure routes showed that the largest percentage of reduced averaged PM_2.5 exposure could reach 32.1% with the distance increases by 37.8%. Given the findings in this study, routing behavior should be encouraged. With the daily commuting trips expanded, the cumulative effect may become significant on the chronic exposures over time. Therefore, a route planning tool for reducing the exposures shall be developed and promoted to the public.

Increased standardised incidence ratio of cardiovascular diseases among colorectal cancer patients

PURPOSE

Evidence regarding the relationship between colorectal cancer and the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) is limited. Thus, in this study, we aimed to determine the standardised incidence ratio (SIR) of CVDs in colorectal cancer patients in Taiwan.

METHODS

A population-based cohort study enrolling the incident colorectal cancer population based on the Cancer Registry Database from 2007 to 2016 was conducted (n = 94,233, mean age: 62.4 years, 43.0% women). New cases of CVD, including coronary heart disease and ischemic stroke, through 31 December 2018 were obtained from the National Health Insurance Research Database and National Death Registry. Compared with the general population (n = 1,977,659, mean age: 44.3 years, 49.6% women), age- and sex-specific SIRs for CVDs were calculated by the time since diagnosis.

RESULTS

A total of 6852 cardiovascular events occurred in colorectal cancer patients during a median follow-up of 4.4 years. The SIR of CVD was highest in the first year after diagnosis (SIR: 1.45, 95% confidence interval: 1.39-1.50); however, this decreased to the same value as that of the general population in later years. Similar patterns were observed for the SIR of coronary heart disease. However, the SIR of ischemic stroke among colorectal cancer patients was low from the second year following cancer diagnosis.

CONCLUSIONS

Colorectal cancer patients are at an increased risk of developing CVD, especially coronary heart disease, during the first 3 years following colorectal cancer diagnosis.