Long-term impact of 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccination on invasive pneumococcal disease among children in Finland

Overview of childhood vaccination coverage in Brazil and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic: Is our children's health at risk? A review of pre-COVID-19 periods and during the COVID-19 pandemic

Introduction

The coronavirus disease (COVID)-19 has had a great impact on several aspects related to the population's health, including the vaccination adherence rate. This study describes how childhood vaccination coverage (CVC) in Brazil was affected by the pandemic in the period from 2020 to 2022 and explores the relationship between this data and the Human Development Index (HDI), and the number of votes received in the government with a right-wing political ideology.

Methods

An ecological analysis of CVC was carried out including 12 vaccines. The HDI was evaluated considering the HDI-General, HDI-Income, HDI-Longevity, and HDI-Education. The percentage of valid votes received by the former president (right-wing political ideology) was also obtained. Spearman correlation tests were applied to compare markers.

Results

During the period analyzed, it was observed a linear growth trend in CVC between 2015 and 2018 regarding all vaccines. However, from 2018 onwards, after the presidential elections in Brazil, the CVC reduced significantly, showing an even more pronounced decrease with the start of the COVID-19 pandemic. This reduction in CVC observed for some vaccines was related to the higher percentage of votes for the government with a right-wing political ideology, especially in relation to the BCG (bacillus Calmette and Guerin) and pentavalent (protecting against diphtheria, tetanus, pertussis, hepatitis B, and Haemophilus influenzae type b bacteria) vaccines. In addition, when analyzing the HDI, it was observed that the lowest values of this indicator were associated with a more expressive reduction in CVC, mainly related to yellow fever, pentavalent, 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate, Human rotavirus, and triple viral (protecting against measles, mumps, and rubella - MMR) vaccines.

Conclusion

Although Brazil has a successful and exemplary record in combating several diseases, mainly due to the high rate of CVC, the continuous reduction in this coverage must be thoroughly evaluated by health managers.

PCV15, a pneumococcal conjugate vaccine, for the prevention of invasive pneumococcal disease in infants and children

INTRODUCTION

Streptococcus pneumoniae is a causative agent of pneumonia and acute otitis media (AOM), as well as invasive diseases such as meningitis and bacteremia. PCV15 (V114) is a new 15-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) approved for use in individuals ≥6 weeks of age for the prevention of pneumonia, AOM, and invasive pneumococcal disease.

AREAS COVERED

This review summarizes the V114 Phase 3 development program leading to approval in infants and children, including pivotal studies, interchangeability and catch-up vaccination studies, and studies in at-risk populations. An integrated safety summary is presented in addition to immunogenicity and concomitant use of V114 with other routine pediatric vaccines.

EXPERT OPINION

Across the development program, V114 demonstrated a safety profile that is comparable to PCV13 in infants and children. Immunogenicity of V114 is comparable to PCV13 for all shared serotypes except serotype 3, where V114 demonstrated superior immunogenicity. Higher immune responses were demonstrated for V114 serotypes 22F and 33F. Results of the ongoing study to evaluate V114 efficacy against vaccine-type pneumococcal AOM and anticipated real-world evidence studies will support assessment of vaccine effectiveness and impact, with an additional question of whether higher serotype 3 immunogenicity translates to better protection against serotype 3 pneumococcal disease.

Comparison of the epidemiology of invasive pneumococcal disease between Australia and New Zealand in 2017-2021: an observational study based on surveillance data

Background

The Australian immunisation schedule uses 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13), while New Zealand (NZ) changed from PCV13 to 10-valent PCV (PCV10) in 2017. In NZ, cases of serotype 19A (not in PCV10) have been increasing since 2017. We compared invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) epidemiology between Australia and NZ in 2017-2021.

Methods

We collated IPD notification data from national surveillance systems. Between Australia and NZ, we compared IPD incidence rates and assessed the proportion of serotype 19A, and stratified for ethnicity and age.

Findings

Between 2017 and 2021, the crude IPD incidence per 100,000 in Australia ranged from 4.3 to 8.4, and ranged from 6.9 to 11.4 in NZ. The highest age-adjusted IPD rates were observed in Australian Indigenous people (range: 27.3-35.5) followed by NZ Māori/Pacific peoples (range 19.7-30.4). For children <2 years, ethnicity-adjusted IPD rates were similar between Australia and NZ in 2017-2020. In 2021, however, the ethnicity-adjusted incidence in children <2 years was higher in NZ (30.2; 95% CI 21.1-39.4) than in Australia (23.3 95% CI: 19.5-27.1) (p < 0.01). In Australia, the proportion of serotype 19A remained 5%, whereas in NZ serotype 19A increased from 11.5% to 29.5% with the largest increase in children <2 years and 2-4 years.

Interpretation

Despite higher risks in Indigenous populations in Australia compared to all other groups, the overall IPD rate in NZ is increasing, particularly among children. The numbers and proportions of IPD due to serotype 19A are increasing in NZ especially in children. These data support the NZ decision from December 2022 to change to PCV13.

Funding

This research received no specific funding.

Invasive pneumococcal disease among the elderly in the later era of paediatric pneumococcal conjugate vaccination-A longitudinal study over 10 years based on public surveillance data in the Nordics

BACKGROUND

Pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) have proven effective in preventing both non-invasive and invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) in small children and in older age groups. However, long-term observations and country comparisons of IPD incidence in the elderly following introduction of PCVs in paediatric national immunisation programmes (NIPs) are scarce. We aimed to estimate and compare incidence of IPD in the elderly in Denmark, Finland, Norway, and Sweden over a 10-year time span. During the study period Denmark and Norway used PCV13 in their paediatric NIP, Sweden both PCV10 and PCV13 and Finland used PCV10. Uptake of pneumococcal vaccines for the elderly was low.

METHOD

We collected longitudinal data on confirmed IPD cases and their serotypes among elderly people (aged ≥65 years) 2010-2019 in the four countries of interest. Annual IPD incidence rates were calculated per country, by vaccine-associated serotypes (PCV10, PCV13, PCV15, PCV20 and PPV23) and for non-vaccine serotypes. A regression model was used to estimate average annual change in incidence in each country.

RESULTS

Incidence rates of IPD in the elderly in 2019 ranged from 31.4 to 41.8 per 100,000 people across the countries. Denmark and Norway showed an annual average decline in IPD incidence (-3.3; 95% CI: -5.6 to -1.1; p<0.01) and (-3.3; 95% CI: -5.5 to -1.0; p<0.01) respectively from 2010 to 2019, whereas no change was seen for Sweden (-0.5; 95% CI: -1.9 to 0.8; p = 0.39) or Finland (0.9; 95% CI: -1.0 to 2.7; p = 0.32). IPD incidence due to emerging serotypes, e.g., serotypes 8 and 12F, has increased. Serotype 19A remained a major cause of IPD in countries with PCV10 in paediatric NIPs.

CONCLUSION

Despite paediatric PCV programmes, a considerable vaccine preventable IPD burden remains in the elderly. Further, choice of PCV in paediatric programs was associated with differences in serotype distribution and incidence amongst the elderly. Direct vaccination of the elderly with recently approved broad coverage PCVs holds promise for meaningful impact on disease burden with PCV20 covering a majority of IPD amongst the elderly in the four studied countries. Effectiveness of new vaccines in real-life clinical practice should be followed.

Immunogenicity and safety of a 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine administered as a 2 + 1 schedule to healthy infants in The Gambia: a single-centre, double-blind, active-controlled, randomised, phase 3 trial

BACKGROUND

Three pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) are currently licensed and WHO prequalified for supply by UN agencies. Here, we aimed to investigate the safety and immunogenicity of SIIPL-PCV compared with PHiD-CV and PCV13, when administered to infants according to a 2 + 1 schedule.

METHODS

This single-centre, double-blind, active-controlled, randomised, phase 3 trial was done in Medical Research Council Unit The Gambia at the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine clinical trial facilities within two government health centres in the western region of The Gambia. Healthy, PCV-naive infants aged 6-8 weeks were enrolled if they weighed at least 3·5 kg and had no clinically significant health complaints, as determined by history and clinical examination. Eligible infants were randomly assigned (1:1:1) to receive either SIIPL-PCV, PHiD-CV, or PCV13 using permuted blocks of variable size. Parents and the trial staff assessing all study outcomes were masked to vaccine group. The first PCV vaccine was given with other routine Expanded Programme on Immunization vaccines when infants were aged 6-8 weeks (visit 1). At visit 2, routine vaccines alone (without a PCV) were administered. At visit 3, the second dose of the PCV was administered alongside other routine vaccines. At visit 4, a blood sample was collected. Visits 1-4 took place at intervals of 4 weeks. The booster PCV was administered at age 9-18 months (visit 5), with final follow-up 4 weeks after the booster (visit 6). The primary immunogenicity outcome compared the serotype-specific IgG geometric mean concentrations (GMCs) generated by SIIPL-PCV with those generated by PHiD-CV and PCV13, 4 weeks after the booster. We used descriptive 95% CIs without adjustment for multiplicity. Immunogenicity analyses were done in the per protocol population (defined as all children who received all the assigned study vaccines, who had an immunogenicity measurement available, and who had no protocol deviations that might interfere with the immunogenicity assessment). This trial was registered with the Pan African Clinical Trials Registry, PACTR201907754270299, and ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03896477.

FINDINGS

Between July 18 and Nov 14, 2019, 745 infants were assessed for study eligibility. Of these, 85 infants (11%) were ineligible and 660 (89%) were enrolled and randomly assigned to receive SIIPL-PCV (n=220), PHiD-CV (n=220), or PCV13 (n=220). 602 infants (91%) were included in the per protocol immunogenicity population. The median age at vaccination was 46 days (range 42-56). 342 infants (52%) were female and 318 (48%) were male. Post-booster serotype-specific IgG GMCs generated by SIIPL-PCV ranged from 1·54 μg/mL (95% CI 1·38-1·73) for serotype 5 to 12·46 μg/mL (11·07-14·01) for serotype 6B. Post-booster GMCs against shared serotypes generated by PHiD-CV ranged from 0·80 μg/mL (0·72-0·88) for serotype 5 to 17·31 μg/mL (14·83-20·20) for serotype 19F. Post-booster GMCs generated by PCV13 ranged from 2·04 μg/mL (1·86-2·24) for serotype 5 to 15·54 μg/mL (13·71-17·60) for serotype 6B. Post-booster IgG GMCs generated by SIIPL-PCV were higher than those generated by PHiD-CV for seven of the eight shared serotypes (1, 5, 6B, 7F, 9V, 14, and 23F). The GMC generated by serotype 19F was higher after PHiD-CV. The SIIPL-PCV to PHiD-CV GMC ratios for shared serotypes ranged from 0·64 (95% CI 0·52-0·79) for serotype 19F to 2·91 (2·47-3·44) for serotype 1. The serotype 1 GMC generated by SIIPL-PCV was higher than that generated by PCV13, whereas serotype 5, 6A, 19A, and 19F GMCs were higher after PCV13. The SIIPL-PCV to PCV13 GMC ratios ranged from 0·72 (0·60-0·87) for serotype 19A to 1·44 (1·23-1·69) for serotype 1.

INTERPRETATION

SIIPL-PCV was safe and immunogenic when given to infants in The Gambia according to a 2 + 1 schedule. This PCV is expected to provide similar protection against invasive and mucosal pneumococcal disease to the protection provided by PCV13 and PHiD-CV, for which effectiveness data are available. Generating post-implementation data on the impact of SIIPL-PCV on pneumococcal disease endpoints remains important.

FUNDING

Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Serotype 19A and 6C Account for One-Third of Pneumococcal Carriage Among Belgian Day-Care Children Four Years After a Shift to a Lower-Valent PCV

BACKGROUND

Pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) effectively reduce infection and asymptomatic carriage of Streptococcus pneumoniae vaccine serotypes. In 2016, Belgium replaced its infant PCV13 program by a 4-year period of PCV10. Concomitantly, S. pneumoniae serotype carriage was monitored together with the carriage of other nasopharyngeal pathogens in children attending day-care centers.

METHODS

From 2016 to 2019, a total of 3459 nasopharyngeal swabs were obtained from children aged 6-30 months. Culture and qPCR were used for the identification of S. pneumoniae, Haemophilus influenzae, Moraxella catarrhalis, and Staphylococcus aureus and for serotyping and antimicrobial susceptibility assessment of S. pneumoniae strains.

RESULTS

S. pneumoniae colonization was frequent and stable over the study years. H. influenzae and M. catarrhalis were more frequently carried (P < .001) than S. pneumoniae, by, respectively, 92.3% and 91.0% of children. Prevalence of all PCV13 serotypes together increased significantly over time from 5.8% to 19.6% (P < .001) and was attributable to the increasing prevalence of serotype 19A. Coincidently, non-vaccine serotype 6C increased (P < .001) and the overall pneumococcal non-susceptibility to tetracycline and erythromycin. Non-susceptibility to cotrimoxazole decreased (P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

The switch to a PCV program no longer covering serotypes 19A, 6A, and 3 was associated with a sustained increase of serotypes 19A and 6C in healthy children, similarly as in invasive pneumococcal disease. This resulted in a re-introduction of the 13-valent conjugate vaccine during the summer of 2019.

Long-term population impact of infant 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccination on invasive pneumococcal disease in adults in Finland

BACKGROUND

Limited data are available on long-term indirect effects of ten-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV10) programmes. We evaluated changes in invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) incidence, mortality, and serotype distribution in adults up to 9 years after infant PCV10 introduction.

METHODS

Culture-confirmed IPD cases ≥18 years (n = 5610; 85% were pneumonia) were identified through national, population-based laboratory surveillance; data were linked with population registry to conduct nationwide follow-up study. In a time-series model, we compared serotype-specific IPD incidence and associated 30-day mortality rates before and after PCV10 by using negative binomial regression models.

RESULTS

During pre-PCV10 period (7/2004-6/2010), overall IPD incidence in adults ≥18 years increased yearly by 4.8%. After adjusting for trend and seasonality, the observed PCV10 serotype IPD incidence in 7/2018-6/2019 was 90% (12/100,000 person-years) lower than the expected rate without PCV10 program. Non-PCV10 serotype incidence was 40% (4.4/100,000 person-years) higher than expected; serotypes 3, 19A, 22F, and 6C accounted for most of the rate increase. However, incidence of non-PCV10 IPD levelled off by end of follow-up. The observed-expected incidence rate-ratio (IRR) was 0·7 (95 %CI 0·5-0.8) for all IPD and 0·7 (95 %CI 0·3-1·3) for IPD-associated 30-day mortality. Case-fatality proportion decreased from 11·9% to 10.0% (p < 0.01). In persons ≥65 years, the IRR was 0·7 (95 %CI 0·5-0.95).

CONCLUSIONS

Significant indirect effects were seen for vaccine-serotype IPD and for overall IPD in all adult age groups. For non-vaccine IPD, the incidence stabilized 5 years after infant PVC10 program introduction, resulting in a steady state in which non-vaccine IPD accounted for nearly 90% of overall IPD. Substantial pneumococcal disease burden remains in older adults.

Early deaths associated with community-acquired and healthcare-associated bloodstream infections: a population-based study, Finland, 2004 to 2018

Background

Bloodstream infections (BSI) cause substantial morbidity and mortality.

Aim

We explored the role of causative pathogens and patient characteristics on the outcome of community-acquired (CA) and healthcare-associated (HA) BSI, with particular interest in early death.

Methods

We used national register data to identify all BSI in Finland during 2004–18. We determined the origin of BSI, patients´ underlying comorbidities and deaths within 2 or 30 days from specimen collection. A time-dependent Cox model was applied to evaluate the impact of patient characteristics and causative pathogens on the hazard for death at different time points.

Results

A total of 173,715 BSI were identified; 22,474 (12.9%) were fatal within 30 days and, of these, 6,392 (28.4%) occurred within 2 days (7.9 deaths/100,000 population). The 2-day case fatality rate of HA-BSI was higher than that of CA-BSI (5.4% vs 3.0%). Patients who died within 2 days were older than those alive on day 3 (76 vs 70 years) and had more severe comorbidities. Compared with other BSI, infections leading to death within 2 days were more often polymicrobial (11.8% vs 6.3%) and caused by Pseudomonas aeruginosa (6.2% vs 2.0%), fungi (2.9% vs 1.4%) and multidrug-resistant (MDR) pathogens (2.2% vs 1.8%), which were also predictors of death within 2 days in the model.

Conclusions

Overrepresentation of polymicrobial, fungal, P. aeruginosa and MDR aetiology among BSI leading to early death is challenging concerning the initial antimicrobial treatment. Our findings highlight the need for active prevention and prompt recognition of BSI and appropriate antimicrobial treatment.

A cost-effectiveness analysis of PHiD-CV compared to PCV13 in a national immunization program setting in Tunisia

Background

In response to the substantial clinical and economic burden of diseases caused by Streptococcus pneumoniae and non-typeable Haemophilus influenzae (NTHi) in Tunisia, the 10-valent pneumococcal non-typeable Haemophilus influenzae protein D conjugate vaccine (PHiD-CV) was recently introduced into the national immunization program. However, there has yet to be a full-scale health economic analysis comparing currently available pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) in Tunisia.

Methods

A Markov model that simulated the disease processes of invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD), pneumonia, and acute otitis media (AOM) over a newborn cohort lifetime was used to evaluate the cost-effectiveness/utility of PHiD-CV and the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) from payer’s perspective, using 3% discounting. Vaccine effects were considered for up to 9 years of age.

Results

Vaccination with PHiD-CV or PCV13 was estimated to avert approximately 700 cases of IPD (200 meningitis, 500 bacteremia), and around 5,000 cases of all-cause pneumonia. However, PHiD-CV vaccination was estimated to avert around 4,000 additional AOM cases (18,000) versus PCV13 (14,000). Both PCVs were demonstrated to be cost-effective interventions, but PHiD-CV was estimated to generate additional cost savings of almost $1 million US dollars (USD) with similar levels of clinical benefits. An additional scenario which incorporated serotype-specific vaccine efficacy found no significant change in overall results.

Conclusion

PCVs are a cost-effective strategy to relieve the burden associated with diseases caused by S.pneumoniae and NTHi in Tunisia. PHiD-CV is more cost-effective than PCV13, generating similar health benefits, at a reduced net cost of almost $1 million USD per vaccinated cohort.

A Retrospective Analysis to Estimate the Burden of Invasive Pneumococcal Disease and Non-Invasive Pneumonia in Children <15 Years of Age in the Veneto Region, Italy

Despite advances in preventative interventions, invasive pneumococcal disease and pneumonia cause significant morbidity and mortality in children. We studied the annual incidence of pneumococcal-specific and syndromic invasive disease and non-invasive pneumonia in children <15 years of age during the early (2010−2013) and late (2014−2017) 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) periods in Veneto, Italy. In this retrospective observational study, pneumococcal-specific and syndromic invasive disease and non-invasive pneumonia cases were identified from several sources, including the Pedianet database. Interrupted time series analysis and Mann−Kendall tests were conducted to explore trends in incidence rates (IRs). Among 72,570 patients <15 years of age between 2010−2017, 88 episodes of pneumococcal-specific and syndromic invasive disease and 3926 episodes of non-invasive pneumonia were reported. Overall IR of pneumococcal-specific and syndromic invasive disease was 0.4/1000 person-years and did not change significantly (p = 0.46) throughout the study. Overall IR of non-invasive pneumonia was 10/1000 person-years and decreased significantly (−0.64, p = 0.026) over the study period. Following PCV13 introduction, the IRs of non-invasive pneumonia in children <15 years of age declined significantly, with no significant change in the IRs of pneumococcal-specific and syndromic invasive disease. There is a continuing clinical burden associated with pediatric pneumococcal diseases in Veneto, Italy.

The impact of 10-valent pneumococcal vaccine introduction on invasive disease in Fiji

BACKGROUND

In 2012, Fiji introduced the 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV10). We assessed the impact of PCV10 on invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD), probable bacterial or pneumococcal meningitis (PBPM), meningitis and sepsis 3-5 years post-introduction.

METHODS

Laboratory-confirmed IPD and PBPM cases were extracted from national laboratory records. ICD-10-AM coded all-cause meningitis and sepsis cases were extracted from national hospitalisation records. Incidence rate ratios were used to compare outcomes pre/post-PCV10, stratified by age groups: 1-23m, 2-4y, 5-9y, 10-19y, 20-54y, ≥55y. To account for different detection and serotyping methods in the pre-and post-PCV10 period, a Bayesian inference model estimated serotype-specific changes in IPD, using pneumococcal carriage and surveillance data.

FINDINGS

There were 423 IPD, 1,029 PBPM, 1,391 all-cause meningitis and 7,611 all-cause sepsis cases. Five years post-PCV10 introduction, IPD declined by 60% (95%CI: 37%, 76%) in children 1-23m months old, and in age groups 2-4y, 5-9y, 10-19y although confidence intervals spanned zero. PBPM declined by 36% (95%CI: 21%, 48%) among children 1-23 months old, and in all other age groups, although some confidence intervals spanned zero. Among children <5y of age, PCV10-type IPD declined by 83% (95%CI; 70%, 90%) and with no evidence of change in non-PCV10-type IPD (9%, 95%CI; -69, 43%). There was no change in all-cause meningitis or sepsis. Post-PCV10, the most common serotypes in vaccine age-eligible and non-age eligible people were serotypes 8 and 23B, and 3 and 7F, respectively.

INTERPRETATIONS

Our study demonstrates the effectiveness of PCV10 against IPD in a country in the Asia-Pacific of which there is a paucity of data.

FUNDING

This study was support by the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade of the Australian Government and Fiji Health Sector Support Program (FHSSP). FHSSP is implemented by Abt JTA on behalf of the Australian Government.

Genomic surveillance of invasive Streptococcus pneumoniae isolates in the period pre-PCV10 and post-PCV10 introduction in Brazil

In 2010, Brazil introduced the 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV10) into the national children’s immunization programme. This study describes the genetic characteristics of invasive Streptococcus pneumoniae isolates before and after PCV10 introduction. A subset of 466 [pre-PCV10 (2008–2009): n=232, post-PCV10 (2012–2013): n=234;<5 years old: n=310, ≥5 years old: n=156] pneumococcal isolates, collected through national laboratory surveillance, were whole-genome sequenced (WGS) to determine serotype, pilus locus, antimicrobial resistance and genetic lineages. Following PCV10 introduction, in the <5 years age group, non-vaccine serotypes (NVT) serotype 3 and serotype 19A were the most frequent, and serotypes 12F, 8 and 9 N in the ≥5 years old group. The study identified 65 Global Pneumococcal Sequence Clusters (GPSCs): 49 (88 %) were GPSCs previously described and 16 (12 %) were Brazilian clusters. In total, 36 GPSCs (55 %) were NVT lineages, 18 (28 %) vaccine serotypes (VT) and 11 (17 %) were both VT and NVT lineages. In both sampling periods, the most frequent lineage was GPSC6 (CC156, serotypes 14/9V). In the <5 years old group, a decrease in penicillin (P=0.0123) and cotrimoxazole (P<0.0001) resistance and an increase in tetracycline (P=0.019) were observed. Penicillin nonsusceptibility was predicted in 40 % of the isolates; 127 PBP combinations were identified (51 predicted MIC≥0.125 mg l⁻¹); cotrimoxazole (folA and/or folP alterations), macrolide (mef and/or ermB) and tetracycline (tetM, tetO or tetS/M) resistance were predicted in 63, 13 and 21.6 % of pneumococci studied, respectively. The main lineages associated with multidrug resistance in the post-PCV10 period were composed of NVT, GPSC1 (CC320, serotype 19A), and GPSC47 (ST386, serotype 6C). The study provides a baseline for future comparisons and identified important NVT lineages in the post-PCV10 period in Brazil.

Population-Based Study of Bloodstream Infection Incidence and Mortality Rates, Finland, 2004-2018

A 2-fold increase in incidence and death during this period emphasizes the need for additional prevention efforts.

We evaluated the incidence, outcomes, and causative agents of bloodstream infections (BSI) in Finland during 2004–2018 by using data from the national registries. We identified a total of 173,715 BSIs; annual incidence increased from 150 to 309 cases/100,000 population. BSI incidence rose most sharply among persons >80 years of age. The 1-month case-fatality rate decreased from 13.0% to 12.6%, but the 1-month all-cause mortality rate rose from 20 to 39 deaths/100,000 population. BSIs caused by Escherichia coli increased from 26% to 30% of all BSIs. BSIs caused by multidrug-resistant microbes rose from 0.4% to 2.8%, mostly caused by extended-spectrum β-lactamase-producing E. coli. We observed an increase in community-acquired BSIs, from 67% to 78%. The proportion of patients with severe underlying conditions rose from 14% to 23%. Additional public health and healthcare prevention efforts are needed to curb the increasing trend in community-acquired BSIs and antimicrobial drug–resistant E. coli.

A pragmatic health centre-based evaluation comparing the effectiveness of a PCV13 schedule change from 3+0 to 2+1 in a high pneumococcal carriage and disease burden setting in Malawi: a study protocol

INTRODUCTION

Streptococcus pneumoniae (the pneumococcus) is commonly carried as a commensal bacterium in the nasopharynx but can cause life-threatening disease. Transmission occurs by human respiratory droplets and interruption of this process provides herd immunity. A 2017 WHO Consultation on Optimisation of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCV) Impact highlighted a substantial research gap in investigating why the impact of PCV vaccines in low-income countries has been lower than expected. Malawi introduced the 13-valent PCV (PCV13) into the national Expanded Programme of Immunisations in 2011, using a 3+0 (3 primary +0 booster doses) schedule. With evidence of greater impact of a 2+1 (2 primary +1 booster dose) schedule in other settings, including South Africa, Malawi's National Immunisations Technical Advisory Group is seeking evidence of adequate superiority of a 2+1 schedule to inform vaccine policy.

METHODS

A pragmatic health centre-based evaluation comparing impact of a PCV13 schedule change from 3+0 to 2+1 in Blantyre district, Malawi. Twenty government health centres will be randomly selected, with ten implementing a 2+1 and 10 to continue with the 3+0 schedule. Health centres implementing 3+0 will serve as the direct comparator in evaluating 2+1 providing superior direct and indirect protection against pneumococcal carriage. Pneumococcal carriage surveys will evaluate carriage prevalence among children 15-24 months, randomised at household level, and schoolgoers 5-10 years of age, randomly selected from school registers. Carriage surveys will be conducted 18 and 33 months following 2+1 implementation.

ANALYSIS

The primary endpoint is powered to detect an effect size of 50% reduction in vaccine serotype (VT) carriage among vaccinated children 15-24 months old, expecting a 14% and 7% VT carriage prevalence in the 3+0 and 2+1 arms, respectively.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

The study has been approved by the Malawi College of Medicine Research Ethics Committee (COMREC; Ref: P05.19.2680), the University College London Research Ethics Committee (Ref: 8603.002) and the University of Liverpool Research Ethics Committee (Ref: 5439). The results from this study will be actively disseminated through manuscript publications and conference presentations.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT04078997.

Impact and effectiveness of a conjugate vaccine against invasive pneumococcal disease in Finland - a modelling approach

The evaluation of the public health impact of a vaccination program is essential in monitoring its policy relevance. Vaccine impact (VI) is usually assessed in a before-after design, in which data on disease burden without vaccination program is required from a historical reference period. It takes into account the indirect effects and therefore aims to describe the public health performance of the vaccination program in the population. Vaccine effectiveness (VE), measured in parallel settings, quantifies the benefit for an individual of being vaccinated but does not address the indirect effects of a vaccination program. The motivation of this paper is to gain insight into patterns of how VI and VE have manifested under large-scale use of a ten-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in Finnish children. We construct a simple pseudo-dynamic model that mimics typical post-vaccination trends in the incidences of pneumococcal carriage and invasive disease in children when the proportion of vaccine-type carriage decreases. In the context of the model, we define the parameters of interest for VI and VE and explore how their expected values evolve over time. For comparison, we demonstrate the application of VI and VE estimation by using register data.

Long-term population effects of infant 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccination on pneumococcal meningitis in Finland

BACKGROUND

No previous studies have reported long-term follow-up of ten-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV10) program impact on pneumococcal meningitis (PM). We assessed the effects of infant PCV10 program on PM incidence, mortality and serotype distribution in children and adults during 7 years after introduction.

METHODS

We conducted a population-based observational study. A case of PM was defined as isolation of Streptococcus pneumoniae from cerebrospinal fluid or, a patient with S. pneumoniae isolated from blood and an ICD-10 hospital discharge diagnosis of bacterial meningitis within 30 days before or after positive culture date.We compared age- and serotype-specific incidence and associated 30-day mortality rates in 2011-2017 (PCV10 period) with those in 2004-2010 (pre-PCV10 baseline) by using Poisson regression models. Absolute rate differences and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated from the parameter estimates by using delta method.

RESULTS

During the PCV10 period, the overall incidence of PCV10 serotype meningitis decreased by 68% (95%CI 57%-77%), and the overall PM incidence by 27% (95%CI: 12%-39%). In age groups 0-4, 50-64, and ≥ 18 years, the overall PM incidence was reduced by 64%, 34% and 19%, respectively. In adults ≥ 65 years of age, a 69% reduction in PCV10 serotypes was offset by 157% (56%-342%) increase in non-PCV10 serotypes. The overall PM-related mortality rate decreased by 42% (95%CI 4%-65%). Overall case fatality proportion (CFP) was 16% in pre-PCV10 period and 12% in PCV10 period (p = 0.41); among persons 50-64 years the CFP decreased from 25% to 10% (p = 0.04).

CONCLUSIONS

We observed substantial impact and herd protection for vaccine-serotype PM and associated mortality after infant PCV10 introduction. However, in older adults ≥ 65 years of age, PM burden remains unchanged due to serotype replacement.

Serotype Distribution of Remaining Pneumococcal Meningitis in the Mature PCV10/13 Period: Findings from the PSERENADE Project

Pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) introduction has reduced pneumococcal meningitis incidence. The Pneumococcal Serotype Replacement and Distribution Estimation (PSERENADE) project described the serotype distribution of remaining pneumococcal meningitis in countries using PCV10/13 for least 5-7 years with primary series uptake above 70%. The distribution was estimated using a multinomial Dirichlet regression model, stratified by PCV product and age. In PCV10-using sites (N = 8; cases = 1141), PCV10 types caused 5% of cases <5 years of age and 15% among ≥5 years; the top serotypes were 19A, 6C, and 3, together causing 42% of cases <5 years and 37% ≥5 years. In PCV13-using sites (N = 32; cases = 4503), PCV13 types caused 14% in <5 and 26% in ≥5 years; 4% and 13%, respectively, were serotype 3. Among the top serotypes are five (15BC, 8, 12F, 10A, and 22F) included in higher-valency PCVs under evaluation. Other top serotypes (24F, 23B, and 23A) are not in any known investigational product. In countries with mature vaccination programs, the proportion of pneumococcal meningitis caused by vaccine-in-use serotypes is lower (≤26% across all ages) than pre-PCV (≥70% in children). Higher-valency PCVs under evaluation target over half of remaining pneumococcal meningitis cases, but questions remain regarding generalizability to the African meningitis belt where additional data are needed.

Epidemiologic Benefits of Pneumococcal Vaccine Introduction into Preventive Vaccination Programs

Vaccination against pneumococci is one of the most effective methods of preventing pneumococcal diseases. Currently, 10- and 13-valent conjugate vaccines (PCV10 and PCV13) and 23-valent polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV23) are used. Only the conjugate vaccines are used in children. The PCV can be used both in children and adults, but children can receive only PCV. A side effect of vaccination was that bacterial serotypes not included in a vaccine started increasingly emerging in pneumococcal infections, replacing the serotypes eliminated by the vaccine. The basic vaccination schedule consists of three or four doses, according to the country's recommendation. In Poland, it consists of two primary doses followed by a supplementary dose of the PCV-10, with some modifications in case of specific risk factors. The use of preventive vaccinations has helped reduce antibiotic resistance, as serotypes characterized by a rapid acquisition of drug resistance are included in the vaccine serologic spectrum, making their environment prevalence decrease. The research is currently underway on conjugate vaccines that contain a greater number of bacterial serotypes and on more universal vaccines that would eliminate the emergence of new serotypes.

Impact after 10-year use of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in the Brazilian national immunization program: an updated systematic literature review from 2015 to 2020

In 2010, a 10-valent pneumococcal non-typeable Haemophilus influenzae protein D conjugate vaccine (PHiD-CV) was introduced in the Brazilian national immunization program; the 3 + 1 dose schedule was replaced by a 2 + 1 dose schedule in 2016. This systematic review presents the latest published evidence (2015–2020) on the impact after 10-year use of PHiD-CV in Brazil from a total of 29 publications. Overall, the PHiD-CV program had a positive impact on the morbidity and mortality associated with invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD), pneumonia and acute otitis media (AOM) in children <5 years-old. A reduction in the vaccine-type invasive disease was observed in all-ages; suggesting indirect protection unvaccinated older children and adults. The occurrence of non-vaccine type disease was evidenced in some studies. Higher vaccination coverage is required at national and state level for sustained population impact. Given the change in the vaccination schedule and the dynamics of pneumococcal disease epidemiology, continuous surveillance is warranted.

GSK Study identifier: HO-18-19438

Exploring the evidence behind the comparable impact of the pneumococcal conjugate vaccines PHiD-CV and PCV13 on overall pneumococcal disease

The worldwide implementation of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) in children has reduced the overall pneumococcal disease burden. Two PCVs are widely available for infant vaccination: the pneumococcal non-typeable Haemophilus influenzae protein D conjugate vaccine (PHiD-CV) and the 13-valent PCV (PCV13). While these PCVs differ in serotype composition (PCV13 includes polysaccharides of serotypes 3, 6A and 19A; PHiD-CV does not), their impact on the overall pneumococcal disease burden in children is comparable. This commentary summarizes the evidence of comparability between PHiD-CV and PCV13 and explores why differences in serotype composition may not necessarily translate into a differential clinical impact. Both vaccines confer similarly high protection against disease caused by vaccine serotypes and lead to a partial replacement by non-vaccine serotypes. PHiD-CV does not protect against serotype 3 disease (not included in the vaccine) and PCV13’s effect on this serotype has been inconsistent. PHiD-CV provides some cross-protection against disease caused by vaccine-related serotype 19A but neither vaccine has fully controlled 19A disease. While protection against 19A is higher for PCV13 than PHiD-CV, replacement by non-PCV13 serotypes in settings with a PCV13 program appears to compensate for this difference. This results in a similar residual overall disease burden with both vaccines.

What is the context?

The pneumococcus bacterium can cause infections of the meninges, blood, lung, middle ear and sinuses.

Two vaccins, Synflorix (GSK) and Prevnar 13 (Pfizer Inc.), are widely used to protect young children against these infections.

The vaccines’ compositions differ: Synflorix includes antigens from 10 pneumococcus strains (or “serotypes”) and Prevnar 13 from 13 serotypes.

However, both have a similar effect on the total pneumococcal disease burden in children.

What does this commentary highlight?

This commentary summarizes the evidence beihnd the two vaccines’ comparable impact on pneumococcal disase.

It also looks at why the vaccines have a similar effect on the total pneumococcal disease burden despite their different compositions.

What is the impact on current thinking?

Given that Synflorix and Prevnar 13 have a comparable impact on pneumococcal disease, a country’s choice between the two vaccines will depend on vaccine supply, cost, logistical factors (e.g., transport, storage, training requirements of health workers) and the local pneumococcal epidemiology.

Similar impact and replacement disease after pneumococcal conjugate vaccine introduction in hospitalised children with invasive pneumococcal disease in Europe and North America

High incidence of childhood invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) in the US declined steeply after 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV7) introduction, outweighing reductions observed elsewhere. We re-analysed aggregate published data and compared pre- and post-PCV IPD-incidence in different countries to explore PCV impact on hospitalised and outpatient IPD separately. The proportion of hospitalised IPD cases was consistently high (>80%) in England&Wales, Finland, the Netherlands, and Quebec/Canada, but only 32% in the US before PCV introduction, increasing to 69% during the PCV era. In the US, a higher reduction in outpatient IPD incidence (94% in 2015 versus 1998-99) was observed compared to hospitalised IPD (79%); a 51% reduction in the non-PCV13-type IPD incidence among outpatient cases was estimated compared to a >2-fold increase for hospitalised cases. After stratification by hospitalization status, PCV programmes resulted in similar impact and serotype replacement in hospitalised IPD in US when compared to other countries.

Immunogenicity and safety of a novel ten-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in healthy infants in The Gambia: a phase 3, randomised, double-blind, non-inferiority trial

BACKGROUND

An affordable pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) is needed to ensure sustainable access in low-income and middle-income countries. This trial examined the immunogenicity and safety of a novel ten-valent PCV (SIIPL-PCV) containing serotypes 1, 5, 6A, 6B, 7F, 9V, 14, 19A, 19F, and 23F compared with the pneumococcal polysaccharide protein D-conjugate vaccine (PHiD-CV; Synflorix; GlaxoSmithKline; Brentford, UK).

METHODS

In this single-centre, randomised, double-blind, phase 3, non-inferiority trial in The Gambia, healthy, PCV-naive infants aged 6-8 weeks were enrolled and assigned using permuted block randomisation to receive one of three lots of SIIPL-PCV or to PHiD-CV in a ratio of 2:2:2:3. Parents and all staff assessing study outcomes were masked to group assignment. Vaccines (0·5 mL SIIPL-PCV or 0·5 mL PHiD-CV) were administered at ages 6, 10, and 14 weeks by intramuscular injection. Primary immunogenicity outcomes, measured at age 18 weeks, were serotype-specific IgG geometric mean concentrations (GMCs) and seroresponse rates (IgG ≥ 0·35 μg/mL). Lot-to-lot equivalence (objective 1) was shown if the upper and lower bounds of the two-sided 95% CI around the GMC ratio for each pairwise lot-to-lot comparison was between the 0·5 and 2·0 equivalence margins for all ten serotypes. The immunogenicity of SIIPL-PCV was defined as being non-inferior to that of PHiD-CV (objective 2) if, for at least seven of the ten serotypes in SIIPL-PCV, the lower bound of the 97·5% CI for the GMC ratio was greater than 0·5, or the lower bound of the 97·5% CI for differences in seroresponse rate was greater than -10%. The GMC and seroresponse rates to serotypes 6A and 19A, which are not in PHiD-CV, were compared with those of the serotype in PHiD-CV that had the lowest seroresponse rate. Non-inferiority of the immune responses to antigens in the co-administered Expanded Programme on Immunization (EPI) vaccines (objective 3) was declared if the lower bound of the 95% CI for the difference between SIIPL-PCV and PHiD-CV in seroresponse rates, or GMC ratios for pertussis antigens, was greater than -10% (or 0·5 for pertussis antigens) for all vaccine antigens. Safety data were assessed according to treatment received at the first visit in infants who received at least one dose of study vaccine and for whom at least some post-vaccination safety data were available. The primary immunogenicity analysis was in the per-protocol immunogenicity population, which included infants who received all study vaccines and had immunogenicity measurements after vaccination and no major protocol deviations. This trial is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT03197376).

FINDINGS

Between June 21, 2017, and Jan 29, 2018, 2250 infants were enrolled and randomly assigned to receive SIIPL-PCV (n=1503; 502 to lot 1, 501 to lot 2, and 500 to lot 3) or PHiD-CV (n=747). 1458 (97·0%) infants assigned to SIIPL-PCV and 724 (96·9%) assigned to PHiD-CV were included in the per-protocol primary immunogenicity analysis. Lot-to-lot equivalence was shown, with the lowest lower bound of the 95% CI for the GMC ratio being 0·52 (for serotype 6B in lot 2 vs lot 3) and the highest upper bound being 1·69 (for serotype 6B in lot 1 vs lot 2). SIIPL-PCV was non-inferior to PHiD-CV in terms of immunogenicity: the lower bound of the 97·5% CI for the GMC ratio was greater than 0·5 (the lowest being 0·67 for serotype 19F) and the lower bound of the 97·5% CI for the difference in seroresponse rate was greater than -10% (the lowest being -2·2% for serotype 6B) for all ten serotypes in SIIPL-PCV. The lowest seroresponse rate after PHiD-CV was to serotype 6B (76·7% [95% CI 73·4-79·7]). This serotype was therefore used for the comparisons with serotype 6A and 19A in SIIPL-PCV. Non-inferiority of immune responses to the EPI vaccines after co-administration with SIIPL-PCV compared with after co-administration with PHiD-CV was shown for all vaccine antigens included in the primary series. The lowest lower bound of the 95% CI for the difference in seroresponse rates was -7·1% for rotavirus antibody and for the GMC ratio for pertussis antigens was 0·62 for anti-pertussis toxoid. 1131 (75·2%) of 1503 infants in the SIIPL-PCV group and 572 (76·6%) of 747 in the PHiD-CV group had at least one unsolicited adverse event. 36 (2·4%) participants in the SIIPL-PCV group and 18 (2·4%) in the PHiD-CV group had a serious adverse event; none were considered related to vaccination. In infants who were selected to have solicited adverse events recorded, injection-site induration after primary vaccinations occurred in 27 (4·9%) of 751 infants who received SIIPL-PCV versus 34 (9·4%) of 364 who received PHiD-CV (p=0·0032). There were no other notable differences in the safety profiles of the two vaccines. One infant in the SIIPL-PCV group and two in the PHiD-CV group died during the study. The deaths were not considered to be related to study vaccination or study participation.

INTERPRETATION

The immunogenicity of SIIPL-PCV was non-inferior to that of PHiD-CV, for which efficacy and effectiveness data against pneumococcal disease are available. The vaccine is safe and can be co-administered with routine EPI vaccines. The data generated in this trial have supported the licensure and pre-qualification of SIIPL-PCV, making the vaccine available for introduction into national immunisation programmes. Generating post-implementation data confirming vaccine impact remains important.

FUNDING

Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Impact and effectiveness of the 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine on invasive pneumococcal disease among children under 5 years of age in the Netherlands

BACKGROUND

In 2011, the 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV7) was replaced by the 10-valent vaccine (PCV10) in the Netherlands. We report on impact and effectiveness against invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) in children aged under 5 years by switching from PCV7 to PCV10.

METHOD

We included IPD cases between 2004 and 2019 in children aged < 5 years reported via the national surveillance system. To assess the impact of the PCV10 vaccination program we compared IPD incidence 6-8 years after PCV10 introduction (2017-2019) to the two years just before the switch to PCV10 (2009-2011). We estimated vaccine effectiveness (VE) using the indirect cohort method, comparing vaccination status (at least two vaccine doses) in IPD-cases caused by PCV10 serotypes (cases) to non-PCV10 IPD cases (controls), in children eligible for PCV10.

RESULTS

The overall incidence decreased from 8.7 (n = 162) in 2009-2011 to 7.3 per 100.000 (n = 127) in 2017-2019 (Incidence rate ratio (IRR) 0.83, 95%CI: 0.66; 1.05). IPD caused by the additional serotypes included in PCV10 declined by 93% (IRR 0.07, 95%CI: 0.02; 0.23). Incidence of non-PCV10 IPD showed a non-significant increase (IRR 1.25, 95%CI: 0.96; 1.63). Among 231 IPD-cases eligible for PCV10, the overall VE was 91% (95%CI: 67; 97) and did not differ by sex or age at diagnosis. Effectiveness against non-PCV10 serotype 19A IPD was non-significant with an estimate of 28% (95%CI:-179; 81).

CONCLUSION

PCV10 is highly effective in protecting against IPD in Dutch children under 5 years with limited serotype replacement after switching from PCV7 to PCV10. We found no evidence for significant cross-protection of PCV10 against 19A serotype IPD.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of replacing the 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV10) with the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) in Brazil infants

Brazil currently has a 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV10) pediatric national immunization program (NIP). However, in recent years, there has been significant progressive increases in pneumococcal disease attributed to serotypes 3, 6A, and 19A, which are covered by the 13-valent PCV (PCV13). We sought to evaluate the cost-effectiveness and budget impact of switching from PCV10 to PCV13 for Brazilian infants from a payer perspective. A decision-analytic model was adapted to evaluate the clinical and economic outcomes of continuing PCV10 or switching to PCV13. The analysis estimated future costs ($BRL), quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and health outcomes for PCV10 and PCV13 over 5 y. Input parameters were from published sources. Future serotype dynamics were predicted using Brazilian and global historical trends. Over 5 y, PCV13 could prevent 12,342 bacteremia, 15,330 meningitis, 170,191 hospitalized pneumonia, and 25,872 otitis media cases, avert 13,709 pneumococcal disease deaths, gain 20,317 QALYs, and save 172 million direct costs compared with PCV10. The use of PCV13 in the Brazilian NIP could reduce pneumococcal disease, improve population health, and save substantial health-care costs. Results are reliable even when considering uncertainty for possible serotype dynamics with different underlying assumptions.

Cost-effectiveness evaluation of the 10-valent pneumococcal non-typeable Haemophilus influenzae protein D conjugate vaccine for children in Taiwan

Background

Streptococcus pneumoniae (S. pneumoniae) and non-typeable Haemophilus influenzae (NTHi) are substantial contributors to morbidity and mortality of diseases including invasive pneumococcal diseases (IPDs), pneumonia and acute otitis media (AOM) worldwide. In Taiwan, 10-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide and NTHi protein D conjugate vaccine (PHiD-CV) and 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) are licensed in children against pneumococcal disease. In addition to S. pneumoniae, clinical trials suggest efficacy of PHiD-CV against NTHi AOM. This study aims at evaluating the cost-effectiveness of a 2 + 1 schedule of PHiD-CV vs. PCV13 2 + 1 in the universal mass vaccination program of infants in Taiwan.

Methods

A published Markov cohort model was adapted to simulate the epidemiological burden of IPD, pneumonia and AOM for a birth cohort in Taiwan over 10 years. The probability of entering a specific health state was based on the incidence rate of the diseases. Only direct medical costs were included, and costs and outcomes were discounted annually. Vaccine efficacy assumptions were based on published data and validated by a panel of independent experts. Clinical, epidemiological, and serotype distribution data were based on locally published data or the National Health Insurance Research Database. Price parity of vaccines was assumed. Published pneumococcal disease-related disutility weights were used due to lack of local data. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was calculated and benchmarked against the recommended threshold in Taiwan. Extensive one-way sensitivity analysis, alternative scenarios and probabilistic sensitivity analysis were performed to test the robustness of the results.

Results

PHiD-CV would potentially reduce the number of NTHi-related AOM cases substantially and prevent comparable IPD and pneumonia-related cases and deaths compared to PCV13. Over a 10-year horizon, PHiD-CV is estimated to dominate PCV13, saving 6.7 million New Taiwan Dollars (NTD) and saving 21 quality-adjusted life years. The result was robust over a wide range of sensitivity analyses. The dominance of PHiD-CV was demonstrated in 90.5% of the simulations.

Conclusions

PHiD-CV 2 + 1 would provide comparable prevention of IPD, pneumonia cases and additional reduction of NTHi-AOM cases, and is considered dominant compared with PCV13 2 + 1 in Taiwan.

Cost-effectiveness of a national immunization program with the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine compared with the 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in South Korea

Introduction

Globally, pneumococcal disease represents a significant burden. South Korea implemented the 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV7) in 2003, replaced with the 10-valent (PCV10) and 13-valent (PCV13) vaccine in 2010. In 2014, both vaccines were introduced in the national immunization program (NIP) for infants with 3 primary doses and one booster dose We performed a cost-effectiveness evaluation to elucidate which vaccine may be expected to provide greater impact if included in a NIP.

Methodology

Using an established model, we estimated the impact of introducing either PCV13 or PCV10 into the South Korean NIP in 2015. Vaccine impact was based on historic observed impact of PCV13 from 2010 to 2015 in Korea given high uptake of PCV13, and PCV10 impact was estimated based on experiences in countries using PCV10. Incidence and costs for all ages and including invasive pneumococcal disease, pneumonia, and acute otitis media were derived from the literature and Health Insurance Review and Assessment database.

Results

In the base-case, over 5-years PCV13 was estimated to avert 550,000 more cases of pneumococcal disease compared to PCV10, driven by broader serotype coverage and less replacement due to serotypes 3 and 19A. This translated to a cost-savings of $47.4 million USD despite PCV13’s higher cost. Sensitivity analysis found incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) ranged from cost-saving to $7,300 USD per quality-adjusted life year (QALY).

Conclusion

A NIP using PCV13 was estimated to have a more substantial public health impact and be cost-saving compared to a program with PCV10 due to broader serotype coverage.

Dynamic changes in paediatric invasive pneumococcal disease after sequential switches of conjugate vaccine in Belgium: a national retrospective observational study

BACKGROUND

Ten-valent and 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) have shown important benefits by decreasing invasive pneumococcal disease caused by vaccine serotypes. Belgium had an uncommon situation with sequential use of PCV7, PCV13, and PCV10 in the childhood vaccination programmes between 2007 and 2018. We aimed to analyse the changes in incidence of invasive pneumococcal disease and serotype distribution in children throughout this period.

METHODS

Streptococcus pneumoniae isolates were obtained from patients with invasive pneumococcal disease in Belgium between 2007 and 2018 by the national laboratory-based surveillance. Paediatric invasive pneumococcal disease incidence, serotype distribution, and antimicrobial susceptibility were analysed in periods during which PCV7 (2009-10), PCV13 (2013-14), both PCV13 and PCV10 (2015-16), and PCV10 (2017-18) were used. Incidence rates and trends were compared. Vaccination status was collected. For a subset of serotype 19A isolates, multilocus sequence type was identified.

FINDINGS

After a decrease in PCV7 serotype invasive pneumococcal disease was observed during the PCV7 period, total paediatric invasive pneumococcal disease incidence significantly declined during the PCV13 period (-2·6% monthly, p<0·0001). During the PCV13-PCV10 period (2015-16), the lowest mean in paediatric invasive pneumococcal disease incidence was achieved, but the incidence increased again during the PCV10 period (2017-18), especially in children younger than 2 years (+1·7% monthly; p=0·028). This increase was mainly due to a significant rise in serotype 19A invasive pneumococcal disease incidence in the PCV10 period compared with the PCV13 period (p<0·0001), making serotype 19A the predominant serotype in paediatric invasive pneumococcal disease in the PCV10 period. Genetic diversity within the 2017-18 serotype 19A collection was seen, with two predominant clones, ST416 and ST994, that were infrequently observed before PCV10 introduction. In 2018, among children younger than 5 years with invasive pneumococcal disease who were correctly vaccinated, 37% (37 of 100) had PCV13 serotype invasive pneumococcal disease, all caused by serotype 19A and serotype 3.

INTERPRETATION

After a significant decrease during the PCV13 period, paediatric invasive pneumococcal disease incidence increased again during the PCV10 period. This observation mainly resulted from a significant increase of serotype 19A cases. During the PCV10 period, dominant serotype 19A clones differed from those detected during previous vaccine periods. Whether changes in epidemiology resulted from the vaccine switch or also from natural evolution remains to be further elucidated.

FUNDING

The Belgian National Reference is funded by the Belgian National Institute for Health and Disability Insurance and the whole genome sequencing by an investigator-initiated research grant from Pfizer.

Impact of Switch Options on the Economics of Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine (PCV) Introduction in Indonesia

As one of Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance (previously the Global Alliance for Vaccines and Immunization), graduating countries, Indonesia is still eligible to access Gavi price for PCV13, PCV10 A and B. This study aims to estimate the economic impact of switch from the existing product/presentation of PCV (single-dose of PCV13) to the new product/presentation of PCV (multi-dose of PCV13, PCV10 A and B) since PCV is one of the most expensive vaccines in the Expanded Program on Immunization (EPI) schedule. Assuming that Gavi-Advance Market Commitment (AMC) price for all PCVs can be accessed in 2021, the use of multi-dose PCV13, PCV10 A and PCV10 B with Gavi-AMC price in 2021–2024 were considered as respective scenarios. The result showed that the scenario assuming the use of single-dose of PCV13 with contract price in 2019–2020 that would be switched into multi-dose of PCV10 B with Gavi-AMC price in 2021–2024 resulted in the highest potential saving, compared with other scenarios. Our analysis suggests an economic advantage to switch from single-dose into a multi-dose presentation. Vaccination coverage, vaccine price, vaccine wastage and additional Gavi-AMC vaccine costs were considered to be the most influential parameter affecting the savings in all scenarios. Applying the effectiveness of PCV13 and PCV10 A on reducing the risk for invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD), potential averted incidence of IPD in children under one year of age during 2019–2024 would be 246,164 and 105,587 in both scenarios. Despite the result confirmed that PCV13 may provide an additional benefit, a more comprehensive economic evaluation study is required to investigate further the comparison of cost-effectiveness values among all PCVs in Indonesia.

Clinical Relevance and Molecular Pathogenesis of the Emerging Serotypes 22F and 33F of Streptococcus pneumoniae in Spain

Streptococcus pneumoniae is the main bacterial cause of respiratory infections in children and the elderly worldwide. Serotype replacement is a frequent phenomenon after the introduction of conjugated vaccines, with emerging serotypes 22F and 33F as frequent non-PCV13 serotypes in children and adults in North America and other countries. Characterization of mechanisms involved in evasion of the host immune response by these serotypes is of great importance in public health because they are included in the future conjugated vaccines PCV15 and PCV20. One of the main strategies of S. pneumoniae to persistently colonize and causes infection is biofilm formation. In this study, we have evaluated the influence of capsule polysaccharide in biofilm formation and immune evasion by using clinical isolates from different sources and isogenic strains with capsules from prevalent serotypes. Since the introduction of PCV13 in Spain in the year 2010, isolates of serotypes 22F and 33F are rising among risk populations. The predominant circulating genotypes are ST433^22F and ST717^33F, being CC433 in 22F and CC717 in 33F the main clonal complexes in Spain. The use of clinical isolates of different origin, demonstrated that pediatric isolates of serotypes 22F and 33F formed better biofilms than adult isolates and this was statistically significant. This phenotype was greater in clinical isolates from blood origin compared to those from cerebrospinal fluid, pleural fluid and otitis. Opsonophagocytosis assays showed that serotype 22F and 33F were recognized by the PSGL-1 receptor on leukocytes, although serotype 22F, was more resistant than serotype 33F to phagocytosis killing and more lethal in a mouse sepsis model. Overall, the emergence of additional PCV15 serotypes, especially 22F, could be associated to an enhanced ability to divert the host immune response that markedly increased in a biofilm state. Our findings demonstrate that pediatric isolates of 22F and 33F, that form better biofilm than isolates from adults, could have an advantage to colonize the nasopharynx of children and therefore, be important in carriage and subsequent dissemination to the elderly. The increased ability of serotype 22F to avoid the host immune response, might explain the emergence of this serotype in the last years.

Impact of 10-Valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine Introduction on Pneumococcal Carriage and Antibiotic Susceptibility Patterns Among Children Aged <5 Years and Adults With Human Immunodeficiency Virus Infection: Kenya, 2009-2013

BACKGROUND

Kenya introduced 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV10) among children <1 year in 2011 with catch-up vaccination among children 1-4 years in some areas. We assessed changes in pneumococcal carriage and antibiotic susceptibility patterns in children <5 years and adults.

METHODS

During 2009-2013, we performed annual cross-sectional pneumococcal carriage surveys in 2 sites: Kibera (children <5 years) and Lwak (children <5 years, adults). Only Lwak had catch-up vaccination. Nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal (adults only) swabs underwent culture for pneumococci; isolates were serotyped. Antibiotic susceptibility testing was performed on isolates from 2009 and 2013; penicillin nonsusceptible pneumococci (PNSP) was defined as penicillin-intermediate or -resistant. Changes in pneumococcal carriage by age (<1 year, 1-4 years, adults), site, and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) status (adults only) were calculated using modified Poisson regression, with 2009-2010 as baseline.

RESULTS

We enrolled 2962 children (2073 in Kibera, 889 in Lwak) and 2590 adults (2028 HIV+, 562 HIV-). In 2013, PCV10-type carriage was 10.3% (Lwak) to 14.6% (Kibera) in children <1 year and 13.8% (Lwak) to 18.7% (Kibera) in children 1-4 years. This represents reductions of 60% and 63% among children <1 year and 52% and 60% among children 1-4 years in Kibera and Lwak, respectively. In adults, PCV10-type carriage decreased from 12.9% to 2.8% (HIV+) and from 11.8% to 0.7% (HIV-). Approximately 80% of isolates were PNSP, both in 2009 and 2013.

CONCLUSIONS

PCV10-type carriage declined in children <5 years and adults post-PCV10 introduction. However, PCV10-type and PNSP carriage persisted in children regardless of catch-up vaccination.

Estimating the Clinical and Economic Impact of Switching from the 13-Valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine (PCV13) to the 10-Valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine (PCV10) in Italy

Background: Invasive and non-invasive pneumococcal diseases are significant health and economic burdens, especially in children and the elderly. Italy included the 7-valent (PCV7) and 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) in the National Immunization Program in 2007 and 2010, respectively, allowing a dramatic reduction in the burden of pneumococcal disease. In the era of budget constraints, decision-makers may consider switching from the higher-valent, more costly PCV13, to the lower-cost PCV10. This study estimated the potential public health and economic impact of changing vaccine programs from PCV13 to PCV10 in Italy. Methods: A decision-analytic forecasting model estimated the impact of PCV programs. Real-world surveillance data were used to forecast serotype distribution and disease incidence among children and the elderly over a specified 5-year time horizon. Costs and outcomes included estimates of cases and deaths avoided, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) gained, and total costs from a payer perspective, discounted at an assumed rate of 3.0%, and robustness validated through several scenarios and sensitivity analyses. Results: A switch from PCV13 to PCV10 would increase invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) cases by 59.3% (4317 cases) over a 5-year horizon, primarily due to serotypes 3 and 19A. Pneumonia increased by 8.3% and acute otitis media (AOM) by 96.1%. Maintaining a PCV13 program would prevent a total incremental 531,435 disease cases (1.02M over a 10-year time horizon) and 641 deaths due to invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD), with €23,642 per QALY gained over 5 years versus PCV10. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses showed that a PCV13-based program remained cost-effective in 99.7% of the simulations in Italy as parameters varied within their plausible range; percent vaccinated had the most impact. Conclusions: Maintaining the PCV13 strategy would provide substantial public health and economic benefits in Italy and is cost-effective. Switching from PCV13 to PCV10 would increase the incidence of pneumococcal disease primarily linked to re-emergence of serotypes 3 and 19A.

Interchangeability between pneumococcal conjugate vaccines for pediatric use: a systematic literature review

Introduction: Evidence on the interchangeability between the two pediatric pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) - pneumococcal non-typeable Haemophilus influenzae protein D-conjugate vaccine (PHiD-CV) and 13-valent PCV (PCV13) - is limited but growing. We performed a systematic literature review to summarize evidence for PHiD-CV/PCV13 interchangeability regarding immunogenicity, safety, and effectiveness against pneumococcal disease. Areas covered: Seven records disclosing results from six studies on PHiD-CV/PCV13 interchangeability were identified. Four clinical trials showed that mixed schedules with a PHiD-CV-to-PCV13 switch at boosting or a PCV13-to-PHiD-CV switch during priming or at boosting were immunogenic with no apparent safety concerns. Two observational studies in the context of a programmatic PHiD-CV-to-PCV13 switch showed similarly high effectiveness against overall invasive pneumococcal disease with a mixed PHiD-CV/PCV13 schedule and a PCV13-only schedule. No effectiveness data for a PCV13-to-PHiD-CV switch and no immunogenicity/safety/effectiveness data for a PHiD-CV-to-PCV13 switch during priming were found. Expert opinion: For epidemiological or programmatic reasons, several local/national authorities have switched PCVs in their immunization programs. Consequently, children have received mixed schedules. Although herd immunity may obscure the individual effect, the limited data are reassuring. Additional evidence from these settings - especially effectiveness or impact data - may provide the necessary information for authorities to make informed decisions on interchanging PCVs.

Associations between ethnicity, social contact, and pneumococcal carriage three years post-PCV10 in Fiji

BACKGROUND

Pneumococcal carriage is a prerequisite for pneumococcal disease. Little is known about whether social contact frequency and intensity are associated with pneumococcal carriage. In Fiji, indigenous iTaukei have higher prevalence of pneumococcal carriage compared with Fijians of Indian Descent (FID). We hypothesised that contact differences may contribute to ethnic differences in pneumococcal carriage prevalence and density.

METHODS

In 2015, young infants (5-8 weeks), toddlers (12-23 months), children (2-6 years), and caregivers from Suva and surrounding areas, participated in a cross-sectional survey (n = 2014), three years post pneumococcal conjugate vaccine introduction. Demographic and contact data, and nasopharyngeal swabs were collected. Pneumococci were detected, and quantified using quantitative real-time PCR, with molecular serotyping by microarray. Associations between ethnicity, contact, and pneumococcal carriage and density were estimated using multivariable generalised estimating equation regression models.

RESULTS

iTaukei participants had larger household sizes, higher pneumococcal carriage rates, more contacts, and more frequent contacts of longer duration, compared with FID. The odds of vaccine-type carriage increased by 28% (95% CI 8-53%) P < 0.01 in association with physical contact with 7-14 year old children. iTaukei ethnicity was associated with vaccine-type carriage (aOR) 1.73; 95% CI 1.06-2.82, P = 0.03) and non-vaccine type carriage (aOR 5.98; 95% CI 4.47-8.00, P < 0.01). Ethnicity and contact were not associated with pneumococcal density.

CONCLUSIONS

iTaukei had greater frequency and intensity of contact compared with FID. Physical contact was associated with pneumococcal carriage. Observed differences in pneumococcal nasopharyngeal carriage prevalence between iTaukei and FID were not explained by differences in social contact patterns by ethnicity.

The impact of routine childhood immunization with higher-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccines on antimicrobial-resistant pneumococcal diseases and carriage: a systematic literature review

Introduction: The introduction of 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV7) in childhood immunization programs reduced antimicrobial-resistant pneumococcal infections by vaccine serotypes. However, emerging antimicrobial-resistant non-vaccine serotypes, particularly serotype 19A, attenuated the overall effect. In 2010, higher-valent PCVs became available containing serotypes that are prone to become antimicrobial-resistant, like serotype 7F in PCV10 and PCV13, and serotype 19A in PCV13.Areas covered: This review evaluated literature published between June 1, 2008 and June 1, 2017 reporting on the effect of PCV10 or PCV13 implementation in routine infant immunization schedules on antimicrobial-resistant invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD), otitis media (OM), and nasopharyngeal carriage (NPC) in children and adults.Expert opinion: In countries with relatively high prior pneumococcal antimicrobial resistance (AMR), PCV13 childhood vaccination programs have reduced antimicrobial-resistant IPD, OM, and NPC in children and IPD in adults. The effectiveness of PCV13 against serotype 19A is likely an important contributing factor. Only few studies have documented the impact of PCV10 on AMR. Multiple factors may influence observed decreases in pneumococcal AMR including antimicrobial stewardship, case definition, time since PCV10/13 introduction, and pre-PCV10/13 AMR levels. This review emphasizes the importance of including impact on AMR when evaluating the full public health of pneumococcal vaccination programs.

Twelve years of pneumococcal conjugate vaccination in the Netherlands: Impact on incidence and clinical outcomes of invasive pneumococcal disease

INTRODUCTION

In 2006, the Netherlands introduced the 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV7) in their national immunisation programme. In 2011, PCV7 was replaced by the 10-valent vaccine (PCV10). We report on the impact of PCV on invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) incidence, clinical syndromes and patient outcomes.

METHODS

Pneumococcal isolates of hospitalised IPD patients between June 2004 and May 2018 were obtained from nine sentinel laboratories, covering 25% of the Dutch population. All isolates were serotyped. IPD incidence and clinical outcome were determined before and after introduction of PCV7 and after the switch to PCV10, stratified by age and serotype.

RESULTS

Compared to before PCV7 introduction, significant declines in IPD incidence were observed in 2016-2018 in children <5 years (69%), 18-49 year olds (31%) and ≥65 year olds (19%). Compared to before PCV10 introduction, the IPD incidence in 2016-2018 declined in children <5 years (RR:0.68, 95%CI:0.42-1.11), 5-17 year olds (RR:0.58, 95%CI:0.29-1.14) and 18-49 year olds (RR:0.72, 95%CI:0.57-0.90), but not in 50-64 year olds (RR:0.94, 95%CI:0.81-1.10) and ≥65 year olds (RR:1.04, 95%CI:0.0.93-1.15). While the case fatality rate (CFR) decreased from 16.2% pre-PCV to 13.4% post-PCV10 (RR:0.83, 95%CI:0.70-0.99), the switch to PCV10 had no further impact on CFR (RR:1.14, 95%CI:0.96-1.36).

CONCLUSION

Twelve years of PCV in the Netherlands has resulted in a sustained reduction of IPD incidence in children and younger adults. The switch from PCV7 to PCV10 did not have additional impact on the IPD incidence in older adults and CFR due to emerging non-vaccine serotypes.

Effect of ten-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine on invasive pneumococcal disease and nasopharyngeal carriage in Kenya: a longitudinal surveillance study

BACKGROUND

Ten-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV10), delivered at 6, 10, and 14 weeks of age was introduced in Kenya in January, 2011, accompanied by a catch-up campaign in Kilifi County for children aged younger than 5 years. Coverage with at least two PCV10 doses in children aged 2-11 months was 80% in 2011 and 84% in 2016; coverage with at least one dose in children aged 12-59 months was 66% in 2011 and 87% in 2016. We aimed to assess PCV10 effect against nasopharyngeal carriage and invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) in children and adults in Kilifi County.

METHODS

This study was done at the KEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme among residents of the Kilifi Health and Demographic Surveillance System, a rural community on the Kenyan coast covering an area of 891 km². We linked clinical and microbiological surveillance for IPD among admissions of all ages at Kilifi County Hospital, Kenya, which serves the community, to the Kilifi Health and Demographic Surveillance System from 1999 to 2016. We calculated the incidence rate ratio (IRR) comparing the prevaccine (Jan 1, 1999-Dec 31, 2010) and postvaccine (Jan 1, 2012-Dec 31, 2016) eras, adjusted for confounding, and reported percentage reduction in IPD as 1 minus IRR. Annual cross-sectional surveys of nasopharyngeal carriage were done from 2009 to 2016.

FINDINGS

Surveillance identified 667 cases of IPD in 3 211 403 person-years of observation. Yearly IPD incidence in children younger than 5 years reduced sharply in 2011 following vaccine introduction and remained low (PCV10-type IPD: 60·8 cases per 100 000 in the prevaccine era vs 3·2 per 100 000 in the postvaccine era [adjusted IRR 0·08, 95% CI 0·03-0·22]; IPD caused by any serotype: 81·6 per 100 000 vs 15·3 per 100 000 [0·32, 0·17-0·60]). PCV10-type IPD also declined in the post-vaccination era in unvaccinated age groups (<2 months [no cases in the postvaccine era], 5-14 years [adjusted IRR 0·26, 95% CI 0·11-0·59], and ≥15 years [0·19, 0·07-0·51]). Incidence of non-PCV10-type IPD did not differ between eras. In children younger than 5 years, PCV10-type carriage declined between eras (age-standardised adjusted prevalence ratio 0·26, 95% CI 0·19-0·35) and non-PCV10-type carriage increased (1·71, 1·47-1·99).

INTERPRETATION

Introduction of PCV10 in Kenya, accompanied by a catch-up campaign, resulted in a substantial reduction in PCV10-type IPD in children and adults without significant replacement disease. Although the catch-up campaign is likely to have brought forward the benefits by several years, the study suggests that routine infant PCV10 immunisation programmes will provide substantial direct and indirect protection in low-income settings in tropical Africa.

FUNDING

Gavi, The Vaccine Alliance and The Wellcome Trust of Great Britain.

Effectiveness of the 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine among girls, boys, preterm and low-birth-weight infants - Results from a randomized, double-blind vaccine trial

BACKGROUND

Several studies have shown differences in susceptibility to infections and immune response to vaccines by sex. Prematurely born infants are at higher risk for pneumococcal diseases, with lower effectiveness for some vaccines compared to term infants. We have reported the effectiveness of the 10-valent pneumococcal non-typeable Haemophilus influenzae protein D conjugate vaccine (PHiD-CV10) on several endpoints in the Finnish Invasive Pneumococcal disease (FinIP) vaccine trial. Now, we present the results of a post-hoc analysis evaluating PHiD-CV10 effectiveness in subgroups by sex, gestational age, and birth weight.

METHODS

The FinIP trial was a phase III/IV cluster-randomized, double-blind trial. Infants enrolled < 7 months of age received PHiD-CV10 in two thirds of clusters (3 + 1 or 2 + 1 schedule) and hepatitis B vaccine as control in remaining third. Outcome data included invasive pneumococcal disease, pneumonia, tympanostomy tube placements, and antimicrobial purchases collected through national, routinely used health registers. Negative binomial model was used in the incidence and vaccine effectiveness estimation, and differences in incidences between subgroups were tested among control children.

RESULTS

Of the 30,527 infants enrolled 51% were boys. The incidences of hospital-diagnosed pneumonia and otitis-related outcomes were higher among boys in control groups. There were no significant sex differences in the vaccine effectiveness estimates. Altogether, 1519 (5%) infants were born before 37th gestational week. The incidences of pneumonia outcomes were higher among premature infants when compared to term infants. The vaccine effectiveness estimates among preterm infants were not statistically significant except for antimicrobial purchases, but all point estimates were at the same level among preterm infants as among term infants. There was no significant difference between 2 + 1 and 3 + 1 schedules in any of the subgroups analysed.

CONCLUSION

PHiD-CV10 had a similar effectiveness in both sexes, and seemed to be protective in preterm infants.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov NCT00861380 and NCT00839254.

Effectiveness and impact of the 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine, PHiD-CV: review of clinical trials and post-marketing experience

INTRODUCTION

Pneumococcal diseases (including septicemia, meningitis, pneumonia, and upper respiratory infections) constitute a major public health problem. The World Health Organization recommends pneumococcal conjugate vaccine immunization of young children worldwide.

AREAS COVERED

We reviewed evidence on the effects of the 10-valent pneumococcal non-typeable Haemophilus influenzae protein D conjugate vaccine (PHiD-CV), which is used in childhood immunization programs in over 45 countries or regions. The effectiveness of PHiD-CV against invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD), pneumonia, and acute otitis media was assessed. We also present its effect on pneumococcal nasopharyngeal carriage (NPC) and indirect effects (herd protection) among unvaccinated individuals.

EXPERT COMMENTARY

Results from randomized, double-blind trials and post-marketing studies in various countries provide evidence of the protective efficacy, effectiveness, and impact of PHiD-CV against pneumococcal diseases. Data from different geographic locations also show reductions in NPC of vaccine pneumococcal serotypes, laying the foundation for indirect protection against pneumococcal disease. In countries where PHiD-CV is included in childhood immunization programs, there are signs of herd protection for vaccine serotypes among unvaccinated individuals. Although increases in non-vaccine serotype IPD and NPC rates were observed, there was an overall reduction of pneumococcal disease.

Comment on Gomez et. al. "Response to article by Wasserman et. al. (2018) 'Modelling the sustained use of the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine compared to switching to the 10-valent vaccine in Mexico'"

In a recent Letter, Gomez et. al. provided a critique of our original analysis estimating the clinical and economic impact of switching from the 13-valent (PCV13) to the 10-valent (PCV10) pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in Mexico. This comment addresses Gomez et. al.'s comments with additional information and clarifies potential misinterpretations.

Expansion of the multidrug-resistant clonal complex 320 among invasive Streptococcus pneumoniae serotype 19A after the introduction of a ten-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in Brazil

BACKGROUND

In 2010, a ten-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV10) was introduced in the routine infant national immunization program in Brazil. Invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) caused by serotype 19A (Spn19A) increased after the introduction of PCVs in several countries. We compared the frequency, antimicrobial resistance and molecular patterns of invasive Spn19A strains before and after PCV10 introduction in Brazil using data from the national laboratory-based surveillance.

METHODS

We analyzed invasive Spn19A strains isolated from 2005-2009 (pre-PCV10 period), 2011-2015 and 2016-2017 (post-PCV10 periods). Antimicrobial susceptibility was performed for all Spn19A strains, and multilocus sequence typing (MLST) was performed for strains isolated in the age groups <5 years and ≥50 years.

RESULTS

Among the study period, a total of 9,852 invasive Spn strains were analyzed, and 673 (6.8%) belonged to serotype 19A. Overall, the proportion of Spn19A among the total number of IPD strains increased from 2.8% in 2005-2009 to 7.0% and 16.4% in 2011-2015 and 2016-2017, respectively. The relative increase in Spn19A was observed especially in children <5 years old (2005-2009: 3.2%; 2011-2015: 15.5%; 2016-2017: 31.2%). The percentage of penicillin resistance (MIC 2.0-4.0 μg/mL), erythromycin resistance and multidrug resistance (MDR) increased after PCV10 introduction due to the expansion of the MDR clonal complex CC320 (2005-2009: 8.6%; 2011-2015: 56.1%; 2016-2017: 66.5%).

CONCLUSION

We observed an expansion of MDR-CC320 among invasive Spn19A strains after PCV10 introduction in Brazil, probably related to a combination of factors, such as vaccination and antimicrobial pressure. Continued surveillance of Spn19A strains is necessary to monitor the sustainability of this clonal complex in the Brazilian population.

Modeling the sustained use of the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine compared to switching to the 10-valent vaccine in Mexico

Introduction: Pneumococcal diseases caused by Streptococcus pneumoniae represent a significant health and economic burden. Mexico has benefited from the inclusion of the 7-valent (PCV7) and 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCV13) since their inclusion in the National Immunization Program (NIP) in 2006 and 2010, respectively. The objective of this study is to estimate the impact of the existing program and predict future implications of a change in the current program.

Methods: A previously published model was updated to estimate the historic impact of the PCV programs relative to pre-PCV implementation. Future disease trends were forecasted based on historical serotype behaviors for each PCV13 serotype and non-vaccine serotypes across different age groups. Costs and outcomes were estimated over a 10-year period based on continued use of PCV13 compared to a switch to PCV10.

Results: The PCV7 and subsequent PCV13 NIP were estimated to prevent over 1.5 million cases of pneumococcal disease and 1,854 deaths, corresponding to a net savings of $34.50 Billion MXN. Continued use of PCV13 was estimated to save over 300 thousand cases of pneumococcal disease and 373 deaths compared to switching to PCV10 over a 10-year period. Despite a higher vaccine cost, maintaining PCV13 was cost-saving compared to PCV10, saving $6.71 billion MXN over 10 years.

Conclusion: The PCV program in Mexico has provided a significant return on investment. Sustained PCV13 use was estimated to provide the greatest healthcare and economic impact in Mexico. Changes to the pneumococcal vaccination program could result in serotype replacement and reduction in herd effects.

Clinical and Economic Impact of a Potential Switch from 13-Valent to 10-Valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Infant Vaccination in Canada

INTRODUCTION

Pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) have been available in Canada since 2001, with 13-valent PCV (PCV13) added to the infant routine immunization program throughout all Canadian provinces by 2011. The use of PCVs has dramatically reduced the burden of pneumococcal disease in Canada. As a result, decision-makers may consider switching from a more costly, higher-valent vaccine to a lower-cost, lower-valent vaccine in an attempt to allocate funds for other vaccine programs. We assessed the health and economic impact of switching the infant vaccination program from PCV13 to 10-valent PCV (PCV10) in the context of the Canadian health care system.

METHODS

We performed a review of Canadian databases supplemented with published and unpublished data to obtain the historical incidence of pneumococcal disease and direct and indirect medical costs. Observed invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) trends from surveillance data were used as a basis to forecast the future number of cases of IPD, pneumococcal pneumonia, and acute otitis media given a PCV13- or PCV10-based program. Costs and outcomes over 10 years were then estimated and presented in 2017 Canadian dollars discounted at 3% per year.

RESULTS

Switching from PCV13 to PCV10 would result in an additional 762,531 cases of pneumococcal disease over 10 years. Although PCV13 has a higher acquisition cost, switching to PCV10 would increase overall costs by over $500 million. Forecasted overall disease incidence was estimated substantially higher with PCV10 than with PCV13 primarily because of the potential reemergence of serotypes 3 and 19A. PCV13 was also cost saving compared with PCV10, even within a 5-year time horizon. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed that a PCV13-based program remained cost saving in all simulations.

CONCLUSION

Although switching to a PCV10-based infant vaccination program in Canada might result in lower acquisition costs, it would also result in higher public health cost and burden because of serotype reemergence.

FUNDING

Pfizer Inc.