Immunological changes in lymphadenopathy virus positive and negative symptomless male homosexuals: two years of observation

Using CD4 counts to evaluate the stages and epidemiology of HIV infection in South Carolina public clinic patients

OBJECTIVES

CD4 lymphocyte counts decrease with the duration of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection. We used CD4 counts collected for clinical reasons to evaluate the stage of HIV infection and the epidemiology of recent HIV infections among attendees of South Carolina's public health clinics.

METHODS

We measured the CD4 T-lymphocyte counts of persons newly diagnosed with HIV infection April 1989 through June 1990 at South Carolina public health clinics who returned for follow-up.

RESULTS

Of 812 newly diagnosed HIV-infected health department patients, 420 (52%) had their CD4 lymphocyte counts measured. Of these 420, 51 (12%) had CD4 counts of < 200, the level below which prophylaxis for pneumocystis pneumonia prolongs survival, and 193 (46%) had CD4 counts of < 500, the level below which zidovudine may prolong disease-free survival. The highest CD4 counts (> or = 900), which are associated with more recent HIV infection, were more common in females.

CONCLUSIONS

In South Carolina, almost half of newly reported HIV-infected persons who agreed to CD4 testing at the health department might benefit from immediate drug therapy. Within this population, women may be an emerging risk group that requires specifically directed HIV prevention efforts.

Lymphocyte transformation responses to phytohaemagglutinin and pokeweed mitogen in patients at differing stages of HIV infection: are they worth measuring?

AIMS

To determine whether the routine measurement of lymphocyte transformation responses to mitogenic stimuli provide any information additional to that available from routine T cell CD4 and CD8 analysis in patients with HIV infection.

METHODS

The case records of 197 immunologically investigated HIV seropositive patients were reviewed. The influence of disease stage on T lymphocyte subsets and lymphocyte transformation responses (LyTR) to phytohaemagglutinin (PHA) and Pokeweed mitogen was assessed.

RESULTS

The median CD3 and CD4 counts and LyTR to PHA and Pokeweed mitogen were highest in patients with persistent generalised lymphadenopathy (PGL) and decreased progressively in the order: asymptomatic patients, those with ARC, those with AIDS. LyTR to PHA was preserved in over 70% of all patients, but the response to Pokeweed mitogen was depressed in 8% of patients with PGL, 34% of asymptomatic patients, 68% of those with ARC and 78% of those with AIDS. Subnormal values of both CD4 + T cells and LyTR to Pokeweed mitogen were more common in patients with ARC and AIDS (68%) than in those who were asymptomatic or had PGL (20%).

CONCLUSIONS

CD4 T cell analysis and LyTR to Pokeweed mitogen, but not to PHA, both correlate with disease states in patients with HIV infection.

Consistency of routine measurements of CD4+, CD8+ peripheral blood lymphocytes

In order to evaluate the reliability of CD4 and CD8 T lymphocyte counts in large scale studies, a quality control study was performed in 12 French laboratories. CD4 and CD8 counts, assessed by various haematological and immunological techniques, were compared in order to assess possible differences between the laboratories and the techniques used. Our data showed that (a) the consistency of CD4 measurements was satisfactory since the between-laboratory coefficient of variation for absolute CD4 cell numbers above 200/mm3 was around 15% instead of 5-10% for all laboratories but one; (b) the major sources of variability arose from the use of automatic devices in the two-step measurement procedure: immunophenotyping and haematological counting. These data suggest that multicentre assays of CD4 and CD8 counts result in some increase in their variability. Nevertheless the results of large multicentric trials can be extrapolated with confidence in the routine care of HIV+ patients. Together, the results justified the involvement of several experienced laboratories in a clinical trial of HIV-related disease.

Lymphocyte subsets as surrogate markers in antiretroviral therapy

Efficacy of antiretroviral treatment is evaluated usually according to reduction of serious events (e.g. opportunistic infections while on therapy) and improvement of survival time. In stages of asymptomatic disease treatment trials have to cover very long time periods to fulfil these requirements. In asymptomatic stages, when viremia is commonly absent, monitoring the host's immune response is an indirect means of measuring antiviral efficacy. CD4+ lymphocyte counts are generally accepted as surrogate in all major trials. The subsets of the CD8+ compartment reflect early and late activation and cytotoxic immune response. CD38+, CD57, CD8+ HLA/DR+ subsets reflect the host's vigorous cellular immune response even in early stages. These subsets are candidate surrogate markers in early and late stages of HIV infection. On the other hand, CD3+ CD4- CD8-, CD19/20 (B lymphocytes) and CD16+ (natural killer cells) do not exhibit any properties of candidate surrogate markers. Established and experimental cellular surrogate markers are discussed including own data and a review of the literature.

Human immunodeficiency virus-1 disease progression in hemophiliacs

A retrospective study of 153 hemophiliacs infected with human immunodeficiency virus-1 (HIV-1) was performed to determine the clinical and immunological consequences of HIV-1 infection and the markers and cofactors associated with these changes. Nearly 80% of HIV-1-infected hemophiliacs have developed a significant reduction in their CD-4+ counts (less than 400 CD-4+ cells/mm3) with 40% having less than 200 CD-4+ cells/mm3 by the end of 1987. The rate of CD-4+ cell count decline was slightly greater in patients who have already developed the acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) compared to those who have not (50 vs. 31 cells/mm3/6 months). Thrombocytopenia and older age were associated with a more rapid CD-4+ count deterioration, but the quantity of clotting factor utilized did not affect immunologic progression. In patients with less than 200 CD-4+ cells/mm3, the incidence of AIDS was significantly higher in adults (greater than 21 years old) compared to children/adolescents. Cytomegalovirus (CMV) seroprevalence increased with age but did not correlate with the amount of concentrated clotting factor used. Although there was no relationship between CMV status and progression to AIDS, CMV-seropositive patients were older and had a lower CD-4+ count. Thus the majority of HIV-1-infected hemophiliacs are developing progressive immune dysfunction measured by CD-4+ count decline. This drop in CD-4+ count significantly correlates with a risk for the development of AIDS in adults but not in children (less than 21 years old).

Expansion of activated T lymphocytes (CD3 + HLA/DR +) detectable in early stages of HIV-1 infection

The phenotypic characterization of lymphocyte subsets in relation to different clinical stages of HIV infection has mainly focussed on CD4 and CD8 cells. Some reports focus on expansion of activated T lymphocytes in AIDS patients. Yet there is no detailed knowledge whether such changes occur also in earlier stages of HIV infection. In order to describe the kinetics and possible pathogenetic meaning of this subset when related to all distinct chronologic stages, we performed two-color flow cytometric lymphocyte differentiation in 173 HIV-infected patients and 30 healthy controls. All subjects were classified according to the Walter Reed (WR) system. Our results show that a significant increase of activated T lymphocytes (CD3 + HLA/DR +) occurs early, in WR1 and WR2, thus preceding the clinically relevant CD4 depletion. This increase is paralleled by an expansion of CD8 + Leu7 + cytotoxic cells. We conclude, that early changes of lymphocyte subsets are detectable in addition to inversion of the CD4/CD8 ratio. The possible pathogenetic meaning including the question of possible autoimmune mechanisms is discussed.

Possible beneficial effects of neutralizing antibodies and antibody-dependent, cell-mediated cytotoxicity in human immunodeficiency virus infection

We studied the relationship between early human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) specific immune responses and pathogenesis of infection in participants enrolled in the multicenter AIDS cohort study (MACS). Sera collected at 6-month intervals for 2 years (visit 1-5) from 39 persons who seroconverted by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) 6 months (visit 2) after enrollment were examined for isotype-specific Western blot reactivity, neutralizing antibodies (NA) against two divergent strains of HIV-1 (HIV-1IIIB and HIV-1RF), and for antibodies capable of participating in antibody-dependent, cell-mediated cytotoxicity (ADCC). These results were compared with changes in CD4+ cell number and episodes of lymphadenopathy. Twenty-five subjects had antibodies of at least one isotype reactive to at least one HIV-1 protein by Western blot at visit 1, before they became ELISA positive. NA reactive with HIV-1IIIB were detected before those reactive with HIV-1RF. NA were first observed in 11 sera at visit 2, in 22 sera at visit 3, and in 3 sera at visit 4; sera from three patients remained nonneutralizing through visit 5. In most cases, NA were detected after a decline in CD4+ cell numbers. The data are consistent with the interpretation that NA develop after about 16 to 18 months of declining CD4+ cell numbers, following which the rate of decline in CD4+ cell numbers slows. In contrast, HIV-1 envelope antigen-specific ADCC responses were first observed in 11 subjects at visit 1 when all 39 were NA and ELISA negative, in 12 subjects at visit 2, in 13 subjects at visit 3, and 1 subject at visit 4. Early ADCC responses were associated with high mean % CD4+ cell numbers and absence of lymphadenopathy throughout the 2-year observation period. Not all subjects who developed ADCC developed NA. In some subjects, ADCC and NA were detectable for the first time at the same visit, for others ADCC was detectable prior to NA, and for a few NA was detectable prior to ADCC. These findings suggest that ADCC and neutralization are mediated by different antibody populations, that they may partially inhibit the progress of HIV-1 infection, and that the late appearance of NA may relate to the failure of immunity to effect recovery from this infection.

Deterioration in immunologic status of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected homosexual men with lymphadenopathy: prognostic implications

Changes in immunologic parameters were followed in members of a cohort of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-positive homosexual or bisexual men with lymphadenopathy and were analyzed for differences between those who have and those who have not progressed to the acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) (progressors, nonprogressors). T helpers and the Th/Ts ratio were lower in progressors than in nonprogressors both at entry into the study and at the latest visit. T suppressors were not different in the two groups at entry but were higher in nonprogressors at the latest visit. Evaluation of the patterns of change over time showed that T helpers and Th/Ts ratios tended to decrease over time in both nonprogressors and progressors, while T suppressors increased in nonprogressors and decreased in progressors. Although progressors had a greater deterioration in immunologic parameters over time, nonprogressors also had significant deterioration when compared with controls. Based on the respective percentages of men with abnormal or normal T helpers or Th/Ts ratio at entry who have already progressed to AIDS, we would conservatively estimate, considering their latest T helpers and Th/Ts ratio, that at least an additional 16 (32%) of our nonprogressors will develop AIDS in the next 5 years.

Increased levels of soluble CD8 molecule in the serum of patients with acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) and AIDS-related disorders

In this study we investigated the serological levels of the soluble form of the CD8 molecule (s-CD8) in 97 human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) seropositive patients. The control groups included 20 normal heterosexual subjects and 19 healthy seronegative subjects belonging to risk groups for AIDS. Our results show that patients with HIV infection have significantly higher levels of s-CD8 U/ml than the control groups. When the patients were further subdivided according to the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) classification, s-CD8 U/ml values were consistently increased in all HIV patients, irrespective of the CDC stages. No statistically significant correlation was found between the serological levels of s-CD8/ml and the absolute numbers of CD8 lymphocytes/mm3, in both HIV seropositive patients and control groups. Since in the more advanced stages of HIV infection (IV-A, IV-C1) the decrease in the absolute number of CD8+ cells was not followed by a decrease in s-CD8 levels, it is conceivable that an increased release and/or shedding of s-CD8 per cell might occur in these patients. In fact, when the results were expressed as s-CD8 units per CD8 positive cell (s-CD8/absolute number of CD8), the levels of s-CD8/cell were higher in patients belonging to the IV-A and IV-C1 CDC groups (1.94 U/cell +/- 0.33 and 3.39 U/cell +/- 0.5, respectively) compared to normal controls (P less than 0.001), HIV seronegative subjects at risk for AIDS (P less than 0.001), and the other patients' groups (II and III CDC groups, respectively, P less than 0.001 and P less than 0.001). The evidence herein provided that in patients with HIV infection s-CD8 levels are increased suggests a possible pathogenetic role of the cells involved in the release of this molecule.

Markers for progression to acquired immune deficiency syndrome and zidovudine treatment of asymptomatic patients

Eighteen asymptomatic men with persistent human immunodeficiency virus type I (HIV-I) p24 antigenaemia were treated with zidovudine 250-500 mg (+/- acyclovir 800 mg) 6-hourly for 4-12 weeks, and subsequently with zidovudine 500 mg (+/- acyclovir 1600 mg) 12-hourly for 36 weeks. After 24 weeks six additional HIV antigenaemic subjects were entered and treated directly with zidovudine 500 mg 12-hourly. Over the treatment period serum HIV-I p24 (HIV-Ag) levels declined in all 24 subjects; significantly so in 17, and to below cut-off values in five. Mean serum HIV-Ag levels in different treatment groups declined in 68-78%. Initial increases in CD4+ cell counts were not sustained. Over 48 weeks serum HIV-Ag levels rose in three out of five non-treated men with persistent HIV antigenaemia, and they slightly declined in two; the mean serum HIV-Ag level in this group rose 67%. Regression of enlarged lymph nodes was seen in 19 out of 19 of the zidovudine-treated subjects. In the 24 zidovudine-treated subjects no disease progression occurred during follow-up, whereas two out of five non-treated men went on to develop CDC group IV A, and IV C-2 disease, respectively. Adverse reactions to the study drugs were infrequent and mild. Anaemia caused symptoms in two, but serious leucopenia or neutropenia was not observed. An initial positive effect on thrombocyte numbers was not sustained. These data demonstrate that in asymptomatic HIV-infected subjects zidovudine 500 mg 12-hourly is well tolerated and has a persistent inhibitory effect on viral replication.

Does exposure to HLA alloantigens trigger immunoregulatory mechanisms operative in both pregnancy and AIDS?

The complex biological processes responsible for regulating the immune system are presently the subject of considerable interest and study. New insight into this process comes from a variety of observations and it is the purpose of this communication to develop the hypothesis that two seemingly quite disparate observations point to a common biological mechanism bearing on immunoregulation. The observations concern the unique immunologic relationship between mother and fetus and the immunoregulatory abnormalities encountered in HIV-induced acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS). Exposure to foreign (allo) major histocompatibility complex (MHC) antigens can potentially occur during pregnancy, the transfusion of blood or blood products, or anal insemination. The hypothesis, in its simplest form, states that such MHC alloantigenic exposure triggers a sequence of immunoregulatory mechanisms resulting in immunosuppression and that this response has evolved in placental mammals as a means of protecting the fetus from maternal immune rejection and promoting optimal fetal development.

The clinical prognosis of HIV-1 infection: a review of 32 follow-up studies

Thirty-two follow-up studies of patients with HIV-1 infection, but without AIDS at baseline, were examined for information on the risk of developing AIDS or other conditions. Disease progression in asymptomatic groups was similar to that found in patients with persistent generalized lymphadenopathy (PGL) without other symptoms. Among these asymptomatic and PGL groups, the risk of developing AIDS reached 10% to 15% between 24 and 36 months of follow up. The risk of progression to AIDS continued to increase in the studies with longer follow-up periods, reaching 36% at 88 months. However, more than 40% of "high-risk" groups (characterized by the presence of constitutional symptoms, oral thrush, herpes zoster, and/or low T4 counts) developed AIDS after only 36 months of follow-up. Reliable information about progression to other states (e.g., AIDS-related complex) has not been consistently provided.

Biological significance of the antibody response to HIV antigens expressed on the cell surface

Human antibodies to HIV antigens expressed on the surface of infected cells may inhibit cell fusion with uninfected CD 4-positive cells and mediate killing of the infected cells by effector cells bearing the Fc receptor. Sequential sera from ten HIV-antibody seroconverted men, of which five progressed to ARC or AIDS (CDC stage IV) during the follow-up period of two years, were tested for the ability to inhibit CD 4-dependent cell fusion, (CFI) and to mediate antibody-dependent cellular cytotoxicity (ADCC). Nine patients developed HIV-specific ADCC and seven CFI-antibodies using the HIV strain HTLV-IIIB as target antigen. These antibodies appeared approximately at the same time 2-12 months after primary infection, defined as antibody seroconversion or antigenaemia. ADCC antibodies were detectable at higher titers as compared to CFI-antibodies. All sera of asymptomatic individuals (CDC stage II and III) were CFI antibody positive and had a higher mean ADCC titer as compared to sera from patients progressing to AIDS or ARC. ADCC and CFI antibodies coincided in some cases in the complete absence of core antibodies. Because the relationship between ADCC and CFI was not exclusive it is concluded that distinct domains of the HIV envelope induce natural antibodies mediating ADCC and CFI.

Thymostimulin treatment in AIDS-related complex

Thirty-four patients with AIDS-related complex (ARC) were treated for 6 months with thymostimulin, a thymic hormone. Clinical and immunological findings after a 1-year follow-up were compared with those in 24 age- and sex-matched controls receiving no immunotherapy. Statistical evaluation after 6 and 12 months showed significant differences in the two groups. The thymostimulin-treated group had higher leukocyte and lymphocyte counts, more positivity in intradermal tests with multiple recall antigens, and less lymphadenopathy and weight loss. The number of OKT3+ and OKT4+ lymphocytes decreased significantly in the control group, but did not change in the thymostimulin-treated patients. Finally, after 18 months of follow-up, no progression to AIDS was seen among the treated subjects, whereas 3 of the controls developed the disease. We conclude that thymostimulin, alone or in combination with antiviral drugs, may be helpful in the management of ARC patients.

Serological response in patients with chronic asymptomatic human immunodeficiency virus infection

To examine a possible relationship between decreased immune function and serological parameters, such as human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) antigenaemia and the quality and quantity of whole virus antibodies and antibodies against the major core protein p24, we investigated 160 healthy HIV infected individuals (CDC classification II and III). According to the number of T-helper lymphocytes (CD4 cells) these were divided into two groups (CD4 cell counts above or below 500/microliter), which according to the lymphocyte transformation response to pokeweed mitogen (response above or below 20% of control value) were further subdivided into two groups. Both the presence of HIV antigen (p = 0.022) and the absence of p24 antibodies (p = 0.001) correlated to a decreased CD4 cell count. Lack of p24 antibodies was more frequent than was the presence of HIV antigen among persons with decreased CD4 cell count and decreased response to pokeweed mitogen, indicating that absence of p24 antibodies may be an earlier marker of immune dysfunction than the presence of HIV antigen. In persons with p24 antibodies present, a low such titer was associated with a decrease of both immune parameters. Presence of HIV antigen and absence of p24 antibodies thus seems to correlate with the severity of immune dysfunction in healthy HIV infected individuals.

Temporal development of cross-neutralization between HTLV-III B and HTLV-III RF in experimentally infected chimpanzees

Sera from chimpanzees inoculated respectively with HTLV-III B, LAV, HTLV-III RF and brain tissue from an AIDS patient were analysed for neutralizing activity by two methods: a cell fusion inhibition test (CFI) using HTLV-III B infected cells as inoculum and CD4+ cells as target and a replication inhibition test (RIT) using cell-free HTLV-III B as well as HTLV-III RF as inoculum and also CD4+ cells as target. All chimpanzees seroconverted for HTLV-III B antibodies within 2 months after inoculation and the ten sera included in the study recognized the HTLV-III B core proteins p17 and p24 and the transmembrane protein gp41 by immunoblotting. The HTLV-III B external envelope gp120 was recognized by eight sera with antibodies active in the CFI (CFI-Ab) or in the RIT (VN-Ab) using HTLV-III B as inoculum, while neither of two sera without such reactivity did. HTLV-III B CFI-Ab and HTLV-III B VN-Ab concurred in nine of ten serum samples. LAV and HTLV-III B infection induced HTLV-III B CFI-Ab and HTLV-III B VN-Ab within 9 months after inoculation in all four chimpanzees tested. However, only the serum of one of the four animals also neutralized HTLV-III RF. HTLV-III RF inoculation evoked only HTLV-III RF VN-Ab within nine months. Between 11 and 18 months neutralizing activity to both HTLV-III B and HTLV-III RF was found in all four sera of chimpanzees inoculated with HTLV-III B, LAV or HTLV-III RF.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Peripheral blood mononuclear cell abnormalities and their relationship to clinical course in homosexual men with HIV infection

Quantitative abnormalities of leukocyte subpopulations have been shown to correlate with clinical status in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection. We have performed peripheral blood leukocyte phenotyping in 23 HIV-seropositive homosexual men, and correlated the results with clinical follow-up information. Individuals with CD4+ greater than 400/mm3 (Group 1) had less severe abnormalities in other mononuclear cell subpopulations than patients with CD4+ less than 400/mm3 (Group 2). Group 1 had decreased CD4+CDw29+ (B-cell inducer) cells, compared to HIV-seronegative homosexual controls, with normal CD4+CD45R+ (suppressor-inducer) cells, suggesting that CD4+ subpopulations are reduced at different rates. Group 2 had decreased counts for both CD4+CDw29+ and CD4+CD45R+ cells. Both groups had increased cytotoxic T cells (CD8+CD11b-), with decreased B cells and CD4+/CD8+ ratios, compared to HIV-seronegative homosexual controls. The Group 2 patients with subsequent clinical deterioration had particularly low CD4+ cells, CD4+CD45R+ cells, CD2+Ta1+ cells, and CD4+/CD8+ ratios and high CD8+CD11b- cells, compared to those with clinically stable illness. Our findings suggest that specific leukocyte subpopulations are altered differentially at various stages of HIV infection. However, the study involved only quantitative measurements of specific T- and B-cell subsets with no attempt to measure in vitro function. It is of course possible that normal numbers of cells in these subpopulations might be functionally deficient.

Long-term evaluation of HIV antigen and antibodies to p24 and gp41 in patients with hemophilia. Potential clinical importance

To investigate the relation between human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) antigenemia and clinical manifestations of HIV infections, we studied 96 patients with hemophilia who were positive for HIV antibody, for a median of 34 months. Every 4 to 10 months a clinical and laboratory examination was performed and serum samples were tested for three HIV markers: HIV antigen, antibody to p24, and antibody to gp41. Twenty-two subjects (23 percent) were found to be positive for HIV antigen: 8 were positive upon entry and remained so (Group 1), and 14 became positive during the study, 4 to 26 months after HIV antibody appeared (seroconversion), 13 of whom remained positive for HIV antigen (Group 2). Most subjects positive for HIV antigen had low or undetectable titers of antibody to p24, whereas the antibody titer to gp41 remained high. In Group 2, patients with low p24 antibody titers had further decreases in their titers before or at the time HIV antigen appeared. Once present, HIV antigen persisted and tended to increase in concentration. In contrast to Group 3 (negative for HIV antigen, low anti-p24 titer) and 4 (negative for HIV antigen, high anti-p24 titer), the groups positive for HIV antigen had significantly higher incidences of acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (P = 0.05), immunodeficiency-related infections (P less than 0.001), and immune thrombocytopenia (P = 0.001), and had more severe disease as measured by the Walter Reed staging system (P less than 0.001). In this study, HIV antigen appeared to be a better predictive marker of HIV-related complications than the absolute T4+ count. These results suggest that HIV antigenemia indicates a poor clinical prognosis.

Risk of AIDS related complex and AIDS in homosexual men with persistent HIV antigenaemia

One hundred and ninety eight men seropositive for human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) antibody and 58 HIV antibody seroconverters were studied for an average of 19.3 (SEM 0.5) months to assess the relation between HIV antigenaemia and the risk of developing the acquired immune deficiency syndrome (AIDS) and AIDS related complex. Forty (20.2%) of the 198 HIV antibody seropositive men were antigen positive at entry and remained so during follow up. Eight (13.8%) of the 58 HIV antibody seroconverters and 20 (12.7%) of the remaining 158 HIV antibody seropositive men became antigen positive during follow up, resulting in an end point attack rate for HIV antigenaemia of 14.3%. AIDS related complex was diagnosed in 25 (15.8%) of the HIV antigen negative men and in 14 (20.7%) of the HIV antigen positive men. AIDS was diagnosed in 15 men, resulting in an end point attack rate for AIDS of 23.9% in the HIV antigen positive group and 1.3% in the antigen negative group. HIV antibody seropositive men without symptoms but with persistent HIV antigenaemia are at increased risk of developing AIDS and AIDS related complex.

Antibody response to human immunodeficiency virus in homosexual men. Relation of antibody specificity, titer, and isotype to clinical status, severity of immunodeficiency, and disease progression

The titers and isotypes of antibodies to specific proteins of the human immunodeficiency virus were determined by Western blot analysis of sera from 107 homosexual men. Antibody titers were generally lower in sera from patients with the acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) and in sera from men whose condition subsequently progressed to AIDS than in sera from men who had not progressed to AIDS. We found no evidence of isotypic prominence or restriction of the antibody response. In multivariate analysis, lower levels of CD4 helper cells were most highly associated with progression to AIDS. Lower antibody titers to the envelope protein gp110, the core protein p24, and the reverse transcriptase enzyme p51/65 were also predictive of progression to AIDS independent of their association with CD4 cell levels. These data suggest that differences in antibody levels are not simply a consequence of severe immunodeficiency but may be markers for control of infection.

Lymphocyte transformation response to pokeweed mitogen as a predictive marker for development of AIDS and AIDS related symptoms in homosexual men with HIV antibodies

To identify factors that may predict the development of the acquired immune deficiency syndrome (AIDS) or AIDS related symptoms various immunological measurements were studied in a group of homosexual men attending screening clinics for AIDS in Copenhagen. Fifty seven men whose ratio of T helper lymphocytes to T suppressor lymphocytes (CD4:CD8 ratio) was less than 1.0 before the study began were included. Forty two were positive for antibody to the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), of whom 38 were reinvestigated after a median observation period of 10 months. Among the seropositive men the transformation responses to pokeweed mitogen and cytomegalovirus and the absolute count of CD4 positive lymphocytes were the most common abnormal values. In particular, a low relative response to pokeweed mitogen on initial investigation correlated with a worsened clinical condition on reinvestigation. The risk of a worsened clinical condition was 55 times higher in seropositive men whose responses to pokeweed mitogen were low than in other seropositive men. The corresponding relative risks for low transformation responses to cytomegalovirus and for a decreased absolute count of CD4 positive lymphocytes were 18 and six. The relative response to pokeweed mitogen is therefore a very sensitive short term predictive marker of the clinical condition of seropositive patients who have a CD4:CD8 ratio of less than 1.0.

Pathogenesis of HIV and its implications for serodiagnosis and monitoring of antiviral therapy

Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) is lymphotropic and neurotropic. In vivo clinical and immunological abnormalities develop in a large proportion of long-term HIV antibody seropositive persons. Different stages of HIV infection are marked by expression of HIV genes, production of HIV antibodies, formation of antigen/antibody complexes and clearance of such complexes. Transient HIV antigenemia appearing generally 6-8 wk prior to HIV antibody (HIV-Ab) seroconversion and lasting 3-4 mth is generally seen in acute infection. IgM antibodies predominantly to core proteins may occasionally be detectable when, or just before, IgG antibodies appear. If IgG antibodies to both envelope and core proteins persist in the absence of HIV-Ag the short-term prognosis is relatively good. However, HIV-Ag seroconversion may appear at any time after HIV-Ab seroconversion. Progression to AIDS is strongly associated with declining or absent levels of IgG antibodies to p24. IgG2 and IgG4 antibodies to HIV, which are mainly directed to p24, disappear most dramatically. Titers of antibodies to HIV p24 below 64 are strongly associated with the presence of HIV antigen and a poor clinical outcome. HIV antigen was detected frequently in sera from children in all stages of infection in contrast to adults whose sera were generally HIV-Ag negative when asymptomatic and positive when AIDS was apparent. HIV antigen may be less efficiently detected with the present assays in sera from regions where the prototype strains of HIV (HTLV-III and LAV) are less prevalent, like Central Africa. Persistence of HIV-Ag in cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) appears to be pathognomonic for progressive encephalopathy, particularly in children. Levels of HIV-Ag in serum, and possibly in CSF, can be decreased by nucleoside analogues, such as AZT. This indicates HIV-Ag and possibly antibody to HIV core protein p24 as suitable markers for selecting individuals for antiviral therapy as well as monitoring the efficacy of such therapy.

Risk of AIDS after herpes zoster

In a closed internal medicine practice for homosexual men in Central Manhattan herpes zoster developed in 112 men between 1980 and mid-1986. In these patients the incidence of acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) was high: Kaplan-Meier survival analysis indicated cumulative incidences of AIDS of 22.8% within 2 years after herpes zoster, 45.5% within 4 years, and an estimated 72.8% after 6 years. Severity of zoster (relative risk, RR = 4.6), degree of pain (RR = 3.4), and zoster of the cranial or cervical dermatomes (RR = 2.2) were all associated with a poor outcome. Oral thrush, oral hairy leucoplakia, amoebiasis, and superficial (tinea) fungal infections also indicated an increased risk of AIDS among zoster patients. Oral thrush and oral hairy leucoplakia manifestations were diagnosed an average of 1.2 and 1.1 years, respectively, after the diagnosis of herpes zoster; thus zoster is an early indicator of an impaired immunity. Herpes zoster can be used as a predictor of AIDS and in AIDS risk groups should be regarded as a poor prognostic sign.

Immune pathogenesis of AIDS and related syndromes

HIV infection induces both immune deficiency and immune stimulation. Central to the pathology of HIV infection is reduction in the numbers and function of CD4 T cells. Impaired functions include decreased proliferation, IL-2 receptor expression and production of lymphokines (IL-2 and gamma interferon (IFN]. HIV infection stimulates B cells and CD8 T cells. This is seen relatively soon after HIV infection. Increased activation and immaturity are seen in both these cell groups. In vitro studies confirm HIV stimulation of these cells. Studies have been conducted on patients with AIDS and opportunistic infection (OI) or Kaposi's sarcoma (KS), with AIDS-related complex (ARC) or with persistent generalized lymphadenopathy (PGL), as well as on asymptomatic HIV-seropositive and -seronegative homosexually active men. The latter group has been followed at 6-month intervals for the past 2-3 years. Those who seroconverted (became HIV-infected) were studied to investigate early changes following HIV infection. To delineate the immunopathology of infection with HIV, serial testing of seropositive individuals was carried out to determine the rate of CD4-T-cell reduction. Lowered CD4-T-cell number and percentage and CD4/CD8 ratio correlate with the occurrence of AIDS and with survival after AIDS-KS diagnosis. Seropositive individuals, however, differed markedly in the rate of CD4-T-cell reduction; in some, no reduction in CD4 cells occurred over a two-year period of observation. We propose that, in individuals in which CD4 levels have reached a plateau, effective host resistance to further CD4 cytoreduction has occurred.

Predictors of the acquired immunodeficiency syndrome developing in a cohort of seropositive homosexual men

In a cohort of 1835 homosexual men who were seropositive for human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) on entry into a prospective study, the acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) developed in 59 during a median follow-up of 15 months. We matched 5 seropositive controls to each case according to study center and date of enrollment and performed a case-control analysis to determine factors predictive of AIDS. In a multivariate analysis, a decreased number of T helper lymphocytes, an increased number of T suppressor lymphocytes, a low level of antibody to HIV, a high titer of cytomegalovirus antibody, and a history of sex with someone in whom AIDS developed were independently associated with subsequent AIDS. Separate analyses of risk factors for Kaposi's sarcoma and opportunistic infections failed to support previously reported associations between the use of nitrites or an elevated cytomegalovirus-antibody titer and Kaposi's sarcoma. These variables may be markers rather than determinants of disease progression. A vigorous antibody response to HIV infection may confer at least temporary protection against the progression of immunodeficiency to AIDS, or a low level of antibody to HIV may reflect a later stage of infection. The increased risk associated with a history of sex with someone in whom AIDS developed may indicate earlier infection in cases or infection with a more virulent strain of HIV. These results may be useful in counseling HIV-seropositive persons and in designing studies of clinical interventions.

The immunological and clinical outcome of HIV infection: 31 months of follow-up in a cohort of homosexual men

T-cell subsets, antibodies (Ab) against human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) and clinical status were evaluated during a 31 (24-35) month follow-up study of homosexual men. The study group included 50 homosexual men, with many sexual partners, who by 1982-83 were without symptoms and had a prevalence of HIV Ab of 38%. Among the men who were seropositive on the initial investigation a significant decrease occurred in the absolute number of CD4+ lymphocytes (p less than 0.01). 88% of these men experienced a decrease, and by follow-up 59% had CD4+ lymphocytes below the normal range. Also the men who seroconverted during the study had a significant decrease in CD4+ lymphocytes, while no changes were observed in the seronegative group. None of the subgroups had significant changes in CD8+ lymphocyte number. AIDS or AIDS related complex developed in 33% of the men seropositive at inclusion. None of these clinical syndromes developed in the seroconverting or the seronegative group. The men who eventually developed clinical symptoms did not differ significantly from the healthy HIV Ab positive persons, with respect to lifestyle parameters, presence of lymphadenopathy and isolation of cytomegalovirus. However, they had significantly lower CD4+ cells and CD4/CD8 ratio (p less than 0.01) at inclusion. It is concluded that in the majority of persons infected with HIV, phenotypic T-cell alterations will occur with a latency of years, but it remains to be seen if the alterations necessarily will result in clinical manifestations. Further, T-cell subset determination among healthy HIV Ab positive persons will provide prognostic information.

Three-year prospective study of HTLV-III/LAV infection in homosexual men

170 symptom-free homosexual men were recruited in London in 1982-83 and 133 were evaluable in 1983-85. Of the 33 who were seropositive to HTLV-III/LAV at entry, 4 (12%) progressed to AIDS, 16 (48%) progressed to persistent generalised lymphadenopathy (PGL), and 13 (40%) remained symptom-free. A further 15 men seroconverted during the study (7% per annum), of whom 8 progressed to PGL. Serial estimations of T lymphocyte subsets showed progressive reduction in T4 numbers in the seropositive groups, but these indices also varied widely in the seronegative group. Counts of T4 and T8 cells or T4/T8 ratio at entry were not of prognostic value. Seronegative subjects were as likely as seropositives to have abnormal immunological tests. Serial measurement of T lymphocyte subsets seems to be of little prognostic or clinical value in the monitoring of populations infected with the HTLV-III/LAV virus. The strongest association with prognosis was an episode of sexually transmitted disease in the six months before entry to the study. This supports the hypothesis that intercurrent infection may be an important co-factor in the acquisition of HTLV-III/LAV infection, and in subsequent disease progression.

A statistical method for assessing change in immunologic parameters in a patient

Serial measurement of in vitro immunologic parameters in patients is used to detect change in immune status over time due to disease progression and/or immunodulatory therapy. A statistical method is presented for looking at serial measurements on an individual to detect whether a change in a parameter is outside the bounds of expected within-individual variation. Analysis of variance is used, assuming a normal distribution, to obtain percentiles of the distribution of the absolute difference between consecutive values of immunologic parameters in a healthy population. The assumptions in this analysis are justified from a statistical point of view. We discuss how to use this statistical method to make judgments relevant to clinical immunology, including how to construct a table that can be used to determine quickly if an "interesting" change for some standard immunologic parameters has occurred, whether a linear (additive) or logarithmic (proportional) model for change might be more appropriate for a given parameter, and how to modify the calculations if change is expected in a certain direction or if multiple pre- and/or postevent (clinical change or intervention) measurements are available.