Effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of interferon beta and glatiramer acetate in the UK Multiple Sclerosis Risk Sharing Scheme at 6 years: a clinical cohort study with natural history comparator

The Neurologist's Guide to Drug Pricing in the United States

ABSTRACT

As newer, innovative neurology drugs enter the US health care system, neurologists should consider the cost of these treatments in addition to their efficacy, safety, and tolerability. To do so thoughtfully requires an understanding of how prescription drugs are priced in the United States. The process of drug pricing is linked to the distribution supply chain and the many stakeholders involved. Stakeholders include pharmaceutical manufacturers; wholesalers; pharmacies; pharmacy benefit managers; payers, including health insurers; hospital systems; neurologists and other clinicians; and patients. Drug pricing has taken center stage as the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 has set maximum out-of-pocket expenses for Medicare beneficiaries for the first time in the program's history and limits drug price increases for a select group of Medicare Part D drugs. This article describes the US drug distribution supply chain and its stakeholders and introduces key drug pricing terms; a brief description of how rebates are generally estimated will also be discussed. Finally, as newer neurology outpatient drugs enter the market, the "value" of drugs will be described through cost-effectiveness terminology and their utility for the clinical neurologist.

Relationship between serum levels of folic acid and homocysteine with cognitive impairment in patients diagnosed with multiple sclerosis

Multiple Sclerosis (MS), one of the most common neurological diseases, plays a major role in the ailments of adults. Studies on the role of homocysteine (Hcy) and folic acid in causing cognitive disorders in patients diagnosed with MS are still ongoing. This study aimed to evaluate the serum levels of folic acid and Hcy related to cognitive impairment in patients with multiple sclerosis. This prospective clinical study was conducted on 57 patients diagnosed with MS who were referred to Firoozgar Hospital, Tehran, Iran (Between November 2019 and September 2021). Demographic information and clinical characteristics of enrolled patients were recorded in a predesigned checklist. These characteristics were comprised of outcomes related to the Brief International Cognitive Assessment for MS, and the patient's Hcy and acid folic levels. Data were analyzed using SPSS version 25. Out of 57 enrolled patients, 39 subjects (68.4%) were female and 18 subjects (31.6%) were male, with a mean age of 36.87 ± 9.40 years old. In terms of disease time span, there was a mean duration of 3.80 ± 4.94 years (range: 1-23 years). There were no significant differences between the mean score of Brief International Cognitive Assessment for MS scale with patient's sex (P value: .88), and disease duration of patients (P value: .86). There was no significant relationship between the serum levels of acid folic and Hcy with cognitive impairment (P value > .05). The study results revealed that there were no significant relationships between the folic acid, Hcy levels, disease duration, and the type of MS disease with the severity of cognitive impairment. More randomized controlled clinical trials are needed to confirm the relationships between the folic acid and Hcy levels with cognitive impairment in patients with MS.

Association of Very Early Treatment Initiation With the Risk of Long-term Disability in Patients With a First Demyelinating Event

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Early treatment is associated with better long-term outcomes in patients with a first demyelinating event and early multiple sclerosis (MS). However, magnetic resonance (MR) findings are not usually integrated to construct propensity scores (PSs) when evaluating outcomes. We assessed the association of receiving very early treatment with the risk of long-term disability including an MR score (MRS) in patients with a first demyelinating event.

METHODS

We included 580 patients with a first demyelinating event prospectively collected between 1994 and 2021, who received at least 1 disease-modifying drug (DMD). Patients were classified into tertiles according to the cohort's distribution of the time from the first demyelinating event to the first DMD: first tertile (FT) or very early treatment (6 months; n = 194), second tertile (6.1-16 months, n = 192), and third tertile (TT) (16.1 months, n = 194). A 5-point MRS was built according to the sum of the following indicators: ≥9 brain lesions (1 point); ≥1 infratentorial lesion (1 point); ≥1 spinal cord (SC) lesion (1 point); ≥1 contrast-enhancing (CE) brain lesion (1 point); and ≥1 CE SC lesion (1 point). PS based on covariates and the MRS was computed for each of the outcomes. Inverse PS-weighted Cox and linear regression models assessed the risk of different outcomes between tertile groups. Finally, to confirm the role of MR in treatment decision, we studied the time elapsed from the first demyelinating event to treatment initiation according to the MRS in all patients with radiologic available information, renamed as raw-MRS.

RESULTS

Very early treatment decreased the risk of reaching Expanded Disability Status Scale 3.0 (hazard ratio [HR] 0.55, 95% CI 0.32-0.97), secondary progressive MS (HR 0.40, 95% CI 0.19-0.85), and sustained disease progression at 12 months after treatment initiation (HR 0.50, 95% CI 0.29-0.84), when compared with patients from the TT group. Patients from the FT group had a lower disability progression rate (β estimate -0.009, 95% CI -0.016 to -0.002) and a lower severe disability measured by the Patient-Determined Disease Step (β estimate -0.52, 95% CI -0.91 to -0.13) than the TT group. Finally, there was a 62.4% reduction in the median time between the first demyelinating event and the first-ever treatment initiation from patients displaying a raw-MRS 1 to patients with a raw-MRS 5.

DISCUSSION

Using PS models with and without MRS, we showed that treatment initiation at very early stages is associated with a reduction in the risk of long-term disability accrual in patients with a first demyelinating event.

CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE

This study provides Class III evidence that earlier treatment of patients with MS presenting with a first demyelinating event is associated with improved clinical outcomes.

Efficacy of ultraviolet B radiation versus vitamin D3 on postural control and cognitive functions in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis: A randomized controlled study

BACKGROUND

The relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) is the most common type of MS with prevalence rate 20-60 patients/100.000 individuals in Egypt. Poor postural control and cognitive dysfunctions are well-established complications of RRMS without potent remedy yet. The latest evidence highlighted the potential and independent immune-modulating effects of vitamin D3 and ultraviolet radiation in the management of RRMS.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the efficacy of broadband ultraviolet B radiation (UVBR) versus moderate loading dose of vitamin D3 supplementation in improving postural control and cognitive functions.

DESIGN

Pretest-posttest randomized controlled study.

SETTING

Multiple sclerosis outpatient unit of Kasr Al-Ainy Hospital.

PARTICIPANTS

Forty-seven patients with RRMS were recruited from both genders, yet only 40 completed the study.

INTERVENTIONS

Patients were randomized into two groups: UVBR group involved 24 patients, received sessions for 4 weeks and vitamin D3 group involved 23 patients, took vitamin D3 supplementation (50 000 IU/week) for 12 weeks.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Overall balance system index (OSI) and symbol digit modalities test (SDMT).

RESULTS

Highly significant decrease (P < 0.001) of the OSI in both groups post-treatment, indicating improved postural control. Moreover, highly significant improvement in the SDMT scores was noted, indicating information processing speed enhancement. Nonetheless, no statistically significant (P ≥ 0.05) differences were evident between the two groups post-treatment in all tested measures.

CONCLUSION

Both therapeutic programs were statistically equal in improving postural control and cognitive functions. However, clinically, UVBR therapy was more convenient owing to its shorter treatment time and higher percentage of change for all tested measures.

Blocking the IFN-gamma signal in the choroid plexus confers resistance to experimental autoimmune encephalomyelitis

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is an autoimmune disease characterized by inflammatory infiltration and demyelination in the central nervous system (CNS). IFN-gamma (IFN-γ), a critically important immunomodulator, has been widely studied in MS pathology. The confusing and complex effects of IFN-γ in MS patients and rodent models, however, cause us to look more closely at its exact role in MS. In this study, we identified the role of the IFN-γ signaling in the choroid plexus (CP) in the experimental autoimmune encephalomyelitis (EAE) model. We found that the IFN-γ signal was rapidly amplified when CNS immune cell infiltration occurred in the CP during the progressive stage. Furthermore, using two CP-specific knockdown strategies, we demonstrated that blocking the IFN-γ signal via knockdown of IFN-γR1 in the CP could protect mice against EAE pathology, as evidenced by improvements in clinical scores and infiltration. Notably, knocking down IFN-γR1 in the CP reduced the local expression of adhesion molecules and chemokines. This finding suggests that IFN-γ signaling in the CP may participate in the pathological process of EAE by preventing pathological T helper (Th) 17⁺ cells from infiltrating into the CNS. Finally, we showed that the unbalanced state of IFN-γ signaling between peripheral lymphocytes and the choroid plexus may determine whether IFN-γ has a protective or aggravating effect on EAE pathology. Above all, we discovered that IFN-γR1-mediated IFN-γ signaling in the CP was a vital pathway in the pathological process of EAE.

Cost-effectiveness of cladribine tablets and dimethyl fumarate in the treatment of relapsing remitting multiple sclerosis in Spain

Aim: To analyze the cost-effectiveness of treatment of relapsing remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) with cladribine tablets (CladT) and dimethyl fumarate (DMF) from the perspective of the Spanish National Health System (NHS). Methods: A probabilistic Markov model (second-order Monte Carlo simulation) with a 10-year time horizon and annual Markov cycles was performed. Results: CladT was the dominant treatment, with lower costs (-74,741 € [95% CI: -67,247; -85,661 €]) and greater effectiveness (0.1920 [95% CI: -0.1659; 0.2173] QALY) per patient, compared with DMF. CladT had a 95.1% probability of being cost-effective and a 94.1% chance of being dominant compared with DMF. Conclusion: CladT is the dominant treatment (lower costs, with more QALYs) compared with DMF in the treatment of RRMS in Spain.

Economic evaluation of cladribine tablets in high disease activity (HDA) relapsing multiple sclerosis (RMS) patients in Lebanon

BACKGROUND

Cladribine tablets are a newly launched short course oral treatment approved for high disease activity (HDA) relapsing multiple sclerosis (RMS). The current analysis assessed the cost-utility and budgetary impact of introducing cladribine tablets in HDA-RMS patients compared with other HDA-RMS therapies in Lebanon.

METHODS

The global cost-utility and budget impact models were adapted from Lebanese National Social Security Fund (NSSF) perspective. The data for the models' adaptation were retrieved from the literature and validated by Lebanese experts. The comparators considered in the cost-utility model were alemtuzumab, fingolimod, and natalizumab while budget impact analysis additionally considered dimethyl fumarate. A sensitivity analysis was also performed to assess the uncertainty in the analysis.

RESULTS

The cost-utility results showed that cladribine tablets are an economically dominant therapeutic strategy (i.e., less costly and better quality-adjusted life year [QALY]) compared to all comparators. The cost saving was driven by drug acquisition, administration, and monitoring costs; while incremental QALY gain was driven by differences in delayed Expanded Disability Status Scale progression. Sensitivity analysis showed that cladribine tablets have a high probability (99.3-100%) of being dominant at a threshold of 22,000 United States Dollars (approximately three times of gross domestic product) per QALY gained against different comparators. The budget impact analysis showed that the introduction of cladribine tablets would result in 5.0% to 21.5% savings in the overall budget over a period of five years.

CONCLUSIONS

Cladribine tablets are a cost-effective and a budget-saving treatment option for the treatment of HDA-RMS patients in Lebanon from the NSSF perspective.

Multiple Sclerosis Progressive Courses: A Clinical Cohort Long-Term Disability Progression Study

OBJECTIVES

Improving the understanding of multiple sclerosis (MS) mechanism and disability progression over time is essential to assess the value of healthcare interventions. Poor or no data on disability progression are available for progressive courses. This study aims to fill this gap.

METHODS

An observational cohort study of patients with primary MS (PPMS) and secondary progressive MS (SPMS) was conducted on 2 Italian MS centers disease registries over an observational time of 34 years. Annual transition probabilities among Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) states were estimated using continuous Markov models. A sensitivity analysis was performed in relation to clinical characteristic associated to disability progression.

RESULTS

The study cohort included 758 patients (274 PPMS and 434 SPMS) with a median follow-up of 8.2 years. Annual transition probability matrices of SPMS and PPMS reported different annual probabilities to move within EDSS levels. Excluding EDSS associated to relapse events or patient with relapses, the annual probability of staying stable in an EDSS level increased in both disease courses even not significantly.

CONCLUSIONS

This study provides estimates of annual disability progression as EDSS changes for PPMS and SPMS. These estimates could be a useful tool for healthcare decision makers and clinicians to properly assess impact of clinical interventions.

Beta interferons as immunotherapy in multiple sclerosis: a new outlook on a classic drug during the COVID-19 pandemic

Beta interferons (IFN-β) are pleiotropic cytokines with antiviral properties. They play important roles in the pathogenesis of multiple sclerosis (MS), an incurable immune-mediated disorder of the central nervous system. The clinical expression of MS is heterogeneous, with relapses of neuroinflammation and with disability accrual in considerable part unrelated to the attacks. The injectable recombinant IFN-β preparations are the first approved disease-modifying treatments for MS. They have moderate efficacy in reducing the frequency of relapses, but good long-term cost-efficacy and safety profiles, so are still widely used. They have some tolerability and adherence issues, partly mitigated in recent years by the introduction of a PEGylated formulation and use of 'smart' autoinjector devices. Their general impact on long-term disability is modest but could be further improved by developing accurate tools for identifying the patient profile of best responders to IFN-β. Here, we present the IFN-β-based immunomodulatory therapeutic approaches in MS, highlighting their place in the current coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic. The potential role of IFN-β in the treatment of COVID-19 is also briefly discussed.

Health Economic Impact of Software-Assisted Brain MRI on Therapeutic Decision-Making and Outcomes of Relapsing-Remitting Multiple Sclerosis Patients-A Microsimulation Study

Aim: To develop a microsimulation model to assess the potential health economic impact of software-assisted MRI in detecting disease activity or progression in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) patients. Methods: We develop a simulated decision analytical model based on a hypothetical cohort of RRMS patients to compare a baseline decision-making strategy in which only clinical evolution (relapses and disability progression) factors are used for therapy decisions in MS follow-up, with decision-making strategies involving MRI. In this context, we include comparisons with a visual radiologic assessment of lesion evolution, software-assisted lesion detection, and software-assisted brain volume loss estimation. The model simulates clinical (EDSS transitions, number of relapses) and subclinical (new lesions and brain volume loss) disease progression and activity, modulated by the efficacy profiles of different disease-modifying therapies (DMTs). The simulated decision-making process includes the possibility to escalate from a low efficacy DMT to a high efficacy DMT or to switch between high efficacy DMTs when disease activity is detected. We also consider potential error factors that may occur during decision making, such as incomplete detection of new lesions, or inexact computation of brain volume loss. Finally, differences between strategies in terms of the time spent on treatment while having undetected disease progression/activity, the impact on the patient’s quality of life, and costs associated with health status from a US perspective, are reported. Results: The average time with undetected disease progression while on low efficacy treatment is shortened significantly when using MRI, from around 3 years based on clinical criteria alone, to 2 when adding visual examination of MRI, and down to only 1 year with assistive software. Hence, faster escalation to a high efficacy DMT can be performed when MRI software is added to the radiological reading, which has positive effects in terms of health outcomes. The incremental utility shows average gains of 0.23 to 0.37 QALYs over 10 and 15 years, respectively, when using software-assisted MRI compared to clinical parameters only. Due to long-term health benefits, the average annual costs associated with health status are lower by $1500–$2200 per patient when employing MRI and assistive software. Conclusions: The health economic burden of MS is high. Using assistive MRI software to detect and quantify lesions and/or brain atrophy has a significant impact on the detection of disease activity, treatment decisions, health outcomes, utilities, and costs in patients with MS.

Economic Evaluation of Cladribine Tablets in Patients With High Disease Activity-Relapsing-Remitting Multiple Sclerosis in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia

OBJECTIVE

Cladribine tablets are the first short-course oral treatment approved for high disease activity relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (HDA-RRMS) across various countries. This analysis assessed the cost-effectiveness of introducing cladribine tablets as a treatment option for patients with high disease activity compared with other HDA-RRMS therapies in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA).

METHODS

The cost-effectiveness model was adapted from the KSA payer's perspective. Data for the model's adaptation were retrieved from the literature and validated by key opinion leaders. The comparators considered in the model were alemtuzumab, dimethyl fumarate, fingolimod, interferon beta-1a (subcutaneous and intramuscular) and beta-1b, natalizumab, and teriflunomide. A sensitivity analysis was also performed to assess the robustness of the analysis.

RESULTS

The cost-effectiveness results showed cladribine tablets as the dominant strategy (ie, less costly and more effective) versus all the comparators. The incremental cost and quality-adjusted life-years gained were largely driven by drug acquisition cost and delayed expanded disability status scale progression, respectively. Cladribine tablets showed an 81% to 100% probability of being cost-effective at a threshold of Saudi Riyal 225 326 per quality-adjusted life-years gained against different comparators.

CONCLUSIONS

Cladribine tablets are a dominant treatment option for patients with HDA-RRMS from the payer perspective in the KSA.

The effect of national disease-modifying therapy subsidy policy on long-term disability outcomes in people with multiple sclerosis

BACKGROUND

Disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) are used to treat people with relapsing-onset multiple sclerosis (ROMS), but our knowledge is largely limited to their short-term effects.

OBJECTIVE

To determine (1) the impact of national-level DMT subsidy policy on DMT use and health outcomes in people with MS (PwMS) and (2) the long-term effects of DMT on disability and quality of life (QoL; 5-level EQ-5D version (EQ-5D-5L) utility value).

METHODS

This observational cohort study compared Australian and New Zealand populations with different levels of DMT availability 10-20 years post-ROMS diagnosis. Between-country differences were assessed using standardised differences. Associations were assessed with multivariable linear regression models.

RESULTS

We recruited 328 Australians and 256 New Zealanders. The Australian cohort had longer DMT treatment duration, greater proportion of disease course treated and shorter duration between diagnosis and starting DMT. The Australian cohort had lower median Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) (3.5 vs 4.0) and Multiple Sclerosis Severity Score (MSSS) (3.05 vs 3.71) and higher QoL (0.71 vs 0.65). In multivariable models, between-country differences in disability and QoL were largely attributed to differential use of DMT.

CONCLUSIONS

This study provides evidence for the impact of national-level DMT policy on disability outcomes in PwMS. Where DMTs are more accessible, PwMS experienced less disability progression and improved QoL 10-20 years post-diagnosis.

Initial treatment strategy and clinical outcomes in Finnish MS patients: a propensity-matched study

Background

The optimal treatment strategy with disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) in relapsing–remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) remains uncertain.

Objective

To compare outcomes of initial treatment with infusion therapies and starting therapy with medium efficacy therapy in a propensity-matched cohort of Finnish RRMS patients.

Methods

A total of 154 RRMS patients initiating natalizumab, alemtuzumab, ocrelizumab or rituximab as first DMT (high efficacy DMT, heDMT group) and 1771 patients initially treated with injectable therapies, teriflunomide or dimethylfumarate and escalated based on disease activity (moderate efficacy DMT, meDMT group) were identified from the Finnish MS registry. Nearest neighbor propensity matching (1:1, caliper 0.1) was performed for age, sex, baseline Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS), annual relapse rate (ARR) one year prior DMT and time since MS symptom onset. Primary outcome was time to 6-month confirmed EDSS progression and the secondary outcome time to first relapse.

Results

In the propensity-matched group comparisons, the probability of 6-month confirmed disability progression (CDP) at 5 years after DMT start was 28.4% (95% CI 15.7–39.3) in the heDMT group (n = 66) and 47.0% (95% CI 33.1–58.1) in meDMT group (n = 66), p = 0.013. Probability of relapse at 5 years was 34.6% (95% CI 24.1–43.6) for heDMT (n = 105) and 47.2% (95% CI 36.6–56.1) for meDMT (n = 105), p = 0.019.

Conclusions

Initiating MS-therapy with heDMT significantly reduced the risk of 5-year disability progression and relapse compared to using meDMT as first DMT choice in propensity-matched groups of Finnish MS-patients.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00415-021-10673-9.

Multiple sclerosis projection in Tehran, Iran using Bayesian structural time series

BACKGROUND

The prevalence of Multiple Sclerosis (MS) has been increasing worldwide and the highest prevalence ratio among Asian countries was reported in Iran. This study aims to estimate the increase in MS occurrence during more than three decades in Tehran and forecast the future condition of the disease using time series approaches for the next ten years.

METHODS

The cross-sectional study was conducted from 1999 to 2019 based on records of MS cases from Iranian MS Society (IMSS) registry system. The prevalence was estimated using population data presented by the Statistical Centre of Iran. Through Bayesian Structural Time Series (BSTS) model, we want to predict the prevalence of familial and sporadic MS in the next ten years. .

RESULTS

Among 22,421 cases with MS, 16,831 (75.1 %) were female and 5589 (24.9 %) were male. Female to male ratio was 3.0:1 and the number of familial MS cases were 2982 (13.3 %) of subjects. Female gender was less responsible for higher rate of MS in familial definition (beta = 0.020) in comparison to sporadic cases (beta = 0.034). Forecasting by BSTS revealed an increase in MS prevalence for the next ten years so that the prevalence rate for total, familial and sporadic MS respectively begins with 189.50 (183.94-195.14), 25.69 (24.97-26.45) and 163.74(159.06-168.57) in 2020 and ends with 220.84 (171.48-266.92), 30.79 (24.16-37.15), and 189.33(146.97-230.19) in 2029.

CONCLUSIONS

According to the findings, MS prevalence increased during three decades and it will increase over the next ten years. Tehran province is one of the regions with highest MS prevalence in Asia. The results of present study indicated that females are at higher risk for MS than males in both sporadic and familial MS.

Caspase-11 Noncanonical Inflammasome: A Novel Key Player in Murine Models of Neuroinflammation and Multiple Sclerosis

Inflammasomes are intracellular protein complexes consisting of the pattern recognition receptors and inflammatory molecules in the inflamed cells. In response to various ligands, inflammasomes play a pivotal role to execute the inflammatory responses by inducing the pyroptosis and the secretion of pro-inflammatory cytokines, interleukin (IL)-1β, and IL-18. Unlike canonical inflammasomes, including NOD-like receptor family inflammasomes, such as NLRP1, NLRP3, NLRC4, and absence in melanoma 2 inflammasomes, noncanonical inflammasomes, such as mouse caspase-11 and human caspase-4/5 were recently discovered, and their roles in the inflammatory responses have been poorly understood. However, emerging studies have been successfully demonstrating the regulatory roles of these noncanonical inflammasomes on inflammatory responses and the pathogenesis of inflammatory/autoimmune diseases. This review summarizes and discusses the recent studies investigating the regulatory roles of the caspase-11 noncanonical inflammasome in neuroinflammation and the pathogenesis of multiple sclerosis (MS), which provides the insight for the validation of caspase-11 noncanonical inflammasome to develop novel and promising therapeutics for MS.

Effect of Disease-Modifying Therapy on Disability in Relapsing-Remitting Multiple Sclerosis Over 15 Years

OBJECTIVE

To test the hypothesis that immunotherapy prevents long-term disability in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (MS), we modeled disability outcomes in 14,717 patients.

METHODS

We studied patients from MSBase followed for ≥1 year, with ≥3 visits, ≥1 visit per year, and exposed to MS therapy, and a subset of patients with ≥15-year follow-up. Marginal structural models were used to compare the cumulative hazards of 12-month confirmed increase and decrease in disability, Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) step 6, and the incidence of relapses between treated and untreated periods. Marginal structural models were continuously readjusted for patient age, sex, pregnancy, date, disease course, time from first symptom, prior relapse history, disability, and MRI activity.

RESULTS

A total of 14,717 patients were studied. During the treated periods, patients were less likely to experience relapses (hazard ratio 0.60, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.43-0.82, p = 0.0016), worsening of disability (0.56, 0.38-0.82, p = 0.0026), and progress to EDSS step 6 (0.33, 0.19-0.59, p = 0.00019). Among 1,085 patients with ≥15-year follow-up, the treated patients were less likely to experience relapses (0.59, 0.50-0.70, p = 10^-9) and worsening of disability (0.81, 0.67-0.99, p = 0.043).

CONCLUSION

Continued treatment with MS immunotherapies reduces disability accrual by 19%-44% (95% CI 1%-62%), the risk of need of a walking aid by 67% (95% CI 41%-81%), and the frequency of relapses by 40-41% (95% CI 18%-57%) over 15 years. This study provides evidence that disease-modifying therapies are effective in improving disability outcomes in relapsing-remitting MS over the long term.

CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE

This study provides Class IV evidence that, for patients with relapsing-remitting MS, long-term exposure to immunotherapy prevents neurologic disability.

Initial high-efficacy disease-modifying therapy in multiple sclerosis: A nationwide cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To determine the effectiveness of high-efficacy disease-modifying therapies (heDMTs) vs medium-efficacy disease-modifying therapies (meDMT) as the first treatment choice in treatment-naive patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) on disability worsening and relapses. We assessed this using a nationwide population-based MS registry.

METHODS

We identified all patients starting a heDMT as first-time treatment from the Danish Multiple Sclerosis Registry and compared treatment outcomes with a propensity score matched sample of patients starting meDMT.

RESULTS

We included 388 patients in the study: 194 starting initial therapy with heDMT matched to 194 patients starting meDMT. At 4 years of follow-up, the probabilities of a 6-month confirmed Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score worsening were 16.7% (95% confidence interval [CI] 10.4%-23.0%) and 30.1% (95% CI 23.1%-37.1%) for heDMT and meDMT initiators, respectively (hazard ratio [HR] 0.53, 95% CI 0.33-0.83, p = 0.006). Patients initiating heDMT also had a lower probability of a first relapse (HR 0.50, 95% CI 0.37-0.67). Results were similar after pairwise censoring and in subgroups with high baseline activity, diagnosis after 2006, or information on baseline T2 lesion load.

CONCLUSION

We found a lower probability of 6-month confirmed EDSS score worsening and lower probability of a first relapse in patients starting a heDMT as first therapy, compared to a matched sample starting meDMT.

CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE

This study provides Class III evidence that for patients with MS, starting heDMT lowers the risk of EDSS worsening and relapses compared to starting meDMT.

Disability outcomes of early cerebellar and brainstem symptoms in multiple sclerosis

BACKGROUND

Cerebellar and brainstem symptoms are common in early stages of multiple sclerosis (MS) yet their prognostic values remain unclear.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to investigate long-term disability outcomes in patients with early cerebellar and brainstem symptoms.

METHODS

This study used data from MSBase registry. Patients with early cerebellar/brainstem presentations were identified as those with cerebellar/brainstem relapse(s) or functional system score ⩾ 2 in the initial 2 years. Early pyramidal presentation was chosen as a comparator. Andersen-Gill models were used to compare cumulative hazards of (1) disability progression events and (2) relapses between patients with and without early cerebellar/brainstem symptoms. Mixed effect models were used to estimate the associations between early cerebellar/brainstem presentations and expanded disability status scale (EDSS) scores.

RESULTS

The study cohort consisted of 10,513 eligible patients, including 2723 and 3915 patients with early cerebellar and brainstem symptoms, respectively. Early cerebellar presentation was associated with greater hazard of progression events (HR = 1.37, p < 0.001) and EDSS (β = 0.16, p < 0.001). Patients with early brainstem symptoms had lower hazard of progression events (HR = 0.89, p = 0.01) and EDSS (β = -0.06, p < 0.001). Neither presentation was associated with changes in relapse risk.

CONCLUSION

Early cerebellar presentation is associated with unfavourable outcomes, while early brainstem presentation is associated with favourable prognosis. These presentations may be used as MS prognostic markers and guide therapeutic approach.

Modeling the impact of patient treatment preference on health outcomes in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis

Aims: Model how moving from current disease-modifying drug (DMD) prescribing patterns for relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) observed in the United Kingdom (UK) to prescribing patterns based on patient preferences would impact health outcomes over time.Materials and methods: A cohort-based Markov model was used to measure the effect of DMDs on long-term health outcomes for individuals with RRMS. Data from a discrete choice experiment were used to estimate the market shares of DMDs based on patient preferences (i.e. preference shares). These preference shares and real-world UK market shares were used to calculate the effect of prescribing behavior on relapses, disability progression, and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). The incremental benefit of patient-centered prescribing over current practices for the UK RRMS population was then estimated; scenario and sensitivity analyses were also conducted.Results: Compared to current prescribing practices, when UK patients with RRMS were treated following patient preferences, health outcomes were improved. This population was expected to experience 501,690 relapses and gain 1,003,263 discounted QALYs over 50 years under patient-centered prescribing practices compared to 538,417 relapses and 958,792 discounted QALYs under current practices (-6.8% and +4.6%, respectively). Additionally, less disability progression was observed when prescribed treatment was based on patient preferences. In a scenario analysis where only oral treatments were considered, the results were similar, although the magnitude of benefit was smaller. Number of relapses was most sensitive to how the annualized relapse rate was modeled; disability progression was most sensitive to mortality rate assumptions.Limitations: Treatment efficacy estimates applied to various models in this study were based on data derived from clinical trials, rather than real-world data; the impact of patient-centered prescribing on treatment adherence and/or switching was not modeled.Conclusions: The population of UK RRMS patients may experience overall health gains if patient preferences are better incorporated into prescribing practices.

Established and Emerging Immunological Complications of Biological Therapeutics in Multiple Sclerosis

Biologic immunotherapies have transformed the treatment landscape of multiple sclerosis. Such therapies include recombinant proteins (interferon beta), as well as monoclonal antibodies (natalizumab, alemtuzumab, daclizumab, rituximab and ocrelizumab). Monoclonal antibodies show particular efficacy in the treatment of the inflammatory phase of multiple sclerosis. However, the immunological perturbations caused by biologic therapies are associated with significant immunological adverse reactions. These include development of neutralising immunogenicity, secondary immunodeficiency and secondary autoimmunity. These complications can affect the balance of risks and benefits of biologic agents, and 2018 saw the withdrawal from the market of daclizumab, an anti-CD25 monoclonal antibody, due to concerns about the development of severe, unpredictable autoimmunity. Here we review established and emerging risks associated with multiple sclerosis biologic agents, with an emphasis on their immunological adverse effects. We also discuss the specific challenges that multiple sclerosis biologics pose to drug safety systems, and the potential for improvements in safety frameworks.

Clinical Outcomes of Escalation vs Early Intensive Disease-Modifying Therapy in Patients With Multiple Sclerosis

Importance

Uncertainty remains about how aggressively to treat early multiple sclerosis. High-efficacy disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) are often reserved for individuals expressing poor prognostic features at baseline.

Objective

To analyze long-term outcomes in a population-based cohort according to initial treatment strategy.

Design, Setting and Participants

In this cohort study, data were derived from January 1998 to December 2016, and analysis was performed in January 2017. From a total of 720 patients prescribed a DMT, 592 (82%) were included in analysis. Reasons for exclusion were first treated elsewhere or privately (n = 39), clinical trial participant (n = 25), and insufficient clinical data (n = 45).

Exposures

Patients were classified according to first-line treatment strategy: high-efficacy (early intensive treatment [EIT]) or moderate-efficacy DMT (escalation [ESC]).

Main Outcomes and Measures

Primary outcome was 5-year change in Expanded Disability Status Scale score. Secondary outcome was time to sustained accumulation of disability (SAD). Models were adjusted for sex, age at treatment, year of starting DMT, and escalation to high-efficacy treatment in the ESC group.

Results

Mean (SD) age of 592 patients at symptom onset was 27.0 (9.4) years. Mean (SD) 5-year change in Expanded Disability Status Scale score was lower in the EIT group than the ESC group (0.3 [1.5] vs 1.2 [1.5]); this remained significant after adjustment for relevant covariates (β = -0.85; 95% CI, -1.38 to -0.32; P = .002). Median (95% CI) time to SAD was 6.0 (3.17-9.16) years for EIT and 3.14 (2.77-4.00) years for ESC (P = .05). For those within the ESC group who escalated to high-efficacy DMT as second-line treatment, median (95% CI) time to SAD was 3.3 years (1.8-5.6; compared with EIT group log-rank test P = .08). After adjustment for relevant covariates, there was no difference in hazard of SAD between the groups. However, 60% of those who escalated to high-efficacy DMTs were observed to develop SAD while still receiving initial moderate-efficacy treatment before escalation.

Conclusions and Relevance

In a real-life setting, long-term outcomes were more favorable following early intensive therapy vs first-line moderate-efficacy DMT. Contemporary surveillance strategies and escalation protocols may be insufficiently responsive. This finding is particularly relevant as patients in real-world practice are typically selected for an EIT approach to therapy on the basis of clinical and radiological features predictive of a poor outcome. These data support the need for a prospective randomized clinical trial.

Glatiramer acetate as a clinically and cost-effective treatment of relapsing multiple sclerosis over 10 years of use within the National Health Service: Final results from the UK Risk Sharing Scheme

Background

The UK Risk Sharing Scheme (RSS) provided information on the effect of first-line multiple sclerosis (MS) disease-modifying treatments on long-term disability.

Objective

The aim is to provide results specific to glatiramer acetate (GA; Copaxone®) from the final 10-year analysis of the RSS.

Methods

A Markov model was used to assess clinical effectiveness measured as Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) progression and utility loss. Untreated patients from the British Columbia MS cohort (1980-1995) were used as a 'virtual comparator' group. A separate Markov model assessed cost-effectiveness, based on a 50-year time horizon (with a 50% treatment waning effect imposed at 10 years) and using NHS list price (£513.95 per 28 days). Results were expressed in quality-adjusted life years (QALYs).

Results

In total, 755 patients with relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) received GA, with a mean follow-up of 7.1 (standard deviation 1.3) years. EDSS progression was reduced by 23% (progression ratio 76.7, 95% confidence interval [CI] 69.0-84.3) and utility loss by 39% (progression ratio 61.0, 95% CI 52.7-69.3) compared with no treatment. There was no persistent waning in GA treatment effect over time (EDSS: p = 0.093; utilities: p = 0.119). The cost per QALY was £17,841.

Conclusion

GA had a beneficial effect on long-term disability and was a cost-effective treatment for RRMS.

The long-term effects of disease modifying therapies on disability in people living with multiple sclerosis: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Disease modifying therapies (DMT) are a common medication class for treating people living with MS. However, although treatment with DMT can extend over more than a decade, little is known about their long-term effects. Here, we systematically review long-term (≥4 years) studies on the effect of DMT on disability progression and relapse in people living with MS.

METHODS

We searched the EMBASE and Medline databases in January 2018, using search terms that included DMT and relevant outcome measures. Two authors screened all resulting studies and evaluated the risk of bias of included studies using the ROBINS-I tool for non-randomized studies. Where there was sufficient data, we performed meta-analyses using RevMan 5. Studies that could not be included in a meta-analysis were included in data synthesis.

RESULTS

Our search returned 7,766 unique articles for review. After screening, 18 articles were included. Follow-up in these studies ranged from a mean of 3.9 years to a median of 17.8 years. Fifteen (83.3%) of the included studies had a moderate risk of bias and three (16.7%) had a serious risk of bias. Meta-analysis showed that DMT significantly reduced the risk of EDSS 6.0 and SPMS compared to no treatment.

CONCLUSION

There is some evidence that long-term treatment with interferon beta reduces the risk of EDSS 6.0 and SPMS compared to no treatment or placebo. More work is needed on the effect of second generation DMT and the relative effect of DMT on health outcomes.

Cost-effectiveness of Cladribine Tablets and fingolimod in the treatment of relapsing multiple sclerosis with high disease activity in Spain

OBJECTIVE

To estimate the cost-effectiveness of Cladribine Tablets in the treatment of relapsing multiple sclerosis (RMS) with high disease activity compared with fingolimod, from the perspective of the National Health System (NHS) in Spain.

METHODS

A Markov model was developed. The annual transition probabilities, were adjusted to patients with RMS with high disease activity. The effect of the treatments compared on the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) was modeled by hazard ratios for the confirmed progression of disability. The annual relapse rate and the probability of suffering adverse reactions were obtained from a meta-analysis and the literature. The derived costs were calculated from Spanish unit costs. The utilities were obtained from the CLARITY clinical trial and the literature. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyzes were performed.

RESULTS

Cladribine tablets was the dominant treatment: lower costs (-86,536 €) and more effective (+1.11 quality-adjusted life years - QALYs) compared to fingolimod. The probability that Cladribine Tablets was cost-effective compared to fingolimod ranged between 94.6% and 96.1% for willingness to pay from € 20,000 to € 30,000 per QALY gained.

CONCLUSIONS

Cladribine Tablets is a cost-effective treatment, compared to fingolimod, for the treatment of RMS with high disease activity.

EXPERT OPINION

According to the present study, compared to fingolimod, treatment with Cladribine Tablets of relapsing multiple sclerosis with high disease activity is an option that could generate savings for the Spanish National Health System, with a considerable gain in QALYs. Cladribine Tablets is considered cost-effective and dominant (less costs and more effectiveness) than fingolimod treatment option in this population.

Observational designs in clinical multiple sclerosis research: Particulars, practices and potentialities

Observational studies investigate a wide range of topics in multiple sclerosis research. This paper presents an overview of the various observational designs and their applications in clinical studies. Observational studies are well suited for making discoveries and assessing new explanations of phenomena, but less so for establishing causal relationships, due to confounding by indication (selection bias), co-morbidity, socio-economic or other factors. Whether observational findings are demonstrative, indicative or only suggestive, depends on the research question, whether and how the design fits this question, analytical techniques, and the quality of data. Observational studies may be cross-sectional vs. longitudinal, and prospective vs. retrospective. The term 'retrograde' is proposed to explicate that cross-sectional studies may obtain data that cover (long) preceding periods. Case reports and case series are usually based on accidental observations or routinely collected data. Cross-sectional studies, by simultaneously assessing clinical phenomena and external factors, enable the discovery and quantification of associations. In ecological studies the unit of analysis is population or group, and relationships on patient level cannot be established. A cohort study is a longitudinal study that investigates patients with a defining characteristic, e.g. diagnosis or specific treatment, by analyzing data acquired at various intervals. Prospective cohort studies use (some) data that are not yet available at the time the research is conceived, whereas in retrospective studies the data already exist. In a case-control study a representative group of patients with a specific clinical feature is compared with controls, and the frequencies at which an external factor, e.g. infection, has occurred in each group is compared; in a nested case-control study controls are drawn from a fully known cohort. Randomized controlled trial (RCT)-extension studies are informative because, due to RCT randomization, they are free from confounding by indication. Patient or disease registries are organised systems for the long-term collection of uniform data on a population that is defined by a particular disease, condition or exposure, with the purpose to study changes over time. In pharmacotherapeutic research, accidental observations of unexpected beneficial effects may lead to further research into a drug's efficacy in other conditions. Uncontrolled phase 1 studies investigate safety and dosing aspects. Observational studies are alternatives to RCTs when these are not feasible for ethical or practical reasons. Phase 4 observational studies play a crucial role in the evaluation of the effectiveness of treatments in daily practice, the validation of RCT-based side effect profiles, and the discovery of late occurring or rare, potentially life-threatening side effects. Combinations of multidisciplinary longitudinal data bases into large data sets enable the development of algorithms for personalized treatments. To improve the reporting of observational findings on treatment effectiveness, it is proposed that abstracts define the research question(s) the study was meant to answer, study design and analytical methods, and identify and quantify the patient population, treatment of interest, relevant outcomes and the study's strengths and limitations. The development of guidelines for Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Effectiveness Research (STROBER), as an extension of the guidelines used in epidemiology, is wanted.

Cost-effectiveness of Teriflunomide Compared to Interferon Beta-1b for Relapsing Multiple Sclerosis Patients in China

Background and Objective

Teriflunomide is a once-daily oral immunomodulatory agent approved in 80 countries for the treatment of patients with relapsing multiple sclerosis (RMS). The study objective was to estimate the cost effectiveness of teriflunomide (14 mg tablet, daily) versus interferon beta-1b (250 mcg subcutaneous injection, every other day) among RMS patients from the Chinese healthcare system perspective.

Methods

A Markov model with annual cycles and a lifetime horizon was utilized to assess cost-effectiveness of teriflunomide in comparison with interferon beta-1b in RMS patients. Treatment effects, including 3-month confirmed disability worsening and annualized relapse rate, were derived from a network meta-analysis. Cost inputs included costs related to treatment acquisition, administration, monitoring, natural disease management through Expanded Disability Status Scale states, relapse treatment, and adverse event management. These costs were calculated as the product between unit costs from published sources and healthcare resource utilization patterns identified in a survey conducted among 11 neurologists across different areas in China. Health effects were expressed as quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) with costs in local currency (¥) and US dollars (US$), 2018.

Results

Teriflunomide dominated interferon beta-1b and was associated with lower total costs (teriflunomide ¥1,887,144 vs interferon beta-1b ¥2,061,393) and higher QALYs (teriflunomide 9.60 QALYs vs interferon beta-1b 8.88 QALYs). In probabilistic sensitivity analysis, teriflunomide was dominant in 62.2% of model runs.

Conclusion

Teriflunomide is a cost-effective therapy over a lifetime time horizon compared to interferon beta-1b in the treatment of RMS patients in China. Results should be interpreted with caution as head-to-head comparisons are not available.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1007/s40261-019-00750-3) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Global, regional, and national burden of multiple sclerosis 1990-2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016

BACKGROUND

Multiple sclerosis is the most common inflammatory neurological disease in young adults. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) provides a systematic method of quantifying various effects of a given condition by demographic variables and geography. In this systematic analysis, we quantified the global burden of multiple sclerosis and its relationship with country development level.

METHODS

We assessed the epidemiology of multiple sclerosis from 1990 to 2016. Epidemiological outcomes for multiple sclerosis were modelled with DisMod-MR version 2.1, a Bayesian meta-regression framework widely used in GBD epidemiological modelling. Assessment of multiple sclerosis as the cause of death was based on 13 110 site-years of vital registration data analysed in the GBD's cause of death ensemble modelling module, which is designed to choose the optimum combination of mathematical models and predictive covariates based on out-of-sample predictive validity testing. Data on prevalence and deaths are summarised in the indicator, disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), which was calculated as the sum of years of life lost (YLLs) and years of life lived with a disability. We used the Socio-demographic Index, a composite indicator of income per person, years of education, and fertility, to assess relations with development level.

FINDINGS

In 2016, there were 2 221 188 prevalent cases of multiple sclerosis (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 2 033 866-2 436 858) globally, which corresponded to a 10·4% (9·1 to 11·8) increase in the age-standardised prevalence since 1990. The highest age-standardised multiple sclerosis prevalence estimates per 100 000 population were in high-income North America (164·6, 95% UI, 153·2 to 177·1), western Europe (127·0, 115·4 to 139·6), and Australasia (91·1, 81·5 to 101·7), and the lowest were in eastern sub-Saharan Africa (3·3, 2·9-3·8), central sub-Saharan African (2·8, 2·4 to 3·1), and Oceania (2·0, 1·71 to 2·29). There were 18 932 deaths due to multiple sclerosis (95% UI 16 577 to 21 033) and 1 151 478 DALYs (968 605 to 1 345 776) due to multiple sclerosis in 2016. Globally, age-standardised death rates decreased significantly (change -11·5%, 95% UI -35·4 to -4·7), whereas the change in age-standardised DALYs was not significant (-4·2%, -16·4 to 0·8). YLLs due to premature death were greatest in the sixth decade of life (22·05, 95% UI 19·08 to 25·34). Changes in age-standardised DALYs assessed with the Socio-demographic Index between 1990 and 2016 were variable.

INTERPRETATION

Multiple sclerosis is not common but is a potentially severe cause of neurological disability throughout adult life. Prevalence has increased substantially in many regions since 1990. These findings will be useful for resource allocation and planning in health services. Many regions worldwide have few or no epidemiological data on multiple sclerosis, and more studies are needed to make more accurate estimates.

FUNDING

Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Cladribine Tablets for the First-Line Treatment of Relapsing-Remitting Multiple Sclerosis: An Evidence Review Group Perspective of a NICE Single Technology Appraisal

As part of the single technology appraisal process, the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence invited Merck to submit evidence for the clinical and cost effectiveness of cladribine tablets (cladribine) for the treatment of relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS). Rapidly evolving severe (RES) and sub-optimally treated (SOT) RRMS were specified by the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence as subgroups of interest. The Liverpool Reviews and Implementation Group at the University of Liverpool was the Evidence Review Group. This article summarises the Evidence Review Group's review of the company's evidence submission for cladribine and the Appraisal Committee's final decision. The final scope issued by the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence listed the following disease-modifying treatments as comparators: alemtuzumab, daclizumab, fingolimod and natalizumab. At the time of the company submission, a licence was anticipated for low-dose cladribine. The main clinical evidence (the CLARITY trial) in the company submission focused on the efficacy of low-dose cladribine vs. placebo. The CLARITY trial showed a statistically significant reduction in relapse rate for cladribine in the RES-RRMS subgroup (n = 50) but not in the SOT-RRMS subgroup (n = 19). Cladribine showed a numerical, but not a statistically significant, advantage in delaying disability progression at 6 months in the RES-RRMS subgroup. Disability progression benefits could not be estimated for those in the SOT-RRMS subgroup because of few events. The Evidence Review Group's main concern regarding the clinical evidence was the small sample size of the subgroups. To compare the effectiveness of cladribine to other disease-modifying treatments, the company conducted network meta-analyses, which showed cladribine and its comparators to be equally effective. The Evidence Review Group considered the results of the disease-modifying treatments to be unreliable because few trials were in the network. The company's cost-effectiveness evidence showed cladribine to be cheaper and more effective than other disease-modifying treatments in the RES-RRMS arm and the SOT-RRMS arm. The results were most sensitive to treatment effect on disability progression at 6 months. The Evidence Review Group was concerned that there was insufficient evidence to conclude that cladribine was superior to placebo in delaying disability progression. The Evidence Review Group amended the company's economic model to allow alternative estimates for the treatment effect of cladribine and its comparators on relapse rate and disability progression at 6 months. The Evidence Review Group made other changes to the company model. After implementing all the amendments, cladribine remained cost effective in the RES-RRMS and SOT-RRMS subgroups. The Appraisal Committee recognised the uncertainty in the available data but concluded that cladribine could be considered a cost-effective use of National Health Service resources.

Assessing the long-term effectiveness of interferon-beta and glatiramer acetate in multiple sclerosis: final 10-year results from the UK multiple sclerosis risk-sharing scheme

BACKGROUND

Because multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic disease causing disability over decades, it is crucial to know if the short-term effects of disease-modifying therapies reported in randomised controlled trials reduce long-term disability. This 10-year prospective observational study of disability outcomes (Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) and utility) was set up, in conjunction with a risk-sharing agreement between payers and producers, to investigate this issue.

METHODS

The outcomes of the UK treated patients were compared with a modelled untreated control based on the British Columbia MS data set to assess the long-term effectiveness of these treatments. Two complementary analysis models were used: a multilevel model (MLM) and a continuous Markov model.

RESULTS

4862 patients with MS were eligible for the primary analysis (mean and median follow-up times 8.7 and 10 years). EDSS worsening was reduced by 28% (MLM), 7% (Markov) and 24% time-adjusted Markov in the total cohort, and by 31% (MLM) and 14% (Markov) for relapsing remitting patients. The utility worsening was reduced by 23%-24% in the total cohort and by 24%-31% in the RR patients depending on the model used. All sensitivity analyses showed a treatment effect. There was a 4-year (CI 2.7 to 5.3) delay to EDSS 6.0. An apparent waning of treatment effect with time was seen. Subgroup analyses suggested better treatment effects in those treated earlier and with lower EDSS scores.

CONCLUSIONS

This study supports a beneficial effect on long-term disability with first-line MS disease-modifying treatments, which is clinically meaningful. However the waning effect noted requires further study.

Five-year outcome in the copaxone observatory: a nationwide cohort of patients with multiple sclerosis starting treatment with glatiramer acetate in France

The benefits provided by disease-modifying treatments in multiple sclerosis have been demonstrated in clinical trials, but the extent to which they can be extrapolated to everyday care is less clear, as are the long-term benefits of treatment. The objective of this prospective observational cohort study performed in France was to evaluate the effectiveness and safety of glatiramer acetate in patients with relapsing–remitting multiple sclerosis over a 5-year period. All neurologists in France were invited to participate and enroll adult patients starting a first treatment with brand glatiramer acetate 20 mg. Given the observational nature of the study, no fixed study visits were imposed; consultations took place according to the investigator’s normal practice. Occurrence of disease exacerbations and adverse events was documented and neurological disability evaluated with the EDSS at each consultation. Overall, 852 patients were analysable and 269 took glatiramer acetate continuously for 5 years. Median treatment duration was 3.4 years. Principal reasons for discontinuation were inadequate efficacy (38.9%), local tolerability (22.6%) and personal convenience (21.3%). Age, employment status, baseline EDSS score and number of previous exacerbations were variables associated with treatment persistence. The annualised exacerbation rate (5 years) was 0.41 [95% CI 0.39–0.44]; 316 patients (37.2%) remained exacerbation-free throughout. The risk of confirmed disability worsening (5 years) was 43.8% [95% CI 39.9–47.9%]. The most frequent adverse drug reactions were local injection site reactions (584 patients; 68.5%) and systemic immediate post-injection reactions (168 patients; 19.7%). Overall, these findings are consistent with those of previous clinical trials.

Cost-Effectiveness of Alemtuzumab in the Treatment of Relapsing Forms of Multiple Sclerosis in the United States

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of alemtuzumab compared with fingolimod, natalizumab, ocrelizumab, and generic glatiramer acetate 20 mg among patients with relapsing multiple sclerosis (RMS) in the United States.

STUDY DESIGN

Markov model with annual periods from payer perspective.

METHODS

The modeled population represented pooled patients from the CARE-MS I and II trials. Therapies' comparative efficacy at reducing relapses and slowing disability worsening was obtained from network meta-analyses. Safety information was extracted from package inserts. Withdrawal rates, treatment waning, resource use, cost, and utility inputs were derived from published studies and clinical expert opinion. To project the natural history of disease worsening, data from the British Columbia cohort was used.

RESULTS

Alemtuzumab dominated comparators by accumulating higher total quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) (8.977) and lower total costs ($421 996) compared with fingolimod (7.955; $1 085 814), natalizumab (8.456; $1 048 599), ocrelizumab (8.478; $908 365), and generic glatiramer acetate (7.845; $895 661) over a 20-year time horizon. Alemtuzumab's dominance was primarily driven by savings in treatment costs because alemtuzumab has long-term duration of response and is initially administered as 2 annual courses, with 36.1% of patients requiring retreatment over 5 years, whereas comparators are used chronically. In model scenarios where alemtuzumab's long-term duration of response was assumed not to hold and therapy had to be administered annually, probabilistic sensitivity analyses showed that alemtuzumab remained cost-effective versus ocrelizumab at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $100 000/QALY in 74% to 100% of model runs.

CONCLUSIONS

Alemtuzumab was a cost-effective therapy. Model results should be used to optimize clinical and managed care decisions for effective RMS treatment.

The Effect of Disease Modifying Therapies on Disability Progression in Multiple Sclerosis: A Systematic Overview of Meta-Analyses

Background: Disease modifying therapy (DMT) efficacy trials make an essential contribution to the development of evidence-based clinical treatments and practices for people with multiple sclerosis (MS). Meta-analysis is a critical part of this process and provides a powerful tool to assess the effects of DMT on MS progression. However, although there have been several meta-analyses on the effect of DMT on MS disease progression, they often do not reach the same conclusions.

Objective: Our aim was to better understand and contextualize the results of meta-analyses evaluating DMT, identify differences in methodology that might explain their differing conclusions, and highlight areas for future research that will improve our ability to develop clinical recommendations.

Methods: We conducted an overview of systematic reviews with meta-analyses assessing the efficacy of DMT on disability progression in people with MS in PubMed (Medline) and the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews.

Results: We included 22 meta-analyses in this overview: eight general (on >3 DMT), 11 specific (on ≤3 DMT), 2 that evaluated subsets, and 1 that evaluated long-term effects. We found that there is good evidence that DMT improve short-term (≤2–3 years) disability progression outcomes relative to placebo in people with relapsing-remitting MS. However, results varied substantially between meta-analyses, and there is little evidence of their efficacy in other populations or over longer periods. The relative effects of individual DMT also remain unclear. The variance in results between meta-analyses may be related to the substantial differences in inclusion criteria, which was reflected in the limited overlap in included studies, as well as the year of meta-analysis publication. Of the 123 total unique studies included in the general meta-analyses, 77 (62.6%) were included in only one meta-analysis. This incongruence was also evident in the included DMT. Six of the 16 (37.5%) DMT evaluated in the general meta-analyses were only included in one meta-analysis.

Conclusions: Translating DMT efficacy studies into evidence-based clinical practice requires greater methodological consistency in meta-analyses, more data on the relative effects of DMT through head-to-head clinical trials, and better reporting of adverse events.

Ozanimod for the treatment of relapsing remitting multiple sclerosis

INTRODUCTION

Ozanimod is a selective sphingosine 1-phosphate receptor 1 and 5 modulator under development by Celgene, for the treatment of relapsing remitting multiple sclerosis. Extensive clinical experience has become available for the related compound fingolimod, favoring the sphingosine 1-phosphate therapeutic concept. Off-target effects have been attributed to its low receptor specificity and have prompted the development of next generation sphingosine 1-phosphate receptor modulators. Areas covered: The authors evaluate the literature of ozanimod, using the PubMed database as well as repositories of the European Committee for Treatment and Research in Multiple Sclerosis and the American and European Academy of Neurology. Specifically, the authors cover and discuss the preclinical data on ozanimod, pharmacokinetics and dynamics, and data on efficacy and safety from the pivotal trials. Expert opinion: Superiority of ozanimod over intramuscular interferon β-1a with regard to reduction in annualized relapse rate and magnetic resonance imaging outcomes has been shown in two phase III trials. The beneficial effect on brain volume and gray matter loss are encouraging and in line with data on other newer immunomodulators. Ozanimod is a valuable contribution to the therapeutic armamentarium in MS, although the effect on disability progression is unclear and requires further investigations.

Early versus later treatment start in multiple sclerosis: a register-based cohort study

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

To assess long-term treatment effectiveness of disease-modifying therapy (DMT) initiated early in disease course versus later treatment start.

METHODS

We included all Danish patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) treated with DMT through two nationwide population-based MS registries. Patients were categorized as early treated if treatment started within 2 years after the first MS symptom (n = 2316) and later treated if treatment started between 2 and 8 years after clinical onset (n = 1479). We compared time from treatment start to progression to an Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score of 6 and mortality between cohorts as hazard ratio (HR) using a Cox proportional hazards model with adjustment for stabilized inverse probability of treatment weights. Several sensitivity analyses were conducted.

RESULTS

The median follow-up time of 3795 patients was 7.0 (range 0.6-19.5) years for the EDSS score of 6 outcome and 10.4 (range 1.2-20.1) years for the mortality outcome. Patients with later treatment start showed a 42% increased hazard rate of reaching an EDSS score of 6 compared with the early-treated patients [HR, 1.42; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.18-1.70; P < 0.001]. When stratified by sex, the increased hazard among later-treated women persisted (HR, 1.53; 95% CI, 1.22-1.93; P < 0.001), whereas the HR was lower in men (1.25; 95% CI, 0.93-1.69; P = 0.15). Mortality was increased by 38% in later starters (HR, 1.38; 95% CI, 0.96-1.99; P = 0.08).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients who started treatment with DMT later reached an EDSS score of 6 more quickly compared with patients who started early and the delay showed a tendency to shorten time to death. Our results support the use of early treatment.

Cost-effectiveness of cladribine tablets, alemtuzumab, and natalizumab in the treatment of relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis with high disease activity in England

AIMS

Cladribine tablets were the first oral short-course treatment approved for highly active relapsing multiple sclerosis (MS). The Association of British Neurologists guidelines currently recommend two infusion therapies, alemtuzumab and natalizumab, to treat high disease activity relapsing remitting MS (HDA-RRMS). This analysis assessed the cost-effectiveness of cladribine tablets in HDA-RRMS compared with alemtuzumab and natalizumab, from the perspective of the National Health Service (NHS) in England.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A cohort-based Markov model with 11 health states (10 Expanded Disability Status Scale [EDSS] plus death) was developed. Transition matrices from the British Columbia registry were used to model the natural history of EDSS. The treatment effect on EDSS was modelled using hazard ratios for 6-month confirmed disability progression from an indirect treatment comparison (ITC). Relapses and drug-related adverse events were modeled via annualized relapse rates and event probabilities, with associated costs and quality-adjusted life year (QALY) losses. Utilities were derived from trials and the literature, and costs from NHS and literature sources. Uncertainty was assessed via probabilistic and deterministic sensitivity analyses.

RESULTS

Cladribine tablets were dominant (i.e., less costly and more effective) vs alemtuzumab and natalizumab in pairwise comparisons, and the dominant strategy in fully incremental analyses. Incremental cost was driven largely by drug acquisition and administration costs, and incremental QALY gain largely by differences in delayed EDSS progression. Cladribine tablets had a 93% probability of being cost-effective at a threshold of GBP 30,000 per QALY gained, and remained dominant across the scenario analyses tested. The greatest influence on results was the treatment effect on disability progression derived from the ITC.

LIMITATIONS

Uncertainty over the efficacy of DMT beyond trial durations. In line with other comparative effectiveness analyses, the network meta-analysis informing this cost-effectiveness analysis was associated with a degree of uncertainty. No treatment switching analyses were undertaken.

CONCLUSIONS

Cladribine tablets are a cost-effective alternative to alemtuzumab and natalizumab in the treatment of HDA-RRMS from the perspective of the NHS in England.

Clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of beta-interferon and glatiramer acetate for treating multiple sclerosis: systematic review and economic evaluation

BACKGROUND

At the time of publication of the most recent National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) guidance [technology appraisal (TA) 32] in 2002 on beta-interferon (IFN-β) and glatiramer acetate (GA) for multiple sclerosis, there was insufficient evidence of their clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness.

OBJECTIVES

To undertake (1) systematic reviews of the clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of IFN-β and GA in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS), secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS) and clinically isolated syndrome (CIS) compared with best supportive care (BSC) and each other, investigating annualised relapse rate (ARR) and time to disability progression confirmed at 3 months and 6 months and (2) cost-effectiveness assessments of disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) for CIS and RRMS compared with BSC and each other.

REVIEW METHODS

Searches were undertaken in January and February 2016 in databases including The Cochrane Library, MEDLINE and the Science Citation Index. We limited some database searches to specific start dates based on previous, relevant systematic reviews. Two reviewers screened titles and abstracts with recourse to a third when needed. The Cochrane tool and the Consolidated Health Economic Evaluation Reporting Standards (CHEERS) and Philips checklists were used for appraisal. Narrative synthesis and, when possible, random-effects meta-analysis and network meta-analysis (NMA) were performed. Cost-effectiveness analysis used published literature, findings from the Department of Health's risk-sharing scheme (RSS) and expert opinion. A de novo economic model was built for CIS. The base case used updated RSS data, a NHS and Personal Social Services perspective, a 50-year time horizon, 2014/15 prices and a discount rate of 3.5%. Outcomes are reported as incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). We undertook probabilistic sensitivity analysis.

RESULTS

In total, 6420 publications were identified, of which 63 relating to 35 randomised controlled trials (RCTs) were included. In total, 86% had a high risk of bias. There was very little difference between drugs in reducing moderate or severe relapse rates in RRMS. All were beneficial compared with BSC, giving a pooled rate ratio of 0.65 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.56 to 0.76] for ARR and a hazard ratio of 0.70 (95% CI, 0.55 to 0.87) for time to disability progression confirmed at 3 months. NMA suggested that 20 mg of GA given subcutaneously had the highest probability of being the best at reducing ARR. Three separate cost-effectiveness searches identified > 2500 publications, with 26 included studies informing the narrative synthesis and model inputs. In the base case using a modified RSS the mean incremental cost was £31,900 for pooled DMTs compared with BSC and the mean incremental quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) were 0.943, giving an ICER of £33,800 per QALY gained for people with RRMS. In probabilistic sensitivity analysis the ICER was £34,000 per QALY gained. In sensitivity analysis, using the assessment group inputs gave an ICER of £12,800 per QALY gained for pooled DMTs compared with BSC. Pegylated IFN-β-1 (125 µg) was the most cost-effective option of the individual DMTs compared with BSC (ICER £7000 per QALY gained); GA (20 mg) was the most cost-effective treatment for CIS (ICER £16,500 per QALY gained).

LIMITATIONS

Although we built a de novo model for CIS that incorporated evidence from our systematic review of clinical effectiveness, our findings relied on a population diagnosed with CIS before implementation of the revised 2010 McDonald criteria.

CONCLUSIONS

DMTs were clinically effective for RRMS and CIS but cost-effective only for CIS. Both RCT evidence and RSS data are at high risk of bias. Research priorities include comparative studies with longer follow-up and systematic review and meta-synthesis of qualitative studies.

STUDY REGISTRATION

This study is registered as PROSPERO CRD42016043278.

FUNDING

The National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment programme.

Recent developments in interferon-based therapies for multiple sclerosis

INTRODUCTION

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic and disabling immune-mediated disease of the central nervous system. Beta-interferons are the first approved and still the most widely used first-line disease-modifying treatment in MS.

AREAS COVERED

Here we focus on recent developments in pharmacology and delivery systems of beta-interferons, and discuss their place within current state of the art therapeutic approaches. We briefly review the clinical trials for classical and PEGylated formulations, emphasizing effectiveness, safety concerns, and tolerability. The mechanisms of action of IFN-β in view of MS pathogenesis are also debated

EXPERT OPINION

Though only modestly efficient in reducing the annualized relapse rate, beta-interferons remain a valid first-line option due to their good long-term safety profile and cost-efficacy. Moreover, they are endogenous class II cytokines essential for mounting an effective antiviral response, and they may interact with putative MS triggering factors such as Epstein-Barr virus infection and human endogenous retroviruses. Recent improvements in formulations, delivery devices and drug regimens tackle the tolerability and adherence issues frequently seen with these drugs, and scientific advances may offer means for a better selection of patients. Although a well-established immunomodulatory treatment, beta-interferons have not said their last word in the management of MS.

New insights into the burden and costs of multiple sclerosis in Europe: Results for the United Kingdom

INTRODUCTION

In order to estimate the value of interventions in multiple sclerosis (MS) - where lifetime costs and outcomes cannot be observed - outcome data have to be combined with costs. This requires that cost data be regularly updated.

OBJECTIVES AND METHODS

This study is part of a cross-sectional retrospective study in 16 countries collecting data on resource consumption and work capacity, health-related quality of life (HRQoL) and prevalent symptoms for patients with MS. Descriptive analyses are presented by level of disability, from the societal perspective, in EUR (2015).

RESULTS

A total of 779 patients (mean age = 57 years) participated; 72% were below retirement age and of these, 36% were employed. Employment was related to disease severity, and MS affected productivity at work for 84% of patients. Overall, 96% and 72% of the patients experienced fatigue and cognition as a problem. Mean utility and annual costs were 0.735 and 11,400GBP at Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) = 0-3, 0.534 and 22,700GBP at EDSS = 4-6.5, and 0.135 and 36,500GBP at EDSS = 7-9. The mean cost of a relapse was estimated at 790GBP.

CONCLUSION

This study illustrates the burden of MS on UK patients and provides current data on MS that are important for development of health policies.

Modelling disease progression in relapsing-remitting onset multiple sclerosis using multilevel models applied to longitudinal data from two natural history cohorts and one treated cohort

BACKGROUND

The ability to better predict disease progression represents a major unmet need in multiple sclerosis (MS), and would help to inform therapeutic and management choices.

OBJECTIVES

To develop multilevel models using longitudinal data on disease progression in patients with relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) or secondary-progressive MS (SPMS); and to use these models to estimate the association of disease-modifying therapy (DMT) with progression.

DESIGN

Secondary analysis of three MS cohorts.

SETTING

Two natural history cohorts: University of Wales Multiple Sclerosis (UoWMS) cohort, UK, and British Columbia Multiple Sclerosis (BCMS) cohort, Canada. One observational DMT-treated cohort: UK MS risk-sharing scheme (RSS).

PARTICIPANTS

The UoWMS database has > 2000 MS patients and the BCMS database (as of 2009) has > 5900 MS patients. All participants who had definite MS (RRMS/SPMS), who reached the criteria set out by the Association of British Neurologists (ABN) for eligibility for DMT [i.e. age ≥ 18 years, Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score of ≤ 6.5, occurrence of two or more relapses in the previous 2 years] and who had at least two repeated outcome measures were included: 404 patients for the UoWMS cohort and 978 patients for the BCMS cohort. Through the UK MS RSS scheme, 5583 DMT-treated patients were recruited, with the analysis sample being the 4137 who had RRMS and were eligible and treated at baseline, with at least one valid EDSS score post baseline.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

EDSS score observations post ABN eligibility.

METHODS

We used multilevel models in the development cohort (UoWMS) to develop a model for EDSS score with time since ABN eligibility, allowing for covariates and appropriate transformation of outcome and/or time. These methods were then applied to the BCMS cohort to obtain a 'natural history' model for changes in the EDSS score with time. We then used this natural history model to predict the trajectories of EDSS score in treated patients in the UK MS RSS database. Differences between the progression predicted by the natural history model and the progression observed at 6 years' follow-up for the UK MS RSS cohort were used as indicators of the effectiveness of the DMTs. Previously developed utility scores were assigned to each EDSS score, and differences in utility also examined.

RESULTS

The model best fitting the UoWMS data showed a non-linear increase in EDSS score over time since ABN eligibility. This model fitted the BCMS cohort data well, with similar coefficients, and the BCMS model predicted EDSS score in UoWMS data with little evidence of bias. Using the natural history model predicts EDSS score in a treated cohort (UK MS RSS) higher than that observed [by 0.59 points (95% confidence interval 0.54 to 0.64 points)] at 6 years post treatment.

LIMITATIONS

Only two natural history cohorts were compared, limiting generalisability. The comparison of a treated cohort with untreated cohorts is observational, thus limiting conclusions about causality.

CONCLUSIONS

EDSS score progression in two natural history cohorts of MS patients showed a similar pattern. Progression in the natural history cohorts was slightly faster than EDSS score progression in the DMT-treated cohort, up to 6 years post treatment.

FUTURE WORK

Long-term follow-up of randomised controlled trials is needed to replicate these findings and examine duration of any treatment effect.

FUNDING DETAILS

The National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment programme.

The Assessment for Disinvestment of Intramuscular Interferon Beta for Relapsing-Remitting Multiple Sclerosis in Brazil

In Brazil, inclusion and exclusion of health technologies within the Unified Health System (SUS) is the responsibility of the National Committee for Health Technology Incorporation (CONITEC). A recent Cochrane systematic review demonstrated that intramuscular interferon beta 1a (IFN-β-1a-IM) was inferior to the other beta interferons (IFN-βs) for multiple sclerosis (MS). As a result, CONITEC commissioned an analysis to review possible disinvestment within SUS. The objective of this paper is to describe the disinvestment process for IFN-β-1a-IM in Brazil. The first assessment comprised a literature review and mixed treatment comparison meta-analysis. The outcome of interest was the proportion of relapse-free patients in 2 years. This analysis confirmed the inferiority of IFN-β-1a-IM. Following this, CONITEC recommended disinvestment, with the decision sent for public consultation. More than 3000 contributions were made on CONITEC's webpage, most of them against the preliminary decision. As a result, CONITEC commissioned a study to assess the effectiveness of IFN-β-1a-IM among Brazilian patients in routine clinical care. The second assessment involved an 11-year follow-up of a non-concurrent cohort of 12,154 MS patients developed by deterministic-probabilistic linkage of SUS administrative databases. The real-world assessment further demonstrated that IFN-β-1a-IM users had a statistically higher risk of treatment failure, defined as treatment switching or relapse treatment or death, with the assessment showing that IFN-β-1a-IM was inferior to the other IFN-βs and to glatiramer acetate in both direct and indirect analysis. In the drug ranking with 40,000 simulations, IFN-β-1a-IM was the worst option, with a success rate of only 152/40,000. Following this, CONITEC decided to exclude the intramuscular presentation of IFN-β from the current MS treatment guidelines, giving patients who are currently on this treatment the option of continuing until treatment failure. In conclusion, we believe this is the first example of this new disinvestment process in action, providing an exemplar for other treatments in Brazil as well as other countries.

Pregnancy Outcomes from the Branded Glatiramer Acetate Pregnancy Database

Background

Appropriate counseling and treatment for women with multiple sclerosis (MS) who may become pregnant requires an understanding of the effects of exposure to disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) during pregnancy. Current reports and studies are limited in their usefulness, mostly by small sample size. Branded glatiramer acetate (GA) is a DMT approved for the treatment of relapsing forms of MS. For more than 2 decades, it has been shown to be efficacious and to have a favorable safety profile. The Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd global pharmacovigilance database comprises data from more than 7000 pregnancies, during which women with MS were exposed to treatment with branded GA.

Methods

We analyzed data from Teva's global pharmacovigilance database. Pregnancy outcomes for patients treated with branded GA were compared with reference rates of abnormal pregnancy outcomes reported in two large registries representing the general population.

Results

Pregnancies exposed to branded GA were not at higher risk for congenital anomalies than what is expected in the general population.

Conclusions

These data provide evidence that branded GA exposure during pregnancy seems safe, without teratogenic effect.

Immunomodulation in multiple sclerosis: promises and pitfalls

Multiple sclerosis (MS) afflicts about 2.5 million people globally and poses a major personal and socioeconomic burden. The recognition of MS as an inflammatory disease, characterized by infiltration of immune cells into the central nervous system, has spurred research into the autoimmune etiology of the condition and has provided the rationale for its treatment through immunomodulation. Experience with immunotherapies in MS to date has suggested a disparity between the observed immune cell infiltration and the progressive loss of neurons. However, recent clinical efforts are providing new insights into progressive MS that once again place the immune system at center stage. This article reviews the main mechanisms of MS immunopathogenesis, and the benefits, risks and challenges of immunomodulatory treatments for the disease.

Multiple sclerosis, a treatable disease

This article reviews our current understanding and modern treatment of multiple sclerosis (MS). MS is a disabling condition resulting in devastating social and economic impacts. As MS can affect any part of the central nervous system, the presentation is often diverse; however, there are key features that can be useful in the clinic. We comment on the diagnostic criteria and review the main subtypes of MS, including clinically isolated syndrome, relapsing remitting MS, secondary progressive MS and primary progressive MS. Although the underlying aetiology of MS is still not known, we summarise those with most evidence of association. Finally, we aim to present treatment strategies for managing the acute relapse, disease-modifying therapies and MS symptoms. This review highlights that progressive MS is an area where there is currently a paucity of available disease-modifying treatments and this will be a major focus for future development.