Cognitive and psychopathological outcomes in acute disseminated encephalomyelitis

Individuals with acute disseminated encephalomyelitis (ADEM) can experience persistent cognitive deficits and psychopathology, which significantly interferes with daily functioning and quality of life. Here, we review the current literature to characterise the cognitive and psychological sequelae, suggest avenues for further research and discuss the implications for clinical practice. Research on this topic is largely limited to the paediatric population with a few case studies in the adult population. The current evidence demonstrates persistent cognitive deficits in attention and information processing speed, as well as elevated symptoms of depression and anxiety. Results are mixed for executive functions and memory, while language and visuospatial functions are relatively undisturbed. There is emerging evidence to suggest that individuals-particularly children-with ADEM experience persistent cognitive deficits and suffer from elevated symptoms of depression and anxiety. Comprehensive neuropsychological assessments are recommended to guide intervention and monitor progress. Further research is required to clarify our understanding of the cognitive and psychological outcomes following ADEM and the factors that influence them.

Associations between structural brain changes and blood neurofilament light chain protein in treatment-resistant schizophrenia

Background and Hypothesis

Around 30% of people with schizophrenia are refractory to antipsychotic treatment (treatment-resistant schizophrenia; TRS). While abnormal structural neuroimaging findings, in particular volume and thickness reductions, are often observed in schizophrenia, it is anticipated that biomarkers of neuronal injury like neurofilament light chain protein (NfL) can improve our understanding of the pathological basis underlying schizophrenia. The current study aimed to determine whether people with TRS demonstrate different associations between plasma NfL levels and regional cortical thickness reductions compared with controls.

Study Design

Measurements of plasma NfL and cortical thickness were obtained from 39 individuals with TRS, and 43 healthy controls. T1-weighted magnetic resonance imaging sequences were obtained and processed via FreeSurfer. General linear mixed models adjusting for age and weight were estimated to determine whether the interaction between diagnostic group and plasma NfL level predicted lower cortical thickness across frontotemporal structures and the insula.

Study Results

Significant (false discovery rate corrected) cortical thinning of the left ( p = 0.001, η 2p = 0.104) and right ( p < 0.001, η 2 = 0.167) insula was associated with higher levels of plasma NfL in TRS, but not in healthy controls.

Conclusions

The association between regional thickness reduction of the insula bilaterally and plasma NfL may reflect a neurodegenerative process during the course of TRS. The findings of the present study suggest that some level of cortical degeneration localised to the bilateral insula may exist in people with TRS, which is not observed in the normal population.

Plasma neurofilament light in behavioural variant frontotemporal dementia compared to mood and psychotic disorders

OBJECTIVE

Blood biomarkers of neuronal injury such as neurofilament light (NfL) show promise to improve diagnosis of neurodegenerative disorders and distinguish neurodegenerative from primary psychiatric disorders (PPD). This study investigated the diagnostic utility of plasma NfL to differentiate behavioural variant frontotemporal dementia (bvFTD, a neurodegenerative disorder commonly misdiagnosed initially as PPD), from PPD, and performance of large normative/reference data sets and models.

METHODS

Plasma NfL was analysed in major depressive disorder (MDD, n = 42), bipolar affective disorder (BPAD, n = 121), treatment-resistant schizophrenia (TRS, n = 82), bvFTD (n = 22), and compared to the reference cohort (Control Group 2, n = 1926, using GAMLSS modelling), and age-matched controls (Control Group 1, n = 96, using general linear models).

RESULTS

Large differences were seen between bvFTD (mean NfL 34.9 pg/mL) and all PPDs and controls (all < 11 pg/mL). NfL distinguished bvFTD from PPD with high accuracy, sensitivity (86%), and specificity (88%). GAMLSS models using reference Control Group 2 facilitated precision interpretation of individual levels, while performing equally to or outperforming models using local controls. Slightly higher NfL levels were found in BPAD, compared to controls and TRS.

CONCLUSIONS

This study adds further evidence on the diagnostic utility of NfL to distinguish bvFTD from PPD of high clinical relevance to a bvFTD differential diagnosis, and includes the largest cohort of BPAD to date. Using large reference cohorts, GAMLSS modelling and the interactive Internet-based application we developed, may have important implications for future research and clinical translation. Studies are underway investigating utility of plasma NfL in diverse neurodegenerative and primary psychiatric conditions in real-world clinical settings.

The risk of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis is geographically determined but modifiable

Geographical variations in the incidence and prevalence of multiple sclerosis have been reported globally. Latitude as a surrogate for exposure to ultraviolet radiation but also other lifestyle and environmental factors are regarded as drivers of this variation. No previous studies evaluated geographical variation in the risk of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis, an advanced form of multiple sclerosis that is characterized by steady accrual of irreversible disability. We evaluated differences in the risk of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis in relation to latitude and country of residence, modified by high-to-moderate efficacy immunotherapy in a geographically diverse cohort of patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis. The study included relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis patients from the global MSBase registry with at least one recorded assessment of disability. Secondary progressive multiple sclerosis was identified as per clinician diagnosis. Sensitivity analyses used the operationalized definition of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis and the Swedish decision tree algorithm. A proportional hazards model was used to estimate the cumulative risk of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis by country of residence (latitude), adjusted for sex, age at disease onset, time from onset to relapsing-remitting phase, disability (Multiple Sclerosis Severity Score) and relapse activity at study inclusion, national multiple sclerosis prevalence, government health expenditure, and proportion of time treated with high-to-moderate efficacy disease-modifying therapy. Geographical variation in time from relapsing-remitting phase to secondary progressive phase of multiple sclerosis was modelled through a proportional hazards model with spatially correlated frailties. We included 51 126 patients (72% female) from 27 countries. The median survival time from relapsing-remitting phase to secondary progressive multiple sclerosis among all patients was 39 (95% confidence interval: 37 to 43) years. Higher latitude [median hazard ratio = 1.21, 95% credible interval (1.16, 1.26)], higher national multiple sclerosis prevalence [1.07 (1.03, 1.11)], male sex [1.30 (1.22, 1.39)], older age at onset [1.35 (1.30, 1.39)], higher disability [2.40 (2.34, 2.47)] and frequent relapses [1.18 (1.15, 1.21)] at inclusion were associated with increased hazard of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis. Higher proportion of time on high-to-moderate efficacy therapy substantially reduced the hazard of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis [0.76 (0.73, 0.79)] and reduced the effect of latitude [interaction: 0.95 (0.92, 0.99)]. At the country-level, patients in Oman, Tunisia, Iran and Canada had higher risks of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis relative to the other studied regions. Higher latitude of residence is associated with a higher probability of developing secondary progressive multiple sclerosis. High-to-moderate efficacy immunotherapy can mitigate some of this geographically co-determined risk.

Phase II randomised placebo-controlled trial of sodium selenate as a disease-modifying treatment in chronic drug-resistant temporal lobe epilepsy: the SeLECT study protocol

INTRODUCTION

Epilepsy is one of the most common neurological conditions worldwide. Despite many antiseizure medications (ASMs) being available, up to one-third of patients do not achieve seizure control. Preclinical studies have shown treatment with sodium selenate to have a disease-modifying effect in a rat model of chronic temporal lobe epilepsy (TLE).

AIM

This randomised placebo-controlled trial aims to evaluate the antiseizure and disease-modifying effects of sodium selenate in people with drug-resistant TLE.

METHODS

This will be a randomised placebo-controlled trial of sodium selenate. One hundred and twenty-four adults with drug-resistant TLE and ≥4 countable seizures/month will be recruited. Outcomes of interest will be measured at baseline, week 26 and week 52 and include an 8-week seizure diary, 24-hour electroencephalogram and cognitive, neuropsychiatric and quality of life measures. Participants will then be randomised to receive a sustained release formulation of sodium selenate (initially 10 mg three times a day, increasing to 15 mg three times a day at week 4 if tolerated) or a matching placebo for 26 weeks.

OUTCOMES

The primary outcome will be a consumer codesigned epilepsy-Desirability of Outcome Rank (DOOR), combining change in seizure frequency, adverse events, quality of life and ASM burden measures into a single outcome measure, compared between treatment arms over the whole 52-week period. Secondary outcomes will compare baseline measures to week 26 (antiseizure) and week 52 (disease modification). Exploratory measures will include biomarkers of treatment response.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

The study has been approved by the lead site, Alfred Hospital Ethics Committee (594/20). Each participant will provide written informed consent prior to any trial procedures. The results of the study will be presented at national and international conferences, published in peer-reviewed journals and disseminated through consumer organisations.

CONCLUSION

This study will be the first disease-modification randomised controlled trial in patients with drug-resistant TLE.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

ANZCTR; ACTRN12623000446662.

An international survey of SEEG cortical stimulation practices

OBJECTIVE

Cortical stimulation is an important component of stereoelectroencephalography (SEEG). Despite this, there is currently no standardized approach and significant heterogeneity in the literature regarding cortical stimulation practices. Via an international survey of SEEG clinicians, we sought to examine the spectrum of cortical stimulation practices to reveal areas of consensus and variability.

METHODS

A 68-item questionnaire was developed to understand cortical stimulation practices including neurostimulation parameters, interpretation of epileptogenicity, functional and cognitive assessment and subsequent surgical decisions. Multiple recruitment pathways were pursued, with the questionnaire distributed directly to 183 clinicians.

RESULTS

Responses were received from 56 clinicians across 17 countries with experience ranging from 2 to 60 years (M = 10.73, SD = 9.44). Neurostimulation parameters varied considerably, with maximum current ranging from 3 to 10 mA (M = 5.33, SD = 2.29) for 1 Hz and from 2 to 15 mA (M = 6.54, SD = 3.68) for 50 Hz stimulation. Charge density ranged from 8 to 200 μC/cm2 , with up to 43% of responders utilizing charge densities higher than recommended upper safety limits, i.e. 55 μC/cm2 . North American responders reported statistically significant higher maximum current (P < 0.001) for 1 Hz stimulation and lower pulse width for 1 and 50 Hz stimulation (P = 0.008, P < 0.001, respectively) compared to European responders. All clinicians evaluated language, speech, and motor function during cortical stimulation; in contrast, 42% assessed visuospatial or visual function, 29% memory, and 13% executive function. Striking differences were reported in approaches to assessment, classification of positive sites, and surgical decisions guided by cortical stimulation. Patterns of consistency were observed for interpretation of the localizing capacity of stimulated electroclinical seizures and auras, with habitual electroclinical seizures induced by 1 Hz stimulation considered the most localizing.

SIGNIFICANCE

SEEG cortical stimulation practices differed vastly across clinicians internationally, highlighting the need for consensus-based clinical guidelines. In particular, an internationally standardized approach to assessment, classification, and functional prognostication will provide a common clinical and research framework for optimizing outcomes for people with drug-resistant epilepsy.

Comparative effectiveness in multiple sclerosis: A methodological comparison

BACKGROUND

In the absence of evidence from randomised controlled trials, observational data can be used to emulate clinical trials and guide clinical decisions. Observational studies are, however, susceptible to confounding and bias. Among the used techniques to reduce indication bias are propensity score matching and marginal structural models.

OBJECTIVE

To use the comparative effectiveness of fingolimod vs natalizumab to compare the results obtained with propensity score matching and marginal structural models.

METHODS

Patients with clinically isolated syndrome or relapsing remitting MS who were treated with either fingolimod or natalizumab were identified in the MSBase registry. Patients were propensity score matched, and inverse probability of treatment weighted at six monthly intervals, using the following variables: age, sex, disability, MS duration, MS course, prior relapses, and prior therapies. Studied outcomes were cumulative hazard of relapse, disability accumulation, and disability improvement.

RESULTS

4608 patients (1659 natalizumab, 2949 fingolimod) fulfilled inclusion criteria, and were propensity score matched or repeatedly reweighed with marginal structural models. Natalizumab treatment was associated with a lower probability of relapse (PS matching: HR 0.67 [95% CI 0.62-0.80]; marginal structural model: 0.71 [0.62-0.80]), and higher probability of disability improvement (PS matching: 1.21 [1.02 -1.43]; marginal structural model 1.43 1.19 -1.72]). There was no evidence of a difference in the magnitude of effect between the two methods.

CONCLUSIONS

The relative effectiveness of two therapies can be efficiently compared by either marginal structural models or propensity score matching when applied in clearly defined clinical contexts and in sufficiently powered cohorts.

Modelling accessibility of adult neurology care in Australia, 2020-2034

Introduction

In 2015/2016, annual national expenditure on neurological conditions exceeded $A3 billion. However, a comprehensive study of the Australian neurological workforce and supply/demand dynamics has not previously been undertaken.

Methods

Current neurological workforce was defined using neurologist survey and other sources. Workforce supply modelling used ordinary differential equations to simulate neurologist influx and attrition. Demand for neurology care was estimated by reference to literature regarding incidence and prevalence of selected conditions. Differences in supply versus demand for neurological workforce were calculated. Potential interventions to increase workforce were simulated and effects on supply versus demand estimated.

Results

Modelling of the workforce from 2020 to 2034 predicted an increase in neurologist number from 620 to 89. We estimated a 2034 capacity of 638 024 Initial and 1 269 112 Review encounters annually, and deficits against demand estimated as 197 137 and 881 755, respectively. These deficits were proportionately greater in regional Australia, which has 31% of Australia's population (Australian Bureau of Statistics) but is served by only 4.1% of its neurologists as determined by our 2020 survey of Australia and New Zealand Association of Neurologists members. Nationally, simulated additions to the neurology workforce had some effect on the review encounter supply deficit (37.4%), but in Regional Australia, this impact was only 17.2%.

Interpretation

Modelling of the neurologist workforce in Australia for 2020-2034 demonstrates a significant shortfall of supply relative to current and projected demand. Interventions to increase neurologist workforce may attenuate this shortfall but will not eliminate it. Thus, additional interventions are needed, including improved efficiency and additional use of support staff.

Disease Reactivation After Cessation of Disease-Modifying Therapy in Patients With Relapsing-Remitting Multiple Sclerosis

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the rate of return of disease activity after cessation of multiple sclerosis (MS) disease-modifying therapy.

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study from two large observational MS registries: MSBase and OFSEP. Patients with relapsing-remitting MS who had ceased a disease-modifying therapy and were followed up for the subsequent 12-months were included in the analysis. The primary study outcome was annualised relapse rate in the 12 months after disease-modifying therapy discontinuation stratified by patients who did, and did not, commence a subsequent therapy. The secondary endpoint was the predictors of first relapse and disability accumulation after treatment discontinuation.

RESULTS

14,213 patients, with 18,029 eligible treatment discontinuation epochs, were identified for seven therapies. Annualised rates of relapse (ARR) started to increase 2-months after natalizumab cessation (month 2-4 ARR, 95% confidence interval): 0.47, 0.43-0.51). Commencement of a subsequent therapy within 2-4 months reduced the magnitude of disease reactivation (mean ARR difference: 0.15, 0.08-0.22). After discontinuation of fingolimod, rates of relapse increased overall (month 1-2 ARR: 0.80, 0.70-0.89), and stabilised faster in patients who started a new therapy within 1-2 months (mean ARR difference: 0.14, -0.01-0.29). Magnitude of disease reactivation for other therapies was low, but reduced further by commencement of another treatment 1-10 months after treatment discontinuation. Predictors of relapse were higher relapse rate in the year before cessation, female sex, younger age and higher EDSS. Commencement of a subsequent therapy reduced both the risk of relapse (HR 0.76, 95%CI 0.72-0.81) and disability accumulation (0.73, 0.65-0.80).

CONCLUSION

The rate of disease reactivation after treatment cessation differs among MS treatments, with the peaks of relapse activity ranging from 1 to 10 months in untreated cohorts that discontinued different therapies. These results suggest that untreated intervals should be minimised after stopping anti-trafficking therapies (natalizumab and fingolimod).

CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE

This study provides class III that disease reactivation occurs within months of discontinuation of multiple sclerosis disease-modifying therapies. Risk of disease activity is reduced by commencement of a subsequent therapy.

Measuring posttraumatic stress disorder following childbirth

PURPOSE

This study aims to assess the reliability and construct validity of the City Birth Trauma Scale (BiTS) in Oceania and confirm the latent factor structure of postpartum posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD).

METHODS

Participants completed the City BiTS, demographic and obstetric information via an online survey. Psychometric properties of the City BiTS were investigated using confirmatory factor analyses (CFA).

RESULTS

The study included 195 women, with 39 participating in repeat administration. CFA confirmed a two-factor model which included a birth-related symptom (BRS) subscale and general symptom (GS) subscale. High reliability and construct validity was observed for subscales and total score at baseline and follow-up.

CONCLUSION

The City BiTS represents a potentially useful tool to assist with screening for postpartum PTSD.

Event-based modeling in temporal lobe epilepsy demonstrates progressive atrophy from cross-sectional data

OBJECTIVE

Recent work has shown that people with common epilepsies have characteristic patterns of cortical thinning, and that these changes may be progressive over time. Leveraging a large multicenter cross-sectional cohort, we investigated whether regional morphometric changes occur in a sequential manner, and whether these changes in people with mesial temporal lobe epilepsy and hippocampal sclerosis (MTLE-HS) correlate with clinical features.

METHODS

We extracted regional measures of cortical thickness, surface area, and subcortical brain volumes from T1-weighted (T1W) magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scans collected by the ENIGMA-Epilepsy consortium, comprising 804 people with MTLE-HS and 1625 healthy controls from 25 centers. Features with a moderate case-control effect size (Cohen d ≥ .5) were used to train an event-based model (EBM), which estimates a sequence of disease-specific biomarker changes from cross-sectional data and assigns a biomarker-based fine-grained disease stage to individual patients. We tested for associations between EBM disease stage and duration of epilepsy, age at onset, and antiseizure medicine (ASM) resistance.

RESULTS

In MTLE-HS, decrease in ipsilateral hippocampal volume along with increased asymmetry in hippocampal volume was followed by reduced thickness in neocortical regions, reduction in ipsilateral thalamus volume, and finally, increase in ipsilateral lateral ventricle volume. EBM stage was correlated with duration of illness (Spearman ρ = .293, p = 7.03 × 10-16 ), age at onset (ρ = -.18, p = 9.82 × 10-7 ), and ASM resistance (area under the curve = .59, p = .043, Mann-Whitney U test). However, associations were driven by cases assigned to EBM Stage 0, which represents MTLE-HS with mild or nondetectable abnormality on T1W MRI.

SIGNIFICANCE

From cross-sectional MRI, we reconstructed a disease progression model that highlights a sequence of MRI changes that aligns with previous longitudinal studies. This model could be used to stage MTLE-HS subjects in other cohorts and help establish connections between imaging-based progression staging and clinical features.

Confirmed disability progression as a marker of permanent disability in multiple sclerosis

Background and purpose

The prevention of disability over the long term is the main treatment goal in multiple sclerosis (MS); however, randomized clinical trials evaluate only short‐term treatment effects on disability. This study aimed to define criteria for 6‐month confirmed disability progression events of MS with a high probability of resulting in sustained long‐term disability worsening.

Methods

In total, 14,802 6‐month confirmed disability progression events were identified in 8741 patients from the global MSBase registry. For each 6‐month confirmed progression event (13,321 in the development and 1481 in the validation cohort), a sustained progression score was calculated based on the demographic and clinical characteristics at the time of progression that were predictive of long‐term disability worsening. The score was externally validated in the Cladribine Tablets Treating Multiple Sclerosis Orally (CLARITY) trial.

Results

The score was based on age, sex, MS phenotype, relapse activity, disability score and its change from baseline, number of affected functional system domains and worsening in six of the domains. In the internal validation cohort, a 61% lower chance of improvement was estimated with each unit increase in the score (hazard ratio 0.39, 95% confidence interval 0.29–0.52; discriminatory index 0.89). The proportions of progression events sustained at 5 years stratified by the score were 1: 72%; 2: 88%; 3: 94%; 4: 100%. The results of the CLARITY trial were confirmed for reduction of disability progression that was >88% likely to be sustained (events with score ˃1.5).

Conclusions

Clinicodemographic characteristics of 6‐month confirmed disability progression events identify those at high risk of sustained long‐term disability. This knowledge will allow future trials to better assess the effect of therapy on long‐term disability accrual.

Association of Latitude and Exposure to Ultraviolet B Radiation With Severity of Multiple Sclerosis: An International Registry Study

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

The severity of multiple sclerosis (MS) varies widely among individuals. Understanding the determinants of this heterogeneity will help clinicians optimize the management of MS. The aim of this study was to investigate the association between latitude of residence, ultraviolet B radiation exposure (UVB) and the severity of MS.

METHODS

This observational study used the MSBase registry data. The included patients met the 2005 or 2010 McDonald diagnostic criteria for MS and had a minimum dataset recorded in the registry (date of birth, sex, clinic location, date of MS symptom onset, disease phenotype at baseline and censoring, and ≥1 EDSS [Expanded Disability Status Scale] score recorded). The latitude of each study center and cumulative annualized UVB dose at study center (calculated from NASA's Total Ozone Mapping Spectrometer) at ages 6 and 18 and the year of disability assessment were calculated. Disease severity was quantified with MS Severity Score (MSSS). Quadratic regression was used to model the associations between latitude, UVB and MSSS.

RESULTS

46,128 patients contributing 453,208 visits and a cumulative follow-up of 351,196 patient-years (70% women, mean age 39.2±12, resident between latitudes 19°35´ and 56°16´) were included in this study. Latitude showed a non-linear association with MS severity. In latitudes greater than 40°, more severe disease was associated with higher latitudes (β=0.08, 95%CI: 0.04 to 0.12). For example, this translates into a mean difference of 1.3 points of MSSS between patients living in Madrid and Copenhagen. No such association was observed in latitudes <40° (β=-0.02, 95% CI:-0.06 to 0.03). The overall disability accrual was faster in those with a lower level of estimated UVB exposure before the age of 6 (β=- 0.5, 95% CI: -0.6 to 0.4) and 18 years (β=- 0.6, 95%CI:-0.7 to 0.4), as well as with lower life-time UVB exposure at the time of disability assessment (β=-1.0, 95%CI:-1.1 to 0.9).

DISCUSSION

In temperate zones, MS severity is associated with latitude. This association is mainly, but not exclusively, driven by UVB exposure contributing to both MS susceptibility and severity.

[What follow-up after pediatric cancer ? The SALTO consultation experience]

During the past 50 years, the mortality due to childhood cancers decreased dramatically thanks to improvements in supportive care and the use of multimodal approaches. In this context, the long-term follow up after childhood cancer has become a main concern for pediatric oncologists. The SALTO programme was developed in 2012 at the CHR Citadelle in Liège in order to organize a multidisciplinary long-term follow-up for the patients previously treated in our department for a childhood cancer. The aim of the present study was to review, for the most frequent childhood cancers, the long-term sequellae and the second cancers developed by the patients participating to the SALTO programme in order to define the follow-up needed. Our data confirm the importance of a multidisciplinary long-term follow-up, based on the treatments received and following international guidelines.

Evolution of Brain Volume Loss Rates in Early Stages of Multiple Sclerosis

Objective

To describe the dynamics of brain volume loss (BVL) at different stages of relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS), to describe the association between BVL and clinical measures, and to investigate an effect of treatment escalation on the rate of BVL.

Methods

Together, 1903 patients predominantly with RRMS from the Avonex-Steroids-Azathioprine cohort (N = 166), the study of early IFN-β1a treatment cohort (N = 180), and the quantitative MRI cohort (N = 1,557) with ≥2 MRI scans and ≥1-year of follow-up were included. Brain MRI scans (N = 7,203) were performed using a single 1.5-T machine. Relationships between age or disease duration and global and tissue-specific BVL rates were analyzed using mixed models.

Results

Age was not associated with the rate of BVL (β = −0.003; Cohen f2 = 0.0005; adjusted p = 0.39). Although disease duration was associated with the rate of BVL, its effect on the BVL rate was minimal (β = −0.012; Cohen f2 = 0.004; adjusted p = 4 × 10⁻⁵). Analysis of association between tissue-specific brain volume changes and age (β = −0.019 to −0.011; adjusted p = 0.028–1.00) or disease duration (β = −0.028 to −0.008; adjusted p = 0.16–0.96) confirmed these results. Although increase in the relapse rate (β = 0.10; adjusted p = 9 × 10⁻⁹), Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS; β = 0.17; adjusted p = 8 × 10⁻⁵), and EDSS change (β = 0.15; adjusted p = 2 × 10⁻⁵) were associated with accelerated rate of BVL, their effect on the rate of BVL was minimal (all Cohen f2 ≤ 0.007). In 94 patients who escalated therapy, the rate of BVL decreased following treatment escalation by 0.29% (β = −0.29; Cohen f2 = 0.133; p = 5.5 × 10⁻⁸).

Conclusions

The rate of BVL is relatively stable throughout the course of RRMS. The accelerated BVL is weakly associated with concurrent higher disease activity, and timely escalation to high-efficacy immunotherapy helps decrease the rate of BVL.

Treatment Response Score to Glatiramer Acetate or Interferon Beta-1a

OBJECTIVE

To compare the effectiveness of glatiramer acetate (GA) vs intramuscular interferon beta-1a (IFN-β-1a), we applied a previously published statistical method aimed at identifying patients' profiles associated with efficacy of treatments.

METHODS

Data from 2 independent multiple sclerosis datasets, a randomized study (the Combination Therapy in Patients With Relapsing-Remitting Multiple Sclerosis [CombiRx] trial, evaluating GA vs IFN-β-1a) and an observational cohort extracted from MSBase, were used to build and validate a treatment response score, regressing annualized relapse rates (ARRs) on a set of baseline predictors.

RESULTS

The overall ARR ratio of GA to IFN-β-1a in the CombiRx trial was 0.72. The response score (made up of a linear combination of age, sex, relapses in the previous year, disease duration, and Expanded Disability Status Scale score) detected differential response of GA vs IFN-β-1a: in the trial, patients with the largest benefit from GA vs IFN-β-1a (lower score quartile) had an ARR ratio of 0.40 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.25-0.63), those in the 2 middle quartiles of 0.90 (95% CI 0.61-1.34), and those in the upper quartile of 1.14 (95% CI 0.59-2.18) (heterogeneity p = 0.012); this result was validated on MSBase, with the corresponding ARR ratios of 0.58 (95% CI 0.46-0.72), 0.92 (95% CI 0.77-1.09,) and 1.29 (95% CI 0.97-1.71); heterogeneity p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

We demonstrate the possibility of a criterion, based on patients' characteristics, to choose whether to treat with GA or IFN-β-1a. This result, replicated on an independent real-life cohort, may have implications for clinical decisions in everyday clinical practice.

Effect of Disease-Modifying Therapy on Disability in Relapsing-Remitting Multiple Sclerosis Over 15 Years

OBJECTIVE

To test the hypothesis that immunotherapy prevents long-term disability in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (MS), we modeled disability outcomes in 14,717 patients.

METHODS

We studied patients from MSBase followed for ≥1 year, with ≥3 visits, ≥1 visit per year, and exposed to MS therapy, and a subset of patients with ≥15-year follow-up. Marginal structural models were used to compare the cumulative hazards of 12-month confirmed increase and decrease in disability, Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) step 6, and the incidence of relapses between treated and untreated periods. Marginal structural models were continuously readjusted for patient age, sex, pregnancy, date, disease course, time from first symptom, prior relapse history, disability, and MRI activity.

RESULTS

A total of 14,717 patients were studied. During the treated periods, patients were less likely to experience relapses (hazard ratio 0.60, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.43-0.82, p = 0.0016), worsening of disability (0.56, 0.38-0.82, p = 0.0026), and progress to EDSS step 6 (0.33, 0.19-0.59, p = 0.00019). Among 1,085 patients with ≥15-year follow-up, the treated patients were less likely to experience relapses (0.59, 0.50-0.70, p = 10^-9) and worsening of disability (0.81, 0.67-0.99, p = 0.043).

CONCLUSION

Continued treatment with MS immunotherapies reduces disability accrual by 19%-44% (95% CI 1%-62%), the risk of need of a walking aid by 67% (95% CI 41%-81%), and the frequency of relapses by 40-41% (95% CI 18%-57%) over 15 years. This study provides evidence that disease-modifying therapies are effective in improving disability outcomes in relapsing-remitting MS over the long term.

CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE

This study provides Class IV evidence that, for patients with relapsing-remitting MS, long-term exposure to immunotherapy prevents neurologic disability.

Correction to: Serum microRNA is a biomarker for post-operative monitoring in glioma

For the reference citation '[57]' in the second paragraph of the Results section of the original article there was no corresponding entry in the References section. It should have referred to the below mentioned article by Ebrahimkhani et al. (2018).

Disability outcomes of early cerebellar and brainstem symptoms in multiple sclerosis

BACKGROUND

Cerebellar and brainstem symptoms are common in early stages of multiple sclerosis (MS) yet their prognostic values remain unclear.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to investigate long-term disability outcomes in patients with early cerebellar and brainstem symptoms.

METHODS

This study used data from MSBase registry. Patients with early cerebellar/brainstem presentations were identified as those with cerebellar/brainstem relapse(s) or functional system score ⩾ 2 in the initial 2 years. Early pyramidal presentation was chosen as a comparator. Andersen-Gill models were used to compare cumulative hazards of (1) disability progression events and (2) relapses between patients with and without early cerebellar/brainstem symptoms. Mixed effect models were used to estimate the associations between early cerebellar/brainstem presentations and expanded disability status scale (EDSS) scores.

RESULTS

The study cohort consisted of 10,513 eligible patients, including 2723 and 3915 patients with early cerebellar and brainstem symptoms, respectively. Early cerebellar presentation was associated with greater hazard of progression events (HR = 1.37, p < 0.001) and EDSS (β = 0.16, p < 0.001). Patients with early brainstem symptoms had lower hazard of progression events (HR = 0.89, p = 0.01) and EDSS (β = -0.06, p < 0.001). Neither presentation was associated with changes in relapse risk.

CONCLUSION

Early cerebellar presentation is associated with unfavourable outcomes, while early brainstem presentation is associated with favourable prognosis. These presentations may be used as MS prognostic markers and guide therapeutic approach.

Psychometric properties of the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale in an inpatient video-monitoring epilepsy cohort

BACKGROUND

People with epilepsy (PWE) have high rates of comorbid anxiety disorders and depressive disorders, from 25% in general population cohorts to rates of 55% in people with treatment resistant epilepsy. High rates are also seen in patients with psychogenic nonepileptic seizures (PNES). Depressive disorders and anxiety disorders in PWE are associated with decreased quality of life measures and are the strongest risk factors for increased suicidality, rates of which are markedly elevated in PWE, at 12%, compared to the general Australian population (1.8%). The Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS) is one of the more commonly used screening tools in medical populations. Past studies of the HADS in general outpatient populations with epilepsy have demonstrated promising validity for detecting depression.

OBJECTIVES

The following were the objectives of the study: 1. To examine the validity of HADS in detecting depressive disorders and anxiety disorders in an inpatient population of patients admitted for video monitoring. 2. To investigate the measurement structure of the HADS across the diagnosis groups of epilepsy subtypes and PNES.

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study of 485 patients admitted to a tertiary epilepsy video electroencephalography (EEG) monitoring unit. All patients received clinical neurological, neuropsychiatric, and neuroimaging assessments to arrive at consensus epilepsy and psychiatric diagnoses. Clinical psychiatric diagnosis of depressive disorders and anxiety disorders, based on the assessment of a neuropsychiatrist, were compared to accepted HADS cutoff scores for these conditions.

FINDINGS

Of the 485 patients, 229 patients were with epilepsy, 28 had both epilepsy and PNES, and 121 had PNES. In 107 cases, no definite diagnosis could be made. At a cutoff score of 7 HADS was able to significantly classify patients with depression (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.79, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.72-0.82) with a sensitivity of 70% and a specificity of 83%. A similar result was observed for anxiety disorders; a cutoff score of 7 (AUC = 0.75, 95% CI = 0.72-0.81) was able to significantly classify anxiety disorders in patients with a sensitivity of 88% and specificity of 54%.

CONCLUSIONS

This study has found that HADS measures two separate, yet correlated, constructs of anxiety disorders and depressive disorders. Our results indicate that while the HADS is sensitive to distress in this population, relatively low cutoff scores would be required to achieve highly sensitive screening. This sample includes patients with a diagnosis of epilepsy and/or PNES, and thus, the findings have clinical applicability to screening in tertiary epilepsy video-EEG monitoring units where both these conditions frequently co-occur.

002 Therapeutic lag in relapsing multiple sclerosis

Introduction

In multiple sclerosis (MS), treatment start or switch is prompted disease activity, often represented by relapses. Immunomodulatory therapies have potent effects on relapse rates but the time required to attain maximal effect is unclear. We aim to develop a method that allows identification of the time to full clinically manifest effect of treatment on relapses.

Methods

Data from MSBase, a multinational MS registry, were used. Inclusion criteria consisted of patients with remitting relapsing MS or clinically isolated syndrome (CIS), minimum 3-year pre-treatment follow up, 1-year treatment persistence, yearly review and availability of the minimum dataset. Stratified by therapy, density curves representing relapses occurrence were created. The first local minimum of the first derivative after treatment start was identified, representing stabilisation of treatment effect. Similar method was utilised to calculate the last pre-treatment point of stabilisation. Annualised relapse rates (ARR) were compared in the pre-treatment pre stabilisation and post-treatment post stabilisation periods.

Results

4979 eligible patients with 6218 treatment epochs were identified for analysis. Time, in years, to treatment effect was shortest for interferon beta-1a sc (0.22, 0.19–0.22), interferon beta-1b (0.24, 0.21–0.24) and fingolimod (0.26, 0.23–0.26) and longest for dimethyl fumarate (0.54, 0.51–0.54) and glatiramer acetate (0.62, 0.60–0.62). Significant differences in pre vs post treatment ARR were present for patients on natalizumab, fingolimod and dimethyl fumarate. A sequential analysis confirmed outcome stability after approximately 1000 recorded number of events.

Conclusions

We have developed a method to objectively quantify time from commencing therapy to its full effect. Time to full effect varies among therapies.

Abstract T P75: Vertex Analysis Demonstrates Significant Changes in Contralesional Thalamus 3 Months After Ischemic Stroke

Objective: Changes in remote brain structures after stroke may correlate with functional outcomes. We sought to investigate contralesional subcortical structural change after stroke.

Methods: 15 patients with carotid territory ischemic stroke underwent 3T MRI within 7 days of onset and at 3 months. Imaging involved a 1mm T1 axial MPRAGE. In 6 patients with left hemispheric stroke, scans were inverted across the midline to allow group comparison. FIRST (Part of FSL) was used to segment subcortical structures including thalamus, pallidum, caudate, putamen, hippocampus, accumbens and brainstem. Analysis was restricted to the non-stroke hemisphere due to the confounding effect of stroke lesions and edema in the lesional hemisphere. Change in volume was assessed as percentage change between the time points. A vertex analysis was performed in order to also identify areas of significant surface atrophy. Briefly, a surface mesh is created for each structure at each time point. Vertex wise statistical analysis then allows for the identifications of areas of significant surface atrophy between baseline and follow-up within the group.

Results: Mean age was 71y. Median baseline NIHSS was 9. Vertex analysis demonstrated atrophy over the superior and inferior surface of the contralesional thalamus between baseline and 3 months (figure, p<0.05 multiple comparisons corrected). The median overall change in contralesional thalamic volume was -0.96% (IQR -0.11 - -1.98%), but this difference was not statistically significant (p=0.1). No statistically significant changes in other subcortical structures were found.

Contralesional thalamus (blue) superior (A) and inferior (B) views with areas of significant atrophy (red)

Conclusions: We have described post stroke surface changes in the contralesional thalamus. This may be a result of deafferentation occurring during the recovery phase. An analysis in a larger number of patients may allow correlation with clinical endpoints.