1
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Matte T, Lane K, Tipaldo JF, Barnes J, Knowlton K, Torem E, Anand G, Yoon L, Marcotullio P, Balk D, Constible J, Elszasz H, Ito K, Jessel S, Limaye V, Parks R, Rutigliano M, Sorenson C, Yuan A. NPCC4: Climate change and New York City's health risk. Ann N Y Acad Sci 2024. [PMID: 38922909 DOI: 10.1111/nyas.15115] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/18/2023] [Revised: 01/31/2024] [Accepted: 02/06/2024] [Indexed: 06/28/2024]
Abstract
This chapter of the New York City Panel on Climate Change 4 (NPCC4) report considers climate health risks, vulnerabilities, and resilience strategies in New York City's unique urban context. It updates evidence since the last health assessment in 2015 as part of NPCC2 and addresses climate health risks and vulnerabilities that have emerged as especially salient to NYC since 2015. Climate health risks from heat and flooding are emphasized. In addition, other climate-sensitive exposures harmful to human health are considered, including outdoor and indoor air pollution, including aeroallergens; insect vectors of human illness; waterborne infectious and chemical contaminants; and compounding of climate health risks with other public health emergencies, such as the COVID-19 pandemic. Evidence-informed strategies for reducing future climate risks to health are considered.
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Affiliation(s)
- Thomas Matte
- Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, New York, USA
| | - Kathryn Lane
- New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene, New York, New York, USA
| | - Jenna F Tipaldo
- CUNY Graduate School of Public Health and Health Policy and CUNY Institute for Demographic Research, New York, New York, USA
| | - Janice Barnes
- Climate Adaptation Partners, New York, New York, USA
| | - Kim Knowlton
- Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, New York, USA
| | - Emily Torem
- New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene, New York, New York, USA
| | - Gowri Anand
- City of New York, Department of Transportation, New York, New York, USA
| | - Liv Yoon
- School of Kinesiology, The University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada
| | - Peter Marcotullio
- Department of Geography and Environmental Science, Hunter College, CUNY, New York, New York, USA
| | - Deborah Balk
- Marxe School of Public and International Affairs, Baruch College and also CUNY Institute for Demographic Research, New York, New York, USA
| | | | - Hayley Elszasz
- City of New York, Mayors Office of Climate and Environmental Justice, New York, New York, USA
| | - Kazuhiko Ito
- New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene, New York, New York, USA
| | - Sonal Jessel
- WE ACT for Environmental Justice, New York, New York, USA
| | - Vijay Limaye
- Natural Resources Defense Council, New York, New York, USA
| | - Robbie Parks
- Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, New York, USA
| | - Mallory Rutigliano
- New York City Mayor's Office of Management and Budget, New York, New York, USA
| | - Cecilia Sorenson
- Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, New York, USA
- Global Consortium on Climate and Health Education, Columbia University, New York, New York, USA
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Columbia University Irving Medical Center, New York, New York, USA
| | - Ariel Yuan
- New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene, New York, New York, USA
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2
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Mei F, Renzi M, Bonifazi M, Bonifazi F, Pepe N, D'Allura A, Brusasca G, Viegi G, Forastiere F. Long-term effects of air pollutants on respiratory and cardiovascular mortality in a port city along the Adriatic sea. BMC Pulm Med 2023; 23:395. [PMID: 37853365 PMCID: PMC10585890 DOI: 10.1186/s12890-023-02629-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/22/2023] [Accepted: 09/01/2023] [Indexed: 10/20/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Shipping and port-related air pollution has a significant health impact on a global scale. The present study aimed to assess the mortality burden attributable to long-term exposure to ambient particulate matter (PM2.5, PM10) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2) in the city of Ancona (Italy), with one of the leading national commercial harbours. METHODS Exposure to air pollutants was derived by dispersion models. The relationship between the long-term exposure of air pollution exposure and cause-specific mortality was evaluated by Poisson regression models, after adjustment for gender, age and socioeconomic status. Results are expressed as percent change of risk (and relative 95% confidence intervals) per 5 unit increases in the exposures. The health impact on the annual number of premature cause-specific deaths was also assessed. RESULTS PM2.5 and NO2 annual concentrations were higher in the area close to the harbour than in the rest of the city. Positive associations between each pollutant and most of the mortality outcomes were observed, with estimates of up to 7.6% (95%CI 0.1, 15.6%) for 10 µg/m3 increase in NO2 and cardiovascular mortality and 15.3% (95%CI-1.1, 37.2%) for 10 µg/m3 increase PM2.5 and lung cancer. In the subpopulation living close to the harbour, there were excess risks of up to 13.5%, 24.1% and 37.9% for natural, cardiovascular and respiratory mortality. The number of annual premature deaths due to the excess of PM2.5 and NO2 exposure (having as a reference the 2021 World Health Organization Air Quality Guidelines) was 82 and 25, respectively. CONCLUSIONS Our study confirms the long-term health effects of PM and NO2 on mortality and reveals a higher mortality burden in areas close to shipping and port-related emissions. Estimating the source-specific health burdens is key to achieve a deeper understanding of the role of different emission sources, as well as to support effective and targeted mitigation strategies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Federico Mei
- Department of Biomedical Sciences and Public Health, Marche Polytechnic University, Ancona, Italy.
- Respiratory Diseases Unit, Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria "Ospedali Riuniti", Ancona, Italy.
| | - Matteo Renzi
- Department of Epidemiology of Lazio Region, ASL Roma 1, Rome, Italy.
| | - Martina Bonifazi
- Department of Biomedical Sciences and Public Health, Marche Polytechnic University, Ancona, Italy
- Respiratory Diseases Unit, Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria "Ospedali Riuniti", Ancona, Italy
| | - Floriano Bonifazi
- Honorary President Associazione Allergologi Immunologi Italiani Territoriali E Ospedalieri, , Firenze, Italy
| | | | | | | | - Giovanni Viegi
- Institute of Clinical Physiology, National Research Council (CNR), Pisa, Italy
| | - Francesco Forastiere
- Institute of Translational Pharmacology, National Research Council (CNR), Palermo, Italy
- Environmental Research Group, Imperial College, London, UK
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3
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Wu K, Meng Y, Gong Y, Zhang X, Wu L, Ding X, Chen X. Surveillance of long-term environmental elements and PM 2.5 health risk assessment in Yangtze River Delta, China, from 2016 to 2020. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH INTERNATIONAL 2022; 29:81993-82005. [PMID: 35737270 DOI: 10.1007/s11356-022-21404-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/03/2022] [Accepted: 06/07/2022] [Indexed: 06/15/2023]
Abstract
PM2.5 metal pollution significantly harms human health. The air quality in Wuxi is poor, especially in winter, and long-term monitoring of PM2.5 elements comprising has not been performed previously. In the present study, 420 PM2.5 samples were collected from January 2016 to December 2020. Eleven elements, including Al, Mn, Ni, Cr, As, Cd, Sb, Hg, Pb, Se, and Tl, were analyzed by inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry. The mean PM2.5 level was 56.1 ± 31.0 μg/m3, with a tendency of yearly decreasing and a significant seasonal distribution variation. The concentration of 11 elements in the PM2.5 samples was 0.38 ± 0.33 μg/m3. Al was the highest element with a range of 37.5-2148 ng/m3. Meanwhile, the spatial distribution differences were compared by literatures review. Based on the Crystal Ball model, health risks were assessed dynamically using Monte Carlo uncertainty analysis. After 10,000 simulations, the mean value of the hazard index for nine elements was 0.743, and Mn contributed the most to the hazard index among elements, with a correlation of 0.3464. The average carcinogenic risk was 1.01 × 10-5, which indicated that the non-carcinogenic and carcinogenic risks were within the acceptable range. However, considerable attention should be paid to the potential health risks associated with long-term Al, Mn, and As exposure. This study provides detailed data on local atmospheric pollution characteristics, helps identify potential risk elements, and contributes to the development of effective regional air quality management.
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Affiliation(s)
- Keqin Wu
- Wuxi Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Wuxi, 214023, China
- The Affiliated Wuxi Center for Disease Control and Prevention of Nanjing Medical University, Wuxi, 214023, China
| | - Yuanhua Meng
- Wuxi Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Wuxi, 214023, China
- The Affiliated Wuxi Center for Disease Control and Prevention of Nanjing Medical University, Wuxi, 214023, China
| | - Yan Gong
- Wuxi Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Wuxi, 214023, China
| | - Xuhui Zhang
- Wuxi Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Wuxi, 214023, China
| | - Linlin Wu
- Wuxi Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Wuxi, 214023, China
- The Affiliated Wuxi Center for Disease Control and Prevention of Nanjing Medical University, Wuxi, 214023, China
| | - Xinliang Ding
- Wuxi Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Wuxi, 214023, China
- The Affiliated Wuxi Center for Disease Control and Prevention of Nanjing Medical University, Wuxi, 214023, China
| | - Xiaofeng Chen
- Wuxi Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Wuxi, 214023, China.
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4
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Liu J, Banerjee S, Oroumiyeh F, Shen J, Del Rosario I, Lipsitt J, Paulson S, Ritz B, Su J, Weichenthal S, Lakey P, Shiraiwa M, Zhu Y, Jerrett M. Co-kriging with a low-cost sensor network to estimate spatial variation of brake and tire-wear metals and oxidative stress potential in Southern California. ENVIRONMENT INTERNATIONAL 2022; 168:107481. [PMID: 36037546 DOI: 10.1016/j.envint.2022.107481] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/01/2022] [Revised: 07/22/2022] [Accepted: 08/16/2022] [Indexed: 06/15/2023]
Abstract
Due to regulations and technological advancements reducing tailpipe emissions, an increasing proportion of emissions arise from brake and tire wear particulate matter (PM). PM from these non-tailpipe sources contains heavy metals capable of generating oxidative stress in the lung. Although important, these particles remain understudied because the high cost of actively collecting filter samples. Improvements in electrical engineering, internet connectivity, and an increased public concern over air pollution have led to a proliferation of dense low-cost air sensor networks such as the PurpleAir monitors, which primarily measure unspeciated fine particulate matter (PM2.5). In this study, we model the concentrations of Ba, Zn, black carbon, reactive oxygen species concentration in the epithelial lining fluid, dithiothreitol (DTT) loss, and OH formation. We use a co-kriging approach, incorporating data from the PurpleAir network as a secondary predictor variable and a land-use regression (LUR) as an external drift. For most pollutant species, co-kriging models produced more accurate predictions than an LUR model, which did not incorporate data from the PurpleAir monitors. This finding suggests that low-cost sensors can enhance predictions of pollutants that are costly to measure extensively in the field.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jonathan Liu
- Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Jonathan and Karin Fielding School of Public Health, University of California, Los Angeles, 650 Charles E Young Dr S, Los Angeles, CA 90095, United States.
| | - Sudipto Banerjee
- Department of Biostatistics, Jonathan and Karin Fielding School of Public Health, 650 Charles E Young Dr S, Los Angeles, CA 90095, United States.
| | - Farzan Oroumiyeh
- Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Jonathan and Karin Fielding School of Public Health, University of California, Los Angeles, 650 Charles E Young Dr S, Los Angeles, CA 90095, United States.
| | - Jiaqi Shen
- Department of Atomospheric and Oceanic Sciences, University of Caifornia Los Angeles, 520 Portola Plaza, Los Angeles, CA 90095, United States.
| | - Irish Del Rosario
- Department of Epidemiology, Jonathan and Karin Fielding School of Public Health, 650 Charles E Young Dr S, Los Angeles, CA 90095, United States.
| | - Jonah Lipsitt
- Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Jonathan and Karin Fielding School of Public Health, University of California, Los Angeles, 650 Charles E Young Dr S, Los Angeles, CA 90095, United States.
| | - Suzanne Paulson
- Department of Atomospheric and Oceanic Sciences, University of Caifornia Los Angeles, 520 Portola Plaza, Los Angeles, CA 90095, United States.
| | - Beate Ritz
- Department of Epidemiology, Jonathan and Karin Fielding School of Public Health, 650 Charles E Young Dr S, Los Angeles, CA 90095, United States.
| | - Jason Su
- Division of Environmental Health Sciences, School of Public Health, University of California at Berkeley, 2121 Berkeley Way, Berkeley, CA, United States.
| | - Scott Weichenthal
- Department of Epidemiology, Biostatistics, and Occupational Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, McGill Unviersity, 2001 McGill College, Suite 1200, Montreal, QC H3A 1G1, Canada.
| | - Pascale Lakey
- Deaprtment of Chemistry, University of California, Irvine, Natural Sciences II, 1102, Irvine, CA 92617, United States.
| | - Manabu Shiraiwa
- Deaprtment of Chemistry, University of California, Irvine, Natural Sciences II, 1102, Irvine, CA 92617, United States.
| | - Yifang Zhu
- Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Jonathan and Karin Fielding School of Public Health, University of California, Los Angeles, 650 Charles E Young Dr S, Los Angeles, CA 90095, United States.
| | - Michael Jerrett
- Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Jonathan and Karin Fielding School of Public Health, University of California, Los Angeles, 650 Charles E Young Dr S, Los Angeles, CA 90095, United States.
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5
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Casey JA, Kioumourtzoglou MA, Ogburn EL, Melamed A, Shaman J, Kandula S, Neophytou A, Darwin KC, Sheffield JS, Gyamfi-Bannerman C. Long-Term Fine Particulate Matter Concentrations and Prevalence of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2: Differential Relationships by Socioeconomic Status Among Pregnant Individuals in New York City. Am J Epidemiol 2022; 191:1897-1905. [PMID: 35916364 PMCID: PMC9384549 DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwac139] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/24/2021] [Revised: 06/22/2022] [Accepted: 07/27/2022] [Indexed: 02/01/2023] Open
Abstract
We aimed to determine whether long-term ambient concentrations of fine particulate matter (particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter less than or equal to 2.5 μm (PM2.5)) were associated with increased risk of testing positive for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) among pregnant individuals who were universally screened at delivery and whether socioeconomic status (SES) modified this relationship. We used obstetrical data collected from New-York Presbyterian Hospital/Columbia University Irving Medical Center in New York, New York, between March and December 2020, including data on Medicaid use (a proxy for low SES) and COVID-19 test results. We linked estimated 2018-2019 PM2.5 concentrations (300-m resolution) with census-tract-level population density, household size, income, and mobility (as measured by mobile-device use) on the basis of residential address. Analyses included 3,318 individuals; 5% tested positive for COVID-19 at delivery, 8% tested positive during pregnancy, and 48% used Medicaid. Average long-term PM2.5 concentrations were 7.4 (standard deviation, 0.8) μg/m3. In adjusted multilevel logistic regression models, we saw no association between PM2.5 and ever testing positive for COVID-19; however, odds were elevated among those using Medicaid (per 1-μg/m3 increase, odds ratio = 1.6, 95% confidence interval: 1.0, 2.5). Further, while only 22% of those testing positive showed symptoms, 69% of symptomatic individuals used Medicaid. SES, including unmeasured occupational exposures or increased susceptibility to severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) due to concurrent social and environmental exposures, may explain the increased odds of testing positive for COVID-19 being confined to vulnerable pregnant individuals using Medicaid.
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Affiliation(s)
- Joan A Casey
- Correspondence Address: Correspondence to Joan A. Casey, Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Columbia Mailman School of Public Health, 722 W 168th St, Rm 1206 New York, NY 10032-3727 ()
| | - Marianthi-Anna Kioumourtzoglou
- Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, New York, New York, United States
| | - Elizabeth L Ogburn
- Department of Biostatistics, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States
| | - Alexander Melamed
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Columbia University College of Physicians and Surgeons, New York, New York, United States
| | - Jeffrey Shaman
- Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, New York, New York, United States
| | - Sasikiran Kandula
- Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, New York, New York, United States
| | - Andreas Neophytou
- Department of Environmental and Radiological Health Sciences, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, Colorado, United States
| | - Kristin C Darwin
- Department of Gynecology and Obstetrics, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland
| | - Jeanne S Sheffield
- Department of Gynecology and Obstetrics, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland
| | - Cynthia Gyamfi-Bannerman
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Columbia University College of Physicians and Surgeons, New York, New York, United States,Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology & Reproductive Sciences, University of California San Diego School of Medicine and UC San Diego Health
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6
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Yin X, Franklin M, Fallah-Shorshani M, Shafer M, McConnell R, Fruin S. Exposure models for particulate matter elemental concentrations in Southern California. ENVIRONMENT INTERNATIONAL 2022; 165:107247. [PMID: 35716554 DOI: 10.1016/j.envint.2022.107247] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/17/2022] [Revised: 03/18/2022] [Accepted: 04/12/2022] [Indexed: 06/15/2023]
Abstract
Due to a scarcity of routine monitoring of speciated particulate matter (PM), there has been limited capability to develop exposure models that robustly estimate component-specific concentrations. This paper presents the largest such study conducted in a single urban area. Using samples that were collected at 220 locations over two seasons, quasi-ultrafine (PM0.2), accumulation mode fine (PM0.2-2.5), and coarse (PM2.5-10) particulate matter concentrations were used to develop spatiotemporal regression, machine learning models that enabled predictions of 24 elemental components in eight Southern California communities. We used supervised variable selection of over 150 variables, largely from publicly available sources, including meteorological, roadway and traffic characteristics, land use, and dispersion model estimates of traffic emissions. PM components that have high oxidative potential (and potentially large health effects) or are otherwise important markers for major PM sources were the primary focus. We present results for copper, iron, and zinc (as non-tailpipe vehicle emissions); elemental carbon (diesel emissions); vanadium (ship emissions); calcium (soil dust); and sodium (sea salt). Spatiotemporal linear regression models with 17 to 36 predictor variables including meteorology; distance to different classifications of roads; intersections and off ramps within a given buffer distance; truck and vehicle traffic volumes; and near-roadway dispersion model estimates produced superior predictions over the machine learning approaches (cross validation R-squares ranged from 0.76 to 0.92). Our models are easily interpretable and appear to have more effectively captured spatial gradients in the metallic portion of PM than other comparably large studies, particularly near roadways for the non-tailpipe emissions. Furthermore, we demonstrated the importance of including spatiotemporally resolved meteorology in our models as it helped to provide key insights into spatial patterns and allowed us to make temporal predictions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xiaozhe Yin
- Department of Population and Public Health Sciences, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA 90032, USA
| | - Meredith Franklin
- Department of Population and Public Health Sciences, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA 90032, USA; Department of Statistical Sciences and School of the Environment, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
| | - Masoud Fallah-Shorshani
- Department of Population and Public Health Sciences, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA 90032, USA
| | - Martin Shafer
- Wisconsin State Laboratory of Hygiene, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI 53707, USA
| | - Rob McConnell
- Department of Population and Public Health Sciences, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA 90032, USA
| | - Scott Fruin
- Department of Population and Public Health Sciences, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA 90032, USA
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7
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Shukla K, Seppanen C, Naess B, Chang C, Cooley D, Maier A, Divita F, Pitiranggon M, Johnson S, Ito K, Arunachalam S. ZIP Code-Level Estimation of Air Quality and Health Risk Due to Particulate Matter Pollution in New York City. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY 2022; 56:7119-7130. [PMID: 35475336 PMCID: PMC9178920 DOI: 10.1021/acs.est.1c07325] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/28/2021] [Revised: 03/30/2022] [Accepted: 04/01/2022] [Indexed: 05/19/2023]
Abstract
Exposure to PM2.5 is associated with hundreds of premature mortalities every year in New York City (NYC). Current air quality and health impact assessment tools provide county-wide estimates but are inadequate for assessing health benefits at neighborhood scales, especially for evaluating policy options related to energy efficiency or climate goals. We developed a new ZIP Code-Level Air Pollution Policy Assessment (ZAPPA) tool for NYC by integrating two reduced form models─Community Air Quality Tools (C-TOOLS) and the Co-Benefits Risk Assessment Health Impacts Screening and Mapping Tool (COBRA)─that propagate emissions changes to estimate air pollution exposures and health benefits. ZAPPA leverages custom higher resolution inputs for emissions, health incidences, and population. It, then, enables rapid policy evaluation with localized ZIP code tabulation area (ZCTA)-level analysis of potential health and monetary benefits stemming from air quality management decisions. We evaluated the modeled 2016 PM2.5 values against observed values at EPA and NYCCAS monitors, finding good model performance (FAC2, 1; NMSE, 0.05). We, then, applied ZAPPA to assess PM2.5 reduction-related health benefits from five illustrative policy scenarios in NYC focused on (1) commercial cooking, (2) residential and commercial building fuel regulations, (3) fleet electrification, (4) congestion pricing in Manhattan, and (5) these four combined as a "citywide sustainable policy implementation" scenario. The citywide scenario estimates an average reduction in PM2.5 of 0.9 μg/m3. This change translates to avoiding 210-475 deaths, 340 asthma emergency department visits, and monetized health benefits worth $2B to $5B annually, with significant variation across NYC's 192 ZCTAs. ZCTA-level assessments can help prioritize interventions in neighborhoods that would see the most health benefits from air pollution reduction. ZAPPA can provide quantitative insights on health and monetary benefits for future sustainability policy development in NYC.
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Affiliation(s)
- Komal Shukla
- Institute
for the Environment, The University of North
Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel
Hill, North Carolina 27599, United States
| | - Catherine Seppanen
- Institute
for the Environment, The University of North
Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel
Hill, North Carolina 27599, United States
| | - Brian Naess
- Institute
for the Environment, The University of North
Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel
Hill, North Carolina 27599, United States
| | - Charles Chang
- Institute
for the Environment, The University of North
Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel
Hill, North Carolina 27599, United States
| | - David Cooley
- Abt
Associates, Durham, North Carolina 27703, United States
| | - Andreas Maier
- Abt
Associates, Durham, North Carolina 27703, United States
| | - Frank Divita
- Abt
Associates, Durham, North Carolina 27703, United States
| | - Masha Pitiranggon
- New
York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene, Bureau of Environmental Surveillance and Policy, New York, New York 10013, United States
| | - Sarah Johnson
- New
York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene, Bureau of Environmental Surveillance and Policy, New York, New York 10013, United States
| | - Kazuhiko Ito
- New
York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene, Bureau of Environmental Surveillance and Policy, New York, New York 10013, United States
| | - Saravanan Arunachalam
- Institute
for the Environment, The University of North
Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel
Hill, North Carolina 27599, United States
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8
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Fussell JC, Franklin M, Green DC, Gustafsson M, Harrison RM, Hicks W, Kelly FJ, Kishta F, Miller MR, Mudway IS, Oroumiyeh F, Selley L, Wang M, Zhu Y. A Review of Road Traffic-Derived Non-Exhaust Particles: Emissions, Physicochemical Characteristics, Health Risks, and Mitigation Measures. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY 2022; 56:6813-6835. [PMID: 35612468 PMCID: PMC9178796 DOI: 10.1021/acs.est.2c01072] [Citation(s) in RCA: 66] [Impact Index Per Article: 33.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/11/2022] [Revised: 04/29/2022] [Accepted: 05/10/2022] [Indexed: 05/22/2023]
Abstract
Implementation of regulatory standards has reduced exhaust emissions of particulate matter from road traffic substantially in the developed world. However, nonexhaust particle emissions arising from the wear of brakes, tires, and the road surface, together with the resuspension of road dust, are unregulated and exceed exhaust emissions in many jurisdictions. While knowledge of the sources of nonexhaust particles is fairly good, source-specific measurements of airborne concentrations are few, and studies of the toxicology and epidemiology do not give a clear picture of the health risk posed. This paper reviews the current state of knowledge, with a strong focus on health-related research, highlighting areas where further research is an essential prerequisite for developing focused policy responses to nonexhaust particles.
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Affiliation(s)
- Julia C. Fussell
- National
Institute for Health Research Health Protection Research Unit in Environmental
Exposures and Health, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, W12 0BZ, U.K.
| | - Meredith Franklin
- Department
of Statistical Sciences, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario M5G 1Z5, Canada
| | - David C. Green
- National
Institute for Health Research Health Protection Research Unit in Environmental
Exposures and Health, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, W12 0BZ, U.K.
| | - Mats Gustafsson
- Swedish
National Road and Transport Research Institute (VTI), SE-581 95, Linköping, Sweden
| | - Roy M. Harrison
- School
of Geography, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, B15 2TT, U.K.
- Department
of Environmental Sciences / Centre of Excellence in Environmental
Studies, King Abdulaziz University, Jeddah, 21589, Saudi Arabia
| | - William Hicks
- National
Institute for Health Research Health Protection Research Unit in Environmental
Exposures and Health, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, W12 0BZ, U.K.
| | - Frank J. Kelly
- National
Institute for Health Research Health Protection Research Unit in Environmental
Exposures and Health, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, W12 0BZ, U.K.
| | - Franceska Kishta
- Centre
for Cardiovascular Science, Queen’s Medical Research Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH16 4TJ, U.K.
| | - Mark R. Miller
- Centre
for Cardiovascular Science, Queen’s Medical Research Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH16 4TJ, U.K.
| | - Ian S. Mudway
- National
Institute for Health Research Health Protection Research Unit in Environmental
Exposures and Health, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, W12 0BZ, U.K.
| | - Farzan Oroumiyeh
- Department
of Environmental Health Sciences, Jonathan and Karin Fielding School
of Public Health, University of California,
Los Angeles, Los Angeles, California 90095, United States
| | - Liza Selley
- MRC
Toxicology Unit, University of Cambridge, Gleeson Building, Tennis Court Road, Cambridge,CB2 1QR, U.K.
| | - Meng Wang
- University
at Buffalo, School of Public
Health and Health Professions, Buffalo, New York 14214, United States
| | - Yifang Zhu
- Department
of Environmental Health Sciences, Jonathan and Karin Fielding School
of Public Health, University of California,
Los Angeles, Los Angeles, California 90095, United States
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9
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Fine-Grained Urban Air Quality Mapping from Sparse Mobile Air Pollution Measurements and Dense Traffic Density. REMOTE SENSING 2022. [DOI: 10.3390/rs14112613] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/27/2023]
Abstract
Urban air quality mapping has been widely applied in urban planning, air pollution control and personal air pollution exposure assessment. Urban air quality maps are traditionally derived using measurements from fixed monitoring stations. Due to high cost, these stations are generally sparsely deployed in a few representative locations, leading to a highly generalized air quality map. In addition, urban air quality varies rapidly over short distances (<1 km) and is influenced by meteorological conditions, road network and traffic flow. These variations are not well represented in coarse-grained air quality maps generated by conventional fixed-site monitoring methods but have important implications for characterizing heterogeneous personal air pollution exposures and identifying localized air pollution hotspots. Therefore, fine-grained urban air quality mapping is indispensable. In this context, supplementary low-cost mobile sensors make mobile air quality monitoring a promising alternative. Using sparse air quality measurements collected by mobile sensors and various contextual factors, especially traffic flow, we propose a context-aware locally adapted deep forest (CLADF) model to infer the distribution of NO2 by 100 m and 1 h resolution for fine-grained air quality mapping. The CLADF model exploits deep forest to construct a local model for each cluster consisting of nearest neighbor measurements in contextual feature space, and considers traffic flow as an important contextual feature. Extensive validation experiments were conducted using mobile NO2 measurements collected by 17 postal vans equipped with low-cost sensors operating in Antwerp, Belgium. The experimental results demonstrate that the CLADF model achieves the lowest RMSE as well as advances in accuracy and correlation, compared with various benchmark models, including random forest, deep forest, extreme gradient boosting and support vector regression.
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10
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Zhang JJY, Sun L, Rainham D, Dummer TJB, Wheeler AJ, Anastasopolos A, Gibson M, Johnson M. Predicting intraurban airborne PM 1.0-trace elements in a port city: Land use regression by ordinary least squares and a machine learning algorithm. THE SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 2022; 806:150149. [PMID: 34583078 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.150149] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/02/2021] [Revised: 08/31/2021] [Accepted: 09/01/2021] [Indexed: 06/13/2023]
Abstract
Airborne particulate matter (PM) has been associated with cardiovascular and respiratory morbidity and mortality, and there is some evidence that spatially varying metals found in PM may contribute to adverse health effects. We developed spatially refined models for PM trace elements using ordinary least squares land use regression (OLS-LUR) and machine leaning random forest land-use regression (RF-LUR). Two-week integrated measurements of PM1.0 (median aerodiameter < 1.0 μm) were collected at 50 sampling sites during fall (2010), winter (2011), and summer (2011) in the Halifax Regional Municipality, Nova Scotia, Canada. PM1.0 filters were analyzed for metals and trace elements using inductively coupled plasma-mass spectrometry. OLS- and RF-LUR models were developed for approximately 30 PM1.0 trace elements in each season. Model predictors included industrial, commercial, and institutional/ government/ military land use, roadways, shipping, other transportation sources, and wind rose information. RF generated more accurate models than OLS for most trace elements based on 5-fold cross validation. On average, summer models had the highest cross validation R2 (OLS-LUR = 0.40, RF-LUR = 0.46), while fall had the lowest (OLS-LUR = 0.27, RF-LUR = 0.31). Many OLS-LUR models displayed overprediction in the final exposure surface. In contrast, RF-LUR models did not exhibit overpredictions. Taking overpredictions and cross validation performances into account, OLS-LUR performed better than RF-LUR in roughly 20% of the seasonal trace element models. RF-LUR models provided more interpretable predictors in most cases. Seasonal predictors varied, likely due to differences in seasonal distribution of trace elements related to source activity, and meteorology.
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Affiliation(s)
- Joyce J Y Zhang
- Air Health Science Division, Health Canada, Ottawa, ON, Canada
| | - Liu Sun
- Air Health Science Division, Health Canada, Ottawa, ON, Canada
| | - Daniel Rainham
- Healthy Populations Institute and the School of Health and Human Performance, Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS, Canada
| | - Trevor J B Dummer
- School of Population and Public Health, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, , Canada
| | - Amanda J Wheeler
- Mary MacKillop Institute for Health Research, Australian Catholic University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; Menzies Institute for Medical Research, University of Tasmania, Hobart, TAS, Australia
| | | | - Mark Gibson
- Division of Air Quality and Exposure Science, AirPhoton, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Markey Johnson
- Air Health Science Division, Health Canada, Ottawa, ON, Canada.
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11
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Evaluation of Using Satellite-Derived Aerosol Optical Depth in Land Use Regression Models for Fine Particulate Matter and Its Elemental Composition. ATMOSPHERE 2021. [DOI: 10.3390/atmos12081018] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/01/2023]
Abstract
This study introduced satellite-derived aerosol optical depth (AOD) in land use regression (LUR) modeling to predict ambient concentrations of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and its elemental composition. Twenty-four daily samples were collected from 17 air quality monitoring sites (N = 408) in Taiwan in 2014. A total of 12 annual LUR models were developed for PM2.5 and 11 elements, including aluminum, calcium, chromium, iron, potassium, manganese, sulfur, silicon, titanium, vanadium, and zinc. After applied AOD and a derived-predictor, AOD percentage, in modeling, the number of models with leave-one-out cross-validation R2 > 0.40 significantly increased from 5 to 9, indicating the substantial benefits for the construction of spatial prediction models. Sensitivity analyses of using data stratified by PM2.5 concentrations revealed that the model performances were further improved in the high pollution season.
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12
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Lu Y, Giuliano G, Habre R. Estimating hourly PM 2.5 concentrations at the neighborhood scale using a low-cost air sensor network: A Los Angeles case study. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH 2021; 195:110653. [PMID: 33476665 DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2020.110653] [Citation(s) in RCA: 26] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/02/2020] [Revised: 12/14/2020] [Accepted: 12/17/2020] [Indexed: 05/21/2023]
Abstract
Predicting PM2.5 concentrations at a fine spatial and temporal resolution (i.e., neighborhood, hourly) is challenging. Recent growth in low cost sensor networks is providing increased spatial coverage of air quality data that can be used to supplement data provided by monitors of regulatory agencies. We developed an hourly, 500 × 500 m gridded PM2.5 model that integrates PurpleAir low-cost air sensor network data for Los Angeles County. We developed a quality control scheme for PurpleAir data. We included spatially and temporally varying predictors in a random forest model with random oversampling of high concentrations to predict PM2.5. The model achieved high prediction accuracy (10-fold cross-validation (CV) R2 = 0.93, root mean squared error (RMSE) = 3.23 μg/m3; spatial CV R2 = 0.88, spatial RMSE = 4.33 μg/m3; temporal CV R2 = 0.90, temporal RMSE = 3.85 μg/m3). Our model was able to predict spatial and diurnal patterns in PM2.5 on typical weekdays and weekends, as well as non-typical days, such as holidays and wildfire days. The model allows for far more precise estimates of PM2.5 than existing methods based on few sensors. Taking advantage of low-cost PM2.5 sensors, our hourly random forest model predictions can be combined with time-activity diaries in future studies, enabling geographically and temporally fine exposure estimation for specific population groups in studies of acute air pollution health effects and studies of environmental justice issues.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yougeng Lu
- Department of Urban Planning and Spatial Analysis, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA
| | - Genevieve Giuliano
- Department of Urban Planning and Spatial Analysis, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA
| | - Rima Habre
- Department of Preventive Medicine, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
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13
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Zanobetti A, Coull BA, Luttmann-Gibson H, van Rossem L, Rifas-Shiman SL, Kloog I, Schwartz JD, Oken E, Bobb JF, Koutrakis P, Gold DR. Ambient Particle Components and Newborn Blood Pressure in Project Viva. J Am Heart Assoc 2020; 10:e016935. [PMID: 33372530 PMCID: PMC7955476 DOI: 10.1161/jaha.120.016935] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/13/2022]
Abstract
Background Both elemental metals and particulate air pollution have been reported to influence adult blood pressure (BP). The aim of this study is to examine which elemental components of particle mass with diameter ≤2.5 μm (PM2.5) are responsible for previously reported associations between PM2.5 and neonatal BP. Methods and Results We studied 1131 mother‐infant pairs in Project Viva, a Boston‐area prebirth cohort. We measured systolic BP (SBP) and diastolic BP (DBP) at a mean age of 30 hours. We calculated average exposures during the 2 to 7 days before birth for the PM2.5 components—aluminum, arsenic, bromine, sulfur, copper, iron, zinc, nickel, vanadium, titanium, magnesium, potassium, silicon, sodium, chlorine, calcium, and lead—measured at the Harvard supersite. Adjusting for covariates and PM2.5, we applied regression models to examine associations between PM2.5 components and median SBP and DBP, and used variable selection methods to select which components were more strongly associated with each BP outcome. We found consistent results with higher nickel associated with significantly higher SBP and DBP, and higher zinc associated with lower SBP and DBP. For an interquartile range increase in the log Z score (1.4) of nickel, we found a 1.78 mm Hg (95% CI, 0.72–2.84) increase in SBP and a 1.30 (95% CI, 0.54–2.06) increase in DBP. Increased zinc (interquartile range log Z score 1.2) was associated with decreased SBP (−1.29 mm Hg; 95% CI, −2.09 to −0.50) and DBP (−0.85 mm Hg; 95% CI: −1.42 to −0.29). Conclusions Our findings suggest that prenatal exposures to particulate matter components, and particularly nickel, may increase newborn BP.
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Affiliation(s)
- Antonella Zanobetti
- Department of Environmental Health Harvard School of Public Health Boston MA
| | - Brent A Coull
- Department of Biostatistics Harvard School of Public Health Boston MA
| | | | - Lenie van Rossem
- Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care University Medical Center UtrechtUtrecht University Utrecht the Netherlands
| | - Sheryl L Rifas-Shiman
- Division of Chronic Disease Research Across the Lifecourse Department of Population Medicine Harvard Medical School and Harvard Pilgrim Health Care Institute Boston MA
| | - Itai Kloog
- Department of Geography and Environmental Development Ben-Gurion University of the Negev Beer Sheva Israel
| | - Joel D Schwartz
- Department of Environmental Health Harvard School of Public Health Boston MA.,Channing Division of Network Medicine Department of Medicine Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School Boston MA
| | - Emily Oken
- Division of Chronic Disease Research Across the Lifecourse Department of Population Medicine Harvard Medical School and Harvard Pilgrim Health Care Institute Boston MA
| | - Jennifer F Bobb
- Biostatistics Unit Kaiser Permanente Washington Health Research Institute Seattle WA.,Department of Biostatistics University of Washington Seattle WA
| | - Petros Koutrakis
- Department of Environmental Health Harvard School of Public Health Boston MA
| | - Diane R Gold
- Department of Environmental Health Harvard School of Public Health Boston MA.,Channing Division of Network Medicine Department of Medicine Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School Boston MA
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14
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Chen J, de Hoogh K, Gulliver J, Hoffmann B, Hertel O, Ketzel M, Weinmayr G, Bauwelinck M, van Donkelaar A, Hvidtfeldt UA, Atkinson R, Janssen NAH, Martin RV, Samoli E, Andersen ZJ, Oftedal BM, Stafoggia M, Bellander T, Strak M, Wolf K, Vienneau D, Brunekreef B, Hoek G. Development of Europe-Wide Models for Particle Elemental Composition Using Supervised Linear Regression and Random Forest. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY 2020; 54:15698-15709. [PMID: 33237771 PMCID: PMC7745532 DOI: 10.1021/acs.est.0c06595] [Citation(s) in RCA: 40] [Impact Index Per Article: 10.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/06/2023]
Abstract
We developed Europe-wide models of long-term exposure to eight elements (copper, iron, potassium, nickel, sulfur, silicon, vanadium, and zinc) in particulate matter with diameter <2.5 μm (PM2.5) using standardized measurements for one-year periods between October 2008 and April 2011 in 19 study areas across Europe, with supervised linear regression (SLR) and random forest (RF) algorithms. Potential predictor variables were obtained from satellites, chemical transport models, land-use, traffic, and industrial point source databases to represent different sources. Overall model performance across Europe was moderate to good for all elements with hold-out-validation R-squared ranging from 0.41 to 0.90. RF consistently outperformed SLR. Models explained within-area variation much less than the overall variation, with similar performance for RF and SLR. Maps proved a useful additional model evaluation tool. Models differed substantially between elements regarding major predictor variables, broadly reflecting known sources. Agreement between the two algorithm predictions was generally high at the overall European level and varied substantially at the national level. Applying the two models in epidemiological studies could lead to different associations with health. If both between- and within-area exposure variability are exploited, RF may be preferred. If only within-area variability is used, both methods should be interpreted equally.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jie Chen
- Institute
for Risk Assessment Sciences (IRAS), Utrecht
University, Postbus 80125, 3508 TC Utrecht, The Netherlands
| | - Kees de Hoogh
- Swiss
Tropical and Public Health Institute, Socinstrasse 57, 4051 Basel, Switzerland
- University
of Basel, Petersplatz
1, Postfach 4001 Basel, Switzerland
| | - John Gulliver
- Centre
for Environmental Health and Sustainability, School of Geography,
Geology and the Environment, University
of Leicester, University Road, LE1 7RH Leicester, U.K.
| | - Barbara Hoffmann
- Institute
for Occupational, Social and Environmental Medicine, Centre for Health
and Society, Medical Faculty, Heinrich Heine
University Düsseldorf, Universitätsstraße 1, 40225 Düsseldorf, Germany
| | - Ole Hertel
- Department
of Environmental Science, Aarhus University, P.O. Box 358, Frederiksborgvej 399, 4000 Roskilde, Denmark
| | - Matthias Ketzel
- Department
of Environmental Science, Aarhus University, P.O. Box 358, Frederiksborgvej 399, 4000 Roskilde, Denmark
- Global
Centre for Clean Air Research (GCARE), Department of Civil and Environmental
Engineering, University of Surrey, GU2 7XH Guildford, U.K.
| | - Gudrun Weinmayr
- Institute
of Epidemiology and Medical Biometry, Ulm
University, Helmholtzstr.
22, 89081 Ulm, Germany
| | - Mariska Bauwelinck
- Interface
Demography—Department of Sociology, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Pleinlaan 2, 1050 Brussels, Belgium
| | - Aaron van Donkelaar
- Department
of Physics and Atmospheric Science, Dalhousie
University, B3H 4R2 Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada
- Department of Energy, Environmental &
Chemical Engineering, Washington University
in St. Louis, 63130 St. Louis, Missouri, United States
| | - Ulla A. Hvidtfeldt
- Danish Cancer Society Research Center, Strandboulevarden 49, 2100 Copenhagen, Denmark
| | | | - Nicole A. H. Janssen
- National Institute for Public Health and
the Environment (RIVM), P.O. Box 1, 3720 BA Bilthoven, The Netherlands
| | - Randall V. Martin
- Department
of Physics and Atmospheric Science, Dalhousie
University, B3H 4R2 Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada
- Danish Cancer Society Research Center, Strandboulevarden 49, 2100 Copenhagen, Denmark
- Atomic and Molecular Physics Division, Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, Cambridge, 60 Garden Street, 02138 Cambridge, Massachusetts, United States
| | - Evangelia Samoli
- Department
of Hygiene, Epidemiology and Medical Statistics, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, 75 Mikras Asias Str, 115 27 Athens, Greece
| | | | - Bente M. Oftedal
- Department of Environmental Health, Norwegian
Institute of Public Health, P.O. Box 4404 Nydalen, N-0403 Oslo, Norway
| | - Massimo Stafoggia
- Department of Epidemiology, Lazio Region
Health Service/ASL Roma 1, Via Cristoforo Colombo, 112, 00147 Rome, Italy
- Institute
of Environmental Medicine, Karolinska
Institutet, SE-171 77 Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Tom Bellander
- Institute
of Environmental Medicine, Karolinska
Institutet, SE-171 77 Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Maciej Strak
- Institute
for Risk Assessment Sciences (IRAS), Utrecht
University, Postbus 80125, 3508 TC Utrecht, The Netherlands
- Atomic and Molecular Physics Division, Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, Cambridge, 60 Garden Street, 02138 Cambridge, Massachusetts, United States
| | - Kathrin Wolf
- Helmholtz Zentrum München, German Research Center
for Environmental Health (GmbH), Institute of Epidemiology, Ingolstädter Landstr. 1, D-85764 Neuherberg, Germany
| | - Danielle Vienneau
- Swiss
Tropical and Public Health Institute, Socinstrasse 57, 4051 Basel, Switzerland
- University
of Basel, Petersplatz
1, Postfach 4001 Basel, Switzerland
| | - Bert Brunekreef
- Institute
for Risk Assessment Sciences (IRAS), Utrecht
University, Postbus 80125, 3508 TC Utrecht, The Netherlands
- Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary
Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Heidelberglaan 100, 3584 CX Utrecht, Netherlands
| | - Gerard Hoek
- Institute
for Risk Assessment Sciences (IRAS), Utrecht
University, Postbus 80125, 3508 TC Utrecht, The Netherlands
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15
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Huang K, Bi J, Meng X, Geng G, Lyapustin A, Lane KJ, Gu D, Kinney PL, Liu Y. Estimating daily PM 2.5 concentrations in New York City at the neighborhood-scale: Implications for integrating non-regulatory measurements. THE SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 2019; 697:134094. [PMID: 32380602 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.134094] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/05/2019] [Revised: 08/22/2019] [Accepted: 08/23/2019] [Indexed: 06/11/2023]
Abstract
Previous PM2.5 related epidemiological studies mainly relied on data from sparse regulatory monitors to assess exposure. The introduction of non-regulatory PM2.5 monitors presents both opportunities and challenges to researchers and air quality managers. In this study, we evaluated the advantages and limitations of integrating non-regulatory PM2.5 measurements into a satellite-based daily PM2.5 model at 100 m resolution in New York City in 2015. Two separate machine learning models were developed, one using only PM2.5 data from the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), and the other with measurements from both EPA and the New York City Community Air Survey (NYCCAS). The EPA-only model obtained a cross-validation (CV) R2 of 0.85 while the EPA + NYCCAS model obtained a CV R2 of 0.73. With the help of the NYCCAS measurements, the EPA + NYCCAS model predicted distinctly different PM2.5 spatial patterns and more pollution hotspots compared with the EPA model, and its predictions were >15% higher than the EPA model along major roads and in densely populated areas. Our results indicated that satellite AOD and non-regulatory PM2.5 measurements can be fused together to capture neighborhood-scale PM2.5 levels and previous studies may have underestimated the disease burden due to PM2.5 in densely populated areas.
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Affiliation(s)
- Keyong Huang
- Department of Epidemiology, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing 100037, China; Department of Environmental Health, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, GA 30322, USA
| | - Jianzhao Bi
- Department of Environmental Health, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, GA 30322, USA
| | - Xia Meng
- Department of Environmental Health, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, GA 30322, USA
| | - Guannan Geng
- Department of Environmental Health, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, GA 30322, USA
| | | | - Kevin J Lane
- Department of Environmental Health, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Dongfeng Gu
- Department of Epidemiology, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing 100037, China
| | - Patrick L Kinney
- Department of Environmental Health, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.
| | - Yang Liu
- Department of Environmental Health, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, GA 30322, USA.
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16
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Robinson ES, Shah RU, Messier K, Gu P, Li HZ, Apte JS, Robinson AL, Presto AA. Land-Use Regression Modeling of Source-Resolved Fine Particulate Matter Components from Mobile Sampling. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY 2019; 53:8925-8937. [PMID: 31313910 DOI: 10.1021/acs.est.9b01897] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/10/2023]
Abstract
This study presents land-use regression (LUR) models for submicron particulate matter (PM1) components from an urban area. Models are presented for mass concentrations of inorganic species (SO4, NO3, NH4), organic aerosol (OA) factors, and total PM1. OA is source-apportioned using positive matrix factorization (PMF) of data collected from aerosol mass spectrometry deployed on a mobile laboratory. PMF yielded a three-factor solution: cooking OA (COA), hydrocarbon-like OA (HOA), and less-oxidized oxygenated OA (LO-OOA). This study represents the first time that LUR has been applied to source-resolved OA factors. We sampled a roughly 20 km2 area of West Oakland, California, USA, over 1 month (mid-July to mid-August, 2017). The road network of the sampling domain was comprehensively sampled each day using a randomized driving route to minimize temporal and spatial bias. Mobile measurements were aggregated both spatially and temporally for use as discrete spatial observations for LUR model building. LUR model performance was highest for those species with more spatial variability (primary OA factors: COA R2 = 0.80, HOA R2 = 0.67) and lowest for secondary inorganic species (SO4 R2 = 0.47, NH4 R2 = 0.43) that were more spatially homogeneous. Notably, the stepwise selective LUR algorithm largely selected predictors for primary OA factors that correspond to the associated land-use categories (e.g., cooking land-use variables were selected in cooking-related PM models). This finding appears to be robust, as we demonstrate the predictive link between land-use variables and the corresponding source-resolved PM1 components through a subsampling analysis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ellis Shipley Robinson
- Department of Mechanical Engineering , Carnegie Mellon University , Pittsburgh , Pennsylvania 15213 , United States
- Center for Atmospheric Particle Studies , Carnegie Mellon University , Pittsburgh , Pennsylvania 15213 , United States
| | - Rishabh Urvesh Shah
- Department of Mechanical Engineering , Carnegie Mellon University , Pittsburgh , Pennsylvania 15213 , United States
- Center for Atmospheric Particle Studies , Carnegie Mellon University , Pittsburgh , Pennsylvania 15213 , United States
| | - Kyle Messier
- Department of Environmental and Molecular Toxicology , Oregon State University , Corvallis , Oregon 97333 , United States
| | - Peishi Gu
- Department of Mechanical Engineering , Carnegie Mellon University , Pittsburgh , Pennsylvania 15213 , United States
- Center for Atmospheric Particle Studies , Carnegie Mellon University , Pittsburgh , Pennsylvania 15213 , United States
| | - Hugh Z Li
- Department of Mechanical Engineering , Carnegie Mellon University , Pittsburgh , Pennsylvania 15213 , United States
- Center for Atmospheric Particle Studies , Carnegie Mellon University , Pittsburgh , Pennsylvania 15213 , United States
| | - Joshua Schulz Apte
- Department of Civil, Architectural & Environmental Engineering , University of Texas at Austin , Austin , Texas 78705 , United States
| | - Allen L Robinson
- Department of Mechanical Engineering , Carnegie Mellon University , Pittsburgh , Pennsylvania 15213 , United States
- Center for Atmospheric Particle Studies , Carnegie Mellon University , Pittsburgh , Pennsylvania 15213 , United States
| | - Albert A Presto
- Department of Mechanical Engineering , Carnegie Mellon University , Pittsburgh , Pennsylvania 15213 , United States
- Center for Atmospheric Particle Studies , Carnegie Mellon University , Pittsburgh , Pennsylvania 15213 , United States
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17
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Tripathy S, Tunno BJ, Michanowicz DR, Kinnee E, Shmool JLC, Gillooly S, Clougherty JE. Hybrid land use regression modeling for estimating spatio-temporal exposures to PM 2.5, BC, and metal components across a metropolitan area of complex terrain and industrial sources. THE SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 2019; 673:54-63. [PMID: 30986682 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.03.453] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/07/2018] [Revised: 03/27/2019] [Accepted: 03/29/2019] [Indexed: 05/12/2023]
Abstract
Land use regression (LUR) modeling has become a common method for predicting pollutant concentrations and assigning exposure estimates in epidemiological studies. However, few LUR models have been developed for metal constituents of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) or have incorporated source-specific dispersion covariates in locations with major point sources. We developed hybrid AERMOD LUR models for PM2.5, black carbon (BC), and steel-related PM2.5 constituents lead, manganese, iron, and zinc, using fine-scale air pollution data from 37 sites across the Pittsburgh area. These models were designed with the aim of developing exposure estimates for time periods of interest in epidemiology studies. We found that the hybrid LUR models explained greater variability in PM2.5 (R2 = 0.79) compared to BC (R2 = 0.59) and metal constituents (R2 = 0.34-0.55). Approximately 70% of variation in PM2.5 was attributable to temporal variance, compared to 36% for BC, and 17-26% for metals. An AERMOD dispersion covariate developed using PM2.5 industrial emissions data for 207 sources was significant in PM2.5 and BC models; all metals models contained a steel mill-specific PM2.5 emissions AERMOD term. Other significant covariates included industrial land use, commercial and industrial land use, percent impervious surface, and summed railroad length.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sheila Tripathy
- University of Pittsburgh Graduate School of Public Health, Department of Environmental and Occupational Health, Pittsburgh, PA, United States; Drexel University Dornsife School of Public Health, Department of Environmental and Occupational Health, Philadelphia, PA, United States.
| | - Brett J Tunno
- University of Pittsburgh Graduate School of Public Health, Department of Environmental and Occupational Health, Pittsburgh, PA, United States
| | - Drew R Michanowicz
- University of Pittsburgh Graduate School of Public Health, Department of Environmental and Occupational Health, Pittsburgh, PA, United States; Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Department of Environmental Health, Boston, MA, United States
| | - Ellen Kinnee
- University of Pittsburgh Graduate School of Public Health, Department of Environmental and Occupational Health, Pittsburgh, PA, United States
| | - Jessie L C Shmool
- University of Pittsburgh Graduate School of Public Health, Department of Environmental and Occupational Health, Pittsburgh, PA, United States
| | - Sara Gillooly
- University of Pittsburgh Graduate School of Public Health, Department of Environmental and Occupational Health, Pittsburgh, PA, United States; Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Department of Environmental Health, Boston, MA, United States
| | - Jane E Clougherty
- University of Pittsburgh Graduate School of Public Health, Department of Environmental and Occupational Health, Pittsburgh, PA, United States; Drexel University Dornsife School of Public Health, Department of Environmental and Occupational Health, Philadelphia, PA, United States
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18
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Tunno B, Longley I, Somervell E, Edwards S, Olivares G, Gray S, Cambal L, Chubb L, Roper C, Coulson G, Clougherty JE. Separating spatial patterns in pollution attributable to woodsmoke and other sources, during daytime and nighttime hours, in Christchurch, New Zealand. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH 2019; 171:228-238. [PMID: 30685575 DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2019.01.033] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/17/2018] [Revised: 01/03/2019] [Accepted: 01/14/2019] [Indexed: 06/09/2023]
Abstract
During winter nights, woodsmoke may be a predominant source of air pollution, even in cities with many sources. Since two major earthquakes resulted in major structural damage in 2010 and 2011, reliance on woodburning for home heating has increased substantially in Christchurch, New Zealand (NZ), along with intensive construction/demolition activities. Further, because NZ is a relatively isolated western country, it offers the unique opportunity to disentangle multiple source impacts in the absence of long-range transport pollution. Finally, although many spatial saturation studies have been published, and levoglucosan is an established tracer for woodburning emissions, few studies have monitored multiple sites simultaneously for this or other organic constituents, with the ability to distinguish spatial patterns for daytime vs. nighttime hours, in complex urban settings. We captured seven-day integrated samples of PM2.5, and elemental and organic tracers of woodsmoke and diesel emissions, during "daytime" (7 a.m. - 5:30 p.m.) and "nighttime" (7 p.m. - 5:30 a.m.) hours, at nine sites across commercial and residential areas, over three weeks in early winter (May 2014). At a subset of six sites, we also sampled during hypothesized "peak" woodburning hours (7 p.m. - 12 a.m.), to differentiate emissions during "active" residential woodburning, vs. overnight smouldering. Concentrations of PM2.5 were, on average, were twice as high during nighttime than daytime [µ = 18.4 (SD = 6.13) vs. 9.21 (SD = 6.13) µg/m3], with much greater differences in woodsmoke tracers (i.e., levoglucosan [µ = 1.83 (SD = 0.82) vs. 0.34 (SD = 0.17) µg/m3], potassium) and indicators of treated- or painted-wood burning (e.g., arsenic, lead). Only nitrogen dioxide, calcium, iron, and manganese (tracers of vehicular emissions) were higher during daytime. Levoglucosan and most PAHs were higher during "active" woodburning, vs. overnight smouldering. Our time-stratified spatial saturation detected strong spatial variability throughout the study area, which distinctly differed during daytime vs. night time hours, and quantified the substantial contribution of woodsmoke to overnight spatial variation in PM2.5 across Christchurch. Daytime vs. nighttime differences were greater than those observed across sites. Traffic, especially diesel, contributed substantially to daytime NO2 and spatial gradients in non-woodsmoke constituents.
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Affiliation(s)
- Brett Tunno
- University of Pittsburgh Graduate School of Public Health, Department of Environmental and Occupational Health, Pittsburgh, PA, United States
| | - Ian Longley
- National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA), Auckland, New Zealand
| | - Elizabeth Somervell
- National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA), Auckland, New Zealand
| | - Sam Edwards
- National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA), Auckland, New Zealand
| | - Gustavo Olivares
- National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA), Auckland, New Zealand
| | - Sally Gray
- National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA), Auckland, New Zealand
| | - Leah Cambal
- University of Pittsburgh Graduate School of Public Health, Department of Environmental and Occupational Health, Pittsburgh, PA, United States
| | - Lauren Chubb
- University of Pittsburgh Graduate School of Public Health, Department of Environmental and Occupational Health, Pittsburgh, PA, United States
| | - Courtney Roper
- University of Pittsburgh Graduate School of Public Health, Department of Environmental and Occupational Health, Pittsburgh, PA, United States
| | - Guy Coulson
- National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA), Auckland, New Zealand
| | - Jane E Clougherty
- University of Pittsburgh Graduate School of Public Health, Department of Environmental and Occupational Health, Pittsburgh, PA, United States; Drexel University Dornsife School of Public Health, Department of Environmental and Occupational Health, Philadelphia, PA, United States.
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Caplin A, Ghandehari M, Lim C, Glimcher P, Thurston G. Advancing environmental exposure assessment science to benefit society. Nat Commun 2019; 10:1236. [PMID: 30874557 PMCID: PMC6420629 DOI: 10.1038/s41467-019-09155-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 71] [Impact Index Per Article: 14.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/18/2017] [Accepted: 02/23/2019] [Indexed: 12/14/2022] Open
Abstract
Awareness of the human health impacts of exposure to air pollution is growing rapidly. For example, it has become evident that the adverse health effects of air pollution are more pronounced in disadvantaged populations. Policymakers in many jurisdictions have responded to this evidence by enacting initiatives that lead to lower concentrations of air pollutants, such as urban traffic restrictions. In this review, we focus on the interplay between advances in environmental exposure assessment and developments in policy. We highlight recent progress in the granular measurement of air pollutants and individual-level exposures, and how this has enabled focused local policy actions. Finally, we detail an illustrative study designed to link individual-level health-relevant exposures with economic, behavioral, biological, familial, and environmental variables.
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Affiliation(s)
- Andrew Caplin
- School of Arts and Sciences, Department of Economics, New York University, New York, NY, USA
| | - Masoud Ghandehari
- Tandon School of Engineering, Department of Urban Engineering, New York University, New York, NY, USA.
| | - Chris Lim
- NYU School of Medicine, Department of Environmental Medicine, New York University, New York, NY, USA
| | - Paul Glimcher
- School of Arts and Sciences, Department of Economics, New York University, New York, NY, USA
| | - George Thurston
- NYU School of Medicine, Department of Environmental Medicine, New York University, New York, NY, USA
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20
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Han I, Guo Y, Afshar M, Stock TH, Symanski E. Comparison of trace elements in size-fractionated particles in two communities with contrasting socioeconomic status in Houston, TX. ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING AND ASSESSMENT 2017; 189:67. [PMID: 28110452 DOI: 10.1007/s10661-017-5780-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/21/2016] [Accepted: 01/11/2017] [Indexed: 05/28/2023]
Abstract
Levels of ambient air pollutants, including particulate matter (PM), are often higher in low-socioeconomic status (SES) communities than in high-SES communities. Houston is the fourth largest city in the USA and is home to a large petrochemical industry, an active port, and congested roadways, which represent significant emission sources of air pollution in the region. To compare levels of air pollution between a low-SES and a high-SES community, we simultaneously collected a 7-day integrated size-fractionated PM between June 2013 and November 2013. We analyzed PM mass and elements for three particle size modes: quasi-ultrafine particles (quasi-UFP) (aerodynamic diameter <0.25 μm), accumulation mode particles (0.25-2.5 μm), and coarse mode particles (>2.5 μm). Concentrations of vanadium, nickel, manganese, and iron in the quasi-UFP mode were significantly higher in the low-SES community than in the high-SES community. In the accumulation and coarse modes, concentrations of crustal elements and barium were also significantly higher in the low-SES community compared to the high-SES community. These findings suggest that people living in the low-SES community may experience higher exposures to some toxic elements as compared to people in the high-SES community.
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Affiliation(s)
- Inkyu Han
- Department of Epidemiology, Human Genetics, and Environmental Sciences, University of Texas Health Science Center School of Public Health, 1200 Pressler Street, Houston, TX, 77030, USA.
- Southwest Center for Occupational and Environmental Health, 1200 Pressler Street, Houston, TX, 77030, USA.
| | - Yuncan Guo
- Department of Epidemiology, Human Genetics, and Environmental Sciences, University of Texas Health Science Center School of Public Health, 1200 Pressler Street, Houston, TX, 77030, USA
| | - Masoud Afshar
- Department of Epidemiology, Human Genetics, and Environmental Sciences, University of Texas Health Science Center School of Public Health, 1200 Pressler Street, Houston, TX, 77030, USA
- Southwest Center for Occupational and Environmental Health, 1200 Pressler Street, Houston, TX, 77030, USA
| | - Thomas H Stock
- Department of Epidemiology, Human Genetics, and Environmental Sciences, University of Texas Health Science Center School of Public Health, 1200 Pressler Street, Houston, TX, 77030, USA
- Southwest Center for Occupational and Environmental Health, 1200 Pressler Street, Houston, TX, 77030, USA
| | - Elaine Symanski
- Department of Epidemiology, Human Genetics, and Environmental Sciences, University of Texas Health Science Center School of Public Health, 1200 Pressler Street, Houston, TX, 77030, USA
- Southwest Center for Occupational and Environmental Health, 1200 Pressler Street, Houston, TX, 77030, USA
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