Time trends in stroke incidence and in prevalence of risk factors in Southern Germany, 1989 to 2008/09

Association between Multimorbidity and Risk of Falls and Fear of Falling among Older Adults: The Mediation Effect of Physical Function, Use of Sleeping Pills, and Pain Relievers

OBJECTIVE

Falls and fear of falling (FoF) are relevant contributors to disability and institutionalization among older adults. The aim was to examine the association between multimorbidity and falls/FoF among community-dwelling older adults, exploring the mediating effect of physical function and the use of sleeping pills and pain relievers.

DESING

Longitudinal analyses.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

A total of 1824 adults aged ≥65 years from the Seniors-ENRICA II cohort (Spain).

METHODS

Multimorbidity was defined as having ≥2 diseases from a predefined list of 13 chronic conditions extracted from clinical records. Falls were self-reported and FoF was estimated using the Short Falls Efficacy Scale International. Adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated for the association between multimorbidity/duration of multimorbidity and incident falls/FoF using logistic regression models. The mediating effects of physical function, the use of sleeping pills, and pain relievers were explored using the Karlson Holm Breen method.

RESULTS

Multimorbidity was associated with a higher risk of falls (OR, 1.44; 95% CI, 1.14-1.82) and FoF (OR, 1.88; 95% CI, 1.48-2.39). Positive dose-response associations were found between the duration of multimorbidity and the risk of falls (P-trend = .003) and FoF (P-trend = .001). Physical function mediated 5.67% and 5.25% of these associations, respectively, and the use of sleeping pills explained a larger proportion of the associations (9.27% and 11.61%). Last, the mediation effect of pain relievers on the association between multimorbidity and falls was 3.05% and 9.31% in the multimorbidity-FoF association.

CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS

Multimorbidity was associated with a higher risk of falls/FoF among Spanish community-dwelling older adults. Use of sleeping pills was a relevant mediator, suggesting that interventions on sleep problems have the potential to reduce the burden of falls/FoF and their consequences among older adults with multimorbidity.

Incidence of Stroke in People With Diabetes Compared to Those Without Diabetes: A Systematic Review

BACKGROUND

One of the goals of the St. Vincent Declaration was to reduce serious complications of diabetes, including strokes. However, it remains uncertain whether this goal has been achieved.

STUDY AIM

To evaluate the incidence of stroke in the diabetic population and its differences regarding sex, ethnicity, age, and region, to compare the incidence rate in people with and without diabetes, and to investigate time trends.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A systematic review was conducted according to the guidelines for meta-analysis of observational studies in epidemiology (the MOOSE group) and the PRISMA group guidelines.

RESULTS

Nineteen of the 6.470 studies retrieved were included in the analysis. The incidence of stroke in the population with diabetes ranged from 238 per 100,000 person-years in Germany in 2014 to 1191 during the 1990s in the United Kingdom. The relative risk comparing people with diabetes to those without diabetes varied between 1.0 and 2.84 for total stroke, 1.0 and 3.7 for ischemic stroke, and 0.68 and 1.6 for hemorrhagic stroke. Differences between fatal and non-fatal stroke were significant, depending on the time period and the population. We found decreasing time trends in people with diabetes and stable incidence rates of stroke over time in people without diabetes.

CONCLUSION

The considerable differences between results can partly be explained by differences in study designs, statistical methods, definitions of stroke, and methods used to identify patients with diabetes. The lack of evidence arising from these differences ought to be rectified by new studies.

Temporal trend of first-ever ischaemic stroke incidence from 2010 to 2019 in South Korea: a nationwide retrospective cohort study

OBJECTIVE

Ischaemic stroke incidence is on the decline globally, but the trend in South Korea is unknown. In this study, the 10-year incidence trends of first-ever ischaemic stroke in South Korea were evaluated.

DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

The National Health Insurance Services medical claim data were used to construct 10 annual cohorts of adults aged 20 years and older, who had not been diagnosed with stroke, to find out the incidence trends of first-ever ischaemic stroke from 2010 to 2019.

OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary outcomes were crude and age-adjusted incidence rates for 10 years. Crude incidence rates of the age groups and incidence age statistics were calculated. For comparison among the income groups, age-adjusted incidence rates were used. Incidence rates in all the groups were analysed separately by sex.

RESULTS

Age-standardised incidence rates of ischaemic stroke per 100 000 were 101.0 in men, and 67.6 in women in 2010; and 92.2 in men, and 55.0 in women in 2019. By age group, there was a decrease in women over 40 years of age, and men over 60 years of age. The relative difference in stroke incidence rates between medical aid beneficiaries and the highest income group increased from 1.5 to 1.87 over 10 years.

CONCLUSIONS

Age-standardised incidence rate of ischaemic stroke has decreased from 2010 to 2019 for both man and women. The incidence rate was stable in the younger age groups and decreased in the older age groups, and the disparities between income groups have widened over the past decade. Stroke prevention strategies are needed for the younger age group and the low-income group. Further research is needed to study the risk factors contributing to the incidence of ischaemic stroke in different groups.

Tailored GuideLine Implementation in STrokE Rehabilitation (GLISTER) in Germany. Protocol of a Mixed Methods Study Using the Behavior Change Wheel and the Theoretical Domains Framework

Objective

Evidence-based guidelines are important for informing clinical decision-making and improving patient outcomes. There is inconsistent usage of guidelines among physical therapists involved in stroke rehabilitation, suggesting the existence of a gap between theory and practice. Addressing the German guideline "evidence-based rehabilitation of mobility after stroke (ReMoS)," the aims of this project are (1) to describe the current physical therapy practice within the context of stroke rehabilitation in Germany, (2) to evaluate barriers and facilitators of guideline usage, (3) to develop, and (4) to pilot test a theory-based, tailored implementation intervention for the benefit of guideline recommendations.

Materials and Methods

This study uses a stepwise mixed methods approach for implementing a local guideline. A self-reported online questionnaire will be used to survey the current physical therapy practice in stroke rehabilitation. The same survey and systematic-mixed methods review will be used to evaluate the barriers and facilitators of guideline usage quantitatively. Semi-structured interviews will add a qualitative perspective on factors that influence ReMoS guideline implementation. The Behavior Change Wheel and Theoretical Domains Framework will be used to support the development of a tailored implementation intervention which will be pilot tested in a controlled study. Patient and physical therapy-related outcomes, as well as the appropriateness, such as acceptance and feasibility of the tailored implementation intervention, will be analyzed.

Conclusion

This will be the first endeavor to implement a guideline in German stroke rehabilitation with a focus on changing care provider behavior based on the knowledge of current practice and determining factors using a tailored and theory-based intervention.

Temporal Trend of the Prevalence of Modifiable Risk Factors of Stroke: An Ecological Study of Brazilians between 2006 and 2012

Stroke is one of the leading causes of death worldwide, including in Brazil. This study aimed to analyze the temporal trend of the prevalence of modifiable risk factors of stroke from 2006 to 2012. This ecological study was conducted by secondary analysis in May 2018, using data from the surveillance of risk factors and protection for chronic diseases by telephone inquiry (VIGITEL) available in the Department of Informatics of the Unified Health System (DATASUS). The modifiable risk factors of stroke in Brazilians were systemic arterial hypertension, diabetes mellitus, abusive alcohol consumption, overweight, and obesity. Overall, there was a significant increase in the risk factors of diabetes (β = 0.30, P = 0.001, r2 = 0.99), overweight (β = 0.50, P = 0.002, r2 = 0.98), and obesity (β = 0.88, P < 0.001, r2 = 0.96). However, there was a stability in the prevalence of hypertension (β = 0.25, P = 0.320, r2 = 0.88) and alcohol abuse (β = 0.32, P = 0.116, r2 = 0.49). There was an increase in the prevalence of diabetes mellitus, overweight, and obesity, but stability in systemic arterial hypertension and abusive alcohol consumption in the Brazilian population.

Association of post-stroke-depression and health-related quality of life three months after the stroke event. Results from the Stroke Cohort Augsburg (SCHANA) study

Approximately one-third of patients with stroke show depressive symptoms. The so-called post-stroke depression (PSD) has a negative influence on mortality as well as physical and mental conditions. The aim of this study was to analyse the association between PSD and health-related quality of life (HRQOL) in patients with stroke. The analysis was based on data of 326 patients from the Stroke Cohort Augsburg (SCHANA Study) collected after the stroke event by interview and three months later using a postal survey. Depressive symptoms were measured with the Patient-Health Questionnaire (PHQ-9), subjective health status with the EuroQol 5D visual analogue scale (EQ-5D VAS), and HRQOL with the Stroke Impact Scale (SIS). Patients with depressive symptoms were compared to those without depressive symptoms in terms of sociodemographic characteristics and scores of the SIS and the EQ-5D VAS. Multiple linear regression models were calculated to investigate the association between PSD and subjective health status and HRQOL. Three months after the stroke, 17.8% of patients had depressive symptoms. Patients with PSD showed significantly worse SIS and EQ-5D VAS scores. In addition, an independent negative linear association between PSD and subjective health status and between PSD and all domains of SIS could be found. The study confirmed that PSD is common in patients with mild stroke and negatively related to all stroke-specific HRQOL domains. The results underline the importance of early screening for PSD in stroke patients since it may hinder a successful rehabilitation.

Sex Differences in Stroke Care and Outcome 2005-2018: Observations From the Swedish Stroke Register

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Previous studies of stroke management and outcome in Sweden have revealed differences between men and women. We aimed to analyze if differences in stroke incidence, care, and outcome have altered over time.

METHODS

All stroke events registered in the Swedish Stroke Register 2005 to 2018 were included. Background variables and treatment were collected during the acute hospital stay. Survival data were obtained from the national cause of death register by individual linkage. We used unadjusted proportions and estimated age-adjusted marginal means, using a generalized linear model, to present outcome.

RESULTS

We identified 335 183 stroke events and a decreasing incidence in men and women 2005 to 2018. Men were on average younger than women (73.3 versus 78.1 years) at stroke onset. The age-adjusted proportion of reperfusion therapy 2005 to 2018 increased more rapidly in women than in men (2.3%-15.1% in men versus 1.4%-16.9% in women), but in 2018, women still had a lower probability of receiving thrombolysis within 30 minutes. Among patients with atrial fibrillation, oral anticoagulants at discharge increased more rapidly in women (31.2%-78.6% in men versus 26.7%-81.9% in women). Statins remained higher in men (36.9%-83.7% in men versus 32.3%-81.2% in women). Men had better functional outcome and survival after stroke. After adjustment for women's higher age, more severe strokes, and background characteristics, the absolute difference in functional outcome was <1% and survival did not differ.

CONCLUSIONS

Stroke incidence, care, and outcome show continuous improvements in Sweden, and previously reported differences between men and women become less evident. More severe strokes and older age in women at stroke onset are explanations to persisting differences.

Temporal Trends in Stroke-Related Memory Change: Results From a US National Cohort 1998-2016

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Findings from the Framingham Heart Study suggest that declines in dementia incidence rates over recent decades are partially due to decreases in stroke incidence and mortality; however, whether trends of declining dementia rates extend to survivors of incident stroke remains unclear. We investigated evidence for temporal trends in memory change related to incident stroke in a nationally representative cohort.

METHODS

Adults age 50+ in the HRS (Health and Retirement Study) were followed across three successive 6-year epochs (epoch 1: 1998-2004, n=16 781; epoch 2: 2004-2010, n=15 345; and epoch 3: 2010-2016; n=15 949). Participants were included in an epoch if they were stroke-free at the start of that epoch. Annual rates of change in a composite z-standardized memory score were compared using demographic-adjusted linear regression models for stroke-free participants, those who survived after stroke, and those who died after stroke, considering memory change before stroke, at the time of stroke, and for years following stroke.

RESULTS

Crude stroke incidence rates decreased from 8.5 per 1000 person-years in epoch 1 to 6.8 per 1000 person-years in epoch 3. Rates of memory change before and following stroke onset were similar across epochs. Memory decrement immediately after stroke onset attenuated from -0.37 points (95% CI, -0.44 to -0.29) in epoch 1 to -0.26 (95% CI, -0.33 to -0.18) points in epoch 2 and -0.25 (95% CI, -0.33 to -0.17) points in epoch 3 (P value for linear trend=0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

Decreases in stroke-related dementia in recent years may be partially attributable to smaller memory decrements immediately after stroke onset. Findings suggest reductions in stroke incidence and improvements in stroke care may also reduce population burden of dementia. Further investigations into whether temporal trends are attributable to improvements in stroke care are needed.

Time trends in the risk of atrial fibrillation and ischaemic stroke in patients with peripheral artery disease between 1997 and 2015

Objective

The risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) and stroke in patients with peripheral artery disease (PAD) is an important issue that has not been investigated adequately. Our aim with the present study was to explore trends in the incidence of AF and stroke in patients with PAD.

Methods

We employed Danish nationwide registers to identify all patients with first-time diagnosis of PAD (aged ≥18 years) between 1997 and 2015. Age-standardised incidence rates per 1 000 person-years were calculated to estimate trends of AF and stroke. Risk of AF and stroke was estimated by 1 year cumulative incidence.

Results

A total of 121.241 patients with first-time diagnosis of PAD were identified. The 1-year cumulative incidence of AF in patients with PAD were 1.97% for year 1997–2000, 2.63% for year 2001–2005, 2.66% for year 2006–2010 and 2.78% for year 2011–2015, respectively. The 1-year cumulative incidence of stroke in patients with PAD were 2.71%, 2.71%, 1.95% and 1.81%, for the 1997–2000, 2001–2005, 2006–2010 and 2011–2015 year groups, respectively. Likewise, the age-standardised incidence rates showed increasing trends of AF during the study period, whereas trends of stroke demonstrated a decline. During study, the initiation of cholesterol-lowering agents and clopidogrel increased markedly from 7.0% to 51.3% and 0.1% to 5.9%, whereas use of warfarin slightly dropped from 4.29% to 3.21%.

Conclusions

The incidence of AF in patients with PAD has significantly increased over time, whereas a marked decline has occurred in the incidence of stroke. This may suggest that the secondary prevention strategies aimed at reducing risk of stroke are broadly effective.

Trends in cancer incidence and survival in the Augsburg study region-results from the Augsburg cancer registry

OBJECTIVES

Knowledge about time trends of cancer incidence and cancer survival in a defined region is an essential prerequisite for the planning of regional healthcare infrastructure. The aim of the study was to provide population-based analyses of all common tumour sites to assess the cancer burden in the Augsburg study region.

SETTING

Total population of the study region of Augsburg (668 522 residents), Southern Germany.

PARTICIPANTS

The data obtained from the Cancer Registry Augsburg comprised 37 487 incident cases of malignant tumours (19 313 men and 18 174 women) diagnosed between 2005 and 2016 in the Augsburg region's resident population.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES

We calculated sex-specific, age-standardised incidence rates and annual percent change to assess time trends. In men and in women, 3-year and 5-year relative survival was calculated and results were compared with the latest German estimates. Survival trends were presented for the most common cancers only.

RESULTS

Decreasing age-standardised incidence rates were observed for prostate cancer and for colorectal cancer in men. For oropharyngeal cancer, rates declined in men, but significantly increased in women. Incidence for female breast cancer remained stable. Five-year relative survival ranged between 6.4% (95% CI: 4.1% to 10.1%) for pancreatic cancer and 97.7% (95% CI: 96.0% to 99.4%) for prostate cancer in men and between 10.2% (95% CI: 7.1% to 14.6%) for pancreatic cancer and 96.6% (95% CI: 93.6% to 99.6%) for malignant melanoma in women. Trends in 3-year survival of the five most common tumour sites in men showed a significant increase for lung and oropharyngeal cancer. In women, continuously rising survival trends were observed for breast cancer.

CONCLUSIONS

Survival of cancer patients in the Augsburg study region was largely concordant with the situation in Germany as a whole, while incidence showed slight deviations in some cancer sites. Regional evaluations on cancer survival are a valuable instrument for identifying deficits and determining advances in oncological health management.

An Integrative Neuro-Psychotherapy Treatment to Foster the Adjustment in Acquired Brain Injury Patients-A Randomized Controlled Study

Adjustment disorders (AjD) with depressive symptoms following an acquired brain injury (ABI) is a common phenomenon. Although brain injuries are increasing more and more, research on psychological therapies is comparably scarce. The present study compared, by means of a randomized controlled trial (RCT), a newly developed integrative treatment (Standard PLUS) to a standard neuropsychological treatment (Standard). Primary outcomes were depressive symptoms assessed with the Beck Depression Inventory (BDI-II) at post-treatment and 6-month follow-up assessment. In total, 25 patients (80% after a stroke) were randomized to one of the two conditions. Intention-to-treat analyses showed that the two groups did not significantly differ either at post-treatment nor at follow-up assessment regarding depressive symptoms. Both treatments showed large within-group effect sizes on depressive symptoms. Regarding secondary outcomes, patients in the Standard PLUS condition reported more emotion regulation skills at post-assessment than in the control condition. However, this difference was not present anymore at follow-up assessment. Both treatments showed medium to large within-group effects sizes on most measures for patients suffering from an AjD after ABI. More research with larger samples is needed to investigate who profits from which intervention.

Incidence of Hospitalization for Stroke in Queensland, Australia: Younger Adults at Risk

BACKGROUND

Trends in the incidence of stroke are important for health care planning. Information is particularly scarce in Australia, due to the paucity of studies with access to recent, large-scale, longitudinal datasets. In this paper we investigated the incidence of hospitalization for stroke by sex, age, and subtype in the whole State of Queensland (Australia).

METHODS

We obtained data of all hospital admissions for stroke in Queensland from 2002 to 2015. Age standardized hospitalization rates for first-ever stroke were calculated along with WHO adjusted rates. Poisson regression analyses were conducted to investigate the influence of time and gender on the incidence of subtypes of stroke as well as the total incidence.

RESULTS

Admissions for first-ever stroke were 57,597. Crude hospitalization incidence rose from 87 (95% confidence interval [CI], 84-90) to 108 (95%CI, 105-111) for both sexes. The highest increase was in the age bands 40-49 from 33 (95%CI, 26-40) to 54 (95%CI, 46-62; +62%) and 50-59 from 82 (95%CI, 70-93) to 127 (95%CI, 114-140; +56%) in men and in 60-69 from 118 (95%CI, 100-136) to 159 (95%CI, 143-175; +34%) in women. Ischemic subtype rates appeared to increase more than haemorrhagic rates. Age range, sex, and year reliably predicted incidence rates.

CONCLUSIONS

If these trends are maintained, the data predict further increases, especially in males aged 40-59. With people apparently stroking earlier and mortality rates dropping, the healthcare system in Australia is faced with a rapidly increasing care burden.

[The investigation of health outcomes in the German National Cohort: the most relevant endpoints and their assessment]

The focus of the German National Cohort, the largest population-based cohort study in Germany to date, is the investigation of the most important widespread diseases, such as cardiovascular diseases, diabetes, cancer, neurological and psychiatric disorders, and frequent respiratory and infectious diseases. This cohort will answer questions on the development of these diseases and on the impact of genetic, environmental and lifestyle-related risk factors. Another focus is on the identification of early, subclinical markers of emerging diseases. To answer these questions, a comprehensive assessment of these health outcomes as well as of all potential determinants and precursors is mandatory.This paper describes the various health outcomes that are assessed in the German National Cohort, as well as the examination modules that are applied for deep phenotyping of study participants. Repeated collection of biosamples as well as functional measurements and application of modern imaging techniques at various time points allow for assessing the dynamics of physiological changes related to the individuals' health status. The prognostic value of these changes for disease development will be explored and translated to novel approaches for prevention and personalised medicine. Incident diseases are being assessed through self-reports by study participants and through record linkage with data from health insurances and cancer registries. Additional information about clinical diagnoses is obtained from the treating physicians to ensure the highest possible validity.

Maternal Race/Ethnicity, Hypertension, and Risk for Stroke During Delivery Admission

Background

Racial disparities contribute to maternal morbidity in the United States. Hypertension is associated with poor maternal outcomes, including stroke. Disparities in hypertension might contribute to maternal strokes.

Methods and Results

Using billing data from the Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project's National Inpatient Sample, we analyzed the effect of race/ethnicity on stroke during delivery admission in women aged 18 to 54 years delivering in US hospitals from January 1, 1998, through December 31, 2014. We categorized hypertension as normotensive, chronic hypertension, or pregnancy‐induced hypertension. Adjusted risk ratios (aRRs) and 95% CIs were calculated using log‐linear Poisson regression models, testing for interactions between race/ethnicity and hypertensive status. A total of 65 286 425 women were admitted for delivery during the study period, of whom 7764 were diagnosed with a stroke (11.9 per 100 000 deliveries). Hypertension modified the effect of race/ethnicity (P<0.0001 for interaction). Among women with pregnancy‐induced hypertension, black and Hispanic women had higher stroke risk compared with non‐Hispanic whites (blacks: aRR, 2.07; 95% CI, 1.86–2.30; Hispanics: aRR, 2.19; 95% CI, 1.98–2.43). Among women with chronic hypertension, all minority women had higher stroke risk (blacks: aRR, 1.71; 95% CI, 1.30–2.26; Hispanics: aRR, 1.75; 95% CI, 2.32–5.63; Asian/Pacific Islanders: aRR, 3.62; 95% CI, 2.32–5.63). Among normotensive women, only blacks had increased stroke risk (aRR, 1.17; 95% CI, 1.07–1.28).

Conclusions

Pregnant US women from minority groups had higher stroke risk during delivery admissions, compared with non‐Hispanic whites. The effect of race/ethnicity was larger in women with chronic hypertension or pregnancy‐induced hypertension. Targeting blood pressure management in pregnancy may help reduce maternal stroke risk in minority populations.

Income inequalities in stroke incidence and mortality: Trends in stroke-free and stroke-affected life years based on German health insurance data

Background

Due to substantial improvements in prevention and therapy, stroke incidence and mortality rates have decreased during the last decades, but evidence is still lacking on whether all socioeconomic groups benefited equally and how the length of life affected by stroke developed over time. Our study investigates time trends in stroke-free life years and life years affected by stroke. Special emphasis is given to the question whether trends differ between income groups, leading to decreasing or increasing social inequalities.

Methods

The analyses are based on claims data of a German statutory health insurance company of the two time periods 2006–2008 and 2014–2016. Income inequalities and time trends in incidence and mortality risks were estimated using multistate survival models. Trends in stroke-free life years and life years affected by stroke are analysed separately for income groups by applying multistate life table analyses.

Results

Stroke incidence and mortality risks decreased in men and women in all income groups. While stroke-free lifetime could be gained in men having higher incomes, improvements in mortality counterbalanced decreasing incidences, leading to increases in life years affected by stroke among men of the lower and higher income group. Among women, no significant changes in life years could be observed.

Conclusions

Changes in stroke-affected life years occur among men in all income groups, but are more pronounced in the higher income group. However, irrespective of the income group the proportion of stroke-affected life years remains quite stable over time, pointing towards constant inequalities. Further research is needed on whether impairments due to stroke reduced over time and whether all socioeconomic groups are affected equally.

Evaluation of adult stroke presentations at an Emergency Department in Queensland Australia

BACKGROUND

Stroke is a leading cause of mortality and morbidity which places high demands on emergency departments (EDs). Currently there is limited data on stroke presentations to Australian EDs and the time performance management of these presentations. Therefore, the aim of this study was to evaluate stroke presentations at an ED in Queensland, Australia in terms of demographics and time performance measures over a five year period.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis of ED presentations by patients ≥18 years with a final diagnosis of stroke between 1 July 2010 and 30 June 2015.

RESULTS

Over the five years there was a 51.4% increase in presentations diagnosed with stroke. The majority of these patients arrived by ambulance (71.0%) and were admitted (94.9%) with death in ED for 1.4% of presentations. From 2010 to 2015 for both haemorrhagic and ischaemic stroke there was a significant decrease in median LOS in ED (435 to 215 min, p < 0.05 and 451 to 238 min, p < 0.001 respectively) and in the proportion of patients in ED greater than four hours (82.4% to 44%, p < 0.05 and 92.4% to 45.8%,p < 0.0001 respectively).

CONCLUSION

Despite increased presentations of stroke, the ED improved in multiple time performance measures. Improving time-based targets in ED is particularly important for stroke presentations given the time critical nature of stroke management.