Five-year incidence and progression of diabetic retinopathy in a defined older population: the Blue Mountains Eye Study

Impact of anti-VEGF treatment on development of proliferative diabetic retinopathy in routine clinical practice

BACKGROUND

This study evaluated impact of anti-vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) treatment on proliferative diabetic retinopathy (PDR) development among patients with non-proliferative diabetic retinopathy (NPDR) in US real-world clinical practice.

METHODS

This was a retrospective analysis of electronic medical records (Vestrum Health; January 2013 to June 2019) of eyes with baseline NPDR, without DME, and naïve to anti-VEGF treatment at index DR diagnosis. Eyes that received anti-VEGF and/or laser treatment over the course of study before development of PDR constituted the treated cohort while the remaining including those treated with laser constituted the anti-VEGF naïve cohort. Survival analysis via Kaplan-Meier method evaluated time to DME and PDR development by baseline NPDR severity, with anti-VEGF treatment as censoring variable. Baseline factors affecting PDR development were analyzed using Cox multivariable regression, censoring for anti-VEGF treatment.

RESULTS

Among anti-VEGF-naive eyes, cumulative incidence of DME in eyes with mild (n = 70,050), moderate (n = 39,116), and severe NPDR (n = 10,692) at baseline was 27.1%, 51.2%, and 60.6%. Multivariable regression analysis identified baseline NPDR severity as the most significant predictor of PDR development over 48 months (hazard ratio [HR] [95% confidence interval {CI}] of 2.69 (2.65-2.72) for moderate vs mild NPDR and 6.51 (6.47-6.55) for severe vs mild NPDR). Cumulative incidence (95% CI) of PDR was 7.9% (7.4%-8.3%), 20.9%, (20.0%-21.7%) and 46.8% (44.4%-49.2%) over 48 months in eyes with mild, moderate, and severe NPDR at baseline, respectively. Among treated eyes with baseline severe NPDR, cumulative incidence of PDR at 48 months was 50.1% in eyes treated with laser (n = 546; HR [95% CI] vs no treatment: 0.8 [0.7-1.0]), 27.4% in eyes treated with anti-VEGF (n = 923; HR [95% CI]: 0.4 [0.4-0.5]), and 25.6% in eyes treated with anti-VEGF plus laser (n = 293; HR [95% CI]: 0.5 [0.4-0.7]) compared with 49.9% in eyes with no treatment (n = 8930).

CONCLUSIONS

DME and PDR development rates increased with increasing baseline NPDR severity. Approximately half of anti-VEGF‒naive eyes with severe NPDR progressed to PDR within 4 years in US clinical practice. The progression rate from severe NPDR to PDR was approximately halved with anti-VEGF versus no treatment.

Pharmacist-Managed Diabetic Retinopathy in Hispanic/LatinX Population

There are three major microvascular complications of diabetes, retinopathy, nephropathy, and neuropathy, among which diabetic retinopathy (DR) is the most common. Several studies suggest that the Hispanic/LatinX population exhibit the highest cases of both diabetes and DR. Strategies aimed at reducing risk factors that could minimize the likelihood of DR development or progression could be beneficial. This retrospective study assessed DR in the Hispanic/LatinX population in pharmacist-managed cardiovascular risk reduction services. A chart review was conducted for 60 individuals who visited clinics led by both a pharmacist and a primary care physician (intervention group) and 178 individuals who saw physicians only (control group). Demographics, metabolic parameters, DR severity, and pharmacist appointment data were collected. The highest benefit of pharmacist intervention was observed in terms of a greater but insignificant decrease in HbA1c; however, there was no benefit of pharmacist's intervention on DR in general, likely due to the longer duration of diabetes and higher HbA1c at the beginning of the study. When the DR progression was examined based on the frequency of pharmacy visits, individuals who met a pharmacist more than two times per year showed more stable and lesser worsening of DR. Overall, our studies suggest that pharmacist intervention could benefit retinopathy outcome; however, well-known determinants of DR such as good glycemic control and duration of diabetes still play a critical role, in addition to challenges in receiving healthcare by the Hispanic/LatinX population. Future strategies in a prospective manner could help retinopathy outcomes in these at-risk patient populations.

Present and future screening programs for diabetic retinopathy: a narrative review

Diabetes is a prevalent global concern, with an estimated 12% of the global adult population affected by 2045. Diabetic retinopathy (DR), a sight-threatening complication, has spurred diverse screening approaches worldwide due to advances in DR knowledge, rapid technological developments in retinal imaging and variations in healthcare resources.Many high income countries have fully implemented or are on the verge of completing a national Diabetic Eye Screening Programme (DESP). Although there have been some improvements in DR screening in Africa, Asia, and American countries further progress is needed. In low-income countries, only one out of 29, partially implemented a DESP, while 21 out of 50 lower-middle-income countries have started the DR policy cycle. Among upper-middle-income countries, a third of 59 nations have advanced in DR agenda-setting, with five having a comprehensive national DESP and 11 in the early stages of implementation.Many nations use 2-4 fields fundus images, proven effective with 80-98% sensitivity and 86-100% specificity compared to the traditional seven-field evaluation for DR. A cell phone based screening with a hand held retinal camera presents a potential low-cost alternative as imaging device. While this method in low-resource settings may not entirely match the sensitivity and specificity of seven-field stereoscopic photography, positive outcomes are observed.Individualized DR screening intervals are the standard in many high-resource nations. In countries that lacks a national DESP and resources, screening are more sporadic, i.e. screening intervals are not evidence-based and often less frequently, which can lead to late recognition of treatment required DR.The rising global prevalence of DR poses an economic challenge to nationwide screening programs AI-algorithms have showed high sensitivity and specificity for detection of DR and could provide a promising solution for the future screening burden.In summary, this narrative review enlightens on the epidemiology of DR and the necessity for effective DR screening programs. Worldwide evolution in existing approaches for DR screening has showed promising results but has also revealed limitations. Technological advancements, such as handheld imaging devices, tele ophthalmology and artificial intelligence enhance cost-effectiveness, but also the accessibility of DR screening in countries with low resources or where distance to or a shortage of ophthalmologists exists.

15-year incidence of driving cessation and associated risk factors: The Blue Mountains Eye Study

OBJECTIVES

To report the 15-year incidence of driving cessation and its associated vision-related risk factors in an older Australian population-based cohort.

STUDY DESIGN

15-year data from a sample of 2379 participants who indicated that they were driving at baseline from The Blue Mountains Eye Study was analysed. Questions about driving cessation was asked at all four visits and was recorded as a binary response (Yes/No). Clinical vision examinations were performed at each visit to determine presenting and best-corrected visual acuity and any incident eye diseases (Yes/No).

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The cumulative 15-year incidence of driving cessation was calculated using interval-censored data progression-free survival analyses. Age- and sex-adjusted and multivariable-adjusted interval-censored Cox proportional hazard models were used to report the hazard ratios (HRs) for associations of baseline and incident vision status with driving cessation.

RESULTS

The 15-year cumulative incidence of driving cessation amongst the 2379 participants was 20.7 %, with women more likely to cease driving than men (p = 0.0005). Cataract (HR 1.98 (95 % confidence interval(Cl) 1.45-2.71)) and age-related macular degeneration (HR 1.85 (95%Cl 1.37-2.50)) were associated with increased risk of driving cessation whilst presenting and best-corrected visual acuity in the better eye were protective against cessation (presenting: HR 0.96 (95%Cl 0.95-0.98); best-corrected: HR 0.93 (95%Cl 0.91-0.95)) in age- and sex-adjusted models, with these factors remaining independently associated in the multivariable-adjusted models.

CONCLUSION

Cumulative incidence of driving cessation increased with older age and was higher in females. Cataract and age-related macular degeneration were independently associated with cessation, whilst better visual acuity at baseline helped prolong driving.

Perspectives of diabetic retinopathy-challenges and opportunities

Diabetic retinopathy (DR) may lead to vision-threatening complications in people living with diabetes mellitus. Decades of research have contributed to our understanding of the pathogenesis of diabetic retinopathy from non-proliferative to proliferative (PDR) stages, the occurrence of diabetic macular oedema (DMO) and response to various treatment options. Multimodal imaging has paved the way to predict the impact of peripheral lesions and optical coherence tomography-angiography is starting to provide new knowledge on diabetic macular ischaemia. Moreover, the availability of intravitreal anti-vascular endothelial growth factors has changed the treatment paradigm of DMO and PDR. Areas of research have explored mechanisms of breakdown of the blood-retinal barrier, damage to pericytes, the extent of capillary non-perfusion, leakage and progression to neovascularisation. However, knowledge gaps remain. From this perspective, we highlight the challenges and future directions of research in this field.

Prognostic factors for the development and progression of proliferative diabetic retinopathy in people with diabetic retinopathy

BACKGROUND

Diabetic retinopathy (DR) is characterised by neurovascular degeneration as a result of chronic hyperglycaemia. Proliferative diabetic retinopathy (PDR) is the most serious complication of DR and can lead to total (central and peripheral) visual loss. PDR is characterised by the presence of abnormal new blood vessels, so-called "new vessels," at the optic disc (NVD) or elsewhere in the retina (NVE). PDR can progress to high-risk characteristics (HRC) PDR (HRC-PDR), which is defined by the presence of NVD more than one-fourth to one-third disc area in size plus vitreous haemorrhage or pre-retinal haemorrhage, or vitreous haemorrhage or pre-retinal haemorrhage obscuring more than one disc area. In severe cases, fibrovascular membranes grow over the retinal surface and tractional retinal detachment with sight loss can occur, despite treatment. Although most, if not all, individuals with diabetes will develop DR if they live long enough, only some progress to the sight-threatening PDR stage.  OBJECTIVES: To determine risk factors for the development of PDR and HRC-PDR in people with diabetes and DR.

SEARCH METHODS

We searched the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL; which contains the Cochrane Eyes and Vision Trials Register; 2022, Issue 5), Ovid MEDLINE, and Ovid Embase. The date of the search was 27 May 2022. Additionally, the search was supplemented by screening reference lists of eligible articles. There were no restrictions to language or year of publication.  SELECTION CRITERIA: We included prospective or retrospective cohort studies and case-control longitudinal studies evaluating prognostic factors for the development and progression of PDR, in people who have not had previous treatment for DR. The target population consisted of adults (≥18 years of age) of any gender, sexual orientation, ethnicity, socioeconomic status, and geographical location, with non-proliferative diabetic retinopathy (NPDR) or PDR with less than HRC-PDR, diagnosed as per standard clinical practice. Two review authors independently screened titles and abstracts, and full-text articles, to determine eligibility; discrepancies were resolved through discussion. We considered prognostic factors measured at baseline and any other time points during the study and in any clinical setting. Outcomes were evaluated at three and eight years (± two years) or lifelong.  DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: Two review authors independently extracted data from included studies using a data extraction form that we developed and piloted prior to the data collection stage. We resolved any discrepancies through discussion. We used the Quality in Prognosis Studies (QUIPS) tool to assess risk of bias. We conducted meta-analyses in clinically relevant groups using a random-effects approach. We reported hazard ratios (HR), odds ratios (OR), and risk ratios (RR) separately for each available prognostic factor and outcome, stratified by different time points. Where possible, we meta-analysed adjusted prognostic factors. We evaluated the certainty of the evidence with an adapted version of the GRADE framework.   MAIN RESULTS: We screened 6391 records. From these, we identified 59 studies (87 articles) as eligible for inclusion. Thirty-five were prospective cohort studies, 22 were retrospective studies, 18 of which were cohort and six were based on data from electronic registers, and two were retrospective case-control studies. Twenty-three studies evaluated participants with type 1 diabetes (T1D), 19 with type 2 diabetes (T2D), and 17 included mixed populations (T1D and T2D). Studies on T1D included between 39 and 3250 participants at baseline, followed up for one to 45 years. Studies on T2D included between 100 and 71,817 participants at baseline, followed up for one to 20 years. The studies on mixed populations of T1D and T2D ranged from 76 to 32,553 participants at baseline, followed up for four to 25 years.  We found evidence indicating that higher glycated haemoglobin (haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c)) levels (adjusted OR ranged from 1.11 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.93 to 1.32) to 2.10 (95% CI 1.64 to 2.69) and more advanced stages of retinopathy (adjusted OR ranged from 1.38 (95% CI 1.29 to 1.48) to 12.40 (95% CI 5.31 to 28.98) are independent risk factors for the development of PDR in people with T1D and T2D. We rated the evidence for these factors as of moderate certainty because of moderate to high risk of bias in the studies.  There was also some evidence suggesting several markers for renal disease (for example, nephropathy (adjusted OR ranged from 1.58 (95% CI not reported) to 2.68 (2.09 to 3.42), and creatinine (adjusted meta-analysis HR 1.61 (95% CI 0.77 to 3.36)), and, in people with T1D, age at diagnosis of diabetes (< 12 years of age) (standardised regression estimate 1.62, 95% CI 1.06 to 2.48), increased triglyceride levels (adjusted RR 1.55, 95% CI 1.06 to 1.95), and larger retinal venular diameters (RR 4.28, 95% CI 1.50 to 12.19) may increase the risk of progression to PDR. The certainty of evidence for these factors, however, was low to very low, due to risk of bias in the included studies, inconsistency (lack of studies preventing the grading of consistency or variable outcomes), and imprecision (wide CIs). There was no substantial and consistent evidence to support duration of diabetes, systolic or diastolic blood pressure, total cholesterol, low- (LDL) and high- (HDL) density lipoproteins, gender, ethnicity, body mass index (BMI), socioeconomic status, or tobacco and alcohol consumption as being associated with incidence of PDR. There was insufficient evidence to evaluate prognostic factors associated with progression of PDR to HRC-PDR.  AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS: Increased HbA1c is likely to be associated with progression to PDR; therefore, maintaining adequate glucose control throughout life, irrespective of stage of DR severity, may help to prevent progression to PDR and risk of its sight-threatening complications. Renal impairment in people with T1D or T2D, as well as younger age at diagnosis of diabetes mellitus (DM), increased triglyceride levels, and increased retinal venular diameters in people with T1D may also be associated with increased risk of progression to PDR. Given that more advanced DR severity is associated with higher risk of progression to PDR, the earlier the disease is identified, and the above systemic risk factors are controlled, the greater the chance of reducing the risk of PDR and saving sight.

Incidence, progression and regression of diabetic retinopathy in a northeastern Chinese population

AIM

To determine the incidence, progression and regression of diabetic retinopathy (DR), with corresponding risk factors, in a northeastern Chinese population of patients with type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

Among 2006 patients who completed baseline examinations in 2012-2013 and underwent re-examination after a mean interval of 21.2 months, 1392 patients with gradable fundus photographs for both baseline and follow-up examinations were included. Incidence was defined as new development of any DR among patients without DR at baseline. An increase of ≥2 scales (concatenating Early Treatment Diabetic Retinopathy Study levels of both eyes) in eyes with DR at baseline was defined as progression, while a reduction of ≥2 scales was defined as regression.

RESULTS

The age- and sex-standardised incidence, progression and regression were 5.8% (95% CI 4.7% to 6.9%), 26.8% (95% CI 24.8% to 28.8%) and 10.0% (95% CI 8.6% to 11.3%), respectively. In addition to poor blood glucose control, wider central retinal venular equivalent was associated with both incidence (relative risk (RR) 2.17, 95% CI 1.09 to 4.32, for ≥250 µm vs <210 µm) and progression (RR 2.00, 95% CI 1.02 to 3.96, for ≥250 µm vs <210 µm). Patients without insulin therapy (RR 0.64, 95% CI 0.43 to 0.97) and patients with wider central retinal arteriolar equivalent (RR 1.14, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.26, per 10 µm increase) were likely to exhibit DR regression.

CONCLUSION

We determined the incidence, progression and regression of DR among northeastern Chinese patients with type 2 diabetes. Retinal vessel diameters, in addition to blood glucose level, influence the natural evolution of DR.

Cardiac autonomic neuropathy predicts diabetic retinopathy progression in Asian population with type 2 diabetes mellitus

PURPOSE

To investigate the role of cardiac autonomic neuropathy (CAN), vascular condition, and sensory function in diabetic retinopathy (DR) progression.

METHODS

This 3-year cohort study conducted in a community hospital included 4850 patients over 20 with type 2 diabetes mellitus. Participants were assessed in 2017 at baseline and were followed up in 2020. Patients were divided into two groups based on whether they had DR progression or not and were compared using the chi-square test or two-sample t-test. Beta coefficient and odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence intervals were calculated using binary logistic regression. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve of various independent variables for DR progression was provided with C-statistics.

RESULTS

Abnormal hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) level/variation, estimated glomerular filtration rate, urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio, R-R interval variation, standard deviation of the average NN intervals, autonomic nervous system function, power of high-frequency (HF) bands, balance, cardio-ankle vascular index (CAVI), and warm stimulation (WS) were associated with DR progression. Average HbA1c, HF, and proliferative diabetic retinopathy were independent factors for patients developing DR progression. The top three areas under the curve of ROCs were HF + baseline DR grading, WS + baseline DR grading, and CAVI + baseline DR grading. These variable combinations were the most reliable predictors of DR progression.

CONCLUSION

CAN, abnormal vascular condition, and sensory function are associated with DR progression. The combination of HF, WS, and CAVI with baseline DR grading provides the most accurate predictive model for DR progression. Early detection of these factors is important to prevent DR progression.

The Amelioration of Detrimental Biochemical Anomalies by Supplementing B, C, and E Vitamins in Subjects with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus May Reduce the Rate of Development of Diabetic Retinopathy

Excessive intracellular glucose in insulin-independent tissues including nerve, nephron, lens, and retina invites mishandling of metabolism of glucose resulting in a background of increased oxidative stress, advanced glycation end products (AGE) formation, lipid peroxidation, and failure of antioxidant defense systems in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). All these detrimental biochemical anomalies ultimately attack biological membranes and especially capillary beds of the retina, resulting in the breakdown of the inner blood-retinal barrier and the initiation of diabetic retinopathy (DR). If these disarrays are corrected to a large extent, the development of DR can be avoided or delayed. In this prospective clinical trial, 185 patients with T2DM who received B vitamins, vitamin C, and vitamin E along with antidiabetic medication for five years demonstrated a slower rate of the development of DR and reduced abnormal biochemical mediators like reactive oxygen species (ROS), malondialdehyde (MDA), AGE, and vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) compared to 175 T2DM individuals who were treated with only antihyperglycemic drugs.

Incidence of diabetic retinopathy in newly diagnosed subjects with type 2 diabetes mellitus over 5 years: Contribution of Β-cell function

AIMS

Identifying and modulating risk factors is essential to prevent visual impairment due to diabetic retinopathy (DR). This study examines incident DR with metabolic and hormonal factors in newly-diagnosed, treatment naïve, individuals with Type2 Diabetes Mellitus (T2DM), over a 5 year period from diagnosis.

METHODS

233 T2DM subjects underwent serial DR screening using digital photography and standardised Meal Tolerance Tests at diagnosis and after 1, 2 and 5 years. Subjects (179) with no DR throughout the 5-year study period were compared with those who developed DR (54).

RESULTS

Of 233 subjects, 54(23.2%) developed DR by 5 years, background DR in 50(93%) and exudative maculopathy in 4(7%) individuals. Of these subjects, 12(22%) developed DR after 1 year, 15(28%) after 2 years and 27(50%) after 5 years. At baseline, those with DR at 5 years had higher HbA_1c (p = 0.017), higher fasting plasma glucose (PG) (p = 0.031) and postprandial PG (p = 0.009). They were associated with reduced basal β-cell secretory function (M₀) (p = 0.025), lower (p = 0.000) postprandial β-cell responsiveness (M₁) and β-cell function (HOMA-B) (p = 0.044).

CONCLUSIONS

There is an independent association between glycaemic control and β-cell dysfunction at the time of diagnosis of T2DM, with incident DR over a follow-up period of 5 years.

Retinopathy among Adult Diabetics and Its Predictors in Northwest Ethiopia

BACKGROUND

Diabetic retinopathy is the leading cause of blindness among working-aged adults worldwide, including developing countries such as Ethiopia, and the burden of diabetes-related blindness is undeniably posing a massive challenge to the health care system. Diabetes and its micro- and macrovascular complications are becoming more prevalent among Ethiopian diabetics. For that reason, the purpose of this study was to assess the incidence of diabetic retinopathy and its predictors among diabetics in Ethiopia.

METHODS

A hospital-based retrospective cohort study was conducted using 494 randomly selected diabetics aged above 18 years at Felege Hiwot Comprehensive Specialized Hospital from 2011 through 2014 and was followed until December 2019. The preliminary and longitudinal data was abstracted into demographics, clinical, and physiological attributes using a standardized structured questionnaire. The collected data was entered into the system using EpiData version 4.2 and analyzed using STATA version 14.0. The survival experience of the patients was assessed using the Kaplan-Meier survivor function. The predictors of diabetic retinopathy were identified by the Cox proportional hazard model. Bivariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazard models were computed, and variables having a P value of < 0.05 in the multivariable Cox proportional hazard model were declared as significant predictors of diabetic retinopathy.

RESULTS

During the follow-up, the overall incidence rate of diabetic retinopathy was 48 per 1000 person-years (95% CI: 40.0-57.0). Age in years (AHR 1.02; 95% CI: 1.00-1.04), fasting blood sugar level (AHR 1.02; 1.00-1.04), hypertension (AHR 2.61; 95% CI: 1.47-4.63), DM patients who had LDL > 100 mg/dl (AHR 2.73; 95% CI: 1.32-5.64), total cholesterol > 200 mg/dl (AHR 2.22; 95% CI: 1.08-4.55), and positive proteinuria (AHR 1.74; 95% CI: 1.10 -2.73) were found to be the significant predictors of diabetic retinopathy.

CONCLUSION

The overall incidence rate of diabetic retinopathy was found to be high in both type 1 and type 2 DM. Age, fasting blood sugar levels, hypertension, proteinuria, dyslipidemia, and high systolic blood pressure were all predictors of the development of diabetic retinopathy. Controlling glycemia, dyslipidemia, proteinuria, and blood pressure is critical for halting the progression of diabetic retinopathy.

Barriers and facilitators to diabetic retinopathy screening within Australian primary care

Background

Despite recent incentives through Medicare (Australia’s universal health insurance scheme) to increase retinal screening rates in primary care, comprehensive diabetic retinopathy (DR) screening has not been reached in Australia. The current study aimed to identify key factors affecting the delivery of diabetic retinopathy (DR) screening in Australian general practices.

Methods

A descriptive qualitative study involving in-depth interviews was carried out from November 2019 to March 2020. Using purposive snowballing sampling, 15 general practitioners (GPs) were recruited from urban and rural general practices in New South Wales and Western Australia. A semi-structured interview guide was used to collect data from participants. All interviews were conducted over the phone by one facilitator, and each interview lasted up to 45 min. The Socio-Ecological Model was used to inform the content of the interview topic guides and subsequent data analysis. Recorded data were transcribed verbatim, and thematic analysis was conducted to identify and classify recurrent themes.

Results

Of 15 GPs interviewed, 13 were male doctors, and the mean age was 54.7 ± 15.5 years. Seven participants were practising in urban areas, while eight were practising in regional or remote areas. All participants had access to a direct ophthalmoscope, but none owned retinal cameras. None of the participants reported performing DR screening. Only three participants were aware of the Medicare Benefits Schedule (MBS) items 12,325 and 12,326 that allow GPs to bill for retinal screening. Seven themes, a combination of facilitators and barriers, emerged from interviews with the GPs. Despite the strong belief in their role in managing chronic diseases, barriers such as costs of retinal cameras, time constraints, lack of skills to make DR diagnosis, and unawareness of Medicare incentives for non-mydriatic retinal photography made it difficult to conduct DR screening in general practice. However, several enabling strategies to deliver DR screening within primary care include increasing GPs’ access to continuing professional development, subsidising the cost of retinal cameras, and the need for a champion ace to take the responsibility of retinal photography.

Conclusion

This study identified essential areas at the system level that require addressing to promote the broader implementation of DR screening, in particular, a nationwide awareness campaign to maximise the use of MBS items, improve GPs’ competency, and subsidise costs of the retinal cameras for small and rural general practices.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12875-021-01586-7.

Incidence of Proliferative Diabetic Retinopathy and Other Neovascular Sequelae at 5 Years Following Diagnosis of Type 2 Diabetes

OBJECTIVE

To determine the incidence and risk factors for developing proliferative diabetic retinopathy (PDR), tractional retinal detachment (TRD), and neovascular glaucoma (NVG) at 5 years after the initial diagnosis of type 2 diabetes.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Insured patients aged ≥18 years with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes and 5 years of continuous enrollment were identified from a nationwide commercial claims database containing data from 2007 to 2015. The incidences of PDR, TRD, and NVG were computed at 5 years following the index diagnosis of type 2 diabetes. Associations between these outcomes and demographic, socioeconomic, and medical factors were tested with multivariable logistic regression.

RESULTS

At 5 years following the initial diagnosis of type 2 diabetes, 1.74% (1,249 of 71,817) of patients had developed PDR, 0.25% of patients had developed TRD, and 0.14% of patients had developed NVG. Insulin use (odds ratio [OR] 3.59, 95% CI 3.16-4.08), maximum HbA1c >9% or >75 mmol/mol (OR 2.10, 95% CI 1.54-2.69), renal disease (OR 2.68, 95% CI 2.09-3.42), peripheral circulatory disorders (OR 1.88, 95% CI 1.25-2.83), neurological disease (OR 1.62, 95% CI 1.24-2.11), and older age (age 65-74 years) at diagnosis (OR 1.62, 95% CI 1.28-2.03) were identified as risk factors for development of PDR at 5 years. Young age (age 18-23 years) at diagnosis (OR 0.46, 95% CI 0.29-0.74), Medicare insurance (OR 0.60, 95% CI 0.70-0.76), morbid obesity (OR 0.72, 95% CI 0.59-0.87), and smoking (OR 0.84, 95% CI 0.70-1.00) were identified as protective factors.

CONCLUSIONS

A subset of patients with type 2 diabetes develop PDR and other neovascular sequelae within the first 5 years following the diagnosis with type 2 diabetes. These patients may benefit from increased efforts for screening and early intervention.

Risk Factors for Progression to Referable Diabetic Eye Disease in People With Diabetes Mellitus in Auckland, New Zealand: A 12-Year Retrospective Cohort Analysis

PURPOSE

To evaluate the prevalence and risk factors for the development of any and referable diabetic eye disease in a multi-ethnic New Zealand population with diabetes mellitus attending a regional retinal screening service.

METHODS

Retrospective observational cohort study of people living with diabetes who attended the Auckland Regional Diabetic Retinal Screening Programme 2006-2018 inclusive (n = 41,786).

RESULTS

Any retinopathy/maculopathy was present at first screening for 48.2% [95% confidence interval (CI): 45.8%-50.6%] / 37.8% (95% CI: 35.5%- 40.1%) of people with Type 1 and 25% (95% CI: 24.6%-25.4%) / 21.9% (95% CI: 21.5%-22.3%) with Type 2 diabetes. Referable retinopathy at baseline screening was 4.4% (95% CI: 3.6%-5.3%) and 1.6% (95% CI: 1.5%-1.7%) among people with Type 1 and Type 2 diabetes mellitus, respectively. After 4 years, cumulative incidence for referable retinopathy /referable maculopathy was 12/36 per 1000 people with Type 1 and 2.4/16 per 1000 people with Type 2 diabetes. Independent hazards for disease progression varied for the diabetes cohort types but baseline grade, duration of diabetes, and HbA1c were common to all.

CONCLUSIONS

Referable diabetic eye disease at the first screening and after 4 years of follow-up is uncommon. Lengthening of the screening intervals for people with no or mild diabetic eye disease at first screening assessment could be considered.

Synergy between the pay-for-performance scheme and better physician-patient relationship might reduce the risk of retinopathy in patients with type 2 diabetes

AIMS/INTRODUCTION

This study investigated whether participation by patients with type 2 diabetes in Taiwan's pay-for-performance (P4P) program and maintaining good continuity of care (COC) with their healthcare provider reduced the likelihood of future complications, such as retinopathy.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The analysis used longitudinal panel data for newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes from the National Health Insurance claims database in Taiwan. COC was measured annually from 2003 to 2013, and was used to allocate the patients to low, medium and high groups. Cox regression analysis was used with time-dependent (time-varying) covariates in a reduced model (with only P4P or COC), and the full model was adjusted with other covariates.

RESULTS

Despite the same significant effects of treatment at primary care, the Diabetes Complications Severity Index scores were significantly associated with the development of retinopathy. After adjusting for these, the hazard ratios for developing retinopathy among P4P participants in the low, medium and high COC groups were 0.594 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.398-0.898, P = 0.012), 0.676 (95% CI 0.520-0.867, P = 0.0026) and 0.802 (95% CI 0.603-1.030, P = 0.1062), respectively. Thus, patients with low or median COC who participated in the P4P program had a significantly lower risk of retinopathy than those who did not.

CONCLUSIONS

Diabetes care requires a long-term relationship between patients and their care providers. Besides encouraging patients to participate in P4P programs, health authorities should provide more incentives for providers or patients to regularly survey patients' lipid profiles and glucose levels, and reward the better interpersonal relationship to prevent retinopathy.

Differential associations between body mass index with diabetes and vision-threatening diabetic retinopathy in an adult Chinese population

PURPOSE

To investigate the associations between body mass index (BMI) with diabetes mellitus (DM) and vision-threatening diabetic retinopathy (VTDR).

METHODS

This was a longitudinal study which included DM-free participants aged ≥40 years from the Lingtou Eye Cohort Study at baseline (2008-2010). Physical and ocular examinations were performed at baseline and annual follow-ups under standardised protocol. Two 45° non-mydriatic colour digital retinal photographs were obtained for each eye at all study visits, and presence of VTDR at the 2016 follow-up was graded by a deep-learning algorithm (LableMe) with proved high accuracy for detection of VTDR.

RESULTS

A total of 2934 participants were included with a mean (SD) age of 59.5 (7.3) years (58.3% men). Participants with incident DM (441/2934, 15%) were significantly older (p<0.001), had higher obesity levels (p<0.001), higher systolic blood pressure (SBP) (p<0.001), diastolic blood pressure (p<0.001), fasting plasma glucose (FPG) (p<0.001), triglycerides (p=0.002) and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (p<0.001), as compared with those without. Participants with incident VTDR (48/2934, 1.63%) were also older (p<0.001), had higher SBP (p=0.013) and FPG (p<0.001), but did not differ in baseline BMI, comparing with those without. Regression analysis showed that higher baseline BMI was significantly related to incident DM (p<0.005), but not incident VTDR, during the follow-up. Subgroup analysis among participants with incident DM also revealed no association between BMI and VTDR.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher baseline BMI increased the risk of incident DM, but was not related to the risk of VTDR in this adult Chinese population.

Incidence of Diabetic Retinopathy and Its Predictors Among Newly Diagnosed Type 1 and Type 2 Diabetic Patients: A Retrospective Follow-up Study at Tertiary Health-care Setting of Ethiopia

BACKGROUND

With an increasing number of diabetes patients in developing countries, the burden of diabetes-related blindness is undoubtedly posing a massive challenge to the sustainable health care system due to the cost of care. Despite this fact, to date, most of the epidemiological research on diabetic retinopathy (DR) in eastern Africa, including Ethiopia, has been limited to survey studies. Thus, we determined the incidence of retinopathy and its predictors among diabetic patients in Jimma University Medical Center, Southwest Ethiopia.

METHODS

A retrospective follow-up study was conducted on 402 randomly selected diabetic patients of aged ≥15 years. A preliminary reviewed checklist was used to obtain information on the demographics, clinical and physiological attributes. Data were entered using EpiData version 4.6 and analyzed using Stata version 14. All variables at P-values less than 0.2 in bivariable analysis were exported to multivariable analysis. Multivariable accelerated failure time (AFT) regression analyses using Weibull distribution were used to examine the predictors of DR at a 5% level of significance.

RESULTS

Throughout a median follow-up period of 5.9 years, the cumulative incidence of DR was 20.15% (95%CI: 16.50-24.37) and the incidence rate was 36.9 per 1000 person years (PY) (95%CI: 29.7-45.9). Multivariable Weibull AFT regression analyses showed that type two diabetes mellitus (T2DM) (adjusted time ratio (ATR) 0.4095%CI: 0.20-0.78), hypertension (HTN) (ATR 0.54; 95%CI: [0.35, 0.82]), low high density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) (ATR 0.51; 95%CI: 0.36-0.73), and borderline high total cholesterol (TC) (ATR 0.63; 95%CI: 0.42-0.94) were a predictor of time to DR.

CONCLUSION

The overall incidence of DR among patients with diabetes mellitus was estimated to be 20.15% and is becoming a public health burden in Ethiopia. Our results indicate that T2DM, HTN, low HDL-C and borderline high TC independently predicts an increased incidence/decreased survival time of retinopathy among diabetes patients. The low HDL-C, HTN, and high TC are modifiable risk factors that should be managed along with diabetes.

High-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol in Age-Related Ocular Diseases

There is limited understanding of the specific role of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) in the development of various age-related ocular diseases, despite it being a common measurable biomarker in lipid profiles. This literature review summarizes current knowledge of the role of HDL-C, if any, in pathogenesis and progression of four age-related ocular diseases, namely age-related macular degeneration (AMD), age-related cataract, glaucoma, and diabetic retinopathy (DR), and will primarily discuss epidemiological and genetic evidence.

Long-Term Tea Consumption Is Associated with Reduced Risk of Diabetic Retinopathy: A Cross-Sectional Survey among Elderly Chinese from Rural Communities

AIM

To investigate the association between variables related to tea consumption (duration, frequency, and type) and the risk of diabetic retinopathy.

METHODS

A rural community-based, cross-sectional survey was conducted in Weitang Town, Suzhou, China. People aged 60 years or above were invited to complete the survey. All eligible patients underwent detailed eye examination. Diabetic retinopathy (DR) was diagnosed and graded based on the retinal fundus imaging. Diabetes was defined as fasting glucose concentrations of ≥7.0 mmol/L or self-reported diagnosis of diabetes. Information about tea consumption such as duration, type, and frequency, together with demographics and lifestyle characteristics, were collected using a face-to-face questionnaire interview. The association between tea consumption and the risk of DR was determined by univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses.

RESULTS

Among the 5,281 participants, 614 had diabetes mellitus (prevalence of 11.63%). The prevalence rate of DR was 10.38% in the diabetic population and 1.04% in the general population. Compared with non-tea consumers, the crude OR values for DR in subjects with long-term and short-term tea consumption were 0.34 (95%CI = 0.14-0.82, p = 0.016) and 1.64 (95%CI = 0.74-3.64, p = 0.221), respectively. When adjusted for age, gender, and other confounders, consumption of tea for ≥20 years was associated with reduced odds of DR (OR = 0.29, 95%CI = 0.09-0.97, p = 0.044). Thus, long-term tea consumption was significantly associated with a lower risk of DR. There was no statistical significance between frequency or type of tea consumption with DR (p > 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Elderly diabetic Chinese residents who consumed tea for more than twenty years had a lower risk of DR compared to non-tea consumers. The long-term tea consumption may be an independent protective factor for DR. However, further studies are warranted to examine the association.

Increased Expression of Ecto-NOX Disulfide-thiol Exchanger 1 (ENOX1) in Diabetic Mice Retina and its Involvement in Diabetic Retinopathy Development

BACKGROUND/AIM

Diabetic retinopathy (DR) is a type of retinal damage caused by a complication of diabetes and is a major cause of blindness in working-age adults. Ecto-NOX disulfide-thiol exchanger 1 (ENOX1) is a member of the ecto-NOX family involved in the plasma membrane electron transport pathway. This study aimed to investigate the role of ENOX1 in the development of DR.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Human retinal endothelial cells (HRECs) and human retinal pigment epithelial cells (HREpiCs) exposed to a high concentration (25 mM) of D-glucose and type 2 diabetes (T2D) mice (+Lepr^db/+Lepr^db, db/db) with retinopathy were used as models to determine the ENOX1 expression levels there.

RESULTS

Our results showed that ENOX1 expression levels did not significantly change in both HRECs and HREpiCs under hyperglycemic conditions for 48 h. Nevertheless, ENOX1 expression increased significantly in T2D mouse retinas, particularly in the photoreceptor layer, compared to the control mouse retinas.

CONCLUSION

Different retinal ENOX1 expression in T2D mice and control mice suggested that ENOX1 may be involved in DR development.

Incidence of sight-threatening diabetic retinopathy in people with Type 2 diabetes mellitus and numbers needed to screen: a systematic review

AIM

To investigate the incidence of sight-threatening diabetic retinopathy in Type 2 diabetes mellitus.

BACKGROUND

In most countries, yearly or biennial screening intervals for diabetic retinopathy in people with Type 2 diabetes are recommended. Fewer screening sessions reduce the effort required of people with Type 2 diabetes and reduce healthcare costs.

METHODS

We conducted a search of PubMed, Embase, Web of Science and the COCHRANE Library for studies published betweeen 1 January 2000 and 1 January 2017. Eligible studies were those that included general populations of >100 people with Type 2 diabetes mellitus. Additional study population criteria were absence of moderate diabetic retinopathy or more severe diabetic retinopathy at last screening session and at least two gradable retinal screening sessions. Outcomes of interest in the included studies were moderate and severe non-proliferative diabetic retinopathy (R2), proliferative diabetic retinopathy (R3) or maculopathy (M1), collectively known as sight-threatening or referable diabetic retinopathy.

RESULTS

A total of 17 studies were included. In people with Type 2 diabetes without or with only mild diabetic retinopathy at baseline, the average incidence rates of sight-threatening diabetic retinopathy were ~1 per 100 person-years and ~8 per 100 person-years, respectively. The average numbers needed to screen to detect one case of sight-threatening diabetic retinopathy were 175 and 19 in people without and with mild retinopathy at last screening, respectively.

CONCLUSION

In people with Type 2 diabetes without retinopathy at last screening, the incidence of severe sight-threatening retinopathy at the subsequent screening session was low. In people with mild retinopathy, progression to sight-threatening diabetic retinopathy was nearly 10-fold higher. This review supports lengthening of the screening interval of patients with Type 2 diabetes without retinopathy at last screening session.

Loss of Response Gene to Complement 32 (RGC-32) in Diabetic Mouse Retina Is Involved in Retinopathy Development

Diabetic retinopathy (DR) is a severe and recurrent microvascular complication in diabetes. The multifunctional response gene to complement 32 (RGC-32) is involved in the regulation of cell cycle, proliferation, and apoptosis. To investigate the role of RGC-32 in the development of DR, we used human retinal microvascular endothelial cells under high-glucose conditions and type 2 diabetes (T2D) mice (+Lepr^db/ + Lepr^db, db/db). The results showed that RGC-32 expression increased moderately in human retinal endothelial cells under hyperglycemic conditions. Histopathology and RGC-32 expression showed no significant changes between T2D and control mice retina at 16 and 24 weeks of age. However, RGC-32 expression was significantly decreased in T2D mouse retina compared to the control group at 32 weeks of age, which develop features of the early clinical stages of DR, namely reduced retinal thickness and increased ganglion cell death. Moreover, immunohistochemistry showed that RGC-32 was predominantly expressed in the photoreceptor inner segments of control mice, while the expression was dramatically lowered in the T2D retinas. Furthermore, we found that the level of anti-apoptotic protein Bcl-2 was decreased (approximately 2-fold) with a concomitant increase in cleaved caspase-3 (approximately 3-fold) in T2D retina compared to control. In summary, RGC-32 may lose its expression in T2D retina with features of DR, suggesting that it plays a critical role in DR pathogenesis.

Relationship between dyslipidemia and diabetic retinopathy: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The association between serum lipids and diabetic retinopathy (DR) was controversial. Therefore, we performed a meta-analysis to evaluate the relationship between triglycerides (TG), serum total cholesterol (TC), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), and DR.

METHODS

A systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies was carried out to explore the association between serum lipids and DR. Studies related were initially indentified by searching PubMed, Cochrane Library, and Elsevier databases through June, 2017. Then a manual retrieval was also performed. RevMan 5.3 software was used to calculate the pooled mean differences (MDs) and related 95% confidence intervals (CIs). To test the stability of the final results, a sensitivity analysis was also performed.

RESULTS

A total of 7 studies were included in this meta-analysis. When compared with the controls, the DR cases did not show significantly higher TG levels (MD 9.18 mg/dL, 95%CI -4.14 to 22.49, P = .18), higher TC levels (MD 3.77 mg/dL, 95%CI: -2.45 to 9.98, P = .24), as well as lower HDL-C levels (MD -1.14 mg/dL, 95%CI: -2.43 to 0.15, P = .08). But slightly higher LDL-C levels were observed (MD 3.74 mg/dL, 95%CI: 0.13-7.35, P = .04). In addition, whether serum lipids involved in the progression of DR were relatively unexplored, but fenofibrate was confirmed to benefit the DR cases.

CONCLUSIONS

Based on recent published data, we did not find obvious differences in TG, TC, and HDL-C levels between patients with DR and without DR. However, slightly higher LDL-C levels were observed in the DR cases.

High levels of circulating endothelial progenitor cells in patients with diabetic retinopathy are positively associated with ARHGAP22 expression

Diabetic retinopathy (DR) is a common microvascular complication of diabetes. Circulating endothelial progenitor cells (EPCs) are derived from bone marrow and are characterized by pathological retinal neovascularization. Rho GTPase Activating Protein 22 (ARHGAP22) is a DR susceptibility gene that interacts with its downstream regulatory protein ras-related C3 botulinum toxin substrate 1 (Rac1), to assist in endothelial cell angiogenesis and increasing capillary permeability. The aim of this study was to elucidate the relationship between ARHGAP22 expression and EPC levels in type 2 diabetes (T2D) patients with DR. Fifty T2D patients with DR were recruited. Circulating EPCs were characterized as CD31⁺/vascular endothelial growth factor-2⁺/CD45^dim/CD133⁺ and were quantified using triple staining flow cytometry. Real-time polymerase chain reaction tests were used to quantify ARHGAP22 expression. We found that T2D patients with proliferative DR had significantly lower EPC levels than those with non-proliferative DR (P = 0.028). T2D patients with EPC levels above the median value (> 4 cells/10⁵ events) had higher levels of ARHGAP22 expression (P = 0.002). EPC levels were positively correlated with ARHGAP22 expression (r = 0.364, P = 0.009). Among T2D patients with DR, a higher expression of ARHGAP22 was associated with higher levels of EPCs. ARHGAP22 may be involved in the mobilization or active circulation of EPCs, thus contributing to neovascularization during DR development.

The Beijing Desheng Diabetic Eye Study: rationale, design, methodology and baseline data

AIM

To present the rationale, design, methodology, and the baseline data of the Beijing Desheng Diabetic Eye Study (BDDES), and to determine the prevalence of diabetic retinopathy (DR) and possible risk factors in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in an urban community of Beijing, China.

METHODS

Community-based prospective cohort study of persons diagnosed with T2DM aged 30y or older. The main variables of interest are the presence and progression of DR as determined by the standardized ETDRS grading of seven fields fundus photographs. The presence and severity of DR were analyzed for possible correlations to non-genetic and genetic dispositions.

RESULTS

A total of 1438 participants with data available for analysis, the prevalence of any DR was 35.4%. The prevalence of mild non-proliferative diabetic retinopathy (NPDR), moderate NPDR, severe NPDR, and proliferative diabetic retinopathy was 27.7%, 2.6%, 0.5% and 4.5%, respectively. By multiple logistic regression analysis, risk factors for the presence of any DR included male (P=0.031), lower income level (P=0.011), lower education background (P=0.022), longer duration of diabetes (P=0.001), younger age at diabetic onset (P=0.001), higher systolic blood pressure (P=0.007), higher glycosylated hemoglobin A1c levels (P=0.001), high albuminuria (P=0.03), and use of insulin (P<0.001). For vision-threatening DR, four factors were significant: younger age at diabetic onset (P<0.001), higher systolic blood pressure (P=0.042), high albuminuria (P<0.001), and use of insulin (P<0.001).

CONCLUSION

The BDDES is the first large-scale ongoing cohort study of a Chinese urban population of persons with type 2 diabetes. Using standardized grading system comparable to large cohort studies from western populations, our baseline data shows that the prevalence of DR and major risk factors in this Chinese ethnic population are comparable to that found in the western population studies.

Ophthalmic and clinical factors that predict four-year development and worsening of diabetic retinopathy in type 1 diabetes

AIMS

To investigate the role of ophthalmic imaging markers - namely retinal thickness measures and corneal nerve morphology - in predicting four-year development and worsening of diabetic retinopathy (DR) in type 1 diabetes (T1DM).

METHODS

126 eyes of 126 participants with T1DM were examined at baseline and after four years. Diabetic retinopathy (DR) was graded using the Early Treatment Diabetic Retinopathy Study scale. HbA_1c, nephropathy, neuropathy, cardiovascular factors, and retinal thickness using optical coherence tomography (OCT) and corneal nerve fiber length (CNFL) using corneal confocal microscopy at baseline were assessed by univariate and step-wise multiple logistic regression, and their diagnostic capabilities for single and combined measures.

RESULTS

Four-year development of DR was 19% (13 of 68 without DR at baseline). Worsening of DR was seen in 43% (25 of 58 with DR at baseline). When adjusted for potential confounders, a lower CNFL (AUC=0.637, p=0.040, 64% sensitivity and 64% specificity at 14.9mm/mm² cut-off), higher triglycerides (AUC=0.669, p=0.012, 64% sensitivity, 62% specificity at 0.85mmol/L) and an elevated vibration threshold (AUC=0.708, p=0.002, 96% sensitivity, 40% specificity at 3.55Hz) were significant predictors for four-year worsening of DR.

CONCLUSIONS

Reduced CNFL, elevated vibration perception threshold and higher triglycerides can predict future worsening of DR.

Combined effect of glycemic and blood pressure control on diabetic retinopathy among Chinese with type-2 diabetes mellitus

BACKGROUND

To explore the associations of glycemic and blood pressure (BP) control with diabetic retinopathy (DR), with special focus on whether different combinations of categories of these two interventions are additive.

METHODS

A community-based survey including 913 patients with known type-2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) was conducted in Suzhou, China. Retinal photographs were graded for the presence of DR using the Airlie House classification system. BP and blood hemoglobin A1c (HbA1C) levels were measured by standardized protocols. Binary logistic regression models were established to examine the associations of risk factors with DR.

RESULTS

The overall prevalence of any DR was 18.0% [95% confidence interval (95% CI) 15.5-20.6%] in this population. Stratified by conventional control thresholds, lower levels of either systolic blood pressure (SBP, < 140 mmHg) or HbA1C (< 7.0%) were not significantly associated with decreased susceptibility to DR, while patients simultaneously with lower HbA1C and SBP levels demonstrated 43% reduced likelihood of developing DR [adjusted odds ratio (OR) = 0.57, 95% CI 0.33-0.99, P = 0.045)], comparing with those with both higher levels of HbA1C (≥ 7.0%) and SBP (≥ 140 mmHg). Meanwhile, the group achieved intensive HbA1C (< 6.5%) and SBP (< 120 mmHg) control goals were found to have the smallest OR, but failed in yielding statistical significance (P = 0.10).

CONCLUSIONS

In this community-based DR screening study of Chinese adults with T2DM, combination but not individual of lower SBP (< 140 mmHg) and HbA1C (< 7.0%) levels, were suggested to be associated with a significantly reduced likelihood of having DR.

The United Kingdom Diabetic Retinopathy Electronic Medical Record Users Group: Report 3: Baseline Retinopathy and Clinical Features Predict Progression of Diabetic Retinopathy

PURPOSE

To determine the time and risk factors for developing proliferative diabetic retinopathy (PDR) and vitreous hemorrhage (VH).

DESIGN

Multicenter, national cohort study.

METHODS

Anonymized data of 50 254 patient eyes with diabetes mellitus at 19 UK hospital eye services were extracted at the initial and follow-up visits between 2007 and 2014. Time to progression of PDR and VH were calculated with Cox regression after stratifying by baseline diabetic retinopathy (DR) severity and adjusting for age, sex, race, and starting visual acuity.

RESULTS

Progression to PDR in 5 years differed by baseline DR: no DR (2.2%), mild (13.0%), moderate (27.2%), severe nonproliferative diabetic retinopathy (NPDR) (45.5%). Similarly, 5-year progression to VH varied by baseline DR: no DR (1.1%), mild (2.9%), moderate (7.3%), severe NPDR (9.8%). Compared with no DR, the patient eyes that presented with mild, moderate, and severe NPDR were 6.71, 14.80, and 28.19 times more likely to develop PDR, respectively. In comparison to no DR, the eyes with mild, moderate, and severe NPDR were 2.56, 5.60, and 7.29 times more likely to develop VH, respectively. In severe NPDR, the eyes with intraretinal microvascular abnormalities (IRMA) had a significantly increased hazard ratio (HR) of developing PDR (HR 1.77, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.25-2.49, P = .0013) compared with those with venous beading, whereas those with 4-quadrant dot-blot hemorrhages (4Q DBH) had 3.84 higher HR of developing VH (95% CI 1.39-10.62, P = .0095).

CONCLUSIONS

Baseline severities and features of initial DR are prognostic for PDR development. IRMA increases risk of PDR whereas 4Q DBH increases risk of VH.

Five-Year Incidence and Progression of Diabetic Retinopathy in Patients with Type II Diabetes in a Tertiary Care Center in Lebanon

Objective

To estimate the 5-year incidence of progression rate and regression rate and risk factors for diabetic retinopathy (DR) in a cohort of Lebanese patients with type II diabetes.

Methods

We followed a cohort of 462 Lebanese patients with type II diabetes for over 5 years at the American University of Beirut Medical Center. Patients underwent yearly complete ophthalmic evaluation and fundus photographs and were assessed for the incidence, stage, and evolution of DR using modified Airlie House classification.

Results

Among the 462 patients, 281 had no DR at baseline. The 5-year cumulative incidence of any DR was 10% (95% CI: 6-13), and only baseline microalbuminuria correlated with the development of DR (OR = 10.53, 95% CI: 4.39-25.23, p < 0.0001). Among the 181 patients with baseline DR, the worsening and regression rates of DR were 31.5% (95% CI: 25-38) and 9% (95% CI: 5-13), respectively. Microalbuminuria also approached statistical significance as a risk factor for DR worsening (OR = 1.89, 95% CI: 0.97-3.70, p = 0.06).

Conclusion

The 5-year incidence of DR in this hospital-based cohort is relatively low. Microalbuminuria was independently associated with the incidence and progression of the disease. We recommend to screen patients with type II diabetes for microalbuminuria as prognostic for the development and worsening of DR.

Is aspirin associated with diabetic retinopathy? The Singapore Epidemiology of Eye Disease (SEED) study

BACKGROUND/AIMS

To determine the association between aspirin use and diabetic retinopathy (DR) among persons with diabetes, in a population-based, cross-sectional study.

METHODS

Subjects with diabetes aged >40 years from the Singapore Epidemiology of Eye Diseases Study were enrolled in this study. Retinal photographs were graded for DR according to the modified Airlie House classification system. Vision threatening diabetic retinopathy (VTDR) was defined as the presence of severe non-proliferative DR, or proliferative DR, or clinically significant macular oedema. The association between aspirin use and the presence of DR or VTDR was assessed using multivariable logistic regression models including age, gender, ethnicity, socioeconomic status, HbA1c, systolic blood pressure, anti-hypertension medicine, total cholesterol, anti-cholesterol medicine, BMI, current smoking status, diabetes duration, history of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and chronic kidney disease (CKD.).

RESULTS

A total of 2,061 participants with diabetes and complete record of relevant systemic and DR data were included. Of these, 711 (34.5%) had any stage of DR, and among these 177 (8.6%) had VTDR. After adjusting for co-variables listed, the association between aspirin use and VTDR was significant (OR = 1.69, P = 0.019), while the association between aspirin use and any DR was borderline (OR = 1.31, P = 0.063). Aspirin use was not associated with either DR or VTDR after additional adjustment of CVD and CKD. Further stratification by history of CVD or CKD showed no association between aspirin use and DR/VTDR in either subgroup.

CONCLUSION

Aspirin use was not significantly associated with DR but might be an indicator of diabetic complications (CVD, CKD) that were co-present with more severe DR type. Future longitudinal studies are warranted to confirm our findings.

Thickening of inner retinal layers in the parafovea after bariatric surgery in patients with type 2 diabetes

PURPOSE

Bariatric surgery dramatically improves the metabolic profile in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D). We have previously reported a thickening of the retina after bariatric surgery and aimed to investigate these subclinical changes in retinal thickness and vessel calibres in more detail.

METHODS

We examined 51 patients with T2D 2 weeks before and 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after bariatric surgery. Retinal thickness was measured with optical coherence tomography and automated segmentation in the fovea, parafovea and perifovea in each retinal layer. Retinal vessels were semiautomatically measured in a zone 0.5-1 disc diameters from the optic disc.

RESULTS

The total macula thickened with a peak after 6 months in both univariate (2.7 ± 0.4 μm, p < 0.001) and multivariate analysis (2.2 ± 0.7 μm, p = 0.001). The thickening was most prominent in the parafoveal ring 1-3 mm from the centre and in the retinal nerve fibre layer and outer nuclear layer. A fall in HbA_1c (p = 0.01) and longer duration of diabetes (p = 0.01) were associated with more thickening. The central retinal artery equivalent widened 22.1 μm (±8.9, p = 0.01) in the multivariate analysis 12 months postoperatively. A reduction in blood pressure was associated with less widening of the arterioles (p = 0.01).

CONCLUSION

Patients with T2D had thickening of the retina after gastric bypass surgery with a peak 6 months postoperatively. The thickening was most pronounced in the retinal nerve fibre layer and the outer nuclear layer of the parafovea. In multivariate analysis, the central retinal artery equivalent increased at 12 months.

Evidence-Based Treatment of Diabetic Retinopathy

Diabetic retinopathy (DR) is the most frequent microvascular complication from diabetes and requires annual screening and at least annual follow-up. A systemic approach to optimize blood glucose and blood pressure may halt progression to severe stages of DR and obviate the need for ocular treatment. Although there is evidence of benefit from fenofibrate or intravitreous antiVEGF treatment for eyes with nonproliferative DR (NPDR), these therapies are not standard care for NPDR at this time. Some patients with severe NPDR, especially those with type 2 diabetes, benefit from early panretinal photocoagulation (PRP). Once DR progresses to proliferative DR (PDR), treatment is often necessary to prevent visual loss. PRP remains mainstay treatment for PDR with high-risk characteristics. However, intravitreous antiVEGF injections appear to be a safe and effective treatment alternative for PDR through at least two years. Vitreoretinal surgery is indicated for PDR cases with non-clearing vitreous hemorrhage and/or tractional retinal detachment.

Pan-retinal photocoagulation and other forms of laser treatment and drug therapies for non-proliferative diabetic retinopathy: systematic review and economic evaluation

BACKGROUND

Diabetic retinopathy is an important cause of visual loss. Laser photocoagulation preserves vision in diabetic retinopathy but is currently used at the stage of proliferative diabetic retinopathy (PDR).

OBJECTIVES

The primary aim was to assess the clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of pan-retinal photocoagulation (PRP) given at the non-proliferative stage of diabetic retinopathy (NPDR) compared with waiting until the high-risk PDR (HR-PDR) stage was reached. There have been recent advances in laser photocoagulation techniques, and in the use of laser treatments combined with anti-vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) drugs or injected steroids. Our secondary questions were: (1) If PRP were to be used in NPDR, which form of laser treatment should be used? and (2) Is adjuvant therapy with intravitreal drugs clinically effective and cost-effective in PRP?

ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA

Randomised controlled trials (RCTs) for efficacy but other designs also used.

DATA SOURCES

MEDLINE and EMBASE to February 2014, Web of Science.

REVIEW METHODS

Systematic review and economic modelling.

RESULTS

The Early Treatment Diabetic Retinopathy Study (ETDRS), published in 1991, was the only trial designed to determine the best time to initiate PRP. It randomised one eye of 3711 patients with mild-to-severe NPDR or early PDR to early photocoagulation, and the other to deferral of PRP until HR-PDR developed. The risk of severe visual loss after 5 years for eyes assigned to PRP for NPDR or early PDR compared with deferral of PRP was reduced by 23% (relative risk 0.77, 99% confidence interval 0.56 to 1.06). However, the ETDRS did not provide results separately for NPDR and early PDR. In economic modelling, the base case found that early PRP could be more effective and less costly than deferred PRP. Sensitivity analyses gave similar results, with early PRP continuing to dominate or having low incremental cost-effectiveness ratio. However, there are substantial uncertainties. For our secondary aims we found 12 trials of lasers in DR, with 982 patients in total, ranging from 40 to 150. Most were in PDR but five included some patients with severe NPDR. Three compared multi-spot pattern lasers against argon laser. RCTs comparing laser applied in a lighter manner (less-intensive burns) with conventional methods (more intense burns) reported little difference in efficacy but fewer adverse effects. One RCT suggested that selective laser treatment targeting only ischaemic areas was effective. Observational studies showed that the most important adverse effect of PRP was macular oedema (MO), which can cause visual impairment, usually temporary. Ten trials of laser and anti-VEGF or steroid drug combinations were consistent in reporting a reduction in risk of PRP-induced MO.

LIMITATION

The current evidence is insufficient to recommend PRP for severe NPDR.

CONCLUSIONS

There is, as yet, no convincing evidence that modern laser systems are more effective than the argon laser used in ETDRS, but they appear to have fewer adverse effects. We recommend a trial of PRP for severe NPDR and early PDR compared with deferring PRP till the HR-PDR stage. The trial would use modern laser technologies, and investigate the value adjuvant prophylactic anti-VEGF or steroid drugs.

STUDY REGISTRATION

This study is registered as PROSPERO CRD42013005408.

FUNDING

The National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment programme.

Cystatin C, chronic kidney disease and retinopathy in adults without diabetes

BACKGROUND

Serum cystatin C, a novel marker of renal function has been shown to be superior to serum creatinine in predicting renal function decline and adverse outcomes of chronic kidney disease (CKD). Our aim was to investigate the association between cystatin C and retinopathy in adults without diabetes.

METHODS

We examined 1725 Indian adults, aged 40-80 years who participated in the Singapore Indian Eye Study (2007-2009) and were free of diabetes mellitus. CKD was defined as an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <60 ml/min/1.73 m(2) determined from serum cystatin C (CKD-eGFRcys, n = 199), and serum creatinine (CKD-eGFRcr, n = 81). Retinopathy was assessed from digital fundus photographs of both eyes by trained graders using the modified Airlie House classification. The associations of CKD defined by the two markers alone and in combination (confirmed CKD, eGFRcr <60 and eGFRcys <60, n = 58) with retinopathy were examined using logistic regression models adjusted for potential confounding factors including preexisting cardiovascular disease and albuminuria.

RESULTS

The prevalence of retinopathy among those with CKD-eGFRcr and CKD-eGFRcys was 9.9% and 8.5%, respectively. In separate models, the associations of retinopathy with both CKD-eGFRcys (odds ratio (OR) (95% confidence interval (CI)) = 2.18 (1.14-4.16)) and CKD-eGFRcr were significant (OR (95% CI) = 2.63 (1.10-6.28)). In models including both markers, compared to optimal kidney function (eGFRcr ≥60 and eGFRcys ≥60), confirmed CKD was associated with a fourfold higher odds of retinopathy (OR (95% CI) = 4.01 (1.52-10.60)).

CONCLUSIONS

In a population-based sample of Indian adults without diabetes, CKD defined by both cystatin C and creatinine was strongly associated with retinopathy.

Epidemiology of diabetic retinopathy, diabetic macular edema and related vision loss

Diabetic retinopathy (DR) is a leading cause of vision-loss globally. Of an estimated 285 million people with diabetes mellitus worldwide, approximately one third have signs of DR and of these, a further one third of DR is vision-threatening DR, including diabetic macular edema (DME). The identification of established modifiable risk factors for DR such as hyperglycemia and hypertension has provided the basis for risk factor control in preventing onset and progression of DR. Additional research investigating novel risk factors has improved our understanding of multiple biological pathways involved in the pathogenesis of DR and DME, especially those involved in inflammation and oxidative stress. Variations in DR prevalence between populations have also sparked interest in genetic studies to identify loci associated with disease susceptibility. In this review, major trends in the prevalence, incidence, progression and regression of DR and DME are explored, and gaps in literature identified. Established and novel risk factors are also extensively reviewed with a focus on landmark studies and updates from the recent literature.

Epidemiology of diabetic retinopathy, diabetic macular edema and related vision loss

Diabetic retinopathy (DR) is a leading cause of vision-loss globally. Of an estimated 285 million people with diabetes mellitus worldwide, approximately one third have signs of DR and of these, a further one third of DR is vision-threatening DR, including diabetic macular edema (DME). The identification of established modifiable risk factors for DR such as hyperglycemia and hypertension has provided the basis for risk factor control in preventing onset and progression of DR. Additional research investigating novel risk factors has improved our understanding of multiple biological pathways involved in the pathogenesis of DR and DME, especially those involved in inflammation and oxidative stress. Variations in DR prevalence between populations have also sparked interest in genetic studies to identify loci associated with disease susceptibility. In this review, major trends in the prevalence, incidence, progression and regression of DR and DME are explored, and gaps in literature identified. Established and novel risk factors are also extensively reviewed with a focus on landmark studies and updates from the recent literature.

Prevalence of Diabetic Retinopathy and Vision Loss in the Beijing Eye Study: the Potential Role of the Cerebrospinal Fluid Pressure

In the Beijing Eye Study, a population-based study carried out in 2001, 2006, and 2011, prevalence of diabetic retinopathy (DR) was 2.9 ± 0.3 % (95 % confidence interval 2.3, 3.5) per individual in 2011. Correspondingly, only 1.1 % of blindness and 0.8 % of visual impairment were caused by DR in East Asia. As in other populations, prevalence, severity, and 10-year incidence of DR were associated with higher levels of HbA1c, higher blood glucose concentration, longer known duration of diabetes, lower educational level, and higher blood pressure. Interestingly, the presence, severity, and 10-year incidence of DR were additionally correlated with higher estimated cerebrospinal fluid pressure and shorter ocular length. Higher cerebrospinal fluid pressure may lead to higher retinal vein pressure and subsequently higher retinal capillary blood pressure increasing fluid and blood extravasation. Shorter axial length or hyperopia may be associated with higher intraocular concentration of cytokines. Aging of the society, improvements in medical infrastructure, and lifestyle changes may profoundly increase prevalence of, and burden by, DR in China in the future.

Epidemiology of diabetic retinopathy, diabetic macular edema and related vision loss

Diabetic retinopathy (DR) is a leading cause of vision-loss globally. Of an estimated 285 million people with diabetes mellitus worldwide, approximately one third have signs of DR and of these, a further one third of DR is vision-threatening DR, including diabetic macular edema (DME). The identification of established modifiable risk factors for DR such as hyperglycemia and hypertension has provided the basis for risk factor control in preventing onset and progression of DR. Additional research investigating novel risk factors has improved our understanding of multiple biological pathways involved in the pathogenesis of DR and DME, especially those involved in inflammation and oxidative stress. Variations in DR prevalence between populations have also sparked interest in genetic studies to identify loci associated with disease susceptibility. In this review, major trends in the prevalence, incidence, progression and regression of DR and DME are explored, and gaps in literature identified. Established and novel risk factors are also extensively reviewed with a focus on landmark studies and updates from the recent literature.

Body mass index and retinopathy in Asian populations with diabetes mellitus

Body mass index (BMI) is an established risk factor for diabetes. However, the association between BMI and diabetic retinopathy (DR) has been inconclusive. We aimed to assess the association between BMI and DR in a large population-based sample of multi-ethnic Asian adults in Singapore. We examined 2,278 adults aged ≥40 years with diabetes who participated in three population-based studies conducted from 2004 to 2011: the Singapore Malay Eye Study, the Singapore Indian Eye Study, and the Singapore Chinese Eye Study. Retinal photographs taken from both eyes were graded for any and vision-threatening (VTDR) using the modified Airlie House Classification. BMI (kg/m(2)) was categorized into normal/underweight (<25), overweight (25-29.9), and obese (≥30). The prevalence rates of any and VTDR in the study population were 35.1 % and 9.1 %, respectively. The prevalence of any and VTDR decreased with increasing categories of BMI (P trend <0.001 and 0.005). In multivariable models adjusted for potential confounders, compared to those with normal weight, the odds ratio (95 % confidence interval) of any DR was 0.71 (0.57-0.88) for overweight and 0.70 (0.53-0.92) for obese. Corresponding estimates for VTDR were 0.84 (0.59-1.21) for overweight and 0.58 (0.35-0.94) for obese. The inverse association between BMI and any DR was consistently present when BMI was analyzed as a continuous variable and in analyses stratified by ethnicity and age. In a population-based sample of multi-ethnic Asian adults, BMI levels were inversely associated with any DR and VTDR.

Prevalence and risk factors for retinopathy in persons without diabetes: the Singapore Indian Eye Study

PURPOSE

To describe prevalence and risk factors for retinopathy in an Asian Indian population without diabetes.

METHODS

A population-based cross-sectional study of 3400 Indians aged 40-80 years residing in Singapore was conducted. Retinopathy was assessed from retinal photographs by trained graders using modified Airlie House Classification System. Risk factors were assessed from standardized interviews, clinical examinations and laboratory investigations. Diabetes mellitus was defined as glycosylated haemoglobin ≥6.5%, use of diabetic medication or physician diagnosis of diabetes.

RESULTS

Among the 1900 individuals without diabetes, mean HbA1c was 5.7% and mean systolic blood pressure was 132.4 mmHg. Age-standardized prevalence of retinopathy was 5.05% (n = 98; 95% confidence interval [CI], 4.07-6.21), with no significant difference in retinopathy prevalence between males (6.15%) and females (4.13%). Among non-diabetic persons with retinopathy, 96.9% (n = 95) had signs of minimal-to-mild retinopathy while 3.06% (n = 3) had moderate-to-severe retinopathy. After adjusting for multiple covariables, retinopathy signs were associated with higher levels of HbA1c (odds ratio [OR], 2.4; 95% CI, 1.3-4.5; per% increase), systolic blood pressure (OR, 1.02; 95% CI, 1.01-1.03; per mmHg increase) and serum creatinine (OR, 1.005; 95% CI, 1.002-1.009; per mm increase), but not C-reactive protein, cigarette smoking or lipid levels.

CONCLUSION

One in 20 Asian Indian persons without diabetes had retinopathy signs. Risk factors for these signs include higher glycosylated haemoglobin, systolic blood pressure and serum creatinine.

The 5-year onset and regression of diabetic retinopathy in Chinese type 2 diabetes patients

PURPOSE

To determine the rate and risk factors of diabetic retinopathy (DR) onset and regression in Chinese type 2 diabetes mellitus patients.

METHODS

This is a 5-year community-based prospective study. The demographic information, systemic examination results and ophthalmological test results of each participant were collected. The study outcomes were DR incidence, defined as the onset of DR in at least one eye, and DR regression, defined as full regression from existing DR to no retinopathy without invasive treatments. The associations between each potential risk factor and the outcomes were studied.

RESULTS

In total, 778 participants were enrolled. There were 322 patients without DR at baseline, of which 151 participants developed DR during follow-up (DR incidence rate = 46.89%). Baseline hyperglycemia and high blood pressure were two independent risk factors associated with DR incidence. Among the 456 participants with existing DR at entry, 110 fully recovered after 5 years (DR regression rate = 24.12%). Low baseline glucose and low serum triglyceride were two independent factors associated with DR regression.

CONCLUSIONS

DR incidence occurred more frequently in patients with hyperglycemia and high blood pressure. DR regression occurred mostly in patients with lower glucose and lower serum triglyceride levels among Chinese type 2 diabetes patients.

Ten-year cumulative incidence of diabetic retinopathy. The Beijing Eye Study 2001/2011

OBJECTIVE

To assess the cumulative 10-year incidence of diabetic retinopathy (DR) and its associated factors in a population living in Greater Beijing.

METHODS

The population-based longitudinal Beijing Eye Study, which included 4439 subjects (age in 2001: 40+years) in 2001, was repeated in 2011 with 2695 subjects participating (66.4% of the survivors). The study participants underwent a detailed ophthalmic examination. Fundus photographs were examined for the new development of DR.

RESULTS

After excluding individuals with DR at baseline (n = 87) or no sufficient fundus photographs in 2011 (n = 6), the study included 2602 subjects with a mean age of 64.6±9.7 years (median: 64.0 years; range: 50 to 93 years). In the 10-year period, 109 subjects (39 men) developed new DR with an incidence of 4.2% (95% confidence interval (CI): 3.45,5.03). In multiple logistic regression analysis, incident DR was significantly associated with higher HbA1c value (P<0.001; Odds Ratio (OR): 1.73; 95% Confidence Interval (CI): 1.35,2.21), longer duration of diabetes mellitus (P<0.001; OR: 1.16; 95% CI: 1.10,1.22), higher serum concentration of creatinine (P = 0.02; OR: 1.01; 95% CI: 1.002,1.022), lower educational level (P = 0.049; OR: 0.74; 95% CI: 0.55,0.99), higher estimated cerebrospinal fluid pressure (P = 0.038; OR: 1.10; 95% CI: 1.01,1.22), and shorter axial length (P<0.001; OR: 0.48; 95% CI: 0.33,0.71).

CONCLUSIONS

The cumulative 10-year incidence (mean: 4.2%) of DR in a North Chinese population was significantly associated with a higher HbA1c value, longer known duration of diabetes mellitus, higher estimated CSFP and shorter axial length (P<0.001). Shorter axial length (or hyperopia) and, potentially, higher CSFP may be additional risk factors to be taken into account when counseling and treating patients with diabetes mellitus.

Phenotypes and biomarkers of diabetic retinopathy

Diabetic retinopathy (DR) remains a major cause of blindness as the prevalence of diabetes is expected to approximately double globally between 2000 and 2030. DR progresses over time at different rates in different individuals with only a limited number developing significant vision loss due to the two major vision-threatening complications, clinically significant macular edema and proliferative retinopathy. Good metabolic control is important to prevent and delay progression, but whereas some patients escape vision loss even with poor control, others develop vision loss despite good metabolic control. Our research group has been able to identify three different DR phenotypes characterized by different dominant retinal alterations and different risks of progression to vision-threatening complications. Microaneurysm turnover has been validated as a prognostic biomarker of development of clinically significant macular edema, whereas subclinical macular edema identified by OCT and mfERG appear to be also good candidates as organ-specific biomarkers of DR. Hemoglobin A1c remains the only confirmed systemic prognostic biomarker of DR progression. The availability of biomarkers of DR progression and the identification of different phenotypes of DR with different risks for development of vision-threatening complications offers new perspectives for understanding DR and for its personalized management.

Tromsø eye study: prevalence and risk factors of diabetic retinopathy

PURPOSE

To determine the prevalence of visual impairment, retinopathy and macular oedema, and assess risk factors for retinopathy in persons with diabetes.

METHODS

The present study included 514 participants with diabetes aged 46-87 years from the Tromsø Eye Study, a sub-study of the population-based Tromsø Study in Norway. Visual acuity was measured using an auto-refractor. Retinal images from both eyes were graded for retinopathy and macular oedema. We collected data on risk factor exposure from self-report questionnaires, clinical examinations, laboratory measurements and case note reviews. Regression models assessed the cross-sectional relationship between potential risk factors and diabetic retinopathy.

RESULTS

The prevalence of visual impairment (corrected Snellen visual acuity <20/60 in the better-seeing eye) was 1.6%. The prevalence of diabetic retinopathy was 26.8% and macular oedema 3.9%. In a multivariable logistic regression model, retinopathy was associated with longer diabetes duration (odds ratio, OR 1.07, 95% CI 1.03-1.11), insulin use (OR 2.14, 95% CI 1.19-3.85), nonfasting glucose (OR 1.07, 95% CI 1.00-1.15) and microalbuminuria (OR 1.89, 95% CI 1.28-2.81). Sub-group analyses showed association between retinopathy and even low levels of microalbuminuria (1.16 mg/mmol).

CONCLUSION

The findings suggest that low levels of microalbuminuria may be a useful risk predictor for identifying individuals with diabetes at high risk of retinopathy. The study confirms previous findings that insulin use, longer diabetes duration and higher levels of blood glucose are associated with retinopathy in persons with diabetes. The prevalence of diabetic retinopathy was similar as reported in other studies.

Four-year incidence of diabetic retinopathy in a Spanish cohort: the MADIABETES study

Objective

To evaluate the incidence of diabetic retinopathy in patients with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus, to identify the risk factors associated with the incidence of retinopathy and to develop a risk table to predict four-year retinopathy risk stratification for clinical use, from a four-year cohort study.

Design

The MADIABETES Study is a prospective cohort study of 3,443 outpatients with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus, sampled from 56 primary health care centers (131 general practitioners) in Madrid (Spain).

Results

The cumulative incidence of retinopathy at four-year follow-up was 8.07% (95% CI = 7.04–9.22) and the incidence density was 2.03 (95% CI = 1.75–2.33) cases per 1000 patient-months or 2.43 (95% CI = 2.10–2.80) cases per 100 patient-years. The highest adjusted hazard ratios of associated risk factors for incidence of diabetic retinopathy were LDL-C >190 mg/dl (HR = 7.91; 95% CI = 3.39–18.47), duration of diabetes longer than 22 years (HR = 2.00; 95% CI = 1.18–3.39), HbA1c>8% (HR = 1.90; 95% CI = 1.30–2.77), and aspirin use (HR = 1.65; 95% CI = 1.22–2.24). Microalbuminuria (HR = 1.17; 95% CI = 0.75–1.82) and being female (HR = 1.12; 95% CI = 0.84–1.49) showed a non-significant increase of diabetic retinopathy. The greatest risk is observed in females who had diabetes for more than 22 years, with microalbuminuria, HbA1c>8%, hypertension, LDL-Cholesterol >190 mg/dl and aspirin use.

Conclusions

After a four-year follow-up, the cumulative incidence of retinopathy was relatively low in comparison with other studies. Higher baseline HbA1c, aspirin use, higher LDL-Cholesterol levels, and longer duration of diabetes were the only statistically significant risk factors found for diabetic retinopathy incidence. This is the first study to demonstrate an association between aspirin use and diabetic retinopathy risk in a well-defined cohort of patients with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus at low risk of cardiovascular events. However, further studies with patients at high cardiovascular and metabolic risk are needed to clarify this issue.