Association between ambient temperature and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: a population-based study of the years of life lost

Assessing the impact of temperature on acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease hospitalizations in residents of Panzhihua City: a multi-districts study using a distributed lag non-linear model

BACKGROUND

Temperature fluctuations can impact the occurrence and progression of respiratory system diseases. However, the current understanding of the impact of temperature on acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) remains limited. Therefore, our study aims to investigate the relationship between daily mean temperature (DMT) and the risk of AECOPD hospitalizations within Panzhihua City.

METHODS

We systematically collected data on AECOPD hospitalizations at Panzhihua Central Hospital from 2015 to 2020 and meteorological factors across Panzhihua City's districts. A two-stage analysis method was used to establish a distributed lag non-linear model to elucidate the influence of DMT on the frequency of admissions for AECOPD. Subgroup analyses were conducted by gender and age to identify populations potentially susceptible to the impact of DMT.

RESULTS

A total of 5299 AECOPD hospitalizations cases were included. The DMT and the risk of AECOPD hospitalization showed a non-linear exposure-response pattern, with low temperatures exacerbating the risk of hospitalizations. The lag effects of low temperature and relatively low temperature peaked at 2th day, with the lag effects disappearing at 16-17 days. Females and elders aged ≥ 65 years were more sensitive to effects of low and relatively low temperature at lag 0-4 days, while male AECOPD patients exhibited longer lasting lag effects.

CONCLUSIONS

Low temperatures are associated with an increased risk of AECOPD hospitalizations. Females or elders aged ≥ 65 years with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease should pay more attention to taking protective measures in cold environments. These findings are crucial for the formulation of public health policies, as they will help significantly alleviate the burden of AECOPD and improve respiratory health in the face of climate challenges.

Effects of ambient temperature and humidity on COPD mortality in Ganzhou city, China

This study used the time series data of Ganzhou city to explore the individual and interaction effects of temperature and humidity on COPD death, and identify vulnerable subgroups of the population. We collected daily COPD mortality and meteorological data in Ganzhou from 2016 to 2019. The nonlinear distribution lag model was used to examine the associations and interaction between daily mean temperature and humidity and COPD mortality. For the total population, male and 65 years old or above, the relative risk (RR) for COPD mortality could be significant at extremely low temperature (3.3 ℃), reaching 1.799 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.216, 2.662), 1.894 (95% CI: 1.164, 3.084) and 1.779 (95% CI:1.185, 2.670). Also, at extremely low humidity (47.8%), the risk reached 1.888 (95% CI: 1.217, 2.930), 1.837 (95% CI: 1.066, 3.165) and 2.166 (95% CI: 1.375, 3.414). The cumulative COPD death risk for females was 3.524 (95% CI: 1.340, 9.267) at high temperature (30.7 ℃), 1.953(95% CI: 1.036, 3.683) at low humidity (47.8%) and 1.726 (95% CI: 1.048, 2.845) at high humidity (96.7%). For the total COPD deaths and subgroups, the interaction effects between daily temperature and humidity were not significant (p > 0.05). Both extremely low temperature and low humidity increased the risk of COPD death in Ganzhou city, especially for males and people over 65 years old. Females were more sensitive to extremely high temperature and humidity. Patients with COPD should pay attention to self-protection under extreme temperature and humidity weather conditions.

Years of life lost due to chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in Khuzestan province during 2011-2019: A population-based study

Introduction

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is one of the major causes of morbidity and mortality and a major public health problem all over the world. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the years of life lost (YLLs) due to COPD between 2011 and 2019 in Khuzestan province, southern Iran.

Methods

This cross-sectional study evaluated a total of 715 COPD-related deaths during 2011-2019 in Khuzestan, Southern Iran. Required information comprised of age, gender, and number of deaths were collected. First, crude and age-standardized mortality rates were calculated, and then the joinpoint regression was used to evaluate the trend of YLLs.

Results

The highest number of deaths during the study period was observed in males (65%) and in the age group of over 70 years (52.6%). There was also a decreasing trend in crude and age age-standardized mortality rates in both genders. The total number of YLLs in both genders was 8650, 5747 in men and 2903 in women. Based on the results of joinpoint regression, the percentage of annual YII changes was -1.5% in men, -10.7% in women, and -6.6% in both genders.

Conclusion

Estimating the trend of YLLs due to COPD can effectively help and lead the way of health policymakers and provide useful information to estimate the economic burden of the disease and assess health needs and priorities of a population.

Disease burden of COPD in the Chinese population: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is one of the main contributors to the global burden of disease.

OBJECTIVES

This systematic review aimed to evaluate the disease burden of COPD in the Chinese population and to determine the factors influencing the economic burden of the disease.

DESIGN

This is a systematic review study.

DATA SOURCES AND METHODS

We searched PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, Chinese National Knowledge Infrastructure, WANGFANG Data, and VIP databases for studies regarding the disease burden of COPD in mainland China published before 31 December 2022. The Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality's recommendation rating tool assessed the cross-sectional studies' risk of bias.

RESULTS

A total of 45 studies were included. The disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for COPD have generally decreased in the Chinese population over the past 30 years. The total number of DALYs due to COPD in China decreased from 26.12 million person-years to 19.92 million person-years, with an annual decline rate of 0.9%. Subjects aged 40 years and older make up the majority of those with COPD in the Chinese population, and the condition is more prevalent among males than females, in rural areas than urban places, and in the West than the East. The median direct medical cost of COPD ranges from 150 to 2014 USD per capita per year. Among 23 influencing factors, age, hospitalization days, hospital type, gender, and career were the most significant variables that had an impact on the economic burden of COPD patients.

CONCLUSION

The overall burden of COPD in China has been decreasing over the past 30 years. But there is a lack of standardized indicators for the economic burden of COPD patients in China, and it is recommended to establish a unified standard.

REGISTRATION

The systematic review protocol was prospectively registered with PROSPERO (No. CRD42023393429).

The Burden of COPD in China and Its Provinces: Findings From the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

In China, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) was accounted for a quarter of the global COPD population and has become a large economic burden. However, the comprehensive picture of the COPD burden, which could inform health policy, is not readily available for all of the provinces of China. Here, we aimed to describe the burden of COPD in China, providing an up-to-date and comprehensive analysis at the national and provincial levels, and time trends from 1990 to 2019. Following the methodology framework and general analytical strategies used in the GBD 2019, we analyzed the incidence, prevalence, mortality, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), years lived with disability (YLDs), and years with life lost (YLLs) attributable to COPD across China and the corresponding time trends from 1990 to 2019, stratified by age and province. In order to quantify the secular trends of the burden of COPD, the estimated annual percentage changes were calculated by the linear regression model of age-standardized rates (ASRs) and calendar years. We also presented the contribution of risk factors to COPD-related mortality and DALYs. The association between COPD burden and socio-demographic index (SDI) were also evaluated. From 1990 to 2019, the incidence and prevalence numbers of COPD increased by 61.2 and 67.8%, respectively, whereas the number of deaths and DALYs owing to COPD decreased. The ASRs of COPD burden, including incidence, prevalence, mortality, DALYs, YLDs, and YLLs continuously decreased from 1990 to 2019. The crude rates of COPD burden dramatically increased with age and reached a peak in the older than 95 years age group. In 2019, the leading risk factor for COPD mortality and DALYs was tobacco use in the whole population, but ambient particulate matter pollution was the most significant risk factor in females. At the provincial level, the ASRs of COPD burden was significantly associated with the SDIs, with the highest ASRs in the western provinces with low SDIs. Collectively, our study indicated that COPD remains an important public health problem in China. Geographically targeted considerations should be developed to enhance COPD health and reduce the COPD burden throughout China and in specific provinces.

Pesticide poisoning risk attributable to ambient temperature: a time series analysis in Qingdao China during 2007-2018

Pesticide poisoning prevention has become a public health issue of great concern. We estimated the association between temperature and attributable risk of pesticide poisoning using 3,545 pesticide poisoning cases in Qingdao China from June 2007 to July 2018. A distributed lag non-linear model was applied to estimate the temperature-pesticide poisoning associated with the assessment of attributable number and fraction. The hot temperature is responsible for the pesticide poisoning incidence, with backward and forward attributable fractions, respectively, 7.79% and 7.61%. Most of the pesticide poisoning burden (backward attributable fraction 5.30% and forward attributable fraction 5.06%) was caused by mild hot (22°C-26°C), whereas the burden due to extreme hot (27°C-31°C) was small (backward attributable fraction 2.94% and forward attributable fraction 2.69%).

Retrospection of heatwave and heat index

The frequency and intensity of extreme events especially heat waves (HW) are growing all around the world which ultimately poses a serious threat to the health of individuals. To quantify the effects of extreme temperature, appropriate information, and the importance of HW and heat index (HI) are carefully discussed for different parts of the world. Varied definitions of the HW and HI formula proposed and used by different countries are carried out systematically continent-wise. Different studies highlighted the number of definitions of HW; however, mostly used Steadman's formulae, which was developed in the late 1970s, for the calculation of HI that uses surface air temperature and relative humidity as climatic fields. Since then, dramatic changes in climatic conditions have been observed as evident from the ERA5 datasets which need to be addressed; likewise, the definition of HW, which is modified by the researchers as per the geographic conditions. It is evident from the ERA5 data that the temperature has increased by 1-2 °C as compared to the 1980s. There is a threefold increase in the number of heatwave days over most of the continents in the last 40 years. This study will help the researcher community to understand the importance of HW and HI. Furthermore, it opens the scope to develop an equation based on the present scenario keeping in mind the basics of an index as considered by Steadman.

Low ambient temperature shortened life expectancy in Hong Kong: A time-series analysis of 1.4 million years of life lost from cardiorespiratory diseases

Ambient temperature is an important contributor to mortality burden worldwide, most of which is from cold exposure. However, little is known about the cold impact on life expectancy loss. This paper aimed to estimate cold-related life expectancy loss from cause-, age-, and gender-specific cardiovascular and respiratory diseases. Daily deaths from cardiovascular and respiratory diseases and weather records were acquired for Hong Kong, China during 2000-2016. Years of life lost (YLL) that considers life expectancy at the time of death was calculated by matching each death by age and sex to annual life tables. Using a generalized additive model that fits temperature-YLL association, we estimated loss of years in life expectancy from cold. Cold was estimated to cause life expectancy loss of 0.9 years in total cardiovascular disease, with more years of loss in males than in females and in people aged 65 years and older than in people aged up to 64 years. Cold-related life expectancy loss in total respiratory diseases was 1.2 years, with more years of loss in females than in males and comparable years of loss in people aged up to 64 years and in people aged 65 years and older. Among cause-specific diseases, we observed the greatest life expectancy loss in pneumonia (1.5 years), followed by ischaemic heart disease (1.2 years), COPD (1.1 years), and stroke (0.3 years). Between two periods of 2000-2007 and 2008-2016, cold-related life expectancy loss due to cardiovascular disease did not decrease and cold-related life expectancy loss due to respiratory disease even increased by five times. Our findings suggest an urgent need to develop prevention measures against adverse cold effects on cardiorespiratory disease in Hong Kong.

Mortality and morbidity of asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease associated with ambient environment in metropolitans in Taiwan

Background

This study investigated risks of mortality from and morbidity (emergency room visits (ERVs) and outpatient visits) of asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) associated with extreme temperatures, fine particulate matter (PM_2.5), and ozone (O₃) by sex, and age, from 2005 to 2016 in 6 metropolitan cities in Taiwan.

Methods

The distributed lag non-linear model was employed to assess age (0–18, 19–39, 40–64, and 65 years and above), sex-cause-specific deaths, ERVs, and outpatient visits associated with extreme high (99^th percentile) and low (5^th percentile) temperatures and PM_2.5 and O₃ concentrations at 90^th percentile. Random-effects meta-analysis was adopted to investigate cause-specific pooled relative risk (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for the whole studied areas.

Results

Only the mortality risk of COPD in the elderly men was significantly associated with the extreme low temperatures. Exposure to the 90^th percentile PM_2.5 was associated with outpatient visits for asthma in 0–18 years old boys [RR = 1.15 (95% CI: 1.09–1.22)]. Meanwhile, significant elevation of ERVs of asthma for females aged 40–64 years was associated with exposure to ozone, with the highest RR of 1.21 (95% CI: 1.05–1.39).

Conclusions

This study identified vulnerable subpopulations who were at risk to extreme events associated with ambient environments deserving further evaluation for adaptation.

The effect of nitrogen dioxide and atmospheric pressure on hospitalization risk for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in Guangzhou, China

BACKGROUND

The relationship between air pollution and meteorological factors on diseases has become a research hotspot recently. Nevertheless, few studies have touched the inferences of nitrogen dioxide (NO₂) and atmospheric pressure (AP) on hospitalization risk for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD).

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the short-term impact of particulate air pollutants and meteorology factors on hospitalizations for COPD and quantify the corresponding risk burden of hospital admission.

METHODS

In our study, COPD cases were collected from Guangzhou Panyu Central Hospital (n = 11,979) from Dec of 2013 to Jun 2019. The 24-h average temperature, relative humidity (RH), wind speed (V), AP and other meteorological data were obtained from Guangzhou Meteorological Bureau. Air pollution data were collected from Guangzhou Air Monitoring Station. The influence of different NO₂ and AP values on COPD risk was quantified by a distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) combined with Poisson Regression and Time Series analysis.

RESULTS

We found that NO₂ had a non-linear relationship with the incidence of COPD, with an approximate "M" type, appearing at the peaks of 126 μg/m³ (RR = 1.32, 95%CI, 1.07 to 1.64) and 168 μg/m³ (RR = 1.21, 95%CI, 0.94 to 1.55), respectively. And the association between AP and COPD incidence exhibited an approximate J-shape with a peak occurring at 1035 hPa (RR = 1.16, 95% CI, 1.02 to 1.31).

CONCLUSIONS

The nonlinear relationship of NO₂ and AP on COPD admission risk in different periods of lag can be used to establish an early warning system for diseases and reduce the possible outbreaks and burdens of COPD in a sensitive population.

Ambient Temperature and Years of Life Lost: A National Study in China

Although numerous studies have investigated premature deaths attributable to temperature, effects of temperature on years of life lost (YLL) remain unclear. We estimated the relationship between temperatures and YLL, and quantified the YLL per death caused by temperature in China. We collected daily meteorological and mortality data, and calculated the daily YLL values for 364 locations (2013–2017 in Yunnan, Guangdong, Hunan, Zhejiang, and Jilin provinces, and 2006–2011 in other locations) in China. A time-series design with a distributed lag nonlinear model was first employed to estimate the location-specific associations between temperature and YLL rates (YLL/100,000 population), and a multivariate meta-analysis model was used to pool location-specific associations. Then, YLL per death caused by temperatures was calculated. The temperature and YLL rates consistently showed U-shaped associations. A mean of 1.02 (95% confidence interval: 0.67, 1.37) YLL per death was attributable to temperature. Cold temperature caused 0.98 YLL per death with most from moderate cold (0.84). The mean YLL per death was higher in those with cardiovascular diseases (1.14), males (1.15), younger age categories (1.31 in people aged 65–74 years), and in central China (1.34) than in those with respiratory diseases (0.47), females (0.87), older people (0.85 in people ≥75 years old), and northern China (0.64) or southern China (1.19). The mortality burden was modified by annual temperature and temperature variability, relative humidity, latitude, longitude, altitude, education attainment, and central heating use. Temperatures caused substantial YLL per death in China, which was modified by demographic and regional characteristics.

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Years of life lost (YLL) is used to estimate the effects of temperature

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Both low and high temperatures can increase the YLLs

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Average 1.02 YLL per death is attributed to temperature exposure

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Temperature causes larger YLLs per death in males, younger people, and central China

Geographical Variation of COPD Mortality and Related Risk Factors in Jiading District, Shanghai

Background: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is the fourth leading cause of death in China. Although numerous studies have been conducted to determine the risk factors for COPD mortality such as ambient air pollution, the results are not fully consistent.

Methods: This study included mortality analysis and a case-control design by using the data extracted from the Mortality Registration System in Jiading District, Shanghai. Traditional logistic regression, geographically weighted logistic regression (GWLR), and spatial scan statistical analysis were performed to explore the geographic variation of COPD mortality and the possible influencing factors.

Results: Traditional logistic regression showed that extreme lower temperature in the month prior to death, shorter distance to highway, lower GDP level were associated with increased COPD mortality. GWRL model further demonstrated obvious geographical discrepancies for the above associations. We additionally identified a significant cluster of low COPD mortality (OR = 0.36, P = 0.002) in the southwest region of Jiading District with a radius of 3.55 km by using the Bernoulli model. The geographical variation in age-standardized mortality rate for COPD in Jiading District was explained to a certain degree by these factors.

Conclusion: The risk of COPD mortality in Jiading District showed obvious geographical variation, which were partially explained by the geographical variations in effects of the extreme low temperature in the month prior to death, residential proximity to highway, and GDP level.

Temperature Variability and Hospital Admissions for Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease: Analysis of Attributable Disease Burden and Vulnerable Subpopulation

Purpose

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a major cause of chronic diseases causing considerable social and economic burden globally. Despite substantial evidence on temperature-COPD association, few studies have investigated the acute effect of temperature variability (TV), a potential trigger of exacerbation of COPD disease, and it remains unknown what fraction of the disease burden of COPD is attributable to TV.

Patients and Methods

Based on 71,070 COPD hospitalizations during 2013–2015 in Guangzhou, China, we conducted a time-series analysis using quasi-Poisson regression to assess the association between TV and hospital admission for COPD after adjusting for daily mean temperature. Short-term TV was captured by the standard deviation of hourly or daily temperatures across various exposure days. We also provided the fraction (total number) of COPD attributable to TV. Stratified analyses by admission route, sex, age, occupation, marital status and season were performed to identify vulnerable subpopulations.

Results

We found a linear relationship between TV and COPD hospitalization, with a 1°C increase in hourly TV and daily TV associated with 4.3% (95%CI: 2.2–6.4) and 4.0% (2.3–5.8) increases in COPD, respectively. The greater relative risks of TV identified males, people aged 0–64 years, blue collar, and divorced/widowed people as vulnerable population. There were 12.0% (8500 cases) of COPD hospitalization attributable to hourly TV during the study period. Daily TV produced similar estimates of relative effects (relative risk) but grater estimates of absolute effects (attributable fraction) than hourly TV.

Conclusion

We concluded that TV was an independent risk factor of COPD morbidity, especially among the susceptible subgroups. These findings would be helpful to guide the development of targeted public intervention.

Years of life lost with premature death due to ambient temperatures in a southwest plateau region of China: a cause-specific and individual characteristics stratified mortality study

We aimed to explore whether there were cold and heat temperature adverse effects on years of life lost (YLL) for non-accidental mortality in Yuxi, a southwest plateau region of China. From data for 89,467 non-accidental deaths over an 8-year study period, we used a general linear regression model combined with a distributed lag non-linear model to assess the burden of disease non-accidental mortality due to ambient temperature with the YLL indicator. We estimated the mean YLL change per 1 °C decrease from the 25th to 1st percentile mean temperature as the cold effect and per 1 °C increase from the 75th to 99th percentile as the heat effect. The 95% empirical confidence intervals (eCIs) were calculated by using a bootstrap simulation method. The exposure-response curve between average temperature and YLL was U-shaped. The cold effect peaked at the first day after exposure and disappeared at 2 weeks, and the heat effect only lasted for the first 3 days. A per 1 °C decrease from the 25th to 1st mean temperature percentile was associated with an increase of 15.6 (95% eCI: 2.4, 22.9) in YLL for non-accidental diseases, and the cumulative effects due to cold were stronger in contrast to that attributed by heat. Cold temperature had a significant impact on YLL among the subgroups, with higher YLL in cardiovascular disease, stroke, males, Han nationality, married, and those engaged in agriculture than their corresponding categories. An increasing death burden of non-accidental in Yuxi of China due to cold temperature was demonstrated, and the association was also modified by specific disease causes and individual features.

Effects of Ambient Temperature on Acute Exacerbations of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease: Results from a Time-Series Analysis of 143318 Hospitalizations

Purpose

To evaluate the associations between acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) hospitalizations and daily mean temperature (Tmean) as well as daily apparent temperature (AT), and to explore the practical values of these two indices in policymaking and patient education.

Methods

Daily AECOPD hospitalizations and Meteorological data in Beijing were obtained between 2013 and 2016. Distributed lag non-linear model was adopted to investigate the association between daily ambient temperature and AECOPD hospitalizations. The cumulative effects of cold/hot temperature were abstracted. For the extreme and moderate low-temperature effect estimates, we, respectively, computed the RR of AECOPD hospitalizations at the 1st and 10th percentiles of temperature in comparison with that at the 25th percentile of temperature. For the extreme and moderate high temperature effect estimates, we, respectively, computed the RR of AECOPD hospitalizations at the 99th and 90th percentiles of temperature in comparison with that at the 75th percentile of temperature.

Results

During the study period, 143, 318 AECOPD hospitalizations were collected. A reverse J-shape relationship was found between temperature and AECOPD hospitalizations. When comparing the effect of Tmean, higher RRs were associated with increases in AT on AECOPD hospitalizations but a lower value of Akaike’s Information Criterion for quasi-Poisson (Q-AIC). The RR of extremely low temperature of Tmean and AT were 1.55 (95% CI: 1.21,2.00) and 2.08 (95% CI: 1.44,3.01), respectively. Moderate low temperature also had an adverse impact on AECOPD hospitalizations. No associations were found between high temperature and AECOPD risk. We found the females and those aged <65 years to be more susceptible to temperature change.

Conclusion

Lower temperature is associated with a higher risk for AECOPD hospitalizations. Ambient temperature is probably a better predictor in terms of quantifying risk than mean temperature when studying temperature impact on health.

Ambient temperature and pesticide poisoning: a time-series analysis

Limited studies have explored the association between ambient temperature and the disease burden of pesticide poisoning. Our study aims to estimate associations between daily mean temperature and pesticide poisoning incidence with lag effect. A distributed lag nonlinear model with Poisson distribution was used to examine the nonlinear lagged effects of ambient temperature on pesticide poisoning incidence. Overall, the estimated effects of temperature on pesticide poisoning incidence were non-linear, with higher relative risks (RRs) at hotter temperatures. It was found that the high temperature had acute and short-term effects and then declined rapidly along the lag days with the maximum risk occurring 0 day of exposure. Considering the 5-day cumulative RR for daily mean temperature, the temperature generally showed a positive association with the pesticide poisoning incidence, achieving the maximum risk at 31°C. In general, pesticide poisoning incidence increased with higher temperatures, with the strongest effects occurring shortly.