Improving Efficacy of Inhaled Technosphere Insulin (Afrezza) by Postmeal Dosing: In-silico Clinical Trial with the University of Virginia/Padova Type 1 Diabetes Simulator

Tailoring the Padova Type 2 Diabetes Simulator for Treatment Guidance in Target Populations

OBJECTIVE

The Padova type 2 diabetes (T2D) simulator (T2DS) has been recently proposed to optimize T2D treatments including novel long-acting insulins. It consists of a physiological model and an in silico population describing glucose dynamics, derived from early-stage T2D subjects studied with sophisticated tracer-based experimental techniques. This limits T2DS domain of validity to this specific sub-population. Conversely, running simulations in insulin-naïve or advanced T2D subjects, would be more valuable. However, it is rarely possible or cost-effective to run complex experiments in such populations. Therefore, we propose a method for tuning the T2DS to any desired T2D sub-population using published clinical data. As case study, we extended the T2DS to insulin-naïve T2D subjects, who need to start insulin therapy to compensate the reduced insulin function.

METHODS

T2DS model was identified based on literature data of the target population. The estimated parameters were used to generate a virtual cohort of insulin-naïve T2D subjects (inC1). A model of basal insulin degludec (IDeg) was also incorporated into the T2DS to enable basal insulin therapy. The resulting tailored T2DS was assessed by simulating IDeg therapy initiation and comparing simulated vs. clinical trial outcomes. For further validation, this procedure was reiterated to generate a new cohort of insulin-naïve T2D (inC2) assuming inC1 as target population.

RESULTS

No statistically significant differences were found when comparing fasting plasma glucose and IDeg dose, neither in clinical data vs. inC1, nor inC1 vs. inC2.

CONCLUSIONS

The tuned T2DS allowed reproducing the main findings of clinical studies in insulin-naïve T2D subjects.

SIGNIFICANCE

The proposed methodology makes the Padova T2DS usable for supporting treatment guidance in target T2D populations.

An in-silico modeling approach to separate exogenous and endogenous plasma insulin appearance, with application to inhaled insulin

The aim of this study was to develop a dynamic model-based approach to separately quantify the exogenous and endogenous contributions to total plasma insulin concentration and to apply it to assess the effects of inhaled-insulin administration on endogenous insulin secretion during a meal test. A three-step dynamic in-silico modeling approach was developed to estimate the two insulin contributions of total plasma insulin in a group of 21 healthy subjects who underwent two equivalent standardized meal tests on separate days, one of which preceded by inhalation of a Technosphere® Insulin dose (22U or 20U). In the 30-120 min test interval, the calculated endogenous insulin component showed a divergence in the time course between the test with and without inhaled insulin. Moreover, the supra-basal area-under-the-curve of endogenous insulin in the test with inhaled insulin was significantly lower than that in the test without (2.1 ± 1.7 × 104 pmol·min/L vs 4.2 ± 1.8 × 104 pmol·min/L, p < 0.01). The percentage of exogenous insulin reaching the plasma, relative to the inhaled dose, was 42 ± 21%. The proposed in-silico approach separates exogenous and endogenous insulin contributions to total plasma insulin, provides individual bioavailability estimates, and can be used to assess the effect of inhaled insulin on endogenous insulin secretion during a meal.

Reduction in Postprandial Peak Glucose With Increased Technosphere Insulin Dosage

BACKGROUND

Technosphere Insulin (TI) is an ultra-rapid-acting inhaled insulin. This study assessed the mean peak two-hour postprandial glucose concentration with the initial TI dose (dose 1) calculated per the current label (United State Prescribing Information) compared with a ~2× higher dose (dose 2). Secondary objectives were to evaluate hypoglycemia within the two-hour postprandial period, evaluate change in forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1) before and after the two-hour postprandial period, and monitor for other adverse events.

METHODS

Twenty patients with diabetes, on basal-bolus insulin therapy, received an initial dose 1 of TI followed by the higher dose 2, one to three days later. Subjects received an identical meal for both visits, and TI doses were administered immediately prior to the meal.

RESULTS

The higher dose 2 provided significant reductions in mean postprandial glucose excursion (PPGE) in the two-hour postprandial period starting from 45 minutes (P = .008) to 120 minutes (P < .0001). Mean peak glucose was reduced from 228.6 to 179.3 mg/dL (P < .001) at two hours. Two hypoglycemic events (one level 1, one level 2) were observed in a single subject during the two-hour postprandial period with dose 2. There were no significant changes in FEV1 after either dose of TI.

CONCLUSIONS

The higher dose 2 reduced PPGE versus the current label recommended dose 1 within the two-hour postprandial timeframe without any new safety concerns. When confirmed with a larger study, this higher TI dosing recommendation may help patients and clinicians minimize immediate postprandial hyperglycemia when titrating TI for prandial glucose control.

Developing the UVA/Padova Type 1 Diabetes Simulator: Modeling, Validation, Refinements, and Utility

Arguably, diabetes mellitus is one of the best quantified human conditions. In the past 50 years, the metabolic monitoring technologies progressed from occasional assessment of average glycemia via HbA1c, through episodic blood glucose readings, to continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) producing data points every few minutes. The high-temporal resolution of CGM data enabled increasingly intensive treatments, from decision support assisting insulin injection or oral medication, to automated closed-loop control, known as the "artificial pancreas." Throughout this progress, mathematical models and computer simulation of the human metabolic system became indispensable for the technological progress of diabetes treatment, enabling every step, from assessment of insulin sensitivity via the now classic Minimal Model of Glucose Kinetics, to in silico trials replacing animal experiments, to automated insulin delivery algorithms. In this review, we follow these developments, beginning with the Minimal Model, which evolved through the years to become large and comprehensive and trigger a paradigm change in the design of diabetes optimization strategies: in 2007, we introduced a sophisticated model of glucose-insulin dynamics and a computer simulator equipped with a "population" of N = 300 in silico "subjects" with type 1 diabetes. In January 2008, in an unprecedented decision, the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) accepted this simulator as a substitute to animal trials for the pre-clinical testing of insulin treatment strategies. This opened the field for rapid and cost-effective development and pre-clinical testing of new treatment approaches, which continues today. Meanwhile, animal experiments for the purpose of designing new insulin treatment algorithms have been abandoned.

Transforming Evidence Generation for Drug Label Changes: A Case Study

Computer Modeling and Simulation (CM&S) provides the opportunity to drastically reduce clinical trial patient burden and advance regulatory decision making. At the suggestion of the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA), MannKind Corporation and Nudge BG submitted an application to the FDA Model-Informed Drug Development (MIDD) pilot program to support a label change for the initial dose of Afrezza® (insulin human), a novel inhalable insulin with a rapid pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic profile. The MIDD pilot program demonstrates the FDA's commitment to advancing regulatory science through the adoption of evidence generated by CM&S. A simulation framework was developed based on empirical data. It was used to generate evidence to support the label change. Briefing packages and presentations were prepared for two meetings with the FDA, over a period of four months. The model was thoroughly characterized, determined to be low risk for the question of interest, and submitted along with additional clinical evidence for validation. The FDA found the simulation framework to be helpful in providing insights into the question of interest and provides reasonable glycemic outcome predictions. At the conclusion of the MIDD paired meetings, FDA personnel from the Center for Drug Evaluation and Research review team accepted the simulation and requested additional, traditional clinical evidence to support the proposed label change. In the post-meeting comments, the FDA invited MannKind to submit a proposal for a data package including the CM&S evidence in a Type C meeting for further discussion on the label change. This MIDD pilot experience suggests that CM&S is a credible method for evidence generation. Collaboration between sponsor organizations as well as all stakeholders in the FDA, including proponents of CM&S, can further support regulatory decision-making. The learnings from early participants will allow the program to reach its full potential and thereby ultimately benefit patients, sponsors, and FDA.

Minimal and Maximal Models to Quantitate Glucose Metabolism: Tools to Measure, to Simulate and to Run in Silico Clinical Trials

Several models have been proposed to describe the glucose system at whole-body, organ/tissue and cellular level, designed to measure non-accessible parameters (minimal models), to simulate system behavior and run in silico clinical trials (maximal models). Here, we will review the authors' work, by putting it into a concise historical background. We will discuss first the parametric portrait provided by the oral minimal models-building on the classical intravenous glucose tolerance test minimal models-to measure otherwise non-accessible key parameters like insulin sensitivity and beta-cell responsivity from a physiological oral test, the mixed meal or the oral glucose tolerance tests, and what can be gained by adding a tracer to the oral glucose dose. These models were used in various pathophysiological studies, which we will briefly review. A deeper understanding of insulin sensitivity can be gained by measuring insulin action in the skeletal muscle. This requires the use of isotopic tracers: both the classical multiple-tracer dilution and the positron emission tomography techniques are discussed, which quantitate the effect of insulin on the individual steps of glucose metabolism, that is, bidirectional transport plasma-interstitium, and phosphorylation. Finally, we will present a cellular model of insulin secretion that, using a multiscale modeling approach, highlights the relations between minimal model indices and subcellular secretory events. In terms of maximal models, we will move from a parametric to a flux portrait of the system by discussing the triple tracer meal protocol implemented with the tracer-to-tracee clamp technique. This allows to arrive at quasi-model independent measurement of glucose rate of appearance (Ra), endogenous glucose production (EGP), and glucose rate of disappearance (Rd). Both the fast absorbing simple carbs and the slow absorbing complex carbs are discussed. This rich data base has allowed us to build the UVA/Padova Type 1 diabetes and the Padova Type 2 diabetes large scale simulators. In particular, the UVA/Padova Type 1 simulator proved to be a very useful tool to safely and effectively test in silico closed-loop control algorithms for an artificial pancreas (AP). This was the first and unique simulator of the glucose system accepted by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration as a substitute to animal trials for in silico testing AP algorithms. Recent uses of the simulator have looked at glucose sensors for non-adjunctive use and new insulin molecules.

A software interface for in silico testing of type 2 diabetes treatments

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

The increasing incidence of diabetes continuously stimulates the research on new antidiabetic drugs. Computer simulation can save time and costs, alleviating the need of animal trials and providing useful information for optimal experiment design and drug dosing. We recently presented a type 2 diabetes (T2D) simulator as tool for in silico testing of new molecules and guiding treatment optimization. Here we present a user-friendly interface aimed to increase the usability of the simulator.

METHOD

The simulator, based on a large-scale glucose, insulin, and C-peptide model and equipped with 100 virtual subjects well describing system dynamics in a real T2D population, is extended to incorporate pharmacokinetics/pharmacodynamics (PK/PD) of a drug of interest. A graphical interface is developed on top of the simulator, allowing an easy design of in silico experiments: specifically, it is possible to select the population size to test, design the experiment (crossover or parallel), its duration and the sampling grid, choose glucose and insulin doses, and define treatment PK/PD and dose administered. The simulator also provides the outcome metrics requested by the user, and performs statistical comparisons among treatments and/or placebo.

RESULTS

To illustrate the potential of the simulator, we provided a case study using metformin and liraglutide. Literature-based PK/PD models of metformin and liraglutide have been incorporated in the simulator, by modulating key drug-sensitive model parameters. An in silico placebo-controlled trial has been done by simulating a three-arm meal tolerance test with subjects receiving placebo, metformin 850 mg, liraglutide 1.80 mg, respectively. The obtained results are in agreement with the clinical evidences, in terms of main glucose, insulin, and C-peptide outcome metrics.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed a user-friendly software interface for the T2D simulator to support the design and test of new antidiabetic drugs and treatments. This increases the simulator usability, making it suitable also for users who have low experience with computer programming.

A comparison among three maximal mathematical models of the glucose-insulin system

The most well-known and widely used mathematical representations of the physiology of a diabetic individual are the Sorensen and Hovorka models as well as the UVAPadova Simulator. While the Hovorka model and the UVAPadova Simulator only describe the glucose metabolism of a subject with type 1 diabetes, the Sorensen model was formulated to simulate the behaviour of both normal and diabetic individuals. The UVAPadova model is the most known model, accepted by the FDA, with a high level of complexity. The Hovorka model is the simplest of the three models, well documented and used primarily for the development of control algorithms. The Sorensen model is the most complete, even though some modifications were required both to the model equations (adding useful compartments for modelling subcutaneous insulin delivery) and to the parameter values. In the present work several simulated experiments, such as IVGTTs and OGTTs, were used as tools to compare the three formulations in order to establish to what extent increasing complexity translates into richer and more correct physiological behaviour. All the equations and parameters used for carrying out the simulations are provided.

Impact of Accelerating Insulin on an Artificial Pancreas System Without Meal Announcement: An In Silico Examination

BACKGROUND

Controlling postprandial blood glucose without the benefit of an appropriately sized premeal insulin bolus has been challenging given the delays in absorption and action of subcutaneously injected insulin during conventional and artificial pancreas (AP) system diabetes treatment. We aim to understand the impact of accelerating insulin and increasing aggressiveness of the AP controller as potential solutions to address the postprandial hyperglycemia challenge posed by unannounced meals through a simulation study.

METHODS

Accelerated rapid-acting insulin analogue is modeled within the UVA/Padova simulation platform by uniformly reducing its pharmacokinetic time constants (α multiplier) and used with a model predictive control, where the controller's aggressiveness depends on α. Two sets of single-meal simulations were performed: (1) where we only tune the controller's aggressiveness and (2) where we also accelerate insulin absorption and action to assess postprandial glycemic control during each intervention.

RESULTS

Mean percent of time spent within the 70 to 180 mg/dL postprandial glycemic range is significantly higher in set (2) than in set (1): 79.9, 95% confidence interval [77.0, 82.7] vs 88.8 [86.8, 90.9] ([Note to typesetter: Set all unnecessary math in text format and insert appropriate spaces between operators.] P < .05) for α = 2, and 81.4 [78.6, 84.3] vs 94.1 [92.6, 95.6] (P < .05) for α = 3. A decrease in percent of time below 70 mg/dL is also detected: 0.9 [0.4, 2.2] vs 0.6 [0.2, 1.4] (P = .23) for α = 2 and 1.4 [0.7, 2.8] vs 0.4 [0.1, 1.4] (P < .05) for α = 3.

CONCLUSION

These proof-of-concept simulations suggest that an AP without prandial insulin boluses combined with significantly faster insulin analogues could match the glycemic performance obtained with an optimal hybrid AP.

Fast-acting insulin aspart (Fiasp®) improves glycemic outcomes when used with MiniMedTM 670G hybrid closed-loop system in simulated trials compared to NovoLog®

INTRODUCTION

Medtronic has developed a virtual patient simulator for modeling and predicting insulin therapy outcomes for people with type 1 diabetes (T1D). An enhanced simulator was created to estimate outcomes when using the MiniMed^TM 670G system with standard NovoLog® (EU: NovoRapid, US: NovoLog) versus Fiasp ® by using clinical data.

METHODS

Sixty-seven participants' PK profiles were generated per type of insulin (Total of 134 PK profiles). 7,485 virtual patients' PK measurements was matched with one of the 67 NovoLog® PK Tmax values. These 7,485 virtual patients were then simulated using the Medtronic MiniMed™ 670G algorithm following an in-silico protocol of 90 days: 14 days in open loop (Manual Mode) followed by 76 days in closed loop (Auto Mode). Simulation study was repeated with each NovoLog® PK profile being replaced by its corresponding Fiasp® PK profile in the same virtual patient. To validate our in-silico analysis, we compared the results of "actual" 19 "real life" patients from a clinical study RESULTS: Simulated overall and postprandial glycemic outcomes improved in all age groups with Fiasp®. The percentage of time in the euglycemic range increased by about ~2.2% with Fiasp®, in all age groups (p < 0.01). The percentage of time spent at <70 mg/dL was reduced by about ~0.6% with insulin Fiasp® (p < 0.01) and the mean glucose was reduced by about 1.3 mg/dL (p < 0.01), excluding those age <7 years. The simulated mean postprandial SG was reduced by ~5 mg/dL, a significant difference for all age groups. A clinical study results showed similar improvements with MiniMed^TM 670G system when switching from NovoLog® to Fiasp®.

CONCLUSIONS

The simulation studies indicate that using Fiasp® in place of NovoLog® with the MiniMed^TM 670G system will significantly improve the time spent in the healthy, euglycemic range and reduce exposure to hyperglycemia and hypoglycemia in most patients.

Modeling Between-Subject Variability in Subcutaneous Absorption of a Fast-Acting Insulin Analogue by a Nonlinear Mixed Effects Approach

Despite the great progress made in insulin preparation and titration, many patients with diabetes are still experiencing dangerous fluctuations in their blood glucose levels. This is mainly due to the large between- and within-subject variability, which considerably hampers insulin therapy, leading to defective dosing and timing of the administration process. In this work, we present a nonlinear mixed effects model describing the between-subject variability observed in the subcutaneous absorption of fast-acting insulin. A set of 14 different models was identified on a large and frequently-sampled database of lispro pharmacokinetic data, collected from 116 subjects with type 1 diabetes. The tested models were compared, and the best one was selected on the basis of the ability to fit the data, the precision of the estimated parameters, and parsimony criteria. The selected model was able to accurately describe the typical trend of plasma insulin kinetics, as well as the between-subject variability present in the absorption process, which was found to be related to the subject’s body mass index. The model provided a deeper understanding of the insulin absorption process and can be incorporated into simulation platforms to test and develop new open- and closed-loop treatment strategies, allowing a step forward toward personalized insulin therapy.

The Padova Type 2 Diabetes Simulator from Triple-Tracer Single-Meal Studies: In Silico Trials Also Possible in Rare but Not-So-Rare Individuals

Background:In silico trials in type 2 diabetes (T2D) would be useful for testing diabetes treatments and accelerating the development of new antidiabetic drugs. In this study, we present a T2D simulator able to reproduce the variability observed in a T2D population. The simulator also allows to safely experiment on virtual subjects with severe (and possibly rare) pathological conditions. Methods: A meal simulation model of glucose, insulin, and C-peptide systems, made of 15 differential equations and 39 parameters, has been identified using a system decomposition and forcing function Bayesian strategy on data of 51 T2D subjects undergoing a single triple-tracer mixed meal. One hundred T2D in silico subjects have been generated from the joint distribution of estimated model parameters. A case study is presented to illustrate the simulator use for testing a virtual drug (improving insulin action and secretion) in a subpopulation of rare, extremely impaired, T2D subjects. Results: The model well fitted T2D data and parameters were estimated with precision. Simulated plasma glucose, insulin, and C-peptide well matched the data (e.g., median [25^th-75^th percentile] glucose area under the curves of 6.9 [6.1-8.5] 10⁴ mg/dL·min in silico vs. 7.0 [5.6-8.2] 10⁴ mg/dL·min in vivo). The potential use of the simulator was shown in a case study, in which the (virtual) antidiabetic drug dose was optimized for very insulin-resistant T2D subjects. Conclusions: We have developed a T2D simulator that captures the behavior of T2D population during a meal, both in terms of average and intersubject variability. The simulator represents a cost-effective way to test new antidiabetic drugs, before moving to human trials.

In Silico Head-to-Head Comparison of Insulin Glargine 300 U/mL and Insulin Degludec 100 U/mL in Type 1 Diabetes

Background: Second-generation long-acting insulin glargine 300 U/mL (Gla-300) and degludec 100 U/mL (Deg-100) provide novel basal insulin therapies for the treatment of type 1 diabetes (T1D). Both offer a flatter pharmacokinetic (PK) profile than the previous generation of long-acting insulins, thus improving glycemic control while reducing hypoglycemic events. This work describes an in silico head-to-head comparison of the two basal insulins on 24-h glucose profiles and was used to guide the design of a clinical trial. Materials and Methods: The Universities of Virginia (UVA)/Padova T1D simulator describes the intra-/interday variability of glucose-insulin dynamics and thus provides a robust bench-test for assessing glucose control for basal insulin therapies. A PK model describing subcutaneous absorption of Deg-100, in addition to the one already available for Gla-300, has been developed based on T1D clinical data and incorporated into the simulator. One hundred in silico T1D subjects received a basal insulin dose (Gla-300 or Deg-100) for 12 weeks (8 weeks uptitration, 4 weeks stable dosing) by morning or evening administration in a basal/bolus regimen. The virtual patients were uptitrated to their individual doses with two different titration rules. Results: The last 2-week simulated continuous glucose monitoring data were used to calculate various outcome metrics for both basal insulin treatments, with primary outcome being the percent time in glucose target (70-140 mg/dL). The simulations show no statistically significant difference for Gla-300 versus Deg-100 in the main endpoints. Conclusions: This work suggests comparable glucose control using either Gla-300 or Deg-100 and was used to guide the design of a clinical trial intended to compare second-generation long-acting insulin analogues.

In Silico Cloning of Target Type 2 Diabetes Population for Treatments Development and Decision Support. ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE OF THE IEEE ENGINEERING IN MEDICINE AND BIOLOGY SOCIETY. IEEE ENGINEERING IN MEDICINE AND BIOLOGY SOCIETY. ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE 2020;2020:5111-5114. [PMID: 33019136 DOI: 10.1109/embc44109.2020.9175271]

Therapies for treatment of type 2 diabetes (T2D) involve a variety of medications, depending on the stage of T2D progression. It is now an accepted knowledge that in silico trials can help to accelerate drug development and support treatment optimization. A T2D simulator (T2DS), consisting of a model of the glucose-insulin system and an in silico population describing glucose-insulin dynamics in T2D subjects, has been recently developed based on early-stage T2D data, studied with sophisticated experimental techniques. This limits the domain of validity of the simulator to this specific sub-population of T2D. Here we proposed a method for tuning the T2DS to any desired T2D target population, e.g. insulin-naïve (i.e., not experienced with insulin) patients, without the need to resort to complex and expensive clinical studies. This will allow to use the T2DS for testing treatments in the target population. To illustrate the methodology, we used a case study: extending the T2DS to reproduce the behavior of insulin-naïve T2D subjects. The methodology described here can be extended to other stages of T2D, allowing an extensive in silico testing phase of different treatments before human trials.

Delivery Technologies for Orally Inhaled Products: an Update

Orally inhaled products have well-known benefits. They allow for effective local administration of many drugs for the treatment of pulmonary disease, and they allow for rapid absorption and avoidance of first-pass metabolism of several systemically acting drugs. Several challenges remain, however, such as dosing limitations, low and variable deposition of the drug in the lungs, and high drug deposition in the oropharynx region. These challenges have stimulated the development of new delivery technologies. Both formulation improvements and new device technologies have been developed through an improved understanding of the mechanisms of aerosolization and lung deposition. These new advancements in formulations have enabled improved aerosolization by controlling particle properties such as density, size, shape, and surface energy. New device technologies emerging in the marketplace focus on minimizing patient errors, expanding the range of inhaled drugs, improving delivery efficiency, increasing dose consistency and dosage levels, and simplifying device operation. Many of these new technologies have the potential to improve patient compliance. This article reviews how new delivery technologies in the form of new formulations and new devices enhance orally inhaled products.

Long-acting Insulin in Diabetes Therapy: In Silico Clinical Trials with the UVA/Padova Type 1 Diabetes Simulator

The University of Virginia /Padova Type 1 Diabetes (TID) simulator has been widely used for testing artificial pancreas controllers, and, recently, novel insulin formulations and glucose sensors. However, a module describing the pharmacokinetics of the new long-acting insulin analogues is not available. The aim of this contribution is to reproduce multiple daily insulin injection (MDI) therapy, with insulin glargine 100 U/mL (Gla-100) as basal insulin, using the TID simulator. This was achieved by developing a model of Gla-100 and by incorporating it into the simulator. The methodology described here can be extended to other insulins, allowing an extensive in silico testing of different long-acting insulin analogues under various settings before starting human trials.

Improving glycemic control in critically ill patients: personalized care to mimic the endocrine pancreas

There is considerable physiological and clinical evidence of harm and increased risk of death associated with dysglycemia in critical care. However, glycemic control (GC) currently leads to increased hypoglycemia, independently associated with a greater risk of death. Indeed, recent evidence suggests GC is difficult to safely and effectively achieve for all patients. In this review, leading experts in the field discuss this evidence and relevant data in diabetology, including the artificial pancreas, and suggest how safe, effective GC can be achieved in critically ill patients in ways seeking to mimic normal islet cell function. The review is structured around the specific clinical hurdles of: understanding the patient’s metabolic state; designing GC to fit clinical practice, safety, efficacy, and workload; and the need for standardized metrics. These aspects are addressed by reviewing relevant recent advances in science and technology. Finally, we provide a set of concise recommendations to advance the safety, quality, consistency, and clinical uptake of GC in critical care. This review thus presents a roadmap toward better, more personalized metabolic care and improved patient outcomes.

Recommendations for Initiating Use of Afrezza Inhaled Insulin in Individuals with Type 1 Diabetes

Treatment with Afrezza^® (insulin human) inhalation powder in individuals with type 1 diabetes (T1D) reduces HbA1c levels similar to rapid-acting insulin analogs, but with significantly less hypoglycemia due to its unique time action profile. Examinations of studies of Afrezza pharmacokinetics/pharmacodynamics, relevant clinical trials, and U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) documentation suggest that current FDA-mandated dosing recommendations for initiating Afrezza treatment may not result in optimal glycemic control for individuals with T1D. Recommendations for initiating Afrezza insulin therapy in T1D patients are presented in this article.

The UVA/Padova Type 1 Diabetes Simulator Goes From Single Meal to Single Day

BACKGROUND

A new version of the UVA/Padova Type 1 Diabetes (T1D) Simulator is presented which provides a more realistic testing scenario. The upgrades to the previous simulator, which was accepted by the Food and Drug Administration in 2013, are described.

METHOD

Intraday variability of insulin sensitivity (S_I) has been modeled, based on clinical T1D data, accounting for both intra- and intersubject variability of daily S_I. Thus, time-varying distributions of both subject's basal insulin infusion and insulin-to-carbohydrate ratio were calculated and made available to the user. A model of "dawn" phenomenon based on clinical T1D data has been also included. Moreover, the model of subcutaneous insulin delivery has been updated with a recently developed model of commercially available fast-acting insulin analogs. Models of both intradermal and inhaled insulin pharmacokinetics have been included. Finally, new models of error affecting continuous glucose monitoring and self-monitoring of blood glucose devices have been added.

RESULTS

One hundred in silico adults, adolescent, and children have been generated according to the above modifications. The new simulator reproduces the intraday glucose variability observed in clinical data, also describing the nocturnal glucose increase, and the simulated insulin profiles reflect real life data.

CONCLUSIONS

The new modifications introduced in the T1D simulator allow to extend its domain of validity from "single-meal" to "single-day" scenarios, thus enabling a more realistic framework for in silico testing of advanced diabetes technologies including glucose sensors, new insulin molecules and artificial pancreas.

In silico assessment of biomedical products: The conundrum of rare but not so rare events in two case studies

In silico clinical trials, defined as "The use of individualized computer simulation in the development or regulatory evaluation of a medicinal product, medical device, or medical intervention," have been proposed as a possible strategy to reduce the regulatory costs of innovation and the time to market for biomedical products. We review some of the the literature on this topic, focusing in particular on those applications where the current practice is recognized as inadequate, as for example, the detection of unexpected severe adverse events too rare to be detected in a clinical trial, but still likely enough to be of concern. We then describe with more details two case studies, two successful applications of in silico clinical trial approaches, one relative to the University of Virginia/Padova simulator that the Food and Drug Administration has accepted as possible replacement for animal testing in the preclinical assessment of artificial pancreas technologies, and the second, an investigation of the probability of cardiac lead fracture, where a Bayesian network was used to combine in vivo and in silico observations, suggesting a whole new strategy of in silico-augmented clinical trials, to be used to increase the numerosity where recruitment is impossible, or to explore patients' phenotypes that are unlikely to appear in the trial cohort, but are still frequent enough to be of concern.

Personalized blood glucose prediction: A hybrid approach using grammatical evolution and physiological models

The large patient variability in human physiology and the effects of variables such as exercise or meals challenge current prediction modeling techniques. Physiological models are very precise but they are typically complex and specific physiological knowledge is required. In contrast, data-based models allow the incorporation of additional inputs and accurately capture the relationship between these inputs and the outcome, but at the cost of losing the physiological meaning of the model. In this work, we designed a hybrid approach comprising physiological models for insulin and grammatical evolution, taking into account the clinical harm caused by deviations from the target blood glucose by using a penalizing fitness function based on the Clarke error grid. The prediction models were built using data obtained over 14 days for 100 virtual patients generated by the UVA/Padova T1D simulator. Midterm blood glucose was predicted for the 100 virtual patients using personalized models and different scenarios. The results obtained were promising; an average of 98.31% of the predictions fell in zones A and B of the Clarke error grid. Midterm predictions using personalized models are feasible when the configuration of grammatical evolution explored in this study is used. The study of new alternative models is important to move forward in the development of alarm-and-control applications for the management of type 1 diabetes and the customization of the patient's treatments. The hybrid approach can be adapted to predict short-term blood glucose values to detect continuous glucose-monitoring sensor errors and to estimate blood glucose values when the continuous glucose-monitoring system fails to provide them.

Clinical Impact of Blood Glucose Monitoring Accuracy: An In-Silico Study

BACKGROUND

Patients with diabetes rely on blood glucose (BG) monitoring devices to manage their condition. As some self-monitoring devices are becoming more and more accurate, it becomes critical to understand the relationship between system accuracy and clinical outcomes, and the potential benefits of analytical accuracy.

METHODS

We conducted a 30-day in-silico study in type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1DM) patients using continuous subcutaneous insulin infusion (CSII) therapy and a variety of BG meters, using the FDA-approved University of Virginia (UVA)/Padova Type 1 Simulator. We used simulated meter models derived from the published characteristics of 43 commercial meters. By controlling random events in each parallel run, we isolated the differences in clinical performance that are directly associated with the meter characteristics.

RESULTS

A meter's systematic bias has a significant and inverse effect on HbA1c ( P < .01), while also affecting the number of severe hypoglycemia events. On the other hand, error, defined as the fraction of measurements beyond 5% of the true value, is a predictor of severe hypoglycemia events ( P < .01), but in the absence of bias has a nonsignificant effect on average glycemia (HbA1c). Both bias and error have significant effects on total daily insulin (TDI) and the number of necessary glucose measurements per day ( P < .01). Furthermore, these relationships can be accurately modeled using linear regression on meter bias and error.

CONCLUSIONS

Two components of meter accuracy, bias and error, clearly affect clinical outcomes. While error has little effect on HbA1c, it tends to increase episodes of severe hypoglycemia. Meter bias has significant effects on all considered metrics: a positive systemic bias will reduce HbA1c, but increase the number of severe hypoglycemia attacks, TDI use, and number of fingersticks per day.

Regulation Catches Up to Reality

The FDA recently conducted an Advisory Panel meeting to evaluate the safety, efficacy, and benefits of granting a nonadjunctive label claim for the DEXCOM G5 Mobile continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) system. If approved, this claim will allow users to make day-to-day treatment decisions, including insulin dosing directly from the glucose values and rate of changes arrows generated by the CGM device, without the requirement of a confirmatory measurement with a self-monitoring blood glucose (SMBG) meter. Sporadic SMBG testing gives limited data, while CGM gives a value every 5 minutes and has alerts, alarms, trending information and allows caregivers to follow the user in real time 24/7. This indication will lead to more wide spread use of CGM and improve overall care with protection of hypoglycemia.