Quantitative Analysis of the Benefits and Risk of Thyroid Nodule Evaluation in Patients ≥70 Years Old

Defining inappropriate thyroid biopsy?-Proposed definition based on clinical evidence and stakeholder engagement

PURPOSE

Identify factors that can be used to assess the appropriateness of a thyroid biopsy and propose a pathway to define inappropriate thyroid biopsies in practice.

METHODS

We identified factors utilized in clinical guidelines and existing literature to determine the clinical indications for a thyroid biopsy. Subsequently, we assembled a multidisciplinary panel of experts, including patients, clinicians, researchers, and quality experts, to integrate these factors and develop a pathway for assessing the appropriateness of thyroid biopsies.

RESULTS

Through literature review and stakeholder engagement, we identified multiple factors to determine if a thyroid biopsy is necessary: ultrasound risk assessment, presence of compressive symptoms and/or clinical suspicion of high-risk thyroid cancer, life expectancy, comorbidity burden, surgical risk, personal risk factors for thyroid cancer, thyroid function levels, local resources and medical expertise and patient values and preferences. We proposed a multiple-tier classification for the appropriateness of thyroid biopsy that begins with ultrasound findings (e.g., size, thyroid cancer risk) and encompasses the evaluation of additional patient-specific factors.

CONCLUSION

Assessment of the appropriateness of a thyroid biopsy is possible. Although, thyroid nodule ultrasound risk assessment is a pivotal factor for this assessment, additional factors should be considered (e.g., life expectancy, personal risk factors for thyroid cancer, patient preferences). Yet, additional efforts are needed to operationalize the objective implementation of these factors in clinical practice.

Artificial intelligence assisted diagnosis of early tc markers and its application

Thyroid cancer (TC) is a common endocrine malignancy with an increasing incidence worldwide. Early diagnosis is particularly important for TC patients, because it allows patients to receive treatment as early as possible. Artificial intelligence (AI) provides great advantages for complex healthcare systems by analyzing big data based on machine learning. Nowadays, AI is widely used in the early diagnosis of cancer such as TC. Ultrasound detection and fine needle aspiration biopsy are the main methods for early diagnosis of TC. AI has been widely used in the detection of malignancy in thyroid nodules by ultrasound images, cytopathology images and molecular markers. It shows great potential in auxiliary medical diagnosis. The latest clinical trial has shown that the performance of AI models matches with the diagnostic efficiency of experienced clinicians, and more efficient AI tools will be developed in the future. Therefore, in this review, we summarized the recent advances in the application of AI algorithms in assessing the risk of malignancy in thyroid nodules. The objective of this review was to provide a data base for the clinical use of AI-assisted diagnosis in TC, as well as to provide new ideas for the next generation of AI-assisted diagnosis in TC.

Deciphering the progression of fine-needle aspiration: A bibliometric analysis of thyroid nodule research

This study aims to dissect the evolution and pivotal shifts in Fine-Needle Aspiration (FNA) research for thyroid nodules over the past 2 decades, focusing on delineating key technological advancements and their impact on clinical practice. A comprehensive bibliometric analysis was conducted on 5418 publications from the Web of Science Core Collection database (2000-2023). Publications were rigorously selected based on their contributions to the advancement of FNA techniques and their influence on thyroid nodule management practices. Our analysis uncovered significant breakthroughs, most notably the incorporation of ultrasound and molecular diagnostics in FNA, which have markedly elevated diagnostic accuracy. A pivotal shift was identified towards minimally invasive post-FNA treatments, such as Radiofrequency Ablation, attributable to these diagnostic advancements. Additionally, the emergence of AI-assisted cytology represents a frontier in precision diagnostics, promising enhanced disease identification. The geographical analysis pinpointed the United States, Italy, and China as key contributors, with the United States leading in both publication volume and citation impact. This bibliometric analysis sheds light on the transformative progression in FNA practices for thyroid nodules, characterized by innovative diagnostic technologies and a trend towards patient-centric treatment approaches. The findings underscore the need for further research into AI integration and global practice standardization. Future explorations should focus on the practical application of these advancements in diverse healthcare settings and their implications for global thyroid nodule management.

Age-related variation in malignant cytology rates of thyroid nodules: insights from a retrospective observational study assessing the ACR TI-RADS

OBJECTIVE

The influence of age on the malignant cytology rate of thyroid nodules remains uncertain. The American College of Radiology Thyroid Imaging Reporting and Data System (ACR TI-RADS) is currently used to guide subsequent investigations of thyroid nodules, regardless of clinical variables. This study aimed to investigate the impact of age on the malignant cytology rates of thyroid nodules and the diagnostic performance of ACR TI-RADS across different age groups.

DESIGN

A retrospective, single-center, observational study.

METHODS

Patients aged ≥ 20 years with thyroid nodules, who underwent fine-needle aspiration biopsy between 2012 and 2019 were evaluated. Ultrasound images were used to obtain the TI-RADS data. Malignancy was determined based on suspicious for malignancy (Bethesda V) and malignant (Bethesda VI) cytology results or malignancy in cell block analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 1023 nodules from 921 patients (88.2% female) were analyzed. The median age was 58.5 (interquartile range [IQR], 41.1-66.6) years, and the median nodule size was 2.4 (IQR, 1.7-3.6) cm. Stratification by age revealed a decreasing prevalence of malignant cytology across subgroups of 20-39, 40-59, and ≥60 years (10.7%, 8.5%, and 3.7%, respectively; P = .002). After adjusting for sex, multinodularity, nodule size, and ACR TI-RADS category, we observed that each year of age reduced the OR for malignant cytology by 3.0% (95% CI: 0.7%-5.3%; P = .011). When comparing the subgroups of 20-39 and ≥60 years, the malignant cytology rate decreased by half in TI-RADS 4 (from 21.4% to 10.4%) and two-thirds in TI-RADS 5 (from 64.7% to 22.6%).

CONCLUSIONS

Our study demonstrated that as patient age increased, the rate of malignant cytology in thyroid nodules decreased. Moreover, age significantly influences the malignancy rates of thyroid nodules classified according to the ACR TI-RADS.

A comprehensive comparative assessment of eight risk stratification systems for thyroid nodules in the elderly population

Objective

This study aims to investigate the diagnostic value of eight risk stratification systems (RSSs) for thyroid nodules in the elderly and explore the reasons in comparison with a younger group.

Methods

Cases of thyroid nodules that underwent ultrasound examination with thyroidectomy or fine-needle aspiration (FNA) at our hospital between August 2013 and March 2023 were collected. The patients were categorized into two groups: an elderly group (aged ≥60) and a younger group (aged <60). Eight RSSs were applied to evaluate these nodules respectively.

Results

The malignant rate in the elderly group was significantly lower than that in the younger group (28.2% vs. 49.6%, P=0.000). There were statistically significant differences in nodule diameter, multiplicity, composition, echogenicity, orientation, margin, and echogenic foci between the elderly and younger groups (P<0.05). Among the eight RSSs evaluated in elderly adults, the artificial intelligence-based Thyroid Imaging Reporting and Data System (AI TIRADS) demonstrated the highest overall diagnostic efficacy, but with relatively high unnecessary FNA rate (UFR) and missed cancer rate (MCR) of 55.0% and 51.3%, respectively. By modifying the size thresholds, the new AI TI-RADS achieved the lowest UFR and MCR while maintaining nearly the lowest FNA rate (FNAR) among all the RSSs (P=0.172, 0.162, compared to the ACR and original AI, respectively, but P<0.05 compared to the other six RSSs).

Conclusion

Among the eight RSS systems, AI demonstrated higher diagnostic efficacy in the elderly population. However, the size thresholds for FNA needed to be adjusted.

Management of thyroid dysfunction and thyroid nodules in the ageing patient

Thyroid dysfunction is a common endocrine disorder in the general population, with a reported prevalence of 10-15%. However, this rate is even higher in older adults, with an estimated prevalence of ≈25% in some populations. Since elderly patients usually present more comorbidities than younger individuals, thyroid dysfunction may carry a synergistic negative health impact, mainly due to increased cardiovascular disease risk. Moreover, thyroid dysfunction in the elderly can be more difficult to diagnose due to its subtle or even asymptomatic clinical presentation, and the interpretation of thyroid function tests may be affected by drugs that interfere with thyroid function or by the coexistence of several diseases. On the other hand, thyroid nodules are also a prevalent condition in older adults, and its incidence increases with age. The assessment and management of thyroid nodules in the ageing patient should take into account several factors, as risk stratification, thyroid cancer biology, patient´s overall health, comorbidities, treatment preferences, and goals of care. In this review article, we summarize the current knowledge on the pathophysiology, diagnosis, and therapeutic management of thyroid dysfunction in elderly patients and we also review how to identify and manage thyroid nodules in this population.

Paving the path toward multi-omics approaches in the diagnostic challenges faced in thyroid pathology

INTRODUCTION

Despite advancements in diagnostic methods, the classification of indeterminate thyroid nodules still poses diagnostic challenges not only in pre-surgical evaluation but even after histological evaluation of surgical specimens. Proteomics, aided by mass spectrometry and integrated with artificial intelligence and machine learning algorithms, shows great promise in identifying diagnostic markers for thyroid lesions.

AREAS COVERED

This review provides in-depth exploration of how proteomics has contributed to the understanding of thyroid pathology. It discusses the technical advancements related to immunohistochemistry, genetic and proteomic techniques, such as mass spectrometry, which have greatly improved sensitivity and spatial resolution up to single-cell level. These improvements allowed the identification of specific protein signatures associated with different types of thyroid lesions.

EXPERT COMMENTARY

Among all the proteomics approaches, spatial proteomics stands out due to its unique ability to capture the spatial context of proteins in both cytological and tissue thyroid samples. The integration of multi-layers of molecular information combining spatial proteomics, genomics, immunohistochemistry or metabolomics and the implementation of artificial intelligence and machine learning approaches, represent hugely promising steps forward toward the possibility to uncover intricate relationships and interactions among various molecular components, providing a complete picture of the biological landscape whilst fostering thyroid nodule diagnosis.

Trends in thyroid cancer burden in Taiwan over two decades

PURPOSE

Thyroid cancer incidence has increased over recent decades with considerable geographic variations in incidence patterns. Here, we analyzed temporal trends in the incidence and mortality rates of thyroid cancer in Taiwan.

METHODS

We obtained age-standardized rates at a national level using data from the Taiwan Cancer Registry annual reports from 1995 to 2019. Trends in age-standardized rates were characterized by joinpoint regression analysis.

RESULTS

The age-standardized incidence rate of thyroid cancer increased from 3.00 per 100,000 person-years in 1995 to 15.46 per 100,000 person-years in 2019 (p < 0.001). Significant upward trends were observed in virtually all age groups, including adolescents and the geriatric population. The average annual percent changes were 7.97%, 2.60%, 2.77%, and 1.43% for papillary, follicular, medullary, and anaplastic thyroid cancers, respectively. The mortality rate from thyroid cancer decreased over time in women but remained stable in men.

CONCLUSION

The incidence rates of thyroid cancer have steadily increased across gender, age groups, and tumor types over the past two decades. Future studies are needed to investigate potential etiological factors other than overdiagnosis that may drive these trends.

The Impact of the 2022 WHO Classification of Thyroid Neoplasms on Everyday Practice of Cytopathology

This review outlines how the alterations in the 5th edition of the WHO Classification of Endocrine and Neuroendocrine Tumors of the thyroid gland are likely to impact thyroid cytopathology. It is important to note that WHO subclassifies thyroid tumors into several new categories based on increased comprehension of the cell of origin, pathologic features (including cytopathology), molecular classification, and biological behavior. The 3rd edition of the Bethesda System for Reporting Thyroid Cytopathology (TBSRTC) will debut in the near future and will include changes in diagnostic category designations. The changes in the 5th edition of the WHO will in some instances subtly, and in other instances significantly, impact the cytological diagnoses. Moreover, these changes will also affect other thyroid FNA classification schemes used internationally for classifying thyroid FNA specimens.

Impact of Age on Prognosis in Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma: How Should Age be Incorporated into the Treatment Strategy?

BACKGROUND

Age has been recognized as one of the strong prognostic indicators for thyroid cancer. However, treatment strategies for papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) are usually determined only by the extent of disease progression, without considering the patient's age. The aim of this study was to investigate how the surgical strategy for PTC should take into account patient age.

METHODS

To exclude the effect of treatment strategy, 837 patients treated with uniform treatment strategies (hemithyroidectomy without radioiodine therapy) between 1986 and 1995 were the subjects of this study. Using a Cox proportional hazard model, clinical risk factors related to disease-specific survival (DSS), disease-free survival (DFS), and distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) were analyzed. A receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to identify the optimal cutoff points.

RESULTS

Significant risk factors related to DSS and DMFS were age, extrathyroidal extension (ETE), and numbers of metastatic lymph nodes (NMLNs), but age was not significantly related to DFS. The 20-year DSS and DMFS rates were fair in patients without ETE regardless of age or NMLNs. However, in patients with ETE, DSS and DMFS rates were significantly worse in elderly patients than in young patients. ROC curve analysis showed that the optimal cutoff age was 48 years for discriminating DSS in patients with ETE.

CONCLUSION

Regardless of age, PTC patients without ETE are candidates for a treatment strategy not using RAI, and more aggressive treatment may be recommended for elderly PTC patients with ETE.

Role of PET/Computed Tomography in Elderly Thyroid Cancer: Tumor Biology and Clinical Management

PET/computed tomography (CT) studies can be potentially useful in elderly thyroid carcinoma patients for exploring the disease biology, especially in metastatic setting and thereby directing appropriate therapeutic management on case-to-case basis, adopting nuclear theranostics, and disease prognostication. With the availability of multiple PET radiopharmaceuticals, it would be worthwhile to evolve and optimally use FDG and the other non-fluorodeoxyglucose and investigational PET/CT tracers as per the clinical situation and need and thereby define their utilities in a given case scenario. In this regard, (I) differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC) including radioiodine refractory disease, poorly differentiated thyroid cancer (PDTC) and TENIS, (II) medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC), (III) anaplastic carcinoma and (IV) Primary thyroid lymphoma (PTL) should be viewed and dealt separately.

Towards De-Implementation of low-value thyroid care in older adults

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

This review discusses the current literature regarding low-value thyroid care in older adults, summarizing recent findings pertaining to screening for thyroid dysfunction and management of hypothyroidism, thyroid nodules and low-risk differentiated thyroid cancer.

RECENT FINDINGS

Despite a shift to a "less is more" paradigm for clinical thyroid care in older adults in recent years, current studies demonstrate that low-value care practices are still prevalent. Ineffective and potentially harmful services, such as routine treatment of subclinical hypothyroidism which can lead to overtreatment with thyroid hormone, inappropriate use of thyroid ultrasound, blanket fine needle aspiration biopsies of thyroid nodules, and more aggressive approaches to low-risk differentiated thyroid cancers, have been shown to contribute to adverse effects, particularly in comorbid older adults.

SUMMARY

Low-value thyroid care is common in older adults and can trigger a cascade of overdiagnosis and overtreatment leading to patient harm and increased healthcare costs, highlighting the urgent need for de-implementation efforts.

Diagnosis of thyroid nodules

Thyroid nodules are common, usually asymptomatic, and often pose minimal risk to the affected patient. However, 10-15% prove malignant and serve as the rationale for diagnostic assessment. Safely identifying and treating a relevant thyroid cancer through a cost-effective process is the primary goal of the treating practitioner. Ultrasound is the principal means of initial nodule assessment and should be performed when any thyroid nodule is suspected. Fine-needle aspiration provides further cytological determination of benign or malignant disease and is generally applied to nodules larger than 1-2 cm in diameter, on the basis of holistic risk assessment. The Bethesda System for Reporting Thyroid Cytopathology provides standardised terminology, which enhances communication among health-care providers and patients. Benign cytology is highly accurate, whereas indeterminate cytology could benefit from further application of molecular testing. The ultimate goal of diagnostic assessment of thyroid nodules is to accurately identify malignancy while avoiding overtreatment. Low-risk thyroid nodules can be safely monitored in many patients with minimal diagnostic intervention.

Management of thyroid nodules

In the past 30 years, there has been a substantial rise in the detection of thyroid nodules. Largely asymptomatic, thyroid nodules are most often incidental findings that typically pose minimal risk. Data supporting these findings show a rapid rise in the incidental detection of thyroid nodules and cancer, but minimal effect on mortality rates, despite treatment. These data imply that historical approaches to thyroid nodule and cancer care might at times include unnecessary or excessive care. To address this issue, the past decade has witnessed an increasingly conservative approach to nodule management, seeking to individualise care and provide the most focused intervention that leads to favourable outcomes. Benign nodules can be safely monitored with minimal, or long-interval follow-up imaging. Molecular testing should be considered for cytologically indeterminate nodules because of its ability to improve preoperative cancer risk determination and reduce unnecessary surgery. The treatment of biopsy-proven malignant nodules has become increasingly nuanced, since recommendations for near-total thyroidectomy are no longer routine. Hemithyroidectomy is now commonly considered when operative intervention is favoured. Some patients with small volume, isolated cancerous nodules are safely managed non-operatively with active monitoring. In summary, modern management strategies for thyroid nodular disease seek to incorporate the growing amount of available diagnostic and prognostic data, inclusive of demographic, radiological, pathological and molecular findings. Once obtained, an individualised management plan can be effectively formulated.

The Future of Thyroid Nodule Risk Stratification

Clinical evidence supports the association of ultrasound features with benign or malignant thyroid nodules and serves as the basis for sonographic stratification of thyroid nodules, according to an estimated thyroid cancer risk. Contemporary guidelines recommend management strategies according to thyroid cancer risk, thyroid nodule size, and the clinical scenario. Yet, reproducible and accurate thyroid nodule risk stratification requires expertise, time, and understanding of the weight different ultrasound features have on thyroid cancer risk. The application of artificial intelligence to overcome these limitations is promising and has the potential to improve the care of patients with thyroid nodules.

Incidence and predictive factors of postoperative hypocalcaemia according to type of thyroid surgery in older adults

PURPOSE

Transient hypocalcaemia after thyroid surgery and its possible predictors have not been extensively described in the elderly. This study aimed to establish the frequency of postsurgical transient hypocalcaemia according to the extent of thyroid surgery in older adults and to assess mineral metabolism biochemical parameters as its predictors.

METHODS

All patients ≥60 years undergoing thyroid surgery were prospectively included. Type of surgery (hemithyroidectomy(HT) or total thyroidectomy(TT)); and preoperative 25OH Vitamin D (25OHD) and pre and 6 (only TT), 24 h and 6 months postsurgical serum levels of calcium, magnesium, phosphate and parathormone (PTH) were considered. Postsurgical hypoparathyroidism (hPTpost) was defined at PTH levels ≤11 pg/mL.

RESULTS

Out of 46 patients (87% female), age (mean ± SD) 70.1 ± 6.2 years, 24 h postsurgical hypocalcaemia was found in ten patients (22%). In 25 (54%) TT patients, 36% and 16% had postsurgical hypocalcaemia at 6 and 24 h respectively; 28% hPTpost but no definitive hPT was recorded and 44% had 25OHD deficiency. Lower 24 h magnesium levels were found in those TT patients with 24 h hypocalcaemia (1.6 ± 0.1 vs 1.9 ± 0.1 mg/dL (p = 0.005)). Among 21 (46%) HT patients, 28.6% had 24 h postsurgical hypocalcaemia; 9.5% had hPTpost. A positive correlation was observed between preoperative 25OHD and 24 h calcaemia (r:0.51,p = 0.02). 43% of the patients were 25OHD deficient, in whom 55% had 24 h hypocalcaemia vs only 9% in the 25OHD sufficient group (p = 0.049).

CONCLUSION

Postsurgical hypocalcaemia was common in elderly thyroidectomized patients. After TT, lower magnesium levels were found in those patients with 24 h hypocalcaemia. In the HT group, preoperative 25OHD deficiency predicted lower postsurgical calcium levels.

Incidence of Clinically Relevant Thyroid Cancers Remains Stable for Almost a Century: A Population-Based Study

OBJECTIVE

To examine the trends in incidence of clinically relevant thyroid cancers within the overall rising incidence of thyroid cancers.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This is a population-based cohort study conducted using the Rochester Epidemiology Project database to identify all new cases of thyroid cancer in Olmsted County, Minnesota, between January 1, 1935, and December 31, 2018. We extracted information about demographics and tumor pathologic type, size, and invasiveness. Clinically relevant cancers included aggressive histology or presence of metastatic disease, size larger than 4 cm, and gross extrathyroidal tumor invasion.

RESULTS

Between 1935 and 2018, 596 thyroid cancer cases were diagnosed (mean age, 46.4 years; 72% female; 87% papillary cancers; and median tumor size, 1.5 cm). The sex- and age-adjusted incidence of thyroid cancer increased from 1.3 per 100,000 person-years (p-y) from 1935-1949 to 12.0 per 100,000 p-y in 2010-2018, corresponding to an absolute change per decade of 1.4 (95% CI, 0.7 to 2.2). There was a nonsignificant period absolute change for patients with tumor greater than 4 cm (0.03; 95% CI, -0.2 to 0.3), with evidence of tumor invasion (0.1; 95% CI, -0.1 to 0.4), and with aggressive histology or presence of metastatic disease (0.2; 95% CI, -0.1 to 0.6). Thyroid cancer mortality was unchanged over the observation period.

CONCLUSION

Incidence rates of clinically relevant thyroid cancers, as defined by histology, size, and invasiveness, have not changed significantly in 80 years. The rising thyroid cancer incidence is driven by indolent thyroid cancers.

Competing Causes of Death in Older Adults with Thyroid Cancer

Background: Understanding the impact of comorbidities and competing risks of death when caring for older adults with thyroid cancer is key for personalized management. The objective of this study was to determine whether older adults with thyroid cancer are more likely to die from thyroid cancer or other etiologies, and determine patient factors associated with each. Methods: The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)-Medicare database was used to identify patients aged ≥66 years diagnosed with thyroid cancer (papillary, follicular, Hürthle cell, medullary, anaplastic, and other) between 2000 and 2015 (median follow-up, 50 months). We analyzed time to event (i.e., death from other causes or death from thyroid cancer) using cumulative incidence functions. Competing risk hazards regression was used to determine the association between patient (e.g., age at diagnosis and specific comorbidities) and tumor characteristics (e.g., SEER stage) with two competing mortality outcomes: death from other causes and death from thyroid cancer. Results: Of 21,509 patients with a median age of 72 years (range 66-106), 4168 (19.4%) died of other causes and 2644 (12.3%) died of thyroid cancer during the study period. For differentiated thyroid cancer patients, likelihood of dying from other causes exceeds likelihood of dying from thyroid cancer, whereas the opposite is true for anaplastic thyroid cancer. For medullary thyroid cancer, after 6.25 years patients are more likely to die from other etiologies than thyroid cancer. Using competing risks hazards regression, male sex (hazards ratio [HR] 1.47; 95% confidence interval [CI 1.37-1.57]), black race (HR 1.30; CI [1.16-1.46]), and comorbidities (e.g., heart disease, HR 1.34; CI [1.25-1.44]; chronic lower respiratory disease, HR 1.25; CI [1.17-1.34]) were associated with death from other causes. Tumor characteristics such as histology, tumor size, and stage correlated with death from thyroid cancer (e.g., distant SEER stage compared with localized, HR 12.65; CI [10.91-14.66]). Conclusions: The clinical context, including patients' specific comorbidities, should be considered when diagnosing and managing thyroid cancer. Our findings can be used to develop decision models that account for competing causes of death, as an aid for clinical decision making.

Expert consensus on diagnosis and treatment for elderly with thyroid diseases in China (2021)

In order to improve the diagnosis and treatment of senile thyroid diseases in China and to promote healthy aging, the Endocrine Metabolic Diseases Group of the Chinese Geriatrics Society, and the Thyroid Group of the Chinese Society of Endocrinology jointly drafted the "Expert consensus on diagnosis and treatment for Chinese elderly with thyroid diseases" (referred to as consensus). The Consensus consists of five parts that set 40 recommendations on main clinical issues. The consensus emphasizes clinical focus on the age-related changes of the hypothalamus-pituitary-thyroid axis in the elderly, and it recommends application of comprehensive geriatric assessment to thoroughly evaluate the impact of thyroid diseases and relevant intervention on overall health condition. Meanwhile, it recommends generalization of screening for hypothyroidism during admission to nursing institution or hospital, and routine health check-ups. Furthermore, it develops individualized stratified management on hyperthyroidism, hypothyroidism, thyroid nodules, and differentiated thyroid carcinoma in the elderly distinguished from the youngers, including treatment regimen, control ranges, and flowcharts for diagnosis and treatment. The Consensus will provide the basis for clinical decisions and health management of thyroid diseases in the elderly by geriatrician, endocrinologist, and general practitioners.

Ultrasound Image Classification of Thyroid Nodules Using Machine Learning Techniques

Background and Objectives: Thyroid nodules are lumps of solid or liquid-filled tumors that form inside the thyroid gland, which can be malignant or benign. Our aim was to test whether the described features of the Thyroid Imaging Reporting and Data System (TI-RADS) could improve radiologists' decision making when integrated into a computer system. In this study, we developed a computer-aided diagnosis system integrated into multiple-instance learning (MIL) that would focus on benign-malignant classification. Data were available from the Universidad Nacional de Colombia. Materials and Methods: There were 99 cases (33 Benign and 66 malignant). In this study, the median filter and image binarization were used for image pre-processing and segmentation. The grey level co-occurrence matrix (GLCM) was used to extract seven ultrasound image features. These data were divided into 87% training and 13% validation sets. We compared the support vector machine (SVM) and artificial neural network (ANN) classification algorithms based on their accuracy score, sensitivity, and specificity. The outcome measure was whether the thyroid nodule was benign or malignant. We also developed a graphic user interface (GUI) to display the image features that would help radiologists with decision making. Results: ANN and SVM achieved an accuracy of 75% and 96% respectively. SVM outperformed all the other models on all performance metrics, achieving higher accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity score. Conclusions: Our study suggests promising results from MIL in thyroid cancer detection. Further testing with external data is required before our classification model can be employed in practice.

Thyroid Nodule Evaluation and Management in Older Adults: A Review of Practical Considerations for Clinical Endocrinologists

OBJECTIVE

Contextualizing the evaluation of older adults with thyroid nodules is necessary to fully understand which management strategy is the most appropriate. Our goal was to summarize available clinical evidence to provide guidance in the care of older adults with thyroid nodules and highlight special considerations for thyroid nodule evaluation and management in this population.

METHODS

We conducted a literature search of PubMed and Ovid MEDLINE from January 2000 to November 2020 to identify relevant peer-reviewed articles published in English. References from the included articles as well as articles identified by the authors were also reviewed.

RESULTS

The prevalence of thyroid nodules increases with age. Although thyroid nodules in older adults have a lower risk of malignancy, identified cancers are more likely to be of high-risk histology. The goals of thyroid nodule evaluation and the tools used for diagnosis are similar for older and younger patients with thyroid nodules. However, limited evidence exists regarding thyroid nodule evaluation and management to guide personalized decision making in the geriatric population.

CONCLUSION

Considering patient context is significant in the diagnosis and management of thyroid nodules in older adults. When making management decisions in this population, it is essential to carefully weigh the risks and benefits of thyroid nodule diagnosis and treatment, in view of older adults' higher prevalence of high-risk thyroid cancer as well as increased risk for multimorbidity, functional and cognitive decline, and treatment complications.

Life Expectancy and Treatment Patterns in Elderly Patients With Low-Risk Papillary Thyroid Cancer: A Population-Based Analysis

OBJECTIVE

Guidelines endorse active surveillance for low-risk papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC), but this is not commonly utilized. Those with limited life expectancy due to age and comorbidity may be best suited for active surveillance given their higher likelihood of other-cause mortality compared to disease-specific mortality.

METHODS

Surveillance, epidemiology, and end results-Medicare was queried for patients >65 years with T1, N0, M0 PTC who received surgery. We evaluated the overall survival, disease-specific survival (DSS), and survival based on tumor size and extent of surgery (hemi- vs total thyroidectomy). We created a competing risk model to identify the cumulative incidence of other-cause mortality to define patient groups with life expectancies of less than 10 and 15 years.

RESULTS

A total of 3280 patients were included. The 20-year overall survival and DSS were 38.2% and 98.5%, respectively. DSS was comparable between patients based on tumor size and surgery. The cancer cohort had better survival compared to matched controls (P < .001). Life expectancy was less than 15 years for any patient aged >80 years regardless of Charlson comorbidity score (CCS ≥ 0) and any patient aged >70 years with CCS ≥ 1. Life expectancy was less than 10 years for any patient a >80 years with CCS ≥ 1 and aged >70 years with CCS ≥ 3.

CONCLUSION

Older patients with comorbidities have limited life expectancies but excellent DSS from low-risk PTC. Incorporating life expectancy into management decisions and guidelines would likely promote selection of less aggressive management for populations that are most suited for this approach.

Thyroid Incidentalomas: Practice Considerations for Radiologists in the Age of Incidental Findings

Radiologists very frequently encounter incidental findings related to the thyroid gland. Given increases in imaging use over the past several decades, thyroid incidentalomas are increasingly encountered in clinical practice, and it is important for radiologists to be aware of recent developments with respect to workup and diagnosis of incidental thyroid abnormalities. Recent reporting and management guidelines, such as those from the American College of Radiology and American Thyroid Association, are reviewed along with applicable evidence in the literature. Trending topics, such as artificial intelligence approaches to guide thyroid incidentaloma workup, are also discussed.

Sonographic Risk Stratification Systems for Thyroid Nodules as Rule-Out Tests in Older Adults

Ultrasonographic risk-stratification systems (RSS), including various Thyroid Imaging Reporting and Data Systems (TIRADS), were proposed to improve reporting and reduce the number of fine-needle aspiration biopsies. However, age might be a confounder since some suspicious ultrasonographic features lack specificity in elderly patients. We aimed to investigate whether the diagnostic performance of the RSS varied between age groups. All patients consecutively referred for thyroid biopsy between November 1, 2015, and March 10, 2020, were included. The malignancy risk of each nodule was estimated according to five RSS: the American Association of Clinical Endocrinologists/American College of Endocrinology/Associazione Medici Endocrinologi guidelines, the American College of Radiology (ACR) TIRADS, the American Thyroid Association guidelines, the European TIRADS, and the Korean TIRADS. Overall, 818 nodules (57 malignant) were evaluated. The malignancy rate was higher in patients ≤ 65 years (8.1%) than in patients > 65 years (3.8%; p = 0.02). All RSS confirmed a significant discriminative performance in both age groups, with a negative predictive value of 100% in patients > 65 years, although specificity was lower in older patients. The ACR TIRADS was the best performing in both age groups. RSS could avoid a sizable number of biopsies when applied as rule-out tests in elderly patients.

Comparison of different systems of ultrasound (US) risk stratification for malignancy in elderly patients with thyroid nodules. Real world experience

PURPOSE

To comparatively assess the performance of three sonographic classification systems, American Thyroid Association (ATA), the American College of Radiology Thyroid Imaging Reporting and Data System (ACR TI-RADS), and American Association of Clinical Endocrinologists (AACE)/American College of Endocrinology (ACE)/Associazione Medici Endocrinologi (AME) in identifying malignant nodules in an elderly population.

METHODS

Cross-sectional study of patients referred for fine needle aspiration biopsy in an academic center for the elderly. One nodule/patient was considered. Nodules classified Bethesda V/VI were considered malignant. Receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curves were established and compared to evaluate diagnostic performance. Malignancy among biopsies below the size cutoff for each ultrasound classification was also compared.

RESULTS

One thousand, eight hundred sixty-seven patients (92% females); median (Q1-Q3), age 71 (67-76) years, were studied showing 82.8% benign (Bethesda II) and 2.6% malignant cytology. The three classifications correctly identified malignancy (P < 0.01). Nonetheless, in the ATA and AACE/ACE/AME 16 and 2 malignant nodules, respectively, were unclassifiable. Including unclassified malignant nodules (n = 1234, malignant = 50), comparison of the ROC curves showed lower performance of ATA [area under the curve (AUC) = ATA (0.49) vs. ACR TI-RADS (0.62), p = 0.008 and ATA vs. AACE/ACE/AME (0.59), p = 0.022]. Proportion of below size cutoff biopsies for ATA, ACR TI-RADS, and AACE/ACE/AME was different [16, 42, and 29% (all p < 0.001)], but no differences in malignancy rate were observed in these nodules.

CONCLUSION

The present study is the first to validate in elderly patients these classifications showing that AACE/ACE/AME and ACR TI-RADS can predict thyroid malignancy more accurately than the ATA when unclassifiable malignant nodules are considered. Moreover, in this aged segment of the population, the use of ACR TI-RADS avoided more invasive procedures.

Treatment Variation in Older Adults With Differentiated Thyroid Cancer

BACKGROUND

The growth of the aging population coupled with the increasing incidence of thyroid cancer warrants a better understanding of thyroid cancer in older adults. We aimed to investigate the variation of treatment patterns and determine if the extent of surgery is associated with disease-specific mortality in older adults with differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC).

METHODS

We performed a population-based study using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results 18 program to examine patients diagnosed with DTC between 2004 and 2015. Patients were stratified by age: younger adults (aged 18-54 y), middle adults (aged 55-64 y), older adults (aged 65-79 y), and super elderly (aged ≥80 y). Disease-specific mortality was estimated using Kaplan-Meier curves and compared using the log-rank test. Multivariable Cox regression was used to assess associations between clinicopathologic characteristics and treatment patterns on disease-specific mortality.

RESULTS

Of 117,098 patients with DTC, 72,368 were younger adults, 23,726 middle adults, 18,119 older adults, and 2885 were super elderly. In patients with DTC, compared with younger adults, fewer middle, older, and super elderly adults underwent any surgery (99.0%, 98.4%, 97.4%, and 89.1%, respectively; P < 0.001) or received radioactive iodine (RAI; 48.7%, 42.5%, 39.7%, and 30.7%, respectively; P < 0.001). Furthermore, middle, older, and super elderly adults had higher risk of mortality from DTC (hazard ratio [HR]: 4.0, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 3.2-4.8, P < 0.001; HR: 7.6, 95% CI: 6.3-9.1, P < 0.001; and HR: 17.2, 95% CI: 13.8-21.3, P < 0.001, respectively). On multivariable Cox regression while adjusting for clinicopathologic confounders, management was a significant prognostic factor (no surgery HR: 3.8, 95% CI: 3.1-4.6, P < 0.001; and RAI HR: 0.7, 95% CI: 0.6-0.8, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with DTC, fewer older adults (≥65 y) underwent surgery or treatment with RAI, and this was associated with a worse disease-specific survival. Surgical decision-making in the older population is complex, and future prospective studies are needed to assess this age-related treatment variation.

Thyroid nodules: diagnostic evaluation based on thyroid cancer risk assessment

Thyroid nodules are extremely common and can be detected by sensitive imaging in more than 60% of the general population. They are often identified in patients without symptoms who are undergoing evaluation for other medical complaints. Indiscriminate evaluation of thyroid nodules with thyroid biopsy could cause a harmful epidemic of diagnoses of thyroid cancer, but inadequate selection of thyroid nodules for biopsy can lead to missed diagnoses of clinically relevant thyroid cancer. Recent clinical guidelines advocate a more conservative approach in the evaluation of thyroid nodules based on risk assessment for thyroid cancer, as determined by clinical and ultrasound features to guide the need for biopsy. Moreover, newer evidence suggests that for patients with indeterminate thyroid biopsy results, a combined assessment including the initial ultrasound risk stratification or other ancillary testing (molecular markers, second opinion on thyroid cytology) can further clarify the risk of thyroid cancer and the management strategies. This review summarizes the clinical importance of adequate evaluation of thyroid nodules, focuses on the clinical evidence for diagnostic tests that can clarify the risk of thyroid cancer, and highlights the importance of considering the patient's values and preferences when deciding on management strategies in the setting of uncertainty about the risk of thyroid cancer.

Fifty years of thyroid pathology: concepts and developments

The past half century has seen a number of advances in pathology of thyroid diseases, especially neoplastic lesions. These include the description of new entities, the definition of prognostically important lesions, the incorporation of fine needle aspiration biopsy and its functional risk stratification of diagnoses into the clinical evaluation and therapeutic recommendations of the patient with thyroid nodules and the understanding of thyroid neoplastic development, diagnostic and prognostic parameters by use of molecular analysis so that such techniques are becoming standard of care for patients with thyroid tumors. The histopathologist and cytopathologist have been and continue to be at the forefront in the definition and understanding of these areas of thyroid disease. This review describes many of the most important advances in this area in an attempt bring the practicing pathologist up to date in these developments.

Independent Comparison of the Afirma Genomic Sequencing Classifier and Gene Expression Classifier for Cytologically Indeterminate Thyroid Nodules

Background: For thyroid nodules with indeterminate cytology, the Afirma Gene Expression Classifier (GEC) identified benign nodules to reduce diagnostic surgery, though many nodules classified as suspicious still proved histopathologically benign. The current Afirma Genomic Sequencing Classifier (GSC) demonstrates improved specificity, suggesting more nodules will have a benign result (benign call rate [BCR]), but independent data are needed to confirm this in clinical practice. Methods: Retrospective analysis was performed of all Bethesda III or IV cytology thyroid nodules ≥1 cm tested with GEC (between January 1, 2011, and July 19, 2017) or GSC (between July 20, 2017, and August 27, 2018) at the authors' institution. Afirma testing was not performed reflectively for all nodules with Bethesda III or IV cytology, but rather was applied based on physician-patient decision making. Demographic, sonographic, and cytologic data were collected. The BCR for GEC- versus GSC-tested nodules was compared and further stratified by Bethesda classifications. Results: The study evaluated 600 nodules in 563 patients tested with either GEC (n = 486) or GSC (n = 114). The BCR was 233/486 (47.9%) for the GEC compared to 75/114 (65.8%) for the GSC (p = 0.0006). Hürthle-cell cytology was present in 99/486 (20.4%) nodules in the GEC group compared to 31/114 (27.2%) nodules in the GSC group (p = 0.28). The GSC BCR was significantly higher than the GEC BCR for Bethesda III nodules characterized by Hürthle cells (p = 0.006), but the BCRs were similar for nodules with architectural or cytologic atypia. In Bethesda IV nodules suspicious for follicular neoplasm, BCR for the GEC and GSC were similar (p = 0.68), but for cytology suspicious for Hürthle-cell neoplasm, the GSC BCR was 68.2% (15/22) compared to the GEC BCR of 16.4% (10/61; p < 0.0001). Positive predictive value in resected nodules with a suspicious result was 16/32 (50%) for GSC nodules and 75/221 (33.9%) for GEC nodules (p = 0.1). Conclusions: The higher BCR for the GSC compared to the GEC for indeterminate thyroid nodules, predominantly among nodules with Hürthle-cell cytology, will likely lead to further reduction in surgical management.

Clinical Diagnostic Evaluation of Thyroid Nodules

The presence of a thyroid nodule may be recognized by the patient or the clinician on palpation of the neck or it may be an incidental finding during an imaging study for some other indication. The method of detection is less important, however, than distinguishing benign lesions from more aggressive neoplasms. This article outlines the diagnostic algorithm for the evaluation of thyroid nodules including biochemical testing, imaging, and, when appropriate, fine-needle aspiration. In addition, the authors review the natural history of benign nodules, follow-up strategies, and indications for repeat aspiration.

Thyroid Ultrasound and the Increase in Diagnosis of Low-Risk Thyroid Cancer

CONTEXT

Thyroid cancer incidence increased with the greatest change in adults aged ≥65 years.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the relationship between area-level use of imaging and thyroid cancer incidence over time.

DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

Longitudinal imaging patterns in Medicare patients aged ≥65 years residing in Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) regions were assessed in relationship to differentiated thyroid cancer diagnosis in patients aged ≥65 years included in SEER-Medicare. Linear mixed-effects modeling was used to determine factors associated with thyroid cancer incidence over time. Multivariable logistic regression was used to determine patient characteristics associated with receipt of thyroid ultrasound as initial imaging.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Thyroid cancer incidence.

RESULTS

Between 2002 and 2013, thyroid ultrasound use as initial imaging increased (P < 0.001). Controlling for time and demographics, use of thyroid ultrasound was associated with thyroid cancer incidence (P < 0.001). Findings persisted when cohort was restricted to papillary thyroid cancer (P < 0.001), localized papillary thyroid cancer (P = 0.004), and localized papillary thyroid cancer with tumor size ≤1 cm (P = 0.01). Based on our model, from 2003 to 2013, at least 6594 patients aged ≥65 years were diagnosed with thyroid cancer in the United States due to increased use of thyroid ultrasound. Thyroid ultrasound as initial imaging was associated with female sex and comorbidities.

CONCLUSION

Greater thyroid ultrasound use led to increased diagnosis of low-risk thyroid cancer, emphasizing the need to reduce harms through reduction in inappropriate ultrasound use and adoption of nodule risk stratification tools.