Active Surveillance of Low-Risk Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma: A Multi-Center Cohort Study in Korea

Three-year follow-up results of radiofrequency ablation for low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinomas: Systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

Confidence in long-term treatment results of radiofrequency ablation (RFA) for papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) is required in comparison with surgery and active surveillance (AS). The objective of this meta-analysis is to report more than three years of follow-up results of radiofrequency ablation for PTMCs.

METHODS

Ovid PUBMED, COCHRANE, and EMBASE databases were searched through Nov 19, 2023, for studies reporting outcomes in patients with PTMC treated with radiofrequency ablation and followed up for more than 3 years. The standard mean difference of the tumor volume before and after therapy, tumor recurrence, lymph node (LN) metastasis, distant metastasis, complications, and the pooled volume reduction rates (VRRs) at 1, 3, 6, 12, 24, 36, and 48 months after radiofrequency ablation were assessed. Data were extracted and methodological quality was assessed independently by two radiologists according to the PRISMA guidelines.

RESULTS

Eight studies, involving 2131 patients, met the inclusion criteria through database searches. The overall VRR was 99.81 % (95 % CI: 99.68, 99.95) in the last follow-up. During a mean pooled follow-up of 46.59 months, 69 patients experienced local PTMC recurrence, with 8 cases within the ablation area. Additionally, 44 patients were diagnosed with newly discovered PTMC, and 17 patients exhibited lymph node metastases. Among the patients with PTMC recurrence, 3 were under active surveillance while 59 underwent additional RFA. The pooled mean complication rate was 2.80 %, with no instances of life-threatening or delayed complications.

CONCLUSIONS

Radiofrequency ablation proves to be an effective local tumor control method for low-risk PTMC patients, resulting in clinically significant and enduring volume reduction. The rate of regrowth and retreatment requirement post-RFA was notably lower, positioning RFA as a compelling alternative to existing treatment options.

Management of low-risk papillary thyroid cancer. Minimally-invasive treatments dictate a further paradigm shift?

BACKGROUND

Current management options for PTMC include lobo-isthmectomy and active surveillance (AS). Recently, ultrasound-guided minimally invasive procedures (MITs) are offered as a nonsurgical therapy for PTMC because they do not require hospitalization and general anaesthesia, and do not result in loss of thyroid function or cosmetic damage. MITs are reported to consistently provide, mostly in large retrospective series of patients, a rapid, safe, and cost-effective way to eradicate low-risk thyroid malignancies. However, conclusive data from well-conducted prospective studies on the histologically-proven completeness of tumor ablation and the long-term clinical advantages versus AS are still lacking.

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of ultrasound-guided minimally invasive treatments (MITs) for PTMC in comparison to traditional surgical methods and active surveillance, and to assess their role in current clinical practice.

METHODS

A structured literature review was conducted using keywords related to PTMC, MIT, and comparative techniques. Studies were evaluated based on treatment modality, patient selection, follow-up duration, complication rates, and clinical outcomes.

RESULTS

MITs have shown promising results in the management of PTMC. These treatments offer several advantages over surgery, such as reduced use of surgical resources, lower costs, minimal work disruption, and fewer major complications. However, there are still limitations, including the need for long-term surveillance and the potential risk of incomplete tumor ablation.

CONCLUSIONS

MITs represent a promising non-surgical option for managing low-risk PTMC, especially for patients ineligible for or refusing surgery. Despite favorable outcomes, more robust prospective data are needed to confirm their long-term benefits and completeness of tumor ablation. Interdisciplinary discussions and thorough patient education on the advantages and limitations of MITs are crucial for informed decision-making.

Tumor Growth Kinetics Based on Initial Tumor Volume Doubling Time in Active Surveillance of Low-Risk Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

During active surveillance (AS) of low-risk papillary thyroid carcinomas (PTCs), the majority remain stable, while some exhibit either increase or decrease in tumor diameter or tumor volume (TV). We aimed to evaluate the clinical outcomes and relevant parameters influencing tumor growth kinetics of low-risk PTCs.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study evaluated clinical parameters of 402 patients with low-risk PTC sized <2 cm, with a follow-up duration over 3 years. Changes in maximum tumor diameter, TV, and initial TV doubling time (i-TVDT) calculated within 3-year were assessed. A significant change in TV was defined as a change of 75% or more.

RESULTS

Of the 402 patients with low-risk PTC, 93.3% (375/402) were diagnosed with papillary thyroid microcarcinoma. During a median follow-up of 5 years, 3.4% (14/402) of patients developed new cervical lymph node (LN) metastasis, and 8.2% (33/402) experienced maximal diameter increase of ≥3 mm. The i-TVDT of <5 years emerged as an independent risk factor for both maximal diameter growth and new LN metastasis (p<0.001 and p=0.04, respectively). Based on TV changes and i-TVDT during AS, we identified four statistically significant tumor kinetic patterns (p<0.001): Stable (±75% change in TV), Rapid growth (TV increase >75% and i- TVDT <5 years), Slow growth (TV increase >75% and i-TVDT ≥5 years), and Shrinkage (TV decrease >75%). Most of the PTCs remained stable (67.7%), but 17.2% were rapidly growing, with a median onset of growth of 2.0 years. Slowly growing PTCs, comprising 10.9%, grew at a median of 4.3 years. A minority, 4.2%, exhibited shrinkage. In total, 115 (28.6%) patients underwent delayed surgery >12 months after initiating AS. The reasons for delayed surgery included patient preference (51/115, 44.3%), disease progression (31/115, 27.0%), and suspected disease progression, which was referred to as tumor growth not meeting the criteria of an increase of ≥3 mm in maximal tumor diameter (17/115, 14.8%).

CONCLUSION

An i-TVDT of <5 years serve as an important prognostic indicator for disease progression, including tumor growth and new LN metastasis. The four tumor kinetic patterns based on TV changes and i-TVDT assist in guiding personalized decisions early in AS.

Outcomes of Conversion Surgery for Patients With Low-Risk Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma

Importance

The outcomes of patients with low-risk thyroid cancer who undergo surgery following a period of active surveillance (AS) are not well-defined.

Objective

To evaluate surgical, pathologic, and oncologic outcomes among patients undergoing conversion surgery (CS) following AS for low-risk papillary thyroid carcinoma.

Design, Setting, and Participants

In this cohort study, patients who underwent CS for disease progression were compared with patients who underwent CS without disease progression and with a propensity score-matched cohort of patients who underwent initial surgery (IS). The median (IQR) postsurgical follow-up time was 40.3 (18.0-59.0) months. Patients were treated at a quaternary cancer referral center in the United States.

Exposures

Surgery.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Surgical complications, pathologic characteristics, overall survival (OS), and recurrence-free survival (RFS).

Results

Of 550 patients who underwent AS, 55 (10.0%) had CS, of whom 39 (7.1%) had surgery due to suspected disease progression (median [IQR] age, 48 [39-56] years; 32 [82.1%] female). There were no clinically meaningful differences in rates of surgical sequalae between the progression CS group (12 of 39 [30.7%]) and the nonprogression CS group (7 of 16 [43.8%]) (Cramer V, 0.2; 95% CI, 0.01-0.5). The 5-year OS was 100% (95% CI, 100%-100%) in both the disease-progression CS cohort and the IS cohort. Although the cohort of patients undergoing CS after disease progression was by definition a subset with more aggressive tumor behavior, no clinically meaningful differences were observed in the rates of regional recurrence (2 of 39 [5.1%] vs 0 of 39 patients with IS), local recurrence (0 patients), distant metastasis (0 patients), or disease-specific mortality (0 patients) when compared with the matched IS group. Five-year RFS rates were similar: 100% in the IS group and 86% (95% CI, 70%-100%) in the CS group.

Conclusions and Relevance

In this cohort study, CS for suspected disease progression was associated with surgical and oncologic outcomes similar to IS, supporting the feasibility and safety of AS for patients with low-risk papillary thyroid carcinoma.

Transcriptomic characteristics according to tumor size and SUVmax in papillary thyroid cancer patients

The SUVmax is a measure of FDG uptake and is related with tumor aggressiveness in thyroid cancer, however, its association with molecular pathways is unclear. Here, we investigated the relationship between SUVmax and gene expression profiles in 80 papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) patients. We conducted an analysis of DEGs and enriched pathways in relation to SUVmax and tumor size. SUVmax showed a positive correlation with tumor size and correlated with glucose metabolic process. The genes that indicate thyroid differentiation, such as SLC5A5 and TPO, were negatively correlated with SUVmax. Unsupervised analysis revealed that SUVmax positively correlated with DNA replication(r = 0.29, p = 0.009), pyrimidine metabolism(r = 0.50, p < 0.0001) and purine metabolism (r = 0.42, p = 0.0001). Based on subgroups analysis, we identified that PSG5, TFF3, SOX2, SL5A5, SLC5A7, HOXD10, FER1L6, and IFNA1 genes were found to be significantly associated with tumor aggressiveness. Both high SUVmax PTMC and macro-PTC are enriched in pathways of DNA replication and cell cycle, however, gene sets for purine metabolic pathways are enriched only in high SUVmax macro-PTC but not in high SUVmax PTMC. Our findings demonstrate the molecular characteristics of high SUVmax tumor and metabolism involved in tumor growth in differentiated thyroid cancer.

Decision Regret Following the Choice of Surgery or Active Surveillance for Small, Low-Risk Papillary Thyroid Cancer: A Prospective Cohort Study

Background: It is important to understand cancer survivors' perceptions about their treatment decisions and quality of life. Methods: We performed a prospective observational cohort study of Canadian patients with small (<2 cm) low-risk papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) who were offered the choice of active surveillance (AS) or surgery (Clinicaltrials.gov NCT03271892). Participants completed a questionnaire one year after their treatment decision. The primary intention-to-treat analysis compared the mean decision regret scale total score between patients who chose AS or surgery. A secondary analysis examined one-year decision regret score according to treatment status. Secondary outcomes included quality of life, mood, fear of disease progression, and body image perception. We adjusted for age, sex, and follow-up duration in linear regression analyses. Results: The overall questionnaire response rate was 95.5% (191/200). The initial treatment choices of respondents were AS 79.1% (151/191) and surgery 20.9% (40/191). The mean age was 53 years (standard deviation [SD] 15 years) and 77% (147/191) were females. In the AS group, 7.3% (11/151) of patients crossed over to definitive treatment (two for disease progression) before the time of questionnaire completion. The mean level of decision regret did not differ significantly between patients who chose AS (mean 22.4, SD 13.9) or surgery (mean 20.9, SD 12.2) in crude (p = 0.730) or adjusted (p = 0.29) analyses. However, the adjusted level of decision regret was significantly higher in patients who initially chose AS and crossed over to surgery (beta coefficient 10.1 [confidence interval; CI 1.3-18.9], p = 0.02), compared with those remaining under AS. In secondary adjusted analyses, respondents who chose surgery reported that symptoms related to their cancer or its treatment interfered with life to a greater extent than those who chose AS (p = 0.02), but there were no significant group differences in the levels of depression, anxiety, fear of disease progression, or overall body image perception. Conclusions: In this study of patients with small, low-risk PTC, the mean level of decision regret pertaining to the initial disease management choice was relatively low after one year and it did not differ significantly for respondents who chose AS or surgery.

Undercover active surveillance of small highly suspicious thyroid nodules without fine needle aspiration

PURPOSE

Active surveillance (AS) is an alternative treatment approach for small, low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC). This study aimed to assess the clinical outcomes of small, highly suspicious nodules lacking initial cytological confirmation.

METHODS

This study included 112 patients with highly suspicious nodules measuring ≤ 10 mm who underwent serial ultrasound at Asan Medical Center, Korea, between 2010 and 2023.

RESULTS

The median participant age was 51.9 years, and 74.1% were female. The median maximal tumor diameter and tumor volume (TV) were 4.5 (interquartile range [IQR] 3.7-5.2, range 2.2-9.3) mm and 25.2 (IQR 13.1-49.2) mm3, respectively. During a median follow-up period of 4.8 years, four (3.6%) patients showed a ≥ 3 mm increase in maximal diameter, and two (1.8%) developed new lymph node (LN) metastasis. Disease progression was associated with a TV doubling time (TVDT) of < 5 years and a ≥ 75% increase in TV (p = 0.017 and p < 0.005, respectively). Furthermore, 34.8% of patients underwent fine needle aspiration (FNA), primarily at their own request, yielding 46.2%, 5.1%, 41.0%, and 12.8 % malignant, benign, indeterminate, and non-diagnostic results, respectively. Of 18 patients with PTMC, 8 (44.4%) underwent surgery and 10 continued AS, with no LN metastasis during AS and no postoperative recurrence.

CONCLUSION

Small, highly suspicious nodules had a low disease progression rate during AS without FNA. Disease progression was associated with a TVDT of < 5 years and a ≥ 75% increase in TV. FNA can be performed more conservatively than it currently is in patients with highly suspicious nodules measuring ≤ 10 mm.

Cost-Utility Analysis of Early Detection with Ultrasonography of Differentiated Thyroid Cancer: A Retrospective Study on a Korean Population

BACKGRUOUND

There is debate about ultrasonography screening for thyroid cancer and its cost-effectiveness. This study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of early screening (ES) versus symptomatic detection (SD) for differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) in Korea.

METHODS

A Markov decision analysis model was constructed to compare the cost-effectiveness of ES and SD. The model considered direct medical costs, health outcomes, and different diagnostic and treatment pathways. Input data were derived from literature and Korean population studies. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was calculated. Willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold was set at USD 100,000 or 20,000 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to address uncertainties of the model's variables.

RESULTS

In a base case scenario with 50 years of follow-up, ES was found to be cost-effective compared to SD, with an ICER of $2,852 per QALY. With WTP set at $100,000, in the case with follow-up less than 10 years, the SD was cost-effective. Sensitivity analysis showed that variables such as lobectomy probability, age, mortality, and utility scores significantly influenced the ICER. Despite variations in costs and other factors, all ICER values remained below the WTP threshold.

CONCLUSION

Findings of this study indicate that ES is a cost-effective strategy for DTC screening in the Korean medical system. Early detection and subsequent lobectomy contribute to the cost-effectiveness of ES, while SD at an advanced stage makes ES more cost-effective. Expected follow-up duration should be considered to determine an optimal strategy for DTC screening.

Tumor volume-doubling rate is negatively associated with patient age in papillary thyroid microcarcinomas under active surveillance

BACKGROUND

Active surveillance of low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinomas has gained popularity worldwide as a management strategy. We previously reported that young age was associated with tumor enlargement by ≥3 mm. Here, we used the tumor volume-doubling rate to study the age-related tumor volume dynamics of papillary thyroid microcarcinomas under active surveillance.

METHODS

Between 2005 and 2019, 2,896 patients diagnosed with low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinomas underwent active surveillance. We excluded patients who underwent ultrasound examination fewer than 4 times, had coexisting Graves' disease, or were treated with levothyroxine at the time of diagnosis, and we enrolled 2,129 patients for this study. We divided them into 3 subsets based on the age at diagnosis: young (<40 years), middle-aged (40-59 years), and elderly (≥60 years). The tumor volume-doubling rate was calculated based on ultrasound-derived tumor sizes and the respective examination date for each patient.

RESULTS

Overall, 140 patients (6.6%) had moderate or rapid growth (tumor volume-doubling rate ≥0.3/year), and the incidence significantly decreased with advanced age (P < .01): 11.3%, 7.1%, and 5.0% in the young, middle-aged, and elderly groups, respectively. Tumor regression (tumor volume-doubling rate <0/year) was detected in 1,200 patients (56.4%), and the incidence significantly increased with age (P < .01): 44.6%, 55.3%, and 60.0% in the young, middle-aged, and elderly groups, respectively. On multivariate analysis, both the ≥60 years and 40 to 59 years age groups were independent negative predictors of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma enlargement and positive predictors of tumor regression.

CONCLUSION

Tumor volume-doubling rate analysis demonstrated that the incidence of tumor enlargement decreased and that of tumor regression increased with advancing age in patients with papillary thyroid microcarcinomas.

Modeling Thyroid Cancer Epidemiology in the United States Using Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma Microsimulation Model

OBJECTIVES

Thyroid cancer incidence increased over 200% from 1992 to 2018, whereas mortality rates had not increased proportionately. The increased incidence has been attributed primarily to the detection of subclinical disease, raising important questions related to thyroid cancer control. We developed the Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma Microsimulation model (PATCAM) to answer them, including the impact of overdiagnosis on thyroid cancer incidence.

METHODS

PATCAM simulates individuals from age 15 until death in birth cohorts starting from 1975 using 4 inter-related components, including natural history, detection, post-diagnosis, and other-cause mortality. PATCAM was built using high-quality data and calibrated against observed age-, sex-, and stage-specific incidence in the United States as reported by the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. PATCAM was validated against US thyroid cancer mortality and 3 active surveillance studies, including the largest and longest running thyroid cancer active surveillance cohort in the world (from Japan) and 2 from the United States.

RESULTS

PATCAM successfully replicated age- and stage-specific papillary thyroid cancers (PTC) incidence and mean tumor size at diagnosis and PTC mortality in the United States between 1975 and 2015. PATCAM accurately predicted the proportion of tumors that grew more than 3 mm and 5 mm in 5 years and 10 years, aligning with the 95% confidence intervals of the reported rates from active surveillance studies in most cases.

CONCLUSIONS

PATCAM successfully reproduced observed US thyroid cancer incidence and mortality over time and was externally validated. PATCAM can be used to identify factors that influence the detection of subclinical PTCs.

Ultrasound-guided radiofrequency ablation for the treatment of papillary thyroid carcinoma: a review of the current state and future perspectives

Papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) is a highly prevalent cancer that typically exhibits indolent behavior and is associated with a favorable prognosis. The treatment of choice is surgical intervention; however, this approach carries the risk of complications, including scarring and loss of thyroid function. Although active surveillance can mitigate the risk of PTC overtreatment, the possibility of tumor growth and metastasis can elicit anxiety among patients. Ultrasoundguided thermal ablation has emerged as a safe and effective alternative for individuals who are ineligible for or decline surgery. This article provides a review of the clinical research on radiofrequency ablation as a treatment for PTC, offering a thorough examination of its efficacy, safety, and future perspectives.

Non-Operative, Active Surveillance of Larger Malignant and Suspicious Thyroid Nodules

CONTEXT

Active surveillance for papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) meeting criteria for surgical resection is uncommon. Which patients may prove reasonable candidates for this approach is not well defined.

OBJECTIVE

To examine the feasibility and safety of active surveillance for patients with known or suspected intrathyroidal PTC up to 4cm in diameter.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

Retrospective review of all consecutive patients who underwent non-operative active surveillance of suspicious or malignant thyroid nodules over a 20-year period from 2001-2021. We included patients with an initial US-FNA confirming either: a) Bethesda 5 or 6 cytology or, b) a "suspicious" AFIRMA molecular test. The primary outcomes and measures included the rate of adverse oncologic outcomes (mortality and recurrence), as well as the cumulative incidence of size/volume growth.

RESULTS

Sixty-nine patients were followed with active surveillance for 1 year or longer (average 55 months), with 26 patients (38%) having nodules ≥ 2 cm. No patients were found to develop new incident occurrence of lymph node or distant metastasis. One patient however, demonstrated concern for progression to a dedifferentiated cancer on repeat core biopsy 17 years after initial start non-operative selection. 21% of patients had an increase in maximum diameter more than 3 mm, and volume increase ≥50% was noted in 25% of patients. Thirteen patients ultimately underwent delayed (rescue) surgery, and no disease recurrence was noted after such treatment. Age and initial nodule size were not predictors of nodule growth.

CONCLUSIONS

These data expand consideration of active surveillance of papillary thyroid carcinoma in select patients with intrathyroidal suspected malignancy >1cm in diameter. Rescue surgery, if required at a later timepoint, appears effective.

The relationship between ablation range and ablation energy in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma: a comparison between microwave ablation and laser ablation

OBJECTIVES

To study the relationship between the ablation range and applied energy of laser ablation (LA) and microwave ablation (MWA) in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC).

METHODS

A total of 201 PTMC patients were treated with LA (n = 102) or MWA (n = 99) with single-applicator fixed ablation. The ablation range was determined by contrast-enhanced ultrasound. The ratios of ablation volume, longitudinal diameter, and orthogonal diameter to ablation energy (RAV/E, RAL/E, RAO/E) were analyzed and compared between MWA and LA. The effects of PTMC characteristics and Hashimoto's thyroiditis (HT) on ablation efficiency were evaluated by linear regression.

RESULTS

The RAV/E was 0.72 (0.65-0.84) mm3/J for MWA and 0.48 (0.39-0.54) mm3/J for LA. HT was significantly correlated with RAV/E of LA (coefficient =  - 0.367, p < 0.0001). RAL/E did not differ significantly between MWA and LA (MWA 0.026 mm/J, LA 0.025 mm/J; p = 0.957). However, MWA had a greater RAO/E than LA (MWA 0.014 mm/J, LA 0.012 mm/J; p < 0.0001). The plateau values of MWA and LA on the ablation orthogonal diameter were 10.7 mm and 8.69 mm, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

MWA showed a higher RAV/E than LA. More intuitively, MWA had a better ablation performance than LA on the orthogonal axis rather than the longitudinal axis. Theoretically, MWA and LA could achieve complete ablation of ≤ 6.70 mm and ≤ 4.69 mm PTMC separately by single-applicator fixed ablation considering a unilateral 2-mm safe margin. HT had a negative effect on LA but not on MWA.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

This study establishes strong connections between ablation energy and ablation range in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) in vivo, possibly contributing to the supplementation of the PTMC Ablation Consensus or Guidelines and providing a scientific basis for choosing clinical ablation parameters in PTMC.

KEY POINTS

• Both microwave ablation (MWA) and laser ablation (LA) have excellent performance on the ablation longitudinal axis (easily exceeding 10 mm) for papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC). • MWA performed much better than LA on the ablation orthogonal axis. • MWA and LA are expected to achieve complete ablation of ≤ 6.70 mm and ≤ 4.69 mm PTMC separately by single-applicator fixed ablation considering a unilateral 2-mm safe margin.

Global scientific trends on thyroid disease in early 21st century: a bibliometric and visualized analysis

Background

Bibliometrics has been used to analyze the literature in the field of thyroid disease studies in the early 21st century, indicating the changes in current international study trends.

Methods

In this study, a bibliometric analysis of data retrieved from the Web of Science (WoS) database was conducted, and the publication trends and thematic evolution in the field of thyroid disease research from January 1, 2000, to November 16, 2022, were analyzed. A total of 69283 articles related to thyroid diseases were evaluated for their characteristics, including annual publication volume, countries, journals, institutions, authors, keywords, and references. VOSviewer was utilized to perform the analysis of co-authorship, co-citation, co-occurrence and descriptive.

Results

The annual publication volume of thyroid disease research literature showed a fluctuating upward trend from 2000 to 2021, exceeding 5,000 articles for the first time in 2021. The United States (16120 counts, 678255 cities) ranks first in terms of publication volume and citation. Thyroid (n=3201) and Journal of Clinical Endocrinology&Metabolism (n=140399) are the most prolific and cited journals, respectively. The organization with the highest publication volume and citation frequency is Harvard University (1011 counts, 59429 cities), Miyauchi Akira (n=422), Schlumberger, and Martin (n=24839) possess the highest publication volume and citation frequency, respectively. Co-occurrence analysis of 307 keywords with frequencies of more than 20 resulted in 6 clusters (1): Thyroid dysfunction and diseases (2); mechanism of occurrence and development of thyroid cancer (3); autoimmune thyroiditis (4); scope and postoperative management of thyroid surgery (5); fine needle aspiration of thyroid nodules (6); radioactive iodine therapy for thyroid cancer. Active monitoring, thermal ablation, Lenvatinib, and long noncoding RNA refer to the latest keywords. Discussing the six clusters helps scholars to determine the scope and direction of studies.

Conclusion

Over the past two decades, the literature related to thyroid diseases has increased year by year, with closer collaboration between countries, institutions, and authors. In this study, the global trends, research hotspots, emerging subjects, and basic knowledge of literature related to thyroid diseases were respectively elucidated, which will facilitate researchers in this field to seek better development.

Radiofrequency ablation for papillary thyroid microcarcinoma with a trachea-adjacent versus trachea-distant location

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the outcomes of radiofrequency ablation (RFA) for papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) adjacent to the trachea and compare them with those of PTMC distant from the trachea.

METHODS

Patients who received RFA for solitary low-risk PTMC between June 2014 and July 2020 were reviewed and classified into adjacent and distant groups. To balance between-group confounders, the propensity score matching approach was employed. Volume, volume reduction ratio (VRR), tumor disappearance, complications, and disease progression were assessed and compared between the groups. Furthermore, factors affecting disease progression were evaluated.

RESULTS

A total of 122 and 470 patients were included in the adjacent and distant groups, respectively. Overall VRR was 99.5% ± 3.1 and cumulative tumor disappearance rate was 99.4% after a mean follow-up time of 40.1 months ± 16.2. Overall disease progression and complications incidence were 3.7% and 1.0%, respectively. No substantial differences were observed between the two groups in the latest volume (0.8 mm3 ± 4.1 vs. 0.9 mm3 ± 4.2, p = .77), VRR (99.7% ± 1.6 vs. 99.5% ± 2.7, p = .75), cumulative tumor disappearance rate (92.6% vs. 94.2%, p = .58), and incidence of disease progression (4.1% vs. 4.5%, p = .70) and complication (1.7% vs. 0.8%, p = .86) after 1:2 matching. Additionally, tracheal adjacency exhibited no association with disease progression in multivariate Cox regression analysis (p = .73).

CONCLUSION

For eligible patients with PTMC located adjacent to or distant from the trachea, RFA may offer a safe and effective alternative treatment method.

Age-stratified comparison of active surveillance versus radiofrequency ablation for papillary thyroid microcarcinoma using decision analysis

BACKGROUND

Papillary thyroid microcarcinomas may be treated with radiofrequency ablation, active surveillance, or surgery. The objective of this study was to use mathematical modeling to compare treatment alternatives for papillary thyroid microcarcinomas among those who decline surgery. We hypothesized that radiofrequency ablation would outperform active surveillance in avoiding progression and surgery but that the effect size would be small for older patients.

METHODS

We engaged stakeholders to identify meaningful long-term endpoints for papillary thyroid microcarcinoma treatment-(1) cancer progression/surgery, (2) need for thyroid replacement therapy, and (3) permanent treatment complication. A Markov decision analysis model was created to compare the probability of these endpoints after radiofrequency ablation or active surveillance for papillary thyroid microcarcinomas and overall cost. Transition probabilities were extracted from published literature. Model outcomes were estimated to have a 10-year time horizon.

RESULTS

The primary outcome yielded a number needed to treat of 18.1 for the avoidance of progression and 27.4 for the avoidance of lifelong thyroid replacement therapy for radiofrequency ablation compared to active surveillance. However, as patient age increased, the number needed to treat to avoid progression increased from 5.2 (age 20-29) to 39.1 (age 60+). The number needed to treat to avoid lifelong thyroid replacement therapy increased with age from 7.8 (age 20-29) to 59.3 (age 60+). The average 10-year cost/treatment for active surveillance and radiofrequency ablation were $6,400 and $11,700, respectively, translating to a cost per progression-avoided of $106,500.

CONCLUSION

As an alternative to active surveillance, radiofrequency ablation may have a greater therapeutic impact in younger patients. However, routine implementation may be cost-prohibitive for most patients with papillary thyroid microcarcinomas.

Criteria to Evaluate Tumor Enlargement During the Active Surveillance of High-Risk Thyroid Nodules: Which is Better, Diameter or Volume?

INTRODUCTION

Tumor enlargement is the most common parameter identifying disease progression during active surveillance, but the value and significance of the changes in tumor diameter and volume in the evaluation of tumor growth have not been compared.

METHODS

This cohort study included 468 patients with high-risk thyroid nodule, in whom nodule size change was monitored using ultrasound, to compare the changes in tumor diameter and volume in assessing tumor growth.

RESULTS

A total of 569 high-risk thyroid nodules were found in the 468 patients. A total of 14 nodules (2.5%) showed a diameter increase ≥ 3 mm. The number of nodules with a peak volume change exceeding 50% and 100% was 185 (32.5%) and 86 (15.1%), respectively. Among the 555 stable nodules, the number of nodules with volume fluctuations exceeding 50% and 100% was 171 (30.8%) and 72 (13.0%), respectively. Among 212 stable nodules at the baseline and in the first three follow-up, the percentage of peak volume fluctuations exceeding 50% (48.5% vs. 28.5%, p = 0.004) and 100% (26.5% vs. 8.3%, p < 0.001) in the nodules with the sum of three diameters (SOTDs) ≤ 1 cm was significantly higher than that of nodules with SOTDs > 1 cm. A statistically significant difference was also found in the range distribution of SOTDs ≤ 1 cm and SOTDs > 1 cm (p = 0.007).

CONCLUSIONS

Volume is not an appropriate method for determining tumor growth. Tumor diameter measurement alone serves as a better surrogate for disease progression in sonographically high-risk thyroid nodules than volume.

Surgical Outcomes in Patients With Low-risk Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma From MAeSTro Study: Immediate Operation Versus Delayed Operation After Active SurveillanceA Multicenter Prospective Cohort Study

OBJECTIVE

To investigate surgical, and clinical outcomes in patients with low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) according to treatment options [immediate operation (IOP) vs delayed operation after active surveillance (AS) (DOP)].

BACKGROUND

AS has been adopted as an alternative to immediate surgery in patients with low-risk PTMC. Although some patients undergo surgery during AS, there is little information on surgical, and clinical outcomes after delayed operation after AS.

METHODS

A multicenter prospective cohort study including 1177 patients was conducted at 3 tertiary hospitals in Korea from June 2016 to January 2020. Patients with low-risk PTMC were enrolled. The participants were self-assigned into AS or IOP, and during AS, the patients underwent surgery if there were signs of disease progression or if the patient's choice changed.

RESULTS

A total of 516 patients underwent operation; 384 (74.4%) in the IOP group and 132 (25.6%) in the DOP group. Compared with the IOP group, the DOP group was significantly associated with a larger tumor size ( P =0.002), higher rates of lymphatic invasion ( P =0.002), and multifocality ( P =0.008). However, the rates of total thyroidectomy, postoperative hypoparathyroidism and vocal cord palsy did not differ significantly between the groups ( P = 0.283, P =0.184, and P =0.284, respectively). Of the 132 patients in the DOP group, disease progression was present in 39 (29.5%) patients. The DOP group with disease progression had a significantly higher rate of lymph node metastasis ( P =0.021) and radioiodine therapy ( P =0.025) than the DOP group without disease progression.

CONCLUSIONS

These results suggest that AS might be considered an alternative treatment option for patients with low-risk PTMC regarding the extent of thyroidectomy and postoperative complications in the DOP group. To assess oncologic outcomes, long-term follow-up will be needed.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02938702.

Recommend with caution: A meta-analysis investigating papillary thyroid carcinoma tumor progression under active surveillance

BACKGROUND

Papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) is an indolent disease with favorable outcomes. The non-surgical treatment approach known as active surveillance (AS) has been introduced as an alternative treatment instead of the traditional thyroidectomy. However, 10-15 % of PTC tend to progress. We sought to determine factors predicting the progression of PTC under AS.

METHODS

A systematic search was performed in January 2022 using PubMed, Embase, Google Scholar, Web of Science, and ScienceDirect. PRISMA guidelines were used by multiple reviewers to extract study characteristics (author name, publication date, journal name, country, institution, and study design), as well as main outcomes and measures. A combination of utilization of thyroid replacement therapy, baseline tumor size and volume, follow-up tumor size and volume, and the presence of lymph node metastasis and its distribution, as well as surveillance duration, were the main measures of this study.

RESULTS

Nine studies with 4166 patients were included, of which 354 showed tumor progression during AS (15 %; 95%CI = 7 % - 23 %). The average follow-up period was 41.58 months. The mean tumor maximum diameter was 8.54 mm (95%CI = 7.04-10.03). Tumor progression was most commonly secondary to an increase in volume by ≥50 % (75 %; 95%CI = 68 % - 80 %), then increase in diameter by ≥3 mm (41 %; 95%CI = 13 % - 76 %), and finally the development of lymph node metastasis (13 %; 95%CI = 9 % - 19 %). Approximately only 2 % of all patients thus developed new lymph node metastasis. Patient age, sex, and tumor size were not associated with higher risks of tumor progression. 12 % of AS patients eventually underwent surgery, though only 40 % (95%CI = 27 % - 53 %) of these patients displayed tumor progression.

CONCLUSIONS

Our meta-analysis determined a tumor progression rate of 15 % in patients who underwent AS management, 13 % of which (2 % of all patients) developed lymph node metastasis. We found no protective or risk factors for tumor progression, and that almost half of all patients who underwent delayed surgery did so for reasons other than tumor progression. While not biopsying small (<1 cm) or very low suspicious nodules is already recommended, AS may be an appropriate treatment option in patients appropriately counseled, considering the low risk of advanced tumor progression but also the considerable patient population who fail to adhere to treatment. Alternatively, in aim of preventing overtreatment in patients who would rather take proactive measures against their low-risk carcinoma, minimally-invasive ablation techniques may be an attractive option.

Inter-observer variation in two-dimensional and three-dimensional ultrasound measurement of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma

BACKGROUNDS

The reliable ultrasound (US) measurements of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) are very important during active surveillance. This prospective study was design to investigate the inter-observer reliability and agreement of two- dimensional ultrasound(2DUS) and three-dimensional ultrasound(3DUS) in the measurement of maximum diameter and volume for PTMC.

METHODS

This prospective study included 51 consecutive patients with solitary PTMC confirmed by biopsy. Two independent observers performed measurements of each tumor using a standardized measurement protocol. The maximum diameter was the largest one of the three diameters measured on the largest transverse and longitudinal 2DUS images. 2DUS volume was calculated using ellipsoid formula method. The virtual organ computer aided analysis(VOCAL) was used to determine 3DUS volume. The inter-observer reliability was assessed using intraclass correlation coefficient(ICC) with 95% confidence intervals(CIs). Bland-Altman analysis was used to evaluate agreement, and expressed as a bias with 95% limits of agreement(LOA).

RESULTS

The maximum diameter was 0.78 ± 0.14 cm. Volume measured by 3DUS was significantly smaller than that by 2DUS(0.163 ± 0.074 cm3 vs. 0.175 ± 0.078 cm3, P = 0.005). The ICCs of inter-observer reliability of maximum diameter, 2DUS volume and 3DUS volume was 0.922(0.864-0.955), 0.928(0.874-0.959), and 0.974(0.955-0.985), respectively. The ICCs of 2DUS and 3DUS volume was 0.955(0.909-0.976). The inter-observer agreement of maximum diameter, 2DUS volume and 3DUS volume was 1.096(0.7322 to 1.459), 1.008(0.5802-1.435), and 1.011(0.7576-1.265), respectively. The inter-observer agreement of 2DUS and 3DUS volume was 1.096(0.7322 to 1.459).

CONCLUSION

Maximum diameter had the lowest degree of observer variation among all the measurements. Volume measured by 3DUS had lower variability and higher repeatability than that by 2DUS, which might be helpful to provide more reliable estimates of tumor size for PTMC.

US Predictors of Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma Progression at Active Surveillance

Background Active surveillance (AS) is an accepted strategy for patients with low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC). While previous studies have evaluated the prognostic value of US features, results have been inconsistent. Purpose To determine if US features can help predict tumor progression in patients with low-risk PTMC undergoing AS. Materials and Methods This prospective study enrolled 1177 participants with PTMC from three hospitals between June 2016 and January 2021. Participants were self-assigned to either immediate surgery or AS, and those with two or more US examinations in the absence of surgery were included in the analysis. A χ2 test was used to compare estimated tumor progression rate at 4 years between participants stratified according to US features. Multivariable Cox regression analysis was used to assess the association of clinical and US features with overall tumor progression and specific progression criteria. Results Among 699 participants included in the analysis, 68 (mean age, 49 years ± 12 [SD]; 40 female participants) showed tumor progression (median follow-up, 41.4 months ± 16 [SD]). Tumor progression was associated with the US features of diffuse thyroid disease (DTD) (hazard ratio [HR], 2.3 [95% CI: 1.4, 3.7]; P = .001) and intratumoral vascularity (HR, 1.7 [95% CI: 1.0, 3.0]; P = .04) and the participant characteristics of male sex (HR, 2.8 [95% CI: 1.7, 4.6]; P < .001), age less than 30 years (HR, 2.9 [95% CI: 1.2, 6.8]; P = .01), and thyroid-stimulating hormone level of 7 µU/mL or higher (HR, 6.9 [95% CI: 2.7, 17.4]; P < .001). The risk of tumor progression was higher for participants with DTD (14%, P = .001) or intratumoral vascularity (14%, P = .02) than for participants without these features (6%). DTD and intratumoral vascularity were associated with tumor enlargement (HR, 2.7 [95% CI: 1.4, 5.1]; P = .002) and new lymph node metastasis (HR, 5.0 [95% CI: 1.3, 19.4]; P = .02), respectively. Conclusion DTD and intratumoral vascularity were associated with an increased risk of tumor progression in participants with PTMC undergoing AS. Clinical trial registration no. NCT02938702 © RSNA, 2023 Supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Reuter and the review "International Expert Consensus on US Lexicon for Thyroid Nodules" by Durante et al in this issue.

The Optimal Age Threshold for Stratifying the Risks of Disease Progression in Patients with Highly Suspicious Sub-centimeter Thyroid Nodules

PURPOSE

The study aimed to identify the value and optimal age cutoff to predict the progression of highly suspicious thyroid nodules ≤ 10 mm during active surveillance (AS), and to reveal distinct risk factors in patients of different ages.

METHODS

A total of 779 patients with highly suspicious thyroid nodules were enrolled and followed up by ultrasonography. Locally weighted scatterplot smoothing (LOWESS) and the package 'changepoint' were used to identify the optimal age cutoffs using R. Multivariate Cox regression was performed to identify independent prognostic factors in each patient group divided according to age.

RESULTS

Age was an independent predictor of nodule progression (P = 0.038). The optimal age cutoff to stratify the risk of nodule progression was 30 years. Younger patients were more likely to have progression of nodules during AS (P < 0.001), including enlargement of nodule size (P = 0.011) and new lesion occurrence (P < 0.001). Nodule size was identified as a risk factor for disease progression in patients younger than 30 years old (P = 0.008, OR 7.946, 95% CI 1.715-36.820), while multifocality (P = 0.018, OR 2.315, 95% CI 1.155-4.639) and thyroiditis (P = 0.028, OR 2.265, 95% CI 1.092-4.699) were independent predictors in patients over 30 years old.

CONCLUSIONS

Highly suspicious thyroid nodules ≤ 10 mm in young patients tended to be more progressive. The predictors of disease progression were distinct in patients of different ages.

Cost-Effectiveness of Active Surveillance Compared to Early Surgery of Small Papillary Thyroid Cancer: A Retrospective Study on a Korean Population

BACKGROUND

Recently, active surveillance (AS) has been introduced as an alternative to early surgery (ES) for the management of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC), because of its indolent features and low mortality. However, its cost effects have not been determined and the findings of current studies differ, according to each country's medical system.

METHODS

A Markov model was constructed to compare the cost-effectiveness of AS and ES, based on a reference case of a 40-year-old patient diagnosed with PTMC. Costs and transition probabilities were derived from previous clinical studies in Korean populations, and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) and net monetary benefit (NMB) were calculated. The willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold was set at USD 100,000 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to address the uncertainties in the model's variables.

RESULTS

From the base scenario, the cumulative costs and effectiveness were both higher in ES than AS. The ICER for ES, compared with AS, was USD 6,619.86/QALY, lower than the set WTP. The NMB difference between AS and ES increased across the stages (USD 5,980 at the first stage and USD 159,667 at the last stage). The ICER increased along with decreasing age and increasing cost of surgery. The higher the ES utility score and the lower that of AS, the more cost-effective ES, with WTP set at USD 30,000.

CONCLUSION

In the current Korean medical system, ES is more cost-effective than AS. ES is more cost-effective as it is diagnosed at young age and followed-up for a long time.

Cost-effectiveness of active surveillance versus early surgery for thyroid micropapillary carcinoma based on diagnostic and treatment norms in China

Objectives

In this study, we compared the cost-effectiveness comparison of the active surveillance (AS) and early surgery (ES) approaches for papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) from the perspective of the Chinese healthcare system.

Methods

We performed a cost-effectiveness analysis using a Markov model of PTMC we developed to evaluate the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of AS and ES. Our reference case was of a 40-year-old woman diagnosed with unifocal (<10 mm) PTMC. Relevant data were extracted after an extensive literature review, and the cost incurred in each state was determined using China Medicare data on payments for ES and AS. The willingness-to-pay threshold was set at ¥242,928/quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained. Sensitivity analyses were performed to account for any uncertainty in the model's variables. Additional subgroup analyses were performed to determine whether AS was cost-effective when different initial monitoring ages were used.

Results

ES exhibited an effectiveness of 5.2 QALYs, whereas AS showed an effectiveness of 25.8 QALYs. Furthermore, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for ES versus AS was ¥1,009/QALY. The findings of all sensitivity analyses were robust. Compared with ES, AS was found to be the cost-effective strategy at initial monitoring ages of 20 and 60 years, with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of ¥3,431/QALY and -¥1,316/QALY at 20 and 60 years, respectively. AS was a more cost-effective strategy in patients with PTMC aged more than 60.

Conclusions

With respect to the norms of the Chinese healthcare system, AS was more cost-effective for PTMC over lifetime surveillance than ES. Furthermore, it was cost-effective even when the initial monitoring ages were different. In addition, if AS is incorporated into the management plan for PTMC in China at the earliest possible stage, a predicted savings of ¥10 × 108/year could be enabled for every 50,000 cases of PTMC, which indicates a good economic return for future management programs. The identification of such nuances can help physicians and patients determine the best and most individualized long-term management strategy for low-risk PTMC.

Surgical Management of Indeterminate Thyroid Nodules across Different World Regions: Results from a Retrospective Multicentric (the MAIN-NODE) Study

Indeterminate thyroid nodules (ITNs) are characterized by an expected malignancy ranging from 5% to 30%, with most patients undergoing a diagnostic, rather than therapeutic, operation. The aim of our study was to compare the approach to ITNs across different regions of the world. In this retrospective, multicentric, international study, according to the WHO classification, we identified the South East Asian Region (SEAR), the Americas Region (AMR), the Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR), the Europe Region (EUR), and the Western Pacific Region (WPR). One high-volume thyroid centre was included for each region. Demographic, preoperative, and pathologic data were compared among the different regions. Overall, 5737 patients from five high-volume thyroid centres were included in this study. We found that the proportion of ITNs over the global activity for thyroid disease was higher in the EUR (37.6%) than in the other regions (21.1-23.6%). In the EMR, the patients were significantly younger (with a mean of 43.1 years) than in the other regions (range, 48.8-57.4 years). The proportion of lobectomy was significantly higher in the WPR, where 83.2% (114/137) of patients received this treatment, than in the other regions, where lobectomies were performed in 44.1-58.1% of patients. The pathological diagnosis of malignancy was significantly higher in the SEAR centre, being over 60%, than in centres of the other regions, where it ranged from 26.3% to 41.3%. The occurrence of lymph node metastases was higher in the WPR (27.8%), AMR (26.9%), and EMR (20%) centres than in the EUR and SEAR centres, where it was lower than 10%. In summary, we found in our study different approaches and outcomes in the diagnosis and treatment of ITNs among countries. Overall, almost 60% of patients with ITNs who underwent surgery actually presented a benign disease, potentially undergoing an unnecessary operation.

Thyroid cancer

The past 5-10 years have brought in a new era in the care of patients with thyroid cancer, with the introduction of transformative diagnostic and management options. Several international ultrasound-based thyroid nodule risk stratification systems have been developed with the goal of reducing unnecessary biopsies. Less invasive alternatives to surgery for low-risk thyroid cancer, such as active surveillance and minimally invasive interventions, are being explored. New systemic therapies are now available for patients with advanced thyroid cancer. However, in the setting of these advances, disparities exist in the diagnosis and management of thyroid cancer. As new management options are becoming available for thyroid cancer, it is essential to support population-based studies and randomised clinical trials that will inform evidence-based clinical practice guidelines on the management of thyroid cancer, and to include diverse patient populations in research to better understand and subsequently address existing barriers to equitable thyroid cancer care.

Clinical outcomes of ultrasound-guided radiofrequency ablation for solitary T1N0M0 papillary thyroid carcinoma: A retrospective study with more than 5 years of follow-up

BACKGROUND

Ultrasound-guided radiofrequency ablation (RFA) has been used in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) who refuse surgery or active surveillance. However, the long-term outcomes are still limited. This study aimed to evaluate the clinical outcomes of RFA for solitary T1N0M0 PTC in a large cohort over a more than 5-year follow-up period.

METHODS

This retrospective study included 358 patients with solitary T1N0M0 PTC who were treated with RFA and followed for at least 5 years. The bipolar RFA procedure was performed using hydrodissection technique, transisthmic approach, and moving-shot technique. The primary outcomes were disease progression, including lymph node metastasis (LNM), recurrent tumor, persistent tumor, and distant metastasis. The secondary outcomes were volume reduction rate, complete disappearance rate, complications, and delayed surgery.

RESULTS

During a mean follow-up period of 75.5 ± 9.7 months, the overall disease progression was 5.0%. The incidence of LNM, recurrent tumor, and persistent tumor was 1.4%, 3.1%, and 0.6%, respectively. There were no significant differences in the disease progression (5.0% vs. 5.5%, p = 1.000), LNM (1.3% vs. 1.8%, p = .568), recurrent tumor (3.3% vs. 1.8%, p = .872), persistent tumors (0.3% vs. 1.8%, p = .284), and 5-year recurrence-free survival rates (95.4% vs. 96.4%, p = .785) in the T1a and T1b groups. Volume reduction rate was 100.0 ± 0.3%, with 96.9% of tumors disappearing. No complications occurred. No patients underwent delayed surgery because of anxiety.

CONCLUSIONS

RFA is an effective and safe alternative for patients with T1N0M0 PTC and can offer a minimally invasive curative option for patients who refuse surgery or active surveillance.

PLAIN LANGUAGE SUMMARY

During a mean follow-up period of 75.5 ± 9.7 months, the overall papillary thyroid carcinoma disease progression was 5.0%. The volume reduction rate was 100.0 ± 0.3%, with 96.9% of tumors disappearing. The T1a and T1b groups had similar incidence of disease progression and 5-year recurrence-free survival rates. No patients experienced complications or underwent delayed surgery because of anxiety.

Conservative management of low-risk papillary thyroid carcinoma: a review of the active surveillance experience

The detection of low-risk thyroid carcinoma has increased in recent decades, although disease-specific mortality remained without changes. The high prevalence of occult carcinomas in autopsy studies, and hence the underlying indolent course of this entity, prompted the emergence of active surveillance as an alternative approach to these tumors. This strategy aims to recognize the minority group of patients who will develop clinical progression and probably benefit from deferred surgery. Experience around the world has shown that during active surveillance these tumors are mostly unchanged in size, with very-slow growth and even a decrease in diameter. Moreover, the rates of lymph node metastases were low and easily handled by rescue surgery, and distant metastases have not been reported. Given the high prevalence of small thyroid carcinomas and the excellent outcomes for observation, active surveillance provides a safe and feasible alternative in properly selected patients with low-risk thyroid cancer.

Comparative analysis of pre-operative ultrasound and histopathology in small papillary thyroid carcinoma in the era of active surveillance

BACKGROUND

Contemporary management of small papillary thyroid carcinomas (PTC) includes active surveillance (AS) as a number of these tumours are indolent. Overseas studies have reported AS in tumours up to 15 mm. This study aims to look at an Australian cohort of patients who have had surgery for non-incidental PTCs and analyse their pre-operative ultrasound and histopathology data to investigate potential issues that might arise in the era of AS.

METHODS

Retrospective review of 82 patients who had surgical removal of PTCs ≤15 mm in diameter. Pre-operative ultrasound imaging was reviewed by an experienced sonologist and histopathology data was obtained from medical records. The AS risk stratification framework by Brito et al. was used to determine those who were feasible for AS based on ultrasound findings.

RESULTS

Review of pre-operative ultrasounds demonstrated there were 68 (82.9%) patients who were shown to be either appropriate or ideal for AS. On review of histopathology, 49 (69%) patients had at least one adverse pathological risk factor. This is more than half of the patients that were originally identified as candidates for AS.

CONCLUSION

Our study has revealed a large proportion were suitable for AS but when compared with histopathological guidelines there was a high incidence of adverse pathological features found. This discrepancy indicates that although the guidelines are important, there are unknown pathological variables that need to be considered in patients selected for AS.

Active Surveillance for Low-Risk Differentiated Thyroid Cancer

Less aggressive treatment options, including hemithyroidectomy and active surveillance, have been accepted as treatment options for low-risk small, differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC). Multiple studies have shown a low rate of cancer growth and lymph node metastases and no evidence of distant metastases during active surveillance of low-risk small DTC. However, not all patients with low -risk small DTC are ideal or appropriate candidate for active surveillance. Patients with thyroid cancer adjacent to either the trachea or recurrent laryngeal nerve or those with evidence of extrathyroidal extension, a high-risk molecular profile, lymph node, or distant metastases are considered inappropriate candidates for active surveillance. In addition, there are other essential factors that clinicians should consider while recommending active surveillance, including patient financial and insurance status; availability of high-quality neck ultrasounds and experienced radiologists, endocrinologists, and surgeons; and patient preference, level of anxiety, and willingness to undergo prolonged surveillance and follow-up imaging.

Comparison of Postoperative Unfavorable Events in Patients with Low-Risk Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma: Immediate Surgery Versus Conversion Surgery Following Active Surveillance

Background: Active surveillance (AS) for low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) was initiated at Kuma Hospital in 1993 and has gradually spread worldwide. We previously demonstrated that AS is associated with a much lower incidence of unfavorable events than immediate surgery (IS). However, conversion surgery (CS) raises concerns about increased surgical complications due to advanced disease. In this study, we conducted a comparative analysis of unfavorable events after IS and CS. Methods: Between 2005 and 2019, 4635 patients clinically diagnosed with low-risk PTMC at Kuma Hospital were enrolled. Of these, 2896 underwent AS (AS group), and the remaining 1739 underwent IS (IS group). To date, 242 patients (0.8%) in the AS group have undergone CS for various reasons (CS group). Results: The incidence of unfavorable events, such as levothyroxine administration after surgery, postoperative hematoma, transient/persistent hypoparathyroidism, and transient/persistent vocal cord paralysis, did not differ between the CS and IS groups. None of the patients in the CS group had permanent vocal cord paralysis; however, this occurred in 15 patients (0.9%) in the IS group and was caused by accidental injury in 4 patients and carcinoma invasion in 11 patients. The incidence of surgery, levothyroxine administration, postoperative hematoma, transient/permanent hypoparathyroidism, and vocal cord paralysis was significantly higher (p < 0.001) in the IS group than in the AS group. There were no differences in the incidence of lymph node recurrence and overall mortality between the AS and IS groups. None of the patients in the AS and IS groups showed distant metastasis or died from thyroid carcinoma. Conclusions: There were no differences in the incidence of unfavorable events between the CS group and the IS group. Although none of the CS and AS groups had permanent vocal cord paralysis, accidental injury of the recurrent laryngeal nerve occurred in four patients (0.2%) in the IS group. The IS group had a significantly higher incidence of unfavorable events than the AS group. The prognoses of patients in both the AS and IS groups were excellent. Therefore, we recommend AS as the first-line management for low-risk PTMC.

Nomogram incorporating preoperative clinical and ultrasound indicators to predict aggressiveness of solitary papillary thyroid carcinoma

Objective

To construct a nomogram based on preoperative clinical and ultrasound indicators to predict aggressiveness of solitary papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC).

Methods

Preoperative clinical and ultrasound data from 709 patients diagnosed with solitary PTC between January 2017 and December 2020 were analyzed retrospectively. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify the factors associated with PTC aggressiveness, and these factors were used to construct a predictive nomogram. The nomogram's performance was evaluated in the primary and validation cohorts.

Results

The 709 patients were separated into a primary cohort (n = 424) and a validation cohort (n = 285). Univariate analysis in the primary cohort showed 13 variables to be associated with aggressive PTC. In multivariate logistic regression analysis, the independent predictors of aggressive behavior were age (OR, 2.08; 95% CI, 1.30-3.35), tumor size (OR, 4.0; 95% CI, 2.17-7.37), capsule abutment (OR, 2.53; 95% CI, 1.50-4.26), and suspected cervical lymph nodes metastasis (OR, 2.50; 95% CI, 1.20-5.21). The nomogram incorporating these four predictors showed good discrimination and calibration in both the primary cohort (area under the curve, 0.77; 95% CI, 0.72-0.81; Hosmer-Lemeshow test, P = 0.967 and the validation cohort (area under the curve, 0.72; 95% CI, 0.66-0.78; Hosmer-Lemeshow test, P = 0.251).

Conclusion

The proposed nomogram shows good ability to predict PTC aggressiveness and could be useful during treatment decision making.

Advances in knowledge

Our nomogram-based on four indicators-provides comprehensive assessment of aggressive behavior of PTC and could be a useful tool in the clinic.

Position paper from the Endocrine Task Force of the European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) on the management and shared decision making in patients with low-risk micro papillary thyroid carcinoma

The incidence of differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) has been increasing worldwide, mostly, as an increase in the incidental detection of micro papillary thyroid carcinomas (microPTCs), many of which are potentially overtreated, as suggested by the unchanged mortality. Several international guidelines have suggested a less aggressive approach. More recently, it has been shown that active surveillance or minimally invasive treatments (MIT) are good alternatives for the management of these patients. In this context, patient participation in the decision-making process is paramount. The Endocrine Task Force of the European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) has undertaken the task to establish consensus and define its position based on the scientific evidence concerning, 1) the current state of diagnostic and management options in microPTCs, including the current opinion of physicians about shared decision making (SDM), 2) the available evidence concerning patients' needs and the available decision instruments, and 3) to provide practical suggestions for implementation of SDM in this context. To improve SDM and patients' participation, knowledge gaps and research directions were highlighted.

Active surveillance of low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma

Recently, the incidence of thyroid carcinoma has been increasing rapidly worldwide. This is interpreted as an increase in the incidental detection of small papillary thyroid carcinomas by the widespread use of high-resolution imaging techniques such as ultrasonography. However, the mortality rates of thyroid carcinoma have not changed, suggesting that small papillary thyroid carcinomas may be overdiagnosed and overtreated. Active surveillance management has been introduced from Japan since the 1990s, as one of the measures to prevent overtreatment of low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma. Based on the favorable outcomes, active surveillance has been gradually adopted worldwide as an alternative to immediate surgery. The management should be carried out with strict eligibility criteria and close monitoring for cancer progression, under a multidisciplinary team. In addition, an adequate shared decision-making is mandatory for individual patients. Papillary thyroid microcarcinomas with clinically apparent lymph node metastasis, distant metastasis, or invasion to adjacent organs should have surgery.

Active surveillance in differentiated thyroid cancer: a strategy applicable to all treatment categories response

Currently, the differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) management is shifted toward a tailored approach based on the estimated risks of recurrence and disease-specific mortality. While the current recommendations on the management of metastatic and progressive DTC are clear and unambiguous, the management of slowly progressive or indeterminate disease varies according to different centers and different physicians. In this context, active surveillance (AS) becomes the main tool for clinicians, allowing them to plan a personalized therapeutic strategy, based on the risk of an unfavorable prognosis, and to avoid unnecessary treatment. This review analyzes the main possible scenarios in treated DTC patients who could take advantage of AS.

Standardized Imaging and Reporting for Thyroid Ultrasound: Korean Society of Thyroid Radiology Consensus Statement and Recommendation

Ultrasonography (US) is a primary imaging modality for diagnosing nodular thyroid disease and has an essential role in identifying the most appropriate management strategy for patients with nodular thyroid disease. Standardized imaging techniques and reporting formats for thyroid US are necessary. For this purpose, the Korean Society of Thyroid Radiology (KSThR) organized a task force in June 2021 and developed recommendations for standardized imaging technique and reporting format, based on the 2021 KSThR consensus statement and recommendations for US-based diagnosis and management of thyroid nodules. The goal was to achieve an expert consensus applicable to clinical practice.

SFE-AFCE-SFMN 2022 Consensus on the management of thyroid nodules : Follow-up: How and how long?

The SFE-AFCE-SFMN 2022 consensus deals with the management of thyroid nodules, a condition that is a frequent reason for consultation in endocrinology. In more than 90% of cases, patients are euthyroid, with benign non-progressive nodules that do not warrant specific treatment. The clinician's objective is to detect malignant thyroid nodules at risk of recurrence and death, toxic nodules responsible for hyperthyroidism or compressive nodules warranting treatment. The diagnosis and treatment of thyroid nodules requires close collaboration between endocrinologists, nuclear medicine physicians, surgeons, and other specialists. Therefore, this consensus statement was established jointly by 3 societies: the French Society of Endocrinology (SFE), French Association of Endocrine Surgery (AFCE) and French Society of Nuclear Medicine (SFMN); the various working groups included experts from other specialties (pathologists, radiologists, pediatricians, biologists, etc.). This section deals with the follow-up of thyroid nodules, low-grade tumors and microcarcinomas.

Feasibility of a snowball sampling survey to study active surveillance for thyroid microcarcinoma treatment among endocrinologists and surgeons of Brazil

OBJECTIVES

This study aims to investigate if a sampling method using virtual networks is feasible to survey AS adoption among this "hard-to-reach" population of Brazilian doctors.

METHODS

An online piloted 11-point structured survey questionnaire (designed using Googleforms®) probed the actual treatment patterns for adult patients with PTMCs, including treatment decision-making nonoperative options, was undertaken between 10 November and 30 November 2020. Participants were reached by the mobile phone Application (APP) and a snowball sampling strategy was used to recruit a total of 4783 members (maximum number of potential reach), which is the total of doctors of the all 21 social media WhatsApp® groups.

RESULTS

From a total of 4783 members (maximum number of potential reach), there were 657 (13.7%) doctors (actual reach) who clicked the web link of the questionnaire, out of whom 512 (10.7%) fully completed the online survey. Among the survey respondents, 361 were endocrinologists (70.5%) and 151 were surgeons (29.5%). Overall, for low-risk PTMCs in an elderly patient, 118 responders (23%) recommend AS, while 390 (76%) recommend immediate surgery as the management, including lobectomy (18.5%) and Total Thyroidectomy (58.2%). The present responders tended to recommend surgery for PTMCs that were located adjacent to the dorsal surface of the thyroid, were multiple, or raised the size during the follow-up.

CONCLUSION

Using snowball sampling strategy as an innovative route to conduct surveys was feasible and applicable but the rate of response was still very low. Our data also suggests the need to investigate if AS is embraced by Brazilian doctors.

Active Surveillance of Papillary Thyroid Cancer: Frequency and Time Course of the Six Most Common Tumor Volume Kinetic Patterns

Background: The change in size of the papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) nodule during active surveillance has traditionally been characterized as either stable, increasing, or decreasing based on changes in maximal tumor diameter or tumor volume. More recently, it has been observed that the changes in tumor size observed during observation are more complex with tumor volume kinetic patterns that can be characterized either as stable (Pattern I), early increase in volume (Pattern II), later increase in volume (Pattern III), early increase in volume followed by stability (Pattern IV), stability followed by an increase in volume (Pattern V), or a decrease in tumor volume (Pattern VI). Methods: The frequency, time course, and clinical correlates of these six tumor volume kinetic patterns were analyzed in a cohort of 483 patients with low-risk PTC up to 1.5 cm in maximal diameter followed with active surveillance at our center for a median of 3.7 years. Results: The cumulative incidence of an increase in tumor volume for the entire cohort was 15.9% [confidence interval (CI) 11.8-20.0] at 5 years. At 5 years, most tumors demonstrated stability (78.8%, Pattern I) with 10.0% showing early growth (Pattern II), 4.1% late growth (Pattern III), 1.9% growth then stability (Pattern IV), 0.6% stability then growth (Pattern V), and 5.6% with a decrease in tumor volume (Pattern VI). Tumor volume doubling time during exponential growth significantly differed across the kinetic patterns, with median values of 2.4, 7.1, and 3.3 years for Patterns II, III, and IV, respectively (p < 0.01). Similarly, the time to a change in tumor volume was significantly different across the kinetic patterns, with median values of 1.5, 3, 1.6, 4.7, and 4.1 years for Patterns II, III, IV, V, and VI, respectively (analysis of variance, p < 0.01). Clinical correlates at baseline were not associated with tumor volume kinetic pattern. Conclusions: These six kinetic tumor volume patterns provide a comprehensive description of the changes in PTC tumor volume observed during the first 5 years of active surveillance.

Clinicopathological and surgical comparisons of differentiated thyroid cancer between China and the USA: A multicentered hospital-based study

Background

Thyroid cancer (TC), was the fastest-rising tumor of all malignancies in the world and China, predominantly differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC). However, evidence on TC stage distribution and influencing factors of late-stage were limited in China.

Methods

We carried out a retrospective study and enrolled TC patients who were first diagnosed and hospitalized in 8 hospitals in China in 2017. Logistic regression was used to evaluate associations between influencing factors and DTC stage. We extracted eligible primary DTC records newly diagnosed in 2017 from the USA's Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. We compared clinicopathological features and surgical treatment between our DTC records and those from the SEER database.

Results

A total of 1970 eligible patients were included, with 1861 DTC patients with known stage. Among patients ≥45 years old, males (OR = 1.76, 95%CI 1.17-2.65) and those with new rural cooperative medical scheme insurance (NCMS) (OR = 1.99, 95%CI 1.38-2.88) had higher risks of late-stage DTC (stage III-IV). Compared with SEER database, over-diagnosis is more common in China [more DTC patients with onset age< 45 years old (50.3 vs. 40.7%, P < 0.001), with early-stage (81.2 vs. 76.0%, P < 0.001), and with tumors<2cm (74.9 vs. 63.7%, P < 0.001)]. Compared with the USA, TC treatment is more conservative in China. The proportion of lobectomy in our database was significantly higher than that in the SEER database (41.3 vs. 17.0%, P < 0.001).

Conclusions

Unique risk factors are found to be associated with late-stage DTC in China. The differences in the aspect of clinicopathological features and surgical approaches between China and the USA indicate that potential over-diagnosis and over-surgery exist, and disparities on surgery extent may need further consideration. The findings provided references for other countries with similar patterns.

Clair J, Chen MM, Vasquez M, Fan X, van Deen WK, Haile RW, Daskivich TJ, Zumsteg ZS, Braunstein GD, Sacks WL. Expanded Parameters in Active Surveillance for Low-risk Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma: A Nonrandomized Controlled Trial

Importance

Unlike for prostate cancer, active surveillance for thyroid cancer has not achieved wide adoption. The parameters by which this approach is feasible are also not well defined, nor is the effect of patient anxiety.

Objective

To determine if expanded size/growth parameters for patients with low-risk thyroid cancer are viable, as well as to assess for cohort differences in anxiety.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This prospective nonrandomized controlled trial was conducted at a US academic medical center from 2014 to 2021, with mean [SD] 37.1 [23.3]-month follow-up. Of 257 patients with 20-mm or smaller Bethesda 5 to 6 thyroid nodules, 222 (86.3%) enrolled and selected treatment with either active surveillance or immediate surgery. Delayed surgery was recommended for size growth larger than 5 mm or more than 100% volume growth. Patients completed the 18-item Thyroid Cancer Modified Anxiety Scale over time.

Interventions

Active surveillance.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Cumulative incidence and rate of size/volume growth.

Results

Of the 222 patients enrolled, the median (IQR) age for the study population was 46.8 (36.6-58) years, and 76.1% were female. Overall, 112 patients (50.5%) underwent treatment with active surveillance. Median tumor size was 11.0 mm (IQR, 9-15), and larger tumors (10.1-20.0 mm) comprised 67 cases (59.8%). One hundred one (90.1%) continued to receive treatment with active surveillance, 46 (41.0%) had their tumors shrink, and 0 developed regional/distant metastases. Size growth of more than 5 mm was observed in 3.6% of cases, with cumulative incidence of 1.2% at 2 years and 10.8% at 5 years. Volumetric growth of more than 100% was observed in 7.1% of cases, with cumulative incidence of 2.2% at 2 years and 13.7% at 5 years. Of 110 patients who elected to undergo immediate surgery, 21 (19.1%) had equivocal-risk features discovered on final pathology. Disease severity for all such patients remained classified as stage I. Disease-specific and overall survival rates in both cohorts were 100%. On multivariable analysis, immediate surgery patients exhibited significantly higher baseline anxiety levels compared with active surveillance patients (estimated difference in anxiety scores between groups at baseline, 0.39; 95% CI, 0.22-0.55; P < .001). This difference endured over time, even after intervention (estimated difference at 4-year follow-up, 0.50; 95% CI, 0.21-0.79; P = .001).

Conclusions and Relevance

The results of this nonrandomized controlled trial suggest that a more permissive active surveillance strategy encompassing most diagnosed thyroid cancers appears viable. Equivocal-risk pathologic features exist in a subset of cases that can be safely treated, but suggest the need for more granular risk stratification. Surgery and surveillance cohorts possess oppositional levels of worry, elevating the importance of shared decision-making when patients face treatment equivalence.

Trial Registration

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02609685.

Microwave Ablation versus Surgical Resection for Solitary T1N0M0 Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma

Background Microwave ablation (MWA) has attracted interest as a minimally invasive treatment for papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC). However, comparisons between MWA and surgical resection (SR) in the management of T1N0M0 PTC are rare. Purpose To compare the technical effectiveness, disease progression, and complications of MWA and SR for solitary T1N0M0 PTC. Materials and Methods This retrospective study was conducted in a single center. A total of 1029 patients with T1N0M0 PTC treated with either MWA or SR from January 2015 to May 2021 were studied and divided into two groups according to treatment modality. Propensity score matching and inverse probability of treatment weighting were used to control for confounding factors. Disease progression was analyzed in T1N0M0 PTCs as well as T1a and T1b subgroups by using Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox proportional hazards regression models. Results A total of 404 patients (mean age, 43 years ± 12 [SD]; 289 women; 337 with T1a PTC) underwent MWA, and 625 (mean age, 46 years ± 12; 495 women; 521 with T1a PTC) underwent SR. During the follow-up (median, 25 months; IQR, 7-61 months), there was no evidence of differences regarding disease progression in T1N0M0 (4.0% vs 4.0%; P = .97), T1a (3.4% vs 3.8%; P = .89), or T1b PTCs (6.8% vs 5.0%; P = .72). Compared with SR, MWA resulted in less blood loss (2 mL vs 10 mL) and a shorter procedure time (23 minutes vs 72 minutes) (both P < .001). The rate of major complications was 5.4% (19 of 350 patients) in the MWA group and 6.3% (22 of 350 patients) in the SR group (P = .75). Permanent hoarseness only occurred in the SR group (1.7%; P = .03). Conclusion For T1a and T1b solitary T1N0M0 papillary thyroid carcinomas, there was no evidence of differences regarding disease progression and major complications between microwave ablation and surgical resection. © RSNA, 2022 Online supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by vanSonnenberg and Simeone in this issue.

Active surveillance of highly suspicious thyroid nodules cohort in China shows a worse psychological status in younger patients

Background

Active surveillance has been considered a safe alternative to surgery for low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma. This study aimed to assess the oncological outcomes and psychological status of active surveillance of highly suspicious thyroid nodules ≤10 mm in China.

Methods

This prospective single-center cohort study enrolled 336 patients with highly suspicious thyroid nodules for active surveillance to assess oncological outcomes and psychological status. The psychological status of patients was assessed by two different questionnaires and compared among different patient groups.

Results

During a median follow-up period of 28.5 months, eight patients underwent delayed surgery for tumor enlargement and one for lymph node metastases. The cumulative incidence of disease progression at 5 and 10 years was 6.0% and 12.8%, respectively. Patients who underwent delayed surgery had no permanent complications, and no patient had distant metastasis or death. Patients ≤30 years old had a higher baseline anxiety score (4.9 vs. 3.8, p=0.024), a higher proportion of baseline anxiety score, i.e., ≥8 points (24.0% vs. 12.6%, p=0.033), and a worse baseline emotional function (62.7 vs. 70.7, p=0.013) than patients >30. During AS, patients ≤30 years of age had higher overall anxiety levels (p=0.005) and a worse overall emotional function (p=0.001).

Conclusions

Active surveillance in Chinese patients with highly suspicious subcentimetre thyroid nodules has good oncological outcomes and can be used as a safe alternative to surgery. Younger patients (≤30) show a worse psychological status; therefore, more attention should be paid to younger patients.

Frequency of TERT Promoter Mutations in Real-World Analysis of 2,092 Thyroid Carcinoma Patients

BACKGRUOUND

Telomerase reverse transcriptase (TERT) promoter mutations are associated with increased recurrence and mortality in patients with thyroid carcinoma. Previous studies on TERT promoter mutations were retrospectively conducted on a limited number of patients.

METHODS

We prospectively collected data on all consecutive patients who underwent thyroid carcinoma surgery between January 2019 and December 2020 at the Samsung Medical Center, Seoul, Korea. We included 2,092 patients with thyroid carcinoma.

RESULTS

Of 2,092 patients, 72 patients (3.4%) had TERT promoter mutations. However, the frequency of TERT promoter mutations was 0.5% in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) ≤1 cm and it was 5.8% in papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) >1 cm. The frequency of TERT promoter mutations was significantly associated with older age at diagnosis (odds ratio [OR], 1.12; P<0.001), larger primary tumor size (OR, 2.02; P<0.001), and aggressive histological type (OR, 7.78 in follicular thyroid carcinoma; OR, 10.33 in poorly differentiated thyroid carcinoma; OR, 45.92 in anaplastic thyroid carcinoma; P<0.001). Advanced T stage, advanced N stage, and distant metastasis at diagnosis were highly prevalent in mutated thyroid cancers. However, initial distant metastasis was not present in patients with TERT promoter mutations in PTMC. Although the C228T mutation was more highly detected than the C250T mutation (64 cases vs. 7 cases), there were no significant clinicopathological differences.

CONCLUSION

This study is the first attempt to investigate the frequency of TERT promoter mutations in a real-world setting. The frequency of TERT promoter mutations in PTC was lower than expected, and in PTMC, young patients, and female patients, the frequency was very low.

Comparison of ultrasound-guided radiofrequency ablation versus thyroid lobectomy for T1bN0M0 papillary thyroid carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

To investigate and compare the clinical outcomes between radiofrequency ablation (RFA) and thyroid lobectomy (TL) for T1bN0M0 papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC).

METHODS

This retrospective study evaluated 283 patients with solitary T1bN0M0 PTC treated with RFA (RFA group, 91 patients) or TL (TL group, 192 patients) from May 2014 to November 2018. The patients were regularly followed up after treatment. Local tumor progression, lymph node metastasis (LNM), recurrent tumor, persistent tumor, recurrence-free survival (RFS), treatment variables (hospitalization, procedure time, estimated blood loss, and cost), complication, and delayed surgery were compared.

RESULTS

During the follow-up (median [interquartile ranges], 50.4 [18.0] months), no significant differences were found in the local tumor progression (4.4% vs 3.6%, p = 1.000), LNM (1.1% vs 2.1%, p = 0.917), recurrent tumor (2.2% vs 1.6%, p = 1.000), persistent tumor (1.1% vs 0%, p = 0.146), and RFS rate (95.6% vs 96.4%, p = 0.816) in the RFA and TL groups. Distant metastasis was not detected. Patients in the RFA group had a shorter hospitalization (0 vs 7.0 [3.0] days, p < 0.001), shorter procedure time (5.6 [2.9] vs 90.0 [38.5] min, p < 0.001), lower estimated blood loss (0 vs 20 [20] mL, p < 0.001), lower cost ($1972.5 [0.1] vs $2362.4 [1009.3], p < 0.001), and lower complication rate (0 vs 12/192 [6.3%], p = 0.015) than those in the TL group. No patients in the RFA group underwent delayed surgery.

CONCLUSIONS

This study revealed comparable 4-year clinical outcomes between RFA and TL for T1bN0M0 PTC in terms of local tumor progression and RFS. As a minimally invasive modality, RFA may be a promising feasible alternative to surgery for the treatment of T1bN0M0 PTC in selected patients after strict evaluation.

KEY POINTS

• No significant difference in local tumor progression and RFS was found between RFA and TL for T1bN0M0 PTC during a median follow-up period of 50.4 months. • Compared with TL, RFA led to a shorter hospitalization, lower estimated blood loss, lower cost, and lower complication rate. • RFA may be a promising feasible alternative to surgery for the treatment of T1bN0M0 PTC in selected patients after strict evaluation.

Observational management of papillary microcarcinoma appearing in the remnant thyroid after hemithyroidectomy

Active surveillance for papillary thyroid microcarcinomas (PTMCs) initiated in Japan is becoming adopted worldwide as a management option. However, it remains unclear how to manage newly appearing PTMCs in the remnant thyroid after hemithyroidectomy. We investigated the outcomes of similar observational management (OM) for PTMCs appearing in the remnant thyroid after hemithyroidectomy for papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) and benign thyroid nodules. Eighty-three patients were newly diagnosed with PTMC in the remnant thyroid between January 1998 and March 2017. Of these, 42 patients underwent OM with >3 times ultrasound examinations. Their initial diagnoses were PTC (initially malignant group) in 37 patients and benign nodule (initially benign group) in 5 patients. We calculated the tumor volume doubling rate (TV-DR) during OM for each PTMC. The TV-DR (/year) was <-0.1, -0.1-0.1, 0.1-0.5, and >0.5 in 12, 19, 5, and 6 patients, respectively. The TV-DRs in both groups did not statistically differ, but six patients (16%) in the initially malignant group showed moderate growth (TV-DR >0.5/year). They underwent conversion surgery and none of them had further recurrence. The remaining 36 patients retained OM without disease progression. The TV-DR in the initially malignant group was not significantly associated with patients' backgrounds or their initial clinicopathological features. None of the patients in this study showed distant metastases/recurrences or died of thyroid carcinoma. Although a portion of PTMCs appearing after hemithyroidectomy for thyroid malignancy are moderately progressive, OM may be acceptable as a management option for PTMCs appearing in the remnant thyroid after hemithyroidectomy.

Nonsurgical Management of Thyroid Nodules: The Role of Ablative Therapies

CONTEXT

After a thorough evaluation most thyroid nodules are deemed of no clinical consequence and can be observed. However, when they are compressive, toxic, or involved by papillary thyroid carcinoma surgery or radioactive iodine (RAI) (if toxic) are the treatments of choice. Both interventions can lead to hypothyroidism and other adverse outcomes (eg, scar, dysphonia, logistical limitation with RAI). Active surveillance might be used for papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) initially, but anxiety leads many cases to surgery later. Several ablative therapies have thus evolved over the last few years aimed at treating these nodules while avoiding described risks.

CASES

We present 4 cases of thyroid lesions causing concern (compressive symptoms, thyrotoxicosis, anxiety with active surveillance of PTMC). The common denominator is patients' attempt to preserve thyroid function, bringing into focus percutaneous ethanol injection (PEI) and thermal ablation techniques (radiofrequency ablation [RFA] being the most common). We discuss the evidence supporting these approaches and compare them with standard therapy, where evidence exists. We discuss additional considerations for the utilization of these therapies, their side-effects, and conclude with a simplified description of how these procedures are performed.

CONCLUSION

Thermal ablation, particularly RFA, is becoming an attractive option for managing a subgroup of solid thyroid nodules, while PEI has a role in managing thyroid cysts and a select group of PTMC. Their role in the algorithm of thyroid nodule management is still being refined and technical expertise will be essential to reproduce the reported results into everyday practice.

Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma: Active Surveillance Against Surgery. Considerations of an Italian Working Group From a Systematic Review

Introduction

Active surveillance is considered a viable option for papillary thyroid microcarcinoma. Since the last decade of the 20th century, this method has spread from Japan to other countries, but has not yet been fully accepted and validated by the major Western Scientific Societies. In 2016, a systematic review on the results of active surveillance was published, based on two articles that showed encouraging results. Other reviews published subsequently, were mainly based on articles from the Far East. The aim of this review is to assess the most recent results published from 2017 to 2020 on this subject.

Materials and Methods

A systematic literature search was performed on MEDLINE via PUBMED, Web of Science, and Scopus according to PRISMA criteria. The MESH terms “papillary thyroid microcarcinoma” and “active surveillance” were adopted. Tumor progression, secondary localizations, and quality of life were the main benchmarks.

Results

Nine studies met the inclusion criteria. The increase in volume ranged from 2.7% and 23.2%; the occurrence of lymph node metastases from 1.3% to 29%; QoL was improved in both articles that addressed this topic. The level of evidence is considered low due to the retrospective and uncontrolled nature of most of the studies included in the review.

Conclusion

The evidence from the literature currently available on AS falls into two strands: a robust data set from the Japanese experience, and an initial experience from Western countries, whose data are still limited but which show a lack of substantial alerts against this practice. Further data is useful to validate the spread of Active Surveillance.

Development and validation of an individualized nomogram for predicting the high-volume (> 5) central lymph node metastasis in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma

PURPOSE

Papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) frequently presents a favorable clinical outcome, while aggressive invasiveness can also be found in some of this population. Identifying the risk clinical factors of high-volume (> 5) central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) in PTMC patients could help oncologists make a better-individualized clinical decision.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed the clinical characteristics of adult patients with PTC in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database between Jan 2010 and Dec 2015 and in one medical center affiliated to Chongqing Medical University between Jan 2018 and Oct 2020. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to determine the risk factors for high volume of CLNM in PTMC patients.

RESULTS

The male gender (OR = 2.02, 95% CI 1.46-2.81), larger tumor size (> 5 mm, OR = 1.64, 95% CI 1.13-2.38), multifocality (OR = 1.87, 95% CI 1.40-2.51), and extrathyroidal invasion (OR = 3.67; 95% CI 2.64-5.10) were independent risk factors in promoting high-volume of CLNM in PTMC patients. By contrast, elderly age (≥ 55 years) at diagnosis (OR = 0.57, 95% CI 0.40-0.81) and PTMC-follicular variate (OR = 0.60, 95% CI 0.42-0.87) were determined as the protective factors. Based on these indicators, a nomogram was further constructed with a good concordance index (C-index) of 0.702, supported by an external validating cohort with a promising C-index of 0.811.

CONCLUSION

A nomogram was successfully established and validated with six clinical indicators. This model could help surgeons to make a better-individualized clinical decision on the management of PTMC patients, especially in terms of whether prophylactic central lymph node dissection and postoperative radiotherapy should be warranted.