Prognostic model to predict survival following first-line chemotherapy in patients with metastatic gastric adenocarcinoma

Systematic Review of Economic Evaluations of Systemic Treatments for Advanced and Metastatic Gastric Cancer

BACKGROUND

Recent advances in the development of biomarker-directed therapy and immunotherapy, for advanced and metastatic gastric cancers, have the potential to improve survival and quality of life. Much attention has been directed towards second- and later-line treatments, and the landscape here is evolving rapidly. However, uncertainty in relative effectiveness, high costs and uncertainty in cost effectiveness represent challenges for decision makers.

OBJECTIVE

To identify economic evaluations for the second-line or later-line treatment of advanced and metastatic gastric cancer. Also, to assess key criteria (including model assumptions, inputs and outcomes), reporting completeness and methodological quality to inform future cost-effectiveness evaluations.

METHODS

A systematic literature search (from database inception to 5 March 2023) of EconLit via EBSCOhost, Cochrane Library (restricted to National Health Service [NHS] Economic Evaluation Database and Health Technology Assessment [HTA] Database), Embase, MEDLINE and of grey literature was conducted. This aimed to identify systemic treatments that align with National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) and European Society for Medical Oncology (ESMO) Clinical Practice Guidelines. Data were collected on key criteria and on reporting completeness and methodological quality. A narrative synthesis focussed on cost-effectiveness and cost-of-illness studies. Outcomes of interest included total and incremental costs and outcomes (life-years and quality-adjusted life-years), ratios of incremental costs per unit outcome and other summary cost and outcome measures. Also, for cost-effectiveness studies, reporting completeness and the methodological quality were assessed using the Consolidated Health Economic Evaluation Reporting Standards (CHEERS) and the Philips Checklist, respectively.

RESULTS

A total of 19 eligible economic evaluations were identified (cost-effectiveness studies [n = 15] and cost-of-illness studies [n = 4]). There was a general lack of consistency in the methodological approaches taken across studies. In the main, the cost-effectiveness studies indicated that the intervention under consideration was more effective and more costly than the comparator(s). However, most interventions were not cost effective. No studies were fully compliant with reporting-completeness and methodological-quality requirements. Given the lack of consistency in the approaches taken across cost-of-illness studies, outcomes could not be directly compared.

CONCLUSIONS

To our knowledge, this is the first published systematic literature review that has qualitatively synthesised economic evaluations for advanced and metastatic gastric cancer. There were differences in the approaches taken across the cost-effectiveness studies and the cost-of-illness studies. The conclusions of most of the cost-effectiveness studies were consistent despite identified differences in approaches. In the main, the interventions under consideration were not cost effective, presenting challenges to sustainability and affordability. We highlight a requirement for cost-effectiveness evaluations and for second-line or later-line treatments of advanced and metastatic gastric cancer that consider all relevant comparators and that are compliant with reporting-completeness and methodological-quality requirements. By addressing the methodological gaps identified here, future healthcare decision-making, within the context of this rapidly changing treatment landscape, would be better informed.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER

CRD42023405951.

Estimating survival scenarios in advanced or metastatic gastric and oesophageal adenocarcinoma: a systematic review of randomized-controlled trials

BACKGROUND

We aimed to summarize survival data from RCTs in patients with GO adenocarcinoma; estimate and explain worst-, typical-, and best-case-scenarios of survival time; and determine if simple multiples of median overall survival (mOS) could estimate these percentiles.

METHODS

We systematically searched RCTs of systemic therapies for GO adenocarcinoma published 2000-2022. The following key percentiles were extracted from overall survival curves: 90th (worst-case), 75th (lower-typical), 25th (upper-typical), and 10th (best-case). We tested if these percentiles could be estimated by simple multiples of mOS: 0.25 of the median for the 90th percentile, 0.5 for the 75th, 2 for the 25th, and 3 for the 10th.

RESULTS

We identified 44 trials (22,447 participants). For first line chemotherapy and immunotherapy combined (CI) trials (n = 3) worst-to-best case survival time ranged from 4 months to not reached, compared to 3-30 months for other trials (n = 27) and 1-23 months for subsequent lines (n = 14). Simple multiples of mOS accurately estimated the following survival percentiles: 90th (n = 3/3 trials), 75th (n = 3/3), and 25th (n = 2/3) in first line CI trials. In other first line trials, the mOS accurately estimated the 90th survival percentile in n = 22/27 trials, 75th percentile in n = 26/27, 25th percentile in 27/27 trials, and 10th percentile in 22/27 trials. Simple multiples of the mOS accurately predicted the 90th, 75th, 25th, and 10th survival percentiles in the majority of trials of second and subsequent lines apart from chemotherapy and immunotherapy only trials.

CONCLUSION

We provide realistic, evidence-based prognostic information as scenarios for survival time which can inform clinical decision-making. Simple multiples of the mOS accurately estimated the percentiles for most groups.

Genomic and Transcriptomic Characterization of Gastric Cancer with Bone Metastasis

PURPOSE

Bone metastasis (BM) adversely affects the prognosis of gastric cancer (GC). We investigated molecular features and immune microenvironment that characterize GC with BM compared to GC without BM.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Targeted DNA and whole transcriptome sequencing were performed using formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded primary tumor tissues (gastrectomy specimens) of 50 GC cases with distant metastases (14 with BM and 36 without BM). In addition, immunohistochemistry (IHC) for mucin-12 and multiplex IHC for immune cell markers were performed.

RESULTS

Most GC cases with BM had a histologic type of poorly cohesive carcinoma and showed worse overall survival (OS) than GC without BM (p < 0.05). GC with BM tended to have higher mutation rates in TP53, KDR, APC, KDM5A, and RHOA than GC without BM. Chief cell-enriched genes (PGA3, PGC, and LIPF), MUC12, MFSD4A, TSPAN7, and TRIM50 were upregulated in GC with BM compared to GC without BM, which was correlated with poor OS (p < 0.05). However, the expression of SERPINA6, SLC30A2, PMAIP1, and ITIH2 were downregulated in GC with BM. GC with BM was associated with PIK3/AKT/mTOR pathway activation, whereas GC without BM showed the opposite effect. The densities of helper, cytotoxic, and regulatory T cells did not differ between the two groups, whereas the densities of macrophages were lower in GC with BM (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

GC with BM had different gene mutation and expression profiles than GC without BM, and had more genetic alterations associated with a poor prognosis.

Osteoblastic Lesions as the First Presentation of a Gastric Mixed-Type Adenocarcinoma: A Case Report

Bone metastasis might be associated with several tumors; however, the association between gastric malignant neoplasms and bone secondary lesions is very rare, with the osteoblastic form having the rarest presentation. In fact, osteoblastic lesions, as the first presentation of gastric adenocarcinomas, are even rarer and known to have a very poor prognosis associated with them. Therefore, we present a clinical case of a patient with lower back pain as the first symptom, which led to the diagnosis of osteoblastic lesions of the spine and iliac bones, suggested as secondary lesions. Later, the investigation of the primary tumor led to the diagnosis of a gastric adenocarcinoma (stage IV disease). In this report, we highlight the steps taken for the etiological study course and the challenges associated with them from the beginning. We also emphasize the very unfavorable evolution of our patient, with the inability to carry out targeted treatment, neither curative nor palliative, due to the advanced stage of the disease and the very poor survival time associated with it.

Prognostic value of patient reported outcomes in advanced gastro-oesophageal cancer: a systematic review

To summarise the prognostic value of patient-reported outcomes (PROs) in advanced gastro-oesophageal (GO) cancer. We systematically searched multiple databases using search terms related to advanced GO cancer, PRO and prognosis. Studies examining the relationship between baseline PROs and prognosis were included. Two reviewers independently screened articles and extracted data on study design, survival and associations between PROs and survival, in both univariable and multivariable analyses. QUIPS was used for quality assessment. From 3004 studies screened, seven studies were eligible, comprising PRO data from 2761 of 3408 (81%) participants. Median survival times ranged from 4.5 to 9.5 months. Among participants with oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma (SCC), physical functioning, social functioning and fatigue (QLQ-C30) were associated with overall survival (OS) in one univariable analysis. Among three studies of participants with adenocarcinoma, univariable analyses revealed associations between OS and global quality of life (QOL), physical functioning, role functioning and social functioning; two studies showed association with pain. There was an association between emotional functioning, fatigue, lack of mobility, lack of self-care, appetite loss/anorexia and OS in one study. One multivariable analysis among participants with oesophageal SCC showed physical and social functioning was associated with OS. Among participants with adenocarcinoma, multivariable analyses showed associations between OS and physical functioning/lack of mobility, appetite loss/anorexia (three studies), global QOL, role functioning/lack of self-care, pain (two studies) and social functioning (one study). Physical functioning, role functioning, social functioning, pain, anorexia and global QOL were associated with OS in advanced GO cancer.

Current prognostic factors of advanced gastric cancer patients treated with chemotherapy: real world data from a Japanese 12 institutions

BACKGROUND

Understanding the prognostic factors of advanced gastric cancer before starting chemotherapy is important to determine personalized treatment strategies. However, the details of chemotherapy and the prognosis of advanced gastric cancer patients have changed with the time and environment. The aim of this study was to understand the current reality of chemotherapy and to estimate the prognostic factors of advanced gastric cancer patients before starting chemotherapy at multiple centers. This includes specialized cancer hospitals and community hospitals, with the latest data under the Japanese insurance system.

METHODS

We evaluated the clinical parameters and treatment details of 1025 patients who received systemic chemotherapy for unresectable advanced gastric cancer from 2012 to 2018 at 12 institutions in Japan. Prognostic factors were analyzed using the Cox proportional hazards regression model.

RESULTS

As of April 2021, 953 (93%) patients had died, while 72 (7%) patients survived. The median overall survival and progression-free survival of first-line chemotherapy was 11.8 months (95% confidence interval, 10.8-12.3 months) and 6.3 months (95% confidence interval, 5.9-6.9 months), respectively. Multivariate analysis revealed eight prognostic factors: age < 40 years, performance status ≥2, no gastrectomy, diffuse histological type, albumin <3.6, alkaline phosphatase ≥300, creatinine ≥1.0 and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio > 3.0. Patients using trastuzumab showed better survival than patients without (16.1 months vs. 11.1 months; P = 0.0005).

CONCLUSIONS

We identified eight prognostic factors for patients with advanced gastric cancer undergoing Japanese standard chemotherapy. Our results will help clinicians develop treatment strategies for every patient.

Prognostic Factors in Patients with Advanced HER2-Positive Gastric Cancer Treated with Trastuzumab-Based Chemotherapy: a Cohort Study

PURPOSE

Prognostic factors for the survival of patients with advanced HER2-positive gastric cancer treated with trastuzumab-based chemotherapy remain controversial. The aim of this study was to identify the clinical factors that predict prognosis in patients with advanced HER2-positive gastric cancer.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of HER2-positive gastric cancer patients treated with trastuzumab-based chemotherapy at our institution. Clinical features and laboratory test results that considered prognostic factors were re-examined. Overall survival (OS) was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Univariate analysis was performed with the log-rank test and multivariate analysis was performed using Cox's proportional hazard regression model.

RESULTS

A total of 133 patients with advanced HER2-positive gastric cancer were enrolled. The median OS in this cohort was 18.7 months. Four prognostic factors: visceral metastasis (lung or liver), levels of hemoglobin (Hb) (< 11.6 g/dl), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) (> 222 mg/dl), and C-reactive protein (CRP) (> 0.14 mg/dl), were identified as independent prognostic factors. The patients were placed into three groups according to their number of prognostic factors. These included low (0, 1), moderate (2, 3), and high (4) risk factors. The OS was separated into three categories with a median OS of 32.0, 18.7, and 10.1 months, respectively. Compared to the low-risk group, hazard ratios for the moderate- and high-risk groups were 1.75 and 3.49, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Visceral metastasis and abnormal Hb, LDH, and CRP levels were associated with unfavorable OS. These findings may be beneficial for the management of advanced HER2-positive gastric cancer treated with trastuzumab-based chemotherapy.

Does resection after neoadjuvant chemotherapy of docetaxel, oxaliplatin, and S-1 (DOS regimen) benefit for gastric cancer patients with single non-curable factor? a multicenter, prospective cohort study (Neo-REGATTA)

BACKGROUND

The Neo-REGATTA study evaluated the effectiveness and safety of Docetaxel, oxaliplatin, and S-1 (DOS regimen) followed by radical resection vs. chemotherapy in advanced gastric adenocarcinoma patients with single non-curable factor.

METHODS

This cohort study prospectively enrolled advanced gastric adenocarcinoma patients with single non-curable factor between November 2017 and June 2021. Patients without progression after four cycles of DOS were divided into resection group and chemotherapy group. The outcomes included overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS) and safety. Effectiveness analysis was also performed by propensity score matching (PSM).

RESULTS

A total of 73 patients were enrolled and 13 patients were withdrawn due to disease progression after 4 cycles of DOS. Afterwards, 35 and 25 participants were in the resection and chemotherapy groups, respectively. After a median follow-up time of 30.0 months, the median PFS and OS were 9.0 months, and 18.0 months for the chemotherapy group, but not reached in the resection group. After PSM, 19 matched participants were in each group, and the median PFS and OS were longer in resection group than that in chemotherapy group. The most common grade 3 or 4 adverse events both in the resection group and chemotherapy groups were neutropenia (5.7%, 8.0%) and leukopenia (5.7%, 8.0%).

CONCLUSIONS

Radical resection might provide survival benefit compared with continuous chemotherapy alone in advanced gastric adenocarcinoma patients who had a disease control after DOS, with a good safety profile.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

The study protocol was registered on ClinicalTrial.gov (NCT03001726, 23/12/2016).

Machine learning models for predicting one-year survival in patients with metastatic gastric cancer who experienced upfront radical gastrectomy

Tumor metastasis is a common event in patients with gastric cancer (GC) who previously underwent curative gastrectomy. It is meaningful to employ high-volume clinical data for predicting the survival of metastatic GC patients. We aim to establish an improved machine learning (ML) classifier for predicting if a patient with metastatic GC would die within 12 months. Eligible patients were enrolled from a Chinese GC cohort, and the complete detailed information from medical records was extracted to generate a high-dimensional dataset. Appropriate feature engineering and feature filter were conducted before modeling with eight algorithms. A 10-fold cross validation (CV) nested in a holdout CV (8:2) was employed for hyperparameter tuning and model evaluation. Model selection was based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve, recall, and precision. The selected model was globally explained using interpretable surrogate models. Of the total 399 cases (median survival of 8.2 months), 242 patients survived less than 12 months. The linear discriminant analysis (LDA), support vector machine (SVM), and random forest (RF) model had the highest AUROC (0.78 ± 0.021), recall (0.93 ± 0.031), and precision (0.80 ± 0.026), respectively. The LDA model created a new function that generally separated the two classes. The predicted probability of the SVM model was interpreted using a linear regression model visualized by a nomogram. The predicted class of the RF model was explained using a decision tree model. In summary, analyzing high-volume medical data by ML is helpful to produce an improved model for predicting the survival in patients with metastatic GC. The algorithm should be carefully selected in different practical scenarios.

Construction of a nomogram to predict the survival of metastatic gastric cancer patients that received immunotherapy

Background

Immunotherapy has shown promising results for metastatic gastric cancer (MGC) patients. Nevertheless, not all patients can benefit from anti-PD-1 treatment. Thus, this study aimed to develop and validate a prognostic nomogram for MGC patients that received immunotherapy.

Methods

Herein, MGC patients treated with anti-PD-1 between 1 October 2016 and 1 June 2022 at two separate Chinese PLA General Hospital centers were enrolled and randomly divided into training and validation sets (186 and 80 patients, respectively). The nomogram was constructed based on a multivariable Cox model using baseline variables from the training cohort. Its predictive accuracy was validated by the validation set. The consistency index (C-index) and calibration plots were used to evaluate the discriminative ability and accuracy of the nomogram. The net benefit of the nomogram was evaluated using decision curve analysis (DCA). Finally, we stratified patients by median total nomogram scores and performed Kaplan–Meier survival analyses.

Results

We developed the nomogram based on the multivariate analysis of the training cohort, including four parameters: surgery history, treatment line, lung immune prognostic index (LIPI), and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR). The C-index of the nomogram was 0.745 in the training set. The calibration curve for 1- and 2-year survival showed good agreement between nomogram predictions and actual observations. In the validation group, the calibration curves demonstrated good performance of the nomogram, with a C-index for overall survival (OS) prediction of 0.713. The OS of patients with a score greater than the median nomogram score was significantly longer than patients with a score lower or equal to the median (p < 0.001).

Conclusion

We constructed a nomogram to predict the outcomes of MGC patients that received immunotherapy. This nomogram might facilitate individualized survival predictions and be helpful during clinical decision-making for MGC patients under anti-PD-1 therapy.

Incorporation of liver chemistry score in predicting survival of liver-involved advanced gastric cancer patients who received palliative chemotherapy

BACKGROUND

Gastric cancer liver metastasis (GCLM) patients usually accompany by abnormal serum liver function tests (LFTs) more or less; however, the prognostic value of LFTs is not fully understood. This study aimed to develop a liver chemistry score (LCS) based on LFTs and incorporate it into prognosis determination for GCLM patients who received palliative chemotherapy.

METHODS

Data were derived from hospitalized GCLM patients in two general hospitals in China. LCS was generated based on the results of LFTs by LASSO regression. Cutoff value of the score was determined by restricted cubic spline. The score was then incorporated into Cox regression analysis to construct a predictive nomogram; the model was then evaluated internally and externally by AUC of time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC) and calibration curves.

RESULTS

Three hundred and thirty-six and 72 patients were included in development and validation cohort, respectively. LASSO regression analysis in development cohort finally reached a two-parametric LCS calculated on AST and ALP levels as 0.03343515 × ln (AST, U/L) + 0.02687997 × ln (ALP, U/L), and 0.232 was set as optimal cutoff value. Patients in low (LCS < 0.232) or high (LCS ≥ 0.232) score group experienced different survival times; median OS was 13.54 (95% CI: 11.1-15.6) months in the low LCS group and 7.3 (6.6-9.3) months in the high LCS group (p < 0.001). A nomogram including LCS and other clinical parameters was constructed and showed superior performance than model not including LCS. AUC of 6-month ROC improved from 0.647 (95% CI: 0.584-0.711) to 0.699 (0.638-0.759) in internal validation, and 0.837 (0.734-0.940) to 0.875 (0.784-0.966) in external validation.

CONCLUSIONS

Liver chemistry score is useful in determining the prognosis of gastric cancer patients with liver metastasis and may be helpful to clinicians in decision-making.

Prognostic microRNAs associated with phosphoserine aminotransferase 1 in gastric cancer as markers of bone metastasis

This study analyzed PSAT1-targeted miRNAs as a prognostic predictor for gastric cancer. The relationship between the clinical manifestations of gastric cancer in patients and phosphoserine aminotransferase 1 (PSAT1) was analyzed using correlation analysis. PSAT1 was highly expressed in gastric cancer, and its low expression was associated with a poor prognosis. By pan-cancer analysis, PSAT1 could affect the tumor immune microenvironment by immune infiltration analysis. Nine microRNAs targeting PSAT1 and associated with gastric cancer were screened by miRwalk and microRNA expression in TCGA tumor tissues. Six microRNAs were obtained by survival curve analysis, including hsa-miR-1-3p, hsa-miR-139-5p, hsa-miR-145-5p, hsa-miR-195-5p, hsa-miR-218-5p, and hsa-miR-497-5p. Based on the above six microRNAs, a model for bone metastasis prediction in gastric cancer prediction was constructed. An analysis of a decision curve was performed based on the microRNAs obtained to predict bone metastasis from gastric cancer. It had a positive area under the curve (AUC) value of 0.746, and the decision curve analysis (DCA) indicated that it was clinically significant. Dual-luciferase reporter genes indicated that hsa-miR-497-5p and PSAT1 were targeted, and qRT-PCR results confirmed that hsa-miR-497-5p could down-regulate PSAT1 expression. MicroRNAs targeting the regulation of PSAT1 expression can well predict the prognosis of gastric cancer.

Can We Reboot the Role of Intraperitoneal Chemotherapy in the Treatment for Gastric Cancer with Peritoneal Carcinomatosis?: A Retrospective Cohort Study Regarding Minimally Invasive Surgery Conjoined with Intraperitoneal plus Systemic Chemotherapy

Background: Peritoneal carcinomatosis (PC) is the most common form of metastasis in gastric cancer (GC) and is related with a poor prognosis. Several treatment modalities including systemic chemotherapy and intraperitoneal chemotherapy have been studied and adopted in treatment of GC patients with PC. Nevertheless, few studies have reported the comparison of the oncologic outcomes between minimally invasive surgery (MIS) with intraperitoneal (IP) chemotherapy and conventional chemotherapy for GC with PC. Methods: We retrospectively reviewed the clinical records of 74 patients who had been diagnosed as GC with PC via either intra-abdominal exploration or abdominopelvic computed tomography between January 2011 and April 2021. After performing propensity score-matching for this retrospective data, we compared the outcomes of 26 patients who underwent MIS followed by IP combined systemic chemotherapy (MIS-IP group) and 26 patients who underwent systemic chemotherapy only (SC-only group). Results: The 2-year progression free survival rate of the MIS-IP group was significantly higher than the SC-only groups (36.4% and 10.5%, respectively; p = 0.010). In multivariate analysis to detect relevant factors on PFS, IP chemotherapy (HR 0.213; p < 0.001), Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (HR 3.689; p = 0.002), and the amount of ascites (p = 0.011) were significant prognostic factors. Conclusions: This study demonstrated the therapeutic potential of MIS conjoined IP plus systemic chemotherapy for GC patients with PC. MIS conjoined by IP plus systemic chemotherapy can be adopted as a treatment option to reboot the role of IP chemotherapy in GC patients with PC.

Analysis of Related Risk Factors and Prognostic Factors of Gastric Cancer with Bone Metastasis: A SEER-Based Study

Background

Gastric cancer is among the most common malignant tumors at home and abroad, because its early symptoms are mostly insidious, which leads to distant metastasis when gastric cancer is first diagnosed. The common metastatic sites of gastric cancer are mainly the liver, lung, and peritoneum, but bone metastasis is relatively rare, and the prognosis of gastric cancer bone metastasis is very poor. Therefore, this study is built on the SEER database to analyze the related risk factors of gastric cancer bone metastasis and related factors affecting the prognosis of gastric cancer patients, aiming at improving clinicians' understanding of clinical diagnosis and prognosis of bone metastasis of gastric cancer, thus reducing misdiagnosis and missed diagnosis.

Methods

The SEER database was collected to screen out patients with gastric cancer bone metastases and nonbone metastases matched with them from 2010 to 2016, and the Kaplan-Meier method was used to draw survival curves, and the comparison between survival curves was performed by Log-rank test to analyze the overall survival of the two groups of patient's time. Logistic regression analysis was used to analyze the related risk factors of gastric cancer bone metastasis, and the Cox regression proportional hazard model was used to analyze the relationship between gastric cancer bone metastasis and patient prognosis.

Results

Using Kaplan-Meier survival curve to analyze the 1, 3, and 5-year survival rates of gastric cancer patients with bone metastasis and non-metastasis groups were 14.2%, 1.8%, 0.6% and 71.4%, 44.3%, 36.4%, respectively; the average survival rate of the metastatic group was The time was 4.0 months (95%CI: 3.475~4.525), and the average survival time of the non-metastatic group was 30.0 months (95%CI: 26.778~33.222). The difference between the two groups was statistically significant (χ² = 1076.866, P < 0.001). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that race (P = 0.007, OR = 1.296), grade (P < 0.001, OR = 0.575), marital status (P < 0.001, OR = 0.040), tumor size (P = 0.006, OR = 0.752), TNM stage (P < 0.001), T stage (P = 0.023, OR = 0.882), and M stage (P < 0.001, OR = 44.958) are independent risk factors for gastric cancer bone metastasis. The Cox univariate analysis suggests that gastric cancer bone metastasis is a risk factor for the prognosis of gastric cancer patients. The Cox multivariate analysis validates that gastric cancer bone metastasis (HR = 0.584, 95% CI: 0.497~0.688, P < 0.001) is independent of the overall survival rate of gastric cancer patients.

Conclusions

Race, grade, marital status, tumor size, TNM stage, T stage, and M stage are independent risk factors for gastric cancer bone metastasis; and gastric cancer bone metastasis is an independent risk factor that affects the prognosis of gastric cancer patients. Therefore, for such high-risk groups, large range screening of the above indicators can effectively improve the prognosis of gastric cancer patients to a certain extent.

New prognostic model for patients with advanced gastric cancer: Fluoropyrimidine/platinum doublet for first-line chemotherapy

BACKGROUND

New prognostic factors have been reported in patients with metastatic or recurrent gastric cancer (MRGC), necessitating modifications to the previous prognostic model.

AIM

To develop a new model, MRGC patients who received fluoropyrimidines/ platinum doublet chemotherapy between 2008 and 2015 were analyzed.

METHODS

A total of 1883 patients was divided into a training set (n = 937) and an independent validation set (n = 946).

RESULTS

Multivariate analysis showed that the following six factors were associated with poor overall survival (OS) in the training set: Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance score ≥ 2 and bone metastasis (2 points each), peritoneal metastasis, high alkaline phosphatase level, low albumin level, and high neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (1 point each). A prognostic model was developed by stratifying patients into good (0-1 point), moderate (2-3 points), and poor (≥ 4 points) risk groups. In the validation set, the median OS of the three risk groups was 15.8, 10.1, and 5.7 mo, respectively, and those differences were significant (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

We identified six factors readily measured in clinical practice that are predictive of poor prognosis in patients with MRGC. The new model is simpler than the old and more easily predicts OS.

Development and validation of a prognostic scoring model for mortality risk stratification in patients with recurrent or metastatic gastric carcinoma

Background

Survival times differ among patients with advanced gastric carcinoma. A precise and universal prognostic evaluation strategy has not yet been established. The current study aimed to construct a prognostic scoring model for mortality risk stratification in patients with advanced gastric carcinoma.

Methods

Patients with advanced gastric carcinoma from two hospitals (development and validation cohort) were included. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was conducted to identify independent risk factors for survival. A prognostic nomogram model was developed using R statistics and validated both in bootstrap and external cohort. The concordance index and calibration curves were plotted to determine the discrimination and calibration of the model, respectively. The nomogram score and a simplified scoring system were developed to stratify patients in the two cohorts.

Results

Development and validation cohort was comprised of 401 and 214 gastric cancer patients, respectively. Mucinous or non-mucinous histology, ECOG score, bone metastasis, ascites, hemoglobin concentration, serum albumin level, lactate dehydrogenase level, carcinoembryonic antigen level, and chemotherapy were finally incorporated into prognostic nomogram. The concordance indices were 0.689 (95% CI: 0.664 ~ 0.714) and 0.673 (95% CI: 0.632 ~ 0.714) for bootstrap and external validation. 100 and 200 were set as the cut-off values of nomogram score, patients in development cohort were stratified into low-, intermediate- and high-risk groups with median overall survival time 15.8 (95% CI: 12.2 ~ 19.5), 8.4 (95% CI: 6.7 ~ 10.2), and 3.9 (95% CI: 2.7 ~ 5.2) months, respectively; the cut-off values also worked well in validation cohort with different survival time in subgroups. A simplified model was also established and showed good consistency with the nomogram scoring model in both of development and validation cohorts.

Conclusion

The prognostic scoring model and its simplified surrogate can be used as tools for mortality risk stratification in patients with advanced gastric carcinoma.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12885-021-09079-7.

Looking for a strategy in treating peritoneal gastric cancer carcinomatosis: an Italian multicenter Gastric Cancer Research group's analysis

BACKGROUND

The present study provides a snapshot of Italian patients with peritoneal metastasis from gastric cancer treated by surgery in Italian centers belonging to the Italian Research Group on Gastric Cancer. Prognostic factors affecting survival in such cohort of patients were evaluated with the final aim to identify patients who may benefit from radical intent surgery.

METHODS

It is a multicentric retrospective study based on a prospectively collected database including demographics, clinical, surgical, pathological, and follow-up data of patients with gastric cancer and synchronous macroscopic peritoneal metastases. Patients were surgically treated from January 2005 to January 2017. We focused on patients with macroscopic peritoneal carcinomatosis (PC) treated with upfront surgery in order to provide homogeneous evidences.

RESULTS

Our results show that patients with peritoneal carcinomatosis cannot be considered all lost. Strictly selected cases (R0/R1 and P1 patients) could benefit from an aggressive surgical approach performing an extended lymphadenectomy and HIPEC treatment.

CONCLUSION

The main result of the study is that GC patients with limited peritoneal involvement can have a survival benefit from a surgery with "radical oncological intent", that means extended lymphadenectomy and R0 resection. The retrospective nature of this study is an important bias, and for this reason, we have started a prospective multicentric study including Italian stage IV patients that hopefully will give us more answers.

Performances of Prognostic Models in Stratifying Patients with Advanced Gastric Cancer Receiving First-line Chemotherapy: a Validation Study in a Chinese Cohort

Purpose

While several prognostic models for the stratification of death risk have been developed for patients with advanced gastric cancer receiving first-line chemotherapy, they have seldom been tested in the Chinese population. This study investigated the performance of these models and identified the optimal tools for Chinese patients.

Materials and Methods

Patients diagnosed with metastatic or recurrent gastric adenocarcinoma who received first-line chemotherapy were eligible for inclusion in the validation cohort. Their clinical data and survival outcomes were retrieved and documented. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and calibration curves were used to evaluate the predictive ability of the models. Kaplan-Meier curves were plotted for patients in different risk groups divided by 7 published stratification tools. Log-rank tests with pairwise comparisons were used to compare survival differences.

Results

The analysis included a total of 346 patients with metastatic or recurrent disease. The median overall survival time was 11.9 months. The patients were different into different risk groups according to the prognostic stratification models, which showed variability in distinguishing mortality risk in these patients. The model proposed by Kim et al. showed relative higher predicting abilities compared to the other models, with the highest χ² (25.8) value in log-rank tests across subgroups, and areas under the curve values at 6, 12, and 24 months of 0.65 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.59–0.72), 0.60 (0.54–0.65), and 0.63 (0.56–0.69), respectively.

Conclusions

Among existing prognostic tools, the models constructed by Kim et al., which incorporated performance status score, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, alkaline phosphatase, albumin, and tumor differentiation, were more effective in stratifying Chinese patients with gastric cancer receiving first-line chemotherapy.

A novel clinical prognostic index for patients with advanced gastric cancer: possible contribution to the continuum of care

Background

The Japan Clinical Oncology Group (JCOG) prognostic index, consisting of performance status, primary tumor resected, number of metastases, and serum alkaline phosphatase, has been one of the robust prognostic indices for patients with advanced gastric cancer on the basis of which clinical trials have stratified prognosis. Only a few studies, however, have utilized the JCOG prognostic index in daily practice.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective study on patients with advanced gastric cancer who received first-line platinum-containing chemotherapy at a single institute between 2011 and 2017. Prognostic factors were evaluated using a Cox proportional regression model.

Results

A total of 608 patients were enrolled. Multivariate analysis showed that performance status ≥1, presence or absence of primary tumor, serum alkaline phosphatase, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio ≥4, and diffuse-type histology were significantly associated with worse prognosis, whereas the number of metastases was not. Although the original prognostic index could not adequately stratify patients into three risk groups, the modified index (good: 0 and 1, moderate: 2 and 3, poor: 4-6), which was established by incorporating diffuse-type histology and high neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, demonstrated excellent stratification. The median overall survival of the good (n = 315), moderate (n = 243), and poor (n = 54) risk groups was 20.5, 13.5, and 10.2 months, respectively. Hazard ratios (HRs) were 1.69 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.40-2.04; good versus moderate] and 1.52 (95% CI, 1.11-2.08; moderate versus poor). This novel index also demonstrated a statistically significant stratification of survival after progression following first-line chemotherapy (good versus moderate: HR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.16-1.70; moderate versus poor: HR, 2.00; 95% CI, 1.45-2.74).

Conclusions

The modified JCOG prognostic index showed excellent stratification of overall survival in real-world patients, which could also help determine the need for treatment changes throughout the continuum of chemotherapy.

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The applicability of the JCOG prognostic index in daily practice was investigated for advanced gastric cancer (AGC).

•

The JCOG prognostic index could not adequately stratify patients into three risk groups.

•

The modified JCOG prognostic index incorporates diffuse-type histology and high NLR (≥4) into the JCOG prognostic index.

•

The modified JCOG prognostic index showed excellent stratification in terms of overall survival and progression.

•

The modified JCOG prognostic index may help determine the need for treatment changes during first-line chemotherapy in AGC.

Clinical scoring system for the prediction of survival of patients with advanced gastric cancer

OBJECTIVE

In this study, we established a risk scoring system using easily obtained clinical characteristics at the time of initiating palliative chemotherapy to predict accurate overall survival of patients with advanced gastric cancer after first-line treatment with fluoropyrimidine-platinum combination chemotherapy.

METHODS

A total of 1733 patients treated at the Samsung Medical Center, Korea were included in the study, and clinicopathological and laboratory data were retrospectively analysed. The dataset was split into a training set (n=1156, 67%) and a validation set (n=577, 33%). Top-ranked variables were identified using the random forest survival algorithm and integrated into a Cox regression model, thereby constructing the scoring system for predicting the overall survival of patients with advanced gastric cancer.

RESULTS

The following five variables were finally included in the scoring system: serum neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, alkaline phosphatase level, albumin level, performance status and histologic differentiation. The scoring system determined four distinct risk groups in the validation dataset with median overall survival of 17.1 months (95% CI=14.9 to 20.5 months), 12.9 months (95% CI=11.4 to 14.6 months), 8.1 months (95% CI=5.3 to 12.3 months) and 3.9 months (95% CI=1.5 to 8.2 months), respectively. The area under the curve to estimate the discrimination performance of the scoring system was 66.1 considering 1 year overall survival.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed a simple and clinically useful predictive scoring model in a homogeneous population with advanced gastric cancer treated with fluoropyrimidine-containing and platinum-containing chemotherapy. However, additional independent validation will be required before the scoring model can be used commonly.

Is advanced esophageal adenocarcinoma a distinct entity from intestinal subtype gastric cancer? Data from the AGAMENON-SEOM Registry

BACKGROUND

Advanced esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) is generally treated similarly to advanced gastroesophageal junction (GEJ-AC) and gastric (GAC) adenocarcinomas, although GAC clinical trials rarely include EAC. This work sought to compare clinical characteristics and treatment outcomes of advanced EAC with those of GEJ-AC and GAC and examine prognostic factors.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Participants comprised patients with advanced EAC, intestinal GEJ-AC, and GAC treated with platin and fluoropyrimidine (plus trastuzumab when HER2 status was positive). Overall and progression-free survival were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Cox proportional hazards regression gauged the prognostic value of the AGAMENON model.

RESULTS

Between 2008 and 2019, 971 participants from the AGAMENON-SEOM registry were recruited at 35 centers. The sample included 67.3% GAC, 13.3% GEJ-AC, and 19.4% EAC. Pulmonary metastases were most common in EAC and peritoneal metastases in GAC. Median PFS and OS were 7.7 (95% CI 7.3-8.0) and 13.9 months (12.9-14.7). There was no difference in PFS or OS between HER2- and HER2+ tumors from the three locations (p > 0.05). Five covariates were found to be prognostic for the entire sample: ECOG-PS, histological grade, number of metastatic sites, NLR, and HER2+ tumors treated with trastuzumab. In EAC, the same variables were prognostic except for grade. The favorable prognosis for HER2+ cancers treated with trastuzumab was homogenous for all three subgroups (p = 0.351) and, after adjusting for the remaining covariates, no evidence supported primary tumor localization as a prognostic factor (p = 0.331).

CONCLUSION

Our study supports the hypothesis that EAC exhibits clinicopathological characteristics, prognostic factors, and treatment outcomes comparable to intestinal GEJ-AC and GAC.

Prediction of epithelial-to-mesenchymal transition molecular subtype using CT in gastric cancer

OBJECTIVES

To develop a prediction model with computed tomography (CT) images and to build a nomogram incorporating known clinicopathologic variables for individualized estimation of epithelial-to-mesenchymal transition (EMT) subtype gastric cancer.

METHODS

Patients who underwent primary resection of gastric cancer (GC) and molecular subgroup analysis (n = 451) were reviewed. Multivariable analysis using a stepwise variable selection method was performed to build a predictive model for EMT subtype GC. A nomogram using the results of the multivariable analysis was constructed. An optimal cutoff value of total prognostic points of the nomogram for the prediction of EMT subtype was determined. The predictive model for the EMT subtype was internally validated by bootstrap resampling method.

RESULTS

There were 88 patients with EMT subtype and 363 patients with non-EMT subtype based on transcriptome analysis. The patient's age, Lauren classification, and mural stratification on CT were variables selected for the predictive model. The area under the curve (AUC) of the model was 0.865, and the validated AUC of the bootstrap sample was 0.860. The optimal cutoff value of total prognostic points for the prediction of EMT subtype was 94.622, with 90.9% sensitivity, 67.2% specificity, and 71.8% accuracy.

CONCLUSION

A predictive model using patient's age, Lauren classification, and mural stratification on CT for EMT molecular subtype GC was made. A nomogram was built which would serve as a useful screening tool for an individualized estimate of EMT subtype.

KEY POINTS

• A predictive model for epithelial-to-mesenchymal transition (EMT) subtype incorporating patient's age, Lauren classification, and mural stratification on CT was built. • The predictive model had high diagnostic accuracy (area under the curve (AUC) = 0.865) and was validated (bootstrap AUC = 0.860). • Adding CT findings to clinicopathologic variables increases the accuracy of the predictive model than using only.

Comparative Proteomic Analysis Reveals Novel Biomarkers for Gastric Cancer in South Indian Tamil Population

BACKGROUND

Gastric cancer (GC) remains a major global health problem due to a poor understanding of its progression at the molecular level and a lack of early detection or diagnosis. Early detection is highly crucial for improving prognosis. The incidence of GC is very high in countries like India due to the limitations among the established biomarkers for GC owing to poor sensitivity and specificity.

OBJECTIVE

To identify the novel biomarkers from serum samples obtained from GC patients when compared with healthy subjects.

METHODS

Serum samples from GC patients were analyzed by two-dimensional gel electrophoresis (2DGE) coupled with tandem mass spectrometry (MS), including both matrix-assisted laser desorption/ionization-time of flight (MALDI-ToF) and liquid chromatography-MS (LC-MS/MS) analysis. Identified proteins were further analyzed by gene ontology and protein interaction studies.

RESULTS

A total of 73 protein spots were detected in 2DGE image analysis. Among them, seven differentially-expressed proteins were identified using MS analyses, which included serotransferrin/transferrin, albumin, ceruloplasmin, C-reactive protein (CRP), fibrinogen γ-chain (FGG), and two unreported novel proteins, immunoglobulin kappa constant (IgκC) region and Homo sapiens zinc finger protein 28 (ZNF28) homolog. Among these proteins, serotransferrin, albumin, ceruloplasmin, FGG, and ZNF28 were down-regulated in GC samples (p < 0.05), while IgκC region and CRP were up-regulated significantly.

CONCLUSION

Most of the differentially expressed proteins were involved in angiogenesis, plasminogen-activating cascade, and blood coagulation pathways which are known to play a critical role in gastric tumorigenesis. Our current results provide a panel of candidate biomarkers for GC with novel biomarkers which were not reported earlier.

Gastrectomy for stage IV gastric cancer: a comparison of different treatment strategies from the SEER database

In the West, more than one third of newly diagnosed subjects show metastatic disease in gastric cancer (mGC) with few care options available. Gastrectomy has recently become a subject of debate, with some evidence showing advantages in survival beyond the sole purpose of treatment tumor-related complications. We investigated the survival benefit of different strategies in mGC patients, focusing on the role and timing of gastrectomy. Data were extracted from the SEER database. Groups were determined according to whether patients received gastrectomy, chemotherapy, supportive care. Patients receiving a multimodality treatment were further divided according to timing of surgery, whether performed before (primary gastrectomy, PG) or after chemotherapy (secondary gastrectomy, SG). 16,596 patients were included. Median OS was significantly higher (p < 0.001) in the SG (15 months) than in the PG (13 months), gastrectomy alone (6 months), and chemotherapy (7 months) groups. In the multivariate analysis, SG showed better OS (HR = 0.22, 95%CI = 0.18-0.26, p < 0.001) than PG (HR = 0.25, 95%CI = 0.23-0.28, p < 0.001), gastrectomy (HR = 0.40, 95%CI = 0.36-0.44, p < 0.001), and chemotherapy (HR = 0.42, 95%CI = 0.4-0.44, p < 0.001). The survival benefits persisted even after the PSM analysis. This study shows survival advantages of gastrectomy as multimodality strategy after chemotherapy. In selected patients, SG can be proposed to improve the management of stage IV disease.

Beyond the Guidelines: The Grey Zones of the Management of Gastric Cancer. Consensus Statements from the Gastric Cancer Italian Network (GAIN)

BACKGROUND

Management of gastric and gastroesophageal junction (GEJ) adenocarcinoma remains challenging, because of the heterogeneity in tumor biology within the upper gastrointestinal tract. Daily clinical practice is full of grey areas regarding the complexity of diagnostic, staging, and therapeutic procedures. The aim of this paper is to provide a guide for clinicians facing challenging situations in routine practice, taking a multidisciplinary consensus approach based on available literature.

METHODS

The GAIN (GAstric cancer Italian Network) group was established with the aims of reviewing literature evidence, discussing key issues in prevention, diagnosis, and management of gastric and GEJ adenocarcinoma, and offering a summary of statements. A Delphi consensus method was used to obtain opinions from the expert panel of specialists.

RESULTS

Forty-nine clinical questions were identified in six areas of interest: role of multidisciplinary team; risk factors; diagnosis; management of early gastric cancer and multimodal approach to localized gastric cancer; treatment of elderly patients with locally advanced resectable disease; and treatment of locally advanced and metastatic cancer.

CONCLUSIONS

The statements presented may guide clinicians in practical management of this disease.

Prognostic significance of sarcopenia in microsatellite-stable gastric cancer patients treated with programmed death-1 inhibitors

BACKGROUND

Sarcopenia has been underscored as a significant predictor of poor prognosis in cancer patients undergoing immunotherapy with programmed death-1 (PD-1) inhibitors. We aimed to investigate the prognostic significance of computed tomography (CT)-determined sarcopenia in patients with microsatellite-stable (MSS) gastric cancer (GC) treated with PD-1 inhibitors.

METHODS

We retrospectively assessed patients with MSS GC who had been treated with PD-1 inhibitors from March 2016 to June 2019. Pre-treatment sarcopenic status was determined by analyzing L3 skeletal muscle index with abdominal CT. Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method, and the differences in survival probability according to sarcopenic status were compared using the log-rank test. Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were performed to identify predictors of PFS and OS.

RESULTS

Of 149 patients with MSS GC (mean age, 57.0 ± 12.3 years; 93 men), 79 (53.0%) had sarcopenia. Patients with sarcopenia had significantly shorter PFS than patients without sarcopenia (median, 1.4 months vs. 2.6 months; P = 0.026). Sarcopenia was independently associated with shorter PFS (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 1.79; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.10-2.93; P = 0.020). Patients with sarcopenia had shorter OS than patients without sarcopenia (median, 3.6 months vs. 4.9 months; P = 0.052), but sarcopenia itself was not a significant prognostic factor for OS (adjusted HR, 1.01; 95% CI, 0.58-1.75; P = 0.974).

CONCLUSIONS

CT-determined sarcopenia is an independent prognostic factor for PFS in patients with MSS GC treated with PD-1 inhibitors.

Is there still a place for conventional histopathology in the age of molecular medicine? Laurén classification, inflammatory infiltration and other current topics in gastric cancer diagnosis and prognosis

Gastric cancer (GC) is the fifth most common cancer and the third cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide. In western countries, more than half of GC patients are diagnosed at advanced stages and 5-year survival rates range between 20-30%. The only curative treatment is surgery, and despite recent advances in oncological therapies, GC prognosis is still poor. The main prognostic tool for patient categorization and treatment selection is the TNM classification, but its limitations are being increasingly recognized. Early recurrences may occur in early-stage disease, and patients at the same stage show heterogeneous outcomes. Thus, there is a need to improve GC stratification and to identify new prognostic factors, which may allow us to select drug-susceptible populations, refine patient grouping for clinical trials and discover new therapeutic targets. Molecular classifications have been developed, but they have not been translated to the clinical practice. On the other hand, histological assessment is cheap and widely available, and it is still a mainstay in the era of molecular medicine. Furthermore, histological features are acquiring new roles as reflectors of the genotype-phenotype correlation, and their potential impact on patient management is currently being analyzed. The aim of this literature review is to provide a modern overview of the histological assessment of GC. In this study, we discuss recent topics on the histological diagnosis of GC, focusing on the current role of Laurén classification and the potential value of new histological features in GC, such as inflammatory infiltration and tumor budding.

Metastatic Gastric cancer: Real world scenario from a developing country

Aim:

Data on epidemiology and outcome in metastatic stomach carcinoma patients from India are scarce. We aimed to evaluate clinical features and treatment outcome in patients treated at our center.

Materials and Methods:

This is a single institutional review of metastatic gastric carcinoma patients treated between May 2011 and October 2016. Patients who received at least one cycle of chemotherapy were included for modified intent-to-treat survival analysis.

Results:

total of 143 patients were diagnosed with metastatic stomach carcinoma with a median age of 56 years (range: 29–86). The most common symptoms were abdominal pain in 112 (78%) patients. The most common site was body in 81 (57%) patients. Common site of metastasis was peritoneum in 86 (60%) and liver in (62%). Seventy-one (50%) patients were eligible for survival analysis. Common chemotherapy regimens were capecitabine-cisplatin in 27 (38%) and EOX in 22 (31%) patients. Survival status could not be assessed in 29 (41%) patients who lost to follow-up. After a median follow-up 9.7 months (range: 0.5–37.7), median progression-free survival (PFS) was 7.9 months (range: 0.5–23.9) and median overall survival (OS) was 12.2 months (range: 0.5–37.7). The Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status (PS) ≥2 and the presence of linitis plastica showed a trend toward inferior PFS (P = 0.052 and 0.053, respectively) only in univariate analysis. Female sex and ECOG PS ≥2 predicted inferior OS in both univariate and multivariate analysis (P = 0.012, 0.02 and 0.03 and 0.05, respectively).

Conclusions:

Platinum-based doublet chemotherapy was used in the majority of patients. The overall outcome was comparable to that of the available literature. Female sex and ECOG PS ≥2 predicted the inferior outcome.

Clinical results after biliary drainage by endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography for analysis of metastatic cancer survival and prognostic factors

BACKGROUND

Malignant biliary obstruction secondary to metastatic cancer is associated with poor prognosis. To the best of our knowledge, no previous study has investigated long-term survival and associated prognostic factors after biliary endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) drainage for obstruction jaundice secondary to various types of metastatic cancer.

METHODS

This retrospective study included 60 patients who underwent biliary ERCP drainage for obstructive jaundice secondary to metastatic cancer at two hospitals during the period from November 2012 to December 2019. Multivariate analysis was conducted to identify independent prognostic factors.

RESULTS

Biliary drainage was successfully achieved in 55 (91.7%) patients, 37 of whom received subsequent treatment. Overall median survival time was 133 days after stent placement. The overall survival (OS) rates after ERCP drainage were significantly better in the post-drainage treatment group than in the post-drainage untreated group (239 days vs. 45 days, p < 0.001). Good ECOG performance status before drainage, albumin level ≥ 35 g/L, successful drainage, absence of ascites, and post-drainage treatment were identified as factors of improved survival in univariate analysis. ECOG performance status and post-drainage treatment were independent predictors of OS in multivariate analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

We showed that stent placement with ERCP was a safe and effective treatment method for patients with malignant biliary obstruction caused by metastatic cancer and may be preferred over percutaneous transhepatic biliary drainage. Post-drainage treatment and a good ECOG performance status were predictors of better prognosis.

Analysis of Prognostic Factors and Design of Prognosis Model for Patients with Stage IV Gastric Cancer Following First-Line Palliative Chemotherapy

Background

This study was to investigate the prognostic factors of patients with advanced gastric cancer and described a sample model to better differentiate the patients who could better benefit from palliative chemotherapy.

Patients and Methods

In this retrospective study, 112 gastric cancer patients at stage IV following first-line chemotherapy were enrolled from July 2013 to September 2019. The clinical factors including age, sex, ECOG, pathologic types, metastatic sites, blood indexes, response of first-line chemotherapy, and survival were collected. The treatment responses were evaluated using the response evaluation criteria in solid tumors (RECIST). The survival curves were drawn by the Kaplan–Meier method, and the independent prognostic factors of overall survival (OS) were analyzed by Cox proportional hazards regression model.

Results

In this study, the median overall survival (mOS) of gastric cancer patients was 10.5 months, the disease remission rate (PR) was 21.4%, and the disease control rate (DCR) was 86.6%. Multivariate analysis identified 5 independent prognostic factors: peritoneal metastasis [P = 0.002; hazard risk (HR), 2.394; 95% CI 1.394–4.113], hemoglobin <90g/L [P = 0.001; hazard risk (HR), 2.674; 95% CI 1.536–4.655], LDH ≥225 U/L [P = 0.033; hazard risk (HR), 1.818; 95% CI 1.409–3.150], and 3 times higher level of CEA [P = 0.006; hazard risk (HR), 2.123; 95% CI 1.238–3.640] along with CA199 [P = 0.005; hazard risk (HR), 2.544; 95% CI 1.332–4.856] than upper limit of normal. Based on the obtained data, a prognostic index was constructed, dividing the patients into three risk groups: low (n = 67), intermediate (n = 35), and high-risk group (n = 10). The mOS for low, intermediate, and high-risk groups was 13.9 months (95% CI 10.7–17.1), 8.1 months (95% CI 5.7–10.4), and 3.9 months (95% CI 2.6–5.3), respectively, whereas the 1-year survival rate was 56.4%, 20.0%, and 0.0%, respectively (P < 0.001).

Conclusion

This model should facilitate the prediction of treatment outcomes and then individualized treatment of advanced gastric cancer patients.

An Intraoperative Model for Predicting Survival and Deciding Therapeutic Schedules: A Comprehensive Analysis of Peritoneal Metastasis in Patients With Advanced Gastric Cancer

Background and Objective: No specialized prognostic model for patients with gastric cancer with peritoneal metastasis (GCPM) exists for intraoperative clinical decision making. This study aims to establish a new prognostic model to provide individual treatment decisions for patients with GCPM.

Method: This retrospective analysis included 324 patients with GCPM diagnosed pathologically by laparoscopy from January 2007 to January 2018 who were randomly assigned to different sets (227 in the training set and 97 in the internal validation set). A nomogram was established from preoperative and intraoperative variables determined by a Cox model. The predictive ability and clinical applicability of the PM nomogram (PMN) were compared with the 15th Japanese Classification of Gastric Carcinoma (JCGC) Staging Guidelines for PM (P1abc). Additional external validation was performed using a dataset (n = 39) from the First Affiliated Hospital of University of Science and Technology of China.

Results: The median survival time was 8 (range, 1–90) months. In the training set, each PMN substage had significantly different survival curves (P < 0.001), and the PMN was superior to the P1abc based on the results of time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve, C-index, Akaike information criterion and likelihood ratio chi-square analyses. In the internal and external validation sets, the PMN was also better than the P1abc in terms of its predictive ability. Of the PMN1 patients, those undergoing palliative resection had better overall survival (OS) than those undergoing exploratory surgery (P < 0.05). Among the patients undergoing exploratory surgery, those who received chemotherapy exhibited better OS than those who did not (P < 0.05). Among the patients who received palliative resection, only PMN1 patients exhibited better OS following chemotherapy (P < 0.05).

Conclusion: We developed and validated a simple, specific PM model for patients with GCPM that can predict prognosis well and guide treatment decisions.

REVIVE study: a prospective observational study in chemotherapy after nivolumab therapy for advanced gastric cancer

Nivolumab is an increasingly used standard care treatment for heavily pretreated patients with advanced gastric cancer, with increasing clinical use in Japan. Data from retrospective studies on various tumors have shown the objective response rate to cytotoxic chemotherapy potentially improves after an exposure to immune checkpoint inhibitors. Based on these data, we conducted the multicenter observational REVIVE study to evaluate the efficacy and safety of cytotoxic chemotherapy in nivolumab-refractory or nivolumab-intolerant patients with advanced gastric cancer. Patients who are refractory or intolerant to nivolumab and scheduled to receive irinotecan monotherapy, oxaliplatin combination treatment or oral trifluridine/tipiracil hydrochloride therapy will be included. The primary end point is overall survival of nivolumab-pretreated patients with advanced gastric cancer after the cytotoxic chemotherapy. Clinical trial registration: UMIN000032182 (umin.ac.jp).

Correlation Between Hemoglobin Levels and the Prognosis of First-Line Chemotherapy in Patients with Advanced Gastric Cancer

Background

This retrospective study evaluated the prognostic significance of hemoglobin (Hb) levels in patients (pts) with unresectable locally advanced or metastatic gastric cancer who have not previously received chemotherapy.

Patients and Methods

We screened 249 pts with advanced gastric cancer, who were categorized into four groups, namely, non-anemia (normal Hb levels), mild (10 g/dl to normal), moderate (8–10 g/dl), and severe anemia groups (<8 g/dl), to study the prognostic significance of Hb levels. We also examined the correlation between changes in Hb levels and treatment effects via imaging during the treatment course.

Results

The objective response rate (ORR) was 47.4% for pts with anemia versus 43.4% for pts without anemia (P=0.536). Hemoglobin levels were reduced by 0.51 ± 1.86 and 1.93 ± 1.33 g/dl after chemotherapy versus before chemotherapy in the disease control group and progressive groups, respectively (P=0.002). The median progression-free survival (mPFS) of first-line chemotherapy in all pts was 6.3 months. Specifically, the mPFS was 5.7 months in pts with severe anemia, compared with 6.4 months for pts with non-severe anemia (Hb≥8g/dl). The median overall survival (mOS) of all pts was 14.0 months. In particular, the mOS was 15.0 months for pts with non-anemia and mild anemia (Hb≥10g/dl) versus 11.5 months for pts with moderate or severe anemia. In multivariate analysis, ascites and decreased Hb post-chemotherapy were identified as independent prognostic indicators for PFS and OS.

Conclusion

Our findings indicate that Hb levels are associated with the prognosis in the first-line chemotherapy for pts with advanced gastric cancer. Pts with progressive disease experience a larger decrease in Hb levels, and those with baseline Hb levels ≥10 g/dl experience longer OS.

A cohort study and meta-analysis of the evidence for consideration of Lauren subtype when prescribing adjuvant or palliative chemotherapy for gastric cancer

Background

The association between the survival or efficacy of chemotherapy and the Lauren subtype of gastric cancer (GC) remains unclear. We aimed to clarify whether patients with different Lauren subtypes have different survival after treatment with systemic chemotherapy: intestinal gastric cancer (IGC) patients survived better than patients with mixed type gastric cancer (MGC) or diffuse gastric cancer (DGC) after treatment with systemic chemotherapy.

Patients & methods

Relevant studies for the meta-analysis were identified through searching Pubmed, Embase, Cochrane and Ovid up to March 2020. We also included our own prospectively collected cohort of patients that were followed over a 10-year period. Sub-group and sensitivity analyses were also performed.

Results

In our prospective cohort, the overall survival (OS) of IGC patients receiving systemic chemotherapy (chemoIGC) [median OS 5.01 years, interquartile range (IQR) 2.63-6.71] was significantly higher than that of DGC patients receiving the same chemotherapy (chemoDGC) (median OS 1.33 years, IQR 0.78-3.33, p = 0.0001). After adjusting for age, gender and cancer stage, there was a significant difference in OS in patients treated with chemotherapy based on the Lauren classification of GC {hazard ratio (HR) for OS of the IGC versus DGC 0.33, [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.17-0.65; p < 0.001]}. In the IGC patients, the adjusted HR associated with chemotherapy was 0.26 (95% CI, 0.12-0.56; p = 0.001), whereas the association was 0.64 (95% CI, 0.30-1.33; p = 0.23) in the DGC patient group.In our meta-analysis, 33 studies comprising 10,246 patients treated with systemic chemotherapy (chemoIGC n = 4888, chemoDGC n = 5358) met all the selection criteria. While we accounted for much of the heterogeneity in these studies, we found that chemoIGC patients showed significantly improved OS [HR, 0.76 (95% CI, 0.71-0.82); p < 0.00001] when compared with similarly treated chemoDGC patients.

Conclusion

Our results support the consideration of Lauren subtype when prescribing systemic chemotherapy for GC, particularly for MGC or DGC, which may not benefit from chemotherapy. Lauren classification should be considered to stratify chemotherapy regimens to GC patients in future clinical trials, with particular relevance to MGC or DGC, which is more difficult to treat with current regimens.

New prognostic western score predicting survival after curative resection of gastric cancer

The aim of our study was to develop a prognostic score for gastric cancer patients who underwent R0 resection with curative intent, to identify high-risk patients. Three thirty three patients curatively operated for gastric adenocarcinoma were enrolled in the study. To define our prognostic score pre-operative inflammation sieric markers such as neutrophil to lymphocytes ratio, platelet count, platelet to lymphocytes ratio, and other clinical pathological and surgical characteristics of our patients such as albumin preoperative level, CRP sieric level, hystological Lauren's subtype, tumor location, lymphonodal status were analyzed. Prognostic factors predicting OS were analyzed using Cox proportional hazards models and a prognostic score was built. 5Y-OS was 42% with a median survival of 41 months. The multivariate analysis identified four independent prognostic factors: preoperative albumin level (HR 2.5), preoperative N/L ratio (HR 2.4), Diffuse Lauren histological subtype (HR 1.5) and TNM stage III and IV (HR 1.2). According to the relative risk of each variable we construct a prognostic score and validated it internally. Four risk classes were built and patients were statistically different stratifying according to them. More important the stratification was maintained also when patients were subdivided according to the pathological stage. In summary, we were able to construct a prognostic score that could be easily used in all the clinical contests, being it cheap and prompt. Our results, however, need to be externally validated, by a major center to be introduced into the clinical practice.

Practical guidance for the evaluation of disease progression and the decision to change treatment in patients with advanced gastric cancer receiving chemotherapy

After failure of first-line chemotherapy with fluoropyrimidines and platinum compounds for advanced gastric cancer, second-line chemotherapy with ramucirumab plus paclitaxel, which elicits a durable response, and third-line or later chemotherapy with nivolumab have been shown to lead to a more favorable prognosis in advanced gastric cancer patients. As new and more effective drugs are now available, sequential chemotherapy would contribute to prolonged survival. From this point of view, the patient's disease course should be frequently monitored in order to adapt treatment regimens. This review summarizes the points to note in regard to radiological assessment, and discusses the integration of prognostic factors, tumor markers, and clinical symptoms that need to be taken into account to change treatment at an appropriate timing.

The Impact of Molecular Subtype on Efficacy of Chemotherapy and Checkpoint Inhibition in Advanced Gastric Cancer

PURPOSE

We evaluated the association between molecular subtypes of advanced gastric cancer (AGC) and the efficacy of standard chemotherapy or immune checkpoint inhibitors.

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

Patients with AGC who received systemic chemotherapy from October 2015 to July 2018 with available molecular features were analyzed. We investigated the efficacy of standard first- (fluoropyrimidine + platinum ± trastuzumab) and second-line (taxanes ± ramucirumab) chemotherapy, and subsequent anti-PD-1 therapy in patients with four molecular subtypes: MMR-D (mismatch repair deficient), EBV⁺, HER2⁺, and all negative.

RESULTS

410 patients were analyzed: MMR-D 5.9%, EBV⁺ 4.1%, HER2⁺ 13.7%, and all negative 76.3%. In 285 patients who received standard first-line chemotherapy, the median progression-free survival (PFS) times were 4.2, 6.0, 7.5, and 7.6 months and the objective response rates (ORR) were 31%, 62%, 60%, and 49% in MMR-D, EBV⁺, HER2⁺, and all-negative subtypes, respectively. Multivariate analysis showed shorter PFS in MMR-D versus all-negative patients [HR, 1.97; 95% CIs, 1.09-3.53; P = 0.022]. In second-line setting, there were no significant differences in efficacy. In 110 patients who received anti-PD-1 therapy, median PFS times were 13.0, 3.7, 1.6, and 1.9 months and the ORRs were 58%, 33%, 7%, and 13%, respectively. Twelve patients with MMR-D received subsequent anti-PD-1 therapy and showed longer PFS compared with that in 10 (83%) patients who received earlier-line chemotherapy.

CONCLUSIONS

MMR-D might result in shorter PFS with first-line chemotherapy for AGC. Subsequent anti-PD-1 therapy achieved higher ORR and longer PFS than prior chemotherapy in most patients with MMR-D, supporting the earlier use of immune checkpoint inhibitors.

Implications for restaging in gastric cancer with peritoneal metastasis based on the 15th Japanese Classification of Gastric Carcinoma: An analysis from a comprehensive center

BACKGROUND

and purpose: For gastric cancer patients with peritoneal metastasis (GCPM), there is no universally accepted prognostic staging system. This study aimed to validate the predictive ability of the 15th peritoneal metastasis staging system (P1abc) of the Japanese Classification of Gastric Carcinoma (JCGC).

METHODS

The data of 309 GCPM patients from July 2007 to July 2017 were retrospectively analyzed. This study compared the prognosis prediction performances of P1abc, the previous JCGC PM staging (P123) and Gilly staging systems.

RESULTS

The survival curve revealed a significant difference in overall survival (OS) predicted by P1abc, P123 and Gilly staging (all P < 0.05), and the survival of the two adjacent substages were well distinguished by P1abc but not by P123 and Gilly staging. Both P123 and Gilly staging were substituted with P1abc staging in a 2-step multivariate analysis. The results showed that P1abc staging was superior to both P123 and Gilly staging in its discriminatory ability (C-index), predictive accuracy (AIC) and predictive homogeneity (likelihood ratio chi-square). A stratified analysis by different therapies indicated that for the P1a and P1b patients, OS following palliative resection combined with palliative chemotherapy (PRCPC) was better than that after palliative resection (PR) or palliative chemotherapy (PC) alone (P < 0.05). For the P1c patients, OS after receiving PC was significantly superior to that after receiving PRCPC or PR (P = 0.021).

CONCLUSION

P1abc staging is superior to P123 and Gilly staging in predicting the survival of GCPM patients. Surgeons can provide these patients with appropriate treatment options according to the corresponding substages within P1abc.

The Use of (Network) Meta-Analysis in Clinical Oncology

Meta-analysis is important in oncological research to provide a more reliable answer to a clinical research question that was assessed in multiple studies but with inconsistent results. Pair-wise meta-analysis can be applied when comparing two treatments at once, whereas it is possible to compare multiple treatments at once with network meta-analysis (NMA). After careful systematic review of the literature and quality assessment of the identified studies, there are several assumptions in the use of meta-analysis. First, the added value of meta-analysis should be evaluated by examining the comparability of study populations. Second, the appropriate comparator in meta-analysis should be chosen according to the types of comparisons made in individual studies: (1) Experimental and comparator arms are different treatments (A vs. B); (2) Substitution of a conventional treatment by an experimental treatment (A+B vs. A+C); or (3) Addition of an experimental treatment (A+B vs. B). Ideally there is one common comparator treatment, but when there are multiple common comparators, the most efficacious comparator is preferable. Third, treatments can only be adequately pooled in meta-analysis or merged into one treatment node in NMA when considering likewise mechanism of action and similar setting in which treatment is indicated. Fourth, for both pair-wise meta-analysis and NMA, adequate assessment of heterogeneity should be performed and sub-analysis and sensitivity analysis can be applied to objectify a possible confounding factor. Network inconsistency, as statistical manifestation of violating the transitivity assumption, can best be evaluated by node-split modeling. NMA has advantages over pair-wise meta-analysis, such as clarification of inconsistent outcomes from multiple studies including multiple common comparators and indirect effect calculation of missing direct comparisons between important treatments. Also, NMA can provide increased statistical power and cross-validation of the observed treatment effect of weak connections with reasonable network connectivity and sufficient sample-sizes. However, inappropriate use of NMA can cause misleading results, and may emerge when there is low network connectivity, and therefore low statistical power. Furthermore, indirect evidence is still observational and should be interpreted with caution. NMA should therefore preferably be conducted and interpreted by both expert clinicians in the field and an experienced statistician. Finally, the use of meta-analysis can be extended to other areas, for example the identification of prognostic and predictive factors. Also, the integration of evidence from both meta-analysis and expert opinion can improve the construction of prognostic models in real-world databases.

Surgical outcomes and prognostic factors for patients with gastric cancer spinal metastasis

Purpose

To investigate the outcome and prognostic factors of surgery in treating gastric cancer spinal metastasis (GCSM).

Patients and methods

A total of 17 patients with GCSM who have undertaken spinal surgeries have been identified. Kaplan–Meier method and univariate analysis are adopted to investigate the prognostic factors affecting overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS).

Results

The median PFS and OS are 11.3 months (95% CI: 7.8–14.9 months) and 11.9 months (95% CI: 8.4–15.4 months), respectively. Postoperatively, all patients had substantial pain relief, with mean visual analog scale score descending from 6.6±1.6 to 3.4±1.2. Meanwhile, patients also showed improved neurological functions, with 8 of them having improvements of at least one level in Frankel classification. Univariate analysis presented that patients with carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA)<6 µg/L (p=0.020), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH)<300 U/L (p=0.012), alkaline phosphatase (ALP)<200 U/L (p=0.007), and Tokuhashi score>6 (p=0.027) show longer OS. Moreover, application of bone cement, low level of ALP (<200 U/L), and LDH (<300 U/L) are associated with longer PFS (p<0.05).

Conclusions

Surgery is an efficient option in treating GCSM, due to its efficacy in pain alleviation, function restoration, and stability reconstruction. Low levels of CEA, LDH, ALP, and high Tokuhashi score (>6) are all favorable factors for better OS, whereas low levels of LDH, ALP, and application of bone cement are related with longer PFS.

Clinical analysis of bone metastasis of gastric cancer: incidence, clinicopathological features and survival

Aim: We evaluated the incidence, clinicopathological features, prognostic factors and survival of gastric cancer (GC) with bone metastasis in a single large cancer center in China. Patients & methods: Patients with bone metastasis of GC were retrospectively analyzed. Overall survival was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Clinicopathological factors, which were associated with prognostic factors for survival, were evaluated. Results: The incidence of bone metastasis was 11.3% for metastatic GC patients. Median overall survival time was 6.5 months. Multivariate analysis revealed two independent poor prognostic factors: Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group ≥2 (p = 0.023) and lack of palliative chemotherapy (p = 0.018). Conclusion: The incidence of bone metastasis from metastatic GC was underestimated. The prognosis of GC with bone metastasis was poor.

Evaluation of pharmacological therapies used in Costa Rica in patients with metastatic gastric cancer: a retrospective study

Background

Gastric cancer is one of the leading causes of cancer death worldwide. Surgery is regarded as the best curative treatment option for gastric cancer; however, a high proportion of cases are diagnosed at advanced stages, when tumors are unresectable. In the present study, we evaluated the impact of pharmacological therapies in the survival of 168 patients diagnosed with metastatic gastric cancer from Costa Rica, a country with very high incidence and mortality rates for this malignancy.

Methods

We retrospectively reviewed 168 clinical records of patients diagnosed with metastatic gastric cancer from January 2009 to January 2012 at four major hospitals in Costa Rica. The Chi-square test or Fisher's exact test was used for comparison of frequencies, while the ANOVA test was used for comparison of quantitative variables. OS and PFS analyses were performed using the Kaplan-Meier method. The Log-rank test was used to compare survival curves. Univariate and multivariate COX regression analyses were used to calculate the crude and adjusted hazard ratios (HR) with their 95% confidence interval (95% CI).

Results

After a median follow-up of 46.5 months, the median survival difference between the two groups (pharmacological therapy vs. supportive care) was 5.6 months for PFS and 8.3 months for OS. Patients receiving triple therapy had 69% higher chance of progression than those receiving double therapy (HR =1.69, 95% CI: 1.04-2.73). The probability of dying is 88% higher for the patients receiving triple therapy than for those using double therapy (HR =1.88, 95% CI: 1.15-3.11).

Conclusions

This study demonstrates that pharmacological therapies significantly increase the PFS and OS of those patients with metastatic gastric cancer in Costa Rica. The greatest benefit in terms of survival is observed with the use of duplets in comparison with the triplets in these patients.

Prognostic factors in patients treated with second-line chemotherapy for advanced gastric cancer: results from the randomized prospective phase III FFCD-0307 trial

AIM

The aim of this study was to determine prognostic factors in patients treated with second-line therapy (L2) for locally advanced or metastatic gastric and gastro-esophageal junction (GEJ) adenocarcinoma in a randomized phase III study with predefined L2.

METHODS

In the FFCD-0307 study, patients were randomly assigned to receive in L1 either epirubicin, cisplatin, and capecitabine (ECX arm) or fluorouracil, leucovorin, and irinotecan (FOLFIRI arm). L2 treatment was predefined (FOLFIRI for the ECX arm and ECX for the FOLFIRI arm). Chi square tests were used to compare the characteristics of patients treated in L2 with those of patients who did not receive L2. Prognostic factors in L2 for progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were analyzed using a Cox model.

RESULTS

Among 416 patients included, 101/209 (48.3%) patients in the ECX arm received FOLFIRI in L2, and 81/207 (39.1%) patients in the FOLFIRI arm received ECX in L2. Patients treated in L2, compared with those who only received L1 had : a better ECOG score (0-1: 90.4% versus 79.7%; p = 0.0002), more frequent GEJ localization (40.8% versus 27.6%; p = 0.005), and lower platelet count (median: 298000 versus 335000/mm³; p = 0.02). In multivariate analyses, age < 60 years at diagnosis (HR 1.49, 95% CI 1.09-2.03, p = 0.013) and ECOG score 2 before L2 (HR 2.62, 95% CI 1.41-4.84, p = 0.005) were the only significant poor prognostic factors for OS.

CONCLUSION

Age ≥ 60 years at diagnosis and ECOG score 0/1 before L2 were the only favorable prognostic factors for OS.

The role of surgical resection before palliative chemotherapy in advanced gastric cancer

The role of palliative surgical resection in recurrent or metastatic gastric cancer is still controversial. A retrospective review was conducted on 689 patients who received palliative chemotherapy for recurrent (n = 307) or primary metastatic (n = 382) gastric cancer. Among 131 patients (89 primary metastatic and 42 recurrent) with surgical resection before chemotherpay, 75 underwent gastrectomy, 42 metastasectomy, and 14 gastrectomy with metastasectomy. The median overall survival (OS) of patients who underwent surgical resection was significantly longer than that of patients who received chemotherapy alone (18 vs. 9 months, p < 0.0001). The OS benefit of surgical resection was consistent across subgroups. In multivariate analysis, surgical resection was independently associated with favorable OS (hazard ratio = 0.42, p < 0.0001). Moreover, patients with surgical resection showed favorable OS both in univariate (p < 0.0001) and multivariate (p < 0.0001) analysis even after propensity score matching. In addition, the median OS of patients who underwent gross complete resection (n = 54) was significantly longer than that of patients who underwent incomplete resection (n = 77) (30 vs. 15 months, p = 0.002). The present study suggests that judicious use of surgical resection before chemotherapy in recurrent or metastatic gastric cancer patients may result in a favorable outcome, especially when complete resection is achievable.

Irinotecan-containing doublet treatment versus irinotecan monotherapy as second-line choice for advanced gastric cancer

Background

For patients with advanced gastric cancer (AGC), second-line chemotherapy regimen remains controversial. The efficacy and safety of irinotecan-containing doublet treatment and irinotecan monotherapy were compared in this systematic analysis.

Methods

A search was conducted on EMBASE and Medline databases. All articles compared irinotecan-containing doublet to irinotecan as second-line chemotherapy for AGC. STATA statistical software (Version 12.0) was used to analyze the data.

Results

Seven studies, including 905 cases, were included in the analysis. Irinotecan-containing doublet treatment significantly prolonged progression-free survival compared to irinotecan monotherapy (HR = 0.82, 95% CI: 0.70–0.95). However, doublet treatment neither significantly prolong overall survival compared to monotherapy (HR = 0.94, 95% CI: 0.81–1.10), nor did it significantly increase the overall response rates and disease control rates, when compared to monotherapy. In addition, the irinotecan-containing doublet group had an increase in incidences of ≥ Grade 3 neutropenia (RR = 1.23, 95% CI: 1.01–1.51) and anemia (RR = 2.00, 95% CI: 1.37–2.92).

Conclusions

When compared to irinotecan monotherapy, irinotecan-containing doublet treatment increased progression free survival and was tolerable as a second- line chemotherapy for AGC.

[Metastatic stomach cancer: Clinical trials in Asia and in Occident]

Although cytotoxic chemotherapy is the main therapeutic option to treat gastric cancer in the metastatic setting, molecular targeted agents have recently been introduced in an effort to improve survival outcomes which in average do not exceed 1 year. Trastuzumab and ramucirumab, antibodies directed against HER2 and VEGFR2, respectively, may provide clinical benefit for some patients. Results of clinical studies show that Asian patients have increased survival compared to Caucasian patients. Differences between populations, and in particular the presence of polymorphisms capable of influencing the availability of fluorouracil, have been suggested as possible explanations. Other factors including histology, surgical procedures, administration of neoadjuvant chemotherapy in Western countries and screening programs in Asia have also been suggested. However, none of these elements can fully explain this phenomenon. The aim of this article is to present the main protocols used in clinical practice, the perspectives of metastatic gastric cancer treatment and the particularities observed in Asian and Caucasian patients.

Prognostic and predictive factors for overall survival in metastatic oesophagogastric cancer: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Consistent evidence on prognostic and predictive factors for advanced oesophagogastric cancer is lacking. Therefore, we performed a systematic review and meta-analysis.

METHODS

We searched PubMed, Embase and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL) databases for phase II/III randomised controlled trials (RCTs) until February 2017 on palliative systemic therapy for advanced oesophagogastric cancer that reported prognostic or predictive factors for overall survival (PROSPERO-CRD42014015177). Prognostic factors were identified from multivariate regression analyses in study reports. Factors were considered potentially clinically relevant if statistically significant (P ≤ 0.05) in multivariate analysis in ≥50% of the total number of patients in the pooled sample of the RCTs and were reported with a pooled sample size of ≥600 patients in the first-line or ≥300 patients in the beyond first-line setting. Predictive factors were identified from time-to-event stratified treatment comparisons and deemed potentially clinically relevant if the P-value for interaction between subgroups was ≤0.20 and the hazard ratio in one of the subgroups was significant (P ≤ 0.05).

RESULTS

Forty-six original RCTs were included (n = 15,392 patients) reporting on first-line (n = 33) and beyond first-line therapy (n = 13). Seventeen prognostic factors for overall survival in the first-line and four in the beyond first-line treatment setting were potentially clinically relevant. Twenty-one predictive factors in first-line and nine in beyond first-line treatment setting were potentially relevant regarding treatment efficacy.

CONCLUSIONS

The prognostic and predictive factors identified in this systematic review can be used to characterise patients in clinical practice, be included in future trial designs, enrich prognostic tools and generate hypotheses to be tested in future research to promote patient-centred treatment.

Gastric cancer initially presenting as bone metastasis: Two case reports and a literature review

Gastric cancer frequently spreads to the regional lymph nodes, liver and lungs following surgery or late in the clinical course. However, an initial clinical presentation of bone metastasis in gastric cancer patients is relatively rare. The current study presents two cases of gastric cancer diffusely metastasized to the spinal vertebrae and with a single metastasis to the trapezium, respectively. The initial presentations were an increased alkaline phosphatase level without any symptoms associated with bone metastasis in the first case and a swelling in the right carpometacarpal joint of the thumb in the second case. These clinical manifestations are also extremely rare in gastric cancer with bone metastasis. The study emphasizes that a diagnosis of gastric cancer should be considered in patients with increased alkaline phosphatase without clinical symptoms or with a single bone metastasis.

The role of third-line chemotherapy in recurrent or metastatic gastric cancer: A cohort study with propensity score matching analysis

In recurrent or metastatic gastric cancer, second-line chemotherapy is generally recommended in current guidelines. Although third-line therapy is often performed in daily practice in some countries, there are only a few reports about its benefits.A retrospective review was conducted on 682 patients who underwent at least first-line chemotherapy for recurrent (n = 297) or primary metastatic (n = 385) disease. Clinicopathological characteristics and overall survival (OS) were analyzed according to lines of chemotherapy.One hundred sixty-seven patients (24.5%) underwent third- or further-line therapy. Third- or further-line therapy was frequently performed in patients with young age (<70) (P < .0001), Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status (PS) 0 or 1 (P < .0001), surgical resection before first-line therapy (P = .007), and first-line combination regimen (P = .001). The median OS for all patients after the initiation of first-line therapy was 10 months. The median OS of patients who received third- or further-line therapy was significantly longer than that of patients who received second- or lesser-line therapy (18 vs 8 months, P < .0001). The multivariate analysis revealed that third- or further-line therapy was independently associated with favorable OS (hazard ratio = 0.58, P < .0001). Moreover, patients who received third- or further-line therapy demonstrated better OS both in univariate (P = .002) and multivariate (P < .0001) analysis even after propensity score matching using baseline characteristics. The median OS after the start of third-line chemotherapy was 6 months. In addition, ECOG PS 0 or 1 at the initiation of third-line therapy (P < .0001) and surgical resection (P = .009) were independently associated with longer OS after third-line therapy.The current study suggests that third-line therapy could be recommended for recurrent or metastatic gastric cancer patients with good PS after progression from second-line chemotherapy in clinical practice.